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www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/science.aaf7012/DC1 Supplementary Materials for Spatiotemporal coordination of stem cell commitment during epidermal homeostasis Panteleimon Rompolas, Kailin R. Mesa, Kyogo Kawaguchi, Sangbum Park, David Gonzalez, Samara Brown, Jonathan Boucher, Allon M. Klein,* Valentina Greco* ‡Corresponding author. Email: valentina.greco@yale.edu (V.G); allon_klein@hms.harvard.edu (A.M.K.) Published 26 May 2016 on First Release DOI: 10.1126/science.aaf7012 This PDF file includes: Materials and Methods Author Contributions Supplementary Text Figs. S1 to S8 Captions for Movies S1 and S2 Other Supplementary Materials for this manuscript include the following: (available at www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/science.aaf7012/DC1) Movies S1 and S2 Author contribution: P.R., K.R.M. and V.G. designed experiments and wrote the manuscript; P.R. and K.R.M. performed the experiments and analyzed the data. P.R. generated the K14H2BPAmcherry mouse. K.K. and A.M.K. performed data analysis, statistical modeling and wrote the manuscript. S.P. performed two-photon time-lapse imaging and data analysis. S.B., D. G. and J.B. assisted with technical aspects. Materials and Methods: Mice K14-H2BPAmCherry mice were generated by the Yale Transgenic Facility. K14-H2BGFP, K14actinGFP and pTRE-H2BGFP mice were obtained from E. Fuchs. K5-rtTA mice were obtained from Adam Glick. K14-CreER, Rosa26-stop-tTA and Rosa26-mTmG mice were obtained from Jackson Laboratories. All procedures involving animal subjects were performed under the approval of the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee (IACUC) of the Yale School of Medicine. Experimental Treatment of Mice For clonal labeling of IFE cells Cre activation was induced with a single intraperitoneal injection of Tamoxifen (1µg/g in corn oil) at ~ Postnatal day (p50) or otherwise specified. For the label retention experiments, mice with the pTRE-H2BGFP allele were given Doxycycline (1mg/ml) in water at times specified. Preparation of the skin for intravital imaging was performed as described recently (25). Briefly, mice were anesthetized with IP injection of ketamine/xylazine (15mg/ml and 1mg/ml, respectively in PBS). The ear and tail epidermal areas were shaved using an electrical shaver and depilatory cream (Nair). After marking the area to be image for 2 subsequent identification with a micro-tattoo, mice where returned to their housing facility. For subsequent revisits the same mice were processed again with injectable anesthesia. The ear, plantar and tail epidermal regions were briefly cleaned with PBS pH 7.2, mounted on a custommade stage and a glass coverslip was placed directly against the skin. Anesthesia was maintained throughout the course of the experiment with vaporized isofluorane delivered by a nose cone. In vivo imaging and clonal analysis Image stacks were acquired with a LaVision TriM Scope II (LaVision Biotec, Germany) microscope equipped with a Chameleon Vision II (Coherent, USA) 2-Photon laser. For collection of serial optical sections a laser beam (940nm for GFP and 1040nm for mCherry, respectively) was focused through a 20X or 40X water immersion lens (Zeiss W-PlanAPOCHROMAT, N.A. 1.0; Zeiss W-LD C-APOCHROMAT, N.A. 1.1 Zeiss) and scanned with a field of view of 0.5 mm2 at 600Hz. z-stacks were acquired in 2µm steps for a ~30-50 µm range, covering the entire thickness of the epidermis. Clonal analysis was performed by re-visiting the same area of the epidermis in separate imaging experiments. A micro-tattoo was introduced in addition to using inherent landmarks of the skin to navigate back to the original region; including the vasculature and distinctive clustering of hair follicles. Single clones were identified during the first imaging session (Day 0), two days after Tamoxifen induction or otherwise specified. In subsequent sessions the same clones were traced and changes in their proliferative or differentiation state were documented for each time point. In mice carrying both K14-CreER and Rosa26-mTmG alleles rare recombination events were observed in the absence of induction, indicating leakiness. Such non-specific clones were easily identified and excluded from the analysis. 3 Photo-activation Photo-activation in K14-H2BPAmCherry mice was carried out with the same optics as used for acquisition. An 810 nm laser beam was used to scan the target area (10–500 mm2) and activation of the PA-mCherry was achieved using 3% laser power for 2 min. Image analysis Raw image stacks were imported into Fiji (NIH) for further analysis. Images and Supplementary Videos typically represent single optical sections selected from the z-stack, unless otherwise specified. For visualizing individual labelled cells expressing the pTRE-H2BGFP and mTmG Cre reporter, the brightness and contrast were adjusted accordingly for the green (mGFP) and red (mTomato) channels and composite serial image sequences were assembled as previously described (25). Summary of Statistical Analysis All details on analysis of lineage trees are provided in the Supplementary Theory and Data Analysis (STDA) section later in this supplement. In the main text, data are expressed as percentages or mean ± SEM. An unpaired Student's t-test was used to analyze data sets with two groups. For all analyses, p < 0.05 was accepted as indicating a significant difference. Analysis of lineage trees to extract lifetime correlations and fate correlations was carried in MATLAB. Pvalues for Pearson correlations on the lineage tree were calculated by the t-test using the MATLAB corrcoef function. 