Kick off meeting Private equity with Afores and other QIB`s
Transcription
Kick off meeting Private equity with Afores and other QIB`s
Actinver Sector and Regional Studies March, 2015 Housing Sector in Mexico CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 1 Housing Sector in Mexico Main issues Sector performance Construction Page 3 Building Page 4 Housing Page 5 Housing financing Public entities Page 7 Private banking Page 8 Housing supply Page 9 Housing demand Factors that influence housing supply Page 10 New house demand Page 11 New house demand by entity Page 12 New house demand by region Page 13 Second-hand house demand Page 14 Housing market, house prices Page 15 Housing supporting policy New housing model Page 16 Effects of new model, emerging companies Page 17 Support programs from Infonavit, Fovissste y Fonhapo Page 18 Housing leasing, FIBRAS, FII Page 19 2015 expense cut will not negative effects in sector Page 21 Sector expectations Page 22 Business directory Page 27 CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 2 Construction sector performance • Recent sector performance The construction sector's value began to recover in March 2014. From this month and the last available data, November, sector increased 25.0%. Building value increased 16.5%, civil engineering works 34.9% and specialized contruction works increased 17.0%. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 3 Building sector performance Recent sector performance • Building sector improved its performance during 2014, in line with the industrial activity and the construction sector, after the sharp downturn during 2013 of the global economic environment and following the six year cycle of public spending. • In accordance to INEGI figures of industrial activity, the building sub-sector index began its recovery during the first months of 2014, and until December registered an annual growth rate of 10.9%, higher rate than construction's 6.8% and above industrial activity with 2.97%. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 4 Housing contribution to the economy Housing sector performance • • Housing sector contributed 5.9% of the GDP added value during 2012, the lowest rate of the past 5 years, since 6.5% contributed in 2008. In accordance to INEGI's latest report on housing satellite account published in February 2015, during 2012 the contribution by sub-sector of the housing account was as follows: self production and rental value contributed 38.8% and 27.5%, respectively. Following, unit production category with 22.3%, financing 3.9%, self construction with 3.8% and other categories 3.7%. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 5 Housing sector performance • Housing contribution to the economy Contribution of housing to GDP in 2012 was higher than other sectors such as agriculture (3.3%), education (4.1%) and similar to transport, mailing and storage (6.3%). • In regard to labor, housing sector employed 3 million people directly and indirectly in 2012. Within the housing employment category, 94.9% is employed in construction, 3.3% in real estate services, and the outstanding in other categories, such as professional and financial services. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 6 Housing financing • • Public entities Housing financing is generated through banks, sofoles, public housing entities with national and state coverage, and other entities. In regard to the number of loans Infonavit is the leader. In the past 14 years, housing financing reached its best level in 2008. Economic recession led to a lower activity within the sector. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 7 Housing financing • • Commercial banking loans The loan granted by private banking to the housing sector maintains an upward trend, the amount exercised related to medium and residential housing is outstanding. Loans related to low income housing represents 15.0% of total and their performance has been volatile during the past years, in which one of the loan downturn factors has been bridge loans. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 8 Housing supply • • • • Recent sector performance Housing sector redesigned a couple of years after the recession, absorbing the financial crisis impact of housing developers, others are positioning themselves. Housing supply generated recovery signs in 2014, after the slowdown registered during 2007 to 2013. Number of houses registered during 2014 reached 412 thousand, higher than the 279 thousand registered in 2013. The market left by some house developers is being overtaken by smaller companies, in a market that requires higher quality, better price and better location. The strategy to reach a healthier industry, could be focused on improvement of administrative processes, diversification of financing sources and design of products in accordance of client needs by developers. Location and price are additional factors in an internal competitive market. