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Metropolitan Affairs Coalition SPEEDLIN K - A Rapid Transit Option for Greater Detroit Final Report in association with Avance Communications June 2001 Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Final Report SPEEDLINK - A Rapid Transit Option for Greater Detroit in association with Avance Communications June 2001 © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Permission is granted by Metropolitan Affairs Coalition to cite portions of this report, with proper attribution. The first source attribution must be MAC, Metropolitan Affairs Coalition; subsequently, MAC is sufficient. Reprinting in any form must include the report's full title page. Table of Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................................... ES-1 1.0 Introduction.......................................................................................................................1-1 2.0 Stakeholder Participation 2.1 First Round ..................................................................................................................2-1 2.2 Second Round .............................................................................................................2-2 3.0 Transportation Needs and Challenges 3.1 Demographics and Employment .............................................................................3-1 3.2 Travel............................................................................................................................3-3 3.3 Transit...........................................................................................................................3-5 3.4 Conclusions .................................................................................................................3-9 4.0 BRT Work Elsewhere 4.1 Curitiba, Brazil Model................................................................................................4-1 4.2 Federal Transit Administration Initiative...............................................................4-1 4.3 Implications for SpeedLink.......................................................................................4-3 5.0 BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit 5.1 General Characteristics and Performance Characteristics....................................5-1 5.2 Key Elements...............................................................................................................5-3 5.3 Summary......................................................................................................................5-5 6.0 Feasibility Conclusion 6.1 Feasibility.....................................................................................................................6-1 7.0 Conceptual Network 7.1 Conceptual Network Criteria. ..................................................................................7-1 7.1.1 SpeedLink Corridor Mobility Objectives.......................................................7-1 7.1.2 SpeedLink Corridor Design Objectives..........................................................7-1 7.1.3 SpeedLink Corridor Evaluation Criteria........................................................7-2 7.2 Preliminary Conceptual Network............................................................................7-2 7.3 Network Refinement..................................................................................................7-7 7.3.1 Preliminary Corridor Groups..........................................................................7-7 7.3.2 Identification of Missing Corridors.................................................................7-7 7.3.3 Freeway SpeedLink Corridors.........................................................................7-8 7.4 Final SpeedLink Conceptual Network....................................................................7-8 7.4.1 Corridor/Network Criteria..............................................................................7-8 Page TC-1 Table of Contents Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 8.0 Ridership 8.1 Peer Comparisons.......................................................................................................8-1 8.2 Incremental Logit Model...........................................................................................8-2 8.3 Summary......................................................................................................................8-2 9.0 Cost 9.1 SpeedLink Design and Performance Assumptions...............................................9-1 9.2 SpeedLink Line and Service Characteristics...........................................................9-2 9.3 SpeedLink Operating Costs and Net Operating Subsidy.....................................9-3 9.4 SpeedLink Capital Costs............................................................................................9-4 9.5 SpeedLink Pilot Project Costs...................................................................................9-4 10.0 Starter Line 10.1 Draft Starter Line Selection Criteria.....................................................................10-1 10.2 Short List Scoring....................................................................................................10-1 10.3 Implementation Potential and Demonstration Criteria....................................10-2 10.4 Recommended Starter Line...................................................................................10-3 11.0 Starter Line Phasing Plan 11.1 Implementation of the Starter Line by Segments...............................................11-1 12.0 Organizational Issues 12.1 Major Organizational Issues. ................................................................................12-1 12.2 SpeedLink Implementation and Operational Requirements...........................12-1 12.3 Regional Versus Municipal and County.............................................................12-2 12.4 Regulatory Issues....................................................................................................12-2 12.5 How Others Have Started Rapid Transit?..........................................................12-3 12.6 Organizational Options for SpeedLink. ..............................................................12-3 12.7 Organizational Options for Implementation......................................................12-4 12.8 Summary..................................................................................................................12-5 13.0 Funding 13.1 Funding Requirements. .........................................................................................13-1 13.2 Funding Options.....................................................................................................13-1 13.3 Summary..................................................................................................................13-2 14.0 Next Steps Page TC-2 Table of Contents Metropolitan Affairs Coalition List of Figures 1.0 Introduction Figure 1-1: SEMCOG Region. .........................................................................................1-1 3.0 Transportation Needs and Challenges Figure 3-1: Residential Transit Orientation Index – 2000 Greater Detroit................3-1 Figure 3-2: Total Employment – 2000 - Greater Detroit..............................................3-2 Figure 3-3: Service & Retail Employment – 2000 - Greater Detroit. ..........................3-2 Figure 3-4: Potential Demand – 2000 - Greater Detroit...............................................3-3 Figure 3-5: Total Trips – 2025 - Greater Detroit............................................................3-3 Figure 3-6: Average Weekday Ridership – DDOT - Greater Detroit. .......................3-5 Figure 3-7: Average Weekday Ridership – SMART - Greater Detroit......................3-6 Figure 3-8: Peak Service Frequency – DDOT - Greater Detroit. ................................3-6 Figure 3-9: Peak Service Frequency – SMART - Greater Detroit. ..............................3-7 4.0 BRT Work Elsewhere Figure 4-1: BRT Demonstration and Participating Projects........................................4-1 5.0 BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit Figure 5-1: General Characteristics of Rapid Transit Modes. ....................................5-1 Figure 5-2: Performance Characteristics of Rapid Transit Modes.............................5-2 Figure 5-3: Key Elements of Rapid Transit Modes......................................................5-4 Figure 5-4: Four Basic BRT Configurations. .................................................................5-5 6.0 Feasibility Conclusion Figure 6.1: SpeedLink Attributes....................................................................................6-1 7.0 Conceptual Network Figure 7-1: Preliminary SpeedLink Network. ..............................................................7-4 Figure 7-2: Preliminary SpeedLink Network with ½ Mile Buffer.............................7-4 Figure 7-3: Residential and Employment Concentrations..........................................7-5 Figure 7-4: Travel Demand..............................................................................................7-5 Figure 7-5: Traffic Volume...............................................................................................7-6 Figure 7-6: Transit Ridership. .........................................................................................7-6 Figure 7-7: Major Activity Centers.................................................................................7-7 Figure 7-8: Final SpeedLink Conceptual Network. .....................................................7-8 Page TC-3 Table of Contents Metropolitan Affairs Coalition List of Tables 4.0 BRT Work Elsewhere Table 4-1: BRT Demonstration Project Attributes........................................................4-1 7.0 Conceptual Network Table 7-1: Mobility Criteria Evaluation Matrix. ...........................................................7-3 Table 7-2: SpeedLink Network. ......................................................................................7-9 8.0 Ridership Table 8-1: Peer Comparisons...........................................................................................8-1 Table 8-2: SpeedLink Ridership Estimates....................................................................8-3 9.0 Cost Table 9-1: SpeedLink Line Characteristics....................................................................9-2 Table 9-2: SpeedLink Service Characteristics. ..............................................................9-3 Table 9-3: SpeedLink Operating Costs and Net Operating Subsidy.........................9-3 Table 9-4: SpeedLink Capital Costs. ..............................................................................9-4 Table 9-5: SpeedLink Pilot Project Costs.......................................................................9-4 10.0 Starter Line Table 10-1: Short List Scoring........................................................................................10-1 Table 10-2: Short List Ranking......................................................................................10-2 Table 10-3: Criteria Evaluation for the Three Short-Listed SpeedLink Lines........10-3 12.0 Organizational Issues Table 12-1: Implementation Options. ..........................................................................12-1 Page TC-4 Executive Summary The Metropolitan Affairs Coalition (MAC) has served as a unique regional coalition of public and private leaders bringing together business, labor, and government to solve area-wide problems affecting the economic vitality and quality of life of Southeast Michigan. MAC serves as a catalyst in addressing regional concerns and facilitating the design of cooperative solutions that improve government efficiency and enhance the economic development potential of Greater Detroit. Public transportation has become a priority for MAC because of its importance to a mobile labor force and a strong economy, as well as its vital service to seniors, persons with disabilities, and transit-dependent populations. MAC is aware that an enhanced public transportation system is essential in order to place Greater Detroit in a better position to compete with transit-rich metropolitan areas throughout the United States for business, jobs, tourism, conventions, and desirability as a place to live, work, and raise a family. Due to the growing traffic congestion and lengthening trips in the region, other transportation alternatives must be offered outside the private automobile to provide effective public mobility. MAC, in cooperation with Detroit Renaissance and the Detroit Regional Chamber collectively decided to address these issues themselves by forming the “SpeedLink Collaborative”. With growing interest in Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) from the Federal Transit Administration, the “SpeedLink Collaborative” has opened the debate on BRT for Detroit. BRT offers many of the features of light rail, such as vehicle movement unimpeded by traffic signals and congestion, fare collection prior to boarding, quick passenger loading and unloading, and efficient, reliable service. This growing interest in Bus Rapid Transit at both a federal and local level was initially spurred by the system currently operated in Curitiba, Brazil. The Curitiba model, which was well explained in the MAC concept paper, “SpeedLink - A Train on Tires,” describes also how this type of system might be adapted to Metropolitan Detroit. There are also other BRT examples throughout the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia that can also provide insights for Metro Detroit. MAC commissioned a study to determine the feasibility of implementing SpeedLink in the Detroit Region. Stakeholder Involvement An important part of the SpeedLink project is the building of awareness of this new form of Rapid Transit as well as understanding the history and perceptions of transit that face the Detroit region. Thus, a series of interviews were undertaken with a selection of stakeholders in the region to get an accurate picture of the key issues facing the Detroit Region and the perception of current and future transit opportunities and concerns. ES-1 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition One of the key concerns of the stakeholders was the characteristics of any type of SpeedLink service. In order for SpeedLink to succeed in Metro Detroit it has to be cost effective and set itself apart from the current transit services being offered in Detroit. Any proposed SpeedLink service needs to offer many new amenities not provided by the current transit service. These include “high-tech” vehicles, off-vehicle fare payment, well-designed shelters that offer relief from the elements, signal priority, exclusive lanes, and improved station and vehicle security. Furthermore, SpeedLink will need to be sensitive to its customer base and “provide reliable service day-in and day-out.” The network design should take in to account the suburb-to-suburb travel patterns in the region as well as the urban-to-suburb commute aspect. There were also several concerns raised regarding the organizational and funding needs of SpeedLink, as well as, the existing operators. Most stakeholders indicated that SpeedLink should not replace the existing transit service on a corridor, but supplement the local service. Also, there was a general consensus that the existing providers will also need to increase the feeder services to the SpeedLink corridors. As pointed out by the majority of the stakeholders, it will be imperative that SpeedLink, along with the existing transit services, be a seamless system in every regard no matter who is operating the service. Transportation Needs and Challenges The Transit Needs and Challenges assessment methodology was developed for the study of SpeedLink feasibility and the possible development of a conceptual network, as well as identification of a starter line. The methodology for this study encompassed three principal elements: • • • Demographics and Employment Travel Demand Current Transit Use Metropolitan Detroit has an increasingly dispersed pattern of