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HorwathHTL ACCRA A4 4PP AW:Layout 1 21/9/12 08:02 Page 1 TM ASIA PACIFIC AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND auckland@horwathhtl.com EUROPE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS mvanbruggen@horwathhtl.com MIDDLE EAST BEIRUT, LEBANON kamelac@horwathac.com BEIJING, CHINA beijing@horwathhtl.com ANDORRA LA VELLA, ANDORRA vmarti@horwathhtl.com DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES hschied@horwathhtl.com HONG KONG, SAR hongkong@horwathhtl.com BARCELONA, SPAIN vmarti@horwathhtl.com JAKARTA, INDONESIA jakarta@horwathhtl.com BELGRADE, SERBIA slovreta@horwathhtl.com KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA kl@horwathhtl.com BUDAPEST, HUNGARY mgomola@horwathhtl.com MUMBAI, INDIA vthacker@horwathhtl.com DUBLIN, IRELAND ireland@horwathhtl.com SHANGHAI, CHINA shanghai@horwathhtl.com FRANKFURT, GERMANY rknospe@horwathhtl.com SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE singapore@horwathhtl.com LIMSASSOL, CYPRUS othoma@horwathhtl.com SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA jsmith@horwathhtl.com.au LISBON, PORTUGAL linfante@horwathhtl.com TOKYO, JAPAN tokyo@horwathhtl.com AFRICA CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA capetown@horwathhtl.com RABAT, MOROCCO lgogue@horwathhtl.com TUNIS, TUNISIA lgogue@horwathhtl.com LONDON, UK eheiberg@horwathhtl.com MADRID, SPAIN vmarti@horwathhtl.com NORTH/CENTRAL AMERICA ATLANTA, USA mbeadle@horwathhtl.com DALLAS, USA jbinford@horwathhtl.com DENVER, USA jmontgomery@horwathhtl.com LOS ANGELES, USA ynathraj@horwathhtl.com LAS VEGAS, USA lboll@horwathhtl.com MONTREAL, CANADA pgaudet@horwathhtl.com TM PHOENIX, USA ddean@horwathhtl.com SAN FRANCISCO, USA jhiser@horwathhtl.com MOSCOW, RUSSIA mohare@horwathhtl.com SANTO DOMINGO, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC speralta@horwathhtl.com OSLO, NORWAY per-erik.winther@horwathhtl.com TORONTO, CANADA jrosen@horwathhtl.com PARIS, FRANCE pdoizelet@horwathhtl.fr ROME, ITALY vnaschi@horwathhtl.com SALZBURG, AUSTRIA kploberger@horwathhtl.com Hotel, Tourism and Leisure SOUTH AMERICA BUENOS AIRES, ARGENTINA mcarrizo@horwathhtl.com SANTIAGO, CHILE pramirez@horwathhtl.com SOFIA, BULGARIA (rep. office) pkarastoyanova@horwathhtl.com WARSAW, POLAND jmitulski@horwathhtl.com Special Market Report ZAGREB, CROATIA scizmar@horwathhtl.com ZUG, SWITZERLAND mwehrle@horwathhtl.com www.horwathhtl.com Issue 2 - ACCRA, GHANA HorwathHTL ACCRA A4 4PP AW:Layout 1 21/9/12 08:02 Horwath HTL Special Market Report Page 3 Issue 2 - ACCRA, GHANA COUNTRY DATA PROFILE - 2010 Population: 24, 391, 823 Population growth: 2.4% GDP: US$32.2 billions GDP per capita: US$1, 319 GDP growth (annual %): 8.0% Foreign Direct Investment: US$2.5 billions Inflation rate: 8.0 % GHANA The first sub-Saharan country to gain independence in 1957, Ghana is often seen as a model for political reform in Africa. It has the second largest West African economy after Nigeria, and the country is involved in a long-term process to consolidate good governance and create an efficient regulatory environment. • The last consecutive transfers of power between political parties after presidential elections illustrate Ghana’s status as a stable democracy. In addition, the country’s influence on the regional political spectrum has strengthened and Ghana gained a position of key regional political actor. However, spill overs from regional conflicts could still represent a threat to the political stability, even if they have been manageable so far. • The parliamentary and presidential elections, scheduled for December 2012, could further consolidate democracy even after the sudden death of Ghana’s President last July who was planning to stand for re-election. • Ghana’s strong economic performances since the mid-1990s are highly depending on few commodities (mainly gold and cocoa) and individual remittances as major sources of foreign exchanges. It has recently been growing faster (an estimated 13.7% GDP growth for 2011) as it has found oil and started production in 2010. • Ghana benefited from two successive debt relief programmes (in 2002 and 2006). Ghana’s elevation to lower-middle income status in 2010 is likely to block the access of concessional finance from the World Bank. However, Ghana should sign a $3bn China Development Bank loan. • Growth prospects are favourable, driven by high commodity export prices and the oil production but Ghana’s outlook will