Dear Mike Please find attached our concept

Transcription

Dear Mike Please find attached our concept
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Pincetl, Stephanie
Monday, May 12, 2014 8:50 PM
Peevey, Michael R.
Gold, Mark
Concept proposal SONGS
SONGS concept abstract.docx
Dear Mike
Please find attached our concept proposal for your consideration. We are at your disposal for further clarifications or
modifications as you might find necessary.
Thank you for soliciting this work initiative.
Warm regards
sp
Stephanie Pincetl
Professor in Residence
Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities http://sustainablecommunities.environment.ucla.edu
Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu
W: 310-825-2434
C:
Office Location: Life Sciences 5362
1
UCLA Center for Sustainable Cities Concept Proposal
Stephanie Pincetl, Mark Gold
The closure of the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station (SONGS), offers a unique and
timely opportunity for a reconsideration of energy supply and use in Southern California.
Developing a power system that is less carbon intensive, reliable and cost effective
requires innovative infrastructure that is responsive to demand and adaptive to more
distributed power sources. Infrastructure and technology alone, however, are not
sufficient. Decision-makers must also develop market mechanisms that incentivize firms
and individuals to make decisions in line with greenhouse gas reductions goals. Finally,
this transition must maximize benefits to multiple stakeholders including ratepayers,
utilities and State agencies.
Taking a holistic perspective to examining and understanding current energy use and the
potential for substantial transformation, the research will provide California a new path
forward that is less carbon intensive, while maintaining a reliable power system for the
needs of the 21st century. The work will provide pathways for long term procurement
approaches that will lead to decreases in greenhouse gas (GHG) and criteria air pollutant
(CAP) emissions.
The research products will provide benefits to multiple stakeholders.
Utility Companies
Deliverables will assist Southern California Edison and San Diego Gas and Electric in
this transition by providing: tools and information to target program resources, evaluation
of technologies and market mechanisms to expand renewable generation while
maintaining reliability and economic competitiveness, a geo-database for energy planning
and forecasting and education and outreach assistance.
Ratepayers
Deliverables will maximize ratepayer benefits by increasing the value of energy
programs through improved design and implementation, maximizing the equity of rate
structures through equity and vulnerability analysis, minimizing the health and
environmental impacts of new infrastructure through comparative scenarios analysis and
empowering ratepayer advocates through interactive data analysis tools.
State Agencies
Deliverables will help ensure the state’s largest region cost effectively and equitably
reduces greenhouse gas emissions, prepares for electrifying the transportation sector and
maximizes renewable generation. In addition, researchers will use empirical evidence to
show what policy interventions have been the most effective, why and where.
This work will take place over 5 years and builds on a suite of studies that examine
energy consumption in Los Angeles and provide tools for reducing greenhouse gas
emissions and air pollutants. This suite of projects is funded by the California Energy
Commission (CEC), the County of Los Angeles and the National Science Foundation.
This existing work overlays energy use onto socio-demographic data, building
characteristics, climate zones, solar resources and other variables. The findings will
provide a spatial explicit baseline for building energy consumption in Los Angeles from
2005 through early 2012. From this work, we will be advising multiple jurisdications
within Los Angeles County about where to invest available energy efficiency funding
most effectively while also taking into account equity considerations. We are
disseminating the analysis by partnerships with Los Angeles County, The Energy
Coalition and the Los Angeles Regional Collaborative for Climate Action and
Sustainability (LARC). Supplemented by a Strategic Growth Council grant, the LARC,
in conjunction with the California Center for Sustainable Communities, is also embarking
on a county-wide education and participation campaign for local governments.
The work proposed here will leverage the computational power created through these
projects, to continue to track energy use across space and time, monitor and evaluate
efficiency investments at the individual meter level and to develop interactive planning
tools specifically for utility partners and decision-makers.
Expanding this work into the rest of the SCE and SDG&E territories will result in the
identification of alternative pathways to successfully respond to the SONGS closure and
meet the long-term energy needs of the region while reducing GHG emissions and
criteria pollutants. The strategies will involve short term and long term proposed changes
and will be nested and tiered. They will include the electricity sector, as well as sectors
that drive electricity use, and/or emit GHG emissions. These could include wastewater
treatment plants, landfills, water pumping and use, energy and water use by
manufacturing and industry and other sectors. Included will be comprehensive regional
data collection and analysis to assess and quantify programs and initiatives directed
toward energy efficiency, conservation and renewable program investments to determine
what has worked, where and why, and to propose future approaches.
