APD-2011-04
Transcription
APD-2011-04
Progress Report D. Gold and SWAG LLC Team 04: Kevin Leach – Lee Legis – Daniel Gold – Naren Mital – Robert Hepworth ABSTRACT SWAG will take the advantages of a tight, fitted compression shirt and combine it with the storage capability of a small backpack, to produce a running pack with the versatility to use for carrying items on both short and long runs. Runners often need to carry a couple of small items with them for shorter runs, too few to use a full-sized runner’s backpack. As a result, they usually decide to either carry these items in their pockets where they bounce around insecurely or in their hands, which becomes cumbersome and distracting. In comparison, distance runners like to carry a large number of items with them on their runs. These include keys, credit cards, phones, music players, water and energy snacks. Thus, they are forced to purchase an additional backpack type product to carry all of this stuff for these outings. After searching through available products, we have found that the market is flooded with products specific to one of these two needs, but fail to satisfy both. We have developed a concept that will seamlessly address both of these needs, thereby eliminating the need for the customer to purchase multiple products. Our product will have sufficient storage capacity for long runs, but yet be unobtrusive for shorter trips as well. Our current beta prototype is the first physical model to undergo testing and is proving to be meeting our desired needs thus far. TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................................... 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS ...................................................................................................................... 2 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 4 BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................................ 4 Available Products ................................................................................................................................. 5 Further Research ..................................................................................................................................... 8 DESIGN OBJECTIVES AND REQUIREMENTS ........................................................................ 8 Manufacturing Priorities...................................................................................................................... 10 CONCEPT GENERATION.......................................................................................................... 10 CONCEPT SELECTION.............................................................................................................. 12 CURRENT DESIGN CONCEPT ................................................................................................. 16 BETA PROTOTYPE .................................................................................................................... 17 FINA L PROTOTYPE .................................................................................................................. 19 ENGINEERING FUNCTIONALITY ANALYSIS ..................................................................... 21 EMOTIONAL AND AESTHETIC ANALYSIS.......................................................................... 24 Emotional Design ................................................................................................................................. 24 Craftsmanship ....................................................................................................................................... 25 Kansei Engineering .............................................................................................................................. 27 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................ 27 Microeconomic Study.......................................................................................................................... 28 Net Present Value ................................................................................................................................. 32 Breakeven Analysis.............................................................................................................................. 33 MARKETING ANALYSIS .......................................................................................................... 34 Conjoint Analysis ................................................................................................................................. 34 Profit Optimization .............................................................................................................................. 35 SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS ................................................................................................. 36 Raw Material Extraction ..................................................................................................................... 36 Transportation ....................................................................................................................................... 36 Assembly/Production ........................................................................................................................... 36 Usage...................................................................................................................................................... 36 Recyclability ......................................................................................................................................... 37 Evaluation.............................................................................................................................................. 37 Life Cycle Analysis .............................................................................................................................. 38 PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PROCESS ................................................................................... 38 2 PRODUCT BROADER IMPACT ................................................................................................ 38 Conclusion .................................................................................................................................... 40 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................. 41 APPENDIX A – Currently Available Running Storage Products ................................................. 42 APPENDIX B – Concept Sketches.................................................................................................... 47 APPENDIX C – Survey #1 Data........................................................................................................ 50 APPENDIX D – Survey #2................................................................................................................. 52 APPENDIX E – Survey #2 Data Analysis ....................................................................................... 58 APPENDIX F – Sample Fabrics Tensile Testing Data ................................................................... 65 APPENDIX G – Physical Properties of Items to be Carried by Pack ........................................... 69 APPENDIX H – Kansei Engineering ................................................................................................ 70 APPENDIX I – Economic Analysis .................................................................................................. 74 APPENDIX J – Profit Optimization .................................................................................................. 75 APPENDIX K – Sustainability Analysis .......................................................................................... 76 APPENDIX L – Product Development Process .............................................................................. 78 APPENDIX M – Additional Previous Work .................................................................................... 79 NOMENCLATURE Variable m L W H R C Cf Cv Π NPV PV FV Pv i n Description Density Mass Length Width Height Demand Intercept of the Product Demand Curve Price Sensitivity Price Revenue Cost Fixed Cost Variable Cost Profit Net Present Value Present Value Future Value Principle Value Interest Rate Time Period 3 INTRODUCTION Cindy comes home from a long day of studying in the library and wishes to enjoy the nice weather and do something for her well-being. She changes into her sport outfit and laces up her running shoes. Because all her roommates left the house, she needs to take her keys along with her, but she also wishes to listen to a new album she just loaded on her iPhone. Luckily, her slim and fitting backpack enables her to comfortably carry all these things along with her. During her run she meets Peter, who is working hard to get ready for the coming basketball season and wants to put in a weight workout straight after his run. He needs his wallet for the M-Card, his keys and a couple of power bars to stay fueled for both workouts. His slim backpack allows him to carry all of these things and still doesn’t stop him from engaging in a pick-up game at a basketball court, all without ever having to take off his backpack and expose it to the danger of being stolen. Doesn't this sound like a runner's dream, both casual and performance oriented? While walking through the city on a warm day, you will definitely see many people jogging, and most will be holding on to their belongings with their bare hands. Observing this led us to wonder about the lack of suitable products that can carry basic items while running in a comfortable and nonirritating manner. With the 'Analytical Product Design' class giving us a perfect opportunity, we have come up with a solution to this problem. Our product’s goal is to satisfy the needs of runners of every level by merging the new trend of performance enhancing, slim-fitted compression shirts with the convenience of classic backpacks, forming a simple but unique piece of equipment. Concept and technological specifications of our idea are not overly complicated, which left us with more time during the design process to iterate and fully optimize our idea, and making our product accessible to a broad range of users. The goal is to provide storage capacity for all necessities, but still give the wearer the comfort as if he isn’t carrying anything at all. The user will enjoy a running experience as if freed from any burdens but with all his essentials accompanying him or her during the run. Surveys and talks with potential users have revealed that the average student who regularly goes out to jog almost always faces this problem and is therefore a possible buyer of this product. Runners of any age and level of expertise can enjoy a benefit from our product, making for a very large target market of sports enthusiasts all over the world. BACKGROUND There currently are a vast amount of products available specifically for the running enthusiast. These products are tailored to one of two groups: the extreme runner or the casual runner. The extreme runner takes his running very competitively, both with himself and others. They usually go on longer than average runs, and therefore prefer to carry as much as possible when they go on a run. Items they like to bring with them include phones, wallets, keys, iPods, water bottles, energy gels, nutrition bars, reflective vests and head lights for night-time running. These 4 customers usually choose to wear either a utility belt on their waist or a backpack type item over their shirt because these are the only products with enough carrying capacity for their runs. The casual runner likes high performance apparel but rarely goes on extremely long runs. They prefer bringing only the bare essentials with them which seldom includes more than an iPod and key. They may not feel the need to invest in a backpack or utility belt for the rare long run and usually carry their smaller amount of items in their pockets or hands. Available Products Products addressing the needs of these two groups can be broken down into six major categories. These categories include running specific shirts and jackets, backpacks and hydration packs, utility belts and waist packs, armbands, reflective vests and handheld water bottles. There are numerous brands offering products in each of these categories as shown in Appendix A, Table 12 on page 42. A majority of these brands either focus on apparel (shirts, jackets, vests) or gear (packs, arm bands, water bottles) with the exception of the larger companies (i.e. Nike, Adidas, Under Armour, The North Face). Each of these product categories addresses a specific need for the runner with