Commercial Truck Guidelines
Transcription
NADA Commercial Truck Guide Industry Update September 2014 Class 8 retail pricing unexpectedly strong through the summer Influx of newer trucks pushed our universal average to a new record Wholesale mileage and age trending closer to retail Average age in the wholesale channel is now equal to retail Special Study: Proprietary Engines in the Used Market Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS Commercial Truck Market Trends ............................................................................................... 2 Economic Trends by Forecasting & Industry Analysis Group ...................................................................... 10 ATD/NADA Official Commercial Truck Guide Value Trends ........................................................ 12 At NADA Used Car Guide ............................................................................................................. 13 COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS Market Summary Pricing and sales volume for Class 8 highway segments were strong through the summer. Strong demand has kept depreciation to a minimum, despite the higher volume of late-model iron coming off trade. A special study explores the volume of proprietary engines in the used market. Sleeper Tractors – Retail The retail sleeper market turned in an unexpectedly strong performance in July, with depreciation for individual trucks very light despite the continuing increased supply. The ongoing market shift favoring 2-5 year-old trucks pushed our universal average to a new all-time record. Specifically, the average sleeper tractor retailed in July brought $60,767, had 503,884 miles, and was 74 Average Retail Price and Mileage: All Sleeper Tractors Under 1M Miles $3,629 (or 6.4%), mileage was down 17,702 (or 3.4%), $60,000 and age was 4 months younger. Year-over-year, this $55,000 month’s pricing was $8,048 (or 15.3%) higher, $50,000 mileage was 31,764 (or 5.9%) lower, and age was 3 months younger. See “Average Retail Price and Mileage” graph for detail. Price $65,000 Price Mileage 580,000 550,000 520,000 490,000 $45,000 460,000 $40,000 $35,000 430,000 $30,000 400,000 Looking at pricing by model year, results were flat to mildly downward. 2013s are still absorbing their Source: ATD/NADA Period NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 2 Mileage months old. Compared to last month, pricing was up Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS continued ] initial depreciation, and have pulled well back from their 6-figure pricing early this year. 2012s appear to have cycled through that process, transitioning to a more mature and gradual depreciation rate similar to their 2011 counterparts. Older trucks have been essentially flat for multiple quarters. See “Average Retail Price by Model Year” graph for detail. Pricing by mileage range paints an even more positive picture, with trucks under 600,000 miles trending steadily upwards since early 2013. One interesting Average Retail Price by Model Year All Sleeper Tractors Under 1M Miles, Adjusted for Mileage 2007 aspect of the current market shift is that the number $120,000 of trucks sold with under 400,000 miles is already $100,000 greater than in all of 2013. Again, the fact that pricing speaks to the strong demand for these trucks. See “Average Retail Price and Number of Trucks Sold” 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $80,000 Price remains strong in the face of this increased volume 2008 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 graph for detail. Jan-12 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-13 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-14 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul $0 Sleeper Tractors – Wholesale Period Source: ATD/NADA The influx of younger, lower-mileage sleeper tractors into the wholesale marketplace continues to shake up Average Retail Price and Number of Trucks Sold by Mileage Range Sleeper Tractors, CY2013 vs. YTD2014 the mix of trucks sold. Average age has reached parity YTD2014 Price with the retail channel, and the number of trucks with YTD2014 Vol. CY2013 Vol. 3,000 $90,000 $80,000 greater than in all of 2013. $60,000 2,500 Price $70,000 2,000 $50,000 Specifically, the average truck sold at auction or $40,000 dealer-to-dealer in July brought $41,107, had 571,042 $20,000 1,500 1,000 $30,000 500 $10,000 $0 0 pricing was $616 (or 1.5%) higher, mileage was 44,729 (or 7.3%) lower, and age was 3 months Mileage Range Source: ATD/NADA younger. Year-over-year, July 2014 pricing was $15,512 (or 60.6%) higher than July 2013, mileage was 116,945 (or 17.0%) lower, and age was a full year younger. See “Average Wholesale Price and Mileage” graph for detail. NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 3 Number of Trucks Sold under 600,000 miles sold through July is already miles, and was 74 months old. Month-over-month, CY2013 Price $100,000 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS continued ] Looking at pricing by model year, most trucks trended Average Wholesale Price and Mileage: All Sleeper Tractors Under 1M Miles downward this month, with the newest model years exhibiting the most depreciation, and 2009MY units $50,000 turning in an unexpectedly weak month. 