MT. DIABLO UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT: DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY

MT. DIABLO UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT: DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY

MT. DIABLO UNIFIED
SCHOOL DISTRICT:
DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY,
STUDY
PART 2
Prepared By: Jack Schreder & Associates
Presented By: Cheryl King, Senior Associate & Jamie Iseman, Associate
Introduction
…
…
The Mt. Diablo Unified School District administrators requested an Demographic
Analysis in order to assist the District in making decisions regarding potential school
closures and the reconfiguring of current school boundaries so that the appropriate
facilities are provided for current and future students of the district.
The following variables were analyzed and are provided in this study:
†
†
†
†
†
†
†
†
†
…
A review
i off hi
historical
i l enrollments
ll
and
d migration
i
i rates;
A review of the various land use trends and policies governing residential development in the District;
Measurements of student generation rates;
Enrollment projections based on standard cohort methodology and utilizing historical enrollments, District
specific birth data,
data and student migration to determine the level of enrollment increases/decreases the
District can expect;
Spatial Analysis demonstrating student residents in all attendance areas;
Student resident projections by attendance areas;
Enrollment projections by school vs. capacity at those schools;
Facility Capacity Analysis at all sites and comparison of capacity to current enrollments by site;
Facility Capacity compared to projected residents and enrollments.
We recommend the District continue to monitor all variables included in this analysis,
p
the projections
p j
each Fall and Spring
p g as new data becomes available
and update
(Pre-K Registration Data, Birth Data, Enrollment Data).
School Consolidation Criteria: MDUSD
…
The following criteria will be utilized by the School
Closure Advisory Committee to “score” school sites
for the closure process:
p
† Facility
Condition
† Capacity Utilization
† Operations and Maintenance Costs
† Adjacent Facility Capacity
† Academic
A d i PPerformance
f
† Geographic Equity
† Improved Facility Conditions for Students
† Cost of Consolidation/Closure
Q
Questions
i
FFrom PPrevious
i
M
Meeting
i
Can you verify
C
if the
h FFacility
ili C
Capacity
i numbers?
b ?
What Zip Codes were used to collect birth data?
How many students live at The Crossings?
How many students live at Crystal Ranch?
F ili Capacity
Facility
C
i A
Analysis
l i
Methodology
gy for Capacity
p y
…
…
The consultant utilized district information by school site for numbers of classrooms
by grade group and also for specialized room uses.
uses
The consultant then utilized two sets of loading factors:
†
District Capacity at Critical Standards
„
„
„
„
„
„
†
District Capacity at Critical Standards with Class Size Reduction
„
„
„
„
„
„
†
†
K@29:1
1-3@28:1
4-5@30:1
6-12@33:1 (maximum capacity) 6-12@27.5:1 (working capacity)
PE@41:1
S C@ 2
SDC@12:1
K@29:1
1-3@20:1
4 5@30 1
4-5@30:1
6-12@33:1 (maximum capacity) 6-12@27.5:1 (working capacity)
PE@41:1
SDC@12:1
QEIA schools
h l were excepted
t d ffrom th
these standards
t d d att allll grade
d llevels.
l
It is generally recommended that school districts operate at 95%-96% of Facility
Capacity.