little room for flexibility. Running specific shirts and jackets provide the largest variety of brand options of any of the categories. Shirt models are available in long and short sleeve, sleeveless and tank top varieties either loose or form fitting. Pocket arrangements were minimal with no more than a couple small pockets located on the chest or shoulder areas. They are tailored to carrying one small item like a gym card or iPod and do not provide enough storage capacity for long runs. Materials used are moisture-wicking and tailored for warmth or keeping cool through sweat evaporation. A unique feature of several tight-fitting models was posture control and muscle support to help increase oxygen intake and improve form. Running specific jacket options provide a slight increase in storage with anywhere from two to four pockets but can only be worn in cool conditions. Examples can be found in Appendix A, Figure 16, on page 43. Backpacks and hydration packs have the second most brand variety but show a larger variety within an individual brand. Options for carrying water include pockets specific for water bottles or a hydration bladder with a clip for a drinking piece on the shoulder strap. The packs range from smaller more streamlined versions with fewer pockets to full scale backpacks. There are many different types of adjustable strap configurations ranging from over the shoulder and around the arms to across the chest, abdomen and waist. Some of these configurations appear to provide a snug fit to minimize bouncing while in use. Additional features include exterior bungee cords for a rain jacket or extra clothes and adjustable size pockets. There is a wide range of storage capacities available, but the smallest has more than in the other product categories. They are designed for carrying a lot of different types of items on longer excursions. Examples can be found in Appendix A, Figure 17, on page 44. Utility belts and waist packs offer the second most storage capacity to backpacks. They come in two varieties; waist packs and belts. Both are worn on the waist but the former is more like the traditional fanny-pack with one large pouch whereas the latter is a belt with several small pockets and holders. Most belts have the option to carry one or two water bottles along with a couple of additional small pockets for a phone, wallet or keys. The packs usually offer slightly more capacity with the ability to hold larger items. However, neither of these is suitable for packing additional clothing making them all a step below backpacks for storage ability. They are 5 suitable for customers who prefer not to have something on their upper extremities but need a good amount of storage capacity for longer runs. Examples can be found in Appendix A, Figure 18, on page 45. Armbands, handheld water bottles and reflective vests round out the remaining categories. Each of these is a smaller specialty item with a specific job. Most armbands are specifically designed to hold an iPod or similar MP3 player with a couple of them having an additional small pocket big enough for a key or credit card. They’re purpose is to provide the minimalist with a secure way to hold their music player. Handheld water bottles provide a way to carry water while running without having to wear an additional piece of clothing. Their ergonomic handles reduce the stress experienced in your hand while carrying the bottle allowing use on longer runs. Many of them come with a cover that has a small pocket or two similar to an armband. Both of these products are used by those looking to carry one or two specific things while running. The reflective vests are a specialty item for those that like to run at night. They normally do not have more than one pocket for storage but were included in the analysis because they are an additional item worn by runners similar to a shirt. Those with a pocket cannot hold anything of significant weight securely without it bouncing around. They can be stowed in the pocket of a pack that is already being worn or must be worn over the pack for visibility purposes. This can cause the need to wear three pieces of apparel on the upper body (shirt, pack and reflective vest). Examples of armbands, handheld water bottles and reflective vests can be found in Appendix A, Figures 19, 20, and 21 on pages 45 - 46. Additional products for carrying essentials for cardio-related activities include gym and duffel bags and the Nike Shoe Wallet. The bags were not included in the analysis because they are a means of transporting large items to and from a workout location as opposed to during a cardiorelated activity. They provide a very large amount of storage ability but are not a competitor of our product. The Nike Shoe Wallet is a small portable pocket that clips to your shoelaces and holds small essentials like a key or credit card. It is a lot like an armband that does not carry a music player. There are several other brand names with similar products as well. From our market analysis we see that there are numerous options to carry items while running. Running shirts and jackets, backpacks and hydration packs, belts and waist packs, armbands, reflective vests and handheld water bottles with pockets are all tailored to either large amounts of storage or just enough for the minimalist. What is lacking is a product that is comfortable, unobtrusive and versatile enough to do both. Our original problem statement of finding a better way to carry items while running is one that current brands have split into two categories; long runs and high storage or short runs with minimal storage. A gap exists in the market for a product that can perform both of these jobs seamlessly. Our product will be unique in that it will be simple enough to wear when a user needs only to carry a few small items but can also do the job when the user feels ambitious enough to go on a longer excursion. It will have a seamless fit on the body, wearing like it is not even there when empty. However, it will have enough storage to carry keys, phone, credit card, water and snacks when needed. It will also have reflective qualities, eliminating the need to also wear a reflective vest and thus having to buy an additional piece of equipment. 6 Number of Pockets Figure 1: Shoulder Pack compares well with competition for Pocket to price ratio The North 7 Face Salomon XT Shoulder 6 Pack CamelBak 5 Amphipod 4 Nathan HPL 3 GoLite Nathan Speedbelt 2 1 Fuelbelt 0 0 50 100 Price ($) 150 200 Figure 2: Shoulder Pack provides the most space for the price 9 CamelBak Storage Capacity (L) 8 The North Face 7 6 5 4 Salomon XT Nathan HPL 3 Shoulder Pack 2 Amphipod 1 FuelBelt 0 0 GoLite Nathan Speedbelt 50 100 Price ($) 150 200 7 Figure 3: Shoulder Pack Proves to be one of the lightest products on the market 1.4 Salomon XT Weight (Lbs) 1.2 Nathan HPL 1 GoLite 0.8 CamelBak FuelBelt 0.6 Shoulder Pack 0.4 The North Face Amphipod 0.2 0 0 50 100 Price ($) 150 200 Further Research In addition to the information already gathered, we still desired to learn more about preferred pocket locations and material types for our product. The results of our survey analysis from the following section helped approximate the number of pockets we required; however there was no indication as to where users will want to locate specific items relative to their body. Also, the primary material had to be a stretchy breathable type, but testing of prototypes provided us with more information on adding different types of materials within the product to improve comfort. Further research was also done to identify an ideal price point for our product. As is shown in the following section, keeping the manufacturing price as low as possible was perhaps the most important element our entire design and manufacturing process. DESIGN OBJECTIVES AND REQUIREMENTS Our goal is to aid exercisers, particularly runners, in carrying their various items while doing cardio-vascular exercises such as running. We planned to tackle this issue by designing a sport pack that fits tightly on the shoulders, almost feeling like an extension of the body, so one can run without their belongings bouncing around in their pockets. When coming up with our design objectives and requirements, we first needed to define which criteria are most important to the potential buyers of the product. Through the help of survey data, we produced the following table of customer priorities by ranking. 8 Table 1: User Design Requirements Property Price Ranking 1 Comfort/Fit (Material, Size, Weight) 2 Storage Space (Pocket Number, Volume) 3 Ease of Use 4 Aesthetics 5 Goal $20 to $30 “Almost Unnoticeable” Thin, Breathable Less than 5 lb. 3, 6, or 9 Pockets 3, 6, or 10 Liters Velcro, Zipper, Buttons, etc. Location of Pockets 75% Positive Reaction From analyzing survey data, we found the cost of the product to not only be the most important business design objective, but the most important customer priority in general. In these modern economic times, every consumer-based product’s sales depend highly on its cost. Our survey results were highly correlated with the price of the product, as most of the data results showed the cheapest options being selected. We realize that the cost needs to be the highest concern throughout our design and manufacturing process, as our customer base will be greatly swayed in their decision of purchasing our product by the price of it. Our material and manufacturing costs will be formed around the aim of keeping our product between $20 and $30 for the customer. We concluded that the next priority after cost was the overall comfort and fit of the product. Since our product is essentially a clothing accessory, it will be judged largely on how it feels while being worn. While good comfort is a hard property to numerically define, our team declares good comfort as the product being almost unnoticeable when a user is wearing it. Two of our other criteria will have a very strong influence on this comfort. First of these is the material used. We require a very thin and breathable material comparable to those in sport compression shorts or compression shirts, which contain mostly polyester and a portion of spandex. Also highly related to the overall comfort will be the weight and size of the product, therefore making them important design properties as well. We aim to make the weight of the shoulder pack less than half a pound and the size to be similar to that of a small sports strap bag. Behind comfort, storage space was our next objective. Users of our product will have various items that they wish to bring along with them, and therefore our design must incorporate a wide range of options to increase our customer base. From our survey, which required decisions to be made between 3, 6, or 9 pockets and whether the total storage volume will be 3, 6, or about 10 liters, we found most people preferring around 6 pockets and opting for the highest volume of 10 liters. We realize, that as surveyors thinking abstractly, they desire for the volume to be the highest they’re allowed to choose from. We will keep that in mind, but instead of taking the 10 liters literally, we’ve learned that storage space is an important property and customers want as much of it as possible. Though, we must remember that overall comfort is more of a concern and 10 liters of volume could possibly detract from our desired level of comfort. 