theoretical conversations in ipe: economic nationalism and
Transcription
theoretical conversations in ipe: economic nationalism and
POLS/ECON 426 International Political Economy theoretical conversations in ipe: economic nationalism and mercantilism professor timothy c. lim cal state los angeles tclim@calstatela.edu theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism what is mercantilism? mercantilism is both a theory about how the international political economy works and an intellectual defense of mercantilist policies mercantilism is based on the very simple assumption that the international political economy is governed, first and foremost, by state power mercantilist policies are any type of policy that seeks to protect domestic industries at the expense of foreign industries. these include tariffs, quotas, subsidies, tax breaks, and so on theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism what is mercantilism? mercantilism is strongly related to realism, a dominant theory about international (political) relations one of the most important assumptions of realism is that the international system is fundamentally different from the domestic system: domestic systems are premised on hierarchical relations of power, while the international system is premised on anarchy it is because of anarchy that the international political economy is characterized by constant struggle for power and wealth theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism what is mercantilism? to realists, we live in a “dog-eatdog” world: in a world without an overarching authority, only the strong survive and prosper to see this, consider an environment with no coherent and effective system of justice, with nothing to protect the weak or punish the strong in this environment, you can only rely on self-protection or self-help, and in a self-help world, power is everything (the “biggest” dog always wins) theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism what is mercantilism? the emphasis on the state is based on a number of additional assumptions: one of the most important of these is that states are rational, unitary actors rational means that states seek are fundamentally self-interested actors; in making decisions or pursuing policies, the overriding objective is to maximize benefits and minimize costs unitary means that states are conceived of as acting with a single mind; in other words, the actions of state are guided by a core principle—i.e., the national interest—which makes domestic disagreements largely irrelevant to an analysis of state action theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism mercantilism and power in the mercantilist view, power is understood--and exercised--in a specific way power is used to protect the domestic economy from foreign competition power is used to enhance the competitiveness of domestic producers in the world market and against foreign rivals power is used to control natural resources, by force, if necessary continued on next slide theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism mercantilism and power power is used by dominant states to force open foreign markets, to exploit foreign labor power is used by the dominant states to write-or rewrite--the rules of economic game with the goal of creating a system that systematically and permanently favors their interests power, in sum, is used to increase national wealth, at the expense of other states; the struggle for power is never ending theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism mercantilism and friedrich list who is friedrich list? List was a critic of liberal economic theory and one of the forefathers of the German Historical School. His bestknown work, The National System of Political Economy (1841) was written as against the free-trade doctrines that permeated classical economics. However, his was not a polemical defense of protectionism: he argued it on the basis of his analysis of economics, which stressed political factors -notably, the "nation" -- in economics. theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism mercantilism and friedrich list f. list provided an intellectual (as opposed to just practical) justification for state intervention in a national economy he argued, in brief, that state intervention was necessary if a country wished to develop productive power why do states have to play this role? why not just rely on markets? theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism mercantilism and friedrich list why do states have to play this role? why not just rely on markets? short answer: markets may allocate resources efficiently, but markets cannot guarantee the development of industries that are necessary to build and sustain national strength. only states can do this. theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism mercantilism and friedrich list so what kind of industries are need to build and sustain national strength? short answer: productive or manufacturing industries (as opposed to agricultural or service industries) list was particularly concerned with productive power as the basis of national strength theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism friedrich list and productive power The power to produce is the foundation of human skills, technological know-how,and industrial expertise. The power to produce is the key to national strength. as he put it … theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism friedrich list and productive power alexander hamilton, a key architect of the US economy in the 1700s, expressed very similar sentiments, “those who do not industrialize become hewers of wood and haulers of water” theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism friedrich list and productive power key lesson ignoring the role of power in international economic relations is foolish and self-destructive; failing to nurture productive power is equally foolish and will lead to national disaster the key economic role of states, therefore, is first and foremost to ensure the development of the country’s manufacturing or productive power theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism friedrich list: historical perspective it is also important to understand that list’s argument was based, from his perspective, on a clear-eyed reading of history list argued, with a great deal of evidence, that the strongest economy of his time—england—was a pure mercantilist country for several centuries the next great economic power, the united states, was also founded on mercantilist principles theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism friedrich list: historical perspective Is itNeed an accident some more thatexamples? both England and Consider the U.S. Japan, rose Germany, to dominance South as Korea mercantilist and Taiwan. nations, Needand onethen, more? conveniently, Just look at began China right espousing now. “free All trade”?