Facility Capacity Analysis: MDUSD
y p y
y
Elementary Schools
Ayers
B
Bancroft
ft
Bel Air
Cambridge
Delta View
El Monte
Fair Oaks
Gregory Gardens
Hidden Valley
Highlands
Holbrook
Meadow Homes
Monte Gardens
Mt Diablo
Mountain View
Pleasant Hill
Rio Vista
Sequoia
Shore Acres
Silverwood
Strandwood
S TTerrace
Sun
Valhalla
Valle Verde
Walnut Acres
Westwood
Woodside
Wren Avenue
Ygnacio Valley
Elementary Total
…
…
2009 Enrollments
424
452
402
653
671
441
360
401
710
672
429
905
570
843
392
626
424
581
539
397
574
513
589
526
620
380
513
382
510
15,499
District Capacity
572
634
552
700
836
728
485
531
1,193
912
600
854
687
1,037
814
778
634
675
600
538
670
848
756
687
761
492
682
663
448
20,367
% at Capacity
74.13%
71 29%
71.29%
72.83%
93.29%
80.26%
60.58%
74.23%
75.55%
59.51%
73.68%
71.45%
105.97%
82.97%
81.29%
48.16%
80.46%
66.88%
86.07%
89.83%
73.79%
85.67%
60 50%
60.50%
77.91%
76.56%
81.47%
77.24%
75.22%
57.62%
113.84%
76.10%
Enrollments are 4,868 students below District Capacity.
Allowing for CSR, enrollments are 2,213 below District Capacity.
CSR Capacity
490
538
502
700
706
622
418
454
1,006
778
514
854
586
874
694
658
538
574
545
466
574
718
646
586
646
430
586
562
448
17,713
% at CSR Capacity
86.53%
84 01%
84.01%
80.08%
93.29%
95.04%
70.90%
86.12%
88.33%
70.58%
86.38%
83.46%
105.97%
97.27%
96.45%
56.48%
95.14%
78.81%
101.22%
98.90%
85.19%
100.00%
71 45%
71.45%
91.18%
89.76%
95.98%
88.37%
87.54%
67.97%
113.84%
87.50%
Facility Capacity Analysis: MDUSD
y p y
y
Middle Schools
2009 Enrollments
Working Capacity % at Working Capacity
Maximum
Capacity
% at Maximum
Capacity
Diablo View
680
651
104.45%
772
88.08%
El Dorado
878
1,135
77.36%
1,338
65.62%
1,037
924
112.23%
1,100
94.27%
Glenbrook
535
731
73.19%
863
61.99%
Oak Grove
578
717
80.61%
717
80.61%
Pine Hollow
723
798
90.60%
941
76.83%
Pleasant Hill
807
788
102.41%
936
86.22%
Riverview
747
646
115.63%
646
115.67%
Sequoia
839
869
96.55%
1,034
81.14%
Valley View
757
879
86.17%
1,038
72.93%
7,581
8,138
93.16%
9,385
80.78%
Foothill
Middle School Total
…
El Dorado and Glenbrook are operating at less than 70% of the District maximum capacity.
Facility
y Capacity
p y Analysis:
y MDUSD
2009 Enrollments
Working Capacity
% at Working
Capacity
Clayton Valley
1,862
2,143
86.89%
2,511
74.15%
College Park
2,011
1,768
113.74%
2,059
97.67%
Concord
1,519
1,723
88.16%
1,998
76.03%
Mt. Diablo
1,595
1,537
103.77%
1,537
103.77%
Northgate
1,469
1,669
88.02%
1,949
75.37%
Ygnacio Valley
1,332
2,014
66.14%
2,349
56.70%
High School Total
9,788
10,854
90.18%
12,403
78.92%
High Schools
‰
‰
Maximum
Capacity
% at Maximum
Capacity
Ygnacio Valley HS is operating below 60% of District maximum capacity.
p y
Clayton Valley is operating at slightly less than 75% of District maximum capacity.