2013 and $45,000 Price $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 As in the retail channel, pricing by mileage range $20,000 paints a more positive picture of the market, with $15,000 trucks in all mileage ranges trending upwards. The 600,000 has increased notably since March, already outpacing calendar year 2013’s volume by 15.6%. Period Source: ATD/NADA Average Wholesale Price by Model Year All Sleeper Tractors Under 1M Miles, Adjusted for Mileage $120,000 Popularity of trucks with 800,000 miles and above is $100,000 also higher this year than last, thanks to the 2 per. Mov. Avg. (2007) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (2008) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (2009) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (2010) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (2011) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (2012) $80,000 Price increased practice of reselling older reconditioned trucks. See “Average Wholesale Price and Number of 790,000 760,000 730,000 700,000 670,000 640,000 610,000 580,000 550,000 520,000 490,000 460,000 430,000 400,000 Mileage Year” graph for detail. volume of trucks with mileage between 300,000- 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Mileage) $40,000 newer trucks are still extremely rare in the wholesale channel. See “Average Wholesale Price by Model 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Price) $60,000 Trucks Sold” graph for detail. $40,000 The final piece of the puzzle is the average age of $20,000 trucks sold, which currently stands at 74 months – Jan-12 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-13 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-14 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul $0 identical to trucks sold retail. Traditionally, this Period spread has stood at 12-18 months. This change suggests that the wholesale channel is absorbing a greater proportion of the 3-5 year-old trucks Average Wholesale Price and Number of Trucks Sold by Mileage Range Sleeper Tractors, CY2013 vs. YTD2014 YTD2014 Price returning from trade. The average mileage spread 100,000 miles. Lower-mileage iron is still cherry- CY2013 Vol. 500 $80,000 450 $70,000 400 350 $60,000 Price picked for the retail channel. YTD2014 Vol. 300 $50,000 250 $40,000 200 $30,000 Competitive Comparison—3- and 4-Year-Old Sleepers 150 $20,000 100 $10,000 50 $0 Starting with 3-year-old (2012MY) trucks, the 0 Mileage Range Source: ATD/NADA NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 4 Number of Trucks Sold has dropped less dramatically, standing at about CY2013 Price $90,000 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS continued ] Peterbilt 386 dipped unexpectedly in July. Average mileage of 386s sold was higher than the average by about 29%, which could account for some of the difference despite our mileage adjustment. All 2012 386s reported sold in July were equipped with the PACCAR MX engine, which should not be responsible for the drop, but is worth noting. The Kenworth T660 and Freightliner Cascadia continue to perform similarly, with the T660’s 4% dip Average Retail Price - 3-Year-Old Sleeper Tractors Adjusted for Mileage bringing that model very close to an unchanged $110,000 Cascadia. The Cascadia continues to be the largest- $100,000 $90,000 pricing performance even more impressive. $80,000 Price volume 2012 truck sold by a large margin, making its $70,000 Volvo’s 630/670 and 730/780 continue to perform $60,000 similarly, with the 730/780’s higher mileage partly 386 Cascadia $50,000 ProStar T660 responsible for its result. $40,000 VNL 630/670 VNL 730/780 Average for all Trucks $30,000 The International ProStar ticked up in July, maintaining its position at roughly 24% below the average for this cohort. See “Average Retail Price – 3-Year-Old” graph for Jan-14 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Period Source: ATD/NADA Average Retail Price - 4-Year-Old Sleeper Tractors Adjusted for Mileage $90,000 detail. $80,000 Moving over to 4-year-old (2011MY) trucks, the T700 parity with the Cascadia. $70,000 Price saw another minor uptick in July to achieve near- $60,000 Avg. for All Trucks 2 per. Mov. Avg. (VNL 730/780) $50,000 The 386 performed better in this age bracket, on par 2 per. Mov. Avg. (386) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Cascadia) $40,000 2 per. Mov. Avg. (T660) with the T660. 