by Prof. Tanimu Balarabe, Director
Transcription
G RICULT UR A A OR L INSTITU T E SE ARCH RE F Balarabe TANIMU Institute for Agricultural Research PMB 1044, 1044 Zaria, Zaria Nigeria iar20002001@yahoo.com SA MAR U INTRODUCTION Muslims are about 22% of the world's population Abundant in human and natural resources Their share in the world gross domestic product only a scanty 4.5% The OIC trade profile is only 7.8% of world exports and 6.7 6 7 % of imports This scant share is attributed to: ○ Stagnant growth ○ Deteriorating physical infrastructure ○ Institutional weaknesses ○ High population growth ○ Unemployment Agriculture the most important sector in many OIC co ntries accounting countries acco nting for over o er 50% of total labour labo r force and more than 20% of total merchandise exports (Table 1). 1) Sector provides a primary source of foreign exchange earnings Agric. vital in providing a source of livelihoods for a large percentage of the population Table 1. Agricultural GDP and Agricultural Labour Force in the countries of the Near East in 2008 (FAOSTAT, 2009) C Country t Agricultural A i lt l GDP as share of total GDP Agricultural A i lt l Labour L b Force F / Total Labour Force Algeria 8.6 % 24 % A Azerbaijan b ij 18 9 % 18.9 27 % Bahrain 0.9 % 1% Cyprus 3.8 % 9% Djibouti 3.7 % 79 % Egypt 16.6 % 33 % Islamic Republic of Iran 18.9 % 26 % Iraq 33.2 % 10 % Jo d n Jordan 22% 2.2 11 % Kazakhstan 9.2% 18% Kuwait 0.4 % 1% Kyrgyzstan 39.4 % 26 % Lebanon 11.9 % 4% Libyan Arab Jamahiriya N.A. 6% Table 1. Count. Malta 2.8 % 1% Mauritania 22.4 % 53 % Morocco 13.5 % 36 % Oman 2.8 % 36 % Pakistan 26.3 % 47 % Qatar 0.5 % 1% Kingdom of Saudi Arabia 6.6 % 10 % Somalia N.A. 71 % Sudan 37.2 % 61 % Syrian Arab Republic 24.1 % 28 % Table 1. 1 Count. Count T jiki t Tajikistan 19 4 % 19.4 34 % Tunisia 12.3 % 25 % Turkey 16.2 % 46 % Turkmenistan 27.3 % 33 % United Arab Emirates 33% 3.3 5% Uzbekistan 34.9 % 28 % Yemen 15.3 % 51 % Any attempt at development across the member b states t t should h ld take t k cognizance i off both the role agriculture needs to play and its contribution to development initiatives OIC is making g various efforts to ensure agricultural growth and food security amongst member states One of such efforts is the promotion of trade and expansion e pansion of export e port among member countries Despite efforts the successes of all the member states in achieving their objectives is less than satisfactory Prices Pi off staple t l foods f d have h seen increases i ranging from 30 per cent to 150 per cent in 2007 and 2008 (Oxfam reports). reports) The impacts according to the World Bank are: An A iincreased d number b off malnourished l i h d people l worldwide by 119 million in 2007 and 2008 with a total of nearly one billion people (967 million) worldwide Many Muslim majority countries are facing some of the worst pains of this global crisis The number of poor in many Muslim countries has risen since 2007 because of food inflation,, leading g to food related riots in many of these countries Ironically, these same economies are some of the most agriculturally endowed in the world World Production Rating of Some OIC Member States According to UN's Food & Agricultural Organization Pakistan Bangladesh g Indonesia buffalo/goat b ff l / milk ilk (No.2/No.4) chick-peas p ((No.2)) sugar cane (No.5) rice (No.4) goat milk/meat (No.2, No.4) coconuts (No (No.1) 1) green beans (No.2) tropical fruits (No.2) eggs (No.3) rice (No.3) Global rise in food prices may continue unless immediate and long-term measures on addressing food security are implemented OIC Member States most seriously affected by high and rising food prices Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Chad, Côte d'Ivoire, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Iraq, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Somalia, Sudan,, Sierra Leone,, Tajikistan j and Uganda (13 Nos. Countries) No country is spared from this phenomenon, as food security remains a function of availability of food for both domestic consumption and imports Above listed countries require urgent external assistance in food supply Soaring prices of food items may cause political instability in these countries especially since poorer households spend up 80% of their income on food. The main issue here is ensuring that food production matches the ever increasing demand for f food. f Despite the availability of huge arable lands in major river i b i basins off the h OIC Member M b S States, and d the h human resources to engage in agricultural activities, the agricultural sector is accorded low priority. priority For example, the total arable land area in the OIC Member States is 277,321,000 277 321 000 hectares or about 11.57% of the total area. IMPORTANCE OF INTRA TRADE AMONG OIC MEMBER STATES Only four Muslim countries are classified as rich and they b l belong t the to th oilil producing d i nations ti while hil 19 are classified l ifi d as countries with medium and the rest as low-income ones. The GDP growth rate of Muslim countries showed an average decline in the last decade and one-fourth one fourth of their population still living below poverty line. OIC has a vision to create a common market for goods and services coordinate macro-economic services, macro economic policies, policies exchange rates, budget deficits and fiscal spending, and develop physical infrastructure to ease transport and communications across all borders. borders This vision makes sense for the small