Enrollment Projections Compared to
Facility Capacity
Facility Capacity Analysis: MDUSD
y p y
y
Elementary Schools
A
Ayers
Bancroft
Bel Air
Cambridge
Delta View
El Monte
Fair Oaks
Gregory Gardens
Hidden Valley
Highlands
Holbrook
Meadow Homes
Monte Gardens
Mt Diablo
Mountain View
Pleasant Hill
Rio Vista
Sequoia
Shore Acres
Silverwood
Strandwood
Sun Terrace
Valhalla
Valle Verde
Walnut Acres
Westwood
Woodside
Wren Avenue
Ygnacio Valley
Elementary Total
…
2014-15 Projected
Enrollments
416
491
343
610
698
399
354
352
683
629
383
891
548
805
352
631
455
537
478
408
589
436
606
496
556
375
525
397
495
14,937
District Capacity
572
634
552
700
836
728
485
531
1,193
912
600
854
687
1 037
1,037
814
778
634
675
600
538
670
848
756
687
761
492
682
663
448
20,367
% at Capacity
72 73%
72.73%
77.44%
62.14%
87.14%
83.49%
54.81%
72.99%
66.31%
57.25%
68.97%
63.79%
104.33%
79.77%
77 63%
77.63%
43.24%
81.11%
71.77%
79.56%
79.67%
75.84%
87.91%
51.42%
80.16%
72.20%
73.06%
76.22%
76 98%
76.98%
59.88%
110.49%
73.34%
CSR Capacity
490
538
502
700
706
622
418
454
1,006
778
514
854
586
874
694
658
538
574
545
466
574
718
646
586
646
430
586
562
448
17,713
% at CSR Capacity
84 90%
84.90%
91.26%
68.33%
87.14%
98.87%
64.15%
84.69%
77.53%
67.89%
80.85%
74.51%
104.33%
93.52%
92 11%
92.11%
50.72%
95.90%
84.57%
93.55%
87.71%
87.55%
102.61%
60.72%
93.81%
84.64%
86.07%
87.21%
89 59%
89.59%
70.64%
110.49%
84.33%
Projections indicate several schools will remain below 65% capacity through 2014-15.
Facility
y Capacity
p y Analysis:
y MDUSD
Middle
iddl Schools
h l
Diablo View
El Dorado
Foothill
Glenbrook
Oak Grove
Pine Hollow
Pleasant Hill
Riverview
Sequoia
Valley View
Middle School Total
…
2014-15 Projected
Enrollments
ll
658
856
1,010
520
553
696
784
735
818
Working
ki Capacity
i
651
1,135
924
731
717
798
788
646
869
% at Working
Capacity
i
101.08%
75.42%
109.31%
71.14%
77.13%
87.22%
99.49%
113.78%
94.13%
Maximum
i
Capacity
i
772
1,338
1,100
863
717
941
936
646
1,034
% at Maximum
Capacity
i
85.23%
63.98%
91.82%
60.25%
77.13%
73.96%
83.76%
113.81%
79.11%
736
879
83.78%
1,038
70.91%
7,366
8,138
90.52%
9,385
78.49%
El Dorado and Glenbrook remain at less than 70% El
Dorado and Glenbrook remain at less than 70%
of current District maximumcapacity through 2014 15.
2014‐15
Facility
y Capacity
p y Analysis:
y MDUSD
2014-15 Projected
Enrollments
Working Capacity
% at Working
Capacity
Maximum Capacity
% at Maximum
Capacity
Clayton Valley
1,664
2,143
77.65%
2,511
66.27%
College Park
1,838
1,768
103.96%
2,059
89.27%
Concord
1,395
1,723
80.96%
1,998
69.82%
Mt Diablo
1,341
1,537
87.25%
1,537
87.25%
Northgate
1 342
1,342
1 669
1,669
80 41%
80.41%
1 949
1,949
68 86%
68.86%
Ygnacio Valley
1,168
2,014
57.99%
2,349
49.72%
High School Total
8,748
10,854
80.60%
12,403
70.53%
High Schools
…
Ygnacio Valley HS and Clayton Valley remain below 67% of District maximum capacity through 2014 15
67% of District maximum capacity through 2014‐15.