4 Supplemental Figures: Figs. S1 to S8 Fig. S1. Fluorescent reporters for in vivo lineage tracing (A) Schematic for in vivo pulse chase system for single-cell label retention approach. 2-month old mice were first imaged 2 days after tamoxifen induction and were then continuously treated with Doxycycline to stop the expression of the H2BGFP reporter using K14-CreER; Rosa26- 5 mTmG; Rosa26-stop-tTA; pTRE-H2BGFP. (B) Representative optical sections of the different layers of the interfollicular epidermis. (C-D) Examples of cell differentiation and cell division events respectively. Scale bars: 20 µm. 6 Fig. S2. Basal cell behavioral kinetics in plantar and tail epidermal regions (A) Single cell fate tracking by single-cell label retention. 1-month old mice were first imaged 2 days after tamoxifen induction and were then continuously treated with Doxycycline to stop the expression of the H2BGFP reporter using K14-CreER; Rosa26-stop-tTA; pTRE-H2BGFP. The fate and subsequent behavior of identified cells was determined by live imaging on daily revisits. Representative time sequence of a single-cell label retention experiment showing temporal coordination of sibling stem cell behavior. (B) Distribution of clone size at two days after labeling in plantar epidermis, compared with the simulation based on the division/differentiation kinetics obtained after two days. (C) Empirical and fitted lifetime distributions of dividing and differentiating cells (n = 142 and 148 cells in ear; n = 100 and 102 cells in paw, respectively). 7 The fits reveal a significant refractory period in the lifetimes of both dividing and differentiating cells. (D) Summary of the average lifetimes and refractory periods estimated for various epidermises. The values were obtained by fitting the lifetime distributions for the ear and plantar epidermises (see Fig. 1E and ST S-2.1.2) and by fitting the survival probability distributions for the tail epidermis. (E) Survival fraction of dividing and differentiating cells in the tail epidermis obtained from photo-activated single cells. Fitted by theoretical curves (ST S-2.2) to estimate the average lifetimes and refractory periods. Scale bar, 25µm. 8 Fig. S3. Basal cell behaviors fit a stochastic model with lifetime refractory periods (A) Zero-parameter fits of the stochastic cell fate model to the clone size dynamics, showing the trajectories of individual clones (solid lines) alongside theoretical histograms (color maps) obtained from the “non-committed progenitor” cell model (see ST S-3). These plots show the same data and theory used in plotting Fig. 1E, but now following individual clones rather than population statistics. Plots (top left to bottom right) show clones that disappear from the basal layer respectively at days 4, 6, 8, or 10 post-labeling, or survived until after 10 days. (B) Goodness-of-fit of the non-committed progenitor model with (Fig. 1F) and without the temporal correlations between siblings (ST S-3.2), measured by the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the model distributions and the empirical distributions. Lower values, indicating better fits, were obtained for the model compared with a normal distribution with mean and variance measured from the data. Calculation of the K-L divergence is detailed in ST S-3.2.3. 9 Fig. S4. A photo-activatable reporter for unbiased labeling of epidermal cells A transgenic mouse was engineered with a K14-H2BPAmCherry allele. The H2BPAmCherry reporter is ubiquitously expressed in all basal epidermal cells but does not fluoresce in its native state. Upon activation by laser scanning with the femtosecond Ti:Sapphire laser the reporter irreversibly fluoresces in the red spectrum when is subsequently excited. Groups or even single epidermal cells can be labeled by photo-activation and traced. The K14-actinGFP allele may be used as a ubiquitous epidermal reporter in scheme. Scale bars: 50 µm. 10 Fig. S5. Evaluating cell fate using the photo-activatable reporter (A) Individual cells throughout the epidermis may be selectively labeled and traced with the K14-H2BPAmCherry reporter. (B) Quantification of the percentage of dividing and differentiating cells following single cell photo-labeling. n=103, 2 mice. (C) Representative example of tracing five neighboring cells specifically labeled either in the first differentiated layer (Spinous; top panels) or the basal undifferentiated layer of the IFE (bottom panels) over one day. Scale bar: 20 µm. 11 Fig. S6. Global label retention reveals comparable behavioral kinetics in all basal cells 12 (A-C) Tracking of global epidermal turnover rate by label retention in the ear. 2-month old K5tetOFF; pTRE-H2BGFP transgenic mice were first imaged. Upon addition of Doxycycline to stop the expression of the H2BGFP reporter the same regions in the same mice were revisited one and two weeks after. Z stacks spanned the whole skin epithelium. Epidermal basal cells are displayed in A and B, bulge stem cells are displayed in C. Note that GFP signal is saturated in Week 0 to show detectable signal by Week 2. (D) Raw GFP signal intensity of single cells in the basal layer and the bulge. (E) Decay of GFP signal intensity over time in ear epidermis. The intensities were normalized by subtracting the background and dividing by the fitted decay curve of the GFP intensity in the bulge. The final normalized intensity was set as 1 at day 0. All fits assumed exponential decay with a single fitting parameter (decay rate). (F) Division rates from the GFP decay estimated by assuming division rate = GFP decay rate / ln(2), compared with the direct estimate obtained from the lineage tree analysis. 