Railtown District Sustainable Neighbourhood
Transcription
Railtown District Sustainable Neighbourhood
RAILTOWN DISTRICT SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD CONCEPTUAL MASTER PLAN WORKSHOP BACKGROUNDER Draft December 1, 2015 PREPARED BY MODUS PLANNING, DESIGN & ENGAGEMENT INC. FOR THE CITY OF NELSON Contents Purpose + Background Overview 4 Process Overview 6 Background Policy + Framework 7 Planning Framework Site Conditions 9 10 Photo Essay 10 Market Overview: Summary of Findings 12 Precedents, Case Studies + Photo Essays 13 Appendix31 Inventory + Analysis Diagram 3 33 Image: Rendering Showing Potential Build-out of Waterfront Central and West. City of Nelson Sustainable Waterfront Downtown Master Plan RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN Market Memo 32 Purpose + Background Overview Overview The City of Nelson is developing a Sustainable Neighbourhood Plan for the Railtown District, with a clear framework for implementation. This plan will refine the vision for the neighbourhood that was outlined in the Sustainable Waterfront and Downtown Master Plan (SWDMP) and include specific projects, partnerships, programs, funding sources along with policies, timelines and responsibilities for action. This more detailed and implementation-focused stage of planning for the Railtown Neighbourhood will occur through a 3 phase process and include community and stakeholder engagement, and close collaboration with City staff to ensure the plan both honours and implements the vision established by the SWDMP process. Aerial View: Showing 0.5m contour lines and cadastre boundaries within and directly adjacent to the site boundary Neighbourhood Snapshot The Railtown District is an important and special part of the City, bordering both the downtown core and the waterfront and home to many historically significant landmarks. The vision for Railtown is to emphasize the neighbourhoods’ distinct character while creating better connections with adjacent neighbourhoods, and helping the City to realize established sustainability goals. New life and vitality in the neighbourhood will celebrate and contribute to the historical context and character. Indeed, seeding for this new life has already begun--when the Chamber of Commerce moves into its new home in the restored CPR station at the end of this year, the neighbourhood and this historic landmark will take on additional significance and meaning for the City. The Power of Neighbourhoods Downtown Nelson and Railtown are built on the sedimentary lands that were shaped by Cottonwood Creek. Image: GeoTour Guide for the West Kootenay, BC, Geological Survey of Canada (Railtown location identified by Modus). 5 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN Neighbourhoods are large enough to enable a wide range of sustainable development strategies, and small enough to understand, plan and take action. As such, the neighbourhood is an ideal scale to implement sustainability principles in the context of local environmental and socio-economic opportunities and constraints as well as local and regional market and financial realities. Fortunately, Railtown contains many of the ingredients that are necessary to sustain and provide a balanced approach to development: culture and history, business and innovation, and rich natural and human context. The Sustainable Neighbourhood Plan will help to further reveal and realize the tremendous potential that the Railtown neighbourhood, and by extension other neighbourhoods in Nelson, have in realizing city-wide and regional sustainability goals. A Focused Vision With some of the highest business licenses per capita in the province, along with growing tourism, arts and cultural sectors, Nelson is well positioned to manage growth and guide neighbourhood renewal in a practical manner rooted in market forces and in the context of the successful, diverse and therefore resilient local business climate. Specifically, Railtown district provides the opportunity to support anticipated market demands for new jobs, better physical and visual connections to the downtown and adjacent neighbourhoods, to provide additional civic space, brownfield and ecological restoration, and additional mixed-use and innovative live-work residential/ commercial opportunities. Turning the vision into action will require identification and prioritization of strategic public investments together with policies and guidelines to encourage and shape private development. Collaboration with stakeholders at key stages of the process will ensure projects, programs, policies and actions identified for the Railtown Neighbourhood respond to the unique opportunities, challenges and aspirations of the community. Process Overview RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 6 Sustainable Neighbourhood Conceptual Master Plan A masterplan and recommendation development for The Railtown District involves a highly collaborative and integrated process with three phases. In each of these phases, Modus will work with the City and Stakeholders to identify key issues and opportunities, co-create, evolve and test design options, leading to a preferred neighbourhood plan concept detailing actions, policies, partnerships and priorities