Credit Suisse Latam Commodities CEO/CFO Conference
Transcription
Credit Suisse Latam Commodities CEO/CFO Conference
Credit Suisse Latam Commodities CEO/CFO Conference São Paulo, March 23, 2015 Disclaimer This presentation and any materials distributed in connection with it may include certain forwardlooking numbers, results, statements, beliefs or opinions, including those with respect to the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. These forward-looking numbers, results, statements, beliefs or opinions and information or data of similar meaning, reflect beliefs and expectations and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. No representation is made that any of these statements or forecasts will come to pass or that any forecast results will be achieved. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements and forecasts. Past performance of the Company cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. No statement in this presentation is intended to be a profit forecast. As a result, you are cautioned not to place any undue reliance on such forward-looking statements, numbers, results, statements, beliefs or opinions. 2 AGENDA Overview Business Strategy Operating & Financial Performance Final Remarks 3 AGENDA Overview Business Strategy Operating & Financial Performance Final Remarks 4 Biosev at a glance The World's Second Largest Sugarcane Processor Our products: Sugar, Ethanol and Energy Net Revenue of R$4.3 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of R$ 1.1 billion on 13/14 crop year 36.4 Million Tons of Crushing Capacity per Year 340 Thousand Hectares of Managed Land 1,346 GWh of Electric Energy Export Capacity R$8.5 billion in Assets (9M15) 5 Agro industrial Clusters as the entrepreneurial end of the Business Biosev has differentiated scale at company, cluster and mill levels CLUSTERS AND– MILLS – Crushing Clusters and Mills Crushing CapacityCapacity (MM t/year) RIBEIRÃO PRETO: 1 Vale do Rosário 2 Santa Elisa 3 UMB 4 Continental MATO GROSSO DO SUL: 5 Rio Brilhante 6 Passa Tempo 7 Maracaju LEME – LAGOA DA PRATA: 8 Lagoa da Prata 9 Leme NORTHEAST: 10 Estivas 11 Giasa 18.0 6.5 10 6.1 Cluster Northeast 11 2.8 2.6 10.1 5.0 3.3 Cluster Mato Grosso do Sul 8 9 1.8 5.3 Cluster Leme Lagoa da Prata 12 4 2 3 1 3.2 2.1 3.0 1.8 1.2 7 13 5 6 Cluster Ribeirão Preto Administrative Units 12 Adm. Center Sertãozinho 13 Headquarter 6 High Standards of Corporate Governance Highly qualified Board members… Biosev Board Chairman of the Board – Claude Ehlinger Interim CEO and CFO of the Louis Dreyfus Commodities (LDC) Group Vice-Chairman of the Board - Adrien Tardy Head of Corporate Finance and Strategy of the LDC Group Ciro Echesortu Strategy Director of the LDC Group 4 Louis Dreyfus Commodities representatives André Roth Global Director of Oil seeds platform of LDC Group Antonio Delfim Netto Former Minister of Economy and Agriculture, as well as former Ambassador of Brazil in France Philippe Delleur President of the Strategic Committee of Alstom in Brazil and SVP for Latin America Ricardo Barbosa Leonardos Member of the Board of Tecnisa S.A. 4 independent members Ian Clive Barnard Partner of Capital Generation Partners Cristiano Biagi CEO of Sorocaba Refrescos S.A. 1 member 7 High Standards of Corporate Governance …combined with experienced and seasoned management team Biosev Management CEO - Rui Chammas Former VP of Basic Petrochemicals Unit at Braskem and held