13 Fig. S7. Vertical organization is maintained throughout epidermal differentiation Patterned labeling and tracing using the photo-activatable K14-H2BPAmCherry reporter reveals that epidermal cells retain their vertical topology through the process of self-renewal and differentiation. Scale bars: 50 µm. 14 Fig. S8. Committed cells transit through pre-existing epidermal differentiation units. (A) Revisits of a single plane of the top granular layer of the epidermis depict the majority of granular cell shapes are retained by their predecessors (yellow arrow). (B-C) Representative optical sections of the different layers of the IFE epidermis over time both x,y (B) and x,z (C). Individual cells (numbered) were tracked throughout the differentiation process from basal through cornified layers using K14-CreER; Rosa26-mTmG; Rosa26-stop-tTA; pTRE-H2BGFP. (C) Cell trajectories in the z-plane (arrows) over time show progressive funneling of cells into pre-existing epidermal units. (D) Representative example of a minority of differentiating epidermal cells forming new units (green arrow). Scale bars: 20 µm. Movies Captions: 15 Movie S1: Serial optical sections of the adult interfollicular epidermis using the Keratin14actinGFP and Keratin14-H2BPAmCherry fluorescent reporters after total epidermal photoactivation. Movie S2: Serial optical sections of the adult interfollicular epidermis using the ActinGFP and H2BPAmCherry fluorescent reporters. The H2BPAmCherry reporter was photo-activated specifically in either granular or basal epidermal cells within the same field of view. 16 Supplementary theory and data analysis Here we present the methods used to analyze the rates and correlations of cell division and differentiation in empirically-constructed clonal lineage trees, and their application to the data. Section S1 describes lineage tree construction. Section S2 infers lifetime distributions and their properties from discrete time lapse measurements, for Fig. 2A,B, and S2C,D,E. Section S3 describes zero-parameter fitting of clone size distributions by stochastic cell fate models for Figs. 2C,S2B, and S3. Section S4 calculates correlations in cell lifetimes on the trees for sister cells. This section addresses a particular bias in calculating lifetime correlations from discrete time-lapse data, because cells share precisely the same birth time but their division/differentiation time is known only to within the sampling interval. This bias is shown not to significantly affect results, so simple Pearson correlations are reliable. Section S5 calculates correlations in cell fates between ancestors and daughter cells in lineage trees to show an absence of evidence for proliferative hierarchy. S1 Empirical lineage tree construction Each clone was represented by a binary tree with progenitor cells representing branch nodes and differentiating cells representing leaf nodes. All nodes were assigned a discrete lifetime, being the number of time points between birth of the cell and its division or differentiation. In the ear experiment, cells were tracked for a fixed period of time of up to 12 days post-labeling, and cells that neither divided nor differentiated by the end of the experiment were excluded. The analysis in section S2 corrects for the experimental bias against such cells with longer lifetimes. For the plantar epidermis, no correction was needed as the lineage trees were constructed to a fixed depth of two generations irrespective of the time required to reach the second generation. S2 Obtaining cell lifetime distributions, averages and variances from discrete time lapse data S2.1 Theory We present here a general framework for relating discrete measurements to continuous time distributions, which is then applied to analyze the lifetimes of dividing cells, differentiating cells, cells in the spinous layer and cells in the granular layer. We start by defining the empirical data. From clonal tree data or from tracing single cells through supra-basal layers, we obtain the number of cells with a lifetime that lasts for m experimental acquisition frames, which we denote as Im . The precise definition of ‘lifetime’ depends on the particular cell type being studied, but in all cases the theory that follows is the same. For basal cells, the lifetime is defined as the time between cell birth and cell division/differentiation, with the latter detected as a migration event into the supra-basal layer. For suprabasal cells, the lifetime is defined as the residency time within the layer. In the ear experiments analyzed, the time interval between