Stockholm Hotel Report 2014
Transcription
Stockholm Hotel Report 2014
Stockholm Hotel Report 2014 PHOTO: OLA ERICSON Stockholm – one of Europe’s most popular destinations With nearly 11 million commercial guest nights annually, Stockholm is ranked as one of Europe’s top ten destinations1). It is also one of Europe’s fastest growing cities, with a county population of 2.1 million residents, 897,700 of which are in the city of Stockholm2). Stockholm is the engine of Swedish tourism. The number of guest nights is distributed relatively evenly throughout the year, with peaks in July and August. Half of tourists are business travelers and half are private travelers. Swedish tourists account for two thirds of all overnight stays in Stockholm county. Most foreign visitors are from Europe outside of the Nordic region. The biggest international market is Germany, followed by the UK and the US. Hotels are the biggest and most popular form of accommodation. 87 percent of all commercial overnight stays are in hotels. Seven in ten guest nights are in the city; the rest are in the county. Over 60 percent of hotels in Stockholm are deemed to be of four-star standard, but there is still room for more. The selection of one or twostar hotels3) in the city of Stockholm is limited, and presently represents only 5 percent of the total room capacity. Many hotels in Stockholm belong to the major Nordic hotel chains: Elite, First, Choice or Scandic. Room for additional mega hotels in the city City compact and boutique hotels in the city Bed capacity has increased in recent years, and today 60 percent of the capacity is in the city of Stockholm. In 2013, hotels reported an occupancy rate of 67 percent in the city and 59 percent in the county. This indicates a periodic lack of capacity in the city and demand for new hotel rooms. Hotels with about 120 rooms currently comprise the most common size of the new hotel establishments in downtown. The need for hotels to find a niche is growing, and we are seeing two trends in Stockholm: more hotels in the “city compact” segment and more boutique hotels. Through its new brand, HTL, Scandic is focusing on a slimmed down service offering combined with a high trend factor, digital service solutions and the best central locations at half the price of a standard hotel with full service. Motel L from Ligula Hospitality is openings its first hotel in what will be an entire chain in which fixed room prices are offered. At the same time, several new boutique hotels are opening in historic settings in the city’s best locations, including Miss Clara and Hotel Kungsträdgården. Another 500 rooms will be required in the city as early as 2016, and by 2020, 1,800 rooms will still be needed if all planned and potential projects are carried out. 40 planned hotels There are plans for 40 new accommodation facilities in Stockholm county, which will increase capacity by 17 percent. Half of these will be built in the city of Stockholm. 2014 has already seen an addition of about 5 percent, corresponding to 10 facilities with a total of 951 rooms in the city of Stockholm. This corresponds to around 23% of the total planned hotel rooms in the county. 1) Source: European Cities Marketing Benchmarking Report 2012-2013 2) Source: Statistics Sweden 3) Source: Visita and HUI Increased capacity in the county Major capacity increases are taking place around the cluster by Arlanda Airport (Sigtuna) and in Solna. The hostel trend that is so apparent in major cities all over Europe and the world does not seem to have reached Stockholm yet. It may also have been replaced by the “city compact” trend. The hostel on Svartsö is the only one planned. Planned hotels in Stockholm county Potential future projects Facility Municipality Capacity* Opening Facility Municipality Capacity* Hotel Kungsträdgården Stockholm 105 2014 Hotel in Östberga, Particentralen 6 Stockholm no data* Miss Clara (opened April 2014) Stockholm 92 2014 Hotel in Kista, Knarrarnäs Stockholm 115* Motel L, Hammarby Sjöstad (opens May 2014) Stockholm 226 2014 Hotel Memory Stockholm 150* Scandic HTL, Kungsgatan (opens May 2014) Stockholm 275 2014 Hotel Malmskillnadsgatan Stockholm 100 Central Hotel Stockholm 17* 2014 HTL Stockholm 120* Quality Hotel Globe Stockholm 206* 2014 Hotel, Gallerian Stockholm 500 Stallmästaregården Stockholm 30* 2014 Hotell Södermalm Stockholm 50 2015 Handens Hamburgebar, new construction of hotel rooms Haninge 22 Scandic HTL, Norra Bantorget Stockholm 115 2015 Hotel Ibis Sigtuna 40* Fyrkanten 14 Stockholm 180 2015 Hotel in Hallunda, Living Hotel Botkyrka 191 Villa