Jonathan J. Milley
Transcription
Jonathan J. Milley
Solar Development in New York Poised for the Break Out Saratoga Springs - 11 August 2011 Safe Harbor Statement This Presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions and typically can be identified by the use of words such as “expect,” “estimate,” “should,” “anticipate,” “forecast,” “plan,” “guidance,” “believe,” “will” and similar terms. Such forward-looking statements include information relating to NRG’s solar development strategy and projects. Although NRG believes that these expectations are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to have been correct, and actual results may vary materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated above include the risks identified in the private placement memorandum, as well as general economic conditions, hazards customary in the power industry, weather conditions, construction delays, successful partnering relationships, receipt of Federal loan guarantees and/or cash grants, competition in power markets, the volatility of energy and fuel prices, failure of customers to perform under contracts, changes in the power markets, changes in government regulation of markets and of environmental emissions, the condition of capital markets generally, and the inability to implement value enhancing improvements to plant operations and companywide processes. NRG undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The foregoing review of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in the forward-looking statements included in this Presentation should be considered in connection with information regarding risks and uncertainties that may affect NRG's future results included in the private placement memorandum and NRG's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission at www.sec.gov. 2 1. NRG Overview Blythe - 21 MW, Blythe CA 3 NRG is the Leading U.S. Independent Power Producer NRG Stats 2010 Revenue $8.8 Bn Market Capitalization Aggregate Value (1) (1) $5.5 Bn $12.0 Bn Cash on Hand (2) $3.0 Bn Retail Customers 1.9 MM Generation Portfolio >25 GW NRG Generation Assets Generation Portfolio (>25 GW) Nuclear (11%) Oil (16%) Gas (46%) Wind (4%) Coal (31%) Solar (1%) Key Awards Platts Global Energy - “Energy Company of the Year” and “Deal of the Year” (2007, 2010) Project Finance International – “Renewable Deal of the Year” (2010) Corporate Secretary – “Corporate Governance Team of the Year” (2009) Project Finance – “North American Portfolio Deal of the Year” (2009) Nature Conservancy – “Corporate Conservation Leadership Award” EnergyBiz – “Energy CEO of the Year” (2010) Institutional Investor All-America “Best CEO. Utilities” (2011) Significant Scale and Leadership in the Power Industry Notes: 1. Market data as of April 7, 2010 2. As of December 31, 2010 4 NRG Has Developed a Green Energy Platform Company Leadership Aligned Behind Green Transformation NRG Solar “provides us with a truly unique opportunity to develop over the next few years a solar portfolio of true scale and Transforming to a Post-hydrocarbon Provider of Green Energy Solutions NRG Priorities Low carbon baseload Renewable generation…with a concentration in solar Green retail in competitive markets Electric vehicle ecosystems Smart grid and other sustainable energy services significant benefit, even in the context of the larger portfolio of NRG” NRG Vision 450 MW “We expect an acceleration and significant wind generation Generation Renewables expansion in our equity capital invested in high-growth, high-return solar projects” – David Crane, CEO NRG 2010 Earnings call, 21 February, 2011 Trading - RECs - Offsets GreenCo The nation‟s leading full service green energy provider Energy Marketing & Sales Dedicated to Pursuing a Greener Solution to Independent Power 5 Green Mountain Energy NRG’s specialty retail electricity business that offers consumers electricity products from renewable sources Focused on cleaner energy in select U.S. markets including NYC. Recently chosen to power 100% of the iconic Empire State building. 100% pollution-free energy produced from renewable sources. Expanding C&I as well as retail sales in the Northeast NRG’s eVGO Brand NRG Electric Vehicle Services is creating the nation‟s first comprehensive, and sustainable electric vehicle ecosystem of home charging stations and high-powered, fast-charging stations. NRG is investing $10 million in Houston EV Charging stations Strategically placed at retailers and work places. First such network in the U.S. Give electric vehicle drivers complete range confidence and convenience. 50 to 150 eVgo public charging points Installations began January 2011 Flat rate all-you-can-use plans: – – – Home charging station plan NRG network charging station plan Combined home and network plan Concept is being extended to Dallas-Ft. Worth Blue Water Wind Leading offshore wind developer Acquired by NRG in November 2009 Obtained first off-shore wind off-take agreement in the US in 2009 Developing the Mid-Atlantic Wind Park, 13 miles east of Cape Henlopen, Delaware – Potential to 450 MW – Enough power for 130,000 households Over 3,300 MW in additional development – New Jersey – Maryland – New York – Massachusetts NRG Drives Strong Financial Performance Adjusted EBITDA and Recurring FCF before Growth (1) ($MM) 3,000 2,618 2,240 2,000 2,514 2,291 1,617 1,476 1,295 1,353 1,192 748 1,000 0 2006 2007 Adjusted EBITDA 2009 2010 Recurring FCF Before Growth Investments Operational Highlights Top quartile baseload