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Forside til skriftligt arbejde/projekt
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Sub City News Sub-cultural updates for travelers Group 8 Axel Violon, Camil Manuel Hesse, Mette Larsen-Kaasgaard, Camilla Boel og Signe Hamann-Pedersen Table of Contents Executive summary Concept report 3 4 Product 4 Values 4 The reader segment 5 Subscriptions 5 Content 6 Visual identity 6 These are the subjects covered: 6 Content providers 7 Destinations 7 Market positioning and competitors 7 Business structure 9 Business Model 10 Customer segments 10 Value proposition 10 General outlines for end reader 10 Customer channels 11 Customer relationships 11 Revenue streams 12 Key resources 13 Key activities 13 Key Partnerships 13 Cost structure 14 Business Environment Industry Forces 16 16 Competitors & Substitute products/services 16 New Entrants 17 Suppliers and other value chains actors 17 Key Trends Societal and cultural trends Technology trends 17 17 18 Macroeconomic Forces 20 Global market conditions 20 Capital markets 20 Commodities and other resources 20 Economic infrastructure 20 Market Forces 21 Market Issues 21 Needs & Demands 21 Switching costs 21 Revenue attractiveness 21 References Appendix 1 Appendix 2 Appendix 3 22 23 25 26 2 Executive summary ”Congratulations! You are the winner of a trip to Barcelona!” How lucky can one be?! You start searching for information about Barcelona. Off to the bookstore, where all you find is static information about history and some old recommendations. Then you check out the Internet for travel and news sites, but you realise that it is a jungle to manoeuvre in. Until… you come across the website “Sub City News”! Here you can get information about European cities and see a current monthly issue, with local news from the culture underground: Local news combined with an up-to-date travel guide… For a small fee you can even subscribe to access passed issues, which gives you the possibility to dive into the subjects you find the most interesting: Sub culture, urban development, local politics, entrepreneurship and entertainment. Even though “Sub City News” is not filled with noisy advertisement, it is great opportunity that you can subscribe and read the issue without advertisement. It comes to your attention that the content is provided by local bloggers and institutions. The articles are in-depth and grasp the local news, while you as the reader are able to supplement with comments, ratings and reviews. Local news and information that you could otherwise only access, if you turn to the right people on your destination! You realise that with “Sub City News” you have finally found a multi-destination service, which prepares you with an updated overview for your vacation. You sign up right away, certain about coming back again before your next city holiday!” Figure I: An example of how “Sub City News” could look like 3 Concept report Product “Sub City News” is a web-based news service that is, like a magazine, issued every month and covers the subcultural news in a range of cities across Europe. The webportal entrance is an international overview with cover stories and an interactive map, from which the city of choice can be navigated to. “Sub City News” places itself on a cross-platform between local news and travel guide, engaging into these markets with attitude and the goal to attract young travellers around the globe. Small local units in different cities have established networks to the locals in order to provide the rest of the world with interesting and nuanced sub- and cultural news. These local text- or video bloggers and photographers are the main content providers along with in-house staff containing journalists and editors. The monthly issue becomes alive through encouragement of the readers to comment, discuss or share articles within their favourite social networks. The service is subscription based, which makes it possible to raise the standard for quality and reader expectations. There is a print function that allows the reader to take the pages of interest with him and allows quick and easy access to the news, while travelling offline. The issues of “Sub City News” will be written in English and the given native language of the chosen destination. Values When travelling we find value in acquiring knowledge that is unique, specific to our interests and with an authentic flavour wrapped around. We also find value in following developments of the places of remote family and friends. We find value in using one service that provides all of that, fast, in high quality, at low costs. We see that today the online news industry is, much alike the rest of the web, drained in a loud soup of information and commercial advertisement. It is still rather difficult to find content of particular interest without spending a fair amount of time searching the web. Even harder is it to find products with certain amount of quality and continuity that are not newspapers, covering ones place of residence. The notion of providing balance between the quality of the content, the visual identity and the advertising has moved towards the side, where lay-outing is being slaughtered for the benefit of marketing, thus not offering clues for the quality and authenticity of the content. It seems that there is a general perception (also on the web) that a lot of things should be for free, including news. This is only possible, when granting advertisers this platform of intrusion and spam. We are interested in creating a trustworthy service that provides you with news, produced by locals and about the local. News that is critical and nuanced. We believe in the willingness of our readers to pay for good and authentic content, and thereby raise their level of expectation. 4 The reader segment The readers of “Sub City News” are typically young people (20-40 years) of both genders, to whom travelling especially to cultural destinations is important or because they have family or friends abroad. Not only is this segment interested in sub- culture, but it actually gives them a sense of belonging to the cities “in-crowd” and is therefore crucial to maximise the outcome of the trip. Young travellers are eager to get in contact with young local people, to share common interests and experience and broaden cultural backgrounds. We consider “Sub City News” as a good starting point for tracing these interests and backgrounds, validate them and pass them along to your network. Vacations to sunny beaches or sport resorts are different: the classic travel guide with least expensive... or best value... tips applies. Many in our customer segment travel once or twice a year to a foreign city and thereby build grounds for the continuance of our service. They are people who don’t mind spending little money for good quality and tailored news and information regarding their interests and travel behaviours. Their English skills and their Internet usage is above average. We have created three personae to describe the usage of “Sub City News” in different context (Saffer, 2010): René is a computer engineer from Quebec, Canada, who is going on a long distance journey. Next month René is going to visit his brother in Copenhagen, Denmark, together with his family. The family is going to stay for two weeks, and is eager to visit some of the popular tourist attractions, but also to visit small and unknown places. They visit the “Sub City News” website, read the in-depth monthly issue, and get oriented on interesting things to see in Copenhagen. Michael is a successful art director from London. He has earlier lived with his girlfriend in Copenhagen, Denmark, when he was in his early twenties. The relationship didn’t last, so he went back home to London to start up his own business. However, he became really fond of Denmark, and uses “Sub City News” to keep up with what’s going on on a regular basis. Henriette is a teacher, who lives in Copenhagen. She likes to go abroad twice a year, mainly to other European cities, or to go on trips with a predefined content, such as opera, art exhibitions or modern ballet. For her next trip she is uncertain, where it is going to, so she wants to search for a destination. She goes to “Sub City News” in order to get inspired, to see what’s moving around in Europe, and to get information on upcoming events. See appendix 1 for full description of the personae. Subscriptions As mentioned earlier “Sub City News” is subscription based, which by all means doesn’t mean that one can’t read it for free. The current edition is available for free, accompanied by subtle advertisement. The free version includes to begin with all functionality, such as rating, commenting and discussing. Once a solid reader-base is established these features will be reserved for subscribers only. Sharing and recom- 5 mending are obviously free features, since they gain the spreading of the service. The subscribed versions are commercial free and have the additional print features. They also allow full access to past issues and the archives. Monthly subscriptions are either paid for three months or a year in advance, for a price of a coffee. We believe that the value of a subscription of “Sub City News” exceeds its costs and will therefore be appreciated by its base of readers. To that the magazine format has a string of advantages, which can motivate subscriptions. It generates tension and excitement towards the outcome of the next issue and gives something to look forward to every month. Most topics and featured articles will find the attention of the readers, due to the time gap between the issues and the fact of pre-payment. Content curators have made a choice for the reader, on what is most interesting and therefore no one is lost in the information overload like on many other news sites. Another aspect of financing this service by subscription is to make the reader appreciate the local efforts that have been made, by actually paying for that work. This process can harbour important opportunities for local content providers to actually pursue journalism. Content The contents of “Sub City News” cover a niche within news, with focus on subculture, local politics, urban development, entrepreneurship and entertainment. These subjects are chosen, because they match the interests of the customer segment and because they reveal the cultural capital or status of the cities. Besides the in-depth articles “Sub City News” promote cultural events, present ratings and reviews of both experts and readers and feature a calender of selected upcoming events. The timing of the articles and the subjects should possibly precede mainstream media attention, in order to keep the readers authentic expectations intact. These are the subjects covered: Subculture: Street art, underground music, upcoming artists, exhibitions etc. Local politics: Political development, city finances, political strategies Urban development: Architecture, city planning, city history etc. Entrepreneurship: Design, start-up businesses, young creatives, platform of growth Entertainment: Events, concerts, museums, nightlife Visual identity The purpose of this short paragraph is to constitute the importance of reflecting upon the values of the product compared to the needs of the segmentation. Since “Sub City News” is about subculture in large cities, the graphical style and layout must not be shy, but appropriately “edgy” in order to satisfy its readership visually. The goal is to ensure local independence and trends, while simultaneously maintaining a globally unified face that statues certain corporate and entrusting values to the readers. Typeface and layout are expected in cutting-edge magazine style, covering various themes or colours for the different monthly issues. 