e: How to Make it Work 1. Introduction
Transcription
e: How to Make it Work 1. Introduction
Microcredit and Agriculture: How to Make it Work1 M. A. Hakim2 1. Introduction Although agriculture’s contribution to national economy has declined in many Asia-Pacific region countries (Table-1) it still remains a very important sector. Agriculture, including crops, fisheries, livestock and forestry still account for substantial employment, (Table-2) and a significant portion of export revenues in many of the Asia-Pacific region countries. Further majority of the total population of these countries live in rural areas and are dependent on agriculture for their livelihood (Table-3). Even in those countries where the share of agriculture in GDP is very small, the sector is still an important area of concern for policy makers, especially given the increasing global concerns in recent years for food security, trade liberalization and sustainable development. 2. Agriculture and Small and Marginal Farmers In most Asian Countries, small and marginal farms/holdings predominate the agriculture sector (Table-4). In Bangladesh in 1996, they constituted 79.28% of total holdings; in the Republic of Korea the figure was 57.6% in 1995; and Indonesia in 1993, it was 70.8%. Generally, small and marginal farmers have the following features: a) They are the disadvantaged and low income farming population who are concerned with agricultural, livestock, agro-forestry, and aquatic products. b) They are mostly tenants (e.g. share-croppers) and small owner-operators. c) They lack effective share of economic and political power in their villages. d) Problems of under-employment are severe among them. e) Their under-employment has a seasonal character being at the lowest level in the slack season. f) Because they do not have adequate employment in agriculture, they are compelled to engage in low productivity employment, e.g. Food for Work (FFW) programme. 3. Role of Small farmers in Economic Growth and Development a) Small farmers are early adopters of new technology: The intensity of adoption of modern varieties of rice is higher among small farmers than among medium and large farmers (Asaduzzaman, 1979; BBS, 1986; Herdt and Garcia, 1982; and Hossain, 1989). b) 1 2 Small farmers use more fertilizer: Note presented at the Asia Pacific Region Microcredit Summit Meeting of Councils (APRMS) 2004 held in Dhaka on February 16-19, 2004 General Manager, Palli Karma-Sahayak Foundation (PKSF). Views expressed in this note do not necessarily reflect the views of PKSF. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Modern varieties of crops demand greater use of chemical fertilizers. The rate of use of chemical fertilizers per acre of land has been found to be higher among small farmer groups, although they pay higher prices for fertilizer (Herdt and Garcia, 1982 and Hossain, 1989). c) Small farmers are more productive: A large volume of studies have been conducted on the relationship between farm size and land productivity and it has been found that productivity on small farms is higher than on large farms (Hossain, 1977 and 1989; and Mandal, 1980). This size-productivity relationship of Bangladeshi farms is shown in Figure-1. d) Small farmers are more efficient: Research studies have shown that small farmers are more economically efficient than large farmers (Lau and Yotopoulous, 1971 and 1972). The relative economic efficiency of small farmers was due to their technical efficiency (more output for the same amount of input) – both types of farmers are price efficient (equating added cost to added benefits). e) Small farmers invest more in agriculture: Some studies show that small farmers invest a greater proportion of their surplus in agriculture than do medium and large farmers, indicating that small farmers are more interested in agricultural capital formation than other farmers (Hossain, 1989; and Rahman, 1980). f) There will be a strong growth linkage effect from small farmer development: An initial increase in development investment for small farmers will enhance their income, because they are productive. Increased income will increase their demand for investment and consumption goods in both the agricultural and the non-agricultural sectors. Hossain (1987) has estimated that the expenditure elasticity of the urban industrial goods of small farmers is about 2.0. Increased small farmer income would therefore contribute to overall economic growth. 