Residential SHS Exposure
Transcription
Residential SHS Exposure
Using Computer Simulation to Explore Multi-Compartment Effects and Mitigation Strategies for Residential Exposure to Secondhand Tobacco Smoke by Neil Edward Klepeis B.A. Chemistry (Colgate University) 1989 M.S. Chemistry (Stanford University) 1992 A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Health Sciences in the GRADUATE DIVISION of the UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY Committee in charge: Professor William W. Nazaroff, Chair Professor Robert C. Spear Professor Michael E. Tarter Spring 2004 The dissertation of Neil Edward Klepeis is approved: Chair Date Date Date University of California, Berkeley Spring 2004 Using Computer Simulation to Explore Multi-Compartment Effects and Mitigation Strategies for Residential Exposure to Secondhand Tobacco Smoke c Copyright 2004 by Neil Edward Klepeis All Rights Reserved. 1 Abstract Using Computer Simulation to Explore Multi-Compartment Effects and Mitigation Strategies for Residential Exposure to Secondhand Tobacco Smoke by Neil Edward Klepeis Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Health Sciences University of California, Berkeley Professor William W. Nazaroff, Chair In this dissertation, I quantitatively explore parameters influencing residential exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS). I use a dynamic, multizone exposure simulation model to generate individual and population inhalation exposure metrics for carbon monoxide, particles, and nicotine, studying how SHS exposure changes in response to several key variates: (1) different numbers of well-mixed zones; (2) variation in scripted and empirically observed smoker and nonsmoker location patterns; (3) household door and window positions; (4) variation in air flow patterns; and (5) pollutant-specific dynamics. I simulate cases involving unrestricted occupant behavior and when conscious strategies are used to mitigate exposure. The model employs estimates of physical and environmental parameter inputs that are representative of conditions in a typical US residence. Two house types are considered, one dominated by a single, well-mixed zone, and one consisting of four distinct main rooms and a central hallway. The results of simulation experiments show that the multi-compartment character of a house substantially influences 24-h average residential SHS exposure concentrations for nonsmokers. Depending on occupant location patterns, exposures occurring in a house with multiple main rooms can be substantially larger or smaller than exposures occurring in a house that is well represented by a single, well-mixed room. The loading of reversibly sorbed nicotine onto household surfaces can result in a doubling of 2 exposure concentrations. The operation of the air handling system generally decreases exposures, because of increased infiltration from duct leaks. The operation of the air handling system or building cross-flow may slightly increase exposures for some individuals due to an increased rate of SHS transport from active smokers to nonsmokers in different rooms. Short of a total ban, the most effective particle exposure mitigation strategies involve isolation of the active smoker or a ban on smoking when the nonsmoker is at home. The potentially more practical strategy of closing doors when house occupants follow unmodified location and smoking patterns is not very effective. Opening windows or operating particle filtration devices are, by themselves, moderately effective. Professor William W. Nazaroff Dissertation Committee Chair 1 Summary Using Computer Simulation to Explore Multi-Compartment Effects and Mitigation Strategies for Residential Exposure to Secondhand Tobacco Smoke by Neil Edward Klepeis Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Health Sciences University of California, Berkeley Professor William W. Nazaroff, Chair The purpose of this dissertation is to contribute a more comprehensive and thoroughly quantitative look into the circumstances surrounding residential exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS) than has been offered previously. I aim to provide information on the magnitude of the effects that various environmental and behavioral factors can have on exposure. With the advent of relatively complete and advanced knowledge of SHS pollutant dynamics and emissions characteristics, US building characteristics, and, especially, representative time-activity and time-location profiles of the US population, an exploratory investigation into residential SHS exposure, which synthesizes a broad array of available and relevant data, is timely and promises to highlight important relationships and reveal fresh insights. The findings may be useful to health practictioners, to public health researchers, and to those seeking to advance the science of exposure. The dissertation consists of four main parts plus a set of technical appendices. Part I contains chapters giving a broad overview of the dissertation and background material on the current state of knowledge for the health and exposure aspects of SHS and the science of exposure assessment in general. Part II develops a sophisticated event-based (mechanistic) simulation model of residential SHS exposure by first summarizing results from a selection of previously published and unpublished studies on emissions, housing characteristics, and human activ- 2 ity patterns, which will be used as specific model inputs, and then outlining the structure of the exposure model. Part III applies the simulation model developed in Part II as part of three distinct approaches or tiers, each building on the last. Tier I consists of a preliminary analysis of multi-compartment effects based on scripted time-location patterns. For this tier, I examine intermediate simulation output variables, including air flow rates and profiles of room concentrations, in more detail than for the other tiers. In Tier II, I make use of observed human room-to-room residential location patterns to estimate exposure frequency distributions. Tier III is a systematic analysis of mitigation strategies and their effects on the frequency distribution of SHS exposures for a selected cohort of individuals who spend the majority of their time at home during a 24-h exposure period and in whose homes more than 10 cigarettes are smoked during the same time period. Part IV of the dissertation contains an evaluation of the simulation model and an overall summary and conclusions. I review background material in Part I, Chapter 2, summarizing many efforts relevant to SHS and health, including exposure surveys, indoor air quality monitoring and modeling, exposure prevalence, health effects, and health interventions. I also present a basic definition of exposure and methods of exposure measurement and discuss current efforts in activity-based exposure simulation. In general, exposure is defined as the confluence of an agent and a target in both time and space. The adverse consequences of being exposed to another’s smoke are firmly established, and include the cause or exacerbation of asthma, as well as increased risk of heart disease and lung cancer. With a fairly high smoker prevalence of 20−30% in the US, exposure to SHS still presents a problem, although a number of intervention trials suggest that further education and attempts to mitigate exposure can reduce in-home exposures and perhaps lead to a higher incidence of quitting. For many studies, there is a lack of detailed information on mechanisms of exposures associated with current intervention and education efforts. The results of the current modeling study will help to inform these efforts. Activity-based human exposure models and multizone models of indoor air spaces have been established 3 since the 1980’s. A primary issue of concern with regard to the accuracy of indoor air models has been the rapidity of mixing within single zones and the estimation of interzonal flow parameters. Although small-scale studies provide evidence that the multizonal character of homes can have an impact on exposure, the degree to which the restricted movement of pollutants and human beings among different rooms of a house can affect exposure is currently unclear. An aim of the current study is to address this question. In Part II, Chapter 3, I establish the state-of-knowledge regarding particle, carbon monoxide, and nicotine emissions from tobacco products, since these species are the ones I use to represent the many and diverse components of SHS. In addition, I introduce a general method of inferring size-specific mass emission factors and deposition rates for indoor sources that makes use of an indoor aerosol dynamics model, measured particle concentration time series data, and an optimization routine. I apply the method using data from original chamber experiments. In Part II, Chapter 4, I describe and analyze data on room-to-room human movement patterns from an important modeling resource, the National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS), which was performed for the USEPA starting in 1992. The NHAPS database contains minute-by-minute timelines for thousands of Americans as they traveled between the individual rooms of their homes, as well as to work, school, and on various modes of transit. These data on room-toroom movement are used in this dissertation to provide the basis for simulating realistic variation in residential exposure to SHS. In Part II, Chapter 5, I present estimates for ventilation and flow-related parameters and dimensions for detached homes in the US and elsewhere. A typical American detached residence consists of a one or two story house with 4 to 6 rooms and a volume of 300 m3 . House leakage rates, which are induced by wind and indoor-outdoor temperature differences, have a central tendency towards 0.5 h−1 . A variety of studies provide information on inter-room air flows, which are on the order of 100 m3 h−1 when separated by an open doorway, and air flows through open windows, which are commonly between 100 and 200 m3 h−1 . The 4 design of a mechanical air handling system of a house may include the deliberate introduction of outdoor air into the house, i.e., it may provide forced-fan ventilation. In this case it is called a heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system. However, most homes in the US have HAC systems, which do not include a ventilation component. Therefore, the houses I simulate as part of the current work are equipped with HAC, rather than HVAC, systems. In practice, HVAC and HAC systems have unwanted leaks in their ductwork, which can lead to the increased infiltration of outdoor air into the house when system fans are activated. Part II, Chapter 6 introduces an original SHS exposure simulation model, which takes time-activity profiles for one or more smoker-nonsmoker pairs as its fundamental input and deterministically calculates exposure metrics over a single 24-h period. The simulation model, which is the centerpiece of my dissertation research, constitutes a module of a more general exposure analysis modeling package for conducting research in human exposure, which is described in Appendix D. The model is not intended to produce stochastic simulations such as might be used in a risk assessment investigation, but rather to generate distributions of exposure over a range of carefully controlled environmental and behavioral factors. After the selection of housing characteristics, the position and timing of smoking events are uniquely assigned based on: (1) a fixed number of cigarettes smoked during the day; and (2) the location profile of the smoker. Together, the defined residential environment and source activity are used to calculate a minute-by-minute pollutant concentration time series for each room of the house. The nonsmoker exposure profile is determined by matching the nonsmoker location and room concentrations in time. In addition to 24-h exposure concentrations, the model reports the nonsmoker’s 24-h individual intake fraction (the cumulative mass of cigarette emissions inhaled by the nonsmoker divided by the total mass of cigarette emissions into the house over a 24-h period) and the equivalent ETS cigarette intake (mass inhaled divided by the mass emissions of a single cigarette) for each simulated smoker-nonsmoker pair. Underlying the model is the numerical solution of a series of coupled linear differential equations, where each equation accounts for 5 pollutant levels in a single air or surface compartment. As part of the Tier I initial simulation analysis of 24-h residential SHS exposure to particles and nicotine (Part III, Chapter 7), I define scripted nonsmoker location patterns corresponding to the extremes of “follower” and “avoider” behaviors in which the nonsmoker’s movement is either perfectly correlated or perfectly anticorrelated with the smoker. I also define a third intermediate nonsmoker mobility pattern in which the nonsmoker spends a portion of the day in the company of the smoker. On top of these scripted activities, I explore the effect of door and window positions, the preloading of walls with nicotine, symmetric as well as asymmetric flow in house air movement patterns, and the operation of a central mechanical air handling system. The air handling system provides heating and air conditioning (HAC), but does not introduce outdoor air by design. Its operation is assumed to increase the house infiltration due to leaks in the supply ductwork. To simplify the results, simulations were limited to two 287 m3 houses, one dominated by a single, large zone and one consisting of four main rooms, plus a bathroom and a central hallway. All physical and environmental model input parameters are assigned one or two point estimates, which are determined in Part II to be common or reasonably representative values for a typical US residence. Based on the Tier I simulation experiments in Chapter 7, I find that the multicompartment character of a house heavily influences the exposures of nonsmokers. Particle exposures occurring in the 4-room house can be twice as large as exposures in the house with a single, large room, in which prolonged time spent away from the smoker is not possible. When going from “follower” to “avoider” behavior, the 24-h average particle exposure concentration can decrease by a factor of 3. The variation in 24-h exposure concentrations for nicotine with respect to nonsmoker activity pattern is even more dramatic. The sorption of nicotine onto household surfaces results in an approximate halving of exposure concentrations. The operation of the HAC system decreases exposures because of increased infiltration, and asymmetric flow patterns through the house slightly increase exposures for nonsmokers spending time downwind from the active smoker. 6 The Tier II and Tier III analyses, contained within the second and third chapters of Part III (Chapters 8 and 9), build on the scripted simulation analysis in Chapter 7 by introducing variation in human location patterns inside a residence and, thereby, generating complete frequency distributions of 24-h exposure metrics. To isolate the effects of human mobility, all other model inputs are kept at the same point values as in the Tier I analysis. The Tier II analysis (Chapter 8) considers circumstances that are not associated with conscious efforts to mitigate exposure, such as intermittent or continuous HAC operation and long-term nicotine loading of household surfaces. The broad findings for these simulation experiments are similar to those for the scripted scenarios in Chapter 7. For the Tier III analysis in Chapter 9, I focus on specific changes in human behavior, including isolation of the smoker from the nonsmoker, changes in door and window positions, and the operation of particle filtration devices, for the purpose of reducing, or mitigating, SHS particle exposure. Each strategy is compared to the frequency distribution of exposure for a base scenario, for which no conscious mitigation strategies are enforced. The median 24-h average base SHS particle exposure concentration was 32 µ g m−3 . The two most effective SHS particle mitigation strategies involve: (1) the isolation of the smoker in one room of the house where the door is closed and the window is open; and (2) a temporal ban of smoking in the house during times that the nonsmoker is at home. These strategies result in a median difference from the base condition of about 30 µ g m−3 . Closing the door to the room containing the isolated smoker is also, by itself, an effective strategy with a median difference of about 20 µ g m−3 from the base condition. These strategies represent extreme scenarios, which may or may not be practical. However, potentially more practical strategies involving the closing doors during the “natural” location patterns of either the smoker or the nonsmoker are not very effective at reducing exposure. After smoker isolation and temporal bans, the next most effective mitigation strategies involve the continuous use of particle filtration devices in smoking rooms or the opening of one or more windows by the house occupants during smoking episodes. These two strategies result in exposure reductions that 7 are close to the case of smoker isolation with the door closed. In Chapter 10 of Part IV, I evaluate the simulation model with respect to observed SHS-associated concentrations. The model predictions of time-averaged SHS room concentrations and personal exposure concentrations are in generally good agreement with average SHS-associated concentrations measured during a number of field studies for comparable settings, averaging times, and number of cigarette sources. However, the model does not take into account potentially large transient peaks that are observed when concentrations are monitored close to a cigarette source. Therefore, the model predictions in this dissertation are most relevant for nonsmokers and smokers that do not spend time in close proximity. In addition, understanding of the behavior of sorbing chemical species, such as nicotine, needs to be refined in part so that predictions of indirect SHS exposures resulting from nicotine desorption can be more accurately characterized. In the future, model predictions should be systematically compared to empirical distributions of personal exposure determined from either intensive studies using scripted activities or large-scale surveys of population exposure, such as the USEPA’s Particle Total Exposure Assessment Methodology (PTEAM). In addition to evaluating model performance, these comparisons can serve to calibrate the exposure simulation model and interpret particular features of observed distributions. In Chapter 11 of Part IV of this dissertation, I provide an overall summary and conclusions for the work presented in this dissertation. I outline the features and advantages of the modeling approach I have used, suggest possible improvements to the modeling framework, and discuss the work in the context of public health research, education, and future research in human exposure assessment. The knowledge and understanding imparted by this dissertation can benefit SHS researchers in epidemiology, risk assessment, health intervention, public outreach, and help in the establishment of guidelines for SHS-related indoor air quality. Future exposure research should involve the intensive study of source-receptor proximity effects, the monitoring of pollutant dynamics in real homes, the collection of longitudinal activity pattern data for multiple household members, and the recognition 8 and characterization of the complex human relationships occurring within household ecologies. Appendices A−D contain supplementary technical information on topics related to activity patterns, exposure modeling, and indoor air quality modeling. Appendix A presents raw NHAPS data on residential location patterns in the US, broken down by various demographic groups. Appendix B presents the derivation of mathematical forms for single and multizone indoor air systems, which are used in the current work to simulate room concentrations of SHS particles, nicotine, and carbon monoxide. Appendix C presents an interactive program for estimating two-compartment model parameters, implemented in the Perl programming language with graphical extensions. Finally, Appendix D describes a software package for simulating human exposure and accomplishing various tasks in exposure-related data analysis and research. The package was developed and used as part of the current work and contains a generic framework for managing exposure calculations. It is implemented in the R statistical programming environment. i In memory of my father, James Emrich Klepeis, Jr. 10.January.1937−27.October.1998 ii Preface Many lives have been touched by the use of combustible tobacco products. Both firsthand and secondhand exposure to tobacco smoke emissions have been unequivocably associated with a wide variety of serious or life-threatening diseases. Secondhand tobacco smoke has been the most ubiquitous form of indoor pollution in the developed countries and continues to be so in many parts of the world. While there is a US trend towards smoking bans in indoor workplaces, social venues, and public buildings, approximately a quarter of Americans continue to be smokers and considerable secondhand exposure to tobacco smoke still occurs in households and automobiles, which are locations where children are at risk, as well as outdoor settings. My own life and those of my family have been touched by tobacco. My father passed away in 1998 from lung cancer after spending 40 years of his life as a heavy smoker. My older brother, who may have borne the brunt of household exposure to tobacco smoke, has suffered from asthma and allergies ever since he was a small child. Lung cancer and the induction or exacerbation of asthma are both established health effects that result from tobacco smoke exposure. As a youth, I used to wrangle with my father over his smoking in the house, the basement, or the family car, which resulted in fairly effective bans on smoking. I was also generally obsessed with a potentially unhealthful environment and food supply. I would sometimes come home from school to complain that my mother’s dinner was full of nitrites or some other presumably highly toxic constituent. During my morning paper route, I was annoyed at the smelly tailpipe emissions from the huge and inefficient cars of that era. Once I reached college, a freshman course iii in ecology captured my imagination and idealistic spirit more than any other, for which I wrote an impassioned diatribe against the use of untested food additives, focusing on monosodium glutamate, which is a common flavor enhancer that causes a variey of abnormal neurologic effects. Later on in college, I became entranced with the traditional “hard” disciplines of physics, chemistry, and mathematics. Quantum mechanics in particular was of special interest to me. I ended up staying in chemistry, probably because it allowed me to dabble in a whole array of aligned areas, most notably computer programming. In my later college years, I became fascinated with simulating physical phenomena on computers, such as the properties of waves, or using computers to process complex data, such as in the interpretation of electron diffraction patterns to determine molecular structure. Ultimately, I ended up in a chemistry graduate program at Stanford University where I produced a master’s thesis in computational quantum chemistry, studying the energy surface for a fairly obscure little molecular anion. The approximately six years I spent pursuing physical science as an undergraduate and graduate student were extremely enlightening and exciting. But upon leaving the fairly staid east coast for California, I felt an upsurge of dissatisfaction and frustration. Maybe it was being alone in a new place, or culture shock, or exposure to a host of new social possibilities, or the thought that I might be stuck studying tiny inconsequential chemicals for the rest of my life! Managing to finish master’s work at Stanford, I reevalulated my priorities and found that, while I loved equations and computers, chemicals, by themselves, were actually very boring things. I was also interested in people, art, literature, music, social context, connections, and a certain vague thing referred to with the overused term “the environment.” I waded through a variety of small-time environmental jobs and volunteering experiences in transportation and woodsmoke activism and education, before eventually finding a kindred spirit who would lead me back to science, but this time with a very compelling context, a convergence of disciplines, and more stim- iv ulating personalities. This is the point at which tobacco smoke reentered the picture. When I first met Wayne Ott, he was immersed in a tobacco smoke field study of bars and restaurants. He was also a Ph.D. environmental engineer, a visiting scholar in the Department of Statistics at Stanford Univeristy, a USEPA employee, the author of books on air pollution and statistics, a fierce advocate of science and Macintosh computers, a jazz afficionado, a connoisseur of good food and conversation, a holder of strong political views, and, as fate would have it, a major player in the field of exposure science. Wayne provided the means for me to immediately enter a field of intellectual pursuit that possessed the desired balance of technical content, societal importance, and nexus for a multitude of converging fields, including building engineering, environmental monitoring, public health, statistics, mathematics, and computers. He also provided a flexible, open, and trusting atmosphere, exuding the thrill of scientific discovery, and fostering my very rapid assimilation into indoor air and exposure research. In the first year or so after meeting Wayne, I worked with him on a state-sponsored Stanford study along with his colleagues Paul Switzer and John Robinson, helping to conduct studies of tobacco smoke emissions in smoking lounges and homes, and writing my first human exposure simulation model. I have since had other jobs in exposure science and, as suggested by Wayne, I applied to a Ph.D. program at the University of California at Berkeley, matriculating in the fall of 1997. My Ph.D. dissertation reflects a penchant for digging into the technical details of a problem, especially in terms of traditional mathematics, physical science, and computing fields, but also my dual inclinations of working toward a meaningful social and political purpose and synthesizing diverse areas of academic study. Reflecting these interests, I have sought to make my doctoral work technically sophisticated from a physical science perspective, while making my results accessible to a broad range of scientists in different fields, and to the public at large. My hope is that this work, and my subsequent efforts, will help to educate and persuade v individuals in our society to prevent disease in human beings, as well as damage to other natural systems, by understanding their causes and taking appropriate protective steps. Tobacco smoke may appear to be a particularly easy target for intervention, because it is not essential to short or long-term survival of our species. The steps needed to reduce or eliminate exposure in a residential setting may seem straightforward. However, as I have discovered in the course of my doctoral work and also by growing up in a household with a smoker, many social, economic, and political factors, both within a household and in the greater society, hold the reins. Effective reduction of exposure involves a mixture of technical and socio-behavioral measures. This lesson has spurred me to think about new ways to understand how and why people behave the way they do, forming complex interactions between themselves and their environment, which, of course, is the realm of geography, sociology, and psychology. In the future, I plan on exploring how these fields can be fused with current methods in exposure science to better identify and understand ways of reducing or eliminating human exposure to toxic substances. Wish me luck :-) . . . NEK, 28-January-2004 vi Acknowledgments As my Ph.D. dissertation research advisor, Professor William Nazaroff has provided important insight and guidance to me in developing research approaches, posing research questions, and building an appropriate framework for simulating human exposure. I greatly appreciate, and have greatly benefited from, his sharp intellect, thoroughness, thoughtfulness, adaptibility, careful organization, frankness, attentiveness, generosity, broad knowledge of indoor air quality, conscientious devotion to my professional development, and, especially, his understanding and appreciation of differences in creative thought processes. His adherence to high standards of achievement have brought me much closer to my potential in science, through both his example and his implicit expectation of excellence. He has not only contributed, in a mentor-student capacity, to my success in this particular endeavor, but will remain a lasting model throughout my career in scientific research. From 1999 to 2003, Thomas McKone oversaw much of my research on exposure modeling and aerosol model optimization in his capacity as the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) principal investigator for a US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) University Partnership Agreement (UPA). The UPA agreement was established at LBNL via Interagency Agreement DW-988-38190-010 with the US Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract Grant No. DE-AC0376SF00098. Halûk Özkaynak of the USEPA National Exposure Research Laboratory (NERL) served as the UPA project director during the tenure of my research activities. Other members of the partnership were Rutgers University, led by Paul Lioy and Panos Georgopoulos of the Environmental and Occupation Health Sci- vii ences Institute (EOHSI), and Stanford University, led by Professor Paul Switzer and Wayne Ott of the Department of Statistics. Michael Apte, Lara Gundel, and Richard Sextro of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) invited me to collaborate with them on an experimental investigation into cigar and cigarette emissions characterization in the summer and fall of 1998. This study was supported in part by the California Tobacco-Related Disease Research Program (TRDRP) under grant 6RT-0307 to Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, and by the Assistant Secretary of Conservation and Renewable Energy, Office of Building Technologies, Building Systems and Materials, Division of the US Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract DE-AC03-76SF0098. Additional support for this work was provided by the TRDRP under grant 6RT-0118 to Stanford University, Department of Statistics. I would like to express appreciation for the technical assistance of Doug Sullivan in setting up the chamber experiments and of Scott Baker, a visiting Stanford student, who helped with sample filter preparation and experimental procedures. Before beginning the pursuit of my Ph.D. degree at the University of California at Berkeley in the fall of 1997, I worked in Las Vegas, NV supporting the USEPA’s exposure research efforts and the analysis of human activity pattern data. I had the opportunity to work with Andy Tsang, a statistician studying at the University of Nevada at Las Vegas (UNLV), and Joseph Behar and William Nelson, both of USEPA-NERL. I thank Andy for introducing me to approaches in analyzing large survey data sets, as well as enlightening me during many statistically-oriented discussions. I thank Joe for imparting wisdom and perspective, and both Joe and William for recognizing the importantance of my and Andy’s work and working hard to make it possible. I would like to express special thanks to Wayne Ott, a 30-year veteran of the USEPA, and currently a visiting scholar and consulting professor at Stanford University. Wayne led me into the field of public health and exposure science, providing friendship, and invaluable mentorship and guidance during the early stages of my career in exposure science research. I am indebted to him because of his con- viii fidence in me, his frank and honest advice, our thought-provoking discussions, and his willingness to involve me in every aspect of his research from the very beginning. Much of the groundwork for this dissertation, including both controlled and field monitoring of airborne pollutants, human exposure modeling, single and multizone indoor air quality modeling, and, perhaps most importantly, human activity pattern analysis, were laid during my work with Wayne, which began in 1993 and continues to this day. In this respect, Wayne Ott has made a very large general contribution to this dissertation. A number of other colleagues have provided encouragement, friendship, collaboration, and/or guidance either early in my career in exposure science, during my coursework at Berkeley, or on the road to completing my Ph.D. These folks include Mary Rozenberg, Lance Wallace, Valerie Zartarian, Andrea Ferro, Robert Spear, Michael Tarter, Kirk Smith, Rob Harley, Dave Mage, Niren Nagda, James Repace, John Robinson, Kathy Vork, Julian Marshall, Melissa Gonzales, Mike Wilson, Agnes Bodnar-Lobscheid, Laura Gunn, Sarah Jump, Lily Panyacosit, Liza Ryan, Katherine Zandonella, Geniene Gefke, Rajan Mutialu, Justin Girard, Jennifer Hearst, David Pennise, Chris Kirkham, Chris Erdmann, Jennifer Mann, Sue Chiang, Stephen Hern, Tom Phillips, Tracy Thatcher, William Engelmann, Sally Liu, Brett Singer, Bill Riley, Alvin Lai, Christine Little, Doug Sullivan, Ed Furtaw, Edmund Seto, Lee Langan, Mark Nicas, Max Zarate, Mike Sohn, Mike Green, Tom Cooper, Dino Capeto, Edward Costello, Peggy Jenkins, Song Liang, Lin Wei Tian, Tom McCurdy, Leon Alevantis, Joe Eisenberg, John Roberts, Jed Waldman, and Chin Long Chiang. The primary software tool I have used throughout my Ph.D. research has been the freely-available R system for data analysis and graphics,1 augmented by the GNU Scientific Library (GSL). I used R to implement the simulation model for secondhand smoke exposures, which was developed and applied as part of my Ph.D. research, to analyze and summarize both simulated and observed data, and to create nearly all of the presentation graphics included in this dissertation. I 1 Visit the R home page at http://www.r-project.org ix thank all of the original and continuing contributors to the GSL and R projects for making their flexible and extremely high quality products available to me, and everyone, at no cost. The R programming environment, which is quite similar to the popular S-plus system,2 was developed by an inspired and inspiring community of first-rate educators, scientists, and statisticians who have generously donated their labor, in terms of software design, programming, and support, for the greater public good. It appears that R is rapidly becoming the premier tool for modeling, exploration, analysis, and visualization of data, likely due in no small measure to the philosophy of openness possessed by its creators. In addition to R, I also made liberal use of other freely-available software tools, including the venerable vector drawing program Xfig. I used the free GNU/Linux operating system as my platform for conducting simulation trials as well as for general computing. This dissertation was typeset using the free LATEX document preparation system. I would like to thank my long-time partner, Natalie Broomhall, for understanding all about this crazy Ph.D. thing and making my life interesting and complete during much of these past years during which we’ve lived on our isolated Watsonville farm, with me spending most days (and nights!) hunched up over my dusty computer monitor. As soon as I get those signatures, I’ll make it up to you, I promise. Oh, and Obie and Annie (our two labrador-aussie crosses), you guys were a great help too. Finally, I want to thank my three brothers, John, Keith, and Peter, for not picking on me too much for being the last Ph.D. in the family, my mother, who always had great faith in me and made sure that I got into that algebra class in the 8th grade, placing me on the road to educational fulfillment, and my father, whose idealism and intense interest in science, and in the entire world around him, still lives on in all of his sons. 2 See http://www.insightful.com/products/splus/ x Layout of This Document This dissertation consists of 11 chapters and 4 appendices grouped into five parts: I. Introduction and Background, II. Model Development, III. Model Application, IV. Model Evaluation, and V. Appendices. On the page immediately after each part’s title page, I have included a one or two-sentence summary of the contents of each component chapter. The chapter title, sometimes condensed, is printed along the top heading of each page. At the end of most chapters in parts II and III, I have included a section entitled “Summary and Conclusions”, which gives an overview of the chapter, highlighting its main points or findings. At the end of each chapter, I include a listing of all references cited in that chapter. At the end of this document is an index containing page references to key words and ideas occurring in the text. xi Contents Abbreviations xvi List of Tables xviii List of Figures xxiii I Introduction 1 Research Overview 1.1 Broad Dissertation Outline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 Modeling Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 Design of Simulation Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.1 Tier I. Scripted Occupant Movement . . . . . . . . 1.3.2 Tier II. Realistic Variation in Occupant Movement 1.3.3 Tier III. Exposure Mitigation Trials . . . . . . . . . 1.3.4 Summary of Specific Analysis Factors . . . . . . . 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 4 7 13 14 15 16 17 2 Background 2.1 Defining and Measuring Exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1.1 Concept and Mathematical Formulation of Exposure . . . 2.1.2 Practical Measures of SHS Exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 Health Risks of SHS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3 Field Studies of SHS Exposure and Multiple Compartment Effects 2.4 Children’s Residential SHS Exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.4.1 Exposure Prevalence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.4.2 Household Restriction Effectiveness . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.4.3 Intervention Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.4.4 The Need for Better Exposure Measures . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5 Models of IAQ and Exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5.1 IAQ Model Validity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 24 24 29 30 36 50 50 55 61 66 67 68 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xii CONTENTS 2.6 2.7 2.5.2 Exposure Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 II Model Development 93 3 Emissions Characterization 3.1 Human Smoking Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2 Cigar and Cigarette Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3 Estimating Particle Emissions with an Aerosol Dynamics Model 3.4 The Size Distribution of Particle Emissions . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.5 Size-Integrated Particle Emissions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.6 Particle Deposition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.7 Emissions and Dynamic Behavior of Gaseous Species . . . . . . 3.8 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.9 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 98 100 104 111 116 120 126 129 134 4 Human Activity Patterns 4.1 Time Spent in Broad Locations Over a 24-h Period 4.2 Time Spent at Home in Different Rooms . . . . . . 4.2.1 Time Spent by Age . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2.2 Time Spent by Gender . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2.3 Time Spent by Day of Week . . . . . . . . . 4.2.4 Time Spent by House Size . . . . . . . . . . 4.3 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 143 147 153 153 158 158 163 164 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Housing Characteristics 5.1 Mixing Within a Single Zone . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.2 Zone Volumes and Surface Areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3 Air Exchange with the Outdoors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.4 HVAC Systems: Recirculation, Outdoor Air Delivery, and Duct Leakage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.5 Estimates of Interzonal Air Flow Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.6 Illustrative Simulation of Tracer Gas Concentrations in a House . . 5.7 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.8 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 . 166 . 168 . 172 . . . . . 178 182 186 193 196 6 Model Structure 200 6.1 Model Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201 6.2 Treatment of Chemical Species . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 xiii CONTENTS 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 Treatment of Residences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3.1 Specification of Volume, Rooms, and Layout . . . . . . . . . 6.3.2 Specification of Air Flow Conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Treatment of Residential Activity Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4.1 Mapping Sampled Occupant Locations to Simulated Rooms 6.4.2 Specification of Mitigation Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4.3 Simulation of Smoking Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Combining House and Occupant Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.5.1 Synchronization of Simulated Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.5.2 Calculation of Room Concentrations and Exposure . . . . . Summary of Input and Output Simulation Variables . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . III Model Application 228 7 Tier I. Scripted Occupant Movement 7.1 Model Input for Scripted Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.2 Intermediate Output: Occupant Interaction, Air Flows, and Room Concentrations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3 Simulated Exposures by House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.5 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Tier II. Realistic Variation in Occupant Location 8.1 Seven Simulation Trials of Unrestricted Exposure . . . 8.2 Base Exposure Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.2.1 Particles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.2.2 Carbon Monoxide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.2.3 Nicotine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3 The Effect of Air Flow Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3.1 HAC Operation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3.2 Asymmetric Leakage Flow . . . . . . . . . . . 8.4 Comparison of All Unrestricted Scenarios . . . . . . . 8.5 Sensitivity to Environmental and Physical Parameters 8.6 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.7 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 205 208 213 214 216 217 218 218 220 221 227 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 230 . 231 . 241 . 258 . 262 . 267 . . . . . . . . . . . . 268 269 274 274 275 278 284 284 284 294 295 298 300 9 Tier III. Mitigation Strategies 301 9.1 Fixed Simulation Inputs: Cohort and Physical-Environmental Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 302 xiv CONTENTS 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.10 Programmed Mitigation: Twenty-Five Scenarios Temporal Smoking Bans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Single-Door or Single-Window Strategies . . . . Door and Single-Window Combined Strategies . Multi-Window Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Smoker Avoidance and Isolation . . . . . . . . . Portable Filtration Devices . . . . . . . . . . . . . Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . IV Conclusions 304 311 311 314 316 322 323 326 327 328 10 Model Evaluation 330 10.1 SHS Concentrations in Rooms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331 10.2 SHS Personal Exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334 10.3 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 337 11 Overall Summary and Conclusions 11.1 A New Exploratory Modeling Tool . . . . . . . . . 11.2 Findings: Sensitivity of Exposure to Key Variables 11.3 Potential Enhancements to the Simulation Model . 11.4 Improving Public Health Research and Education 11.4.1 Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.4.2 Public Health Interventions . . . . . . . . . 11.4.3 Educational Materials . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.4.4 Guidelines for Residential Air Quality . . . 11.4.5 Health Risk Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . 11.5 Future Exposure Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.5.1 Proximity Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.5.2 Residential Pollutant Monitoring . . . . . . 11.5.3 Residential Activity Patterns . . . . . . . . 11.5.4 Modeling Social Ecologies . . . . . . . . . . 11.6 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . V Appendices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339 340 343 345 346 347 347 349 349 350 351 352 352 353 354 356 357 A Raw Activity Pattern Data 359 A.1 Interview and Data Format . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359 A.2 Plots of 24-h Time-Location Profiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360 A.3 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371 xv CONTENTS B Compartment Model Equations B.1 Single-Zone Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B.2 Generic First-Order Compartmental Systems . B.3 Multi-Compartment Indoor Air Quality Model B.4 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372 373 374 376 380 C Interactive Two-Compartment Computer Program 382 C.1 User Interface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383 C.2 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385 D Software Package for Human Exposure Research 387 D.1 The ESM Function . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 388 D.2 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 392 Index 393 xvi Abbreviations Listed below are some common abbreviations used in this document to refer to health, professional, or government agencies, chemical species, aspects of building engineering, statistical parameters, and physical or time units. Items are arranged alphabetically. ASHRAE CARB CFD CO cm d ETS ft g GM GSD h HAC HVAC IAQ K L m mg µg µm min ml mo NCI NO2 American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Airconditioning Engineers California Air Resources Board computational fluid dynamics carbon monoxide gas centimeters, 10−2 m days environmental tobacco smoke, a.k.a., SHS feet grams geometric mean geometric standard deviation hours heating and air conditioning heating, ventilation, and air conditioning indoor air quality degrees Kelvin liters, 10−3 m3 meters milligrams, 10−3 g micrograms, 10−6 g micrometers, 10−6 m minutes milliliters, 10−3 L months National Cancer Institute nitrogen dioxide gas xvii perfluorocarbon tracer gas particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters smaller than 2.5 µ m RSP respirable suspended particles, generally equivalent to PM2.5 s seconds SF6 sulphur hexafluoride tracer gas SHS secondhand smoke, a.k.a., ETS TPM total particle mass US United States of America USDHHS, DHHS United States Department of Health and Human Services USEPA, EPA United States Environmental Protection Agency WHO World Health Organization y years PFT PM2.5 xviii List of Tables 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Assumptions for the Physical Behavior of Pollutants . . . . . . . . . Emission Factors, Standard Concentrations, and Figures of Merit for Carbon Monoxide and Particulate Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Summary of Different Combinations of Scenario Factors Considered in the Analysis of Residential SHS Exposure Using Scripted Occupant Activity Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Summary of 31 Different Combinations of Scenario and Pollutant Factors Considered in the Analysis of Frequency Distributions for Unrestricted (Tier II) and Restricted (Tier III) Residential SHS Exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 . 12 . 20 . 21 Reported Emission Factors for Gas-Phase Components of SHS . . . . Reported Particle-Phase Components of SHS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Different Measures of Residential SHS Exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . Health Effects Causally Associated with Exposure to Environmental Tobacco Smoke with Annual Morbidity and Mortality Estimates for the US . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.5 Environmental Tobacco Smoke Particle Concentrations Measured During Field Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.6 Summary of Two-Room SF6 Tracer Experiments in a Large Ranch Style House . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.7 Average SHS Nicotine and Respirable Suspended Particle Concentrations Measured in Multiple Rooms of Two Residences . . . . . . . 2.8 Surveys on the Prevalence of Household Smoking Restrictions and Children’s Exposure to SHS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.9 Surveys of Household Smoking Restrictions and Corresponding Reduction of Children’s Exposure to Secondhand Smoke . . . . . . . . . 2.10 Three Recent Controlled Trial Intervention Studies for the Reduction of Children’s Exposure to SHS Based on Household Smoking Restrictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.11 Studies Evaluating Models of Residential Multizone Transport of Indoor Air Pollutants, Single-Zone Mixing, and Source-Proximity Effects 25 26 31 34 38 45 47 52 58 63 69 xix LIST OF TABLES 2.12 Examples of Some Existing Regulatory and Exploratory Inhalation Exposure Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 California and US Federal Concentration Guidelines for Carbon Monoxide and Particulate Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Estimated Size Distributions of SHS Particle Emissions . . . . . Reported Size-Specific Tobacco Particle Emissions for Cigarettes and Cigars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Summary of Cigar and Cigarette Experiments and Filter-Based SHS Particle Emissions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Reported Environmental Tobacco Smoke Particle Mass Emissions from Cigarettes and Cigars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Reported Environmental Tobacco Smoke Nicotine Emissions from Cigarettes and Cigars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Reported Environmental Tobacco Smoke Carbon Monoxide Emissions from Cigarettes and Cigars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 . 112 . 117 . 119 . 121 . 130 . 131 Overall Weighted Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents and Time Spent in the Presence of a Smoker in Six Different Grouped Locations Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day Weighted Statistics for Mean Percentage of Overall Time Spent and Time Spent with a Smoker by NHAPS Respondents in Six Different Grouped Locations Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Overall Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Overall Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents in the Presence of a Smoker Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes During Continuous Individual Episodes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Statistics by Age for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Statistics by Gender for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day . . . . . . . . . . . 145 146 148 149 152 154 159 xx LIST OF TABLES 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6 Statistics by Day of Week for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day . . . . . . 161 Sample Size by Number of Rooms and Floors for NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 Frequency Tabulation for Floor Area and Estimated Volume of OneUnit Residential Buildings by Number of Rooms and Number of Stories: Unweighted Results from the 2001 American Housing Survey, n=29,356 Telephone Respondents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Air Flow Rates Measured During Six Two-Compartment SHS Particle Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Summary of Fourteen Two-Room SF6 Tracer-Gas Experiments on the Effect of Door Position on Air Movement with Estimated Flow Rates Between the Source Room and Test Room and the Estimated Overall Two-Room Air Exchange Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Steady-State Concentrations for Tracer Gas Simulations of a Continuous Source . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Simulated Separate and Multi-Use Room Types as a Function of the Number of Main Rooms in a House . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Room Categories for NHAPS 24-h Diaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Model Response Variates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Model Input Parameters – Explicit Key Variates . . . . . . . . . . . List of "On" Conditions for the 23 Environmental Scenario Binary Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Derived Quantities – Implicit Key Variates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 . 183 . 189 . 193 . . . . 207 214 222 223 . 225 . 227 Fixed Model Input Parameter Values: Physical and Environmental Quantities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Levels Considered for Five Model Input Scenario Variables: House Type, Nonsmoker Activity, Flow-Related Conditions, Flow Symmetry, and Initial Nicotine Surface Concentrations . . . . . . . . . . . . . Room Characteristics for Each Type of Simulated House . . . . . . . Percentage of the Day Nonsmoker Spends in Rooms with the Smoker, At Home During Smoking Episodes, and in Rooms During Smoking Episodes by Activity and House Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Simulated 24-h Mean Whole-House Air-Exchange Rate by Flow Symmetry, Flow Scenario, and House Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Simulated 24-h Mean Flow Out of Smoking Rooms Into Other Rooms During Smoking Episodes by Flow Symmetry, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity for House #2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234 236 238 242 243 249 LIST OF TABLES Simulated 24-h Mean Flow Into Nonsmoker Rooms from Other Rooms During Smoking Episodes by Flow Symmetry, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity for House #2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.8 24-h Simulated Mean Particle Exposure Concentration by Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity . 7.9 Correction Factors for Simulated 24-h Mean Particle Exposure Concentration Predicted by a Simple Single-Zone Model Across Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity . 7.10 Simulated 24-h Individual SHS Particle Intake Fraction by Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity . 7.11 Simulated 24-h Equivalent ETS Cigarette Particle Intake by Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity . 7.12 Simulated 24-h Mean Nicotine Personal Exposure Concentration by Flow Symmetry, Initial Surface Concentrations, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity for House #2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxi 7.7 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 Descriptions of Seven Unrestricted Residential SHS Inhalation Exposure Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Particles. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Home . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . CO. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Carbon Monoxide Inhalation Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes Statistics by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Home . . . . . . . Nicotine Fresh. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Nicotine Inhalation Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes Statistics for Fresh Surfaces by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Home . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Nicotine Loaded. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Nicotine Inhalation Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes Statistics for Surfaces Preloaded with Nicotine by No. of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Home . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . HAC 10%. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes Statistics for Intermittent Awake-Time HAC Operation by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Home . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250 . 260 . 261 . 263 . 264 . 265 . 272 . 277 . 280 . 286 . 287 . 289 LIST OF TABLES HAC 100%. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes Statistics for Continuous Awake-Time HAC Operation by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Home . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.8 Asymmetric Flow. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigar-ettes Statistics for Asymmetric Flow Conditions by No. of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Home . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.9 Calculated Geometric Means and Geometric Standard Deviations for Distributions of 24-h Mean Nonsmoker SHS Particle, Carbon Monoxide, or Nicotine Exposure Concentration, Individual Intake Fraction, and Equivalent ETS Cigarette Intake Across Each Scenario in Households Where More Than 10 Cigarettes Were Smoked and Nonsmokers Spent More than 23 of their Time . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.10 Sensitivity of the Geometric Mean of Nonsmoker SHS Particle Exposure Metrics to Eight Physical and Environmental Parameters . . xxii 8.7 9.1 9.2 . 290 . 293 . 296 . 299 Descriptions of Each Residential SHS Inhalation Exposure Mitigation Strategy Arranged by Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307 Statistics from the Simulated Distribution of 24-h Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration for each Exposure Mitigation Strategy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 10.1 Comparison of Simulated and Observed SHS Respirable Suspended Particle and Nicotine Concentrations Measured in Rooms of Residences or in a Furnished Chamber . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 333 A.1 Example 24-h Recall Diary Containing Beginning & Ending Times, Activity, Location, Presence of a Smoker, and Time Spent for 22 Microenvironments Visited on the Diary Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361 A.2 The Original NHAPS 24-h Recall Diary Locations . . . . . . . . . . . 362 A.3 The Original NHAPS 24-h Recall Diary Activities . . . . . . . . . . . 363 B.1 Response Variables and Observable Physical Input Parameters of a Multi-Compartment Indoor Air Quality Model for Airborne Particulate Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 378 D.1 Component Subpackages for a Generic Human Exposure Research Software Package . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389 xxiii List of Figures 1.1 1.2 Graphical depiction of the scientific process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Graphical depictions of conceptual and mechanistic models for residential exposure to SHS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2.1 Schematic of a ranch style house in which two-zone SF6 tracer gas concentrations were measured for different door configurations . . . 44 Time series plots of SF6 tracer gas concentrations measured in a ranch house for different door configurations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Interacting factors relating to reduction and/or elimination of residential SHS exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 2.2 2.3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 Schematic of a chamber used for cigar and cigarette emissions characterization experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Response surface for optimizing emission and deposition rate parameters of an aerosol dynamics model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Optimal fit of an aerosol dynamics model to the particle mass concentration time series measured during a Cigarillo chamber experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Optimal fit of an aerosol dynamics model to the particle mass concentration time series measured during a regular cigar chamber experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Estimated size distribution of particle mass emissions determined from eight experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Fit of a lognormal distribution model to the size distribution of particle mass emissions determined for a regular cigar chamber experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Particle deposition rate for different air speeds and room furnishing levels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SHS particle deposition rate measured in a chamber for different fan speeds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SHS particle deposition rate estimated using an aerosol dynamics model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 . 108 . 109 . 110 . 113 . 115 . 124 . 125 . 127 LIST OF FIGURES xxiv 3.10 Evolution of the mass size distribution of SHS particles after a cigarette was smoked in a chamber . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 Legend for plots of the hourly fraction of time spent in different residential locations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Hourly fraction of time spent by NHAPS respondents in different residential locations, overall and exposed to SHS . . . . . . . . . . . Hourly fraction of time spent by NHAPS respondents of different ages in different locations in and around detached houses . . . . . Hourly fraction of time spent by male and female NHAPS respondents in different locations in and around detached houses . . . . . Hourly fraction of time spent by NHAPS respondents on weekends and weekdays in and around detached houses . . . . . . . . . . . . The rate of SF6 tracer gas mixing measured in a chamber for quiescent and sunlight-driven cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.2 The surface-to-volume ratio for bare rooms with wall dimensions between 1 and 10 m . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3 Increase in house air flow rate due to the opening of windows . . . 5.4 Schematic of HAC-related flow rates in a detached house with four main rooms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.5 Schematic of a house where multi-room measurements of CO tracer gas were made after a cigar was smoked in the kitchen . . . . . . . 5.6 Time series plots of CO concentrations measured in a house after a cigar was smoked in the kitchen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.7 Schematic of the first floor of a townhouse where two-room SF6 tracer gas measurements were made for different door positions . . 5.8 Time series plots of SF6 concentrations measured in two rooms of a townhouse for different door positions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.9 House schematics with interzonal air flows corresponding to four simulated tracer gas scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.10 Simulated tracer gas concentrations in a 4-room house for the case of a 10-min cigarette source in the kitchen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.11 Simulated tracer gas concentrations in a 4-room house for the case of a 10-min cigarette source in the bedroom . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150 . 151 . 157 . 160 . 162 5.1 6.1 6.2 6.3 . 169 . 173 . 177 . 180 . 184 . 185 . 187 . 188 . 191 . 194 . 195 Logical flow of a simulation model for predicting residential SHS exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204 Graph depicting potential interzonal flows for a 3-room house . . . . 208 Graph depicting potential interzonal flows for a 6-room two-level house. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 LIST OF FIGURES 6.4 6.5 6.6 xxv Simulated flow rates between zones of a house for four illustrative scenarios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210 Time-location plot for 139 NHAPS respondents . . . . . . . . . . . . . 215 Example time series plots for simulated smoker and nonsmoker location, smoking activity, house configuration, room particle concentration, and occupant exposure concentration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219 7.1 Time series plots for scripted smoker location, individual cigarette events, extended smoking episodes, and HAC operation . . . . . . 7.2 Floorplans and interzonal flows for two simulated housing types . 7.3 Scripted smoker and nonsmoker time-location patterns used to simulate residential SHS exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4 The simulated 24-h average air flow rates between zones of House #1 for six possible scenarios and initially symmetric boundary flow patterns. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.5 The simulated 24-h average air flow rates between zones of House #2 for six possible scenarios and initially symmetric boundary flow patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.6 The simulated 24-h average air flow rates between zones of House #2 for six possible scenarios and initially asymmetric boundary flow patterns. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.7 Simulated concentration time series plots for base conditions in House #1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.8 Simulated concentration time series plots for scripted effects of closed doors and avoidance behavior . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.9 Simulated concentration time series plots for scripted effects of window cross flow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.10 Simulated concentration time series plots for the scripted effects of HAC duty cycle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.11 Simulated concentration time series plots for the scripted effect of initial surface loading of nicotine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 Floorplan of a 4-room house used to simulate frequency distributions of unrestricted residential SHS exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . Frequency distributions of the number of cigarettes smoked in the house, the fraction of the day spend by nonsmoker at home, and the fraction of the day smoker and nonsmoker spend in the same room for simulations of unrestricted SHS exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure concentration for the base unrestricted case . . . . . . . . . . . Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS carbon monoxide exposure concentration for the base unrestricted case . . . . . . . 235 . 239 . 240 . 246 . 247 . 248 . 251 . 253 . 255 . 256 . 257 . 270 . 273 . 276 . 279 LIST OF FIGURES 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 Time series plots of the simulated 24-h average SHS air nicotine concentrations for a 4-room house over 5,000 sequential days . . . . . . Time series plots of the simulated 24-h average surface nicotine concentrations for a 4-room house over 5,000 sequential days . . . . . . Log-probability plots of simulated 24-h average SHS nicotine exposure concentration under fresh and loaded wall conditions . . . . . Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h SHS particle exposure for the base case and two cases with HAC activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h SHS particle exposure for the base case and a case with asymmetric flow conditions . . . . . . . . Frequency distributions of the number of cigarettes smoked in the house, the fraction of time spent by nonsmoker at home, and the fraction of time smoker and nonsmoker spend in the same room for simulation experiments involving different SHS exposure mitigation strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.2 Median 24-h average simulated interzonal flow rates for SHS exposure mitigation strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure for the base case and time ban mitigation strategies . . . . . . . 9.4 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure for the base case and single-door or single-window mitigation strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.5 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure for the base case and combined single-door and single-window mitigation strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.6 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure for the base case and combined two-door and single-window mitigation strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.7 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure for the base case and multi-window mitigation strategies for symmetric flow conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.8 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h SHS particle exposure for the base case and multi-window, cross-flow mitigation strategies for asymmetric flow conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.9 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure for the base case and smoker avoidance or isolation mitigation strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.10 Log-probability plot of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposure for the base case and the case of continuous particle filtration in each smoking room . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxvi . 282 . 283 . 285 . 288 . 292 9.1 . 303 . 310 . 313 . 315 . 317 . 318 . 320 . 321 . 324 . 325 LIST OF FIGURES xxvii 10.1 SHS respirable suspended particle concentrations measured in the living room of a smoking house over 2.25 days . . . . . . . . . . . . . 335 10.2 Time-location profiles for participants of the USEPA particle TEAM study in Riverside, CA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338 A.1 Legend for raw time-location plots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A.2 Time series event plot for time spent in different rooms of detached homes by NHAPS respondents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A.3 Time series event plot for time spent in different rooms of detached homes by NHAPS respondents of different genders . . . . . . . . . A.4 Time series event plot for time spent in different rooms of detached homes by NHAPS respondents for weekends and weekdays . . . . A.5 Time series event plot for time spent in different rooms of detached homes by NHAPS respondents of different ages . . . . . . . . . . . C.1 Screen shot of the graphical user interface windows for an interactive two-compartment computer model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C.2 Main graphical user interface window for a two-compartment interactive computer model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C.3 Parameter graphical user interface dialog box for a two compartment interactive computer model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C.4 Data and plot graphical user interface dialog boxes for a two compartment interactive computer model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365 . 366 . 368 . 369 . 370 . 383 . 385 . 386 . 386 D.1 Graph of data flow between elements of an exposure simulation model for residential SHS exposure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 390 1 Part I Introduction 2 The following two chapters provide a general introduction to the dissertation by first giving an overview of the research and then providing a background discussion. Chapter 1 (page 3) provides an overview of the modeling approach, stating its specific objectives and how they fit into the current state of knowledge regarding residential exposure to secondhand smoke. Chapter 2 (page 23) provides a background discussion on exposure concepts, secondhand tobacco smoke health effects, indoor air field studies of SHS and multi-compartment effects, the exposure of household occupants, emphasizing children, to secondhand smoke, and exposure modeling. 3 Chapter 1 Research Overview This dissertation is concerned with the use of simulated experiments to: (1) quantitatively explore the effect that multizonal transport of pollutants and household occupants can have on residential secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS) exposure; and (2) increase our understanding of the effectiveness of specific SHS exposure reduction measures. My underlying assumption in this research is that SHS has been established as a hazard, both in terms of the raw toxic potential of its constituents, and in terms of concentrations that can occur in typical residences (see Chapter 2). Rather than studying specific health effects or the individual or population risk associated with exposure to SHS, my focus is entirely on the quantification of exposure across a variety of residential scenarios. Nevertheless, my results are relevant to a variety of health and risk-related efforts, and especially to inverventions for reducing children’s exposure (Chapters 2 and 11). The sciences of indoor air and exposure are becoming well-established. A number of studies have been conducted that are relevant to the current work, including sophisticated inhalation exposure modeling studies, extensive personal SHS exposure monitoring studies, controlled small-scale studies of the effect of a closed or open doorway between two rooms, and studies of the concentrations of airborne pollutants that can occur in different rooms of a multizone household (Chapter 2). However, there is a dearth of scientific information on precisely how exposure can vary within the ecology of a typical dwelling, particularly with respect to the use of windows and interior doors. It is unclear exactly how the movement and CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 4 behavior of human beings in a multi-compartment context affects their exposures. The studies of previous investigators do not reflect the complexities of a population of real-life homes. Because occupants move about a home with two or more rooms, any of which might contain a smoker, and open and close doors and windows or operate ventilation and filtration systems, exposures cannot be determined based simply upon concentrations in designated smoking and nonsmoking rooms over fixed time periods. The accurate estimation of the distribution of exposure for a population requires an accounting of different types of homes and the variation of in-home behaviors of smokers and nonsmokers. Such an accounting is a core feature of the current research. From a population perspective, SHS exposure occurring in apartments, mobile homes, or attached homes might be statistically different than that in detached, single-family homes, because of their generally smaller volumes and differences in natural ventilation patterns. However, the mixing and flow-related housing characteristics of all residences, which are of key importance in understanding multizone pollutant concentrations and exposures, are expected to be generally similar. For convenience, and to simplify my analysis of residential SHS exposure, I consider typical floor plans and house volumes for detached, full-size homes, which represent the most common type of residence in the US. In the remainder of this chapter, I first give a broad overview of my research, including each component of this dissertation. I then describe my general modeling approach in more detail, including how it fits into the larger exposure science context. Finally, I describe the design of specific simulation experiments, which fall into three distinct tiers of analysis. 1.1 Broad Dissertation Outline This dissertation aims to address the following broad research question: Given physical and environmental conditions in a typical detached US residence, how does the movement of pollutants and persons amongst distinct zones of the house affect the exposure of household occupants to secondhand smoke (SHS)? A closely CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 5 related question is also of interest: How much can household mitigation strategies that make use of filtration devices, or modified location patterns or door and window-related behavior patterns reduce occupants’ SHS exposure? The approach I use to answer these broad questions employs a model that simulates multizone indoor air pollutant concentrations and exposure profiles for a household containing a pair of inhabitants, one smoking and the other nonsmoking, explicitly taking into account room-to-room movement profiles of house occupants and the dynamics of interzonal flows. In developing the simulation model (Part II, Chapters 3−6), I synthesize a wealth of currently available knowledge and data on pollutant dynamics (Chapter 3), human activity patterns (Chapter 4), and building characteristics (Chapter 5) into a flexible computer-based framework for exploring residential SHS exposures for both individuals and populations (Chapter 6 and Appendix D). My model-based analysis, the results of which comprise the central part of the dissertation (Part III, Chapters 7, 8, and 9), makes use of trial simulation experiments in which most physical and environmental variables corresponding to factors such as house size and layout, outdoor air infiltration, interzonal air flow magnitudes, cigarette emission characteristics, and pollutant dynamics are generally kept fixed at one or two values. The individual effects of these parameters on indoor air pollutant concentrations are generally well understood. However, the combined effects of physical and environmental parameters on residential SHS exposure within a complex household ecology are not understood as well. Occupant locations, activities, and preferences are expected to introduce variation in pollutant concentrations and exposures even when the physical dimensions of the system are constrained. Therefore, by selecting a small physical domain, I can focus on the elucidation of the broad effects of multizonal location patterns of household occupants and the changing positions of doors and windows. In addition to the direct effects of human activity on SHS exposure, in Chapters 7 and 8 I also explicitly study the effects of three secondary factors, which are CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 6 related to weather patterns and household smoking history and are relatively understudied in the context of residential SHS exposure. These are the operation of a central air handling system, i.e., a heating and air conditioning system (HAC) or a heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system (HVAC), the existence of symmetrical versus asymmetrical air flow patterns, which are driven by temperature and/or wind, and high levels of pollutant surface concentration for sorbing and desorbing compounds, which result from chronic smoking activity. For Tier I of the analysis (Chapter 7), I execute simulation experiments for three different occupant patterns, one for the case where the smoker and nonsmoker pair spend all of their time in the same room, one for the case where they are never in the same room, and an intermediate case. In Tiers II and III, I examine the frequency distribution of exposures produced by introducing realistic variability in occupant location, first for common unregulated household scenarios in which no conscious efforts are made to affect ones’s exposures (Chapter 8), and second for deliberate attempts to mitigate exposure by operating filtration devices, regulating the opening of windows and the closing of interior doors, and/or constraining the movement of household occupants (Chapter 9). An underlying concern with any modeling approach to explore residential SHS exposure is the accuracy of the model predictions. An important followup to the application of my simulaton model to explore residential SHS exposure is a test of the model predictions against observed data. Appropriate test data would include measured concentration profiles in multiple rooms of a house for different smoking patterns, and systematically varied window, door, and HAC configurations, as well as continuous personal concentrations measured for people spending time in a house where smoking and location patterns are recorded. While a complete validation exercise is beyond the scope of this dissertation, I use comparisons to other investigator’s measurements of SHS-related nicotine and particle concentrations in residential settings to perform a preliminary evaluation of the overall model performance (Chapter 10). CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 7 1.2 Modeling Approach The results of this research contribute to the advancement of the science of exposure primarily through the consolidation of established scientific knowledge in the form of a simulation model (Chapters 3−6) and the generation of testable hypotheses (predictions) based on established theory (Chapters 7−9). In addition, I conduct a preliminary evaluation of my theoretical predictions through comparison with experimental observation (Chapter 10). These three elements, theory development, prediction, and observation, are central to the traditional method of science as illustrated in Figure 1.1. The theoretical underpinnings of my research into residential SHS exposure, formalized as a computerized simulation model, are dependent upon an understanding of two fundamental elements. The first is that of the physical processes tobacco smoke gases and particles undergo after they are emitted at specific points and times in a house, and the second is the physical movement and behavior of smoking and nonsmoking individuals as they travel between rooms of the house. These two elements, the physical motion of pollutants and the physical motion of people, interact to result in a large range of possible exposure profiles for occupants of multi-room dwellings. The interplay of pollutant and human dynamical behavior can be understood on a simple level in terms of a conceptual model involving the permeation of pollutants throughout a house, the persistence of those pollutants within each room, and the proximity of the nonsmoking receptor to the active smoker. In this model, which is illustrated in the top panel of Figure 1.2, source and receptor behavior patterns result in a defined proximity profile. The permeation of pollutant from the source to receptor location and persistence of pollutant in the receptor location lead to a particular exposure profile. A more sophisticated mechanistic model, illustrated in the bottom panel of Figure 1.2, explicitly considers the location profiles of source and receptor persons, and how their activities contribute to a unique concentration profile in each room. The receptor and concentration profiles are then combined to determine the exposure profile. This second model forms the basis 8 CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW Theory Formulate Revise Calibrate Hypothesis Observation Figure 1.1: This figure depicts the canonical method of scientific inquiry, which consists of a repeating cycle of theory development, prediction (hypothesis generation), and observation. The main focus of the current research is to adapt and simplify established exposure theory (i.e., models) and make predictions for a limited, and narrowly defined set of secondhand smoke exposure scenarios occurring in residences for the particular purpose of exploring the expected effect of multiple compartments and various mitigation strategies on exposure (see Chapters 8 and 9). Futher simplication of theory is warranted if the effect on exposure for particular scenarios is minimal, i.e., exposure is relatively insensitive to changes in mitigation-related human behavior or to movement of people and pollutants amongst distinct zones. The sensitivity of exposure to various physical and environmental parameter ranges is also explored (see Chapter 8). In addition, the current work includes preliminary comparisons of predicted and observed exposure concentrations, reevalation of the exposure model, and suggestions for future model revision (see Chapter 10). CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 9 for the simulation model used in the current research. The design of the simulation model, which is presented in detail in Chapter 6, involves first tracking the real-time changes in occupant location and smoking activity occurring in the simulated house over a 24-h period. Based on these occupant profiles and the time-varying configuration of window, door, HAC/HVAC, and portable filtration devices, the time series of pollutant concentrations in each room of the house are calculated using an indoor air quality model, which dynamically accounts for the introduction and removal of pollutant mass in each room. Finally, exposure is assigned by matching the location of the receptor (nonsmoking occupant) at a particular minute with the concentrations occurring in each room at the same time. Once the minute-by-minute exposure time series is established for each simulated individual, a variety of absolute and relative SHS exposure metrics may be calculated, including 24-h average, peak, and integrated exposure concentrations, as well as intake fraction (taken over the total mass of all in-house cigarette emissions) and ETS-cigarette equivalent intake (taken over the mass emissions of a single cigarette). The physical processes that airborne pollutants are expected to undergo in a multizonal indoor residential setting are fairly well established and have been successfully characterized using mathematical mass-balance models (see Chapter 2). Several key assumptions are typically made when modeling indoor air quality and exposures. Pollutants are assumed to mix very rapidly within single zones of the house due to air convection before they are removed by ventilation or dispersed to other rooms. Inter-room transport, which is driven by air exchange across doorways and HAC/HVAC-related recirculation, is assumed to be much slower than in-room mixing. The assumption of virtually instantaneous mixing of pollutants in individual rooms ignores any source-proximity effects in which a receptor might experience extremely high, though short-lived, pollutant concentrations. The three removal processes that particle and gaseous emissions undergo are surface interactions, including deposition and sorption, filtration, and outdoor transport (ventilation). The last of these is determined by the residence’s leakage characteristics, 10 CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW Conceptual Model Source Proximity Pollutant Persistence Exposure Pollutant Permeation Mechanistic Model Source Location Source Activity Room Concentrations Receptor Location Receptor Activity Exposure Figure 1.2: A simple conceptual model for the exposure of house occupants to secondhand smoke takes into account the proximity of a person to the smoker, the degree of permeation of smoke throughout the house, and the degree to which smoke persists in the house, whether in close proximity to the smoker or in further reaches of the house where smoke has permeated. A more detailed mechanistic model, which forms the basis for the quantitative occupant exposure model used in the current work, considers the movement and activities of both source and receptor house occupants, which directly affect pollutant room concentrations. Occupants may open and close doors and windows or activate and deactivate ventilation and filtration systems while in particular rooms. The coincidence of the receptor and concentrations in particular rooms results in exposure. A more complex mechanistic model, different than that shown or considered explicitly in the current work, might take into account the interaction between source and receptor locations and activities, e.g., for spouses, siblings, or parents and their children. CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 11 Table 1.1: Assumptions for the Physical Behavior of Pollutants 1. Mixing of emitted pollutants occurs so rapidly that concentrations can be considered to be instantaneously distributed within each zone (room). 2. Pollutants are transported between rooms by direct air flow between doorways and possibly through air recirculation via the HAC/HVAC system. 3. There is no source-proximity effect for pollutant concentrations within a single zone, though there may be a proximity effect across multiple zones, if a particular zone has stronger air connections to the source room than other rooms. 4. Pollutants are removed from rooms by ventilation, occurring though building leakage, open windows, or an HVAC system, or by surface interactions, such as particle deposition or the sorption of semi-volatile species. 5. There is no pollutant loss during inter-room transport, except perhaps by filtration in the HVAC or HAC system. For example, no particles are lost due to impaction or interception occurring within interior door cracks, i.e., a closed door has zero particle removal efficiency for particles travelling through cracks along the door moulding, jamb, or floor. door and window positions, and perhaps the operation of an HVAC system. Semivolative compounds, such as nicotine, may also desorb from surfaces. The model assumptions are summarized in Table 1.1. To represent the complex mixture of gaseous and particulate species in SHS, I consider emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), which is an inert gas, nicotine, which is a highly sorbing semi-volatile gas, and respirable particulate matter (RSP), i.e., PM2.5 . Only those emissions that are attributable to indoor-generated tobacco smoke are considered. Outdoor concentrations of these species are considered to be zero. The treatment of particulate matter is for total mass concentrations, since including information on the size distribution of particles will likely not increase the accuracy with which my research goals can be addressed. Since both PM2.5 and CO are USEPA criteria air pollutants pollutants, they have associated health-based National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), which correspond approxi- 12 CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW Table 1.2: Emission Factors, Standard Concentrations, and Figures of Merit (FOM) for CO and PM2.5 SHS Emissions NAAQSa Time FOMb Pollutant [mg cig−1 ] [µ g m−3 ] Period [m3 cig−1 ] CO 40−80 10,000 8-h 4−8 PM2.5 8−12 65 24-h 120−180 a The USEPA National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). FOM is calculated as the ratio of the SHS emission factor to the NAAQS concentrations and indicates the amount dilution air per cigarette that is needed for SHS to be in an acceptable range assuming no contributions from other sources. b The mately to upper bounds on acceptable average concentrations over specific time periods. These standard concentrations are summarized in Table 1.2, along with their SHS emission factors (see Chapter 3), and a figure of merit (FOM), which indicates the minimum amount of dilution air per cigarette that is needed for SHS to be in an acceptable range. Based on the results shown, CO is expected to be a less toxic constituent of SHS than PM2.5 . Large data sets on the movement of human beings among different rooms of their home have recently become available with the completion of several computer-assisted telephone surveys of human activity patterns occurring (see Chapter 4). As exposure to SHS is dependent upon a number of very brief smoking events, lasting a few minutes each, and removal mechanism having associated time scales of only a few hours, these activity pattern data, which span a single day’s worth of activities, are well-suited to be used as a basis for exploring the dynamics and determinants of SHS exposure. The usefulness of the current approach lies in consolidating theory to bear on the issue of multi-compartment effects, stemming from both pollutant and human movement from room-to-room of a house, and in exercising a simulation model to study the theoretical effects of varying conditions on exposures. To simplify the study of effects, ill-understood key parameters (e.g., occupant location, window and door position, HAC/HVAC operation, and air flow symmetry) are isolated by fixing at plausible values other parameters for which the effects are better under- CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 13 sood (e.g., house size, layout, deposition, interzonal air flow rates, air exchange, sorption, emission rate, and emission duration). Thus, the analysis is conditioned on a physical and environmental configuration that one might commonly find in homes so that a systematic range-finding study can be performed across realistic values of the key variables of interest. The aim is to examine how established indoor air and exposure theory responds to a particular, tightly controlled domain of model inputs, rather than to attempt to predict exposures or the sensitivity of exposures for an actual population. 