9 After the overall size and storage space are established, the next objective was making this space simple and convenient to utilize for our buyers. We defined this as the ease of use criteria. The pockets must be easily reachable for the user to quickly access and then store away their items. However, additional decisions were still to be made, such as where the pockets were going to be located and whether they would be accessed via zipper, Velcro, buttons, or have a mix of these in our design. Last but not least, was our final priority - the aesthetics of the design. While being efficient to use and comfortable to wear, it must also blend with modern sporty trends and styles, otherwise people won’t add it into their outfit. Also a hard property to numerically scale, we set our goal to be a 75% positive reaction from people who visually see the product. Manufacturing Priorities Along with these consumer objectives, there were some manufacturing objectives that we had to meet from our end in order to ensure the product was feasible to manufacture but also profitable in the consumer market. Our overall expenses had to be less than the desired retail price range of $40 - $60. Like a good deal of our design objectives, feasibility and manufacturability were difficult to quantify numerically on a scale, but we set a target on keeping the manufacturing process of the prototype under a 2-week span. We laid out the manufacturing plan via a series of steps that’s repeatable and feasible for hypothetical mass production. CONCEPT GENERATION As our team set out to design the perfect product for individuals to transport goods swiftly and discretely by foot, we explored a number of different avenues of how to bring this to fruition. Every design we explored was intended for the upper body, but they were each unique and offered a variety of pros and cons. Our first exploration was a backpack, as pictured in Appendix B, Figure 22 on page 47, optimized to cling tightly around the back, essentially being an extension of the body. We saw it as the evolution of a drawstring backpack, which has great ability to store items, but is very clumsy and slaps against the body when jogging or running. Our representation of the backpack is a very form-fitting model, with little to no extra room under the armpits so that there is no need for one to utilize their hands to secure the pack to your body. Another feature we explored in our form fitted backpack was a hood that zips out of the top to reveal itself. The mentality behind this was that the hood would not only keep someone dry if unfortunately caught in the rain, but also allow them to warm themselves up if they desired to reach a full sweat before engaging in physical activity, in order to lose weight. The hood was a design feature that we carried through a variety of our initial concepts, which we touch on below. The advantage of the backpack is that it would provide ample storage and could accommodate just about everything one would want to take to the gym. The tradeoff to a design of this nature 10 however is that with greater size, comes greater bulk and consequently less convenience and comfort. The second design our group explored was a vest, to be seen in Appendix B, Figure 23 on page 47. Meant to be a second layer (over your own shirt) the vest would provide storage for your goods via pockets in both the front and the back of the vest. It would be removable from your body, like the backpack, but would cover more of your body and ultimately disperse the goods one carries. Pockets would seal through a combination of zip pockets, as well as ergonomically conscience Velcro on the front and backside of the vest. Ultimately, the biggest drawback our group foresaw in using a vest that goes over your clothing is that it would have to be tight to adhere to your body and avoid the contents of the pockets from slapping the wearer while in motion. A tight vest over potentially loose clothing is something we were weary of because not only would it fail to be an aesthetically pleasing look, but it would also create unwanted friction for the wearer. Thirdly, we considered an arm sleeve, displayed in Appendix B, Figure 24 on page 48, as our solution for carrying items while one is on the move. The form was inspired by a combination of a compression sleeve and an armband traditionally worn around the bicep to hold an MP3 player. This sleeve would ideally expand on that functionality and hold other items such as keys, money, and identification. The simplicity of a sleeve is something we may have expanded on had we chose this route, and potentially added convertible functionality that would allow for the sleeve to turn into a draw string back or a stubble ball that, when empty, could be rolled up and easily stowed in one´s traditional pants pocket. As we saw it, a sleeve would free up your body, but your arms would have a non-uniform feel, especially for anything secured below the elbow (as this part of a runner’s body moves a great deal). Sleeves would be a bulk free way to travel, but the storage capacity would be limited and the wearer would have to omit any items of substantial volume. Our fourth potential solution was a compression shirt with pockets with a sketch in Appendix B, Figure 25 on page 48. This held a unique set of advantages and disadvantages that the previous three referenced above did not. A shirt is a no brainer to put on as it is un-obstructing and isn’t an extra item to invest in or wear. Adding properly tailored, compression pockets to a breathable workout shirt is a viable idea to help an individual transport goods as they run. However, we decided the drawback to an all in one type product overwhelmed the simplicity of the idea. The problem with a shirt-based design is that there was no room for customization. Everyone has their own preference for the types of tops they like to exercise in, ranging from the lowest tech cotton T-shirts, to moisture-resistant, quarter-zip, running specific, long sleeve shirts. Another issue was that if our product were a base layer, with as much skin-to-product contact as a shirt would offer, it is inevitable that it would have to be washed after it was worn to work out again and again. We’d love to offer a product that people desire to wear every time they find themselves working out, so we made the decision that our product has to be removable and not synonymous with one’s shirt. 11 The fifth and final product that our group explored, and ultimately chose to move forward with, is a design that takes inspiration from visualizing a blend between a traditional backpack and shoulder pads used in football. Sketches of this design are presented in Appendix B, Figure 26 on page 49. The shoulder pad design sits high on your back, an area we identified in runners to move relatively little. Perched on the wearer’s shoulder blades, we picture the pack resting snuggly, while avoiding any movement that would slap the wearer on the back as he or she travels. The design also includes two very tight straps, which firmly hold the pack on your upper back, while containing enough stretch to be easy to remove when tugged at under the arms. This design will have sufficient volume to hold a fair amount of workout essentials (including the zip-away hood referenced earlier) without overwhelming or weighing down the wearer as he or she travels. We anticipate that casual individuals, who find themselves jogging, all the way to serious runners, will have in interest in our product’s marriage of an ergonomic location, high tech and properly used materials, and savvy design specifications. CONCEPT SELECTION In selecting a final design concept, the rapid prototypes we produced in class proved to be of great help. They presented us with the first chance to visualize how our concepts actually felt and looked like and we were able to determine flaws that previously weren't identified. Table 2 on page 13 summarizes our observations. The analysis of our survey data also proved to be of great help in selecting our final concept. From the CBC analysis we determined that price is by far the number one purchasing factor. The extremely wide margin between price and either number of pockets or total storage space may partially be due to the narrow group of survey takers. A more varied group will be used in an additional survey. The CBC analysis also showed that customers want as much storage space as they can get for the price, but they chose the middle range for the number of pockets. This shows that it will be important to keep price down, provide ample storage space for flexibility but not overdo the amount of pockets. This data is shown in Appendix C, Figures 27 - 29 on page 50. Additionally, we were able to see what items users tend to carry while running or performing other forms of exercise. Data shows that people carry less and smaller items while running than when doing other physical exercise. This is shown in Appendix C, Table 13 on page 51. After long and heated discussions within our team, a comparison of all the concepts and the generation of new ideas, we eventually came up with a concept selection that we all agreed upon. A Pugh selection matrix analysis assisted us in identifying the compression shirt with integrated pockets and the shoulder pack as the two ideas that best fulfill our design criteria. This is shown in Table 3 on page 13. 12 Table 2: Comparison of Pros and Cons of Rapid Prototypes Rapid Prototype Product Pros Cons Slim-Fitted Compression Shirt Backpack with Pockets large storage space can be comfortably worn even without weight placed at a carrying items very stable and non-moving pouches are easily location accessible backpack is an old and very well little storage space established offered concept washing after every use is pouches not accessible without inconvenient taking off the product Table 3: Pugh Selection Matrix Back Pack Weight Cost 5 1 Comfort 4 2 Storage Space 4 3 Ease of Use 3 2 Aesthetics 2 2 Manufacturing 4 2 Costs Feasibility 2 1 Total 45 Sleeve Shoulder Pack Shoulder Pack new and fresh design weight placed at a very stable and non-moving location pouches not accessible without taking off the product not easy to put on and get off Shirt Vest 3 1 1 2 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 3 3 1 1 3 49 2 61 3 57 3 42 13 The weight of each design property was determined from the survey analysis and our manufacturing objectives. Each concept was then rated from 1 to 3, according to our estimate of its relationship to the specified property, 1 being a poor rating and 3 being the best. The most promising concept appears to be the shoulder pack. This was an idea that came up after the first iterations and evolved out of the insight that backpacks have been a popular transportation and storage device for ages, but modifications can made that optimize their use for runner specific needs, resulting in the creation of a unique product. The shoulder pack possesses various advantages to its competitors, an important one being its versatility. The size and storage space make it possible to carry more than just a few essentials such as keys, a credit card or a few dollar bills, therefore making it a great companion for longer runs when extra provisions and perhaps an additional overlay of clothes are required. The goal is to allow people to run freely and comfortably, whether the shoulder pack is empty or full. After comparing the potential specifications of our shoulder pack with the competition, our concept stacks up very well in number of pockets, storage capacity and weight in relation to price. Having six pockets is about average on the market but from our survey data we determined this is the optimum number. The storage capacity of our design is in the bottom third of the market but it is the most storage provided in relation to the price. Finally, we will have one of the lightest products on the market. These relationships are shown in Figures 1 - 3 on pages 7 - 8. Lower back pain is an often occurring side effect of either a heavy or poorly located load on the back. Many tend to wear their backpack too low, forcing the upper body to be overly tilted to the front to balance the weight. Other commonly used products in the running segment are waist packs, but these can bounce around when running at a faster pace leading to irritation around the waistline. The weight placement of the shoulder pack distributes load over a commonly strong segment of the upper body, relieving stress from the lower back. The spandex straps provide a tight fit that will not bounce around on any movement the user might perform. While attempting to gain a segment of the large sport oriented backpack market, our product will face harsh competition from numerous existing designs. However, we are convinced that the product will be seen as unique from the revolutionary displacement of weight on the shoulders, stretchy-comfortable fit, and versatility for casual to serious runners. We aim for a wearing experience that can be compared more closely with a compression shirt, something that fits like a second layer of skin as opposed to the bulky feeling of a backpack. The basis of our shoulder pack design will be a piece of gear that wears like a shirt across the upper back and shoulders. Straps wrapping around the underarms hold the pack in place, and are easily adjustable via strips of Velcro. The final idea was for the user to be able to slip the pack on and off easily and quickly. Pockets for items that need to be accessed more frequently during exercise are located on the straps themselves whereas bigger or heavier items can be stored in the larger pockets on the back. An additional feature considered was the use of a reflective material to eliminate the need to wear a reflective safety vest at night. A visual mockup of the shoulder pack is shown on the following page in Figures 4 and 5. 