residential and employment densities, not unlike many other metropolitan areas. Downtown Detroit is no longer the dominant employment and activity center of the region, although a number of initiatives are under way to reverse this trend. The traditional urban core and major corridors still retain many of the necessary land use elements conducive to higher levels of transit use. Metro Detroit shares many similarities with other regions that have recently implemented Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) and Light Rail Transit (LRT) in terms of travel demand patterns and residential and employment densities. In many ways Metro Detroit is ahead of many new BRT/LRT initiatives in having stronger transit supportive land use patterns. Even in many older suburban areas of Metropolitan Detroit, the patterns still reflect better street access and stronger pedestrian activity than other areas implementing rapid transit initiatives around the United States. In conclusion, the transit needs in Metro Detroit represent a combination of strong transit orientation in the traditional urban core and corridors together with increasingly automobile dependent suburbs. These transit needs, while not supporting a traditional center city-dominated transit network structure (i.e., central hub-and-spoke), do support a multiple hub network of both ES-2 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition regional radial-crosstown services together with short-distance community shuttles where transit supportive land uses are not present. Such a network represents a rational integration of the two prevailing current transit networks (i.e., DDOT and SMART) with the hub-to-hub connections along major corridors served by higher speed and more frequent rapid transit services (e.g., SpeedLink). These demand patterns and network structure are not inconsistent with those of recent or upcoming BRT and LRT projects that have or are being successfully undertaken elsewhere. BRT Work Elsewhere With all the success that Curitiba has seen with its BRT program, the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) has encouraged American cities to consider, analyze, and evaluate the benefits of implementing Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) as a way of meeting their rapid transit needs. The following map shows the FTA Demonstration and Participating BRT projects. The development of BRT proposals from various transit systems and metropolitan areas has continued to increase with each month. The pattern and volume of travel demand, demographic and employment characteristics, nature of street and freeway corridors, and existing transit services in these various regions planning and operating BRT services run the entire range from Chicago and Los Angeles to Hartford and Eugene. Clearly, Metropolitan Detroit falls within this range even considering its unique characteristics. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition BRT Demonstration and Participating Projects A second aspect of these BRT initiatives is the desire to move ahead with transit and BRT. These regions have made collective decisions to invest public funds and energy in BRT, each for their own reasons. The SpeedLink Feasibility Study is a first step in making such a collective decision in Metropolitan Detroit. BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit The Rapid Transit corridor mode choices available for consideration include the traditional commuter rail (CR), heavy rail transit (HRT), and light rail transit (LRT) and two newer options, automated guideway transit (AGT) and bus rapid transit (BRT). The evidence from initial BRT startups in the United States and more mature systems overseas supports the finding that BRT meets the basic performance requirements of Rapid Transit and is considered by existing and potential riders as a completely separate “brand” of service. Daniel McFadden, Nobel-winning economist, in testing consumer choice theory found that users perceived the time and cost of rail rapid transit (BART) and high quality bus service (TransBay ES-3 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition expresses) to be equivalent with all things being equal. In Los Angeles almost half of the initial ridership increase of 30 percent on its BRT has come from new customers, even without exclusive lanes or right-of-way (achieving the “all things equal” is part of their next phase). In conclusion, Bus Rapid Transit is “Rapid Transit” if provided with equal priority and attributes to rail rapid transit (the “all things being equal” ). SpeedLink Feasibility Conclusion Metro Detroit is a region without a major center city employment focus. Downtown Detroit continues its effort to attract business and is experiencing recent success. However, travel will likely remain highly dispersed throughout the region, with continuing development in several key nodes. This dispersal of employment will have the positive impact on transit of creating demand for services in both directions. The focus of development at particular nodes will also help create the densities needed to support both rapid transit and necessary hubs supporting an integrated network of services. The residential and employment densities along major corridors are not unlike those of many new and planned BRT and LRT lines in other metropolitan areas. As well, current transit ridership on several Metro Detroit corridors is comparable to that of BRT and LRT lines elsewhere in the United States. Thus, it is concluded that a SpeedLink network is feasible for Metro Detroit provided that it has the right combination of attributes to attract riders from both new and existing market segments. SpeedLink Attributes Simple Route Layout Integrated Transit Network Frequent Headways Station Stops Less Frequent Stops Exclusive Lanes Level Boarding and Alighting ”All things need to be equal” with rail rapid transit for success! Multiple-Door Boarding/ Alighting Signal Priority Off- Vehicle Fare Payment Coordinated Land Use Planning Improved Customer Experience Color - coded Vehicles and Stations Higher Capacity Vehicles ES-4 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Conceptual Network Objectives and criteria were developed to assist with the identification and assessment of candidate corridors that would comprise the conceptual SpeedLink network and to assist in identifying Starter Line(s). The objectives and criteria were broken into two categories: mobility needs and corridor design. Corridor Mobility Objectives Corridor Design Objectives Coordinate with transit supportive land uses • Integrate with existing transit supportive land uses and foster development of short and longer term transit supportive land use Compatible roadway or right-of-way physical characteristics • Opportunity for full or partial exclusive lanes • Opportunity for optimal station location Serve high travel demand routes with market opportunities • High population and employment densities • High travel demand and traffic volumes • Presence of major activity centers • High current transit ridership Compatible with use of transit priority measures • Exclusive lanes • Traffic signal priority High level of network integration • Consistent with development of regional intermodal network and provides high level of trip connectivity with DDOT & SMART network High accessibility to stations • Positive walking environment • Strong transit network transfer opportunities • Potential for development of Park-and-Ride access The final SpeedLink conceptual network includes some 11 corridors in alphabetical order and can be in seen in the following map: • • • • • • • • • • • 8 Mile Big Beaver/Metro Parkway Fort Street Grand River Avenue Gratiot Avenue Greenfield Road M-59 Michigan Avenue Telegraph Road Van Dyke Avenue Woodward Avenue © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Final SpeedLink Conceptual Network ES-5 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Ridership The SpeedLink ridership estimation process was intended to provide order-of-magnitude ridership estimates with the intention of actually testing market feasibility as part of one or more starter line projects. Two relatively straightforward techniques were each used to estimate the corridor ridership and provide a range of potential ridership: peer comparison and an incremental logit formulation. A range of results were calculated with the lower end produced by the logit model and the middle and higher estimates from actual peer performance. These estimates can be updated and refined by SEMCOG once they complete their new model with the transit mode split component for the Detroit Region. The following ridership estimates are based on individual corridors and do not reflect the positive synergistic impacts of a network of SpeedLink services, nor do they show the concurrent increases in ridership that corridor local services will also likely experience. Thus, these figures should be considered baseline conservative estimates and will need refinement when SEMCOG’s new regional mode split model is completed late in 2001. SpeedLink Ridership Estimates Current Transit Ridership SpeedLink Line 8 Mile Corridor Ridership Estimate Basis Logit Model Peer Rev Hour Productivity Peer Rev Mile Productivity Peer Route Mile Productivity 4,177 5,800 17,900 36,200 14,100 409 1,200 19,600 23,800 9,300 3,181 3,800 17,300 25,300 9,900 Grand River 13,401 15,700 19,400 30,100 11,700 Gratiot 12,735 14,900 17,900 29,000 11,300 9,750 12,500 21,400 28,600 11,100 1 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway Fort Greenfield M-59 Michigan Telegraph Van Dyke Woodward 94 300 20,100 35,800 14,000 3,744 4,700 16,100 29,000 11,300 640 1,300 31,500 43,400 16,900 6,560 8,000 18,900 29,200 11,400 18,041 21,200 22,900 35,300 13,800 Cost The development of operating and capital costs for the conceptual SpeedLink network and candidate starter lines requires that the attributes for SpeedLink be formalized. Based on discussions with the Task Force and stakeholders the following has been proposed for SpeedLink. ES-6 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Right-of-Way Assumptions • Exclusive lane arterial operation • Signal priority at all intersections • No new grade separations or existing roadbed reconstruction Station Assumptions • Lighted and heated stations • “Real-time” passenger information • Ticket vending machines • New joint-use park-and-ride lots Service Operation Assumptions • Service performance estimated based on exclusive lane arterial operation • Operation of low-floor articulated vehicles Vehicle Assumptions • Low-floor single-articulated vehicles • Hybrid vehicle power • New maintenance facility assumed • No automatic vehicle guidance proposed “Hold Harmless” Assumptions • Assumed that DDOT and SMART continue to operate current service or reallocate saved resources to provide additional connecting service • Assumed that only net gains in operating revenue attributed to SpeedLink Starter Line • DDOT/SMART finances unchanged Operating Cost Assumptions • Operating cost per service hour of $100 assumed • Includes additional facility and articulated fleet maintenance • Includes additional DDOT/SMART/ADA enhancements (25% of total) The SpeedLink Line and Service Characteristics include: • • • • SpeedLink would operate 7-days per week from approximately 4 am to 1 am. SpeedLink would operate at 5-minute intervals during peak weekday periods and every 10-minutes on weekends and during weekday midday periods. Evening service would operate every 20-minutes. Stations would be spaced at all major transfer points with DDOT and SMART services, at major activity centers, and at connecting points with other SpeedLink lines. Service operating speeds would be based on improvements over current bus service running times with assumed 15 percent terminal recovery time. ES-7 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition The SpeedLink Starter Line Project Costs by line are estimated to be: SpeedLink Line 2-Year Operating Subsidy Capital Costs Total Pilot Project Costs 8 Mile $15,292,000 $170,900,000 $186,192,000 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway $17,944,000 $118,300,000 $136,244,000 Fort $16,214,000 $144,100,000 $160,314,000 Grand River $20,960,000 $159,300,000 $180,260,000 Gratiot $19,274,000 $146,800,000 $166,074,000 Greenfield $22,134,000 $154,000,000 $176,134,000 M-59 $16,406,000 $149,900,000 $166,306,000 Michigan $14,374,000 $149,800,000 $164,174,000 Telegraph $28,142,000 $217,800,000 $245,942,000 Van Dyke $18,476,000 $155,700,000 $174,176,000 Woodward $25,492,000 $188,000,000 $213,492,000 $30,000,000 $30,000,000 $1,754,600,000 $1,969,308,000 Maintenance Facility TOTAL $214,708,000 SpeedLink Starter Line The starter line or lines are the initial elements of the SpeedLink network to be implemented. They are usually selected on the basis of their likelihood of success, ease of implementation, and affordability, as well as their importance as a foundation upon which to build the remainder of the network. The starter line(s) selection followed a three-step process that was built from the conceptual network criteria previously developed followed by assessing short-term implementation and demonstration testing criteria. 1. Develop short list candidates based on corridor mobility and design criteria 2. Fast implementation potential (3-5 years) • Projects can be implemented with resources that can acquired in the near term • Willingness of jurisdiction(s) to partner on SpeedLink Starter Line 3. Opportunity to test in variety of settings • Minimum SpeedLink design standards achievable • Serves variety of travel market groups • Tests variety of transit priority measures • Tests in geographically diverse areas • Potential to achieve broad public and political support • Allows testing of individual lines and network connectivity ES-8 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition The results of the short list scoring follow: SpeedLink Corridor Composite Score Woodward 91% Gratiot 77% Grand River 76% Greenfield 67% Michigan 62% Van Dyke 59% Fort 56% 8 Mile 50% Telegraph 47% M-59 42% Big Beaver/Metro Pkwy 42% SHORT LIST Woodward, Gratiot and Grand River were then each individually assessed for their fast implementation potential and the opportunity to test SpeedLink in a variety of settings. Woodward Avenue was selected as the preliminary recommendation for the SpeedLink Starter Line because it provides the best balance of high residential and employment densities and the greatest variation in market segments, has the largest number of major activity centers, provides many opportunities to test transit priority, serves a variety of urban and suburban settings, has existing corridor redevelopment activity, provides the maximum connectivity with the existing DDOT and SMART bus services, and can help mitigate the I-75 freeway reconstruction work in the near term. Jefferson Cadillac Square Temple Adams Mack Canfield Warren New Center Grand Blvd Euclid Owen Trowbridge Buena Vista Manchester Savannah McNichols 7 Mile State Fair 8 Mile 9 Mile Channing Woodward Hgts Zoo 11 Mile 13 Mile/Coolidge 12 Mile 14 Mile Maple 16 Mile/Big Beaver Downtown Pontiac South Blvd Woodward Avenue Organizational Issues One of the key implementation issues of the SpeedLink starter line relates to the “who’s going to develop and oversee SpeedLink, who’s going to operate it, and who’s going to fund it.” It was not the intention of this study to develop and/or recommend any particular organizational model for transit in Metro Detroit, but rather to identify the key issues and requirements that SpeedLink will ES-9 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition require organizationally in order for an informed decision to be made in the larger context beyond just SpeedLink’s technical needs. The organizational assessment focused on three areas: • SpeedLink implementation and operational requirements – the agency must be able to accept funding, enter into agreements with public and private entities, and have the power to design, build, and operate SpeedLink. • Metropolitan Detroit’s mobility needs transcend both municipal and county jurisdictional boundaries and existing DDOT and SMART boundaries. The SpeedLink