several senior positions at Rhodia CFO - Paulo Prignolato Former CFO at Votorantim Metais and held several corporate positions within Grupo Votorantim Director of Strategic Planning - Patrick Treuer Former Investment Banking MD at Credit Suisse and held various positions in London and Zurich Director of Agriculture – Ricardo Lopes Former COO at Bunge Sugar and Energy and held several positions in relevant players of the sector Director of Human Resources - Maria Paula Curto Held several positions in Telefonica, Fibria and Arthur Andersen Chief Operating Officer – Eduardo Neves Held several positions in Nexen / Canexus and Monsanto Director of Investor Relations - Luiz Valverde Former IRO of Braskem and Springs Global and held several positions in industrial companies Chief Commercial Officer - Enrico Biancheri Former Head of the Sugar Platform at LDC Brazil Director of Treasury- Carlos Gradim Former CFO at Votorantim Siderurgia and held several senior positions in the banking industry Chief Legal Officer - Daniel Pitta Former Legal Manager at LDC Brazil Director of Financial Planning & Controllership - Manoel Moura Held several executive positions in relevant players of the sector 8 Sugar Global Market Improved outlook as a result of tighter global supply-demand balance GLOBAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE* (MM t.) Demand Supply 185 180 178 176 178 181 188 187 191 191 producer and exporter 195 194 182 177 172 172 168 162 164 163 10/11 11/12 12/13 Demand is expected to grow ~2% p.a., equivalent to 4 13/14 14/15e 15/16e 16/17e 17/18e 18/19e million tons annually, in line 19/20e *Northern Hemisphere crop year Source: Biosev with historical levels Production/Consumption Balance (MM t.) Thousands Brazil is the world’s largest 11.7 Stock-to-use ratio 9.0 41.9% 30.8% 2.6 44.0% 44.5% 41.3% 36.1% 37.7% 36.7% 35.8% Stock-to-use ratio will decline as a result of future sugar 5.5 2.6 (1.0) (3.7) 10/11 38.9% 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15e 15/16e (0.6) (0.5) 18/19e 19/20e profitability increase (2.8) 16/17e 17/18e deficits, favoring sugar Source: Biosev 9 Ethanol: Recent developments favor ethanol consumption and pricing BRAZILIAN FLEET (million) 20.2 21.5 23.1 10% 9% 7% 77% 25.0 56% 13% 21% 30% 38% 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 Flex fuel Source: UNICA 45% 50% 35% 40% 51% 57% 62% 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 MM m³ of gasoline equivalent 4.9 25.1 27.7 6.8 7.6 2.5 0.8 2.8 4.3 30.0 32.4 31.8 31.8 10.1 10.5 11.8 13.9 14/15e 2.1 11.5 11.7 13.5 11/12 12/13 13/14 Source: Biosev Hydrous Anhydrous 5.8 7.6 31.8 31.8 31.8 12.5 13.0 13.6 14.2 14.3 11.7 11.6 11.2 10.1 15/16e 16/17e 17/18e 18/19e 19/20e Gasoline – Ethanol remains as the main alternative to fill this gap Ethanol BRAZIL FUEL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION (million m³) 4.5 – Maximization of sugar production coupled with stagnant gasoline refining capacity, create a gap between domestic fuel production and consumption 3% 3% 45% Gasoline – Flex fuel vehicles continues to expand its share in the Brazilian fleet 33.5 31.4 4% 5% 6% 63% 70% 29.2 27.1 Market: Recent developments: – Reintroduction of CIDE/PIS/COFINS tax on gasoline – Increased blend of anhydrous ethanol in gasoline from 25% to 27% – New fuel policy in the state of Minas Gerais from March ‘15 onwards Fuels deficit (gasoline/ethanol) 10 AGENDA Overview Business Strategy Operating & Financial Performance Final Remarks 11 Commercial Market intelligence is a competitive advantage Market Intelligence Logistics Energy Business 12 Biosev: Higher sugar prices due to differentiated market intelligence 48 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 46 44 Hedge – Volumes & Prices at 12/31/2014 14/15 15/16 Volume (‘000 tons) 1,308 574 Avg. price (cUS$/lb) 19.04 17.40 US$ million 355 222 Avg. price(R$/US$) 2.39 2.66 Avg. price (cR$/lb) 45.51 46.28 45.51cR$/lb 44.56cR$/lb 43.13cR$/lb Sugar (#NY11) 42 40 38 FX (US$) 36 34 32 Sugar Biosev Hedge – Price VHP (#NY11) cR$/lb Commercial strategy prioritizes optimization of the sugar mix by (i) increasing the share of higher-value added products, (ii) selling products at the best timing, and (iii) allocating products in the most profitable markets Robust risk policy, combined with access to LDC market intelligence platform, guarantee stable prices in a low sugar prices scenario globally 13 Ethanol: increased share of neutral and industrial ethanol in the sales mix supports higher average price Revenue by Ethanol Type (%) – 9M15 Sales Volume ('000 m³) and Average Sales Price (R$/m³) 2012/13 1,393 1,446 1,380 9.8% 1,223 50.3% 1,360 1,326 297 333 582 562 586 9M13 9M14 9M15 151 39.9% Hydrous Anhydrous Neutral and Industrial Volume Domestic Vol - Exports Prices - Exports Prices Domestic 9M15 lower volumes result from carry strategy The reintroduction of CIDE (R$0,22/l) restores conditions for an improvement in business profitability Increased blend of anhydrous ethanol in gasoline from 25% to 27% favors anhydrous demand 14 Logistics is a competitive advantage Storage capacity and efficient distribution support our commercial strategy Export flexibility for VHP Efficient Distribution TEAG - Sugar Terminal of Guarujá (Port of Santos) Sugar Distribution Channels JV (50%-50%) Biosev and Cargill Capacity of receiving 12,000 tonnes a day (3.2MM tonnes p.a.) from trucks and railroad 110,000 tonnes of static storage capacity Average turnover of 29x capacity p.a. Storage capacity as an advantage Sugar and Ethanol Storage Capacity Railway: ALL – Southeast Network BR 163 / BR 376 Highway PB 030 / BR 230 Highway Railway: VLI % Storage capacity / yearly production 1,723 MS 3 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 4 SP 8 Santa Elisa Leme Continental MB Vale do Rosário Maracaju Passa Tempo Rio Brilhante 1,150 5 1 PR 829 754 2 Port of Santos 72% 44% Port of Paranaguá Sugar ('000 tonnes) Total Production Ethanol ('000 m³) Storage Capacity 15 Energy: Cogen Adds Competitiveness to Our Business Portfolio Increased productivity combined with processes improvements enables production and sales growth BIOSEV HAS SIGNIFICANTLY GROWN ITS ENERGY SALES CAPACITY Merge with Santelisa Vale (SP) Greenfield Rio Brilhante (MS) and Phase I - Lagoa da Prata (MG) Phase II - Lagoa Brownfield Passa Tempo (MS)+19% da Prata (MG) +17% +92% 1346 assets and is well positioned to 1134 973 +138% +104% 125 213 +10% +73% +9% seize market opportunities 532 487 442 255 200 8 Source: ANEEL 507 Biosev invested in cogeneration 200 9 201 0 Installed Capacity (MW) 201 2 201 4 Sales Potential (GWh) High growth potential: – ENERGY EXPORTS AND PRODUCTIVITY EVOLUTION * Increase in crushing volume 38.3 MS 27.9 Biosev 22.7 24.2 20.7 21.0 571 619 712 FY12 FY13 FY14 Cogen fo Sale (GWh) Cogen/Crushing (kWh/ton) – Increase in the use of 27.7 internal and outsourced 843 biomass 