CP1_1430 Lucy Gunn - Home » Walk 21 Sydney
Transcription
CP1_1430 Lucy Gunn - Home » Walk 21 Sydney
The importance of good design and the cost-effectiveness of installing sidewalks to increase levels of walking and health. Lucy Dubrelle Gunn Place, Health, and Liveability Program, The University of Melbourne NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Overview CRE in Healthy Liveable Communities Importance of Design, Density, Destinations Cost-Effectiveness of Sidewalks NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Our Mission To conduct research that influences policy and practice to improve social, economic and environmental conditions that create health, equity and community wellbeing. NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Acknowledgements – CRE Team Chief Investigators: • • • • • • • • • • Billie Giles-Corti , UoM Gavin Turrell , QUT Fiona Bull, UWA Simon Washington, QUT Takemi Sugiyama, UoSA Alan Shiell, CEIPS Lennert Veerman, UQ Matthew Knuiman, UWA Anne Kavanagh, UoM Chris Pettit, UoM Industry Partners: NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Associate Investigators: • • • • • • Adrian Barnett, QUT Bryan Boruff, UWA Karen Lamb, Deakin University Serryn Eagleson, UoM Matthew Tonts, UWA Brendan Gleeson, UoM Foundation research fellows: • • • • Hannah Badland, UoM Lucy Gunn, UoM Paula Hooper, UWA Jerome Rachele, QUT Funded by: Research students: • • • • • • • • Maureen Murphy, UoM Sarah Mizzi, UWA Belen Zapata, UQ Venurs Loh, QUT Haes Houweling, UoM Fatima Ghani, QUT King Tam (UQ) Sarah Edwards (UWA) Research associates: • • • • • Suzanne Mavoa, UoM Javad Koohsari, UoM Hayley Christian, UWA Sarah Foster, UWA Thomas Astell-Burt, UWS Theme 1: Advancing measurement of BE attributes aligned with urban planning policy Theme 5: Research translation into policy and practice Theme 4: Economic Evaluation of BE interventions for healthy, liveable & equitable n’hoods NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Outcome: Knowledge costeffective interventions for healthy, liveable and equitable neighbourhoods and research translation Theme 2: Causal relationships & mechanisms – BE and Health and Wellbeing Outcomes (HWB) Theme 3: Thresholds for BE interventions to maximise HWB outcomes Datasets Study Baseline sample Survey waves Location Australian Early Development n = 261,147 Index (AEDI) (5 years) 2009, 2012 National HABITAT n = 11,036 (40-65 years) 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017 Brisbane, QLD Preventive Health Survey n = 9,800 (> 18 years) 2013 VIC Life Course n = 15,954 (all ages) 2003-9 Perth, WA RESIDE n = 1,800 (> 18 years) 2002-3, 2004, 2006, 2010 Perth, WA VicHealth Indicators Survey n = 25,075 (> 18 years) 2007, 2011 VIC Victorian Integrated Survey of Travel and Activity (VISTA) n=10,000 (all ages) 2009-10 Melbourne, VIC NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities The Importance of Design Current starting point for Theme 3 on CRE is to focus on BE attributes that are: more stable, difficult to retrofit Design eg: street network POS Expand the analyses to examine BE attributes that are: optimal for walking optimal for mental health eg: destinations dwelling types/housing NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Density 6 Ds Ewing and Cervero (2010): Ewing R, Cervero R. Travel and the Built Environment. A meta-analysis. J Am Planning Assoc. 2010;76(3):265-94. NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Funded by: NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Funded by: The Importance of Sidewalks Empirical evidence of the importance of sidewalks in supporting walking: Van Dyck et al., 2013; Ehrenfeucht and Loukaitou-Sideris, 2010 McCormack et al., 2004; McCormack et al., 2012; Sidewalks have many uses. However, not all areas/cities have sidewalks! NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Funded by: Economic Evaluations Systematic process for evaluating: Costs and consequences Choices resulting from scarcity Our CRE links to other projects: Eco-RESIDE Types of Economic Evaluations Economic evaluations: Cost-effectiveness (CEA): $ / outcome Cost-Utility (CUA): $ / DALY, $ / QALY Cost-Benefit (CBA): $ / health effect in $ NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Several Steps … Sidewalks on walking Logit Effectiveness Number of people Create interventions 3 interventions / $ Cost-Effectiveness ACER / ICER Sensitivity Analysis Factor in uncertainty Findings/Conclusions NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Interventions Status Quo: Minimum: Street segment Existing sidewalk New sidewalk 400m radial buffer Moderate: Costs and Assumptions • • • • • • • • • GIS measures of sidewalks => Quantity Cost => Town planner at $70/m Width sidewalk 1.8m => $137.5/m AUD 2012 Lifetime of concrete 15years Replacement cost 1.5 times original All costs converted to EAC Initial Discount Rate of 5% Population estimated to be 827 people Maximum: Cost-effectiveness Plane Cost $ Cost-Effectiveness Plane Intervention Incremental Effectiveness (No. People) Incremental Cost ($) ICER ($/person) Minimum 11 25,630 2,330 Moderate 9 33,686 3,743 Maximum 7 25,630 3,661 90000 80000 70000 Cost $ 60000 90000 50000 80000 40000 Maximum 70000 30000 60000 20000 10000 50000 0 40000 106 116 126 136 Effectiveness Moderate 30000 20000 Minimum 10000 0 106 Status Quo 111 116 121 126 131 136 Effectiveness : No. People Transport Walking 16 Min-Max Intervention - link to destinations Street segment Existing sidewalk New sidewalk Residential areas/traffic 17 Sensitivity Analysis Project Lifetime Discount Rates Altered walking threshold Halved / Doubled Density NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Take Home Message… Design Flexible e.g.Housing / Factories Destinations Static e.g. Streets/sidewalks Density NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Where to next? Limitations: More Complex Model Change Inputs/Assumptions Sidewalk infrastructure: include aesthetics e.g. trees, benches, bins, street-scape New Models: ACE Prevention: $/DALY CRE Research: Thresholds => policy and planning Economic => co-benefits NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities Further Information lgunn@unimelb.edu.au Foundation Research Collaborators: Foundation Industry Partners: NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Healthy Liveable Communities