Pôle emploi - Cour des comptes
Transcription
Pôle emploi - Cour des comptes
PUBLIC ENTITIES AND POLICIES PÔLE EMPLOI: THE TEST OF MASS UNEMPLOYMENT Thematic Public Report Summary July 2015 g DISCLAIMER This summary is intended to facilitate the understanding and use of the report produced by the Cour des Comptes. Solely the original report is legally binding on the Cour des comptes. TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 1 Mixed results and rising costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 2 An intermediary mission between labour supply and demand that is no longer a priority . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Inadequate services and persistent operational difficulties . . . .15 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 9 Guidelines and recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes 3 3 INTRODUCTION The services provided by Pôle emploi, the main public operator for employment, are a key issue in view of the current unemployment level. In this regard, Pôle emploi had to take up two major challenges during the recent period: - The merger of ANPE and the network of Assédic required large-scale organisational changes, including the merging of services in joint agencies and the establishment of a new status for staff members. Today, this merger can be taken for granted, even if the expected results have not all been met, particularly the practising of a "single job" which consisted in entrusting to the same adviser the compensation mission from the Assédic and the placement mission from ANPE; this idea was quickly abandoned and for good reason. - Pôle emploi had to deal also with significant changes in the labour market. The number of job seekers has increased by more than 58% since January 2009 to reach 6.2 million in January 2015 (all categories inclusive, including job seekers under training or state-subsidised work contracts). Over the same period, the proportion of unemployed who are registered for more than a year rose from 30.3% to 43.3%. Furthermore, an increasingly greater portion of the population has a high frequency of transitions between employment and unemployment. Finally, Pôle emploi has seen the rapid emergence of a growing number of stakeholders, particularly of websites providing other possibilities to access job offers and job applications. Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Created in 2008 through the merger of the national employment agency (ANPE) and the network of Assédic (Associations for employment in industry and trade, Pôle emploi is today the largest public operator of France with 53,000 staff members, a thousand agencies, €32bn paid out allowances and benefits, and a budget of €5bn. Funded by the French Government (30%) and Unédic (National inter-professional union for employment in industry and trade) (70%), its resources have increased by €630 million between 2009 and 2014. Since 2012, 4,000 additional recruitment of advisers on permanent contracts were authorised. 5 Figure 1: Unemployment trends between January 2009 and January 2015 Source: Cour des Comptes, according to Pôle emploi and DARES, monthly statistics of the labour market. SA-WDA data in thousands, Metropolitan France. 6 Demanding missions In 2008, the law entrusted Pôle emploi with two main missions: - The unemployment insurance compensation (calculation and payment of unemployment allowances); - The return of job seekers to employment: in this respect, Pôle emploi must provide a range of services to companies and job seekers (collection of job offers, assistance to employers in recruitment, assistance for job search, career guidance, etc.). the matching of labour supply with labour demand through a range of services (training offered to job seekers, linking job offers with job seekers, etc.). The diversity of job seekers and companies necessarily calls for a differentiation of services according to the needs, and of their terms of issue but this intermediation role applies to all employers and job seekers: according to the legal texts that define its action, Pôle emploi is not intended to limit its public service activities to a restricted public. Mixed results Law does not simply establish Pôle emploi as a counter to deliver these services to job seekers and companies. It renders it responsible for ensuring that these services are the most effective possible to find a job or to recruit: For this reason, it places the concrete knowledge of the needs of stakeholders in the labour market at the heart of Pôle emploi's missions. In practice, this means that the advice and services offered to job seekers by Pôle emploi must be based on an in-depth knowledge of companies, and vice versa. The operator has therefore a fundamental role in the labour market's functioning, which can be summarised by the term 'intermediation', that is, Despite the sharp increase in unemployment and onerousness of the reorganisation following the merger of ANPE and the Assédic, Pôle emploi has managed to reduce the registration time for job seekers. As for their compensation, the effectiveness has generally been maintained and user satisfaction is high. In this area, Pôle emploi's activity is however weakened by the persistence of onerous procedures that are insufficiently digitised and by highly complex regulations. As for the return of job seekers to employment, the results are difficult to interpret because the main indicators do not distinguish, among the different resumptions of activity, what relates to Pôle emploi's action and what is due to Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes 1 Mixed results and rising costs 7 Mixed results and rising costs Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes other factors beyond its control such as the economic conditions – Pôle emploi is not liable for job destructions or creations –, resumption of activity supported by other public employment service operators and informal networks or even the labour market’s structure. On the whole, the results appear to shed little light or are insufficiently convincing to assess Pôle emploi's own value added. 8 Pôle emploi puts forward the results of a statistical model according to which, after neutralising the effect of economic conditions, the outputs to sustainable employment would be, in 2014, 16% higher compared to the 2003–2011 period. According to Pôle emploi, this would mark a positive development which is due to its own action. However: - It is not possible in this case also, to distinguish in this figure which is specifically due to Pôle emploi's action and that of all other exogenous factors, such as changes affecting the functioning of the labour market, other operators' action or individual behaviours; - The same indicator is in fact significantly unfavourable (-4.3%) for the long-term unemployment, which joins a number of other negative findings in this area: increase number of job seekers registered for more than one year, particularly the youth and seniors; the number of Class A job seekers with a cumulated registration period exceeding 21 months during the last 24 months, has risen from 497,000 in 2011 to 791,000 in 2014. Indicators regarding satisfaction of job offers are no longer followed by Pôle emploi because of a change in strategy in 2012. Pôle emploi has in fact decided to abandon any objective of collecting job offers to favour the aggregation of offers collected by other stakeholders, such as some websites. However, this decision not only contributes to reduce the volume of offers collected by the operator but also to weaken direct contacts with employers, and therefore the good knowledge of their needs. Two developments in this regard constitute evidence of a degradation of the intermediary role of Pôle emploi: the percentage of job offers collected by Pôle emploi but finally unfilled has increased from 7.3% in 2008 to 16.0% in 2013; the average number of job seekers that Pôle emploi has to recommend to the companies to reach a hiring has increased from 7.0 in 2005 to 13.7 in 2012. Mixed results and rising costs Chart No. 1: Job offers collected by Pôle emploi and filled job offers, per year (in thousands) Pôle emploi finally pointed out that, on the 18 indicators of the Multi-annual Agreement that bind it to Unédic and the Central Government, the latest available figures show the progression of 12 indicators for the period 2011 to 2014. But these are mainly indicators of particular aspects of Pôle emploi's work or resource indicators, and indicators that degrade concern the most important results, such as the risk of long-term unemployment (particularly for the youth and seniors) or the number of job seekers alienated from the workplace for a long time. A significant increase in costs In parallel, Pôle emploi’s costs have increased significantly since 2009. Chart No. 2: Evolution of expenses for 2009 to 2014, in million € Source: Pôle emploi, Financial Reports for 2009 to 2014 Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Source: Pôle emploi and DARES, monthly statistics of the labour market. SA-WDA data in thousands, Metropolitan France. 9 Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Mixed results and rising costs 10 The merger of ANPE and the Assédic has indeed been accompanied by increasing costs: salaries and social security charges per staff member have increased by more than 18% between 2009 and 2011, particularly with the move to a new status of 90% of Pôle emploi's staff members. These more favourable salary conditions were supposed to be, in part, the compensation for more stringent requirements expected in terms of skills and work organisation, in particular with the setting up of single advisers "payment and placement": however, this project was abandoned without the granted advantages having so far been questioned. Afterwards, the adjustment to the increase in unemployment was done mainly through the recruitment of advisers on permanent contracts, which contributed to make the operator's expenses more rigid. Whereas Pôle emploi's activity varies with economic cycles, it seems surprising that Pôle emploi's collective agreement caps the use of fixed term contracts to 5% of total hours, and that the possibility of subcontracting part of the activities was not used further. Chart No. 3: Evolution of total number of employees (FTEW) and payroll per FTEW between 2009 and 2014 Source: Cour des Comptes, from Pôle emploi, Financial Reports for 2009 to 2014 Pôle emploi has profoundly redefined its strategy in 2012, with the agreement of the Central Government and Unédic. Among the various developments that have been decided upon, the major orientation is to further differentiate the services provided depending on the targeted public. From now on, after an initial diagnostic stage, each job seeker, who is monitored internally by Pôle emploi, is assigned a "support modality". Figure 2: Types of support to job seekers Source: Cour des