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 9 Housing demand Factors that influence housing supply Economic and population growth dynamics generate higher housing demand. In 2014 around 4.1 million people demanded a house. Other factors include: • Generate employment. • Higher buying power, through salary increases and inflation control. • Inflation control involves lower mortgage interest rates, which can generate better conditions in the mortgage market with higher maturity loans, lower costs and fixed payments. • Higher terms and rates progressively lower, support the improvement of the housing purchasing power. • Which in turn, generate higher supply and demand of mortgage loan products, strengthening the sector. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 10 Housing demand • • • • New house demand In accordance to SHF, of the housing demand a component is the formation of homes, in 2015 only 55.5% of the people will demand a loan in lieu of their income and profession, adding 317,414, representing a decrease of 3.17% on an annual basis. In regard to housing backlog, 5.6% of homes will ask for a mortgage loan, representing 714,552 loans, with an annual increase of 9.9%. Housing mobility. It is expected that 93,252 families will ask for a loan for a house with better conditions in regard to their actual house. Demand on this component will grow 4.2%. For origination cures an estimate increase of 7.2% with 34,292 loans. Demand of housing by component, 2015 Component Formation of home Housing deficit Housing mobility Origination cures Total Demand (Number homes and percentage) 2014 2015 329,556 317,414 650,325 714,522 89,500 93,252 32,000 34,292 1,101,381 1,159,480 % -3.7% 9.9% 4.2% 7.2% 5.3% Source: Conavi • During 2015 the number of loans for the acquisition of houses is expected to reach 615,109 with a 6.2% annual growth rate. The total number of loans for house improvement will be 443,623 with a 7.2% annual growth rate for self production of 100,748 with a 7.0% contraction. Number of loans, 2015 Type of solution Acquisition Improvement Self production Loan Totals Source: Conavi • • • • 2014 579,036 413,988 108,357 1,101,381 2015 615,109 443,623 100,748 1,159,480 % 6.2% 7.2% -7.0% 5.3% Concepts: Home formation: demographic bonus or increase of the population of working age proportion, generating a demand for new homes. Housing deficit: houses in precarious state with additional house that requires improvement. Housing mobility: Authorization to swap or sell a subsidized house with the prohibition to be sold in 5 years and a debt balance pending payment. Origination cures: loans with problems when originally contracted and, appropriate changes are made. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 11 Housing demand Expected house demand by entity Expected demand of housing by state, 2015, units Acquisition Improvement Self production Total 2015 % by state Var 2015/2014 4,669 1,194 1,062 6,925 0.6% 4.1% 40,134 8,567 4,329 53,030 4.6% 5.2% BCS 4,406 1,193 1,314 6,913 0.6% 3.6% Campeche 7,325 2,087 1,930 11,342 1.0% 3.9% Chiapas 38,294 12,589 9,062 59,945 5.2% 4.2% Chihuahua 42,639 7,648 1,926 52,213 4.5% 5.8% Coahuila 8,371 23,441 2,033 33,845 2.9% 6.0% Colima 4,361 3,210 339 7,910 0.7% 5.9% 52,016 8,453 310 60,779 5.2% 6.3% 6,885 8,418 5,012 20,315 1.8% 3.0% Guanajuato 20,443 24,007 4,606 49,056 4.2% 5.3% Guerrero 12,143 25,592 2,434 40,169 3.5% 5.9% Hidalgo 11,389 7,763 1,603 20,755 1.8% 5.4% Jalisco 33,315 15,540 3,190 52,045 4.5% 5.6% México 79,043 23,929 8,655 111,627 9.6% 5.3% Michoacán 21,386 19,053 9,035 49,474 4.3% 3.9% Morelos 10,490 5,047 841 16,378 1.4% 5.7% Nayarit 4,392 5,886 1,266 11,544 1.0% 5.1% Nuevo León 26,434 5,334 1,370 33,138 2.9% 5.8% Oaxaca 15,013 43,855 6,923 65,791 5.7% 5.3% Puebla 21,091 28,208 4,108 53,407 4.6% 5.6% Querétaro 8,803 3,840 1,979 14,622 1.3% 4.5% Quintana Roo 8,790 3,202 920 12,912 1.1% 5.4% San Luis Potosí 7,721 13,366 3,254 24,341 2.1% 4.7% Sinaloa 10,229 5,259 979 16,467 1.4% 5.6% Sonora 18,727 9,914 2,663 31,304 2.7% 5.2% Tabasco 15,945 23,703 4,328 43,976 3.8% 5.2% Tamaulipas 19,548 12,361 1,276 33,185 2.9% 6.0% 5,860 2,715 299 8,874 0.8% 6.0% 45,308 75,237 10,468 131,013 11.3% 5.6% 5,028 2,784 514 8,326 0.7% 5.6% Aguascalientes BC Distrito Federal Durango Tlaxcala Veracruz Yucatán Zacatecas Total 4,911 10,228 2,720 17,859 1.5% 4.5% 615,109 443,623 100,748 1,159,480 100.0% 5.3% Source: CIDOC CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 12 Housing demand New house demand by region • The highest house demand is focused in six states within the country, mainly Veracruz (11.3%), Mexico (9.6%), Oaxaca (5.7%), DF and Chiapas with 5.2%. By region, north and south single out with 3.2% and 25.2%, respectively. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 13 Housing demand • • Second-hand house demand Acquisition of second-hand housing is an alternative solution for family needs. It has increased in the past years. Advantages of a second-hand house versus a new house is that it is located nearer to city centers, they have higher urban infrastructure and services. An investment for remodeling must be required. The acquisition of a second-hand house exceeded 138 thousand houses in 2010 and 177 thousand in 2013. Almost all house financing entities grant loans for this segment. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 14 Housing market House prices • House prices have had an upward trend since 2008, with volatile periods in accordance with economy performance. In such period they have increased higher than 35.0%, in accordance to price index (including a guaranteed mortgage loan for new house index) published by SHF. • Prices both for new and second-hand houses have had a similar trend, being prices of the first segment outstanding. House prices have had a higher performance in regard to consumer price rates of 35.4% and 33.2%, respectively. We can observe a dynamic demand, as a basic investment incentive for developers. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 15 Housing supporting policy New housing model With this the new model intends to: • • • • • • • • • • Boost housing in urban centers. Vertical housing development. Improve house quality both urban and rural, and its social environment to reduce house deficits. Diversify quality house supply. Generate better subsidy and loan schemes. Financing and subsidies for houses in rent. Second house loan. Improvement without the need to leave the house sub account as guarantee. Provide service to Fovissste workers through co-financing schemes with commercial banking and/or development banking. New financing scheme at fixed rate. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 16 Housing supporting policy • Effects of new model, emerging companies GIven the announcement of the federal government in regard to house market new rules, several of the big companies (GEO, URBI, Homex) have lost market, hence other companies are taking part in the market left from the first, Sare and Ara have held. Javer Vinte Cadu Ruba Sare Ara CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 17 Housing supporting policy Support programs from Infonavit, Fovissste y Fonhapo Support programs from Infonavit • Arrendavit. Rent solution program for labor mobility. • Interest of state and municipal employees. In 2013 Infonavit signed agreement with 6 states to provide service to this population. • Mejoravit. First loss guarantee scheme, without the need to leave the house sub account as guarantee. • Second loan flexibility. Number of years to acquire a loan was reduced from 5 to 2 years and the time of first maturity of first loan from one year to six months. • Greenhouse mortgage. Loan with energy and water use efficiency. Involved in eco-technology programs. • Mortgage with services. The accredited of the house unit authorizes Infonavit to use resources together with the mortgage payment for services payments, such as property taxation and maintenance of common areas. Support programs from Fovissste. • Supported M. Credito for house improvement. • Co-financing Program. Increase loan amount with the support of development banking or commercial banking. Support programs from FONHAPO • Grants subsidies. Support house acquisition. • Vivienda Digna. Addressed for low income people. • Vivienda Rural. Federal government grants subsidies under poverty situation below the well-being line. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 18 Housing supporting policy Housing leasing, Fibras Housing leasing • Currently, both government as well as developers are focused in the improvement of conditions to access several house options, generating new schemes such as leasing market, self construction, purchase of second-hand house, a second loan, and a higher coverage of non traditional segments. • SHF and Conavi have a pilot program seeking to boost three developers in Mexico City and surrounding areas for the generation of house leasing projects. With a subsidy to provide services to workers with a rate of 5 minimum wage salary and develop apartments between 55 and 60 m2 Fibras, an attractive market for institutional rent. • • • • Fibras(REITS). Fibras could constitute a viable option to help access the market, with houses with commercial services, centric and have access to roads and users continuous stay. Of the eight Fibras that are negotiated in stock markets. Fibra Danhos will develop a commercial development Vía Vallejo, which will include offices, hotels and in a third stage develop vertical housing for leasing. To date laws are not favoring the development of an institutional leasing market, but this change is expected in 2017. The development of housing complexes for leasing by Fibras will be an attractive market for the following years. Fideicomiso Hipotecario (Fhipo) is the first trust dedicated to invest in residential mortgage portfolios. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 19 Housing supporting policy Housing leasing, FII • Real estate investment funds (Fondos de inversión inmobiliarios, FII, name and acronym in Spanish). Another business model for the future are the real estate investment funds, and currently without any regulation. Fibra Hipotecaria (FibHios), is the only company in this kind of trend in the housing market. (it purchases a mortgage loan portfolio from Infonavit, from the workers monthly deduction, and is paid via payroll to the investor). • Another important feature of the new model consolidation will be small and medium company mergers, to achieve scale economies, and strengthen their liquidity capacity, and be able to face house supply in urban centers, were costs are higher than in the rural area. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 20 Budget 2015 expense cut will not negative effects in sector Due to the expense cut announced by the federal government this 2015 for MP124 billion, the housing sector budget will not be affected, as Sedatu will be cut MP869 million, it will be related to the delay of the programs Parque Centenario and Parque Espartanos, and an adjustment in current expenditures of MP169 million. • Resources related to housing will not be affected, from Sedatu, Infonavit , Fovissste and SHF. During 2015 husing sector has a budget of MP370 billion. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 21 Outlook • • Economy Economy. We expect acceleration in the internal economy to continue in the following years, so the outlook is favorable in the housing sector. Th support generated by the government, the new housing model, the National Infrastructure Plan and structural reforms, will be the pillars of the sector. National economy GDP would be growing 2.8% this year, in accordance to our estimate, above 2.1% registered in 2014. Macroeconomic projections, ACTINVER México 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3.82% 3.57% 3.98% 4.08% 3.50% 3.65% 3.80% 3.45% MXN average 12.44 13.10 12.86 13.37 14.85 14.57 14.63 15.05 MXN closure 13.92 12.87 13.09 14.75 14.60 14.75 14.90 15.00 CETES 28 4.31% 3.91% 3.29% 2.70% 3.45% 4.30% 5.10% 5.10% Objective TII 4.50% 4.50% 3.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.25% 5.00% 5.25% TIIE 4.80% 4.85% 3.79% 3.31% 3.80% 4.60% 5.40% 5.40% M10 Bond 6.66% 5.17% 6.73% 5.82% 6.25% 7.00% 7.70% 8.00% Udibono S10 2.46% 1.49% 2.54% 2.65% 3.00% 3.09% 3.18% 3.28% GDP YoY 3.90% 3.93% 1.22% 2.12% 2.80% 3.59% 3.76% 3.93% Construction GDP YoY 7.18% 2.08% -8.69% 1.80% 3.20% 3.90% 4.00% 4.20% Manufacturing GDP YoY 3.95% 4.00% 2.88% 3.70% 3.40% 3.40% 3.60% 3.80% Inflation 12 months CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 22 Outlook • • • Housing Sociedad Hipotecaria Federa expects in 2015 housing demand to record an increase of 5.3% at annual rate, addig up to a total of 1,159,480 loans. Changes announced this year by the government in regard to housing will be a an additional factor that will improve housing demand for the following years. We foresee a favorable performance of the sector in the following years, in which aggregate value could improve within GDP participation and we see a budget