depend on governmental ability to maintain fiscal discipline and assist Ghana’s agricultural sector transformation. • Ghana’s infrastructure constraint represents the major challenge to growth and international competitiveness. The limited coverage (restricting access to the northern part) and the congestion of Ghana’s two ports remain major obstacles to growth. MORE DATA ON THE TOURISM SECTOR • 1985 heralded official recognition of tourism as a prioritygrowing sector in the national economy. Legal incentives (concessions, tax relief) but also constant economic growth and political and social stability have led Ghana to emerge as a significant Sub-Saharan Africa player in tourism. • After developing a unique tourism offer related to the historic slave trade, Ghana is also recently considering an ecotourism strategy to improve a combo tourism including virgin forest, tropical beaches and national parks visits. While intra-regional visitors dominate the market, international tourism, firstly originated from the USA, is continually increasing for both leisure activities and business. • City engaged with the global economy: presence of international companies (Nestle, Guinness Breweries, Toyota or Barclays Bank) and international organisations offices (FAO and WHO regional offices for Africa...) MORE DATA ON THE TOURISM SECTOR ACCRA HOTEL/FACTS & FIGURES Estimated number of hotel rooms in Ghana (2006): 21,200 Total number of rated hotels in the Greater Accra Region (2011):358 Total no. of rated rooms in the Greater Accra Region (2011): 12,185 Occupancy rate in international hotels (2011): 75% Average daily room rate in international hotels (2011): US$ 180 ana ACCRA: GROWING CONNECTEDNESS Recent liberalization policies, favourable business environment and constant growth have turned Accra into an African hub. • Capital of Ghana: 2.3 million inhabitants (estimated urban population) • Major transportation hub: railway connections (including to the main Ghanaian cocoa regions), Kotoka International Airport and Tema Port (25 kilometres away) with a new container terminal. • The city has turned into a burgeoning metropolis facing rapid immigration from the rural area, neighbouring countries and the international diaspora. Historically built around colonial forts, central Accra is circled by a Ring Road. However, the expansion has been running faster than the planning, leading to the construction of informal dwelling areas. This fastdeveloping urbanisation is currently one of Accra’s major challenges. • Ghana’s business environment is favourable to real estate investors; hence demand for office, residential and retail areas have been significantly increasing, this in turn benefiting from a favourable economic growth and an expanded white-collar workforce. Significant urban projects are planned or currently under development. • The Central Business District covering the Accra Central, Tudu and High Street areas will host the mixed-use project “Gold Coast City” (over 160 acres of retail, office towers and residential development) including the Financial Centre building (13 700 sqm of offices). • The airport area benefits from the traffic into the CBD with residential projects and office spaces, such as the “Rees condominium”, the “Villagio Vista” (second phase of Villaggio Complex), the “Icon House” project, the “Tulip Residences”. • Development of Accra’s beachfront area into a luxury urban node: Ghana’s first beachfront apartment project “La Beach Towers” comprising three 18 storey towers. • Ghana’s political stability and economic growth has also begun to turn Accra into a regional player in the MICE industry. 3 conference venues are among Accra’s MICE facilities include the National Theatre, Ghana Trade Fair Centre (built to hold pan-African events) and Accra International Conference Centre (6,000-seat capacity). SUPPLY • There are currently some 80 hotels in Accra, accounting for 4360 rooms, of which 3900 are star rated. The global supply is still dominated by local independent low end and midscale properties, with uneven quality of service and product. The 1 to 3 local star segment accounts for more than 60% of rooms. • Branded properties amount to 1, 400 rooms only, among which the most significant players are: the 4-star Golden Tulip Hotel (238 rooms), Mövenpick Ambassador Hotel (260 rooms), Novotel (196 rooms) and the 3-star Best Western Accra Airport Hotel (113 rooms) and Holiday Inn Accra Airport (168 rooms). The only 5 star