element of the integrated network of services is a regional strategy. • The organization will need to comply with a complex federal, state, and local regulatory environment. The organizational options for SpeedLink vary somewhat depending upon the short term versus the longer term due to the need to develop, implement, and operate/manage a starter line(s) versus an entire network of SpeedLink lines. To this end, organizational options are simply identified for consideration under both time frames. Near Term (Starter Line(s)) • Regional Transportation Coordinating Council (RTCC) – Cannot operate service directly in-house – Requires third party operation (public or private) – RTCC has not been used previously on a project like SpeedLink • DDOT and/or SMART – One or both could implement and operate SpeedLink in-house or with third party contract – Both would have to acquire technical expertise for a SpeedLink-type implementation – Both are focused on their respective service areas and SpeedLink will require a regional perspective • New regional authority – Starting a brand new transit service at the same time would be a challenge – Depending on enabling legislation, could implement SpeedLink in-house or with third party Long Term (Full SpeedLink Network) • Regional Transportation Coordinating Council (RTCC) – Possible oversight for new SpeedLink entity – Does not have mechanism for long term funding for SpeedLink ES-10 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition • DDOT and/or SMART – Neither has the regional funding capability needed for implementing SpeedLink – Neither has the regional operating and implementation planning authority • New regional authority – Assumes availability of long term dedicated funding – Likely ability needed to accept federal and state funds – Operating and implementation planning authority required While there are many technical challenges to making SpeedLink a reality for Metro Detroit customers, the more difficult may be solving the organization issues. The successful resolution of the organizational issues and the establishment of an effective structure for transit will likely be the most important element in the future of SpeedLink in the region. Funding Issues SpeedLink will need short-term funds to cover the capital and operating costs of the starter line(s) demonstration. There are two possible options for funding the starter line(s): • • Possible one-time grant covering portion of demonstration cost Allocation from new long term dedicated funding source These funds will need to be available quickly to implement a starter line(s) within the next 3-5 years as desired by the Task Force and the Stakeholders. Neither of the existing transit operators have any surplus funds available for SpeedLink. In fact, one of the basic assumptions in the costing is that neither operator will suffer a negative financial impact from SpeedLink. Once the starter line(s) is successfully demonstrated (if not sooner), there will be a critical need to secure a long term source of funds to build and operate the full SpeedLink network and make necessary improvements in other transit services that comprise the integrated system. There are three principal sources of funds outside of operating revenues: federal, state, and local. The federal opportunities include Federal Transit Administration (FTA) as well as FHWA and HUD funds. The FTA funds in particular require significant local/state matching funds. New state and local fund sources will be needed to provide local match for federal capital funds and to provide for the required operating subsidy. A long term dedicated funding source for both SpeedLink and the necessary enhancement of the other elements in the integrated network of transit services is imperative to moving ahead. ES-11 Executive Summary Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Next Steps The conclusion of the SpeedLink Feasibility Study with the identification of a short list of candidate starter line(s) begins the “next steps” process. The following list covers the general steps that will be involved in moving forward with a SpeedLink starter line: • Public comment – stakeholders (Months 1-3) • Coordination with SEMCOG – finalize starter line (Months 1-6) • Address organization and funding issues (Months 1-24) • Decide on implementation option (Months 24-27) • Select design, construction, and operations entities (Months 27-30) • Complete implementation (Months 30-54) • Initiate SpeedLink starter line (Months 54-60) ES-12 1.0 Introduction The Metropolitan Affairs Coalition has served as a unique regional coalition of public and private leaders bringing together business, labor, and government to solve area-wide problems affecting the economic vitality and quality of life of Southeast Michigan. The Metropolitan Affairs Coalition as a catalyst in addressing regional concerns and facilitating the design of cooperative solutions that improve government efficiency and enhance the economic development potential of Greater Detroit. Public transportation has become a priority for MAC because of its importance to a mobile labor force and a strong economy, as well as its vital service to seniors, persons with disabilities, and transit-dependent populations. MAC is aware that an enhanced public transportation system is essential in order to place Greater Detroit in a better position to compete with transit-rich metropolitan areas throughout the United States for business, jobs, tourism, conventions, and desirability as a place to live, work, and raise a family. According to the Southeastern Michigan Council of Governments (SEMCOG) the economy of Southeast Michigan is strong and there is a tremendous amount of growth in the suburban SEMCOG Region areas and central city increasing the desirability SpeedLink Study Area of living and working in the Metro Detroit © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition region (Figure 1-1). However, Metro Detroit, Figure 1-1: SEMCOG Region one of the nation’s largest metropolitan areas, invests fewer local dollars and provides fewer transit miles per capita than 19 of the 20 largest metropolitan areas in the country. In order to continue to fully benefit from this booming economy the public mobility challenge must be met. Due to the growing traffic congestion and lengthening trips in the region, other transportation alternatives must be offered outside the private automobile in order to provide effective public mobility. MAC, in cooperation with Detroit Renaissance and the Detroit Regional Chamber collectively decided to address these issues themselves by forming the “SpeedLink Collaborative”. With growing interest in Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) from the Federal Transit Administration, the “SpeedLink Collaborative” has opened the debate on BRT for Detroit. BRT offers many of the features of light rail, such as vehicle movement unimpeded by traffic signals and congestion, fare collection prior to boarding, quick passenger loading and unloading, and efficient, reliable service. This growing interest in Bus Rapid Transit at both a federal and local level was initially spurred by the system currently operated in Curitiba, Brazil. The Curitiba model, which was well explained in the MAC concept paper, “SpeedLink- A Train on Tires,” describes also how this type of system Page 1-1 Section 1: Introduction Metropolitan Affairs Coalition could be adapted to metropolitan Detroit. However, there are other BRT examples throughout the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia that can also provide insights for Metro Detroit. MAC commissioned a study to determine the feasibility of implementing SpeedLink in metropolitan Detroit (See Figure 1-1 for SpeedLink Study Area). The results of this work follow. Page 1-2 2.0 Stakeholder Participation 2.1 First Round An important part of the SpeedLink project is the building of awareness of this new form of Rapid Transit as well as understanding the history and perceptions of transit that face the Detroit region. Thus, a series of interviews were undertaken with a selection of stakeholders in the region in order to get an accurate picture of the key issues facing the Detroit Region and the perception of current and future transit opportunities and concerns. As part of this first outreach phase the following stakeholders were interviewed: • • • • • • • • City of Detroit Detroit Department of Transportation (DDOT) Detroit Renaissance Detroit Regional Chamber Macomb County Oakland County Suburban Mobility Authority for Regional Transportation (SMART) Wayne County Informal discussions were also held with representatives of interested citizen groups in Metro Detroit including Transit Riders United (TRU). There were several issues that were raised throughout this round of interviews. Two key topics included governance and the characteristics of any new type of service. The concern around governance focused on two key issues: • • Need for oversight of both existing providers and new operating modes like SpeedLink to provide a seamless regional system of transit services Need for a new funding mechanism Also of high importance to the stakeholders were the characteristics of any type of SpeedLink service. In order for SpeedLink to succeed it has to be cost effective and set itself apart from the current transit services being offered in Detroit. When it comes to transit, the people of Metro Detroit have seen many unfulfilled promises. For example, the People Mover has not been the success that it was supposed to be, thus any type of SpeedLink needs to prove from the start that it can deliver high quality service and attract a substantial ridership from both dependent and discretionary travel markets. Any proposed SpeedLink service needs to offer many new amenities not provided by the current transit service. These include “high-tech” vehicles, off-vehicle fare payment, well-designed shelters that offer relief from the elements, signal priority, exclusive lanes, and improved station and vehicle security. High service frequency was also mentioned as being more important than operating speed by a number of stakeholders. Page 2-1 Section 2: Stakeholder Participation Metropolitan Affairs Coalition In order for it to be successful SpeedLink will need to be sensitive to its customer base and “provide reliable service day-in and day-out.” The network design should take in to account the suburb- to- suburb travel patterns in the region as well as the urban-to-suburb commute. 2.2 Second Round This second round of interviews included the following stakeholders: • • • • • • • • • Citizens Research Council City of Detroit Detroit Department of Transportation (DDOT) Detroit Regional Chamber Detroit Renaissance Macomb County Michigan Department of Transportation (MDOT) Oakland County U.S. Representative Carolyn Cheeks-Kilpatrick’s office A hand-out packet was presented that included the draft SpeedLink network along with other materials previously presented to the task force. This round of interviews centered on the starter line options and the logistics of how SpeedLink would work in terms of organization, funding, and operationally with the local transit service. The stakeholders that were interviewed saw no major holes in the network that was presented and offered suggestions as to which thoroughfares to serve for the three corridor groups where there were multiple options. There were several concerns raised on organization, funding, and the existing operators. Making SpeedLink a reality is dependent upon the political will and public desire in Metro Detroit. There are many different scenarios that could develop in terms of organizational plans and funding sources for SpeedLink; however, it is dependent upon the political will to make it happen. Most stakeholders indicated that SpeedLink should not replace the existing transit service on a corridor, but supplement the local service. However, the frequencies of the existing services may not be warranted. Also, there was a general consensus that the existing providers will also need to increase the feeder services to the SpeedLink corridors. As pointed out by the majority of the stakeholders, it will be imperative that SpeedLink, along with the existing transit services, be a seamless system in every regard no matter who is operating the service. Page 2-2 3.0 Transportation Needs and Challenges The Transit Needs and Challenges assessment methodology was developed for the study of SpeedLink feasibility and the possible development of a conceptual network and identification of a starter line. The methodology for this study encompassed three principal elements: • • • 3.1 Demographics and Employment Travel Demand Current Transit Use Demographics and Employment The demographic and employment data used for the needs assessment is Year 2000 data from the SEMCOG Regional Development Forecast. Demographics The Residential Transit Orientation Index (RTOI), provides an effective tool to identify residential areas with a high propensity to use transit. Developed for use in various transit systems throughout the United States, this composite index conveniently summarizes five key demographic variables: residential density, zero vehicle households, persons in poverty, youth population, and senior population. The index (Figure 3-1) shows that the neighborhoods with the greatest transit orientation are located south of 8 Mile Road and east of Telegraph. These neighborhoods are concentrated around the City of Detroit segments of the Woodward, Grand River, Gratiot, Michigan, and Fort corridors. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-1: Residential Transit Orientation Index - 2000 Greater Detroit Page 3-1 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Total Employment Mapping Total Employment (Figure 32) shows dispersed concentrations throughout Metro Detroit. The corridors with the greatest employment concentrations are northern Woodward and Van Dyke, northeastern Gratiot, western Grand River, central Michigan (east of Telegraph), north central Telegraph, and I-94. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-2: Total Employment - 2000 Greater Detroit Service & Retail Employment The employment sectors with higher transit potential are typically the Service and Retail sectors. Service and Retail employment was most predominant along the Woodward corridor, western M-59, western Big Beaver (16 Mile), and northeastern Gratiot. This map can be found in the technical appendix. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-3: Service & Retail Employment - 2000 Greater Detroit Page 3-2 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Summary The Potential Demand (Figure 3-4) for the region is a composite of residential density and total employment density within the region. The densest corridors in the region appear to be Woodward, Gratiot, Michigan and Van Dyke. These corridors present comparable or higher urban densities than many of the new LRT starts and BRT demonstration projects. SEMCOG did have available data for the Year 2020 that was compared with Year 2000. The changes in the core portions of the three-county study area are limited with the most significant finding being the increasing residential density in the currently low density outer portions of the three counties. The Year 2020 data maps can be found in the Technical Appendix. 