WCC-3: Implementing Climate Services: Nations and Regions
Transcription
WCC-3: Implementing Climate Services: Nations and Regions
WCC-3: Implementing Climate Services: Nations and Regions Wednesday, September 2, 2009 Serhat ŞENSOY, Mahmut KAYHAN, Dr. Mustafa COŞKUN, Gönül KILIÇ, Dr. İsmail DEMİR http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 1/18 Outline • Initiative • • • • • • Identification of target countries Logo design Web site design Preparation of circular and regulations Preparation of GIS base map Monitoring – Data download, calculation, preparation and mapping via ArcGIS • Prediction – Data download from ECMWF and mapping via ArcGIS • • • • • Archive Training & capacity building Research & Development Delivering the products to the web site via ftp Acknowledgement http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 2/18 TSMS has taken initiative at the meeting of Implementation of RA VI RCC Network held on 20-21 October, 2008 in Geneva, Switzerland in order to carry out the following responsibilities: • Monthly or quarterly bulletins analysing and interpreting GPC products • Monthly maps of TT, RR • Eastern Mediterranean dataset http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 3/18 Target countries for Service (Target countries have been identified by corresponding with WMO) • • • • • • • • Greece Turkey Cyprus Syria Lebanon Israel Jordan Egypt (Both T.R.N.C. And Southern Authority) (Both Israel And Palestinian Authority) (Outside of RA VI but it is located in the Eastern Mediterranean) http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 4/18 Logo design studies Selected Logo http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 5/18 Circular and regulations have been prepared http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 6/18 Web site designed by Kamuran Akyıldız TSMS has been delivering climate monitoring and seasonal forecast products to the Eastern Mediterranean countries through web site as a contribution to the RA VI Pilot RCC Network since April 2009. These climate prediction and information services contribute to enhanced social and economic resilience and decision making in many climate-sensitive sectors such as water, agriculture, fisheries, http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr health, forestry, transport, tourism, energy and disaster risk management. 7/18 Data Downloading Monitoring http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis.html 1. Menu -> Data -> Gridded Climate ->NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis -Surface -> Monthly mean temperature map'a click 2.Menu -> Data -> Gridded Climate ->NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis -> Derived Data -> Surface Fluxes -> Monthly mean Precipitation rate map click Latitude : 21.00N 43.00N Longitude: 19.00E 45.00E Seasonal http://www.ecmwf.int/services/archive/d/catalog/class=od/stream=mmsa/expve r=1/type=em/year=2010/origin=ecmf/system=3/method=1/levtype=sfc/ in order: Home > Services > Archive > Catalogue > Operational archive > Multi-model seasonal forecast monthly anomalies > 1 > Ensemble mean > 2010 > ECMWF > 3 > 1 > Surface > User ID: Password: http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 8/18 Data calculation, preparations NCEP DATA 99 St. TSMS DATA 130 St Converted from mm/sec to mm/month http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr Total N. of St. 229 9/18 Monitoring Monitoring data have been reprocessed, spatially enhanced and mapped by using ArcGIS Spatial Analyze Tool and Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation technique. (cell size:3x3km) http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 10/18 Rain rate anomaly calculation 2m temperature and rain rate anomaly data have been downloading from ECMWF by selecting 19.00E-45.00E Longitudes and 21.00N-43.00N Latitudes as NetCDF. Because of the rain rate anomaly data unit is (m/s -1) rain rate map legend has been converted to the mm/month by using below formula: http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 11/18 Prediction Prediction data have been downloading from ECMWF and enterpolating again by selecting from ArcGIS ArcToolbox, Multidimention Tools, Make NetCDF Raster Layer, (cell size: 25x25km) http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 12/18 Products 2m Temperature and Precipitation for the last month are been monitoring Delivering the products to the website End of the each month, the products have been delivered via ftp. As soon as 11 products are copied to the server, web site automatically is updated. http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 13/18 Products Each month, 4 prediction maps (T+1, T+2, T+3 and 3 months) have been preparing for 2m temperature and rain rate. http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 14/18 ed Products 11 products are been archiving for each month. http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 15/18 Training & capacity building More than 300 participants have been trained in WMO RTC in Alanya Facilities on Climate Indices, Regional Climate Models (PRECIS, RegCM3), AWOS, Telecommunications, Agricultural Meteorology, Climatological applications, etc http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 16/18 Research & Development http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 17/18 We hope that The Eastern Mediterranean Climate Center will be helpful for the countries located in the region, to their related sectors and decision makers. Serhat ŞENSOY, Mahmut KAYHAN, Dr. Mustafa COŞKUN, Gönül KILIÇ, Dr. İsmail DEMİR http://emcc.dmi.gov.tr 18/18