1.3 Design of Simulation Experiments The primary goals of the study are to discover, through controlled simulation experiments, how the movement of pollutants and persons amongst distinct zones of a house can be expected to affect exposure to secondhand smoke (SHS), and how much effect might result from conscious household mitigation strategies that make use of door and window-related behavior patterns to reduce exposure. Results from pursuing these goals are presented for three three tiers of analysis in Chapters 7, 8, and 9 of this dissertation. In the interest of clarity, and to retain focus on a small number of key variables, all three tiers use the same fixed set of physical and environmental input parameter values, which are selected to represent typical conditions in a US household. The first tier of analysis sets out to demonstrate broadly how the multizone structure of a house can contribute to wide variation in SHS exposure. The second tier incorporates wide variation in location patterns to investigate frequency distributions of SHS exposure for a selected cohort. The final tier studies changes in the exposure frequency distribution of a cohort as a result of attempts to mitigate exposure. For simulations of cohort exposure, I use a stopping rule to judge when enough people have been sampled and the distribution has stabilized. The metric is the ratio of the half-length of the 90% confidence interval to the distribution mean. When this metric is stable to within 10%, I conclude that a sufficient sample has been drawn to represent realistic variation in human movement patterns. CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 14 Typically, between 500 and 1,000 sampled individuals are sufficient to achieve this criterion. 1.3.1 Tier I. Scripted Occupant Movement The results of the first tier of simulation analysis are presented in Chapter 7 of this dissertation. As part of this analysis, I investigate the degree to which the general multi-compartment character of a residence can influence the exposure of its occupants to particles and nicotine in SHS, by devising a series of controlled simulation experiments, which serve to flex the model between extremes in inputs. Since proximity between nonsmoking and smoking occupants is expected to be of central importance, I use three scripted receptor movement patterns to cover the gamut of proximity, ranging from lock-step coincidence to complete avoidance of the smoker. These scripted patterns are analyzed in combination with factor levels for different scenarios, house layout, and symmetry of air flow across house boundaries. The two different simulated houses are identical in size. One consists of a single large multi-use room and the other is a house with four main rooms and a connecting hallway. Both houses have HAC systems, which do not include a forced ventilation component, but whose operation may increase infiltration due to duct leakage. The scenarios consist of three different door and window practices for smoking and nonsmoking inhabitants. These operations are used to introduce impediments to the permeation of pollutant from the smoking room or to promote enhanced ventilation with outdoor air. Either continuous or intermittent HAC operation may also occur, which in addition to increasing infiltration rate by a small amount also increases the transport of pollutants among rooms of the house. As part of the Tier I analysis, I take a first look at the effect of surface nicotine residue on exposures and estimate the error made under the common simplifying assumption that houses can be represented by a single well-mixed zone. The fixed physical and environmental model input parameters used in each simulation experiment, which include values for cigarette source strength, smok- CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 15 ing duration, house volumes and surfaces areas, house air exchange rate, door and window air flow rates, and particle deposition rate, are selected based on common values reported in the scientific literature. The range of possible values is discussed in Chapter 3 of this dissertation, where I present the results of various studies on the magnitude and properties of cigarette emissions, and in Chapter 5, where I present data on the size and air flow characteristics of residences. 1.3.2 Tier II. Realistic Variation in Occupant Movement The second tier of analysis, presented in Chapter 8, builds on that of Tier I, using the same set of fixed physical and environmental input parameter values. However, for this analysis I introduce realistic frequency distributions of occupant location patterns, using a cohort sampled from the results of a recent telephone-based survey, to estimate a base frequency distribution of exposure to SHS particles, nicotine, and carbon monoxide. To understand the features of this base distribution, and its sensitivity to different conditions, I perturb the base distribution by conducting simulation trials with the sampled cohort across a variety of “natural”, i.e., unregulated or unrestricted, scenarios. These scenarios, which do not involve conscious attempts to regulate (mitigate) exposure and may be expected to occur in a typical residence, include the continuous and intermittent operation of a residential HAC system, symmetric and asymmetric flows across house boundaries, and the case when household surfaces are initially suffused with nicotine, such as might occur after years of chronic cigarette smoking. In addition to an exploration of the impact that various typical non-intervening scenarios might have on the base distribution of exposure for a cohort of persons with a wide range of time-location patterns, I also explore the local sensitivity of frequency distributions of SHS exposure to small perturbations in values of the physical and environmental parameters. Although the original selected values place simulated exposures in the middle of those that might be expected for a typical household in the US, and interpretation of the effects of scenarios might be obfuscated by including variation in these input parameters in the simulation 16 CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW experiments, it is important to understand generally how much the distribution of exposures might change if different fixed values are chosen. 1.3.3 Tier III. Exposure Mitigation Trials The third tier of analysis, which is presented in Chapter 9, uses a portion of the sampled cohort of persons used for Tier II and the same set of fixed physical and environmental parameter values. Since I am interested in the more intense exposures to SHS, which would result in the most benefit from successful mitigation strategies, the mitigation simulation trials are limited to that segment of the cohort for which more than 10 cigarettes are smoked at home during the day and for which the nonsmoker spends more than 2 3 of their time at home. For this cohort, I perturb the base distribution of exposures with different exposure mitigation strategies, i.e., deliberate attempts to regulate the behavior of household members for the purpose of reducing occupant exposure to SHS. I evaluate the practicality and effectiveness of modifying occupant location patterns, specific door and window-related behaviors, and the continuous operation of portable filtration devices in rooms of the home where smoking is allowed. I explore changes in the frequency distribution of SHS exposure relative to two bounding cases. In the first, base case, no migitation strategies are active. In the second case, the smoker is not allowed to smoke in the house when others are also at home. For intermediate scenarios, the nonsmoker occupant, the smoker occupant, or both occupants are directed to change their location in the house and/or to close doors or open windows in rooms they occupy in response to smoking episodes. Smoking episodes are defined by contiguous periods of time during which a smoker is in a single room of the house and smokes for a portion of the time. For most simulation trials, the occupants do not change the time they spend in rooms of the house, following their “natural” pattern. However, for several trials, the occupant location patterns are modified so that nonsmoking occupant avoid rooms where the smoker is active and the smoker is isolated in a single desig- CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 17 nated smoking room. Door- and window-related behavior is superimposed onto the original or modified time-location patterns. When the smoker and nonsmoker happen to occupy the same room during a smoking episode, the doors are left open. If any window-related mitigation strategies are in effect, the windows are also left open for time the ocupants spend in the same room during a smoking period. The rationale for different types of mitigation strategies is as follows: Avoiding or isolating a smoker diminishes exposures by removing the direct proximity of the nonsmoker to SHS emissions. The closing of interior doorways in the house during smoking epidodes impedes the flow of air, and therefore SHS pollutants, from the smoking room to adjacent rooms. The opening of a window during smoking episodes enhances the removal of SHS pollutants through ventilation, exhausting polluted air to the outdoors before it can move to other rooms. The opening of two windows, one by each of the occupants, can induce a cross-breeze in the house and lead to enhanced removal of pollutant from the house, although it is also possible that pollutants will be carried more quickly in the direction of an occupant. The mitigation strategy with the most benefit relative to the base condition is expected to occur when the nonsmoker avoids the smoker, especially if the smoker closes the door to their room during smoking and/or simultaneously opens a window to increase ventilation. Combinations involving just the closure of a door or just the opening of window by a smoker are expected to be of the next greatest benefit, whereas similar action by the nonsmoker while they are in a different room than the smoker is expected to be of less consequence. 1.3.4 Summary of Specific Analysis Factors For the Tier I analysis, I examine SHS exposures across a total of 144 combinations of eight different scenario, pollutant, and activity-related factors. These factors and their corresonding levels are: House Type (2 levels). Either a house with two rooms, one single large living area and a bathroom, or a house of equal volume that has four main rooms. CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 18 Flow Pattern (2 levels). The air flows across house boundaries are either symmetric, such as might occur for temperature-driven flows, or asymmetric, such as might occur for wind-driven flows. Nonsmoker Activity (3 levels). Location patterns for nonsmokers who “follow” smokers from room-to-room, who “nap” during the day away from the smoker, or who “avoid” the smoker entirely. Door-Related Behavior (4 levels). Either the smoker, the nonsmoker, or both occupants close doors of rooms they occupy during smoking episodes, or the house remains in the base state where doors are always left open except during sleeping hours or time spent in the bathroom. Window-Related Behavior (4 levels). Either the smoker, the nonsmoker, or both occupants open windows of rooms they occupy during smoking episodes, or the house remains in the base state where windows are always closed. HAC Activity (3 levels). Either the HAC system is active intermittently for 10% of the time when at least one occupant is awake, or it is active continuously for 100% of the time an occupant is awake, or it remains inactive for the entire day (the base state). Pollutant Type (2 levels). Either particles or nicotine. Initial Surface Concentration (2 levels). Either surfaces are initially devoid of nicotine concentrations or they are loaded at levels that might occur from chronic smoking activity. The base condition for each particular house, pollutant, and nonsmoker activity corresponds to factor levels for which flow is symmetric, doors are open during awake and non-bathroom times, windows are closed, and the HAC is off. The fundamental set of six combinations across the three scenario factors for window, door, and HAC configuration, are presented in Table 1.3. These combinations are CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 19 crossed with complete combinations of analyses for house, flow patterns, and nonsmoker activity factors for simulations involving particle emissions. For nicotine emissions, they are crossed with surface concentration, flow pattern, and nonsmoker activity. The nicotine analyses are performed for the 4-room house only. A summary of all the combination of factors considered in the second and third tiers of analyses is given in Table 1.4. A total of six different analyses are performed for Tier II, and 25 different analyses are performed for Tier III. The factors shown in the table are the same as those described above for Tier I, except for the following. Only the 4-room house is considered, there is an additional pollutant factor level for carbon monoxide, nonsmokers may avoid rooms with active smoking, smokers may be forced to only smoke in the living room, smokers may be forced to curb their smoking when other residents are at home, and there may be a portable filtration device continuously active in smoking rooms. Also, activity patterns for smoker and nonsmoker pairs are randomly sampled over a broad range of values based on observed population data rather than taking on a small number of fixed values. As with Tier I, the base condition requires that doors are open during waking hours, windows are always closed, and the HAC is always off. In addition, for the Tier II and III base conditions, smokers and nonsmoker follow their “natural” location patterns, smokers are allowed to smoke at any time of day in any room of the house, except the hallway and bathroom, and portable particle filtration is never used. Other factor levels represent perturbations of the base condition. 20 CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW Table 1.3: Summary of Different Combinations of Scenario Factors Considered in the Analysis of Residential SHS Exposure Using Scripted Occupant Activity Patterns (Tier I, Chapter 7) Analysis Door Window HAC No. Closinga Openingb Activityc 1 − − − 2 Smoker − − 3 Smoker Smoker − 4 − − 10% 5 − − 100% 6 − Both − For simulations of SHS particle exposures, the factor combinations in these table were further crossed with factor levels corresponding to “follower”, “avoider”, and “napper” nonsmoker behavior patterns, two types of houses, one dominated by a large, well-mixed space (House #1) and one with four distinct main rooms (House #2), and both symmetric and asymmetric flow patterns. For SHS nicotine exposures, the same factors levels were used, except for the omission of the first type of house. The base case for analysis occurs under symmetric flow conditions when all interior doors are open during waking hours not spent in the bathroom, all windows are closed at all times, and the HAC system is inactive for all times. Adherence to this base condition for individual factors is indicated by dashes (−) in the door, window, and HAC columns. a Either doors remain open during waking hours not spent in a bathroom (−), or the smoker (Smoker) closes the door of rooms they occupy during smoking episodes. b Either windows are always closed (−), or the smoker (Smoker) or both the nonsmoker and smoker (Both) open(s) the window of rooms they occupy during smoking episodes. c The HAC system is either always off (−), or it is active during either 10% or 100% of waking hours. [Continued.] Tier III Analysis Tier Tier II Analysis No. 1−3 4 5 6 7−8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 c Door Closing − − − − − S NS − − S S NS NS Both Both Both − S NS Both b Flow Pattern Sym Asym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Sym Opening − − − − − − − S NS S NS S NS − S NS Both Both Both Both d Window Activity − − 10% 100% − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − e HAC Modification − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − f Location Activity − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − g Filtration Table 1.4: Summary of 31 Different Combinations of Scenario and Pollutant Factors Considered in the Analysis of Frequency Distributions for Unrestricted (Tier II, Chapter 8) and Restricted (Tier III, Chapter 9) Residential SHS Exposurea CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 21 c Door Closing − S NS Both − S S − b Flow Pattern Asym Asym Asym Asym Sym Sym Sym Sym Opening Both Both Both Both − − S − d Window Activity − − − − − − − − e HVAC Modification − − − − Avoid Iso Iso − f Location Activity − − − − − − − S g Filtration base case for analysis occurs under symmetric flow conditions when occupants follow their “natural”, unmodified location patterns, the smoker can smoke at home at all times not spent in the hallway or bathroom, all interior doors are open during waking hours not spent in the bathroom, all windows are closed at all times, the HAC system is inactive for all times, and no portable filtration devices are ever active. Adherence to this base condition for individual factors is indicated by dashes (−) in each column. For analysis #8 the smoker cannot smoke in the house when others are home, but otherwise the analysis is for base conditions. Analyses #1−3 are for particulate matter, carbon monoxide, and nicotine in SHS, respectively. All other listed analyses were performed for particles only. b Possible scenarios for flow patterns are symmetric (Sym), for which flows across all building boundaries are initially balanced in incoming and outgoing directions, or asymmetric (Asym), for which flows across building boundaries are initially allowed to have directionality. c Either doors remain open during waking hours not spent in a bathroom (−), or the smoker (S), the nonsmoker (NS), or both (Both) close(s) the door of rooms they occupy during smoking episodes. d Either windows are always closed (−), or the smoker (S), the nonsmoker (NS), or both (Both) open(s) the window of rooms they occupy during smoking episodes. e The HAC system is either always off (−), or it is active during either 10% or 100% of waking hours. f Location modification involves avoidance of the smoker by the nonsmoker during smoking episodes in unmodified locations (Avoid) or isolating the active smoker in the living room by themselves (Iso). g Portable filtration devices are either never active (−), or they were active continuously in rooms where smoking is allowed to occur (S). a The Table 1.4. Continued. Analysis Analysis Tier No. Tier III 24 (Cont.) 25 26 27 28 39 30 31 CHAPTER 1. RESEARCH OVERVIEW 22 23 Chapter 2 Background Secondhand tobacco smoke, or secondhand smoke (SHS) for short, is the smoke produced when someone other than oneself produces chemical emissions in the process of smoking a cigarette, cigar, or pipe. Several alternate names for this type of pollutant have emerged, including environmental tobacco smoke (ETS), passive smoke, and involuntary smoke [Chapman, 2003]. In scientific circles, SHS is defined as the stream of particles and gas that has emanated from the burning tip of a cigarette or other tobacco product (sidestream smoke), or has been drawn through the product and exhaled by the smoker (mainstream smoke), and then has undergone varying amounts of dispersion, dilution, and transformation in the surrounding environment. Environments typically include residences, workplaces, automobiles, or the outdoors. SHS consists of thousands of organic and inorganic chemical species in both gaseous and particle phases [Jenkins et al., 2000]. Tables 2.1 and 2.2 list a number of recent laboratory studies on the composition of SHS along with a summary of their methods and findings. Daisey et al. [1998], Singer et al. [2003], and others present per-cigarette emission factors for a variety of volatile organic compounds in SHS. Of the compounds they analyzed, nicotine, acetaldehyde, formaldehyde, toluene, ammonia, acetonitrile, and isoprene were among those with the largest SHS emissions. In terms of inorganic gas SHS emissions, the carbon oxides (carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide) contribute heavily [Löfroth et al., 1989; Martin et al., 1997; Jenkins et al., 2000] as do nitrogen oxides [Löfroth et al., 1989]. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 24 Because it has been associated with a variety of health problems at typical residential levels, SHS is of much interest as an environmental contaminant. The adverse consequences of smoking inside homes have been established and quantified. It is the responsibility of those in health-related fields to educate the public, providing incentives and strategies for reducing or eliminating SHS exposure, especially for children. To properly inform public health professionals, it is important to have a standardized formulation of exposure and to have reliable quantitative information on the magnitude of SHS exposures and the factors having the largest influence on exposure. In the first two sections of this chapter, I present a general quantitative definition of inhalation exposure, evaluate various practical SHS exposure measures, and summarize the general health effects that have been associated with SHS at levels typically found in homes. Next, I summarize work by exposure and indoor air quality scientists, which bears generally or specifically on SHS exposure. These experimental studies, conducted both in the field and in controlled settings, provide baseline residential SHS particle exposures and establish the importance of multiple compartments in driving variation in exposures. I then take an indepth look at children’s residential exposure to SHS, including the prevalence and effectiveness of household restrictions on smoking, and intervention strategies aimed at changing household smoking behavior. Finally, I present a series of published multi-compartment indoor air quality modeling efforts, examining the success with which models have been applied to residential pollutant concentrations, and review a sample of inhalation exposure simulation models currently under development. 2.1 Defining and Measuring Exposure 2.1.1 Concept and Mathematical Formulation of Exposure Some of the earliest formal codification of exposure concepts appearing in the scientific literature is due to Ott [1982, 1985, 1990]. Focusing on exposure to air SS SS MS+SS SS SS SS Löfroth et al. [1989] Eatough et al. [1989] Martin et al. [1997] Daisey et al. [1998] Singer et al. [2002] Singer et al. [2003] C, M, TD, GC-MS C, M, TD, GC-MS C, M, TD, GC-MS C, H, TD, GC, IR C, M, DEN, IC, GC-MS C, M, F, IR, GC Methodb Of 29 gas-phase organic compounds, those with steady-cycle exposure-relevant emission factors close to 1,000 µ g cig−1 or greater were acetaldehyde, formaldehyde, isoprene, toluene, acetonitrile, and nicotine, and those in the range 300−1000 µ g cig−1 were acrolein, 1,3-butadiene, 2-butanone, benzene, pyridine, pyrrole, 3,4-picoline, and 3-ethenyl-pyridine. Of 26 gas-phase organic compounds measured for different ventilation rates in a stainless steel or furnished chamber, only acetonitrile, toluene, isoprene, and nicotine had exposure-relevant emission factors that were consistently above 800 µ g cig−1 . Isoprene consistently had the largest emission factor, with a range of 2000−5000 µ g cig−1 , and nicotine emissions ranged from about 400 µ g cig−1 in the fully furnished chamber to about 3,700 µ g cig−1 in the bare stainless steel chamber. Of 22 measured gas-phase organic compounds, those having emission factors near or exceeding 1,000 µ g cig−1 were acetaldehyde, formaldhyde, and nicotine, and those in the range of 300−1000 µ g cig−1 were benzene, pyridine, pyrrole, toluene, and 3-ethenyl-pyridine. Formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, acetone, ammonia, nicotine, isoprene, and acetonitrile had average yields over 1,000 µ g cig−1 . 3-Ethenyl-pyridine, toluene, and 1,3-butadiene had average yields exceeding 300 µ g cig−1 . The yield for carbon monoxide was 58 mg cig−1 and yields for NO and NOx exceeded 1,000 µ g cig−1 . HNO2 was found to be the major gas-phase inorganic acid and NH3 , nicotine, pyridine, 3-ethenyl-pyridine, and myosmine were the principal gas-phase bases. Sizeable yields were measured for carbon monoxide (67 mg cig−1 ) and yields exceeded 1,000 µ g cig−1 for nitrogen oxides, nicotine, formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, propene, ethane, ethene, and isoprene. Yields for acrolein, benzene, 1,3-butadiene, and propane exceeded 300 µ g cig−1 . Chemical Composition a SS=sidestream smoke; MS=mainstream smoke. b C=chamber experiments; M=machine smoked; H=human smoked; F=filter sampling; FID=flame ionization detector; DEN=denuder; TD=thermal desorption; IC=ion chromatography; GC-MS=gas chromatography/mass spectrometry; IR=infrared absorption Sourcea Study Table 2.1: Reported Emission Factors for Gas-Phase Components of SHS CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 25 MS+SS Rogge et al. [1994] H, C, MOUDI, F, FID, IC Kleeman et al. [1999] Organics: SHS particles are predominantly organic compounds in every particle size range. Inorganics: elemental carbon and the following trace elements and other species were detected: −2 + Na, K, V, Mn, Br, Sb, La , Ce, Cl− , NO− 3 , SO4 , NH4 ; the size distribution of these species, as for the total particle size distribution, had a single mode between 0.3 and 0.4 µ m. Inorganics: major elements associated with smoking were K, Cl, and Ca. Organics: the following classes of species were detected (with compounds having emission rates greater than 100 µ g per cigarette listed in parentheses): n-alkanes (hentriacontane, tritriacontane); iso and anteisoalkanes; isoprenoid alkanes; n-alkanoic acids (hexadecanoic acid); n-alkenoic acids; dicarboxylic acids; other aliphatic and cyclic acids; n-alkanols; phenols (1,4-benzenediol); phytosterols (stigmasterol, β-sitosterol); N-containing compounds (nicotine, 3-hydroxypyridine, myosmine); polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Inorganics: in 77 homes with smoking, smoking contributed the following mass percentages: S (11%); Cl (72%); K (70%); V (16%); Zn (14%); Br (44%); Cd (75%); estimated emission rates (µ g per cigarette): S (65); Cl (69); K (160); V (0.37); Zn (1.2); Br (3.0); Cd (0.32). Organics: 59.5% organic carbon by mass. Inorganics: species present above 0.01% by mass: S + −2 0.14%; Cl 0.23%; K 0.41%; elemental carbon 0.49%; Cl− 0.28%; NO− 3 0.071%; SO4 0.059%; NH4 0.04%. Organics: main classes: n-alkanes, branched alkanes, bases, sterols, fatty acids, sterenes; µ mol/g (std. dev.): nicotine 467 (144); myosmine 35 (21); nicotyrine 14 (11); cotinine 20 (11); cholesterol 1.41 (0.33); stigmasterol 2.9 (1.6); campersterol 1.53 (0.58); β-sitosterol 2.2 (1.8); 24-methylcholesta-3,5-diene 2.1 (2.0); 24-ethylcholesta-3,5,22-triene 1.60 (0.81); solanesol 22.2 − −2 + (3.3). Inorganics: species detected: Cl− , NO− 2 , NO3 , SO4 , NH4 ; species detected above 50 + − µ mol/g: Cl− , NO3 , NH4 ; elements detected: K, Ca, Ti, Ba, V, Cr, Mn, Fe, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Pb, As, Se, Br; elements detected above 50 µ mol/g: Ca, K. Chemical Composition a The listed studies all involved cigarettes (i.e., no cigars). b C = chamber; M = machine-smoked; F = filter-based sampling; D = Denuder; FID = flame ionization detector, NPD = nitrogen-phosphorus detector; GC-MS = gas chromatograph – mass spectrometer; H = human smoker; HD = emissions captured in a hood; FID = flame-ionization detector; MOUDI = micro-orifice uniform-deposit impactor; Fd = field sampling; XRF = X-ray fluorescence; IC = ion chromatography. c This effort was part of a New York State study carried out in Onondaga and Suffolk counties [Sheldon et al., 1989]. d This effort was part of the USEPA’s Particle Total Exposure Assessment Methodology (PTEAM) study of 178 homes in Riverside, CA. MS+SS H, Fd, XRF Özkaynak MS+SS et al. [1996]d H, HD, F, GC-MS H, Fd, XRF MS+SS Koutrakis et al. [1992]c C, M, F, D, GC-FID, NPD, GC-MS, IC H, HD, F, XRF, GC-MS SS Benner et al. [1989] Methodb Hildemann MS+SS et al. [1991] Source Study Table 2.2: Reported Particle-Phase Components of SHSa CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 26 27 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND pollution, Ott [1982] provides the following definition of exposure: “exposure of person i to pollutant concentration c is viewed as two events occurring jointly: person i is present at a particular location, and concentration c is present at the same location.” More recently, Zartarian et al. [1997] presented a unified theoretical framework where exposure is defined generally as contact between an agent and a target. Their definition applies equally well to inhalation, dermal, and ingestion types of exposure. Zartarian et al. define an “instantaneous point exposure” as the joint occurrence of point i of a target being positioned at location (xi ,yi ,zi ) at time t, and an agent of concentration Ci present at the same location (xi ,yi ,zi ) at time t. To distinguish it from exposure, dose is generally defined by Zartarian et al. as the amount of agent that enters a target after crossing a contact boundary. Exposure may occur without dose, but not vice versa. The basic mathematical formulation of air exposure was established in original contributions by Fugas [1975], Duan [1982], and Ott [1982, 1984], and came to be called the indirect exposure assessment approach in contrast to direct approaches, in which exposure is measured using personal monitoring devices (see Section 2.3 on page 36). They introduced the basic concept of calculating exposure as the sum of the product of time spent by a person in different locations and the time-averaged concentrations in those locations. In this formulation, locations are termed microenvironments and assumed to have homogeneous pollutant concentrations. This formulation is written mathematically as follows: m Ei = ∑ Ti j Ci j (2.1) j=1 where Ei is the integrated exposure for person i, Ti j is the time spent in microenvironment j by person i, Ci j is the time-average concentration person i experiences in microenvironment j, and m is the number of different microenvironments. The calculation amounts to a weighted sum of concentrations. Each discrete time segment with its associated discrete concentration need not be sequential in time, i.e. there may be discontinuities in time and space, although Equation 2.1 is usually applied to contiguous time segments adding up to some convenient duration, such as a 28 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND single day. An overall average exposure concentration is calculated by dividing Ei by the total time spent in all microenvironments. The basis for the temporally and spatially discrete Equation 2.1, in which Ci j are supplied as mean concentrations or concentrations that are constant during each corresponding time period Ti j , can be considered to arise from a fully continuous formulation: Z t2 Ei = t1 (2.2) Ci (t, x, y, z) dt where Ci (t, x, y, z) is the concentration occurring at a particular point occupied by receptor i at time t and spatial coordinate [ x, y, z]. If discrete microenvironments are considered rather than fully continuous space, then the following semicontinuous formulation applies: m Ei = ∑ Z j=1 t j+1 tj Ci j (t)dt (2.3) where Ci j (t) is the concentration experienced by the receptor in the discrete microenvironment j at a particular point in time t. In Equation 2.2 the exposure trajectory of the receptor is followed explicitly with no discontinuities, whereas in Equation 2.3 there are no time discontinuities within any given microenvironment, but microenvironments need not correspond to contiguous time periods. If we apply Equation 2.3 to a series of three subsequent microenvironments, the sum of integrals can be written as a sum of {mean-concentration×elapsed-time} products, i.e., the form of Equation 2.1, as follows: 3 Ei = = ∑ Z j=1 Z t2 t1 t j+1 tj Ci j (t)dt Ci1 (t)dt + Z t3 t2 Ci2 (t)dt + Z t4 t3 Ci3 (t)dt = Ci1 Ti1 + Ci2 Ti2 + Ci3 Ti3 3 = ∑ j=1 3 Ci j Ti j = ∑ Ci j Ti j j=1 where Ci j = Ci j is the average concentration in each microenvironment. (2.4) 29 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND A simplified, population version of Equation 2.1 can be derived in terms of the total time spent by all receptors in each microenvironment, if the same microenvironment concentrations are used for every person: n Ẽ = m m n m j=1 i =1 j=1 ∑ ∑ C j Ti j = ∑ C j ∑ Ti j = ∑ C j T̃j i =1 j=1 (2.5) where n is the number of people in the population, C j is the average exposure concentration in microenvironment j assigned to every person i, Ẽ is the sum of the exposure over all members of the population, and T̃ j is the total time spent by all persons in microenvironment j. 2.1.2 Practical Measures of SHS Exposure Studies of health effects due to residential SHS, or the effectiveness of household smoking restrictions or interventions, depend on accurate measures of SHS exposure. These studies typically make use of one or more of four general exposure measures [Hovell et al., 2000c]: questionnaire-based self-report of exposure; environmental nicotine concentrations; environmental measurements of respirable suspended particles (RSP) concentrations; and biological levels of the nicotine metabolite cotinine. Eight specific SHS exposure measures are summarized in Table 2.3 along with their classification as a direct or indirect measure, or a dose measure, which, like indirect exposure measures, may indicate that exposure has occurred but not have a clear quantitative relationship to true exposure. Indirect questionnaire-based measures may consist of information on the existence of smoking bans in a home, the subjective time spent exposed to nearby smoking, or the number of cigarettes smoked in different locations or time periods. Fixed-site concentration measurements of airborne SHS consituents, such as RSP or nicotine, are considered indirect exposure meaures, whereas the most direct measure of exposure is provided by real-time or integrated personal concentrations [Jaakkola and Jaakkola, 1997]. While direct measures of personal nicotine or particles intrinsically contain information on variation in the proximity of a subject to smokers and variation in CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 30 environmental conditions, fixed-site monitoring of residential SHS concentrations requires supporting information to provide a reasonably accurate estimate of exposure. Although convenient integrated and real-time personal particle monitors are available [Brauer et al., 1999], RSP is not specific to tobacco smoke and the use of these monitors, and the associated data analysis, can be awkward, unfamiliar or complicated. Perhaps for these reasons, measurement of airborne nicotine and urinary or serum cotinine in body fluids are the most widely used measures of SHS exposure in public health studies. Nicotine is a major constituent of SHS and found uniquely in tobacco emissions. It can be efficiently collected and analyzed in both particulate and vapor phases using a two-filter assembly where one filter has been treated with sodium bisulfate [Hammond et al., 1987]. Cotinine is the major metabolite of nicotine and occurs in readily measurable quantities in the plasma, urine, or saliva of persons who have been exposed to SHS [Benowitz, 1996, 1999]. The use of nicotine and cotinine are complicated by the peculiar indoor dynamics of nicotine relative to many other SHS species. Nicotine sorbs rapidly to indoor surfaces, and may desorb from surfaces at a later time, contributing to SHS-related exposures that occur many hours after smoking has stopped. Similarly, accumulated nicotine levels in house dust may interfere with SHS (air) levels [Hovell et al., 2000c]. Children’s exposure to house dust in smoking homes, or their ingestion or close contact with nicotine-contaminated objects due to earlier smoking, may lead to measureable levels of cotinine in body fluids. Another serious concern in using cotinine to estimate SHS exposure is that the metabolism of cotinine varies for different members of an exposed population. 2.2 Health Risks of SHS In recent years, several governmental and international health or environmental groups have undertaken reviews of the evidence for a causal link between SHS exposure and adverse health outcomes [USEPA, 1992; OEHHA, 1997; UKDH, 1998; WHO, 2000]. In this section, I review the specific findings of these and other re- Indirect Air Sample Direct Indirect Air Sample Direct Dose 4 5 6 7 8 Personal real-time concentration of SHS marker (e.g., PM2.5 ) Biological Sample One-time or repeated concentration of SHS biomarker (e.g., cotinine) Air Sample Fixed-location real-time concentration of SHS marker (e.g., PM2.5 ) Personal integrated concentration of SHS marker (e.g., nicotine or PM2.5 ) Fixed-location integrated concentration of SHS marker (e.g., nicotine or PM2.5 ) Duration of exposure episodes Number of cigarettes smoked at home with possible time, location, or receptor-presence specificity Binary exposure classification: smoking allowed or disallowed at home with possible time, location, or receptor-presence specificity Description ng L−1 µ g m− 3 µ g m− 3 µ g m− 3 h µ g m− 3 h h − − Units Only the “Direct” type of exposure measures can be considered an accurate quantitative assessment of exposure according to the definition given in Section 2.1.1. The other measures are qualitative descriptions of potential exposure (#1), estimates of exposure co-variates (#’s 2 and 3), fixed-site concentration measurements, which may not reflect actual exposures experienced by household occupants, or measurements of dose, which indicates the occurrence of exposure but is not likely to have a clear quantitative relationship to exposure (#8). a Indirect Questionnaire 3 Air Sample Indirect Questionnaire 2 Instrument Indirect Questionnaire Typea 1 No. Table 2.3: Different Measures of Residential SHS Exposure CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 31 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 32 ports. Each study looked at current epidemiological and toxicological research and reached very similar conclusions about how SHS impacts health under typical exposure conditions, specifically that SHS poses a substantial health risk. Based largely on US government reports [USEPA, 1992; OEHHA, 1997], the US Department of Health and Human Services classifies SHS as known to be a human carcinogen in their 10th Report on Carcinogens [USDHHS, 2002]. USEPA [1992] established a link between exposure to SHS by nonsmokers and lung cancer and, by weight-of-evidence analysis, found that SHS belongs in a category of compounds that the USEPA classifies as Group A (known human) carcinogens. SHS was estimated to result in 3,000 lung cancer deaths among nonsmokers per year in the US. SHS was also found to be causally related to symptoms of respiratory irritation, middle ear disease, lower respiratory infections (up to 300,000 annual cases in children), and increased severity and frequency of episodes of asthma (up to 1,000,000 children affected). For this report, the hazard identification of SHS, the weight of evidence analysis for non-cancer effects, and estimates of the public health impact of SHS were based on epidemological studies. A surrogate for exposure to SHS for non-cancer effects was usually parental or spousal smoking status. The analysis for the weight-of-evidence conclusion for lung cancer was based on animal bioassays and genotoxicity studies, biological measurements of human uptake of tobacco smoke components, and epidemiologic data on active and passive smoking. Thirty epidemiologic studies on SHS lung-cancer effects for normally occurring SHS levels were reviewed, which used spousal smoking as a surrogate for SHS exposure. OEHHA [1997] undertook a comprehensive review of SHS health effects starting in 1992 after the USEPA [1992] report was published. The OEHHA report underwent substantial review before the final draft was released and was viewed as “the most current and definitive statement of the science applicable to [SHS].”1 The major findings were that SHS exposure can be causally linked to nearly a dozen fatal and non-fatal general maladies, ranging in severity from low birth weight, 1 As stated by James Pitts, Chair of the Scientific Review Panel, in a letter dated July 18, 1997. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 33 respiratory distress, and ear infections to Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS), lung cancer, and heart disease mortality. Based on number of cases, heart disease was seen as the primary fatal endpoint. Table 2.4 contains a summary of health effects that were reported to be causally associated with SHS, including morbidity and mortality estimates for the US. These results show that exposure to SHS is a major public health problem that can have a large impact on the health of those who are exposed, especially children. Other reports present similar conclusions. In the United Kingdom Department of Health’s “Report of the Scientific Committee on Tobacco and Health” [UKDH, 1998] various other governmental and scientific reports are summarized. The major conclusion of the report is that, “Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke is a cause of lung cancer and, in those with long-term exposure, the increased risk is on the order of 20−30%.” Other conclusions concerning non-cancer effects mirror those in the OEHHA [1997] and USEPA [1992] reports. The second edition of the WHO Air Quality Guidelines report [WHO, 2000] summarizes the health risks for SHS as follows:2 ETS has been shown to increase the risks of health effects in nonsmokers exposed at typical environmental levels. The pattern of health effects from ETS exposure produced in adult nonsmokers is consistent with the effects known to be associated with active cigarette smoking. Chronic exposures to ETS increase lung cancer mortality. In addition, the combined evidence from epidemiology and studies of mechanisms leads to the conclusion that ETS increases the risk of morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular disease in nonsmokers, especially those with chronic exposure. ETS also irritates the eyes and repiratory tract. In infants and young children, ETS increases the risk of pneumonia, bronchitis, and fluid in the middle ear. In asthmatic children, ETS increases the severity and frequency of asthma attacks. Furthermore, ETS reduces birth weight in the offspring of nonsmoking mothers ... Populations at special risk for the adverse health effects of ETS are young children and infants, asthmatics, and adults with other risk factors for cardiovascular disease ... 2 Here and in other quotations, SHS is referred to by its synonym, ETS. 34 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND Table 2.4: Health Effects Causally Associated with Exposure to Environmental Tobacco Smoke with Annual Morbidity and Mortality Estimates for the US Class of Effect Type of Effect Developmental Low birthweight; small for gestational age Respiratory Carcinogenic Cardiovascular Estimated Morbidity & Mortality [year−1 ] 9,700−18,600 cases Sudden Infant Dealth Syndrome (SIDS) 1,900−2,700 deaths Acute lower respiratory infections in children (e.g., bronchitis, pneumonia) 150,000−300,000 cases, 7,500−15,000 hospitalizations, 136−212 deaths Asthma induction 8,000−26,000 new cases Asthma exacerbation 400,000−1,000,000 children Chronic respiratory symptoms in children − Middle ear infections in children 0.7−1.6 million physician office visits Eye and nasal irritation in adults − Lung cancer 3000 deaths Nasal sinus cancer − Heart disease mortality 35,000−62,000 deaths Acute and chronic coronary heart disease morbidity − Source: OEHHA [1997]. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 35 A clear quantitative dose-response, or exposure-response, relationship for the health effects associated with SHS exposure generally has not been established. Such a relationship would be useful in estimating health risk and establishing lowrisk levels of exposure. In the WHO [2000] report, the following general guidelines are given for establishing levels of SHS exposure that can be expected to have a health impact: ETS has been found to be carcinogenic in humans and to produce a substantial amount of morbidity and mortality from other serious health effects at levels of 1−10 µ g m−3 nicotine (taken as an indicator of ETS). Acute and chronic respiratory health effects on children have been demonstrated in homes with smokers (nicotine 1−10 µ g m−3 ) and even in homes with occasional smoking (0.1−1 µ g m−3 ). There is no evidence for a safe exposure level. The unit risk of cancer associated with lifetime ETS exposure in a home where one person smokes is approximately 10−3 . The development of a clear dose-response for SHS itself is hindered by epidemiological studies that typically use exposure surrogates in the form of questionnaires, measured air nicotine concentrations, or cotinine biomarker concentrations, none of which provide precise estimates of personal SHS exposure (see above). Nevertheless, a number of studies using surrogate measures of exposure do find a clear trend of increasing health risk with increasing exposure. For example, USEPA [1992] describes eight studies for a lung cancer endpoint in nonsmoking women in which there is a significant upward trend in relative risk for increasing intensity of spousal smoking in terms of cigarettes smoked per day. Because SHS, which consists largely of sidestream smoke, is chemically similar to mainstream smoke, the dose-response of SHS and lung cancer can potentially be understood in terms of active smoking, for which there is an apparent nonthreshold relationship, using the somewhat controversial notion of cigarette equivalents. Uncertainties in this approach arise because the proportional yield of chemical species in SHS is different than that for undiluted mainstream tobacco smoke. A related approach is to use established risk factors associated with particular chemical components of SHS together with estimates of exposure concen- CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 36 trations to calculate long-term health risks. Nazaroff and Singer [2004] use generic reference concentrations [OEHHA, 2002] and risk factors [USEPA, 2003] for a set of hazardous air pollutants present in SHS to estimate hazard indices and cancer risks. Based on exposure estimates for a well-mixed house, their results show that the volatile and semi-volatile SHS species acetaldehyde, acrolein, acrylonitrile, benzene, 1,3-butadiene, and formaldehyde have either a hazard index greater than 1, indicating a significant risk of adverse non-cancer effect in the exposed individual, a cancer risk in excess of 1 per million, or both. 2.3 Field Studies of SHS Exposure and Multiple Compartment Effects As stated above, SHS is a complex mixture of gaseous and particulate species. A large proportion of SHS is composed of toxic or irritating gaseous chemicals, such as nicotine, carbon monoxide, and nitrogen oxides. However, particles contribute a larger proportion of SHS by mass than any individual gaseous species, except for the carbon oxides. SHS particles are predominantly organic compounds, which include a variety of toxic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. In general, the measurement of particle mass or number concentration has fairly well-established and easily-performed methods and the dynamics of particles are reasonable well understood. Unlike chemically reactive species or species that may desorb from surfaces, such as nicotine, the behavior of particles after they are emitted follow relatively simple physical processes. While SHS particles may undergo a small degree of coagulation, evaporation, or condensation, their dynamics are expected to be dominated by removal through ventilation or active filtration, and irreversible deposition onto surfaces. Perhaps most importantly, particles have the characteristic of being able to penetrate and deposit deep in a person’s lung, so that they pose a substantial risk for long-term ailments such as lung cancer. For this array of reasons, much research into SHS exposure has been devoted to measuring and modeling particle concentrations associated with SHS. A primary limitation of using particles as the measured SHS component of interest, such as CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 37 for a marker for other SHS species, is that they are not specific to SHS. Table 2.5 summarizes the results of 23 large-scale field studies in which SHS-associated particle concentrations were measured in residential environments or using personal monitors, i.e., sampling devices attached to a person as they travel from place-toplace. For 24-h, 1-week, or 2-week PM2.5 samples3 taken as part of the PTEAM, Harvard Six City, and New York State studies [Özkaynak et al., 1996; Neas et al., 1994; Spengler et al., 1985, 1987; Leaderer et al., 1990], smoking contributed an average of approximately 30 µ g m−3 to overall average particle concentrations in monitored houses. Quackenboss et al. [1989] report mean PM2.5 particle concentrations measured in 98 homes as a function of the number of cigarettes smoked per day. Smoking one pack of cigarettes per day contributed 12 µ g m−3 , on average, above levels with no smoking and smoking more than a pack contributed an average of 45 µ g m−3 . Similarly, Koistinen et al. [2001] report mean PM2.5 measured in smoking homes to be about 13 µ g m−3 higher than in non-smoking homes. Personal monitoring results reported as part of CIAR tobacco-industry-sponsored studies span a large range with reported mean or median RSP or PM3.5 concentration increases for participants living in smoking homes in the range of 0 to about 30 µ g m−3 [Phillips et al., 1996, 1997a,b, 1998a,b,c,d,e,f,g,h, 1999; Phillips and Bentley, 2001]. In contrast, a study funded by R.J. Reynolds (RJR) tobacco company reported personal PM3.5 concentation for participants living in smoking homes to be about 60 µ g m−3 larger than for those living in nonsmoking homes [Heavner et al., 1996]. Some of the RJR and CIAR results are difficult to interpret in terms of strict residential and non-residential contributions. Before embarking on an exposure modeling investigation that presumes a significant multi-compartment effect on long-term SHS concentrations, i.e., significant differences between air pollutant concentrations in different rooms of a house over extended time periods, and, therefore, potential SHS exposures, it is important to establish empirical evidence for this effect. Such evidence for the effect 3 PM 2.5 consists of particles with aerodynamic diameters less than 2.5 µ m. 101 households; personal and household monitoring; Kingston-Harriman, TN 300 households with children; Watertown, MA; St. Louis, MO; Kingston-Harriman, TN 98 households; Tuscon, AZ 359 stratified households with valid data; Onondaga and Suffolk Counties, NY 585 office environments 1,273 households with children aged 7 - 11; Caucasian 178 random nonsmokers aged 10 - 70; personal monitoring; households; Riverside, CA Harvard Six City d Harvard Six City d - New York State e - Harvard Six Cityd PTEAM c Spengler et al. [1985] Spengler et al. [1987] Quackenboss et al. [1989] Leaderer et al. [1990] Turner et al. [1992] Neas et al. [1994] Özkaynak et al. [1996] Continued. Subjects/Locations Surveyed Study Name Investigators PM2.5 ; 12-h samples; day/night PM2.5 ; 2-wk samples PM3.5 ; 10 samples per hour PM2.5 ; 1 wk samples PM2.5 PM2.5 ; 1-wk samples PM3.5 ; 24-h samples Methods 27-32 SHS contribution to PM10 /PM2.5 ; day or night annual means: 48.5 SH; 17.3 NSH means: 46 SW; 20 NSW geometric means: 29-61 SH; 14-22 NSH means: 27 SH <= 1 pack d−1 ; 61 SH > 1 pack d−1 ; 15 NSH means: 30 greater in SH than in NSH means: 74 SH; 28 NSH Concentrations (µ g m−3 ) 31 homes with smokers; 61 samples day + night 580 consistently SH; 470 consistently NSH 331 smoking offices; 254 nonsmoking offices 238 SH; 121 NSH 45 NSH; 26 SH <= 1 pack d−1 ; 17 SH > 1 pack d−1 NA 28 SH; 73 NSH Sample Characteristics Results b Table 2.5: Environmental Tobacco Smoke Particle Concentrations Measured During Field Surveys a CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 38 190 working and nonworking nonsmokers; personal monitoring; Stockholm, Sweden 154 office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Barcelona, Spain 188 office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Turin, Italy 222 office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Paris, France CIAR g CIAR g CIAR g CIAR g Phillips et al. [1996] Phillips et al. [1997a] Phillips et al. [1997b] Phillips et al. [1998a] Continued. 104 nonsmoking married female subjects over 25; personal monitoring; households; workplaces; New Jersey and Pennsylvania RJR h 1564 subjects; personal monitoring; households; workplaces; 16 US cities Heavner et al. [1996] f ,g Sixteen cities/CIAR Jenkins et al. [1996] Subjects/Locations Surveyed Study Name Investigators Table 2.5. [Continued] RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples PM3.5 ; ∼ 14-h samples at home; ∼ 7-h samples at work PM3.5 ; 8-h sample at work; 16-h sample at home Methods medians: 62 SH; 36 NSH; 80 SH/SW; 64 SH/NSW; 43 NSH/SW; 35 NSH/NSW medians: 71 SH; 54 NSH; 80 SH/SW; 66 SH/NSW; 59 NSH/SW; 55 NSH/NSW medians: 63 SH; 51 NSH; 85 SH/ any workplace; 40 NSH/any workplace; 94 SW/any home; 52 NSW /any home medians: 39 SH; 18 NSH means: 89 SH; 28 NSH (without regard to work) means: 44 SH; 20-21 NSH; 49 SW; 18 NSW Concentrations (µ g m−3 ) 51 SH; 44 NSH; 45 SH/SW; 13 SH/NSW; 59 NSH/SW; 10 NSH/NSW 36 SH; 47 NSH; 21 SH/SW; 9 SH/NSW; 51 NSH/SW; 24 NSH/NSW 43 SH; 42 NSH; 25 SH/SW; 3 SH/NSW; 36 NSH/SW; 5 NSH/NSW 9 SH; 31 NSH 29 SH; 58 NSH SH: 306; NSH: 2078; SW: 331; NSW: 867 Sample Characteristics Results b CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 39 238 random nonsmoking office workers and housewives; personal monitoring, Prague, Czech Republic 241 random office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 319 nonsmokers; personal monitoring; Sydney, Australia 194 random nonsmoking office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Hong Kong 197 random nonsmoking office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Lisbon, Portugal 253 random nonsmoking office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Beijing, China 190 random nonsmoking office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Bremen, Germany CIAR g CIAR g CIAR g CIAR g CIAR g CIAR g CIAR g Phillips et al. [1998b] Phillips et al. [1998c] Phillips et al. [1998d] Phillips et al. [1998e] Phillips et al. [1998f] Phillips et al. [1998g] Phillips et al. [1998h] Continued. Subjects/Locations Surveyed Study Name Investigators Table 2.5. [Continued] RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples Methods medians: 36 SH; 25 NSH; 39 SH/SW; 36 SH/NSW; 29 NSH/SW; 23 NSH/NSW medians: 102 SH; 70 NSH; 114 SH/SW; 93 SH/NSW; 100 NSH/SW; 95 NSH/NSW medians: 38 SH; 38 NSH; 41 SH/SW; 43 SH/NSW; 40 NSH/SW; 34 NSH/NSW medians: 45 SH; 46 NSH; 53 SH/SW; 50 SH/NSW; 54 NSH/SW; 43 NSH/NSW medians: 30 SH; 24 NSH; 34 SW; 16 NSW medians: 52 SH; 48 NSH; 50 SH/SW; 52 SH/NSW; 43 NSH/SW; 43 NSH/NSW medians: 48 SH; 32 NSH; 60 SH/SW; 40 SH/NSW; 40 NSH/SW; 30 NSH/NSW Concentrations (µ g m−3 ) 21 SH; 60 NSH; 18 SH/SW; 6 SH/NSW; 49 NSH/SW; 36 NSH/NSW 56 SH; 46 NSH; 46 SH/SW; 31 SH/NSW; 47 NSH/SW; 27 NSH/NSW 24 SH; 56 NSH; 28 SH/SW; 7 SH/NSW; 61 NSH/SW; 21 NSH/NSW 35 SH; 35 NSH; 21 SH/SW; 29 SH/NSW; 31 NSH/SW; 43 NSH/NSW 30 SH; 48 NSH; 20 SW; 60 NSW 42 SH; 51 NSH; 30 SH/SW; 29 SH/NSW; 45 NSH/SW; 44 NSH/NSW 54 SH; 39 NSH; 64 SH/SW; 13 SH/NSW; 48 NSH/SW; 20 NSH/NSW Sample Characteristics Results b CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 40 196 nonsmoking office workers and housewives; personal monitoring; Basel, Switzerland 124 random nonsmoking office workers; personal monitoring; Bremen, Germany 201 random adults aged 25-55; household, workplace, and personal monitoring; Helsinki, Finland CIAR g CIAR g EXPOLIS i Phillips et al. [1999] Phillips and Bentley [2001] Koistinen et al. [2001] PM2.5 ; 48-h samples RSP; 24-h samples RSP; 24-h samples Methods averages: 21 SH; 8.2 NSH; 30 SW; 9.5 NSW; 31 personal active smoker; 17 personal SHS-exposed NS; 9.9 unexposed NS smoking locations: 48-53 (winter); 22-30 (summer); nonsmoking locations: 22-28 (winter); 17-20 (summer) medians: 34 SH; 28 NSH; 39 SH/SW; 24 SH/NSW; 27 NSH/SW; 26 NSH/NSW Concentrations (µ g m−3 ) 57 SH; 135 NSH; 46 SW; 105 NSW; 48 active smokers; 9 SHS-exposed NS; 137 non-SHS exposed NS winter: 49 SW & SH; 53 NSW & NSH; summer: 52 SW & SH; 50 NSW & NSH 26 SH; 60 NSH; 25 SH/SW; 14 SH/NSW; 43 NSH/SW; 28 NSH/NSW Sample Characteristics Results b a The listed studies are limited to those that are large (n > 100) and/or probability-based with city-wide or larger scope, and where SHS-related and non-SHS-related particle levels were reported. b NSH = nonsmoking home; SH = smoking home; NSW = nonsmoking workplace; SW = smoking workplace; NS = nonsmoker; NA = not available. c PTEAM = USEPA’s Particle Total Exposure Assessment Methodology. d The Harvard Six City study is described with preliminary results in Spengler et al. [1981]. The six cities were: Portage, WI; Topeka, KS; Kingston-Harriman, TN; Watertown, MA; St. Louis, MO; Steubenville, OH. e The main reference for the New York State study is Sheldon et al. [1989]. f The sixteen cities surveyed were: Knoxville, TN; Portland, ME; San Antonio, TX; Fresno, CA; Boise, ID; Seattle, WA; Baltimore, MD; Columbus, OH; Daytona Beach, FL; Buffalo, NY; St. Louis, MO; Grand Rapids, MI; Camden/Philadelphia, NJ,PA; Indianapolis, IN; Phoenix, AZ; New Orleans, LA. g These studies were sponsored by the now defunct Center for Indoor Air Research (CIAR), which was affiliated with the tobacco industry. The Phillips et al. studies typically recruited subjects that stayed mostly at home (single monitor subjects; SH or NSH) and/or those that were both at home and at work (dual monitor subjects; SH or NSH with SW or NSW). Sample sizes are total study subjects. The statistics presented represent both time in and out of work for dual monitor subjects. In contrast, for the Phillips et al. (1998g) study the listed 24-h results reflect pumps that were shut off when subjects were not at home or at work (although 72-h and continuously-sampling 24-h samples were also collected). h Conducted by R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company, Research and Development. i The main reference for EXPOLIS is Jantunen et al. [1998]. Subjects/Locations Surveyed Study Name Investigators Table 2.5. [Continued] CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 41 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 42 of multi-compartment pollutant and personal behavior on residential exposure to SHS is best investigated by performing intensive multi-room pollutant monitoring studies of homes including personal exposure monitoring, preferably coupled with activity diaries for house occupants. While sufficiently detailed information is lacking in the large-scale SHS field studies described in Table 2.5, several smaller experimental studies, some specific to SHS and some not, provide direct evidence of the multi-compartment character of homes. Wayne R. Ott performed ten SF6 tracer experiments in a large 750 m3 ranchstyle house to mimic scenarios that might occur in a household where nonsmokers attempt to avoid smokers [Ott, 2002]. For example, the smoker might be sequestered into a separate room or the nonsmokers might try to isolate themselves from the smoker behind closed doors or simply on the other side of the house. To limit his study to the effect of interior doors on room concentrations, during all experiments exterior windows and doors were kept closed and the central forced-air system was inactive. For each experiment, SF6 was released at a constant rate of 200 ml min−1 for 30 min in a “source room,” which, for each experiment, was the 103 m3 kitchen. Measurements of SF6 were taken both in the source room and a “test room” (an adjacent den, the living room, or three different bedrooms even further away). For 4 of the experiments, the test room’s door was closed and for one of these the source room’s door was also closed. For the other 6 experiments, both the source and test room doors were left open. A detailed schematic showing the layout of the house, monitor positions, and room volumes is given in Figure 2.1 and Figure 2.2 shows the concentration time series that was measured during each experiment. Table 2.6 contains a summary of all ten experiments, including calculated absolute means and maxima in each room taken over a 20−24-h period, the time it took to reach a maximum concentration in the test room, and relative measures consisting of ratios of test room means and maxima to those for the source room. For experiments involving the den, the living room, and the closer bedrooms as test rooms where doors were open (experiments 1, 2, 8, 9), the test room mean 43 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND concentration was 48−75% of the mean concentration in the source room (kitchen). The only other experiment where the test mean was approximately 50% or greater was experiment 7 where the den, which shares a wall with the kitchen but whose entrance is down the hall, was the test room. Its door was closed during the experiment. For the open-doors experiment involving the farthest bedroom as a test room (experiment 5), the mean was only 18% of the source room mean, reflecting the relatively slow rate of air flow between these rooms. When the bedroom doors were closed (experiments 3 and 6), their means were only 2−8% of the kitchen mean. Closing both the den and the kitchen door also had a dramatic effect (experiment 10), reducing the den mean to 8% of the kitchen mean. These results show that the separation of rooms by a hallway and the closing of interior doors can significantly reduce the rate of pollutant transport between zones of a house. In another series of real-world experiments, Löfroth [1993] measured the roomto-room concentrations of nicotine, respirable suspended particles (RSP), and isoprene during replicate experiments in a 140 m3 3-bedroom apartment and a 300 m3 3-story, 3-bedroom townhouse. During the experiments, cigarettes were smoked every 20−30 min over an air sampling time period of 200 min. Interior doors were left open during the experiments. Cigarettes were also smoked for 90 min prior to the sampling period at the same rate. The ventilation rates for each location were approximately 0.5 h−1 during each experiment, and the outdoor RSP levels were under 50 µ g m−3 . The results of the four total experiments (see Table 2.7) showed that average particle concentrations in the living rooms, where smoking took place, were 300−500 µ g m−3 taken over the 200 min sampling period, isoprene concentrations were 50−160 µ g m−3 , and nicotine air concentrations were 31−87 µ g m−3 . The particle concentrations in all three rooms of the smaller apartment were approximately uniform (a maximum difference of about 20%), whereas levels in rooms on other floors of the townhouse were 30−40% lower than in the living room. In contrast to RSP, the nicotine concentrations in the apartment were about 14 − 32 of the concentration in the living room, and they were about 1 3 of living room concentration for a room on the same floor in the townhouse and 80−90% Source Monitor SF 6 Source Kitchen, 103 m³ Test Monitor Dining Room, 58 m³ Main Hallway, 34 m³ Den, 69 m³ Front Door Front Hall, 23 m³ Test Monitor Living Room, 112 m³ Closet, 24 m³ Linen Bathroom, 20 m³ Test Monitor Bedroom #3, 56 m³ Bathroom, 12 m³ Test Monitor Bedroom #2, 57 m³ Test Monitor 2nd Hallway, 20 m³ Figure 2.1: Schematic, including room volumes, for the layout of a large ranch-style house in which SF6 concentrations were measured during 10 two-zone experiments. The SF6 source was located in the kitchen with a “source-room” monitor also in the kitchen. The “test-room” monitor was moved between the den, the living room, and the three bedrooms. See the text, Table 2.6, and Figure 2.2 for the results of these experiments. Total Volume = 714 m³ (omitting the garage) Ceiling Height = 8.3 ft Garage Laundry, 40 m³ Bedroom #1, 86 m³ CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 44 45 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND Table 2.6: Summary of Two-Room SF6 Tracer Experiments in a Large Ranch Style House Source Room Mean No. Test Room a Max [ppm] [ppm] b Room c Door Vol d Mins Mean [m3 ] Max [ppm] [ppm] Max e Mean e Max % % 1 2.5 46 Den O 69.1 73 1.8 8.4 75 18 2 2.2 73 Bed 3 O 55.8 145 1.6 6.5 73 8.9 3 1.6 68 Bed 1 C 55.8 95 0.11 1.1 6.9 1.5 4 2.0 35 Bed 1 O 86.2 88 0.029 0.11 1.4 0.31 5 3.1 38 Bed 1 O 86.2 243 0.57 2.9 18 7.7 6 1.9 72 Bed 3 C 55.8 86 0.15 0.38 8.0 0.53 7 2.6 79 Den C 69.1 141 1.4 6.6 54 8.3 8 2.5 92 Liv O 111.7 78 1.3 9.4 52 10 9 2.0 70 Bed 2 O 57.0 137 0.93 4.4 48 6.3 10 4.7 75 Den C 69.1 131 0.39 2.7 8.4 3.6 These SF6 tracer experiments were carried out in 1997 by Wayne Ott in Atherton, CA from April 21 to April 30. The time interval between SF6 measurements was 1-2 min, and SF6 concentrations are presented here in parts per million (ppm). For each experiment, the SF6 source was active for 30 minutes during each experiment in the “source room”. The SF6 flow rate was approximately 200 ml min−1 throughout each experiment. The designated source room for each experiment was the residence’s kitchen with a volume of 103.3 m3 . The total number of minutes over which SF6 concentrations were measured beginning when the SF6 source became active ranged from approximately 1,200 to 1,440 minutes. a The reported maximum in the source room may reflect transient peaks due to imperfect mixing. b The test rooms contained no SF sources, varied in volume, and were located between 9 and 24 m 6 from the source room. c O = door to test room left open; C = door to test room left closed d The minutes to the maximum SF concentration in the test room beginning when the SF source 6 6 became active. If the test room concentration time series was low and broad, each maximum and the corresponding minutes to maximum might reflect instrument noise rather than the actual peak. e Mean % and Max % are the ratios of Test Mean and Test Max to Source Mean and Source Max multiplied by 100. Since the reported maxima for the source and test rooms may contain biases due to imperfect mixing or instrument noise, the Mean % may be a better indicator of relative concentrations for some experiments. See Figure 2.1 for a schematic of the house layout and Figure 2.2 for time-series plots of experimental SF6 concentrations in each room. 46 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 0 200 400 600 1 2 Kit: Open Den: Open Kit: Open Bed 3: Open 0 200 400 600 3 Kit: Open Bed 1: Open 4 5 Kit: Open Kit: Open Bed 1: Closed Bed 1: Open 80 60 SF6 Concentration (ppm) 40 20 0 6 Kit: Open Bed 3: Closed 7 8 Kit: Open Den: Closed Kit: Open Liv: Open 9 10 Kit: Open Bed 2: Open Kit: Closed Den: Closed 80 60 40 20 0 0 200 400 600 0 200 400 600 0 200 400 600 Elapsed Minutes Kitchen Den Bedroom #3 Bedroom #1 Living Room Bedroom #2 Figure 2.2: Plots showing the time series of SF6 concentrations measured in a large, ranchstyle house during 10 two-zone experiments. Door positions, i.e., either fully “open” or “closed”, for each of the two rooms where concentrations were measured are given at the top of each plot. Line colors for the plotted data series designate the "source" and "test" rooms where measurements took place for each of the experiments. The kitchen was the source room for all experiments, and the test room varied between the den, living room, and each of three bedrooms. These plots reflect raw, unpublished data obtained from Wayne Ott. See Figure 2.1 for a schematic of the house layout and Table 2.6 for more information on the experiments, including room sizes and room concentration statistics. 47 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND Table 2.7: Average SHS Nicotine and Respirable Suspended Particle (RSP) Concentrations [µ g m−3 ] Measured in Multiple Rooms of Two Residences Pollutant/ Living Residence Experimenta Room Kitchen Bedroom Study Attic Apartment Nicotine A 31 − 20 8 − (140 m3 ) Nicotine B 35 − 24 10 − RSP A 350 − 350 290 − RSP B 410 − 420 330 − Townhouse Nicotine A 63 20 11 8 9 (300 m3 ) Nicotine B 87 32 9 10 12 RSP A 380 − 270 − 240 RSP B 480 − 290 − 280 Source: Löfroth [1993]. a Two experiments, designated as A and B, were conducted in each residence. Smoking took place in the living room at each residence every 20−30 min before and during a 200-min sampling period. lower for rooms on other floors. Löfroth concluded that there is efficient dispersion of particles between rooms of homes, which means that occupants cannot escape exposure to SHS. Closed doors are expected to decrease the movement of SHS, but he concludes that it would be impractical to maintain a closed door for the several hours that would be required to clear the generated SHS at the given ventilation rates, although he does not provide any elaboration on exactly why such a strategy would be untenable. He does not consider timing of cigarettes with closing of doors, opening windows, or some combined strategy, or any data on time-activities of house occupants. He notes that, since nicotine is known to disappear more rapidly than other SHS components, exposure to nicotine is more dependent than exposure to particles on the distance between the smoker and passive smoker. In the 1970’s and 80’s indoor air quality researchers conducted numerious studies concerned with household gas stove or heater emissions, in which either carbon monoxide (CO) or nitrogen dioxide (NO2 ), two prominent products of incomplete CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 48 combustion, were measured in multiple rooms of multiple houses. These studies include those by Sheldon et al. [1989], Palmes et al. [1977], Wade et al. [1975], Sterling and Sterling [1979], and Palmes et al. [1979]. Average concentrations measured in these studies, typically over time periods of a day or week, broadly reflect the location, activity, and emissions of gas appliances, the movement of air between rooms, and the residence time of different pollutants, although finely resolved activities in homes were not recorded. Because of its reactivity, NO2 gas is expected to have less persistence than the non-reactive CO gas, which may contribute to larger differences in NO2 concentrations between compartments. For this reason, the results for NO2 reported here are not directly applicable to concentrations of some SHS constituents in homes, but they do inform the broad issue of inter-room pollutant variability. Sheldon et al. [1989] report on a large study of indoor air quality for which indoor and outdoor concentrations were measured of the combustion products NO2 , CO, SO2 , and respirable suspended particles (RSP) across a probability sample of 400 homes located in New York State’s Onondaga and Suffolk Counties. For houses in Onondaga County that had a gas stove, 7-d average NO2 levels in the living room were 79% of those in the kitchen, where gas ovens and stoves were located. In Suffolk County living room levels were 71% of those in the kitchen. For a subset of 13 homes in the Sheldon et al. study, real-time concentrations of CO and NO2 were measured in multiple rooms along with daily activity patterns for ovens, stoves, and smokers. For 5 of these homes, the 7-d average concentrations in the living room was 37−77% of that in the kitchen. I analyzed the daily averages for 4 of the homes selected for real-time measurements, reading data from a series of plots in the authors’ final report, and found much variation in the relative concentations in the kitchen versus the living room or den. For one house in particular, the kitchen levels were consistently 2−3 times higher than those in the living room. For other homes, daily averages in the kitchen could range from approximately equal to those in the living room to more than twice as high. This observed variation is presumably due to day-to-day changes in flow patterns or CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 49 applicance activity in the monitored houses. Other studies of interzonal concentrations from combustion applicances were less extensive than the one by Sheldon et al. and not probability-based, being limited to a small number of homes. Palmes et al. [1977] measured NO2 concentrations in kitchen and non-kitchen areas of 10 homes with gas stoves, finding that 1-week average concentrations in the non-kitchen averaged about 50% of those in the kitchens. As a follow-up, Palmes et al. [1979] studied NO2 levels in 12 Florida homes with either gas stoves or space heaters, finding that 1-week average concentrations in sourceless rooms could be as low as 15−27% of rooms with space heaters and as low as 35−48% of rooms with stoves, i.e., the kitchen. In a study of four houses with gas stoves, in which NO, NO2 , and CO were continuously measured in three different rooms, Wade et al. [1975] found that daily living room and bedroom NO2 concentrations were consistently as low as 50−60% of concentrations in kitchens. In addition to the multi-home field studies described above, Miller and Nazaroff [2001], Ott et al. [2003], and De Gids and Phaff [1988] report results from experimental studies in single houses or multi-room test facilities, in which the effect of interior door positions was explicitly investigated in the context of SHS exposure.4 Miller and Nazaroff [2001] report that after a 10-min cigarette was smoked, the 1-h average particle concentration in a nonsmoking room was 85% of that in the smoking room when the adjoining door was left open. When the door was fully closed, the nonsmoking room concentration was only 3% of that in the smoking room. Ott et al. [2003] also report a dramatic effect of door position for an experiment in which the door connecting a room where a cigar was smoked and an adjacent living area was open 3 inches and the door to a bedroom (one room removed) was fully closed. The 1-h average CO concentration in the adjacent living area, calculated after smoking stopped, was 60% of the average concentration in the smoking room and the concentration in the far bedroom was only about 1−2% of the concentrations in either of the other two rooms. De Gids and Phaff [1988] present data 4 Data from the first two studies have been used to make quantitative estimates of air flow rates between rooms for use in modeling indoor air pollutant concentrations (see Chapter 5). CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 50 from what appears to be a continuous-release CO-tracer gas experiment in a house, during which the position of the door between the downstairs living area and the upstairs bedrooms was kept closed for 3 h and then opened for 2 additional hours. When the door was closed, the concentrations in the upstairs hallway and one of the bedrooms were negligible, although they increased to levels comparable to the living room when the door was opened. 2.4 Children’s Residential SHS Exposure For the research I present in this dissertation, I focus on factors that modify residential exposure to SHS. Because of the large amount of time spent at home with family members and visitors who may smoke, one’s residence is the location where the most current SHS exposure occurs. My central hypothesis is that the movement of individuals about their homes, coupled with the location of the smokers and the configuration of doors, windows, and ventilation systems, likely leads to substantial variation in exposure, presenting possibilities for exposure reduction that occupy the middle ground between unrestricted smoking and a complete ban on smoking in the home. Although I don’t limit my analysis of SHS exposure to children in particular, young children are the demographic group of most concern with respect to SHS exposure occurring in homes, because they are typically unknowing victims and are particularly susceptible to a large number of adverse health effects. They also are apt to be exposed at high levels if given to the care of a smoker, and may spend more time at home than members of smoking households who work or attend school. 2.4.1 Exposure Prevalence How many children in the US are exposed to SHS at home and how many parents who smoke, or who have visitors who smoke, are concerned enough about exposure to restrict household smoking? In this section, I present the results of studies that have gauged the extent of children’s exposure in terms of the percentage of CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 51 children in the US that have some SHS exposure at home and the percentage of homes with smokers that have enacted some sort of household smoking restrictions for the protection of children and other household members. The studies are summarized in Table 2.8. The 1988-1991 National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (NHANES III) was a nationally representative cross-sectional survey conducted in the US. It included questionnaire information on 16,818 persons aged 2 mo and older and measurements of serum cotinine for 10,642 persons over 4 y old. Based on this survey, Pirkle et al. [1996] report that 43% of children between the ages of 2 mo and 11 y lived in a home with at least one smoker and 37% of adult non-tobacco users lived in a home with at least one smoker. However, serum cotinine levels suggested that SHS exposure was even more widespread. Eighty-eight percent of surveyed persons who were non-tobacco users had detectable levels of serum cotinine, and increased levels were associated with the number of smokers in a household. In 1999-2000 a new NHANES was conducted and participants had median serum cotinine levels that were 70% lower than median levels observed during the 1988-1991 NHANES, suggesting a dramatic reduction in exposure to SHS for the general US population [USDHHS, 2003]. Several recent human activity pattern surveys in the US and Canada contain data on the time spent exposed to SHS in residences. A general limitation of these surveys is that exposure was recorded from each respondent’s subjective evaluation of the presence of one or more smokers in each location they visited. This measure of exposure may have resulted in biased estimates of exposure prevalence. Smoker presence may not have been reported in particular rooms or locations where residual SHS was present. Smoker presence may also have been reported for extended periods where smoker presence, and therefore SHS exposure was minimal. The 1992-94 US National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) interviewed 9,386 randomly-selected repondents in the contiguous 48 states, who provided a 24-h recall diary containing the locations they visited along with the con- Method Telephone Interviews Telephone Interviews Personal Interviews Personal Interviews Telephone Interviews Telephone Interviews Personal Interviews Telephone Interviews Telephone Interviews Questionnaire Telephone Interviews Telephone Interviews Telephone Interviews Reference McMillen et al. [2003] Pizacani et al. [2003] Kegler and Malcoe [2002] Schuster et al. [2002] Klepeis et al. [2001] MMWR [2001] Borland et al. [1999] Norman et al. [1999] MMWR [1997] Pirkle et al. [1996] Leech et al. [1996] Jenkins et al. [1992]; Wiley et al. [1991b] Wiley et al. [1991a] 1,200 1,762 10,642 − 7,000 2,500 − 9,386 45,335 original respondents 380 > 6,000 1,503 (2000); 3,002 (2001) Sample California; children under 12 California; adults and youth > 12 4 Canadian Regions US US California Victoria, Australia 20 US states US US Oklahoma; rural, low-income Oregon US Population 25% of children are exposed at home 26% exposed at home 30−34% of all ages exposed in all locations 43% of US children 2 mo to 11 y exposed at home 70% to 96% of homes with a smoker allow smoking; 22% of all children are exposed in their homes 24% of all homes and 57% of homes with smokers allow smoking 67% of smokers allow smoking around children (1997) 21% to 39% of all homes allow smoking 26% of all ages exposed at home 35% of children live in homes where smoking is allowed 51−57% of all caregivers allow smoking in homes 50% of children in smoking households are exposed 38% of smokers allow smoking in front of children (2001) Results Table 2.8: Surveys on the Prevalence of Household Smoking Restrictions and Children’s Exposure to SHS CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 52 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 53 current presence of active smoking. Klepeis et al. [2001] report that 44% of all responents said they were exposed to SHS with 26% being exposed in the home, which is the highest percentage of all studied locations (residence, office-factory, restaurant-bar, vehicle, outdoors, and other indoor locations). This percentage of persons who report being exposed at home is lower than the percentage of children living in a home with a smoker as reported by Pirkle et al. [1996]. This discrepancy might be explained by the existence of smoking restrictions in the homes of NHAPS respondents that contain smokers, which would reduce the reported amount of time spent in the presence of a smoker. For the 1994-95 Canadian Human Activity Pattern Survey (CHAPS), 2,381 respondents were interviewed by telephone in Toronto, Vancouver, Edmonton, and Saint John [Leech et al., 1996], giving, as with NHAPS, a 24-h recall diary that included a code for the presence of a smoker in different locations. According to Leech et al. [1999], 30-34% of adults, youth, and children that were part of CHAPS, reported being exposed to SHS. Children reported being exposed mostly at home between the hours of 4:00 PM and midnight, with exposure occurring largely in living rooms and bedrooms. Two earlier human activity pattern studies were conducted on 1,762 randomlyselected California adults and youth during 1987-88 [Jenkins et al., 1992; Wiley et al., 1991b] and 1,200 children under age 11 during 1988-89 [Wiley et al., 1991a]. For these studies, 62% of adults and youth and 38% of children said they were exposed to SHS in any location, and 26% of adults and youth and 25% of children were exposed at home. The reduction in overall reported exposure between the late 1980’s and mid-1990’s is apparently due to that occurring outside the home, since the percentage of those reporting home exposure remained approximately the same. Schuster et al. [2002] analyzed data from the 1994 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) (n=45,435) and Year 2000 Objectives supplement, which are representative of the US civilian population. They report that 35% of US children live in homes where residents or visitors smoke more than 1 d per week. For 16% of CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 54 nonsmokers with children, other residents or visitors are allowed to smoke in the home, and 6% of homes where no residents smoke allow smoking by visitors. As with the human activity pattern surveys, these results are based on actual smoking in homes instead of whether or not smokers simply live in the home, which is the case for the results of Pirkle et al. [1996]. McMillen et al. [2003] analyzed nationally representative cross-sectional data from telephone surveys on smoking attitudes and behavior conducted in the US during the summers of 2000 and 2001. The overall proportions of households reporting total smoking bans were 69% for 2000 and 74% for 2001, an appreciable increase, and 95% of respondents believe inhaling SHS harms infants and children. However, in 2001 only 30% of smokers reported a household ban and 38% allowed smoking in front of children, whereas 86% of nonsmokers had a household ban and 95% never allowed smoking in front of children. The lower rate of household bans among smokers occurs even though 90% of smokers recognize the adverse effects of SHS for children and infants and 50% of smokers think it is unacceptable for parents to smoke in front of children. Kegler and Malcoe [2002] conducted personal interviews with 380 rural, lowincome parents and guardians of children aged 1−6 residing in Oklahoma. For White interviewee’s, 43% of all caregivers had complete smoking bans in homes and 40% in cars, whereas 49% of Native American homes and 35% of cars had smoking bans. Overall, only 22% of smokers reported a complete ban. The low rates of smoking bans relative to the general population suggested to the authors that low-income, rural people may need focused intervention efforts. Borland et al. [1999] report on SHS-related data collected during face-to-face surveys of about 2,500 randomly selected adults each year between 1989 and 1997 in Victoria, Australia. The authors note that in 1992, there was a concerted media campaign urging smokers who couldn’t quit to at least not expose their children to cigarette smoke, suggesting they should smoke outside and ban smoking in their homes. This campaign is credited by the authors with reducing the amount of smoking around children, and they suggest that more intensive interventions CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 55 may not be necessary in the face of the apparent effectiveness of campaigns that explicitly communicate the importance of protecting others from exposure in the home. Between the earlier and later surveys, the prevalence of not smoking in the presence of children rose from 14% to 33%. Pizacani et al. [2003] used data from a population-based cross-sectional telephone survey of over 6,000 Oregon residents conducted in 1997 containing questions on tobacco use. Of households with at least one smoker, 38% had full smoking bans and 33% had partial bans (smoking restricted by time and/or place), but nearly 50% of households with children and a smoker did not have a full ban in place, with 38% having a partial ban. Norman et al. [1999] report on the results from a representative sample of almost 7,000 Californian adults aged over 18 who were interviewed by telephone during 1996 and 1997. They found that, overall, 76% of all adults have complete home smoking bans, with 43% of adult smokers having a complete smoking ban. There was a clear decrease in the prevalence of complete smoking bans for respondents as the proportion of their friends who smoke increased. Except for cases where more than half of their friends smoked, smokers with children at home were only slightly more likely to have smoking bans than smokers without children. 