observations was two days, therefore m = 0, 1, ..., M corresponds to 0, 2, ..., 2M days of intervals. In the plantar epidermis, the time interval was one day. Without any analysis it appears that lifetime distributions should only be measurable to within an error of ±2 days in the birth time of a cell, and ±2 days in the division/differentiation/loss time of a cell. However, a statistical treatment results in much more accurate estimates of lifetime distributions from the same discrete time lapse data. The general goal is to relate between the empirical data, Im , and properties of the underlying lifetime distribution that would have been obtained from continuous-time measurements, which we denote by the probability P (τ )dτ of a cell having a lifetime τ to τ + dτ . S2.1.1 General relationship To make contact between Im and P (τ ), we first define the empirical quantity Pm that corrects for an inherent bias in Im against long lifetimes, owing to the finite duration of the experiments. Pm is the unbiased probability of a lifetime lasting for m frames, estimated from the data to be Pm = Im . Z(N − Nm ) (1) 17 for the ear epidermis data. Here, N is the total number of cell birth events in the entire data set, and Nm is the number of cells that were born less than m + 1 frames before the last acquisition time frame in the experiments. Therefore, N − Nm is the total number of cells! that were born early enough to survive for m experiment points. M The normalization factor Z is introduced to set m=0 Pm = 1, assuming Pm>M = 0. For the plantar epidermis data, we simply set Pm = Im /N since the labeled cells were all traced up until differentiation or a second division. The number of frames that a cell lifetime covers, m, is a function of the lifetime of the cell, which we shall denote as τ , and the time difference between the birth time of the cell and the last experimental acquisition point that preceeds it, denoted l. Both τ and l are stochastic variables. Let P (τ ) and P (l) be their respective probability density functions. We can write down the joint probability density of m, τ and l as 1 P (m, τ, l) = P (m|τ, l)P (τ )P (l) = δm,[[(τ +l)/L]] P (τ ) . L (2) Here, L is the time difference between experiment points (L = 2 days for ear, L = 1 day for plantar epidermis data), δn,m is the Kronecker delta, and [[x]] denotes the largest integer that is smaller than x ([[x]] = floor(x)). P (m|τ, l) is the probability of m given τ and l. We used the general assumption P (l) = 1/L, i.e. events are asynchronous across the tissue and independent of observation. Marginalizing over l we obtain P (m|τ ), which is the probability of m conditioned on τ : " L " P (m, τ, l) 1 L P (m|τ ) = dl = dlδm,[[(τ +l)/L]] P (τ ) L 0 0 ⎧τ ⎪ + 1 − m for m = [[τ + L]] ⎪ ⎨L τ = (3) m+1− for m = [[τ ]] ⎪ L ⎪ ⎩ 0 otherwise Pm is related to the above probability by the chain rule, " ∞ Pm = dτ P (τ )P (m|τ ), 0 = ⎧" L L−τ ⎪ ⎪ dτ P (τ ) ⎨ L 0 " mL " (m+1)L τ − (m − 1)L (m + 1)L − τ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ dτ P (τ ) + dτ P (τ ) L L (m−1)L mL for m = 0 (4) for m ≥ 1. This completes the relationship between P (τ ) and Im through Eq. (1). S2.1.2 Relating continuous and discrete lifetime distributions for refractory stochastic lifetimes Following reference (16), we consider an exponential distribution with a refractory period τR and an average lifetime τR + 1/γ (Fig. 2B): ' 0 (t < τR ) P (τ ) = (5) γeγ(τR −t) (t ≥ τR ). In this model, the refractory period τR could reflect the time between cell birth and cell fate commitment, or the time between cell fate commitment and completion of division/differentiation, or both of these combined. For this model probability density function, we have for the case where τR < L, ⎧ L − τR 1 − eγ(τR −L) ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ − (m = 0) ⎪ ⎪ γL ⎪ ⎨ L γτR γτR −γL 2 τR 1−e e (1 − e ) Pm = (6) + + (m = 1) ⎪ L γL γL ⎪ ⎪ γ(τ −(m−1)L) −γL 2 ⎪e R (1 − e ) ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ (m ≥ 2). γL 18 whereas, when L ≤ τR < 2L, Pm ⎧ 0 ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ 2L − τR 1 − eγ(τR −2L) ⎪ ⎪ − ⎪ ⎨ L γL τR − L 1 − 2eγ(τR −2L) + eγ(τR −3L) ⎪ + ⎪ ⎪ L γL ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ γ(τ −(m−1)L) −γL 2 R ⎪ e (1 − e ) ⎪ ⎩ γL = (m = 0) (m = 1) (m = 2) (7) (m ≥ 3). These results will be applied to data in section S2.3.1. S2.1.3 Average and CV of lifetimes To relate the average lifetime, E[τ ], to measurements In , we observe that Eq. (3) gives, L ∞ % & mP (m|τ ) = m=0 & = = L dl 0 ∞ % nδn,[[(τ +l)/L]] m=0 L dl 0 τ. '' τ +l L (( (8) (9) (10) Therefore, L ∞ % nPm = m=0 = & & ∞ dτ P (τ ) 0 (11) nP (m|τ ) m=0 ∞ 0 ∞ % (12) dτ P (τ )τ ≡ E[τ ] This means that by obtaining Pm , we can estimate the average lifetime: E[τ ] = L M % (13) mPm . m=0 Note that this result holds true without assuming any knowledge of the form of P (τ ). The error of this estimate can be obtained by ) *M *M 2 2 m=0 (mL) Pm − ( m=0 mLPm ) (Error of mean) = . (14) N −1 *∞ *M Here we set m=0 = m=0 following the assumption that Pm>M = 0. To consider the variance estimated from the discretized lifetime distribution Pm , we shall note that by using the variance of mL under the condition of τ + ∞ ,2 ∞ ∞ % % % 2 Varτ [mL] := (mL) P (m|τ ) − mLP (m|τ ) = m2 L2 P (m|τ ) − τ 2 > 0. (15) m=0 m=0 m=0 we can write Var[mL] − Var[τ ] = ∞ & % m=0 ∞ 0 2 2 2 dτ [m L − τ ]P (m|τ )P (τ ) = & ∞ dτ Varτ [mL]P (τ ) > 0. (16) 0 19 Therefore, the variance of mL is always larger than that of the actual lifetime τ . Recalling that the mean of mL was equal to that of τ [Eq. (12)], it follows that the coefficient of variation (CV) of mL is always larger than that of τ . For example, for an exponential distribution [Eq. (7) with τR = 0], we can calculate the CV explicitly: " " ! 