6 Content providers “Sub City News” is written mostly by local bloggers or other journalistic talents. They are the people, who know what is going on in the city, which enables them to contribute to the service in an intellectual and nuanced way. We will try to pay for these articles, but consider “Sub City News” to be a stepping stone for young writers or students and thereby formulate this trade off. Freelance or amateur photographers are also considered to be main producers of the content. With the growing of videoblogging, small features could be an interesting source of ongoing content. Another source for providing content are the municipalities and cultural institutions in the cities. They have great communication staffs, issuing press releases and other public material, which can be used or be of inspiration. Collaborations between “Sub City News” and these institutions can be motivated by giving access and exposure to one another. Once “Sub City News” gets into a more established state, in-house journalists and content producers could fulfill bigger roles, than the editorial work they do in the beginning. Setting up the content like this, is made both from an economical point of view, but mainly to sustain a local approach to news. - Local news produced by local people. Destinations Most European capitals or large cities are suitable to make “Sub City News” a success. In a starting phase five promising cities would act as core destinations, where Copenhagen also serves as “main office”. These cities could be: Barcelona, Berlin, Paris, Amsterdam, London, Vienna or Brussels. The main criteria for choosing the destinations are the cultural capacity, the newsworthiness, a high number of tourists and recruiting the “ground troops”. More exotic places like Lisbon, Istanbul, Helsinki or Edinburgh could add some flavour to the variety of destinations. Once this process is repeated a few times, acquiring new cities will be done with less effort. One could imagine that future projects could emerge globally in places like San Francisco, Mexico City, Sidney or Tokyo. Market positioning and competitors With “Sub City News” we would like to bridge the gap between local news and online travel guides. There are many major news and media companies, that have local news sections, but they constrain the radius of relevance within their own country (mostly USA). Local news is generally treated like global news, meaning that they don’t seem to have any distinct local characteristics. The format it is found in is the typical news portal style: infinite columns of articles, lots of junk ads and layouts that look very much alike. On the other side of the spectre, there are online travel guides, such as LonelyPlanet, Timeout or Tripadviser, which all provide multi-destination information. They are all run by the travel industry and try to sell other products than the websites themselves. We are addressing the travellers segment and provide them with news instead of travel information. News are more frequently updated than regular travel guides, so the choice of the web as the platform for the service emphasizes this dynamic approach. The service provides in-depth articles and lets the reader be able to have a discourse and reflect on them. This makes “Sub City News” an ongoing, living site, compared to travel guides, which leave no room for self-reflection to the user. 7 TRAVEL GUIDE TripAdvisor Politikkens The trip goes to Lonely Planet WikiTravel Governmental Insitutions Foreign Ministry VisitCopenhagen USER GENERATED OUR CONCEPT Inflight Magazines AOK ESTABLISHED COMPANY Media Companies VJ Movement Media providing multidestination information Media providing information for a single destination LOCAL NEWS Figure II: Positioning Map Shows where tourist may seek information (of all kinds) about their destination. Travelguide = Reviews, static information and history about tourist attractions, hotels, restaurants etc eg. cultural experiences Local News = Dynamic local news on all sorts of topics: breaking news as well as indepth stories. Figure 1: Positioning Map Shows where tourist may seek information (of all kinds) about their destination. Travelguide = Reviews, static information and history about tourist attractions, hotels, restaurants etc eg. cultural experiences Local News = Dynamic local news on all sorts of topics: breaking news as well as indepth stories. 8 Business structure To accommodate the needs of our customers and to differentiate us from our competitors, it is important that the content we deliver is not superficial, but sufficiently grasp the local sub news. This requires employees who are on “home ground”, wellupdated in the sub culture milieu and know which resources to contact and use. These employees are the biggest asset for “Sub City News”. Therefore our organisation must have an organic structure that involves decentralised units for each destination offered by our service. The work process in each unit can be characterised as project oriented. Each unit is responsible for their own destination with everything that this involves: assemble, create and edit content; web management and quality assurance; sales and marketing activities with local institutions and businesses. Strategic planning, web development, accounting and HR will be centralised in a head office, and will thereby constitute the established organisation. The advantages of this business structure are that you invite to transverse and crosscultural communication between the different destinations and thereby share bestpractices and knowledge about sponsoring, marketing, design and networking. Furthermore, you empower the personnel to make decisions, work independently, to be responsible for own unit, and motivate to be engaged in the company’s revenue stream and welfare. With a structure where each unit functions as self-contained departments, the overall financial system is less vulnerable, because the units will not effect each other. One of the disadvantages is that it might take some time to implement this decentralised structure due to national diversity. For example measured on Geert Hofstede’s Cultural Dimension, where for instance the “Power Distance Index” and “Uncertainty Avoidance Index” could be an issue, if the specific destination is used to operate with strict hierarchic organisations and work on specific prescribed assignments (Hofstede, 2009). 9 Business Model The business model is based on the business model canvas from Business Model Generation (Osterwalder & Pignuer, 2009). Customer segments The customer segment can be divided into two major groups: the reader and the B2B clients. This Multi-sided platform brings these two interdependent segments together, creating value by facilitating the interactions between the two groups. General outlines for end reader City travellers (who is traveling to explore the destination or to visit family or friends) Aged 20-40 years Both genders Urban citizens Travel 1-3 times per year English language skills Regular to experienced users of news sites on the Internet; use social networking sites or other co-creation sites. Cares about quality in content and usability on websites Interests: Urban culture, urban development, entrepreneurship, politics The business to business clientele are exchanging publicity space for money. These are local institutions and municipalities, together with companies from the travel industry, who are interested in making advertising on the local destination site. As “Sub City News” is a service, which is very focused on the value that we bring to the readers, a creation of a marketing manual will be mandatory to provide and guarantee a both relevant and interesting, but yet local advertisement content. This business segment is interested in branding the destination the best and most effective way as possible, and thereby gaining more tourists with a positive attitude towards the city. Value proposition As described, “Sub City News” cares to publish high quality content; local content produced by local people. “Sub City News” brings value to the segment by bringing a monthly issue, which quickly gives the tourist an overview of the most interesting stories within the local culture and urban development. A monthly issue makes it achievable only to focus on the most interesting and important in-depth stories, and thereby sort out all “the noise”, which you, as an Internet user, is bothered with when surfing. 10 “Sub City News” works for the convenience of the reader, which is key, so they won’t need to browse around hundreds of tourist sites, or be dependent to meet the “right” local people on spot to tell what is happening in their local community. Another evident value proposition “Sub City News” offers, is the foundation of customer loyalty. As “Sub City News” services several destinations, the user has the motivation to keep returning to the site, but for different travel purposes. The current monthly issue is for free, to make an extra added value to travellers, who just want a quick overview for their upcoming travel or for those wanting to evaluate the content before subscribing to the service. A subscription to the service is at a price of DKK 15,- (EUR 2,-) per month, which allows access to the archive and extended functionality. At the beginning, every reader will be able to comment and rate the articles so we can quickly get some content. But as soon as we have enough subscribers, we intent to reserve this functionality to subscribers only, to add a motivating factor. Customer channels The distribution of “Sub City News” is based on a website, meaning that it is accessible when being connected to the Internet. We assume that travellers read or print out the monthly issue of “Sub City News”, while planning and preparing for their vacation. Some people may not be aware of their need of “Sub City News” before they actually stand in a foreign airport or railway station. “Sub City News” in the form of a smartphone application is therefore an inevitable development of the website. Creating awareness worldwide for a global enterprise is a huge mouthful and can be very expensive. The most obvious communication channel to reach our segment and to brand our value proposition is to use all the existing online social media networks. A lot of corporate media companies already have integrated “Share on Facebook” buttons ending each news article, and many companies in the service industry, such as restaurants, local shops etc. are also doing this. These are inevitable and invaluable tools, when creating awareness, because it has no costs, just as word-of-mouth communication. The local bloggers producing content to the site are of course a huge asset and great ambassadors, since many of them have great networks of people following them already. Moreover it seems common that bloggers around the world discussing the similar topics follow each other, which hereby gives great exposure and awareness to the site. This will be characterized as reaching the segment, through partner channels. Within direct communication channels, e.g. where we pay to get exposure, there are many obvious places to call for attention. For instance, advertisement by the gate in the airport, at the railway station or in a travel magazine, where a 2G bar-code is visible to gain access to the application. Customer relationships Multiple customer segments require different types of customer relationships. The reader operates on a website, which includes some self-service elements and automated services, such as user profiles and extended functionality due to the monthly subscription fee. Simultaneously, there is a large base for a co-creation environment, 11 from which due to the nature of the content will evolve commentaries and discussions, spread out through online social networks, such as Twitter, Facebook or Youtube. Regarding the B2B segment, a personal contact and relationship keeping is of crucial importance. It is as well a networking or outgoing activity, as well as a maintaining of fertile partnerships, as discussed in key activities. Revenue streams The revenue streams derives from reader subscription and from web advertisement on the site. To gain an overview of the income, we have made some estimations on subscriptions and advertisement. The current monthly issue is for free, while a subscription to one destination on “Sub City News” is at a price of DKK 15,- (EUR 2,-) per month. You can also choose to follow more than one destination at DKK 40,- (EUR 5,-). The table below shows, how many subscribers we anticipate to have for the x number of destinations over 5 years. The subscribers are divided into single destination and multi destination subscriptions. Merging the number of subscribers shows that from year 1 to 5 with 5 to 10 destinations an increase from 1.000 to 60.000 subscribers Year Number of cities Number of subscriber for single destination Subscription / month Number of subscriber for multi destination Year 1 Multi destination subscription / month 5 Number of cities Number of subscriber for single destination 900 Subscription / month 2.00 INCOME Number of subscriber for multi destination 100 Year In this table itsubscription is seen that after 5 years Multi destination / month 5.00 Table A: Subscriptions Advertising Multi destination subscription 4 8 27000 2.00 3000 4 85.00 5 10 54000 2.00 60005 5.00 10 3600 12600 27000 2.00 2.00 2.00 400 1400 3000 1 2 3 4 the subscriptions 92% of 5.00 5.00includes 5.00 1 2 3 4 12,000.00 21,600.00 33,600.00 57,600.00 21,600.00 86,400.00 302,400.00 648,000.00 6,000.00 24,000.00 84,000.00 180,000.00 39,600.00 132,000.001 420,000.00 885,600.00 2 3 Number of cities Table B: Income Employees / city Website COSTS Maintenance Year Buildings Number of cities Employees/ city Employees Content Website Marketing Maintenance Buildings Total costs Employees Content Year Marketing Balance Total costs 1 5 1 - 10,000.00 0.00 - 36,000.00 - 150,000.00 - 27,000.00 - 30,000.00 - 253,000.00 Year Balance Cumulative balance 1 - 213,400.00 - 213,400.00 Cumulative balance 2 3 6 7 3600 12600 2.00 2.00 400 3 1400 5.00 7 5.00 54000 2.00 6000 5 thetotal 5.00 12,000.00 21,600.00 33,600.00 57,600.00 120,000.00 21,600.00 86,400.00 302,400.00 648,000.00 1,296,000.00 6,000.00 24,000.00 84,000.00 180,000.00 360,000.00 39,600.00 132,000.00 420,000.00 885,600.00 1,776,000.00 income. Subscribtion INCOME Total income Year Advertising Subscribtion Multi destination subscription COSTS Total Year income 1 5 900 2.00 100 2 5.00 6 5 120,000.00 1,296,000.00 360,000.00 1,776,000.00 4 5 5 6 7 8 10 1 1 2 2 2 - 10,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00- 1,500.00 - 2,000.00 2,500.00 3,000.00 2 3 4 5 - 36,000.00 - 43,200.00- 50,400.00 - 57,600.00 - 72,000.00 6 7 8 10 - 150,000.00 - - 420,000.00 - 480,000.00 - 600,000.002 1 180,000.00 2 2 - 27,000.00 - 75,600.00 -0.00 126,000.00 - 172,800.00 - 270,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -- 