cut in 2015 will have a minor effect within the sector. Projection of expected loans by solution, 2015 Infonavit Fovissste Banking Other entities Total Acquisition Improvement Self Production 380,000 280,000 0 660,000 56.9% 50,000 20,000 0 70,000 6.0% 130,000 80,000 40,748 250,748 21.6% 55,109 63,623 60,000 178,732 15.4% 615,109 443,623 100,748 1,159,480 100.0% Source: SHF CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY Total Composition 23 Outlook Housing projection to 2030 Projection of occupied housing units to 2030 by federal entity House units in 2030, thousand Increase of house units % Contribution to growth (% 2012-2030) House units in 2012, thousands 3,973 Low scenario High scenario Low scenario High scenario Low scenario High scenario 5,969 6,164 50.2% 55.1% 19.8% 19.1% Distrito Federal 2,594 2,733 2,884 5.4% 11.2% 1.4% 2.5% Veracruz 2,221 2,673 2,748 20.4% 23.7% 4.5% 4.6% Jalisco 1,902 2,642 2,726 38.9% 43.3% 7.3% 7.3% Puebla 1,481 1,974 2,037 33.3% 37.5% 4.9% 4.8% Guanajuato 1,330 1,762 1,818 32.5% 36.7% 4.3% 4.3% Nuevo León 1,322 1,818 1,877 37.5% 42.0% 4.9% 4.9% Chiapas 1,185 1,674 1,737 41.3% 46.6% 4.9% 4.8% Michoacán 1,129 1,426 1,468 26.3% 30.0% 2.9% 3.0% Chihuahua 1,080 1,306 1,345 20.9% 24.5% 2.2% 2.3% Oaxaca 1,019 1,218 1,254 19.5% 23.1% 2.0% 2.0% Tamaulipas 965 1,293 1,331 34.0% 37.9% 3.2% 3.2% Baja California 961 1,342 1,385 39.6% 44.1% 3.8% 3.7% Guerrero 902 1,072 1,105 18.8% 22.5% 1.7% 1.8% Sonora 809 1,054 1,087 30.3% 34.4% 2.4% 2.4% Coahuila 792 1,046 1,079 32.1% 36.2% 2.5% 2.5% Sinaloa 779 995 1,025 27.7% 31.6% 2.1% 2.1% Hidalgo 724 983 1,012 35.8% 39.8% 2.6% 2.5% San Luis Potosí 685 873 900 27.4% 31.4% 1.9% 1.9% Tabasco 607 820 847 35.1% 39.5% 2.1% 2.1% Yucatán 530 737 760 39.1% 43.4% 2.1% 2.0% Morelos 500 674 693 34.8% 38.6% 1.7% 1.7% Querétaro 488 720 743 47.5% 52.3% 2.3% 2.2% Durango 430 584 603 35.8% 40.2% 1.5% 1.5% Zacatecas 407 500 515 22.9% 26.5% 0.9% 0.9% Quintana Roo 397 700 726 76.3% 82.9% 3.0% 2.9% Nayarit 318 457 472 43.7% 48.4% 1.4% 1.3% Aguascalientes 315 445 460 41.3% 46.0% 1.3% 1.3% Tlaxcala 286 420 435 46.9% 52.1% 1.3% 1.3% Campeche 236 329 340 39.4% 44.1% 0.9% 0.9% Baja California Sur 208 342 354 64.4% 70.2% 1.3% 1.3% Colima 195 284 293 45.6% 50.3% 0.9% 0.9% 30,770 40,864 42,219 Estado de México Total Source: Conavi CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 24 Outlook Housing projection to 2030 Projection of occupied housing units to 2030 by federal entity Expected house units in 2030 Increase of house units House units in 2012, thousands Intermediate scenario Contribution to growth (2012-2030)) Intermediate scenario Intermediate scenario Estado de México 397.0 713.0 79.6% 3.0% Distrito Federal 208.0 348.0 67.3% 1.3% Veracruz 3,973.0 6,066.5 52.7% 19.5% Jalisco 488.0 731.5 49.9% 2.3% Puebla 286.0 427.5 49.5% 1.3% Guanajuato 195.0 288.5 47.9% 0.9% Nuevo León 318.0 464.5 46.1% 1.4% 1,185.0 1,705.5 43.9% 4.9% Michoacán 315.0 452.5 43.7% 1.3% Chihuahua 961.0 1,363.5 41.9% 3.8% Oaxaca 236.0 334.5 41.7% 0.9% Tamaulipas 530.0 748.5 41.2% 2.1% Baja California 1,902.0 2,684.0 41.1% 7.3% Guerrero 1,322.0 1,847.5 39.8% 4.9% Sonora 430.0 593.5 38.0% 1.5% Coahuila 724.0 997.5 37.8% 2.6% Sinaloa 607.0 833.5 37.3% 2.1% Hidalgo 500.0 683.5 36.7% 1.7% San Luis Potosí 965.0 1,312.0 36.0% 3.2% Tabasco 1,481.0 2,005.5 35.4% 4.9% Yucatán 1,330.0 1,790.0 34.6% 4.3% Morelos 792.0 1,062.5 34.2% 2.5% Querétaro 809.0 1,070.5 32.3% 2.4% Durango 779.0 1,010.0 29.7% 2.1% Zacatecas 685.0 886.5 29.4% 1.9% 1,129.0 1,447.0 28.2% 3.0% 407.0 507.5 24.7% 0.9% Aguascalientes 1,080.0 1,325.5 22.7% 2.3% Tlaxcala 2,221.0 2,710.5 22.0% 4.6% Campeche 1,019.0 1,236.0 21.3% 2.0% Chiapas Quintana Roo Nayarit Baja California Sur 902.0 1,088.5 20.7% 1.8% Colima 2,594.0 2,808.5 8.3% 2.0% Total 30,770.0 41,541.5 CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 25 Outlook View • The new model within the housing sector brings opportunities to new medium to greater size companies for the development of vertical units in urban centers, although this represents high costs, companies should be merging in order to be able to execute the co-investment projects. • New housing projects in urban centers will be of lower scale in regard to housing units built prior to the new model. • Gaining ground medium and residential housing construction vs. affordable housing. • Financing from banking for medium and residential housing is at a growing rhythm, opposite to low income housing. • Investment opportunities in housing market would be focused in the short and long term in Fibras, in which its leasing market would have opportunity to favorable returns. Government support would be important in this aspect. • Second-hand housing market would be another important niche, in which government boost would be relevant to support lower mobility of workers, and would also be focused in urban centers. • Low mortgage interest rate, price increase and favorable outlook on demand, are an incentive for housing generation developers, mostly medium and residential, in which the loan of commercial banking has an upward trend. • Many aspects must be resolved in regard to low income housing, sub sector that underwent the mortgage crisis and the commercial banking has decelerated loans after 2011. CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 26 Affordable Housing Infonavit Directory E-mail Company E-mail Avac Construcciones, S.A. de C.V. avacjuan@prodigy.net.mx Construcciones G.P.C.A., S.A. de C.V. proyectosgpca@prodigy.net.mx Constructora Bovedas, S.A. de C.V. armillit@prodigy.net.mx Construcciones y Servicios Zafe, S.A. de C.V. zafe226@hotmail.com Inmobiliaria y Arrendadora Vicarar, S.A. de C.V. vicarar@hotmail.com Constructora Promotora e Ingeniería, S.A. de C.V. coproinsa@prodigy.net.mx;wong_ernesto@prodigy.net.mx Constructora y Desarrolladora Medrano, S.A. de C.V. jgonzalez@medranoconstructores.com Orma Viguetas y Construcciones, S.A. de C.V. orcsapromotora@yahoo.com; orma@prodigy.net.mx; orma3@att.net.mx Constructora y Edificadora Río Sabinas, S.A. de C.V. cersabinas@hotmail.com Santa Fe Desarrollos Urbanos, S.A. de C.V. glopez@mihogarsantafe.com.mx;glopezti@mihogarsantafe.com.mx Corporativo de Desarrollo y Construcción, S.A. de C.V. pedrormzs@hotmail.com Vivendum de México, S.A. de C.V. asesdir@vivendum.com.mx Davisa Desarrollos Inmobiliarios, S.A. de C.V. atorres@davisa.com;lcovarrubias@davisa.com Desarrollos Inmobiliarios de la Laguna, S.A. de C.V. armandos2@hotmail.com;lapista1500@yahoo.com.mx Company Agua sc a lie nte s Ba ja Ca lifornia CYD Desarrollos Urbanos, S.A. de C.V. aaron.martinez@urbi.com; hugo.ferreira@urbi.com; ilian.leon@urbi.com; luis.mancilla@urbi.com Desarrollos Inmobiliarios Laguna, S.A. de C.V. Desarrollos y Construcciones Cucapah, S.A. de C.V. leticiagweidner@yahoo.com.mx;josegn_1@hotmail.com Grupo Bosco, S.A. de C.V. gbosco@prodigy.net.mx;grupobosco@hotmail.com GEO Baja California, S.A. de C.V. asosa@casasgeo.com; ccordova@casasgeo.com; geobc@telnor.net Grupo Enlace Inmobiliario, S.A. de C.V. gpoenlace@prodigy.net.mx metsa@prodigy.net.mx Impulsora Estrella, S.A. de C.V. impulsora_e@yahoo.com;impulsora_estrella@yahoo.com.mx Grupo Inmobiliario Miccasa, S.A. de C.V. araconstrucciones@hotmail.com; constructoraarasadecv@yahoo.com.mx; Ingeniería y Obras, S.A. de C.V. rosalva.larios@urbi.com Grupo Manter, S.A. de C.V. manuel.lopez@congreso.gob.mx Inmobiliaria y Construcciones la Paz, S.A. de C.V. cf.iclp@gmail.com; cf- iclp@prodigy.net.mx Metro Habitat, S.A. de C.V. andresanaya@prodigy.net.mx Metrocasas, S.A. de C.V. metrocas@internetual.com.mx Organización Acorors, S.A. de C.V. tecnicos.pn@acoros.com;tecnicos@acoros.com Osa Menor Urbanizadora, S.A. de C.V. osamenorurbanizadorasa@prodigy.net.mx Inmobiliaria y Fraccionadora Cadena, S.A. de C.V. ifcsa@yahoo.com;raul.cota@gcadena.com Servicios Técnicos y Desarrollos Inmobiliarios, S.A. de C.V. sadimeg@prodigy.net.mx;acovi@telnor.net Su Casa Desarrollo Inmobiliario, S.A. de C.V. jeovcpe50@prodigy.net Chia pa s agonzalez@dil.com.mx Grupo Constructor Peje de Oro, S.A. de C.V. gpejeoro@prodigy.net.mx;pejeoro@hotmail.com; SIESA Edificaciones, S.A. de C.V. siesa_jla@att.net.mx;siesaedificaciones@att.net.mx Consorcio Viva, S.A. de C.V. geya_98@hotmail.com; marlo110@hotmail.com; Urbanizaciones y Cosntrucciones Rurales, S.A. de C.V. ucorsa@gmail.com; Promotores Industriales de Vivienda de Chiapas, S.A. de C.V. promotoresindustriales@hotmail.com Colima Chihua hua Constructora YVA, S.A. de C.V. yvasa@yvasa.com Darcon´s, S.A. de C.V. darcons@prodigy.net.mx Desarrollos Alianzas, S.A. de C.V. dalianza@prodigy.net.mx Desarrollos Inmobiliarios Elhoim, S.A. de C.V. desarrollos.elhoim@yahoo.com.mx DYM Ingenieros Constructores, S.A. de C.V. Desarrolladora San Ricardo, S.A. de C.V. corsa6@hotmail com aragohe@hotmail.com;colimanacho@hotmail.com Promotora e Inmobiliaria Tecomense, S.A. de C.V. colimanacho@hotmail.com; jrv1966@hotmail.com; Seal Bienes Raices, S.A. de C.V. decenalupita@hotmail.com; ovlac52@hotmail.com DF Construcciones Brakosa, S.A. de C.V. atcervantes@hotmail.com; brakosa@avantel.net; Desarrollos