economies because the common market would provide access to a wider trading and investment environment, environment inducing backward and forward supply links and permit the economies of scale that make countries competitive. Thus, a range of manufacturing activities would be able to operate on a larger scale, expanding the industrial base necessary for economic transformation. Table 2 Exports of agricultural products of regions by destination, 2008 World 2000 37.9 2008 100.0 2000 2000 2000-08 08 2007 2008 2008 Africa 100.0 3.2 2.8 10 13 17 Europe 18.1 50.1 47.7 1.6 1.3 9 11 14 Africa 7.9 18.5 20.7 0.6 0.6 12 17 24 Asia 6.1 17.9 16.1 0.6 0.5 9 5 15 Middle East 2.1 5.3 5.5 0.2 0.2 11 9 36 North America 2.0 5.3 5.4 0.2 0.2 10 -2 24 Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) 0.8 1.0 2.1 0.0 0.1 21 28 39 South and Central America 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 6 73 9 World 24.2 100.0 100.0 1.3 1.8 16 18 35 Middle East 15.6 57.1 64.3 0.7 1.2 18 20 43 Europe 2.6 21.3 10.7 0.3 02 7 22 0 Africa 1.8 3.5 7.6 0.0 0.1 28 29 28 A i Asia 18 1.8 84 8.4 73 7.3 01 0.1 01 0.1 14 -12 12 17 Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) 1.0 4.1 4.0 0.1 0.1 16 35 20 North America 0.5 2.7 2.1 0.0 0.0 13 28 17 South and Central America 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 18 53 47 Middle East WTO 2006 international trade statistics – OIC vs World Total intra intra-exports exports amounting to $71 .8 billion in 2003, 11 member countries accounted f 78% share, for h whereas h th the share of 28 least developed OIC member countries (LDMCS) was merely 7.4 % Total exports in 2003 stood at $28 billion or 0.4 % of the world total and 4.8% of the total for the OIC member countries An average of less than 10% of intra-OIC intra OIC trade is what we consistently witness Asia s intra trade as a Asia’s percentage of the total exports of the region was 51.2% in 2005 while South and Central America’s was 24.3% Among the 25 countries of the European Union, the figures are 66.8% and 66.7% 66 7% respectively Statistics clearly show the unenviable record of OIC in terms of its intra- trade, and hence the need for OIC to raise this low level of trade CHALLENGES/PROBLEMS AFFECTING TRADE IN AGRIC. AGRIC PRODUCTS INTRA-OIC challenges/problems a result of natural barriers, b i man-made d b barriers i and d //or nontariff or technical barriers and these include: 1 Supply and production constraints 1. constraints. 2. Social and political conflict. 3 Infrastructure constraints. 3. constraints 4. Import and export restrictions. 5 Customs formalities; export procedures such as custom 5. valuation. 6 The tariff barriers, 6. barriers which often include some discriminative (and at times illegal) high tax rates at points of import/ p p export. p 7. The nature of a country or regions infrastructure has an important impact on its trade performance and competitiveness. 8. Corruption in some economies is often a major deterrent to potential investors and traders. This is important in countries with corrupt administrations and weak judiciaries 9. Absence of Value Chains and Linkages 10 An Unpredictable Trade 10. Environment 11.Inadequate Facilitation of CrossBorder Trade in Agricultural Commodities 12.Absence of Harmonized Quality and Product Standards RECOMMENDATIONS √ √ √ √ Major policy recommendations include the need for policy p y makers to avoid frequent q p policy y reversals caused by imports and export bans coupled by increases in tariffs. The need to eliminate licensing and reduce delays in border crossings. There is need to speed up policy harmonization and capitalize on regional economies of scale. The role and scope of existing OIC and international agricultural trade agreements should b clarified be l ifi d and d diff differences b between t iintra-OIC t OIC bilateral agreements and regional policies eliminated. eliminated √ √ √ √ √ Financial sector issues, (cross border payment systems, t trade t d financing) fi i ) Regional markets information and commodity exchange should be established. Export and import opportunities using g statistical analyses of trade flows within the OIC subregional and regional markets In-depth demand and supply surveys to establish products that countries need and can offer on a sector by sector basis Business development opportunities by matching potential importers with potential exporters √ √ Proposals with effective deadlines for breaking d down outstanding t t di ttariff iff and d non-tariff t iff measures within sub-regional communities, and establishing common trade documentation, nomenclatures and other trade facilitation instruments across OIC member states Complementary trade promotion measures measures, including support at the enterprise level in product and market development development. CONCLUSION OIC nations would not want to be left behind in developmental issues The resurgence of political will and reformation in many OIC countries would spur commitment to the development of the agricultural sector of our economies. The prospects for intra-OIC trade in agricultural products are closely linked to comparative advantages in the various countries Harmonization of agricultural trade policies among OIC countries would promote trade and enhance agricultural growth. Iff all the identified f problems are addressed by various nations the prospects for intra-OIC trade in agricultural products are enormous. ASSALAMU ALAIKUM THANK YOU
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