Zi C
Zip
Codes
d
Births by
y Zip
p Code
6,000
5,000
181
196
Births
4,000
3 000
3,000
1,470
684
534
198
186
208
193
195
217
214
1,606 1,599
1,500 1,471
672
477
660
452
205
232
229
180
199
97
240
245
189
237
191
228
195
242
189
248
179
247
94598
1,400 1,295
1,304 1,231 1,280 1,393
1,479
1,643
1,499 1,506 1,467
1,466
1,416
1,450 1,409
94565
94553
659
624
597
648
525
564
543
520
512
535
524
536
520
512
530
399
411
428
395
375
408
482
485
538
486
479
94523
530
485
94521
368
349
94520
404
415
412
427
380
396
415
390
551
539
516
521
498
500
467
508
716
715
725
720
683
741
696
740
760
804
747
801
618
588
676
760
714
723
698
703
731
261
350
324
314
312
334
298
299
266
266
226
262
220
221
219
211
216
226
255
262
364
84
347
98
346
82
343
88
331
99
323
95
314
118
333
118
314
132
321
122
317
153
331
149
362
130
357
129
312
146
317
106
328
122
343
79
329
70
341
104
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
452
1989
2,000
620
94597
522
468
444
424
94519
94518
94517
1,000
0
634
Birth Year
Th C
The
Crossings
i
and
dC
Crystall RRanchh
Students Residing
g in The Crossings
g
80
69
70
S
Students
60
50
40
54
51
47
41
38
51
73
67
71
53
42
30
30
20
10
0
K
1
2
3
4
5
6
Grade
7
8
9
10
11
12
School of Attendance
Bancroft
Fair Oaks
Highlands
Monte Gardens
Mountain View
Mt. Diablo
Mt Diablo
Valhalla
Valle Verde
Walnut Acres
Westwood
W d id
Woodside
Students
2
1
156
10
3
1
1
71
1
2
1
Diablo View
El Dorado
Foothill
Pine Hollow
Sequoia
2
4
148
2
2
Clayton Valley
Concord
Northgate
Nueva Vista
Ygnacio Valley
Total
9
4
263
2
2
687
Students Residing
g in Crystal
y
Ranch
25
23
20
20
17
S
Students
16
15
13
13
11
10
20
12
8
5
0
K
1
2
3
4
5
6
Grade
7
8
Students
Highlands
73
Monte Gardens
2
Sequoia
2
Valle Verde
1
Walnut Acres
1
Diablo View
Diablo View
1
Foothill
13
Pine Hollow
20
Sequoia
1
Clayton Valley
2
Northgate
65
Olympic
2
Prospect
1
Total
184
13
10
8
School of Attendance
9
10
11
12
S i lA
Spatial
Analysis
l i
G
Geographic
hi IInformation
f
i SSystem (GIS)
MDUSD GIS Layers
y
•Students, Schools
•Attendance Areas
•Orthophotographs
•Parcels, Zoning
•Residential Development
•District Boundary, Streets, Railways, Parks, Waterbodies
Geocoding
g Results
…
…
…
…
District provided 2009
2009-10
10 student list.
34,587 students successfully geocoded to GIS.
512 removed manually (grades 13-17)
13 17)
34,075 remaining
† 15,486
15 486
K-5
K 5 students
t d t
† 7,498 6-8 students
† 10,025
10 025 9-12
9 12 students
† 1,066 attending Other Programs (Alliance, C.C.C.
Selpa, Non
Non-Public,
Public, Community Day, etc.)
