IKB-DEF-APR 06, 15 - Indicia Research & Advisory

Indicia Knowledge Brief
A Daily Assessment on Indian Defence and Internal/Homeland Security
April 06, 2015.
Primary aims of Indicia Daily Brief are two-fold. First, it distills infinite information into a
capsule form, thus saving precious time of its clients. Second, it tries to link micro-events
to larger strategic canvas through its analyses, thus providing support knowledge for
better understanding and decision-making.
Indicia Analysis of the Day
As part of the review programme Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar will
be present in Mumbai for the official ‘floating out' of the first Project-75
(Scorpene) submarine on pontoon. His briefing by the naval officers of
Western Naval Command (WNC) on the status of various ongoing projects
at MDL is considered crucial.
After over six-month delay, two new advanced military choppers have
landed in India to be inducted into the elite air wing of the Border
Security Force. The Russian-made Mi-17 V5 choppers will boost the flying
capability of central paramilitary forces that are deployed for a variety of
internal security tasks in some of the most arduous and inhospitable
conditions at numerous locations.
The Intelligence Bureau’s alert to Delhi Police about a possible terror
attack in the national capital should be taken seriously as reports suggest
that militant outfits are planning to carry out a Samba-like 'Fidayeen'
attack in the city.
I. National Defence and Security:
Parrikar to attend official floating out of 1st Scorpene submarine:
Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar will be present in Mumbai tomorrow (April
6) for the official ‘floating out' of the first Project-75 (Scorpene) submarine on
pontoon. Naval sources told OneIndia that the event will be held at Mazagon
Docks Limited (MDL) during Parrikar's visit to its facilities. "This is part of
Raksha Mantri's review programme. He will be briefed by the naval officers of
Western Naval Command (WNC) on the status of various ongoing projects at
MDL," a defence official said. Admiral R K Dhowan, Chief of Naval Staff, will be
leading a high-level naval delegation on the occasion. Vice Admiral Surinder Pal
Singh Cheema had recently taken over the reins of WNC as the Flag Officer
Commanding-in-Chief (FOC-in-C). In addition to reviewing the progress of the
Project 75, Parrikar is also expected to get an update on the progress of P-15 B
class stealth destroyers being built at MDL. As reported in these columns earlier,
six Scorpene-class submarines are currently being built at BDL in collaboration
with DCNS, a French company. As per the modified schedules, the first homegrown Scorpene submarine is scheduled to join the Indian naval ranks next year.
This after a delay of over was four years. Interestingly, the then defence minister
Arun Jaitley had reviewed Project 75 in August 2014, three months after he took
charge. During his visit, Jaitley had inaugurated the Mazdock Modernisation
Project (MMP), which was aimed at propelling the ship-building capabilities.
Source:
http://www.oneindia.com/india/manohar-parrikar-to-attend-official-floating-out-of-scorpenesubmarine-on-april6-1706382.html
*
DRDO exploring possibility of increasing range of Pinaka MBRL:
The Armament and Combat Engineering Cluster wing of DRDO, Pune is exploring
the possibility of increasing the range of Pinaka Multi Barrel Rocket Launch
System ( MBRL) from 40 km to 60 km, a top official said. "The trials are in the
process at the cluster, which will be followed by field based trials," Anil M Datar,
the distinguished scientist and ACE Director General told reporters on the
sidelines of a graduation day function at the Sri Ramakrishna Engineering
College. On ongoing projects, Datar said that ACE is engaged in making weapons
for the next six to 10 years, considering the technological advancements. He said
ACE was working to get more accuracy to target in guided rockets, even as
manual labour is reduced and automation increased. ACE was also in the process
of developing a quick launcher portable bridge that can move along with the
equipment, Datar said. Earlier addressing the graduates, Datar said there was a
huge gap between defence technology in India and that found worldwide and
called for steps to bridge it. Further research was essential for improving
existing systems and developing new ones, he said....
Source:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/drdo-exploring-possibility-ofincreasing-range-of-pinaka-mbrl/articleshow/46808952.cms
*
Arms and Men Make in India or Make for India?