2.4.2 Household Restriction Effectiveness Restrictive approaches to reducing household exposures to SHS include limiting, or eliminating, the number of cigarettes that are smoked in the house, i.e., a partial or total smoking ban, or changing the location (i.e., room) or timing of smoking activity to avoid the presence of nonsmoking family members. It is not clear exactly how effective approaches that stop short of a total ban on household smoking are. In addition to restrictions on location and smoking intensity, exposure reduction efforts may include separate or simultaneous directives to block the physical movement of smoke around the house, e.g., by closing doors, or enhancing the removal of smoke by opening windows or operating filtration devices. These possibilities, which are a focus of the original research presented in this dissertation, CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 56 have not received much attention in the SHS health or exposure literature. In this section, I first review the results of studies that provide evidence for reductions in smoking behavior as a result of the establishment of household smoking restrictions. Next I review studies, typically cross-sectional surveys, that provide some evidence, however limited, for the effectiveness of particular types of household smoking restrictions in actually reducing SHS exposure. There is evidence that partial and total bans on household smoking behavior can result in significantly enhanced quitting behavior. In the context of interventions (see below), Gehrman and Hovell [2003] report an interdependence between different intervention targets. Efforts towards cessation could lead to reduction strategies, and exposure reduction could result in cessation. Wakefield et al. [2000b] analyzed data from a 1996 cross-sectional survey of over 17,000 US students aged 14 to 17 y that contained questions on smoking restrictions at home, school, and in public places. They found that home smoking restrictions reduced the likelihood of smoking uptake by students with total bans being more effective. The effect was larger than for bans on smoking in public places or at school. The results apply for cases where parents both were and were not smokers. Gilpin et al. [1999] report an association between recent quit attempts and intention to quit with social pressure from within the household, which appears to be expressed in terms of house smoking restrictions. They also found that light smoking increased in homes with more smoking restrictions. Their results are based on a population survey of over 8,900 people in California. Based on a large, nationally representative sample of current and recent former adult smokers over age 18 conducted during 1992-93 in the US, Farkas et al. [1999] found that partial and total bans on smoking in homes were associated with higher rates of smoking cessation attempts, successful cessation, and light smoking. Total bans were more effective than partial bans, in which smoking was restricted to certain places in the household or certain times. Household restrictions were found to be more strongly associated with quitting behaviors than workplace restrictions. Farkas et al. [1999] argue that household bans may be especially effective in CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 57 reducing smoking behavior, relative to bans in other locations, because the motivation of the smoker’s spouse or children may be for the smoker to quit completely rather than simple compliance with a ban. The ban may be accompanied by strong social pressure to quit. In addition, they hypothesize that requirements to change location may disrupt cues that elicit the smoking response, such as finishing a meal, or force the smoker to choose between pleasurable activities, such as smoking and watching television, or delay smoking for essential activities, such as getting dressed before going out. In the workplace, smoking can occur fairly regularly, such as immediately before or after work or during breaks, and there are likely to be fewer social impediments to smoking. While the most desired household restriction in terms of reducing occupant exposure to SHS is a total smoking ban, where no one is allowed to smoke tobacco products indoors, either due to their quitting or because they are forced to smoke elsewhere, the intermediate solution of a partial ban on smoking in terms of location within the house or times when smoking is allowed also has the potential for a protective effect on exposure. From many cross-sectional observational studies of children’s exposure, based on either measures of nicotine, the nicotine metabolite cotinine, or self-reported exposures, there is evidence that partial bans on household smoking, e.g., designated smoking areas or times, lead to substantial reductions in the exposure of young household occupants to SHS. Table 2.9 summarizes the results of seven recent studies on children’s SHS exposure at home, which are also discussed in more detail below. Biener et al. [1997] analyze data from a 1993 telephone survey of over 1,600 adolescents and found that households with designated smoking areas and total bans were significantly associated with reductions of approximately 10 and 30 h per week, respectively, in mean hours of self-reported exposure. Since exposure was self-reported, actual exposure may have been biased relative to direct measures of exposure. A cross-sectional telephone study presented by Pizacani et al. [2003] found that bans were strongly associated with awareness of the harm of SHS. Household urinary cotinine-to-creatintine ratio self-report Bakoula et al. [1997] Biener et al. [1997] 1,600 > 2,000 1,602 314 urinary cotinine urinay cotinine-to-creatinine ratio Blackburn et al. [2003] 242 Henschen et al. [1997] urinary cotinine; nicotine Berman et al. [2003] 6,000 249 self-report Pizacani et al. [2003] Restrictions associated with 10−30 h of exposure reduction per week. Exposure reduced by 40% using room restrictions or enhanced ventilation. Exclusive maternal smoking is associated with higher exposure than exclusive paternal smoking. Room restrictions resulted in reduced exposure, but not as much as for a complete ban. Banning smoking led to significant exposure reduction, but less strict measures had no effect. Complete bans and room or time restrictions resulting in reduced exposure. Restrictions were associated with low levels of exposure. Sample Results Wakefield et al. [2000a] randomized trial Measure Reference Table 2.9: Surveys of Household Smoking Restrictions and Corresponding Reduction of Children’s Exposure to Secondhand Smoke CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 58 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 59 smoking restrictions were found by the authors to be associated with low levels of self-reported SHS exposure, although partial bans were less effective. Wakefield et al. [2000a] conducted a cross-sectional randomized trial of urinary cotinine-to-creatinine ratios for 249 asthmatic children aged 1 to 11 who had at least one parent who smoked. They found that limiting smoking in the home to rooms where the child rarely visited resulted in reduced SHS exposure compared to unrestricted smoking. But this strategy, or one where exceptions were made to a complete ban, resulted in measurably larger exposures than for a complete ban on household smoking. Blackburn et al. [2003] conducted a cross-sectional survey across 314 smoking households of parent’s knowledge and use of SHS harm reduction strategies. Urinary cotinine-to-creatinine ratios in infants were used to study the effect of mitigation strategies. They found that banning smoking in the home achieved a small, but significant reduction in urinary cotinine-to-creatinine ratios, and less strict exposure measures had no effect when compared to no exposure reduction measures at all. Less strict exposure reduction measures were defined as restrictions placed on smoking in the vicinity of the baby or active steps that were taken to ventilate rooms during or after smoking has taken place, such as opening windows or using fans or ionizers. Multiple measures were undertaken by most of the parents. The exact distance of smoking from the baby (for measures that included restriction) was not specified. The researchers conclude that “parents would benefit from more information on what measures actually work.” Berman et al. [2003] report on SHS exposure, based on surveyed behavior, urinary cotinine, and air nicotine samples for 242 children with asthma who live in homes with at least one smoker. Forty-two percent of homes allowed smoking only in certain areas or at certain times, whereas 47% had a complete ban on smoking. Both of these groups had significantly lower cotinine levels and air nicotine levels than for the group with no restrictions on smoking, with a total ban having median concentrations that were less than a third of concentrations with a partial ban. They also found that children’s urinary cotinine levels were significantly CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 60 higher in those homes where the only smoker was the mother, suggesting that maternal smoking is an important factor in children’s exposure, presumably due to the close proximity between mother and child versus other possible smokers in a household. Bakoula et al. [1997] conducted a cross-sectional study of over 2000 children under age 14 in Greece, where 73% of the children were exposed to SHS from at least one smoker in the household. In this study, questionnaires on various exposure-related factors were administered and exposure was estimated using urinary cotinine-to-creatinine ratios for each child. The authors found that SHS exposure can be reduced by about 40% by parents taking simple precautions. Here, precautions were defined by parents reporting “that they never smoke in the presence of their child, or they smoke only in restricted areas and regularly open windows to freshen the indoor air.” Avoiding smoking in the presence of the child had a more significant impact than regular ventilation, although data on precise behaviors associated with different precautions, e.g., duration of window opening, number of windows, room layout, or position of doors, was not determined. The authors conclude that while smoking cessation is the optimal solution to home SHS exposure, “simple common-sense measures that can be applied easily” can reduce exposure until the objective of quitting is achieved. The authors also note that urinary cotinine concentrations measured on Mondays, which indicate exposure over the weekend, were about 30% higher than on other days, reflecting the importance of SHS exposure in the home. Every 20 m2 of floor area contributed to a 9% drop in average exposure and the presence of central heating was associated with a 14% drop in exposure. Henschen et al. [1997], based on a longitudinal study of urinary cotinine for 602 elementary school children living in three towns in Germany, reported that exclusive maternal smoking was associated with higher cotinine levels than exclusive paternal smoking, presumably because children spend more time with their mother and/or more of the mother’s smoking takes place at home. Also, the size of dwellings was negatively associated with higher cotinine levels, suggesting SHS CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 61 is diluted more in larger homes. Families with low education level tend to have smaller homes on average, so this social group may have an increased burden of exposure. The findings in all of the studies reviewed in this section support the expectation that, while partial bans on household smoking can be effective in reducing SHS exposure, total bans result in the most protective effect. Partial bans may take the form of designated smoking areas where nonsmokers do not visit regularly or enhanced ventilation in rooms where smoking takes place. They are likely to be effective because nonsmoking occupants are less proximate to active smokers in the house, doors block the passage of smoke to nonsmoking areas of the house, or nonsmoking occupants are not at home when smoking occurs so that any exposure is a result of the persistence of smoke after smoking has ended. 2.4.3 Intervention Strategies The public health community appears quite united behind the need for householdbased SHS exposure interventions for children. Ashley and Ferrence [1998] discuss how SHS control in homes must be a public health priority, since the home is the most important site for exposure and children are particularly susceptible. Given the extent of this public health problem, Gehrman and Hovell [2003] conclude that “effective interventions must be developed immediately.” However, while educational interventions can be implemented in the context of fairly routine professional health care, governmental regulation of the home is more problematic. Ashley and Ferrence note that the issues involved are diverse and complicated, with social, economic, legal, and political factors resulting in a lower level of support than for the workplace and public locations.5 One factor contributing to lower support for home control measures that they cite is that some believe government and external agents should not interfere with behavior in private settings. This belief contrasts with laws and regulations protecting children 5A prime example of governmental regulation of smoking behavior is California’s Assembly Bill 13, which when fully enacted in 1998 effectively banned smoking in all publicly accessible restaurants and bars. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 62 from abuse or requiring infant restraint in vehicles. Gehrman and Hovell point out that: Protecting children from ETS exposure in home environments has many social and political implications, in that it is difficult to monitor and regulate behavior in private residential settings. The sancity of the home is a widely held tenet in US society. Therefore, protecting children from home exposure is a complex and sensitive issue. While in the previous section I was concerned with evidence for the effectiveness of various approaches for reducing SHS exposure, particularly for children, here I address ways that households may be drawn into implementing exposure reduction measures through interventions by health clinicians. Interventions involve counselling of family members, especially smokers who are caretakers of children, to effect behavior modification. Although the success of educational interventions is judged in large part on whether or not the targets of the intervention respond by changing their long-term habits, the ultimate effectiveness of the intervention also relies on the effectiveness of the exposure reduction measures themselves, as discussed in the preceding section. The best way to evaluate the success of an intervention is by conducting a randomized controlled trial in which members of a case group are targeted with the full intervention and a group of controls with otherwise similar characteristics are not. Three recent interventions for reducing children’s SHS exposure, which have been published in the medical literature, are summarized in Table 2.10. These studies are fairly representive of the different kinds of intervention, covering a range of education intensity from the simple distribution of booklets accompanied by follow-up telephone calls [Wakefield et al., 2002], to several nurse-led sessions [Wilson et al., 2001], and finally to multiple intensive counseling sessions [Hovell et al., 2000a]. Each of the studies used a controlled trial design. Wakefield et al. [2002] conducted a controlled trial involving written and verbal feedback to parents about their 1−11 year old child’s cotinine-to-creatine levels, as well as information booklets, and phone calls encouraging a ban on smoking at home. They found that minimal interventions, such as those in their study, are un- 63 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND Table 2.10: Three Recent Controlled Trial Intervention Studies for the Reduction of Children’s Exposure to SHS Based on Household Smoking Restrictions Reference Method Results Wakefield et al. [2002] information booklets; telephone calls; feedback on urinary cotinine-to-creatinine ratio no greater change in bans on smoking in homes or habits to reduce children’s exposure in intervention group relative to controls Wilson et al. [2001] three nurse-led sessions; asthma and exposure education; feedback on urinary cotinine significantly lower odds of having more than one acute medical visit for asthma in the educated groups than in controls Hovell et al. [2000a] seven formal counseling sessions; mother reports of cigarettes smoked in same room as child; urinary cotinine mother’s reports of exposure and cotinine decreased significantly more in the counseled group than in controls likely to bring about significant reduction in exposure of children, recommending more structured advice and support over a longer duration. Wilson et al. [2001] conducted a controlled trial to determine the effect of interventions on asthma-related health care utilization for children aged 3−12. Their intervention methods were more intense than those of Wakefield et al., involving three nurse-led sessions on behavior-changing strategies, education about asthma, and feedback on urinary cotinine levels. They found that their intervention resulted in reduced asthma health-care utilization. However, the effect of the intervention on actually reducing exposure, as measured by cotinine, was relatively inconclusive. The intervention appears to have involved only vague discussion of possible reductions in children’s exposure, such as identifying how and where in the home the child is being exposed. Hovell et al. [2000a] confirmed, through the use of a randomized, double-blind trial, the efficacy of intensively and systematically counselling mothers with chil- CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 64 dren under age 4 on reducing their children’s exposure to SHS over a total of seven sessions. As compared to controls, who received cursory advice on reducing exposure, mothers in the counselled group reported a significantly greater reduction in the number of cigarettes the mother smoked in the same room as the child and urinary cotinine levels decreased in the children of counselled mothers, whereas it increased for the control group, which might be due to increased smoking activity. In this study, quitting smoking was not a required exposure reduction method and counselled mothers did not quit at a larger rate than for the control group. While parents could have smoked in a different room in response to counselling, they could still have been close enough for the child to inhale smoke. The lack of detailed information on reduction strategies and direct objective measures of exposure for this study, besides a general effort to smoke in a different room, prevents quantitative evaluation of the effectiveness of specific types of reduction strategies. Hovell et al. [2000b] reviewed eight studies on reducing children’s residential exposure to SHS. The authors place interventions for exposure reduction in a behavioral-ecological context that includes “cultural contingencies of reinforcement.” Behavioral components, such as smoking outside, smoking away from the child, smoking fewer cigarettes, or quitting smoking, are first identified as critical to SHS exposure. Next, levels of environmental control are recognized, including how the biological addictive drive and the tobacco industry serve to sustain or increase current smoking rates, timing, and context, with social pressure from family and friends pushing for change. In addition, outside forces may intervene, introducing additional influence designed to promote changes in smoking behavior through sustained reinforcement. These forces may take the form of clinicians, media, broader society, and the legal system. Hovell et al. found that no legal policies have currently been enacted to restrict children’s SHS exposure in homes, and although divorce and adoption courts limit custody to protect children from SHS, there are no available studies. While one-time clinical services appeared to be ineffective, repeated session counselling showed promise, although few controlled studies have been performed. Coun- CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 65 selling has been targeted at parents and includes information on the health effects of exposure to SHS and means for reducing SHS exposure. Gehrman and Hovell [2003] conducted a more recent and complete critical review, evaluating nineteen SHS household intervention studies for children and youth conducted between 1987 and 2002. These studies consisted mostly of controlled trials with parent reports as the measure of exposure. Their findings were similiar those of Hovell et al. [2000b] in that intensive home-based interventions involving extended and close contact could be effective in general, and those based on an explicit behavior-modification theoretical framework were more successful than physician-based interventions or those that simply consisted of advice on the harmful effects of SHS without providing strategies and skills for reducing exposure. Gehrman and Hovell note that smoking-related behaviors are difficult to modify and researchers in the behavior sciences generally accept that simple acquisition of knowledge is usually insufficient to bring about changes. Gehrman and Hovell make several specific recommendations for future intervention studies. Interventions should include a stepped-care approach consisting of initial advice from a physician, printed materials, cotinine feedback, and leading to repeated and longer contact via phone calls and home visits with trained counselors. The initial components must include basic education regarding the harmful effects of SHS exposure. Their recommended approach is to involve parents with the skill training, problem solving, and goal-setting associated with successive strategies for reducing SHS exposure, using self-reinforcement to achieve a final goal, which may be to smoke exclusively outdoors. This approach provides a structure to make parents intimately involved with controlling their children’s exposure, helping them to stay motivated and focused. Finally, they suggest targeting interventions towards children themselves, instead of exclusively to their parents or care-givers. Green et al. [2003] also reviewed a number of studies on attitudes and behaviors towards SHS, children’s health, and the indoor environment. They discuss research needs and ways to “encourage reductions in domestic SHS levels.” They CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 66 conclude, similarly to the other literature reviews presented above, that traditional health promotion campaigns have limited success in encouraging risk reduction meaures in homes. While many nonsmokers and smokers are concerned about children and secondhand smoke, many people continue to allow children to be exposed in the home. 2.4.4 The Need for Better Exposure Measures There is a general need for the refinement of SHS measures in public health studies to improve evaluations of the efficacy of interventions and to attain a better understanding of the impact of specific exposure reduction strategies. Gehrman and Hovell [2003] find that a major difficulty in analyzing interventions studies was the lack of a standardized definition of SHS exposure, which many times was given as “cigarettes smoked around the child.” In studies of residential SHS exposure mitigation strategies, too little detail has been gathered on the precise method of exposure reduction. Data on room size, ventilation systems, and door positions would be helpful in determining the degree of exposure reduction. The use of cotinine and nicotine in public health studies clouds the findings of intervention studies, and the general studies of household restrictions described in Section 2.4.2, because nicotine rapidly sorbs to household surfaces, reducing its transport into different rooms of the house from a given smoking room, whereas other SHS constituents, such as particles and less reactive gases, may permeate a house more uniformly. On the other hand, in houses with chronic smoking, there may also be a persistent background level of nicotine and other sorbing SHS species. In addition, the widespread use of the biomarker cotinine, a nicotine metabolite, in health studies is hampered by variation among individuals with respect to nicotine uptake, distribution, metabolism, and excretion. Since they are not direct measures of SHS exposure, cotinine biomarker data, by themselves, do not contain time or location-specific information on exposure, smoking activity, or other conditions and activities surrounding exposure. Circumstances under which exposure CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 67 occurs may be critical to efforts directed at behavior modification or estimation of risk. Matt et al. [1999] and Hovell et al. [2000c] conclude that biological measures based on cotinine are best combined with environmental, observation, and/or selfreport techniques. Hovell et al. also recommend more research and development of real-time, continuous indicators of exposure, i.e., direct measurements of exposure (see Section 2.1.2 on page 29), along with the location and activities surrounding that exposure. Real-time measures could be used to provide immediate feedback, and thereby facilitate intervention efforts, whereas other measures are either intermittent or their analysis is delayed. Hovell et al. state that The failure to obtain real-time and continuous (or close approximation) measures of ETS exposure limits our understanding of true exposure levels, cumulative exposure levels, and variability over time (that is, exposure profile). . . . Without more information about variability over time and associated events that might account for such variability, efforts to control ETS exposure will be compromised. 2.5 Models of IAQ and Exposure From the studies reviewed in this chapter, it is apparent that there exists a need in tobacco-related health research for an enhanced understanding of what residential SHS exposure concentrations can occur across a variety of different situations. Field exposure measurements, whether part of health studies or stand-alone exposure monitoring surveys, establish basic relationships, challenging or confirming hypotheses. But any given survey can only address a limited domain of possible exposures and scenarios. Exposure models, on the other hand, are uniquely capable of generalizing experimental findings to make predictions across a very wide range of arbitrary conditions. They serve as a tool with which to make sense of observations and to identify areas where further experimental investigation is warranted. As in the case for the model of residential SHS exposure that I develop in the current research, the central component of quantitative inhalation exposure mod- CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 68 els is typically an indoor air quality (IAQ) model. Such models encapsulate the mechanisms by which tobacco smoke emissions lead to residential SHS concentrations, generalizing knowledge on the physical and chemical behavior of pollutants in buildings to arbitrary environmental conditions. They take information on indoor emission patterns and the physical characteristics of a building, such as air flow rates, zone volumes, and loss rates, and produce information on the time evolution of airborne pollutant concentrations, as well as time-averaged concentrations. 2.5.1 IAQ Model Validity For this dissertation, I am interested in the accuracy of multizone IAQ models used in the assessment of residential exposure to particles or gases in SHS. While the multi-compartment character of residences has been established empirically (see above), it does not follow immediately that theory can accurately predict multizone concentrations over arbitrary time scales. Several published studies, some of which are listed in Table 2.11, have evaluated the performance of multizone models in residential locations or explored the issues of mixing and source-receptor proximity, which are typically neglected in model formulations. Although some recent efforts, such as those by Ribot et al. [2002], involve modeling the distribution of pollutants within each room of a house using computational fluid dynamics (CFD), the central assumption of many zonal indoor air quality models is that of uniform mixing of pollutants in individual rooms. Under this assumption, any emitted pollutant is instantaneously mixed throughout the zone of release. The implications of this assumption are that concentrations in a particular room are the same everywhere for all times. In reality, it takes a finite amount of time for emissions to mix within a room so that the average exposure one receives while immediately next to an active pollutant source may be larger than the average exposure at a more distant location, such as on the other side of the room. The increase in exposure that occurs when one is in close proximity to an in- Real-time particle and CO monitoring in a tavern and house Real-time tracer and particle monitoring in a two-room test facility Tracer gas Tracer gas Tracer gas Cigarettes and tracer gas Cigarettes and tracer gas Cigarettes and tracer gas Tracer gas and incense stick Cigarettes Baughman et al. [1994] Drescher et al. [1995] Furtaw et al. [1996] Mage and Ott [1996] Miller et al. [1997]; Miller and Nazaroff [2001] Klepeis [1999] McBride et al. [1999] Ott et al. [2003] Real-time particle and CO monitoring in a house Real-time CO and particle monitoring Real-time particle and CO monitoring in a house, tavern, and smoking lounge Real-time SF6 monitoring in a chamber Real-time monitoring of CO at 9 points in a chamber Grab sampling of SF6 at 41 points in a chamber Good agreement between measurements and two-zone model parameterized from same experiment; error surface shows relative insensitivity to flow parameters Proximity to active particle sources of 1 m resulting in mean concentrations averaging 3 times higher than those at a fixed distant location. Proximate CO concentration were also much higher than distant ones during source-on periods. Mixing of air pollutant in medium to large rooms is fairly rapid in real locations under typical conditions on the order of 12−15 min before average concentrations at separated points are within 10% of the room mean Good agreement between two-zone model and measurements Use of a uniformly mixed assumption to determined average exposures is generally valid for an intermittent source if the source-off well-mixed time period is large compared to the source-on plus mixing time periods Average concentration a distance of 0.4 m from the source was double the theoretical well-mixed concentration for typical flow rates Mixing times range from 2 to 15 min for forced convection Mixing times range from 7 to 15 min under natural convection in which heat was added from solar radiation or an electrical heater Multizone model does a good job of predicting indoor pollutant concentrations VOC and particle samples in a house Moth cakes, kerosene heater, dry cleaned clothes, aerosol spray, applied wet products Sparks et al. [1991] Good agreement between measured and modeled CO Conclusions/Results Real-time CO monitoring in a house Tracer gas De Gids and Phaff [1988] Method Source Study Table 2.11: Studies Evaluating Models of Residential Multizone Transport of Indoor Air Pollutants, Single-Zone Mixing, and Source-Proximity Effects CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 69 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 70 door pollutant source has been well established. Rodes et al. [1991] review studies on the influence that a personal activity cloud has on exposure to gases and aerosols. They find that the ratio of personal exposure measurements to microenvironmental (fixed) exposure measurements is typically 3−10 for occupational settings and 1.2−3.3 for residential settings. The elevated personal measurements are attributed to proximity between pollution sources and receptors. McBride et al. [1999] and Furtaw et al. [1996] conducted separate controlled experiments on source-receptor proximity using either tracer gases or particle releases, reporting that residential proximity effects can lead to average personal (proximate) to microenvironmental (distant) ratios of 2−3 for source-receptor distances of 0.4−1 m. Time spent by an exposure receptor in close proximity to a source has the potential to create negative deviations of modeled concentrations from actual ones. If the receptor spends a long time in the room after the source stops and the time the pollutant takes to mix is short in comparison to that time, or the pollutant removal time, then the receptor’s average exposure may not be much different from the theoretical well-mixed case. The discrepancy tends to decrease with added distance between the exposure receptor and the source, although the exact relationship between concentration and source-receptor distance depends on the room’s air flow patterns. So, errors in model predictions are dependent on the distance from the source, the duration of the source, the time spent in the source room, the pollutant removal rate, and the time it takes for pollutant to become uniformly mixed in the room (the mixing time). The last of these factors, the time-to-mixing, is a function of physical conditions, such as bulk air flow rates and room heat flows, which may or may not be influenced by human activity, whereas the others are dependent largely or solely on human behavior. While not instantaneous, the mixing time in a room for pollutants emitted from short sources under typical residential conditions is rapid, occurring within a 15 min period for forced convection or natural convection with sufficient energy content of the air [Baughman et al., 1994; Drescher et al., 1995]. Based on monitored locations in a home, tavern, and smoking lounges where cigarette or cigar sources CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 71 of short duration were used, Klepeis [1999] found that averaging time periods of 12−15 min were sufficent to achieve average concentrations at different points in a room that were within 10% of the overall room average. For continuous sources, averaging times of up to several hours or longer are required. While mixing and proximity are critical issues in the accuracy of indoor air models, they may or may not result in unacceptably large errors in predicted concentrations. For example, if receptor locations are reasonably distant from active sources, mixing rates are rapid, on the order of 10 min or less, and the time scale of interest for the dynamics of the air pollutant system are on the order of 10 min or greater, then we would expect that measurements of average concentration would agree well with the predictions of single and multizone models. As it turns out, several investigators have indeed discovered that measurements of particles and gases can be well described by models that assume well-mixed rooms. Most recently, Ott et al. [2003] parameterized a two-zone indoor air model with real-time measurements of CO emitted from a cigar and found that the model provided an excellent fit to measurements during both the peak and decay periods. However, these results may be slightly misleading because the parameterized model is not applied to an independent experiment. The authors reported that slight changes in flow parameter values did not change the quality of the fit appreciably. The experimental data and estimated flow rates for this study are presented in Chapter 5 of this dissertation. Miller et al. [1997] also parameterize a two-zone model using controlled tracer gas releases, finding good agreement between prediction and experiment. Flow rates determined from their experiments are also presented in Chapter 5. Based on a concurrent set of experiments, Miller and Nazaroff [2001] find that size-specific predictions of an aerosol model can accurately predict continuously measured particle concentrations in a two-room test house environment when smoking occurs in one of the rooms. De Gids and Phaff [1988] found very good agreement between measured and modeled concentrations of CO tracer gas in a dwelling. During their experiments, CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 72 doors were opened and closed and air was mechanically recirculated or fresh outdoor air was introduced. Another application of an IAQ model to residential air pollutant concentrations is that by Sparks et al. [1991], who conducted a variety of experiments in a test house using continuous sources of particles and gases from household products including moth cakes, kerosene heaters, and wet paint. They found that concentration measurements taken in multiple rooms over time scales of hours or days were well predicted by a model. While their experiments are not directly relevant to SHS exposures, which occur on time scales of minutes to hours, they contribute towards a general confidence that multizone indoor air models can provide accurate results. 2.5.2 Exposure Simulation Data from empirical studies can establish broad trends in exposure magnitudes across a number of homes or intensively characterize the dynamic behavior of pollutants in controlled settings, and IAQ models can generalize these data to other situations. But data on human behavior and human-environment interactions are needed for the realistic characterization of exposures and the extrapolation of concentration data to complex social ecologies, such as multi-person households. In general, exposure simulation models incorporate the precise timing and context of source and receptor activity, providing a cogent, coherent, and compact framework for use in pinpointing factors critical to understanding and predicting levels of exposure. In representing the theoretical foundation of exposure science, they serve to (1) consolidate experimental findings and extrapolate them to new situations, (2) identify uncertain areas for further study, and (3) provide a platform for generating new hypotheses. Fundamentally, exposure models simply match environmental pollutant concentrations occurring along axes of time and space, which may be available in raw form or determined from component models, with the presence of one or more persons. Complexity arises when physical and environmental parameters and detailed profiles of the behavior of sources and recep- CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 73 tors, as well as interactions between the two, are incorporated into the model. For example, for the case of indoor inhalation exposures in a multi-room context, a multizone IAQ model, such as those discussed in the previous section of this chapter, is typically a key component of the overall simulation model. An indoor air model usually has many parameters relating to emissions, transport, and removal of pollutants. Using activity and location patterns for the source(s) as input, the IAQ model provides the core engine for generating room concentration profiles. These concentrations are then overlaid with receptor movement patterns to reveal patterns of exposure. In the case of human-generated emissions, as with SHS, both sources and receptors may follow complicated trajectories between rooms where they may alter the configurations of doors, windows, air handling systems, or air cleaning devices. This approach to modeling exposure is the one followed in this dissertation to simulate and explore residential SHS exposures. Exposure models currently under development can be crudely divided into two camps, according to their primary intended purpose. The first camp, which I will refer to as “exploratory”, is comprised of models that are experimental and limited in scope, focusing on a particular domain of exposure scenarios. Their purpose is primarily scientific, developing methods or approaches, establishing mechanisms of exposures, empirically testing model assumptions, or exploring model predictions in a formal sensitivity and/or uncertainty analysis. For this camp, the prediction of exposures for arbitrary populations is less a priority than understanding how exposure occurs in limited settings. The current work falls into this first camp. The second camp of models has a much broader scope and is intended to support regulatory mandates, such as in the estimation of population risk assessments. Those who use these models generally are interested in applying them to large groups of people, and therefore may incorporate sophisticated sampling techniques, e.g., Monte Carlo or Latin Hypercube sampling, and stratification of model inputs and outputs according to geographic or demographic characteristics. They likely describe multiple sources of pollution and a range of different settings where exposure can occur. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 74 In Table 2.12, I list a number of existing inhalation (air) exposure models, categorizing them by their general status in either the “exploratory” or “regulatory” camps. Seigneur et al. [2002] and Price et al. [2003] both present fairly in-depth descriptions of many of these models as well as others. The entries in the table reflect either significant efforts by a regulatory agency or efforts that have an associated article in the refereed scientific literature, or both. As a whole, they are reasonably reflective of the current state of inhalation exposure modeling, including efforts by government, acedemia, and industry. Most of the models listed models are or have been made available in distributable (executable) form. In recent years, there has been an emphasis on the second, regulatory type of model with the US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) investing considerable resources in its NEM, HAPEM, SHEDS, and APEX series of models [McCurdy, 1995; Rosenbaum, 2002; Burke et al., 2001; Richmond et al., 2002]. Because inhalation is likely the most important exposure route for many toxic chemicals and is mechanistically one of the simplest routes of exposure, and since extensive air quality regulations are already concerned with air quality, these regulatory inhalation exposure models are among the most well-developed. They tend to be statistically based, sampling from empirical or parameterized distributions of observed air concentrations and aggregate times spent in broad location categories (e.g., home, outdoors, or automobile). There exists a massive database of ambient air quality data to support regulatory and other predictive population exposure models, as mandated under regulations such as the US Clean Air Act. There is also a growing data base of personal inhalation exposure monitoring data from studies such as EXPOLIS, NHEXAS, TEAM, PTEAM [Koistinen et al., 2001; Sexton et al., 1995; Pellizzari et al., 1995; Wallace, 1987; Özkaynak et al., 1996], and others (Table 2.5), and a large database of microenvironmental model inputs to support the scope of regulatory modeling efforts. The American Chemistry Council has funded two recent in-depth reviews of data sets and reports having relevance to exposure modeling [Koontz and Cox, 2002; Boyce and Garry, 2002]. The USEPA Exposure Factors Handbook and Expo- − Richmond et al. [2002] Briggs et al. [2003] − Expl Reg Reg Expl Reg Reg Reg Reg Reg Expl Expl Expl Expl Expl Expl Classa Northampton EXPOLIS USEPA NIST USEPA USEPA CARB Harvard USEPA Carnegie-Mellon − USEPA LBNL LLNL EPA Developed Byb Full Name or Description Residential radon exposure model European population particle exposure model Air Pollutants Exposure Model and Total Risk Integrated Methodology Exposure Event Module; criteria and hazardous air pollutants Multizone simulation of air flows, contaminant concentrations, and personal exposure. Hazardous Air Pollutant Exposure Model; mobile source air toxics Stochastic Human Exposure Dose Simulation – Particulate Matter California Population Indoor Exposure Model Benzene Exposure and Absorbed Dose Simulation (Probabilistic) National Exposure Model; criteria pollutants Model for Analysis of Volatiles and Residential Indoor Air Quality / Total Exposure Model Multichamber Chemical Exposure Model Descendant of EXPOSURE and INDOOR models; simulates multizone indoor air concentrations, individual exposure, and risk A “macromodel” for indoor exposure to combustion products Residential inhalation exposure model for volatile compounds in tap water Simulation of Human Activity Patterns and Exposure Regulatory models used for development or enforcement of government regulations or for related risk assessments. These models are typically applied to large populations and require extensive data inputs that are representative of the population being modeled; Expl: Exploratory models used for intensive scientific study of particular exposure scenarios. These models typically treat an individual or narrowly defined cohort of people and have facilities for a detailed treatment of residences or some other specific microenvironment. b EPA: US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C. USA; NIST: National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD USA; CARB: California Air Resources Board, Sacramento, CA USA; EXPOLIS: European Exposure Assessment Project; LLNL: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA USA; LBNL: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA USA; Northampton: Contributed by academic researchers in Northampton, UK. Information and downloads for the APEX, TRIM, HAPEM, and HEM regulatory models for criteria pollutants and air toxics can be accessed from the EPA website at the following URL: http://www.epa.gov/ttn/fera/ a Regl: EXPOLIS APEX/TRIM Expo Dols and Walton [2002] Kruize et al. [2003]; Hänninen et al. [2003] HAPEM CONTAM Rosenbaum [2002] SHEDS-PM CPIEM Burke et al. [2001] BEADS Koontz et al. [1998]; Koontz and Niang [1998]; Rosenbaum et al. [2002] NEM-pNEM MAVRIQ/TEM MCCEM Macintosh et al. [1995] McCurdy [1995] Wilkes et al. [1992, 1996, 2002] Koontz and Nagda [1991] RISK Traynor et al. [1989] Sparks [1988, 1991]; Sparks et al. [1993] − SHAPE Ott et al. [1988]; Ott [1984] McKone [1987] Acronym Reference Table 2.12: Examples of Some Existing Regulatory and Exploratory Inhalation Exposure Models CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 75 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 76 sure Factors Handbook for Children are fairly comprehensive resources of appropriate inputs for predictive models [USEPA, 1997, 2002]. The original research I undertake in this dissertation is exploratory in nature, focusing exclusively on SHS exposure in a multizonal residential context. Rather than predicting exposures for an actual population of people using complex or highly variable data inputs, I seek to investigate exposure relationships for a relatively small range of parameter values. This work has, as its earliest apparent precedents, models by Sparks et al. [1993], Sparks [1991], Koontz and Nagda [1991], and Wilkes et al. [1992], which track the behavior of household occupants and follow pollutant concentrations between rooms, incorporating more detailed physical mechanisms of emissions, pollutant dynamics, and exposure than the more statistical approach of regulatory air exposure models. 2.6 Summary and Conclusions Secondhand smoke (SHS), also known as environmental tobacco smoke (ETS), is a mixture of many gaseous and particulate components that has been associated with adverse health in children and adults. Residential SHS exposure is of key importance because of the large proportion of time that is spent by people at home, particularly children who may require close care by smoking adults. Field studies provide evidence that SHS can contribute as much as 30 µ g m−3 or more to indoor particle concentrations, and therefore significantly influence exposures, and that the multi-compartment character of homes, and especially the open or closed states of interior doors, can lead to significantly different pollutant concentrations between rooms. It appears that between 25% and 50% of children in the US are at risk of some exposure to SHS in their home. The ecology in these smoking households, and particularly the prospects for reducing or eliminating SHS exposure, are socially complex. Different factors for reducing exposure may occur simultaneously to different degrees and have common or interacting driving forces. In this web of interaction (Figure 2.3), both the greater society and health care professionals provide CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 77 incentives to limit smoking behavior. The act or process of instituting household smoking restrictions may create inconvenience or alienation for smokers, putting pressure on them to reduce the number of cigarettes they smoke or to quit completely. A major challenge for the public health community is the development of effective intervention strategies that encourage lasting behavior modification and result in the verifiable reduction or elimination of household SHS exposure. Interventions, and studies of intervention efficacy, would benefit from more accurate and precise measures and understanding of exposure, potentially resulting from the use of real-time exposure monitoring equipment and more detailed diaries of in-home behavior. Currently, there is a lack of understanding as to precisely how well different exposure reduction strategies perform. Predictive models can play an important role in improving our understanding of residential SHS exposure. Indoor air quality models, which take a variety of physical parameters as input and have been shown to predict observed concentrations with good accuracy, can be used to generalize measured indoor air pollutant concentrations to arbitrary houses under arbitrary conditions. Exposure simulation models fuse observed or modeled air pollution concentrations with human activity patterns, generating exposure profiles for individuals or populations. In the current work, I make use of established, and proven, techniques in modeling indoor air quality and exposure to shed light on the effectiveness of specific residential SHS exposure mitigation strategies. This new information is expected to inform public health researchers and practitioners in their efforts to reduce SHS exposure. 