K5 Density
y
T
Transfer
f Matrices
M i
Where Students
Wh
S d
Li
Live vs. Wh
Where SStudents
d
A
Attend
d
School
K-5 Transfer Matrix
Cambridge Delta View El Monte Fair Oaks Gregory Gardens Hidden Valley Highlands Holbrook Monte Gardens Mountain View Mt. Diablo Pleasant Hill Rio Vista Shore Acres Silverwood Strandwood Sun Terrace Valhalla Valle Verde Walnut Acres Westwood Woodside Wren Avenue Ygnacio Valley 7 ‐ 367 ‐ 14 4 3 1 3 3 2 1 12 3 ‐ 2 8 2 12 2 1 10 ‐ ‐ ‐ 5 ‐ 1 ‐ 463
6 ‐ ‐ 625 ‐ 5 43 7 ‐ ‐ 3 52 1 5 1 ‐ ‐ 8 4 1 5 3 5 5
1 ‐ 3 18 1 7 804
2 ‐ 8 ‐ 598 ‐ ‐ 3 1 2 2 1 29 ‐ ‐ 3 16 18 11 5 2 7 2 2
‐ 1 5 ‐ 5 1 722
6 3 ‐ ‐ ‐ 311 3 1 ‐ 5 7 5 42 10 ‐ ‐ ‐ 17 2 10 3 4 1 1
5 2 8 13 4 2 464
‐ 7 ‐ 2 ‐ 5 218 3 ‐ 2 ‐ 3 4 1 ‐ 9 ‐ 57 ‐ 1 9 5 6 6
‐ 1 ‐ 15 2 13 363
‐ 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 305 3 ‐ ‐ 3 2 ‐ ‐ 4 ‐ 53 ‐ ‐ 15 ‐ 18 18
‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 2 2 409
‐ ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ 1 4 22 669 ‐ 3 ‐ 5 3 ‐ ‐ ‐ 57 ‐ 4 3 3 33 33
2 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 3 815
6 3 ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 1 ‐ 1 558 2 ‐ 15 4 11 ‐ 1 7 ‐ 2 ‐ ‐ 1 1
14 5 2 4 1 1 640
2 ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 1 1 1 2 1 330 4 41 3 ‐ 1 2 10 ‐ 1 ‐ 13 4 4
‐ ‐ 2 1 2 1 424
2 18 ‐ 5 ‐ 35 40 6 16 1 10 786 11 4 ‐ ‐ 6 13 ‐ 7 1 20 15 15
2 ‐ 7 15 13 130 1 163
1,163
4 ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ 1 2 2 ‐ 117 6 2 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 3 ‐ 4 ‐ ‐ 1 49 ‐ 53 2 248
5 ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 4 2 1 16 285 ‐ ‐ ‐ 9 ‐ 18 2 ‐ ‐ 7 1 10 2 3 4 371
13 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 11 ‐ ‐ 6 7 803 ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ 4 1 1 ‐ 1 1 ‐ 3 ‐ ‐ 853
‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ 4 3 ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ 3 ‐ ‐ 584 ‐ 56 ‐ 1 8 3
4
‐
‐
2
‐
‐
‐
670
7 ‐ 7 1 39 11 ‐ 4 ‐ 2 1 3 33 4 2 ‐ 357 6 87 6 ‐ 3
2
‐
‐
7
4
1
2
589
4 ‐ 1 ‐ 9 ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ 18 2 1 ‐ 23 8 398 2 ‐ 2
1
‐
1
4
‐
1
1
480
18 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ ‐ 1 35 1 ‐ 26 12 12 ‐ ‐ 9 ‐ 306 1 1
2
3
2
4
6
2
1
444
‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 3 16 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 1 ‐ 9 ‐ 96 ‐ 1 512 ‐
14
1
‐
‐
‐
‐
1
656
2 ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ 7 3 6 1 3 25 5 45 3 1 ‐ ‐ 22 ‐ 1 2 392 4 4
1 ‐ 4 3 8 4 543
‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 9 5 1 ‐ 2 1 1 ‐ 2 ‐ 55 ‐ ‐ 4 ‐ 470 470
2 ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ 3 556