Inmobiliarios Sadasi, S.A. de C.V. gsadasi@sadasi.com; jsanchez@sadasi.com; jlguevara@medanos.com.mx Inmobiliaria Diarel, S.A. de C.V. hespinosa@sare.com.mx;rhernandezc@sare.com.mx Fraccionadora Independiente, S.A. de C.V. emeza@prestigiofinsa.com;ghernandez@prestigiofinsa.com Promotora Habitacional de Veracruz, S.A. de C.V. promotorajbg@axtel.net;yestej2003@yahoo.com.mx Fraccionadora Orviz, S.A. de C.V. fraccionadoraorviz@prodigy.net.mx Promotora Tarimbaro, S.A. de C.V. copora@prodigy.net.mx; ibarra271177@yahoo.com.mx; Geyser, S.A. de C.V. geyser@jz.cablemas.com Viveica, S.A. de C.V. carmen.ferrera@viveica.com.mx; jose.barajas@viveica.com.mx; Grupo Roma de Juarez, S.A. de C.V. hgp@gruporoma.com.mx; jjtp@gruporoma.com.mx; Dura ngo Inmobiliaria Ruba, S.A. de C.V. david.blancas@ruba.com.mx; fernando.roldan@ruba.com.mx; Grupo Inmobiliario Radica, S.A. de C.V. ccarstensen@jofra.com.mx; cgalvez@jofra.com.mx; Proyectos Inmobiliarios Condac, S.A. de C.V. aruizdelhoyo@condac.com; srendis@provisa.com.mx; Promotora Habitacional del Guadiana, S.A. de C.V. prohab@prodigy.net.mx prohab@prodigy.net.mx;pronavidgo@prodigy.net.mx Casas Ruba, S.A. de C.V. david.blancas@ruba.com.mx; fernando.roldan@ruba.com.mx; Proveedora Nacional de Vivienda, S.A. de C.V. RG Obras, S.A. de C.V. desarrollos@sol- laguna.com; gruiz@sol- laguna.com Constructora de Vivienda Tehuacan, S.A. de C.V. covitesa@prodigy.net.mx Valgo Construcciones, S.A. de C.V. ccontreras@sieteleguas.com.mx; mpena@valgo.com.mx, Constructora Chavar, S.A. de C.V. direccion@chavar.com;sistemas@chavar.com Construcción y Diseño, S.A. de C.V. coydisacv@prodigy.net.mx Bartel Constructora e Inmobiliaria, S.A. de C.V. casas@emca.com.mx; fbarba@emca.com.mx; Proyectos, Construcción y Conservación, S.A. de C.V. proccosa@prodigy.net.mx Constructora e Inmobiliaria Floper, S.A. de C.V. arquitectura@floper.com.mx; cdorantes@floper.com.mx; Pulte México División Norte, S. de R.L de C.V. edelapena@alttahomes.com; gsaucedo@alttahomes.com; Desarrollos y Promociones del Centro, S.A. de C.V. gestoria@prodigy.net.mx;jlopez@grupodypsa.com.mx Gentilis Inmobiliaria y Constructora, S.A. de C.V. casas@emca.com.mx; fbarba@emca.com.mx; Grupo Constructor Vipase S.A. de C.V. vipase@hotmail.com Grupo VDP, S.A. de C.V. dincasa2000@yahoo.com;prohace@prodigy.net.mx Residencial Villamagna, S.A. de C.V. edifica1@prodigy.net.mx Vivienda del Rincon, S.A. de C.V. vivrcon@hotmail.com Gua na jua to Coa huila ALO Servicios Habitacionales e Inmobiliarios, S.A. de C.V. aloconstructora@prodigy.net.mx CACSA Promotora, S.A. de C.V. cacsa_promotora@yahoo.com.mx;jrcoronar@yahoo.com Casas Hogareñas, S.A. de C.V. jrcoronar@yahoo.com Casas Pic, S.A. de C.V. grupopicsa1@terra.com.mx; hugo_rivas@arquired.com.mx; Compañía Multicasas Milenio, S.A. de C.V. aloconstructora@prodigy.net.mx Consorcio Constructor Saltillo, S.A. de C.V. garvaz@coconsa.com;garvaz@prodigy.net.mx Gue rre ro CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY GEO Guerrero, S.A. de C.V. 27 aaguilar@casasgeo.com; asosa@casasgeo.com; Affordable Housing Company Infonavit Directory E-mail Company E-mail Constructora Río Yaqui, S.A. de C.V. gciagral_crysa@prodigy.net.mx; ventasrioyaqui@yahoo.com.mx; Y uc a tá n psmconprosur@hotmail.com Crece Promociones Inmobiliarios, S.A. de C.V. adrian@grupocrece.com.mx;javier@grupocrece.com.mx Arivac de México, S.A. de C.V. guzmanalfonso@hotmail.com;laflak3003@hotmail.com Derex Desarrollo Residencial, S.A. de C.V. jdessens@derex.com.mx;derex@derex.com.mx Desarrolladora del Nuevo Milenio, S.A. de C.V. cswainro@gmail.com;betogc@prodigy.net.mx Devisa, S.A. de C.V. clarazetkin@hotmail.com Edificadora PI- BO, S.A. de C.V. pibo@prodigy.net.mx; pibocentro@prodigy.net.mx; Espacio Desarrollos Urbanos, S.A. de C.V. joaquin.paniagua@espaciodu.com;joaquinpespacio@hmo.megared.net.mx S onora Casas Diseño y Construcción, S. de R.L. de C.V. Cocoma, S. de R.L. de C.V. Comercializadora Hogares del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. Construcciones Lomas Campestre, S.A. de C.V. Desarrollos Siglo XXl, S.A. de C.V. udesto@hotmail.com Grupo Constructor Lumina, S.A. de C.V. laurencio65@hotmail.com;nyn@prodigy.net.mx J. Servando gonzalezs59@hotmail.com Residencial Villa California, S.A. de C.V. villacali@prodigy.net.mx Industrias Curator, S.A. de C.V. mario@promotora.com.mx;josed@promotora.com.mx Viveconsa, S.A. de C.V. ayanes@prodigy.net.mx Promotora Carmar, S.A. de C.V. chalin@webtelmex.net.mx Ta ba sc o rosscacep@hotmail.com; rcacep@oscape.com.mx; Rogerio de