14 Figure 4: Alpha Prototype – Front View Figure 5: Alpha Prototype – Rear View Preliminary analyses included discussions with several students who are occasional or daily runners, and these discussions confirmed our assessment that the storage of personal belongings while running is a widespread dilemma. The results of the survey conducted within the APD 15 class have helped us to assess the needs of students who engage in physical activities, more precisely running outdoors. The next steps in refining our current design concept were to specify the exact measurements and select the appropriate materials in order to go ahead and produce the first working prototype. On the basis of this prototype, first test runs were performed by us in order to assess functionality and efficiency. At the same time a second and more specified survey was made and handed out within the targeted group of users. This new found feedback assisted us in identifying problems in the Alpha Prototype. The next and final prototype, referred to as the Beta Prototype, was then constructed with all the necessary modifications to optimize efficiency. The Beta Prototype was then rigorously tested by us again. After this test phase, we possessed the solution that fulfilled all the needs of the target users and our personal objectives as manufacturers. CURRENT DESIGN CONCEPT Our project (SWAG) has evolved in both its form and function by streamlining each respectively since our proposal. Through a combination of functionally driven engineering tests and aesthetic personal choices, we made design decisions regarding the fabric SWAG will be made from. Since our original proposal, we redesigned SWAG to offer a more customizable fit. And finally, pocket position and function along with the surface our product covers on one’s body is a decision we refined through various iterations. Our first step in continuing to evolve our alpha prototype was to create a second survey to get more information from our potential user base. The primary goals of this survey were to determine the preferred pocket locations and functionalities, learn which items people tend to access the most during their runs and also to determine if the addition of a hydration bladder is a desired quality. After analyzing the data, which included answers from 73 potential users, we then had well defined answers for each of these questions. The first thing that we learned is that keys, MP3 players and cell phones are the three items carried most often and in that order. The bar graph, shown in Appendix E, Figure 32 on page 59 illustrates this. However, the items that are accessed most often while a person is running are wallets, MP3 players and keys in that order. This is shown in Appendix E, Figure 34 on page 60. This lead us into questions pertaining specifically to pockets, and the most important information attained was that most people want less than six total pockets and would like them to be a combination of pockets dedicated to holding specific items and versatile ones. The dedicated pockets of highest importance are an MP3 player pocket, one for keys, and a cell phone pocket in that order. Figures 38 - 40 in Appendix E on pages 62 - 63 explain the breakdown. This is very critical information when designing our pocket sizes and configuration. When questioning the users about hydration bladders, 74% said that they would be willing to try using a hydration bladder while running, but 63% said they didn’t have any experience with one and only 22% said they would be willing to pay an additional $10 - $20 to have one. This is illustrated in Appendix E, Figures 35 - 37 on pages 61 - 62. The remaining design updates were done by building and testing the prototype as is described in more detail in the following section. 16 BETA PROTOTYPE We started our redesign by trimming the fat from the original design, creating a product that is easier to utilize and slimmer than previous renderings. In earlier versions of SWAG we were driven by the look and volume of shoulder pads that create forms of their own as they rest on the wear’s upper body. In later iterations of the design, we’ve created a product that resembles more of a compression shirt’s (minus the sleeves) look and feel, which clings tight to the body and follows the natural form of the wearer. This change was made in an effort to maximize mobility for the person wearing SWAG as well as an effort to reduce material costs. The fabric we chose to craft SWAG out of (Italian Stretch Nylon) was a favorite of ours because of its ability to stretch and retain its original shape. It is additionally a fabric that offers a lot of strength, compared to other stretch nylons. The Italian Stretch Nylon also comes in a light grey color, which has a slight shimmer. We enjoyed the look of the color and feet it embodied the stealth like aesthetic we’d like to project into SWAG. Another change we made to our project, and then subsequently tweaked, were the strapping systems for SWAG. In our earliest prototype, which was a rough sketch model constructed from cardboard tubing and yarn, we recognized that making our product simple to put on and take off is highly important in optimizing usability for the customer. Our first inclination was to have SWAG come with straps already formed into loops, which the user slipped his or her arms into and out of. Removal of the product would be similar in procedure to that of a very tight backpack. We quickly realized that this prospect was inconvenient at best, and unattainable at worst for any individual that lacks above average flexibility or is simply too big in the upper body region to wear or remove the product. Our next iteration involved straps that trailed out of the back of SWAG, and came up under the armpits utilizing a hook and eye system to secure the straps to the dangling material around the sternum. This idea offered a snug fit around the wear´s torso, but it didn´t provide any sort of customizability, and left a rather awkward layer of fabric dangling above one´s abdominals. In the next rendition we did away with the front section that lay over the wearer´s chest. We redirected the straps to still come up under one´s armpits, but head up (instead of across) and attach to material covering the front of the shoulders. We also changed the closure system to Velcro instead of hooks and eyes. As a result of these modifications, there was now nothing to slip over the wearer´s head. The customizability this provides is appealing to us as manufactures, but there is still the possibility of another fastener that brings more strength. With the chest segment of the product removed, other locations had to be explored to place the easy access front pockets, and the now vertical straps offered us new areas to explore. We were unsatisfied with items placed in the formerly available chest region, and thus decided to implement pockets into these front straps. There are also two pockets in the back, which we are in the process of designing to accommodate as many individuals’ needs as possible. Figures 6 - 7 on page 18 show the Beta Prototype. 17 The next steps were honing in the pocket locations, sizes, and closing mechanisms. The decision was made to use zippers to close the pockets, opposed to Velcro, magnets or straps. That, as well as potential sizing options, were the next steps in making SWAG everything we want it to be. Figure 6: Digital Rendering of Beta Prototype Figure 7: Beta Prototype in a test run 18 FINAL PROTOTYPE Our design concept is a wearable product that offers unobtrusive storage capacity for runners and/or commuters who move quickly on foot. After exploring placement and designs, we decided that a form fitted product situated high on your back would marry the best of a backpack, with the best of a compression shirt. Our earliest renders showed a product with more volume that protruded out of the back. However, after we started prototyping, we settled for a tighter compressed form. Our final prototype is predominantly constructed out of an Italian stretch nylon. In addition we sparingly use Silkara, which acts at the waterproof material in select areas of SWAG. The design has unibody straps that come down under the wearer’s armpits and run up around to form loops and Velcro to material that hangs down on the wearer’s front deltoids. From our earliest prototype made out of yarn and cardboard, we knew the straps would be a key element to crafting a comfortable product that was feasible to get on and off. We utilized earlier prototypes to play with other strapping systems such as straps across the chest that hooked to each other in your sternum area. We decided on Velcro because it offers a customizable fit, that hooks and eyes do not. Our final design has five pockets, three across the back and two easily accessible pockets located on the straps. The three back pockets are all fastened shut with zippers. The left back compartment of SWAG has a unique shaped pocket that comes to a point at the bottom and is designed for one’s keys. Mirrored to the right of that pocket are two pockets stacked on each other. Both are rectangular, and accommodate items such as wallets, cards, electronics, pocketsized notebooks, or any other small items you may want with you on the go. Finally, on the back is a loop next to the left pocket, which the wearer can run his or her headphones under so they stay situated when you run with music. Earlier versions had fewer pockets, but based upon survey data we decided five was the magic number. Once we received the survey data that demonstrated different users had a variety of needs, we decided a combination of dedicated pockets with a specific function, as well as general compartments were an ideal mix. Early on we had pockets with no closures, but we determined zippers on the back would best protect the wearer’s contents. The two pockets on the front are sized so that the left one accommodates your MP3 player or phone and offers a discreet Velcro closure so the wearer’s device is not in jeopardy of falling out. We used Velcro as the closure for the front because we did not want headphone cords severed by zippers. On the right side strap we placed a pocket sized for cards to easily slip in and out of at the user’s intent. The top seam is sewn over so that cards won’t accidentally fall out. Lastly, we explored branding and a unique way to make our mark with the SWAG insignia on our product. What we would ideally include is tonal reflective print with our logo on the back of the pack. That is a discreet technique to brand our product, but a final touch that would perfectly pop up when hit by light. 19 Figure 8: Digital Rendering of Final Prototype Figure 9: Final Prototype 20 ENGINEERING FUNCTIONALITY ANALYSIS Upon ordering 8 sample fabrics, we first measured the length, L, width, W, and height, H, and then took their mass, m, before using Eqn. 1 below to determine the density of each. All of the data attained from the engineering analysis can be seen in Table 4 on page 23. The optimal fabric for this product is a light, thin, breathable, but stretchy material in order to increase the overall comfort of our product. To determine which fabric(s) best fit the engineering requirements, tensile tests on the different samples were conducted. The goals of these tests were to determine how much load each fabric can sustain without suffering any permanent deformation of shape, and how the material itself looks after the test. We desired to find a material that exerts a low force back onto the Instron Tensile Machine while being stretched, has a high memory of its original shape, and also is resistant to ripping or tearing. Eqn. 1 After analyzing our data, we found that each of the 8 samples is more than strong enough to support the loads created by the various items that our product will be carrying. Our product will stretch around the upper body, resting on the shoulders of the user and therefore we know that the gravitational force of an object won’t be applied in its entirety to the fabric. The person’s shoulders and chest will apply an indeterminable normal force back. But, with a safety factor of 2, we confirmed that all the samples have the capability to sustain a longitudinal load much greater than will be required. Upon the initial feeling of the sample fabrics, we expected the Italian Nylon Lycra to be the optimal fabric as it felt very similar to a compression shirt’s material - light, thin, and fairly elastic. It was also the least dense of the 8 samples and therefore would result in the lightest product. After analyzing the results of our tests, we confirmed that this fabric was the best for our purposes. It sustained, with the desired safety factors, sufficient load to carry the maximum expected weights of our users’ items. Not only that, but upon inspection of the fabric samples post-testing, the Italian Nylon Lycra looked almost identical to before. It had no tear or rips, and reverted back to its original size very quickly. This is best for our design objectives. All the tested samples can be seen in Appendix F, Figure 48 on page 68. The load applied to the fabric was plotted against the strain produced in order to analyze various properties that will affect the performance and comfort of our product. Two of the graphs can be seen below, in Figures 10 - 11, the Italian Nylon Lycra and Silkara, which are chosen as our primary and secondary fabrics for the Final Prototype, respectively. The remainder of the materials’ tensile graphs can be seen in Appendix F, Figures 42 - 47 on pages 65 - 67. These fabrics were not best suited for the product, and thus not chosen. 