2 per. Mov. Avg. (T700) $30,000 The 730/780 dipped this month, turning in a performance similar to the 386 and T660, at roughly Period Source: ATD/NADA 3% below the top two performers. The ProStar has not yet turned around, dipping again in July to increase its distance from the market average to about 17%. 84% of 2011 ProStars reported sold in July were ISXequipped. NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 5 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS continued ] The 387 had a weak month, coming in below the 630/670 for the first time this year. No obvious factors were behind this model’s lower performance. See the “Average Retail Price – 4-Year-Old” graphs for detail. Special Study: Proprietary Engines in the Used Marketplace A recent WardsAuto.com report quoted in the August 11, 2014 edition of Transport Topics stated that, “Cummins supplied 39% of the diesel engines installed at North American factories (in the first half of 2014).” As such, proprietary engines comprised 61% of engines installed in new trucks. But how about used trucks? How common are proprietary engines in the various makes and models available in the secondary market? To find out, we combined our retail and wholesale sleeper tractor data for 1H2014 and denoted proprietary vs. non-proprietary. “Non-proprietary” includes all Caterpillar and Cummins offerings, regardless of size (which includes the C13, C15, ISM, and ISX). See chart below for detail. Freightliner International Kenworth Peterbilt Volvo Western Star Industry Average Industry Average Ex. Western Star 2013 100% 100% 21% 67% 86% 100% 79% 75% 2012 84% 95% 38% 23% 84% 100% 71% 65% 2011 87% 14% 10% 14% 88% 100% 52% 43% 2010 98% 6% 0% 0% 37% 100% 40% 28% Looking at the stats, we first note that late-model Freightliners are overwhelmingly equipped with Detroit engines, with all 2013s and the vast majority of 2010-2012s soequipped. Interestingly, the DD15 comprised 95% of the Detroit-powered group, with the DD13 representing only 5%. This difference is likely due to the slower production ramp-up of the DD13. Detroits were also installed in every Western Star reported sold. We expected to see a degree of Cummins installation in this make due to its owner-operator focus, so this NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 6 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS continued ] result is somewhat surprising. All Western Star sleepers reported sold were equipped with the DD15 at 560HP. Volvo has offered proprietary engines for 20 years and the Volvo D13 has by far been its most popular engine since the 2011 model year, thanks to a relatively well-received rollout of the 2010-spec engine as well as production and marketing strategies emphasizing the all-Volvo powertrain. In the PACCAR camp, installation of the MX engine ramped up slower than other OEMs’ new engines, which is reflected in that engine’s representation in our data. It appears that Peterbilt may have received more of these units than Kenworth, at least in model year 2013. In general, Cummins is the most common powerplant for all 2010-emissions PACCAR trucks except for 2013 Peterbilts. Looking at International’s MaxxForce, that engine sees limited representation in 2010 and 2011 due to limited marketplace demand as well as production ramp-up. 2012 was almost entirely MaxxForce, although there appears to be a handful of Cumminsequipped 2012s in the wild, as evidenced by two reported sales so far (verified by VIN). 2013 was a MaxxForce-only build year. Note that MY2013 and earlier MaxxForce trucks did not include SCR. In general, it is accurate to say that the 2010 emissions spec signaled the start of the proprietary engine era. Industry-wide, proprietary engines have been more common than supplier engines since the 2012 model year, at least in the sleeper segment. Note that 2011 was a transitional model year for most makes, with a number of pre-2010emissions engines installed in trucks of this model year (keep in mind that the 2011 model year began in the first quarter of 2010). As for relative value, there does not appear to be a notable difference in selling price between Detroit, PACCAR, or Volvo proprietary engines vs. big-bore Cummins engines once mileage and specs (including horsepower) are adjusted for. There appears to be a mild to moderate premium for Cummins over Caterpillar in