The UCLA Research Program, in collaboration with our UC colleagues and stakeholders
in Southern California will:
Establish the patterns of energy Consumption, Generation and Distribution through
Geo-location Tools and Analysis
Researchers will create a searchable geo-database that connects energy consumption
(meter level), power generation and distribution infrastructure, time-of-use profiles,
industrial codes, socio-demographics and building type information. This tool will
provide a dynamic and granular tool for evaluation and planning to reduce energy
consumption and the associated GHGs..
Geographically Specific Program Evaluation and Design
Using longitudinal, meter-level, geographically specific data, researchers will evaluate
what energy programs have been successful where. Researchers will use these findings
to improve future program design and implementation.
Grid Transformation
Grid infrastructure is an important part of shifting energy supply to alternative sources of
energy, particularly distributed generation and intermittent energy sources. Researchers
will develop detailed analysis of grid capacity and profile to identify potential for non
fossil fuel power.
Grid Technology and Reliability
• Analysis of current grid and its capacity
• Leverage parcel level information (building use category, age of construction, size
of building, etc.), electrical infrastructure data (feeder paths, equipment, etc.), US
Census data, and wholesale energy market data (locational marginal prices and
capacity prices) to further modeling geographically granular infrastructure
investments (distributed generation and building retrofit measures).
• Develop composite indicators, capturing electricity demand levels, solar radiation
levels, building rooftop area, physical infrastructure capacity needed for increased
distributed generation, and wholesale electricity prices to develop ideal locations
for installing grid connected photovoltaics, and building energy conservation
measures.
• Evaluate and recommend grid modernization potential for new generation and
distribution technologies such as:
o Energy efficiency
o Solar, wind energy
o Demand response
o Micro-grid and other decentralized grid approaches
o Energy storage
o Grid supplement with electric vehicles
o Integrated load shedding from demand response with non fossil back up
generation
• Examine and understand how IOU and MOU grid interface impact emissions.
Behavior and Economics
Understanding consumer behavior and expectations are fundamental to change
acceptance. We will survey research on energy behavior and programs to determine most
effective approaches as well as equity impact of different approaches.
• Smart meter consumer behavior
• Demand response behavior. In 2009, CAISO released a study that assesses
numerous critical barriers to demand response
(https://www.caiso.com/Documents/DemandResponseBarriersStudy.pdf),
• Energy efficiency program evaluation
• Conservation program evaluation
• Socio-demographic energy use
• Messaging effectiveness
Regulatory Structure and Programs
Researchers will develop a comprehensive analysis of existing regulatory programs and
rates to determine how they affect customer behavior, expectations and consumption.
This will serve as a basis for identifying program and regulatory reform to encourage
alternative generation and greater success for EE and conservation.
• Energy pricing and subsidies
o By customer class
 CARE program, effectiveness and alternatives
• Effectiveness of load shedding and location of activity
• Barriers to implementation of DG
o Property ownership
o Land use
o Local regulations
Urban Form, Design and Building Technologies
Understanding the relationship between urban form and energy use as well as the effect
of building materials on the urban heat island (causing the need for more cooling load)
can provide insights into potential new development guidelines that can reduce electricity
demand. Estimating the impact of ZNE buildings and other technologies will also be
important in estimating electricity demand into the future in the SONGS region.
• Building age, shell, size and performance
• Urban form and energy use (e.g. suburban single family vs common wall or
denser buildings)
• Smart buildings
• Strategies to cool the urban environment that can lead to load reduction
Pollution and Health
Greenhouse emissions do not directly affect public health, but CAP emissions that are
generated by the burning of fossil fuels to, and increased GHG induced heat incidents
will contribute to ozone formation. Researchers will estimate the potential health impacts
of business as usual (BAU) patterns and contrast them with the different potential
pathways for substituting fossil generated electricity with non fossil energy.
Air Pollution and Public Health
• Air quality impacts of new gas fired generation
• Public health impacts and distribution of those impacts
Climate Change Resilience
Based on current research at the CCSC we will build additional capacity to integrate
downscaled climate prediction models to forecast future load hot spots and grid
vulnerability, including to transmission lines into the region from fires and other shocks.
Water Energy Nexus
Moving water in California is highly energy intensive. Reducing water use will reduce
the use of electricity. Based on our current work in Los Angeles examining patterns of
water use researchers will develop further analysis of water use in the SONGS service
area to develop water use reduction recommendations. We will also examine electricity
use in the water and wastewater treatment sector to develop process optimization
strategies for energy use reductions and/or opportunities to use methane generated by
sewage treatment for cogeneration or other beneficial re-use (renewable gas).