1 eγL + 1 γL/2 CVexp (γ, L) = γ Var[mL] − 2 = γL γL −1= 2 − 1, (17) γ e −1 tanh(γL/2) which is ≥ 1. S2.2 Survival curve of single labeled cells The founder cells of each clone are labeled and thus not tracked from birth, so their measured lifetime distribution will in general differ from that of their daughters. The lifetime distributions are identical if and only if basal cells have exponentially-distributed lifetimes. However, we find that the lifetimes of basal cells between birth and division/differentiation are not exponentially distributed, so we relate here between the clone founder cell lifetime distribution and that of their daughters. At steady-state, the probability to randomly sample a cell which has a lifetime of τ ∼ τ + dτ should be P (τ )τ dτ Psamp (τ )dτ := # ∞ ′ . dτ P (τ ′ )τ ′ 0 The survival probability of a randomly chosen cell after time t is then $ ∞ τ −t Psurv (t) = dτ Psamp (τ ) τ #t∞ dτ P (τ + t)τ 0# = . ∞ dτ P (τ )τ 0 In the case where P (τ ) is the exponential distribution with a refractory period [Eq. (5)], we have ⎧ γt ⎪ ⎨1 − (t < τR ) γτR + 1 Psurv (t) = 1 ⎪ ⎩ eγ(τR −t) (t ≥ τR ). γτR + 1 (18) (19) (20) (21) Fig. S2D,E shows Equation (21) fit to the survival fraction of the tail epidermis cells labeled by the photoactivatable reporter. In cases where only one generation of cells is tracked, from Eq. (20) one may prove that there exists an upper bound on the average lifetime of the entire cell population based on the fraction of single labeled cells surviving after a time t, namely, (Average lifetime) ≤ t . 1 − Psurv (t) (22) Note that there is no general lower bound. S2.3 S2.3.1 Data analysis Fitting continuous lifetime distributions to the discrete data The distribution Pm was estimated from the clonal tree data using Eq. (1) for dividing and differentiating cells in the basal layer. We show in Fig. S2C the distributions Pm obtained for dividing and differentiating cells. These data were fitted by Eq. (7) using least-mean-squares to estimate the two parameters of the lifetime distribution, γ and τR . Results are shown in Table S1 indicating that the data is consistent with a significant refractory period in the lifetimes of dividing, differentiating, and spinous layer cells. 20 Ear Plantar Dividing Differentiating Spinous layer Granular layer Dividing Differentiating Average lifetime (τR + 1/γ) 2.58 days 2.60 days 1.98 days 1.90 days 2.56 days 1.36 days Refractory period (τR ) 0.91 days 0.83 days 1.30 days 0.39 days 1.18 days 0.56 days Table S1: Parameters of model distributuion Eq. (7) obtained by fitting. S2.3.2 Estimating lifetime averages and CVs Using the empirical values of Pm obtained in the previous section, from Eq. (13) we directly obtained the average lifetimes of dividing, differentiating, spinous layer, and granular layer cells (Table S2). We also obtained the lifetime CV from Pm for each case, which are to be compared with the CVexp of an exponential distribution, calculated by Eq. (17) using the corresponding average lifetimes. The values of the average lifetimes were consistent with those obtained in Table S1, and the differences between CV and CVexp indicated that the distributions are non-exponential, consistent with the fits showing a significant refractory period. (Note that CVexp > 1 for the exponential distribution due to discrete sampling, as discussed above). To formally test whether observed lifetimes could be explained by a simple exponential distribution corresponding to memoryless stochastic lifetimes, we calculated Pm for the exponential distributions using Eq. (7) by setting τR as 0 and using the inferred average lifetimes. We could then directly compare between these discretized exponential distributions and the empirical distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (p-value). Results are given in the following table, highlighting the fact that only the Granular layer cell lifetimes are consistent with a memoryless process and no refractory period. Ear Plantar Dividing Differentiating Spinous layer Granular layer Dividing Differentiating Average lifetime 2.45±0.14 days 2.51±0.15 days 2.05±0.18 days 1.79±0.25 days 2.56±0.10 days 1.36±0.08 days CV 0.67 ±0.12 0.71±0.13 0.56±0.22 0.85±0.25 0.40±0.10 0.61±0.14 CVexp 1.05 1.05 1.08 1.10 1.02 1.09 p-value 2E-4 5E-4 0.016 0.996 3E-5 9E-3 Number of events 142 148 40 38 100 102 Table S2: Average and CV of lifetimes directly obtained from Pm . S2.4 Estimating fraction of undivided/undifferentiated cells from short time lapse data The expected fraction of divisions and differenations occuring for a randomly labeled basal cell after two days (Fig. S5B) was obtained from Eq. (20). The results are shown in Table S3. We compared with this value, which is obtained from the K14-CreER labeling experiment for the ear epidermis, with the value obtained from the photo-activation experiment (second column); there is no evidence of bias between the different labeling methods. We also show in Table S3 the upper bounds of average lifetimes of dividing and differentiating cells for the ear epidermis, obtained solely from the fraction of divided and differentiated cells at day 2 in the photo-activation experiment. 