general, with that difference dependent on make. And of course the smaller-bore (C13 and ISM) supplier engines are not as valuable in a sleeper truck as a large-bore engine. To see NADA’s assessment of specific engine values, check the option listings in the latest edition of NADA Online or the ATD/NADA Official Commercial Truck Guide®. NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 7 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS continued ] Sales Volume – Retail and Wholesale The number of trucks reported that were sold wholesale (auction plus dealer-to-dealer) stands at 23,988 through July, for a 6.2% increase over same-period 2013. Average number of sales per month is up by a similar amount, due partly to an unusually strong March, but mainly Total Wholesale Sales Reported to NADA to incrementally higher sales each month. 6,000 As we’ve noted, an increased supply of 3-6 year-old 5,000 trucks, especially those with under 500,000 miles, is secondary factor is increased interest in older, higher- 2,000 miles. See “Total Wholesale Sales Reported to NADA” 1,000 graph for detail. Jan-10 Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan-11 Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan-12 Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan-13 Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan-14 Mar May Jul Number of Used Trucks Retailed per Rooftop 8 vs. 6.1. The average dealer has retailed an average of 7 6 42.1 trucks so far in 2014, compared to 42.5 in the 5 4 3 those with 400,000 miles or less – is the most notable 2 shift compared to last year. See the “Average Number 1 of Used Trucks Sold per Rooftop” graph for detail. 0 Conclusion Jan-12 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-13 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-14 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Number Increased supply of 2-5 year-old trucks – particularly Period Sources: ATD/NADA and AuctionNet is running 0.1 truck behind same-period 2013, at 6.0 same period last year. 2013 Total: 39,179 0 As for the retail channel, dealers had their best month trucks per rooftop. In terms of the year to date, 2014 2012 Total: 34,275 3,000 mileage trucks – specifically those with over 800,000 since exactly one year ago, selling an average of 6.5 2011 Total: 29,282 4,000 Total Sales primarily responsible for the increased volume. A 2010 Total: 42,320 Period Customers remain hungry for late-model used trucks. Pricing has not depreciated notably since the influx of late-model sleepers began in the first quarter, so dealers should be taking advantage of the high volume/high price dynamic. The proportionally higher price of new trucks should keep demand for used NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 8 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ COMMERCIAL TRUCK MARKET TRENDS continued ] trucks higher than the historic norm, limiting the rate of depreciation. On another note, most of the data in this report was originally posted on our Commercial Vehicle Blog in real-time. Keep up with that blog twice each week for analysis of incoming data as well as industry commentary, at www.nada.com/b2b. NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 9 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 ECONOMIC TRENDS By Steven Szakaly, Chief Economist, Forecasting & Industry Analysis Group Sometimes we’re glad that most Americans are challenged by geography. As crises roil the Middle East and Ukraine and Europe’s economy sputters, U.S. automotive sales have reached levels not seen in more than a decade. We’ve heard a litany of explanations for the resurgent U.S. auto market; easy money from the Fed, risky EMPLOYMENT WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE subprime loan practices, and overextended is a bubble and unsustainable. We disagree. Our view is that we are seeing the benefits of a long overdue recovery with consumers feeling more confident about an economic recovery that after five years is Historical 340 Forecast 320 Monthly Non-Farm Employment Change, in Thousands, SA consumers, all of which mean to say that this market 360 300 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 finally creating jobs. 0 2012 2011 2013 2014 Of course the naysayers will point to August jobs numbers as evidence for underlying weakness. We 2 agree that initial jobs numbers were weak at 142,000. But we are very confident that this will be revised VEHICLE FORECAST upward and that employment growth will remain So that leaves overextended consumers, which a 1 recent Equifax report concisely refuted by showing that there is no bubble in automotive subprime. Historical Heavy Duty 17 Number of Motor Vehicles Sold, in Millions above 200,000 over the coming months. 