•
•
•
•
•
Conveyance
Treatment
Distribution
End-use
Disposal (wastewater treatment plants)
Tools and Outreach
In conjunction with on-going CCSC and LARC work, the project will develop additional
resources for the communities impacted by the SONGS closure that can be adapted and
used throughout the region and the state.
Tools for Planners and Policy-Makers
This project will include the following resources for planners and policy makers:
• An integrated roadmap for grid transformation in Southern California including
policy recommendations, program design, model codes and ordinances,
technology evaluations, etc.
• Access to a dynamic geo-database for energy planning and program targeting
• Program evaluations that include, dollars, Kwh and GHG emissions saved over
time by specific energy investments by geography, building type, demographics
• Regionally specific efficiency program design recommendations to maximize the
effectiveness of future programs
• Geographically specific climate vulnerability assessments and recommendations
to build climate resilience.
• Municipal greenhouse gas inventories
• Cost-benefit analysis of a policy options and scenarios
Community Outreach and Education
Transforming the grid will necessitate changes in how individuals consume electricity.
This project will include an extensive analysis of messaging about energy use and how to
best inform the public. Assessing educational materials that exist and their effectiveness
will be part of this work.
Final Work Product
The final work product will provide analysis of BAU versus feasible alternatives starting
with loading order priorities and working to add more holistic approaches that include the
numbers of sectors that use electricity. The specific focus of the research will be on
reducing GHG and CAP taking into strong consideration equity impacts. We will
develop with nested and tiered specific alternatives that will provide sufficient reliable
energy generation that can substitute for additional fossil fuel generation. Our research
efforts will result in a plan that will move the service area as close to carbon neutrality as
feasible, and combat increased air pollution as well. This work product will be provided
to the CPUC, CEC, SCE, SDG&E as well as to cities and counties in the respective
utility service areas. It should provide a template for the rest of the state, and beyond.
Timeline
Year 1- Collect organize, clear data and create geo-database tool, build stakeholder
groups, build research teams, design methods
Year 2- 3 Conduct Research
Year 4-5 Finalize research, complete design and development of analytical tools and
templates, conduct trainings, complete regional outreach and dissemination of all project
deliverables.
Budget
Total five year budget -- $25 million:
Geo-location Tools and Analysis -- $5M
Grid Transformation -- $7M
Behavior and Economics -- $3M
Land Use Policy and Urban Design -- $2M
Pollution and Health -- $5M
Tools and Outreach -- $3M
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
Pincetl, Stephanie
Sunday, January 04, 2015 4:15 PM
peevey
Best Wishes
Dear Mike
All the very best for 2015! We look forward to working with you, brainstorming and pushing the envelope. Your
leadership and support has been invaluable to our work, but also in changing the dialogue in the state. Your legacy will
be remembered and I am also sure you are not done.
Very best regards
stephanie
Stephanie Pincetl
Professor in Residence
Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities http://sustainablecommunities.environment.ucla.edu
Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu
W: 310-825-2434
C
Office Location: Life Sciences 5362
1
From:
Sent:
To:
Cc:
Subject:
Pincetl, Stephanie
Thursday, October 02, 2014 3:09 PM
Peevey, Michael R.
Craig Perkins; Gold, Mark; Elizabeth, Zoe
Fwd: CPUC Identifies Changes Needed To Proposed San Onofre Settlement Before
Further Consideration Can Be Given: CPUC Press Release
Dear Mike
It would help us enormously if the language for the SONGS agreement was slightly modified. Here is our
proposal below, with the original language in the next paragraph. We are concerned that without more specific
language about campuses w/in the territories of the utilities, it will be difficult for us to participate.
thanks very much
Stephanie Pincetl
Professor in Residence
Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities
http://sustainablecommunities.environment.ucla.edu
Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA
spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu
W: 310-825-2434
C:
Office Location: Life Sciences 5362
(a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work
with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on
one or more campuses within the SCE and SDG&E service territories, engaged in energy
technology development) to create a
Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would
be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to
reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in
California.
1
1.32. The Agreement is hereby amended by adding Section 4.16 to the Agreement in the
appropriate numerical location, to read as follows:
4.16. Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Research: Subject to the Commission’s approval of the
Agreement,
24557113.4 11
(a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work
with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on
one or more campuses, engaged in energy technology development) to create a
Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would
be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to
reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in
California.
(b) The RD&D program will operate for up to five years following the Commission’s
approval of the Tier 2 Advice Letter described in section 4.16(e).
(c) SCE will pledge and donate $4 million annually for five years, and SDG&E will
pledge and donate $1 million annually for five years, so that the total amounts
donated will be $5 million annually for five years. All such donations will be
from shareholder funds.
