Pay TV Market Share
Transcription
Pay TV Market Share
PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk. This presentation is strictly confidential and may not be copied, published, distributed or transmitted. This presentation has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell any securities, nor shall part, or all, of this presentation form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision in relation to any securities. There will be no public offering of securities in the United States, Canada, Japan or other jurisdictions absent registration or an exemption from registration under the securities laws of the relevant jurisdiction. The information in this presentation is being provided by the company. The joint lead managers make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this presentation, and nothing in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation by the joint lead managers. This presentation contains forward-looking statements based on the currently held beliefs and assumptions of the management of PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk or industry results, to differ materially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, recipients of this document are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect future events or developments. Indonesia’s pay TV market is estimated to reach almost 8 million subscribers by 2023, equaling to only 17% of TV households 2x the size of 2013 In thousand subscribers 9,000 Subs %Pen/TV-HH 8,000 14% 7,000 11% 6,000 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 12% 12% 9% 7% 5,000 7% 5% 4,000 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3,000 4,708 2,000 5,308 5,831 6,313 6,718 7,023 7,272 7,483 7,667 2% 4,008 -3% 3,175 2,437 1,000 453 637 739 868 1,125 1,666 - -8% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E Source: Media Partners Asia 4 Population (2012) A Young Population : 80% - Below 50yr 3% Millions 1,361 What are the macro drivers? A large & young population 13% 29% 1,223 200mn people below age of 50 A rising middle class 244 95 69 Strong economic growth driven 29% 29 23 5 by domestic consumption 26% 0-14 Source: MPA 2013 30-49 50-69 Source: Indonesia Bureau of Statistics 2012 Completed Education Level NA 22% 15-29 Monthly Household Expenditure (Rp1,000) University 4% Academy 3% Senior High 29% E <600 5% D 601900 13% A1 3500 6% A2 25013500 9% Only 4% of population has university degrees Indonesians prefer to watch TV than to read, watching 5 hours of TV per day. C1 12511750 26% Junior High 19% Source: Indonesia Bureau of Statistics 2012 40mn TV household B 17512500 20% C2 9011250 21% Elementary 23% 70+ Source: Nielsen Media Research 5 Asia Pacific’s Pay TV subscribers (2013) Asia Pacific’s Average Pay TV Monthly ARPU (2013) In USD In thousand subs 100 32 95 Satellite Cable 800 80 IPTV 717 63 60 5,955 51 4,580 40 31 3,416 1,240 1,572 786 1,095 146 5,245 1,060 2,749 20 1,536 1,455 235 792 10 336 8 5 829 32 - 19 16 11 533 418 32 11 9 6 0 Source: Media Partners Asia 2014 6 Indonesia has the lowest pay TV penetration rate of TV household in the Asia Pacific (2013) 120% 100% 100% 89% 80% 80% 66% 53% 60% 52% 40% 27% 20% 13% 9% Philippines Indonesia 0% Korea Hongkong India Singapore Malaysia China Thailand Indonesia has the highest projected pay TV subscriber growth in the Asia Pacific (CAGR 2013-2018E) 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 10% 8% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% Hongkong Singapore 0% Indonesia Philippines Malaysia China Korea India Thailand Source: Media Partners Asia 7 Company Milestones Total subscribers (in thousands) 