21 Divided Differentiated Fraction after two days 0.32±0.03 0.34±0.03 Estimate 0.33 0.32 Upper bound on average lifetime 4.2 days 4.0 days Table S3: Fraction of randomly labeled basal cells that divided or differentiated after two days in the ear epidermis. S3 Fitting clone size dynamics with two stochastic models of cell fate S3.1 S3.1.1 Model definitions The Committed Progenitor (CP) cell model A tested phenomenological model for the dynamics of epidermal stem cells is the committed progenitor model, see reference (14). This model has been previously discussed in detail, but the current implementation of the model necessarily differs from that in reference (14) owing to the new discovery of non-exponential and correlated lifetimes in this paper, and so for completeness we redefine the model here. The model assumes that there are two types of cells in the basal layer which we call P (progenitor) and D (differentiating), and a differentiated cell in the suprabasal layer which we call X. The P cell is fated to divide, and the D cell is fated to differentiate. A stochastic process can be constructed to describe changes in the number of cells in a clone, with the following rules, ⎧ ⎪ ⎨PP (Prob. r) λ P − → (23) PD (Prob. 1 − 2r) ⎪ ⎩ DD (Prob. r) D Γ X. − → Here, λ and Γ are the rates of division and differentiation, respectively (i.e. inverses of the average lifetime). In the simplest implementation of the model, the probability distributions for the lifetimes are exponential (memoryless) (14), corresponding to a simple Markov process that can be solved using a Master Equation. However this study shows that the distributions of the dividing and differentiating cells are non-exponential, likely reflecting a minimum time required for cells to either divide or differentiation after committing to their fate. We implement this non-Markovian model in a variation on Ref. (16). S3.1.2 A non-committed progenitor (NCP) cell model An alternative formulation of the stochastic fate model is proposed here, with emphasis on correlated sister cell fates. All basal layer cells are assumed to commit independently to either divide or differentiate. Sister cells independently choose their fates, but under a shared condition, which we denote by ν. The condition ν may represent a local environment including cell and cytokine densities, or an internal property such as the concentration of protein factors inherited from the parent cell. We can simplify the model by assuming that the entire basal layer consists not of two cell types (P and D), but instead of a single non-committed progenitor cell type capable of division or direct differentiation, P − → P − → PP [prob. p(ν), lifetime τp ] X [prob. 1 − p(ν), lifetime τd ]. (24) Again, in implementing this stochastic process one must account for non-exponential and correlated lifetime distributions as described in the previous sub-section. Here, the probability of differentiation, p(ν), is set to be equivalent between the siblings since they share the same ν. The condition for homeostasis reads ⟨p(ν)⟩ = 1/2, (25) 22 where ⟨·⟩ denotes the average over the conditions ν at steady-state. The probability of two sister cells both dividing (or both differentiating), r, is described as average of the square of the division probability: r = ⟨p(ν)2 ⟩. (26) Thus this model behavior is mathematically equivalent to the CP cell model, but since ⟨p(ν)2 ⟩ ≥ ⟨p(ν)⟩2 = 0.25, (27) the simpler non-committed model only allows r ≥ 0.25. Despite the mathematical equivalence of models (23) and (24), the two models differ in their interpretation. In the non-committed model (24), the deviation of r from 0.25 can be interpreted as the extent of fluctuation of the probability of differentiation across the epidermis, and it does not indicate a mechanism for symmetric or asymmetric division. In Fig. 2B, we show the empirical value of Var(p) corresponding to Var(p) = r − 0.25. S3.2 Model solutions by numerical simulation To predict clonal dynamics from the models described by Eqs. (23) and (24), we used a Monte Carlo approach as described in Ref. (16) to acquire statistics from 5 · 104 simulated clonal outcomes starting with a single P type cell for the ear epidermis. Unlike other studies of stochastic fate that have used Master Equations to solve for clonal dynamics, here we account for the non-exponential lifetime distribution of the cells, and for sister cell lifetime correlations, which invalidate the Master Equation approach. For simulations, we instead used the lifetime distribution described in Eq. (5), with parameters directly inferred for the data as shown in Table S1 for division and differentiation dynamics. To generate temporal correlations in sister cells in the simulation, we produced the lifetimes of siblings from bivariate distributions [Dukic and Maric, Phys. Rev. E, 87, 032114 (2013)] with the Pearson correlation coefficients obtained from data (Fig. 2A). No parameter fitting