30,000.00 - 35,000.00 - 38,000.00 60,000.00 - 100,000.00 1,500.00 - 2,000.00 - 2,500.00 3,000.00 43,200.00 - 50,400.00 - - 57,600.00 - 72,000.00 - - 253,000.00 - 335,300.00 - 636,400.00 767,900.00 - 1,039,000.00 - 180,000.00 - 420,000.00 - 480,000.00 - 600,000.00 - 75,600.001 - 126,000.00 - 172,800.00 2 3 4 - 270,000.00 5 - 35,000.00 - 38,000.00 - 60,000.00 - 100,000.00 - 213,400.00 - 203,300.00 - 216,400.00 117,700.00 737,000.00 - 335,300.00 - 636,400.00 - 767,900.00 - 1,039,000.00 - 213,400.00 - 416,700.00 - 633,100.00 - 515,400.00 221,600.00 2 - 203,300.00 - 416,700.00 3 - 216,400.00 - 633,100.00 4 117,700.00 - 515,400.00 5 737,000.00 221,600.00 Chart 1: Income 12 As described earlier, the web advertisement needs to be controlled and minimized, so that the reader perceive “Sub City News” as professional. Moreover, within the first years we cannot expect the B2B clientele to pay large amounts for advertisement due to the relative low number of readers. Consequently, the revenue streams from advertisement will include a smaller percentage of the total income; 8% within 5 years. This revenue stream can easily become higher, when the B2B segment is ready to pay more, due to a higher number of readers. Key resources Key resources will be divided into two groups, the first representing city units and the second the main office. Both have an office space to maintain, where in the city unit only a limited staff is necessary, since the content providers co-exist elsewhere (bloggers, etc. working independently). A marketing expert, a web developer and a networker/journalist are needed to maintain each units business. To start off we imagine 1-3 employees in each city, which means that ideally one person possess more than one of the above-mentioned qualifications. The main office includes a much larger staff, consisting of graphic designers, web developers, HR personnel, accounting and legal department. Human capital and intellectual resources dramatically influence this service, since “knowing the right people” is a core asset of this project. Therefore networking and maintaining relationships are crucial tasks to be executed on a daily basis. Key activities Key activities are divided into two main tasks: networking and content/editorial work. Networking describes the building and maintaining of relationships to “the people on the ground”, which include connections to the bloggers, journalists, photographers or people with insight and knowledge on local trends. Each city unit maintains these networks independently, ensures quality and “creates” its own “newspaper”. So the editorial/curator work is spread out to the different cities. Furthermore, each unit is also responsible to perform key account activities; making contracts with relevant companies and institutions interested in having advertisement on the site. They can negotiate as they wish, the important thing is that each unit is responsible for its own revenue streams. There is also a set of key activities regarding the “main office”. It is considered the heart of this enterprise, setting the stage for all the different destination units. The main office holds a strategic overview on all projects and handles the accounting, legals and HR. Key Partnerships Key partnerships can include a variety of businesses and institutions. There are different kind of partner relationships imaginable, ranging from local collaborations or beneficiaries on either side to business agreements and relationships. To keep the costs at a minimum, cultural institutions or municipals could serve as content contributors, gaining exposure on the site as trade off. The local bloggers are key partners to us, as they also serve as content contributors, but more importantly they bring the “sub-knowledge” about the destination to our readers. 13 We anticipate the readers to take part in discussions by commenting articles or distribute content through social media networks, which therefore play a significant role in the partnership construct and this particular channel distribution of this product. Cost structure The costs of “Sub City News” are many, but the most apparent costs are for employees and content provided by bloggers, journalists or other institutions. City unit costs (fixed costs): Salaries and small office rent. Main office costs (fixed costs): Salaries, office establishment and website development and maintenance. Costs of content providers (variable costs): Content payment for each piece to journalist/blogger/media agency. COSTS Year 1 2 3 4 5 Number of cities 5 6 7 8 10 Employees / city 1 1 2 2 2 Website - 10,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maintenance 0.00 - 1,500.00 - 2,000.00 2,500.00 3,000.00 Buildings - 36,000.00 - 43,200.00 - 50,400.00 - 57,600.00 - 72,000.00 Employees - 150,000.00 - 180,000.00 - 420,000.00- 480,000.00 - 600,000.00 Content - 27,000.00 - 75,600.00 - 126,000.00- 172,800.00 - 270,000.00 Marketing - 30,000.00 - 35,000.00 - 38,000.00 - 60,000.00 - 100,000.00 - 253,000.00 - 335,300.00 - 636,400.00- 767,900.00 - 1,039,000.00 Total costs Table C: Costs Chart 2: Costs 14 Combining the revenue streams and cost structure, it shows that “Sub City News” will break-even in the fourth year, but yet again it should be considered that both revenue and costs are estimations, which should be backed up by more evident research. Year Balance Cumulative balance 1 2 3 4 - 213,400.00 - 203,300.00 - 216,400.00 117,700.00 - 213,400.00 - 416,700.00 - 633,100.00 - 515,400.00 5 737,000.00 221,600.00 Table D: Balance Chart 3: Balance 15 Business Environment Industry Forces “Sub City News” is operating in two major industries, being the news industry and the travel industry, which makes an analysis of the industry forces less straight-forward. Looking at the positioning map (in the concept section), placing “Sub City News” compared to other players in both industries, reveals a basic visual understanding of the market the concept is operating in. Competitors & Substitute products/services We have not been able to find an organisation/platform who can be categorised as a strong competitor, as the combination of the content (local news and tourist information) and the fact that it is a multi destinations platform, is not seen in our research so far. Therefore many of our “competitors” or substitute products can provide our segment with either a ‘multi-destination’ platform in the shape of a travel guide, recommending/reviewing accommodation, neighbourhoods, tourist attractions etc., while only local and ‘single-destination’ media companies, individual bloggers, can provide local sub-news from the specific destination. This means that you either have to search several places for the information/service we offer, or that the content you are looking for is only present in the native language of the destination. Looking at Copenhagen as an example, visitcopenhagen.dk is of course a huge competitor. When the tourist have decided to travel to this destination, it provides some of the same content, focusing on cultural news and upcoming events in a travel guide manner. Visitcopenhagen is a part of Wonderful Copenhagen and Visit Denmark, which of course means that there is a solid organisation behind; Denmark’s official tourism organisation, focusing on attracting tourist to Denmark and branding Denmark in general. Visitcopenhagen is just a single unit destination, so where we would have an apparent competitive advantage is, when a tourist have used our platform once, they know that we provide the same service for other destinations when they are travelling the next time. Moreover, our service is more differentiated and may appeal more to a niche segment, as defined with our personae, whereas visitdenmark/Copenhagen is determined to satisfy the masses. Copenhagen is just an example of how we of course have competitors at each destination, meaning that the above description may as well be applicable to Barcelona, Edinburgh or somewhere else. 16 New Entrants In general the entry barriers to retrieve the market, and create a web based communication platform, is low compared to for instance the industry of industrial production. The start-up capital need is only for the design and production of the platform, and then the major expenses are wages. On the other hand, the most important asset to retrieve this market, and being able to meet the needs of the target group, is human capital. Competences, knowledge and personality is pivotal to make this business work, as you need the right people, with the right network to be responsible at each destination. This is the primary key for this service, but also here when talking about if competitors can retrieve the same market serving the same target group. Another important aspect, when talking of retrieving barriers, is how easy it is for the user to shift to another platform/service. Users are very little loyal on the Internet, because it is easy and cost free to browse around on different sites. Creating customer value and customer relation is therefore crucial, and the best place to start is to have an easy and intuitively user interface. Suppliers and other value chains actors Our value chain is yet again dependent on human capital. As described above we are 100% dependent on key employees at each destination and their network to bloggers, local institutions and other influential people, who know what is happening at the destination and who can create content to our platform. Sponsors and partners are also part of our value chain as they, either through advertisement or for example integrated services as online restaurant booking, also provide the user with content about the destination, which the tourist might be seeking. Again, this creates value to the user. Key Trends The most important trends to research for with our concept, is our segments’ behaviour on the Internet, the consumption of news and their travel patterns and expenditures, e.g. the societal and cultural trends and the technology trends. This is evident to analyse, if the market is increasing or decreasing. The key trends are based on figures and facts from Denmark as an overview of the trends. With an international based concept as ours, of course it is crucial that key trends from each destination in question should be analysed in depth. Societal and cultural trends The desire for travelling is still increasing. Key trends in the Danish travel industry show a continual increase in the number of travels from 2005 with approx. 3,5 millions travels to 4,5 millions travels in 2007 (Appendix 2). The financial crisis have of course affected the Danish travel industry after these figures, but Copenhagen Airport 17 reports a general healthy growth of international travels since the crisis hit Denmark. A press release from Copenhagen Airport from February 2011 reveals a passenger increase of 9,1 % in 2010, and without the Ash-cloud closing the European air space, Copenhagen Airport would have exceeded the record year with the largest number of travellers. The number of local passengers travelling internationally increased with 9,5% in 2010 (CPH, 2011). As described, our concept primarily focuses on people, who are travelling to major cities or to visit family and friends. Figures from 2009 (Appendix 3, Table 9) show the purpose of the travel (min. 4 days), where it is seen that 17% of all outbound travellers are visiting family and friends, and 17% are going on city holiday. Comparable, table 17 (Appendix 3) shows the same figures but for travels less than 4 days. Here ‘city travels’ and ‘visiting family and friends’ includes the majority of 54 % of the travels. Last but not least 32% of all these travellers are between 25-44, e.g. belonging to our segment. This same age group uses an average of DKK 2.582 per every short travel (less than 4 days) and DKK 8.118 per every longer travel, and they are thereby the age group using more money on longer trips; 13% more than the age group 45-64. In 2008 the travel expenses were 2,6% of the total annual expenses in an average household in Denmark (DST: Forbrugerundersøgelse 2009, 2010). Overall this indicates a huge and increasing market of travellers within our segment, and healthy buyer behaviour within this industry. Holding these trends up against our Business Model, it is clear that comparing the average travel expenses to the costs of the Sub City News service is very little. DKK 15,- (EUR 2,-) for the 1 month subscription is only 0,5% of the travel expenses for a short travel and only 0,2% of the expenses for a longer travel (+ 4 days). Also it may be evident to compare the price to the travel guidebooks, which you find in every book store. Definitely, there is a market for these travel book, such as Lonely Planet and the Danish “Politikken - Rejsen går til..”, and the price for such a book is approximately EUR 20,-, meaning 10 times the price of “Sub City News”. Technology trends Our segment’s use of the Internet is of course crucial and inevitable to determine, whether our concept can be successful. General figures on the Danish people’s use of the Internet provide a great overview of the technological trends. Today the Internet is used for all kind of purposes, for instance communication, seeking information, gaming, e-purchasing etc. As seen in figure III the most popular is writing and receiving emails. But while the growth of this diffusion is low, other applications are in a huge diffusion growth such as using social networking sites and reading blogs. 