Pay TV Market Share
Transcription
Pay TV Market Share
PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk. This presentation is strictly confidential and may not be copied, published, distributed or transmitted. This presentation has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell any securities, nor shall part, or all, of this presentation form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision in relation to any securities. There will be no public offering of securities in the United States, Canada, Japan or other jurisdictions absent registration or an exemption from registration under the securities laws of the relevant jurisdiction. The information in this presentation is being provided by the company. The joint lead managers make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this presentation, and nothing in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation by the joint lead managers. This presentation contains forward-looking statements based on the currently held beliefs and assumptions of the management of PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk or industry results, to differ materially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, recipients of this document are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. PT MNC Sky Vision Tbk disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect future events or developments. Indonesia’s pay TV market is estimated to reach 8.7 million subscribers by 2020, equaling to only 21% of TV households Almost 3x the size of 2012 In thousand subscribers 10,000 Subs %Pen/TVHH 9,000 18% 19% 20% 21% 19% 16% 8,000 16% 14% 7,000 12% 6,000 13% 9% 8,691 7% 5,000 8,221 5% 4,000 3,000 22% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 7% 7,687 3% 4% 7,065 6,340 1% 5,471 2,000 -2% 4,376 1,000 265 317 465 650 749 873 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 - 1,132 1,676 10% 2,442 3,118 -5% -8% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E Source: Media Partners Asia 4 Population (2012) A Young Population : 80% - Below 50yr 3% Millions 1,361 What are the macro drivers? A large & young population 13% 29% 1,223 200mn people below age of 50 A rising middle class 244 95 69 Strong economic growth driven 29% 29 23 5 by domestic consumption 26% 0-14 Source: MPA 2013 30-49 50-69 Source: Indonesia Bureau of Statistics 2012 Completed Education Level NA 22% 15-29 Monthly Household Expenditure (Rp1,000) University 4% Academy 3% Senior High 29% E <600 5% D 601900 13% A1 3500 6% A2 25013500 9% Only 4% of population has university degrees Indonesians prefer to watch TV than to read, watching 5 hours of TV per day. C1 12511750 26% Junior High 19% Source: Indonesia Bureau of Statistics 2012 40mn TV household B 17512500 20% C2 9011250 21% Elementary 23% 70+ Source: Nielsen Media Research 5 Asia Pacific’s Pay TV subscribers (2013) Asia Pacific’s Average Pay TV Monthly ARPU (2012) In USD In thousand subs 120 104 100 1,194 IPTV Cable 80 Satellite 62 880 60 131 50 5,149 43 5,989 122 3,330 785 3,265 1,571 29 610 40 5 305 1,385 2,808 1,089 44 894 1,523 477 20 33 827 398 536 18 15 14 12 8 6 0 Source: Media Partners Asia 2013 6 Indonesia has the lowest pay TV penetration rate of TV household in the Asia Pacific (2013) 120% 100% 100% 86% 80% 80% 66% 60% 51% 49% 40% 28% 20% 11% 9% Philippines Indonesia 0% Korea Hongkong India Singapore Malaysia China Thailand Indonesia has the highest projected pay TV subscriber growth in the Asia Pacific (CAGR 2012-2016E) 30% 28% 24% 25% 20% 20% 20% 18% 18% 13% 15% 10% 6% 3% 5% 1% 0% Indonesia Thailand China India China PHP Korea Malaysia Singapore HK Source: Media Partners Asia 7 Company Milestones Total subscribers (in thousands) Total subscribers in Mar 2014 = 2.4 million 2500 2,300 2000 July 2012: IPO @ Rp 1,520/shr 2011: MPEG-4 rollout 1,720 1500 1,163 1000 2009: Launch of Indostar II satellite; migrated subscribers to Galaxy and Venus packages 2008: Introduced Top TV to target low/middle class Opened sales and services offices in 43 cities 805 604 500 2006: Name change to MNC Skyvision 479 306 9 28 30 56 109 192 2001: Bhakti Investama acquired 51% of Indovision and became major owner. Less than 30k subscribers 0 9 Brands Strategy Launched in 1994 Middle & upper-middle class Cities & urban areas 38% market share (#1 in Indonesia) Approx. 117 int’l and local channels 1. Continue to acquire new subscribers and retain existing subscribers 2. Create differentiation through new channels, attractive & value-for-money packages and value-added services 3. Conduct aggressive marketing activities to educate the market on the pay TV proposition and enhance our brands Launched in 2008 Middle & lower middle class Rural areas & FTA blank spots 25% market share (#2 in Indonesia) Approx. 49 int’l and local channels 5. Increase up-selling programs to increase ARPU Launched in 2008 6. Actively participate in anti-piracy programs Middle & lower middle class, 4. Expand in-house distribution channels and explore new channels skewed to movies & entertainment lovers 11% market share (#4 in Indonesia) Approx. 72 int’l and local channels 10 1 Favorable macroeconomic and industry outlook in Indonesia 2 #1 Pay TV operator, with top-of-mind brand awareness and compelling content portfolio 3 Dominant market share and ability to leverage on economies of scale 4 Reliable nationwide coverage via S-band satellite-based technology 5 Large, diversified and in-house distribution network 6 Strong management with solid execution track record and prudent financial policies 11 Private consumption is a key growth driver… … and continues to increase at a robust pace … 100% … while Indonesia’s sovereign risk have markedly improved 6.0% 150.0 75% 5.0% 100.0 50% 25% '09 '10 Private Capitalformation NetExports '11 '12 Government Stocks Note: Data represents % of GDP Expenditure Source: ADB 1. Baa3 BB+ Ba1 BB Ba2 BB- Ba3 B+ B1 B B2 B- B3 03 0% 4.0% 50.0 BBB- 0.0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 3.0% '09 '10 Source: ADB '11 '12 Source: Bloomberg One of Asia's largest and most rapidly growing middle class of over 93 million in 2009 1, doubling from 45 million in 1999, with strong growth momentum in private and household consumptions Sovereign bond is rated as Investment Grade, highlighting a strong policy framework and positive outlook for the economy Source: ADB 12 Marketing & Brand Awards Brand Awareness Best Innovation in Marketing (2008, 2009, 2011, 2012) 84.1% Best Experiential Marketing (2010, 2011, 2012) 63.4% Top Brand (2008, 2009, 2010,2011, 2012, 2013) 61.4% Indonesia Best Brand Award (2011, 2012,2013) 51.5% Most Admired Companies (2010, 2011, 2012, 2013) Net Promoter Customer Loyalty Award (2010, 2012) Call Center Award (2010, 2012) Digital Marketing Award In Social Media (2011, 2012) 37.1% Extensive market research and communications are critical components of MNC Sky Vision’s strategy MNC Sky Vision is a recognized market leader for innovative marketing and branding Customer Satisfaction Award (2012) Original Brand Award (2012, 2013) 1. Source: Brand Performance Survey 2013 (MARS) Best New Issuer Award(2013, 2014) 13 Movies (12) News (11) GE & Variety (29) Oriental (3) HD (5) Kids (8) Sports (6) Religion (2) Toddlers (3) Local FTA (12) Documentary (9) Lifestyle (13) Music (5) Exclusive channel Total Channels: 118 Exclusive Channels: 31 MNC Exclusive: 19 14 NO. CHANNEL NO. CHANNEL 1. Cartoon Network 11. MNC Infotainment 2. Disney Jr. 12. MNC Lifestyle 3. Cinemax 13. S-One 4. MNC Sports 1 14. AXN 5. HBO Hits 15. MNC Muslim 6. Cbeebies 16. Disney XD 7. Disney Channel 17. Fox Movies Premium 8. MNC Shop 18. MNC Entertainment 9. MNC Sports 2 19. YoYo TV 10. MNC Kids 20. MNC News Source: AGB Nielsen Report 15 No. Kids No. Movies No. International 1. Cartoon Network 1. Cinemax 1. KBS 2. Disney Jr. 2. HBO Hits 2. Arirang 3. CBeebies 3. Fox Movies Premium 3. Australian Network No. Entertainment No. Sports No. Lifestyle 1. S-ONE 1. MNC Sports 1 1. MNC Infotainment 2. AXN 2. MNC Sports 2 2. MNC Lifestyle 3. MNC Entertainment 3. Star Sport 3. MNC Food & Travel No. Documentary No. News No. Music 1. NatGeo Wild 1. MNC News 1. MNC Music 2. BBC Knowledge 2. MNC Business 2. Channel V 3. National Geographic 3. CNN International 3. Trace Source: AGB Nielsen Report 16 Dominant Position in Indonesia’s Pay TV Industry Orange 3.2% Others 1% NexMedia 2.6% 39.96% CAGR in Subscribers (2007 - Dec 2013) MNC Sky Vision has a leading 74% market share Aora 2.3% TelkomVision 8.3% IDV Top TV Oke V 2,406 2,300 1,720 First Media 9.6% 1,163 MNC Sky Vision 73.8% • Indovision 37.7% • Top TV 24.8% • Okevision 11.3% 804 480 306 Total Number of Indonesia Pay TV Subscribers as per Dec 2013: 3.12 MN Source 306 2007 26 604 76 335 204 516 631 752 454 2008 2009 2010 2011 377 774 804 1175 1225 2013 Mar-14 583 173 88 351 933 2012 Media Partners Asia (April 2014) Largest subscriber base representing about 74% market share Subscriber of 1,866,604 as of Mar 2013 and 2,406,023 as of Mar 2014 One of the lowest content costs; highest bargaining power on pricing, minimum guarantees & exclusivity Subscriber base provides scale to increase ARPU and profitability going forward 17 Pay TV Market Share End of 2012 Pay TV Market Share End of 2013 NexMedia, 2.0% Aora, 7.0% TelkomVision, 9.0% NexMedia, 2.6% Others, 1.0% Orange, 3.2% Aora, 2.3% Others , 0.2% TelkomVision, 8.3% First Media, 10.0% First Media, 9.6% MNC Sky Vision, 71.0% MNC Sky Vision, 73.8% 1. 2. 3. Indovision : 38% Okevision : 9% TopTV : 24% 1. 2. 3. Indovision : 38% Okevision : 11% TopTV : 25% 18 S-Band DTH Broadcasting Capability Holds exclusive license for broadcasting using Sband spectrum Clear reception and resilience to heavy rainstorms that are common in Indonesia C-band or Ku-band used by competitors more susceptible to service outages Complete coverage of Indonesia’s 13,700 islands, over 9.8 million square kilometers Higher EIRP1 enables smaller reception disk compared to C-band Best-in-class technology and exclusivity of Sband provides competitive advantage DTH Transmission Process 1. Effective Isotropic Radiated Power 19 Why DTH Works in Indonesia Pay TV Market Share 2011 DTH is the dominant pay TV platform with 81% market share The only platform providing complete coverage across Indonesia Cable is hampered by infrastructure and geographical challenges 3% 9% 13% 19% 7% 81% 84% DTH IPTV to grow, but infrastructure is inadequate for wide-scale rollout 2015E 2013E Cable TV 84% IPTV Source: MPA estimates DTH Competitive Advantages DTH DTH market share is expected to grow further by 84% until 2015 Cable IPTV Country-wide Coverage Rural Coverage HD Bandwidth 20 Network of 100 Branch Offices Across Indonesia Majority of new customers are sourced through in-house channels, Greater control, lower commissions and stringent customer verification Branch office Sulawesi Kalimantan Papua Sumatera Sumatra Maluku Java Competitors rely primarily on external dealers for subscriber acquisition About 80% of New Subscribers Are Acquired Through In-House Channels D2D Call Center Sub-get-Sub 83% Stores Club Dealers Corners 17% 21 Largest pay TV operator in Indonesia in terms of subscriber base, with 74% market share1 Established in 1988; provides pay television services through Indovision ,Top TV brands and also Okevision Nationwide coverage using Direct-to-Home (“DTH”) S-band satellite-based network 118 local and international channels and 31 exclusive channels Operational and Financial Snapshot 1. Subscribers 2,406,023 (As of March 2014) Subscriber Growth 39.96% CAGR Dec 2007 to 31 Dec 2013 ARPU / Churn Rate IDR 111,283 / 1.31% (March 2014) Revenue IDR 775 Bio (Mar 2014) EBITDA IDR 303 Bio (Mar 2014) According to Media Partners Asia Limited (“MPA”) 23 Total revenue (Rp billions) Mar 2013 Revenue TV Advertising, 4.7% 3,020 Mar 2014 TV Advertising, 5.2% Others, 0.1% Others, 0.3% 2,394 1,412 1,738 Program Retransmission Services, 95.2% 775 2010 2011 2012 2013 Program Retransmission Services, 94.5% Mar 2014 EBITDA (Rp billions) and EBITDA margin (%) EBITDA EBITDA Margin 1,214 41.9% 1,002 41.9% 40.0% 728 522 303 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mar 2014 39.0% 37.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mar 2014 Source: Company information 24 Total debt / EBITDA1 Net debt2 / EBITDA1 2.74 2.96 2.35 2.31 2.13 2.19 2010 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 Mar 2014 Mar 2014 Debt / Total capitalization3 63% 1.89 1.19 1.54 2010 1.9 EBITDA1 / Interest 64% 62% 9.26 59% 41% 5.68 4.81 5.51 3.55 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mar 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mar 2014 Source: Company information 1. 2. 3. EBITDA = Operating profit + D&A Net Debt = Gross Debt - Cash - Short Term Investments Total capitalization = Debt + Total book equity 25 Mar 2013 Mar 2014 5% 0% 2% 3% 92% 5% 0% DTH-Digital DTH-Digital Commercial Sales Commercial Sales TV Ad Sales TV Ad Sales Others Others 93% 26 IDR Billions Mar-13 Mar-14 % Change Revenues 696 775 11% Operating Expenses 573 708 24% Adjusted EBITDA 294 303 3% 33 136 312% Net Income Revenue rose by 11% from Rp696 billion as of Mar 2013 to become Rp775 billion as of Mar 2014, in line with the increase of number of subscribers from 1.8 million subs in Mar 2013 to 2.4 million subs in Mar 2014 IDR billions +11% 775 696 +3% 312% 294 303 136 33 Pendapatan/Revenue EBITDA Laba Bersih/Net Income 27
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