(d) Within 60 days of the Effective Date, the Utilities commit to host a meeting with
UC representatives and other interested parties with the goal of crafting a Program
Implementation Plan (PIP). The Commission’s Energy Division shall provide
support in coordinating the meeting.
(e) Within 30 days thereafter, the Utilities shall jointly file, and serve, a PIP via a Tier
2 Advice Letter that describes the process for implementation, a proposed
schedule and budget, and expected results, applications, and demonstrations.
(f) The Utilities will file, and serve, an annual report to the Energy Division to
2
apprise the Commission of the program’s progress towards beta testing of
developed technologies, methodologies, and/or design changes.
Nidia Bautista
Legislative Consultant
Office of Senator Kevin de Leόn
22nd Senate District
(916) 651-4022
(916) 327-8817 FAX
-Craig Perkins
President & Executive Director
R
m
m
Generating Capital for Communities Through Energy
Tel: 949-701-4646 x.20 | Cell:
cperkins@energycoalition.org | www.energycoalition.org
3
From:
Sent:
To:
Cc:
Subject:
Pincetl, Stephanie
Thursday, October 02, 2014 3:13 PM
Peevey, Michael R.
Florio, Michel Peter; Gold, Mark; Craig Perkins; Elizabeth, Zoe
Re: CPUC Identifies Changes Needed To Proposed San Onofre Settlement Before
Further Consideration Can Be Given: CPUC Press Release
Greatly appreciated.
thanks a lot
stephanie
On Oct 2, 2014, at 3:11 PM, Peevey, Michael R. <michael.peevey@cpuc.ca.gov> wrote:
Thanks. I have already, in consultation with Commissioner Florio, modified the language to make it more precise, etc. I
think you will find it satisfactory for our joint purposes---reducing GHG in SCal.
From: Pincetl, Stephanie [mailto:spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu]
Sent: Thursday, October 02, 2014 3:09 PM
To: Peevey, Michael R.
Cc: Craig Perkins; Gold, Mark; Elizabeth, Zoe
Subject: Fwd: CPUC Identifies Changes Needed To Proposed San Onofre Settlement Before Further Consideration Can
Be Given: CPUC Press Release
Dear Mike
It would help us enormously if the language for the SONGS agreement was slightly modified. Here is our
proposal below, with the original language in the next paragraph. We are concerned that without more specific
language about campuses w/in the territories of the utilities, it will be difficult for us to participate.
thanks very much
Stephanie Pincetl
Professor in Residence
Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities
http://sustainablecommunities.environment.ucla.edu
Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA
spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu
W: 310-825-2434
C:
Office Location: Life Sciences 5362
(a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work
with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on
1
one or more campuses within the SCE and SDG&E service territories, engaged in energy
technology development) to create a
Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would
be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to
reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in
California.
1.32. The Agreement is hereby amended by adding Section 4.16 to the Agreement in the
appropriate numerical location, to read as follows:
4.16. Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Research: Subject to the Commission’s approval of the
Agreement,
24557113.4 11
(a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work
with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on
one or more campuses, engaged in energy technology development) to create a
Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would
be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to
reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in
California.
(b) The RD&D program will operate for up to five years following the Commission’s
approval of the Tier 2 Advice Letter described in section 4.16(e).
(c) SCE will pledge and donate $4 million annually for five years, and SDG&E will
pledge and donate $1 million annually for five years, so that the total amounts
donated will be $5 million annually for five years. All such donations will be
2
from shareholder funds.
(d) Within 60 days of the Effective Date, the Utilities commit to host a meeting with
UC representatives and other interested parties with the goal of crafting a Program
Implementation Plan (PIP). The Commission’s Energy Division shall provide
support in coordinating the meeting.
(e) Within 30 days thereafter, the Utilities shall jointly file, and serve, a PIP via a Tier
2 Advice Letter that describes the process for implementation, a proposed
schedule and budget, and expected results, applications, and demonstrations.
(f) The Utilities will file, and serve, an annual report to the Energy Division to
apprise the Commission of the program’s progress towards beta testing of
developed technologies, methodologies, and/or design changes.
Nidia Bautista
Legislative Consultant
Office of Senator Kevin de Leόn
22nd Senate District
(916) 651-4022
(916) 327-8817 FAX
-Craig Perkins
President & Executive Director
<image001.jpg>
Generating Capital for Communities Through Energy
Tel: 949-701-4646 x.20 | Cell
cperkins@energycoalition.org | www.energycoalition.org
3
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
Attachments:
Pincetl, Stephanie
Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:01 PM
Gold, Mark; Craig Perkins; Peevey, Michael R.
Roadmap to reposer CA with wind, water and sunlight
RoadmapRepoweringCAwithRenewables.pdf
1