21 Figure 10: Italian Nylon Lycra Provides the Most Stretch and Meets Strength Requirement Italian Nylon Lycra Load (N) 40 30 20 10 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Strain Figure 11: Silkara Provides High Strength with Low Stretch 550 Silkara Load (N) 450 350 250 150 50 -50 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 Strain Upon analyzing the various graphs, we first desired to confirm that the forces exerted on the fabric while our product is in use all reside in the linear elastic region of the curve, as anything higher could result in a permanent shape change of the product. The Italian Nylon Lycra’s linear elastic region ends at around a 0.6 strain, which means at about 1.6 times its original length. Anything past that is in danger of permanently deforming the material. From data we recorded on 13 different MP3 players and 13 cellular phones online, we found the heaviest item to be an mp3 player of about 0.79 Lb. or 3.5 N as is shown in Tables 14-15 of Appendix G on page 69. With a safety factor of 2, we can see that the Italian Nylon Lycra easily supports a load of 7 N in its linear elastic region. There is no danger of the fabric being stretched beyond its limits or permanently deforming in any way. One more thing to note is that for the strains applied (0 to ≈0.7), the load on this fabric was significantly lower than the others. The maximum load attained during the testing of the Italian Nylon Lycra was about 30 N, while some of the other samples exerted loads of 300N or greater, such as the Silkara, on the Instron Tensile Machine. This means that when this nylon is worn fairly tightly, it will not apply a large pressure onto the user’s upper body, another testament to the stretchy nature of this fabric and why it is optimal for our product. 22 The Silkara on the other hand, was much more difficult to stretch, as it required a load of 375 N to produce a 0.1 strain, or in other words, stretch it to 1.1 times its original length. Along with the Italian Nylon Lycra, this is one of the two selected materials. The reason for this is because it can be used as an inside liner for the pockets, as it is water resistant and the product may be used in rain. This will not be used as our primary fabric, and therefore will not be stretched during the use of the product. From our optimization analysis, in order to keep our product under a half a pound which we identified as the threshold for good comfort, the density and thickness of the primary fabric should be under 0.31 g/cm3 and 7mm respectively. This is a fairly low density for a fabric, as it can be seen that none of our fabrics were that light, but a few were close and the difference it would make to the overall weight is next to negligible. Out of all the samples tested, the fabric with the lowest measured density was the Italian Nylon Lycra at 0.33 g/cm3. The thickness of the fabric is much lower than the 7 mm threshold at only 0.6 mm. The resulting weight of our product with this fabric would be approximately 0.4 lbs., which will result in a high level of comfort, and is therefore the best of the tested fabrics based on density. Table 4: Experimental Fabric Properties Max Max Density Fabric Load Strain (g/cm3) (N) Elastic Modulus (N) Additional Properties great stretch and recovery, good strength and abrasion resistance, long term resistance to body acids, retains shape cotton/lycra knit, good abrasion resistance and endurance, very breathable high abrasion resistance and endurance cotton/lycra knit, good abrasion resistance and endurance, very breathable Italian Nylon Lycra 27 0.65 0.33 30 Equestrian 4-Way Herring 106 0.48 0.35 40 Spandura 43 0.41 0.36 60 Equestrian 4-Way Stretch 105 0.20 0.40 70 Waterproof Breathable Tex 529 0.19 0.44 2700 completely waterproof Silkara 411 0.15 0.47 4200 treated with a DWR (Durable Water Resistant) finish 515 0.36 0.61 2600 1.3 oz, uncoated, 30 denier, heat and light inhibitors 2593 0.31 0.62 9900 urethane coated, heaviest nylon on market Master Nylon (Silicone Impregnated Ripstop) Master Nylon (1050D) 23 EMOTIONAL AND AESTHETIC ANALYSIS Analysis on this personal level was divided into multiple segments, as it is an impossible property to quantify. We broke it down into 3 sections - Emotional Design, Craftsmanship and a Kansei Engineering analysis based on a short survey. Emotional Design We based our emotional design on the research by Donald Norman[16] who defined the term as: “A framework for analyzing products in a holistic way to include their attractiveness, their behavior and the image they present to the user – and the owner.” He suggested approaching the issue from three different positions: Visceral Design (first impression the user perceives from a product), Behavioral Design (how the user experiences interaction with a product) and Reflection (what lasting feeling the user is left with). Visceral Design: We designed SWAG as such that from a first glance the new user will not perceive our design as a back-pack or storing device. It appears like a thin and elastic piece of clothing resembling a compression shirt. Only after further investigation will the user notice the Velcro driven closing mechanism of the straps and the underlying pouches with zippers. This will help us convince the potential customer that our product is very different from all other storing devices on the market and that we have invented a new and innovative concept for transporting items while running. Behavioral Design: After the first contact with our product the customer will be curious if it performs as advertised and will give it a try. That is when our extended research and iterations during the development will soon win him over for us. The user will recognize the exceptional fit and well-chosen materials. As soon as the wearer picks up pace and actually begins running with it, if we have accomplished our design objectives properly, he will have completely forgotten of its existence. Our intent is for the user to store their items in SWAG, strap it on with the easily adjustable Velcro closing mechanism, and go for a run. The only time the runner shall take his mind off of his run and think of SWAG is when in need of one of the stored items or when a fellow runner compliments him on his storage device and is curious about its origin and performance. Reflection: The thoughts one has after the use of our product will depend on the user and how often he has worn SWAG. A common or well-advanced runner, used to carrying his necessities in his hands or pockets, will be pleasantly surprised of the experience wearing it and will appreciate having found a storage possibility that doesn't disturb his physical activities. After multiple uses and growing familiarity though, SWAG will become a regular companion when jogging, like running shoes, to the point where not much thought or consideration is devoted to the product as long as it works and fits fine consistently. But by having SWAG become a vital part of a runner’s routine, we will have succeeded in our design and manufacturing efforts. 24 Craftsmanship Craftsmanship corresponds to the aforementioned Visceral Design, as it gives the customer an immediate appeal of a product being well made and well functioning. Unlike quality that reveals itself only after first hand usage, craftsmanship can be immediately assessed during the very first sights of a product. In order to emphasize good craftsmanship, we attempted to define which design attributes perceived from the user and which design variables we can control, will influence the overall craftsmanship of the product. We then went into more detail about the specifics that support our claims for good craftsmanship. This is shown in Table 5, on the next page. 25 Table 5: An analytical approach for Craftsmanship improvements Perceived Attributes of Craftsmanship Visual Attractiveness Influencing Design Variables Colors Pocket Location Stitching Decisions Made in Consideration of Craftsmanship Dark silver and purple were chosen as being non-genderspecific and in trend of modern, vibrant neon colors with a futuristic appeal Survey data helped us design pockets in the front for items frequently used and generic pockets in the back for items seldom used We used threads of the same color as the underlying fabric to blend in and used the classic top stitch pattern Tactile Feel Material Selection Selection only included highquality materials of which we chose considering elasticity, durability and water repelling capability Ease of Accessibility Strap Design Closing Mechanism Sizing Strapping system re-iterated through design process and improved to the current design, but still remains challenging to firsttime users Velcro is a light weight closing mechanism that allows for quick and easy adjustments Elastic Italian Nylon Lycra provides a snug fit for various statures Comfort Material Selection Sizing Strap Design High-quality materials chosen considering elasticity, durability and water repelling capability Elastic fabric provides snug fit for different statures Strapping system re-iterated through design process and improved to the current design, but still remains challenging to firsttime users 26 Kansei Engineering Kansei engineering is a method to translate emotions into design properties and therefore design a product with the intent to trigger certain emotions in the user. While considering the three design attributes of aesthetics, a sense of security when storing items, and comfort while wearing the product, we used a survey to assess the preferences of potential buyers in terms of the 2 prototypes. Over the three aforementioned attributes we were able to improve two, comfort and security, in the new Beta Prototype. However, people seemed to prefer the Alpha Prototype in the department of aesthetics, where only 40% sided with the Beta Prototype. This data can be seen in Figures 49-51 in Appendix H on page 70 - 71. The design variables that were changed between the Alpha and Beta Prototype were then explored further. A survey was created to determine, based on potential users’ preferences, the influence that some of altered design variables had on the attributes of aesthetics, security, and comfort of the product. The design variables considered in the survey were positioning on the back, back surface covered, strap on mechanism, presumed storage capacity and location of the pockets. The resulting data can be seen in Figures 52 - 56 in Appendix H on page 71 - 73. The survey data clearly reveals that hardly any of the presented design variables influenced decisions on aesthetics, security or comfort negatively. This can be explained by the bias of asking people to pick the better design. In picking the superior design people will be concerned in the variables influencing their decision positively and not negatively. But we can assume that variables influencing the choice positively for one design, affected the inferior design equally negatively. The positioning on the back and the surface covered seemed to be most influential on the aesthetic appeal and comfort, whereas the other variables have either slight or no influence at all. Same can be said about assumed security of fit and item storage, but with the addition of pocket location as a variable. Apparently people feel their items are better secured if the pockets on the front are located on the straps covering Pecs and flanks of the chest than if they are located around the deltoids. This leaves us with the conclusion that our main area of concern, the strap on mechanism, will only show slight improvements in aesthetic and emotional appeal to the customer, even if we were able to make it more intuitive. This conclusion puts us a little more at ease with our current solution and lets us degrade the quest for an improved strapping method. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Our economic analysis includes a Microeconomic study, Net Present Value and Break Even analysis. The microeconomic study includes the determination of price versus demand for our product’s market as well as a breakdown of our costs. The Net Present Value analysis gives the current value of an investment in our product assuming an eight year life span. The Break Even 27 analysis shows how long it will take to recoup an investment in our product. The following sections explain each of these analyses in more detail. Microeconomic Study In order to obtain the necessary numbers for our microeconomic analysis we had to collect sales data of similar products already existing in the market. The most comparable products to our design are hydration backpacks and waist packs. The market leader in this segment is Camelbak Products LLC[10]. Unfortunately, they do not provide sales information on their website, nor were they willing to provide data about the annual demand of certain products to us via e-mail or phone, claiming that as a privately held company this would violate their policies. After receiving no response from The North Face Inc.[11] or 'www.runningwarehouse.com', we addressed BIVOUAC [12], a local outdoor and sports store in Ann Arbor. They were more than willing to go through their books and share their sales information with us. We then found 4 similar stores in Ann Arbor, and we assumed that the additional online sales acount for 2 more stores. Further assuming Ann Arbor to be an average city based on population, we could now predict how many similar back packs designed for runners were used per 100,000 inhabitants of the United States (using Ann Arbor with its 113,934 habitants in 2010 as a scale). Table 6 on the next page summarizes our investigations and assumptions. 28 Table 6: Summary of Similar Product's Calculated Sales Based on Assumptions Product Price (US$) Key Attributes Bivouac Sales (qty./yr.) Ann Arbor Including Online sales (qty./yr.) United States Including Online Sales (qty./yr.) 10 60 187,200 6 36 112,320 3 18 56,160 Camelbak Classic $39 Storage Capacity: 5 L Pack Weight: 190 g Torso Length: 38 cm www.camelbak.com Camelbak Hydropak $49 Storage Capacity: 4 L Pack Weight: 160 g Torso Length: 33 cm www.camelbak.com Camelbak Mule $89 Storage Capacity: 13 L Pack Weight: 670 g Torso Length: 41 cm www.camelbak.com This information was used to create a price, P, versus demand, 𝑄, curve and also determine the price sensitivity, 𝜆, and intercept of the product demand curve, 𝜃, of similar products on the current market. The analysis was performed in two steps; first, performing a simple microeconomic analysis based solely on the price sensitivity and then adding variations to the design and their effects on the demand to obtain an assumption for the design elasticity. Because of the similarity in carrying capacity of the ‘Hydropak’ and ‘Classic’ products to our design, we chose to only include these two data points in our analysis. We had additional sales numbers from a larger product by Camelbak LLC (the Mule) and could have obtained more information on hydration packs from Osprey, which have similar sizes. However, because these packs are designed for 3+ hour hikes and carrying larger amounts of gear, we chose to neglect this data to eliminate possible disturbance to our analysis. Additionally, the ‘Hydropak’ and ‘Classic’ products have similar features but at different prices which make them the ideal 29 candidates to determine the price sensitivity of a product of this category. The demand curve represented by these two packs is shown in Figure 12 below. Figure 12: Demand Decreased Linearly with Price as Expected Camelbak Hydropak 300000 (# buyers) Assumed Annual Demand in the U.S. 350000 250000 y = -12480x + 798720 Camelbak Classic 200000 150000 100000 Demand 50000 Linear (Demand) 0 $0 $20 $40 $60 Price (US$) The demand function of a product is represented by Eqn. 2 below. In this product category, θ = 798,720 and λ = 12,480. This equation lets us estimate what quantity we could sell for a given price. Our total revenues, R, and costs, C, are found using Eqn. 3 and Eqn. 4 below. The high variable costs, Cv, per unit of $22.49 and the fixed costs, Cf, of $15,900 demand that we sell our product for at least $24.00 to be profitable. Profits, Π, are maximized at a retail price of $45.00 and could potentially be beyond $5 Million per year, calculated using Eqn. 5 below. Tables 7 and 8 on page 31 show our variable and fixed costs per pack, respectively assuming we would try to be a fresh start-up company. Figure 13 on page 31 displays the cost, revenue, and potential profits at different price points for our product. 𝑄 𝜃 Eqn. 2 [13] C = Cf + Cv×Q Eqn. 4 [14] R = Q×P Eqn. 3 [13] Π = R – C Eqn. 5 [13] 30 Table 7: Breakdown of Variable Costs Per Pack for us as a Start-Up Cost Element Quantity Needed (US$/qty.) Italian Nylon Lycra 14.75 0.6667 (per yd.) Silkara (per yd.) 9.95 0.1667 Zippers (per one) 2 4 Clasps (per one) 1 2 Labor (per hr.) 13 1/13 Total Cost Per Pack Table 8: Breakdown of Fixed Costs for us as a Start-Up Element Rent Computer/Office Supplies/Furniture Utilities Sewing Machines Total Cost per pack (US$) 9.83 1.66 8 2 1.00 22.49 Cost $6,000.00 $4,300.00 $3,600.00 $2,000.00 $15,900.00 Figure 13: Results of the Microeconomic Analysis 20 15 Mil.-US$ 10 5 0 -5 RevenueR = Q×P Revenue -10 Cost C = Cf + Cv×Q Costs -15 ProfitΠ = R - C Profit -20 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Product Prices (US$) 31 In a refined microeconomics analysis we assumed that the design attributes most influential to the customer’s demand and best quantifiable were surface area and weight of the shoulder pack. So we assigned 1 m2 and 0.5 lbs as base values and proposed that for every cm2 and every gram we stay under this base value we increase demand by 80 units and 200 units respectively. The reasons we chose the mentioned values for the design sensitivity were higher priority on weight minimization than reducing the surface and experimenting with different values showed that these numbers produced realistic shifts of the demand curve. This design elasticity, due to the increased demand, would lead to additional profits of more than $250,000 a year based on the measurements calculated by our engineering analysis. It is important to note the differences in optimum design attributes between the engineering and microeconomic analyses. The economic model calls for using less material and therefore reducing the storage capacity in order to decrease material costs and increase demand. Therefore the design should have smaller pocket dimensions based on the economic model whereas the engineering model calls for larger pockets to accommodate for the average size of the items most often carried by runners. The economic model also calls for the use of Velcro instead of zippers to once again reduce variable cost and increase demand. However, our engineering analysis preferred the strength and security of zippers. Net Present Value It is very important to take into account the value of money over time when determining the potential success of an investment. The future value, FV, of an investment can be determined by using Eqn. 6 below where Pv is the principal value at the given time, n is the lifetime period and i is the interest rate for the time period. This future value can then be used in determining the Net Present Value, NPV, of investment costs, operating costs, profits, and the company salvage value. After the NPV of each of these is calculated, Eqn. 7 below is used to determine the total NPV of the investment. A negative value is assigned to the investment and operating costs while the annual income and salvage value remain positive. After summing, if this value is positive the investment will produce a profit at the end of its usable life. ( ) Eqn. 6 [15] ∑( ) Eqn. 7 [15] The high fixed costs of being a start-up made us realize that we weren’t going to be profitable enough to attract investors for our new business. That is why we chose to change our business plan and further analysis in to selling our patent and work to a larger company already established in the sports wear market. We also acknowledge that investment costs for a company purchasing our design would need to include costs for advertising in order for sales to meet our calculated demand. After investigating the costs of different types of advertisements we suggest an online and magazine advertising campaign. This will target the specific audience more directly and maximize the investment. We don’t advise television and newspaper advertisements because the former is very expensive for a short 30-second advertisement and the latter reaches too broad of an audience not necessarily interested in what we have to offer. Magazine advertisements can be put in specific magazines, such as Runner’s World, that reach the target audience. This is also the case with online 32 advertising. Our investigation showed that advertising will cost $3000 per magazine or website per month. Therefore, we suggest advertising in several magazines along with an online campaign with an estimated budget of $100,000. As stated in the previous section, the annual income and operating costs were both predicted in our economic analysis based on selling our product at a price of $45. The salvage value was found by estimating the end of life value of our assets. We decided on a three year end of life value of 85% for sewing machines. Assuming no changes are made to the product we estimate the useful life of SWAG at 3 years. Most products of this variety usually have a life of around 2 - 5 years before they either go out of fashion or a better product comes out on the market thus reducing the demand. A summary of our total costs, income, salvage value and useful life is shown in Table 8 below. An APY value of 15% was used based on the size and risk of this investment. As is shown in Table 9 below, the Net Present Value of investing in the purchase of SWAG for $650,000 is about $2,000,000. This is based on many calculated assumptions, however if somebody decided to invest in purchasing the rights to our product they will see a 200% return on investment in only 3 years. Table 9: NPV of Financial Returns Year Initial Investment Cost Profit – Year 1 Profit – Year 2 Profit – Year 3 Salvage Value Total NPV for 3 yrs. Return on Investment Principle Value $650,000 $1.7 Mil Net Present Value $990,000 $1.5 Mil $1.2 Mil $900,000 $1800 $900,000 $600,000 $1100 $2.0 Mil 200% Breakeven Analysis The purpose of the break even analysis is to use the Present Value, PV, of the initial investment, yearly profit, and salvage value to determine the number of time periods needed to recoup the investment. This can be done using excel solver. ( ) Eqn. 8 [15] PV(investment)-PV(rate, periods, profits) = 0 Eqn. 9[15] By using the yearly profit values of Table 9 above in Eqn. 9, we determined it will take about 9 months to break even. This seems like a very short time period as initial investments usually take longer than a year to recoup. This is possibly the cause of the assumptions we had to make during the microeconomic analysis to approximate the demand. 33 Figure 14: Investment Breaks Even by the End of the First Year $2,500,000 $2,000,000 US$ $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $0 1 2 3 -$500,000 -$1,000,000 Investment Year Profit Net Present Value MARKETING ANALYSIS The following section contains a conjoint market analysis, estimated sales volumes and a profit optimization study. The conjoint analysis was based off the data from our Survey #1 which we administered to a potential user base. Using this data along with the calculated market demand from the microeconomic study we determined the expected market share of our product. After obtaining the projected sales from this market share value, the base and variable costs were implemented to determine the maximum profit and the selling price at which this will occur. The following sections on pages 34 - 36 explain each of these further. Conjoint Analysis The conjoint market analysis method was used to determine the expected percent market share of the SWAG product. A conjoint market analysis uses the part worth data from a Choice-BasedConjoint (CBC) survey to determine the probability that a person will choose one product over another by varying design attributes. For SWAG, a CBC survey was administered using Sawtooth survey software and varying three design attributes with three levels for each attribute. The attributes, levels and their part worth values are shown in Figures 27 - 29 of Appendix C on page 50. The part worth values represent how strongly the design attribute level affects a person’s decision to purchase the product. The larger the absolute value of the part worth number, the stronger the effect the attribute level has on a person’s choice. A negative value represents a dislike for that attribute level, possibly deterring the individual from purchasing the product. As stated in the Design Objectives section on pages 8 - 10, users want the price 34 minimized, storage capacity maximized and the number of pockets less than six. For purpose of calculation, we related storage capacity to the overall weight of the product to determine