961 Arrowhead Drive Pocono Lake, PA. 18347
Transcription
961 Arrowhead Drive Pocono Lake, PA. 18347
Dear Arrowhead Lake Community Members: th On October 5 , 2013, your Board of Directors adopted the Strategic Plan for Arrowhead Lake Community Association (ALCA) and Arrowhead Sewer Company (ASC). This is the first comprehensive, forward-looking study of its kind conducted for Arrowhead. Our Community has undergone tremendous change within the past 50 years, and the strategies that have worked in the past, will no longer work for our Community’s future. The Strategic Plan includes details that address the Community’s aging infrastructure and long-range plans, which will assure the continued improvement of amenities to provide the safety of our Members and Guests, along with their enjoyment, through strong fiscal management of our Operating Expenses and adequate funding of our Reserves to ensure its future. This plan, developed by the Strategic Planning Ad-Hoc Committee, assesses the status of our Community’s infrastructure, governance, amenities, property, operations, finances, and lays-out the strategies for their growth and improvement over the next 5-10 years. The committee, made-up of a group of Member volunteers relied on input from Management, Committees and a broad segment of Members through a member survey over the course of the past two years. Within the plan, there are strategies for improvements that affect everyone’s enjoyment of the lakes, such as the additions of a youth center, walking/bike path and a bridge over the lower spillway. However, one of the most strategically important parts of the plan centers on the waste water systems, roads, and drainage projects. ALCA and ASC’s Reserves are inadequate, as the Community has not historically saved money for major replacement projects and has kept dues artificially low in the past. Arrowhead has major problems with water infiltration and inflow in the gravity section of the sewer system, which are caused by cracks and breaks in the pipes, improper grading of manhole covers, illegal sump pump hook-ups, and other issues. The Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection has reviewed the situation and mandated that Arrowhead show a good progress on fixing the problems by 2017. The estimated cost for the project was estimated at $17M by a professional engineering firm. The second major infrastructure problem is roads and ditches. The roads are rutted and are washed out after every major rainstorm. Rocks and sediment fill-up the lakes each year, due to improper drainage. The sewer pipe replacement and road/drainage projects must be completed in coordination to maximize their cost efficiency. This, along with finishing the expansion of the sewer line around the perimeter of the lake, adds another $10M in cost to the project. While being in compliance, with these mandated infrastructure improvements are necessary, the Strategic Plan provides a comprehensive roadmap for the future growth, financial security and continued improvements of ALCA and ASC. There will be Member Informational Sessions held with volunteers from the Strategic Planning Ad-Hoc Committee and your Board of Directors to help answer any of your questions in regards to the Strategic Plan. We thank the Members of the Strategic Planning Ad-Hoc Committee for their tremendous effort and accomplishment. On behalf of your Board of Directors, 1 ALCA / ASC STRATEGIC PLAN October 7, 2013 Produced by the Strategic Planning Ad-Hoc Committee 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 1. Strategic Planning Purpose at ALCA/ASC 4 2. ALCA Mission and Vision 5 3. Shared Values 6 4. Situation Assessment A. The Challenge of Change B. ALCA SWOT Analysis (Strengths/Weaknesses/ Opportunities/Threats) 7 13 5. Objectives, Goals and Strategies of Strategic Importance 15 A. Governance 16 B. Infrastructure Requirements for Preservation, Protection and Maintenance of the Community a. Comprehensive Master Plan b. Wastewater Management c. Roads and Surface Water Drainage d. Maintenance of Facilities e. Lakes Management 23 24 25 29 33 36 C. Administration And Communications 41 D. Quality of Life 44 E. Security and Safety 48 F. Financial Management a. ALCA AND ASC Revenue Strategies b. ALCA AND ASC Operating Expense and Capital Reserve Strategies 50 58 G. Major Funding Priorities 65 H. Strategic Plan Implementation Process 76 2 Appendices a. ALCA History b. Strategic Planning Committee c. Committee Input to Plan d. Management Input to Plan e. Member Survey Response Summary f. Reserve Study g. Maps 1. ALCA Facilities 2. ASC Wastewater System h. ASC Master Plan i. ASC Revised Rules & regulations j. List of Documents Reviewed During Preparation of Plan k. Government Agencies that Impact Arrowhead l. Current Status of Reserve Fund 3 1. Strategic Planning Purpose at ALCA/ASC The purpose of strategic planning is to increase our ability to support the Mission and Vision of Arrowhead Lake Community Association (ALCA) and Arrowhead Sewer Company (ASC). ALCA is facing challenging times requiring solutions and funding that will bridge over many years. In the words of H.L. Mencken, “for every complex problem there is a simple solution…and it is always wrong”. ALCA can no longer expect yesterday’s strategies to achieve today’s and tomorrow’s goals. ALCA is now a more complex, mature community with aging infrastructure to upgrade and maintain over the coming years based on comprehensive planning, project prioritization and effective management. Like the Lodge, any new facility and program to serve members will require careful planning and financial support consistent with projected revenue. An effective, mission-based strategic plan will have long-term goals tied to annual action plans that remain flexible to changing conditions. With clear strategic goals and objectives, the Board, staff, committee volunteers and other stakeholders are able to develop measurable action plans consistent with their common understanding of the strategic direction that will assure the long-term viability of ALCA/ASC. 2. ALCA Mission and Vision Mission Statement ALCA is a member-owned, family oriented vacation and residential community providing for multi-generational recreational activities and amenities. Through the uniform direction of our strategic plan, which incorporates strong fiscal management, responsible and proactive infrastructure management, and environmentally sensitive decision making, ALCA will ensure the enjoyment of our community for current and future generations. Our Community Vision Arrowhead Lake Community Association will be the foremost privately-owned family oriented vacation and residential community in Pennsylvania. Our community plan, as set out in the strategic plan along with its annual work plans, will reflect the vision and shared values of the majority of our community owners. We will maintain sound investments in the responsible planning and management of the community infrastructure and environment. 4 We will continue to encourage active participation by members to benefit from their diverse knowledge and experience which will grow and strengthen the community. We will practice strong, environmentally conscious, forward-looking leadership with fiscal responsibility, sound management, and open communication. (The above Mission and Vision are considered strategically important and require eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 3. Shared Values ALCA’s historic and long-term success relies on the following fundamental Shared Values. Honesty and Integrity – Owners are honorable, trustworthy and sincere about the welfare of the Association and fellow members Excellence – Always strive to deliver the best possible services and facilities to the community Volunteer Involvement – The Association relies on member committee and other activity volunteers Responsive – Leadership listens, is empathetic and takes appropriate action Open Communication – Transparency is maintained in all decisions and actions of the Board, Management and Committees Accountability – Leadership is responsible to the community for all decisions and actions Active Community – Arrowhead provides a wide range of yearround recreation, entertainment and activities for all members Environmental Sensitivity – The community protects the environment and invests in its beautification (The above values statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Member’s approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 5 4. Situation Assessment A. The Challenge of Change Both ALCA and the Poconos have changed over the past fifty years, in some instances fairly dramatically. The challenge to the Association is to retain the spirit of our historic Mission and Vision while continuing to adapt to the changing needs and interests of our original and new members, maintaining and improving a more complex and costly infrastructure, and managing the impact of increased external regulatory and economic influences on the community. As the Poconos and Monroe County have grown dramatically over the past fifty years, so has Arrowhead. In late1964 when Arrowhead began sales, the Poconos was the honeymoon capital of America. Camelback had just opened the year before with a few slopes. There were no casinos, no water parks, and no mega-stores. There were only around 40,000 residents in all of Monroe County. Now the population has grown to almost 169,000 residents in 2012. After Sections 1-7 of Arrowhead opened for sale in 1964 there were around 40 early settler homes by 1966, a lake with no island, no Owassa bridge over Trout Creek, no ALCA board, no pools or Clubhouse. Today, in addition to a Clubhouse, we have an outstanding new Lodge, three pools, and many amenities only dreamed of by our early settlers. (See Map 1-ALCA Facilities in Appendix g). Today there are over 2400 houses and 1100 owned lots of the total 4330 properties in the community. ALCA has accomplished all of this while adhering to the spirit of the original bylaws of the Association that stated its purpose in part “…to promote the interest of its members in social and recreational facilities, roads, lakes, premises, and activities, in and about the premises of Arrowhead Lake…”. (See a more detailed history of ALCA in Appendix a.) But just as the “honeymoon capital” is no more, changing demographics, economic conditions and other external factors can influence how our community responds to current and future needs to achieve its Mission. For Arrowhead these factors have been significant in recent years and parallel to some degree the overall U.S. situation: 1. Changing Demographics – As a community founded by and for more suburban, middle class working families, Arrowhead’s membership has evolved in ways that require close attention to changing interests and needs of a more diverse member profile. Like the U.S. population, the member profile has changed over the years with a growing number of older and retired owners. Many original owners are now full-time residents in retirement while others spend their winters in warmer areas of the country. With two-income households more the norm, younger members or Associate family members find it more difficult to spend full summers here with their children. Most new homes are much larger than the original structures, most of which remain occupied or periodically used by the 6 children of now deceased original members. One sign of the changing demographic diversity in the community today is that home values now range from under $50,000 to $400,000+ for homes on the Lakes. With many owners spending less time at their Arrowhead homes, part-time vacation rentals have become a more significant summer trend and, to a lesser extent, in the Winter season also. While Arrowhead remains in large part a community that attracts and retains a similar demographic to its roots, differing member and guest interests, needs and involvement have and will continue to evolve. 2. Impact of the Economy – The general economy has a direct impact on ALCA’s growth and financial strength. Monroe County has suffered more significantly from the recent recession than other areas in Pennsylvania and the country with an unemployment rate remaining above 9%, high foreclosure rates, and outmigration. At the same time, the County has seen growth in Section 8 housing. Other associations in the area have struggled economically, cutting services. Arrowhead has avoided the worst problems and, in fact, has made investments in upgrading the Island Pool and constructing the Administration Building and Lodge during this period. However, our low ALCA and ASC reserve funds have become a significant issue to address. At any recent given time, there were over 100 mostly older homes for sale in Arrowhead. ALCA now owns over 300 properties with an additional 147 in Monroe County tax Repository. Today the Association faces the same major influence and impact areas. Monroe County is facing the highest foreclosure rate on homes in its history. But we have not escaped the stagnation in member growth, increased default in member dues payments, more neglected, blighted houses and hardship for an increasing number of members to afford ownership in Arrowhead, either due to fixed incomes orreduced or lost employment income. There has been a major impact on the number of owners who were not paying dues and have lost their homes or lots primarily due to the same high unemployment and reduction of family income. This has translated into a loss of dues from home and lot owners. Delinquencies equaled 14% of billed dues in 2012 or $658,441. The Arrowhead Sewer Company has some losses from homeowners but the major impact has been the loss of availability fees paid by the lot owners in sections 14–21. Arrowhead took over 62 more properties in the past three years. As of January 1, 2013, ALCA has 300 lots in its inventory and 514 lots which have been Greenbelted. Monroe County is currently carrying 147 lots/homes on which overdue taxes that have not been paid. The developer (Bank) still owns 29 lots in which the Association does not get any dues. The total number of lots which no longer pay dues is 988 out of the original total number of lots of 4,330. This represents 23% of all lots and over $800,000 in annual lost dues revenue. 7 On the positive side, according to local realtors Arrowhead homes are holding their value better than similar Pocono communities during the recent economic downturn. ARROWHEAD REAL ESTATE SALES* *Data provided by Keller – Williams **Sales through 5/29/13 Since 2007 there have been 427 homes sold in Arrowhead representing 17.7% of all homes. Sale prices ranged widely from a low of $17,000 to a high of $446,000. Of the 50 lots sold, the average value in excess of 15,000 would indicate that most have sold on the lakes and in the sections with sewers. With most predictions of a slow economic recovery over the coming years, the Association will need to remain extremely diligent in maintaining a sound fiscal policy and increased operational efficiencies while continuing to provide needed services. 3. External Impacts and Influences -- When All American Realty developed Arrowhead Lakes, there were very few external regulatory influences and impacts. They still had to face economic impacts and severe weather impacts. The only building code was the one developed by All American Realty, which essentially set the minimum square footage for homes to be built, and the installation of a drainage pipe for the driveway. They provided no water supply and the only waste water treatment was on-site septic with little or no inspection for the installation. The homeowner only had to pass a percolation test to show that they could put an on-site septic system on their lots. Roads were built and dams were constructed with essentially no local, state or federal oversight. Slowly that changed, and more and more regulations generated at the local, County, State and Federal levels started to restrict not only what the Association 8 can do, but also placed restrictions on what homeowners and lot owners could do on their property. Township and Monroe County officials encouraged the developments to improve their tax bases and encouraged tourism in the area, which was economically depressed after its heyday in the 1900 to 1920s. The local townships in the area relied on state police to provide their police protection. The second area of impact is the force of nature, which can impact the community with ice storms, major snowstorms, tropical storms, hurricanes, extreme weather and extreme wind events. This has and will continue to have major impacts on our roads, drainage, sewer system and electrical service to homes and the Association facilities. Over time Mother Nature has eroded the infrastructure of the community. With a total of 2,413 homes now within the community, our infrastructure and emergency response systems are being overtaxed. For the long-term owners, it is clear that that the tree cover is now twice as tall as when our community started, and when these large trees get wet feet they can cause severe damage to adjacent property, community facilities and homes. Currently the Association requires that no more than 50% of the trees on a lot may be removed without being replaced. This situation has been aggravated by the fact that sump pumps are not required to be discharged to existing drainage ditches and existing drainage facilities are inadequate to properly carry surface water to natural watercourses. By far the biggest impact on our community has been the growth of big government at all levels of the Township, the County, the State of Pennsylvania and the Federal Government. The Pocono Mountain Regional Police and the Arrowhead Lake Community Association’s security personnel are now responsible for the safety of our community. Both Coolbaugh Township and Tobyhanna Township have zoning and building codes in place which are statewide, but enforced by code enforcement officers in each township. The townships also have wastewater enforcement officers that are responsible for enforcement of residential on-site septic systems. The Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection is responsible for oversight and enforcement of discharge permits for the Arrowhead Sewer Company sewage treatment facilities. If the Association would like to cross a stream, extend a sewer collection system or construct drainage facilities, it involves a number of government agencies at the local township level, Monroe County level, Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the federal government. The total number of agencies involved could be as high as 15. A building such as the Lodge required interface with agencies at all 4 levels of government. If we are talking about the lakes and dams we have yet another assortment of government agencies at all 4 levels. If you have wetlands on a residential lot and you're planning to build a home this can involve agencies from 3 of the 4 levels of 9 government. The bureaucratic maze that the Board of Directors and the General Manager and his staff face during every day activities can become overwhelming, especially if one of the agencies is overlooked. A list of agencies that impact the community is shown in Appendix k. 4. Infrastructure Maintenance and Improvements – ALCA has grown into a very large community that requires significant infrastructure maintenance and improvements in five major areas: a. Roads and Surface Water Management – we now have 41 miles of roads to maintain with significant drainage and deterioration issues to address over the coming years b. Maintenance – In addition to the continuing need to maintain equipment, common areas, and pools and buildings, there remains an ongoing interest in further common area infrastructure and beautification c. Wastewater Management – The need for adequate long-range waste water treatment both for the current Arrowhead Sewer Company customer base and the remainder of the community is pertinent to the future environment and financial stability of the community. Homes that are more than 30 years old may find their on-site septic systems have failed. In addition, the existing sewer lines are aging and damaged, causing infiltration of storm water into the sewer system along with improper draining of some gutters and sump pumps into the system, affecting water processing loads and capacity. d. Buildings – The new Lodge is a great asset to the community that will require careful planning and oversight to realize its full benefit. In addition to maintaining the recently built Member Services/Welcome Center building and other facilities, planning for the future use of the Clubhouse will continue to support community needs. e. The Lakes – Perhaps the single greatest physical assets of the community, the lakes and associated streams and tributaries, are vulnerable to a full range of negative environmental impacts that require constant monitoring and control. 