Källhagen Stockholm 14* 2015 Hotel in Måby Sigtuna 250 Älvsjö Station Stockholm 250 2016 Hotel in Sollentuna, Ritmallen Sollentuna 80* Scandic Continental Stockholm 400* 2016 Hotel Scandic Foresta Lidingö 14* Huddinge Resort Huddinge 400 Hålludden, Hotell Artipelag Värmdö 150 Kyssinge Golf Sigtuna 100 Norges Hus Nacka 250 Park Inn Hotell, stage 1 Sigtuna 30* Siggesta Träskhotell Värmdö 150 Sotaren Täby 10* Södra Bergen Norrtälje Vår Gård Saltsjöbaden Nacka Total in city of Stockholm 1,960 rooms Puman 1, Urban Hostel Solna 80 2014 Laboratoriet 1 Solna 65 2016 The Winery Hotel Solna 184 2016 Hotel in Ulriksdal, ESS Hotel Solna 200 2016 Arlanda Holding Sigtuna 150 2016 Linjen 2 Huddinge 80 2019 Total in Stockholm county beyond city of Stockholm 759 rooms Total 40 no data* 2,712 rooms * An increase in capacity was reported for existing accommodation facilities. Source: Byggfakta, Stockholm Business Region Development, Sweco, Visita, Annordia etc. 2 3 PHOTO: ERIK G SVENSSON Hotel cluster in Stockholm The report is divided into three cluster areas: downtown, outlying areas of the city of Stockholm, and the rest of the county. Commercial accommodation facilities Downtown Norrmalm Hotel Hostel Kommerciella boendeanläggningar Stockholm county 309 83 of which are in the city of Stockholm 350 160 34 Cottage Camping site Total 7 35 434 0 5 199 2,488 rooms 589 beds VG: 3,288 rooms 65 beds CBD: 4,303 rooms 1,323 rooms 120 beds 734 beds 300 Kungsholmen 1,082 rooms 200 577 beds 150 100 Hotell Hotel Vandrarhem Hostel Stugby Cottage Campingplats Camping site Antal i in Number ■ Stockholm Stockholmscounty län ■ of varav Stockholms which are in the stad city of Stockholm Södermalm Number of hotel rooms (per day) The city is growing In the city of Stockholm outside of downtown, there are currently 4,473 hotel rooms, 195 hostel beds and 615 camping sites. Of the total accommodation capacity in Stockholm, 23% of hotel rooms are in the outlying areas of the municipality. Accommodation capacity is primarily concentrated in the areas around Stockholm International Fair (Älvsjö), Globen (Årsta), and the business clusters in Kista and Bromma. Stockholm is one of Europe’s fastest growing cities. Around 900,000 people currently live in the city, and 15,000 more arrive each year. Stockholm is developing around 15 big infrastructure projects with new residential areas and workplaces. Accommodation facilities in Sigtuna, Södertälje and Solna are primarily geared toward business travelers, while the facilities in Norrtälje, Värmdö, Nacka and Haninge are geared toward the conference market and private travelers. 2011 2012 2013 14,900 15,400 16,000 18,900 19,000 19,350 2,754 3,803 3,791 4,063 4,314 4,464 4,527 1,225 beds Hotel guest nights (thousand, per year) 3,895 5,533 5,738 6,070 6,375 6,633 6,771 66% 70% 67% 69% 68% 66% 67% Occupancy hotel rooms RevPAR hotel rooms Number of beds hostels/cottages Guest nights hostels/cottages (thousand) 20 15 10 SEK 703 SEK 805 SEK 723 SEK 775 SEK 782 SEK 739 SEK 755 1,500 2,300 2,600 2,700 3,000 3,200 3,400 300 541 545 527 527 573 574 159 179 173 176 172 166 Guest nights camping* (thousand) 5 0 Stockholm county 20,900 24,600 25,000 26,100 29,800 30,500 32,000 Sold hotel rooms (thousand, per year) 4,376 5,565 5,368 5,832 6,175 6,308 6,482 Hotel guest nights (thousand, per year) 5,956 7,901 7,924 8,517 8,926 9,211 9,536 57% 62% 59% 61% 61% 59% 59% RevPAR hotel rooms Accommodation capacity in the county is biggest in Norrtälje, followed by Sigtuna, Värmdö, Södertälje, Solna, Nacka and Haninge. Together, these seven municipalities represent 25 percent of the accommodation capacity in the county. 2010 11,400 Occupancy hotel rooms Some municipalities in the county dominate Stockholm county currently has 32,000 hotel rooms distributed over 400 facilities. Among hotels, the concentration of existing hotel rooms is highest in three and four-star hotels. 2009 Sold hotel rooms (thousand, per year) Half of the capacity is in Stockholm CBD The highest percentage of total accommodation capacity in the downtown area is in the Central Business District (CBD), which consists of business hotels that are located along Vasagatan and around Stockholm Central Station, the rest of Norrmalm, Gamla Stan and around Stureplan on Östermalm. The CBD represents half of the bed capacity in the downtown area, distributed between Vasagatan (VG) with 21% and the rest of the CBD with 27%. Rest of county 2008 2,403 rooms Number of hotel rooms (per day) Outlying areas to the city of Stockholm 2002 City of Stockholm 60 camping sites 50 4 Distributionav of hotellrum hotel rooms Fördelning efter antal stjärnor based on number of stars Stockholms stad och län in Stockholm city and county Key financial indicators 250 0 Östermalm Number of beds hostels/cottages Guest nights hostels/cottages (thousand) 5★ 4★ 3★ 2★ 1★ Number of hoteli rooms in thousands Antal hotellrum tusental ■ Visita ■ HUI HUI SEK 599 SEK 685 SEK 611 SEK 663 SEK 678 SEK 642 SEK 641 3,800 4,400 4,800 4,900 6,500 6,500 6,900 589 803 824 812 820 855 821 644 625 682 659 610 587 Guest nights camping* (thousand) * only reported from 2008 due to a new calculation method from and including 2008. Source: Statistics Sweden and Swedish Agency for Economic and Regional Growth. Guest nights: Doubled in relation to GDP Growth in Stockholm has been lengthy and strong in the last 30 years. Between 1980 and 2013, the number of commercial guest nights in Stockholm has increased by 4 percent. In that same period, Sweden on the whole has had an average GDP growth of 2.1 percent. The development of the number of guest nights has exploded in the last ten years. Between 2002 and 2013, guest nights in Stockholm have increased by an impressive 75 percent in the city and 58 percent in the county. Slightly less than half of accommodation facilities have opted out of the official classification system. Of the 19,350 total hotel rooms in Stockholm, one third participate in the classification system. To be able to judge the standard of accommodation facilities in Stockholm, HUI Research has carried out its own assessment of the facilities that are not part of the official classification system. Source: Visita and HUI Research HUI Research has made an assessment of the hotels that are not part of the official star classification system. 5 PHOTO: HENRIK TRYGG Future hotel needs in Stockholm 2014–2020 According to HUI Research, the number of guest nights will increase by 22 percent up to and including 2020. This corresponds to an annual growth rate of 3.4 percent in the county and 4 percent in the city between 2014 and 2020. The number of occupied hotel rooms is expected to grow by 25 percent in the county in the same period, which corresponds to an annual increase of 3.8 percent. Growth in the city is expected to be 4.2 percent. Factors that affect the forecast Continued demand until 2020 The labor market in Stockholm is strong. The number of employed residents continues to grow, while the number of available jobs is increasing. Unemployment in Stockholm county is the lowest in the entire country by 6.9 percent (January 2013). Unemployment in the country is expected to be just under 8 percent in the beginning of the period and to fall somewhat in 2015.1) Stockholm county: HUI assumes that demand Other factors include the growth of new businesses and population growth, as well as the global economic turmoil. The city of Stockholm is growing by 159,000 residents to 1,041,000, and the county population in 2022 is expected to reach 2,498,0002). The forecast for demand of commercial beds and rooms is based primarily on historical growth rates and expected GDP development. HUI has based future GDP development on the long-term forecast by the National Institute of Economic Research (last updated in March 2014). HUI has also considered known investments that are expected to impact the hospitality industry. Examples include the additions of new arenas and new facilities (Friends Arena, Tele2 Arena, Nobel Center), which are primarily geared toward the private travel market. In 2014 and 2015, Stockholm will have two new major conference facilities, which are expected to generate between 40,000 and 50,000 guest nights. Collaborative projects in the hospitality industry, such as the airline collaboration Connect Sweden, and the “Stockholm Strategy 2020” project, also affect the forecast. for commercial accommodation options will follow the same growth rate as it has for the last 10 years, except for hostels, cottages and camping. The total number of commercial guest nights at hotels, hostels, cottages and camping sites is forecast to have an average annual growth of 3.4 percent. The number of guest nights at hotels is expected to rise annually by 3.8 percent on average. Hostel, cottage and camping accommodations are not predicted to have any significant growth in the coming years. Private rentals, known as peer-to-peer property rentals in accommodations, continue to take market share, primarily from the low price hotel and hostel segment, which is believed to affect demand for hostel beds. Stockholm county will handle the anticipated guest night growth with the existing