18 Figure III: Trends in diffusion of selected forms of communication on the Internet. 2008-2009 (Danmarks Statistik: Befolkningens brug af internettet 2009, http://www.dst.dk/publikation. Danmarks Statistik: Befolkningens brug af internet 2009 http://www.dst.dk/publikation.aspx?cid=14039 aspx?cid=14039) In 2009, the amount of people reading blogs increased from 22% to 33%, at the same time as the amount of active bloggers was doubled from 9% to 18%. The amount of people reading or downloading online news increased from 62% to 74%, and 65% used the Internet to search for information relating to travels or overnight stays. Within the age group 20-39, there are some important numbers to be aware of. 44% are reading blogs, while 26% is writing content for blogs, which is a relatively smaller group compared to the 16-19 years-old, but still much more than the average. 78% of our target group reads online news and 68% searches for travel information online, which also represents more than the average (DST: Befolkningens brug af internet 2009, 2010). Again it must be emphasized that these figures are from 2009 and a huge increase has without doubt changed the numbers’ applications and diffusion dramatically. 19 Macroeconomic Forces Global market conditions As you can read in the article “Who killed the newspaper?” from the economist website, the news market has experienced a bust in the last 10 years. According to the Newspaper Association of America, the number of people employed in the industry fell by 18% between 1990 and 2004. The New York Times share price had fallen by nearly half between 2002 and 2006. And the situation is not going better since then. Plus the world just went through a global economic crisis that does not help the market to recover from its bust. Capital markets As explained above, the news market is not doing well lately. Therefore, obtaining funding now can be difficult. However, our service can be launched at a fairly low price, which should help us find fundings. Commodities and other resources Human resources is key for our service. Since December 2009, the unemployment rate in Denmark is decreasing, while the one for the journalism and communication professions is increasing (DST Unemployment 2011 & Journalisten, 2009). This unemployment rate offers us the opportunity to employ the ‘right’ people. Economic infrastructure We are willing to launch our service in occidental Europe, meaning in one of the richest region of the world, where the quality of life is high and the density of culture is probably the highest in the world. Most people are educated and the proportion of English speaker travelers is already high. The occidental Europe market offers us the highest ratio of customer (Human Development Reports, 2010). 20 Market Forces The environment of our business is at midway between news and travelling, our value proposition is about news, while our customer segments are the travellers. Market Issues In the last ten years, the news market experienced a lot of changes. For a long time people were used to pay for the paper version of the news. But since the explosion of Internet and free blogging around the year 2000, news companies had to switch their business model and offer a free online version of the news. The news market is now following the trend of smartphones and tablets by offering free application on these devices. Facebook also can play an important role in the evolution of the news industry as seen in the article ‘How Facebook can change the news industry’ from digitalmarketinginstitute.ie website. All these changes are positive for the reader, since you can access what you used to read for free. But on the other hand, the news industry is suffering from this evolution, as already described in the global market conditions section. Needs & Demands As shown in the table 15 (Appendix 3) of the danish statistic of 2009, 81% of our segment prefers to organize their holidays by themselves. That means that they look for information on websites or in travel guide books to pick up information on probably any tourist attraction in the world. However, it’s not as easy to find sub news and underground places as finding touristic places. Even if we don’t have data to back up our theory, we believe that travellers not only want to see the attractive places, but also want to go to the places that the locals go to. Switching costs The price of the subscription to a newspaper is quite small, which make the switching costs small as well. However, people usually read the same newspapers. That means that the fidelity is really high in this market. Since we are offering a really different type of news, we can’t say that the newspapers people already read are competitors. Meaning we are not suffering competition, but we can actually benefit from the fidelity of these readers. Revenue attractiveness What people are really ready to pay for is convenience. For instance, the great success of Apple iPod is due to the convenient way to synchronize music between the computer and the iPod using iTunes. Regarding the news industry, the major issue is the volume of news produced. People can’t read all the news published on the Internet. Mainstream news companies created categories and filtering to help people select the news they might be interested in. By limiting our publications at one per month, we expect to offer content that would interest the majority of our readers. To make it simple, we make the selection for them, and we believe that’s the most convenient way to read news and that people are ready to pay for this convenience. 21 References CPH (2011) Copenhagen Airport, press release 2011 http://www.cph.dk/CPH/DK/PRESSE/Nyheder/2011/Lavprisvaekst+hoejere.htm http://www.cph.dk/CPH/DK/PRESSE/Nyheder/2011/Et+aar+med+vaekst.htm retrieved April 12th 2011 DST Befolkningens brug af internet (2010) Befolkningens brug af internet 2009, published October 26th, 2009 http://www.dst.dk/publikation.aspx?cid=14039 DST Forbrugerundersøgelsen (2010) NYT fra Danmarks Statistik, Forbrugerundersøgelsen 2007-2009, published December 15th 2010 http://www.dst.dk/Statistik/Nyt/Emneopdelt.aspx?psi=404 retrieved April 29th 2011 DST Unemployment Rate (2011) Unimployment rates for Journalists http://www.statistikbanken.dk/ugdk/109900 Hofstede (2009) Geert Hofstede http://www.geert-hofstede.com/ , retrieved April 24th 2011 Human Development Reports (2010) http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/data/ retrieved May 11th 2011 Journalisten (2009) “Journalister dobbelt så arbejdsløse som gennemsnittet”, Øjvind Hesselager published July 1st 2009 http://journalisten.dk/node/13337 retrieved May 11th 2011 Osterwalder & Pignuer (2009) Alexander Osterwalder & Yves Pigneur Business Model Generation, Self Published 2009, pp. 15-44 Saffer (2010) Dan Saffer Designing for Interaction, Second Edition: Creating Innovation Applications and Devices. New Riders, pp.106-111 22 Appendix 1 Personas/segment Of course everybody is invited to use the website/the app. However, we have decided to define a specific target group/define the typical user and make the outlines about their values in order to be able to make a website/app with the right design, language etc. Outlines about or segment in general The archetypal users are: 20-40 years of age Urban citizens Travel 1-3 times per year English language skills are medium/high Regular/experienced users of the Internet In the following section we will present three different personas, who are representative to our target group, and who cover the three different traveling types that we have decided to work with. As suggested by Saffer (2010) we have included details about their demography, and tried to capture some of their goals, passions and behaviour patterns. 1) René - going to a city for the first time 2) Michael - wanting to get information about a former residence. 3) Henriette - taking a short trip without knowing which destination yet Persona - Michael - wanting to get information about a former residence. Michael is a 26-year-old successful art director, who is in head of his own graphic design and communication business, in which he has five young and enthusiastic people employed. He lives a free single life in the Soho district in London in a big pent house apartment. Michael loves having his friends and business partners over for dinner parties every other evening, as he is quite a magician in the kitchen. He also loves going out to the hippest clubs in town, but sometimes also just hangs around in the local bar or ethnic restaurant. Michael gets around riding his white designer bike or by shiny roller blades, and always brings along his camera in order to capture exciting and appealing things that he meets on his way. Often he visits modern art museums and galleries especially presenting young upcoming artists. Michael is self taught as a graphic designer, but did attend some courses in international business in a business school in Copenhagen, Denmark, when he was in his early twenties.The main reason why he went there was that he then had a Danish girlfriend, that he went to go and live with. The relationship didn’t last, and neither did he finish his education, so he went back home to London after two years to start up his business. However, he became really fond of Denmark, and uses Sub City News’ monthly issue to keep up with what’s going on on a regular basis. Especially he got hooked on Copenhagen and the underground life there. 23 Persona – Henriette - taking a short trip without knowing which destination yet Henriette is 29 years old and lives in Copenhagen. She is a Danish and English teacher at one of the finest schools, which the children of the royal family attend. However she herself lives in a working/middle class area in the north west of the city. She lives in a cheap apartment alone with her cat, but has a boyfriend (or should you say a lover). As a teacher Henriette is not payed very well, so she hasn’t got the money to travel as much as she would like to. However, she does manage to save and go abroad twice a year, mainly to other European cities, but she also likes to go on trips with a predefined content, such as opera, art exhibitions or modern ballet. Her last trip went to Munich, where she watched the Stravinskij-opera “The Rake’s Progress” and visited a friend of hers, who is studying art history. Her next trip she is uncertain where is going to, but it shoul definetely be a reconciliation trip with her boyfriend/lover, she thinks... She goes to Sub City News in order to get inspired, to see what’s moving around in Europe, and to get information on upcoming events. Apart from her travelling, Herniette doesn’t really spend that much money on herself. Politically Henriette is around the middle, but politics doesn’t really interest her that much, although it ought to, she thinks. She prefers though to spend her evenings painting or seeing friends (or her boyfriend/lover) instead of watching the dull news on the telly. Persona – René - going to a city for the first time René is a 36 year-old Canadian, who lives in the suburbs of Quebec with his wife, Michelle, and their two 10-year-old twin daughters, Amélie and Julie. For a living he is a computer engineer at a large international oil company, and both he and his wife work many hours a week. Therefore they have hired a young Philippine au-pair, Elsi, who is helping out with the kids and the daily household. Next month René is going to visit his brother (who moved with his family to Copenhagen, Denmark three years ago) together with his family. The family is going to stay for two months, and is eager to visit some of the popular tourist attractions. René has been travelling a lot in Canada and the states with his job, but he hasn’t really had the chance to go abroad before. Now the timing is perfect – he has been saving up a great deal of money for the trip, the kids are older now and easier to travel with, and he and his wife really need something new and positive to happen in their relationship (since last year they almost split up due to a short affair he had with the neighbour’s wife). They visit Sub City News’ website, read the in depth monthly issue, and get oriented on interesting things to see in Copenhagen. Politically René is an active democrat, and has considered running for election for the local city council. Apart from this in his spare time René likes spending time surfing on the internet, going fishing, reading novels (mainly classical American), occasionally drink home-brew-beers with the guys, and once in a while to go mountain hiking with some old scout friends. 24 Appendix 2 TOTAL of Leisure Travels Min. 4 overnights aborad (outside DK) # Travels 2005 2006 2007 2008 3.532.000 4.054.000 4.416.000 3.888.334 Top Destinations for min. 4 overnights aborad (outside DK) In percentage (%) Joined table from 4 different reports www.dst.dk Publications: NYT fra Danmarks Statistik Emnegruppe: Serviceerhverv Ferie- & Forretningsrejser 2005 - 2008 2005: www.dst.dk/nytudg/7944 2006: www.dst.dk/nytudg/9272 2007: www.dst.dk/nytudg/10621 2008: www.dst.dk/nytudg/12289 25 Appendix 3 26 STATISTISKE EFTERRETNINGER SERVICEERHVERV 2010:9 ! 