India is planning to push up domestic defence production by roping in the
private sector, especially multinational corporations. Though this seems a
laudable aim at fi rst sight, the wisdom of letting in private players inspired by
profi ts and a reluctance to be regulated into the strategically signifi cant defence
sector is suspect. The argument that the public sector has shown itself to be
incapable of meeting the country’s defence needs rests on fl imsy ground. Above
all, the government has so far shown that its dogmatism is its own worst enemy.
The Narendra Modi-led government plans to manufacture—“Make in India”—
military hardware in India in “partnership” with the private sector. At February’s
Aero-India 2015 in Bengaluru, the Prime Minister pointed out that 2,00,000
people were employed in the public defence sector. He asserted that 1,00,000–
1,20,000 skilled jobs could be created by reducing imports by 25% to 40% and
also that no less than 2,00,000 workers would be required in the aerospace
industry (Singh 2015). Modi invited defence multinational corporations (MNC)
to join hands with India’s private and public sector to manufacture in the
country. On the face of it, manufacturing in India, which imports 60% of its
military items, is a laudable notion. The annual output of India’s domestic
defence production is estimated to be Rs 4.4 lakh crore or $7 billion. Which is to
say that Rs 7 lakh crore worth of equipment is imported. But why is there a
hurry to invite the private sector and MNCs into the defence sector? The
secretary in the department of industrial policy and promotion is quoted as
claiming that given equal opportunities, the private sector has the “potential to
streak ahead in the Make in India race” (Singh 2015). Meanwhile, the Chairman
of Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) reminded us that the Defence Research
and Development Organisation (DRDO), HAL, and other public sector
undertakings (PSU) “are the engine powering it (defence production), while
private sector players are like bogies,” using a train as an analogy. The question
is whether the private sector ought to be involved in this at all. And if so, how?
First of all, what needs to be understood is that India has limited resources. This
was brought out sharply when the Ministry of Defence (MoD) recently shifted Rs
13,000 crore allocated under the capital account to the revenue side to meet dayto-day expenses (Tribune 2015). The news report says that Minister of Finance
Arun Jaitley spoke of Rs 6,000–Rs 8,000 crore being required for the One Rank
One Pension (OROP) Scheme which has been approved, whereas the Controller
General of Defence Accounts (CGDA) had said that it will be Rs 14,200 crore. The
point is that when resources are limited, and humanpower augmentation and
pension liabilities are nevertheless growing, there is little room for reckless
growth in the name of Make in India. A common argument of proponents of the
private sector is that it is the public sector that has been splurging and shown
itself to be incapable of meeting the country’s defence needs. But wrongful use of
scarce resources by the public sector should not hide the fact that there are PSUs
that have been doing well (such as in the space and shipbuilding sectors).
However, a bloated officer cadre and depleting workforce cannot be a good way
to improve defence PSUs. Sweeping generalisations about PSUs hide more than
they reveal. Defence is a sector where there is one buyer and several suppliers.
While private suppliers will be keen to corner more and more funds, the goals of
PSUs are qualitatively different in that it is indigenous development, not profit,
that guides them....
Source: http://idrw.org/arms-and-men-make-in-india-or-make-for-india/
*
Two new advanced military choppers for BSF air wing:
After over six-month delay, two new advanced military choppers have landed in
India to be inducted into the elite air wing of the Border Security Force, which is
tasked to carry air support missions for troops along the borders and in the
hinterland for anti-Naxal operations. The Russian-made Mi-17 V5 choppers will
boost the flying capability of central paramilitary forces that are deployed for a
variety of internal security tasks in some of the most arduous and inhospitable
conditions at numerous locations. "Two new Mi-17 V5's are in India now. The
choppers are flying for trials in various parts of the country and will be soon
inducted in the BSF air wing," a senior official said. The official said the choppers
have been initially based at the BSF hangar at Safdarjung airport and are
expected to be formally inducted into the fleet by Home Minister Rajnath Singh
on April 9. The new pair, sources said, are expected to be tasked for anti-Naxal
operations and with their new bases in Chhattisgarh (Jagdalpur) and Odisha
(Koraput). What makes the induction of these new choppers important, the
sources said, is that these flying machines are armed with the latest avionics and
night flying capabilities which has been a long-time requirement for security
forces undertaking operations in Naxal violence affected zones. "The existing IAF
and Dhruv fleet of BSF were not very much equipped to undertake casualty
evacuation or troop insertion exercises during evening hours. These new
choppers can now undertake night landings at designated bases," they said,
adding they will be used to transport men and logistics. These improved versions
of the Mi-17 helicopters were initially supposed to be handed over to BSF by
Russians in September last year but due to some glitches the delivery could not
take place. A team from Russia had come to meet senior Home Ministry officials
in November last and after this, the delivery time was fixed in March 2015, they
said.