‐ 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ ‐ ‐ 10 ‐ ‐ ‐ 3 ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 446 7 ‐ 2 ‐ ‐ 473
‐ 3 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ 3 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 7 587 ‐ 1 ‐ 1 605
2 1 ‐ 1 ‐ 8 2 ‐ ‐ ‐ 1 1 33 16 3 ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ 4 ‐ 1 ‐ 1 ‐ 216 ‐ 2 3 297
‐ 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 12 1 1 ‐ 6 1 4 2 1 ‐ 1 ‐ 10 1 2 ‐ ‐ 1 1
6 1 1 361 3 1 417
3 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 5 ‐ 1 ‐ 1 29 ‐ 74 7 ‐ 4 ‐ 7 ‐ 3 1 5 3 3
1 1 26 2 286 6 465
1 2 ‐ 7 ‐ 4 21 3 ‐ 1 2 19 7 ‐ ‐ 1 ‐ 34 ‐ ‐ 3 5 1 1
9 1 5 20 ‐ 313 459
97
51
46
62
33
96
22
179
78
124
121
153
135
145
101
104
52
146
109
82
97
94
109
377
445
131
112
86
44
50
41
86
64
232
132
82
98
138
68
144
107
151
128
86
87
27
41
18
167
81
145
56
106
179
196
146
% In‐Migration 23% 10% 8% 3% 12% 28% 38% 25% 7% 16% 23%
% Out‐Migration 14% 13% 21% 22% 17% 33% 40% 25% 18% 13% 22%
12%
32%
79% 28%
53% 23%
5%
6%
7% 15% 25% 24% 12% 21% 21% 16%
13% 39% 17% 31% 22% 28% 15% 6%
7%
3%
44% 29% 27% 39%
27% 13% 38% 32%
# In‐Migration
# Out‐Migration
Total Attending Bel Air 1 416 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ 2 2 ‐ ‐ 2 1 2 1 ‐ 6 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 11 7 ‐ 24 ‐ 1 478
Out of District Bancroft 322 1 ‐ ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ ‐ ‐ 9 ‐ ‐ 7 4 6 ‐ ‐ 2 ‐ 12 ‐ ‐
‐
‐
1
3
3
‐
1
373
Ayers
y
Bancroft
Bel Air
Cambridge
Delta View
El Monte
Fair Oaks
Gregory Gardens
Hidden Valley
Highlands
Holbrook
Meadow Homes
Monte Gardens
Mountain View
Mt. Diablo
Pleasant Hill
Rio Vista
Sequoia (Magnet)
Shore Acres
Silverwood
Strandwood
Sun Terrace
V lh ll
Valhalla
Valle Verde
Walnut Acres
Westwood
Woodside
Wren Avenue
Ygnacio Valley
Total Residing
Total Residing
Meadow Homes Ayers School o
of Attendance
School of Residence
School of Residence
6
5
16
2
14
15
1
12
14
6
2
5
6
11
3
4
8
1
15
6
7
17
11
13
7
19
9
2
5
242
419
462
400
647
676
432
353
406
721
667
427
895
562
397
847
625
421
567
530
404
580
499
598
533
628
383
506
392
509
15 486
15,486
K-5 Transfer Matrix: Summary
y
…
In-migration of students is highest at:
Monte Gardens (79%)
† Westwood (44%)
† Ygnacio Valley (39%)
† Fair Oaks (38%)
†
…
Out-migration of students is highest at:
Monte Gardens (53%)
† Fair Oaks (40%)
† Rio Vista (39%)
† Wren Avenue (38%)
†
6-8 Transfer Matrix
School of Attendancce
Diablo View
El Dorado
Foothill
Glenbrook
Oak Grove
Pine Hollow
Pleasant Hill
Riverview
Sequoia (Magnet)
Valley View
Northgate HS
Woodside Elem
Total Residing
532 2 ‐ ‐ ‐ 17 ‐ 1 3 ‐ ‐ ‐ 555
30 734 23 18 9 47 11 7 170 9 ‐ ‐ 1,058
5 4 882 ‐ 2 4 1 1 7 ‐ ‐ ‐ 906
18 50 8 461 114 27 32 5 99 45 ‐ ‐ 859
31 22 71 23 417 16 58 5 162 34 ‐ 1 840
25 12 25 1 1 564 5 2 30 2 ‐ ‐ 667