5. Recreation – A fundamental element of ALCA’s Mission is and has been to provide multi-generational recreation options for members. The key in providing these activities is to both maintain traditional activities while adapting to the changing needs of the community, whether it is greater senior citizen activities, new games for younger members, adequate sports facilities, etc. 6. Security – As a gated community, ALCA differentiates itself from other communities in its focus on security. At the same time, Arrowhead is not immune to the growing social problems that impact all communities. With growth and demographic changes, in addition to an adequate Security force greater attention to emergency preparedness and advanced tools for use by Security will be required to maintain our high level of security. 10 7. Governance – The basic internal governance structure of ALCA and ASC has not changed significantly over the years with an elected Board supported by various advisory committees and a management team reporting to the Board through a General Manager. The community is guided by reviewing and changing the Bylaws and Rules & Regulations, as needed. The lack of member participation is a great concern, with fewer than 40% of owners voting in recent elections and fewer new volunteers for committee work. The key to our continued success will be retaining and attracting candidates for each area with the experience and knowledge to perform their duties in an increasingly complex organization. In addition, the tools we use to communicate with and receive input from all members have become more important, as the low voter turnout and meeting attendance demonstrates. External regulatory governance has become increasingly complex. Arrowhead is situated within two townships that frequently have different regulations that need to be considered when codifying ALCA/ASC rules and regulations. PADEP and other environmental agencies change regulations with greater frequency, impacting issues especially with sewer treatment and lake management. Relations with these and other State agencies have become more essential to assure compliance and support of the Association’s development. 11 B. ALCA SWOT ANALYSIS – The following exhibits summarize the current Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats to the Association. 12 13 5. Objectives, Goals and Strategies for Areas of Strategic Importance The following sections describe the specific goals and related strategies to achieve the Mission and Vision of ALCA over the coming years. A. Governance B. Infrastructure Requirements for Preservation, Protection And Maintenance of the Community a. Comprehensive Master Plan b. Wastewater Management c. Roads and Surface Water Drainage d. Maintenance of Facilities e. Lakes Management C. Community Involvement and Communications D. Quality of Life E. Security and Safety F. Financial Management a. ALCA AND ASC Revenue Strategies b. ALCA AND ASC Operating Costs and Capital Reserves Management G. Major Funding Priorities H. Strategic Plan Implementation Process 14 5. A. Governance Background ALCA/ASC has both an Internal Governance structure and External Governance and regulatory agencies that guide and regulate the activities and development of the community. External Governance Regulatory compliance has become more complicated over the years resulting in greater need for close coordination with a growing number of government agencies. Since Arrowhead straddles both Tobyhanna and Coolbaugh Townships, a number of situations occur where Township ordinances do not agree. We have had to carefully define our Bylaws and Rules and Regulations to comply with both. In addition, significant environmental and other regulatory activity has emerged over the years with county, state and federal agency requirements impacting our lakes, groundwater/septic, buildings, Sewer Company Management, and most other maintenance and development activities in Arrowhead. The growing intrusive nature of government agencies at all levels demands greater reliance on professional experts in many areas, i.e. attorneys, CPAs, engineers, wetland experts, etc. Internal Governance The foundation of ALCA’s and ASC’s future success has not changed since the original Boards of Directors and key committee volunteers established a strong governance framework. Over the years, volunteers have been the backbone of Arrowhead’s growth, strategic direction and service to the community. Fortunately many early board and committee members were forward looking, highly skilled, professionals who provided sound fiscal control and direction to the management team. Most long-term members talk about how active and involved the majority of members were in the past and how volunteering and general participation has lagged in recent years. This issue is most evident in the participation level in recent Board elections where fewer than 40% of eligible voters participated. Not many members regularly attend Board meetings. And members who served in the past feel the need to step up again to run for the Board or return to committees they served on for years due to lack of new participants. Arrowhead has members with considerable professional experience in finance, engineering, environment and other skills that can greatly benefit ALCA. Without the increased participation of members who can contribute their skills and experience to the evolving needs of ALCA, we risk looking backwards and not addressing the new challenges that must be managed to assure Arrowhead’s future growth and continued success. The increased complexity of managing ALCA and ASC has required adding more experienced staff in all areas and complementing their skills with professional outside 15 consultants when needed. Many activities previously handled by committees have transitioned to management. This is indicative of the changing needs and desires of the current member demographics, as well as the increased complexity of running a large community containing multiple amenities. The community is experiencing a natural evolution from being member-run to being professionally managed, which is a necessary evolution that occurs in small communities as they grow in size, complexity and member diversity. We see this change in process today evidenced by the reduction in new volunteers for events and committees, and a low participation in election voting and board meeting attendance. The following charts contain the current organizational structures of ALCA and ASC. While there have been some changes in management and committees over time, ALCA and ASC have remained the same. ALCA Organization Chart PRESIDENT VP SEC. TREAS. DIRECTOR DIRECTOR DIRECTOR DIRECTOR DIRECTOR TO MODIFY THIS CHART: Click the organization chart and then use the tools on the Org Chart toolbar. TO CREATE YOUR OWN CHART: On the Insert menu, point to Picture, and then click Organiza GM ROADS & DITCHES FACILITIES MAINTENANCE SECURITY CONTROLLER RECREATION MEMBER SERVICES AQUATICS ASC Organization Chart PRESIDENT VP SEC. Tres. DIRECTOR DIRECTOR DIRECTOR DIRECTOR DIRECTOR TO MODIFY THIS CHART: Click the organization chart and then use the tools on the O Chart toolbar. TO CREATE YOUR OWN CHART: On the Insert menu, point to Picture, and then click Organ GM SEWER PLANT MANAGER In summary, a different governance process will be needed for ALCA/ASC as the Association moves towards more long-range strategic planning, community-wide infrastructure master planning, reserve requirements and major project funding. A strategic plan by its very nature is modified significantly only under unusual circumstances or major external environmental changes. The unique structure of a 16 community association’s board, advisory committees and operating management requires a specific, agreed to governance process to assure a level of continuity, fiscal control and compliance over time. Objective and Goals ALCA must rely heavily on an effective elected Board of Directors and committee volunteer participation to assure continued success. Where needed, members recruited with specific skills and experience will further enhance committee support of the Board. This will be achieved through increased communication methods to both inform members and solicit greater input and participation from a majority of members. We will work closely with all government agencies to assure compliance and positive relations. The governance structure, policies and approach will be refined over time to reflect current best practices and regulatory requirements. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Configure committees to fit the requirements of their advisory function a. Review committee structures and establish specific optimum size needed to function. b. Establish and recruit for special desired skills and experience needed on the committee. c. Determine if more or less than three meeting attendance or other criteria are necessary to join a committee. d. To assure full participation and avoid possible stagnation, committees will reorganize every year at the time of Board elections by submitting a new roster of members for board approval, voting for Chairperson, Secretary and other roles and the Chairperson will not serve for more than six consecutive years with the last year ideally being a transitional year during which the Chairperson trains the next person on how to carry out the duties of the Chair. e. All committees will develop a Mission and Vision Statement and specific goals on how they can support the Board and staff in carrying out the Strategic Plan. f. The Board will work to maintain close communication with all the committees on a regular basis. 2. Increase member participation in standing and ad hoc committees. a. Define the goals, issues and impact of the committees on the Association. b. Communicate risks/costs to the Association if the committee cannot perform its role adequately without needed member support. c. Reach out through all available Association media requesting applicants for the committee. d. Use new technology for part-time members to participate remotely. e. Provide special recognition to active committee members. 17 3. Periodically assess and modify the structure of the Board of Directors to maintain effective governance of ALCA/ASC. a. Use member expertise, management and outside resources such as legal counsel and the Community Association Institute (CAI) to continuously review best practices in homeowner association governance. b. Review Board size, term limits and related structural elements to maintain effective governance of both ALCA and ASC. 4. Provide appropriate levels of oversight, authority and responsibilities for management to perform its duties effectively and efficiently a. As the expertise and qualifications of the ALCA/ASC management teams increase, continue to delegate greater authority and responsibility to these professionals. b. Require Department Managers to prepare annual work plans and goals that are aligned with the Strategic Plan, and monitor performance against plans for each department. c. Work through management with outside professional consultants approved by the Board. 5. Dedicate resources and personnel to maintain relations with external regulatory agencies and elected officials a. Establish Board and management Liaisons to both townships. b. Regularly communicate Arrowhead plans, issues and needs to all related government agencies and elected officials. c. Engage regulatory consultant experts as required. 6. Commitment to a Strategic Plan and Community-wide Infrastructure Master Planning requires a more stable governance process. The defined governance process includes: a. Annual confirmation by all current and new board members of agreement with the Strategic Plan. b. All committee members will be asked to confirm support of the Strategic Plan. c. A clear delineation of the authority of management staff to execute aspects of the plan based on documented annual action plans. d. Strict limitations on using earmarked reserves to offset increased operating costs or reduction in dues. (For specifics on such limitations, see # 7 below and pages 60 & 61, Strategies 4, 5, 6 and 7 in ALCA Expense and Capital Reserve section) e. A formal process to review financial and other community impacts of any proposed changes to plan priorities by Management, Budget Committee, and affected committees and expert consultants if needed. ( See # 7 below) f. Bi-annual Strategic Plan review. 18 7. Require a formal process to review financial and other community impacts of any proposed changes to major plan priorities a. Any proposed changes to the following areas in the Strategic Plan will require review and approval by a super majority (eight out of nine) vote of the Board: 1. Mission, Vision and Values; 2. Objective and Goals statements in each section of the Plan; 3. Governance -- all strategies in Governance that become part of Bylaws and/or Rules and Regulations; 4. Comprehensive Master Plan, Wastewater Management Master Plan, and all additional infrastructure Master plans that are recommended in the plan and commissioned; 5. Entire Funding Section G of the Plan that is approved in the final version; 6. Any change in documented reserve funding and investment policy (#11, page 75); 7. Any non-emergency use of reserves for other than defined purpose; 8. Any proposed reduction in annual reserve funding requirements greater than $100,000 not contained in independent reserve study; 9. Reserve elements contained in Strategies # 4, 5, 6, 7 of section F. b for ALCA (page 60 and 61) and 1,4, 5, 6, & 10 for ASC (page 63 & 64); 10. The timely execution of a plan and funding document for all future mandatory regulatory requirements issued by local, state or federal agencies; b. If the Board of Directors determines that one of the above changes to the Strategic Plan should be considered, it first must be submitted to Management, the Budget Committee, Strategic Advisory Team and any affected committees for comment and analysis of any financial impact c. After reviewing the comments and financial impact assessment, the Board must pass any changes to the Strategic Plan by a super majority vote of 8 of the 9 members. 8. Increase member participation in the election of Board members a. Expand the communication channels used to announce candidates and provide membership with more access to each candidate by using multiple types of media, including social media, blogs, website and live chats with the candidates. b. Implement an electronic balloting process that can be used via computer, internet and/or mobile device (See also Community Involvement and Communications Strategy 8). c. Communicate the importance of getting all members with e-mail accounts to provide and maintain current addresses with the Association. 19 d. Provide more candidate information to the community members, including answers to specific policy and strategy questions. e. Televise or record and post candidates’ night interviews on the Arrowhead cable channel 80, YouTube and other available media so that all members have the opportunity to see and hear what each candidate said. 9. Establish Strategic Advisory Team of experts in their field similar to those established at major Corporations a. Form an Advisory Team to provide expert advisory support to the Board and to standing committees at the direction of the Board. This Team will have no organizational authority. b. Membership on this group will include the Board President, acting as Chairman, General Manager, ALCA Budget Chairperson, ALCA/ASC Engineering Consultant Sr. Representative, Lawyer and selected ALCA members with professional experience and skills that will benefit the strategic direction of the Association. c. Reach out to the ALCA community to find professional expertise in key strategic areas, including Civil Engineering, Lake Management, Finance and Accounting, Environmental Management, Regulatory Compliance, Planning, Association Management and other specializations to be part of the Advisory Team. d. Only candidates will be eligible who can demonstrate relevant expertise and qualification in their field and a commitment to participate as needed. e. Members will be selected by the Board and reviewed annually to determine if they should continue to participate. f. The Strategic Advisory Team will meet semi-annually or on-call with the ALCA/ASC Board to review status of major projects, issues that may impact ALCA/ASC or the strategic direction of the community. 10. Immediately following adoption of the Strategic Plan form an Ad-hoc Bylaws committee to amend the ALCA Bylaws necessary to implement the approved plan strategies. 11. Retain counsel to begin the process to develop and gain member approval of a new Master Covenant Agreement for the Association. 12. Implement a project screening system as outlined in the following exhibit for all projects or services being considered by ALCA and ASC to address the following key elements at each stage in the process: a. Accuracy of project costs b. Level of detail for project scope, specifications and drawings c. Addressing all permit requirements Completeness of the financial plan including sources of funds and timing of available funding 20 Proposed Project Idea Define Scope & Ball Park Estimate Abandon Project Rejected Preliminary Proposed Project Review by Committee & BOD Continue Prepare Level C Cost Estimate & List Permits Rejected Mod Rejected Continue BOD Review & Approval Mod Pass Prepare Plans & Spec . & Level B Cost Estimate & Obtain Rejected Mod Approved BOD Review & Approval In SP & Master Plan Rejected Approved Place In Annual Work Plan Advertise & award Contract During YEAR Plan Cost Place Project In Service 21 5. B Infrastructure Requirements for Preservation, Protection and Maintenance of the Community The infrastructure in Arrowhead represents the majority of annual operating costs, capital expenditures and reserve requirements. The many amenities developed over the years from buildings to the pools, tennis court and common areas require annual maintenance and periodic upgrades. The lakes and streams must be of quality for full swimming, fishing and recreational boating access. In many instances, ALCA and ASC are in a catch-up mode due to the age of these facilities and their having gone beyond their useful life without repair or replacement. Whether it is updating the wastewater facilities, lake reclamation, road repairs, building and equipment maintenance or the beautification of our common areas, significant long-term investment will be required. In addition, all of these essential infrastructure investments need to be coordinated under a Comprehensive ALCA/ASC Master Plan. The following section contains the infrastructure strategies required for the preservation, protection and maintenance of the community. a. b. c. d. e. Comprehensive Master Plan Wastewater Management Roads and Surface Water Drainage Maintenance of Facilities Lakes Management a. Comprehensive Master Plan Background ALCA and ASC historically have never addressed infrastructure and other amenity requirements and strategies under a Comprehensive Master Plan. Roads and surface water drainage issues have been worked on separately from ASC’s expansion of the sewer lines. Management and preservation of the lakes has not adequately addressed the impact on water quality of run-off, erosion and septic system failures. Building maintenance, repair and replacement have been funded and managed outside of any Consolidated Master Plan guidance or direction. The net effect of this has been lost opportunities to lower costs through a coordinated effort to complete work simultaneously or in an orderly fashion. In addition, funding priorities, reserving and resource allocations have lacked long-range strategic focus and planning. With current demands for spending in these areas and desired enhancements to member services and facilities in addition to normal operating cost increases, the community needs to develop, set priorities and coordinate efforts under a Comprehensive Master Plan. 22 Objective and Goals As part of its Strategic Plan, ALCA and ASC will develop and coordinate all future infrastructure investments and work plans under a Comprehensive Master Plan. In addition to the main infrastructure areas, investments in Communications, Quality of Life and Security initiatives will be undertaken and funded in compliance with the Master Plan. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Member approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Develop and periodically update the Community-wide Comprehensive Master Plan a. All Association-owned property will have detailed site plans showing existing and future facilities and activities with a development timeline including concept and cost. b. Each plan will include documentation of how it is being coordinated with other infrastructure initiatives and the savings derived from that coordination. c. Infrastructure implementation schedules will be completed in compliance with the Master Plan and Strategic Plan. d. The Master Plan also will include detailed concepts for the coordination of the architecture of facilities, activities, signage and landscaping guidelines. e. Master Plan infrastructure initiatives will follow the natural landscape of lots. f. The Master Plan will provide education on the protection of the community’s natural resources and wetlands. 2. In addition to infrastructure initiatives, all proposed enhancements for the beautification, quality of life and security at Arrowhead and other strategic initiatives will be undertaken in compliance with the Master Plan. b. Wastewater Management Strategies Background A major infrastructure concern for the community is the need to assure adequate wastewater treatment whether through the Arrowhead Sewer Company or existing onsite homeowner septic systems. Currently, the Sewer Company serves homes in only part the community while Sections 1 through 13 homes are mainly on septic systems maintained by the homeowner. The Sewer Company has long and short range plans in process to upgrade and maintain the existing system. However, there is considerable concern that a hidden danger exists from the likely deterioration of many very old septic systems in the community. This pollution of the aquifer and lake is a real and hidden risk to the entire community that must be addressed over the coming years. The problem is compounded by the recent change in 23 PADEP rules for Arrowhead that severely limits new sewer hook-ups in the old sections of the community requiring changes to the current Act 537 plans prior to any resumption of extending the sewer system to Sections 1-13. Current rules and regulations governing on-site septic systems at ALCA and both townships lack the necessary enforcement and fine structure that considers the age and condition of the system. While the existing sewer system is the current focus, a more comprehensive approach is needed to address the significant sewage treatment issues facing the entire community. We know that there are very old septic systems that are likely leaking and that our community does not perc well in most areas. When a septic system fails and a septic field no longer percs, a major homeowners expense is needed to replace the septic system and field or sand mound. When residents cannot afford the expense and cannot use the home anymore, they stop coming to the lake and subsequently may stop paying their dues. Homes with septic systems that do not pass inspection cannot be sold. So they can become worthless and eventually end up as abandoned and blighted properties. This problem is costly to the remaining members in the form of higher dues and lower home values. Expansion of the sewer system throughout the community provides a second option for homes and landowners with properties that do not perc, or with known and unknown on-site septic systems that are failing or have already failed, to remain at Arrowhead, sell their property or convert them back to dues-paying owners. And as we know, reasonable sewer customer fees can be maintained more easily by increasing the customer base. The most efficient way to deal with major improvements to the sewer system is through close coordination with the infrastructure improvements on roads and drainage systems so that needed work is not done multiple times in the coming years. Objective and Goals The vision and long-term objective of ALCA is to deliver quality service to ASC customers at reasonable fees and see the entire community serviced by a cost-effective central sewer system while maintaining and upgrading the system as new and innovative processes are developed and implemented in compliance with Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (PADEP) requirements. This will be achieved in coordination with other infrastructure strategies under the Comprehensive ALCA/ASC Master Plan. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Provide strategic direction to ASC on how best to grow and serve the ALCA community. a. ASC will retain an experienced wastewater engineering consultant as Company Engineer of Record. Selection will be based on relevant experience and professional qualifications. 24 b. Maintain a knowledgeable and experienced Sewer Committee to act in an advisory capacity to the Arrowhead Sewer Company Board of Directors, providing guidance and making recommendations to the Board in a variety of areas related to sewage processing and treatment. c. Include the Sewer Company directly in the Community Master Plan development process. d. ASC will develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan. e. Work with professional sewage treatment consultants to assure that the policies and procedures for use in the operation of ASC are reviewed, modified and expanded as needed to reflect the changing nature of our community. 2. ASC will prepare a Master Operations and Maintenance Plan (O&M) for the entire system a. The Plan will address all required and recommended daily, weekly, semimonthly, monthly, quarterly and annual servicing and calibration for all equipment and facilities (See also Strategy 2 in the Maintenance and Facilities Section). b. Compile and digitize all reports, specifications, drawings and equipment O&M manuals. c. The Master O&M Plan shall include safety methods, testing procedures and overview of all systems. It will include a list of all equipment O&M and calibration manuals and all as-built drawings. 3. Establish and monitor reserves in three areas for specific projects and the unknown. a. 5 to 7 years obsolescence in sewer treatment technology which PADEP generally requires us to replace at some point. b. The availability payments made each year by customers should be directed to reserves. c. New PADEP requirements that are difficult to anticipate but we expect to occur and need to comply within a reasonable time period. d. ASC shall engage a consultant to prepare a reserve study on all element of the system. 4. Correct short range issues with the existing Sewer System in order to meet and exceed regulatory requirements. a. Install back-up generators for sewer plant and pumping stations. b. PADEP requires us to identify and correct by 2017 the sources of significant water inflow and infiltration into the sewer system. Some problems may be caused by an unknown number of homes on the current Low Pressure System (LPS) being in violation of our current rules and regulations and contributing to the problem by hooking up sump pumps and downspouts to 25 c. d. e. f. g. the sewer system. In addition, manholes with water seepage require raising, and improper connections to lateral lines, must be repaired. Rules and regulations will be reviewed and updated periodically to regulate compliance with ASC policies including permission to conduct home inspections and provide specific fines to any homeowner found in violation. Assure timely compliance with all PADEP requirements. Increase community education efforts both on the central wastewater system and on-site septic system operation, maintenance and useful life. Investigate the possibility of each Township’s Sewer Enforcement Officers (SEO) delegating to the ASC Sewer Manager limited authority to inspect septic systems and take action on those out of compliance with full reporting to the SEO. Develop more aggressive inspection and pumping regulations for all homes within 300 feet of the lakeshore that have on-site septic systems older than 15 years. (See Lakes Strategy 2). h. Institute and enforce significant fines for Owners who do not repair or replace failed septic systems in a timely manner 5. Address major long-range sewage treatment issues for the community that will require careful planning and significant capital investment. a. Implement changes to current sewage treatment system based on BCM Master Plan recommendations. b. Develop and manage a process to work with PADEP and the townships to modify the current 537 plans in order to reverse or modify their recent decisions limiting our ability to complete circling the lakes and allow more ALCA members the option to connect to our system. c. Implement methods to identify and correct failed or failing on-site septic systems in Arrowhead until the entire community has access to sewer system. d. Re-establish preferred septic inspection and cleaning relationships with qualified service companies that will provide discounts to owners to perform mandated 3 year inspections and cleaning and will certify the condition of owner septic systems to ALCA for better documentation, and possible additional income to the Association. e. Maintain a positive relationship with the PA PADEP and other government bodies that impact ASC operations. 6. Secure major funding for Master Plan implementation. a. Based on comprehensive Master Plan, determine near and long-term funding requirements in concert with other ALCA infrastructure funding needs. b. Address impact on customer fees, connection and other costs. c. Seek best funding terms through Grants, PENNVEST, DOA Rural Authority, banks and/or other agencies. 26 c. Roads and Surface Water Drainage Strategies Background All American Realty Incorporated was the developer of sections 1–7 beginning in late 1964 and later in 1970 developed sections 8-12. Sections 13-21 were opened for sale in later years. All American Realty Inc.’s central focus was on selling lots, building homes on those lots and attracting buyers. The main roads were tar & chipped, and then asphalt paved following existing ground contours with a minimal amount of sub-grade material. The secondary roads were rough graded with some stone surfacing roads through cleared trees in order to give buyers access to lots. After the Association took over the common property, including the roads, little was done to improve the roads other than required maintenance caused by storm water damage to lots or roadways. In1980 the Board of Directors made an effort to ensure that all lots would be within 3 blocks of a paved street. This resulted in 12 miles of paved roads being constructed with minimal drainage improvements. The community has an additional 29 miles of gravel roads throughout the subdivision. Work that was done to the roads consisted of returning the drainage and roadways to pre-storm conditions and minimal work on secondary roads to remove large rocks and boulders and re-grading for a more reasonable travel way. Basically, secondary roadwork was limited to the minimum necessary to correct damage within the road right-of- way or to address complaints received from members. In 2005, the primary asphalt roads were again resurfaced with asphalt paving. Despite its small geographical area, Arrowhead Lakes has more roads than any of the 4 Boroughs within Monroe County and 5 of the 16 townships within the county. Current Situation In 2012, management, with the approval of the Board of Directors, separated Roadway & Surface Water Drainage Maintenance from the Facility Maintenance department in order to directly address improvement of the roads and storm water runoff. A limited roadway maintenance plan was developed under the guidance of an experienced engineering firm that addressed both the roadway conditions and their associated drainage issues. The $167,731 road and ditch repair expenditures in 2012 exceeded the combined expenditures from 2007 through 2011 ($120,942). So far in 2012 and 2013, 2.88 miles of roadway right-away have been improved. The cost of the roadway work in 2012 was $574,472 and the projected budget costs for 2013 is $637,172. 27 Roads and Maintenance Budget History Year Roads Maintenance Total 2013** $637,172 $529,840 $1,167,012 2012* $574,472 $612,274 $1,186,746 +/- $ from Budget --+ 73,040 2011 $ 932,454 - 3,535 2010 $ 802,824 - 44,568 2009 $ 705,160 - 54,160 2008*** $ 760,030 + 28,127 2007 $ 703,259 - 10,600 *Unaudited December report -- ** Budget-- ***Significant winter storm expenses At the current rate of improvement to the roadways, the remaining 38.12 miles of roadway should be completed by the year 2037. Also included in the budget are snow removal cost and any restoration of roadways due to storm or wind damage causing blockage of roads. The following paved roads are scheduled to be tar and chipped in the next two years: Lehigh Drive from Orono to North Arrow; Paxinos Drive; Maxatawny from Lehigh to Moshannon Drive to Minisink; Minisink Drive; and sections of Arrowhead Drive. The current ALCA Program is intended to provide well-maintained roads throughout the community by providing for paved surface roads around the perimeters of the North and South lakes, Orono, Lehigh, Paxinos, Maxatawny and Minisink Drives. The Roads Department has proposed to resurface all paved roads every 7 years. All other gravel covered roads will be kept free of potholes in an effort to maintain country-like appeal while offering comfortable passage for all. All roads and drainage improvement projects will be planned using sound engineering, design and best construction practices and be approached in the most cost-effective manner. Stormwater management, road repaving and repair projects and sewer line installation projects will be addressed in conjunction with one another, so that drainage and ditching efforts and cost are minimized. Current PADEP requires all drainage improvements to be done by best practices manual that currently covers only the Chesapeake Bay drainage basin but will soon cover the entire State of Pennsylvania. 28 Objective and Goals ALCA will develop a comprehensive program for roads & surface water drainage that integrates the requirements for maintenance of the Arrowhead Sewer Company‘s collection system in the community, construction of walking and biking paths within the existing road right-of-way, construction of the best management practices for surface water systems within the community, and accommodation of any decision to place the entire community on the Arrowhead Sewer Company’s system. The program will address the most severe road deficiencies and delay any paving until after decisions are made concerning the above items to be integrated. These programs will be scheduled, planned, designed, and constructed under the supervision of a professional engineering firm and will be in compliance with the ALCA/ASC Comprehensive Master Plan. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. The Association will obtain aerial photography that will produce 1 foot contour mapping. This aerial map may then be plotted on an as-needed basis or completely depending upon the planning schedule. This will be more costeffective than current land surveying being conducted. 2. Engage a professional engineering firm to prepare a master schedule that incorporates all approved design and construction elements contained in the strategic plan for the next 10 years. 3. Accelerate the annual upgrading of drainage and roadway construction with sound engineering, design, and construction until the entire community is completed within the next 10 years instead of the projected completion in 2037. 4. Incorporate current state-of-the-art best management practice for surface water drainage into the roadway construction program to assure higher water quality standards of streams and lakes within the community. This will include strategically placed sediment and nutrient traps to minimize discharge to our lakes and streams. (See also Lakes Strategy 10). 5. Master Plan requirements should take into consideration the statewide building code requirements such as Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA, hazard materials, FHA and so forth). 6. As part of drainage and roadway programs, raise all sewer manholes above surrounding ground to limit surface water flow into manholes and paved area immediately around manhole to prevent snowplow damage. 7. As part of the drainage and roadway program, delay any paving until a 29 decision is made about possible construction of a collection system for central sewerage system for the entire community and design of the surface water drainage system. 8. In the event that sewer lines are intended to be extended to new sections of the community, approach the road repaving/repairs, ditching and drainage and sewer line installation projects in a coordinated fashion, maximizing the use of engineering expertise for the digging and installation of sewer pipes while simultaneously addressing the roadside drainage issues. 9. Ascertain the most cost-effective and fastest path toward achieving the roads and drainage goals, to include exploring use of independent contractors for specific parts of the project. 10. Using PENNDOT Pervious Pavement Design, consider paving a portion of all parking lots located at various community facilities to improve dust control throughout the community. This also will segregate golf-cart, car and vehicles with boat trailers. ADA must be addressed including site walkways and road crossings. 11. Design and build a walking/biking path system throughout the community that allows members to get around the lake safely by avoiding walking and riding on main roads. 12. The vehicle dispatch and operator maintenance program should be digitized and/or computerize so that repairs and accidents can be documented to determine the condition of each vehicle, which will assist in making a determination of how long the vehicle maybe retained past its estimated useful life. The reason for this is we have a lot of construction equipment and a few vehicles that have low hours and/or mileage. 