Source:
http://zeenews.india.com/news/india/two-new-advanced-military-choppers-for-bsf-airwing_1573562.html
*
5 shipyards earmarked for Rs 53,000 crore sub project:
Five Indian shipyards have been shortlisted by a high-level committee of the
Ministry of Defence (MoD) for bidding to build a new line of six conventional
submarines under the long-pending Project 75 (India), which will cost an
estimated Rs 53,000 crore. This is expected to set off the most intense contest in
the global arms bazaar after the IAF's MMRCA fighter jet competition. The
shortlisted shipyards include the public sector Mazagon Dock, Hindustan
Shipyards, Garden Reach Shipbuilders and Engineers (GRSE). Private sector
shipyards figuring on this list are L&T and Pipavav. This is for the first time that
the MoD will consider private sector shipyards for a major Indian Navy shipbuilding project in a head-to-head competition with the public sector. The new
line of submarines, along with the Scorpenes — six of which are currently under
construction at Mumbai's Mazagon Dock — will comprise the future non-nuclear
submarine fleet of the Indian Navy. The MoD committee under the supervision of
Secretary, Defence Production, G. Mohan Kumar conducted a survey of public
and private sector shipyards for arriving at the shortlist. These shipyards will be
invited to submit bids in partnership with a foreign shipyard to meet the Navy's
specifications. An Expression of Interest (EOI) is likely to be issued soon to these
companies. This will finally kick-off the long-delayed proposal initiated in 2007
for a second line of diesel-electrical submarines to stem the rapidly depleting
submarine force levels. The likely foreign collaborators are French DCNS,
German HDW (TKMS), Russian Rubin Design Bureau (Amur Shipyard), Spanish
Navantia, Swedish Kockums. The surprise packet could be the Japanese
consortium of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) and Kawasaki Heavy Industries
(KHI), which is likely to offer the Soryu class submarines, touted as the world's
most advanced non-nuclear attack submarines. "We are very much interested in
Japan's technologies," Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar told Japanese media
ahead of his visit to Tokyo last week. "We are looking at all kinds of defence
cooperation with Japan in all fields," he said, when asked if India would consider
the Soryu submarine. If this intent materialises, this will be the first time Japan
will bid to supply military equipment to India. It'll be a transformative move
laden with considerable geo-political significance....
Source: http://www.sunday-guardian.com/news/5-shipyards-earmarked-for-rs-53000-crore-sub-project
*
Star Wars: India set to test missile defence shield:
On April 05 or April 06, in Chandipur, Odisha, the Defence R&D Organisation
(DRDO) will test-fire an interceptor missile, whose task is to hit an incoming
ballistic missile target, in this case a Prithvi missile fired a few minutes earlier.
The test is akin to striking a bullet with a bullet. This will be DRDO's latest test
towards developing an anti-ballistic missile (ABM) shield, to protect Indian
targets against nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles fired from Pakistan or China. In
2011, former DRDO chief Avinash Chander had told Business Standard that an
ABM shield would protect the national capital within three years ('Delhi could
have anti-missile shield by 2014', August 29, 2011). However, the shield's
components are still being refined, and the government is not likely to sanction
operational deployment of what will be a highly controversial measure until
after the shield is fully tested. An ABM shield is controversial because it
destabilises nuclear deterrence, encouraging a country to believe it can launch a
nuclear strike while successfully defending itself against retaliation. At the height
of the Cold War, the US and the Soviet Union signed an Anti-Ballistic Missile
Treaty severely restricting defensive measures on both sides, to preclude this.