3.2 © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-4: Potential Demand - 2000 Greater Detroit Travel The travel data used for the analysis was provided by SEMCOG. The data is from the most recent update and was used for the 1999 Regional Transportation Plan. SEMCOG is in the process of updating the model for the region. This update will also include a modal split component for transit. However, the model was not to be completed within the time frame of this study. For the purpose of this analysis the Traffic Analysis Zones have been aggregated to larger districts so the regional travel flows can more easily be identified. The travel flows shown in the Total Trips for 2025 map (Figure 35) are attached to the centroid (or center of the district). The Total Trips category includes work trips and all © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-5 : Total Trips - 2025 Greater Detroit Page 3-3 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition other trip types both home-based and non-home-based. In most cases, the trip origins and destinations are not distributed evenly throughout the district or are concentrated somewhere other than the district center. The 2025 Travel Flows did not vary significantly from the current patterns within the three-county study area except for the continuing dispersal of trip-making further into the suburbs with average trip lengths growing longer. Key findings include: • The travel flows confirm the considerable dispersal of work trips throughout Greater Detroit. • Downtown Detroit and New Center are not the dominant employment centers for the region. • Suburb-to-suburb flows are quite heavy; this pattern was stressed throughout the stakeholder interviews. Significant movements included between Southern Macomb County and Oakland County; South Oakland County and the western portion of Wayne County; and into the Somerset area from all directions. The higher suburban travel volumes often line up into linear corridors and, in combination with the increasing density in certain employment nodes, present opportunities for high quality transit to compete with other modes assuming suburban transit access issues can be overcome. • The City of Detroit has generally lower travel volumes, but shows similar dispersal of destinations. Of particular interest were the destinations for the transit-oriented neighborhoods where longer trips on traditional transit begin to create access to jobs problems for potential commuters; an issue of concern voiced by many of the stakeholders interviewed. • In conclusion: – The suburb-to-suburb travel demand is quite high and aligns into the linear corridors conducive to effective transit, but has a challenging propensity to use personal automobiles due to land use and historic limited transit options. – The urban-to-suburban, suburban-to-urban, and intra-urban travel demand, while lower in total volume to the suburban patterns, also aligns into linear corridors and also has the propensity to use transit due to transit-supportive land use and positive demographic profiles. – These travel patterns, while linear, do not support a traditional center city dominated transit network structure (i.e., central hub-and-spoke), but support a multiple hub network of both regional radial-crosstown services together with short-distance community shuttles where transit supportive land uses are not present. Page 3-4 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 3.3 Transit Currently, public transportation is provided by Detroit Department of Transportation (DDOT) and Suburban Mobility Authority for Regional Transit (SMART). DDOT largely serves the City of Detroit and eastern Wayne County and SMART provides service throughout the remainder of Wayne, Oakland, and Macomb Counties. While DDOT and SMART operate as separate transit systems, there are a number of corridors that are served by both operators with DDOT usually providing local bus service and SMART providing limited-stop or express service with crossagency transfer acceptance reducing barriers for customers. Transit ridership, frequency and productivity information was provided by both DDOT and SMART. Figures 3-6 through Figure 3-9 show average daily ridership and peak frequency by route for both services. Routes with the highest weekday ridership for DDOT: • • • • Woodward – 12,400 riders Grand River – 12,000 riders Seven Mile – 9,100 riders Gratiot – 9,000 riders © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-6: Average Weekday Ridership - DDOT Greater Detroit Page 3-5 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Routes with the highest weekday ridership for SMART: • • • • Woodward Local – 3,800 riders Gratiot – 3,700 Riders Van Dyke – 2,500 Riders Michigan – 2,500 Riders © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-7: Average Weekday Ridership - SMART Greater Detroit Routes with the highest peak service frequency for DDOT: • • • • • • Woodward – 6 minutes Grand River – 6 minutes Dexter – 8 minutes Gratiot – 8 minutes Fort – 10 minutes Greenfield – 10 minutes © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-8: Peak Service Frequency - DDOT Greater Detroit Page 3-6 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Routes with the highest peak service frequency for SMART: • • • • Woodward Limited – 15 minutes Gratiot – 15 minutes Van Dyke – 15 minutes Charlevoix – 15 minutes © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 3-9: Peak Service Frequency - SMART Greater Detroit The strongest existing transit corridors are: Woodward • Woodward has both local and limited bus services with good frequencies. • The Woodward corridor is the highest producing route with approximately 16,400 weekday riders. This is currently over 6,000 more weekday riders than the successful 16-mile long Los Angeles Ventura Metro Rapid BRT corridor. • Within walking distance from and paralleling the Woodward corridor is the Hamilton service which also carries over 6,000 weekday riders, making the expanded corridor ridership over 22,000 daily boardings with ½ mile on either side. • Not surprisingly, there is a high residential transit orientation south of 8 Mile Road and excellent job concentrations north of 8 Mile Road and in Downtown Detroit, making for many potential “single seat” transit trips. • The Woodward corridor also has strong transit supportive land use with good origin and destination access over virtually the entire length. Page 3-7 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Grand River • Grand River produces over 13,400 weekday riders along the corridor. • The service in the corridor is only local, but has good frequencies, a critical necessary ingredient for transit success according to local stakeholders and prevailing transit wisdom. • There is a high residential transit orientation east of Telegraph and significant concentrations of jobs west of Telegraph along Grand River and in Downtown Detroit. • There is transit supportive land use along eastern half of the corridor ; western portion reflects suburban land use patterns, especially the far west. There are some instances of “New Urbanism-type” development in places like Novi and examples of village centers like Farmington. Gratiot • The Gratiot corridor is also a high producing route with approximately 12,900 weekday riders. • At present, the service is local and has good frequencies. • There is a high residential transit orientation south of 8 Mile Road and excellent job concentrations north of 8 Mile Road and in Downtown Detroit. • Like Grand River, the corridor has a split pattern of land use with the southern portion transit supportive and the northern segment more suburban in terms of densities ending in the Mt. Clemens village center. Van Dyke • Van Dyke produces approximately 8,600 weekday riders along the corridor. • At present, the service is local and fairly frequent. • There is a high residential transit orientation south of 8 Mile Road and high concentration of jobs north of 8 Mile Road along the corridor. Access to Downtown Detroit is provided via Gratiot. • Much of this corridor is dominated by the automotive industrial concentrations with distant access to the transit corridor across large parking lots. Page 3-8 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 7 and 8 Mile Roads • 7 Mile and 8 Mile corridors parallel each other and carry significant ridership, approximately 9,100 and 4,200 weekday boardings, respectively, creating a combined corridor ridership of 13,300 riders. • At present, the service on both corridors is local and has fairly frequent service. • Both corridors have strong transit supportive development with 7 Mile providing easier access due to the difference in streets (7 Mile is a community level 2-lane street for the most part, while 8 Mile is a regional dual carriageway). Michigan Avenue 3.4 • The outer portions of the Michigan corridor carry well over 2,500 weekday riders. Given the approximately 100,000 daily trips in and out of this area, this is less than expected given the level of transit provided and may be an area of key potential for transit. • At present, the service is local with frequent service provided in combination by DDOT and Smart. • Michigan is a blend of strong transit supportive land uses mixed with some lower density suburban patterns west of Telegraph and large corporate business campuses (around Southfield). Conclusions Metropolitan Detroit has an increasingly dispersed pattern of residential and employment densities, not unlike many other metropolitan areas. Downtown Detroit is no longer the dominant employment and activity center of the region, although a number of initiatives are under way to reverse this trend. The traditional urban core and major corridors still retain many of the necessary land use elements conducive to higher levels of transit use. Metro Detroit shares many similarities with other regions that have recently implemented Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) and Light Rail Transit (LRT) in terms of travel demand patterns and residential and employment densities. In many ways Metro Detroit is ahead of many western region with new BRT/LRT initiatives in having stronger transit supportive land use patterns. Even in many older suburban areas in Greater Detroit, the patterns still reflect better street access and stronger pedestrian activity than other areas implementing Rapid Transit initiatives. In conclusion, the transit needs in Metro Detroit represent a combination of strong transit orientation in the traditional urban core and corridors together with increasingly automobile dependent suburbs. As noted earlier these transit needs do not support a traditional center city dominated transit network structure (i.e., central hub-and-spoke), but support a multiple hub network of both regional radial-crosstown services together with short-distance community shuttles where transit supportive land uses are not present. Such a network represents a rational Page 3-9 Section 3: Transportation Needs and Challenges Metropolitan Affairs Coalition integration of the two prevailing current transit networks (i.e., DDOT and Smart) with the hub-tohub connections along major corridors served by higher speed and more frequent rapid transit services (e.g., SpeedLink). These demand patterns and network structure are not inconsistent with those of recent or upcoming BRT and LRT projects1 that have or are being successfully undertaken. Projects such as the San Jose LRT, Hartford BRT, North County San Diego LRT, St. Louis LRT extension to St. Clair, Eugene BRT, and Cleveland’s Euclid BRT all serve or will serve corridors not unlike those discussed for Metro Detroit. 1 Page 3-10 4.0 BRT Work Elsewhere 4.1 Curitiba, Brazil Model Curitiba, Brazil has become the model for “today’s” Bus Rapid Transit throughout the world. The buses run frequently, reliably, and the stations are convenient, comfortable, and attractive. The service operates much like any rail system with service unimpeded by congestion in exclusive lanes, off-vehicle fare payment, and level platform boarding for customers. 4.2 Federal Transit Administration Initiative The Federal Transit Administration (FTA) has encouraged American cities to consider, analyze, and evaluate the benefits of implementing Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) as a way of meeting their rapid transit needs. The following features of the Curitiba BRT model are suggested for consideration as fundamental BRT attributes: • • • • • • • Simple Route Layout Frequent Headways Less Frequent Stops Level Boarding and Alighting Color-coded Vehicles and Stations Station Stops Signal Priority • • • • • • • Exclusive Lanes Higher Capacity Vehicles Multiple-Door Boarding/Alighting Off-Vehicle Fare Payment Integrated Network of Transit Services Coordinated Land Use Planning Improved Customer Experience Cities in the United States that have decided to move forward with implementing BRT as a solution to their rapid transit needs include (Table 4-1 shows the planned attributes for each of the projects): Demonstration Projects • Boston, Massachusetts • Charlotte, North Carolina • Dulles Corridor, Virginia • Eugene, Oregon • Hartford, Connecticut • Honolulu, Hawaii • Los Angeles, California • Miami, Florida • San Juan, Puerto Rico • Santa Clara, California Other Participating Projects • Albany, New York • Chicago, Illinois • Louisville, Kentucky • Montgomery County, Maryland • Alameda & Contra Costa, California • Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 4-1: BRT Demonstration and Participating Projects Page 4-1 Section 4: BRT Work Elsewhere Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Table 4-1: BRT Demonstration Project Attributes Level Boarding Time Savings Shared or Exclusive Lane Type of Roadway Yes 3-5 min Both Arterial No Yes 2-15 min Exclusive Yes Yes Yes 10 min Both Arterial 7.5 Yes Yes Shared Arterial Fall 2001 10 min Yes Yes Exclusive Arterial Mid 2003 "frequent" Yes Option CityExpress! Honolulu, HI Mar-99 10-15 min Future Future Yes Shared Arterial South Miam-Dade Busway Miami, Fl Feb-97 "frequent" No No Yes Exclusive At Rail Grade Rio Hondo Connector BRT San Juan, PR 1999-2000 10 min No No 5-8 min HOV Limited Acess Highway Line 22 Rapid Transit Corridor Santa Clara, CA Oct-00 10 min Metro Rapid Lines 720/750 Los Angeles, CA Jun-00 2-10 min Service Start Peak Frequency Multi-Door Entry/Exit Silver Line Boston, MA Dec-00 5 min or less Yes Independence Corridor Charlotte, NC Dec-98 2 min Yes Fall 2005 5-15 min 7/1/1999 Express Service Pilot Corridor Eugene, OR Hartford-New Britain Busway Hartford , CT BRT Project Euclid Corridor Cleveland, OH Dulles Corridor Dulles Corridor, VA Off-Vehicle Fare Payment Yes 16 min 27%-41% 33 min Some Stations Yes 25%-40% Shared Arterial Phase II Yes 23%-29% Shared; Excl. Phase II Arterial Phase II Table 4-1 (continued): BRT Demonstration Project Attributes BRT Project Silver Line Boston, MA Traffic Signal High Capacity Priority Vehicles Use of ITS Enhanced Enhanced Parking Station Stops Streetscapes Management Coordinated Land Use Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No No Yes No Yes No No Euclid Corridor Cleveland, OH Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Dulles Corridor Dulles Corridor, VA Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Pilot Corridor Eugene, OR Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Hartford-New Britain Busway Hartford , CT Yes Yes Yes CityExpress! Honolulu, HI Yes Some Yes South Miam-Dade Busway Miami, Fl Yes Yes Yes Rio Hondo Connector BRT San Juan, PR Yes No Yes Line 22 Rapid Transit Corridor Santa Clara, CA Yes Yes Yes Yes Metro Rapid Lines 720/750 Los Angeles, CA Yes Phase II Yes Yes Independence Corridor Charlotte, NC Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Phase II Phase II Page 4-2 Section 4: BRT Work Elsewhere Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 4.3 Implications for SpeedLink The development of BRT proposals from various transit systems and metropolitan areas has continued to increase with each month. The pattern and volume of travel demand, demographic and employment characteristics, nature of street and freeway corridors, and existing transit services in these various regions planning, implementing, and operating BRT services run the entire range from the Chicago’s and Los Angeles’ to the Hartford’s and Eugene’s. Clearly, Metropolitan Detroit falls within this range despite having some unique characteristics. A second aspect of these BRT initiatives is the desire to move ahead with transit and BRT. These regions have made collective decisions to invest public funds and energy in BRT, each for their own reasons. The SpeedLink Feasibility Study is a first step in making such a collective decision. Page 4-3 5.0 BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit Historically in North American transit there have been three Rapid Transit mode choices for corridor service: • • • Commuter Rail (CR) Heavy Rail Transit (HRT) Light Rail Transit (LRT) Two newer options for corridor Rapid Transit include: • Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) has been deployed in limited Rapid Transit roles, generally as a circulator or connector between major activity hubs, in such cities as Detroit and Tampa. Vancouver and Bangkok represent recent deployment of AGT in corridor transit applications. • Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) has received attention as an alternative lower cost Rapid Transit mode. The Federal Transit Administration (FTA) has introduced an aggressive BRT initiative as noted in the previous section. An overview of these modes follows. 