2500 2,498 Total subscribers in June 2014 = 2.5 million July 2012: IPO @ Rp 1,520/shr 2,300 2000 2011: MPEG-4 rollout 1,720 1500 1,163 1000 2009: Launch of Indostar II satellite; migrated subscribers to Galaxy and Venus packages 2008: Introduced Top TV to target low/middle class Opened sales and services offices in 43 cities 805 604 500 2006: Name change to MNC Skyvision 479 306 9 28 30 56109 192 2001: Bhakti Investama acquired 51% of Indovision and became major owner. Less than 30k subscribers 0 9 Brands Strategy Launched in 1994 Middle & upper-middle class Cities & urban areas 38% market share (#1 in Indonesia) Approx. 120 int’l and local channels 1. Continue to acquire new subscribers and retain existing subscribers 2. Create differentiation through new channels, attractive & value-for-money packages and value-added services 3. Conduct aggressive marketing activities to educate the market on the pay TV proposition and enhance our brands Launched in 2008 Middle & lower middle class Rural areas & FTA blank spots 25% market share (#2 in Indonesia) Approx. 49 int’l and local channels 5. Increase up-selling programs to increase ARPU Launched in 2008 6. Actively participate in anti-piracy programs Middle & lower middle class, 4. Expand in-house distribution channels and explore new channels skewed to movies & entertainment lovers 11% market share (#4 in Indonesia) Approx. 72 int’l and local channels 10 1 Favorable macroeconomic and industry outlook in Indonesia 2 #1 Pay TV operator, with top-of-mind brand awareness and compelling content portfolio 3 Dominant market share and ability to leverage on economies of scale 4 Reliable nationwide coverage via S-band satellite-based technology 5 Large, diversified and in-house distribution network 6 Strong management with solid execution track record and prudent financial policies 11 Private consumption is a key growth driver… 100% … and continues to increase at a robust pace … 125 125 121 118 119 5.50% 117 50% 115 113 112 BBB- 7 BB+ 6 BB 5 BB- 4 B+ 3 B 2 B- 1 Baa3 7 6Ba1 5Ba2 4Ba3 3B1 5.00% 111 25% 8 8 6.00% 123 75% … while Indonesia’s sovereign risk have markedly improved 2B2 109 0% '11 '12 '13 105 4.50% '11 '12 '13 1B3 0 3 -0 May Jun-03 Jul- 03 3 g- 0 Au p-03 Se Oct -03 3 -0 Nov c -03 De Jan-04 b-04 Fe 4 Mar- 0 r -04 Ap 4 -0 May Jun-04 Jul- 04 4 g- 0 Au p-04 Se Oct -04 4 -0 Nov c -04 De Jan-05 b-05 Fe 5 Mar- 0 r -05 Ap 5 -0 May Jun-05 Jul- 05 5 g- 0 Au p-05 Se Oct -05 5 -0 Nov c -05 De Jan-06 b-06 Fe 6 Mar- 0 r -06 Ap 6 -0 May Jun-06 Jul- 06 6 g- 0 Au p-06 Se Oct -06 6 -0 Nov c -06 De Jan-07 b-07 Fe 7 Mar- 0 r -07 Ap 7 -0 May Jun-07 Jul- 07 7 g- 0 Au p-07 Se Oct -07 7 -0 Nov c -07 De Jan-08 b-08 Fe 8 Mar- 0 r -08 Ap 8 -0 May Jun-08 Jul- 08 8 g- 0 Au p-08 Se Oct -08 8 -0 Nov c -08 De Jan-09 b-09 Fe 9 Mar- 0 r -09 Ap 9 -0 May Jun-09 Jul- 09 9 g- 0 Au p-09 Se Oct -09 9 -0 Nov c -09 De Jan-10 b-10 Fe 0 Mar- 1 r -10 Ap 0 -1 May Jun-10 Jul- 10 0 g- 1 Au p-10 Se Oct -10 0 -1 Nov c -10 De Jan-11 b-11 Fe Mar- 1 r -11 Ap -1 May Jun-11 Jul- 11 g- 1 Au p-11 Se Oct -11 -1 Nov c -11 De 107 03 04 05 S&P Note: Data represents % of GDP Expenditure Source: Badan Pusat Statistik 1. *Data in USD billion dollars over constant price Source: Badan Pusat Statistik 06 07 Fitch 08 09 10 0 11 Moody's Source: Bloomberg One of Asia's largest and most rapidly growing middle class of over 93 million in 2009 1, doubling from 45 million in 1999, with strong growth momentum in private and household consumptions Sovereign bond is rated as Investment Grade, highlighting a strong policy framework and positive outlook for the economy Source: ADB 12 Brand Awareness 100% 77% 74% 70% Extensive market research