for implementation. The process includes review and synthesis of relevant technical information, along with confirmation of the neighbourhood vision and goals in phase 1. A 2 day integrated and collaborative design workshop (charrette) in phase 2 is the key event in the process, and will result in development and evaluation of alternative neighbourhood concepts. Phase 3 involves selection and refinement of the preferred concept, including detailing policy, design and implementation components of the plan. A Project web page will be set up on the City’s Web Site and will include regular project updates, notifications, deliverables, and questionnaires/ feedback forms (as appropriate) at key stages of the project. Process Diagram PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3 Background/ technical analysis, vision + goals Concept development + community open house Concept refinement, plan development + recommendations WINTER 2015 Technical Team Meeting Charrette Design Brief Charrette Stakeholder Workshop #3 Stakeholder Workshop #2 Community Open House #1 Technical Team Meeting Concept Options Report Technical Team Meeting Community Open House #2 Railtown District Conceptual Master Plan + Recommendations Background Policy + Framework PLANS AND STRATEGIES THAT INFORM THE PROCESS: • Nelson’s Path to 2040 - Sustainability Strategy - 2010 • Sustainable Waterfront and Downtown Master Plan - 2011 • Low Carbon Path to 2040 - Community Energy and Emissions Action Plan -2011 • Active Transportation Plan – 2010 • Nelson Affordable Housing Strategy - 2010 • The City of Nelson Official Community Plan- 2012 • Heritage Register Update - 2011 7 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN Stakeholder Workshop #1 SPRING 2016 Healthy Neighbourhood Nelson’s Path to 2040 - Sustainability Strategy (2010) outlines principles and objectives of healthy neighbourhoods. These are of particular relevance to the Railtown District. Guiding Principle Healthy Neighbourhoods are safe, welcoming, connected places with meaningful opportunities to interact with neighbours of all ages and income levels. Healthy Neighbourhoods have: • Inviting parks, community gardens and informal public spaces for gathering; • Diverse and affordable housing opportunities in all neighbourhoods; • Development focused in specific, pre-identified mixed use areas; • Connected residential areas via safe, enjoyable walking and cycling corridors and greenways; and, 8 • Buildings that are sustainable in design and operation; they incorporate green building practices and technologies when renovating existing and constructing new buildings. Healthy Neighbourhood Objectives RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN • ACH2: Preserve and celebrate heritage • ECC2: Reduce energy consumption, and greenhouse gas emissions • ECC4: Anticipate and plan to adapt to climate changes • FFSA1: Ensure nutritious whole food • FFSA3: Encourage individual and commercial food production, processing, and distribution within city limits • FFSA4: Build community capacity and foster ethical food consumption • HLSW2: Foster an inclusive and respectful community • HLSW3: Ensure public safety • HLSW4: Maximize intergenerational connections • HLSW6: Support socially just economic development • LU1: Ensure bylaws support sustainability • LU2: Promote affordable mixed use housing • LU3: Ensure convenient access to daily needs • LU5: Focus new growth in the downtown and waterfront • NARL3: Establish a distributed, restored natural areas network • NARL6: Accessible waterfront recreation areas. • SW3: Enhance composting • TM1: Support human powered transportation • TM3: Improve cycling amenities • W4: Manage stormwater onsite Planning Framework The following represents a synthesis of principles, goals and objectives from previous plans and studies as relevant to the Railtown Neighbourhood. Synthesis of Principles • Healthy vibrant and walkable neighbourhoods that foster togetherness, collective joy and celebration • Prosperity to foster a diverse, value-added economy that provides good jobs close to home and amenities • Cultural Strength – to celebrate and embrace our rich heritage, diversity and thriving arts scene • Robust Ecosystems through protection, enhancement, restoration, and connectivity of natural systems and habitats within Railtown, the downtown, the waterfront and throughout the community • A connected multi-modal community to link the downtown, the waterfront , Railtown and the community as a whole • Infill, Intensification and adaptive re-use: to create a diversity of unique neighborhoods each with a vibrant mix of jobs, housing and other compatible uses • A public waterfront including parks and a continuous trail system • Green energy and infrastructure for a low carbon and ecologically based neighbourhoods and communities • A higly liveable and amenity rich community where people really like to live, work, learn and play 9 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN • Resiliency to maintain and enhance the economic, social, ecological, and cultural systems that make Nelson great and strengthen our ability to withstand future challenges. Site Conditions Railtown in Images Photo Essay (Above) CP Rail Station - (1900). After recent renovations this has become the new home of the Chamber of Commerce. Image Bill Metcalfe. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 10 (Left) Cottonwood Market. (Left + Above) Coke and Gasworks Heritage Building (1900). Granite masonry constructed from locally sourced materials. Now home to The Art of Brewing. (Below) Cottonwood Bridge: City of Nelson Art and Infrastructure Program, work by Brent Bukowski. Images: Brent Bukowski http://www. brentbukowski.ca/ Improve pedestrian / cyclist connection under Hig The underpass which facilitates multi-user crossing of Hi waterfront and Rosemont is decrepit, according to City p that the underpass is unsafe, which is not uncommon vulnerable in situations where they could be trapped i CPTED (Crime Prevention Through Environmental De (Below) The underpass is the determine low-cost mitigative measures to improve the s pedestrian connection to this underpass. Measures typically include improveme neighbourhoods of Railtown. tunnel by provision south of adequate lighting, maintenance ( This route is also marked improvement of aesthetics. by a series of stairs, and sloping sidewalks. Image: City of Nelson, Active Transportation Plan. Figure 13 - Underpass under Highway 3 in Nelson Fig (Above) CPR District Superintendent’s House (1908). This heritage building was designed by Alexander Carrie, who was a prominant desighner for many of Nelson’s important residences.1 It is situated in a prominate location, next to the entry of our site over Cottonwood Bridge. 1 City of Nelson Heritage Regiser Update, 2011. Image: waymaking.com 11 There may also be a lack of education as to the existen therefore, the link should be clearly indicated on Activ signage. Develop Perrier Road into a multi-user path Based on stakeholder consultation, Nelson residents in (Left) Cottonwood like Perrier Road to be developed into a route with sidew Falls Park. any upgrades to thisImage roadway. The distance along the p by Darrell Noakes. Cottonwood Road (situated just outside of the muni kilometres and would not serve to remedy a missing c Road / Vancouver Street. Nelson City planners indicate walking along Ymir Road, it still is utilized as a corrid modes, and as development occurs, the potential for possibility of injury or fatality, either the highway shou users, or an alternative route that is convenient and safe 14 Currently, there are initiative to enhance the ecological value of the creek,1 and the park site is host to the Cottonwood Market. 1. City of Nelson, Heritage Register Update, 2011 2. West Kootaney Geo-Tour Source: Opus International Consultants, Ltd. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN (Below, Right) Cottonwood Creek has continually supported the settlement of Nelson.1 Geologically speaking, the creek shaped our site and the City of Nelson. Downtown Nelson is built on a slope of sand and gravel that were deposited by ancient Cottonwood Creek. 2 Culturally, it has held diverse and key roles in human history. It supported traditions of the First Nations peoples, it was the first location of the Chinese Market Gardens, and it was key to the settlement and development of Nelson1 by it supporting early industries. Market Overview: Summary of Findings A market overview and financial analysis are being conducted as a part of the Sustainable Neighbourhood Conceptual Masterplan. The market overview, completed by J.P. Raulout-Lapointe, has been included in the appendix in full. Below is the summary of conclusions. The major findings from the preliminary market analysis to support the revisioning of the Railtown neighbourhood include: • Population forecasts suggested in the Colliers report from 2011 are overly optimistic. This will influence demand from all different types of land use, not only residential. • Residential demand is expected to average between 81 and 95 annually over the next 10 years. At that growth rate, if Railtown can attract 20% of projected multi-family development, it could have 80 units in 10 years. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 12 • Railtown could absorb up to 20,000 square feet of retail space without negatively impacting the downtown. Railtown would be an excellent location for service commercial retail where businesses might require extra storage, assembly, or office space beyond pure retail space. Other types of retailers that could be suited to Railtown include restaurants, or destination retail that would not rely on foot traffic in downtown for business. • Nelson is likely to see demand for 11 acres of new light industrial space over the next 10 years. Railtown should try to attract light industrial users that would fit well with retail and residential neighbours. • Office demand can be difficult to project, but the City should be open to government office users moving into Railtown. Start-up or small technology companies are likely to prefer renovated warehouse space, which could be an excellent fit for Railtown. Depending on how motivated the City of Nelson is to promote development in Railtown, the following strategies could be used: • Relax Zoning Regulations: Railtown’s location adjacent to industrial waterfront lands and to the downtown makes it a viable location for residential, light