13. All documents generated for design and construction shall be digitized and stored in a records management system or central file. As-built drawings should be prepared as drainage and roads are constructed to serve as base mapping where future repairs may be recorded. d. Maintenance of Facilities Strategies Background Maintenance of common areas and ALCA buildings around Arrowhead provide the greatest visible aesthetic appearance and safety to members and guests. Previously, the Association did not practice preventive maintenance. If something failed, it was either fixed or replaced. The Association never had a maintenance program that addressed preventive maintenance, proper lubrication, timely calibration and a program that anticipated necessary maintenance and replacement. Improvements had been limited over the years as reflected in the fact that their combined budget was essentially 30 flat at around $370,000 from 2007 through 2010. (See details in section 5.c.) Needed repairs to the Clubhouse have not been made nor reserved for. While vehicle and major equipment has been reserved for and replaced as needed, other major projects, like the Island Pool reconstruction, were not. In summary, the overall appearance of the common areas and buildings were showing their age with little in reserve to maintain them. (See appendix l. for current status of reserve fund as of 2013.) Current Situation Maintenance has been budgeted separately from roads and drainage in 2012. Since 2010 the maintenance wage and benefits budget has increased over 14% in 2012 and another 6% in 2013. Four members have been added to staff in order to provide sufficient staff to catch up with needed improvements and added responsibilities. The maintenance director is now responsible for maintaining all community facilities including the Lodge and its landscaping. Also included in his responsibility is the operation and maintenance of both dams and their appurtenances. A structural integrity assessment of the Clubhouse has been completed in the effort to determine what repairs are needed. The assessment found the Clubhouse to be structurally sound, but in need of some repair, primarily with re-grading of the grounds surrounding the building and water damage to the chimney. Members who responded to the recent survey indicated a desire to retain the multi-purpose use of the Clubhouse with a strong emphasis on increased youth activities. All common areas have been improved with 20 new picnic tables, stainless steel grills and umbrellas. Roadside trees have been trimmed back. And the overall “curb appeal” appearance of Arrowhead has improved dramatically. Objective and Goals ALCA will provide all necessary maintenance, repair and improvement of Arrowhead buildings, common areas and equipment in order to maintain and enhance the appearance and beautification of Arrowhead facilities and common areas. Adequate reserves need to be set aside annually to have sufficient funds for the orderly repair and replacement of facilities and equipment consistent with documented guidelines and manuals. All maintenance strategies will be managed in compliance with the Community Comprehensive Master Plan. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Maintain digitized documents that provide detailed requirements of all maintenance for all Association facilities and land. a. Manufacturer’s equipment maintenance, repair and replacement manuals for all facilities and systems. b. Detailed as-built and altered architectural, engineering and construction 31 drawings. c. Special reports related to facilities and equipment maintenance or repairs above and beyond normal requirements. 2. Prepare a Master Operation and Maintenance Plan for all Association owned areas and buildings. a. Due to regulatory requirements maintain the dams and dike and appurtenances and equipment in a separate document. The Arrowhead Sewer Company also will maintain a separate master operation and maintenance plan since it is a separate company with extensive regulatory requirements. b. As a minimum, the plans will include an overview of the process and procedure to be used to implement the program including property maintenance, safety and regulatory requirements. c. As a minimum, the document will include a master schedule by building and each of its systems with each system a listing of lubrication, oil change, calibration, and unique requirements for each element in the system for the daily, weekly, biweekly, monthly, quarterly and yearly maintenance requirements. This document should also include specialty requirements that must be contracted out on a regularly scheduled basis. d. The document will also include a listing of all manufacturer and supplier operation and maintenance documents, which should be keyed to the schedule. In addition it should include a listing and indexing of all digital asbuilt drawings and reports for each of the facilities. 3. Work closely with Landscaping Committee on the further beautification of Common Areas with low maintenance plants and other landscaping options. 4. Provide regular staff training on the use and maintenance of equipment and buildings. 5. Protect the Lakes and groundwater through use of eco-friendly, non-toxic fertilizers, weed-killers and other materials. 6. Engage experienced maintenance consultants, engineers and service providers as needed based upon competitive bidding for contractors or selection based on experience qualifications for professional services. 7. Kick off the new operation and maintenance program by conducting a one-time walk-through inspection and operation of all systems along with qualified building system engineers to assess the condition of the facility relative to its current age. The recommendation should include continued use, demolition or complete or minor renovation. Each season afterwards, the Maintenance staff will coordinate a detailed walk-through. All deficiencies will be documented for follow-up. 8. Review all vehicles and major construction equipment to see if a lower cost item can perform the same functions. If the major function is transportation, other forms of transport should be considered. If a piece of equipment has low mileage 32 or limited hours on the meter, consider extending its useful life and not replacing it as scheduled. 9. Investigate a computer-based Facilities O&M program to determine if it is adaptable to ALCA at a reasonable cost. 10. After initial phases of the Strategic Plan have been implemented, the General Manager should conduct a comprehensive review of the vehicle and equipment program to ensure that proper maintenance, functional efficiencies and replacement schedules are at the optimum. e. Lakes Management Strategies Background Arrowhead Lake and North Arrowhead Lake clearly are the focal point of our community and are resources that must be managed to ensure continued health of both lakes for the enjoyment of all. Arrowhead Lake is a man-made lake with a dam constructed by previous owners. It was originally corporate-owned land, lake and a hunting lodge, later purchased in 1963 by All American Realty, Inc. As part of the development a second lake, known as North Arrowhead Lake was constructed, and included a dike and dam with spillway and outlet structure. Statistical information on both lakes and dams is contained in Appendix f. Both lakes are near the headwaters of each of their respective drainage basins (Watersheds). North Arrowhead Lake is fed by Brady’s Lake and has a very limited drainage basin of one square mile with most of it located within the development. Arrowhead Lake has a much larger drainage basin at 14.74 square miles, which drains not only a major portion of our community and state game lands no. 126, but also drains into a portion of Locust Lakes development, Brady’s Lake, Locust Ridge Quarry, a large peat bog, and H- K equipment maintenance yard. (See Appendix g for Drainage Maps including inundation maps for both dams.) Currently both lakes are considered part of the headwaters of Lehigh River watershed. Other areas of the Poconos have developed smaller watersheds that drain into the Lehigh River under EPA Watershed Program. North Arrowhead Lake has a normal pool surface area of 87 acres (Spillway Crest Elevation). The lake surface area for the top of the dam embankment is 133 acres. The Arrowhead Lake surface area at the spillway crest is 217.6 acres for Arrowhead Lakes and the lake surface area at the top of dam is 364.6 acres. Both lakes are shallow mountain lakes that are used for boating, sailing, fishing and swimming. During winter months the lakes can be used for ice skating, ice fishing and ice sailing. The Pennsylvania Fish and Boat Commission is responsible for boating and fishing regulations on the lakes. The commission routinely stocks the upstream Brady’s Lake which provides some fish to our lakes. Arrowhead and North Arrowhead Lakes are 33 stocked annually by the Anglers Committee acting on professional recommendations from Bill Kirkpatrick (Aquatic Environmental) and forwarded to the Board for approval. Both dams come under the control of Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection, Bureau of Waterway Engineering and Wetlands, Dam Safety Division which requires inspection by a qualified engineer engaged by the owner, each year no later than December 31. The dam safety division also conducts an annual inspection of the dams. PADEP has classified both dams as high hazard dams. Arrowhead Lake dam has been classified as category B-1, which means its height is 40-100 feet and the hazard level is substantial if it were to fail. North Arrowhead Lake dam has been classified as C-1, which means its height is less than 40 feet, and the hazard level is substantial if it were to fail. PADEP has determined that Arrowhead Lake is required to pass 50% of the Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) but is actually capable of passing a higher level of 75% of the PMF. North Arrowhead Lake was required to pass a full PMF and it does. PADEP, under Pennsylvania law, can require necessary corrective action be undertaken by the owner. If PADEP is not completely satisfied with corrective actions by the owner, PADEP can require the lake to be drained. Currently PADEP requires a bond made out to the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania in the amount PADEP has estimated as the cost to breach the dam. County Emergency Operations Center and the Pennsylvania Emergency Operations Center retain oversight of the dams during times of declared emergencies. The swimming beaches also come under the control of the State and County Departments of Health which requires periodic testing to specified standards. If these standards are not met, the beaches are required to be closed until corrective action brings the water quality to within acceptable limits. The lakes serve as the heart of the community. To keep the lakes healthy it is important to avoid algae blooms, rising levels of nitrogen and other chemicals in the lakes and septic leakage from on-site septic systems at homes that surround both lakes. ALCA, as owner, is fully responsible for funding and O&M of the dams in accordance with PADEP Bureau of Dam Safety Rules and Regulations. Current Situation The lakes serve as the heart of the community. Currently the Association does not know the health of our lakes. The only testing done involves the limited testing at each of our public beaches. The Association has done algae boom monitoring and elimination. To keep the lakes healthy, it is important to avoid algae blooms, rising levels of nitrogen and other chemicals in the lakes, and septic leakage from on-site septic systems at homes that surround both lakes. ALCA, as owner, is fully responsible for funding and O&M of the dams in accordance with PADEP Bureau of Dam Safety Rules and Regulations. (For further information regarding National and PA dams and levee classifications and quality, please refer to the following documents on file with Arrowhead management.) DamsLevees FINAL with NAT.pdf PADam Classification System.pdf 34 The continued health of Arrowhead Lake and North Arrowhead Lake depends on a number of areas not strictly related to the lakes. These factors include the following: 1. Condition and maintenance of on-site septic systems for homes that surround the lakes. 2. Effectiveness of the surface water drainage program currently underway to prevent sediment and nutrients from entering the lakes. 3. The ability to limit nutrients and sediments from outside of the development. 4. The inability of the Association to find alternative solutions to on-site septic systems that have completely failed. Two homes on the secondary ring of homes surrounding the lakes received grinder pumps and were connected to the central sewerage system. As soon as the excavator dug soil at the street it encountered sewerage from that point back to the existing on-site septic system, indicating that the on-site septic system had completely failed. 5. Shallow portions of the lake have become un-navigable by some boats due to increased sediment over the years. 6. The recent Fish Population Survey conducted by Aquatics Environment Consultants, Inc. indicated a balance population of fish with some issues related to the size and condition of large-mouth bass, and confirmed that there too many Carp in North Arrow Lake that must be removed. The intent is to introduce Walleye in 2014. They also recommended stricter enforcement of minimum size requirements for Bass. Water quality was indicated as good for fishing and recreation. 7. ALCA does not have any comprehensive baseline assessment and monitoring program on the health of the lakes. 8. Homeowners may not be fully aware of the impact from the use, storage and disposal of household items such as oil, gas, lubricants, batteries, insecticides, medical drugs, etc. 9. FEMA has been aggressive in doing flood area mapping that can affect homeowners on the lakefronts and stream fronts. If a homeowner has a mortgage, lenders may require flood insurance for those areas impacted. Objective and Goals ALCA will be proactive in all activities that relate to the health and recreational benefits of the lakes both within the community and with upstream neighbors. And we will strive to ensure continued compliance with all regulatory agencies at all levels that govern dam safety, stream and lake water quality. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and 35 requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Because the association does not know the current quality of the Lakes, conduct a comprehensive testing of the water column and bottom samples around the shorelines and critical areas of the lakes to serve as a baseline to measure the health of the lakes. The baseline water quality testing should include total suspended solids, metals such as cadmium, copper, lead and zinc, nutrients such as TP, TN, OP, NO3, and NH4, Pathogens such as coliform, E. coli and Cyanobacteria. Along the shoreline in the vicinity of on-site septic systems, take drive soil samples and test full range of parameters. The scope of testing should be complete as done for other watershed organizations. 2. ALCA will obtain all necessary signatures by authorities for the Emergency Action Plans for both dams and submit to the appropriate authorities at all levels. (Currently underway). 3. Increase monitoring of all on-site septic systems and develop more aggressive inspection and pumping regulations for all homes within 300 feet of the lakeshore that have on-site septic systems older than 15 years. 4. Update the operations and maintenance manual for both dams that reflect information from the more current inspection monitoring reports. 5. Advise Monroe County Emergency Operations Center and PADEP Dam Safety Division and the Pennsylvania Fish and Boat commission that, as the owner of both dams, ALCA will draw down both lakes in advance of severe weather storms, hurricanes and tropical storms to create more reserved capacity, as part of our standard operating procedure. 6. Upon completion of the current study, develop and implement the Arrowhead Lake reclamation program. 7. Establish adequate reserve funding in accordance with selected reserve study for both dams and the water quality of both lakes. 8. Prepare a maintenance and operation plan in the format that was recommended for maintenance of facilities as part of their existing operation and maintenance plan. 9. Develop a plan for emergency spill response, including necessary equipment and tools. 36 10. Current state-of-the-art best management practice for surface water drainage will be incorporated into the roadway construction program, to meet high water quality standards of streams and lakes within the community. This should include strategically placed sediment and nutrient traps to minimize discharge to our lakes and streams. 11. Continue educational programs on the environment, especially that which relates to streams and lakes, including household products that can damage fish and the health of the lakes. Periodically invite professional lecturers to reinforce their educational programs. 12. Continue to limit boating on the lakes to non-gas motorized boats, sailboats, kayaks and other environmentally safe recreational vessels. 13. Work with the Anglers to assure adequate stocking of fish in the lakes, control of the Carp population, and enforcement of catch and release regulations for undersized fish. 14. Currently the headwaters of the Lehigh River are under a 501(c) (3), nonprofit organization known as North Pocono Care, which includes Trout Creek and its 5 lakes. Consideration should be given to becoming more active in this watershed organization or request that Trout Creek be separated from the organization, which may give ALCA more control over the health of the Lakes and possible grants for testing water quality and bottom samples. This should allow for grants to monitor watershed conditions on a more extensive basis. 5 C. Administration and Communications Background Internal Communications Communications with members of Arrowhead Community have historically been limited to the quarterly Smoke Signals publication, Channel 80, the website, board meetings and paper fliers. Minutes from the board of directors’ meetings were published only once per quarter in the Smoke Signals, resulting in a 3-4 month delay in getting important information and board decisions distributed to members. Use of postal service to keep members informed proves too expensive (3261 property owners at $0.46 per letter costs over $1500 per mailing). The delay and lack of communication resulted in misinformation and rumors among membership, and resulted in low involvement of members, particularly part-time weekenders who do not live at the lake, and were cut off from the small amount of communications that did exist. During the past two years, the use of email was added, and administration has collected approximately 2000 member email addresses to date, which are actively used to distribute minutes, meeting agendas, activity announcements and other important information to the members in a timely and cost effective manner. Despite this great 37 improvement, there is still much work to be done. Members are generally not well informed about what is going on in the community and the issues it faces. Additional channels of communication using current technology can be employed to help reach more members and facilitate more involvement. As the demographic composition of the Arrowhead population changes, use of social media, text messaging, teleconferencing, watching videos on the internet, mobile applications and mobile devices are more prominently used among members and these media are the means of communication for a majority of today’s members. 87.6% of survey responders indicated they have access to the internet and almost 80% have and use smart phones, tablet computers or similar mobile devices. People are accustomed to instant information and to always staying connected. Arrowhead has not yet caught up with the times when it comes to these forms of direct and instant communication. External Communications Arrowhead does no advertising or outside promotion to help attract new members and/or to positively affect the reputation of the community in the Pocono region. Arrowhead’s reputation in the Pocono region affects its ability to attract new, financially sound buyers. Communities that have built a reputation of being a highly desirable and sought after place to own experience increased demand for the properties within those communities. This helps keep property values up, which encourages people to want to buy a home, or purchase a blighted property to renovate it. Existing members make investments in fixing up their homes because they know the properties around them are getting cleaned up, and because they know their money is going into a good investment. These actions improve the appearance of the neighborhood, and convert blighted and un-sellable homes into dues-generating properties, which is a benefit to every owner. Objective and Goals To have well-informed members who actively participate in the activities and governance of the community and contribute their time, knowledge and expertise to help the community prosper. To establish ALCA as a highly desirable community in which to own and live, attracting new buyers and financial investment that will enhance the appearance of the neighborhood, increase dues-paying owners, and improve property values. To use current technology and creativity to expand and maximize the reach and effectiveness of communications as well as provide easy and accessible forums for two-way communications and feedback to the Management and the Board. Work towards a paperless office environment. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Member approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Begin using social media tools (Official ALCA Facebook page, Twitter), blogs, and text messaging to increase the reach of information sharing with members. 38 2. Develop aggressive strategies to obtain and update e-mail addresses for all owners with e-mail. 3. Digitally record monthly Board of Director’s meetings and explore ways to broadcast the video though multiple distributions channels such as hosting the video, YouTube and an embedded link on the ALCA Website, posting link to video on Facebook page, Twitter and broadcast on Blue Ridge Cable’s Channel 80. 4. Update the website to include more promotional information about the benefits of ownership and vacationing in ALCA. Provide an attractive, professional look and feel. Include current information for owners, electronic registrations and website payment capabilities and features. Include information about the Pocono region and all there is to do here. Offer information about how to rent or buy in ALCA. 5. Use video teleconferencing technology to allow owners to attend meetings virtually and provide teleconferencing option for all board and committee meetings. 6. Increase the use of member surveys to keep in touch with the changing priorities and desires of the membership. 7. Partner with outside Real Estate professionals on advertising and promotion of ALCA’s great amenities, features and value for potential new buyers. Encourage paid advertising by the realtors. 8. Implement an electronic balloting process that can be used via computer, internet and/or mobile device (See also Governance Strategy 8). 9. Provide greater recognition to ALCA Volunteers who are an essential asset to the community. 10. Prepare written Standard Operating Procedures for management of contractors and professional service contracts that provide supervision and interaction guidelines -- i.e. monthly progress reports, milestone charts, funds management, completions dates, transfer of all contract documents generated under contract to ALCA/ASC, punch list resolution before claim for final payment. 11. All professional services (Attorney, CPA, Engineering and Architectural) shall be selected based on their professional qualifications. All other services shall be obtained through a competitive bidding process. 12. Prepare a written contract format for all of the following and review these documents with the Association’s attorney: a. Purchase orders b. Professional service contracts 39 c. Service and maintenance contracts d. Construction and major repair contracts e. Rental of facilities 13. While many improvements have been made to facilitate administration, two areas requiring attention are the weekend registration of renters and guests and the related backlog of cars on Locust Ridge Road trying to enter Orono Drive. a) To accommodate traffic congestion, reconfigure the Orono entrance using the adjacent lot to add 2 additional entry gates and one additional exit gate. Move the existing building to the vacant lot along with an expanded parking area to use for issuing gate cards to those renters who have preregistered and prepaid on-line. b) Provide on-line registration of all guests and renters who then can obtain their gate cards at either the Orono Gate House or a special window at the office. 14. For both ALCA and ASC, add special digital and archival programs for engineering and architectural drawings in order to retrieve color documents, photographs and full-size drawings – i.e. CADD and TIF formats as a minimum. Obtain plotter of sufficient size to produce full-size construction drawings and print color technical documents. 5 D. Quality of Life Background Life is good at the lake. Members and guests enjoy living and vacationing at the lake because of its natural beauty, relaxing atmosphere and great amenities and activities. In fact, when people come to the lake, they want to stay at the lake, and only leave the community area to go shopping, go out to dinner or seek recreational activities that are not offered within the lake community. In a recent survey of ALCA members, 75% of the respondents said they’d purchased at the lake for the purpose of vacationing and relaxation, and 20% indicated they live at the lake full time. The activities members enjoy most include staying at home and gathering with friends, using the lakes, beaches and pools, and walking, running or biking around the community. This indicates that life is good at the lake, and the more our members can do and enjoy while staying within the community, the happier they’ll be. This concept is reinforced by the survey responses regarding priorities for future projects in the community and in the open comments section, where input on future priorities was sought from members. The top priorities for projects related to activities (road repairs, sewer expansion and lake reclamation infrastructure projects were rated in the top five priorities and are covered in separate sections of this plan), other priorities centered on building a bridge over the waterway below the dam and making a biking/walking path to make traversing the community by means other than a car a safer and more enjoyable experience. The open comments, where specific projects that were 40 not identified by the survey were sought, indicated a very strong desire to have a restaurant/café/bar social gathering place and an indoor pool. These two ideas were proposed by members as future uses of the Lodge and Clubhouse facilities. In addition, when asked specifically what the Clubhouse should be used for in the future, 80% of respondents selected youth activities, which aligns with the fact that there were 903 children under the age of 18 within the families of the survey respondents. Also, a large number of responses indicated the Clubhouse should be used for either a restaurant/bar or for events that will generate supplemental revenue. However, many of the open-ended survey responses seemed to confuse talking about the Clubhouse but meaning the Lodge. Therefore, people want to come to the lake to enjoy all of the existing activities and amenities here, and not have to leave to go have dinner or take their kids for mini-golf and ice cream at outside entertainment attractions. They want to the community to add features that offer members a social gathering place and a recreational place for the kids. The Lodge is a terrific new amenity for adults. Over 70% of Survey respondents agreed strongly or somewhat that the Lodge is a great amenity that enhances the community and adds value for the ownership. It is a great gathering place for social events. Dinner dances, wine & cheese BYOB events, fund raisers, and casual dinners on Friday nights have been a successful start. Members do not want to leave the community to have dinner or drinks. They would prefer to have a place to go within Arrowhead Lake. In a nearby community called Pocono Farms, they have their own community lounge that serves food and alcoholic drinks. This lounge is extremely successful for the community and is a favorite amenity and central gathering place for its members. Having a place to eat dinner and buy drinks within the community would keep the money that members are now spending out on Rt. 940 within the ALCA community. Strategies that support creating a bar/restaurant or café in the lodge to serve as a central gathering place for members should be explored to increase the quality of life, and to generate supplemental revenues for the community. Families are a very important part of ALCA, and they come to the lake for entertainment in the daytime and evenings. Many families use the pools and lakes during the day, and then head out to RT. 940 for entertainment in the evenings, getting dinner and then going to the Dairy King for mini-golf, arcade games and ice cream before heading back to the lake for a late night campfire. If the community offered a recreational center with arcade games, ping pong, mini-golf, and an ice cream stand, parents would stay at the lake, and simply ride their golf cart over to the recreational center to engage in these activities with their kids. The money families are currently spending out on Rt. 940 would instead be spent inside the community, and create a significant source of supplemental revenue. Strategies related to maintaining the Clubhouse as a multipurpose facility (cards, Bingo, exercise classes, etc.) while also repurposing its emphasis to be a recreational center for youth, as well as a source of revenue generating income for the community should be explored. Many residents and visitors to the community enjoy walking, running, biking and riding golf carts around the lakes. The paved roadways that circle the lake (Arrowhead Drive, 41 Orono Drive and Lakeshore Drive) are 22 feet wide -- the minimum width for a two lane roadway to handle daily volume of 200 -400 vehicles at 25mph. Often times if there are pedestrians or bicyclists on the roadway, near-collisions occur, and the walkers/bikers are in harm’s way. This is also true for golf carts, where there is no adequate room on the road for cars and golf carts to ride together safely. With paved road right-of ways of 40 feet in Sections 1-13 and 50 feet in Sections 14-21, it may be feasible to widen parts of these roads along with paving parts of less traveled roads to provide safe bike and walking paths as part of the Roads and Surface Water repair strategy. There currently are approximately 500+ golf carts registered in the Association. This large number of carts increases the potential to cause conflicts among vehicles, carts, walkers and bikers on the same narrow roads. Members are currently unable to circle the lake on bike, golf cart or on foot. It is unsafe to go out onto Locust Ridge Road to get across the spillway behind Welcome Center. Residents who live on the north side of the spillway cannot access the trash center, welcome center or mailboxes without getting in their cars and driving out of Orono gate, back in the Arrowhead Drive gate, and parking there. The members that responded to the survey ranked installing a path system for bikers/walkers and building a bridge over the spillway in the top 5 priorities for future projects. These projects to address these safety, enjoyment and convenience issues should be planned for, and strategies that will encourage healthy lifestyle and discourage use of cars, while increasing safety and convenience for our members as it pertains to getting around at the lake, should be explored. An even greater danger to the community is along Locust ridge Road due to high vehicle speeds, limited sight distances, adverse grades and frequent flooding along the Trout Creek Bridge. PENNDOT inspected the LR 4003 Bridge over Trout Creek in April 2013 and found the bridge superstructure, deck and abutments to be in poor condition. In addition, the inundation mapping completed for the lake shows that Trout Creek Bridge and the Orono entrance is flooded during only half the probable maximum flood. The Locust Ridge Road Trout Creek Bridge is in such poor condition that in the near future it could essentially cut the community in half due to either reduced load limits or closing until a replacement can be constructed. This situation could provide an opportunity for the Association to convince PENNDOT to provide a cart, walking and bike path for the safety of members while replacing the bridge and improving the road. An additional quality of life issue is the number of trees in the community which create our woodland environment. Over the past fifty years, trees have more than doubled in size presenting potential safety issues that could damage homes and property. A major cause of damage is from the wet roots of dead trees caused by sump pumps and other devices draining onto adjacent properties. As dead and dangerous trees are removed from properties the Association needs to maintain the policy of replacing these trees with trees native to the area in order to maintain the 50% requirement for that important woodland environment. 42 Objective and Goals Provide for many of the conveniences, amenities and entertainment activity in which our members and guests wish to participate, so that member enjoyment at the lake is maximized. Create a stronger sense of community with a central, social gathering place for members. Provide features and amenities that support keeping residents and members inside the community and generate supplement sources of revenue to pay for these additional amenities while simultaneously offsetting member dues. Provide for the safety of pedestrians, bicyclists and golf carts traversing the lakes. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. While maintaining its multi-purpose use for some current member activities, repurpose the Clubhouse and surrounding grounds to be a youth center. a. Provide arcade games and air hockey inside the clubhouse with vending income, provide ping pong and foosball tables for free. b. Construct mini-golf, batting cages, and/or electric race car track, and charge fees for using each. c. Add an ice cream stand selling dip and soft-serve, and packaged ice cream treats. d. Upgrade basketball courts; add a skate boarding park or roller-blade hockey rink. e. Review legal, insurance and licensing requirements and related costs for all proposed activities prior to implementation. 2. As part of roads project engineering in the Master Plan, evaluate the cost and feasibility of building a walking/biking path system throughout the community that allows members to get around the lake safely by avoiding walking and riding on main roads. (See also Strategy 11 in Roads and Surface Water Management). 3. Build a bridge over or below the dam/spillway area behind the Welcome Center/MSB and/or work with PENNDOT to achieve the same amenity at no or reduced cost when they replace their bridge. Bridge should be designed to handle golf carts, walkers and bikers – no cars. 4. Explore costs and benefits of adding a café or light-fare restaurant in the Lodge facility. Seek input from surrounding communities who have restaurants on-site to identify all of the costs, benefits and issues. 5. Test different catered lunch and dinner events for members and request feedback on results. 43 6. Look at strategies for adding a bar/lounge in the Lodge by analyzing the cost of a liquor license and the expected revenues and future pay-back period from sales to determine whether it is financially feasible. 7. Assure that all Quality of Life strategies are in compliance with Comprehensive Master Plan and coordinated with other Infrastructure programs. 8. Require that all sump pumps and other point discharges be directed to ditches in the street right of ways so that trees are not killed due to wet roots and best management practices can be incorporated into the surface water drainage system. 9. Establish a political action group to begin work immediately in order to have Locust Ridge Road alignment and the Trout Creek Bridge rebuilt in the near future to ensure that the community has a safe ingress and egress, especially during emergencies such as local flooding. This group also should work on proposal to move Bridge or replace it in such a way as to not close it to all traffic and provide cart and walking path in its plan. 5 E. Security and Safety Background ALCA has relied on its own Security Department working with State and local law enforcement agencies to provide basic patrolling, monitoring, protection and rules enforcement in Arrowhead. Owners have placed a high value on the personal and property security protection provided by a gated community and around-the-clock service provided by this Department. Over 90% of survey respondents agreed with the statement “The fact that ALCA is a secured and gated community is important to me”. In recent years this service has become even more important as the crime rate in Monroe County has risen. According to the Pennsylvania Crime Reporting System, the crime rate in Monroe has risen 18% since 2007. Monroe County now has the dubious distinction of being among the top 10 crime rate Counties in Pennsylvania per 100,000 people. Closer to home, in just the past three years, the rate in Tobyhanna and Coolbaugh Townships is up over 8% according to Pocono Mountain Regional Police statistics. During this period, Arrowhead Security has increased the number of citations with paid fines up by 46% since 2010. This was achieved within a budget that has risen only 5.5% since 2007 compared to the overall ALCA Operating Expense increase of almost 20%. This low increase was achieved in large part due to the significant change in staff make-up from 11 full-time and 1 part time members in 2007 to the 7 full-time and 7 parttime officers as of September, 2013. At the same time, some residents have noted increased speeding, break-ins and other incidents that may require greater enforcement. Maintaining the desired level of security in coming years will require continued improvement in officer training and available technology. 44 Objective and Goals ALCA will provide a safe environment for its owners, their families and guests through strict enforcement of Association rules and regulations, relying on a professional security force and controlled access to the community. The Security Department will have the best available training and technology to perform its functions with community support of its efforts. Provide the community with educational programs that will enhance a safe environment. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Maintain optimal security force size and training to provide superior service to community. a. Adjust full and part-time component security staff over time as Arrowhead member demographics and usage change to assure coverage of the community. b. Update department policies and procedures to ensure effective operations, professional work ethic, and high standards of performance and execution of routine security duties. c. Recruit and retain the most qualified security officers. d. Provide regular training for all new and existing officers in best practices and use of new technology. 2. Fully enforce all ALCA Rules and Regulations a. Properly complete citations to assure fines will be levied upon appeal. b. Allocate sufficient staff resources and fines to reduce speeding in community. c. Increase community awareness of strict enforcement of rules through added signage where needed and use of media. 3. Research and acquire advanced security technology a. Add remote observation cameras in areas of high vandalism. b. Develop community e-mail, cell phone, SMS text messaging, and other automated warning systems. c. Install speed monitoring and violation equipment to slow traffic. d. Upgrade security system to prevent sharing/double swiping of gate access cards. e. See also Section 5.F page 54 Strategy #9 regarding member photo ID technology to replace wristbands 4. Involve the community in supporting security efforts a. Expand Neighborhood Watch participation and coverage, especially during summer weekends and other periods of increased population. b. Train and deploy volunteers to assist in enforcing minor violations. c. Build rapport with the community through increased visibility during events and employing customer service model in security services. 