23.7 9M15 Cogen/Crushing (kWh/ton) - MS * Does not consider outsourced biomass Source: Biosev 16 Operations Agronomic Development coupled with focus on operational excellence accelerates productivity gains Agronomic Development Partnership with Suppliers Operational Excellence 17 Agronomic Development Biosev’s agronomic development strategy is grounded on the best techniques and practices Agronomic knowledge Nurseries, cane varieties, soil management and environment Remote Sensing Spatial reference, satellite images, biomass content and pests control Agricultural Automation On-going implementation of planting and harvesting automation process: autopilot Precision Agriculture New Automation frontier with enhanced knowledge of soil and cultural treatments Standardization and Logistics Maximizing mechanization efficiency and optimizing routes from sugarcane fields to the mills Innovation New solutions, new varieties, and monitoring of the industry best practices 18 Objective is to assure loyalty of suppliers thus broadening the management of the production chain Guarantee sugarcane supply to attend Biosev’s current and future needs, with quality and competitiveness Benefits for partners: Transfer of technology Improved conditions to purchase fertilizers and agrochemicals Planting financing Cattle feed supply Development of other cultures during the intercrop 19 Operational Excellence Management focused on establishing processes designed to maximize quality and efficiency Discipline and selectivity Benchmarking Planting and Treatment Working capital Maintenance Supply chain Automation Synergies Reliability ASSETS UTILIZATION Utilization Rate TRS TCH MANAGEMENT SYSTEM AND PEOPLE 20 AGENDA Overview Business Strategy Operating & Financial Performance Final Remarks 21 Increased Productivity and Efficiency to Leverage Operating Results Agricultural Productivity ¹ (TCH - tons of cane/ha) Crushing (million tons) & Utilization Rate (%) 27.5 79% 74% 69% 7.3% 29.5 1.6% 30.0 29.1 12.4 12.0 10.2 11.0 17.3 18.5 17.6 17.1 12/13 13/14 9M14 11/12 Own Cane 3rd party cane 3.0% -7.7% -0,1% -6.6% 26.8 10.7 69.0 71.1 71.0 72.2 11/12 12/13 13/14 9M14 67.5 16.1 9M15 9M15 Utilization rate Production Mix (%) & TRS Product (‘000 tons) TRS Cane ² ³ (Kg of TRS/ton of cane) 0.2% 3.3% -6.1% 132.7 133.0 124.9 124.9 3,636 3,860 6.2% 3,767 3,643 -2.4% 60% 61% 40% 39% 11/12 12/13 -4.9% 3,465 51% 52% 50% 49% 48% 50% 13/14 9M14 9M15 128.9 11/12 12/13 13/14 9M14 9M15 ¹ TCH Heavily impacted by severe drought in 14/15 crop year ² Total Recoverable Sugar. ³ TRS Heavily impacted by a frost in Mato Grosso do Sul occurred in June/2013. Ethanol Sugar 22 Ribeirão Preto: a High Performance Cluster, impacted by a severe drought in the 14/15 crop year Agricultural Productivity ¹ ( TCH - tons of cane/ha) Crushing (million tons) & Utilization Rate (%) 87% 84% 64% 13.8 16.4 18.8% 3.7% 8.5 7.2 17.0 17.0 9.7 9.7 6.6 11/12 12/13 Own Cane 7.3 7.3 13/14 9M14 3rd party cane 7.9 9M15 Utilization rate 11/12 4.2% 11/12 12/13 129.9 13/14 13/14 9M14 9M15 Production Mix (%) & TRS Product (‘000 tons) -3.1% 134.0 83.3 72.0 12/13 1,853 135.7 83.3 78.1 6.7 TRS Cane ² (Kg of TRS/ton of cane) -1.3% -13.5% 14.6 70.0 7.9 6.7% 11.6% -14.5% 129.9 9M14 ¹ TCH Heavily impacted by severe drought in 14/15 crop year ² Total Recoverable Sugar. 