industrial, retail, and office use. Creating zoning regulations that allow for each of these types of uses will promote development. • Promote Catalytic Developments: Any development that will bring activity to Railtown will promote interest in the area. • Provide Incentives: The City of Nelson could provide some tax incentives to developers in Railtown if it was considered a priority. Precedents, Case Studies + Photo Essays The following collection of images, precedents and case studies are intended to act as points of inspiration and to help guide the discussion about the potential future uses, built forms, public spaces, sustainaibilty tools, and other ammenities for the Railtown District. Concept sketch for the new Emily Carr University campus, located on a past industrial site. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 13 The Rail Yards District, Victoria, BC The Rail Yards development is built on a former industrial site, along the Selkirk Waterway in Victoria’s Inner Harbour. PRECEDENTS It has a mix of uses with an industrial look and feel, and is well connected, allowing residents to walk, boat or cycle to downtown. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 14 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN PRECEDENTS Mixed use retail, light industrial, residential 15 Granville Island, Vancouver, BC PRECEDENTS The market and variety of artisans working and displaying their work on Granville Island make it a popular destination among tourists and residents of Vancouver. While it is most widely known for these reasons, one of the greatest lessons we can take from Granville Island is how to incorporate active industries (such as cement production) with vibrant public spaces. The design of many of the shops speak to the historic use of Granville Island by the railway (right). RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 16 Above: The Granville Island Cement Factory operates daily, providing good jobs close to downtown. This activity adds to the visitors’ experience. Murals on the cement silos are a recent addition. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN PRECEDENTS Below: The vibrant public realm of Granville Island. 17 Railspur District, Granville Island Vancouver, BC The Railspur District is made up of a number of industrial buildings that have been adapted for use by artists and artisans. Studio activities range from boat builders, to sake makers, and potters. PRECEDENTS Small changes such as covered pedestrian areas, windows, and frequent entrances into studios transforms the experience of these industrial buildings. Common to industrial areas is the ommission of curbs, which allows for greater flexibility of use. Studios are able to spillout into outdoor workspace. The interior space is flexible so the artist can set it up to suit their needs, including determining the amount of space given up for the store front. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 18 Parking Section Cut Line 2 lanes shared use traffic no curb Covered Sidewalks Covered Sidewalk Studio Front Sale + Display Space Studio Front Rear workshop PRECEDENTS Active work spaces are revealed, and spill out into the public realm. Rear workshop Outdoor work space Parking 0 0 0.5 Outdoor Workspace in Rear Studio activities are made visible Shared 10 Lanes Use 5 1 2 3 4 5 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 19 20 6 Park Stage, Granville Island Vancouver, BC PRECEDENTS An audience seating area is built into the hillside adjacent to the theatre company. The industrial garage doors open to reveal back stage. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 20 Evergreen Brickworks, Toronto, ON The site has a restored wetland and integrated stormwater management, which highlights the renewed connection between industry and ecology. The wetland provides a beautiful backdrop to private events, such as weddings. Site Overview Dtah: http://dtah.com/project/evergreen-brick-works/ 21 Farm Fridays Nicole McIsaac Spacing Magazine: http://spacing.ca/ toronto/2010/07/23/farm-friday-evergreen-brickworks/ Joseph and Jamie Photography, Qideas: http://www. qideas.ca/theterrace/ Cask Days: http://caskdays.com/guide, http://caskdays.com/2012 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN Industrial buildings have been adapted for use by artists as gallery space, brewers for production and public and private special events, bicycle workshops, weekly farmers market, sustainability education programming, and seasonal recreational activities such as skating. PRECEDENTS Evergreen Brickworks integrates cultural, recreation, educational and ecological on the past brick manufacturing site outside of Toronto, ON. The Dell at the University of Virginia AFTER LANDSCAPE CASE STUDIES BEFORE RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 22 • Daylights and restores a 1,200 linear foot section of piped stream to a more naturalized profile with meanders and vegetated stream banks. • Provides habitat and sources of food for wildlife as evidenced by the dramatic increase in wildlife sightings that have occurred since the completion of the project. • Manages runoff from up to a 2-year storm event, with excess runoff diverted through the original underground