Pakistan believes its arsenal of about 100-120 nuclear warheads, and the
missiles, aircraft and other means to deliver them, are sufficient to deter India's
military. Were India to protect cities such as Delhi and Mumbai with ABM
shields, the Pakistan Army would almost certainly build more nukes and plan to
fire a larger number at defended cities, to saturate and overwhelm their ABM
defences. An ABM shield has three functional components: First, a radar network
that detects enemy ballistic missiles soon after they are launched, and then
tracks them along their flight path. The range of a ground-based radar is limited
by the earth's curvature, while a satellite-based radar picks up a missile as soon
as it is fired. The second component is a command and control system that plots
and predicts the enemy missile's flight path, and assigns interceptor missiles to
destroy the intruding missile. Third, the ABM shield has interceptor missiles that
a "guidance radar" guides onto the incoming enemy missile, destroying it before
its nuclear warhead can do any damage....
Source:
http://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/star-wars-india-set-to-test-missiledefence-shield-115040400719_1.html
*
Defence PSUs Spoil PM’s ‘Make in India’ Dream:
The Ministry of Defence, according to official estimates, is expected to spend
around $130 billion on defence modernisation under Prime Minister Narendra
Modi’s Make in India initiative in the next seven to eight years. But despite being
given a major push towards self-reliance, indigenization in the defence sector is
far from reality. The defence ministry’s annual review on the progress of selfreliance (accessed by The Sunday Standard) shows that the indigenous share in
military hardware has been static for the past four years, and rather poised for a
speedy nose-dive. The objectives of the Defence Production Policy (2011) were
to achieve substantive self-reliance in design, development and production of
weapon systems, to create conditions conducive for private industry to take an
active role in this endeavour, to enhance potential of small and medium
enterprises in indigenization, and to broaden defence research and development.
An increase in home-made content for production of defence equipment by the
Defence Public Sector Units (PSUs) and Ordnance Factory Boards (OFBs) was
another goal. But even three years later, a review of this policy at the review
committee meeting, held a few months ago, has exposed the dismal performance
of defence PSUs. The meeting was attended by top officials of the defence
ministry, including the defence minister, defence secretary, DRDO chief and
other key officials responsible for acquisitions for the three forces. “As far as
total defence capital procurement for armed forces is concerned, the indigenous
content is almost static at about 40 per cent. And this may further go down,” the
review committee observed. While referring to the performance of defence PSUs,
the committee observed that majority of them were under-performing. “Though
there is slight improvement in the indigenous content, but in most of the DPSUs,
it is static in the last 3-4 years. In fact, in case of BEL, HAL, MDL, it is going down.
This is a serious concern, which needs to be addressed,” it said. The committee
also pointed out that stand-alone initiatives for research and development and
technology development undertaken by the Defence PSUs are “not sufficient to
reach the desired level of indigenization”. With regard to total defence capital
procurement and import content provided by the Controller General of Defence
Accounts, an analysis by the committee says that the total indigenous content in
defence capital procurement was only 40 per cent. The detailed analysis states
that total import content, including direct and import content in procurement
from Indian vendors, was 60.42 per cent from 59 per cent in 2012. Even the
indigenous content in military hardware provided by our defence PSUs and OFBs
was also nearly 60 per cent.....
Source: http://idrw.org/defence-psus-spoil-pms-make-in-india-dream/
*
FDI UP TO 74% CAN MAKE INDIAN DEFENCE SELF-RELIABLE:
STUDY:
The Government of India (GoI), needs to raise cap on Foreign Direct Investment
(FDI) in order to achieve self-reliance in the defence sector. This was stated by
the study titled ‘Self-reliance in defence production: The unfinished agenda,’
jointly done by the Associated Chamber of Commerce and Industry of India
(ASSOCHAM) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), a global advisory firm. The
ASSOCHAM-PwC joint study says that the recent increase of FDI cap in defence to
49% may not succeed fully in drawing investments and advanced technology
into the sector. In this regard, the study suggests ‘allowing 100% FDI in defence
sector, if not, at least 74%, in order to facilitate the ways for capital inflows and
setting up of entities of Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM) and their
suppliers with technology transfer’. The defence sector holds immense
possibilities in attracting investments, setting up manufacturing facilities,
obtaining technologies and generating high-skilled employment, the study
added. The study further called upon the government policies to create synergies
rather than contradictions, in order to leverage India’s combined potential in
having liberalized offset policy, low-cost manufacturing and skilled man-power,
as a part of its defence acquisition programme. The increase in FDI limit will also
help in facilitating the better fulfillment of offset obligations, which arise in case
a country demands offset agreements in order to gain economic benefits.