135.3 9M15 17.3% 2,174 2.2% -11.0% 2,222 2,222 1,977 61% 54% 54% 54% 60% 40% 39% 11/12 12/13 46% 46% 46% 13/14 9M14 9M15 Ethanol Sugar 23 P&L impacted by carry strategy and severe drought Selected financial items (R$ million) 9M15 (a) 9M14 (b) Var. (a)/(b) Net revenue 3,054 3,415 -10.6% COGS (Cash) (1,852) (2,126) -12.9% Gross Profit (Cash) 1,202 1,289 -6.7% Gross Margin 39.4% 37.7% 1.7 p.p. SG&A (Cash) (390) (431) -9.4% 827 879 -5.9% Adjusted EBITDA Margin 27.1% 25.7% 1.4 p.p. D&A / Change in Fair Value - Bio Assets (493) (715) -31.0% Adjusted EBITDA Financial Result, Net (603) (520) 15.9% EBT (285) (376) -24.2% 8 (73) - (277) (449) -38.3% Income Tax and Social Contribution Net income (loss) Concentration of sales in 4Q15 due to carry strategy Lower SG&A expenses results from more streamlined corporate and administrative structure Financial result affected by the impact of the 17% FX variation, in the amount of R$ 255 millions Positive impact from the accrual of deferred tax assets and temporary differences recorded in the line IR/CSLL 24 CAPEX: Financial Discipline CAPEX R$ million 9M15 9M14 Expansion 8.1 35.6 Operations 708.6 645.6 Industrial 25.3 35.1 Agricultural 25.0 22.5 Planting 206.9 195.2 Treatment 237.5 238.4 Intercrop maintenance (Agr/Ind) 184.2 121.7 Other 29.5 32.7 716.7 681.2 TOTAL Expansion Capex reduction is in line with company´s Business Plan Higher intercrop maintenance expenditure due to fewer crushing days in the 2014/15 crop year 25 Debt management: short-term debt decreases by R$129 million Debt - R$ million Dec, 2014 Sep, 2014 Chg. (%) Short Term 1,748 1,877 -6.9% Long Term 3,738 3,579 4.4% Gross Debt 5,486 5,456 0.5% Cash and Investments (190) (530) -64.1% Net Debt 5,296 4,926 7.5% Readily Marketable Inventories (RMI) (822) (847) -2.9% Adjusted Net Debt 4,474 4,080 9.7% Adjusted Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA 4.1x 4.0x - Debt by Index (%) 0.6% 3.3% LIBOR 21.4% Fixed CDI 53.0% TJLP Other 21.7% USD = 71.2% Indebtedness and financial leverage impacted mainly by the FX effect on Dollar denominated debt, in the amount of R$ 355 million (3Q15) Financial leverage, strongly impacted by carry strategy, will be reduced by the end of this crop year, as inventory levels are reduced In January 2015, Biosev raised US$318 million through a prepayment facility due in April 2018. Interest rate will be equivalent to Libor + 4.75% p.a. and part of the proceeds will be drawn down by the end of the this crop year 26 AGENDA Overview Business Strategy Operating & Financial Performance Final Remarks 27 Private Capital Increase: IFC as a new shareholder The transaction was a private capital increase of 12,817,750 shares in the amount of R$ 128,177,500. The investor is the International Finance Corporation (“IFC”), a member of the World Bank Group; IFC subscribed almost all the entire capital increase amount (99.99%) With the conclusion of this transaction, IFC’s share in Biosev’s capital achieved 5.84%; As a result of this capital increase, Biosev’s free-float increased from 23.35% to 27.75%. 28 Biosev in Summary: COMPETITIVE ASSET PLATFORM: LARGE SCALE AND MARKET INTELLIGENCE AGRONOMIC DEVELOPMENT GROUNDED ON THE BEST MARKET PRACTICES OPERATING LEVERAGE FROM INCREASED PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY WELL POSITIONED FOR THE RECOVERY IN THE SUGAR AND ETHANOL CYCLES COGENERATION ASSETS FULLY OPERATIONAL TO SUPPLY ENERGY VALUE CREATION ASSOCIATED WITH FINANCIAL DELEVERAGING HIGH CORPORATE GOVERNANCE STANDARDS COMMITMENT TO CREATE VALUE FOR ALL SHAREHOLDERS 29 WWW.BIOSEV.COM/IR