5.1 General Characteristics and Performance Characteristics Figure 5-1: General Characteristics of Rapid Transit Modes Rapid Transit Mode Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Light Rail Transit (LRT) Heavy Rail Transit (HRT) Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) Commuter Rail (CR) Right-of-Way (ROW) Options Exclusive ROW Exclusive travel lanes Mixed traffic lanes Exclusive ROW Exclusive travel lanes Mixed traffic lanes Exclusive ROW with grade separation Exclusive ROW with grade separation Exclusive ROW Typical Station Spacing ¼ mile to 1 mile ¼ mile to 1 mile ½ mile to 1 mile ½ mile to 1 mile 2 miles to 10 miles Vehicles Articulated and double articulated low -floor buses; internal combustion, hybrid or electric power Articulated and double articulated low -floor; can operate multiple train sets; overhead electric power; diesel/hybrid multiple units (DMU) High platform cars; can operate multiple train sets – 3rd rail or overhead electric power High platform cars; can operate multiple train sets – 3rd rail or overhead electric power Locomotive with train sets or self propelled multiple units (DMU); overhead electric power; diesel/hybrid multiple units (DMU) 65-85 60-80 30-75 100- 150 Vehicle Seated Capacity 40 standard 69 articulated Mixed rail traffic 85 double articulated Page 5-1 Section 5: BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 5-2: Performance Characteristics of Rapid Transit Modes Rapid Transit Mode Average Speed Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Light Rail Transit (LRT) 15-30 mph 15-30 mph Heavy Rail Transit (HRT) Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) Commuter Rail (CR) 18-36 mph 18-25 mph 18-40 mph Up to 60,000 pphpd Up to 30,000 pphpd Up to 6,000 pphpd Exclusive ROW Exclusive ROW Passenger Throughput Up to 30,000 pphpd Up to 30,000 pphpd Arterial Up to 10,000 pphpd Arterial Up to 10,000 pphpd Capital ROW Costs per Mile $0.2-25 million per mile $20-55 million per mile $50-250 million per mile $50- 70 million per mile $2-$10 million per mile Capital Vehicle Costs (each) $0.45-1.2 million $1.5-2.7 million $1.5-2.0 million $1.25-1.75 million Locomotive $3.0 million Bi-level car $1.5 million O&M Cost per Service Hour $65-100 $150-200 $175-250 $75- 100 $300 -400 Average Speed Average speed is dependent upon the right-of-way with higher speed ranges in each Rapid Transit mode assuming exclusive lanes/right-of-way (ROW) and some grade separation or aggressive signal priority with stops every one mile or more. Arterial operation for BRT and LRT in mixed flow represented the lower range of speeds. All of the modes achieve speeds that are attractive to even current non-transit riders, especially given that market research shows that avoidance of delays, rather than sheer speed is more important in consumer choice. Passenger Throughput This characteristic varies significantly depending on both right-of-way and vehicle size. Heavy rail transit carries 60,000 passengers per peak hour peak direction (pphpd) with very frequent multicar trains operating in grade-separated exclusive ROW. In the middle range with up 30,000 pphpd are BRT, LRT, and AGT with good speeds and very high frequency. Normal arterial operation for frequent BRT and LRT limits maximum throughput to around 10,000 pphpd with signal priority and exclusive lanes. All of these levels exceed any reasonable need for Metro Detroit in the near term and long term assuming no major changes in urban densities. Right-of-Way Costs (exclusive of land purchase costs) Right-of-way costs vary largely with the exclusivity of the ROW and the need for grade separation and/or subway construction. Heavy rail has the highest ROW requirements making it the most expensive, especially for subway at up to $250 million per mile. LRT and AGT are less costly rail options, but still very expensive with costs running from $20 million per mile for basic at grade Page 5-2 Section 5: BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit Metropolitan Affairs Coalition LRT (not including land costs) to aerial LRT/AGT at $50-70 million per mile. Commuter rail is even less expensive at $2-10 million per mile depending upon the availability of existing ROW. BRT can be very inexpensive at under $500,000 per mile for arterial mixed flow operation (stations, signal system, and “next trip displays”) and run up to $20 million for exclusive at grade right-ofway. Vehicle Costs Individual rail vehicle costs tend to run between $1 and $2 million each based on the size and type of the vehicle. Commuter rail also requires locomotives at $30 million each. These vehicles have a life span of 25 years with proper maintenance and rehabilitation. BRT vehicles range from traditional articulated buses costing less than $500,000 each to new state-of-art guided double articulated buses at over $1 million each. The life span of traditional buses in normal street operations is 12-15 years with buses operating on exclusive rights-of-way lasting somewhat longer. Operating and Maintenance Costs Costs range from $65-100 per hour for BRT traditional bus (not guided bus) due to lower vehicle maintenance costs and lower incremental cost as part of regular bus operations. LRT and heavy rail typically running 2 to 3 times as high per hour of service. AGT is competitive with bus due to its lack of an on-board operator with commuter rail the most expensive due to the large train sets and FRA crew requirements. The per seat costs vary widely with the size of the individual vehicle (for bus and LRT) and with the size of the train set for rail. With large train sets, LRT and heavy rail usually have lower per seat costs than bus, but large train sets are not expected to be necessary or efficient for the required Metro Detroit passenger throughput. 5.2 Key Elements A review of new Rapid Transit initiatives in the United States found four principal objectives in developing Rapid Transit: • • • • To increase personal mobility for both dependent and independent travelers Reduce congestion and need for additional roadways Improve the environment by reducing vehicle miles traveled Improve community quality of life To accomplish the first three goals Rapid Transit must both attract new riders and encourage current riders to use transit more often for travel. Rapid Transit accomplishes this through: • • • Reduced travel times Increased passenger throughput Increased reliability and travel comfort The fourth goal, improved quality of life, usually relates to the collateral economic and community benefits of Rapid Transit. Figure 5-3 shows the impact each mode of rapid transit has on each of the goals. Page 5-3 Section 5: BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 5-3: Key Elements of Rapid Transit Modes Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Light Rail Transit (LRT) Heavy Rail Transit (HRT) Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) Commuter Rail (CR) Reduced Travel Times ¢¥ ¢¥ ¢ ¢ ¢ Increased Passenger Throughput ¢¥ ¢ ¢ ¢ ¥ Increased Reliability ¢¥ ¢¥ ¢ ¢ ¢¥ Increased Comfort ¥£ ¥ ¥ ¥ ¢ Collateral Benefits ¥£ ¢¥ ¢ ¢¥ £ Rapid Transit Mode ¢ High impact ¥ Moderate impact £ Low impact Reduced Travel Times All of the modes achieved significant impacts on travel times. Intersections are assumed to be either grade-separated or have active transit signal priority. Improvements will range from 25 to 40 percent compared with baseline local bus service. BRT and LRT in mixed flow arterial operation would have only moderate improvement (10-15%) in areas with significant traffic congestion. Increased Passenger Throughput All of the modes support passenger volumes higher than needed today or in the foreseeable future in Metro Detroit. At the recent meeting of the Transportation Research Board the consultant developing implementation guidelines for BRT reported that there is no practical difference between the passenger carrying capacity of BRT and LRT in similar rights-of-way. Increased Reliability Heavy rail and automated guideway transit provide greatly increased reliability due to exclusive rights-of-way and grade separation. Both BRT and LRT operate nearly as reliably when in exclusive rights-of-way with full signal priority; less so in when in congested mixed traffic with low/no signal priority. Commuter rail in mixed operations with freight and other competing rail can experience similar reliability to BRT/LRT in mixed traffic. Page 5-4 Section 5: BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Travel Comfort All of the rail modes have increased comfort over traditional bus service with commuter rail having the greatest improvement (amenities and guaranteed seats). BRT may have little improvement or moderate improvement depending on the type of vehicle and the right-of-way. Hybrid and electric BRT vehicles will have smoother and quieter operation with the high quality roadbed in an exclusive lane or right-of-way delivering smoother travel for customers. Collateral Economic and Community Benefits Unlike the other objectives, economic and community benefits are highly dependent upon the individual area. Community zoning, level of economic development, and preferences will heavily impact benefit attainment. However, some general findings can be identified: 5.3 • Economic benefits generally occur around heavy rail and AGT stations. LRT stations have a good, but inconsistent history of providing economic benefit. BRT is an unknown in terms of station economic development, although Curitiba -type BRT is expected to perform similarly to LRT. • Community quality of life benefits resulting from lower noise, increased personal mobility and pedestrian activity, improved air quality, and reduced dependence on personal vehicles follow the economic benefit findings in terms of mode with diesel BRT options providing the least benefits. Summary Bus Rapid Transit comes in four basic configurations as can be seen in Figure 5-4: Figure 5-4: Four Basic BRT Configurations Exclusive Lanes Bus Signal Priority Intersection Grade Separation Station Stops A Arterial Operation: Mixed Traffic Short segments of exclusive lanes or bypass lanes Yes None Yes B Arterial Operation: Exclusive ROW Full length exclusive lanes Yes Possible Yes C Freeway Operation: Mixed HOV Traffic Semi-exclusive shared with HOV Yes, if needed Yes, on freeway segments Yes, on-line D Exclusive ROW Yes Yes Possible Yes SpeedLink Option Page 5-5 Section 5: BRT Versus Other Modes of Rapid Transit Metropolitan Affairs Coalition The evidence from initial BRT startups in the United States and more mature systems overseas supports the finding that BRT meets the performance standards of Rapid Transit and is considered by existing and potential riders as a completely separate “brand” of service. Daniel McFadden, Nobel-winning economist, in testing consumer choice theory found that users perceived the time and cost of rail rapid transit (BART) and high quality bus service (TransBay expresses) to be equivalent with all things being equal. In Los Angeles almost half of the initial ridership increase of 30 percent on its BRT has come from new customers, even without exclusive lanes or right-ofway (although some are planned). In conclusion, if the Bus Rapid Transit is provided with equal priority and attributes to rail rapid transit (the “all things being equal”), transit’s market share will increase. Page 5-6 6.0 Feasibility Conclusion 6.1 Feasibility Metro Detroit is a region without a major center city employment focus. Downtown Detroit continues its effort to attract business and is experiencing some success such as the move of General Motors, the development of the CompuWare site, Ford Field, and Comerica Park. However, travel will likely remain highly dispersed throughout the region, with continuing development in several key nodes. This dispersal of employment will have the positive impact on transit of creating demand for services in both directions. The focus of development at particular nodes will also help create the densities needed to support both rapid transit and necessary hubs supporting an integrated network of services. Residential and employment densities along major corridors while lower than some traditional eastern urban areas, are not unlike those of many new and planned BRT and LRT lines. As well, current transit ridership on several Metro Detroit corridors is comparable to that of BRT and LRT lines elsewhere in the United States. Transit supportive land use (transit-oriented residential neighborhoods and employment) is focused along these same corridors. The continuing dispersal of employment continues to lead to increasingly long average commute times and growing congestion for everyone, but especially for those in the traditional urban neighborhoods relying on transit. Yes, a SpeedLink network is feasible for Metro Detroit provided that it has the right combination of attributes to attract riders from both new and existing market segments. Figure 6-1 identifies these SpeedLink attributes. Figure 6-1: SpeedLink Attributes Less Frequent Stops Exclusive Lanes Simple Route Layout Integrated Transit Network Frequent Headways Station Stops Level Boarding and Alighting However, ”all things need to be equal” with rail rapid transit for success! Multiple-Door Boarding/ Alighting Signal Priority Off-Vehicle Fare Payment Coordinated Land Use Planning Improved Customer Experience Color-coded Vehicles and Stations Higher Capacity Vehicles Page 6-1 7.0 Conceptual Network 7.1 Conceptual Network Criteria Objectives and criteria were developed to assist with the identification and assessment of candidate corridors that would comprise the conceptual SpeedLink network and to assist in identifying Starter Line(s). The objectives and criteria were broken into two categories: mobility needs and corridor design. 