45 5. Discourage use of cars and encourage healthier, safer and more environmentally-friendly ways of getting around the community such as biking, walking, running and use of golf carts. a. Provide preferred, designated parking spots for golf carts. b. Continue to offer golf cart rentals through outsourced company. c. Develop a path system that allows walkers, runners and bicyclists to get around in the community without walking on the main roads. 6. Participate in Pocono Mountain Regional Police Community Outreach Program, SWAT demonstrations, K-9 Demo, fingerprinting children, bicycle safety, stranger danger, crime prevention programs and neighborhood watch programs. 7. Develop Communication, Evacuation and Member Support Guidelines during Emergencies a. Develop written guidelines for what residents should do during fire, storm long-term power outages and other major emergencies. b. Provide transportation to designated shelters. c. Publish cellphone hotline for members to contact Management for updates. d. Coordinate program with Pocono Mountain Regional Police, local fire companies, and local rescue squads along with the Township and County emergency operations centers. F a. ALCA and ASC Revenue Strategies Background 5.F.a.1. ALCA Revenue Strategies ALCA relies primarily on member dues to support operations, infrastructure development and maintenance and investment in new facilities and programs. While House dues were $370 in 1985 in today’s dollars dues have risen 92% ($792 to $1522). In the same period Lot dues have risen almost 400%. Also, from 1987 through 2003 the dues discount ranged from 15% to 21% until lowered to the current 10% in 2004. 46 As the chart below shows, collected member dues have risen 25.3% since 2007 after discount which has reduced collected dues a little over 7% each year. Prior year collections have risen dramatically in the past two years due to more aggressive legal and collection agency pursuit. Part-time renter income has become the largest non-dues source of revenue in recent years. Discount -234,077 -228,744 -246,909 -250,145 -252,864 -292,690 Current Prior Year Year Collected 2,997,824 65,566 3,095,549 61,220 3,175,449 63,807 3,207,239 71,319 3,333,174 102,328 3,758,957 168,825 Other Renters Revenue 131,377 348,810 164,961 309,333 196,154 285,671 210,057 254,908 218,367 283,232 232,643 341,294 Many newer owners consider the level of current dues a true bargain when considering all of the services and amenities provided. But a number of early settlers, lot owners and retired members have difficulty keeping up with rising dues or are unwilling to recognize the cost to maintain and enhance the value of the community. And at some level no one wants to experience high annual dues increases. In recent years, dues collections have been adversely impacted by the removal of properties from the dues base. 510 Green-belted Properties are no longer generating revenue 298 ALCA Community-Owned Properties are unavailable for sale 147 Properties are in the Monroe County Repository 29 properties are held by the developer (the Bank) 11 properties owned by ASC 47 These properties now represent 23% of the original 4330 ALCA lots or over $800,000 in lost annual lot dues. A recent change in Greenbelt fees now charges ½ lot dues on 4 properties. In addition, delinquencies have increased 236% since 2007 to $658,441 and equaled 14% of billed dues in 2012. Many of these delinquencies are vulnerable to potential owner abandonment. One issue that has affected both delinquencies and the growth in abandoned properties is the lack of sewers in sections 1-13 when compared to sections 1421. Some statistics that clearly demonstrate this issue are: Sections 1-13 14-21 Total Properties Houses % Built 2760 1266 46% 1570 1147 73% ALCA Owned County Owned % Owned by ALCA/County 262 109 13.4% 36 38 4.7% Installing sewer lines will allow properties that do not currently perc to be available for building and could alleviate abandonment. For example, installing sewer lines on Adobe Place made about 20 lots buildable. It also is estimated that about 25% of the current wetland properties might be recoverable if they meet the criteria in PA DEP GP15 for building, if sewers were available in Sections 1-13. Below is a quoted portion of the Pennsylvania DEP GP–15 concerning filling in wetlands on residential properties which is only permitted for lot purchases by the permitee prior to November 22, 1991. “The Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) has developed the general permit 15 (GP-15) which authorizes the placement and maintenance of fill in, or the excavation of, non-tidal wetlands for the construction or expansion of a single family home for the personal residence of the permittee, including reasonable and necessary features such as a driveway, storage shed and utilities on a residential lot purchased by the permittee prior to Nov. 22, 1991, where activities do not impact greater than 0.50 acre of non-tidal wetland.” (For further information see the following permit instructions on file with ALCA Management) 3150-PM-BW EW0515 Complete Package.pdf 3150-PM-EW0515_Instructions (1).pdf 48 But we also have properties that have wetlands on them that can be built on because the sewer would be available and the size of the wetlands is minimal and no encroachment into the documented wetlands on the property is necessary for construction of the home and driveway. In the past they may not have been candidates on which to construct an on-site mound or on-site septic system. With the sewer available the area needed would be much less for a house and driveway. The Controller has identified some properties that have had a wetlands determination which shows the delineation of wetlands on the property. If the wetlands are minimal and you can put a house and driveway on the property without encroachment into the wetlands or violation of any building code, the lot is buildable. Assuming future increases in infrastructure reserve requirements and operating cost, alternative revenue sources need to be developed to limit dues increases. The following exhibit shows the potential for additional revenue from some proposed strategies. POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL REVENUE OVER $750,000 ANNUAL REVENUE $50k $780k $80k $150k $500k SEWER 1-13 REDUCE DISCOUNT ASSOCIATE MEMBER AMENITIES FEES INCREASE PRIOR YEAR COLLECTIONS ADDITIONAL REVENUE POTENTIAL ASSUMPTIONS SEWER 1-13 – 500 additional built homes in sections 1-13 to equal 73% after reduction of current GB (421), ALCA Owned (262), Repository (147) DISCOUNT – Reduce Early payment Discount 50% ASSOCIATE MEMBER AMENITIES– Increase Associate fees PRIOR YEAR COLLECTIONS – Increase collections 30% Objective and Goals ALCA will continue to assess reasonable membership dues while generating sufficient funds to maintain and enhance property values. To be fiscally responsible, revenue will cover both reasonable increases in operating costs, recreational activities and reserves. In order to limit dues increases, income from alternative sources will provide a larger share of revenue. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 49 Strategies 1. Review member dues requirements annually – Member dues will continue to be the major source of funds for ALCA. Except for unusual unforeseen circumstances requiring significant increase in revenue, member dues will be increased each year to cover normal inflation in operating costs and to maintain adequate reserves. 2. Determine optimum mix of increased annual dues, bank financing and one-time member assessments – Increased operating costs, reserve funding for major infrastructure projects and new amenities will require some combination of funding options that will generate the greatest benefit to members at the lowest long-term costs. 3. Aggressively pursue strategies to lower delinquency rate – The current trend in delinquencies will be reduced through greater emphasis on new pricing options to lower lot dues, new payment plans and collection strategies that include reporting to rating agencies, collecting some portion of delinquent dues when property is surrendered to ALCA, and providing effective incentives to collection agents and lawyers used to pursue delinquent accounts. In addition added monthly and quarterly dues and delinquency payment flexibility will be offered. 4. Sell buildable ALCA properties – Continue recent practice of evaluating properties deeded back to ALCA to determine if they can be sold before designating them as Community Property. 5. Implement plan to expand sewer system – Potentially the most significant source of increased dues revenue and reduction in abandoned properties, the Sewer Company working with outside consultant support will resolve current regulatory and funding issues to restart effort to provide sewers in sections 1-13. 6. Look to move discount period to sometime earlier than March – As online credit card dues payments grow and relieve office workloads, look to changing discount period to January or February to increase cash flow. 7. Add supplemental revenue generating amenities -- Provide arcade games, mini-golf and ice cream stand (see Quality of Life section for more details) and a bar/restaurant to help keep the money our members currently spend outside of the community inside Arrowhead. 8. Implement a fee for additional Associate member and guest wristbands -- Issue maximum of 2 free associate and guest wristbands to members per voting household. Additional amenities wristbands can be purchased for established daily, weekly and monthly rates paid by other guests to the community. 50 9. Explore the replacement of wristbands and gate cards with photo IDs – New technology is available to replace the high annual cost of wristbands and gate cards with member photo ID cards that can last for 5 years and be used at gates and to gain access to all Association facilities. Additional technology exists similar to E-Z Pass that can allow faster vehicle entrance to Arrowhead. Both solutions would also increase security and lower the cost of surveillance to limitaccess by non-members and unregistered guests. 10. Work with real estate agencies and builders to rent and sell properties – Maintain ongoing dialogue with local real estate agents, incorporate their suggestions to improve rentals and sales, and communicate important changes that enhance the value of owning in Arrowhead. 11. Pursue available grants for project funding – Funding strategies for all major projects will include evaluation of and application for any potential grant funds available that might offset some costs. This will require experienced staff or consulting support in finding and pursuit of large grants. 12. Maximize Lodge Revenue Opportunities to Offset Operating Costs – Current income projections cover 55% of the operating budget. Lodge revenue should offset operating costs and budgeted reserves. This will be accomplished primarily through increased rentals for weddings and other occasions and income producing events. 13. Increase Greenbelt Income – While ALCA has long looked upon greenbelting as beneficial to the environment and land use, the loss in dues from the current 512 greenbelt properties represents a significant reduction in annual dues. Any future green-belting fees need to provide greater compensation to the association than current fees now generate. In addition, one-time assessments are implemented on a lot basis which could generate future income from all green-belted lots. In the interim consider freezing future green-belting until an analysis of options can be completed. 14. Develop remaining ALCA Owned lots – Consider strategies to turn some of the 309 ALCA owned lots into income producing rental or recreational properties that increase the value of ALCA ownership. ALCA lots with wetlands can be considered for environmental educational programs. 15. Explore multi-tiered rental boat dock at Beach 1 for boat slip seasonal rental. 51 Background F.a.2. ASC Revenue Strategies Arrowhead Sewer Company (ASC) is a wholly owned-subsidiary of ALCA that is intended to be a self-funding entity covering its operating costs, improvements and reserve funding primarily through sewer fees, line extensions and New Branch Tap-in fees. Major extensions, repairs and upgrades to the system have been funded through bank loans paid from fee income. The chart below includes a breakdown of revenue sources from 2007 through 2012. Due to a significant reduction in Line Extensions, new Connections and Tap-ins there has been a large drop in revenue since 2008 that has not been made up in major increases in sewer fees until 2013. In addition, the annual budget process had not anticipated this drop in revenue and has been under budget from 2009 through 2012. To compensate for this negative variance, capital expenses have been under budget from 2010 through 2012 in order to operate at a profit in those years. YEA R 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 SEWER FEES 619,27 0 642,49 6 657,48 9 656,28 7 646,69 5 662,24 9 DISC. 24,03 4 24,36 0 25,83 0 26,75 2 28,08 0 28,63 1 FEE REVENU E EXTEN . CONNEC T NEW TOTAL INCOM E VARIANC E 108,873* 966,474 224,123 36,900 TAP-IN 180,40 0 163,70 0 OTHER REVENU E 595,236 34,990 46,975 618,136 30,054 54,590 903,380 85,031 631,659 0 9705 28100 45,136 714,600 -101,279 629,534 0 6,000 0 45,970 681,504 -21,296 618,615 -135 7600 16,300 51,663 694,043 -26,206 633,618 96 1800 47,500 46,076 729,090 -115,635 * *Includes one-time recovery of prior year expenses -- $42,500 During this period, full-pay fees remained at $445/Home and $222/Lot until 2012. Although the indicated fee increase was substantial, Sewer fees were raised only 2.9% for both full and quarterly pay in 2012. Full-pay customers receive a 10% discount if paid by January 31. In 2013, fees were raised 25% based on the recommendation of the Budget Committee and Company management. Based on first quarter results, the one notable change is the 38.7% increase in early pay discounts from $28,631 in 52 2012 to $39,710 through March 2013. Our fees remain lower than other local Sewer Companies. Major improvements have been funded through a large bank loan that was with Wayne Bank and moved to PNC in 2010. The loan balance at the end of 2007 was $1,119,870. As of 12/31/2012 the loan balance with PNC was $371,107. Operating profit has not contributed significantly to held reserves during this period. Currently the Sewer Company will be borrowing additional funds to cover the costs of improvements required by the PADEP because no reserve funds were established over prior years in anticipation of these required changes. Current Situation Due primarily to unanticipated lack of growth in new customers, ASC is in a difficult position of needing to increase revenue significantly in order to cover both current operating costs, reserves and near term major expenditures to upgrade the system. A good current credit rating should allow more borrowing. But greater focus on strong fiscal management will be required in the coming years, especially if ASC continues the current pattern of slow growth. New construction has improved, but not nearly at the levels prior to the recent Great Recession. Recent PADEP prohibition to extending the sewer lines to Sections 1-13 has been the greatest impediment to growth and to solving the failing septic systems problem that is and will continue to threaten groundwater contamination and quality of the Lakes. If and when ASC can return to connecting these owners, careful planning will be required to determine the fee structure and costs of any rebate program to avoid a loss similar to the $86,000 loss at the end of 2010 when the expansion was abruptly ended by PADEP. The double digit fee increase in 2013 of 25% was needed because fees had not been increased for five consecutive years prior to 2012. Given the projected near term increased funding required, additional increases to current customers will be needed and should be done in a manner that lowers the impact of large double-digit changes beyond 2015. There are only 283 sewer reserved lots remaining, mostly in Sections 14-21. If all are built it would increase fees a maximum of $81,222. This excludes tap-in and connection fees but those are a one-time charge and should not be counted in the same way. It was part of what caused the issue after 2008 when new tieins dropped. There are 1138 houses on septic in Sections 1-13 and another 635 lots. Most homes are on septic systems well over 30 years old. Without tapping into this base, current fees may need to rise significantly to cover the costs to upgrade and maintain the current system. The Sewer Company Comprehensive Plan and Reserve Study will document the requirements and potential costs to ASC and its customers and will serve as the foundation for projecting necessary fee increases and long-term borrowing for a fiscally sound business. Based on the results over the past six years, while the 53 operations of the Sewer Company have improved significantly, financial management needs to address the ongoing revenue projections prudently to avoid the shortfalls encountered each year. A critical PADEP mandate is to reduce the Inflow and Infiltration (I&I) into the collection system by 2017. If not done in a timely manner, it could have an adverse impact on renewing ASC’s permit in 2017. ASC has no reserve funds. All available funds have been used for necessary repairs to the plant and collection system with significant funds having been spent to expand the collection system into Sections 1-13 prior to that being stopped. A recent loan of $250,000 was secured in order to complete mandated retrofits. Objectives and Goals ASC needs to generate sufficient revenue to be self-sustaining through adequate annual revenue generation from its customer base. As needed, new funding through loans will be secured through conservative assessments of customer growth and periodic fee increases while remaining close to comparable rates being charged by surrounding municipalities and Sewer Companies. Total Revenue will be targeted to provide sufficient funds to meet full compliance with all regulatory requirements. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Raise customer fees annually to provide sufficient funds to cover operating costs, reserve funding and make loan payments a. Increase sewer fees to competitive levels over next two years in order to fund reserves and qualify for government loans b. After this necessary period of rate increases, avoid future double digit increases if possible by smaller, regular incremental fee changes c. Conservatively estimate increase in new customers in budgeting process to better project adequate fee increase. 2. As the most significant customer and revenue growth strategy, aggressively pursue the necessary PADEP and Township changes to permit ASC to extend the Sewer Company to Sections 1-13, starting with remaining properties around the Lakes but ultimately allowing all properties the option to hook up. 3. Evaluate low-cost PennVest or USDA RUS long-term or other financing options in concert with ALCA funding requirements to determine optimum funding options for major long-term improvements and maintenance 54 requirements that could provide lower annual increases in fees to cover loan payments than other incremental funding options. 4. Analyze PADEP mandated improvements to determine the most cost effective funding approach without major increase in fees (See 5.G Funding Priorities) 5. Correct all PADEP concerns and return to a sound financial basis before undertaking expansion into Sections 1-13. 