the optimum selling price and the variable cost based on the engineering constraints. The part worth values and the total market demand (as found in the microeconomic study on page 29) were then implemented into the Spline function of the Excel solver tool. The solver optimized the part worth values of our design parameters to maximize profit (as is explained in the following section) while determining the expected percent market share. This percentage was then multiplied by the total market demand to find the expected sales. Our calculations showed an optimum selling price of $45 which is outside the attribute levels of our CBC survey, but price is not a design constraint so this is not a concern. A market share of 61% was also determined. It must be noted that this is a maximum number and does not take into account the amount of advertising needed to reach this number. A summary of the percent market demand and expected sales volumes for the first three years after introduction into market is shown in Table 10 below. A decrease in market share by 20% of the previous year’s share per year was used in these calculations. This assumption was made with the idea that no changes will be made to the product over the first three years. If changes or improvements are made to the product, market share can be expected to stay higher. Also, 61% market share may seem like a very high number for a first year product; however, our total market demand number is very conservative. With roughly 36 million runners in the United States, our total market demand of 360,000 represents only 1% of this. Table 10: Expected Sales Over First 3 Years Projected Sales Year Market Share (total units) 1 61% 215,000 2 48% 170,000 3 39% 140,000 Projected Revenue (US$) $9,900,000 $7,800,000 $6,400,000 Profit Optimization As was stated in the above section, Excel solver was used to optimize the profit not the percent market share. It would be possible to increase the market share and overall sales, however our goal with this product is profit maximization not market dominance. The profit was optimized simultaneous to the market calculation but also considered cost. As was explained in the Net Present Value section on page 32, the costs associated with starting this product will mainly be due to our demanded price, because we are selling the rights to this product to a large company with most of the needed resources already. The variable cost from this optimization was determined to be about $25 per unit. Profit was then determined by subtracting the total costs from the total sales revenue. The profit for each of the first three years is shown in Table 9 on page 33. The detailed Excel calculations are shown in Table 16 of Appendix I on page 74 and Figure 57 of Appendix J on page 75. The design parameters determined from the profit optimization varied slightly from those found in the microeconomic analysis. The desire for storage space increased slightly in the profit optimization which called for larger pocket dimensions and more material. This slightly increased our variable cost per unit from $22 to $25. This also meant an increase in weight from 35 225 grams to about 400 grams. However, this was still below our design constraint of 450 grams. The number of zippers also increased by 1, to a total of 5 because of the addition of a pocket. Table 11: Cost Structure for an Established Sports Equipment Company Variable Costs Cost (US$ per unit) Fixed Cost Labor $1.50 Sewing Machines Shipping and Transport $2.00 Marketing (annual) Materials $21.50 Manufacturing Rights Total $25 Total (year 1) Cost $2,000 $100,000 $650,000 $752,000 SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS For the purpose of this analysis, we are considering the impact of one SWAG product over its lifetime. Raw Material Extraction The Materials we selected are Italian Nylon Lycra and Silkara. Italian Nylon Lycra consists of 80% Nylon and 20% Lycra. Silkara is made predominantly from Antron polyester. All of these originate from crude oil and therefor require oil and energy to extract and produce. Antron polyester is a PET and Lycra is a polyurethane. Based on the results of our engineering analysis, the product will weigh approximately 0.5 pounds, 0.4 pounds Italian Nylon Lycra and the remaining weight will be the Silkara, zippers, and threading. The material will therefore compose of 0.1415 kg Nylon, 0.036 kg Polyurethane and 0.045 kg PET. Transportation Given that the SWAG product will travel on average 500 miles in its lifetime – from when the materials are sent from the supplier to its purchase by the customer. This value is based off assumptions that we use a local supplier and that the product is then shipped nationwide. This value is fairly difficult to estimate as we can’t anticipate from where the bulk of the orders will come from and that can range from 0 to 2400 miles. However, the most densely populated part of the nation is the eastern half of the country, where the base of the product is most likely to be. In conclusion, we assume the average product travel distance is about 500 miles. Our calculation for the Mpt can been viewed beneath: ⁄ Eqn. 10 Assembly/Production The assembly per product is very insignificant in terms of its contributions to energy usage and impact on the environment. The sewing process for a trained and skilled worker is approximately 5 minutes. Given that the power consumption of a sewing machine is 150 W, our calculation for the assembly is the following: ⁄ Eqn. 11 Usage The only energy used during the product’s life is for its washing. We assumed a washing machine uses 0.63 kWh of electricity, for a 2 kg load of laundry. Given that our product weighs 36 0.22 kg, 9 washes of our product (assuming user washed with a full load of other clothes) will contribute around 0.63 kWh of the electric usage. From our 2nd survey we discovered most people run around 2 - 3 times a week, thus we can take that as 2.5 times per week on average. Another assumption we made was that the product would last around 3 years. Given that it is used and washed regularly the total of kWh can be assumed to be: ⁄ ⁄ ⁄ Eqn. 12 Not only will washing the product consume electricity it will use a substantial amount of washing powder in its lifetime. Washing detergent contains a chemical called sodium triphosphate, and this constitutes on average for 50% of the detergent’s total mass. Again using the same assumptions as before (2.5 washing cycles a week, 3 years of usage) and taking an average bottle of washing detergent, containing 90 oz. (2.55 kg) then the sodium triphosphate content is 1.275 kg. A 90 oz. bottle will typically do 60 average size washing cycles of 2 kg laundry, making it 0.75 oz. (0.021 kg) detergent per washing cycle. Over the period of the products life the following amount of sodium phosphate will have polluted the water: ⁄ ⁄ ⁄ Eqn. 13 Recyclability For this case, we have decided to assume that after the product is disposed of, it will be put into a landfill. Although incinerating the materials may recover some of the energy used to produce the products, the burning of nylon is known to give off harmful gases and therefore not considered. Going along with modern trends of being green and environmentally friendly, we could potentially encourage buyers to take the product to a textile recycle bin. Items are then separated, with the good quality items being reused and the damaged textiles being turned into cleaning cloths or rags in the industry. Evaluation Consider 1 pt as being one thousandth of the overall environmental impact contributed annually by an average European inhabitant. The overall impact of one SWAG product is 1.09 pt, as seen in Figure 15 on page 38. Remembering what 1 pt represents, this is an extremely low figure. 94% of this value comes from the washing of the product, which in this case was assumed to be done after every use. If we could perhaps find a material that is even more breathable and sweat resistant than the Italian Nylon Lycra, the user may just wash it once a week and this would reduce the environmental impact by more than 50%. A more detailed breakdown of the environmental impact can be seen in Figure 59 of Appendix K on page 77. 37 Figure 15: Environmental Impact of SWAG Environmental Impact 1.2 1 Pt 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Human Health Ecosystem quality Resources Total Life Cycle Analysis The life cycle of a SWAG product goes through various stages - Raw Material Acquisition, Transport, SWAG Production, Distribution, Use, and lastly Recycle/Disposal. These stages require different inputs, such as energy and fuel. A diagram describing the Life Cycle in full detail is shown in Figure 58 in Appendix K on page 76. PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PROCESS The product development process was a long and complex web of methods. It began first with forming an idea and spanned till the output of a completed product. Important processes in between were definition of the Functional Requirements, creation of Design Concepts, and Prototype Building/Testing. A full process diagram can be seen in Figure 61 in Appendix L on page 78. PRODUCT BROADER IMPACT Our team’s values were to make sure our athletic equipment encouraged physical exercise, and also did not lead to harm of the user and/or their opponent. From the beginning our mindset was that great athletic equipment promotes participation in that given sport, and feeds in to further athletic endeavors. We recalled buying a brand new pair of basketball shoes at a young age, and that feeling of needing to play immediately to test out the new shoes and prove they enabled you 38 to jump higher. Likewise, having a new pair of workout headphones, or even the right compression shorts encourages the owner to hit the gym. Knowing that our team wanted to design for athletes was a great jumping off point for us, but we had to look across the spectrum of sports supplies and recognize with great innovation sometimes arises great danger. Football helmets obviously protect the wearer from head trauma, but at the same time are used as a weapon when opponents launch themselves at one another. Aluminum bats do not shatter, as wood bat tend to do when hit in the wrong spot, but there are adverse risks to aluminum bats. Despite the fact they can launch the ball significantly farther and faster than wood bats, aluminum bats have been shown to cause physical damage to infielders that can’t react in time, especially pitchers. Broken Jaws and other injuries have resulted from aluminum bats. The last example we’ll note is a shoe NIKE came out in 2009 called the Hyperize. It was their lightest shoe ever, and accordingly many of their sponsored athletes began to wear the Hyperize to play in the NBA. After multiple players wearing the Hyperize injured their ankle on the Detroit Pistons, their trainer, Arnie Kander, publically banned the shoe and called it a “glorified slipper”. In an attempt to make the lightest possible shoe, NIKE designed a dangerous product that stripped the entire essence of a basketball sneaker: support and protection. With this all in mind, our group wanted to innovate what we saw in the marketplace in a manner that would not only inspire participation, but also avoid any physical harm that could be unintentionally sustained by our product. Through our design we would like to believe that SWAG owners would be more likely to go out for a run, because now he or she has the perfect way to accommodate his or her belongings. As for our value of avoiding any collateral harm, we believe SWAG is a very safe product that through normal usage is unable to afflict physical injury. 39 CONCLUSION We have designed a runner’s pack that met our expectations and offers storage capability for all necessities and fit that is unobtrusive and comfortable. Multiple surveys assisted us in establishing the needs and demands of our intended users. This helped us locate pockets and their purpose and get a feeling for aesthetic preferences and how to design accordingly. Engineering analysis led us to select Italian Nylon Spandex and water-repellant Silkara as the materials of choice and several iterations in prototype design let us constantly improve comfort and functionality. Taking on the economical aspect of product design showed us that we had come up with a product that could be sold to a larger sports brand and double their initial investment within 3 years based on our market analysis and profit maximization. We have also gained a lot of knowledge out of the work on this project. Besides the numerous teachings that we received from the lecture we also gained additional benefits. Everyone within our team gained an introduction into sewing and our head of Design Process Daniel Gold probably learned the most when making the prototypes and was able to greatly improve his sewing skills. This will benefit him in his future work in fashion design and studying abroad in Italy. The work we invested in economic analysis helped us realize that there is far more to a successful product than simply engineering, designing and manufacturing. There are a lot of hidden costs included in starting a company and we at one point even faced the realization that we were not going to be able to be sufficiently profitable as a start-up and had to modify our business plan in selling our idea to an existing larger company. The process of defining the user’s needs and demands also presented us with more of a challenge than expected. Successfully conducting surveys and analyzing the data was a main part of our work and quantity as well as quality proved to be key. All in all has this project left us with a great and comprehensive overview of the many facets of product design and ignited our interest for this topic. 