pipe to a storwater treatment facility located 0.75 miles downstream. • Reduces and delays peak stormwater discharge, as evidenced by monitoring data. This results in less flash flooding, less bank erosion, and more opportunities for sediment to settle. • Reduces sediment and nutrient loadings downstream, reducing total suspended solids by 30-92%, phosphate by 23-100%, and nitrate by -50-89% according to water sample data. • Provides recreational opportunities for an estimated 10,000 users each year, including members of the University, the adjacent residential communities, and thousands of visitors each year. • Provides an educational resource and learning laboratory for students. The Dell has been the subject of thesis work, individual and group grantfunded research, academic design work, and is used as an outdoor classroom year-round. http://landscapeperformance.org/casestudy-briefs/the-dell-at-the-university-ofvirginia Menomonee Valley Redevelopment and Community Park AFTER LANDSCAPE CASE STUDIES BEFORE 23 RELEVANT ENVIRONMENTAL + SOCIAL + ECONOMIC BENEFITS Increased developer yield (usable land) by 10-12% over conventional development by clustering development sites and consolidating stormwater management. Treats water quality and manages 100-year flood volumes for 100+ acre basin. Created public access to the Menomonee River and over 60 acres of park/open space in a area that had been off-limits to the public for 50+ years. Added 3 pedestrian/bicycle bridges and 7 miles of regional bike and pedestrian trails, linking greater Milwaukee and neighborhoods to the park, river, and valley. Triggered the use of the Menomonee River Valley as an outdoor science laboratory, which receives 10,000 student visits annually. Increased development site property values by 1,400% between 2002 and 2009. Added over $1 million in annual City property tax revenues. RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN http://landscapeperformance.org/case-study-briefs/ menomonee-valley-redevelopment RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN PHOTO ESSAY: BUILDING TYPOLOGIES Rowhouses + Townhouses 24 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN PHOTO ESSAY: BUILDING TYPOLOGIES Affordable Housing 25 Modular Cafe PHOTO ESSAY BUILDING TYPOLOGIES The following are examples of the types of uses and activities that modular structures can support. Travelling Community Art Van 26 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN Gallery Space Book Store Live/Work Uses + Activities Businesses supporitng outdoor recreation PHOTO ESSAY: POSSIBLE USES Artist and craft studios Gyms and sports facilities RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 27 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN PHOTO ESSAY: INDUSTRIAL PAST Celebrating Industrial Past 28 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 29 PHOTO ESSAY: INDUSTRIAL PAST RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 30 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN Appendix 31 Gateway Site boundary nm ver o G Steep slope (barrier) (0.5m contours) Pedestrian Underpass Key Pedestrian Route Active Rail Corridor (site barrier) t en . Rd Historic C.P. Rail Superintendents House Airfield Historic C.P. Rail Building. Now The Chamber of Commerce Historic building: Now The Art of Brewing Multi-Use Waterfront Trail Rosemont St. Gateway B r ake Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Falls Park Pedestrian Bridge Pedestrian Gateway Cottonwood Market Highways 3 & 6 (barriers to the site) Residential Commercial Core (Downtown) 32 RAILTOWN DISTRICT: SUSTAINABLE NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN Inventory + Analysis Diagram RAILTOWN: Inventory and Analysis Diagram R a ailw yS t. MEMO To: Pam Mierau, Planner, City of Nelson From: J.P. Raulot-‐Lapointe c/o Joaquin Karakas -‐ Modus Date: December 1st, 2015 Subject: Market Overview for Railtown Introduction & Background This memo is intended to provide a high level overview of market environment that will influence the proposed redevelopment and revitalization of the Railtown neighbourhood in Nelson. The projections in this memo are building upon the Sustainable Waterfront and Downtown Master Plan produced by IBI. That report by IBI included a market analysis in the appendix produced by Colliers. The Colliers market analysis forms the baseline for the comments in this memo. The City of Nelson is now focusing on the Railtown neighbourhood, which was a component of the Waterfront Master Plan. Modus Planning Design Engagement is assisting the City of Nelson with creating a new vision for Railtown. This memo includes high-‐level market analysis of the residential, light industrial, commercial, and office sectors. All of these land uses are significantly influenced by population growth. Population The 2011 report produced by Colliers for the City of Nelson included population forecasts that influenced projections for residential, light industrial, commercial and office demand. This section of the memo will take a look at how those 2011 forecasts compare to recent growth in Nelson based on population data from Statistics Canada, and BC Stats. Population The Colliers report forecasted Nelson would see population growth of 