* show I think unequivocally not! But, that I wouldn’t expect mercantilism them toworks, do anything and works else. They are, extraordinarily after all, rational well!actors. *of course, when it serves the interests of the more powerful states to disregard the ideology of free trade, they will do so in the blink of an eye! theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism fallows: how the world works another way of understanding mercantilism is in relation to angloamerican capitalism. on this point, j. fallows provides a useful overview of key differences between the two perspectives. he discusses these differences in terms of six dichotomies automatic growth versus deliberate development consumers versus producers process versus result individuals versus the nation business as peace versus business as war morality versus power theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism fallows: how the world works note: some of what we cover in the following slides will be repetitious: this is partly intentional to help you focus on and better remember key principles of the mercantilist perspective theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism automatic growth versus deliberate development to repeat, list’s basic argument was simply that the adoption of free trade or principles of the free market do not guarantee that an economy will develop in manner that best promotes the national interests in list’s time, this meant the development of basic industry; today, it might mean the development of a high-tech sector, or some other high-value added activity, that will ensure the country a sustainable basis for the creation of national wealth contemporary examples. consider the development of steel production worldwide (see next slide); the automobile industry; the global competition in high-tech sectors steel production, by country (2007) Country/Region S teel production (million tonnes) W o r l d 1,343.5 1 C h i n a 489.0 2 J a p a n 120.2 3 United 4 Russia 72.2 5 India 53.1 [1] States outh Korea 97.2 at first glance, the fact that so many countries produce their own steel may seem natural, but why should it be? from a liberal perspective, it doesn’t really make sense, but mercantilists have a ready explanation …steel = national power 6 S 7 Germany 48.5 8 Ukraine 42.8 9 Brazil 33.8 10 I t a l y 32.0 26 Romania 6.3 11 Turkey 25.8 27 E g y p t 6.2 12 Taiwan 20.5 28 M a l a ys i a 6.1 13 France 19.3 29 Sweden 5.7 14 S p a i n 19.1 30 Thailand 5.5 15 Mexico 17.2 31 Argentina 5.4 16 Canada 16.4 32 Slovakia 5.1 17 United 14.3 33 Venezuela 5.0 18 Belgium 10.7 34 19 Poland 10.7 35 Saudi 20 I r a n 10.1 36 Finland 4.4 21 S 9.1 37 I n d o n e s ia 3.9 22 Australia 7.9 38 Luxembourg 2.9 23 Austria 7.6 39 Greece 2.6 24 Netherlands 7.4 40 Belarus 2.4 25 Czech 7.1 41 Others K ingdom outh Africa Republic 51.4 why so many steel producers? K azakhsta n Arabia 4.8 4.6 29.2 (est.) automobile production, by country (2007) for decades, auto production was considered the main engine of industrial growth, so many countries (including Japan) used mercantilist policies to ensure that they would be a global player: is Japan worse off today because of state intervention in the auto industry? theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism consumers versus producers anglo-american economies put the consumer first, or at least give no special priority to producers list argued (as we already know) that this was wrongheaded, because a society’s well being and its overall wealth are determined not by what the society can buy, but by what it can make in list’s view, nations ended up being dependent or independent according to their ability to make things for themselves. why were latin americans, africans, and asians subservient to england and the west in the 19th century? because they could not make the machines and weapons europeans could. conversely, why did japan avoid the fate of some many non-western countries? because the japanese learned how to manufacture things for themselves! theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism consumers versus producers “the forces of production are the tree on which wealth grows” to repeat, the basic problem according to list was that an overemphasis on consumption would eventually become selfdefeating, since it would bias the system away from wealth creation, and ultimately make it impossible to consume as much theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism process versus result anglo-american systems assumes that how the game is played is the most important thing; if the rules are fair, then we should let the chips fall where the may the logic of this argument is that the “winners” will be the most efficient, most competitive producers, therefore, we will all benefit in list’s view, however, a “fair” process is meaningless if your nation consistently “loses”; moreover, because the process is never really fair to begin with (this is only a myth propagated by those in power), then it would be foolish to “play by the rules” a fair game? mercantilist tell us that the process is meaningless when some players can never, ever win the “free trade game” theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism individual versus nation in the anglo-american system emphasis is put on individual prosperity, since it is assumed that individual prosperity will automatically contribute to national prosperity in the mercantilist view, much greater emphasis is put on the welfare of the people as a whole and, of course, on the state this ties in with the earlier difference between the consumers and producers. the emphasis on producers is meant to increase national prosperity and national strength. to do this, may require the individuals make sacrifices for the sake of the nation as a whole theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism business as war versus business as peace the anglo-american system is based on the assumption that economics is a win-win situation, a positive sum game; thus, there is no need for states and peoples to fight over economic issues in the mercantilist view, win-win situations may be possible, but they are not inevitable why? because power matters, states will always try to tweak the rules of the game in their favor; over time, those states that consistently win, will gain power and control more resources, they will then use this control to dominate others theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism morality versus power american and british policy makers often accuse others of cheating or not playing fairly; in other words, they portray the liberal economic system as not just an economic system, but a moral system as well list, however, understood that economics is not a matter of right or wrong, or cheating or playing fair; it is merely a matter of strong and weak: the gods of trade will help those who help themselves again, this boils down to an issue of power: the basic problem with the angloamerican model is that it is based on a false assumption, which is that the world is composed of equally strong nations, all of whom agree with one another to share the benefits of trade. take away this assumption, however, and the whole liberal argument unravels theoretical conversations in ipe economic nationalism and mercantilism concluding questions does mercantilism make good sense? is the argument persuasive? why or why not? what are strengths? what are the weaknesses?