7.1.1 SpeedLink Corridor Mobility Objectives 1. Coordinate with transit supportive land uses • Integrate with existing transit supportive land uses • Foster development of short and longer term transit supportive land use 2. Serve high travel demand routes with market opportunities • High population and employment densities along route • High travel demand and traffic volumes along route • Presence of major activity centers • High current transit ridership 3. High level of network integration • Consistent with development of regional intermodal network • Provides high level of trip connectivity with DDOT & SMART network Maximize attraction of ridership from promising travel markets 7.1.2 SpeedLink Corridor Design Objectives 1. Compatible roadway or right-of-way physical characteristics • Opportunity for full or partial exclusive lanes • Opportunity for optimal station location 2. Compatible with use of transit priority measures • Exclusive lanes • Traffic signal priority 3. High accessibility to stations • Positive walking environment • Strong transit network transfer opportunities • Potential for development of Park-and-Ride access Maximize service speed, reliability, and access Page 7-1 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 7.1.3 SpeedLink Corridor Evaluation Criteria The objectives were defined by a series of evaluation criteria that were either quantitatively or qualitatively measurable for use in assessing the network corridors and in selecting a starter line short list. The criteria employed are as follows: Mobility Needs Criteria The Mobility Needs criteria are quantitative and based on SEMCOG Year 2000 data. • • • • • • • Total Population within ½ mile Population Density within ½ mile Total Employment within ½ mile Employment Density within ½ mile Travel Demand Origin-Destination Connections Traffic Volumes Transit Ridership The Network Criteria are qualitative due to the nature of the criteria and the unavailability of definitive quantitative data at this time. Corridor/Network Criteria • • • Major Activity Centers Transit Supportive Land Use Network Connectivity 7.2 Preliminary Conceptual Network The preliminary conceptual network for SpeedLink was based on the quantitative Mobility Needs Criteria. The candidate corridors for SpeedLink were identified from the preliminary MAC list, input from the Task Force and stakeholders, and from TMD team fieldwork. The candidate corridors included: • • • • • • • M-59 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway Gratiot Avenue Van Dyke Avenue Telegraph Road Grand River Avenue I-275 • • • • • • Michigan Avenue Woodward Avenue I-96 I-94 I-696 8 Mile Road • • • • • • 7 Mile Road Schaeffer Highway Greenfield Road Southfield Freeway Fort Street Fort/Eureka The evaluation matrix for the candidate network corridors can be seen in Table 7-1. Page 7-2 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Table 7-1: Mobility Criteria Evaluation Matrix Corridor Total Population Population Density (persons/acre) Total Employment Employment Density (jobs/acre) Traffic Volumes Transit Ridership 7 Mile 174,575 11 38,977 2 LOW 9,140 8 Mile 139,167 8 62,523 4 LOW 4,180 I-696 111,703 6 95,035 5 HIGH – Fort 95,276 7 100,490 7 LOW 2,340 Fort-Eureka 80,317 8 96,573 9 LOW-MEDIUM 3,170 Greenfield 119,340 9 93,705 7 LOW 7,990 Schaefer Highway 119,031 9 70,307 5 LOW-MEDIUM 2,520 Southfield 125,300 8 104,976 6 HIGH – Big Beaver 56,241 5 55,285 5 MEDIUM – Grand River 133,367 10 103,195 7 MEDIUM 13,400 Gratiot 134,573 10 110,748 8 MEDIUM -HIGH 12,720 I-94 128,391 7 83,655 4 HIGH – I-96 98,285 7 60,331 5 HIGH – I-275 39,149 3 33,516 3 HIGH – M-59 64,152 4 55,729 3 MEDIUM -HIGH 130 Michigan 79,492 6 137,430 10 LOW-MEDIUM 3,740 Telegraph 104,580 5 65,551 3 MEDIUM Van Dyke 84,480 6 132,974 9 LOW 8,665 126,760 8 185,548 11 LOW-MEDIUM 18,040 Woodward 640 The preliminary SpeedLink network contained three corridors groups where only one corridor would be selected for the final network. • • • I-696, 8 Mile, 7 Mile Schaeffer, Greenfield, Southfield Fort, Fort/Eureka The preliminary network was mapped against the principal criteria in order to ensure that no major mobility needs have been missed. This preliminary SpeedLink network was taken back to the Stakeholder groups for review and comment, following initial review by the SpeedLink Task Force. Page 7-3 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Preliminary SpeedLink Network Shown in Figure 7-1. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-1 – Preliminary SpeedLink Network Accessible Corridor The area within walking distance of the preliminary corridors was mapped to provide a visual indication of Metro Detroit coverage. This accessible buffer was ½ mile1 on either side of the corridors as shown in Figure 7-2. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-2 – Preliminary SpeedLink Network with ½ Mile Buffer The typical walking distances for various transit modes was the subject of a Chicago Transit Authority study that found that 90% of the customers came from within the following distances of the transit services: local bus (0.25 miles), light rail (0.60 miles), and heavy rail rapid transit (0.9 miles). We have used 0.5 miles for the SpeedLink BRT. 1 Page 7-4 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Residential and Employment Concentrations The network covers the major residential and employment concentrations with the exception of some employment in the central I-75 area and along Groesbeck Highway. This overlay is shown in Figure 7-3. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-3 – Residential and Employment Concentrations Travel Demand The preliminary SpeedLink network provides good coverage and directness for the major origindestination patterns as shown in Figure 7-4. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-4 – Travel Demand Page 7-5 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Traffic Volumes The preliminary SpeedLink network provides good coverage of major traffic volumes as shown in Figure 7-5. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-5 – Traffic Volume Current Transit Ridership The preliminary SpeedLink network provides good coverage of major transit ridership corridors as shown in Figure 7-6 with the exception of western Warren and Jefferson Avenues. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-6 – Transit Ridership Page 7-6 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Major Activity Centers The preliminary SpeedLink network provides good coverage for nearly all major activity centers as shown in Figure 7-7. © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-7 – Major Activity Centers 7.3 Network Refinement The preliminary network was reviewed with both the Task Force and the Stakeholders with pa rticular emphasis on choosing among the corridor groups, identifying any missing corridors, and discussing starter line priorities. 7.3.1 Preliminary Corridor Groups • • • I-696, 8 Mile, 7 Mile Schaeffer, Greenfield, Southfield Fort, Fort/Eureka Recommended: 8 Mile Recommended: Greenfield Recommended: Fort 7.3.2 Identification of Missing Corridors Three corridors were discussed relative to inclusion in the SpeedLink conceptual network: • • • Jefferson Avenue Groesbeck Highway I-75 None of the three were included in the final SpeedLink network for the following reasons. Jefferson was deemed to be a relatively short line where the speed advantages were not likely to attract Page 7-7 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition major ridership and it had a limited positive impact on overall network connectivity.2 Groesbeck Highway was considered to be the lesser choice compared with Gratiot and since the two were in close proximity to each other it was not included. I-75 was not included for reasons germane to all of the freeway choices as discussed in the following section. 7.3.3 Freeway SpeedLink Corridors The preliminary SpeedLink conceptual network included several freeway corridors, including I-94, I-96, and I-696 as well as a possible additional candidate, I-75. Discussions with Michigan Department of Transportation indicated significant unresolved local and state-wide issues regarding inclusion of dedicated transit lanes or HOV lanes on freeways at this time. MDOT indicated that it could not support these SpeedLink corridors until those issues were resolved. Consequently, these corridors are not included in proposed network, but remain as possible future options.2 7.4 Final SpeedLink Conceptual Network The final SpeedLink conceptual network includes some 11 corridors in alphabetical order: • • • • • • • • • • • 8 Mile Big Beaver/Metro Parkway Fort Street Grand River Avenue Gratiot Avenue Greenfield Road M-59 Michigan Avenue Telegraph Road Van Dyke Avenue Woodward Avenue © Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Figure 7-8: Final SpeedLink Conceptual Network 7.4.1 Corridor/Network Criteria The preliminary SpeedLink conceptual network was assessed with the quantitative mobility criteria. The final SpeedLink network corridors were additionally assessed using the qualitative corridor/network criteria as presented in Table 7-2. At the time of this publication, Jefferson Avenue and I-275 remain in SEMCOG’s Regional Transit Plan as SpeedLink corridors. 2 Page 7-8 Section 7: Conceptual Network Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Table 7-2: SpeedLink Network Transit Supportive Land-use Network Connectivity (Core/Peripheral) Partial Big Beaver/Metro Pkwy Corridor Major Activity Centers Village Centers Major Shopping Core 1 2 No Peripheral 2 2 Fort Yes Core 3 Greenfield Yes Core Grand River Yes Gratiot M-59 8 Mile University & College Sports Center 4 2 Core 1 2 1 2 Yes Core 1 2 1 2 No Peripheral 1 2 1 1 Michigan Partial Core 1 3 1 2 Telegraph Partial Peripheral 1 3 Van Dyke Partial Core 1 Yes Core 2 2 6 Major Airport 2 1 Woodward 1 Major Hospitals 2 1 2 Transit Supportive Land Use This criterion assesses the level of propensity of the land use to foster transit use. Elements such as pedestrian streetscape and crossing amenities, street width, vehicle travel speeds, access to adj acent origins and destinations, good street lighting, and appropriate development densities were all factors in assessing this qualitative ranking. Network Connectivity The assessment of network connectivity was a function of the number and type of direct transit connections for each corridor. Connections with proposed SpeedLink lines and with existing DDOT and SMART services all influenced the scoring. The rankings of “core” or “peripheral” were primarily to assist in assessing the starter line, recognizing that the initial line would be hea vily dependent upon synergy with the existing DDOT and SMART services for success. As the network is completed, the additional SpeedLink lines would also heavily influence success. Major Activity Centers The number and type of major activity centers was determined for each SpeedLink corridor. Following discussions with the Task Force, the categories of “hospitals” and “village centers” were added to the list. Page 7-9 1 8.0 Ridership Estimation The SpeedLink ridership estimation process was intended to provide order-of-magnitude ridership estimates with the intention of actually testing market feasibility as part of one or more starter line projects. The existing Regional Travel Demand model, maintained by the Southeastern Michigan Council of Governments (SEMCOG), does not have two mode-split capability. SEMCOG is currently addressing this as part of its overall upgrade of its regional modeling capability, but did not have the work complete in time for use on the SpeedLink Feasibility Study. Furthermore, the short time frame of the study and budgetary constraints hinder the development of a complex model. As a result, two relatively straight-forward techniques were each used to estimate the corridor ridership and provide a range of potential ridership. • • 8.1 Peer Comparison The Incremental Logit Formulation Peer Comparisons The objective of the peer comparisons was to look at light rail and bus rapid transit corridors in other cities that are similar to those in Greater Detroit. Table 8-1 shows the corridors examined along with its corresponding performance statistics. In developing the ridership statistics for the SpeedLink network 75 percent of the average performance for all the peers was used to approximate short term ridership possibilities. These averages were applied to the SpeedLink corridor operating estimates to determine ridership based on revenue hours, service miles and operating speeds (Table 8-2). Table 8-1: Peer Comparisons System Unlinked Passengers Per Passenger Trips Rev Hour Passengers Per Rev Mile Passengers Per Route Mile St. Louis – LRT 43,711 273.2 10.9 1,207.5 Dallas – LRT 37,563 149.7 9.2 804.3 Buffalo – LRT 22,067 124.7 15.5 1,565.0 Cleveland – LRT 15,395 87.5 5.6 466.5 Santa Clara – LRT 22,487 86.8 5.5 547.1 Baltimore – LRT 24,970 83.2 5.1 490.6 Pittsburg – LRT 24,749 68.9 4.6 532.2 Metro Rapid – Wilshire/Whitter 28,000 47.0 3.7 1,076.9 6,500 32.8 2.2 406.3 25,049 91.1 6.1 726.1 68.3 4.6 544.5 Metro Rapid – Ventura Average 75% of Average Most recent data from Fiscal Years 1999, 2000, or 2001 Page 8-1 Section 8: Ridership Estimation Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 8.2 Incremental Logit Model The incremental logit formulation model is formula-based from random utility choice theory, developed by Dan McFadden in early 1970’s. The most common form is the multi-nomial logit model, in which shares of alternatives are evaluated based on the utilities (“value” or “worth”) of each choice as a exponent for e, the base of the natural log system.1 A reduced form, the incremental logit model, is particularly important in evaluating improvements in alternatives, such as SpeedLink in Detroit. Its form is based on changes in utilities caused by improvements to service and is described in more detail in NCHRP Report 365. 2 The advantages to the incremental logit model are: • • • Uses observed, measured mode shares Requires only a description of the changes to the transit service Is highly transferable among urban areas because mode-specific bias and local socioeconomic biases are accounted for in the observed measured shares of travel by each mode. However, the incremental logit model does not: • Address the fundamental changes in service quality beyond those affecting in-vehicle travel times, out-of-vehicle travel times, and costs. Thus, improvements in such attributes as reliability, safety and security, vehicle comfort and cleanliness, service accessibility (park-nride, low floor buses) and availability of information are not reflected in the ridership estimates (nor in regional mode split models). This means that the incremental logit model is likely to underestimate patronage of a service with improved quality. • Accurately estimate ridership on corridors with little or no existing transit service. Thus, corridors like 16 Mile (Big Beaver/Metropolitan Parkway) and M-59 have lower ridership based on incremental change from current conditions (the regional mode split model would provide better estimates in these cases). The results of the incremental logit model can be seen in Table 8-2. 8.3 Summary In summary, the results of the logit model are low and the model does not capture the fundamental changes in Rapid Transit service quality improvements that will be seen with BRT versus the existing bus services. The peer comparative model provides a range of ridership estimates that are achievable with rapid transit. Once SEMCOG completes that new model with the transit mode split component for the Detroit Region, the SpeedLink corridor and network ridership can be updated. 1 Meyer, Michael and Eric Miller. (2001). Urban Transportation Planning (2 nd ed.). New York: McGraw Hill Higher Education. 2 Martin, William and Nancy McGuckin. “Travel Estimation Techniques for Urban Planning.” National Cooperative Research Program (NCHRP) Report 365. (1998): 62-75. Page 8-2 Section 8: Ridership Estimation Metropolitan Affairs Coalition The following ridership estimates are based on individual corridors and do not reflect the positive synergistic impacts of a network of SpeedLink services, nor do they show the concurrent increases in ridership that corridor local services will also likely experience. Thus, these figures should be considered baseline conservative estimates and will need refinement when SEMCOG’s new regional mode split model is completed late in 2001. Table 8-2: SpeedLink Ridership Estimates Current Transit Ridership SpeedLink Line 8 Mile 1 Corridor Ridership Estimate Basis Logit Model Peer Rev Hour Productivity Peer Rev Mile Productivity Peer Route Mile Productivity 4,177 5,800 17,900 36,200 14,100 409 1,200 19,600 23,800 9,300 3,181 3,800 17,300 25,300 9,900 Grand River 13,401 15,700 19,400 30,100 11,700 Gratiot 12,735 14,900 17,900 29,000 11,300 9,750 12,500 21,400 28,600 11,100 94 300 20,100 35,800 14,000 3,744 4,700 16,100 29,000 11,300 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway Fort Greenfield M-59 Michigan Telegraph Van Dyke Woodward 1 640 1,300 31,500 43,400 16,900 6,560 8,000 18,900 29,200 11,400 18,041 21,200 22,900 35,300 13,800 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway does not currently have transit service operating on it; Maple Road (15 Mile Road) was used as a surrogate (SMART Route 780). Page 8-3 9.0 Cost The development of operating and capital costs for the conceptual SpeedLink network and candidate starter lines requires that the attributes for SpeedLink be formalized. Based on discussions with the Task Force and stakeholders the following has been proposed for SpeedLink. 