property is the Labadi Beach (104 rooms) operated by the South African Legacy Group Holdings. The bulk of these upscale and midscale branded units are mainly oriented to the business travellers. • As of 2006, several international chains have started to move to the country, taking advantage of tax breaks and VAT exemption incentives under the 2006 Tourism Promotion Act. The last opening was the new-build Mövenpick Hotel & Resort in 2011, on the site of the state-owned hotel Ambassador Hotel. • Accra has proven to be a strong market with limited risks. International groups consider the city as a key destination to develop a flagship property in West and Central Africa. In addition, the city has become a must and a starting point for new operators wishing to enter the African market. The upcoming confirmed projects highlight this trend. The Marriott hotel (209 rooms) initially planned for 2013 but delayed, and the Kempinski Hotel Gold Coast City” (269 rooms) have been launched. In addition, 4 sites, located in the airport area have been assigned to hotel developments among which a Radisson and a Protea (the other projects may be developed under Hilton and Accor brands). They should increase the market by almost 70%, with the addition of 900 to 1000 rooms. • As a result of urban and economic development, 2 hotel clusters have developed in the city: the Airport district concentrates most of branded units, as the Central Business District will consolidate following the future openings. DEMAND • The economic growth and global dynamism have strengthened arrivals of business travellers. They are estimated to account for more than 50% of the total hotel demand. This has generated a rising demand for business hotels matching international standards. • The largest share of international demand originates from Sub-Saharan countries as a consequence of Accra’s regional influence. However, non-African international demand has been increasing and represents a significant percentage (share) of demand in branded properties. • Key sources of international tourism are the USA, with many African-Americans interested to know more about their history, United Kingdom and other parts of Europe. Accra is also progressively attracting visitors from China, India and Lebanon. • Leisure travel is essentially related to cultural and historical tourism on World Heritage Sites, even if the number of beach visitors is increasing gradually. • Despite Accra’s available conferences venues, Ghana’s economy growth and Accra’s position as a major hub have been generating an increase of the MICE segment in the market mix of branded hotels. New projects are now incorporating dedicated conference facilities. PERSPECTIVES • The development of international brands initiated over recent years should continue over the next 5 years, generating a significant increase in supply and a fast upgrading of the market, the impact being mainly in 4 and 5 star projects. • In the mid-term, an international economy-budget market targeting regional demand will develop as brands such as Onomo, Travelodge, Holiday Inn Express and Ibis could look closely at this market. This should also support the rise of the domestic market, now targeted as a key segment. • In addition to international branded projects, 500-600 hotels rooms are also planned in major urban development projects. On a basis of 50% materialization ratio, this may add 250-300 units in the market within 2018. • The business climate in Accra is dynamic, benefiting from Ghana’s political stability and high oil prices. The boom in real estate and hotels projects, operated by national and international brands, underlines current investor’s confidence in Ghana. • The economic context and the level of performances confirm there is a market for proper and adapted business hotels or units for short and long stays as well as rooms for local business meetings and punctual events. • In total, the hotel industry in Accra has demonstrated its resilience. As long as Ghana is able to maintain a steady rate of economic growth, we estimate that demand should absorb addition of hotel rooms over the short term. However, a period of adjustments will be necessary for the market before being able to absorb new supply, over a longer period (2018 and beyond). Philippe Doizelet, Managing Partner pdoizelet@horwathhtl.fr +33 1 53 79 78 75 (Paris) Beatrice Montagnier, Director, bmontagnier@horwathhtl.fr +33 1 53 79 78 77 (Paris) +221 77 288 77 77 (Dakar)