‐ 1 2 2 6 ‐ 631 3 144 52 ‐ 1 842
26 31 5 16 4 29 24 696 98 31 ‐ ‐ 960
1 1 3 ‐ 3 ‐ 20 3 105 567 ‐ ‐ 703
# In‐Migration
# Out‐Migration
141
23
133
324
144
24
68
398
149
423
149
103
164
211
59
264
179
136
% In‐Migration
% Out‐Migration
21%
4%
15%
31%
14%
3%
13%
46%
26%
50%
21%
15%
21%
25%
8%
28%
24%
19%
5 10 7 8 10 9 13 32 7 6 1 ‐ 108
Total Atttending Other Diistricts Valley V iew Riverview
w nt Hill Pleasean
Pine Hollow Oak Grove ok Glenbroo
Foothill El Dorado Diablo V
View School of Residence
673
867
1,026
529
566
713
795
755
825
746
1
2
7,498
6-8 Transfer Matrix: Summary
y
…
In-migration
In
migration of students is highest at:
† Oak
Grove (26%)
† Valley View (24%)
† Diablo View, Pine Hollow, Pleasant Hill (21%)
…
Out-migration
Out
migration of students is highest at:
† Oak
Grove (50%)
†G
Glenbrook
e b oo (46%)
( 6%)
† Riverview (28%)
9-12 Transfer Matrix
School off Attendance
Total Atttending District Out of D
CP/YV A
Area of Choice Ygnacio
o Valley Northgaate Mt. Diab
blo West Mt. Diab
blo East Concord
d College Park Clayton Valley School of Residence
Clayton Valley College Park Concord
Mt. Diablo
Northgate Ygnacio Valley 1,527 2 34 34
4 20 9 ‐ 1,627 5 5
4 8 11 60 3 1,064 1 064
18 13 28 68 6 136 136
755 3 62 51 9 168 168
581 14 197 18 1 5 5
2 1,333 6 43 10 26 26
29 41 836 1 276 5 5
3 ‐ 28 21 11 24 24
84 12 50 1,789
1,945
1,467
1 467
1,480
1,444
1,227
Crossroads NSHS
Crossroads
NSHS
Gateway NSHS
Nueva Vista NSHS
Prospect NSHS
Summit NSHS
2 2
‐ 31 2 5 3 3
‐ ‐ 23 3 6 6
‐ 5 3 13 14 14
54 3 ‐ 7 26 26
1 3 4 91 1 1
‐ 4 4 1 13 13
‐ 6 8 6 ‐ ‐ ‐ 10 ‐ 5 5
‐ 1 1 ‐ 70
55
53
55
126
Olympic Cont.
Total Residing
29 60 41 64 ‐ 2 96 13 1,665 1,744 1,254 1,172 1,145 1,377 1,114 336
# In‐Migration
# Out‐Migration
# Out
Migration
262
138
318
117
403
190
144
981
111
44
391
278
32
% In‐Migration
% Out‐Migration
15%
8%
16%
7%
27%
15%
10%
42%
8%
3%
32%
25%
10%
9 314
218 10,025
9-12 Transfer Matrix: Summary
y
…
In-migration
In
migration of students is highest at:
† Ygnacio
Valley (32%)
† Concord (27%)
…
Out-migration
Out
migration of students is highest at:
† Mt.
Diablo (42%)
† Ygnacio
g ac o Valley
Va ey (25%)
( 5%)
Hi i l SStudent
Historical
d RResidents
id
Geocoding
g Results: Additional Years
…
…
…
…
District provided student lists for years 2005
2005-06
06 to
2008-09.
Students successfully geocoded to GIS.
Consultant manually removed grades 13-17.
Other Programs (Alliance,
(Alliance C
C.C.C.
C C Selpa,
Selpa Non-Public,
Non Public
Community Day, etc.) were removed from the lists.
S d Totals
Student
T l by
b Boundary
B d
G
Growth/Decline
h/D li from
f
2005-06
2005 06 to 2009-10
2009 10
Change in K-5 Student Residents:
2005 06 to
2005-06
t 2009-10
2009 10
R id PProjections
Resident
j i
THANK YOU.
Questions?