9.1 SpeedLink Design and Performance Assumptions Right-of-Way Assumptions • Exclusive lane arterial operation • Signal priority at all intersections • No new grade separations or existing roadbed reconstruction Station Assumptions • Lighted and heated stations • “Real-time” passenger information • Ticket vending machines • New joint-use park-and-ride lots Vehicle Assumptions • Low-floor single-articulated vehicles • Hybrid vehicle power • New maintenance facility assumed • No automatic vehicle guidance proposed Service Operation Assumptions • Service performance estimated based on exclusive lane arterial operation • Operation of low-floor articulated vehicles “Hold Harmless” Assumptions • Assumed that DDOT and SMART continue to operate current service or reallocate saved resources to provide additional connecting service • Assumed that only net gains in operating revenue attributed to SpeedLink Starter Line • DDOT and SMART financial situation unchanged1 DDOT and SMART will not incur any net cost due to SpeedLink; additional operating subsidy has also been budgeted under SpeedLink for enhanced baseline bus and shuttle services. 1 Page 9-1 Section 9: Cost Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Operating Cost Assumptions • Operating cost per service hour of $100.00 assumed2 • Includes additional facility and articulated fleet maintenance • Includes additional DDOT/SMART/ADA enhancements (25% of total) 9.2 SpeedLink Line and Service Characteristics The development of line and service characteristics for SpeedLink was based on the assumptions from the previous section. At this point, some general concepts were used for each line: • SpeedLink would operate 7-days per week from approximately 4:00 am to 1:00 am. • SpeedLink would operate at 5-minute intervals during peak weekday periods and every 10-minutes on weekends and during weekday midday periods. Evening service would operate every 20-minutes. • Stations would be spaced at all major transfer points with DDOT and SMART services, at major activity centers, and at connecting points with other SpeedLink lines. • Service operating speeds would be based on improvements over current bus service running times with assumed 15 percent terminal recovery time. Table 9-1: SpeedLink Line Characteristics SpeedLink Line Total OneWay Route (miles) Number of Stations Ave Station Spacing (miles) Service Frequencies Peak Off-Peak Weekend Night 8 Mile 25.9 24 1.08 5 10 10 20 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway 17.0 13 1.31 5 10 10 20 Fort 18.1 27 0.67 5 10 10 20 Grand River 21.5 26 0.83 5 10 10 20 Gratiot 20.8 22 0.94 5 10 10 20 Greenfield 20.4 24 0.85 5 10 10 20 M-59 25.6 11 2.33 5 10 10 20 Michigan 20.8 25 0.83 5 10 10 20 Telegraph 31.1 28 1.11 5 10 10 20 Van Dyke 20.9 26 0.80 5 10 10 20 Woodward 25.3 31 0.81 5 10 10 20 247.5 257 0.96 TOTAL The $100 per hour Operating Cost represents the high end for BRT; SpeedLink will not likely be an incremental increase to an existing bus operation but a new bus operation with minimal economies of scale. 2 Page 9-2 Section 9: Cost Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Table 9-2: SpeedLink Service Characteristics Peak Vehicles Required SpeedLink Line Annual One-Way Trips Annual Annual Service Miles Service Hours Average Operating Speed (mph) 8 Mile 21 102,450 2,657,143 87,160 30.5 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway 23 102,450 1,742,265 95,515 18.2 Fort 20 102,450 1,856,599 84,645 21.9 Grand River 23 102,450 2,207,388 94,420 23.4 Gratiot 21 102,450 2,125,838 87,160 24.4 Greenfield 25 102,450 2,094,693 104,235 20.1 M-59 24 102,450 2,626,203 97,300 27.0 Michigan 19 102,450 2,129,782 78,440 27.2 Telegraph 37 102,450 3,185,683 153,635 20.7 Van Dyke 22 102,450 2,140,488 92,635 23.1 Woodward 27 102,450 2,587,938 111,495 23.2 262 1,126,950 25,354,019 1,086,640 23.3 TOTAL 9.3 SpeedLink Operating Costs and Net Operating Subsidy Table 9-3: SpeedLink Operating Costs and Net Operating Subsidy SpeedLink Line SpeedLink Operating Cost DDOT/SMART New Feeder Service Total Annual Operating Cost Net Annual Operating 1 Operating Cost Revenue 2 Net Annual Subsidy Net Annual New 3 Passengers 8 Mile $8,716,000 $2,179,000 $10,895,000 $3,249,000 ($7,646,000) 4,512,000 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway $9,552,000 $2,388,000 $11,940,000 $2,968,000 ($8,972,000) 4,122,000 Fort $8,465,000 $2,116,000 $10,581,000 $2,474,000 ($8,107,000) 3,436,000 Grand River $9,442,000 $2,361,000 $11,803,000 $1,323,000 ($10,480,000) 1,838,000 Gratiot $8,716,000 $2,179,000 $10,895,000 $1,258,000 ($9,637,000) 1,747,000 $10,424,000 $2,606,000 $13,030,000 $1,963,000 ($11,067,000) 2,727,000 M-59 $9,730,000 $2,433,000 $12,163,000 $3,960,000 ($8,203,000) 5,500,000 Michigan $7,844,000 $1,961,000 $9,805,000 $2,618,000 ($7,187,000) 3,636,000 Telegraph $15,364,000 $3,841,000 $19,205,000 $5,134,000 ($14,071,000) 7,131,000 Greenfield Van Dyke Woodward TOTAL $9,264,000 $2,316,000 $11,580,000 $2,342,000 ($9,238,000) 3,253,000 $11,150,000 $2,788,000 $13,938,000 $1,192,000 ($12,746,000) 1,655,000 $108,667,000 $27,168,000 $135,835,000 $28,481,000 ($107,354,000) 39,557,000 1 These are additional funds for enhanced connecting services and for any additional ADA paratransit. 2 Additional operating revenue based on current DDOT average fare of 72¢. 3 Net ridership from SpeedLink based on average of logit model and peer comparison; does not include boardings on enhanc ed DDOT/SMART services. Page 9-3 Section 9: Cost Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 9.4 SpeedLink Capital Costs Table 9-4: SpeedLink Capital Costs Right-of-Way Construction (millions) SpeedLink Line Stations/P&R (millions) Design & Total Capital Implementation Costs (millions) (millions) Vehicles (millions) Unit Cost $2.52 $1.14 $0.65 8 Mile $65.4 $27.4 $16.4 Average Cost per Mile (millions) 36% $61.7 $170.9 $6.59 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway $42.9 $14.8 $17.9 $42.7 $118.3 $6.96 Fort $45.7 $30.8 $15.6 $52.0 $144.1 $7.95 Grand River $54.3 $29.6 $17.9 $57.5 $159.3 $7.39 Gratiot $52.3 $25.1 $16.4 $53.0 $146.8 $7.07 Greenfield $51.5 $27.4 $19.5 $55.6 $154.0 $7.53 M-59 $64.6 $12.5 $18.7 $54.1 $149.9 $5.85 Michigan $52.4 $28.5 $14.8 $54.1 $149.8 $7.21 Telegraph $78.4 $31.9 $28.9 $78.6 $217.8 $7.00 Van Dyke $52.7 $29.6 $17.2 $56.2 $155.7 $7.45 Woodward $63.7 $35.3 $21.1 $67.9 $188.0 $7.44 Maintenance Facility $30.0 TOTAL $623.9 $292.9 $234.4 $30.0 $633.4 $1,784.6 $7.21 Costs based on Woodward Corridor Transit Alternatives Study prepared by IBI Group. 9.5 SpeedLink Pilot Project Costs Table 9-5: SpeedLink Pilot Project Costs SpeedLink Line 2-Year Operating Subsidy Capital Costs Total Pilot Project Costs 8 Mile $15,292,000 $170,900,000 $186,192,000 Big Beaver/Metro Parkway $17,944,000 $118,300,000 $136,244,000 Fort $16,214,000 $144,100,000 $160,314,000 Grand River $20,960,000 $159,300,000 $180,260,000 Gratiot $19,274,000 $146,800,000 $166,074,000 Greenfield $22,134,000 $154,000,000 $176,134,000 M-59 $16,406,000 $149,900,000 $166,306,000 Michigan $14,374,000 $149,800,000 $164,174,000 Telegraph $28,142,000 $217,800,000 $245,942,000 Van Dyke $18,476,000 $155,700,000 $174,176,000 Woodward $25,492,000 $188,000,000 $213,492,000 $30,000,000 $30,000,000 $1,754,600,000 $1,969,308,000 Maintenance Facility TOTAL $214,708,000 Page 9-4 10.0 Starter Line 10.1 Starter Line Selection Criteria The starter line(s) are the initial elements of the SpeedLink network to be implemented. They are usually selected on the basis of their likelihood of success, ease of implementation, and affordability, as well as their importance as a foundation upon which to build the remainder of the network. The starter line(s) selection followed a three-step process that was built from the conceptual network criteria developed in Section 7.0 followed by assessing short-term implementation and demonstration testing criteria. 1. Develop short list candidates based on corridor mobility and design criteria 2. Fast implementation potential (3-5 years) • Projects can be implemented with resources that can acquired in the near term • Willingness of jurisdiction(s) to partner on SpeedLink Starter Line 3. Opportunity to test in variety of settings • Minimum SpeedLink design standards achievable • Serves variety of travel market groups • Tests variety of transit priority measures • Tests in geographically diverse areas • Potential to achieve broad public and political support • Allows testing of individual lines and network connectivity 10.2 Short List Scoring The scoring of criteria for the short list builds from the criteria identified in Section 7.0. The highest score in each criteria is awarded 100 percent and the remaining corridors are scored as a percentage of the highest. Table 10-1 – Short List Scoring Corridor Mobility Criteria SpeedLink Line 8 Mile Big Beaver/Metro Pkwy Total Population Population Density Total Employment Employment Density Corridor Design Criteria Traffic Volumes Current Transit Use Supportive Land Use Connectivity Major Activity Centers 100% 83% 33% 33% 25% 23% 67% 60% 25% 48% 53% 36% 48% 75% 2% 33% 50% 33% Fort 65% 79% 53% 76% 25% 13% 100% 50% 42% Greenfield 98% 98% 56% 66% 25% 44% 100% 50% 67% Grand River 99% 100% 61% 73% 75% 74% 100% 80% 25% Gratiot 88% 95% 51% 65% 100% 71% 100% 80% 42% M-59 48% 41% 32% 33% 100% 1% 33% 50% 42% Michigan 56% 58% 72% 88% 50% 21% 67% 70% 75% Telegraph 77% 54% 35% 29% 75% 4% 67% 50% 33% Van Dyke 62% 64% 72% 87% 25% 48% 67% 80% 25% Woodward 93% 79% 100% 100% 50% 100% 100% 100% 100% Page 10-1 Section 10: Starter Line Metropolitan Affairs Coalition The criteria scores are averaged for a final composite ranking. Table 10-2 – Short List Ranking SpeedLink Corridor Composite Score Woodward 91% Gratiot 77% Grand River 76% Greenfield 67% Michigan 62% Van Dyke 59% Fort 56% 8 Mile 50% Telegraph 47% M-59 42% Big Beaver/Metro Pkwy 42% SHORT LIST 10.3 Implementation Potential and Demonstration Criteria While it is critical that the SpeedLink starter line attract significant numbers of new and existing transit users in order to be deemed successful, it will also be important that the experience gained with developing, implementing, and operating the SpeedLink starter line provide insight into the optimal strategies for developing the remaining ten lines into the SpeedLink network. To that end, the next step in selecting a starter line was to assess the opportunity that each candidate provides to test SpeedLink in a broad range of settings. The following criteria identify these opportunities: • • • • • • SpeedLink design standards achievable Serves variety of travel market groups Tests variety of transit priority measures Tests in geographically diverse areas Potential to achieve broad public support Allows testing of individual lines and network connectivity The findings for these criteria follow for the three short-listed SpeedLink lines (Table 10-3): Page 10-2 Section 10: Starter Line Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Table 10-3: Criteria Evaluation for the Three Short-Listed SpeedLink Lines Criteria Grand River SpeedLink design Standards achievable Gratiot Yes Woodward Yes Yes, previously studied; head start on next steps Serves variety of travel market groups Highest population and densities High population and density Highest employment and densities; provides best special event co nnections (Tigers and Lions); highest number of major activity centers on line; provides greatest residential crosssection Tests variety of transit priority measures Yes, possible signal priority and exclusive lanes Yes, possible signal priority and exclusive lanes Yes, possible signal priority and exclusive lanes Among the highest traffic volumes Can provide mitigation for major I-75 reconstruction and expansion Tests in both urban core and suburban environments Tests in both urban core and suburban environments Competitive opportunities with other modes Tests in both urban core and suburban environments Tests in geographically diverse areas Potential to achieve broad public support Oakland and Wayne Counties; City of Detroit Macomb and Wayne Counties; City of Detroit Existing community redevelopment activity along corridor; Oakland and Wayne Counties; City of Detroit Allows testing of individual lines and network connectivity Provides good network connectivity with both DDOT and SMART Provides good network connectivity with both DDOT and SMART Provides maximum network connectivity with both DDOT and SMART 10.4 Recommended Starter Line The preliminary recommendation for the SpeedLink Starter Line pending assessment of available resources and the agreement among all key partners is: Jefferson Cadillac Square Temple Adams Mack Canfield Warren New Center Grand Blvd Euclid Owen Trowbridge Buena Vista Manchester Savannah McNichols 7 Mile State Fair 8 Mile 9 Mile Channing Woodward Hgts Zoo 11 Mile 13 Mile/Coolidge 12 Mile 14 Mile Maple 16 Mile/Big Beaver Downtown Pontiac South Blvd Woodward Avenue Page 10-3 11.0 Starter Line Phasing Plan The Starter Line Phasing Plan takes a brief look at two basic options for implementing the SpeedLink starter line. The first option considers opportunities to implement the starter line in phased segments. The second option looks at different combinations of design, build, and operate options for implementing SpeedLink. 11.1 Implementation of the Starter Line by Segments The starter line short list of Woodward, Gratiot, and Grand River all have two-year demonstration costs of between $166 million and over $210 million plus the cost of a maintenance facility. The starter line could be implemented in phased segments. The benefits of this include: • • Reduced demonstration capital and operating costs Reduced implementation time The three short listed starter lines were assessed for opportunities to implement a partial segment of the line in the initial startup. Based on a review of ridership, mobility needs, corridor development patterns, and network interconnectivity, a partial implementation was possible on two of the three short listed lines: Grand River and Woodward, but not Gratiot. Gratiot does not have a natural break point for an initial segment and would need to be implemented all at one time. Details on the segmentation analysis follow for each of the three lines. Woodward Avenue Phase I (initial segment) – Implement from Downtown Detroit to Birmingham/Troy (ending at Somerset) Phase II (completion of the line) – Extend to Pontiac Woodward SpeedLink 2-Year Operating Subsidy SpeedLink Capital Costs Enhanced Feeder Total Pilot Project Costs Phase I $15,048,000 $4,358,000 $157,600,000 $177,006,000 Full Line $19,916,000 $5,576,000 $188,000,000 $213,492,000 Page 11-1 Section 11: Starter Line Phasing Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Gratiot Avenue No logical break-point for an initial segment. Gratiot SpeedLink 2-Year Operating Subsidy SpeedLink Full Line Enhanced Feeder $14,916,000 Capital Costs $4,358,000 Total Pilot Project Costs $146,800,000 $166,074,000 Grand River Avenue Phase I (initial segment) – Implement from Downtown Detroit to 8 Mile Road Phase II (completion of the line) – Extend to Novi Grand River SpeedLink 2-Year Operating Subsidy SpeedLink Capital Costs Enhanced Feeder Total Pilot Project Costs Phase I $13,240,000 $3,504,000 $130,700,000 $147,444,000 Full Line $16,238,000 $4,722,000 $159,300,000 $180,260,000 Summary The lowest cost segment is now Grand River at $147 million with Gratiot still less costly than Woodward at $166 million versus $177 million. These starter line options may become important if starter line funding is very limited or the implementation schedule needs to be expedited. Page 11-2 12.0 Organizational Issues One of the key implementation issues of the SpeedLink starter line relates to the “who’s going to develop and oversee SpeedLink, who’s going to operate it, and who’s going to fund it.” It was not the intention of this study to develop and/or recommend any particular organizational model for transit in Metro Detroit, but rather to identify the key issues and requirements that SpeedLink will require organizationally in order for an informed decision to be made in the larger context beyond just SpeedLink’s technical needs. 