40 REFERENCES [1] Papalambros, P.Y., and D.J. Wilde, Principles of Optimal Design. 2d Ed. Cambridge University Press, New York, 2000. [2] www.runningwarehouse.com (October 2, 2011) [3] www.nike.com (October 2, 2011) [4] Papalambros, P.Y., APD Lecture – Creativity & Blockbusting, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [5] Papalambros, P.Y., APD Lecture – Information Gathering, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [6] Montazeri, Soodeh, APD Lecture – Survery Design Part I, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [7] Papalambros, P.Y., APD Lecture – Idea Generation, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [8] Papalambros, P.Y., APD Lecture – Design Process, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [9] Hoffenson, Steven, Creating a Survey in Sawtooth, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [10] Camelbak Products LLC; 2000 South McDowel, Suite 200; Petaluma, CA 94952 www.camelbak.com [11] The North Face Inc; 2013 Farallon Drive: San Leandro, CA 94577 www.thenorthface.com [12] BIVOUAC; 336 South State Street; Ann Arbor, MI 48104 www.bivouacannarbor.com [13] Papalambros, P.Y., APD Lecture – Basic Microeconomic Models, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [14] Papalambros, P.Y., APD Lecture – Cost Modeling Resources, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [15] Papalambros, P.Y., APD Lecture – Investment Analysis, ctools.umich.edu, APD 2011 [16] Donald Norman. Emotional Design: Why We Love (or Hate) Everyday Things. December 23, 2003 [17] http://www.mpoweruk.com/electricity_demand.htm [18] http://www.carbonfootprint.com/energyconsumption.html [19] Capozucca, Peter. "Sustainability Strategy 2.0." Deloitte. Deloitte Development LLC, 2011. Web. 8 Sept. 2011. [20] "FAQS." George Foreman Cleaning Solutions. Armgardt Design, Inc., 2009. Web. 08 Sept. 2011. <http://www.letgeorgecleanit.com/>. 41 APPENDIX A – Currently Available Running Storage Products Table 12: Running Specific Products Available by Major Brand Names Type of Product Offered By: Nike, Adidas, Under Armour, Asics, BOA, Brooks, Craft, K-Swiss, Mizuno, New Shirts and Jackets Balance, The North Face, Pearl Izumi, Puma, Runner’s World, Salomon, Saucony, Skins, Sugoi, Zoot, 2XU Nike, Adidas, CamelBak, Inov-8, Nathan, The Backpacks and Hydration Packs North Face, Salomon, Under Armour, Asics, Brooks Nike, Amphipod, CamelBak, FuelBelt, GoLite, Utility Belts/Waist Packs Nathan, Salomon Armbands Nike, Fuelbelt, Apple, Proform, Belkin Reflective Vests Nike, Adidas, Amphipod, Brooks, Nathan Handheld water bottles with pockets Nike, Adidas, Amphipod, FuelBelt, Nathan, 42 Figure 16: Examples of Shirts and Jackets http://www.runningwarehouse.com/ 43 Figure 17: Examples of Backpacks and Hydration Packs http://www.runningwarehouse.com/ 44 Figure 18: Examples of Utility Belts and Waist Packs http://www.runningwarehouse.com/ Figure 19: Examples of Armbands http://www.google.com/#q=ipod+armband&hl=en&prmd=imvns&source=univ&tbm=shop&tbo =u&ei=2w2KTomLoivsALw_MWLDw&sa=X&oi=product_result_group&ct=image&resnum=3&sqi=2&ved=0CI 8BEMwDMAI&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=c1e423f54a5aaf72&biw=1920&bih=1081 45 Figure 20: Examples of Reflective Vests http://www.runningwarehouse.com/ Figure 21: Examples of Handheld Water Bottles http://www.runningwarehouse.com/ 46 APPENDIX B – Concept Sketches Figure 22: Concept 1 – Molded Backpack Figure 23: Concept 2 – Form-Fitting Vest 47 Figure 24: Concept 3 – Sleeve Pouch Figure 25: Concept 4 – Compression Shirt 48 Figure 26: Concept 5 – Shoulder Pack (Alpha Design) 49 APPENDIX C – Survey #1 Data Figure 27: Price Has Largest Effect on Buyer Motivation Relative Effect 1 0.5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 8 10 -0.5 -1 Price ($) Figure 28: Buyers Prefer Middle Range of Available Pockets Relative Effect 1 0.5 0 0 2 4 6 -0.5 -1 Number of Pockets Figure 29: Buyers Prefer More Storage Capacity Relative Effect 1 0.5 0 0 5 10 15 -0.5 -1 Storage Capacity (Liters) 50 Table 13: Summary of How Many Users Carried What Items While Running or Exercising Running Other Physical Activity Cell Phone 17 22 MP3 Player 15 17 Water Bottle 9 18 Keys 21 23 Wallet 10 17 Padlock 2 4 Other 4 6 (glasses, towels) (glasses, ankles braces, light jacket, coat, change of clothes) Total 74 101 51 APPENDIX D – Survey #2 Second Survey handed out to obtain information to improve Alpha Prototype 52 53 54 55 56 57 APPENDIX E – Survey #2 Data Analysis Information obtained on items often carried, preferred amount of pockets, and hydration integration possibilities Figure 30: Survey Demographic Gender 30% 70% Male Female Figure 31: Survey Question – “How often do you go running in a week?” 58 Figure 32: Survey Question - “Please check the items that you typically bring with you when jogging.” Cell Phone 27 MP3 Player 38 Wallet Female Male Total 6 Keys 56 Water Bottle 11 Others 7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Figure 33: Survey Question – “Are there any items you wish you could bring but have to do without for convenience sake?” 25 20 20 15 10 5 0 11 3 Phone Water/Water Bottle 3 9 Wallet 7 2 Sweat Rag 1 2 Female Male Total Extra Layer of Clothes 59 Figure 34: Survey Question – “Assign values to the following items indicating how often you do or wish to access them while running.” 60 Figure 35: Survey Question – “Have you had any experience with a hydration pack?” Figure 36: Survey Question – “Would you consider a hydration pack for running instead of a common water bottle?” 61 Figure 37: Survey Question – “Would you be willing to pay an additional cost of $10-$20 to have a removable hydration bladder with your pack?” Figure 38: Survey Question – “How many pockets would you prefer to have on the pack?” 62 Figure 39: Survey Question – “Would you like pockets to be designed specifically for individual items, versatility or a combination of both?” Figure 40: Survey Question – “What items would you like pockets dedicated to?” 2 Other 28 Water Bottle 48 Keys Total Male Female 19 Wallet 52 MP3 Player 43 Cell Phone 0 20 40 60 63 Figure 41: Survey Question – “Would you find a fully waterproof pocket useful?” 64 APPENDIX F – Sample Fabrics Tensile Testing Data Figure 42: Equestrian 4-Way Herring Bone Tensile Test Data 500 Load (N) 400 300 200 100 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Strain Figure 43: Equestrian 4-Way Stretch Tensile Testing Data 500 Load (N) 400 300 200 100 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Strain 65 Figure 44: Waterproof Tex Tensile Testing Data 500 Load (N) 400 300 200 100 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Strain Figure 45: Spandura Tensile Testing Data 500 Load (N) 400 300 200 100 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Strain 66 Figure 46: Master Nylon – Silicone Impregnated Rip Stop – Tensile Testing Data 500 Load (N) 400 300 200 100 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Strain Figure 47: Master Nylon – 1050D Ballistics – Tensile Testing Fabric Data 2500 Load (N) 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Strain 67 Figure 48: Fabric Samples after Testing 68 APPENDIX G – Physical Properties of Items to be Carried by Pack Table 14: Properties of MP3 Players Weight (oz) Force Exerted (N) Height (in) Width (in) Depth (in) Volume (in3) 10.7 2.97 5.4 6.3 1.6 54.4 3.56 0.98 4.4 2.3 0.3 2.8 0.44 0.74 4.9 0.12 0.21 1.36 1.14 1.5 4.1 1.2 1.6 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 4.0 6.4 1.78 0.5 5.6 3.1 8.7 2.1 0.58 3.9 1.8 0.4 2.8 Trio 9.6 2.67 4 1.8 0.5 3.5 GoGear Vibe 2GB Video MP3 Player Sansa Fuze 16GB Internet Tablet Sansa Clip 1.4 0.39 1.7 3 0.4 2.0 12.6 3.50 3.6 1.7 0.4 2.4 2.1 0.58 3.1 1.9 0.3 1.8 4.6 1.28 5.3 2.6 0.4 5.5 0.9 0.25 0.6 1.4 2.2 1.8 Weight (oz) Force Exerted (N) Height (in) Width (in) Depth (in) Volume (in3) 4.9 1.36 4.5 2.3 0.375 4.0 5.6 1.55 5 2.6 0.5 6.5 4.8 1.33 4.7 2.5 0.5 5.9 4.1 4.6 3.4 6.2 4.9 5.8 4.2 3.7 6.1 4.2 1.13 1.27 0.94 1.72 1.36 1.61 1.16 1.02 1.69 1.16 4.9 4.5 3.8 4.7 5 5 4.9 4.3 5 3.8 2.9 2.1 2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 1 1.7 5.9 5.8 7.4 6.2 7.8 6. 6.8 6.5 8.2 Brand Philips Apple Apple Apple Apple Samsung Sony Mach Speed Philips Coby SanDisk Archos SanDisk Item Android Connect 16GB Ipod Touch 64GB Ipod Shuffle Ipod Nano Ipod Classic Galaxy Player 5.0 Walkman 16GB Table 15: Properties of Smart Phones Brand Apple Item Iphone 4s DROID Bionic Motorola 4G DROID HTC Incredible 2 Samsung Intensity LG Cosmos 2 LG Revere HTC Thunderbolt Pantech Breakout 4G Samsung Stratosphere Samsung Fascinate Blackberry Curve LG Revolution Motorola Barrage 69 APPENDIX H – Kansei Engineering Figure 49: Aesthetic Preference More people surveyed preferred the Alpha Prototype over the Beta Prototype in terms of aesthetical quality Beta Prototype 40% Alpha Prototype 60% Figure 50: Security Preference More people surveyed preferred the Beta Prototype over the Alpha Prototype in terms of perceived security Alpha Prototype 30% Beta Prototype 70% 70 Figure 51: Comfort Preference More people surveyed preferred the Beta Prototype over the Alpha Prototype in terms of perceived comfort Alpha Prototype 45% Beta Prototype 55% Figure 52: Influence of the Positioning on the Back 16 14 12 10 Aesthetics 8 Security 6 Comfort 4 2 0 very positively slightly positively neutral slightly negatively very negatively 71 Figure 53: Influence of the Back Surface Covered 9 8 7 6 5 Aesthetics Security 4 Comfort 3 2 1 0 very positively slightly positively neutral slightly negatively very negatively Figure 54: Influence of the Strap On Mechanism 12 10 8 Aesthetics 6 Security Comfort 4 2 0 very positively slightly positively neutral slightly negatively very negatively 72 Figure 55: Influence of the Presumed Storage Capacity 12 10 8 Aesthetics 6 Security Comfort 4 2 0 very positively slightly positively neutral slightly negatively very negatively Figure 56: Influence of the Location of Pockets 12 10 8 Aesthetics 6 Security Comfort 4 2 0 very positively slightly positively neutral slightly negatively very negatively 73 APPENDIX I – Economic Analysis Table 16: Net Present Value Detailed Calculations Investment Cost (Base Cost + 6 months of product production) Annual Operating Cost - Year 1 Annual Operating Cost - Year 2 Annual Operating Cost - Year 3 Profit - Year 1 - 61% Market Share (includes corporate income tax of 50%) Profit - Year 2 - 48% Market Share (includes corporate income tax of 50%) Profit - Year 3 - 39% Market Share (includes corporate income tax of 50%) Salvage - Year 1 Salvage - Year 2 Salvage - Year 3 Useful Life (years) Rate (%APY) -$652,000.00 $5,385,095.10 $4,266,442.74 $3,413,159.19 $1,696,526.00 $1,219,265.50 $893,135.00 $1,900.00 $1,850.00 $1,800.00 3 0.15 NPV -$991,610.50 $8,190,056.51 $6,488,726.10 $5,190,988.48 $1,475,240.00 $921,939.89 $587,250.76 $1,249.28 $1,216.41 $1,183.53 PV of Sum of Yearly Profits PV of Sum of Yearly Profits Plus Salvage Value $2,984,430.65 $2,985,679.93 Total NPV of Investment after 1 year Total NPV of Investment after 2 years Total NPV of Investment after 3 years Percent Return on Investment $484,878.78 $1,406,785.79 $1,994,003.68 201.09% 74 APPENDIX J – Profit Optimization Figure 57: Excel Worksheet 75 APPENDIX K – Sustainability Analysis Figure 58: Life Cycle Analysis Diagram Diagram depicting the complete life cycle of a SWAG product 76 Figure 59: Environmental Impact A more detailed breakdown of the environmental impacts of a SWAG product Resp. organics 0% Carcinogens 10% Fossil fuels 34% Resp. inorganics 36% Minerals 0% Land use 3% Acidification/ Eutrophication 3% Ecotoxicity 1% Ozone layer 0% Climate change 13% Radiation 0% Figure 60: Sima-Pro Network Tree 77 APPENDIX L – Product Development Process Figure 61: Flow Diagram of the Product Development Process 78 APPENDIX M – Additional Previous Work 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106