is carried out since all parameter values are determined from the detailed cell lineage trees, with the numerical values shown in Fig. 2B. Figure 2C compares the fraction of clone sizes in the data and numerical simulation of the ear epidermis, under the condition that an initial single labeled cell is a dividing cell. Assuming that the initial cells were randomly labeled, the lifetime of the initial cell in the simulation was sampled from the distribution in Eq. (18). For the plantar epidermis, we directly obtained the same parameters from the lineage trees generated from cells that existed after two days post-labeling, and we then predicted by simulation the clone size distribution at day 2 after following single-cell clonal labeling at day 0 (Fig. S2B). S3.2.1 Goodness of fits In order to quantify the goodness of the fits of the above model, we quantified the difference between the fraction of clones, fn (t), with size n (0, 1-2, 3-4, >5 cells) at different time points t = 0, 2 ....12 days, with the probability distributions obtained from simulation, Qn (t). We calculated the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence of the fit from the data: KL = ! ! t=day 0,2,...,12 n fn (t) log fn (t) . Qn (t) (28) The KL divergence has a property that it is non-negative, and is equal to zero only when the two distributions are identical. We show in Fig. S3B the values of KL divergence obtained from different models (different Qn (t)). The significance between the fits of the models were quantified by obtaining theh p-value as p-value = exp(−Ntraj |KLX − KLY |) (29) where Ntraj is the number of clonal number trajectories in the data, and KLX and KLY are the KL divergences obtained from models X and Y , respectively. We found that all models fitted better than the normal distribution. 23 S4 S4.1 Sibling cell correlations Theory: probability of synchronous division/differentiation in siblings Siblings share not only the time frame of the birth, but also the exact timing of the birth. Therefore, even when the two lifetimes of the siblings are independently determined, the probability to find ! the two cell differentiation events in the same time frame, Psib , can be different from the naive expectation n Pm P"n , where Pm and P"n are the distributions of m for cell 1 and 2, respectively. For example, in the case where the lifetime of cell division is deterministic (i.e., P (τ! ) is a delta function), the frame at which the PP sibling divides will be perfectly 2 synchronous, Psib = 1, although m Pm < 1. Assuming that the lifetimes of the siblings are not correlated, we obtain the probability to find cell 1 to exit (divide or differentiate) m frames after the birth and its sibling cell 2 to exit after m frames as # L # ∞ # ∞ Psib (m, m) := dl dτ dτ ′ P (m, m, l, τ, τ ′ ) (30) = = # # 0 L dl 0 L 0 # 0 ∞ dτ 0 # 0 ∞ 0 dτ ′ P (m|l, τ )P (m|l, τ ′ )P (τ )P" (τ ′ )P (l) dlP (m|l)P" (m|l)P (l). (31) (32) Here, τ was introduced as the lifetime of cell 1, and τ ′ as that for cell 2. Note that the lifetime distributions of cell 1 and cell 2 can be different, P (τ ) ̸= P" (τ ), as in the case of PD siblings. The probability to find the lives of siblings to end in the same time frame under the assumption that the timings are independently determined, can be obtained from $ Psib = Psib (m, m). (33) m Note that if P (τ ) = P" (τ ), we have Psib (m, m) ≥ %# L dlP (m|l)P (l) 0 Psib (m, m) can be explicitly evaluated by using ⎧# L−l ⎪ ⎪ dτ P (τ ) ⎨ #0 (m+1)L−l P (m|l) = ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ dτ P (τ ) mL−l S4.2 &2 2 = Pm . (34) (m = 0) (35) (m ≥ 1). Data analysis: correlation of lifetimes Before applying the theory from section S4.1, we first calculated a simple Pearson correlation coefficient for the lifetimes of the parent cell and daughter cells. Correlations were calculated conditional on the birth day of the cells to correct for global fluctuation of lifetimes, by first subtracting the conditioned mean lifetime across all clones. The obtained values with the p-values from Student’s t-test are presented in Fig. 2A. The theory from section S4.1 was then used to validate the significance of sibling lifetime correlations, by asking whether the probability of division or differentiation of siblings in the same acquisition frame agrees with the null hypothesis that sibling lifetimes are independent. Unlike the Pearson correlation, this test explicitly accounts for the discrete time period of the measurement. Setting the probability distributions of the cell lifetimes as Eq. (5) with the parameters estimated as Table S1, we calculate the probability of siblings dividing or differentiating in the same frame from Eqs. (32, 35) under the null hypothesis. Comparison to the data, shown in Table S4, rejects the null hypothesis in all ear epidermis siblings and particularly in the differentiating siblings in the plantar epidermis. This supports the previous analysis that there is a positive correlation between the lifetimes of all siblings in the ear epidermis, and differentiating siblings in the plantar epidermis. 