Providing the multiplier (say of five) for FDI in the offset policy will help the
OEMs to bring investments into the country, the study added. Releasing the
study findings, S D Rawat, Secretary General, ASSOCHAM, said the defence
production needs long-term and large investment, cutting-edge technology with
low economies of scale. For this purpose, he suggested the Indian government to
support building a private industry base with pro-active policies in funding &
research, creating a low-interest regime to bring down capital costs, encouraging
exports, among others....
Source: http://www.indiandefensenews.in/2015/04/fdi-up-to-74-can-make-indian-defence.html
*
Two new advanced military choppers for BSF air wing:
After over six-month delay, two new advanced military choppers have landed in
India to be inducted into the elite air wing of the Border Security Force, which is
tasked to carry air support missions for troops along the borders and in the
hinterland for anti-Naxal operations. The Russian-made Mi-17 V5 choppers will
boost the flying capability of central paramilitary forces that are deployed for a
variety of internal security tasks in some of the most arduous and inhospitable
conditions at numerous locations. "Two new Mi-17 V5's are in India now. The
choppers are flying for trials in various parts of the country and will be soon
inducted in the BSF air wing," a senior official said. The official said the choppers
have been initially based at the BSF hangar at Safdarjung airport and are
expected to be formally inducted into the fleet by Home Minister Rajnath Singh
on April 9. The new pair, sources said, are expected to be tasked for anti-Naxal
operations and with their new bases in Chhattisgarh (Jagdalpur) and Odisha
(Koraput). What makes the induction of these new choppers important, the
sources said, is that these flying machines are armed with the latest avionics and
night flying capabilities which has been a long-time requirement for security
forces undertaking operations in Naxal violence affected zones. "The existing IAF
and Dhruv fleet of BSF were not very much equipped to undertake casualty
evacuation or troop insertion exercises during evening hours. These new
choppers can now undertake night landings at designated bases," they said,
adding they will be used to transport men and logistics. These improved versions
of the Mi-17 helicopters were initially supposed to be handed over to BSF by
Russians in September last year but due to some glitches the delivery could not
take place. A team from Russia had come to meet senior Home Ministry officials
in November last and after this, the delivery time was fixed in March 2015, they
said.
Source:
http://zeenews.india.com/news/india/two-new-advanced-military-choppers-for-bsf-airwing_1573562.html
*
Why India should not Shy away from developing 10000km ICBM:
India is capable of developing intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM) which
can hit targets beyond the range of 10,000 km, Chairman of Armament Research
Board, Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO), Dr SK Salwan
said is India’s worst kept secret. I still remember reading in newspapers how
American Defense analytic were paranoid about rising Space capabilities of India
and had said in a report that India will use a modified Pslv rocket to create
India’s first ICBM and will gain capability to hit targets in North America thus
Mythical ” Surya” missile with range of 10000 km ICBM was born in the same
report. While India never went for such Juggad but it also never allowed its Space
Departments to work on Long-range missiles which allowed DRDO to work on
missiles one step at a time, gradually increasing missile range with each
successful project . While we have reached a situation where questions will be
asked if India wants to further increase it missile range. Agni-V has proved that
India now has capability to develop true ICBM. Agni-V has minimum target
hitting capacity of more than 5000km and with light payload can hit target till
8000km. Question will now rise does India has the political will to develop
missile which can hit targets up to 12000km which will bring the whole of North
America in its range. Why should India develop such ICBM might be related to an
Event which happened in 1971 war with Pakistan . while 1971 war was finest
hour, in military terms. The clinical professionalism of the Indian army, navy and
air force was displayed. It was also the same war where Super Power United
States of America supported Pakistan and had kept three battalions of Marines
on standby to deter India, and American aircraft carrier USS Enterprise had
orders to target Indian Army facilities. Many could say that US President Richard
Nixon was Pro-Pak which lead to such situation in 1971 war but can we assume
that they will not be any Pro-Pak US President in future who might have
different views on Kashmir then What India could like Us President to have? . Its
better to be prepared then be Sorry .