and communications are critical components of MNC Sky Vision’s strategy MNC Sky Vision is a recognized market leader for innovative marketing and branding 1. Source: Prompt Research 2014 69% 47% Marketing & Brand Awards Best Innovation in Marketing (2008, 2009, 2011, 2012) Best Experiential Marketing (2010, 2011, 2012) Top Brand (2008, 2009, 2010,2011, 2012, 2013, 2014) Indonesia Best Brand Award (2011, 2012,2013) Most Admired Companies (2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014) Net Promoter Customer Loyalty Award (2010, 2012) Digital Marketing Award In Social Media (2011, 2012) Call Center Award (2010, 2012) Customer Satisfaction Award (2012) Original Brand Award (2012, 2013, 2014) Best New Issuer Award(2013, 2014) Service Quality Awards (2014) Solo and Jogja Best Brand Index (2014) Satria Brand Award (2014) 13 Movies (13) News (11) GE & Variety (30) Oriental (3) HD (5) Kids (9) Sports (6) Religion (2) Toddlers (3) Local FTA (12) Documentary (9) Lifestyle (13) Music (5) Exclusive channel Total Channels: 121 Exclusive Channels: 33 MNC Exclusive: 19 14 NO. CHANNEL NO. CHANNEL 1. Cartoon Network 11. Cbeebies 2. Disney Jr. 12. HBO 3. Disney Channel 13. MNC Infotainment 4. MNC Shop 14. HBO Hits 5. Cinemax 15. MNC Entertainment 6. MNC Sports 1 16. AXN 7. S-One 17. MNC Lifestyle 8. MNC Kids 18. MNC News 9. MNC Sports 2 19. Fox Sports 10. Fox Movies Premium 20. Star Sport Source: AGB Nielsen Report 15 No. Kids No. Movies No. International 1. Cartoon Network 1. Cinemax 1. KBS 2. Disney Jr. 2. HBO 2. Arirang 3. Disney Channel 3. Fox Movies Premium 3. Australian Network No. Entertainment No. Sports No. Lifestyle 1. S-ONE 1. Fox Sports 1. MNC Infotainment 2. AXN 2. MNC Sports 1 2. MNC Lifestyle 3. MNC Entertainment 3. MNC Sports 2 3. MNC Food & Travel No. Documentary No. News No. Music 1. NatGeo Wild 1. MNC News 1. Channel V 2. BBC Knowledge 2. MNC Business 2. MNC Music 3. History 3. CNN International 3. Trace Source: AGB Nielsen Report 16 Dominant Position in Indonesia’s Pay TV Industry Orange 3.2% Others 1% NexMedia 2.6% 39.96% CAGR in Subscribers (2007 - Dec 2013) MNC Sky Vision has a leading 74% market share Aora 2.3% TelkomVision 8.3% IDV Top TV Oke V 2,498 2,300 396 351 1,720 First Media 9.6% 204 1,163 MNC Sky Vision 73.8% • Indovision 37.7% • Top TV 24.8% • Okevision 11.3% 804 480 306 Total Number of Indonesia Pay TV Subscribers as per Dec 2013: 3.12 MN Source 306 2007 26 604 76 335 516 631 752 454 2008 2009 2010 2011 830 583 173 88 774 933 2012 1175 1272 2013 Jun-14 Media Partners Asia (April 2014) Largest subscriber base representing about 74% market share Subscriber of 2,498,129 as of June 2014 One of the lowest content costs; highest bargaining power on pricing, minimum guarantees & exclusivity Subscriber base provides scale to increase ARPU and profitability going forward 17 Pay TV Market Share End of 2012 Pay TV Market Share End of 2013 NexMedia, 2.6% NexMedia, 2% Aora, 7% TelkomVision, 9% Others, 1% Orange, 3.2% Aora, 2.3% Others , 0.2% TelkomVision, 8.3% First Media, 10% First Media, 9.6% MNC Sky Vision, 71% MNC Sky Vision, 73.8% 1. 2. 3. Indovision : 38% Okevision : 9% TopTV : 24% 1. 2. 