Internal migration can be a radical adaptive strategy in
Transcription
Internal migration can be a radical adaptive strategy in
Briefing Climate change Keywords: Climate change adaptation, radical adaptation, migration, Bangladesh Issue date April 2015 Policy pointers Internal migration is significant in Bangladesh and could help poor households gain greater access to resources that, in turn, can build long-term resilience to environmental stressors. Internal migration can be an opportunity for adaptation, not an undesirable consequence of poverty. Government policies need to promote better data collection and research of existing migration flows and conditions so as to better prepare for future human movement due to climatic stresses. Facilitated and planned migration need to be streamlined into existing development and climate change measures. Internal migration can be a radical adaptive strategy in Bangladesh In Bangladesh, people in rural communities often move within the country to diversify their incomes. Such internal migration allows them to manage added stresses from environmental change. Drawing from scoping research, this briefing examines how internal migration can be understood as an adaptive strategy and how key stakeholders can help move this process forward. Policymakers must integrate climate change adaptation into all levels of governance. By addressing the root causes of climate vulnerability, the government and its development partners can become more aware of the complex ways that climate change affects the lives of the poor. In so doing, they can support managed internal migration as a valid adaptive strategy. A recent systematic review of evidence suggests that migration, displacement and immobility interact and respond to multiple drivers. Both people who move and those who do not can be trapped and vulnerable to extreme events, or displaced entirely. Related loss of life and assets represent a failure of adaptation (autonomous and planned) to environmental change.1 If internal migration allowed climate-vulnerable households to diversify their income and increase their assets, they could become more resilient to both environmental and non-environmental challenges. As such, it could be a key adaptive response to climate change. However, the many uncertainties around the timing and severity of climate change effects make it difficult to assess vulnerabilities and coping capacities. Given that migration will be largely internal (within national borders) and seasonal, governments need to better understand the intricate links between migration patterns and sustainable Download the pdf at http://pubs.iied.org/17268IIED development goals. In so doing, they can ensure policies promote migration as an opportunity for adaptation. Migration as an adaptation strategy Earlier neo-Malthusian assumptions suggested resource scarcity would lead to increased migration and conflict. More nuanced views see migration as one of many strategies with several different drivers.2 Environmental stressors, for example, may erode important household assets, and spark migration.3 Climate adaptation is ‘an adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects to moderate harm or exploit beneficial opportunities’.4 As one response to climatic change risks, migration is often driven primarily by poverty. Moving to another community can improve access to resources and enable people to take advantage of seasonal employment. Moreover, sending money home can help investments in household IIED Briefing Table 1. Reasons for migrating to Dhaka based on scoping survey Reason for Numbers of migration interviewees Floods in 1988 47 and 1998 Homes water 34 logged Storms and 10 tidal surges Cyclones 12 Riverbank 40 erosion Drought 2 Salinity intrusion 8 Loss of 40 homestead and/or land Social insecurity 38 Loss of 40 livelihood Damages to 43 assets TOTAL 51 assets and pay school fees, which may strengthen overall adaptive capacity in the long-term. In eight case studies from Asia, Africa and Latin America, the Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS) noted that internal migration from rural-to-rural or rural-to-urban was common.5 Rainfall variation had a more direct relationship with migration in sites that depended on rain-fed agriculture. Overall, research suggests that internal migration intensifies following major environmental stressors such as droughts or excessive rainfall.6 Not all internal migration has positive impacts on livelihoods. When people move due to extreme weather events, they can end up with similar or worse climate and socioeconomic risks. These situations often leave household members trapped away from their homes and more vulnerable than before.7 Women, children and elders, in particular, are more likely to suffer. Migration in Bangladesh Historically, migration has been an important livelihood strategy for people in Bangladesh due both to ‘pull’ factors (economic opportunities in urban areas) and ‘push’ factors (environmental stressors, including increasing climatic variability The policy landscape The National Adaptation Programme of Action and the Bangladesh Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan guide the country’s climate plans. The Climate Change Trust Fund provides funds for implementation based on revenue from the national budget, while the Climate Change Resilience Fund pools resources from development partners.12 Key policies relevant for internal migrants are: the Policy for Distributing Khas Land among the Landless 1987, which gives priority to men, women and families that have become landless due to river erosion; the National Agriculture Policy 1999; the National Landuse Policy 2001; the Coastal Zone Policy 2005; the National Disaster Management Policy 2008; and the more recent Rural Development Policy. Bangladesh is also a signatory to the 2011 Nanson Declaration on Climate Displacement and Migration. Legislation also protects the rights of slum dwellers on the basis of ‘no eviction without rehabilitation or resettlement.’ Migrants in cities like Dhaka, however, also need to benefit from employment policies that recognise labour in informal sectors. This applies especially to women in garment factories, as well as men who pull rickshaws and work in construction and brick-making. Other sectoral strategies and programmes do not incorporate issues related to internal displacement and migration. Response from policy makers Interviews with senior policymakers suggest disagreement on how climate change influences internal migration. Some policymakers recognise that rural-urban and seasonal migration have been occurring for generations. They also appreciate the migration rate has become unprecedented, mainly due to perceived opportunities in metropolitan cities. Yet others view traditional migration patterns as ‘opportunistic’, and more recent trends towards climate-induced migration as ‘forced’ because people have few choices other than to move. Still others view migration as a ‘threat’ to urban development. They agreed that greater resilience among the rural poor could reduce unregulated migration of people. They also recommended planned migration to other countries as an option for migrants from ecologically vulnerable areas. and rural poverty). The Planning Commission puts the rate of internal population movement at 4.5 per cent, while non-government stakeholders speculate that internal migrants are more than double those going abroad.8 Until now there is no way to accurately track the movement and flow of people across the country. As millions of Bangladeshis live in remote and/or ecologically fragile areas, such as river islands (chars) and cyclone prone coastal belts, seasonal migration has been an important strategy.9 It has helped reduce food insecurity, enhance people’s access to basic services such as health and education, and expand people’s networks and access to information. Typically, males from low-income families move to rural or urban areas for seasonal employment. In recent years, however, women have also started migrating to urban areas independently. This new trend is largely as a result of socioeconomic vulnerabilities and the demand for labour in the manufacturing and service sectors.10 The flow of people can affect the economy in different ways. Since the 1980s, for example, internal migrants working in the garment, construction and transportation sectors have contributed to the country’s economic growth. At the same time, movement with limited job and economic opportunities into cities gives rise to urban slums and put pressure on infrastructure, utilities, services and civic amenities.11 Migrant life in Dhaka With an estimated 34,000 people for every square kilometer, Dhaka is among the most densely populated cities in the world.8 For the scoping survey research reported here more than 50 migrant men and women of all ages from North and South Dhaka, as well as the embankment areas, were randomly selected. Through individual interviews or focus group discussions, participants shared insights into the social, cultural and environmental factors in their home villages that compelled them to move to the city (Table 1). An interplay of factors drives migration in Bangladesh. For the most part it is the landless and marginal farmers, vulnerable to losses in productivity, lack of livelihood opportunities and natural disasters, that are moving to the cities. Respondents came to Dhaka City from all over the country — from coastal areas and floodplains to riverine areas, offshore islands and drylands. Due to their reliance on rain for their crops, farmers in areas prone to drought and floods commonly migrate with the seasons or agricultural cycle. Some migrants spend almost six months in the city. IIED Briefing Adaptive capacity of households Planned migration as a livelihood strategy How planned migration increases/decreases vulnerability Where migration support is needed Low: in extreme poverty Unlikely due to resources needed Could increase household vulnerability if costs not recovered Households need greater social protection programmes to enable migration in the future Could reduce socioeconomic vulnerabilities if remittances support ‘trapped’ population in climate-vulnerable areas Local adaptation initiatives can include training and capacity-building packages for potential migrants from ‘hotspot’ areas Movement between rural to rural areas as agricultural labourers during the lean season Vulnerabilities of migrants could increase due to poor housing and sanitation Next steps to make migration a radical adaptation strategy Existing vulnerabilities need to be addressed, through appropriate in-situ and ex-situ adaptation activities Medium: at poverty line Likely — takes the form of seasonal or cyclical migration to cities and metropolitan areas Could reduce vulnerabilities if costs are recovered and households have food security and are able to afford basic amenities Longstanding as