2.7 References Ashley, M. J. and Ferrence, R. (1998). Reducing children’s exposure to environmental tobacco smoke in homes: Issues and strategies. Tobacco Control, 7(1): 61–65. Bakoula, C. G., Kafritsa, Y. J., Kavadias, G. D., Haley, N. J., and Matsaniotis, N. S. (1997). Factors modifying exposure to environmental tobacco smoke in children (Athens, Greece). Cancer Causes & Control, 8(1): 73–76. 78 CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND An Eco−Social Model for Reduction or Elimination of Household Exposure to Secondhand Tobacco Smoke Society Smoking Behavior Industry − Advertising Uptake of Smoking The Media − Entertainment Biological Addiction Social Pressure Light Smoking Quitting Smoking Health Intervention Exposure Reduction Govt.− Health Policy− Outreach Exposure Elimination Health Care Decreased Exposure Time/Space Restrictions Ventilation Measures Isolation Measures Filtration/ Removal Measures Knowledge of Adverse Health Effects Knowledge of Exposure Reduction Strategies Household Restrictions Figure 2.3: A web of inter-relating factors associated with eventual reduction or elimination of household secondhand smoke exposure. Elements in society encourage smoking behavior, which can be moderated directly or indirectly by health care leading to decreased exposure. Society and health care can also reduce exposure by influencing the adoption of household restrictions, which can in turn serve to either directly reduce exposures or do so indirectly by coercing a reduction in smoking behavior. One focus of original research in this dissertation is the effectiveness of specific household restrictive measures in reducing, but not eliminating, exposure to secondhand smoke through the blocking of smoke movement across doorways of a house and the enhancement of smoke removal by the opening of windows or use of active filtration. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 79 Baughman, A. V., Gadgil, A. J., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1994). Mixing of a point source pollutant by natural convection flow within a room. Indoor Air, 4(2): 114–122. Benner, C. L., Bayona, J. M., Caka, F. M., Tang, H., Lewis, L., Crawford, J., Lamb, J. D., Lee, M. 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EPA/600/P-95/002F, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Washington, D.C. USEPA (2002). Child-Specific Exposure Factors Handbook (Interim Report). EPA/600/P-00/002B, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, National Center for Environmental Assessment, Washington Office, Washington, DC. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 91 USEPA (2003). Integrated Risk Information System. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Wade, W. A., Cote, W. A., and Yocom, J. E. (1975). A study of indoor air quality. Journal of the Air Pollution Control Association, 25(9): 933–939. Wakefield, M., Banham, D., Martin, J., Ruffin, R., Mccaul, K., and Badcock, N. (2000a). Restrictions on smoking at home and urinary cotinine levels among children with asthma. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 19(3): 188–192. Wakefield, M., Banham, D., McCaul, K., Martin, J., Ruffin, R., Badcock, N., and Roberts, L. (2002). Effect of feedback regarding urinary cotinine and brief tailored advice on home smoking restrictions among low-income parents of children with asthma: A controlled trial. Preventive Medicine, 34(1): 58–65. Wakefield, M. A., Chaloupka, F. J., Kaufman, N. J., Orleans, C. T., Barker, D. C., and Ruel, E. E. (2000b). Effect of restrictions on smoking at home, at school, and in public places on teenage smoking: Cross sectional study. British Medical Journal, 321(7257): 333–337. Wallace, L. A. (1987). The Total Exposure Assessment Methodology (TEAM) Study: Summary and Analysis: Volume I. U.S. EPA, Washington D. C. WHO (2000). Air Quality Guidelines, Second Edition. World Health Organization (WHO), Regional Office for Europe, Copenhagen, Denmark. Wiley, J., Robinson, J. P., Cheng, Y., Piazza, T., Stork, L., and Pladsen, K. (1991a). Study of Children’s Activity Patterns. California Air Resources Board, Contract No. A733-149, Sacramento, CA. Wiley, J., Robinson, J. P., Piazza, T., Garrett, K., Cirksena, K., Cheng, Y., and Martin, G. (1991b). Activity Patterns of California Residents. California Air Resources Board, Contract No. A6-177-33, Sacramento, CA. Wilkes, C. R., Blancato, J. N., Hern, S. C., Power, F. W., and Olin, S. S. (2002). Integrated probabilistic and deterministic modeling techniques in estimating exposures to water-borne contaminants: Part 1, Exposure modeling. In Levin, H., editor, Indoor Air – Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Indoor Air Quality and Climate, pages 256–261, Monterey, CA. Wilkes, C. R., Small, M. J., Andelman, J. B., Giardino, N. J., and Marshall, J. (1992). Inhalation exposure model for volatile chemicals from indoor uses of water. Atmospheric Environment, 26A(12): 2227–2236. CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND 92 Wilkes, C. R., Small, M. J., Davidson, C. I., and Andelman, J. B. (1996). Modeling the effects of water usage and co-behavior on inhalation exposures to contaminants volatilized from household water. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 6(4): 393–412. Wilson, S. R., Yamada, E. G., Sudhakar, R., Roberto, L., Mannino, D., Mejia, C., and Huss, N. (2001). A controlled trial of an environmental tobacco smoke reduction intervention in low-income children with asthma. Chest, 120(5): 1709–1722. Zartarian, V. G., Ott, W. R., and Duan, N. H. (1997). A quantitative definition of exposure and related concepts. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 7(4): 411–437. 93 Part II Model Development 94 The following four chapters describe inputs and structural aspects of a simulation model for residential SHS exposure. The three key areas of data input are tobacco smoke emissions and dynamic behavior, human time-activity patterns, and housing characteristics. Chapter 3 (page 95) contains a description of emission factors and surface interaction parameters for particulate and major gaseous components of SHS. A method for determining size-specific emissions and its application to data from a set of original cigar and cigarette chamber experiments are also presented. Chapter 4 (page 140) contains a description of activity pattern data from the USEPA’s National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS). Attention is focused on the movement of people between rooms of their residence. Chapter 5 (page 165) contains a description of characteristics for the US housing stock, including air-exchange rates, interzonal air flow rates, air handling systems, mixing rates, house volume, and numbers of rooms and floors. Chapter 6 (page 200) contains a discussion of the design and key features of an original simulation model for residential exposure to SHS. 95 Chapter 3 Emissions Characterization and Dynamic Behavior of Key SHS Constituents The amount of material emitted from burning cigarettes and cigars is a key factor in determining maximum and time-averaged air pollutant concentrations in houses where smoking occurs. Air pollutant concentrations are also affected by surface reactivity of emissions, which influences how rapidly species are removed from air and the reentrainment of sorbed species into air via surface desorption. Therefore, in this chapter, I am interested in characterizing emission factors for cigarette and cigar SHS sources and also deposition, sorption, and desorption rates of key SHS species for typical residential environments.1 It is a difficult to find compounds that reasonably represent the extremely varied makeup of SHS. However, three species – particles, carbon monoxide (CO), and nicotine – are well-studied air pollutants that provide a reasonable representation of the array of SHS components in terms of phase and dynamic behavior. Particles and nicotine react with environment surfaces by irreversible deposition and reversible sorption, respectively. In contrast, CO is a nonreactive species that is only removed from indoor air by ventilation. Together, these species represent 1 Much of the material in this chapter has been published in Klepeis, N. E., Apte, M. G., Gundel, L. A., Sextro, R. G., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2003) Determining size-specific emission factors for environmental tobacco smoke particles. Aerosol Science and Technology, 37: 780-790. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 96 a significant portion of total SHS emissions, and using these compounds in applications of the simulation model I develop in this dissertation will facilitate the comparison of my simulation results to the findings of a large number of published chamber and field studies. Nicotine is a heavily studied compound not only because it forms the basis for the addiction of smokers, but, since it is specific to tobacco emissions, it and its metabolites have been widely used as chemical markers for bulk SHS concentrations and exposures (see Sections 2.1.2 and 2.4.4). Carbon monoxide has also been used as a marker for SHS, because it is emitted in fairly large quantities and is relatively easy to measure, although interferences can result from CO emissions of household appliances and automobiles. Many field studies, some of which are presented in Chapter 2, have focused on environmental concentrations of particles, especially those under 2.5 µ m in diameter, i.e., PM2.5 . As with CO, it is sometimes difficult to attribute field measurements of particles to SHS, because of interference with other sources, including cooking, cleaning, or outdoor air. In addition to being major components of SHS, PM2.5 and CO are also USEPA criteria pollutants for which there are extensive monitoring networks and established California and Federal ambient air quality standards, which are summarized in Table 3.1 for different averaging times. Carbon monoxide is a poisonous gas that interferes with the binding of oxygen to hemoglobin. Both pollutants present special health hazards, because they are able to penetrate deeply into the human lung. In estimating exposure to SHS particles, which constitute a major component of SHS by mass, I am generally focused on “SHS emissions” of particles as opposed to fresh mainstream or side-stream tobacco smoke emissions. My aim is to determine the characteristics of “effective” SHS emissions, defined as the mass of particles that have come to be dispersed in a previously pollutant-free room just after a cigarette (or cigar) has been smoked. Sidestream tobacco smoke is defined as the undiluted plume coming from the smoldering end of the cigarette, and mainstream smoke is the undiluted puff of smoke that is drawn through the cigar or 97 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Table 3.1: California and US Federal Concentration Guidelines for Carbon Monoxide (CO) and PM2.5 Averaging California Standard Federal Standarda Pollutant Time [µ g m−3 ] [µ g m−3 ] CO 1-h 23,000 40,000 8-h 10,000 10,000 24-h 65 65 Annual 12 15 PM2.5 a Source: USEPA National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). cigarette and then exhaled by the smoker (either a human or a machine). The particles in real or simulated SHS are derived from particles in exhaled mainstream and sidestream smoke, but they are different in that they have undergone mixing and dilution (i.e., dispersion), and perhaps deposition and filtration over varying time scales and in a particular indoor setting (e.g., a home, an automobile, or a workplace). While undergoing dispersion, the median tobacco smoke particle size can shrink as particle mass evaporates [Hinds, 1978] or it can grow as particles coagulate. The end result can be SHS particle size distributions that are different from the distributions of fresh mainstream or sidestream smoke. In the remainder of this chapter, I first briefly discuss human smoking patterns, which influence bulk SHS emissions in a residence over the course of the day. The next two sections describe original SHS particle chamber experiments and the interpretation of the size-specific particle concentrations measured in these experiments with an aerosol dynamics model. The next three sections summarize estimates of size-specific and integrated particle emission factors and particle deposition rates as determined from both my original experiments and previously published studies. Finally, I include two sections discussing estimates of CO emission factors and emissions and surface-related characteristics of volatile organics, specifically for nicotine. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 98 3.1 Human Smoking Patterns Key model input parameters include the time it takes to smoke a single cigarette, the number of cigarettes smoked at home, and the magnitude of per-cigarette emissions. Since cigarettes are consumed over a short period compared to the time typically spent in any given room of a house (see Chapter 4), the cigarette combustion duration is relatively unimportant compared to the actual magnitude of emissions. Cigarettes can almost be treated as instantaneous releases of air pollutants, with the total number of releases being the critical quantity, although the duration of the cigarette burn may have a small effect on peak air pollutant concentrations. Cigarette duration is expected to be in the range of 7−11 min. Ott et al. [2003] report unpublished data on the duration of cigarettes that were smoked in a Las Vegas casino, finding an average cigarette duration of 9 minutes with a standard deviation of 2 minutes. Smoldering regular cigarettes that are not actively aerated by a machine or human smoker typically last approximately 10 minutes before the burning tip reaches the filter. Longer cigarettes are expected to have a proportionately longer smolder duration. The number of cigarettes that are smoked in the house is expected to carry more influence than cigarette duration in determining average concentrations of SHS air pollutants both in the smoking room and in rooms with an open air pathway to and/or from the smoking room. In the 1999 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse (NHSDA), 77% of daily smokers reported smoking 6 to 15 cigarettes a day with 19% smoking a pack of 20 cigarettes or more per day. For teenagers and young adults under age 25, approximately 90% of daily smokers reported smoking 6 to 15 cigarettes a day, whereas 14% of young adults aged 26−34 smoked a pack or more and 23% of older adults smoked a pack or more per day.2 Nazaroff and Singer [2004] use a US per capita consumption rate of 117 packs, obtained from data on taxes paid [TI, 1997], and the US prevalence of smoking [MMWR, 2001] to estimate 2 The US Department of Health and Human Services, Substances Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, conduct the NHSDA every year, which is an annual cross-sectional study on the prevalence and incidence of drug, alcohol, and tobacco use of Americans 12 years of age and older. The 1999 survey includes data from nearly 70,000 persons [Kopstein, 2001]. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 99 an average rate of 20−28 cigarettes consumed per smoker per day. A reasonable number, if perhaps towards the upper end of the distribution, for daily consumption of cigarettes for adults that may have children residing in their homes is 1 or 2 packs of cigarettes. A fraction of these cigarettes will be smoked in the home. This fraction will be depend largely on whether or not a parent works at home. A reasonable assumption is to spread the number of cigarettes smoked evenly throughout a smoker’s waking period so that a portion of these cigarettes will fall naturally during periods where the smoker is at home. This strategy is used for the simulation model presented in the current work (see Chapter 6). The mass of pollutant emitted in a given smoking episode is the product of the number of cigarettes that are smoked and the average mass that is emitted from each cigarette. Investigators typically report the total mass of particles or gaseous species that are emitted after an entire is cigarette is smoked, or sometimes the mass that is emitted per unit time or per unit mass of consumed tobacco. The total mass emitted per cigarette depends on the style and rapidity of smoking, i.e., the frequency and volume of puffs, in addition to the type of cigarette [NCI, 1996]. However, due to their uniformity in shape and size in comparison to cigars, cigarettes are expected to have a more narrow range in both duration of smoking and the mass of emissions per cigarette. Since few investigators have reported emission rates, and few if any have reported precisely how emissions change in time, a convenient assumption is that smokers typically finish an entire cigarette. Therefore, it seems reasonable to take established emissions per cigarette and assume they are emitted evenly throughout a given consumption period, even though in reality the emission rate may vary in time in a way that is peculiar to each cigarette and each smoker. In the current work, I model emissions from the smoking of multiple cigarettes over the course of a day by placing individual cigarettes in time and assigning a fixed emission rate for the time that they are active by dividing reported per-cigarette emissions by the time spent smoking the cigarette. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 100 3.2 Cigar and Cigarette Experiments I conducted nine cigar (premium, regular, and cigarillo) and four cigarette (regular and lights) smoking experiments in an unventilated 20 m3 chamber (see Figure 3.1 for a schematic). For eight of these experiments, valid measurements of the particle number concentration were obtained (counts per cm3 ) in the chamber air every minute using an optical particle counter (LASAIR; Particle Measurement Systems, Inc., Boulder, CO), which registered particle counts in 8 size bins ranging from 0.1 to over 2 µ m based on the scattering of 633 nm light emitted from a HeNe laser. The LASAIR input air stream was diluted with filtered air at 5 to 6 times the sample air flow rate. Semi-continuous particle number concentration was also measured using a differential mobility particle sizer (DMPS; TSI, Inc., St. Paul, MN), which scanned and sized particles in 34 size bins ranging from approximately 0.01 to over 1 µ m in diameter over approximately 10- or 30-min intervals. The DMPS sizes particles according to their mobility when charged and placed in an electric field. The particle size measurement devices were placed outside the chamber and their input air was drawn through sampling tubes located near the top of the chamber door. During most of the experiments, electrochemical measurements of carbon monoxide (CO) were made every minute using a Langan CO Personal Measurer (Langan Products, San Francisco, CA), which was placed inside the chamber and connected to a Langan DataBear digital logger. The CO measurements were used to obtain air exchange rate values for the chamber, which ranged from 0.03 to 0.1 h−1 , by fitting a line to the natural logarithm of the decaying CO concentrations. The interior surfaces of the smoking chamber consisted entirely of stainless steel. In addition, two 4-foot by 8-foot sheets of upright gypsum wallboard (a total of approximately 12 m2 of exposed surface area) were placed vertically in the center of the chamber. The inside volume of the chamber was approximately 20 m3 and the surface area was approximately 57 m2 – including the wallboard – giving a surface-to-volume ratio of 2.9 m−1 . Pre-weighed cigars and cigarettes were smoked using a smoking machine 101 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION = Elevated Fans Inside Width = 2.4 m Particle Sampling Tubes 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0Door 1 0 1 Smoking Machine CO Monitor Cigar Stand 1111111111111 0000000000000 0000000000000 1111111111111 Inside Height = 2.2 m Volume = 19.9 m³ S/V = 2.9 m−1 Wall− board Inside Length = 3.7 m Figure 3.1: A schematic of the experimental chamber showing the chamber dimensions and the approximate placement of the sampling tubes, cigar and cigarette sources, CO monitor, two sheets of wallboard, and six mixing fans. The surface-tovolume ratio of the chamber, including the two sheets of upright wallboard, was 2.9 m−1 . The particle sampling tubes were connected to particle sizing instrumentation based on either light-scattering (LASAIR) or electrostatic mobility (DMPS). CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 102 (ADL II, Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, MA) at a standard rate of two 35-cm3 puffs per minute. The cigars were 13-cm regular Swisher Sweets, aromatic and mild blend plastic-tipped Tiparillos (cigarillos), and an 18-cm Macanudo premium. The cigarettes were Camel lights and Marlboro regulars. I ignited the tobacco products using a hand lighter, whereupon I exited the chamber and securely closed the airtight door. Both sidestream and mainstream tobacco smoke were freely emitted into the chamber where they were thoroughly mixed by six small fans – two aimed up at the plume with four more cycling air clockwise around the chamber. The cigarettes were held in place by a customdesigned automatic smoking carousel connected to the smoking machine, while the cigars were attached to a nearby stand and connected to the smoking machine using a copper fitting, Teflon tape, and plastic tubing. During smoking, smoke plumes observed through the chamber window became rapidly dispersed over a period of a few seconds. A timer was used to disconnect power from the smoking machine after a preset smoking time (10−15 min for cigars and 5−8 min for cigarettes). The smoldering cigars and cigarettes were rapidly extinguished from outside of the closed chamber by forcing nitrogen gas in reverse direction through the cigarette or cigar. Once the sources were completely extinguished, I began collecting total particle mass (TPM) on Teflon-coated glass fiber filters, sampling at approximately 18 L min−1 over time periods ranging from 30 to 60 min. The LASAIR and DMPS, being activated before the sources were ignited to measure background levels, were left to record particle number concentrations in the sealed chamber for at least 12 h and, in some cases, up to 24 h after smoking. The background levels were negligible compared to the peak concentrations in each experiment for each particle size range. TPM concentration was determined gravimetrically by weighing the accumulated mass on each filter with a Cahn-25 precision electrobalance and dividing it by the volume of chamber air sampled. The filters were frozen following each experiment, and then thawed and equilibrated to ambient relative humidity prior to CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 103 being reweighed. The TPM emitted by a cigar or cigarette during each experiment was estimated from the filter TPM concentrations by taking into account the loss of mass from deposition and ventilation that occurred during sample collection. The total particle removal rate for each experiment was estimated by fitting a line to the logarithm of the decaying total particle counts as measured by the LASAIR. On the day following each experiment, the unsmoked portion of each cigar or cigarette was weighed to determine the mass of tobacco that had been consumed by smoking. The particle count data measured with the LASAIR and DMPS instruments were analyzed to estimate the mass of SHS particles emitted in each size range. The LASAIR- and DMPS-measured particle number concentrations were converted to particle mass concentrations for each particle size range by assuming that SHS particles have a density of 1.1 g/cm3 [Lipowicz, 1988], that the logarithm of the particle mass concentration is uniformly distributed within each size range, and that SHS particles are spherical. The LASAIR was originally calibrated with latex spheres, which have a different refractive index (1.588 - 0i) than SHS particles (1.532 + 0i; McRae [1982]). The LASAIR data were post-calibrated by comparing the calculated LASAIR response for SHS particles to those for latex spheres [Bohren and Huffman, 1983; Garvey and Pinnick, 1983]. Sufficiently high quality data from the DMPS were limited to three of the cigar experiments and these data did not, in general, possess high time resolution or uniformity since each scan lasted from 10 to 30 min and there was sometimes a delay between scans. Therefore, with regard to the parameter optimization procedure (see below), the use of the DMPS data was limited to providing initial estimates of the proportion of mass emitted for particles smaller than 0.1 µ m, a diameter range not sampled by the LASAIR. For the parameter optimization procedure, initial particle emissions were estimated independently for each size range using the following formula: E = φVC + V C To f f − Ton peak (3.1) 104 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION where E is the mass emission rate for each bin [µ g min−1 ], φ is the total loss rate for each bin [min−1 ], V is the chamber volume, C peak is the peak particle concentration for each size range above a zero background [µ g/m3 ], and C is the average concentration between the time the source started, Ton [min], and the time the source ended, To f f [min]. The average concentrations, C, was approximated as C peak 2 . The loss rate φ for each particle diameter range was estimated by fitting a line to the logarithm of the decaying concentrations. 3.3 Estimating Particle Emissions with an Aerosol Dynamics Model The aerosol dynamics model of Nazaroff and Cass [1989] was adapted to calculate SHS particle concentrations for each experiment, taking into account the effects of ventilation, particle coagulation, deposition, and direct emissions from a cigar or a cigarette. Coagulation, deposition, and emission change the size distribution of airborne particles. In contrast, ventilation removes particles at an equal rate across all sizes. Although creation of new particle mass can occur through condensation of semi-volatile organic compounds (SVOCs) from particles, I do not expect this process to play an important role in SHS aerosol dynamics. Kousaka et al. [1982] report that humidity only affects the growth of smoke particles under supersaturated conditions, which do not apply in my case. The shrinkage of particles owing to SVOC evaporation can also occur for SHS, such as when rapid mixing and dilution occur after smoking. Both Ingebrethsen and Sears [1989] and Hinds [1978] provide evidence of this phenomenon. For experiments in the current work, the chamber ventilation rate and source duration are known, and the rate of particle coagulation is calculated based on concentrations occurring in a given time step. The two remaining, unknown model parameters are the magnitude of the particle mass emissions and the rate of particle deposition onto surfaces. In this chapter, I reference mass emissions in terms of three types of emission factors: the mass emission rate (mg emitted per minute); CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 105 the total particle mass (TPM) emissions (mg emitted per tobacco source); and the mass-normalized emissions (mg emitted per gram of tobacco consumed). My task is to find values of the unknown model parameters for each particle size range (or bin) that result in the best fit of model predictions to measured concentrations. In addition to tuning model input values, the fits also provide an indication of model accuracy. I used the following steps to obtain optimal values of mass emissions and deposition loss-rate coefficient for each measured particle diameter from each of the eight chamber experiments in which valid LASAIR measurements were recorded. Step 1. From the LASAIR data, initial guesses of the mass emission rate and deposition loss-rate coefficient were made for each optimization from observed peak concentrations and decay rates for each size bin, assuming independence among the bins (see Equation 3.1). The initial estimate for deposition loss rate was calculated by subtracting the ventilation rate from the overall particle loss rate. These initial values are expected to be in error since the loss or gain of particle mass in each bin also depends on coagulation. Step 2. The aerosol dynamics model and a local grid search routine were used to locate the optimal values of mass emission rate and deposition rate for each particle size range starting at 0.1 µ m, which is the lower limit for the LASAIR, and ending at the bin with a 2.0 µ m lower limit. For the goodness-of-fit statistic between modeled and observed mass concentration time series, the mean absolute deviation was used, which is less sensitive to outliers than the mean squared deviation. A time period of 8 h was selected for each experiment, since it would capture time-dependent dynamics over a relatively long time scale but avoid appreciable shifts in background concentration that appeared to occur over 12−24 h time periods. The sample size of each series used in the optimization was approximately 400 for each experiment. The optimization surface was generally smooth with a clear minimum, as illustrated for the 0.1−0.2 µ m particle diameter range in the top panel of Figure 3.2. The bottom panel of Figure 3.2 contains an illustration of the grid search method for CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 106 the same experiment and size range. Since emissions in each bin can influence concentrations in adjacent bins through coagulation, the optimization was repeated, using the final values from one run as the starting values for the next run, until the starting values remained unchanged for all size bins. Step 3. Using the above steps and the DMPS data from three cigar experiments, where the DMPS scan times were 10 min or less, size-specific mass emission and deposition rates were obtained in twelve aggregated size ranges from about 0.009 to 1.154 µ m. This range appeared to encompass most of the particle sizes present in SHS. Each of the three experiments showed that about 20% of the emitted particle mass was smaller than 0.1 µ m. The lower end of observed SHS particle sizes was 0.02−0.03 µ m. Step 4. The LASAIR-based optimization (step 2) was repeated using initial estimates from the results of step 3 for particles smaller than 0.1 µ m. The emissions and deposition rates for particles smaller than 0.1 µ m were optimized by calculating the mean absolute deviation between observed and predicted concentrations across all larger sizes. Initial guesses for the other size ranges (> 0.1µ m) were obtained from the ending values in step 2. As in step 2, the overall optimization process was repeated (from lowest to highest bin) until the parameter values remained unchanged. The surface for the “indirect” optimization of emissions smaller than 0.1 µ m was irregular and much flatter than for other particle sizes, indicating more uncertainty. Step 5. After the optimization procedure was completed for each experiment, a lognormal distribution was fit to the optimized mass emission rate to obtain estimates for the mass median diameter (MMD) and geometric standard deviation (GSD) of the emissions size distribution. These fitted parameters are the same whether for the distribution of TPM emissions (mg), mass emission rate (mg/min), or mass-normalized emissions (mg/g-smoked). Step 6. To estimate uncertainty in the lognormal size distribution parameters, steps 2−5 were repeated for slightly perturbed initial values in each size CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 107 range, including particles smaller than 0.1 µ m. Owing to the large computational time required for a single optimization, it was impractical to conduct a large number of optimization trials. A comparison of final optimization results to initial values provides an approximate characterization of uncertainty. The fits between LASAIR-observed and modeled time series data were generally good with minima for the mean absolute deviation in each bin ranging from 0.4 to 3 µ g/m3 . Figure 3.3 shows an example optimal fit of a modeled time series to an observed time series for four particle diameter ranges. For bins between 0.1 and 1 µ m, the error across all experiments was between 2 and 12%. A linear regression of predicted time series values (dependent variable) against the observed values (independent variable) for these bins yielded coefficients of determination, i.e., r2 values, between 0.8 and 1 across all experiments, except for the 0.3−0.4 µ m particle size range in two experiments where r2 values were 0.6 and 0.7. Small systematic deviations in the fits are apparent at the beginning of a few time series, where the observed particle loss appeared to be faster than later in the time series. This “early decay” effect may be due to evaporative losses as suggested by Ingebrethsen and Sears [1989] and Hinds [1978]. Figure 3.4 shows an example optimal fit for which particles in the 0.3−0.4 µ m particle diameter range appear to undergo evaporation during the first 1−2 hours after smoking stopped – a behavior that does not appear to be well-captured by the model. Incomplete mixing is unlikely to explain the early decay, since not all size ranges exhibited this behavior for a given experiment (e.g., the 0.2−0.3 µ m diameter range in Figure 3.4). The model seemed to accurately account for the effect of particle coagulation, which influenced concentrations in the smaller size bins for times as long as 4 h after the source was extinguished. Second-order coagulation processes caused the concentrations for the lower diameter ranges to actually increase after the source was extinguished. This behavior is captured by the model and occurs as emissions in smaller size ranges transfer particle mass into larger size ranges. 108 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 0.16 Deposition Loss−Rate Coefficient [1/h] Minimum 0.14 0.12 0.10 46 48 50 54 52 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 Emission Rate [µg/min] Figure 3.2: The top panel shows contours of an optimization surface for particles with diameters of 0.1−0.2 µ m (for the Cigarillo #2 experiment) over a range of emission rates and deposition rates. The bottom panel depicts an optimization pathway, illustrating how a local grid search method was used to find the minimum point on the surface and the optimal values of model input parameters, here 0.125 h−1 for deposition loss-rate coefficient and 50 µ g/min for emission rate. The circle size is proportional to the mean absolute deviation between elements of the observed and modeled time series, indicating the error of the model in fitting the measurements at particular values of the parameters. 109 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Particle Mass Concentration [µg/m³] 0 100 200 300 400 500 50 Particle Diameter: 0.2 − 0.3 µm Particle Diameter: 0.1 − 0.2 µm 40 30 20 10 0 50 Particle Diameter: 0.4 − 1.0 µm Particle Diameter: 0.3 − 0.4 µm 40 30 20 10 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 Elapsed Minutes, t Figure 3.3: The optimal fit of the model (smooth curve) to the particle mass concentration time series observed during the Cigarillo #2 experiment (dots) for four particle diameter ranges. Smoking began at time t = 0 and lasted approximately 15 min. From the time series shown, it appears that incomplete mixing was not an issue as the model, when optimal parameters were used as input, provided good fits to the observed data. Mixing also did not appear to be an issue for the other experiments. 110 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 0 100 200 300 400 500 Particle Mass Concentration [µg/m³] 80 Particle Diameter: 0.3 − 0.4 µm 60 40 Particle Diameter: 0.2 − 0.3 µm 20 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 Elapsed Minutes, t Figure 3.4: The optimal fit of the model (smooth curve) to the particle mass concentration time series observed during the Regular Cigar #3 experiment (dots) for two particle diameter ranges. Smoking began at time t = 0 and lasted approximately 10 min. It appears that incomplete mixing cannot account for the observed model-measurement discrepancy, since the 0.2−0.3 µ m time series does not display the rapid decrease in concentration during the first 60 min, which is apparent in the 0.3−0.4 µ m time series. Since the model does not take evaporation into account, it is likely that the discrepancy arises from evaporative loss [Hinds, 1978; Ingebrethsen and Sears, 1989]. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 111 3.4 The Size Distribution of Particle Emissions Table 3.2 contains best estimates of the SHS particle mass emissions size distribution, based on the LASAIR data collected during the eight original experiments described above. Figure 3.5 presents the lognormal fits to the optimization results of each experiment. The MMD’s for the emissions are close to particle diameters of 0.2 µ m for all source types (x = 0.20 µ m; s = 0.017 µ m; COV = 8%), with the GSD’s ranging from 1.9 to 3.1 (x = 2.3; s = 0.37; COV = 16%). SHS particle emissions appear mostly to have diameters between 0.02 and 2 µ m – with no clear difference in the estimated mass size distributions between cigars and cigarettes. The uncertainty in these estimates is highest for particles smaller than 0.1 µ m, since they are based on an indirect fitting procedure. However, after repeating the procedure for each experiment for different starting points, the fitted MMD and GSD were in the ranges 0.16−0.23 µ m and 1.9−3.1, respectively. These represent differences of 0−13% in MMD and 2−10% in GSD from the values in Table 3.2. These differences are comparable to the coefficient of variation (COV) across all experiments and source types for the final results stated above. In other words, parameter uncertainty appears to be on the order of parameter variability. In contrast, the initial guess for the size distribution, which (using the LASAIR data and assuming independence between bins) did not consider coagulation or particle mass below 0.1 µ m, had MMD’s and GSD’s that ranged from 0.22−0.30 µ m and 1.4−2.1, respectively – differences of 14−39% and 10−34% when compared to the final results. The MMD’s are higher and the GSD’s are smaller (i.e., the distribution is more narrow) than for our final estimates, because of the neglected particle mass. These differences give an indication of the maximum error one would expect when using the raw LASAIR data to directly estimate SHS particle emissions characteristics. Since the current approach neglects evaporation, results may be influenced by the evaporation of SVOC particle constituents. The true emissions may be larger in magnitude and occur at larger particle sizes than we determined. However, using the optimal values of emissions and deposition rate for input, the model 112 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Table 3.2: The Estimated Size Distributions of SHS Particle Emissionsa Integrated SHS Particle Emissionsb Experimentc MMD GSD [µ m] TPM Rate Mass-Normalized [mg] [mg/min] [mg/g-smoked] Regular Cigar #1 0.18 2.5 8.8 0.71 5.2 Regular Cigar #2 0.21 2.2 6.7 0.46 4.6 Regular Cigar #3 0.20 2.4 6.3 0.61 3.3 Premium Cigar 0.18 1.9 4.7 0.35 3.7 Cigarillo #2 0.23 3.1 2.8 0.19 2.9 Cigarette #2 0.21 2.1 5.5 0.90 7.6 Cigarette #3 0.20 2.1 5.0 0.68 7.0 Cigarette #4 0.19 2.1 5.1 0.71 7.1 a These estimates are based primarily on the LASAIR data with initial guesses for particle mass smaller than 0.1 µ m determined from DMPS-based optimization results. The size metric is particle diameter measured in µ m. MMD is the fitted mass median diameter of each size distribution and GSD is the fitted geometric standard deviation. b The “integrated” total particle mass (TPM), emission rate, and mass-normalized emissions were obtained by integrating the estimated size distribution of total mass emissions and dividing by unity, the smoking time, or the mass of tobacco consumed, respectively. c Table 3.4 contains data on smoking time and tobacco mass consumed for each experiment and the results of five additional experiments for which only filter-based, non-size-specific total mass emissions were determined. 