450 new residents per year over the next 10 years. That level of growth has not been met since 2011 and seems unlikely in the short term. • Since 1981 the population of Nelson saw its fastest annual growth rate between 2006 and 2011. Between these years Nelson grew at just over 2% and added just under 200 people per year. • BC Stats estimated the Nelson population in 2014 to be 10,532 – which represented an average annual growth rate of just below 1% or 302 new residents since 2011. The following table displays the population projections assuming low, medium and high growth scenarios. The high growth rate is slightly below the rate used in the Colliers report, here an annual growth rate of 3% is assumed. The medium growth forecast assumes the rate of growth over the past 8 years continues, while the low growth forecast is based on BC Stats growth forecast for the Nelson Local Health Area. The High Growth forecast is believed to be overly optimistic. Growth in Nelson will most likely lie somewhere between the Low Growth and Medium Growth forecast, but for this memo the Medium Growth forecast will be assumed. Residential The residential market analysis will include a review of recent historical housing starts as well as a look at sales of recently built homes. Housing Starts Since 2009 housing starts in Nelson have averaged 59 per year, with a high of 96 starts in 2014 and a low of 29 in 2013. A breakdown of starts by housing type was not readily available. Based on the Medium Growth forecast, Nelson would require between 80 and 95 new homes annually through to 2024. The Colliers report based future housing demand by type given the current and future age profile of Nelson’s residents. Using the proportions of demand of housing by type established in the Colliers reports, and assuming the Medium Growth scenario, creates the following housing projections: • • • Single family homes: between 45 and 50 new homes per year Apartments: between 20 to 25 new units per year Townhomes: between 15 and 20 new units per year If this forecast projects the overall expected growth for Nelson, the question for Railtown is how much of this projected development can it capture. The Colliers report estimated that 70% of future apartment development and 50% of future townhome development would occur in the Waterfront neighbourhoods. If 20% of future apartment and townhome development can be directed to Railtown, it will have almost 80 residential units in 10 years. The Nelson OCP sets a target of 100 residential units in Railtown. Upcoming Projects There are some significant multifamily projects that have recently been approved or are currently under construction in Nelson, including: • • • Nelson Commons: Will include 54 apartment units and is currently under construction. It is located on the east side of downtown and will be above retail. Nelson Landing: Approved for 265 units. The first phase will include an 8-‐plex and will be started in 2016. Nelson Landing is located on the waterfront in Fairview on Sproat Drive. The Kerr apartment building, which burnt down in 2011, will be rebuilt with 40 apartment units. Construction is slated to start in 2016. Given the level of construction already taking place, Nelson looks like it will have more than enough multi-‐family supply for the next few years based on current expected growth. It is possible that new development will produce fewer single-‐family homes than projected. Recently Built Sales This section highlights the sale of residential units developed since 2010 that have been tracked by the MLS system. It should be noted that not all newly built units are listed by the MLS. Since 2010, there have been 11 listed single-‐family homes built and sold in Nelson. • The average price of newly built single-‐family homes in Nelson was $457,000 for a home that averaged 2,000 square feet of finished space Since 2010 there have been 24 townhomes sold that were built since 2010 and tracked on MLS. A few new developments were not listed on MLS so have not been included. • Townhome sizes range from 1-‐bedroom units at 676 square feet to 3 bedroom units that are over 1,600 square feet. • • Prices for most sold units range from $250,000 to $350,000. Townhome projects mostly have not occurred in central Nelson, the projects reviewed either occurred on the western, southern, or eastern side of town. Since 2010 there have been two apartment projects that have been listed in the MLS system including an 8-‐unit apartment project at 2001 Perrier Road in south Nelson, and a 15-‐unit project on West Richards Road. • • The apartments on Perrier Road unit size average 960 square feet and have averaged $260,000 in selling price. The units on West Richards Road that were listed average 940 square feet in size and sold for an average value of $270,000. Commercial A full commercial analysis of Nelson was not completed for this memo. This commercial demand forecast for Railtown is based on a review of the Colliers report, and includes an estimate geared specifically for Railtown. The Colliers report makes the critical assumption regarding the future potential for retail on the Waterfront lands, including Railtown, that retail should be primarily focused on serving local residents. Local serving retail would typically be convenience oriented. An important reason for recommending future retail be local serving is to prevent new retail clusters from competing with downtown. Protecting Nelson’s vibrant downtown should continue to be paramount in the planning of the Waterfront neighbourhoods and Railtown. However, it is believed that Railtown can include types of retail that might not be best suited for downtown, and can include a small amount of non-‐local serving, boutique/niche retail without negatively impacting downtown. According to BC Assessment there is approximately 775,000 square feet of retail space currently in Nelson. Nelson not only serves its local population, but also is a hub for the region as the largest City in the Regional District of Central Kootenay. The majority of Nelson’s retail area is either located downtown or in the Chahko Mika Mall which is adjacent to downtown. It is understood that the vacancy rate for street-‐front retail space is very low, and any vacancies are typically filled quickly. The most recent commercial development in Nelson is the Kootenay Co-‐op building, which includes 10,000 square feet of new commercial space. Another upcoming commercial development includes approximately 15,000 square feet of medical space, which will be built adjacent to the hospital. The largest upcoming commercial development will occur within Nelson Landing project, which has been approved to build over 25,000 square feet. Compared to other Waterfront neighbourhoods, Railtown is directly connected to downtown through Baker Street, and it is assumed that connectivity will be improved through this visioning process for Railtown. Therefore, it is believed Railtown can be considered as a continuation of downtown, which ultimately will focus on retail commercial uses that are, for the most part, not currently located downtown. Types of uses that Railtown should look to promote include: • • • • • Service commercial that requires additional outdoor space Businesses that require retail space in addition to assembly, storage, manufacturing or office space Studio space for artists that would combine a retail area with studio space Brew pubs or restaurants that could potentially want a large patio o Other types of retailers, including restaurants, that would service the daytime working population in Railtown Destination retail that does not rely on foot traffic created by adjacent stores The Colliers report forecasted that total demand for local serving retail in the Waterfront area would be for 5,000 square feet. This was based on a total build out of 500 residential units. The report also allowed for an additional 5,000 square feet for two full-‐service restaurants, for a total of 10,000 square feet of retail. If the same ratios were applied just to Railtown, only 3,000 to 5,000 square feet of retail would be allowed, assuming the OCP goal of 100 residential units and one or two restaurants. This forecast underestimates the potential for Railtown, given its close proximity to downtown, and the possibility of focusing on different types of retail uses. It is believed Railtown could allow for up to 20,000 square feet of retail space without pressuring downtown retailers. Beyond the 5,000 square feet that would include two restaurants and a local serving convenience uses, the 20,000 square feet of retail would provide commercial space to businesses that might be more comfortable in a light industrial area than downtown. This estimate assumes that retail in Railtown should not include any large format retail projects, which is unlikely given the size of the neighbourhood, or a cluster of national brands. Railtown should focus on providing creative space and associated formats for the use of local businesses and entrepreneurs. Light Industrial The Colliers report projected demand of 25 acres of light industrial land over the next 10 years. This forecast tied demand for light industrial land to population growth and the estimated proportion of the labour force that would be involved in the goods producing sector. Based on the Medium Growth population estimate used in this memo, demand for light industrial land would be reduced to 11 acres over the next 10 years. The vacant lands adjacent to the airport and within Railtown could easily meet this amount of demand. Outside of the Waterfront Neighbourhoods there is not a large supply of industrial land, and it is understood that over the long term Nelson would like to see heavy industrial uses moved away from Nelson’s Waterfront. From the perspective of Railtown, the reduced future demand for light industrial space could slow redevelopment, but Railtown is a neighbourhood that will likely see a mix of uses such as retail, residential, and potentially office. Given its proximity to the rail lines, airport, and historic industrial use, light industrial development would be a good fit in Railtown. Being located next to downtown would also likely suit businesses and their employees. Light industrial buildings can be designed to integrate with retail and residential uses. Light industrial businesses that can operate with residents close by would likely be a great addition to a redeveloped Railtown, helping to bring jobs and an interesting mix of uses to the area. From a developer perspective, any light industrial development would likely be build-‐to-‐ suit, implying there would already be a tenant in mind for the building. The form of light industrial buildings can be designed with different proportions of shop space, office space, height, outdoor storage / parking space, etc. In a build-‐to-‐suit arrangement the tenant can specify specific dimensions for the building, and the owner knows it has a tenant ready to pay rent. Speculative development, where the owner builds a light industrial building before having tenants secured, would likely be too risky in a City Nelson’s size. Therefore any light industrial development would likely have to wait for an interested business to partner with a landowner / developer. Light industrial development could also take the form of live / work space. Finding the right tenants for a live / work building in a City the size of Nelson could take time. So any developer would likely require a proportion of pre-‐sales or tenants before beginning construction. Artist studios could also be a great fit in Railtown, and help bring activity and promote development in the area. However, given the low rents artists would require studio space should only be considered in a refurbished existing building. Office Office demand is difficult to forecast, especially for smaller cities such as Nelson. The Colliers report did not estimate future office demand. The Nelson OCP states that it wants to retain the dominance of office uses in the downtown area. However, office use would be an excellent addition to Railtown, and given Railtown’s connection to downtown, it could be considered as a continuation of downtown’s office supply. The primary tenant for downtown office space is reportedly government, and there have been suggestions that some government offices may be looking for more space. Government would be an excellent tenant for a new office building in Railtown. A new office building would likely be mixed use, combining office space with either retail or light industrial uses. Similar to light industrial, developing speculative office space in a small city such as Nelson is probably too risky for a developer. Office development will likely only occur on a very small scale by owner operators, or when a tenant, such as government, has signed on. It is possible some of the existing buildings in Railtown could be refurbished for office use. Refurbished warehouse / light industrial buildings tend to be preferred by start-‐up technology companies. Attracting technology companies is something most communities are trying to do. The lifestyle and vibrant small town feel in Nelson is probably its largest selling feature, and Nelson anecdotally already attracts a high proportion of creative and educated young professionals. New technology companies in Nelson will most likely result from the attractive lifestyle Nelson provides. Providing funky office space in a refurbished warehouse in a revitalizing neighbourhood such as Railtown can help, but ultimately the growth of technology companies will rely on Nelson’s population. Conclusions: The major findings from the preliminary market analysis to support the revisioning of the Railtown neighbourhood include: • • • • • Population forecasts suggested in the Colliers report from 2011 are overly optimistic. This will influence demand from all different types of land use, not only residential. Residential demand is expected to average between 81 and 95 annually over the next 10 years. At that growth rate, if Railtown can attract 20% of projected multi-‐ family development, it could have 80 units in 10 years. Railtown could absorb up to 20,000 square feet of retail space without negatively impacting the downtown. Railtown would be an excellent location for service commercial retail where businesses might require extra storage, assembly, or office space beyond pure retail space. Other types of retailers that could be suited to Railtown include restaurants, or destination retail that would not rely on foot traffic in downtown for business. Nelson is likely to see demand for 11 acres of new light industrial space over the next 10 years. Railtown should try to attract light industrial users that would fit well with retail and residential neighbours. Office demand can be difficult to project, but the City should be open to government office users moving into Railtown. Start-‐up or small technology companies are likely to prefer renovated warehouse space, which could be an excellent fit for Railtown. Depending on how motivated the City of Nelson is to promote development in Railtown, the following strategies could be used. : • • • Relax Zoning Regulations: Railtown’s location adjacent to industrial waterfront lands and to the downtown makes it a viable location for residential, light industrial, retail, and office use. Creating zoning regulations that allow for each of these types of uses will promote development. Promote Catalytic Developments: Any development that will bring activity to Railtown will promote interest in the area. Provide Incentives: The City of Nelson could provide some tax incentives to developers in Railtown if it was considered a priority.