Comptes. Situation on 1st July 2015 The Court fully endorses this principle of differentiating the services provided based on the needs of different targeted public. Part of them are sufficiently independent to return to employment just by the labour market; another part however have special needs for support. The principle of this segmentation is moreover not new; it was advocated by the European Employment Strategy as from the late 1990s. ANPE began to put it in place while adopting Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes 2 An intermediary mission between labour supply and demand that is no longer a priority 11 An intermediary mission between labour supply and demand that is no longer a priority in 2006 a target of a monthly meeting for all job seekers, called "personalised monthly monitoring" (SMP – suivi mensuel personnalisé), which was abandoned in 2012. Differentiation is also widely applied abroad, in the UK and in Germany for instance. A change in the core business Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes The real novelty of the 2012 strategy is, on the other hand, the redefinition of what the operator now considers as its core business: reinforced support intended for job seekers who are the most in need. 12 According to this view, when Pôle emploi deems that the return to work can be obtained independently by the job seeker, it considers that its role is only to give them the means of this autonomy, particularly by providing a database of job offers and more generally, by developing digital services. The intervention of Pôle emploi's advisers becomes therefore minimal ("monitoring" support modality). Conversely, a small part of the unemployed, who needs it the most, should benefit from intensive intervention support by the advisers: it is on this "reinforced" support that Pôle emploi believes its resources must be redirected. One consequence of this strategy is that, paradoxically, what Pôle emploi itself defines as its core business is henceforth to support a very minor part of its users by part of its staff members who are also a minority. Table 1: Distribution of job seekers and support modalities Source: Pôle emploi, data on 1st January 2015. The number of advisers is expressed as the actual number of employees. This data does not reflect the actual proportion of work An intermediary mission between labour supply and demand that is no longer a priority Pôle emploi thereby exposes itself to a double risk: that of no longer appearing as an interlocutor sufficiently present for companies, and that of losing its credibility by presenting mostly candidates who are particularly far from profiles desired by employers. In addition, there is the risk of seeing Pôle emploi evolving towards the support of a small proportion of job seekers to the detriment of its general intermediary role on the labour market. A concept of advisers' missions that does not foster intermediation Furthermore, the choices of reorganisation made by Pôle emploi may weaken its advisers' knowledge of the company world, particularly advisers in charge of job seekers. The percentage of working time devoted to companies by the agency's advisers is therefore only 12%, half of which corresponds in fact to the reception of phone calls and registration of offers submitted by employers: finally, only 6 to 7% of the working time of Pôle emploi's advisers is devoted to companies excluding reception and registration of offers, of which less than 2% corresponds to visits and active prospection among companies. Actually, company-oriented activities, which have decreased by 20% between 2011 and 2013, serve as the reserve for adjustment. Although Pôle emploi has recently undertaken to specialise 4,000 advisers in company relations, this new organisation does not resolve the issue of the competence of advisers who are in charge of job seekers and are no longer sufficiently in contact with companies. In addition, the criteria for recruiting advisers focus first of all on their interpersonal skills or on possible experience in supporting job seekers, rather than on knowledge of the economy, of companies or the labour market. Similarly, the continuous training of advisers favours skills oriented towards job seekers only but few towards companies. It is therefore predictable, but also worrying to find from satisfaction surveys with job seekers and companies that, with the proposed services, the expertise of the labour market is the aspect of Pôle emploi's work which everybody is the least satisfied with. Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes In addition, in so far as, faced with stakeholders who are increasingly numerous and dynamic on the Internet, Pôle emploi has abandoned all quantitative objective of collecting job offers the prospection of job offers is only carried out in priority for job seekers who are in greatest difficulty. Similarly, recruitment support services proposed to employers henceforth depend predominantly on job opportunities that they can offer solely to job seekers supported by the agency. 