6. Work with CAI and local government representatives on legislation to adopt New Jersey type tax rebate to private communities like ALCA. F.b. ALCA and ASC Expense and Capital Reserve Strategies ALCA EXPENSE AND CAPITAL RESERVE STRATEGIES Background The past six years have been marked with significant investment in new facilities for the benefit of ALCA owners and visitors. Starting with the new Administration Building and Island Pool and with the recent completion of the Lodge, the Association has spent almost $6.4 million to replace and update these facilities. In addition, over $400 thousand in reserves were needed for the North Arrowhead Lake Intake structure work in 2007-2008. During a period prior to 2007, no funds were placed in reserve accounts and even drawn down to keep dues low. Capital Improvement Fees (CIF) and Reserves have been complemented by two large loans to cover costs for the Administration Building and the Lodge because no reserves had been established prior to construction. With early retirement of the Administrative Building Loan and acceptable P&L, ALCA has maintained a good credit rating. However, these costs plus increasing operating expenses and other capital expenditures had placed a significant strain on Capital Reserve adequacy. This resulted in a continued drop in reserves until dues and other revenue increased in 2011 and 2012 after 4 years of moderate increases. With this recent increased dues contribution, Capital Reserves are growing again but remain well short of earlier years. 55 Operating Expenses also have risen in the past two years adding 10 staff members to address aging roads and other maintenance needs and recreational activity requirements. As noted in the Revenue Strategies, careful attention will be needed to match future Operating Expenses to available funds while maintaining adequate Capital Reserves to cover projected equipment and facilities maintenance. The contribution of member dues to both capital and debt service are at an all-time high. Currently ALCA and ASC have outstanding loans totalling $3,603,646 as of July 1, 2013: Loan Date______ Interest _____Rate* ALCA Lodge Loan LIBOR +2.35% (Baloon) Original Amount Balance $3,271,000 $3,063,062 Mature April 2017 ASC Loan 1 LIBOR +2.35% $695,000 $290,585 November 2015 ASC Loan 2 LIBOR +2.35% $250,000 $250,000 April 2017 *Current one-year London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is 0.67319% While loans may continue to play a significant role in major project funding, the Association must continue to be fiscally responsible in rebuilding reserve funds to acceptable levels and not extend costs beyond reasonable revenue growth projections. Current Situation The recently completed reserve study indicates the need to raise the current ALCA reserves of $1,216,799 to $4,813,594 over the next ten years to cover an estimated 56 $4,403,038 in Capital Expenditures. While there are alternative annual funding methods for building these reserves, the minimum alternative assumption in the report is $280,000 per year in 2013 dollars. This does not include the estimate of the required capital expenditures for Road and Surface Water improvements and maintenance which was raised to $637,172 in the 2013 budget. Looking out 20 years, the reserve requirement for the existing facilities listed will be $9,413,608. (See Appendix f. Reserve Study July 2013 for details). However this reserve study did not include the major Sewer Projects mandated by PADEP, Roads and Ditch Surface Water Drainage Improvements and other initiatives discussed in the following Section 5 G. -- Major Funding Priorities. Operating Expense and Capital Reserve Objectives and Goals To assure the long-term value of ownership in Arrowhead, ALCA will operate within budgetary constraints of projected revenue while maintaining adequate reserves to maintain and enhance the infrastructure, facilities and other assets of the Association. Working with the professional staff and outside consultants as needed, ALCA will manage resources efficiently and control costs, setting aside sufficient capital reserves annually to cover known future repair and replacement requirements along with emergency funds. Reserve funds will be invested in a manner that provides safety of principal, immediate liquidity and the highest possible returns in both the current and future economic environments. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members' approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Align operating costs with revenue projections – While operating costs should rise with normal inflation and new functions, they will be contained within a reasonable share of revenue 2. Attract and retain experienced professional staff – The best approach to assure efficient operations is to have the best professional staff available. a. Maintain competitive salaries and benefits for qualified staff b. Review individual performance against existing standards and work plans regularly c. Provide recognition in the community of outstanding staff performance 3. Pursue new cost-saving methods and technology – Invest in new equipment, processes and materials with proven cost-benefit advantages. a. Continue to develop internet-based processes that reduce staff work by passing transaction functions to owners and vendors b. Purchase equipment that directly increases staff productivity c. Evaluate outsourcing and in-sourcing options to lower costs 57 4. Maintain adequate Capital Reserves – The long-term viability of ALCA requires adequate reserves to cover future infrastructure, facilities and other maintenance requirements as they arise. a. Complete current and conduct periodic community-wide reserve studies. It is important that reserve studies include roads, dams, dikes and sewerage collection system and plant. b. Any amounts required under $50,000 should come from Operating Budget and not reserve requirements. c. Develop and implement the necessary annual funding strategy to build and maintain reserve adequacy. (See section 5.G) d. Establish reserve requirements during project planning and begin funding upon completion of major projects or equipment purchases e. Preclude use of reserves to offset reduction in dues or excessive operating cost (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 5. Invest reserve funds according to written investment policy – The board will adhere to the written policy unless there is a major change in association finances or an emergency situation dictates a temporary diversion from the policy or the development of a new written policy. (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 6. ALCA’s investment priorities are safety, liquidity and yield in that order – Each investment vehicle will support priorities and guaranteed return of principle. (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 7. Use reserves as designated – Except for emergency repairs, dedicated reserves will be used exclusively for the timely repair and replacement of materials, equipment and facilities established and updated in periodic reserve studies. Any transfer of a designated reserve to a different use requires Board approval. (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Member approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 8. Manage dues impact of debt service – Debt service now represents over 3% of dues, the highest level in recent history. While this is manageable within the new dues structure, future loans need to be secured only if serviceable through reasonable increases in dues or through other funding methods ASC Operating Expense and Reserve Strategies Background Tie-ins and Connection fees in 2007 and 2008 created a short-lived sense of profit that shifted rapidly in 2009 and future years. As noted above, during this period of rapid 58 decline in revenue, annual fees were not raised to compensate for lost income. Instead, expenses and capital expenditures were deferred each year after the operating loss in 2009 in order to show a modest profit in ASC. This trend did not change significantly until the 2013 budget year when fees were increased and many needed Capital Expenses were once again budgeted to be funded. As revenue shortfalls were seen, Sewer Operations and Capital Expenses were reduced from original budget in each year. ASC OPERATING AND CAPITAL RESERVE EXPENSE HISTORY 2007 - 2012 YEAR 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* SALARY & RELATED 81,561 84,833 102,180 75,476 97,699 118,984 125,839 ALCA OFFICE FEE INSURE OTHER 65,000 20,000 24,820 75,000 25,000 20,564 80,000 30,000 18,125 100,000 30,000 9,180 101,500 30,000 14,403 105,000 34,000 13,919 108,000 34,000 18,900 SEWE R CAPITAL TOTAL BUDGET PROFIT/ OPS. EXPENSE EXPENSE VARIANCE LOSS 135,673 470,260 789,798 52,210 350,724 161,111 538,241 901,674 157,275 235,097 134,919 453,317 826,037 -3143 (100,356) 111,238 269,255 595,149 -110,000 90,690 134,739 225,832 604,173 -115,202 90,160 118,855 238,585 629,343 -215,558 99,972 151,063 445,377 882,929 849 *Budget As the second chart shows, although budgeted in 2009 and 2010, no significant reserve contributions were able to be made after 2008 due to an unanticipated drop in revenue resulting in a rapid decline in reserves. Debt service on the loan grew from 19.9% of expenses in 2008 to 26.2% in 2012. The recent ASC loan in July 2013 will raise 2014 debt service to $252,750. ASC RESERVE FUNDING 2007-2012 YEAR 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (Budget) RESERVE CONTRIB 150,000 225,000 0 0 0 0 ENDING RESERVE 182,021 415,258 311,189 315,373 315,512 291,880 BUDGET VARIANCE -49,609 105,000 124,000 50,000 0 0 BANK LOAN 179,481 179,393 176,765 169,091 159,999 165,000 0 200,000 ? 165,000 59 The following graph shows that the significant drop in revenue was accompanied by the cessation of reserve contributions in 2009 with debt service having a greater share of revenue and operating costs. ANNUAL ASC P&L TRENDS 2007-2012 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 2007 2008 2009 TOTAL REVENUE RESERVE CONTRIBUTION 2010 2011 2012 TOTAL EXPENSE DEBT SERVICE Current Situation The ASC Board has begun to address the need to catch up with many deferred costs, especially those improvements mandated by the PADEP. The Master Plan prepared by BCM provides critical guidance to the ASC long-range strategies and related costs. The 2013 budget included much needed Capital Improvement funds. However, important items like the generators for the pumping stations were removed from the proposed budget presented by the Sewer Committee and Management due to the remaining shortfall in sufficient revenue to fund necessary improvements. As covered in the following Funding section, the Master Plan indicates a minimum estimate of $15.9 million required to repair the mandated I&I problem in the ASC gravity lines. And over $1 million additional funds are required for other mandated changes. While the current budget has reduced debt service to 18.6% of total expenses, ASC is seeking additional loans to cover the costs of near term improvements and there is little potential for projected fee income and customer growth to cover significant near term contributions to reserves. Therefore in coming years ASC will continue to require significant additional borrowing to fund needed infrastructure expenditures 60 Objectives and Goals ASC will manage costs within revenue constraints in order to avoid operating losses while providing superior customer service and full regulatory compliance. While significant funding will continue to come from bank loans, reserves will be maintained at a level that assures adequate funds for repair and replacement of equipment and facilities. ASC’s credit rating will be maintained through prompt payment and limiting debt service to a reasonable percentage of revenue and expenses. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) Strategies 1. Provide sufficient funds for the immediate changes required to be in regulatory compliance (See “Funding Priorities” section for details). (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Member approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 2. Continue to manage expense budget to conservative revenue estimate a. Assure that sewer fee annual increases are adequate to cover needed expenditures and debt service b. Work with local builders to better gauge new construction at ALCA 3. Improve communications with Budget Committee and Board during budgeting process to assess the impact of proposed reductions in funding for proposed projects and equipment. 4. Place all future sewer reserved annual fees into reserves to provide funds for future tap-ins and connections. (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 5. Build sufficient reserves to fund known equipment and facilities repair and replacement requirements. (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 6. At a minimum each year all available connection and tie-in fees must go into reserve funds and not be used for normal operation and maintenance costs. (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 7. Establish reserve dedicated to unknown future PADEP mandated requirements in order to avoid emergency funding to the extent possible. 8. Develop detailed cost estimates and funding options to expand sewer system to sections 1-13. 61 9. Determine whether ASC can support the required expansion funding or if ALCA will need to secure funding if PADEP approves expansion to Sections 1-13. 10. The Budget Committee and Management will conduct a detailed review of the reserve program over the next two years before the next reserve study in order to select a method in accordance with CIA guidelines and addressing the following: a. Should future reserve studies include end of life reserves for facilities that go beyond the 20 years used in the current study b. Include dams, roadways and ditches c. Include the sewer system (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 5. G Major Funding Priorities Background Until the dues increases of 2011 and 2012, ALCA was not raising sufficient funds to increase needed reserves significantly. For many years, management of financial resources has focused on providing services and improved amenities while limiting member dues increases and sewer fees. From 1985 through 2010 dues increases averaged less than $35 per year, woefully inadequate to provide any significant contribution to the reserves required for the future repair and replacement of the aging infrastructure and common areas of ALCA. As the following chart clearly shows, moderate annual dues increases, many even below the inflation rate, have been interspersed with periodic double digit increases to cover needed current cost shortfalls. ALCA DUES INCREASE HISTORY 1990-2012 20 15 10 5 -5 62 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0 Even worse, no significant reserve contributions were established for ASC over the years as rates have been held at a level substantially below required funding and those of other local sewer companies, leaving the sewer company with no funds for needed repairs or expansion. This “pay as you go” policy has led to the frequent requirement to secure loans to cover new facilities needed or desired by members such as the Administration Building and new Lodge, or depletion of reserves for unfunded renovations like the Island Pool. Major changes at ASC also have required borrowing as no reserves were available. With the recent $250,000 loan ASC loan balances now total almost $550,000 and no reserve funds are available for the estimated $20 million mandated improvements that must be addressed by 2017. Current Situation The current financial situation for both ALCA and ASC must be improved significantly over the coming years if the aging infrastructure, Lakes quality and other desired improvements are to be addressed. Delaying or further deferring these actions into some future years in order to hold dues and fees down has significant downside risks to the quality of life at Arrowhead. Gradual replenishment of reserves over many years or the historic “pay as you go” approach has serious consequences to consider. PADEP fines or other sanctions in obtaining ASC renewal in 2017 are likely if the I&I problems are not adequately addressed by a protracted repair of the gravity system At the current rate of expenditure, road and drainage repairs will take 24 years to complete and likely cost more over this extended period Difficulty to coordinate road work with sewer line work will increase costs Delay in ability to modify current restrictions on sewer extension to sections 1-13 will o Harm lake quality by further allowing failed septic systems to leak o Force residents on old septic systems that likely have already failed to replace them over the coming years at costs greater than projected sewer hook up o Lead to continued lot abandonment in Sections 1-13 as owners see no value in retaining or selling the property and the related cost of dues increases to remaining members. The chart on page 69 contains the major proposed projects identified through a combination of required ASC improvements mandated by PADEP, critical infrastructure needs and member survey input. The priority rankings were set on the basis of mandated changes having precedence followed by major infrastructure priorities and those amenities and improvements ranked highly in the member survey. Project screening level factors are noted on the following page. 63 64 ESTIMATE BASED ON 100% DOC. NA 100% CONTRACT DOCUMENTS PROJECT UNDERWAY A DETAILED ESTIMATE ON PLANS 70% SPECIFICATIONS & DRAWINGS B QUANTITY & UNIT PRICE ESTIMATE BALLPARK WELL DEFINED SCOPE WITH DRAWINGS WRITTEN SCOPE D COST ESTIMATE C SCOPE OF WORK / SERVICES LEVEL 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% PERMITS IN HAND IN CONTRACT $ OVERSIGHT AGREEMENT REQUESTED PERMITS BOD MUST APPROVE BOD MUST CONFIRM ALL PERMITS BEFORE ADVERTISING PROJECT BOD MUST APPROVE NEXT LEVEL & FUNDING PLAN BOD MUST APPROVE NEXT LEVEL & FUNDING PLAN ID FUNDING SET ASIDE OVERSIGHT & MONITOR PREPARE AFTER ACTION REPORT FOR PROJECT ALL SOURCES CONFIRMED BOD MUST APPROVE FINAL FUNDING PLAN BOD MUST APPROVE ID POSSIBLE SOURCES COMM. RECOMMENED BOD MUST APPROVE NEXT LEVEL CONSULTANT CONFIRMS DRAFT FUNDING PLAN LIST of PERMITS 9% 15% 15% 20% CONTING ENGR, LEGAL & PERMITS FUNDING PLAN BOD ACTION REMARKS & NOTES ENICES ADMIN PROJECT /SERVICES PROJECT SCREENING LEVEL FACTORS 65 150,000 100,000 75,000 16,933,850 AMEND 537 SEWER PLAN SHUT OFF VALVES PRESSURE SYSTEM VIDEO CONDUIT/UPDATE EAP,BOND TOTAL REGULATORY REQUIREMENT 3,770,000 5,000,000 STORMWATER REPAIR AND ROADS RELATED TO GRAVITY SYSTEM STORMWATER REPAIR AND ROADS IN REMAINING SECTIONS 300,000 400,000 POOL RENOVATIONS REPLACE MAINTENANCE BUILDING n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a C D D D D D NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 4 8 12 6 16 16 8 16 8 6 0 0 0 0 10 4 0 10 0 6 10 10 10 10 10 6 6 10 10 10 10 10 6 8 6 10 6 10 10 10 10 10 2 6 10 10 10 10 2 4 10 4 10 4 8 8 8 10 10 NON-REGULATORY PROJECTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 0 10 0 0 8 2 16 18 20 20 20 20 22 22 26 28 28 28 44 44 44 46 48 D D D D D D D D D D D D C D C C C REGULATORY SURVEY AGE & MEMBERS HEALTH & REVENUE TOTAL COST REQUIREMENT RANKING CONDITION BENEFITING SAFETY GENERATER SCORE LEVEL YES/NO 16 to 0 10=END NEAR 10=100% 10=HIGH 10=HIGH A,B,C or D* YES YES YES YES YES YES REGULATORY REQUIREMENT REGULATORY SURVEY AGE & MEMBERS HEALTH & REVENUE TOTAL COST REQUIREMENT RANKING CONDITION BENEFITING SAFETY GENERATER SCORE LEVEL YES/NO 16 to 0 10=END NEAR 10=100% 10=HIGH 10=HIGH A,B,C, or D* FUTURE RESERVES FUTURE RESERVES RESERVES RESERVES RESERVES RESERVES FUTURE RESERVES FUTURE RESERVES PENNDOT RESERVES FUTURE RESERVES FUTURE RESERVES FUTURE RESERVES FUTURE RESERVES LOAN LOAN LOAN RESERVES RESERVES RESERVES RESERVES LOAN PROPOSED FUNDING SOURCE COMMENTS COST LEVELS SEE TABLE ENTITLED PROJECT /SERVICES PROJECT SCREENING LEVEL FACTORS (Page 70) Must be done at some point Must be done at some point KEY ELEMENT OF STRATEGIC PLAN KEY ELEMENT OF STRATEGIC PLAN KEY ELEMENT OF STRATEGIC PLAN KEY ELEMENT OF STRATEGIC PLAN Must be done over projected time Lower Ranking but some revenue potential High Life Safety Ranking/ Determine timing of Penndot repairs and fund through combined effort Interim fix to build reserve High ranking/timing issue due to need to seek funding separately from Stormwater repair project Higher ranking tempered by fewer boaters Significant