3. Indovision : 38% Okevision : 11% TopTV : 25% 18 S-Band DTH Broadcasting Capability Holds exclusive license for broadcasting using Sband spectrum Clear reception and resilience to heavy rainstorms that are common in Indonesia C-band or Ku-band used by competitors more susceptible to service outages Complete coverage of Indonesia’s 13,700 islands, over 9.8 million square kilometers Higher EIRP1 enables smaller reception disk compared to C-band Best-in-class technology and exclusivity of Sband provides competitive advantage DTH Transmission Process 1. Effective Isotropic Radiated Power 19 Why DTH Works in Indonesia Pay TV Market Share 2011 DTH is the dominant pay TV platform with 81% market share The only platform providing complete coverage across Indonesia Cable is hampered by infrastructure and geographical challenges 19% 81% DTH IPTV to grow, but infrastructure is inadequate for wide-scale rollout 2018E 2013 Cable TV DTT IPTV Source: MPA estimates DTH Competitive Advantages DTH DTH market share is expected to grow further by 84% until 2015 Cable DTT IPTV Country-wide Coverage Rural Coverage HD Bandwidth 20 Network of 100 Branch Offices Across Indonesia 16 new branches added in early 2014 Branch office Sulawesi Majority of new customers are sourced through in-house channels, Greater control, lower commissions and stringent customer verification Kalimantan Papua Sumatera Sumatra Maluku Java Competitors rely primarily on external dealers for subscriber acquisition 82% of New Subscribers Are Acquired Through In-House Channels D2D Call Center Sub-get-Sub 82% Stores Club Dealers Corners 18% 21 Largest pay TV operator in Indonesia in terms of subscriber base, with 74% market share1 Established in 1988; provides pay television services through Indovision ,Top TV brands and also Okevision Nationwide coverage using Direct-to-Home (“DTH”) S-band satellite-based network 121 local and international channels and 31 exclusive channels Operational and Financial Snapshot 1. Subscribers 2,498,129 (As of June 2014) Subscriber Growth 39.96% CAGR Dec 2007 to 31 Dec 2013 ARPU / Churn Rate IDR 100,091 / 1.14% (June 2014) Revenue IDR 1,577 Bio (June 2014) EBITDA IDR 585 Bio (June 2014) According to Media Partners Asia Limited (“MPA”) 23 Total revenue (Rp billions) Jun 2013 Revenue TV Advertising, 5.1% 3,020 Jun 2014 TV Advertising, 4.7% Others, 0.1% Others, 0.5% 2,394 1,412 2010 1,738 2011 1,577 2012 2013 Program Retransmission Services, 94.8% Program Retransmission Services, 94.8% Jun 2014 EBITDA (Rp billions) and EBITDA margin (%) EBITDA EBITDA Margin 1,214 42% 42% 1,002 40% 728 585 522 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014 37% 2010 37% 2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014 Source: Company information 24 Total debt / EBITDA1 Net debt2 / EBITDA1 2.74 2.96 2.35 2.31 2.13 2.36 1.54 2010 2011 2012 2.13 1.19 2013 Jun 2014 Debt / Total capitalization3 63% 1.9 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014 EBITDA1 / Interest 64% 62% 62% 41% 8.52 5.68 4.81 5.51 3.55 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jun 2014 Source: Company information 1. 2. 3. EBITDA = Operating profit + D&A Net Debt = Gross Debt - Cash - Short Term Investments Total capitalization = Debt + Total book equity 25 Jun 2013 Jun 2014 5% 0% 5% 0% 3% 3% 92% DTH-Digital DTH-Digital Commercial Sales Commercial Sales TV Ad Sales TV Ad Sales Others Others 92% 26 IDR Billions Jun-13 Jun-14 % Change Revenues 1,450 1,577 9% Operating Expenses 1,204 1,478 23% 600 585 -3% 31 (13) -142% Adjusted EBITDA Net Income Revenue rose by 9% from Rp1,450 billion as of Jun 2013 to become Rp1,577 billion as of Jun 2014, in line with the increase of number of subscribers from 2 million subs in Jun 2013 to 2.5 million subs in Jun 2014 IDR billions +9% 1,577 1,450 -3% 600 585 -142% 31 (13) Pendapatan/Revenue EBITDA Laba Bersih/Net Income 27
Similar documents
Pay TV Market Share
Indonesia has the highest projected pay TV subscriber growth in the Asia Pacific (CAGR 2013-2018E)
More informationPay TV Market Share
Indonesia has the highest projected pay TV subscriber growth in the Asia Pacific (CAGR 2012-2016E)
More information