0 500 1000 1500 0 500 1000 1500 0.02 0.1 Cigarette #3 Cigarillo #2 Regular Cigar #3 Regular Cigar #1 2 Particle Diameter, Dp [µm] 1 Cigarette #4 Cigarette #2 Premium Cigar Regular Cigar #2 0.1 1 2 0 500 1000 1500 0 500 1000 1500 Figure 3.5: The estimated size distribution of particle mass emission rate (in µ g/min) and the corresponding lognormal fits for eight experiments. The text in each panel gives the type of source used in each experiment. See Table 3.2 for the fitted mass median diameter (MMD), geometric standard deviation (GSD), and integrated mass emissions. The average MMD and GSD were 0.20 µ m and 2.3, respectively. Mass Emission Rate, dE/dlog(Dp) [µg/min] 0.02 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 113 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 114 provides a good fit to SHS particle concentrations for most size ranges and for most times (with model errors generally near or below 10% for 0.1 - 1 µ m particles), and is therefore judged to be an appropriate tool for predicting concentrations and exposures. The agreement between the model and the observed concentrations suggests that the evaporation of SVOCs from SHS particles may not be a very large effect. The optimized DMPS particle mass emissions distributions, which were used to give initial estimates for particle sizes smaller than 0.1 µ m during the LASAIRbased optimization procedure, all had MMD’s of 0.20−0.22 µ m with geometric standard deviations of 1.81−1.86. See Figure 3.6 for a sample fitted lognormal distribution for DMPS data. The GSD values, which are lower than our final LASAIRderived values, may be due to a small amount of neglected mass greater than 1 µ m in diameter. Also, the largest size ranges measured by the LASAIR and DMPS have more uncertainty associated with them than the middle size ranges. Based on optimization, approximately 20% of the DMPS particle mass was found to be emitted for sizes smaller than 0.1 µ m for each of the experiments. To compare these results to a direct estimate from the DMPS data alone (i.e., without applying the model-based optimization procedure), we fit a lognormal distribution to the measured particle number size distribution from the DMPS data that was collected just after the cigar or cigarette was extinguished. The resulting count median diameters (CMD’s) were 0.07−0.09 µ m and geometric standard deviations were all near 1.8 with a corresponding mass median diameter (MMD) of 0.20−0.25 µ m [Hinds, 1982]. These values for MMD and GSD, which neglect particle transformation processes that may have occurred in the first few minutes after the smoke was mixed, are reasonably close to the estimates obtained by using the optimization procedure. These results provide a measure of self-consistency in our approach, and they support the practice of using sufficiently time-resolved concentration measurements by themselves to provide estimates of size-specific SHS emissions. Several previous investigators have studied tobacco smoke particle size distri- 115 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Mass Emission Rate, dE/dlog(Dp) [µg/min] 500 Regular Cigar #2 DMPS 400 MMD = 0.22 µm GSD = 1.83 300 200 100 0 0.01 0.1 1 2 Particle Diameter, Dp [µm] Figure 3.6: The fit of a lognormal distribution to the size distribution of mass emissions in µ g/min based on the DMPS data collected for the Regular Cigar #2 experiment. The fit shown is representative of the quality of the fits for the other two experiments where DMPS emissions estimates were obtained. All DMPS-based MMD’s were near 0.2 µ m and GSD’s were near 1.8. The proportion of mass smaller than 0.1 µ m in these fits was used as the initial guess for model optimization with the LASAIR data, which resulted in our best estimates of the size distribution of particle mass emissions (see Table 3.2). CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 116 butions [Keith and Derrick, 1960; Chang et al., 1985; Ueno and Peters, 1986; Chung and Dunn-Rankin, 1996], but these studies have mostly been focused on mainstream or sidestream smoke, rather than SHS. Those few investigators that have studied SHS particles directly have tended to provide only a cursory examination of the particle size distribution at a particular moment in time [Benner et al., 1989; Kleeman et al., 1999]. The results for the size distribution of SHS particle emissions presented in this section are in generally good agreement with the findings of other investigators who, although they may not have examined SHS per se, have studied mainstream or sidestream smoke, typically after it has been aged and/or diluted. Because concentrated tobacco smoke undergoes coagulation and, in addition, evaporation can occur during dilution, the size distribution of the smoke is sensitive to experimental conditions. Therefore, investigations of fresh or diluted-and-aged mainstream or sidestream smoke are not likely to give results identical to ours. In addition, most of these investigations have used a non-model-based approach to estimate the emissions size distribution. As summarized in Table 3.3, MMD values reported in the literature are in the approximate range of 0.3−0.7 µ m for mainstream smoke [Chang et al., 1985; Anderson et al., 1989; Chung and Dunn-Rankin, 1996], 0.2−0.5 µ m for sidestream smoke [Ueno and Peters, 1986; Ingebrethsen and Sears, 1989; Chung and DunnRankin, 1996], and 0.2−0.5 µ m for SHS [Nazaroff et al., 1993b; Kleeman et al., 1999], with reported GSD values in the range of 1.2−2.0. In spite of the variation in these reported results, SHS particle emissions appear to have a fairly narrow and identifiable distribution. Nearly all freshly dispersed SHS particle mass lies in the diameter range of 0.02−2 µ m. 3.5 Size-Integrated Particle Emissions Table 3.4 contains a summary of each original chamber experiment described above and the filter-based results for size-integrated mass emission rates, massnormalized emissions, and total particle mass (TPM) emissions. Equivalent TPM MS+SS MS SS MS MS SS MS — — — SS MS MS+SS SS MS SS MS MS+SS SS MS+SS Cigarettes Present Work Anderson et al. [1989] Benner et al. [1989] Chang et al. [1985] ” Chung and Dunn-Rankin [1996] ” Hinds [1978] ” ” Ingebrethsen and Sears [1989] Keith and Derrick [1960] Kleeman et al. [1999] Ishizu et al. [1978] Okada and Matsunuma [1974] ” Sextro et al. [1991] f ” Ueno and Peters [1986] Cigars Present Work 5 1 13 44 — — 2 6 4 — 10 1 — — — 6 3 — 3 — 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 — 1 1 1 5 5 — — 1 2 7 Sampleb N T M, C, OPC, DM M, C, OPC, DM M, C, DM M, C, DM M, C, OPC M, C, OPC M, C, AC-NS M, C, CI M, C, AC M, C, OPC, DM M, C, CON H, C, MOUDI M, C, OPC M, C, OPC M, H, OPC M, C, OPC, DM M, C, OPC, DM M, OPC, DM, CI M, C, OPC, DM M, C, DM Methodc 20-50K — 10 e 6−18 e — — 10 10−100 100−700 — 295 — 1000 1500 1500 — — 6-18 e 20-50K 80K Dilution — — 0.10 (0.0084) 0.11 0.23 0.22−26 0.27 0.15 — — — 0.1 0.23 — 0.1 0.17 0.10 – 0.12 — — 0.10 0.20 (0.02) 0.26 0.26 0.25−0.30 0.5 0.7 0.52 0.39−0.52 0.37−0.38 0.20 — 0.3-0.4 — — — 0.22 0.48 0.16 0.20 (0.01) 0.38 (0.02) 2.4 (0.44) — 1.23 1.19−1.27 1.6 2.0 1.37 1.38−1.49 1.31−1.37 — — — 1.5 1.5 1.4 – 1.6 — — 1.4 – 1.7 2.1 (0.0) 2.0 (0.05) Size distribution, mean (std. dev.)d CMD MMD GSD [µ m] [µ m] a Mainstream emissions (MS), sidestream emissions (SS), or both (MS+SS). b Total number of cigars or cigarette experiments (across all source types) (N); number of types of cigars or cigarettes (T). c M = machine smoked; H = human smoked; C = chamber experiment; OPC = optical particle counter; DM = differential mobility analyzer; CON = conifuge; CI = cascade impactor; AC = aerosol centrifuge; AC-NS = aerosol centrifuge in non-spectrometric mode; MOUDI = micro-orifice uniform-deposit impactor. d Particle size distribution characteristics are as follows: CMD is the count median diameter, MMD is the mass median diameter, and GSD is the geometric standard deviation. e Primary dilution ratio. f As reported by Nazaroff et al. [1993b]. Sourcea Study Table 3.3: Reported Size-Specific Tobacco Particle Emissions for Cigarettes and Cigars CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 117 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 118 emissions determined by integrating the particle mass size distributions (Table 3.2) were generally lower than those determined using filters (Table 3.4) with the in-situ real-time measure yielding total particle mass emissions that were 54−84% of the filter-based emissions (absolute differences were 0.9−4.3 mg per cigarette or cigar). The larger values for filters may be a consequence of the collection onto the filters, by sorption or condensation, of SVOCs that are present in SHS. These vapor-phase compounds are likely not detected by the real-time particle sizing instrumentation. Since sidestream nicotine emission factors of 5−7 mg per cigarette have been reported [Daisey et al., 1998], which are relatively large for a single SVOC species, it is plausible that the sorption of nicotine and other SVOCs onto filters could contribute to the observed discrepancies [Mader and Pankow, 2001]. The equivalent integrated emissions were consistently higher for cigarettes (7−8 mg/g-smoked and 0.7−0.9 mg/min) than for cigars (3−5 mg/g-smoked and 0.2−0.7 mg/min). The total particle mass emitted by the cigarillos and premium cigar and their emission rates were markedly lower than for the other types of cigars and for cigarettes, although this finding may be an artifact of leakage around the end-fittings during smoking (the cigarillos had plastic tips and the premium cigar was rather bulky). The mass-normalized emissions (mg/g-smoked), which may be more appropriate for direct comparisons, showed consistent results among different types of cigars. In alignment with the current work, Ueno and Peters [1986] and Chang et al. [1985] report equivalent total mass emissions from real-time instruments (using an electrical mobility analyzer and condensation nucleus counter) that are substantially smaller than determinations based on direct mass measurements (a cascade impactor in their case). Chang et al. [1985] found that when their primary dilution ratio for mainstream smoke was increased from 6 to 18, the equivalent TPM measured from their electrical mobility analyzer decreased dramatically (18 mg/cigarette down to 2.0 mg/cigarette) while the TPM measured with the cascade impactor remained approximately the same (19−21 mg/cigarette). For sidestream smoke, Ueno and Peters [1986] report cascade impactor TPM measurements of 119 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Table 3.4: Summary of Cigar and Cigarette Experiments and Filter-Based SHS Particle Emissions Smoking Tobacco Mass Duration Consumed TPM Rate Mass-Normalized [min] [g] [mg] [mg/min] [mg/g-smoked] Regular Cigar #1 12.5 1.71 10.8 0.86 6.3 Regular Cigar #2 14.8 1.46 8.1 0.55 5.6 Regular Cigar #3 10.3 1.92 9.5 0.92 4.9 Regular Cigar #4 11.3 1.41 11.8 1.04 8.4 Regular Cigar #5 14.0 1.50 7.3 0.52 4.8 Premium Cigar 13.4 1.26 5.6 0.42 4.5 Cigarillo #1 10.1 1.02 4.0 0.67 6.6 Cigarillo #2 14.8 0.96 4.0 0.27 4.1 Cigarillo #3 14.8 1.36 6.3 0.42 4.6 Cigarette #1 5.5 0.73 9.8 1.79 13.4 Cigarette #2 6.1 0.72 7.0 1.15 9.7 Cigarette #3 7.4 0.72 9.3 1.3 13.0 Cigarette #4 7.1 0.72 7.3 1.03 10.1 Experiment a The Filter-Based SHS Particle Emissionsa total particle mass (TPM) emitted by a cigar or cigarette during each experiment was estimated from filter data by taking into account the loss of mass from deposition and ventilation that occurred during sample collection. We estimated the effective total particle removal rate for each experiment by fitting a line to the logarithm of the decaying total particle counts as measured by the LASAIR. Emission rate and mass-normalized emissions were calculated by dividing the TPM emissions by the smoking time or mass of tobacco consumed, respectively. 120 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 6.0−9.6 mg/cigarette across all primary dilution ratios (6−18) compared to equivalent TPM from the electrical mobility analyzer of 1.3−2.3 mg/cigarette. As far as I know, these discrepancies have not been resolved and will require further investigation. Gravimetrically determined values for SHS particle emission factors reported in the literature are in the approximate range of 8−20 mg per cigarette smoked [Hammond et al., 1987; Eatough et al., 1989; Löfroth et al., 1989; Hildemann et al., 1991; Leaderer and Hammond, 1991; Koutrakis et al., 1992; Özkaynak et al., 1996; Martin et al., 1997; Daisey et al., 1998] and approximately 6−50 mg/g-smoked for cigars [CPRT Laboratories, 1990; Leaderer and Hammond, 1991; Nelson et al., 1998, 1999; Klepeis et al., 1999b]. These ranges indicate substantial amounts of unexplained variability, probably stemming from different experimental conditions and methodologies (e.g., sampling volume) in addition to the variety of tobacco products that were used. 3.6 Particle Deposition The particle deposition velocity is defined as the net flux density of particle mass to a surface (mass per area per time) divided by the particle concentration in air (mass per volume), giving it units of length per unit time [Nazaroff et al., 1993a]. The deposition velocity varies with particle diameter. If vd (s) is the deposition velocity onto a surface at position s, then the area-weighted deposition velocity over all room surfaces, vd , is defined as 1 R S s vd (s)ds. The deposition velocity can be used to describe the first-order loss of particles to surfaces as follows: S dC = −C vd dt V (3.2) where C is the room particle concentration [µ g m−3 ], V is the room volume [m3 ], and S is the total room surface area [m2 ]. For simplication, Equation 3.2 is typically written in terms of a deposition loss-rate coefficient defined as β = S V vd for a spe- cific room. Both Thatcher et al. [2002] and Lai [2002] present size-specific particle deposition velocities and loss-rate coefficients from studies in residences. MS+SS SS MS+SS MS+SS MS+SS SS MS+SS MS+SS MS+SS SS MS+SS SS Current Work Daisey et al. [1998] f Hammond et al. [1987]g Hildemann et al. [1991] Leaderer and Hammond [1991]h Löfroth et al. [1989] Martin et al. [1997]i Martin et al. [1997]i Martin et al. [1997]i Ott et al. [1992] * Sextro et al. [1991] j * Sextro et al. [1991] j SS SS MS+SS Cigarettes * Current Work * Ueno and Peters [1986] Ueno and Peters [1986] [Continued.] Sourceb Studya 1 1 3 2 6 4 4 10 1 50 50 50 1 6 2 Samplec M, C, OPC, DM M, C, F, TPM M, C, F, PM2.5 H, C, F, RSP H, HD, F H, C, F, RSP M, C, F, TPM H, C, F, RSP H, C, PZ, RSP H, C, MR, RSP M, C, MR M, C, OPC, DM M, C, OPC, DM M, OPC, DM M, CI Methodd 1.3 – 2.3 6.0 – 9.6 — 8.4 (1.4) 8.1 (2.0) 12.7 (2.1) 20 (4.2) 17 (2.1) 10 13.7 (4.1) 11.6 (3.6) 39.1 (1.7) 49 — 5.2 (0.3) — — 0.7 1.3 (0.33) — 1.7 (0.28) — — — 1.2 1.1 3.6 7.0 2.4 0.76 (0.12) — — — 11.6 (1.9) 12.4 (1.3) 26 (4) — 27 (3.4) 10 - 11 24.5 20.7 69.8 — — 7.2 (0.3) Particle emissions, mean (std. dev.) Total Rate Normalized (mg cig−1 ) (mg min−1 ) (mg g−1 )e Table 3.5: Reported Environmental Tobacco Smoke Particle Mass Emissions from Cigarettes and Cigars CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 121 MS+SS MS+SS — MS+SS MS+SS MS+SS MS+SS Cigars * Current Work Current Work CPRT Laboratories [1990]o Klepeis et al. [1999b] Leaderer and Hammond [1991] Nelson et al. [1998] Nelson et al. [1999] 3 13 1 1 6 20 3 Samplec 1 1 2 178 178 M, C, OPC, DM M, C, F, TPM — H, PZ, RSP H, C, F, RSP H, C, F, RSP H, C, F, RSP Methodd M, OPC, DM M, CI H, PZ, RSP H, PM2.5 H, PM2.5 7.5 (2.8) — 88 — 50 (24) 93 (41) 5.9 (2.3) 0.63 (0.26) — 0.98 — 5.0 (2.4) 9.3 (4.1) 0.46 (0.21) 5.5 (1.4) 10.3 (2.4) 8.2 48 (9) 6.4 (4.1) 12 (5) 3.9 (0.9) Particle emissions, mean (std. dev.) Total Rate Normalized 2.0 – 18.5 — — 19.1 – 20.7 — — — 1.43 (0.01) — 12.7 — — 13.8 (3.6) — — a An asterisk (*) indicates that size-specific SHS particle emissions were measured in this study. b Mainstream (MS), sidestream (SS), or both kinds of emissions (MS+SS) were studied. c The number of different experimental sites or individual types of tobacco sources used. d Key: H = human smokers; M = machine-smoked; C = chamber experiments; HD = emissions collected in a hood; F = filter-based sampling; OPC = optical particle counter; DM = differential mobility analysis; MR = Miniram optical scattering monitor; PZ = piezobalance; RSP = respirable suspended particulate matter; PM2.5 = particulate matter smaller than 2.5 µ m in diameter; TPM = total particulate matter; CI = cascade impactor. e Particle mass emitted per unit mass of tobacco product combusted. f Results shown for six commercial cigarettes, 62.5% of top-selling California cigarettes, ca. 1990. g 40 cigarettes of each type were smoked for each experiment. Emission factors were calculated from information presented in the paper. h The cigarette types smoked in this study represent 48% of the US market, ca. 1987. Results summarized for US commercial cigarettes only. Danish cigarettes and research cigarette (Kentucky 1R 4F) are omitted from this table. Forty cigarettes of each type were smoked for each experiment. i This study presents weighted results for 50 top-selling US cigarette brands, which comprise 65% of the US cigarette market ca. 1991. Each cigarette was tested twice with an 11 min smoking duration and about 0.56 grams of tobacco consumed. j As reported in Nazaroff et al. [1993b]. k The range of results shown is due to varying dilution ratios with more dilution leading to a lower equivalent yield for DM measurements. l This study estimated the average total particle emission rate for cigarettes from real-time measurements in airport smoking lounges over a period of 2-3 h. m Emissions were estimated in the cited reference by fitting nonlinear regression model to average PM2.5 concentrations for 178 homes with valid data out of 394 (excluding homes with pipe or cigar smoking and fireplaces) total in New York state. n Emissions were estimated in the cited reference by fitting nonlinear regression model to average PM2.5 concentrations for 178 homes in Riverside, CA. o As cited in NCI [1998], pp 169 and 178. Sourceb MS MS MS+SS MS+SS MS+SS Studya * Chang et al. [1985]k Chang et al. [1985]k Klepeis et al. [1996]l Koutrakis et al. [1992]m Özkaynak et al. [1996]n Table 3.5. Continued. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 122 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 123 Thatcher et al. [2002] present results from eight studies conducted in full-sized rooms or buildings where particles with diameters of 0.1−0.5 µ m had deposition loss-rate coefficients ranging from approximately 0.01 to 1 h−1 . The wide range of particle loss rates likely reflects the diversity of air speed and furnishing levels present for each set of experimental conditions as well as variation in measurement techniques. Thatcher et al. also present new data on the effect that air speed and room furnishings have on indoor particle deposition rates (Figure 3.7). The minimum particle size they measured was 0.55 µ m, which had deposition loss rates of 0.09−0.27 h−1 depending on the degree of furnishing and changing air speed. The largest size corresponding to tobacco smoke particles, i.e., approximately 2 µ m, had deposition rates ranging from about 0.4 to 1 h−1 . Their general finding was that airspeed and furnishings caused deposition rates to vary for a particular particle size by a factor of approximately 2−3, whereas, for a given set of air speed and furnishing conditions, the deposition rate varied by a factor of about 50 across particle sizes (0.5−10 µ m). Thatcher et al. note that because air exchange rates in dwellings are typically greater than 0.1 h−1 (see Chapter 5 on page 165), 0.1 h−1 may be the minimum particle deposition rate that deserves close attention. Xu et al. [1994] measured the effect of air speed, but not furnishings, on sizespecific deposition loss rates, specifically for SHS particles. They found a general increase of deposition rate as a function of air speed with rates of 0.006−0.3 h−1 for all measured particle sizes (about 0.06−2 µ m) and 0.006−0.1 h−1 for particles in the 0.1−1 µ m range (Figure 3.8). In light of the results of Thatcher et al., if furnishings were present, then the deposition rates might be expected to lie in the range 0.01−0.9 h−1 . Figure 3.9 presents estimates of deposition loss-rate coefficient across six particle diameter ranges and corresponding to the eight experiments in Table 3.2. Results for the lowest and highest diameter ranges were most uncertain because of either an indirect optimization approach (0.02−0.1 µ m) or measurement scatter from sparse particle counts (1−2 µ m). Also in Figure 3.9 are SHS deposition lossrate coefficients determined by Xu et al. [1994] in chamber experiments where four 124 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Deposition Loss−Rate Coefficient [h−1] Deposition Loss−Rate by Furnishing Level and Air Speed 0.5 1 Bare 10 Carpeted Furnished 6 1 0.1 0.5 1 10 0.5 1 10 Particle Diameter [µm] 0 cm/s 5.4 cm/s 14.2 cm/s 19.1 cm/s Deposition Velocity by Furnishing Level and Air Speed 0.5 Deposition Velocity [m h−1] Bare 1 10 Carpeted Furnished 6 1 0.1 0.03 0.5 1 10 0.5 1 10 Particle Diameter [µm] 0 cm/s 5.4 cm/s 14.2 cm/s 19.1 cm/s Figure 3.7: Particle deposition loss-rate (top) and deposition velocity (bottom) determined by Thatcher et al. [2002] for a variety of air speeds and furnishing levels. 125 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Particle loss rate coefficient [h −1 ] 0.4 0.1 Fan Speeds 0 rpm 430 rpm 2000 rpm 3070 rpm 0.01 0.1 1 Particle diameter, Dp [µm] Figure 3.8: Particle deposition rates for SHS measured by Xu et al. [1994] in a lowventilation chamber for four different fan speeds. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 126 small wall fans were operated over a range of different speeds. Their results for the case of the maximum fan speed of 3070 rpm, which is similar to the speed of the six wall fans used in my experiments, are shown. Since this dissertation is concerned with simulating total SHS particle exposures, it is important to estimate a total deposition loss-rate across all SHS particle sizes. Since deposition velocity is defined in terms of the mass flux to a surface, the total deposition rate is calculated by integrating the deposition loss-rate coefficient with respect to size, weighting the integrand by the SHS mass particle size distribution. The use of a total (size-integrated) deposition rate can be problematic, because the mass particle size distribution may change over time. For example, under low air-exchange conditions, the size distribution may become appeciably narrowed before particles are completely cleared due to preferential removal of ultrafine and coarse particles. Based on the results discussed above, the particle deposition loss-rate rates for sizes relevant to the bulk of SHS particles, and occurring in homes that are furnished and have typical residential air speeds, are likely to be in the range of 0.01 to around 0.5 h−1 . Using the estimated mass size distribution for SHS particle emissions from the current work, which has a GM of approximately 0.2 µ m and a GSD of approximately 2, in combination with the reported size-specific deposition rates presented above, the total deposition loss-rate is likely to be approximately 0.1 h−1 or less, which is near the lower end of deposition rates that would strongly compete with the ventilatory removal of SHS particles. 3.7 Emissions and Dynamic Behavior of Gaseous Species In Chapter 2, I presented information on the particulate and gaseous composition of SHS. While particles comprise a substantial portion of total SHS emissions, they contain many toxic species, and they have the ability to deposit deeply in the lung, a variety of toxic gases constitute a large proportion of SHS emissions. These gases fall roughly into two types: (1) those that interact fairly strongly with the surround- 127 Deposition Loss−Rate Coefficient [1/h] CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 10 Present Work Xu et al. (1994) − fans at 3070 rpm 1 0.1 0.01 0.02 0.1 1 2 Particle Diameter, Dp [µm] Figure 3.9: Size-specific particle deposition rates estimated in the current work. Each box represents the range (top and bottom limits) and median (center line) of the deposition rate across a given diameter range. Dashed lines indicate results with higher associated uncertainty. The filled circles represent the results of Xu et al. [1994] for experiments in which four small fans were operating at 3070 rpm, air speed conditions similar to my experiments. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 128 ing environment; and (2) those with relatively low reactivity, either with surfaces or other airborne species. In contrast to SHS particles, which undergo irreversible deposition, nicotine and other volatile SHS species sorb rapidly to indoor surfaces [Löfroth, 1993; Van Loy et al., 1998; Piadé et al., 1999]. Over time, they accumulate and may desorb from surfaces, reentering indoor air over time. Nicotine makes up the largest proportion of volatile organic species in SHS, a fact that has contributed to its extensive use as an SHS tracer in indoor air and exposure studies (see Chapter 2). Some of the measured emission factors associated with nicotine for cigarettes are given in Table 3.6. A variety of investigators have reported “effective” emission factors specifically for nicotine (see Table 3.6) that implicitly incorporate surface sorption (1−3 mg cig−1 ). A few have estimated the true mass yield of nicotine emissions from cigarettes (5−7 mg cig−1 ). Singer et al. [2003] report exposure relevant emission factors (EREF’s) for nicotine and other volatile organic species present in SHS. These EREF’s represent the mass available per cigarette for daily inhalation exposure taking into account adsorption and reemission processes. Of the 29 compounds they studied, only nicotine and 3-ethenylpyridine were markedly affected by surface sorption processes. The eight compounds that were found to have EREF’s of 500 µ g cig−1 or larger at a ventilation rate of 0.6 h−1 were formaldehyde (950), acetaldehyde (2360), acrolein (610), isoprene (2950), acetonitrile (1080), toluene (990), 3-ethenylpyridine (530), and nicotine (1660). Van Loy et al. [2001] report on an empirical study of the interactions between nicotine and common elements of residential environments. They find that a linear kinetic model provided a good fit to their data for experiments involving carpet and wallboard, so that the dynamics of nicotine can be captured with linear sorption and desorption coefficients. Their estimated values for these coefficients were 5.3 m h−1 and 0.00012 h−1 , respectively. The sorption coefficient is analagous to the particle deposition velocity described above in Equation 3.2. I incorporate these parameters into the simulation model described in Chapter 6 to explore the effect CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 129 of nicotine sorption and desorption processes on residential exposure to SHS. The IAQ model equations I use to describe the dynamics of SHS nicotine are presented and discussed in Appendix B. Carbon monoxide (CO) is a nonreactive SHS gas, which does not react with surfaces or other SHS components. Its removal is driven solely by ventilation. Therefore, CO-specific terms in indoor air quality models are limited to the source term, so that varying emission rates for CO, or for a completely different nonreactive species, can be easily treated. CO is one of the primary products of incomplete combustion processes and, in general, its measurement has been standardized with convenient techniques. As a result, many measurement studies of CO have been conducted. As evident from the results of CO emissions characterization studies for cigars and cigarettes listed in Table 3.7, CO contributes more to SHS on a mass basis than particles. Cigarette emissions of CO are approximately 40−80 mg cig−1 and cigar emissions are 160−1200 mg cig−1 . 3.8 Summary and Conclusions Much of this chapter is devoted to a model-based method for estimating sizespecific particle mass emission factors for indoor sources, and to reporting the results of applying this method to data from a set of original cigar and cigarette chamber experiments. The model was fit successfully to the observed data. Figure 3.10 contains illustrative fits of a lognormal distribution to the predicted mass size distribution of SHS particles for one of the experiments. The estimated particle loss-rates are shown in the figure inset. The curves for two different times show how the particle size distribution evolves due to the processes of ventilation, deposition, and coagulation. Full knowledge of the size distribution of SHS particle emissions is essential in understanding their dynamics and in predicting important health related behavior, such as lung deposition or removal by portable or structural filtration technology. However, the focus of this dissertation is on using a simulation model to 130 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Table 3.6: Reported Environmental Tobacco Smoke Nicotine Emissions from Cigarettes and Cigarsa Emissions Source Sample Method [mg cig−1 ] SS 6 M, C 5.4 MS+SS 4 H, C 1.2 Löfroth et al. [1989]b,c SS 1 M, C 0.80, 3.3 Eatough et al. [1989]a MS+SS 50 H, C 7.3 Leaderer and Hammond MS+SS 10 H, C 1.2 MS+SS 50 H, C 1.6 SS 6 M, C 0.92 MS+SS 2 M, C 0.94 Singer et al. [2002]b SS − M, C 0.4−3.8 Singer et al. [2003]b SS − M, C 0.8−3.1 MS+SS 5 M, C 0.66 Study Cigarettes Daisey et al. [1994]a Hammond et al. [1987]b [1991]b Martin et al. [1997]b Daisey et al. [1998]b Klepeis et al. [1999a]b Cigars Klepeis et al. [1999a]b a See notes for Table 3.5. values reflect an attempt to measure the total nicotine SS yield. b Reported values are effective emission factors, which implicitly incorporate the effect of nicotine sorption onto surfaces. c The first, lower reported value corresponds to a series of experiments in which more adsorbent surfaces were present, including two persons, a television, crib, chair, and curtain, and the relative humidity was 50−60%. The humidity was only 30% in the second series of experiments and furnishings were absent, which is reflected in the lower effective emission factor. a Reported 131 CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Table 3.7: Reported Environmental Tobacco Smoke Carbon Monoxide Emissions from Cigarettes and Cigarsa Emissions Source Sample Method [mg cig−1 ] Current Work MS+SS 3 M, C 78 (4.7) Rickert et al. [1984] MS+SS 2 H 41−67 Löfroth et al. [1989] SS 1 M, C 67 Ott et al. [1992] SS 1 M, C 65.8 Klepeis et al. [1996] MS+SS 2 H 83 Martin et al. [1997] MS+SS 50 H, C 55 Nelson et al. [1998] MS+SS 6 H, C 55 Current Work MS+SS 5 M, C 161 (28) Nelson et al. [1998] MS+SS 6 H, C 432 Klepeis et al. [1999b] MS+SS H 630−1200 Nelson et al. [1999] MS+SS H, C 873 (511) Study Cigarettes Cigars a See notes for Table 3.5. 20 132 400 300 Dep. loss coeff. [h−1 ] Particle mass conc., dM / dlog(Dp) [µg m −3] CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION Air Exchange Rate: 0.03 h−1 1 0.1 0.01 1 0.1 470 Minutes After Smoking Dp [µm] 200 1 Minute After Smoking 100 0 0.1 1 Particle diameter, Dp [µm] Figure 3.10: The mass size distributions of SHS particles shortly after a cigarette was smoked in a 20 m3 room and after nearly eight hours had elapsed. The bellshaped curves are fitted lognormal distributions. The earlier, more broad distribution has MMD = 0.23 µ m, GSD = 2.2, and a total mass concentration of 300 µ g m−3 . The later, more narrow distribution has MMD = 0.29 µ m, GSD = 1.4, and a total mass concentration of 100 µ m m−3 . The size-resolved particle deposition rates, determined for this particular experiment, are shown in the upper left inset. In addition to deposition onto surfaces, particles were removed at a ventilation rate of λ = 0.03 h−1 . The particle size distribution becomes narrower in time because larger and smaller particles deposit more quickly than those near the mode of the distribution (0.2 – 0.4 µ m). In addition to the effects of deposition, coagulation causes the mode to shift toward larger sizes. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 133 explore the effects of human location, and door and window positions, on SHS exposure, rather than on SHS particle dose or the performance of particle filters. Including size information in the simulation of SHS exposure will not significantly enhance the study of these factors, and would, instead, potentially obscure the main findings, adding complexity in the analysis of simulation results, and requiring considerably more overhead in computer resources. Therefore, to simplify the simulation of residential SHS exposure in this dissertation, I limit my treatment to size-integrated emission factors and dynamic characteristics. I use the results of original research and reviews of prior work presented in this chapter to calibrate my simulation model with size-integrated values for particle-related parameters. While not incorporated directly in the simulation model, the size distribution of SHS particles informs the selection of integrated parameter values. Based on the results of chamber studies, I estimate the total loss-rate coefficient for irreversible deposition of SHS particles to be approximately 0.1 h−1 . From a variety of studies, I find the total SHS particle emissions of a cigarette to be close to 10 mg cig−1 . I reviewed the literature for values of CO and nicotine SHS emissions and dynamic parameters so that exposure to these species can also be simulated. For these gas-phase species, I find that SHS emissions aer approximately 50 and 5 mg cig−1 , respectively. Carbon monoxide is a nonreactive gas, while nicotine strongly reacts with surfaces. To allow for an accounting of the sorption and desorption of vapor-phase nicotine to and from residential surfaces, I use the reported sorption and desorption coefficients of 5.3 m h−1 and 0.00012 h−1 as parameters in a linear model, which also depends on the surface-to-volume ratio of the modeled indoor space. Two final emissions-related parameters that are required to simulate residential SHS exposure are the per-cigarette duration, which is close to 10 min, and the number cigarettes that a typical medium-level smoker consumes, which has a rough mean of 1−2 packs (20−40 cigarettes) per day. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 134 3.9 References Anderson, P. J., Wilson, J. D., and Hiller, C. F. (1989). Particle size distribution of mainstream tobacco and marijuana smoke. American Review of Respiratory Disease, 140: 202–205. Benner, C. L., Bayona, J. M., Caka, F. M., Tang, H., Lewis, L., Crawford, J., Lamb, J. D., Lee, M. L., Hansen, L. D., and Eatough, D. J. (1989). Chemical composition of environmental tobacco smoke. 2. Particulate-phase compounds. Environmental Science and Technology, 23(6): 688–699. Bohren, C. and Huffman, D. R. (1983). Absorption and Scattering of Light by Small Particles. John Wiley and Sons, New York. Chang, P. T., Peters, L. K., and Ueno, Y. (1985). 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EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 138 Özkaynak, H., Xue, J., Spengler, J., Wallace, L., Pellizzarri, E., and Jenkins, P. (1996). Personal exposure to airborne particle and metals – Results from the particle TEAM study in Riverside, California. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 6(1): 57–78. Piadé, J. J., D’Andrés, S., and Sanders, E. B. (1999). Sorption phenomena of nicotine and ethenylpyridine vapors on different materials in a test chamber. Environmental Science and Technology, 33: 2046–2052. Rickert, W. S., Robinson, J. C., and Collishaw, N. (1984). Yields of tar, nicotine, and carbon monoxide in sidestream smoke from 15 brands of Canadian cigarettes. American Journal of Public Health, 74: 228–231. Sextro, R. G., Gross, E., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1991). Determination of Emissions Profiles for Indoor Particle Phase Environmental Tobacco Smoke. Presented at the 1991 Annual Meeting of the American Association for Aerosol Research. Traverse City, MI. Singer, B. C., Hodgson, A. T., Guevarra, K. S., Hawley, E. L., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2002). Gas-phase organics in environmental tobacco smoke. 1. Effects of smoking rate, ventilation, and furnishing level on emission factors. Environmental Science and Technology, 36(5): 846–853. Singer, B. C., Hodgson, A. T., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2003). Gas-phase organics in environmental tobacco smoke: 2. Exposure-relevant emission factors and indirect exposures from habitual smoking. Atmospheric Environment, 37: 5551–5561. Thatcher, T. L., Lai, A. C. K., Moreno-Jackson, R., Sextro, R. G., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2002). Effects of room furnishings and air speed on particle deposition rates indoors. Atmospheric Environment, 36(11): 1811–1819. TI (1997). The Tax Burden on Tobacco: Historical Compilation, Volume 32. The Tobacco Institute, Washington, DC. Ueno, Y. and Peters, L. K. (1986). Size and generation rate of sidestream cigarette smoke particles. Aerosol Science and Technology, 5: 469–476. Van Loy, M. D., Nazaroff, W. W., and Daisey, J. M. (1998). Nicotine as a marker for environmental tobacco smoke: Implications of sorption on indoor surface materials. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 48(10): 959–968. Van Loy, M. D., Riley, W. J., Daisey, J. M., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2001). Dynamic behavior of semivolatile organic compounds in indoor air. 2. Nicotine and phenanthrene with carpet and wallboard. Environmental Science & Technology, 35(3): 560–567. CHAPTER 3. EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION 139 Xu, M. D., Nematollahi, M., Sextro, R. G., Gadgil, A. J., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1994). Deposition of tobacco smoke particles in a low ventilation room. Aerosol Science and Technology, 20(2): 194–206. 140 Chapter 4 Human Activity Patterns This chapter is devoted to characterizing the residential time-location patterns for occupants of individual US households. In general, two essential ingredients for the occurrence of residential exposure to SHS are: (1) the existence of SHS pollutant concentrations at a particular point in time and space in the house; and (2) the presence of a person at approximately the same point (see Section 2.1.2). Because of the key importance of the timing and location of exposed individuals in different areas of a house, human activity patterns play a central role in simulating residential exposures to SHS. Since SHS pollutants are assumed to be well mixed within individual rooms (see Chapter 5), spatial resolution for occupant location is only needed at the room level. In the current work, I use the measured room-specific time-location patterns described in this chapter, along with pollutant-specific parameters and housing characteristics, to explore frequency distributions of human exposure to residential SHS (see Chapters 8 and 9). In addition to their own location in the house, a nonsmoker’s exposure to emissions from cigarettes and cigars in homes is also strongly modulated by the location of smoking activity and various activities performed by each occupant in different rooms. The relative location of smokers and the nonsmoker, both during and shortly after smoking activity, determines the intensity of direct nonsmoker exposure to SHS emissions. By altering air flow patterns in the house, specific kinds of occupant behavior influence the dispersion, dilution, and persistence of SHS throughout a home. Relevant activities include door and window positions CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 141 and the operation of a centralized air handling system. These activities influence direct exposure to emissions as well as more indirect exposures that may occur some time after smoking has ceased or in areas away from active smokers. At one extreme of potential SHS exposure, either no one smokes in the home or no one other than the smoker is present, in which case receptor SHS exposure is exactly zero. Towards the other extreme, the smoker and nonsmoker are at home continuously and occupying the same room. For intermediate situations, the smoker and nonsmoker occupy different rooms of the house for different time periods, which may be coincident, overlapping, or nonoverlapping. The most detailed and representative human activity and location study conducted for the US population is the National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS), which was sponsored by EPA and carried out in the early-to-mid 1990’s [Klepeis et al., 2001, 1996; Tsang and Klepeis, 1996]. NHAPS was patterned after a previous set of studies conducted on the California population [Jenkins et al., 1992; Wiley et al., 1991a,b]. The NHAPS repondents comprise a representative crosssection of 24-h daily activity patterns in the contiguous US. The 9,386 NHAPS respondents, who were interviewed by telephone, gave a minute-by-minute diary account of their previous day’s activities, including the places they visited and the presence of a smoker in each location. Detailed information was provided on the rooms that each respondent visited while in residences, whether their own or one they were visiting. Thus far, there has been no detailed analysis or use of the NHAPS data with respect to time-location profiles in individual rooms of homes, although a number of modeling efforts make use of broad location categories, such as home, work, school, and automobile (see Section 2.5.2). Since NHAPS contains the precise sequence and duration of room-to-room human behavior for a large sample of people, it represents a rich resource for use in understanding exposures to a variety of pollutants in the residential indoor environment for which a single 24-h period is an appropriate time scale, e.g., for SHS exposure. NHAPS is a limited resource, since the interaction of smoking individuals, non- CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 142 smoking individals, and the house environment constitute a complex ecological web, which cannot be fully characterized by independent activity profiles from unassociated individuals. Coupled location and activity information for multiple residents of a single household, which could be used to understand how relationships among individuals in a home can influence exposures, is missing from the NHAPS data. However, the degree of confluence between multiple residents and the resulting effect on exposure can be addressed in a simulation model to some degree by selecting two individuals from the database who have certain relative characteristics, such as a particular age, gender, and total number of minutes spent at home, and time spent together in the same room. This approach is discussed further in Chapter 6. In addition, NHAPS data do not contain activity information on flow-related activities, such as window, door, air handling, and filtration practices. This information is also generally unavailable from other sources. Using the residential exposure simulation model developed in the current research, I systemically evaluate the effect of different flow-related activities on SHS exposure. This behavior is either superimposed upon the unmodified time-location profiles reported by the NHAPS respondents, or the time-location patterns may be modified to remove time spent by the smoker and nonsmoker in the same room or to restrict the smoker to particular rooms. In this chapter, I conduct a detailed analysis based entirely on on the 24-h NHAPS room-specific human location patterns in terms of the overall time spent in different rooms of one’s own residence, including time spent in the presence of a smoker. For analyses conditioned on residential locations, I only consider those respondents who were reported to live in detached houses. To place the total time spent at home into context, the first section below contains a brief analysis of broad locations a person may visit throughout their day. Examples of raw activity pattern data are included in Appendix A. The statistics I present consist of aggregate time spent over a single 24-h period, including the sample size of people who report visiting a particular location CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 143 (N), the mean time calculated over all respondents – regardless of whether or not they visited that particular location – the sample size of people who visited the location (Doer N), the percentage of people who visited the location (Doer %), and the mean time spent by those who visited the location. In addition, I calculate the mean percentage of time spent in a given location with respect to the whole set of possible locations, where the mean percentage of time spent across all locations sums to 100%. For time spent exposed to SHS or in residential locations, I calculate the mean percentage of time spent by averaging over the percentage for each individual, rather than by dividing the mean time spent in each location by the mean overall time spent in all locations.1 Note that post-stratification weights as described by Klepeis et al. [2001] were used in calculating 24-h statistics. For timeof-day analysis, I calculate the fraction of individuals who were in each of a set of house locations (rooms) across multiple, consecutive 1-h time periods. During each 1-h period, I select the house location that was associated with the most time for a given individual as being representive of the entire 60-min period, although an individual might also have spent sizeable fractions of time in another location. 4.1 Time Spent in Broad Locations Over a 24-h Period As demonstrated by the results of the NHAPS analysis presented in Tables 4.1 and 4.2, the home is undeniably the location where one spends the bulk of one’s life.2 All but a very small percentage of sampled Americans spent time in their own home on the day just before they were interviewed, being at home for a mean time of more than 16 hours, or 2 3 of the day. NHAPS contains data on the reported time spent in different locations while in the presence of an active smoker, which is an indirect measure of exposure, and therefore only indicates potential exposure (see Section 2.1.2). The reported 1 The two calculations are only different if the total time spent in all categories changes between respondents, such as for time spent exposed to SHS in different locations or for the time spent in residential locations. The total time spent in an exhaustive set of NHAPS diary categories is 24-h for all respondents. 2 Note that NHAPS is biased against people not living in homes with telephones. It omits people who are homeless, on vacation, or who may be institutionalized or in the military. CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 144 presence of exposure is used here as a relative measure of exposure in different locations. The measure may be useful to estimate exposure prevalence in different locations, but bias may be inherent in the use of this measure of SHS exposure to estimate exposure duration.3 Respondents can still be exposed to SHS when no smokers are present. In addition a respondent may report the presence of a smoker during an extended time period when active smoking only occurred for a very brief time. Circa 1992-94, when NHAPS was conducted, approximately 26% of respondents reported being in the presence of a smoker in their own home for a mean time of more than 6 h, which was, on average, nearly 43% of the total time spent in the presence of a smoker over a single day. While smoking prevalence has shifted and there is currently more awareness of the dangers of SHS exposure, a significant number of households still contain residents who are exposed to SHS (see Section 2.4.1). The particular household smoking rules that may be applied in individual houses has likely changed, but the room-specific rates of smoker presence reported below give an indication of those rooms where residents are most likely to be exposed. It is worth noting that while in recent years exposure to SHS in office and bar or restaurant settings may be diminishing, exposure occurring in vehicles and outdoors is probably at least the same and has likely increased as more smokers may be forced to shift their smoking behavior to alternate locations. In 1992-94, 83% of Americans reported spending some time in a car, with nearly 15% reporting the presence of a smoker in that location for a mean time of more than one hour, which was, on average, 15% of the total time spent in any location where a smoker was present. 3 Due to the imprecision of smoker-present data in NHAPS, and their receptor orientation, they cannot directly be used to simulate individual smoking events in a household. Therefore, the simulation model presented in Chapter 6 simulates smoker activity using independent data on the duration of smoking events and the number of cigarettes smoked in a day, superimposing these data on a particular individual’s NHAPS time-location profile. 145 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.1: Overall Weighted Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents and Time Spent in the Presence of a Smoker in Six Different Grouped Locations Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Daya Mean Location N Doer Time Doer Doer Mean [min] % N [min] Overall Time Spent In a Residence 9196 990 99.4 9153 996 Office-Factory 9196 78 20.0 1925 388 Bar-Restaurant 9196 27 23.7 2263 112 Other Indoor 9196 158 59.1 5372 267 In a Vehicle 9196 79 83.2 7596 95 Outdoors 9196 109 59.3 5339 184 Time Spent with a Smoker All Locations 9196 163 43.8 3949 372 In a Residence 9196 78 25.6 2331 305 Office-Factory 9196 16 4.3 394 363 Bar-Restaurant 9196 14 10.0 951 143 Other Indoor 9196 19 7.6 725 247 In a Vehicle 9196 11 14.5 1340 79 Outdoors 9196 24 11.4 1038 213 a Means and percentages have been calculated using sample weights, whereas the sample sizes N and Doer N are raw counts. 