The Housing Report
Transcription
The Housing Report
The Housing Report JohnandMeganBillings|(520)247-4459 John@TheBillingsTucson.com|www.TheBillingsTucson.com Sun City Oro Valley | October 2016 In the Sun City Grand area, September 2016 active inventory was 132, a 25% increase from September 2015. There were 48 closings in September 2016, a 4% decrease from September 2015. Year-to-date 2016 there were 429 closings, a 13% decrease from year-to-date 2015. Months of Inventory was 2.8, up from 2.1 in September 2015. Median price of sold homes was $239,000 for the month of September 2016, down 9% from September 2015. The Sun City Grand area had 46newpropertiesundercontractinSeptember2016,up48%fromSeptember2015. CLOSED SALES AND NEW PROPERTIES UNDER CONTRACT – SUN CITY ORO VALLEY Closed Transactions 30 Properties Under Contract 25 20 15 10 5 Sep14 Oct14 Nov14 Dec14 Jan15 Feb15 Mar15 Apr15 May15 Jun15 Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 ACTIVE LISTINGS AND MONTHS OF INVENTORY – SUN CITY ORO VALLEY Active Listings 50 Months of Inventory 12.0 45 Active Listings 35 8.0 30 25 6.0 20 4.0 15 10 2.0 5 - 0.0 Sep14 Oct14 Nov14 Dec14 Jan15 Feb15 Mar15 Apr15 May15 Jun15 Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Properties under contract and Home Sales data is based on information obtained from the MLSSAZ using Brokermetrics software. All data obtained 10/05/2016 is believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 Months of Inventory 10.0 40 The Housing Report JohnandMeganBillings|(520)247-4459 John@TheBillingsTucson.com|www.TheBillingsTucson.com Sun City Oro Valley | October 2016 MEDIAN SOLD PRICE AND MEDIAN LISTED PRICE – SUN CITY ORO VALLEY Median Sale Price 300,000 Median List Price 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 Sep14 Oct14 Nov14 Dec14 Jan15 Feb15 Mar15 Apr15 May15 Jun15 Jul15 MONTHLY PAYMENT ON A MEDIAN PRICED HOME – SUN CITY ORO VALLEY Year 2006 2015 2016 Median Price Int. Rate $331,200 $219,500 $247,500 6.14% 3.88% 3.375% Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 30 YEAR FIXED MORTGAGE RATE 5.0 4.5 MO. Payment $1,914.84 $980.56 $1,039.48 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 10/2011 04/2013 99% 04/2016 Source: Bankrate.com Source: Residential median sales prices. Data obtained 10/05/2016 from MLSSAZ using Brokermetrics software. Monthly payments based on a 5% down payment on a median priced home. All data obtained is believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. DISTRESSED VS. NONDISTRESSED SALES – SUN CITY ORO VALLEY 10/2014 1% 99% 1% The percentage of property sales that are distressed, meaning bank owned or short sales, for the current year as compared to the same time period last year. A lower percentage of distressed sales can lead to improving market conditions. Distressed sales and market performance data is based on information obtained from the MLSSAZ on 10/05/2016. Information is believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. The Housing Report JohnandMeganBillings|(520)247-4459 John@TheBillingsTucson.com|www.TheBillingsTucson.com Sun City Oro Valley | October 2016 MARKET CONDITIONS BY PRICE BAND – SUN CITY ORO VALLEY Active Listings Last 6 Months Closed Sales Apr-16 May-16Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Current Months of Inventory Last 3 Month Trend Months of Inventory Market Conditions $1 - 49,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $50,000 - 74,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $75,000 - 99,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $100,000 - 124,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $125,000 - 149,999 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0.0 31.5 Buyer $150,000 - 174,999 0 1 2 2 0 0 1 0.0 76.0 Buyer $175,000 - 199,999 3 6 1 3 1 1 1 3.0 44.3 Buyer $200,000 - 224,999 3 3 3 4 4 3 1 3.0 16.3 Buyer $225,000 - 249,999 6 4 4 6 6 2 3 2.0 11.4 Buyer $250,000 - 274,999 3 1 1 2 1 2 2 1.5 16.2 Buyer $275,000 - 299,999 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 2.0 23.5 Buyer $300,000 - 349,999 4 2 2 1 2 0 1 4.0 37.0 Buyer $350,000 - 399,999 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 n/a 26.5 Buyer $400,000 - 499,999 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 n/a 47.0 Buyer $500,000 - 599,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $600,000 - 699,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $700,000 - 799,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $800,000 - 899,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $900,000 - 999,999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a $1,000,000 - and over 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a TOTAL 25 Seller’s Market 211320161212 Slight Seller’s Market Balanced Market 2.1 Slight Buyer’s Market 26.0 Buyer Buyer’s Market Statistics based on information obtained from MLSSAZ and using Brokermetrics software on 10/05/2016. 3 month trend in months of inventory is the average of closed sales and active listing data from 07/01/2016 - 09/30/2016. Information is believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. The Housing Report JohnandMeganBillings|(520)247-4459 John@TheBillingsTucson.com|www.TheBillingsTucson.com Sun City Oro Valley | October 2016 CHANGE IN MEDIAN SALES PRICE BY ZIP CODE 85739 85755 85658 85653 85742 85737 JUL 2015-SEP 2015 TO JUL 2016-SEP 2016 85704 85743 85741 This heat map represents the percentage of change in Tucson metro median sales prices from July 2015-September 2015 to July 2016-September 2016 by zip code. 85749 85750 85718 85705 85719 85712 85715 85745 85716 85711 85701 85735 85748 85710 85713 85708 Percentage of Change 85730 85714 85706 85707 85747 85757 85756 85746 85706 85614 MARKET SHARE – SUN CITY ORO VALLEY Long Realty leads the market in successful real estate sales. Data Obtained 10/05/2016 from MLSSAZ using BrokerMetrics software for all closed residential sales volume between 10/01/2015 – 09/30/2016 rounded to the nearest tenth of one percent and deemed to be correct. 85622 85629 85641 Long Realty Company 50.2% Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage 17.8% Tierra Antigua Realty 16.1% Keller Williams Southern Arizona 2.8% Homesmart Advantage Group 2.1% Realty Executives Tucson Elite 1.6% The Sun City Oro Valley Housing Report is comprised of data for residential properties in subdivisions of Sun City Vistoso in Oro Valley. Real Estate remains very localized and market conditions can vary greatly by not only geographic area but also by price range. Please feel free to contact me for a more in-depth analysis. These statistics are based on information obtained from the MLSSAZ and GVARMLS on 10/05/2016. Information is believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed.