Industry Watch September 2012
Transcription
Industry Watch September 2012
1.877.gets.uta • www.uta.org Used Truck Association Chartered May 16, 1988 Published by the Used Truck Association 325 Country Club Drive, Suite A Stockbridge, GA 30281 Table of Contents Board News & Views............................2 New Members.......................................3 Face to Face with Philip Jenkins...........4 The Brooks Group Sales Tip of the Month.......................5 Moving on Down the Road: Catching Up With Ken Kosic..............8 Market Stable, Model Year Trends Developing..................... 10-11 Industry News Briefs..................... 12-15 Polk Used Truck Data......................... 15 Industry Events Calendar....................20 From Where We Sit............................23 The UTA… Members Supporting Members! SHARE YOUR news with the UTA Industry Watch. Send submissions, ideas and comments to: UTA Industry Watch Editors Brad and Deb Schepp and Jay Burgess c/o Grace Management 325 Country Club Drive, Suite A Stockbridge, GA 30281 Phone: 877-GETS-UTA (877-438-7882) Fax: 770-454-0029 editor@uta.org Volume 14 • Issue 9 • September 2012 Our Generous Convention Sponsors as of September 10th Diamond Arrow Truck Sales CAG Truck Capital / FairvilleTrucks.com Commercial Truck Trader Platinum AES/Jack Cooper Specialized Transport, Inc. Daimler Trucks Remarketing Corporation Mack Trucks & Volvo Trucks Manheim National Truck Protection TruckMovers.com, Inc. Gold ADESA Corp Asset Appraisal Services Bennett DriveAway Black Book Caterpillar, Inc. Coldiron Companies Cummins EPG Insurance Idealease, Inc. International Used Truck Centers IronPlanet Silver ACT Research Co., LLC Balboa Capital Corporation Dealer Solutions DEKRA-TRS LLC Inspection Services Doonan Truck & Equipment of Wichita Eaton Corporation / Roadranger Marketing First Generation Level6Marketing Passco Systems R. L. Polk & Company RoadRunner Driveaway Bronze American Truck Protection Best Used Trucks Hino Trucks Mitsubishi Fuso Parish Truck Sales Inc Rush Enterprises Wholesale Trucks Of America J & J Drive-Away Michelin North America NADA NextTruck Premium 2000 Team Drive-Away The Truck Blue Book & The Commercial Trailer Blue Book Vehicle Inspection Services Rock and Dirt Russ Darrow Leasing Co. SOARR/Interstate Online Software The Truck Finance Company, LLC The Truckers Choice Tired Iron Transport Topics Truck & Trailer Access Truck Paper Vehicle Inspection Pro’s Thank You It’s NOT to late to be a sponsor! 2012 Board of Directors UTA Industry Watch Board News and Views Excuse Me! I Think We Did Build It! F irst let’s get this out of the way. The views in this article are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the UTA, the UTA board, or the editors of the UTA Industry Watch newsletter. Front, L to R: Kenny Doonan, Tim Ormsby, Tim Ronan, George Barnett, Marty Crawford, Mike Thurston Back, L to R: Bryan Boyd, Bryan Haupt, Sheri Aaberg, Tom Pfeiler, Rick Clark, Lara Haag, John Cosgrove, Bobby Williams, Ken Kosic, Jay Burgess alternate (not pictured) President Rick Clark Vice President Bobby Williams Treasurer Tom Pfeiler Secretary Sheri Aaberg President Emeritus Marty Crawford Affiliates & Benefits Committee Chairman Bryan Boyd Convention Committee Chairmen Sheri Aaberg & Tim Ormsby UTA Jerome Nerman Family Foundation Scholarship Committee Chairman Tim Ronan Elections Committee Chairman George Barnett Marketing Committee Chairmen Jay Burgess & Rick Clark Medium Duty Committee Chairman Tom Pfeiler Membership Committee Chairmen John Cosgrove & Kenny Doonan Training Committee Chairman Ken Kosic UTA Dealer Group Committee Chairmen Mike Thurston & Bryan Haupt UTA.org Website Committee Chairman Bobby Williams 2 September 2012 I’m sitting here in my office waiting, as I have done for the past several weeks, for my “partner” in this business, someone from the government, to show up for work. Again I am disappointed to see they are a no show. You would think that if they built this business for me they would be here to run it. Actually, I’m glad they don’t show up because whenever anyone from the government shows up and says “I’m from the IRS, EPA, BMV, DOT, etc., and I’m here to help,” the only thing they ever help with is to lower the already low balance in my checking account. Ok, now that I have tippy-toed around my feelings on President Obama’s comments on how we who are in business didn’t build our business, that the government did that for us (“If you’ve got a business, you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.”) let’s look at some facts. I am going to comment on the Interstate Highway System that we in this industry are very dependent on, and could look at President Obama’s statement and say, “Well yes the government did build that for us and we wouldn’t sell many trucks if we did not have it.” Let’s look at who is really responsible for the Interstate Highway System. I would argue that a large part of credit for a project goes to the group who funds the project. Yes, the government built it, or had it built, but who paid for it? So here is a little history lesson. It’s the point that most of you will quit reading this because it gets somewhat boring, or even more boring depending on your view. Also, many of the more senior members of our organization, like myself, already know this stuff. For some of you though it might be of some interest. In 1956, the Highway Trust Fund was created to fund the building of the Interstate Highway System. The idea for this system had been around for several years, and mostly it was seen as a way to move military troops and equipment quickly and efficiently around the country if needed. World War II hadn’t been all that long ago, and the Cold War was just starting so national defense was a priority at the time. It was also seen as a definite benefit to the public for automobile travel, and for easier interstate transportation of goods and products. To fund this project some existing taxes on fuels were raised, and some new taxes were created. One of the major new taxes created was the Federal Highway Use Tax. Many of you probably recognize those four words from all of the Form 2290s you use to have to include with the sale of every truck you sold. This was to prove the tax had been paid on the truck you were selling, and no back taxes were due. The tax is a yearly tax collected on every truck registered in the USA over 55,000 lbs. combined GVW, and most Class 8 trucks are taxed at $550.00 annually. The 12 percent federal excise tax collected on the sale of every new truck 33,000 lbs. GVW or more sold in the U.S. at time of sale is also a major part of the Highway Trust Fund. These taxes were a huge factor in funding the Interstate Highway System, and continue to be a major part of the funding to maintain and build new parts of the system. All of the funding for federal highways is from taxes like this, and fuel taxes that go into the Highway Trust Fund. So yes, the government built the roads that are needed for our industry to succeed. But like everything else the government does, it was paid for by the private sector. In this case, most of it from the trucking industry. I hope to see you all in New Orleans for our UTA convention. And one last thing, don’t forget to vote! Tim Ormsby, Co-Chair Convention Committee tim@uta.org www.UTA.org UTA Industry Watch New Members It’s always a treat to welcome new members to the Used Truck Association. Each month we profile our new members in this newsletter. New members have the opportunity to complete a bio and send a photo so our current members can learn more about you. We hope to learn not just how to reach you, but what you like/don’t like about the work you do, why you joined the UTA, and what gets your gears going as a person. So please return your questionnaire so your fellow UTA members can get to know you! If you’d like a copy of the new member brochure handed out at the convention, please contact David Grace at davidgrace@charter.net or 770-389-6528 ext. 404. Brian Anderson, Fleet Sales Dan Dubak, Chief Operating Officer Jim Johnston, President Quality Equipment Sales 2335 W. Raymond St. Indianapolis, IN 46241 www.qestrucks.com (317) 937-0957 (W) banderson@celadontrucking.com Pure Motorcars, Ltd. 1424 Lee St., Suite B Des Plaines, IL 60018 www.puremotorcars.com (847) 813-5585 (W) dan@puremotorcars.com Jack Cooper Specialized Transport 2650 E. 32nd Street, Suite 220 Joplin, MO 64804 www.jackcooperspecialized.com (417) 659-2108 (W) jjohnston@jackcooper.com Dan’s company is called Pure Motorcars, yet he’s joined the UTA so we asked him how trucks enter the picture for his dealership. He explained that as his dealership is based in Des Plaines, IL, he’s surrounded by truck drivers, owner/operators, and so on. About six to eight months ago he saw an upturn in the market for used trucks, and decided to also include trucks, specifically Class 8 vehicles, in his inventory. Jim began in the business back in 1979, working as a dispatcher in Oakville Ontario, Canada. He created Jack Cooper Specialized, a vehicle delivery service, in 2011. John Barrett, Truck Sales Manager Quality Equipment Sales 2335 W. Raymond St. Indianapolis, IN 46241 www.qualitycompaniesllc.com (317) 362-3896 (W) jbarrett@celadontrucking.com John started out in the truck business in 2008. Prior to that he was in the petroleum industry. He comes to UTA seeking networking opportunities. We asked John the question we ask all new members, and that is what you might find yourself doing if you weren’t in the truck business. “I would be on the beach somewhere,” John responded. “That would be my hope.” We’re with you on that one John! Dan’s been in the transportation industry his entire working life—about 14 years. He’s joined the UTA to network, acquire more inventory, and discuss the business of selling trucks with others doing the same. In his spare time Dan hunts and enjoys trapshooting. He’s joined the UTA to gain new contacts and business associates and says the best part of his job are the “challenges and change.” When we asked Jim if there’s another field he could envision himself in he said he “would not want to be in any other business.” Jim’s also an avid hockey fan, the proud father of two, and proud grandfather of two. Erik Krenz, Sales Manager Inland Kenworth 1021 North 59th Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85043 (602) 258-7791 (W) ekrenz@inland-group.com Ben Wieder, President 575 S. Hercules Ave., Ste 602 Clearwater, FL 33764 www.level6marketing.com (727) 210-6600 (W) (216) 224-8380 (C) ben@level6marketing.com People rarely succeed unless they have fun in what they are doing. ~ Dale Carnegie www.UTA.org September 2012 3 UTA Industry Watch Philip Jenkins P hilip Jenkins has been a member of UTA since its inception when Marvin Gordon began planning for the organization and turning to truck dealers for their input. Today Philip is the president and founder of Jenkins International Marketing in Colleyville, TX, buying and selling equipment. “I work mostly with franchised dealers of all of the major manufacturers and a few independent dealers to locate and sell inventory,” Philip explained. He sells used Class 8 trucks, medium-duty trucks, trailers, RVs, buses, and also new trucks. “I’m currently working with various dealer groups in the U.S., Canada, Central and South America, and Africa,” he said. In covering such a broad range of inventory and clients, Philip is living up to his own personal history. He joined the truck industry in 1969 when he started working for Brockway Motor Trucks of Buffalo, NY, a division of Mack Trucks. His next job took him to the Mack Regional Used Truck Center in Delran, NJ. Then he hopped over the river to Philadelphia when he took a job as the Used Truck Manager for the Mack Truck factory store. His next step was the position of Regional Manager for all the Mack Truck locations in the East. In 2003 he moved into the Dealer Development Group for Mack and Volvo, and then to the Premium Used Truck Group. Throughout his travels and his steady climb up the ladder, Philip learned everything he’d need to set out on his own. In 2010, he took the plunge and opened up his own business. Today Philip is proud of the success of his business and dedicated to the services he provides to his clients. “I understand how they operate their businesses, and I know their needs,” he said. Philip starts his day at 6:00 am in order to be available for his customers on Eastern Standard Time. He keeps going until 8:00 pm so that his Pacific Coast customers can have the same ready access to his services. “I’ve always tried to ‘Do the Right Thing’ when it comes to the dealers.” In addition to the pride Philip takes in having created a successful business, he is also proud of the 4 September 2012 good work he’s been privileged to do throughout his career. He told us that while he was the Director of Used Trucks at Mack he took a trip to Africa. While visiting one of his international dealers, Philip had the opportunity to see the trucks he’d recently sold the dealer working the port and delivering food to the needy of Africa. “My role in the trucking industry has allowed me to assist dealers worldwide,” he said. That devotion to others is part of the Jenkins’ family culture. Philip’s wife Peggy is an elementary school math teacher. His older daughter Laura is a middle school science teacher and track coach. His younger daughter Rachel works for a non-profit organization that supports the needs of at-risk teens. Philip clearly has provided a positive example for his children to follow, and his advice to younger people starting out in the trucking industry reflects his concerns for the well being of others. “I want them to understand to put some of their income away for when our industry has a downturn and sales slow up,” he said. “There’s nothing worse than a desperate salesman.” He also encourages them each to become the “point person” for all of their clients. “Their clients need to be able to come to them and ask questions about the latest technology and the changing laws in our industry,” he observed. When Philip isn’t working he enjoys being active in his church community and spending time with his wife of 40 years and his family. “I enjoy cooking gourmet meals, working in my yard, and spending time with my first grandchild,” Philip told us. That sounds like a perfect next step for a deserving and hard-working member of our association! n www.UTA.org UTA Industry Watch SEARCHING FOR A FEW GOOD TRUCKS True professional salespeople use the word “recommend” when presenting a solution to a prospect/client. It’s Team Drive-Away Nation SELECTRUCKS IS LOOKING FOR THE FOLLOWING QUALITY USED TRUCKS: » Freightliner Cascadia® trucks » Late-model, low-mileage, over-the-road tractors » Vocational specifications » Class 6 and 7 medium-duty vehicles Call Joe Boyle, Mike Clark, Carl Rainey or Tom Pfeiler today at 803-578-3430 or email: thomas.pfeiler@daimler.com. selectrucks.com 13TH ANNUAL UTA CONVENTION PLATINUM SPONSOR Copyright © 2012. Daimler Trucks North America LLC. SelecTrucks is a brand of Daimler Trucks North America LLC. Daimler Trucks Remarketing Corporation is a subsidiary of Daimler Trucks www.UTA.org North America LLC, a Daimler company. The largest deck transporter in North America. 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Use our Single-Vehicle Lookup, powered by Truck Blue Book, to find detailed values for your medium and heavy-duty trucks. • Providing the used truck industry the most comprehensive coverage available at rates up to 20% below other warranty providers • Serving owner operators, truck dealers, truck fleets, leasing and financing companies for over 28 years • The only independent to achieve and maintain an A+ rating with the Better Business Bureau • 24/7/365 breakdown assistance Medium-Duty Heavy-Duty - Includes retail and finance values - Standard-based models • Over 3,000+ repair facilities nationwide • Online inspection & warranty processing - Quick VIN Search - Buy only the truck value you need Know before you buy and SAVE! - Avoid overpaying or underselling - Fast, easy and accurate VISIT TRUCKBLUEBOOK.COM TODAY! 1-800-950-3377 www.ntpwarranty.com Call One of Our Reps or Visit Our Website to Find Out How to Become a Registered Dealer Today UTA Industry Watch Moving On Down the Road: Checking in with Ken Kosic U TA Board member Ken Kosic, who heads the training committee, recently assumed a new position with his long-time employer Arrow Truck Sales, Inc. Way back in 1989 Ken started his career with Arrow, and with the exception of a five-year stint at MHC he’s been with Arrow the whole time. His first job with the company was as their retail branch manager for Kansas City. Over the years Ken worked his way up to Western Regional Manager. In March of this year he began a new job as Director of Operations. Reporting to Ken in his new position are marketing and advertising, national accounts, and the compliance department, which works on policy issues. We gave Ken a call to find out how the new job was coming along. “The transition’s been great,” he shared. “I was traveling 120 days per year. I thought I would miss all the interaction with my accounts, I had gotten to know my contacts so well, and came to really enjoy the traveling.” It turns out that Ken doesn’t mind less travel and actual enjoys not traveling so much. He’s also found he can make a big difference to Arrow behind the scenes. As you might expect he’s a huge booster of Arrow. “A lot of great people work for Arrow,” he said. “It seems Arrow has been the training ground for the Used Truck Industry.” Thanks to his less-frequent travel schedule Ken can spend more time with his wife Cathy, with whom he’s been married for 45 years. He can also spend more time with his children Ken Jr., (who is also the truck business with Midwest Truck Sales), as well as Jennifer and Anne Marie. Rounding out Ken’s family are his grandchildren Reid, Kennedy, Ava, and Aidan. We found Ken’s enthusiasm for his work to be inspirational. “I’m 67, but there’s still a lot of work to be done,” he told us. “The days fly by.” n 8 September 2012 www.UTA.org UTA Industry Watch Market Stable, Model Year Trends Developing By Chris Visser, Senior Analyst and Product Manager, Commercial Trucks R etail pricing for the sleeper market overall rose unexpectedly in July, but this rise was not supported by newer model years. Trucks newer than four model years old continue to gradually decline in price. The wholesale market returned a solid performance despite historically high average mileage. Sales volume per dealership was moderate for the third month in a row. July’s results suggest a market remaining stable at a high level. Retail Market Slightly older trucks have followed a different pattern. Model year 2008 vehicles have enjoyed steady pricing since February after declining throughout 2011. And the 2007 and even 2006 model years have not depreciated notably in at least 18 months. It is likely that the market has established a comfort level for the last of the pre-DPF trucks. Bottom line – trucks with under 600,000 miles that meet trade terms will bring strong money, regardless of age. See the “Average Retail Price by Model Year” graph for detail. After a relatively flat first half, and in the face of mixed economic data, July’s average pricing surprised on the upside. The average sleeper tractor retailed in July cost $50,077, had 557,314 miles, and was 75 months old (see graph). This result is 1.2 percent above June, with mileage 2.6 percent higher. Age was higher by one month. This was only the second month in the past four years in which price crested the $50,000 barrier. Wholesale Market Wholesale pricing for sleeper tractors remains predictable, tied tightly to mileage. The average sleeper tractor wholesaled in July cost $30,014, had 680,041 miles, and was 96 months old (see graph). This result is 12.8 percent higher than June, with mileage 1.7 percent lower. Age was identical to June. Compared to July of last year, this month’s results were 5.2 percent higher on price, and 7.7 percent higher on mileage. Trucks sold in July of last year were six months younger. Late-model trucks, particularly the 2009 and 2010 model years, have trended moderately downwards. This behavior is to be expected for the newest model years as they enter the market in greater numbers (see “Monthly Retail Sales Volume” graph). At the same time, anecdotal evidence suggests a degree of resistance to DPF-equipped trucks in regions not directly impacted by port-related emissions regulations. Overall, 2009 model years continue to command strong money, and we do not foresee any change in pricing other than continued mild depreciation. Compared to July of last year, this month’s results were 11.8 percent higher on price, and 8.2 percent higher on mileage. Trucks sold in July were a whopping 20 months older than the same month year. With a -0.95 correlation between price and mileage since January, we can fairly accurately predict where pricing will fall at a given mileage point. July’s result was on the high side of what we would expect given the average mileage. The rule of thumb of trucks with under 650,000 miles performing well in the wholesale market may need to be revised upwards 5 percent or so. 10 September 2012 www.UTA.org UTA Industry Watch Sales Volume BIG RIGS. BIG OPTIONS. July’s results were nearly identical to June’s, at 5.9 trucks retailed per dealership rooftop (see graph). The second quarter of this year was weaker than the same period last year by 0.4 trucks per dealership or 6.7 percent. The decrease is attributable mainly to supply factors – namely, a lack of low- to average-mileage iron to sell. At the same time, the demand side can’t be overlooked. The mild contraction in the manufacturing sector and the extremely cautious investment environment are probably having some impact. But market appetite for any truck with under 600,000 miles indicates that the demand side is the lesser of the two factors. Visit ADESA.com/specialtycalendar to find auction dates and locations. ALL AUCTIONS OPEN TO THE PUBLIC. Check out ADESArigs.com for all your truck and equipment needs. © 2012 ADESA, INC. Conclusion After mixed results in May and June, we had considered July a critical month that would determine whether the market was in decline or just flattening out. With late-model tractors continuing their gradual decline, pre-DPF iron holding steady, predictability in the wholesale markets, and little change in sales volume, we consider the used truck market stable. Mixed domestic manufacturing activity and the ongoing political circus will ensure that business investment remains extremely conservative through the end of the year. However, we maintain that the low supply of low- to average-mileage used trucks will continue to support high pricing levels well into 2013. n www.nada.com/b2b Reprinted with permission from the ATD/NADA Official Commercial Truck Guide® www.UTA.org “O F F I C I A L ” G U N N Y M E S S AG E : Official Used Heavy Duty Truck and Trailer Guide V Visit with Cha Charles les C Cathey they and Bret Swanson when you stop by the Black Book® booth on Thursday, November 8th in New Orleans. Booth 7 September 2012 11 1 - 8 0 0 - 5 5 4 - 1 0 2 6 | W W W. B L A C K B O O K U S A . C O M UTA Industry Watch Industry News Briefs Women In Trucking Founder honored at White House’s “Champions of Change” Event Internet Truckstop Director of Freight Matching and Women In Trucking Chairwoman Leigh Foxall was recently honored at the White House as part of the “Champions of Change” initiative. The program brings together “ordinary Americans doing extraordinary things” from different sections of the economy. The transportation industry, more specifically the Women In Trucking founder and president, Ellen Voie, was honored July 31, 2012. Ellen Voie, founder, president and chief executive officer of Women In Trucking was invited to the attend to honor her for her contributions to the transportation industry. Her mission to “encourage the employment of women in the trucking industry, promote their accomplishments and minimize obstacles faced by women working in the trucking industry” has been very successful, according to the organization that she heads. “It is very exciting to have Ellen recognized for her work. It is evident that Women In Trucking’s efforts to bring awareness to the great careers in the transportation industry is being recognized,” said Leigh Foxall, Internet Truckstop Director of Freight Matching and Women In Trucking Chairwoman. “It was an honor for both Ellen and members of the board to attend this White House event.” n From left, Laura Roan, Hyundai Translead; Leigh Foxall, chairwoman, WIT/Internet Truckstop; Jeff Hammonds, Walmart Transportation; Ray LaHood, Secretary of Transportation; Ellen Voie, CEO, WIT and Jan Hamblin, J.J. Keller; (unknown man in blue) were all on hand for Ellen’s award ceremony. ©USDOT Photo Navistar Teams with Cummins to Meet 2010 EPA Regs It looks like Navistar may have found a way to comply with the EPA’s 2010 emissions standards. The company has introduced ICT+ (In-Cylinder Technology Plus), which it said leverages the advances the company’s made in clean engine technology, while “providing greater certainty for its customers, dealers, and other key constituents.” To speed ICT+ delivery, Navistar entered into an agreement with Cummins Emission Solutions, whereby Cummins will supply its urea-based after-treatment system to Navistar. This would be combined with Navistar’s advanced in-cylinder engine to create ICT+. Navistar said that by combining Cummins’ after-treatment system with its existing MaxxForce engines, its ICT+ will meet 2010 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) emissions regulations, and position it to meet greenhouse gas (GHG) rules ahead of 2014 and 2017 requirements. “With this clean engine solution, we are taking the best of both technology paths to provide our customers with the cleanest and most fuel efficient engines and trucks on the market and to meet stringent U.S. emission regulations,” said Daniel C. Ustian, Navistar chairman, president and CEO. The company also said that during the transition to ICT+, it “will continue building and shipping current model EPA-compliant trucks in all vehicle classes using appropriate combinations of earned emissions credits and/or non-conformance penalties (NCPs).” Navistar also said it’s working with the EPA and the California Air Resources Board (CARB) regarding ICT+ transition. As part of the deal with Cummins, Navistar will offer the Cummins ISX15 engine in certain models, thus expanding its vehicle lineup and “on-highway market opportunity.” Navistar noted it will introduce the Cummins ISX15 engine as a part of its North American on-highway truck line-up starting in January 2013, and begin introducing ICT+ in its MaxxForce 13-liter in early 2013. For more information visit http://www.navistar.com/. n 12 September 2012 www.UTA.org UTA Industry Watch The State of U.S. Truckload Fleets July’s Class 8 Preliminary Net Orders “Below Trend” ACT Research reported that North America heavy-duty GVW Class 8 commercial vehicle preliminary net orders for July were below trend. Classes 5-7 net orders, however, bounced back above the long run order trend. The final numbers, not available at the time of this writing, will approach 12,900 units for heavy-duty Class 8 trucks and 14,800 for medium duty Classes 5-7 vehicles ACT said. (Preliminary net order numbers are usually within 5 percent of the final tally.) “Class 8 orders fell below our near-term expectations, even when adjusted for seasonality,” said Kenny Vieth, president and senior analyst, ACT Research. “Seasonal adjustment pushes July’s Class 8 net orders total from the actual 12,900 units to 15,400 units. In Q2, net orders averaged 17,300 units per month, even as Class 8 builds averaged 26,000 units. As has been the case since late February/early March, the order weakness appears to boil down to confidence in the economy relative to the risk of taking out a sizeable loan to buy a truck.” “Positively, Class 8 cancellations remained at low levels and retail sales were strong through Q2, reflecting the continued support of large trucking concerns. The big public carriers posted strong profits on modest revenue growth in Q2. This along with other data suggests that as the economy steadies and the outlook becomes clearer, demand should return to pre-soft-patch levels.” For additional information, go to http://www.actresearch.net. n FTR Agrees— Class 8 Orders Weak FTR Associates released preliminary data showing July Class 8 truck net orders at 12,568 units, which it said is the lowest month for orders since August 2010, and 32 percent below the same month last year. These order numbers span all major North American OEMs. July orders were 23 percent below weak June activity and “continue reflecting soft demand for Class 8 vehicles.” FTR added that for the May-July period, orders annualize to 186,300 units. TCP Partner Richard Mikes recently gave a presentation on the State of U.S. Truckload Fleets. Takeaways and conclusions follow. Volume ■■ While most people are concerned about the economic uncertainly, 70 percent of carriers believe volumes will grow over the next year. Pricing ■■ Pricing trends remain strong even in the face of decelerating volume growth. ■■ Almost half of the carriers surveyed said rates increased by five percent or more between March 2012 and May 2012. ■■ Two-thirds of carriers surveyed say rates will climb over the next 12 months. Capacity ■■ Class 8 tractor orders have generally cooled over the past two years as carriers grew cautious about ordering incremental units. ■■ 71 percent of fleets surveyed plan to add less than five percent incremental capacity over the next year. ■■ Half of responding carriers say that return on investment (ROI) is too low to justify buying incremental tractors and trailers. ■■ Shippers are changing their behavior to compensate for a real or perceived capacity shortage. ■■ Carriers have found it less necessary to use brokers as supply and demand has tightened across the industry. Conclusions: With tightening supply and demand dominating the truckload industry landscape, rates should continue rising as long as the economy continues growing at a modest 1.5 percent to 2 percent GDP growth rate (or better). Rate increases will continue to outstrip cost increases, especially for large truckload carriers, enabling further operating margin expansion. To receive the slide deck of the presentation, send an email to partners@transportcap.com. n “While orders came in below expectations, they didn’t really surprise us. We have been forecasting slower sales of Class 8 vehicles in the second half of 2012 for some time, and the reported order numbers for July support our current outlook for the remainder of the year,” said Eric Starks, FTR’s President. More details are available by contacting FTR Associates at ftr@ftrassociates.com, or by calling 1-888-988-1699. n Industry News Briefs continued on page 14 www.UTA.org September 2012 13 UTA Industry Watch Industry News Briefs continued on from 13 Ford Scooping up Chinese Heavy Truck Manufacturer Ford Motor Company announced that as part of its aggressive expansion in Asia, and particularly its commercial investment in China, it will move into the heavy-truck business via a major acquisition. The result: Ford will gain a foothold in the world’s largest market for the segment. Jiangling Motors Corporation (JMC), of which Ford is a major shareholder, will buy a 100-percent stake in Taiyuan Changan Heavy Truck Company. The deal is pending final approvals from Chinese government authorities. “JMC’s acquisition represents a great opportunity to continue to expand the breadth of our business in China across vehicle segments,” said Dave Schoch, chairman and CEO, Ford Motor China. “A strong heavy truck operation like Taiyuan will complement Ford’s existing passenger car and light commercial vehicle operations here in the world’s largest and fastest-growing vehicle market.” As part of its Chinese expansion Ford said it will also introduce 15 new vehicles and 20 advanced powertrains to that market by 2015. To support this growth, Ford and its partners are building five new plants in China, including a new manufacturing plant in Nanchang (JMC’s home), with an annual capacity of 300,000 units. When the facility comes online in 2013, Ford said, it will produce both JMC and Ford-branded vehicles. Shanxi Province, Ford noted, provides a “significant launch pad” for JMC’s move into an area where heavy trucks are in strong demand due to the region’s abundance of raw materials and iron, coal, and electricity. Ford feels demand for heavy duty trucks in China will continue to rise because of “China’s long-term economic growth potential and strong investments in infrastructure by the Chinese government.” Ford added that China represents the world’s largest market for heavy trucks, with nearly one million units sold last year – more than North America, Europe and South America combined. n $25 Billion in Savings Possible by Switching Freight Shipments to Carriers Using Alternative Fuels We’re all aware of the arguments in favor of clean or green technology. Until recently, however, cost savings have rarely been among those arguments. Now a report from a Washington, D.C. energy policy group urges the federal government to start allocating its $150 billion budget for transport services to carriers that fuel their fleets on domestically produced natural gas, electricity, biofuels, and other diesel and gasoline alternatives. The report, by the non-profit American Clean Skies Foundation (ACSF), says a switch of just 20 percent of the U.S. government’s business to freight and package carriers using alternative fuels would yield taxpayer savings of up to $7 billion annually, and approximately $25 billion by 2025 (assuming a gradual fuel shift, beginning in 2015). Much of the savings is from reduced fuel costs. That’s because major alternatives, such as compressed natural gas (CNG), cost less per gallon than petroleum-based fuels. The 55-page ACSF report—Oil Shift: The Case for Switching Federal Transportation Spending to Alternative Fuel Vehicles—finds that shifting federal transportation contracts to vans and trucks running on alternative fuels could reduce oil imports by billions of gallons annually; cut greenhouse gas (GHG) pollution by over 20 million metric tons a year; and stimulate the nationwide introduction of tens of thousands of new alternative fuel vehicles. “When it comes to shipping goods to the government, we think it’s high time for Washington to start ‘Buying American’ and using more carriers that rely upon cleaner domestic fuels. That will not only save billions of taxpayer dollars but also lead to cheaper and less polluting freight transportation options for everyone else,” said Gregory C. Staple, CEO of ACSF and co-author of the report. To get shippers that handle government business on clean energy paths, the report recommends Washington simply apply the same measurement and reporting tools developed by federal agencies over the last two decades to decrease petroleum use and harmful emissions associated with the government’s own transportation fleet. “Most people are probably unaware that the freight services which are 14 September 2012 used by the government and major product suppliers provide a 30 times larger opportunity for oil savings and emissions reductions than the cars and trucks that the government owns itself,” said Warren Lavey, co-author of the report and ACSF’s Senior Regulatory Counsel. “Moreover,” added Lavey, “our proposal does not require any new legislation or spending -- federal agencies already have the legal authority required to track the oil used and pollution associated with third-party shipping services. And agencies also have the authority to begin buying those services from freight carriers that increasingly rely on cleaner, domestically sourced alternative fuels.” Recommendations To realize the budget and environmental benefits described above, the ACSF report makes three main recommendations: 1) Starting in 2014, federal agencies should publish annual targets and initiatives for buying more alternative fuels, reducing petroleum and lowering emissions associated with major transport services. 2) Starting in 2015, agencies should require major carriers to use alternative fuels for at least five percent of contracted shipments (measured in ton-miles). This requirement should increase by at least two percent each year from 2015 to 2025. 3) Starting in 2016, federal agencies should publish annual targets, and initiatives for using more alternative fuels, reducing petroleum and lowering emissions associated with the transport services used by major vendors to deliver products to the government (i.e., for vendor contracted shipping services not covered by the prior recommendations). In addition, ACSF says Congress should encourage a transportation spending shift by directing the GAO to report annually, beginning in 2013, on the effectiveness of federal programs to increase the use of alternative fuels and to reduce costs related to transport services directly or indirectly purchased by federal agencies. Congressional oversight hearings may also be appropriate. n www.UTA.org UTA Industry Watch ATA to FMCSA: New CSA Revision Process a Start, Serious Flaws Remain In comments filed July 30, American Trucking Associations told the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration that while it supports the agency’s new process for improving its carrier oversight program Compliance, Safety, Accountability, the system “still has serious deficiencies that must be corrected.” “ATA supports this new approach to making adjustments to the Safety Measurement System methodology,” ATA’s Vice President of Safety Policy Rob Abbott wrote. “Previously, FMCSA occasionally made changes to the methodology with no prior explanation or announcement.” Despite the process’s increased openness, Abbott said ATA still had significant concerns about the methodology. In particular, ATA cited the agency’s treatment of non-preventable crashes and the creation of a new category to exclusively measure hazardous materials safety. “There can be no better predictor of future crash risk than past at-fault crash involvement,” Abbott said. Speaking to FMCSA’s recent announcement that it intends to spend a year conducting research before developing a process for determining crash accountability, ATA urged FMCSA to establish an interim process to remove from consideration crashes in which it is “plainly evident” that the truck driver was not responsible for the crash. ATA reiterated its support for FMCSA’s plan to create a separate category to measure hazardous materials carriers. But ATA urged the agency to implement the change only after modifying and testing the methodology to ensure that carriers’ scores relate to future crash risk. Currently, the BASIC assigns high scores to many reputable, safe motor carriers with laudable crash rates and low scores in all other categories. “While compelling fleets to improve compliance with HM regulations is important, the more pressing need – and the goal of CSA - is to identify fleets with a greater risk of crash involvement and to change their behavior,” Abbott said. “Doing so would undoubtedly be a more appropriate and efficient use of the system.” n Polk Data Used Truck Sales Quarter 2, 2012 GVW Used Trucks 3 49,632 4 17,026 5 8,567 6 13,848 7 11,952 8 62,174 Quarter 1, 2012 GVW Used Trucks 3 48,983 4 14,718 5 8,004 6 14,010 7 12,977 8 65,332 Register NOW at www.UTA.org Quarter 4, 2011 GVW Used Trucks 3 43,950 4 12,911 5 7,137 6 12,356 7 11,429 8 53,582 Quarter 3, 2011 GVW Used Trucks 3 52,243 www.UTA.org 4 17,392 5 8,780 6 14,954 7 15,299 8 72,863 September 2012 15 16 ATLANTA, GA bALTImORE, mD CHARLOTTE, NC CHICAGO, IL COLUmbUS, OH INTERNATIONAL CENTERS NATIONWIDE TO HELP YOU FIND THE RIGHT TRUCK DENVER, CO DETROIT, mI FONTANA, CA INDIANAPOLIS, IN KANSAS CITY, mO NASHVILLE, TN OAKLAND, CA PHILADELPHIA, PA SACRAmENTO, CA SHREVEPORT, LA TAmPA, FL Get Used to International Used Truck Centers VALUE, SELECTION AND EXPERTISE. Call 1-866-576-4568 or visit www.internationalusedtrucks.com ns , tio tles c i e sp ks, tion n I s t c l ca cheenta tion i n a ha ed m oc ec nte ocu al l M ra d d on a ti Gu an na 13 Bu y with confidence. that’s a Big 10-4. Physical Auctions | Digital Auctions | Specialty Auctions | Salvage Auctions | Floorplan Financing Reconditioning | Inspections | MMR manheimheavytruckauctions.com | 866 • Manheim ©2012 Manheim, Inc. All rights reserved. Manheim, Buy. Sell. Win. and the M logo are trademarks of Manheim, Inc. Scan with your smartphone to visit our site. RUN WITH CONFIDENCE. Every day your customers count on you to be there, and there are people counting on your safe return. That’s why you make sure your truck engine is always ready to run. The Cat technicians trained to take care of your engine know you’re counting on them, too. Whether it’s parts, overhauls, or cost-effective protection plans, it all has to work together, so you know you’ll get there and get home. Ask your authorized Cat dealer about the 2012 Cat engine parts programs or visit www.cat.com/2012partsprogram. © 2012 Caterpillar All Rights Reserved CAT, CATERPILLAR, their respective logos, “Caterpillar Yellow” and the “Power Edge” trade dress, as well as corporate and product identity herein, are trademarks of Caterpillar and may not be used without permission. Legacy Ad_v2UTA.indd 1 7/20/12 11:31 AM TO OUTRUN THE COMPETITION 505 HORSES ADVANTAGE #91 THE POWERFUL 505 HORSEPOWER MP8 ENGINE GIVES YOU THE MUSCLE TO HANDLE HEAVY LOADS. TO LEARN MORE VISIT MACKPINNACLE.COM OR SEE ALL THE ADVANTAGES AT MACKADVANTAGES.COM ©2011 Mack Trucks, Inc. All rights reserved. SCAN THIS QR CODE TO EXPERIENCE MACK POWER UTA Industry Watch www.UTA.org September 2012 19 UTA Industry Watch Industry Events Calendar SEPTEMBER NOVEMBER 9-10 • NMFTA Annual Meeting Alexandria, VA Hilton Alexandria http://www.nmfta.org/Pages/NewsandEvents.aspx 16-22 • National Truck Driver Appreciation Week Sponsored by American Trucking Associations (ATA) www.truckline.com 28-29 • 22nd Annual Antique and Working Truck Show Cookeville, TN Hyder-Burks Ag Pavilion http://www.aths.org/ 28-29 • GBATS 2012 (Guilty By Association) Joplin, MO 4 State Trucks http://chromeshopmafia.com/events/ guilty_by_association_truck_show/ february 2013 8 - 11 • ATD/NADA Convention & Expo Orlando, FL Orange County Convention Center http://www.nadaconventionandexpo.org/ OCTOBER MARCH 2013 5 - 6 • Charlotte Diesel Super Show Concord, NC 18 - 20 • ACT’s Commercial Vehicle Industry Review & Forecast Columbus, IN Charlotte Motor Speedway zMax Dragway www.dieselsupershow.com Location TBD www.actresearch.net 7 - 10 • ATA Management Conference & Exhibition Las Vegas, NV 21 - 23 • Mid-America Trucking Show Sponsored by Mid-America Trucking Show (MATS) http://truckinginfo.com/industry-events/event_detail. asp?ID=1823 13 - 14 • Golden State Trucking Expo Pomona, CA Kentucky Exposition Center, Louisville, KY www.truckingshow.com Fairplex in Pomona http://www. goldenstatetruckingexpo.com/ 20 September 2012 www.UTA.org The Truckers Choice Is NOW OFFERING EMAIL MARKETING ✔ Over 50,000 Up To Date Contacts ✔ Owner Operators, Fleet Owners, Industry Dealers & Much More! ✔ Attractive & Professional Email Communication ✔ Grab Attention With Relevant Content ✔ More Accurate Than Regular Email ✔ Avoid Spam Filters and Target People Who Want To Hear From You ✔ Get Immediate Response & Action Hit our entire list or market by state or category - YOU CHOOSE! fective f E s ’ t I y! & Eas We’ll extend a 60-day to 150-day guarantee towards your total satisfaction of ownership when you purchase a truck or trailer with used MICHELIN® X One® tires on it. See our 2012 Guarantees at michelintruck.com for complete details. ® ® TIRE Total Satisfaction Guarantee To Take Advantage of this Opportunity! NEW REINVENTED WEBSITE! www.truckerschoice.com Member Off-Lease Trucks, Tractors & Trailers available for sale Robert Sims We are so confident that MICHELIN® X One® tires will deliver on their promise of fuel savings and weight savings that we’ll guarantee total satisfaction. MICHELIN Call 800-369-5021 VP, Used Equipment Sales (720) 670-9905 robertsims@idealease.com MICHELIN® X ONE® TIRES GUARANTEE TO DELIVER Justin Orenic Director, Used Equipment Sales (847) 304-3184 justinorenic@idealease.com We are so confident that our new MICHELIN® X One® tires will deliver on their promise of fuel savings and weight savings that we’ll guarantee your total satisfaction on the two most important aspects of ownership: Total Driver Satisfaction. If your drivers are not totally satisfied with the traction and handling of the MICHELIN® X One® tires after the first 60 days and before 150 days of usage, we will issue a full refund (credit memo) for the original value of the tire and the wheel upon their return + $30 per assembly to cover the dealer service work required. Total Owner Satisfaction. If you are not totally satisfied with the bottom line performance of the MICHELIN® X One® tire in terms of mileage, retreadability, weight savings and/or fuel savings after the original tread life of the tire, we will buy back the casing for $110 and the wheel for 75% of its original value. Program guidelines and exclusions: • ThisprogramiseffectivebeginningJanuary1,2012untilDecember31,2012. • OfferappliestotirespurchasedbetweenJanuary1,2012andDecember31,2012andmanufactured (DOTdate)beforeDecember31,2012. • Offerappliestoamaximumof10setsofMICHELIN® X One® tires. • WarrantymustbesignedbyaMICHELIN representative prior to purchase. • Dateofdeliveryorproofofpurchaseisrequired. • Allreimbursementspursuanttothetermsoftheprogrammayonlybeprocessedthroughan authorized MICHELIN dealer or directly through a MICHELINNorthAmericanFleetAccount. Michelin will pay $30 per MICHELIN® X One® tire assembly returned towards change-over mounting servicesasoutlinedabove,viacreditmemotoanAuthorizedMICHELINDealeronly. • Allclaimsunderthetermsofthisprogrammustbemadebytheoriginalpurchaser/owner of the tires. • Reimbursementoforiginaltireandwheelorre-purchaseofcasingandwheelwillbedone via credit memo. • Tiresrenderedunserviceableduetoabuse,misuseorroadhazardsareexcluded. • AllMICHELIN® Limited Warranty exclusions still apply. See warranty for details. • Michelinreservestherighttomodifyordiscontinuethisprogramatanytime for any reason without prior notice. UTA Industry Watch 22 September 2012Don’t www.UTA.org Miss the Excitement This Year in The Big Easy UTA Industry Watch From Where We Sit September marks the moment in time when a long-ago assumption about our family comes to be true. When our son was born family members both far and wide proclaimed our “little family” complete. Ethan arrived and joined his big sister Stephanie, and the assumption was one daughter, one son, family finished. I, for one, took great offense at this statement, no matter which side of the family offered it. First of all, how did these far-flung relations know that we hadn’t decided to have a half dozen sons and an equal number of daughters? Not only that, but suppose sometime in the future we’d be in a position to take in a family member’s child or a child’s friend in need of a home. Who were these people who’d not only decided, but also proclaimed so loudly about something they had no right to judge and no role in deciding? Well, as it turned out, “they” seem to have been correct. Our son is the baby of the family, and we raised our kids having kept the nuclear family to just an even four. That perception remained constant until our daughter got married nearly three years ago. Her husband, Andrew, joined the group, and then there really was a new and wholly enfranchised member of the family. He came into our lives as though he’d always been a part of the group, and we’ve truly embraced each other as devoted family members. In just a few weeks, as the summer wanes and the autumn begins to show up, Ethan will marry his high-school sweetheart, Laurel. She is already an integral part of our family, and we simply couldn’t be any happier to have her join us officially. She is everything parents could want in their son’s partner, and she joins her brother-in-law in taking her own special place here with us. In some traditions, when the youngest child is married, the parents receive a crown. That is a charming little addition to the reception that says, “These parents have completed the task! Their work is done.” There will be no official crowning of the groom’s parents here. We’ll just rejoice in the fact that we truly have completed our family. Now any additions to the group will be because our kids have taken that step. We’ll embrace whoever comes along, no matter what the circumstance, and enjoy. That crown will forever reside symbolically as we watch, with great happiness, our four beloved children add their very own jewels to it. At least that’s the way it seems from where we sit. Deb and Brad Schepp editor@uta.org www.UTA.org September 2012 23
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