plant availability and 98% peaking unit startup reliability Investing over $700MM (through 2015) in an array of pollution control equipment at our plants to dramatically reduce harmful emissions 2008 Repowering our sites across the country with new, high-technology, low-emission generation, creating hundreds of construction jobs in 2010 and beyond Baseload Availability Factor (% of Maximum Generation) 100% 86% 86% 91% 91% 90% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 75% 50% 25% 0% Operational excellence is a core competency at NRG Notes: 1. See Reg G‟s for detailed Adjusted EBITDA and Recurring Free Cash Flow before Growth calculations 2. „Baseload‟ includes all coal and nuclear assets 9 NRG Solar Overview The Leading U.S. Solar Power Generation Company NRG Solar, a wholly-owned subsidiary of NRG Energy, is the leading independent developer and operator of solar power assets in North America 881 MW with long-term – 21 MW in operation (Blythe) power purchase – All projects expected to begin construction by year-end 2011 agreements – More than 1 GW in earlier stage development Demonstrated record of pipeline growth through in-house development and project acquisitions from industry leading partners – Industry leading pipeline of high quality projects – Diversified across geographies and technologies, with utility scale photovoltaic (PV) and concentrated solar power (CSP) Focused on attractive markets and proven technologies Led by an experienced management team with a proven track record in power project development, financing, construction, operation and asset management Key parent-level commitment and support from NRG Energy Uniquely Positioned in the Solar Generation Space 10 First Mover Advantage Early Successes Have Positioned NRG Solar as the Leader in the U.S. Solar Industry June 21, 2010 Acquired the 450+ MWAC U.S. Solar Holdings Development Portfolio from ArcLight Capital Partners Oct 27, 2010 Agreed to invest in a partnership with BrightSource Energy to build the 386 MWAC Ivanpah solar thermal facility in California Sep 23, 2010 Joint venture with Eurus Energy Holdings on the 45 MWAC Avenal California project (which has secured financing and started construction) Nov 23, 2009 Acquired the 21 MWAC Blythe California plant from First Solar (which has secured financing and started operation) Dec 14, 2010 Agreed to acquire the 290 MWAC Agua Caliente solar project from First Solar Nov 30, 2010 Agreed to acquire the 250 MWAC California Valley Solar Ranch solar project from SunPower April 11, 2011 Secured $1.6 Bn DOE Loan Guarantee for Ivanpah Dec 2010 Began construction on 20 MWAC Roadrunner solar project in New Mexico 2009 2010 2011 NRG Has a Head Start as the Strategic Partner of Choice 11 NRG Solar’s Development Successes Project Location MW PPA? Expected COD Status Blythe Blythe, CA 20 MW 20-year 12/2009 Operating Avenal Kings County, CA 22.5 MW (net) 20-year Mid 2011 Under Construction Roadrunner Santa Teresa, NM 20 MW 20-25 year Late 2011 Under Construction Ivanpah Ivanpah, CA 392 MW (gross) 20-25 year 2012-2013 Under Construction Projected to close (next 6 months) CA 316 MW 20-25 year 2011-2013 Pre-Construction Advanced pipeline CA, NM, AZ Up to 1000 MW Yes 2011 to 2014 Permitting/ Approved/ Proposed 12 2. Promoting Solar in NY Blythe - 21 MW, Blythe CA 13 Revenue - Current Situation in New York No mandatory RPS – – vs. California’s mandatory 33% by 2020 – RPS by itself could be served by less expensive forms of emissions free energy generation so need to have a solar “carve-out” No SREC program No FIT >60% New York load served by retailers – – with a typically short term outlook and thus not a direct source of revenue for long-lived whole sale solar generation projects Need for PSC approval of utility contracts becomes a difficult process as traditional metrics for establishing prudency of solar (and other renewable) energy projects don’t sufficiently value air quality and other public benefits of those sorts of projects Where to source the revenue for utility scale solar? Revenue Alternatives RPS w/SREC carve out – Long-term revenue certainty vs. balance of SREC price and ACP very difficult to manage RPS based on long-term contracts w/carve out for solar – Currently no mechanism to mandate long-term whole sale contracts for load served by retailers – A State-wide “clearing house” could be established to make a market in solar energy for long vs. short-term contracts Solar Feed In Tariff – Works in Canada and Europe, but would be first FIT in this nation A portfolio approach encouraging clean-combined cycle baseload resources together with solar peaking facilities would achieve the maximum economic and emissions benefits – Move the focus to net emissions reduction from strictly “renewable” Long-term contracts providing for revenue certainty are the best alternative to promote utility scale solar Long-Term Contract Principles Term – long enough to lower the marginal cost of capital recovery as low as possible, ideally 20+ years Price – fixed to provide transparency and revenue certainty Type – financial contracts preferred over physical delivery to maximize flexibility – – Easier to bundle into an all-requirements type contract – Allows project to “cover” from the physical market if necessary – Smaller, behind-the-meter, projects will be for physical delivery Performance – minimum standards for schedule, output, and degradation – Equipment backed by manufacturer warranty Revenue Certainty Based on Project Performance Questions?