13 An intermediary mission between labour supply and demand that is no longer a priority Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Chart No. 4: Components of job seekers' satisfaction 14 Source: Pôle emploi, Strategic and Evaluation Committee of 17th July 2014. Telephone survey of employers. Metropolitan France, May 2014. Chart No. 5: Components of employers' satisfaction Source: Pôle emploi, Strategic and Evaluation Committee of 17th July 2014. Telephone survey of employers. Metropolitan France, May 2014. Pôle emploi finally believes that its strategy does not make it necessary to follow the advisers' activity because this survey could, according to it, encourage them to satisfy only the simple resource indicators (number of interviews or connecting employers with job seekers, for example). In doing so, Pôle emploi no longer has the indications to know and control at national level the real activity of its agencies and advisers. The modalities of differentiation, as implemented by Pôle emploi, leaves whole major operational limits. Insufficient knowledge of job seekers' and companies' needs Marks of strong inadequacy between the needs of job seekers and the services provided can be observed. They show that the current services of Pôle emploi are actually insufficiently differentiated: - the actual segmentation of the services does not offer a solution adapted to long-term unemployment. While over 43% of job seekers have been unemployed for over a year, it is the support modality of job seekers that were supposed to be the most independent ("monitoring") which has the highest proportion of long-term job seekers; at the same time, it is the job seekers in "reinforced" support modality that have the lowest proportion of long-term job seekers; - in a significant number of cases, the assignment of job seekers to support modalities is incoherent with the criteria that Pôle emploi has set itself; - the change of support modality according to the evolution of the needs of job seekers is infrequent (5–10% of changes only after 6 months). In addition, the initial diagnosis of the situation of job seekers and companies, an essential element of the support towards employment, is a critical point of Pôle emploi's services: its quality is not guaranteed and sometimes it comes too late. Being aware of this situation, Pôle emploi, Unédic and the Central Government have decided to revise the diagnosis under the 2015–2018 tripartite agreement. Finally, Pôle emploi does not have a precise typology of the needs of the job seekers population; this would help improve its offer and internal skills. Low Support Intensity Unlike the strategic priority which is stated, the actual intensity levels of the support to job seekers are low. Thus, 75% of job seekers in "reinforced" support have received, on average over six months, only four or fewer contacts with their adviser (September 2013 – February 2014), whether in terms of interviews but also in telephone exchange, simple mails, etc. Finally, 59% of job seekers in "monitoring", 49% in "guided" and 33% in "reinforced" support have a maximum of one contact every three months. Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes 3 Inadequate services and persistent operational difficulties 15 Inadequate services and persistent operational difficulties Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Table 2: Number of interviews of job seekers and their contacts with advisers by support modality 16 Source: Pôle emploi, administrative log files. Cohorts observed over the period September 2013 – February 2014 In addition, while long-term unemployment is growing, we see that, paradoxically, the support intensity is greatly reduced with the duration of unemployment. Thus, the proportion of job seekers who have not received any recommended action from their referring adviser between 1 and 6 months of unemployment is between 30% and 40% (considered according to the monitoring support); it is twice as much important between 13 and 18 months of unemployment, since it is then between 60 and 85%. Table 3: Job seekers without proposed action Source: Pôle emploi, administrative log files. Cohorts observed over the period September 2013 – February 2014 Inadequate services and persistent operational difficulties Dispersion of resources Pôle emploi uses its resources in an unsatisfactory way, particularly regarding the advisers' working time. Thus, support to job seekers, excluding reception and registration, on average represents only 30% of the working time of referring advisers in charge of job seekers. Similarly, the recruitment assistance provided to companies (processing of offers, company visits, prospecting) represents, excluding reception and registration of offers, only 7% of the working time. Conversely, business and management activities (meetings, training, participation in the agency's management, etc.) occupy too much place, up to 23% of the working time. Chart 6: Average distribution of the working time of referring advisers in charge of job seekers Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes The situation is also unsatisfactory for services accessible without contact with the advisers. While the stated objective is to provide the broadest database possible to allow independent research, the percentage of job seekers with curriculum vitae online was only 26.1% in 2014. Source: Pôle emploi, Planning Management Software 'RDVA', September 2013 – February 2014, all of France; calculations of Cour des Comptes. Excluding unavailabilities. 17 Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Inadequate services and persistent operational difficulties 18 Redeployment efforts have indeed been made but they are still insufficient. 