Mike McNamara - Investor Relations Solutions
Transcription
Mike McNamara - Investor Relations Solutions
Mike McNamara Investor Day – May 2012 1 Executive Overview • Extensive global footprint, manufacturing technologies and services • Growth business with structurally higher growth rates than the GDP and the electronics industry • Business transformation leading to optimized portfolio generating less volatility and higher margins • Sustainable business model generating strong free cash flow and >20% ROIC • Expanding operating margin to 3.5% this year • Exceptionally well positioned for eco-system shifts 2 Flextronics Manufacturing Karlskrona, Sweden Boeblingen & Paderborn, Germany Juarez, MX Cork, Ireland Tczew, Poland Sarvar, Tab & Zala, Hungary Austin, Dallas, Longview & Houston, TX Chengdu, China Beregovo & Mukachevo, Ukraine Nanjing, Malu/Shanghai & Suzhou, China Northfield, MN Asheville, Charlotte, Creedmoor, NC Columbia, SC Treviso, Italy Milpitas, CA Valencia, CA Tijuana, MX Nogales, MX Ramos Arizpe, MX Aguascalientes, MX Timisoara, Romania Ibaraki, Japan Dongguan, Ganzhou, Gushu, Huangtian, Shenzhen, Xixiang & Zhuhai, China Althofen, Austria Arad, Migdal Haemek, Ofakim & Yavne, Israel Guadalajara, MX Bukit, Penang, PTP & Senai, Malaysia Chennai, India Manaus, Brazil Kallang & Joo Koon Singapore Batam, Indonesia Sao Paulo, Brazil Sorocaba, Brazil >100 Locations │ 25 Million Square Feet │ 200,000 Employees3 3 Flextronics Global Services and Software Venray, Netherlands Manchester & Swindon, UK Cork & Limerick, Ireland Pardubice, Czech Republic Lodz, Poland Budapest & Pecs, Hungary Toronto, Canada Louisville, KY Shanghai, China Milpitas, CA Juarez, MX Raleigh, NC Milan, Italy Istanbul, Turkey Dubai, UAE Koriyama, Japan Memphis, TN Hong Kong & Shenzhen, China Delhi, India Austin & Laredo, TX Mumbai, India Guadalajara, MX Bangalore & Chennai, India Senai, Malaysia Changi, Singapore Sorocaba, Brazil >25 Locations │ 7 Million Square Feet │ 11,000 Employees 4 4 Flextronics Design Engineering Frickenhausen, Ostbeven & Tuebingen, Germany Ottawa & Toronto, Canada Detroit, MI Milpitas, CA Atlanta, GA Austin, & Irving, TX Karlskrona, Sweden Brno, Czech Republic Beijing, China Monza & Treviso, Italy Shanghai, China Althofen, Austria Taipei, Taiwan Guadalajara, MX Bukit & Penang, Malaysia Hong Kong & Shenzhen, China Singapore 26 Design Centers │ 2000+ Design Engineers 5 Broad Base of Manufacturing Technologies and Services Total FY13E Revenue ~ $5B • • • • • • • • • • • • PCB Flexible Circuits Rigid/Flex Circuits Power Solutions Metal Fabrication Precision Machining Plastics Cables Advanced Displays Global Services Electronic Materials Advanced Manufacturing Services Many ways to create competitive differentiation 6 Extensive Relationships with our Customers Top Ten Customers PCB Power Services PCBA System Integration Countries Customer HQ A X X X X X 4 North America X X X 5 North America X X X 5 China X X X 5 China B C X D E X X X X X 16 North America F X X X X X 9 North America G X X X X 8 Europe H X X X X 6 North America I X X X X 9 Europe J X X X 4 North America X Sophisticated worldwide management system required to support international OEMs 7 Historical Revenue Growth ($B) 35.0 30.8 30.0 28.5 27.4 CAGR 35% 25.0 29.4 24.0 20.0 18.9 15.0 12.1 13.1 13.4 14.5 15.9 15.3 10.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.6 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Demonstrated ability to scale and manage a global system 8 GDP, Electronics and EMS Growth Rates Last 10 Years 10% • Potential size is limitless 8% EMS 8.6% 6% Electronics 6.0% 4% 2% GDP 3.8% • Large outsourcing deals continue • New markets drive new outsourcing revenue • Economics of outsourcing are compelling Source: GDP- IMF, EMS – IDC, Electronics - Prismark A structurally higher growth Industry than the GDP or electronics 9 Our Four Primary Business Groups High Reliability Solutions Medical, Automotive, Aerospace & Defense Industrial & Emerging Industries Energy Management, Application & Lifestyle, Renewable Energy, Equipment & Automation High Velocity Solutions Consumer, Mobile, Computing, Internet Access Products Integrated Network Solutions Telecom, Networking and Server & Storage 10 Our Portfolio Transformation FY07 FY13E FY12 28% 39% 58% 11% 8% 3% Revenue $18.9B High Velocity ~45% ~10% ~15% 14% Revenue $29.4B High Reliability ~30% 39% Revenue $26-$27B Industrial & Emerging Integrated Network Actively manage the portfolio to adapt to market and eco-system shifts and expand margins 11 Competitive Market Position 2007 Market Rank 2007-2012 Flex CAGR 2012 Market Rank Telecom 1 18% 1 Networking 4 12% 2 Server & Storage 10 36% 3 Automotive 3 27% 1 Medical 3 38% 1 >20 21% 6 Business Group Integrated Network Solutions High Reliability Solutions Segment Aerospace & Defense High Velocity Solutions Consumer 2 1% 4 Industrial & Emerging Industries Industrial 2 12% 1 Our capabilities and scale create competitive advantage 12 Source: IDC and Flextronics Low Volume/High Mix Revenue for the North American Competitors 2012 Revenue ($B) Key Attributes 20 • Longer product life cycles 18 $17.8B 16 FLEX 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 • Less forecast variability • Higher margins • Higher complexity • Closer proximity to customer’s design centers required • Regional manufacturing footprint essential Less competition 0 Leading position in low volume/high mix business 13 Low Volume/High Mix Business Revenue ($M) 25,000 CAGR 10.4% 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY'13E* Steady, predictable growth 14 Flextronics Power Revenue ($M) 1200 • 4th largest power supply company 1000 800 Differentiators 77% CAGR 600 • Innovative patented technology for high efficiency servers, chargers and adapters • 3 dedicated manufacturing sites – final factory closure complete in the September quarter 400 200 0 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E • Expect margin expansion in the second half of FY13 15 Multek Revenue ($M) 1200 1000 6.5% CAGR Differentiators • Invested in complex and mobile PCBs, and flex/rigid flex circuits • Highly diversified: 800 - No Customer > 10% - Top 50% of revenue is spread across 15 customers 600 400 • Strong growth forecasted this year based on state of the art manufacturing facilities 200 0 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E • Expect margin expansion in the second half of FY13 16 Flextronics Power Revenue ($M) 1200 Multek Revenue ($M) 1200 1000 77% CAGR 1000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 0 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E 6.5% CAGR FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E These are very valuable assets that are not reflected in our stock price today 17 $2.0 GAAP EPS GAAP EPS $1.0 $0.60 $0.89 $0.77 $0.70 FY11 FY12 FY13E $0.47 $0.12 $0.03 $0.0 -$0.16 -$0.31 -$0.67 -$1.0 -$2.0 -$8.0 FY08 – Restructuring and Solectron Integration FY09 – Goodwill impairment -$0.92 FY08 FY10 – Solectron IntegrationAircent Investment and N/R Impairment - Restructuring, FY09 FY13E – Goodwill impairment - GAAP Adjusted Consensus FY10 - Restructuring and investment impairment FY13E - GAAP Adjusted Consensus -$7.46 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 Quality of earnings has become exceptionally high 18 18 Free Cash Flow Generation ($M) 900 855 800 715 700 600 622 529 500 399 400 463 435 416 298 300 200 100 34 6 0 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Strong free cash flow that accelerates in a bad economy 19 Key Ecosystem Shifts Flex Competitive Position and Response Rising Manufacturing Costs in China Large scale manufacturing sites in Malaysia, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Brazil, Ukraine and Eastern Europe, employing more than 75,000 people Increasing Regulation Driving Regional Manufacturing Broadest footprint outside of China and greater than any North America or Taiwanese competitor Product Convergence Requiring Multiple Technologies Manufacture the largest and most diverse set of products in the world End to End Supply Chain Services Mobility and the Cloud Innovative development of end-to-end supply chain software tools for customer intelligence leveraging analytics Broad expertise in products, design engineering and product technologies for mobile, server, storage, telecom and networking Outstanding competitive position for the future 20 Conclusion • Well positioned with scale, capabilities and cost structure to win • Operating a product portfolio with longer product life cycles, less forecast variability and higher margins • Generating strong free cash flow • Fundamentally structured to achieve 3.5% operating margin this fiscal year • Well positioned for eco-system shifts 21