4. Small Farmers Access to Credit In Bangladesh, existing credit institutions can provide less than one-third of total rural credit (Table-5). All banks, including the Grameen Bank, provided 19.76% of total loans in rural areas in the survey year 1987. The share of cooperatives in total loan distribution was only 5.33%. All institutional sources together disbursed slightly over 28% of loans. This implies that non-institutional sources provided about 72% of loans. Informal sources still dominate the rural financial market where interest rates are often notoriously high. Access to institutional sources of credit is limited for small and marginal farmers. About 36% of small farmers borrowed money during the survey year 1987, but only slightly over 11% obtained credit from banks, the major institutional sources of credit (BBS, 1989). Figure-2 shows the credit received per acre of land by different categories of households. The small farm households received only Tk. 13.0 per acre from institutional sources while medium and large farm households obtained respectively Tlk. 91.0 and Tk. 84.0. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Figure-3 shows that small farmers receive the smallest percentage of loans despite the fact that they represent the largest percentage of rural households (Ahmed and Hossain, 1987). In Nepal also, access of small and marginal farmers to formal sources of credit is limited (Table-6). Figure-4 shows the loan repayment behaviour of different categories of farmers. The figure shows a negative relationship between farm size and loan repayment behaviour. The repayment performance of small farmers is much better than that of medium and large farmers. From the above discussions we see that, firstly, informal sources dominate the rural capital market. Secondly, small farmers generally have no access to institutional sources of credit. Thirdly, small farmers receive small amounts as well as a low percentage of loans compared with medium and large farmers on a per acre basis. Finally, the repayment performance of small farmers is better than that of large farmers. 5. Agriculture and Microcredit In Agriculture, all categories of farmers need credit – small and marginal farmers need most. Historically with some lone exceptions, microcredit programmes have not addressed the credit needs of small and marginal farmers – the tomorrow’s poor, apparently for the following reasons: a) Tomorrow’s poor as they are, small and marginal farmers have not been in the priority list of microcredit providers. Providers, for obvious reasons, have been more concerned with the today’s poor. From the point of expanding programme coverage, there is, ironically a great advantage of not covering the tomorrow’s poor – as the number of current poor are covered under the programme, there is an assured flow of the poor from the pool of tomorrow’s poor. Thus, there is a continuously expanding pool (market) of the poor to bring under microcredit coverage. Some of the poor microcredit borrowers, however, spend their credit for some agricultural activities. Ahmed (2004) shows that 12.23% of the total microcredit is used for agricultural activities. b) It appears that microcredit providers consider investment in agriculture risky. Traditionally, agriculture was dependent on the whims of nature – it was vulnerable to floods, draughts and pest attacks. So microcredit providers do not want to risk their investment in agriculture. c) Seasonality of agricultural production appears to be another factor dissuading microcredit providers to advance credit to agriculture sector. It is perceived that since return on the investment in agriculture has seasonal lags from 3 months to 12 months, agricultural borrowers will not be able to repay loans in weekly instalments, and will not be able to make weekly savings, two prominent norms of microcredit lending. The likely consequences of this could be: (a) loan default; (b) reduction in loan revolving rate – reducing interest income; and non or no mobilization of savings which are used indirectly as collateral and as revolving loan funds. d) Low repayment of agricultural loan appears to be another factor influencing the decisions of microcredit providers against lending in agriculture sector. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Historically in many countries in the region, the picture of record of repayment of agricultural loan is very dismal indeed. In Bangladesh, for example, repayment rate of agriculture between 1990-91 through 1998-1999 raged from 12.31% to 27.35% (Table-7). e) 6. Microcredit providers also seem to consider agriculture as a technical occupation funding for which would need technically qualified credit officers and workers. Since they do not generally have technically qualified credit staff, they have refrained from funding to agriculture sector. Making Microcredit Work in Agriculture The tomorrow’s poor – the marginal and small farmers in agriculture of Asia Pacific region need microcredit – credit without collateral. Microcredit providers in the region need, on the one hand to review and extend their priority area for funding to include the poor agriculturaists – the tomorrow’s poor. They should appreciate the fact that like any other poor, the agriculture poor