24 Ear Plantar PP PD DD PP PD DD ! Corrected ( m Psib (m, m)) 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.29 0.23 0.40 ! Uncorrected ( m Pm P"m ) 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.26 0.20 0.38 Experiment 0.85 0.63 0.81 0.41 0.31 0.97 p-value 6E-8 4E-4 4E-7 0.05 0.30 8E-12 Table S4: Probability of division/differentiation in synchronous frames for siblings. Corrected/uncorrected columns show the expected probabilities of sibling division/differentiation in the same frame assuming independence, after correcting/ignoring lifetime coupling due to same birth times respectively (see section S4.1). The p-values show a χ2 test for the experiment against the null hypothesis. S5 S5.1 Proliferative hierarchy and mother-daughter cell fate correlations Theory: correlation in mother-daughter cell fates in models of profliferative hierarchy We investigated whether fate choice has memory beyond one generation. Since every mother cell is a dividing cell, we can ask whether the fate (division/differentiation) of the sibling of a mother cell correlates with the fate of its daughters, or more generally whether the fate of previous cell generations correlates with daughter cell fate. In the absence of proliferative hierarchy, we expect no such correlations. A hierarchical hypothesis should show that differentiation of a sibling cell or of any cell in an earlier generation should bias daughter cells to differentiate. To formalize the hierarchical hypothesis, we consider the hierarchical stem/committed progenitor cell model proposed by Mascré et al. (10), following the same notation for stochastic fate choice as in Eq. (23): ⎧ ⎪ ⎨SS Prob. rS λS S −−→ SP Prob. 1 − 2rS ⎪ ⎩ PP Prob. rS ⎧ ⎪ ⎨PP Prob. r(1 − ∆) λ P − → (36) PD Prob. 1 − 2r ⎪ ⎩ DD Prob. r(1 + ∆) D Γ − → X. In this model, committed progenitor cells P are biased to differentiate with a net imbalance 2r∆ per cell cycle, while stem cells S undergo perfectly balanced cell fate choices between self-renewal (SS) and differentiation into committed progenitor cells (PP), as well as asymmetric divisions. In the original model (10) it was proposed that stem cells are largely quiescent (λS ≪ λ), but the presence of quiescent stem cells is ruled out for the tissues examined in the current study by evidence of H2B-GFP dilution. If proliferative hierarchy does exist, it does not involve quiescent cells and requires comparable cell cycles λS ≈ λ. The following results show the signature that such a model would have in the data. Since stem cells in this model do not give rise to differentiating daughters (D), a dividing cell with a differentiating sibling is necessarily a P cell generated from P → PD. Similarly, if any direct ancestor cell has a differentiating sibling then the dividing cell is necessarily a P cell. We may call all such dividing cells ‘Type I’ cells. All remaining dividing cells we call ‘Type II’ cells. These have both a dividing sibling and all ancestors giving rise to symmetric division events. Type II cells could be either an S cell or P cell, because they could be generated by P → PP, S → SS, S → SP, or S → PP. From this observation, one can identify the expected fraction of dividing daughters (P) for Type I and Type II cells to be, Dividing cell type Type I (P) Type II (S or P) ⟨p⟩, No hierarchy 1/2 1/2 ⟨p⟩, Stem/CP model 1/2 − r∆ 1/2 25 To obtain these expected values we first note that ⟨p⟩ = Prob(PP) + 0.5Prob(PD) = 1/2 − r∆ for P cells, and thus for Type I cells. For Type II cells, we assume representative probability of sampling a P or S cell, and thus ⟨p⟩ = (1 − fS )(1/2 − r∆) + fS , where fS is the fraction of dividing cells that are S cells. The steady-state criterion for the system is fS λS = 2(1 − fS )λr∆, i.e., fS = 2r∆ . 2r∆ + λS /λ (37) With λS /λ ≈ 1 we obtain the result above. S5.2 Data analysis: correlation in mother-daughter cell fates We calculated the probability of division (⟨p⟩) and symmetric (PP or DD) division (2r) conditional on a dividing cell having a sibling that is a dividing progenitor (P) or differentiates (D). Results are shown in Table S5. For ear epidermis all clonal data was used. For the plantar epidermis, only one generation is tracked, so we focused on clones with exactly two cells in the initial time point, and assumed that these are siblings. All obtained probabilities were consistent with the expected values assuming no proliferative hierarchy. Therefore, there is no evidence of fate bias that is carried on from a mother to daughter. The nature of hypothesis testing is such that one cannot completely rule out a proliferative hierarchy as embodied by Eq. (36). This can be seen from the results in Section S5.1, where a proliferative hierarchy requires r∆ > 0. One sees that the fate imbalance of progenitor cells is r∆ = 1/2 − ⟨p⟩ for Type I cells, giving r∆ = 0.06 ± 0.08 in the ear and r∆ = −0.06 ± 0.12 in the plantar epidermis. These values are consistent with r∆ = 0, in which case the fraction of S cells is 0 [see Eq.(37)] and the hierachical model Eq. (36) becomes equivalent to the committed progenitor model [Eq. (23)]. Ear ⟨p⟩ r Plantar ⟨p⟩ r Fate of sibling P D P D P D P D Expected 0.5 0.28 ± 0.02 0.5 0.34 ± 0.05 Measured 0.44 ± 0.07 0.44 ± 0.08 0.30 ± 0.03 0.22 ± 0.04 0.48 ± 0.08 0.56 ± 0.12 0.41 ± 0.03 0.31 ± 0.06 Table S5: Probability of a dividing cell to produce a dividing cell or a differentiating cell, assuming no proliferative hierarchy. Data shows no bias, meaning that there is no evidence of mother-daughter fate correlation. 26