an income diversification strategy for households in rural areas Migrant families can invest in education and health with the extra income from remittances Next steps to make migration a radical adaptation strategy Government and NGOs working in climate-vulnerable areas can encourage off-farm alternative income activities Welfare entitlements for poor households can be ensured through continuing programmes like ‘cash for work’ Households need assistance to ensure costs of migration are covered, mainly through employment opportunities, and a conducive environment for migrants in destination areas Migration considered pre-emptively before climate tipping points are reached Government can facilitate migration by creating urban hubs and encouraging resettlement in and around the growth centres (currently 4,000 centres are being built by the Local Government Engineering Division) Movements need to be mapped to inform decisions (the Refugee and Migratory Movements Research Unit are mapping 17 sub-districts as pilots) Bureau of Manpower Employment and Training and District Manpower Offices can play a role in human resource development Good: above poverty line Very likely — in some cases international migration as semiskilled labourers Next steps to make migration a radical adaptation strategy Migration must be considered as part of the country’s sustainable development goals to reduce inter-generational risks and contribute to a more effective climate change response Potential to provide households with enough income to invest in adaptation risk-reduction activities Support needed for those left behind. Research into how remittances can be part of sustainable development process Ensure basic rights of all citizens (including migrants) as stated in the constitution and other key policies and government programmes Migrants to cities must be supported by employment policies recognising labour in informal sectors to ensure safety standards Issues of internal displacement and migration addressed in related policies and the 3Rs (relocation, rehabilitation and reconciliation) mainstreamed into sectoral activities of the government Research and evaluation to assess learning from land reform projects like the Climate Victims Rehabilitation Project and also projects funded by development partners such as Char Livelihoods Project and Char Development and Settlement Project Most who migrated over the longer term moved because of extreme weather events that destroyed their livelihoods, including the floods of 1988 and 1998 and more recent super cyclones. After losing land to riverbank erosion, storm surges and permanent inundation, they saw Dhaka as a way out. Slower processes such as prolonged spells of frequent droughts, salt water contamination, landlessness and lack of employment also drove migration. Individuals who had left their families commonly returned to their home villages monthly, quarterly or annually, especially during the harvest seasons and festivals. physical vulnerability, migrants felt they were ‘better off’ in the city as they earnt enough money to send their children to school. Many tried to resettle in nearby areas and towns before moving to Dhaka. Once in the city, they found work in a few key sectors, including transportation (mainly as rickshaw pullers), construction, garments, recycling and garbage collection, and informal services. They lived mostly in fringe areas and slums or as squatters on government-owned khaslands, or on embankments on the outskirts of the city. While these living conditions might increase their Findings from this case study Remittances, therefore, enable vulnerable households to better cope with climate vulnerabilities. On average, migrants in the scoping survey had six family members with four dependents. Usually, the women, children and elderly depend entirely on remittances; they only move to the city when economic circumstances improve. As migration is expensive and risky, migrants arrived in Dhaka with help from informal networks. Table 2 summarises our findings on how internal migration could be a radical adaptation strategy. Migration in Bangladesh was traditionally a man’s domain. With limited opportunities in rural areas, however, women are now moving to the cities, largely to work in the garment and informal service industries. Yet many women, children and elders are often ‘trapped’ in villages or left behind. Table 2. Planned migration as a radical adaptive strategy IIED Briefing Few internal migrants enjoy social support. Internal migration works as a radical adaptation strategy only when migrants become physically and socially better off and can send money home. Investment in origins and destinations of migrants can turn unregulated migration into an effective adaptation strategy. the resilience of home locations can be strengthened. Migration can generate income shared between people in origin and destination communities. Migrants’ access to shelter and medical care at destination needs assured. Extreme climate events can force households to move with little advance planning or help. The financial and psychological impacts may heighten vulnerability and leave migrants ‘trapped’ away from home, perhaps even worse off. Planned and facilitated migration can help improve the capacities of households, raising income or reducing financial hardships over the long term. The Ministry of Labour and Employment and related institutions can be catalysts for the empowerment and employment of