12.1 Major Organizational Issues At the present time there are two existing public service providers in Metropolitan Detroit: the Detroit Department of Transportation (DDOT) and Suburban Mobility Authority for Regional Transportation (SMART). DDOT is the principal provider of service in the City of Detroit with SMART the principal provider of transit service in the suburban county areas. There are numerous instances of overlap in meeting prevailing mobility needs and in a number of instances DDOT and SMART have worked effectively together in the customer’s interest. However, SpeedLink represents a fundamental change in transit by transcending the service areas of both existing service providers and is not logically predisposed for operation by one or the other. The existing regional transit coordination is handled by the Regional Transit Coordinating Council (RTCC). However, the RTCC provides only a limited mechanism for coordinating implementation and delivery of public transportation and as such is not ideally suited for an aggressive transit program like SpeedLink. The organizational assessment focused on three areas of concern: • • • 12.2 SpeedLink implementation and operational requirements Regional versus municipal and county focus Need to comply with regulatory environment SpeedLink Implementation and Operational Requirements There are three principal implementation and operational requirements for SpeedLink. Able To Accept Funding SpeedLink will require ongoing operating and capital funding as presented in the section of costs. These funds are normally comprised of a combination of local, state, and federal funds that are used in interrelated formulas of matching funds where local and state funds can be matched with federal funds, and local funds can be matched with state funds in certain instances. These activities will require that an organization in Metro Detroit have the capability to receive this funding. Organizationally for SpeedLink, the funding can be received directly or via pass-through arrangement. Thus, it is not imperative that SpeedLink be part of an organization that can directly receive funds, only that there is a mechanism to make these funds available for SpeedLink capital and operating activities. Page 12-1 Section 12: Organizational Issues Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Enter Into Agreements With Public And Private Entities SpeedLink will need to enter into a variety of agreements as part of its normal business through inter-local agreements, memoranda of understanding, and basic contracts. Thus, the SpeedLin k organization will need this capability directly. Given the demonstration nature of the SpeedLink starter line, the organization will need to be flexible and expeditious in order to respond quickly and correctly to the changing needs of building, implementing, and operating the starter line. Power To Design, Build, And Operate SpeedLink In the previous paragraph the need for flexible and expeditious response was identified as a key ingredient for success. The SpeedLink organization will need the capability to look at a variety of different short and longer term options for building, implementing, and operating the starter line. Thus, it will be beneficial if the organization for SpeedLink is not restricted in terms of these options since SpeedLink represents a fundamentally new transit service for the region. 12.3 Regional versus Municipal and County SpeedLink is rapid transit and as such it is regional in nature with a service area that includes Macomb, Oakland, and Wayne Counties. It is a regional service that is being developed in response to mobility needs that clearly transcend municipal and county jurisdictional boundaries and existing DDOT and SMART boundaries. SEMCOG provides for regional mobility planning in a seven county area that includes the SpeedLink service area. The RTCC provides only a limited mechanism for coordinating implementation and delivery of public transportation. One recurring theme from the Task Force and the stakeholders is the need for a fully integrated system of transit services, which would include SpeedLink. This simply repeats MAC’s early issue paper on the need for an integrated network of SpeedLink, Interlink (regional and community bus), and Homelink (community and neighborhood shuttle) services. The current network of services is only partially coordinated despite DDOT and SMART efforts. For SpeedLink success, customer travel must be seamless between all transit service types and operators. Further, close coordination will be needed to maximize efficiency and effectiveness of the transit investment in SpeedLink and in the other transit services. Regional cooperation will be necessary to respond to the challenges effectively and ensure that SpeedLink and the entire transit system are a success. 12.4 Regulatory Issues The SpeedLink organization will need to be in compliance with federal, state, and local requirements. The Federal Transit Administration (FTA) has a broad range of regulations that require compliance if Federal funds are accepted. Other Federal regulations, including Civil Rights and Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) are not tied to funds and are required in any circumstance. Of specific interest in establishing a new transit organization are the statutory requirements of Section 13C of the Federal Transit Act: ‘That fair and equitable arrangements are made, as determined by the Secretary of Labor, to protect the interests of employees affected by (Federal) assistance.’ There will be numerous state and local requirements that are attached to any enabling legislation creating a new transit organization and SpeedLink will need to address these as they are known. Page 12-2 Section 12: Organizational Issues Metropolitan Affairs Coalition 12.5 How Others Have Started Rapid Transit? There have been two general organizational models that most new rapid transit starts have followed: • • Existing single regional authority – started within existing organization Multiple operators or authorities – create another regional authority or create new operating entity within existing regional authority New Rapid Transit Starts The following examples present the range of new rapid transit organizational models that have been implemented: • • • • • • • • 12.6 San Diego – new wholly-owned subsidiary (multiple operators in region), part of existing operator (commuter rail), BRT (two largest operators) Denver – part of single regional authority Dallas – part of single regional authority (LRT); new entity (commuter rail) Houston – part of single regional authority St. Louis – part of single regional authority (MO) and interlocal agreements (IL) Seattle – new regional authority with multiple operators Los Angeles – part of new county regional authority with multiple operators (BRT/LRT), new multiple-county regional authority (commuter rail) Santa Clara County – one of multiple regional authorities (BRT/LRT) Organizational Options for SpeedLink The organizational options for SpeedLink vary somewhat depending upon the short term versus the longer term due to the need to develop, implement, and operate/manage a starter line(s) versus an entire network of SpeedLink lines. To this end, organizational options are simply identified for consideration under both time frames. Near Term Starter Line(s) • Regional Transportation Coordinating Council (RTCC) – Cannot operate service directly in-house – Requires third party operation (public or private) – RTCC has not been used previously on a project like SpeedLink • DDOT and/or SMART – One or both could implement and operate SpeedLink in-house or with third party contract – Both would have to acquire technical expertise for a SpeedLink-type implementation – Both are focused on their respective service areas and SpeedLink will require a regional perspective Page 12-3 Section 12: Organizational Issues Metropolitan Affairs Coalition • New regional authority – Brand new operating entity – starting a brand new transit service at the same time would be a challenge – Depending on enabling legislation, could implement in-house or with third party Long Term Full SpeedLink Network 12.7 • Regional Transportation Coordinating Council (RTCC) – Possible oversight for new SpeedLink entity – Does not have mechanism for long term funding for SpeedLink • DDOT and/or SMART – Neither has the regional funding capability needed for implementing SpeedLink – Neither has the regional operating and implementation planning authority • New regional authority – Assumes availability of long term dedicated funding – Likely ability needed to accept federal and state funds – Operating and implementation planning authority required Organizational Options for Implementation There are four principal areas of expertise that will be required for a successful starter line(s) implementation: oversight/planning, design, build/acquire, and operate/manage. Table 12-1 presents three general options available for implementation of the starter line. Table 12-1: Implementation Options Option A Traditional B TurnKey C DBOM 1 1 Oversight & Implementation Planning Design Build Operate Separate Regional Entity Third Party Third Party Third Party or Existing Provider Separate Regional Entity Separate Regional Entity Third Party Third Party or Existing Provider Third Party Design, build, operate, manage Page 12-4 Section 12: Organizational Issues Metropolitan Affairs Coalition All three approaches involve the provision of oversight and implementation planning by the new regional organization noted earlier. This entity would have direct responsibility for ensuring that the other three functions, design/build/operate, all take place in a timely, cost-effective manner such that expectations for the SpeedLink starter line(s) are met. A – Traditional The traditional approach involves undertaking the design, build, and operation as three separate activities with separate parties or contracts. The advantage of this approach is that the contracting organization can select whom they believe to be the optimal choice for each activity, including the option of operating the starter line(s) with either a third party or an existing transit provider (i.e., DDOT/SMART). This approach also allows for deficiencies in one activity to be easier to identify because there is no shared performance risk between contractors. The downside is that three separate activities must be individually managed and monitored, the primary risk for the overall SpeedLink starter line(s) rests solely with the regional organiz ation, and the overall cost may be higher. B – Turnkey The turnkey approach recognizes the synergy between the design and build activities and consolidates these under one third party contractor. The major advantages with this approach over the traditional is the opportunity to realize capital cost savings through the design-build synergy and the shifting of primary risk for these activities to a third party. The downside is that you no longer have the design firm and builder monitoring each other’s performance. C – DBOM The Design/Build/Operate/Manage (DBOM) or Design/Build/Operate/Transfer (DBOT)1 are developments that recognize the linkages between good design/construction and a successful operation. Typically, this synergy leads to a design and construction effort that seeks to provide an efficient and effective operation, something of significant long-term benefit for SpeedLink. Thus, the DBOM/DBOT entity will likely propose a starter line(s) project that balances capital and operating costs such that an attractive lower life cycle cost (design, build, and operate for a specified number of years) will result. This approach is the easiest to administer because there is just one contractor involved who assumes the primary risk for executing a successfully operating SpeedLink starter line(s). Having responsibility for all aspects of the work usually results in the contractor internally resolving issues in the different activities such that the long term SpeedLink goals are realized, since in many ways these are shared with the SpeedLink organization. 12.8 Summary While there are many technical challenges to making SpeedLink a reality for Metro Detroit customers, the more difficult may be solving the organization issues. The successful resolution of the The primary difference between DBOM and DBOT is that the latter will transfer the operation back to the public organization at some specified date. 1 Page 12-5 Section 12: Organizational Issues Metropolitan Affairs Coalition organizational issues and the establishment of an effective structure for transit will likely be the most important element in the future of SpeedLink in the region. Page 12-6 13.0 Funding This section is an overview of funding requirements and opportunities. 13.1 Funding Requirements SpeedLink will need short-term funds to cover the capital and operating costs of the starter line(s) demonstration. There are two possible options for funding the starter line(s): • • Possible one-time grant covering portion of demonstration cost Allocate from new long term dedicated funding source (not yet determined) These funds will need to be available quickly to implement starter line within the next 3-5 years as desired by the Task Force and the Stakeholders. Neither of the existing transit operators have any surplus funds available for SpeedLink. In fact, one of the basic assumptions in the costing is that neither operator will suffer a negative financial impact from SpeedLink. Once the starter line(s) is successfully demonstrated (if not sooner), there will be a critical need to secure a long term source of funds to build and operate the full SpeedLink network and make necessary improvements in other transit services that comprise the integrated system. 13.2 Funding Options There are three principal sources of funds outside of operating revenues: Federal Funds As discussed earlier, the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) has a major Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) initiative underway that has drawn significant interest from many regions in using FTA funding to help develop their BRT networks. Thus, the competition for capital funds is quite intense with FTA now requiring substantial ongoing local investment in matching funds. FTA had historically funded up to 80 percent of new start programs, but has in recent years been requiring higher local match commitments with the typical FTA match now just 50 percent. Many systems continue to provide even higher local matches in order to move up the new start lists for federal funding. Federal operating funds for SpeedLink are not available. There are other federal funding sources that are available for special aspects of developing SpeedLink. For instance HUD will sometimes fund streetscape and access improvements and FHWA, transit priority measures. State Funds The state funds may be ongoing (long term implementation and operation) or special grants (pilot projects). Competition state-wide, not only between transit regions but for other purposes, creates major challenges to establish a priority for SpeedLink in particular and transit improvements for Metro Detroit in general. There are a large variety of tax sources for transit that can be considered. Page 13-1 Section 13: Funding Metropolitan Affairs Coalition Local Funding Sources Just as at the federal and state levels there are a variety of potential sources available; but the competition with other important infrastructure improvements within the three county area is severe. There are possible joint funding initiatives with related projects (e.g., roadways, traffic signals) and individual initiatives. These options are currently being assessed by the Citizens Research Council. 13.3 Summary Funding is nearly as important as the organizational issues in establishing SpeedLink; the only difference is that an effective organization is usually a required first step to securing the necessary funding, making it slightly more important. A long term dedicated funding source for both SpeedLink and the necessary enhancement of the other elements in the integrated network of transit services is imperative to moving ahead. Page 13-2 14.0 Next Steps The conclusion of the SpeedLink Feasibility Study with the identification of a short list of candidate starter line(s) begins the “next steps” process. The following list covers the general steps that will be involved in moving forward with a SpeedLink starter line: • Public comment – stakeholders (Months 1-3) • Coordination with SEMCOG – finalize starter line (Months 1-6) • Address organization and funding issues (Months 1-24) • Decide on implementation option (Months 24-27) • Select design, construction, and operations entities (Months 27-30) • Complete implementation (Months 30-54) • Initiate SpeedLink starter line (Months 54-60) Page 14-1