14. juli 2010 Ferie- og forretningsrejser 2009 Resumé Rejserne til udlandet gik typisk til Spanien og Italien, mens Region Nordjylland og Region Midtjylland var de mest valgte destinationer i Danmark, når danskerne tog på ferier med mindst fire overnatninger. Danskerne foretrak at bo i sommerhus i Danmark og på hotel i udlandet. Kort om statistikken: Statistikken er et led i en fælles EU-turismeundersøgelse. Den har til formål at beskrive danskernes rejsemønster, hvad angår forretnings-, ferie- og fritidsrejser med overnatninger uden for eget hjem. Herigennem belyses bl.a. den anvendelse af infrastruktur og overnatningstilbud, som turismen giver anledning til. Endvidere opnås informationer om ferietype, turisternes aldersfordeling, rejsegruppens størrelse, rejsens organisation og turisternes samlede udgifter ved rejsen. Pga. omlægning af undersøgelsen er der databrud, hvilket betyder, at det ikke er muligt at sammenligne resultatet for 2008 og 2009 med tidligere undersøgelser. Undersøgelsen omlagt I 2008 gennemførtes en metodisk omlægning af undersøgelsen af ferie- og forretningsrejser. De væsentligste ændringer er, at der nu spørges deltaljeret til de seneste tre rejser mod tidligere fem, at der spørges specifikt til besøg hos venner/familie og ophold i eget sommerhus, samt at der ikke længere spørges tolv måneder tilbage for de lange rejsers vedkommende (over fire overnatninger), men kun tre måneder tilbage. Resultat Grundet dette databrud forekommer antal rejser kun som procent-andele af den samlede population. Da alle procenttal afrundes, er det ikke altid muligt at summere til 100. Oversigtstabel 1. Antal ferie- og forretningsrejser i alt. 2009 Antal rejser pct. Ferierejser i alt Korte ferierejser i alt Ferierejser i Danmark med 1-3 overnatninger Ferierejser i udlandet med 1-3 overnatninger 64 Lange ferierejser i alt Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger 12 Forretningsrejser i alt Forretningsrejser i Danmark Forretningsrejser i udlandet Flest lange ferierejser til udlandet og flest korte rejser i Danmark 100 7 16 100 38 62 Ud af det samlede antal ferierejser var de 16 pct. udlandsrejser med mindst 4 overnatninger, og 64 pct. var korte rejser i Danmark. 62 pct. af forretningsrejserne gik til udlandet. 2 2010:9 Rejseudgifter størst til udlandsrejser Danskerne brugte i gennemsnit 5.188 kr. pr. rejse på lange rejser i 2009. Den gennemsnitlige rejseudgift til udenlandske rejser lå med 7.416 kr. pr. rejse noget højere end udgiften til indenlandske rejser på 2.244 kr. pr. rejse. Se tabel 26. Lange ferierejser i Danmark Formål med ferierejsen Når danskerne i 2009 holdt ferie i Danmark, tog 50 pct. i sommerhus. 35 pct. skulle besøge familie og venner, og 6 pct. tog på naturferie. Se tabel 1. Flest rejser om sommeren Flest indenlandske ferierejser (55 pct.) foretages ikke overraskende i sommermånederne juni, juli og august. 80 pct. af rejserne havde en længde på 4-7 døgn. I gennemsnit havde man 7,43 overnatninger pr. rejse. Se tabel 2 og 3. Det mest populære danske rejsemål En fjerdedel af alle ferierejser i Danmark gik til Region Nordjylland. Region Midtjylland og Region Syddanmark var også populære med 24 og 21 pct. af rejserne. Region Hovedstaden havde færrest besøg med 10 pct. Se tabel 4. Bilen det foretrukne transportmiddel På ferierejser i Danmark er det foretrukne primære transportmiddel uden sammenligning bil. 80 pct. af danskerne anvender bilen, når de rejser i Danmark. Det næstmest anvendte transportmiddel er toget, som blev benyttet på 11 pct. af rejserne. For de 15-24-årige var fordelingen dog lidt anderledes. I denne aldersgruppe blev bilen kun anvendt på 67 pct. af rejserne, mens tog og bus blev valgt på henholdsvis 17 og 11 pct. af rejserne. Se tabel 5 og figur 1. Flest bor hos venner og familie Indkvartering hos venner og familie (inkl. lånt sommerhus) var den mest benyttede indkvarteringsform med 39 pct. af de lange ferierejser i Danmark. Dernæst følger eget feriehus med 26 pct., lejet feriehus med 18 pct. og camping med 9 pct. Se tabel 6 og figur 1. Figur 1. Ferierejser i Danmark, indkvarteringsform og transportmiddel. 2009 90 Pct. 80 80 70 60 50 39 40 26 30 18 20 10 11 9 5 3 3 2 3 0 Hotel Camping Lejet Eget Familie/ Andet feriehus feriehus venner Indkvarteringsform Fly Bil Bus Tog Andet Transportmiddel Selvarrangerede rejser dominerer Kun 2 pct. af de indenlandske rejser var arrangeret af et rejsebureau. 98 pct. af rejserne var således selvarrangerede. Se tabel 7. 27 pct. rejser med børn På rejser i Danmark var rejsegruppens størrelse gennemsnitligt på 2,41 personer fra den samme husstand. 27 pct. af rejserne var med børn under 15 år. De 25-44 årige var den aldersgruppe, der oftest rejste sammen med børn. Således var 65 pct. af rejserne i denne gruppe med børn. Se tabel 8. 2010:9 3 Rejsegruppe bestod typisk af to personer fra samme husstand Den typiske rejsegruppe bestod af to personer over 15 år fra samme husstand; det var tilfældet på 42 pct. af rejserne. For personer på 65 og derover var den dominerende tendens at rejse to fra husstanden (60 pct.), og for aldersgruppen 45-64 år var der to personer fra husstanden på 61 pct. af rejserne. For aldersgruppen 15-24 år var 48 pct. af rejserne uden følgeskab fra andre i husstanden. Se tabel 8. Lange ferierejser i udlandet Badeferier populære Mange danskerne tager på badeferie, når de rejser til udlandet. Således tog 26 pct. af sted på ferie for at bade. 17 pct. tog på storbyferie, mens 17 pct. besøgte venner og familie. Se tabel 9. Sommermånederne mest populære Sommermånederne juli og august var de mest populære rejsemåneder. 30 pct. af samtlige rejser til udlandet blev foretaget i disse måneder. Juli måned var den mest populære med 19 pct. af alle rejser. For de 15-24 årige tog 26 pct. på ferie i juli. For de ældre på 65 år og derover var juni den mest populære rejsemåned med 15 pct. af rejserne. Rejserne er generelt mere spredt over hele året for de ældres vedkommende. Se tabel 10. Hvor lange var rejserne? 61 pct. af udlandsrejserne havde en varighed på 4-7 døgn, og 25 pct. varede 8-14 døgn. De rejsende havde i gennemsnit 9,36 overnatninger pr. rejse. Se tabel 11. Spanien var den foretrukne destination De tre mest populære rejsemål på de lange rejser til udlandet var Spanien (16 pct.), Italien (10 pct.) og Sverige (8 pct.). For de ældre over 65 år er Sverige, Tyskland og Norge de næstmest foretrukne rejsemål efter Spanien. Den mest populære destination uden for Europa er USA med 3 pct. af rejserne. Herefter kommer Thailand med 2 pct. af rejserne og Egypten med 1 pct. Se tabel 12 og figur 2. Figur 2. Ferierejser med mindst 4 overnatninger til udlandet. 2009 Spanien Italien Sverige Frankrig Tyskland Norge Grækenland Østrig Tyrkiet Storbritannien 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 pct. Fly mest anvendte transportmiddel Fly var det foretrukne transportmiddel på 62 pct. af udlandsrejserne. Derefter fulgte bil med 26 pct. og bus med 6 pct. Se tabel 13 og figur 3. Flest sov på hotel På halvdelen af rejserne til udlandet var hotel den anvendte indkvarteringsform. Indkvartering hos familie og venner blev foretrukket på 20 pct. af rejserne og lejet feriehus på 9 pct. af rejserne. Vandrerhjem blev benyttet af 8 pct. af de 15-24 årige mod 12 pct. af de øvrige aldersgrupper. Se tabel 14 og figur 3. 4 2010:9 Figur 3. Ferierejser til udlandet, indkvarteringsform og transportmiddel. 2009 70 Pct. 62 60 50 50 40 26 30 20 20 9 10 3 5 9 6 4 4 2 0 Hotel Feriecenter Cam- Lejet Eget Familie/ Andet ping feriehus feriehus venner Indkvarteringsform Fly Bil Bus Tog Andet Transportmiddel Næsten tre fjerdedele arrangerede selv rejsen I 2009 var 71 pct. af samtlige udlandsrejser selvarrangerede. For aldersgruppen over 65 år var der 39 pct., der købte en pakkerejser. Andelen af købte pakkerejser for de øvrige aldersgrupper svingede mellem 19 pct. og 36 pct. Se tabel 15. Hvor mange rejser med børn? Rejsegruppens størrelse var i gennemsnit på 2,21 personer fra samme husstand. 21 pct. havde børn under 15 år med på rejsen. Personer i aldersgruppen 25-44 år havde dog børn med på 47 pct. af rejserne. Se tabel 16. Rejseudgifter Danskerne brugte i gennemsnit 7.416 kr. pr. person pr. rejse i på lange rejser til udlandet. Se tabel 26. Korte ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger Ferierejsens formål 92 pct. af de korte ferier brugte danskerne primært til at besøge familie og venner eller tage i sommerhus. På de korte rejser til udlandet var der 56 pct. i sommerhus og besøg hos venner/familie. Også de udenlandske storbyer blev besøgt, idet 27 pct. af rejserne havde storbyferie som rejsens formål, hvorimod kun 1 pct. af de korte rejser i Danmark havde storbyferie som formål. Se tabel 17. Flest korte rejser i Danmark De fleste korte rejser med 1-3 overnatninger blev afholdt inden for Danmarks grænser. Således blev 90 pct. af rejserne holdt i Danmark. Sverige og Tyskland er de mest populære udenlandske feriemål med henholdsvis 4 pct. og 3 pct. af de korte rejser. Se tabel 18. De fleste tager bilen På de korte rejser var det mest anvendte transportmiddel bil, som blev brugt på 75 pct. af rejserne. På de korte rejser i Danmark valgte danskerne bilen som transportmiddel på 76 pct. af rejserne, mens 15 pct. rejste med tog. Bilen og flyet var de oftest anvendte transportmidler på de korte udlandsrejser med henholdsvis 63 pct. og 23 pct. Se tabel 19 og figur 4. Mange overnatter hos familie og venner Indkvartering hos familie og venner og ophold i eget feriehus var med 85 pct. den mest udbredte indkvarteringsform på de korte ferierejser efterfulgt af hotelovernatninger med 7 pct. På rejserne til udlandet var det oftest hoteller, der blev brugt som indkvarteringsform med 38 pct. af rejserne, mens det på 25 pct. af rejserne til udlandet var familie og venner, som stod for indkvarteringen. Se tabel 20 og figur 4. 2010:9 5 Figur 4. Ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger, indkvarteringsform og transportmiddel. 2009 80 Pct. 75 68 70 60 50 40 30 17 20 10 7 2 2 14 4 4 3 4 0 Hotel Camping Lejet Eget Familie/ Andet feriehus feriehus venner Indkvarteringsform Rejseudgifter på 938 kr. pr. person pr. rejse Fly Bil Bus Tog Andet Transportmiddel I 2009 brugte danskerne gennemsnitligt 938 kr. pr. person pr. rejse. På de korte rejser i Danmark blev der i gennemsnit anvendt 779 kr. pr. rejse, mens der blev anvendt 2.387 kr. pr. rejse til udlandet. Se tabel 26. Forretningsrejser med overnatninger Forretningsrejsens formål 28 pct. af rejserne blev foretaget i forbindelse med rådgivning eller undervisning, mens en fjerdedel foretog forretningsrejser med uddannelse som formål. 20 pct. af rejserne blev brugt som led i kontraktforhandlinger. Se tabel 21. 60 pct. af forretningsrejserne gik til udlandet Sverige og Tyskland var de mest besøgte destinationer på forretningsrejser til udlandet i 2009. Rejser til de to destinationer udgjorde 21 pct. af alle forretningsrejser. Rejser i Danmark udgjorde 38 pct. af alle forretningsrejser. Se tabel 22. Bil eller fly på forretningsrejsen Generelt var fly det foretrukne transportmiddel på forretningsrejser, hvilket blev anvendt på 50 pct. af alle rejserne. Det næstmest benyttede transportmiddel var bil, som blev anvendt på 38 pct. af rejserne. Flytransport blev typisk anvendt på forretningsrejser til udlandet (75 pct.), mens bilen blev foretrukket som transportmiddel på indenlandske forretningsrejser (70 pct.). På forretningsrejser i Danmark var toget det næstmest brugte transportmiddel med 19 pct. af rejserne. Se tabel 23 og figur 5. Hotellet foretrækkes på forretningsrejser Hotel blev benyttet på 88 pct. af alle forretningsrejserne i 2009. På forretningsrejser i Danmark blev indkvartering hos familie og venner benyttet på 8 pct. af rejserne. På forretningsrejser til udlandet blev hotel valgt på 93 pct. af rejserne. Se tabel 24. 6 2010:9 Figur 5. Forretningsrejser med transportmiddel. 2009 Bil 38 pct. Fly 50 pct. Skib 2 pct. Varighed og rejseudgifter på forretningsrejserne Tog 9 pct. Bus 1 pct. 37 pct. af forretningsrejserne havde en varighed på 1 døgn, og 27 pct. varede 2 døgn. Den gennemsnitlige rejseudgift pr. forretningsrejse til udlandet var 8.642 kr. Tilsvarende var den gennemsnitlige udgift 2.277 kr. pr. forretningsrejse i Danmark. Se tabel 25 og 26. Baggrundsoplysninger Mere information Der findes ikke mere detaljeret information. Seneste offentliggørelse Ferie- og forretningsrejser 2008 udkom 14. juli 2009 i serien Serviceerhverv 2009:9 (Statistiske Efterretninger). Næste offentliggørelse Ferie- og forretningsrejser 2010 udkommer primo juli 2011 i serien Serviceerhverv (Statistiske Efterretninger). Henvendelse Else-Marie Rasmussen, tlf. 39 17 33 62, emr@dst.dk Kilder og metoder Læs mere i varedeklarationen På www.dst.dk/varedeklarationer/979 er der yderligere information om kilder og metoder. Pga. metodeændringer i 2008 er sammenligninger med tidligere år ikke mulig. Undersøgelsens metode Ændret spørgerskema Undersøgelsen gennemføres ved telefoninterview spredt ud over alle årets måneder og dage (mandag-søndag). Deltagerne i undersøgelsen er et tilfældigt udsnit af danskere på 15 år eller derover. I 2008 blev spørgerskemaet, der er grundlag for interviewundersøgelsen, ændret. Ændringen skete som følge af ønsket om at reducere antallet af spørgsmål. Den væsentligste ændring er, at der nu spørges specifikt, om man har været i eget sommerhus eller besøgt venner og familie. Tidligere blev der spurgt om antal lange rejser et år tilbage. Nu spørges der kun tre måneder tilbage. Herudover spørges der, om man har været på rejser med mindst en overnatning, hvorimod der tidligere blev spurgt til, om man havde været på en rejse med mindst fire overnatninger. Samlet set medfører disse ændringer, at der er et databrud mellem statistikken for 2007 og 2008. 