Source: http://idrw.org/why-india-should-not-shy-away-from-developing-10000km-icbm/
*
VL Astra based Air Defence System will be offered: Source:
Upbeat on the Continuous success of beyond visual range air-to-air Astra missile
from fighter aircraft Sukhoi. Sources close to idrw.org have informed that a
possible spin of the programme will be to develop Vertical Launch variant of
Astra missiles as a short range, ground-based air defence system. DRDO will
officially offer such system to Armed forces which can be used as low-level
quick-reaction air defence system based on Astra missiles which will be similar
to Rafael supplied Spyder LLQRM systems to Indian air force (IAF). Sources
confirmed that Astra missiles fired from Ground-based launchers in the previous
phase of testing had successfully hit Electronic target and it had also validated
flight characters of the missile system which clears path to develop a groundbased air defence system. Ground-based Astra air defence system will provide
360° coverage (vertical launch) and will be Fire-and-Forget system with
Interception range up to 20 km. It is still not clear how many missiles can be
carried on one launcher, but Missile system can be used to provide defence
against a wide range of targets, including fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters and
UAVs said source
Source: http://idrw.org/vl-astra-based-air-defence-system-will-be-offered-source/
II
Homeland Security
*
J&K Samba-like 'Fidayeen attack' possible in national capital: IB
alerts Delhi Police:
The Intelligence Bureau has issued an alert to Delhi Police about a possible
terror attack in the national capital, reports claimed on April 05. According to
reports, the IB has told Delhi Police that the militant outfits are planning to carry
out a Samba-like 'Fidayeen' attack in the city. It has also asked the Delhi Police to
beef up the security at all the border and sensitive areas. In March, two terrorists
opened fire at an Army camp on the Jammu-Pathankot Highway in Samba
district and were killed in the counter attack. The militants had opened fired and
lobbed grenades at an Army camp in Meshwara area of Samba around 5:50 am,
security officials had claimed. The Army said both the guerrillas involved in the
attack were killed. The brigade commander of the area, Brigadier BS Rana, told
mediapersons that two terrorists wearing paramilitary fatigues lobbed grenades
and fired from automatic weapons at the camp of the 82 Field Armoured
Regiment in Samba district.
Source: http://zeenews.india.com/news/delhi/jk-samba-like-fidayeen-attack-possible-in-national-capitalib-alerts-delhi-police_1573640.html
*
Attack India And Live Life King size in The Valley:
If two boxes, India and Pakistan, are placed in front of me, I will vote for
Pakistan,” Prof. Abdul Gani Bhat, a separatist leader, had told the media in 2008,
while calling himself a die-hard supporter of Pakistan. He is not alone. ProPakistan separatists like Hashim Qureshi also openly support such an ideology.
But, ironically people like Qureshi and Bhat, who have defied the government
order and public sentiments to dine with Pakistani’s duplicitous diplomats, do
not shy away from living life king-size on the taxpayers’ money. These ‘political
activists’, in fact, are receiving a range of privileges from the state government—
security cover, guards at home, vehicles, fuel and even secured hotel
accommodation, for absolutely free. The government spent Rs 69 crore on
salaries for guards to protect the anti-India political activists last year; Rs 40
crore towards paying PSOs; Rs 3.60 crore for hotel accommodation while
another Rs 5.18 crore went for fuel to facilitate their travel. These shocking state
payments are also extended to many ‘uncategorised’ political activists, whose
names are kept in the domain of speculation by the government, citing the issue
of sensitive threat perception. In 2013-14 too, the state government spent Rs
107 crore, including approximately Rs 4 crore as hotel bills and Rs 5 crore on
petrol and diesel for the pro-separatist activists in the Kashmir Valley. Rajesh
Gupta, a BJP MLA earlier this week, had sought details of the number of political
activists as well as the money spent on them by the Omar Abdullah government
in the last five years. The MLA from Jammu East constituency told The Sunday
Standard that he was surprised to see the details, as huge amounts of money are
being spent on them....
Source: http://www.newindianexpress.com/thesundaystandard/Attack-India-And-Live-Life-King-size-inThe-Valley/2015/04/05/article2747720.ece
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