Ali Al-Muhairy
Transcription
Ali Al-Muhairy
Keynote address by: Ali Al-Muhairy Senior Vice President (Drilling & Logistics) ADMA-OPCO Jack-up Rigs & Lift-Boats (Barges) Future Trends Agenda J/Up Rigs Lift Boats Oil Supply & Demand Long Term Strategy Ageing Rig Concerns Requirements Benefits Opportunities Slide No: 3 Oil Supply & Demand Slide No: 4 Oil Price Vs. Rotary Rig Count 4,500 140 4,000 120 3,500 100 3,000 80 2,500 60 Rotary Rig Count 2,000 40 World Oil Price 1,500 20 Slide No: 5 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Apr-13 Jan-13 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-11 0 Jan-11 1,000 The Construction Boom Of Mobile Offshore Drilling Units Source : Mckinsey Slide No: 6 Rig contracts 2010-2015 Source : Boston Consultants Slide No: 7 Factors Affecting Future Growth Slide No: 8 Overall Jack-up Rig Inventory Slide No: 9 Ageing Rigs Activity Financial Considerations Upsides Downsides Divest Them Move assets and liabilities off your books Frees up capital for ongoing support & maintenance Likely to accept lower sale prices due to market conditions Spin Off Restructuring of the parent & child business requires capital & new processes Removal of cash flow and ongoing expenses required to support the older rigs in the fleet Loss of stable revenue Loss of asset value off the balance sheet Stack Costly to manage and for the actual stacking costs. Reactivation can be complex & costly Removes a large portion of Opex and ongoing maintenance costs Adds in CAPEX for any reactivation and special periodic surveys to get the rig working again Slide No: 10 Ageing Rigs Activity Financial Considerations Upsides Downsides Upgrade (RIAP & IA) Requires a capital investment program & investment in people, processes & skills Maintains day rate revenue and contract backlogs Projects are complex and more susceptible to fail against time and budget targets Replace Them with New High capital investment and financing required. Added management & delivery costs Higher day rate income Better fleet utilization Lower initial maintenance costs Delays to new build delivery & influx of high spec new builds likely to impact demand Conversion to Other (MOPUs, Accomm.) High capital investment and financing required. Added management & delivery costs Higher day rate income Better fleet utilization Lower initial maintenance costs Delays to new build delivery & influx of high spec new builds likely to impact demand Slide No: 11 What do we do in RIAPs? Slide No: 12 What do we do in RIAPs? Slide No: 13 What do we do in RIAPs? Slide No: 14 Are Lift-boats / Jack-up barges here to stay? Lift-Boats : Facts & Figures Slide No: 16 Why Lift-Boats/Barges Make Sense in Today’s Market? Offshore markets are in a downturn & use of liftboats make economic sense during this market situation Demand for lift-boats which are mainly involved in production, maintenance, multiple purposes, special projects of existing oilfields, should remain robust. Slide No: 17 Lift-Boats/Barges : The Welcoming Change Designs are more robust Equipment is now state-of-the-art, Increased reliability Have transformed from Lift-boats to Jack up Barges Increased Accessibility to existing fixed platforms. Provides very specialized services: Heavy Lift Jack ups, cost-effective well intervention, maintenance, installation work-scope, EOR campaigns, Low-Sal projects etc. We expect 2-fold increase in fleet During the next 5-10 years Slide No: 18 Lift-Boats/Barges : Challenges & Opportunities Deck space & Weather conditions Availability of 4-leg Vs. 3-leg lift-boats Managing tight schedules (rig/barge) Frequent Barge movements (9-10 days) Comprehensive & long-duration work programs (Low-Sal, EOR) Custom-design and integrated services ready barge to avoid downtime and achieve minimal capital cost Slide No: 19 Thank You