Tony Beliz, Ph.D.

Transcription

Tony Beliz, Ph.D.
Preventing Targeted Violence
Tony Beliz, Ph.D.
Beliz & Associates
Behavioral Analysis Network
Encino, CA
belizphd@earthlink.net

San Bernardino Incident

Hispanics and TSV

Foreign

Domestic

Lone Wolf
CMC
SE
ART
IM
VRA
Younger age
Acceleration
Posturing
Isonection
Site Selection
Diversionary
Attacks
Posting
Research
Costuming
Mobility
Sequential Attacks
Pre-Incident Attacks
Weaponry
Planning
Symphonic Attacks
Imitation
RCs
RSOs
DV
CJS
DHS
EAP
JRIC
JTTF
CD
VA
Faith-based
LE
MH
SPU
Support Groups
EMS
TMTs
START
TMUs
Corporate
Education
PUAHate.com
Dabiq
Youtube
Anonymous
Hijrah
Anarchists Cookbook
Arcane Archive
Dark Net
New World Order
Inspire
Video Gaming
MujaTweet
Above Top Secret

Guidelines only

Behaviorally Oriented

Objective, Data Driven Approach

Risk Management (Documentation)

Enhances Existing Threat Assessment Protocol

Law Enforcement – TMT – Professional Staff

Formal Training in Threat Assessment

Training on G.R.I.D.

Access to Consultation with expert/senior staff

Not Scientific

Not Predictive

Not a Stand Alone Document

No Guarantees

Critical Elements for Risk Assessment

What To Do/One Sheet

13 Triads (39 Items)

No - Don’t Know - Yes Format

Triage Tool – Field Response Protocol

Based on 8000 – 200 – 55 – 50 (2008 – 2015)

Subject

Target

Institution

Communications

Behaviors

Dynamics






Behavioral Anomalies
Travel
Planning
Practicing
Approach
Weapons acquisition

Weaponry

Access

Familiarity

Practice/Rehearsal

Anniversaries

Deadlines

Significant Life Event

Real – Perceived – Imagined

Self or Other Imposed

Graduation

Dissertation

Tenure

Triggers

Isonection

Empty Vessel (K. Cameron)
Menninger Triad

Wish to Die

Wish to Kill

Wish to Be Killed

Posting

Posturing

Costuming

Journal/Drawings

Social Media

MI/HOV/Substance abuse

Violent Video games

TSV/Negative Idols

Movies

Over Controlled Hostility

Low Self Esteem

Self Centeredness

Locker(s)

Dorm Room

Bedroom

Garage/Sheds

Storage Sites

Neighbor/Abandoned Property

Play/Exercise

Protective Factors

Support System



































Communications
Behaviors
Dynamics
Weaponry
Access
Familiarity
Practicing
Anniversaries
Deadlines
Triggers
Isonection
Empty Vessel
Wish to Die
Wish to Kill
Wish to Be Killed
Posting
Posturing
Costuming
Journal/Drawings
Social Media
MI/HOV/Substance abuse Video games
Idols
Movies
Over Controlled Hostility
Low Self Esteem
Self Centeredness
Lap/Desktop Computer
Backpack/Briefcase/Purse
School Desk
Lockers
Dorm Room
Bedroom
Garage/Shed
Storage Sites
Neighbor/Aband Property
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
Cho




































Communications
Behaviors
Dynamics
Weaponry
Access
Familiarity
Practicing
Anniversaries
Deadlines
Triggers
Isonection
Empty Vessel
Wish to Die
Wish to Kill
Wish to Be Killed
Posting
Posturing
Costuming
Journal/Drawings
Social Media
MI/HOV/Substance abuse
Video games
Idols
Movies
Over Controlled Hostility
Low Self Esteem
Self Centeredness
Lap/Desktop Computer
Backpack/Briefcase/Purse
School Desk
Lockers
Dorm Room
Bedroom
Garage/Shed
Storage Sites
Neighbor/Aband Property
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x




































Communications
Behaviors
Dynamics
Weaponry
Access
Familiarity
Practicing
Anniversaries
Deadlines
Triggers
Isonection
Empty Vessel
Wish to Die
Wish to Kill
Wish to Be Killed
Posting
Posturing
Costuming
Journal/Drawings
Social Media
MI/HOV/Substance abuse
Video games
Idols
Movies
Over Controlled Hostility
Low Self Esteem
Self Centeredness
Lap/Desktop Computer
Backpack/Briefcase/Purse
School Desk
Lockers
Dorm Room
Bedroom
Garage/Shed
Storage Sites
Neighbor/Aband Property
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
Rodger




































Communications
Behaviors
Dynamics
Weaponry
Access
Familiarity
Practicing
Anniversaries
Deadlines
Triggers
Isonection
Empty Vessel
Wish to Die
Wish to Kill
Wish to Be Killed
Posting
Posturing
Costuming
Journal/Drawings
Social Media
MI/HOV/Substance abuse
Video games
Idols
Movies
Over Controlled Hostility
Low Self Esteem
Self Centeredness
Lap/Desktop Computer
Backpack/Briefcase/Purse
School Desk
Lockers
Dorm Room
Bedroom
Garage/Shed
Storage Sites
Neighbor/Aband Property
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x




































Communications
Behaviors
Dynamics
Weaponry
Access
Familiarity
Practicing
Anniversaries
Deadlines
Triggers
Isonection
Empty Vessel
Wish to Die
Wish to Kill
Wish to Be Killed
Posting
Posturing
Costuming
Bedroom
Journal/Drawings
Social Media
MI/HOV/Substance abuse
Video games
Idols
Movies
Over Controlled Hostility
Low Self Esteem
Self Centeredness
Lap/Desktop Computer
Backpack/Briefcase/Purse
School Desk
Lockers
Dorm Room
Garage/Shed
Storage Sites
Neighbor/Aband Property
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x

Tony Beliz PhD
Beliz & Associates
Behavioral Analysis Network
Encino, CA 91436
belizphd@earthlink.net