6,720 full-time equivalents (FTEs) were assigned to the support of job seekers at the end of 2011: their number increased to 12,507 FTEs at the end of 2014. This latest figure, which incorporates efficiency gains as well as recruitment and a change in the accounting method, is still very low compared to the total number of employees of the operator. The objective of redeploying 2,000 additional FTEs from the new 2015-2018 tripartite agreement therefore does not close the issue of available margins within Pôle emploi. This dispersion of resources is increased by the extent of Pôle emploi's network, which has over a thousand agencies and service points. While the benchmark is that at least 80% of job seekers reside within less than 30 minutes from an agency, this rate has actually reached 96.4% in 2012, and even 99.5% when taking into account the establishment of Pôle emploi partners. Overall, the coordination of contact channels by the Internet and telephone together with the reception of the agencies is insufficient. CONCLUSION At the end of its work, the Court's findings lead it to observe that the quality and value-added services of Pôle emploi should be based on a concrete knowledge of the needs of all stakeholders in the labour market: advice that it provides and services it offers to all job seekers must absolutely be based on an in-depth knowledge of the needs of all companies, and vice versa. This quality of the public service is a requirement that originates from Pôle emploi's mission statement, just as it is set out today by law. The Court considers it necessary to bear all the consequences of the objective of a better differentiation of services in favour of job seekers and companies, particularly by having a better knowledge of the users' needs and by developing an adapted and monitored support. It notes that, in the modalities chosen to implement this necessary guideline, there is a risk of lowering the requirements on two points: Pôle emploi's intermediary role on the labour market, a fundamental component of the definition of public employment service and its effectiveness; and the issue of efficiency, so that Pôle emploi's resources are best used. Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes In addition, current levels of cost and staffing of Pôle emploi, that is, a budget of more than €5 billion and 53,000 staff members, were determined from the choice of an operator in charge of the overall matching of job supply with demand. Such a high level of resources would not be justified if the operator's job needed to evolve to support only a small minority of job seekers and companies. 19 GUIDELINES AND RECOMMENDATIONS – to maintain Pôle emploi's intermediary role on the labour market in accordance with the missions currently set out by law ; – to strengthen Pôle emploi's knowledge of the labour market, and Improving services to employers and job seekers particularly of companies, so that services and advice provided to job seekers are particularly based on an in-depth knowledge of the companies’ needs; – to continue and amplify the simplification of regulations concerning unemployment compensation. Optimising management Recommendations for Pôle emploi: Recommendations for Pôle emploi: – to make more place to the knowledge of the labour market and companies in the recruitment and training of all advisers; – to better match the content of support proposed by advisers to the characteristics of job seekers and companies; – to introduce a standard minimum frequency of interviews and contacts for each support modality ; – to strengthen monitoring of the differentiation of services (internal and external) ; – must carry out the first support appointment as soon as possible after the diagnosis . –to increase, by redeployment, the number of staff members providing services to job seekers and companies, as well as the actual time devoted by each adviser to placement of job seekers and companies ; – to reduce the number of agencies within the framework of a multi-annual plan; – to develop the synergy of the access channels at Pôle emploi (physical reception, telephone, Internet, mail and e-mail) ; – to dematerialise the management of allowances and benefits paid out to job seekers and companies. Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Guidelines for the Central Government, social partners, Pôle emploi and Unédic: 21 GUIDELINES AND RECOMMENDATIONS Recommendation for the Central Government and Pôle emploi: – to stabilise the permanent resources of Pôle emploi by resorting to subcontracting and recruitment of fixed term contracts during economic variations, if necessary, by reconsidering the restrictive provisions of the national collective agreemen ; Summary of the Thematic Public Report from the Cour des Comptes Ensuring more effective control 22 Recommendations for Pôle emploi : – to strengthen the internal control based on indicators in low numbers, ranked and stated at agency level, covering both the results and the activity; – to fix individualised qualitative as well as quantitative objectives to advisers or teams of advisers, if necessary, by renegotiating the 2004 collective agreement on monitoring of activity, just as the collective agreement planned to do so before 2010. Strengthening evaluation Recommendation for the Central Government : – to carry out, under the aegis of a body external to Pôle emploi, studies of cohorts to assess the quality and performance of the different monitoring modalities (internal and external) of job seekers as well as those of diagnostic and orientation processes of job seekers towards these monitoring modalities.