and planned projects. If the planned and potential projects are carried out according to schedule, the occupancy rate in Stockholm county will be close to 62 percent by the end of the forecast period. HUI Research assumes that demand for commercial accommodation options will follow the same growth rate as it has for the last five years. The total number of commercial guest nights in the city of Stockholm is forecast to grow annually by an average of 4 percent. The hotels in the city have had an average annual guest night growth of 4.1 percent in the last five years. Hostels and cottages have shown a 1.2 percent average annual guest night growth in the same period. Camping has grown by +0.9 percent annually since 2008. Commercial guest nights at hotels, hostels, cottages and camping in the municipality have grown by 3.8 percent on average per year. City of Stockholm: HUI expects continued growth for the commercial accommodation options in the municipality and anticipates an overall annual growth of 4.2 percent until 2020 in the hotel category, and of 1.2 percent in the hostel, cottage and camping category over the next seven years. For the city of Stockholm, HUI has calculated a potential capacity need based on the anticipated requirement for hotels in the city and planned hotel establishments. It would appear that if a few more new hotel projects are not added, a capacity gap will arise corresponding to about 500 hotel rooms already in 2016. Planning of new establishments should take place as early as 2014, as it typically takes several years to get from planned establishment to completed hotel. Hotel development forecast 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 City of Stockholm Commercial guest nights forecast Hotel guest nights (thousand, per year) 7,100 7,400 7,800 8,100 8,400 8,700 9,000 Expected development of hotels 4.40% 4.80% 4.80% 4.40% 4.00% 3.70% 3.70% Guest nights hostels/cottages/camping (thousand) 750 760 770 775 785 795 805 Expected development hostels/cottages/camping 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% Total (thousand) 7,850 8,160 8,570 8,875 9,185 9,495 9,630 19,350 20,300 20,700 21,300 21,900 22,000 22,200 4,800 5,000 5,200 5,400 5,600 5,800 5,900 66% 67% 68% 69% 70% 72% 73% Capacity need 19,150 20,200 21,100 21,900 22,600 23,200 23,900 Capacity gap2) 200 100 -500 -600 -700 -1,200 -1,800 Hotel guest nights (thousand, per year) 9,900 10,300 10,800 11,200 11,600 12,000 12,400 Expected development of hotels 4.20% 4.40% 4.20% 4.00% 3.60% 3.20% 3.20% Guest nights hostels/cottages/camping (thousand) 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11,300 11,700 12,200 12,600 13,000 13,400 13,800 32,000 33,000 33,400 34,600 35,700 36,200 36,800 6,700 7,000 7,300 7,600 7,900 8,100 8,400 57% 58% 59% 59% 60% 61% 62% Sold hotel rooms and capacity need forecast Capacity hotel room (per day)1) Sold hotel rooms (thousand, per year) Occupancy rate Stockholm county Commercial guest nights forecast Expected development hostels/cottages/camping Total (thousand) Sold hotel rooms and capacity need forecast Capacity hotel room (per day)1) Sold hotel rooms (thousand, per year) Occupancy rate 1) HUI has added planned capacity for each year. The uncertain projects have been distributed evenly over the years from 2015 to 2020. 2) C apacity gap means the difference between existing capacity and capacity need. A positive value indicates that the existing capacity is sufficient to meet demand, while a negative value indicates a capacity shortage. The forecast includes both planned and potential projects. 1) h ttp://www.tmr.sll.se/Global/Dokument/Statistik/Befolkningsprognoser/2013-07.pdf 2) h ttp://www.arbetsformedlingen.se/Om-oss/Statistik-prognoser/Prognoser/Prognoser/Riket/12-12-2013-116-000-fler-jobb-%E2%80%94-arbetslosheten-minskar.html 6 7 COVER PHOTO: OLA ERICSON Stockholm Hotel Report 2014 In “Stockholm Hotel Report 2014 – a survey and forecast of the hotel situation in Stockholm county”, Stockholm Business Region presents a summary statement for existing and planned accommodations in Stockholm county and a forecast for required hotel rooms from 2014 to 2020. The hotel report was produced by HUI Research as commissioned by Stockholm Business Region. A more detailed report can be downloaded from press.stockholmbusinessregion.se. Feel free to contact Tora Holm, Stockholm Business Region Development, tora.holm@stockholm.se, +46 704 728 027. Stockholm Business Region P.O. Box 16282 SE-103 25 Stockholm, Sweden Phone +46 8 508 280 00 www.visitstockholm.com investstockholm.com stockholmbusinessregion.se