climateinduced migrants. The Ministry of Youth and Education, along with District Manpower Offices, can work in climate-affected areas to support the process of migration. Migrants in the city work primarily in informal sectors, where jobholders do not benefit from regulations and rights of employment. They live mostly in fringe areas, with limited or no access to basic amenities. With no institutional support available for migrants, their prevailing conditions cannot be viewed as radical adaptation. Migrants use informal networks to reduce the financial hardships and risks associated with migration. These networks may also help reduce intergenerational risks, ensuring individuals can build upon the knowledge of previous migrants. Recommendations Migration in Bangladesh remains a ‘hit and miss’ strategy for households with little or no alternative. For internal migration to become a radical adaptation strategy, policy changes are needed. •• •• Take a ‘rights-based’ approach to empower migrants and families left behind. The government could well support this process by recognising how migration will fit into future climate change scenarios. Use financial streams such as the Municipal Development Fund to develop low-cost, disaster-resilient infrastructure. •• Develop peri-urban areas with improved transportation for migrant populations. Gurgaon, a satellite town outside Delhi in India that houses migrant workers, could be a model. This policy would ease pressure on slums and squatter settlements, as well as on amenities like sanitation. •• Create urban hubs and encourage settlement in growth areas to help absorb migrants. •• Scale-up construction of infrastructure such as roads, bridges and culverts to complement the ongoing projects to build growth centres managed by the Local Government Engineering Department.13 •• View urbanisation as an opportunity for enhanced urban planning rather than a threat, while considering land-use patterns and potential conflicts in the planning process. Government projects for the landless, such as the Climate Victims Rehabilitation Project (‘Gucchagram’) can help frame migration in a better light to promote livelihood strategies of the poor. •• Foster greater understanding among scientists and policymakers on adaptation, resilience, capacity building and disaster risk reduction, especially in climate hotspots and vulnerable areas. •• Pursue more rigorous research on migration, displacement and movements of people internally and internationally. Stephanie Andrei, Remeen Firoz and Simon Anderson Stephanie Andrei is a researcher at IIED. Remeen Firoz is a consultant for IIED. Simon Anderson is head of IIED’s Climate Change Group. Notes 1 Black, R et al (2013) Migration, immobility and displacement outcomes of extreme events in nature and society. Environmental Science and Policy 27(1) S32–S43. / 2 Tacoli, C (2009) Crisis or adaptation? Migration and climate change in a context of high mobility. In: Guzman, JM et al. (eds) Population Dynamics and Climate Change. IIED, London. / 3 Foresight (2011) Migration and global environmental change: Future challenges and opportunities. Government Office for Science, London. / 4 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2012) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation: A special report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York. / 5 Warner, K et al. (2012) Where the rain falls: Climate change, food and livelihood security, and migration. Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), Bonn. See www.ehs.unu.edu/file/get/10569.pdf. / 6 Kniveton, D et al. (2008) Climate change and migration: Improving methodologies to estimate flows. International Organization for Migration, Geneva. / 7 Betts, A (2010) Survival migration: A new protection framework. Global Governance 16(3) 361–382. / 8 General Economics Division, Planning Commission, Ministry of Planning. (2011) Sixth Five Year Plan, FY 2011-15: Accelerating growth and reducing poverty. Part 2: Sectoral strategies, programmes and policies. Government of Bangladesh / 9 Ministry of Environment and Forests (2007) Bangladesh capacity development action plan for sustainable environmental governance. Government of Bangladesh. / 10 Afsar, R (2003) Internal migration and development nexus, migration and policies pro-poor choices in Asia. Refugee and Migratory Movements Research Unit, Bangladesh and UK Department for International Development. www.livelihoods.org. / 11 Shamsuddoha, Md et al. (2012) Displacement and migration from climate hot-spots: Causes and consequences. Center for Participatory Research and Development and ActionAid Bangladesh. / 12 Ministry of Environment and Forests (2009) Bangladesh climate change strategy and action plan. Government of Bangladesh / 13 www.lged.gov.bd. 1 Download the pdf at http://pubs.iied.org/17268IIED Knowledge Products The International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) promotes sustainable development, linking local priorities to global challenges. We support some of the world’s most vulnerable people to strengthen their voice in decision making. Contact Simon Anderson simon.anderson@iied.org 80–86 Gray’s Inn Road London, WC1X 8NH United Kingdom Tel: +44 (0)20 3463 7399 Fax: +44 (0)20 3514 9055 www.iied.org IIED welcomes feedback via: @IIED and www.facebook.com/theiied This research was funded by UK aid from the UK Government, however the views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of the UK Government.