18 Historical Light Vehicle 16 Forecast Heavy Duty 15 Forecast Light Vehicle 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 While it’s true that people are borrowing for a longer 1 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 term, this reflects changes in the age of vehicles – which are lasting much longer – and the fact that interest rates remain near historic lows. Put simply, it 3 isn’t strange to borrow for six years if you know your car will actually last you twelve. The truth is these longer loan terms together with some fundamental demographic and societal changes will affect long run demand. We expect these factors to keep the long run light vehicle sales average under 17.0 million. So what does worry us? Housing remains weaker than our forecasts and personal References: 1 “Not Yesterday’s Subprime Auto Loan”, Economic Trends Commentary, Equifax August 25, 2014 NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 10 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ ECONOMIC TRENDS continued ] consumption on everything but cars has also lagged. We have been expecting an improving housing market all summer but the record is at best mixed. For GDP growth and vehicle sales to maintain their momentum the housing market has to come back in 2015 in a much more meaningful way. As for personal consumption, autos have been the trend leader since 2010 but the pace of spending also can’t be sustained. There’s a lot of pent up demand out there right now but like in housing, U.S. GDP OUTLOOK THROUGH 2018 5 general consumption needs to rise if we’re to see Our outlook for new vehicle sales hasn’t changed, as August was another great month and we still expect this year to finish at 16.4 million. If anything we note 3.1 3.1 3 Forecast 2.8 2.9 2.2 Gross Domestic Product, Annual % Change auto sales remain strong in the longer term. Historical 4 1.6 2 1 0 2000 -1 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 -2 -3 -4 with some irony that our forecast now looks low, but -5 we’re happy that the consensus has steadily moved up to our number. GDP will still be around 1.6%, but 1 we maintain our earlier view that the fall will likely see a strong finish to the year. NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 11 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 [ ATD/NADA OFFICIAL COMMERCIAL TRUCK GUIDE® TRENDS ] Monthly Change in ATD/NADA Commercial Truck Guide Value September 2014 v. August 2014 NADA Segment 2008MY 2009MY 2010MY 2011MY 2012MY* Commercial Van -4.1% 0.0% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% Extended Hood -1.5% -2.1% -3.4% -4.1% -1.7% Highway Aerodynamic -3.3% -1.9% -0.9% -1.1% -2.0% Highway Traditional 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.5% 0.0% Local/Delivery Daycab -3.0% -0.9% 0.5% -0.7% 7.5% Medium Duty Cabover 0.0% -0.6% 0.0% -0.7% 0.0% Medium Duty Conventional 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% -0.6% Vocational/Construction 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% *Value movement can be influenced by newly valued vehicles. Annual Change in ATD/NADA Commercial Truck Guide Value September, 2013 v. 2014 NADA Segment Commercial Van Extended Hood Highway Aerodynamic Highway Traditional Local/Delivery Daycab Medium Duty Cabover Medium Duty Conventional Vocational/Construction 5YR 7.7% -0.3% 5.7% 2.8% 2.8% -12.6% 14.1% -1.5% 4YR 21.0% 5.6% 3.6% 10.0% -0.5% 25.9% 2.3% 19.2% 3YR 3.1% 1.6% 9.5% 5.8% 1.9% 14.2% -6.8% N/A 2YR 16.5% -2.1% 5.9% 2.7% -8.1% N/A -1.1% N/A Segment Change 12.5% 1.7% 8.0% 7.9% 1.9% -0.2% 1.8% 9.9% *Calculations are based on vehicle age, i.e. values for 1-year-old vehicles in CY2014 are compared against values for 1-year-old vehicles in CY2013. YTD Change in ATD/NADA Commercial Truck Guide Value NADA Segment 2008MY 2009MY 2010MY 2011MY 2012MY* YTD Segment Commercial Van -2.9% 3.2% -5.3% -5.4% -4.8% -2.8% Extended Hood -3.0% -5.6% -11.0% -11.7% -9.0% -4.7% Highway Aerodynamic -7.9% -5.4% -9.6% -8.0% -11.7% -6.7% Highway Traditional -3.3% -2.8% -8.8% -8.2% -7.0% -5.1% Local/Delivery Daycab -9.5% -8.6% -12.1% -17.9% -15.9% -6.7% Medium Duty Cabover -7.1% -5.6% -3.7% -12.5% -7.3% -6.0% Medium Duty Conventional 0.0% -3.5% -1.5% -8.6% -6.6% -3.6% Vocational/Construction -6.5% -6.6% -2.8% -2.4% -2.3% -7.8% NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 12 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 AT NADA USED CAR GUIDE What’s New NADA Online delivers values from 10 different NADA guidebooks including commercial trucks. Starting at $385 per year, NADA Online is comprehensive, easy to use and includes mobile web access free