Jesus loanarm@hotmail.com Oscape Construcciones, S.A. de C.V. gcarrera@cablecomtab.com.mx Za c a te c a s Vive Pomoca, S.A. de C.V. frank12@prodigy.net.mx;frank12@arqcontemporanea.com Grupo Constructor Plata, S.A. de C.V. Ta ma ulipa s gpadilla@idecasa.com.mx; info@idecasa.com.mx; Arquitectura Contemporanea y Construcciones, S.A. de C.V. Bienes e Inmuebles Tres Picos, S.A. de C.V. jjsarmiento@grupovelas.com.mx;maryterea@grupovelas.com.mx Construcciones Aryve, S.A. de C.V. constructoralopezfigueroa@gmail.com;hotelsanluisvh@prodigy.net.mx Construccioens Tercer Milenium, S.A. de C.V. Constructora López Figueroa, S.A. de C.V. jpimentel1@hotmail.com;infradelvalle1@hotmail.com Infraestructura del Valle, S.A. de C.V. ingsernac@prodigy.net.mx Ingeniería Especializada y Asociados, S.A. de C.V. tct24@tracotamsa.com Inmobiliaria Morris, S.A. de C.V. procovisa@prodigy.net.mx Inmobiliarios Mexicanos, S.A. de C.V. cristina_puribe@yahoo.com.mx; edvisagil@yahoo.cpm; Procovisa, S.A. de C.V. edvisagil@yahoo.com.mx;olguis_27@hotmail.com; Sauteña Edificadora y Asociados, S.A. de C.V. isidro_vypsa@hotmail.com; mfigueroa@provisa.com.mx; VIP Desarrollo Urbano, S.A. de C.V. jcarlosvillafan1@prodigy.net.mx Viviendas y Proyectos, S.A. de C.V. andresmejiah@prodigy.net.mx;ceversu@prodigy.net.mx Tla xc a la josoz@hotmail.com Constructora Tlaxcallan, S. de R.L. de C.V. juan01_@hotmail.com; ccalso@prodigy.net.mx; Vietlax, S.A. de C.V. itsa@itsa.com.mx;malvarado@itsa.com.mx V e ra c ruz conskef@prodigy.net.mx Constructora e Inmobiliaria Sosa Zamudio, S.A. de C.V. ccordova@casasgeo.com; mbejarle@casasgeo.com; Constructora el Greco, S.A. de C.V. maurocm@ver.megared.net.mx Constructora ITSA, S.A. de C.V. vargasleopoldo@hotmail.com Constructora Kef, S.A. de C.V. GEO Veracruz, S.A. de C.V. azori3@hotmail.com; planproy@hotmail.com; Inmobiliaria y Constructora Ponti, S.A. de C.V. azori3@hotmail.com;planproy@prodigy.net.mx Promotora Vivienda de Veracruz, S.A. de C.V. luisbarquin@grupobarquin.com; sistemas@grupobarquin.com; RM de Coatzacoalcos, S.A. de C.V. airvac@prodigy.net.mx Roma Stronger, S.A. de C.V. casas_miguel@hotmail.com Urbanizadora Medellín, S.A. de C.V. chivodiaz@hotmail.com;vimsa10@prodigy.net.mx Vivienda Veracruzana, S.A. de C.V. cocomaingenieria@prodigy.net.mx CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 28 jtorres@gcplata.com; plata@gcplata.com Affordable Housing Housing Building Companies Other companys CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY 29 Equity, Economic, Quantitative and Fixed Income Research Departments Equity Research Gustavo Terán Durazo, CFA Senior Analysts Head of EquityResearch (52) 55 1103-6600 x1193 gteran@actinver.com.mx Martín Lara Telecommunications, Media and Financials (52) 55 1103-6600x1840 mlara@actinver.com.mx Carlos Hermosillo Bernal Consumption (52) 55 1103-6600 x4134 chermosillo@actinver.com.mx Pablo Duarte de León FIBRAs (REITs) (52) 55 1103-6600 x4334 pduarte@actinver.com.mx Ramón Ortiz Reyes Cement, Construction and Concessions (52) 55 1103-6600 x1835 rortiz@actinver.com.mx Energy, Conglomerates, Industrial and Mining (52) 55 1103-6600 x4127 frobinson@actinver.com.mx Telecommunications, Media and Financials (52) 55 1103-6600x1693 jponce@actinver,com.mx FIBRAs (REITs) (52) 55 1103-6600x4130 acgonzalezr@actinver.com.mx Energy, Conglomerates, Industrial and Mining (52) 55 1103-6600x1836 ecamargod@actinver.com.mx Consumption (52) 55 1103-6600x1394 jcebeira@actinver.com.mx Federico Robinson Bours Carrillo Junior Analysts Juan Ponce Ana Cecilia González Rodríguez Enrique Octavio Camargo Delgado José Antonio Cebeira González Economic and Quantitative Research Ismael Capistrán Bolio Head of Economic and Quantitative Research Jaime Ascencio Aguirre Economy and Markets Santiago Hernández Morales Quantitative Research Roberto Ramírez Ramírez Análisis Cuantitativo Roberto Galván González Technical Research (52) 55 1103-6600 x1487 (52) 55 1103-6600 x793325 (52) 55 1103-6600 x4133 (52) 55 1103-6600x1672 (52) 55 1103 -66000 x5039 icapistran@actinver.com.mx jascencio@actinver.com.mx shernandezm@actinver.com.mx rramirezr@actinver.com.mx rgalvan@actinver.com.mx Fixed Income Research Araceli Espinosa Elguea Head of Fixed Income Research (52) 55 1103 -66000 x6641 aespinosae@actinver.com.mx Jesús Viveros Hernández Fixed Income Research (52) 55 1103 -66000 x6649 jviveros@actinver.com.mx (52) 55 1103-6600 x4132 marellanos@actinver.com.mx Mauricio Arellano Sampson CONFIDENTIAL AND FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY Fixed Income Research 30