have also a right to credit. On the other hand, they should also appreciate that the agriculture poor are also bankable – the perceived problems of providing credit to the agriculture poor are not real. Let us discuss. Firstly: investment in agriculture need not necessarily be risky. In all Asian and Pacific region countries, the dependence of agriculture on nature has decreased significantly and at the same time productivity in agriculture has increased remarkably. The introduction of irrigation has relieved agriculture substantially of draught; flood-control and drainage programmes have significantly reduced the damage of agriculture from floods. Secondly: The introduction of irrigation-seed fertilizer technology has increased cropping intensity and changed cropping pattern including short-duration crops and high value crops. Growing urbanization has led to the increase in the demand for high value crops. Seasons in agriculture crop production cycle have become shorter in duration and seasons now overlap with one another. In many areas, one can observe year round production – characterized by cropping patterns incorporating cereal crops with vegetables production and so-called cash crops. There is also intercropping. Credit support will definitely further intensify multi-crop and inter-crop cropping patterns. Further the small and marginal farm households, which need microcredit support, are multi-occupational (Hossain 2001, Chambers, Saxena and Shah 1989). For them the concept of livelihood is more appropriate than employment. Livelihood describes an adequate and secure stock and flow of cash and food for the household and its members through out the year, and the means to meet contingencies. The small and marginal farm households are like the foxes in the Greek proverb, the fox knows many things. They seek livelihoods by adopting different income generating activities. Some multi-occupational small and marginal farm households, like other poor households, will also be able to make weekly savings and repay loans in weekly installments, some can make it partially, some others would need some adjustments in the repayment schedule. Thirdly: Microcredit providers need not to stay away from funding small and marginal farmers seeing the poor recovery of loan in agriculture sector because the poor recovery in agriculture is not inherent in the system – it is because of (a) lack of adequate and proper supervision; (b) corruption in the system; (c) political lending; (d) bad culture of exemption of credit again motivated by political reasons; and (e) untimely distribution of loan and inadequate size of loan (Hakim 1988). Microcredit program as we all know, is free from these vices. Further to note is that among the agricultural borrowers, small and marginal farmers are good repayers of loans. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Fourthly: agriculture certainly is a special type of production system, but it is not so technical as would not be understood by microcredit staff appraising loan applications. One may appreciate the fact that the poor and illiterate farmers of Asia and Pacific have adopted modern agricultural technology very successfully. At the same time, we also know that for providing very specialized kinds of services, the Asia Pacific region countries now produce a large number of agricultural graduates every year. The microcredit providers can hire them. 7. Experiences The first government sponsored experimental project on microcredit in Bangladesh targeted small and marginal farmers and landless agricultural labourers. The project results show that small and marginal farmer also use microcredit efficiently and repay loans regularly. They also make regular savings. PKSF recently, has started funding in agricultural activities of the poor. The PKSF experience is also very encouraging. Some PKSF partners also are providing microcredit to small and marginal farmers. Their experiences also suggest that microcredit can be provided to small and marginal farmers. 8. Conclusion Small and marginal farmers constitute the majority of farming population. They are multioccupational, productive and efficient. They are good re-payers of loan. They generally have inadequate access to productive assets and very insignificant access to formal sources of credit. As a result, they pass through a process of losing their scanty resources, and join the pool of poor – they are the tomorrow’s poor. Access of small and marginal farmers to microcredit can significantly help them to avoid sliding down the poverty ladder. Providers of microcredit have not generally addressed the credit need of small and marginal farmers because of their priority of funding to the poor and because of some perceived problems which include, among others, (a) risk of invest in agriculture; (b) seasonality of agricultural production; (c) poor