with your subscription. And since it’s web-based, there is no software to install and your whole staff can use it at the same time without the need for additional user licenses. If you’re looking for a small number of commercial vehicle values, the Official Commercial Truck Guide Online MiniPack provides three values online for $40. On the Road Stay up-to-date with the latest in the commercial truck industry by stopping by NADA’s Commercial Truck Blog and our Market Overviews video section of the website. Updated twice per week by Chris Visser, the blog provides real-time analysis of incoming sales data from the industry’s leading used truck sales database. NADA produces a monthly market overview to provide further insight into the commercial truck market. About NADA Used Car Guide Since 1933, NADA Used Car Guide has earned its reputation as the leading provider of vehicle valuation products, services and information to businesses throughout the United States and worldwide. NADA’s editorial team collects and analyzes over one million combined automotive and truck wholesale and retail transactions per month. Its guidebooks, auction data, analysis and data solutions offer automotive/truck, finance, insurance and government professionals the timely information and reliable solutions they need to make better business decisions. Visit nada.com/b2b to learn more. Senior Analyst and Product Manager Chris Visser 800.248.6232 x4731 cvisser@nada.org Credit Unions, Fleet, Lease, Rental Industry, Government Doug Ott 800.248.6232 x4710 dott@nada.org Automotive Dealers, Auctions, Insurance Dan Ruddy 800.248.6232 x4707 druddy@nada.org Business Development Manager James Gibson 800.248.6232 x7136 jgibson@nada.org Financial Industry, Accounting, Legal, OEM Captive Steve Stafford 800.248.6232 x7275 sstafford@nada.org NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 13 Commercial Truck Guidelines | September 2014 NADA CONSULTING SERVICES NADA’s market intelligence team leverages a database of nearly 200 million transactions and more than 100 economic and market-related series to describe the factors driving current trends to help industry stakeholders make more informed decisions. Analyzing data at both wholesale and retail levels, the team continuously provides content that is both useful and usable to dealers, financial institutions, businesses and consumers. Complemented by NADA’s analytics team, which maintains and advances NADA’s internal forecasting models and develops customized forecasting solutions for clients, the market intelligence team is responsible for publishing white papers, special reports and the Commercial Vehicle Blog. Throughout every piece of content, the team strives to go beyond what is happening in the industry to confidently answer why it is happening and how it will impact the market in the future. Senior Director, Vehicle Analysis & Analytics Jonathan Banks 800.248.6232 x4709 jbanks@nada.org Senior Analyst and Product Manager Chris Visser 800.248.6232 x4731 cvisser@nada.org ADDITIONAL RESOURCES Guidelines White Papers Updated monthly with a robust data set from various industry sources and NADA’s own proprietary analytical tool, Guidelines provides the insight needed to make decisions in today’s market. NADA’s white papers and special reports aim to inform industry stakeholders on current and expected used vehicle price movement to better maximize today’s opportunities and manage tomorrow’s risk. NADA Perspective Commercial Vehicle Blog Leveraging data from various industry sources and NADA’s analysts, NADA Perspective takes a deep dive into a range of industry trends to determine why they are happening and what to expect in the future. Written and managed by Senior Analyst Chris Visser, the Commercial Vehicle Blog analyzes market data, lends insight into industry trends and highlights relevant events. Connect with NADA Read our Blog Follow Us on Twitter Find Us on Facebook Watch Us on YouTube nada.com/commercialtruck @NADAUsedCarGde Facebook.com/NADAUsedCarGuide Youtube.com/NADAUsedCarGuide Disclaimer: NADA Used Car Guide makes no representations about future performance or results based on the data and the contents available in this report (“Guidelines”). Guidelines is provided for informational purposes only and is provided AS IS without warranty or guarantee of any kind. By accessing Guidelines via email or the NADA website, you agree not to reprint, reproduce, or distribute Guidelines without the express written permission of NADA Used Car Guide. NADA Used Car Guide | 8400 Westpark Drive | McLean, VA 22102 | 800.544.6232 | nada.com/b2b © 2014 NADA Used Car Guide 14
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