revenue potential. High priority due to water safety and health concerns Highest Survey Rank with greatest potential for increased revenue and reduced lot abandonment Highest Survey Rank for roads and significant savings if done in conjunction with Sewer Line Replacement Significant lake quality, water safety and health concern/Timing tied to available funding Highest Survey Rank for roads and significant savings if done in conjunction with Sewer Line Replacement MANDATED MUST DO MANDATED MUST DO MANDATED MUST DO MANDATED MUST DO MANDATED MUST DO MANDATED MUST DO Apply for 40 Year Loan COMMENTS Mandated Repair of Gravity Sewer System and extension around Lake will cost $27 million 56,667,884 100,000 PREPARE MASTER OPERATION & MAINTENCE PLAN FOR ALCA & ASC GRAND TOTAL 100,000 COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW OF RESERVE PROGRAM 39,734,034 150,000 LAKE COMPREHENSIVE BASELINE TESTING PLAN TOTAL NOT MANDATED 200,000 1,490,590 RESERVE STUDY REPAIR & REPLACE COMMUNITY MASTER PLAN 2,500,000 300,000 BRIDGE OVER SPILLWAY CLUBHOUSE EXPANSION PHASE 2 OR REPLACE 500,000 3,000,000 3 MILE WALKING AND BICYCLE PATH CLUBHOUSE REPAIR PHASE 1 1,025,000 RECLAIM LEWIS CREEK,EASTERN COVE COVE & TROUT CREEK 14,000,000 5,844,144 SEWER LINES RINGING THE LAKE IN SECTIONS 1-13 SEWER LINES IN REMAINING SECTIONS 1-13 1,054,300 STORMWATER REPAIR AND ROADS RELATED TO RINGING LAKES PROJECT COST $ 300,000 UPGRATE PLANT/GENERATORS PROJECT 600,000 15,708,850 PROJECT COST $ REPLACE NORTH LAKE SPILLWAY REPLACE GRAVITY WITH NEW GRAVITY PROJECT PROJECT PRIORITY RANKINGS As the chart indicates, ALCA will not be able to fund all desired new and improved amenities in the near term. Mandated Sewer company improvements alone far exceed ASC’s and even ALCA’s ability to fund with dues and fee increases alone over the next three years. So the Association and ASC must again look to securing funding through a very large long-term loan likely from one of two government agencies – PENNVEST or the USDA RUS and possibly a Consortium of banks indicated by BCM as a group that also lends funds for wastewater management projects. The following chart from the Sewer Master Plan shows the differences in these potential lenders: Alternative Bond Issue Bank Loan PENNVEST Rural Development Interest Rate 5.5% 6.0% 1% to 4% 3% to 4% Maximum Term 20 years 15 years 20 years 40 years However, the current financial position of ALCA and ASC would not warrant such a loan without significant improvement in reserves, ability to meet debt service, demonstrated fiscal responsibility and continued membership payment of dues and sewer fees. Based on the expert opinion of BCM a loan large enough to cover the approximate $27 million required to fund the mandated ASC changes plus all storm water repairs and sewer extensions to ring the Lakes in sections 1-13 will be difficult to obtain. Assuming these major necessary infrastructure improvements are funded, most, if not all, of the remaining improvements may have to be deferred for a number of years until adequate reserves are available or alternate funding methods are adopted. Over time the historic pattern of obtaining loans for new amenities, major repairs and replacement of facilities is not sustainable and must be replaced by sound reserving policies and procedures. Unfortunately, this will take years to achieve but must begin immediately to forestall future deterioration of the infrastructure and member services. Objective and Goals The primary funding objective for ALCA/ASC is to establish a strong financial foundation to manage required infrastructure improvements, repair and replacement of existing facilities and new amenities and services for the enjoyment of current and future members. The goals include maintaining sufficient dues and fee levels to cover documented reserve requirements and to demonstrate the fiscal responsibility and capacity to qualify for needed loans. Over time, the build-up of reserves should replace the recurring need to secure large loans for future projects. (This Objective statement is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 66 Strategies The following strategies are contingent on the amount and source of required ALCA and ASC loans for replacing the Gravity system and high priority project to ring the Lake. Dues and Fee increases were projected to qualify for either a 40 or 20 year loan. While we will apply to USDA RUS, PENNVEST and a Bank Consortium at the same time, moving from a 40 year loan with RUS to 20 years with PENNVEST will have a significant impact on reserve funds available for other future projects. (The strategies below are all considered strategically important as they pertain to achieving the reserve goals necessary to succeed in the plan. If comparable strategies arise that still achieve the targeted reserve goals, they can be substituted for the strategies herein. Modifications that alter the modeled outcome and intent of these funding strategies require eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 1. Based on the options discussed with BCM and analysis of alternative scenarios the following funding method is the most feasible to pursue: a. Secure all or majority of $27,723,841 Gravity System and Ringing the Lake Sewer line loan requirements from USDA RUS. The 40 year loan will provide funds above required RUS debt service to increase reserves over time to fund other ALCA and ASC projects. b. Develop plan to gradually extend sewer system to remainder of Sections 1-13 by identifying clusters of homes and lots needing hook-up. Given the projected $14 million cost and limited additional borrowing options BCM suggests this strategy to work “from the center out” from existing sewer lines. c. Fund additional projects over time as reserves are built from collected dues and sewer fees. 2. Implement dues and fee level strategies to qualify for 40 year, 4% interest wastewater loan from USDA RUS or 20 year 3% loan from PENNVEST(see detailed exhibits below) a) Raise ASC rates to local competitive level in 2014 to meet fundamental agency requirement b) Increase ALCA dues rapidly over next three years in order to both increase needed reserves to qualify for loan and demonstrate members’ ability to absorb higher dues levels c) Maintain dues increases at level of inflation thereafter d) Lower Lot dues to help mitigate abandonment e) Lower early payment house discount rate to $100 and Lot discount to $50. f) Accumulate sufficient reserves to pay off all Lodge and Sewer Company Loans by 2017 in order to qualify for new loans. g) ALCA will cover $17 million of loan debt service and ASC $10 million so that both entities can add to reserves 67 ARROWHEAD SEWER COMPANY FEE RATES FORECAST 2014 THROUGH 2018 Rates House at Discount - Annual House Quarterly Lot at Discount - Annual Lot Quarterly $ $ $ $ Total Sewer Fees % Increase $ 2013 Budget 573 158 286 79 $ $ $ $ 786,178 $ 25.00% 2014 Forecast 800 220 400 110 $ $ $ $ 1,100,649 $ 40% 2015 Forecast 824 227 412 113 $ $ $ $ 1,133,668 $ 3% 2016 Forecast 849 233 424 117 $ $ $ $ 1,167,679 $ 3% 2017 Forecast 874 240 437 120 $ $ $ $ 1,202,709 $ 3% 2018 Forecast 900 248 450 124 1,238,790 3% ARROWHEAD LAKE COMMUNITY ASSOCIATION DUES FORECAST 2014 THROUGH 2018 House-Face - $ % Change House-Face - # Total Collected 2013 2014 2015 2016 Budget $ 1,522 $ 1,750 $ 1,900 $ 2,000 $ 15.0% 8.6% 5.3% $ 419 419 419 419 $ 637,718 $ 733,250 $ 796,100 $ 838,000 $ 2017 2,060 $ 3.0% 419 863,140 $ 2,120 2.9% 419 888,280 $ 1,382 $ 2018 House-Discount - $ % Change House-Discount - # Total Collected 1,650 $ 1,800 $ 1,900 $ 19.4% 9.1% 5.6% $ 1,870 1,870 1,870 1,870 $ 2,584,340 $ 3,085,500 $ 3,366,000 $ 3,553,000 $ 1,960 $ 3.2% 1,870 3,665,200 $ 2,020 3.1% 1,870 3,777,400 Total Collected - Houses % Change $ 3,222,058 $ 3,818,750 $ 4,162,100 $ 4,391,000 $ 18.5% 9.0% 5.5% 4,528,340 $ 3.1% 4,665,680 3.0% Lot-Face - $ % Change Lot-Face - # Total Collected $ 1,126 $ 875 $ 950 $ 1,000 $ -22.3% 8.6% 5.3% 145 $ 145 $ 145 $ 145 $ $ 163,270 $ 126,875 $ 137,750 $ 145,000 $ 1,030 $ 3.0% 145 $ 149,350 $ 1,060 2.9% 145 153,700 Lot-Discount - $ % Change Lot-Discount - # Total Collected $ 1,024 $ 825 $ 900 $ 950 $ -19.4% 9.1% 5.6% $ 469 469 469 469 $ 480,256 $ 386,925 $ 422,100 $ 445,550 $ 980 $ 3.2% 469 459,620 $ 1,010 3.1% 469 473,690 Total Collected - Lots % Change $ 643,526 $ 513,800 $ 559,850 $ 590,550 $ -20.2% 9.0% 5.5% 608,970 $ 3.1% 627,390 3.0% Total Dues Collected % Change $ 3,865,584 $ 4,332,550 $ 4,721,950 $ 4,981,550 $ 12.1% 9.0% 5.5% 5,137,310 $ 3.1% 5,293,070 3.0% 68 3. USDA 40 Year Loan Results – As the following Exhibits show, both ALCA and ASC are able to cover debt service beginning in 2016. By the end of 2018 cumulative reserves available to fund other ALCA and ASC priorities have grown to over $7.3 million and are projected to grow at about the $1.2 million rate shown in 2018 based on assumed annual rate increases of 3% for both ALCA and ASC. Note that the difference in reserve build-up for ALCA and ASC is due to the $17 million ALCA and $10 million ASC split in loan obligation which can be adjusted based on where future reserves are to be used. ALCA CUMULATIVE AVAILABLE RESERVES Reserve Savings Beginning of Year Addition to Reserves Reserve Savings End of Year 2014 Forecast 2015 Forecast 2016 Forecast 2017 Forecast 2018 Forecast $ 1,500,000 $ 2,253,120 $ 3,213,740 $ 3,393,637 $ 3,755,140 $ 753,120 $ 960,620 $ 179,897 $ 361,504 $ 407,616 3,393,637 3,755,140 4,162,756 2,253,120 3,213,740 ASC CUMULATIVE AVAILABLE RESERVES Reserve Savings Beginning of Year Addition To Reserves Reserve Savings End of Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast $ 200,000 $ 625,646 1,111,300 $ 1,668,377 $ 2,318,607 425,646 485,653 557,077 650,230 822,223 $ 625,646 $ 1,111,300 $ 1,668,377 $ 2,318,607 $ 3,140,830 Note: This calculation of reserves assumes no use of capital reserves, and is not intended to represent a target end-of-year goal for reserves balance. It is simply an illustration of potential reserves available for planning of future projects. Target ending reserve balances are to be determined by the Board and Management. If a RUS 40 year loan is not available, using the same dues and sewer fee increases, a 20 year 3% PENNVEST or other funding source loan will reduce the cumulative available reserves by over $1.3 million at the end of 2018 to $5,975,276 ALCA CUMULATIVE AVAILABLE RESERVES Reserve Savings Beginning of Year Addition To Reserves Reserve Savings End of Year 2014 2015 Forecast $ 1,500,000 $ 753,120 $ 2,253,120 Forecast $ 2,253,120 $ 960,620 $ 3,213,740 2016 2017 Forecast Forecast $ 3,213,740 $ 3,114,855 $ (98,885) $ 82,722 $ 3,114,855 $ 3,197,576 2018 Forecast $ 3,197,576 $ 128,834 $ 3,326,410 ASC CUMULATIVE AVAILABLE RESERVES Reserve Savings Beginning of Year Addition To Reserves Reserve Savings End of Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast $ 200,000 $ 625,646 1,111,300 $ 1,504,389 $ 1,990,631 425,646 485,653 393,089 486,242 658,235 $ 625,646 $ 1,111,300 $ 1,504,389 $ 1,990,631 $ 2,648,866 Note: This calculation of reserves assumes no use of capital reserves, and is not intended to represent a target end-of-year goal for reserves balance. It is simply an illustration of potential reserves available for planning of future projects. Target ending reserve balances are to be determined by the Board and Management. 69 To reach the same level of available reserves as the USDA 40 year loan, ALCA House undiscounted dues would need to be increased $175 in 2015 and smaller increases through 2018. ARROWHEAD LAKE COMMUNITY ASSOCIATION DUES FORECAST 2014 THROUGH 2018 with 20 Year Loan 2013 Budget 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 House-Face - $ % Change House-Face - # Total Collected $ 1,522 $ 1,750 $ 1,925 $ 2,060 $ 15.0% 10.0% 7.0% $ 419 419 419 419 $ 637,718 $ 733,250 $ 806,575 $ 863,140 $ 2,160 $ 4.9% 419 905,040 $ 2,230 3.2% 419 934,370 House-Discount - $ % Change House-Discount - # Total Collected $ 1,382 $ 1,650 $ 1,825 $ 1,960 $ 19.4% 10.6% 7.4% $ 1,870 1,870 1,870 1,870 $ 2,584,340 $ 3,085,500 $ 3,412,750 $ 3,665,200 $ 2,060 $ 5.1% 1,870 3,852,200 $ 2,130 3.4% 1,870 3,983,100 Total Collected - Houses % Change $ 3,222,058 $ 3,818,750 $ 4,219,325 $ 4,528,340 $ 18.5% 10.5% 7.3% 4,757,240 $ 5.1% 4,917,470 3.4% Lot-Face - $ % Change Lot-Face - # Total Collected $ 1,126 $ 875 $ 963 $ 1,030 $ -22.3% 10.0% 7.0% 145 $ 145 $ 145 $ 145 $ $ 163,270 $ 126,875 $ 139,563 $ 149,350 $ 1,080 $ 4.9% 145 $ 156,600 $ 1,115 3.2% 145 161,675 Lot-Discount - $ % Change Lot-Discount - # Total Collected $ 1,024 $ 825 $ 913 $ 980 $ -19.4% 10.6% 7.4% $ 469 469 469 469 $ 480,256 $ 386,925 $ 427,963 $ 459,620 $ 1,030 $ 5.1% 469 483,070 $ 1,065 3.4% 469 499,485 Total Collected - Lots % Change $ 643,526 $ 513,800 $ 567,525 $ 608,970 $ -20.2% 10.5% 7.3% 639,670 $ 5.0% 661,160 3.4% Total Dues Collected % Change $ 3,865,584 $ 4,332,550 $ 4,786,850 $ 5,137,310 $ 12.1% 10.5% 7.3% 5,396,910 $ 5.1% 5,578,630 3.4% 4. Secure $1.6 million short term loan to immediately begin process outlined below with BCM to apply for loan at all three potential lenders. These funds will be reimbursed upon approval of funding by either RUS or PENNVEST 70 71 Task Plan and Schedule for Securing Loan to Fund the Projects 5. Upon BCM completion of the project design and obtaining required permits approach all three lending agencies – USDA RUS, PENNVEST and Bank Consortium to determine best available loan options. 6. Raise proposed dues and sewer fees in 2014 to demonstrate ability to fund loan debt service, retire PNC loans and add to reserves 7. Determine desired timeframe for accumulating sufficient reserves for remaining priorities (see Exhibit on page 68) and match to projected reserves over coming years. 8. Continue to build adequate reserves beyond 2018 for repair and replacement of existing facilities and for new desired facilities and improvements at both ALCA and ASC. The following exhibits show available reserves beyond 2018 assuming a 3% annual increase in dues and sewer fees. ALCA Available Reserves Reserve Savings Beginning of Year Addition to Reserves Reserve Savings End of Year 2019 Forecast $ 4,162,756 $ 434,912 $ 4,597,669 2020 Forecast $ 4,597,669 $ 462,120 $ 5,059,789 ASC Available Reserves Reserve Savings Beginning of Year Addition To Reserves Reserve Savings End of Year 2019 Forecast $ 3,140,620 632,046 $ 3,772,666 2020 Forecast $ 3,772,666 671,297 $ 4,443,963 2021 Forecast $ 5,059,789 $ 489,194 $ 5,548,983 2021 Forecast $ 4,443,963 711,956 $ 5,155,919 2022 Forecast $ 5,548,983 $ 516,089 $ 6,065,072 2022 Forecast $ 5,155,919 754,070 $ 5,909,990 2023 Forecast $ 6,065,072 $ 542,755 $ 6,607,828 2023 Forecast $ 5,909,990 797,764 $ 6,707,754 While this available reserve accumulation appears significant, the other mandated and Project Priorities in the chart on page 69 far exceed these potential reserves. Any additional project funding beyond these levels must come primarily from increased dues and/or Sewer fees. 9. Retain independent Engineering consultant in 2014 to provide a second opinion on BCM proposed options, strategies and cost projections of major infrastructure improvements 10. Document reserve funding and investment policies and procedures for both ALCA and ASC. (This strategy is considered strategically important and requires eight out of nine Board Members’ approval to change per the Governance Section, Strategy 7) 72 H. Strategic Plan Implementation Process Given our long history of changing course every few years, it is imperative that implementation of the Strategic Plan be done in a manner that all key personnel and stakeholders buy in to the scope and direction of this plan. In combination with the Comprehensive Master Plan, the Strategic Plan should stabilize the direction of the community so that the Mission and Vision may be achieved. After initial approval by the Board of Directors it is important to receive comments from the staff, committees, and members so that the plan represents the direction in which the members would like to see Arrowhead move forward during the next 10 years. This will include a series of meetings to review the plan, answer questions and provide a greater understanding of the reasons for elements of the plan that may be a concern for certain members. This will require acceptance by the majority of members, key committee members, all staff personnel, and the Board of Directors. After the review and approval of any changes by the Board of Directors, all key personnel will be asked to make a personal commitment in the form of a pledge to personally work for the implementation of the strategic plan so that the Arrowhead community can stay on course to a better environment and community that all can enjoy through more efficient fiscal management. It is proposed that the Board of Directors, Chairpersons of Committees, and staff personnel all be afforded the opportunity to sign their pledge for support of the Arrowhead Community Strategic Plan and its resulting annual work plans. (See appendix m. for draft of personal pledge.) It will still be possible for committees to recommend changes to the strategic plan. Any recommendation from the committees should be supported by more than a simple majority of the committee members. If the Board of Directors determines that a change to the Strategic Plan should be considered, it first must be submitted to Management, the Budget Committee, Strategic Advisory Team and any affected committees for comment and analysis of any community and financial impact. After reviewing the comments and financial impact assessment, the Board must pass changes to Objectives or Strategies that are clearly delineated in the plan by a super majority vote of 8 of the 9 members. To reiterate, these sections are as follows: 1. Mission, Vision and Values; 2. Objective and Goals statements in each section of the Plan; 3. Governance -- all strategies in Governance that become part of Bylaws and/or Rules and Regulations; 4. Comprehensive Master Plan, Wastewater Management Master Plan, and all additional infrastructure Master plans that are recommended in the plan and commissioned; 5. Entire Funding Section G of the Plan that is approved in the final version; 6. Any change in documented reserve funding and investment policy (#11, 73 page 75); 7. Any non-emergency use of reserves for other than defined purpose; 8. Any proposed reduction in annual reserve funding requirements greater than $100,000 not contained in independent reserve study; 9. Reserve elements contained in Strategies # 4, 5, 6, 7 of section F. b for ALCA (page 60 and 61) and 1,4, 5, 6, & 10 for ASC (pages 63 & 64); 10. The timely execution of a plan and funding document for all future mandatory regulatory requirements issued by local, state or federal agencies; Each annual work plan developed as a result of this Strategic Plan should be guided by the various constraints imposed by the Strategic Plan. Those constraints include the following: First – Guidelines for increasing dues and sewer fees Second – Requirements to fund reserves Third – Constraints on Operations and Maintenance funds Fourth – Limitations on the funding of Capital Improvement projects Each annual work plan should show the impact on the 10 year plan both from a scheduling and a financial review. The Strategic Plan does not rule out any increase in revenue for any activity that is required due to regulatory impacts or is in the best interest of the community that meets the overall goals of the strategic plan. Many strategies will require changes to the ALCA Bylaws in order to be implemented. A Bylaws committee will be formed by the Board and supported by Legal and other Professional support as needed to draft new Bylaws for approval and implementation. Upon the Board’s approval of the Strategic Plan the following key implementation projects need to be funded and completed within the first few years a. b. c. d. A Community Master Plan Comprehensive Baseline Testing of both Lakes Comprehensive Review of Reserve Program Master Operations and Maintenance Plans for ALCA and ASC 74 $200,000 estimated cost $150,000 estimated cost $100,000 estimated cost $100,000 estimated cost