loan repayment performance of agricultural lending; and (d) technical nature of agriculture production system. This small note shows that the perceived problems of lending in agriculture sector targeting small and marginal farmers are not real and argues that microcredit providers should extend their priority area of lending to cover small and marginal farmers – the tomorrow’s poor – who like the poor, have a right to credit. The norms and disciplines of microcredit which, among others, include weekly meetings and weekly savings need not be compromised for such lending. Only the repayment schedule will require some adjustments, and that again not in all cases. The supply of microcredit to small and marginal farmers needs to be supported by the provision of extension services and marketing and storage facilities. These services can be provided by microcredit institutions themselves and also by the relevant government departments. As suggested by Yunus (2004), we can put to agriculture microcredit a label, say ‘small farmers microcredit’ and formulate right policies and design appropriate methodologies for ‘small farmers microcredit’. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Table-1: Percentage Share of Agriculture in GDP at Current Market Price Country 1975 Bangladesh 59.1 Cambodia China India a) 40.5 Indonesia 31.7 Korea, Rep. of 24.5 Lao, PDR a) Malaysia Myanmar 47.1 Nepal a) 71.8 Pakistan a) 32.4 Philippines 30.3 Sri Lanka 28.0 Thailand 26.9 Vietnam Note: a) At current factor cost. Source: Pyakuryal (1999). 1985 41.8 28.4 33.0 23.2 12.5 53.9 48.2 51.7 28.5 24.6 24.4 15.8 47.2 1993 30.0 19.0 31.0 19.0 7.0 51.0 63.0 43.0 25.0 22.0 25.0 10.0 29.0 1995 19.7 17.2 6.6 55.9 62.1 42.4 26.0 21.7 10.9 27.5 2001 23 37 15 24 16 4 53 8 60 38 25 15 19 10 24 Table-2: Employment in Agricultural Sector Country 1960 Bangladesh 86 Cambodia 83 China 83 India 74 Indonesia 75 Korea, Rep. of 61 Lao, PDR 82 Malaysia 63 Myanmar 81 Nepal 95 Pakistan 61 Philippines 64 Sri Lanka 57 Thailand 84 Vietnam 82 Source: Pyakuryal, Kiran (1999). 1980 72 74 70 58 37 80 41 76 94 60 52 52 71 73 D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc 1990 65 74 72 64 55 18 78 27 73 94 52 46 48 64 71 Table-3: Percent of Rural Population in Asia Compared with Other Regions Country/Region Africa Asia Australia/New Zealand Europe Latin America and Caribbean North America the 2000 65.1 62.5 14.9 25.1 24.5 2030 51.6 45.5 11.2 17.0 16.7 22.7 15.8 Source: Hossain (2001) Table-4: Structure of Distribution of Landholdings: Selected Asian Countries Rep. of Korea 1968 1995 0 – 1 ha 1 – 2 ha 2 – 3 ha > 3.0 ha Average size (ha) 65.1 26.0 5.2 1.5 0.9 57.6 27.8 8.2 4.7 1.4 Indonesia 1963 1993 0 – 1 ha 1 – 2 ha 2 – 3 ha 3 – 5 ha 5 – 10 ha > 10 ha Average size (ha) 70.1 18.2 5.7 3.5 1.8 0.7 1.1 70.8 16.8 7.4 3.7 1.2 0.2 0.7 Thailand 1963 1993 0.0 – 0.9 ha 0.9 – 2.4 ha 2.4 – 4.8 ha 4.9 – 9.6 ha > 9.6 ha Average size (ha) Source: Hossain, Mahabub (2001). Bangladesh 1960 18.5 29.4 27.5 19.2 5.4 3.5 19.7 30.1 28.1 17.2 4.8 3.4 1977 1983-84 1996 0.02 – 1.01 ha 51.62 49.73 69.96 79.28 1.01 – 3.03 ha 44.89 40.84 24.90 18.28 3.04 – above 3.49 9.43 5.14 2.44 Average size (ha) 1.43 1.42 0.92 0.69 Source: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics: Analytical Report, Census of Agriculture – 1996 (Volume3). D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Table-5: Distribution of Rural Loans by Credit Agencies (in %): 1987 Credit Agencies % of loans disbursed Formal Sources Bank BKB Commercial Banks Grameen Banks Sub-Total (Banks) 11.08 6.22 2.46 19.76 Cooperatives & Other Agencies Cooperative Societies Govt. and Semi-Govt. Agencies Non Govt. Organizations (NGOs) Sub-Total (Cooperatives and agencies) Sub-Total (formal sources) other 5.33 1.94 1.36 8.63 formal 28.39 Informal Sources Professional Money Lenders Friends and Relatives Other Sub-Total (informal sources) 29.21 38.81 3.59 71.61 Grand Total 100.00 Source:The Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). Rural Credit Survey in Bangladesh 1987. Dhaka: Government of Bangladesh, 1989 Table-6: Borrowing from Institutional and Non-Institutional Sources in Terai Districts FY 1991/92 Details and Source of Borrowing Proportion of Households (%) Borrowing from Average Amount Borrowed (NRs) Average Amount Borrowed (%) from each source) F N F N F N Household (Farm) Size Category Medium All Small Marginal Large Household (>4 ha) (2-4 ha) (0.5-2 (0.05-0.5 sa ha) ha) 9 16 15 10 6 35 28 36 36 39 819 2657 1780 808 373 2156 28 72 8874 23 77 3260 35 65 1864 30 70 1400 21 79 F = Formal; ha = Hectare; N = Nonformal a = Includes landless households not listed separately here Source: Asian Development Bank (1997): Project Performance Audit Report on the Fifth Agricultural Credit Project D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Table-7: Disbursement and Recovery of Agriculture Credit Financial Year Loan Disbursement Loan Recovered Loan due for recovery Loan Received (%) 1990/91 595.60 625.32 5078.13 12.31 1991/92 794.59 662.11 4707.45 14.07 1992/93 841.85 869.23 4823.61 18.02 1993/94 1100.79 979.12 5242.88 18.66 1994/95 1605.00 1124.11 5613.25 20.03 1995/96 1636.00 1340.00 6193.50 21.64 1996/97 1672.00 1646.00 6907.00 23.83 1997/98 1815.00 1779.00 7187.75 24.75 1998/99 3005.00 1916.00 7005.79 27.35 Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Government of Bangladesh (1999): PCP Project for Setting up Agriculture Credit Foundation. Figure-1: Farm-Size and Land Productivity by Technology: 1982 1.60 Metric tons/acre 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 MD MU LD LU MD: Modern Variety Technologically Developed Villages MU: Modern Variety Technologically Medium Farmer : 2.5 – 5.0 Underdeveloped Villages acres LD: Local Variety Technologically Developed Large Farmer : Above 5.0 Villages acres LU: Local Variety Technologically Underdeveloped Villages Source: Hossain, Mahabub (1989), Green Revolution in Bangladesh, University Press Limited. Small Farmer : Less than 2.5 acres D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Figure-2: Institutional Credit Received/Acre of Land by Farm Size: 1985 Credit/acre in Taka Tk. 91 Tk. 100 Tk. 90 Tk. 80 Tk. 70 Tk. 60 Tk. 50 Tk. 40 Tk. 30 Tk. 20 Tk. 10 Tk. 0 Tk. 84 Tk. 13 Small Farmer (0.50- Medium Farmer (2.51- Large Farmer (7.51+) 2.50) 7.50) Farm Size (acres) Source: Hossain, Mahbub: “Institutional Credit for Rural Development: An Overview of Bangladesh Case”. Bangladesh Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol-VIII. Bureau of Socio-Economic Research and Training, BAU, Mymensingh, 1985. Figure-3: Institutional Loan by Farm Size Bangladesh: 1982 38.4% 40.0% % of loan amount disbursed 35.0% 34.4% 29.2% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Small Farmer (0.00- Medium Farmer (2.00- Large Farmer (5.00+) 1.99) 4.99) Farm Size (acres) Source: Ahmed, Raisuddin and Hossain, Mahbub: “Infrastructure and Development of a Rural Economy”. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C. 1987. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Figure-4: Institutional Loans Repaid by Farm Size Bangladesh % of loan amount repaid 45% 42% 40% 32% 35% 30% 22% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Marginal (0.00-1.00) Small (1.012.50) Medium Large (5.01+) (2.51-5.00) Farm Size (acres) Source: Bashar, Abul; K.Q. Elahi and Alam, F: An Investigation into the 100 Crore Special Agricultural Credit Programme in some Selected Areas of Mymensingh District: Bureau of Economic Research and Training, BAU, Mymensingh, 1981. References Ahmed, Raisuddin and M. Hossain (1987), “Infrastructure and Development of a Rural Economy”. Internatioa Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C. Ahmed, Salehuddin (2004), “Microcredit and Poverty: New Realities and Strategic Issues”, in Salehuddin Ahmed and M. A. 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(1977), Agrarian Structure and Feasibility of Land Reform in Bangladesh. Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Cambridge. Hossain, M. (1987), “Fertilizer Consumption, Pricing and Foodgrain Production in Bangladesh”. In Fertilizer Pricing Policy in Bangladesh. Edited by Bruce Stone, Washington D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute/BIDS. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc Hossain, M. (1989), Green Revolution in Bangladesh: Impact on the Growth and Distribution of Income. Dhaka. University Press Ltd. Hossain, Mahabub (2001), “Rural Economy and Multifunctionality of Agriculture”. In Role of Multifuncitionality in Agricultural Policy Reforms, Asian Productivity Organization. Lau, L. J. and P. A. Yotopoulos (1971), A Test of Relative Economic Efficiency and Application to Indian Agriculture. The American Economic Review. Vol. 61 (1), PP- 94-109. Lau, L. J. and P. A. Yotopoulos (1972), Profit, Supply and Demand Functions. American Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol. 54, pp. 11-18. Mandal, M. A. S. (1980), “Farm Size, Tenancy and Productivity in an Area of Bangladesh” The Bangladesh Journal of Development Studies. Vol. 3. No. 2. Pyakuryal, Kiran (1999), “Current Issues in Agricultural Structure in Asian Development Countries”. In Structural Adjustments in Agriculture in Asia, Asian Productivity Organization. Rahman, Atiq. (1980), “Surplus Utilization and Capital Formation in Bangladesh Agriculture”. The Bangladesh Development Studies. 8 (4): 21-26. Yunus, Muhammad (2004), “Expanding Microcredit Outreach to Reach the Millennium Development Goals: Some Issues for Attention”, in Salehuddin Ahmed and M. A. Hakim (eds) Attacking Poverty With Microcredit, Palli Karma-Sahayak Foundation and The University Press Limited. D:\Inetpub\wwwroot\pksf\Copy of speeches & Papers\Dr.M.A.Hakim\Microcredit and Agriculture.doc