2010:9 7 Ca. 1.500 gennemførte interview pr. kvt. Hver måned udtages der ved tilfældig udtrækning fra befolkningsregistret en stikprøve på ca. 750 personer. I gennemsnit gennemføres der ca. 500 telefoninterviews pr. måned. De resterende 250 udtrukne indgår ikke i undersøgelsen, enten fordi telefonnummeret ikke eksisterer/virker/er aktivt, eller fordi personen ikke har ønsket at deltage i undersøgelsen. Der spørges tre måneder tilbage Respondenterne bliver spurgt tre måneder tilbage om henholdsvis lange rejser (+4 overnatninger), korte rejser (1-3 overnatninger) og forretningsrejser (+1 overnatning). Opregning Der spørges detaljeret til de tre senest afviklede rejser. hvis en interviewperson har haft flere end tre rejser imputeres der ud fra oplysninger om personens tre oplyste rejser. Rejseoplysningerne er opregnet til befolkningsniveau inden for grupperinger af de interviewede efter bl.a. køn, alder, familietype, familieindkomst og socio-gruppe. Statistikkens omfang Danskere på 15 år og derover Undersøgelsen dækker ferie- og forretningsrejser, der er foretaget af danskere på mindst 15 år. Ferierejser Ferierejser defineres som rejser, der har fornøjelser eller rekreation som det primære formål. Herunder medtages sportsrejser, rejser for at besøge familie eller venner og kulturelle rejser, herunder sprogrejser. Ferierejserne opdeles i korte ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger (typisk weekendrejser) og ferierejser med mindst 4 overnatninger. Forretningsrejser Forretningsrejser dækker individuelle rejser og grupperejser med henblik på deltagelse i møde, kursus eller konference Kombinerede ferie- og forretningsrejser regnes som forretningsrejser, fordi rejserne næppe ville være foretaget uden forretningsrejseelementet. For ledsagende ægtefæller mv. på forretningsrejser regnes rejsen som en ferierejse. Undersøgelsens formål Opfylder EU-direktiv Siden 1996 har Danmarks Statistik gennemført undersøgelser af danskernes ferie- og forretningsrejser med mindst én overnatning. Undersøgelserne foretages som led i en fælles EU-turismeundersøgelse iht. Rådets direktiv 95/57/EF. Lignende opgørelser udarbejdes i EFTA- og øvrige EØS-lande. Beskriver danskernes rejsemønster Statistikkens formål er at beskrive danskernes rejsemønster for så vidt angår forretningsrejser og ferierejser med overnatninger uden for eget hjem. Herigennem belyses bl.a. den anvendelse af infrastruktur og overnatningstilbud, som turismen giver anledning til. Endvidere opnås informationer om turisternes aldersfordeling, rejsegruppens størrelse, rejsens organisation og turisternes samlede udgifter ved rejsen. Definitioner og afgrænsninger Lange ferierejser En lang ferierejse har en varighed på fire overnatninger eller derover. Korte ferierejser En kort ferierejse har en varighed på en til og med tre overnatninger. Forretningsrejser De forretningsrejser, der er medtaget i indeværende statistik, har en varighed på en overnatning eller derover. 8 2010:9 En voksen dansker En voksen dansker er en person på mindst 15 år. Rejsemåned Rejsemåneden er den måned, hvori rejsen påbegyndes, også selv om størstedelen af rejsen måtte ligge i den efterfølgende måned. Transportmiddel Som transportmiddel er opgjort det transportmiddel, som hovedsageligt er anvendt på rejsen. Overnatningsform Tilsvarende er overnatningsformen den hyppigste overnatningsform, der er benyttet på rejsen. Destination Ved flere opholdssteder på rejsen er hoveddestinationen valgt. I tvivlstilfælde er benyttet den mest fjerntliggende destination. Rejsens organisation Under rejsens organisation skelnes mellem pakkerejser, hvor som hovedregel transport og overnatning er arrangeret af et rejsebureau eller lignende, og rejser som er selvarrangerede. Rejseudgifter Rejseudgifterne omfatter udgifter, der er afholdt til og på rejsen. Hvis flere personer i en familie er rejst sammen, er der ved ferierejser indhentet oplysninger om familiens samlede udgifter. Den interviewedes rejseudgifter er derefter fundet ved division med antal familiemedlemmer i rejsegruppen. Ved forretningsrejser er der indsamlet oplysninger om personens samlede rejseudgifter, herunder også udgifter, som er betalt af firmaet. Hvis respondenten ikke har kunnet svare på deres forbrug, er udgifterne skønnet ud fra oplysninger for tilsvarende ferie- og forretningsrejser. 2010:9 9 Tabeloversigt Artiklen indeholder følgende tabeller: Tabel 1. Tabel 2. Tabel 3. Tabel 4. Tabel 5. Tabel 6. Tabel 7. Tabel 8. Tabel 9. Tabel 10. Tabel 11. Tabel 12. Tabel 13. Tabel 14. Tabel 15. Tabel 16. Tabel 17 Tabel 18. Tabel 19. Tabel 20. Tabel 21 Tabel 22. Tabel 23. Tabel 24. Tabel 25. Tabel 26. Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter formål. 2009 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter måned. 2009 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter varighed. 2009 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter destination. 2009 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter primære transportmiddel. 2009 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter rejsens organisation. 2009 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter rejsegruppens størrelse. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter formål. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter afrejsemåned. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter varighed. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter destination. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter primære transportmiddel. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter organisation. 2009 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter rejsegruppens størrelse. 2009 Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter formål. 2009 Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter alder. 2009 Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter primære transportmiddel. 2009 Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter rejsens formål. 2009 Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter alder. 2009 Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter primære transportmiddel. 2009 Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter varighed. 2009 Rejser og gennemsnitlig udgift pr. rejsetype. 2009 10 2010:9 Tabel 1. Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter formål. 2009 Sommerhus Badeferie Storbyferie Naturferie Eventrejse Besøg hos venner og familie Andet 2 35 4 pct. Formål Tabel 2. 50 2 1 6 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter måned. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 32 19 100 pct. Rejser 18 32 pct. Måned Januar Februar Marts April Maj Juni Juli August September Oktober November December Tabel 3. 100 100 100 100 100 3 4 2 3 7 13 28 9 5 7 3 14 1 2 2 6 6 12 37 7 4 10 1 11 2 3 1 8 6 13 27 15 3 9 3 9 2 3 3 6 10 16 24 14 6 7 2 7 2 3 2 6 7 14 30 11 4 9 2 10 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter varighed. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 32 19 100 77 17 4 2 72 23 2 4 80 15 3 2 8,29 7,43 pct. Rejser 18 32 pct. Varighed 4-7 døgn 8-14 døgn 15-28 døgn 29 døgn og derover 84 13 3 0 85 10 3 2 overnatninger pr. rejse Overnatninger pr. rejse Tabel 4. 5,96 7,64 7,52 Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter destination. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 18 32 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 32 19 100 11 22 17 23 27 7 20 28 20 25 10 19 21 24 25 pct. Rejser pct. Destination Region Hovedstaden Region Sjælland Region Syddanmark Region Midtjylland Region Nordjylland 14 21 14 23 28 10 13 25 29 22 2010:9 11 Tabel 5. Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter primære transportmiddel. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 32 19 100 1 89 0 9 2 0 1 82 5 7 5 1 2 80 3 11 3 1 pct. Rejser 18 32 pct. Transportmiddel Fly Bil Bus Tog Skib Andet 0 67 11 17 4 1 5 78 2 12 2 0 Anm.: Bil er inklusive motorcykel og autocamper. Tabel 6. Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 32 19 100 3 1 7 1 1 0 20 34 32 2 6 2 6 0 1 7 13 24 38 1 3 2 9 0 1 1 18 26 39 1 pct. Rejser 18 32 pct. Indkvarteringsform Hotel Feriecenter Camping Vandrerhjem Lystbåd Højskole Lejet feriehus Eget feriehus Familie/venner (inkl. lånt sommerhus) Andet 0 2 11 1 1 0 13 25 48 1 3 4 11 0 0 0 22 19 40 1 Anm.: Overnatning i hytte og skihytte er placeret under ”Lejet sommerhus”. Det samme gælder for lejet lejlighed, medmindre der er tale om en ferielejlighed, som er placeret under ”Feriecenter”. Lejet værelse er placeret under ”Andet.” Tabel 7. Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter rejsens organisation. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 19 100 pct. Rejser 18 32 32 pct. Rejsens organisation Pakkerejse eller gennem rejsebureau Andet, herunder selvarrangeret 1 2 0 4 2 99 98 100 96 98 12 2010:9 Tabel 8. Ferierejser i Danmark med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter rejsegruppens størrelse. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 32 19 100 pct. Rejser 18 32 pct. Antal personer fra husstanden 1 2 3 4 5 6 og derover 48 28 12 9 3 0 19 19 18 32 10 2 22 61 9 7 1 0 37 60 2 0 0 0 28 42 11 14 4 1 Rejser med børn Rejser uden børn 10 90 65 35 13 87 0 100 27 73 personer fra husstanden Gnsn. antal personer fra husstanden i rejsegruppen Voksne Børn Tabel 9. 1,9 3,02 2,06 2,46 2,41 1,78 0,12 1,81 1,21 1,88 0,18 2,45 0,01 1,94 0,47 Ferierejse i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter formål. 2009 Sommerhus Badeferie Skiferie Storbyferie Naturferie Kursus og uddannelse Venner og familie Eventrejse Andet 1 17 3 7 pct. Formål Tabel 10. 6 26 9 17 14 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter afrejsemåned. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 40 13 100 pct. Rejser 15 32 pct. Afrejsemåned Januar Februar Marts April Maj Juni Juli August September Oktober November December 100 100 100 100 100 4 11 3 6 4 6 26 18 8 10 1 4 4 9 7 6 7 6 25 10 8 7 4 8 5 9 7 7 9 6 15 10 9 10 5 9 5 5 4 7 12 15 11 10 8 8 8 7 5 9 6 7 8 7 19 11 8 9 4 7 2010:9 13 Tabel 11. Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter varighed. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 40 13 100 65 25 8 3 57 27 13 4 61 25 9 3 9,97 9,36 pct. Rejser 15 32 pct. Varighed 4-7 døgn 8-14 døgn 15-28 døgn 29 døgn og derover 60 29 8 4 60 27 11 2 overnatninger pr. rejse Overnatninger pr. rejse Tabel 12. 9,39 9,44 9,08 Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter destination. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 40 13 100 19 8 10 6 8 4 6 3 4 4 6 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 0 0 12 16 6 7 8 8 8 4 4 2 7 2 0 3 0 0 2 1 3 2 0 17 16 7 10 8 7 6 5 4 3 5 4 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 14 pct. Rejser 15 32 pct. Destination Spanien Frankrig Italien Sverige Tyskland Norge Grækenland Storbritannien USA Østrig Tyrkiet Polen Portugal Tjekkiet Egypten Thailand Holland Schweiz Bulgarien Ungarn Andre destinationer 12 8 9 6 9 9 4 9 2 4 4 0 0 5 0 1 2 2 1 0 13 14 8 12 11 4 6 6 4 3 5 3 0 1 1 2 1 1 2 0 1 15 14 2010:9 Tabel 13. Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter primært transportmiddel. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 40 13 100 66 27 4 2 1 0 54 21 17 4 4 0 62 26 6 4 1 1 pct. Rejser 15 32 pct. Transportmiddel Fly Bil Bus Tog Skib Andet transportmiddel 54 21 11 11 2 1 63 31 2 3 0 1 Anm.: Se anmærkning til tabel 5. Tabel 14. Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 40 13 100 57 3 4 1 0 10 7 2 14 3 61 1 4 2 0 5 6 1 19 1 50 3 5 2 1 9 4 1 20 3 pct. Rejser 15 32 pct. Indkvarteringsform Hotel Feriecenter Camping Vandrerhjem Lystbåd Lejet feriehus Eget feriehus Skib Familie/venner Andet 47 7 8 8 0 4 1 0 22 4 40 3 6 1 2 13 2 1 27 5 Anm.: Se anmærkning til tabel 6. Tabel 15. Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter organisation. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 40 13 100 36 64 39 61 29 71 pct. Rejser 15 32 pct. Rejsens organisation Pakkerejse eller gennem rejsebureau Andet, herunder selvarrangeret 24 76 19 81 2010:9 15 Tabel 16. Ferierejser i udlandet med mindst 4 overnatninger fordelt efter rejsegruppens størrelse. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 40 13 100 pct. Rejser 15 32 pct. Antal personer fra husstanden 1 2 3 4 5 6 og derover 53 20 10 11 4 2 27 26 12 27 6 2 19 64 6 8 2 1 35 65 0 0 0 0 29 45 8 13 3 1 Rejser med børn Rejser uden børn 13 87 47 53 11 89 0 100 21 79 1,65 1,65 0,00 2,21 1,85 0,36 personer fra husstanden Gnsn. personer fra husstanden i rejsegruppen 2,07 1,90 0,17 Voksne Børn Tabel 17. 2,63 1,78 0,86 2,12 1,96 0,17 Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter formål. 2009 Sommerhus Badeferie Storbyferie Naturferie Venner og familie Kroferie Eventyr Andet 68 72 27 1 0 1 1 0 4 2 2 7 pct. Rejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet Tabel 18. 24 24 29 0 0 1 3 1 27 1 1 4 Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter alder. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 33 12 100 pct. Rejser i alt 24 32 Rejser i Danmark 93 89 89 91 90 Rejser til udlandet Heraf til: Sverige Tyskland Norge Storbritannien 7 11 11 9 10 3 2 0 1 5 3 0 1 5 3 1 1 5 3 1 0 4 3 1 1 pct. overnatninger pr. rejse Overnatninger Rejser i alt … … … … 1,65 Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet … … … … … … … … 1,59 2,11 16 2010:9 Tabel 19. Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter primært transportmiddel. 2009 Transportmiddel Fly Bil Bus Tog Skib Andet pct. Rejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 3 75 4 14 1 3 1 23 76 63 4 4 15 5 1 5 3 1 Anm.: Se bemærkning til tabel 5. Tabel 20. Danskernes ferierejser med 1-3 overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 Indkvarteringsform Hotel Feriecenter Campingplads Lejet feriehus Eget feriehus Vandrehjem Familie og venner Andet pct. Rejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser til udlandet 7 1 2 2 17 1 68 2 4 38 0 2 2 2 2 3 16 21 1 3 73 25 2 6 Anm.: Se anmærkning til tabel 6. Tabel 21. Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter rejsens formål. 2009 Formålet med rejsen I alt Rådgivning eller undervisning Kontraktforhandlinger Uddannelse mv. EU-rejser Andet pct. Rejser i alt 100 28 20 25 0 27 Rejser i udlandet 100 27 23 22 0 28 Rejser i Danmark 100 30 14 31 0 26 2010:9 17 Tabel 22. Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter alder. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 49 2 100 andel Rejser i alt 3 47 rejser pct. Rejser i Danmark 49 38 38 55 38 Rejser til udlandet Sverige Tyskland Norge Storbritannien Polen Indien Holland Spanien USA Kina Andre lande 51 0 18 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 62 12 9 5 4 0 6 4 3 3 1 15 62 11 9 5 6 6 0 1 1 1 3 19 45 0 7 0 7 0 0 3 0 0 3 25 62 11 10 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 17 overnatninger pr. rejse Overnatninger Rejser i alt 2,04 2,95 3,07 3,30 2,99 Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 1,25 2,79 1,47 3,85 2,09 3,67 1,51 5,45 1,75 3,76 Tabel 23. Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter primært transportmiddel. 2009 Transportmiddel Fly Bil Bus Tog Skib Andet pct. Rejser i alt 50 38 1 9 2 0 Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 9 75 70 18 1 1 19 3 1 3 0 0 Anm.: Se anmærkning til tabel 5. Tabel 24. Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter indkvarteringsform. 2009 Indkvarteringsform Hotel Konferencecenter Familie og venner Andet Rejser i alt 88 4 4 4 Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 80 93 9 0 8 2 3 5 pct. 18 2010:9 Tabel 25. Danskernes forretningsrejser med overnatninger fordelt efter varighed. 2009 Antal overnatninger 3 4-7 8 og derover 27 13 16 7 24 28 8 16 9 21 0 11 45-64 år 65 år og derover I alt 1 2 Rejser i alt 37 Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 59 24 pct. Tabel 26. Rejser og gennemsnitlig udgift pr. rejsetype. 2009 15-24 år 25-44 år pct. Rejser Forretningsrejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 3 4 3 47 46 47 49 48 49 2 3 1 100 100 100 Korte rejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 24 24 17 32 31 35 33 32 38 12 12 10 100 100 100 Lange rejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet 16 18 15 32 32 32 36 32 40 16 19 13 100 100 100 kr./rejse Udgifter Forretningsrejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet … 282 705 6 235 2 513 8 508 6 281 2 142 8 787 7 054 3 662 11 150 6 195 2 277 8 642 Korte rejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet … 721 159 980 784 2 582 986 850 2 056 1 001 686 4 252 938 779 2 387 Lange rejser i alt Rejser i Danmark Rejser i udlandet … 206 705 5 671 2 455 8 118 5 259 2 239 7 115 4 503 2 060 7 071 5 188 2 244 7 416 SERVICEERHVERV 2010:9 Statistiske Efterretninger ISSN, 1601-0965 www.dst.dk/efterretninger Salg: Tlf. 39 17 30 20 (hele døgnet), publsalg@dst.dk Abonnement for 2010: 900 kr. som pdf. Løssalg: 60 kr. Ekspeditionsgebyr: 15 kr. indland, 15 kr. udland © Danmarks Statistik, Sejrøgade 11, 2100 København Ø Signaturforklaring: - Nul 0 Mindre end 0,5 af den anvendte enhed 0,0 Mindre end 0,05 af den anvendte enhed ! Tal kan efter sagens natur ikke forekomme .. For usikker til at kunne angives eller diskretionshensyn … Oplysning foreligger ikke * Foreløbige eller anslåede tal — " Vandret eller lodret streg markerer databrud i en tidsserie. Oplysningerne fra før og efter databruddet er ikke fuldt sammenlignelige. Som følge af afrundinger kan summen af tallene i tabellerne afvige fra totalen. Innovation, concept development and project management F2011 Individual essay on innovation Teacher: Nalini Kotamraju Camil Manuel Hesse, 21.11.75, cmhe@itu.dk Word count: 3391 Table of contents Keywords page 2 Introduction page 2 Thesis statement page 3 Asking the right questions when innovating page 3 Three focal areas for the business model page 6 “Design-driven innovation”: an innovation typology page 8 Conclusion page 10 References page 11 1 Keywords Innovation, design, “Design-driven innovation”, marketing, innovation typology, radical, incremental, business model Introduction “It is not surprising that, having created a successful company by making a superior product, management continues to be oriented toward the product rather than the people who consume it” (Levitt 1960:107). In his article from 1960 Theodore Levitt advises companies to focus more on and understand their customer’s needs. It is the quote above that reflects my curiosity on the designer’s influence and role of adding value to products and fully understanding customer trends and needs. There are some crucial questions that get unleashed, once you lift the lid of the innovation jar. Questions such as who is the customer and what does she need? How can we create value for that customer? Does the value emerge out of the product or does the value lie in the way it is purchased? It seems that arguments, which follow op on these questions, add new dimensions to the idea - makes the idea complete. I believe that a really good idea or a strong concept must be embedded in an innovative business structure that not only oversees all the assets of the product, but also increases all likelihood of succeeding and fosters longterm customer relations. So when my group from this course set out to give birth to a new “News-concept”, we discovered early that the underlying business principles were the real corner stones of the product. Roberto Vergati calls it “Design-driven innovation” (Verganti, 2009) and is not merely a method of adding innovation to a design product. To me it is more of an attitude towards product development, by asking uneasy questions and revealing solutions out of the ordinary. It seeks the completeness of all the aspects of a product; it’s longevity and sustainability (Verganti, 2009). With “Sub City News” we did just that. “Sub City News” is a web-based news service that is, like a magazine, issued every month and covers the local news in a range of cities across Europe. Local units in these travel destinations have established networks to bloggers and photographers 2 who provide the rest of the world with interesting and nuanced sub- and cultural news. The purpose of this essay is to illuminate the innovativeness of “Sub City News” and the relation of the value proposition and role of the customer. In the first part I will look at theory, which proposes that by asking the right questions, the answers will challenge the conventions of the markets. In the second part I will capture the key parts of the business model of “Sub City News” and argue that the business structure that surrounds the product indeed is the catalyst for the innovation of the project, rather than the product itself. Finally I would like to reflect on the depth and saturation of innovativeness of this News-project and try to identify its typology. The course readings I have chosen for my arguments are concerned with finding true product value and call out for the use of creative visions and organisational structure. The writings include Theodore Levitt’s (1960) “Marketing Myopia”, Roberto Vergati’s (2009) “Design-Driven Innovation: Changing the Rules of Competition by Radically Innovating What Things Mean” and Ed Catmull’s (2008) “How Pixar Fosters Collective Creativity”. I also use Garcia & Calantone’s (2002) “A critical look at technological innovation typology and innovativeness terminology: a literature review” in order to discuss the innovation typology of “Sub City News”. Thesis statement What are the innovation characteristics of “Sub City News” and what innovation typology can be applied to the concept? Asking the right questions when innovating Whenever a new product surfaces, it can only successfully exist, if there is a buyer on the other side. So the goal is to establish the right reason for the product to exist. By asking “What business are you really in?” Theodore Levitt criticises major industries failing to recognise the customer needs that should precede a products value proposition. In every industry, for every product and for every group of customers, we (as manufacturers, designers, etc.) need to ask a series of questions, which shall 3 help to reveal the needs and existences of these products (Levitt, 1960). Who are we producing for? What are our customers’ needs? What value does our product have and what purpose does it serve? Successfully answering these questions will lay the foundation for future iterations and turns in the concept development. Levitt accuses growth industries of not legitimising the values of their products and thereby asking the wrong questions. The unchallenged focus on the products, rather than the customers, shortens the innovation cycle and freezes opportunities of growth. “In truth, there is no such thing as growth industry, I believe. There are only companies organised and operated to create and capitalize on growth opportunities. Industries that assume themselves to be riding some automatic growth escalator invariably descend into stagnation” (Levitt 1960:101). Described companies have over the years acquired a set of beliefs, which according to Levitt must be challenged and reorganised every now and then. These beliefs include notions of growth assurance by an expanding and affluent population, no competitive substitute to the industries leading products, declining unit costs or too much faith in mass production. But how do these companies answer these questions? Substantial money is used for user surveys, market analyses or industry prognostics, but unfortunately on the base of existing challenges and current sets of expectations. Marketing, so Levitt empowers a company to shift the focus from the product to the customer. “The seller takes cues from the buyer in such a way that the product becomes a consequence of the marketing effort, not vice versa” (Levitt 1960:104). Even though it seems that today marketing no longer is absent in all of industry, it still fails to analyse the customer’s needs and apply them to the product values. So the key points of Levitt’s effort stand: today we call the solution “Designdriven innovation” (Verganti, 2009). Where as marketing in these days tries to create needs for the customer and persuade her into buying the product, “Design-driven innovation” implies the process of understanding the customer and encourages the creation of products on the base of that knowledge. Roberto Verganti talks about the role of design in research and development departments of technological companies - “kingdoms of engineers and scientists.” 4 “High-tech companies may acknowledge that design is eventually useful for designing a proper user interface, thus making a technology more accessible, and for wrapping the technology core in a nice box, but nothing more” (Verganti, 2009:78). He argues that the implications for products, which do not uncover their meanings, are profound in order to compete along products that emerge companies, where “design-driven innovation” is part of a daily routine. It is in the hands of the designer to imply meaning to the value of a product. In this context he mentions products like the Nintendo Wii, Apple’s iPod, Diesel jeans or the Swatch, who all interpreted the meaning of the products core in a new and genuine way. For products with renewed meaning or changed metaphor Verganti explains that they escape the laws of imitation and obsolescence. “(…) even tough competitors may imitate and surpass the innovations’ functions, they cannot replicate their meanings” (Verganti, 2009:106). There are several reasons for incumbents not to ask the right questions. The notions of meaning, not driving competition in the industry, and design, being solemnly interesting for markets for luxury products, are according to Verganti some of the most common reasons. Some companies might even be scared to ask questions along these lines. Others simply haven’t got the skills to implement these ideas or know where to start. The Danish Hi-fi and TV manufacturer Bang & Olufsen has, after being a leading player on the market for many years, missed out on the creation of new meanings of its products and adapting to changing customer needs. The future of their products reveals different sets of values, which have already emerged. This process requires risk taking and will award those, who take on the challenges of radical innovation. I see close connections between Levitt’s asking questions and Verganti’s search for meaning to ensure products sustainability and competitiveness in the future. To Levitt the key argument is to shift the focus from the product to the customer, where as Verganti’s quest for meaning, implies a process of turning the inside out. To do so, they both call out for creative powers. Call it marketing or design – over the course of half a century, these are merely minor differences, but the key role of shifting focus and navigating to new territory remains. This unforeseen newness acts as the perpetrator for the saturated and conservative market and often has “gamechanging” consequences for these companies. New meanings like that often leave a 5 trail of believing customers, celebrating a new age of consuming the old in a new and fashionable style. As for “Sub City News”, the group has tried to cluster around some of these ideas and challenge existing concepts of accessing news and people’s behaviours for seeking information about travelling. I will get to those in the next section. By reflecting on the words of Levitt and Verganti the meaning or value of a product should derive from the progression of the customer needs. The use of creative forces, which fully understand the complexity of this process, is of crucial importance to the whole company. Further, the continuous focus on the superior product and the ignorance towards market shifts can cause stagnation or rapid decline. In the next section I will outline the roles of the creation process of the concept and the business model in the light of “Design-driven innovation”. Three focal areas for the business model For the concept development of “Sub City News”, we had to embark on finding a common layer of interest for all the five group members, who in fact each have their own background and speciality. We also needed to figure out how to get a hold on that “News business”, not only from a creative point of view, but also from an understanding the logistics and the market mechanisms perspective. The News industry, like so many others, has its own conventions and predefined settings, on how distribution, advertising and moneymaking effectively are conducted by the major game-players. Despite the industries astonishing size, renewal occurs with only moderate speed in the pace of the evolving technology that carries the media. It is in this minefield we (the group) set out to find a gap, a pocket or loophole that would grant us access to this universe of giants. We needed to learn about, who is producing News at which costs and how do we pay for it. We quickly understood that every cent the concept tries to earn, advertisements would distract from the main purpose, which obviously is communicating News. An early state of an idea about local news, while travelling seemed intriguingly interesting, yet containing enough options for the team to hold on to that subject. 6 As the project development evolved, we started to concentrate on a few particular focal areas. The most distinct one describes sets of independent teams spread across Europe (potentially the whole globe), which are handling their own local branch, while serving a greater purpose - “Sub City News”. This structure supports decentralised units having the freedom of organising and producing their own content, contributing to a pool of wisdom and practise throughout the whole organisation. Ed Catmull describes the learning and creating environments at Pixar Studios, where interdisciplinary teams openly foster and develop ideas for their feature animation movies (Catmull, 2008). The goal is to nurture trust and loyalty within these groups by allowing honest feedback in discussion sessions. The result is a vibrant community of talented workers unleashing their creativity. So from an innovation point of view the project aims to create a fertile ground for the individuals of the whole company, to take part in the creation process and establish a sense of belonging. Similarly to Pixar Studios, it is the management’s goal and responsibility to find individuals who will work effectively together. Hopefully these efforts will result in a steady push and evolvement of “Sub City News”, to guarantee and prevail a leading role on all the aspects of producing local news for travellers. Another focal area is the magazine like web publishing with monthly issues. In the work process of the group, we used the term “un-breaking” the News (as opposed to “Braking News”) as a metaphor to make News last longer. By removing the daily pressure of publishing fresh content, we unburden the content producers and provide an atmosphere less goal-, but process oriented. This leaves room for deeper and more thorough engagement into the covered subjects and allows the staff and the connected creative forces to share ideas and find a culture of mutual respect and interests. Without comparing the production of web content and a computer animation feature film, I would like to refer once more to the practises at Pixar Studios. Catmull describes a peer culture, where the leading directors of projects when looking for advice, submit unfinished work to their colleagues in order to receive their unvarnished expertise and everyone is encouraged to comment (Catmull, 2008). He continues that their learning process included the learning of a crucial dynamic: “(…) it’s up to the director of the movie (…) to decide what to do with the advice; there are no mandatory notes, and the brain trust has no authority” (Catmull, 2008:6). “Sub City News” has no internal structure planning “brain trust” 7 sessions, but aims at a working platform that provides the space and time where peer culture and interdisciplinary meetings are more likely to occur. The third focal area is the customer subscription. Initially we wanted to, like many other web services, operate at no costs for the user. We realised that the vast amount of advertisement would disturb and even threaten the writers’ and producers’ integrity and authenticity. To avoid this, we decided to move on with both a “free”, current version and a subscription-based version. The “free” version is available to all, only covering the current month with no access to past issues. Since it is for free, the customer must accept concessions regarding advertisements, which are distributed according to a manual that favours local and relevant advertisers, such as cultural institutions or travel related organisations. The subscription-based version is commercial free, thus rewarding the customer with the full and undisturbed version of the product. We developed the belief of frequent customers seeking high quality content and by that support the independent work, which is provided by the local creative forces. These focal areas define the foundation of the concept, its principles and innovative assets. So the business model that contains all of these features not only focuses on the product (the website), but largely on the entire structure of the organisation. All of the mentioned aspects harbour certain flexibility: the subscription price is adjustable, the size of every unit and the amount of destinations is scalable and finally the timely intervals of publishing can be altered. I see this flexibility as armour for the vulnerability of the product that like a boat at sea is swayed back and forth by the strengths of the market forces. Its protection enforces the longevity and sustainability of “Sub City News”. The next section asks for the level of innovativeness of that flexibility and I will discuss the typology of innovation of “Sub City News” in the context of Garcia & Calantone’s definition of innovation and Verganti’s position on “Design-driven innovation”. “Design-driven innovation”: an innovation typology It is not so much out of curiosity, but more through my notion of associated theories that I in this section would like to commit to the innovation typology for “Sub City 8 News”. My intent is to discuss and compare these theories and reflect on the innovativeness of our News project. For that purpose I will revive Verganti’s position on “Design-driven innovation” and also introduce Garcia & Calantone’s discourse on the definition of innovation and innovation typology. The point of this discussion should not be to prove either wrong, but serve the purpose of understanding the group’s own process of this Endeavour. With both the News- and travel market being established over many years, we have urged ourselves trying to be unconventional in the approach to this assignment. As I have described it in the second part of this essay, we have introduced innovative parts to the business model not in the field of new technology, but of structural and organizational nature. In order to reach a higher understanding of the concept of innovation I want to make use of Garcia & Calantone’s definitions of the terminology of that concept: “A discovery that moves from the lab into production, and adds economic value to the firm would be considered an innovation. (…) is diffused to other parties beyond the discoverers” (Garcia & Calantone, 2002:112). The term “innovativeness” describes the measure of the degree of “newness” of an innovation. Garcia & Calantone continue on the subject explaining the difference of “macro and micro perspective”. “The distinction between macro and micro perspectives is important as it identifies newness of an innovation to whom and from whose perspective” (Garcia & Calantone, 2002:118). Macro discontinuities are recognized throughout entire industries or markets, while micro perspective views product innovativeness as merely new to the company or the company’s customers. The typology for identifying innovations is divided into “radical, really new and incremental innovations”. Radical and really new innovations cause discontinuity on both macro and micro level, where incremental innovations are only seen from micro perspectives (Garcia & Calantone, 2002). So according to these definitions, the innovativeness of “Sub City News” would at most be an incremental innovation, giving the customer a renewed experience of reading local news. Verganti argues that “Design-driven innovation” throughout is of radical typology, declaring new meaning and values to products and/or customer’s experience (Verganti 2009). With our project we have tried to bridge over the gap that separates the work of the designer, creating a product, and the management, trying to implement it into 9 production and create a business model around it. This of course goes unnoticed by the customer, which doesn’t mean that it does not have an impact on the product. I believe that structural adjustments and changes in comparison to competing products standards are the base of innovative work. As designers we have tried to view the product, the customer experience and the business structure as a whole. Pointing to Verganti I declare the efforts made around “Sub City News” as being design-driven, yet not radical enough to shift an entire industry or market. Conclusion The readings of Theodore Levitt and Roberto Verganti provide a solid base for the understanding of how design plays a key role in a company’s success or failure. The quality of the product derives from the thorough understanding of its value and the progression and evolvement of customer needs. They argue that the use of creative forces, which fully understand the complexity of this process, is of crucial importance to the whole company. A predominant focus on superior products instead of understanding changes in the market can cause stagnation or rapid decline. By asking what the innovation characteristics of “Sub City News” are, I want to highlight the conceptual features we have created. The business model contains three focal areas, which provide the foundation of the concept and its innovative assets. All of the mentioned aspects, which are located on a structural level of the organisation, contain certain flexibility. Subscription price, size of the work force of each unit, the amount of destinations and the publication intervals can be altered and adjusted taking market shifts or different customer needs into consideration. We as a group hope that these innovation assets can enforce the longevity and sustainability of “Sub City News”. To the question of what innovation typology can be applied to the concept of “Sub City News”, the answer according to Garcia & Calantone is an incremental type of innovation. Yet we have tried to view the product, the customer experience and the business structure as a whole, which points towards Verganti’s design-driven direction. Nevertheless I see the concept as not being radical enough to shift an entire industry or market. 10 References Catmull, E. (2008). “How Pixar Fosters Collective Creativity” Harvard Business Review, pp. 1-11. Garcia, R. & Calantone, R. (2002). “A critical look at technological innovation typology and innovativeness terminology: a literature review” The Journal of Product Innovation Management 19, pp. 110-132. Leavitt, T. (2006 [1960]). “Marketing Myopia” Best of HBR 1960, Harvard Business Review, pp. 97-111. Verganti, R. (2009). “Technology Epiphanies: The Interplay Between Technology Push and Design-Driven Innovation” and “The Value and the Challenge: Why Companies Do or Do Not Invest in Design-Driven Innovation” Design-Driven Innovation: Changing the Rules of Competition by Radically Innovating What Things Mean, Harvard Business Press, pp. 59-87 and pp. 90-111. 11