146 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.2: Weighted Statistics for Mean Percentage of Overall Time Spent and Time Spent with a Smoker by NHAPS Respondents in Six Different Grouped Locations Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Daya Mean Time Mean Time with a Smoker % % In a Residence 68.7 42.7 Office-Factory 5.4 7.2 Bar-Restaurant 1.8 14.6 11.0 12.1 In a Vehicle 5.5 8.7 Outdoors 7.6 14.7 100.0 100.0 Location Other Indoor Total a The overall mean percentage time spent was calculated by dividing the mean number of minutes spent by NHAPS respondents in each location by the total time spent on the diary day, i.e., 24-h = 1440 min. The mean percentage time spent with a smoker was calculated by dividing the time spent with a smoker for each NHAPS respondent in each location by the total time spent by the same respondent with a smoker on the diary day, and then averaging this value over all respondents. CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 147 4.2 Time Spent at Home in Different Rooms A standout feature of time spent at home over the course of a day is that almost 98% of Americans spend time in the bedroom for a mean time of more than 9 hours, which is 58% of the time spent, on average, in any location in or around the house (see Table 4.3). Consistent with the amount of time spent in the bedroom is the fact that over 6% of Americans were exposed to SHS in the bedroom for over 3 hours, on average, which is more than 15% of the total time they spent, on average, being exposed in the home (see Table 4.4). The residential location with the highest average percentage of time spent in the presence of a smoker was the living room with 46%, although only an average of 19% of the total time was spent in the living room. Besides the bedroom and the living room, the only other room with a proportion of the total time spent in the presence of a smoker over 10% was the kitchen with 13%, although half of this proportion of time was spent overall (7%). Taken together, the kitchen, living room, and bedroom account for over 85% of the total time spent at home. These three rooms account for 74% of the time spent in the presence of a smoker, with 9% spent when moving from room-to-room and almost 8% spent in an area just outside of the house. From Figure 4.2 and the accompanying legend for different rooms in Figure 4.1, it is apparent that the largest fraction of individuals are in the bedroom until about 9 AM and after 11 PM, as might be expected. During the middle of the day, and especially between 6 PM and 10 PM, more people are in the kitchen and living room than in any other room of the house, although about 40−60% of people are away from home between the hours of 9 AM and 6 PM. The presence of a smoker in the morning occurs primarily in the bedroom, shifting to the living room and the kitchen during midday. In the afternoon and evening, more than twice as much time spent in a smoker’s presence occurs in the living room than for any other single room, although by midnight the bedroom has progressed to a comparable level. The duration of time spent in location episodes, i.e., continuous portions of time in a given room, is relevant to the time scales over which persons might be 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 Living, Family, Den Dining Room Bathroom Bedroom Study, Office Garage Basement Utility, Laundry Pool, Spa Yard, Outdoors Room to Room In and Out of House Other, Verified Refused to Answer 15 86 390 2393 1693 59 314 218 162 254 5756 4181 1150 4796 4548 N 0.3 1.5 6.6 40.6 28.7 1.0 5.3 3.7 2.7 4.3 97.6 70.9 19.5 81.4 77.2 % Doer 0.3 1.9 6.3 54.6 40.2 1.0 3.9 5.2 3.2 9.8 547.4 24.5 13.8 199.5 75.3 [min] Mean Time 131.4 129.1 94.5 134.5 140.1 98.4 72.7 141.4 117.2 227.1 560.6 34.5 70.6 245.2 97.6 [min] Mean Time 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.0 3.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.9 58.0 2.7 1.3 19.3 7.2 % Mean Timea Time % was calculated by averaging over the individual percentages of time spent in each residential location reported by each NHAPS respondent, rather than from the calculated mean time spent in each location. a Mean 5895 N Kitchen Location Doer Doer Table 4.3: Overall Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 148 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 5895 Living, Family, Den Dining Room Bathroom Bedroom Study, Office Garage Basement Utility, Laundry Pool, Spa Yard, Outdoors Room to Room In and Out of House Other, Verified Refused to Answer 0 9 29 284 177 7 23 14 17 31 364 108 93 828 486 N 0.0 0.2 0.5 4.8 3.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 6.2 1.8 1.6 14.0 8.2 % Doer 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.2 5.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.1 12.5 0.6 1.3 29.4 7.2 [min] Mean Time 252.2 164.6 148.7 169.9 111.4 79.1 186.4 141.8 200.2 202.3 34.8 83.7 209.6 87.4 [min] Mean Time 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.3 7.7 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.2 15.4 1.5 2.5 45.9 13.0 % Mean Timea respondent, rather than from the calculated mean time spent in each location. a Mean Time % was calculated by averaging over the individual percentages of time spent in residential locations reported by each NHAPS 5895 N Kitchen Location Doer Doer Table 4.4: Overall Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents in the Presence of a Smoker Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 149 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 150 Residential Locations Visited Kitchen Living Room, Family Room, Den Dining Room Bathroom Bedroom Study, Office Garage Basement Utility Room, Laundry Room Pool/Spa (Outdoors) Yard/Other Outside House Moving From Room to Room Moving In and Out of House Other Verified Refused to Answer Figure 4.1: Legend for the plots of the hourly fraction of time that NHAPS respondents spent in different rooms of their house presented in Figures 4.2−4.5. 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Mid 6A Time of Day Noon 6P Residential Locations Mid 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 Mid 6A Time of Day Noon 6P Mid Residential Locations with SHS Exposure Fraction of Individuals Figure 4.2: Stacked bar charts showing the overall fraction of NHAPS respondents living in detached houses who spent time in various locations (left), and who spent time in the presence of a smoker in various locations (right), in and around their home during each hour of the day. Fraction of Individuals 1.0 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 151 152 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.5: Statistics for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes During Continuous Individual Episodes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day Percentiles Location 25th 50th 75th Mean [min] [min] [min] [min] 40 34.4 Kitchen 15 30.0 Living, Family, Den 30 60 120 91 Dining Room 20 30 60 43 Bathroom 10 15 30 21 Bedroom 30 105 300 170 Study, Office 60 90 180 126 Garage 16 60 120 91 Basement 30 60 120 93 Utility, Laundry 15.0 40 90 59 Pool, Spa 35.5 78 135 100 Yard, Outdoors 30.0 60 120 85 Room to Room 30.0 60 118 84 In and Out of House 15.0 30 120 80 Other, Verified 20 45 90 70 Refused to Answer 48 75 180 170 in close proximity to a smoker in a given room of the house. The distribution of time spent in individual episodes for each residential location is summarized in Table 4.5. Excluding the bedroom, the mean time spent in rooms ranged from about 20 min in the bathroom to 126 min in a study or office. The mean time per episode spent in the bedroom was 170 min, but this likely reflects two different periods of continuous time just before or just before midnight. CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 153 4.2.1 Time Spent by Age Persons over the age of 65, many of whom are presumed to be retired, reported spending the least percentage of time in the bedroom of any age group at 47% and the largest percentage of time, and absolute length of time, in the living room and kitchen at 26% and 10%, respectively. Persons of working age (between 18 and 65) had the second to least percentage of time in the bedroom at 58% (see Table 4.6). While children under age 5 spent a somewhat smaller percentage of time in the bedroom than older children aged 5−18, they spent the greatest absolute length of time in the bedroom, on average, at more than 12 h. It is evident from Figure 4.3 that some of the time young children under age 5 spent in the bedroom can be accounted for by midday naps between approximately 1 and 5 PM, whereas most older children and adults aged 18−65 are out of the house during this time period. Adults over the age of 65 spent comparable amounts of time at home as young children do, but their time is predominantly spent in the living room, kitchen, and moving about the house. The large amount of time that older adults spent in the kitchen corresponds to three rather large and distinct peaks of activity approximately centered around 8AM, 1PM, and 6PM, and corresponding to 20% or more of respondents. 4.2.2 Time Spent by Gender The differences in location patterns for males and females are slight (see Table 4.7). Both groups spent approximately 57−59% of their time at home in the bedroom, on average, and 18−20% of their time in the living room. However, females spent more than 8% of their time, corresponding to about 1.9 hours, at home in the kitchen, whereas males spent aboue 6%, or 1.3 h, on average. Females also spent slightly more time moving about the home, whereas males spent slightly more time outside in the yard. The time-location profiles of males and females are quite similar (Figure 4.4), except that males spent slightly less time at home than females in the middle of the day, and females have a noticeably higher peak of activity in the kitchen around 154 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.6: Statistics by Age for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day Doer Doer Doer Mean Time Mean Time Mean Timea N N % [min] [min] % Kitchen 321 224 69.8 54.8 78.6 4.5 Living, Family, Den 321 262 81.6 187.8 230.1 15.7 Dining Room 321 75 23.4 14.3 61.3 1.2 Bathroom 321 210 65.4 23.9 36.5 2.0 Bedroom 321 312 97.2 721.7 742.5 62.9 Study, Office 321 3 0.9 1.6 166.7 0.1 Garage 321 4 1.2 1.0 83.5 0.1 Basement 321 5 1.6 1.5 95.0 0.1 Utility, Laundry 321 3 0.9 0.7 75.0 0.1 Pool, Spa 321 6 1.9 2.1 110.0 0.2 Yard, Outdoors 321 111 34.6 47.8 138.2 3.8 Room to Room 321 157 48.9 102.3 209.1 8.1 In and Out of House 321 22 6.9 10.7 155.5 0.9 Other, Verified 321 2 0.6 0.9 145.0 0.1 Refused to Answer 321 1 0.3 0.1 40.0 0.0 Kitchen 499 345 69.1 42.8 61.9 4.3 Living, Family, Den 499 405 81.2 141.1 173.8 13.5 Dining Room 499 140 28.1 15.0 53.5 1.5 Bathroom 499 348 69.7 19.9 28.5 2.1 Bedroom 499 489 98.0 652.8 666.1 68.2 Study, Office 499 3 0.6 0.1 24.0 0.0 Garage 499 5 1.0 0.7 70.0 0.1 Basement 499 21 4.2 6.1 145.5 0.6 Utility, Laundry 499 3 0.6 0.6 105.7 0.0 Pool, Spa 499 9 1.8 2.3 127.8 0.2 Yard, Outdoors 499 200 40.1 58.7 146.4 5.2 Room to Room 499 172 34.5 36.5 105.9 3.4 In and Out of House 499 29 5.8 8.5 146.0 0.8 Other, Verified 499 5 1.0 0.4 39.2 0.0 Refused to Answer 499 0 0.0 0.0 Age 0 −5 5−12 Location Continued. 0.0 155 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.6. Continued. Doer Doer Doer Mean Time Mean Time Mean Timea N N % [min] [min] % Kitchen 447 307 68.7 35.8 52.1 4.0 Living, Family, Den 447 355 79.4 163.0 205.2 17.1 Dining Room 447 81 18.1 9.8 53.8 1.0 Bathroom 447 334 74.7 20.4 27.3 2.3 Bedroom 447 439 98.2 619.1 630.4 69.3 Study, Office 447 10 2.2 2.8 126.0 0.2 Garage 447 12 2.7 2.2 80.8 0.2 Basement 447 21 4.7 4.3 91.3 0.5 Utility, Laundry 447 5 1.1 0.7 64.8 0.1 Pool, Spa 447 4 0.9 0.9 96.2 0.1 Yard, Outdoors 447 122 27.3 29.7 108.9 2.9 Room to Room 447 117 26.2 20.0 76.5 2.0 In and Out of House 447 15 3.4 2.1 62.1 0.2 Other, Verified 447 2 0.4 0.1 32.5 0.0 Refused to Answer 447 1 0.2 0.4 180.0 0.0 Kitchen 3719 2875 77.3 74.5 96.4 7.5 Living, Family, Den 3719 2969 79.8 184.4 230.9 18.9 Dining Room 3719 671 18.0 12.5 69.5 1.2 Bathroom 3719 2769 74.5 25.8 34.6 3.1 Bedroom 3719 3623 97.4 513.2 526.8 57.8 Study, Office 3719 193 5.2 12.6 243.5 1.2 Garage 3719 105 2.8 3.8 133.7 0.3 Basement 3719 138 3.7 5.6 150.9 0.6 Utility, Laundry 3719 254 6.8 5.0 72.8 0.5 Pool, Spa 3719 32 0.9 0.9 102.2 0.1 Yard, Outdoors 3719 946 25.4 35.7 140.5 3.3 Room to Room 3719 1483 39.9 50.9 127.7 5.0 In and Out of House 3719 258 6.9 4.9 70.5 0.5 Other, Verified 3719 56 1.5 2.0 135.0 0.2 Refused to Answer 3719 7 0.2 0.3 144.3 0.0 Age 12−18 18−65 Location Continued. 156 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.6. Continued. Doer Age 65+ a Mean Doer Doer Mean Time Mean Time Mean Timea N N % [min] [min] % Kitchen 909 797 87.7 123.0 140.3 10.1 Living, Family, Den 909 805 88.6 315.6 356.4 26.2 Dining Room 909 183 20.1 19.8 98.5 1.6 Bathroom 909 520 57.2 23.9 41.8 2.1 Bedroom 909 893 98.2 532.4 541.9 46.5 Study, Office 909 45 5.0 9.7 196.4 0.8 Garage 909 36 4.0 3.6 91.4 0.3 Basement 909 33 3.6 5.0 137.6 0.4 Utility, Laundry 909 49 5.4 3.8 70.7 0.3 Pool, Spa 909 8 0.9 0.4 42.0 0.0 Yard, Outdoors 909 314 34.5 50.9 147.4 4.0 Room to Room 909 464 51.0 79.6 156.0 6.6 In and Out of House 909 66 7.3 11.1 153.0 0.9 Other, Verified 909 21 2.3 3.3 142.4 0.3 Refused to Answer 909 6 0.7 0.8 123.5 0.1 Location Time % was calculated by averaging over the individual percentages of time spent in residential locations reported by each NHAPS respondent, rather than from the calculated mean time spent in each location. 157 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Residential Locations by Age Mid 6A Noon 6P Mid 0−5 5−12 12−18 1.0 Fraction of Individuals 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 18−65 65+ 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Mid 6A Noon 6P Mid Time of Day Figure 4.3: Stacked bar charts, grouped by age, showing the fraction of NHAPS respondents living in detached houses who spent time in various locations in and around their home during each hour of the day. CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 158 6PM. The time that males and females spent at home during midday is associated with yard activities more than at any other time of day, whereas for females there is more activity moving from room to room in the house during midday than for any other time of day. 4.2.3 Time Spent by Day of Week As with differences according to gender, differences between 24-h aggregate time spent into different home locations by day of the week are small (see Table 4.8). As expected, respondents spent more mean absolute time in their bedrooms (9.7 hours versus 9 hours), living rooms (4.6 hours versus 3.9 hours), and kitchens (1.7 hours versus 1.6 hours) on weekends than on weekdays, although the mean percentage of time spent in these locations was comparable. On weekends, there are slightly fewer people in their bedrooms in the early morning hours, probably due to late-night activities and the peak of people spending time in the kitchen in the morning is shifted from about 8AM to about 9AM relative to weekdays. The time normally spent in the middle of the day out of the house on weekdays, e.g., at work or school, is made up largely by time spent in the living room, the laundry room, or outdoors in the yard. 4.2.4 Time Spent by House Size The most likely house layout for NHAPS repondents was a single-storied residence with five or six rooms (Table 4.9). Two-storied residences most commonly had six to eight rooms. While large residences are likely to have multiple bedrooms and living areas, NHAPS respondents only reported spending time in a single generic room of each type. Therefore, as might be expected in this situation, the time-location patterns in different sized houses are essentially indistinguishable. Irregularities only arise between groups when samples sizes are very small, which is the case for homes with a small number of rooms, especially when combined with two or more stories. 159 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.7: Statistics by Gender for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day Gender Female Male Doer Mean Time Meana Time Doer Doer Mean Time N N % [min] [min] % Kitchen 3129 2565 82.0 91.4 111.5 8.4 Living, Family, Den 3129 2519 80.5 199.5 247.8 18.3 Dining Room Bathroom 3129 3129 631 2222 20.2 71.0 15.0 25.4 74.3 35.8 1.4 2.7 Bedroom Study, Office 3129 3129 3073 97 98.2 3.1 562.8 6.4 573.1 207.2 57.4 0.5 Garage Basement 3129 3129 59 113 1.9 3.6 1.3 4.6 68.0 128.4 0.1 0.4 Utility, Laundry Pool, Spa 3129 3129 263 36 8.4 1.2 6.0 1.2 70.9 102.1 0.5 0.1 Yard, Outdoors Room to Room 3129 3129 784 1589 25.1 50.8 29.3 73.9 116.9 145.6 2.6 6.7 In and Out of House Other, Verified 3129 3129 246 51 7.9 1.6 7.1 1.9 90.0 114.0 0.6 0.2 Location Refused to Answer 3129 8 0.3 0.3 122.5 0.0 Kitchen Living, Family, Den 2766 2766 1983 2277 71.7 82.3 57.1 199.6 79.6 242.4 5.8 20.3 Dining Room Bathroom 2766 2766 519 1959 18.8 70.8 12.4 23.4 66.0 33.1 1.2 2.7 Bedroom Study, Office 2766 2766 2683 157 97.0 5.7 529.8 13.6 546.2 239.3 58.7 1.3 Garage 2766 103 3.7 5.4 145.4 0.5 Basement Utility, Laundry 2766 2766 105 51 3.8 1.8 5.9 1.5 155.3 82.0 0.6 0.2 Pool, Spa Yard, Outdoors 2766 2766 23 909 0.8 32.9 0.8 52.6 92.5 160.1 0.1 4.7 Room to Room In and Out of House 2766 2766 804 144 29.1 5.2 32.7 5.3 112.5 102.2 3.2 0.5 Other, Verified 2766 35 1.3 1.9 151.1 0.2 Refused to Answer 2766 7 0.3 0.4 141.6 0.0 a Mean Time % was calculated by averaging over the individual percentages of time spent in residential locations reported by each NHAPS respondent, rather than from the calculated mean time spent in each location. 160 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Residential Locations by Gender Mid 6A FEMALE Noon 6P Mid MALE Fraction of Individuals 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Mid 6A Noon 6P Mid Time of Day Figure 4.4: Stacked bar charts, grouped by gender, showing the fraction of NHAPS respondents living in detached houses who spent time in various locations in and around their home during each hour of the day. 161 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.8: Statistics by Day of Week for Time Spent by NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes in Different Rooms of Their Residence Over a 24-h Period Starting at 12:00 AM on the Diary Day Doer Day Weekend Weekday Mean Time Meana Time Doer Doer Mean Time Location N N % [min] [min] % Kitchen Living, Family, Den 1939 1939 1435 1568 74.0 80.9 76.7 222.4 103.7 275.1 7.0 20.6 Dining Room Bathroom 1939 1939 395 1282 20.4 66.1 15.5 24.2 75.9 36.6 1.4 2.6 Bedroom Study, Office 1939 1939 1884 59 97.2 3.0 566.8 7.4 583.4 243.6 56.3 0.7 Garage Basement 1939 1939 67 73 3.5 3.8 3.7 5.5 105.9 146.3 0.3 0.5 Utility, Laundry 1939 90 4.6 3.8 82.4 0.3 Pool, Spa Yard, Outdoors 1939 1939 21 628 1.1 32.4 1.1 52.4 97.9 161.9 0.1 4.5 Room to Room In and Out of House 1939 1939 740 146 38.2 7.5 54.8 7.6 143.7 100.7 4.9 0.7 Other, Verified Refused to Answer 1939 1939 28 5 1.4 0.3 2.5 0.4 171.2 164.0 0.2 0.0 Kitchen 3956 3113 78.7 74.6 94.8 7.3 Living, Family, Den Dining Room 3956 3956 3228 755 81.6 19.1 188.3 12.9 230.7 67.8 18.6 1.3 Bathroom Bedroom 3956 3956 2899 3872 73.3 97.9 24.6 537.8 33.6 549.5 2.8 58.9 Study, Office Garage 3956 3956 195 95 4.9 2.4 10.9 3.0 222.0 125.1 1.0 0.3 Basement Utility, Laundry 3956 3956 145 224 3.7 5.7 5.1 3.9 138.9 68.8 0.5 0.4 Pool, Spa Yard, Outdoors 3956 3956 38 1065 1.0 26.9 0.9 34.3 98.6 127.2 0.1 3.1 Room to Room In and Out of House 3956 3956 1653 244 41.8 6.2 54.5 5.6 130.3 90.9 5.1 0.5 Other, Verified 3956 58 1.5 1.6 108.8 0.1 Refused to Answer 3956 10 0.3 0.3 115.1 0.0 Time % was calculated by averaging over the individual percentages of time spent in residential locations reported by each NHAPS respondent, rather than from the calculated mean time spent in each location. a Mean 162 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Residential Locations by Day of Week Mid 6A WEEKEND Noon 6P Mid WEEKDAY Fraction of Individuals 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Mid 6A Noon 6P Mid Time of Day Figure 4.5: Stacked bar charts, grouped by day of the week, showing the fraction of NHAPS respondents living in detached houses who spent time in various locations in and around their home during each hour of the day. 163 CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS Table 4.9: Sample Size by Number of Rooms and Floors for NHAPS Respondents Living in Detached Homes Number of Rooms No. Floors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 10 27 156 351 861 894 473 231 98 50 2 0 7 51 89 293 479 415 399 221 144 3 0 0 9 19 53 121 136 147 89 72 4.3 Summary and Conclusions The human activity data presented in this chapter represents a rich data resource for use in simulating exposure to SHS in homes. The data contain event time series for a large and representative sample of Americans, recording their whereabouts in their homes for a single day. These data form a foundation of behavior patterns for persons occupying a home, providing the substrate upon which smoking behavior, air-flow-related behavior, and various mitigation strategies, can be superimposed. They provide a unique means to incorporate realistic variation in human time-location patterns into a simulation, which can drive exploration of factors causing variation in exposure. Since there is a natural diurnal cycle in human behavior, and smoking and SHS exposure events take place on times scales that are less than a single day, the 24-h cross-section inherent in the NHAPS data is suitable for the analysis of SHS exposure in homes. Although the data do not contain information for multiple persons in a given household, thereby capturing intrinsic interdependencies in behavior for the sampled population, the data can be resampled to match individuals to one another that have varying amounts of time spent together in different rooms of the house. In this way the effect on exposure of time-varying proximity to the smoker can be explored. The rooms where the most time is spent, in order from greatest to smallest, are the bedroom, living room, and kitchen, where the percentage of time spent in each of these rooms diminishes by a factor of three in turn. The most time spent exposed to SHS occurs in CHAPTER 4. HUMAN ACTIVITY PATTERNS 164 the living room with approxiatly a third as much time spent exposed in the kitchen and bedroom. 4.4 References Jenkins, P., Phillips, T., Mulberg, E., and Hui, S. (1992). Activity patterns of Californians: Use of and proximity to indoor pollutant sources. Atmospheric Environment, 26A(12): 2141–2148. Klepeis, N. E., Nelson, W. C., Ott, W. R., Robinson, J. P., Tsang, A. M., Switzer, P., Behar, J. V., Hern, S. C., and Engelmann, W. H. (2001). The National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS): A resource for assessing exposure to environmental pollutants. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 11(3): 231–252. Klepeis, N. E., Tsang, A. M., and Behar, J. V. (1996). Analysis of the National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) Responses from a Standpoint of Exposure Assessment. EPA/600/R-96/074, US EPA, Washington D. C. Tsang, A. M. and Klepeis, N. E. (1996). Descriptive Statistics Tables from a Detailed Analysis of the National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) Data. EPA/600/R-96/148, US EPA, Washington D. C. Wiley, J., Robinson, J. P., Cheng, Y., Piazza, T., Stork, L., and Pladsen, K. (1991a). Study of Children’s Activity Patterns. California Air Resources Board, Contract No. A733-149, Sacramento, CA. Wiley, J., Robinson, J. P., Piazza, T., Garrett, K., Cirksena, K., Cheng, Y., and Martin, G. (1991b). Activity Patterns of California Residents. California Air Resources Board, Contract No. A6-177-33, Sacramento, CA. 165 Chapter 5 Housing Characteristics The purpose of this chapter is to establish typical or reasonable physical and enviromental parameters for houses located in the US. These parameters, consisting of house dimensions (volumes and surface areas), single-zone mixing rates, outdoor air-exchange rates, open-window air flow rates, and interzonal air flow rates, are to be used either directly or indirectly in this dissertation as input into a multicompartment indoor air quality model. This model is the centerpiece of a larger simulation model, which I use to calculate exposure to residential secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS) using both scripted and measured distributions of residential human location patterns (see Chapters 7, 8, and 9). One of the most important housing characteristics, and one which determines the general validity of most indoor air quality (IAQ) models, is the rapidity with which pollutants become mixed within a single zone. Generally, mixing within a single zone is assumed to be so rapid that emitted pollutants can be considered instantaneously distributed throughout that zone. In contrast, mixing between zones may be impeded by contricted passageways, or closed doorways, causing differences in interzonal concentrations. Various studies have established the importance of the degree of interzonal flow, especially with respect to door position, in affecting inter-room concentration differences. Therefore, in addition to the issue of single-zone mixing, the key characteristics of houses with respect to in-house exposures are expected to be the mere existence of multiple distinct rooms coupled with relatively low inter-room air flow rates. Other housing characteristics, such CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 166 as zone size, surface areas, and leakage rates, are also expected to affect exposures. However, their effects are fairly well understood. Since the approach I take in this dissertation is one of exploration rather than exhaustive prediction, I seek central estimates for each quantitative parameter rather than the comprehensive characterization of distributions. For analyses in subsequent chapters, I select a residential environment and surrounding characteristics that are reasonably reflective of those in the US housing stock and use them as a fixed platform upon which to conduct simulation trials. The purpose of these trials is a better understanding of how changes in exposure occur in response to variation in human location patterns and flow-influencing behavior within a multizone context. Although the underlying focus is on detached, full-size homes, which represent the most common type of US residence, the mixing and flowrelated housing characteristics presented in this chapter are generally applicable to all types of housing. 5.1 Mixing Within a Single Zone To apply an IAQ model, which is based on a mass-balance between zones that are assumed to be instantaneously well-mixed, the rate of mixing in individual rooms must occur rapidly over time scales relevant to human presence and human activities. The overall time scale of a single 24-h period, which I use in the present work, seems appropriate to capture multiple smoking and exposure events over the natural human diurnal cycle. From the human location patterns presented in Chapter 4, it appears that the hourly fraction of individuals in different rooms changes rapidly during the middle portions of the day. These data suggest that occupant movement, smoking activity, door and window opening, and central air handling – all activities that affect indoor SHS levels – can be expected to undergo changes on the time scale of a few hours or less. Hence, for the well-mixed singlezone assumption to be reasonably valid and allow for the use of a simple mass balance equation in realistically predicting time-varying room concentrations and ultimately in assessing exposure time-profiles of house occupants to these concen- CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 167 tration profiles, rooms should become uniformly mixed in time periods well under 1 h. Several studies published during the past decade report measured indoor single-zone mixing rates. Klepeis [1999] reviewed the work of Baughman et al. [1994], Drescher et al. [1995], and Mage and Ott [1996], and presents new data on mixing rates measured in residential, commercial, and public settings.1 Generally, the mixing of point releases, such as for a single cigarette, was found to occur rapidly enough so that different points in a room were in approximate agreement within a period of 15 min or less in laboratory settings with typical natural convection or forced convection, or in realistic field settings, such as residences or taverns. Selected data from Baughman et al. [1994], which are presented in Figure 5.1, illustrate how, for rooms that have energy input equivalent to that from sunlight shining through a window, complete mixing of a point pollutant release can occur within about 5 min. The presence and movement of people within a room is likely to inject energy on the order of (or greater than) that for impinging sunlight, so the results reported by Klepeis for field settings appear consistent. These findings support the use of a mass balance model under the well-mixedzone assumption to realistically describe dynamic and time-averaged air pollutant concentrations resulting from short releases over time periods of 15 min or more – and possibly over even shorter time periods. The mean occupancy time in major rooms of a residence, such as the living room, dining room, and kitchen, is on the order of 70−245 min, with individual episodes for these rooms equal to 30−90 min, on average. An average of 9 h is spent in the bedroom (see Chapter 4). However, the results described so far may not be applicable to cases of extreme sourcereceptor proximity during active smoking. Errors in predicted exposure, i.e., differences from true exposure, can arise when individuals spend time in a room close to an active, or recently extinguished, tobacco source. Both Furtaw et al. [1996] and McBride et al. [1999] provide evidence that concentrations near an active source can be substantially elevated, on average, by 2−3 times the expected room con1 Some of the data used by Klepeis [1999] also appears in Ott et al. [2003]. CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 168 centrations for the well-mixed room. These investigators find sharp spikes in concentration for locations in close proximity to sources, overlaying the gradual rise in the room concentration. If these spikes are averaged over extended time periods when the exposed person is not in close proximity to a source, or when there are no active sources, then it is possible that the cumulative effect on exposure would be small. 5.2 Zone Volumes and Surface Areas Murray [1997] presents the results of an analyzing of two databases containing house size information for residences throughout the US. One database is a representative sample of 7,041 individual households collected by the US Department of Energy and the other is an amalgamation of data from over 4,000 homes collected by the Brookhaven National Laboratory. The latter database is not necessarily representative of the US. House volumes were estimated from floor area data by assuming a ceiling height of 8 ft. For these data sets, house volumes were well fitted by a lognormal model giving an overall geometric mean (GM) of 323 m3 and an overall geometric standard deviation (GSD) of 1.8 for portions of homes that were heated. No reliable information on room-specific volumes appears to be available. The 2001 US American Housing Survey (AHS) collected information on floor area from a representative sample of US households disaggregated by the number of rooms and stories. A frequency tabulation of unweighted data for the segment of the respondents (n=29,356) who lived in one-unit buildings is given in Table 5.1, where house volume has been calculated from floor area estimates, following Murray’s use of an 8-ft ceiling height. The most common volume was in the range of 226−340 m3 for houses having five rooms and a single story. The rate of surface deposition and sorption of air pollutants in a residence depends on the amount of available surface area in a given room. The typical quantity used in characterizing surface area, and as a parameter in air pollutant dynamics models, is the surface-to-volume ratio, which is a function of the amount of open flat surface, e.g., floors, walls, and tables, as well as more finely textured surface Sunlight, Min 5 Sunlight, Min 2 Sunlight, Min 10 Quiescent, Min 10 Sunlight, Min 15 Quiescent, Min 15 Figure 5.1: Panels showing snapshots of the extent of SF6 tracer gas mixing at four times and for two sets of conditions, as measured in a 31-m3 room. The conditions are (1) “quiescent,” with windows covered and a minimum of air movement; and (2) “sunlight,” in which sunlight entered through two 1.25 m2 windows, providing about 600 W of incident solar energy. The area of each circle in a panel is proportional to the concentration of SF6 gas measured at a corresponding monitoring location. The SF6 was emitted over a brief period from a point in the lower right portion of the room, to simulate the emissions from a smoldering cigarette. Nine breathing-height sampling points (1.2 – 1.6 m high) were positioned in a rectangular pattern in the middle of the room, and four additional sampling points were established 1 cm from the center of each wall. Under quiescent conditions, the tracer remained incompletely mixed after 15 min, whereas the buoyancy induced mixing in the sunlight case caused the tracer to become fully mixed within this period. (Note: Raw data from Baughman et al. [1994] were interpolated with cubic splines to create the regular time series shown in this figure.) Quiescent, Min 5 Quiescent, Min 2 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 169 No. Stories One Two Three > Three One Two Three > Three One Two Three > Three One Two Three > Three No. Rooms One One One One TOTAL Two Two Two Two TOTAL Three Three Three Three TOTAL Four Four Four Four TOTAL [Continued.] 75 24 9 2 110 103 19 10 8 140 45 6 1 3 55 < 113 14 3 0 2 19 < 500 843 299 66 20 1228 319 112 43 21 495 28 12 2 7 49 113-226 10 0 0 0 10 500 - 999 826 332 94 14 1266 91 42 2 7 142 11 3 2 0 16 226-340 2 0 0 0 2 1000-1499 10 10 3 1 24 0 1 1 1 3 223 157 53 6 439 a Floor 45 72 20 2 139 5 7 2 0 14 1 0 0 0 1 Area, ft2 1500-1999 2000-2499 b Volume, m3 340-453 453-566 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 16 21 7 1 45 1 3 1 1 6 0 0 1 0 1 566-679 0 0 0 0 0 2500-2999 32 21 10 3 66 3 3 1 1 8 0 1 0 0 1 > 679 1 0 0 0 1 > 2999 2060 926 259 48 3293 532 196 62 39 829 85 23 7 11 126 TOTAL 27 4 0 2 33 Table 5.1: Frequency Tabulation for Floor Area and Estimated Volume of One-Unit Residential Buildings by Number of Rooms and Number of Stories: Unweighted Results from the 2001 American Housing Survey, n=29,356 Telephone Respondents CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 170 One Two Three > Three One Two Three > Three One Two Three > Three Seven Seven Seven Seven TOTAL Eight Eight Eight Eight TOTAL > Eight > Eight > Eight > Eight TOTAL 0 2 3 3 8 1 4 4 0 9 8 3 6 0 17 12 11 18 1 42 < 113 29 13 13 1 56 < 500 12 15 11 2 40 13 14 11 1 39 46 34 28 1 109 233 123 73 10 439 113-226 641 264 71 9 985 500 - 999 40 52 36 2 130 42 83 57 7 189 353 261 178 11 803 1448 615 341 26 2430 226-340 2092 755 245 20 3112 1000-1499 72 97 95 16 280 170 213 164 22 569 758 569 344 35 1706 1450 791 495 39 2775 86 219 195 29 529 250 442 311 19 1022 459 525 367 43 1394 485 509 354 29 1377 Area, ft2 1500-1999 2000-2499 b Volume, m3 340-453 453-566 1044 264 543 287 229 144 24 10 1840 705 a Floor 69 242 226 34 571 128 301 221 21 671 152 243 209 23 627 131 195 155 14 495 566-679 69 118 43 1 231 2500-2999 105 523 662 85 1375 96 313 315 39 763 89 275 272 35 671 109 230 184 20 543 > 679 79 115 69 9 272 > 2999 area values estimated by telephone respondents, including main rooms only. b House volume calculated from floor area by assuming an 8-ft ceiling. One Two Three > Three Six Six Six Six TOTAL a Floor No. Stories One Two Three > Three No. Rooms Five Five Five Five TOTAL Table 5.1. Continued. 384 1150 1228 171 2933 700 1370 1083 109 3262 1865 1910 1404 148 5327 3868 2474 1620 139 8101 TOTAL 4218 2095 814 74 7201 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 171 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 172 in the way of carpeting or drapes. The composition of surfaces may also affect the sorption of different chemical species. To estimate the surface-to-volume ratio for a range of different bare rooms, containing no furniture, I generated all possible combinations of hypothetical rooms, including closets and hallways, whose lengths and widths vary between 1 and 10 m and where the ceiling height was fixed at 8 ft, and calculated the room volume and surface area for each combination. The distribution of surface-to-volume ratios as a function of room volume are presented in Figure 5.2 as a series of boxplots, which display a clear trend of decreasing surface-to-volume ratio as room volume increases. Small, bathroom-sized rooms have a surface-to-volume ratio of approximately 3−4 m−1 and house-sized spaces have ratios approaching 1 m−1 . These ratios may be considered minimum values with larger values occurring for rooms with different degrees of furnishings. 5.3 Air Exchange with the Outdoors Natural leakage ventilation in residences occurs as air flows to and from the outdoors via small cracks and crevices in the building shell. The ventilation rate increases as exterior windows and doors are opened to appreciable widths, causing air to enter and leave the building at elevated rates. As discussed in the literature [Awbi, 1991; Godish, 1989; ASHRAE, 1985; Wadden and Scheff, 1983], both wind and indoor-outdoor temperature differences provide the driving force for infiltration of air into residences. Awbi [1991] and ASHRAE [1985] provide equations for predicting infiltration flow rates. When there are indoor-outdoor temperature differences for a given home, a phenomenon arises, known as the stack effect, whereby cold air flows in at the bottom of the structure and warmer air flows out at the top during the winter, and in the reverse direction during the summer. Wind drives flow by creating localized areas of positive and negative pressure on the exterior of a house. Boutet [1987] provides illustrations of the natural flow of air through residences for a variety of house layouts. Air entering particular rooms moves about the house, and can flow along a fairly complex path in and amongst 173 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 4.5 Labels are Median Surface−to−Volume Ratio Values 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.1 2.5 3.0 2.2 2.1 1.9 2.0 1.6 1.4 ] ,2 50 (1 ,1 00 50 ] 1.3 50 ] (1 (5 0, 10 0 ] (4 0, 50 ] (3 0, 40 ] (2 0, 30 ] 20 0, (1 (0 ,1 0] 1.5 Surface−to−Volume Ratio [1/m] Room Surface−to−Volume Ratio vs. Volume Volume [m³] Figure 5.2: Boxplots showing how the surface-to-volume ratio for bare rooms with sides ranging from 1 to 10 m in length and a height of 8 ft varies as a function of room volume. CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 174 doorways, walls, or furniture, before leaving the house via a boundary in the same or a different room. For purposes of modeling air pollutant dynamics in a house, it is convenient to establish a base natural ventilation rate for houses in which all exterior doors and windows are closed and no forced ventilation systems are operating. The effect of windows, doors, and central air handling systems can then be considered as perturbations to this base condition. Several published studies attempt to characterize home air-exchange rates for a fairly large population of dwellings, although information about the number of open windows, doors, and the state of central air operation is lacking. For example, Murray and Burmaster [1995] analyzed ventilation data for 2,844 US homes determined using a perfluorocarbon tracer (PFT) technique. The database they used contained no information on door and window status, or on the presence or operation of mechanical ventilation systems. They found that the measured air-exchange rates across the US were fit well by a lognormal distribution with an overall GM of approximately 0.5 h−1 and an overall GSD of 2.2. A separate investigation of air-exchange rates, also using PFT, was conducted in California by the Southern California Gas Company [Wilson et al., 1996] in a total of over approximately 800 homes across two different surveys, one limited to the Los Angeles area. Results from this study also show that air-exchange rates follow a lognormal probability distribution with the statewide results in the winter season having a GM equal to 0.4−0.6 h−1 and a GSD of 1.5−1.9. These winter values are likely to be representative of times when exterior doors and windows are closed. As determined from continuous air exchange measurements in 16 naturally ventilated homes by Kvisgaard and Coller [1990], where 63% of the total air change was due to occupant behavior, windows and doors are important avenues by which natural ventilation can be readily increased according to occupant preferences. A number of studies, summarized below, have reported quantitative information on the degree of extra ventilation offered by the opening of exterior CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 175 windows and doors in residences. Van Dongen and Phaff [1990] undertook an extensive study of 31 Dutch apartments during the summertime, in which windows were fitted with sensors to measure the frequency and duration of window opening behavior and the width of the openings over an 8-d period. They found that, on average, windows were opened about 6 h per day with estimated air flow rates in excess of 100 m3 h−1 , when the windows were opened to a width of 30 cm or more, and in excess of 200 m3 h−1 , when the balcony door was opened 30 cm or more. Howard-Reed et al. [2002] analyzed hundreds of air exchange measurements using SF6 tracer gas in two occupied residences, one a three-story attached townhouse in Virginia and one a two-story detached house in California, for which one or more windows were opened different widths with areas ranging from 174 cm2 to over 18,000 cm2 . They found that window-opening can result in house airexchange rates that can be up to 3−10 times higher than closed-house air-exchange rates, which averaged about 0.4 h−1 for the 510 m3 California house and 0.2−0.6 for the 400 m3 Virginia house across summer and winter months. In an effort to estimate flow rates through open windows on a per-window basis from the Howard-Reed et al. data, I normalized each measured increase in air-exchange rate by the number of open windows and multiplied the result by the house volume to obtain absolute magnitudes of increased flow rates. The results from this analysis, broken down by the number of windows opened (one, two, and overall) are shown in Figure 5.3 (top panels). The most frequent air flow rate is between 100 and 200 m3 h−1 for experiments involving any number of open windows. The distribution of air flow for single and multiple open windows is similar. This result suggests that air coming in one or more windows will leave via other windows or by enhanced leakage through building cracks if no other windows are open, but opening multiple windows does not necessarily result in larger flow rates through individual windows. Alevantis and Girman [1989] conducted an extensive analysis of the effect on ventilation rates of opening windows by different amounts and on different sides CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 176 of two 1300 ft2 (294 m3 ) detached houses and a two-story 878 ft2 (200 m3 ) condominium. They found that opening windows increased ventilation by factors of between 1.2 and 11 times the original rate. As with the results of Howard-Reed et al., the per-window absolute magnitude of flow increases tend to be between 100 and 200 m3 h−1 (Figure 5.3; bottom panels). The lower rate increases occurred when windows were opened that were not in the direction of prevailing winds, while opening windward windows resulted in the largest rate increases. Fully opening a single windward window had approximately the same effect as fully opening more than one leeward window, or opening multiple windward and leeward windows to a width of only 3 inches. The reported rate increases are calculated by controlling for wind speeds, i.e., the infiltration for closed-window and open-window cases were compared only when wind speeds were similar. When windows were closed, the authors found that wind could cause residential infiltration rates to increase by as much as 8.7 times the minimum rate. Heiselberg et al. [1999, 2000] and Svidt et al. [2000] have studied natural air flow through windows in a laboratory setting. They find that natural air flow through a single window can be understood in terms of a thermal stack effect, which is the main driving force in non-isothermal winter conditions, where air flows into a room through the bottom half of a window and out of the room through the top half of the window. In contrast, the main driving force across window boundaries in isothermal summer conditions is wind turbulence. When there are multiple window openings in a space, cross ventilation, which is typically wind-driven, can occur when air flows in one window and out another on an opposite side. The thermal stack ventilation effect can also contribute to flow between multiple openings, especially when the openings are at different heights. Panzhauser et al. [1993] present results of the simulation and measurement of natural ventilation rates in residences. From experimental data on the volume of air flowing through a swing-type window during the winter under purely stack flow conditions (temperature difference of 10−20 K) and in the absence of wind influence, they find that openings ranging from 10 cm to the maximum opening 177 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS Single Windows, n=64 Multiple Windows, n=30 200 400 All Windows, n=94 600 15 10 0 5 Frequency 20 25 0 0 200 400 600 0 200 400 600 Flow Per Open Window [m3 h−1] Single Windows, n=11 Multiple Windows, n=13 All Windows, n=24 200 400 600 800 3 0 1 2 Frequency 4 5 6 0 0 200 400 600 800 0 200 400 600 800 Flow Per Open Window [m3 h−1] Figure 5.3: Histograms of whole-house increases in flow rate due to the opening of one or more windows and normalized by the number of open windows. The data were calculated from air exchange and house volume data reported for two houses by Howard-Reed et al. [2002] (top panels) and for two detached homes and a condominium by Alevantis and Girman [1989] (bottom panels). The most common per-window flow rate increase is in the range of 100−200 m3 h−1 for the first study in which windows were opened at various positions to areas ranging from 174 cm2 to over 18,000 cm2 . For the second study, in which windows were opened to widths ranging from 3 to 33 inches and on either the leeward and/or windward sides of the house or sides that were not in the direction of prevailing windows, per-window flow rates were most commonly under 100 m3 h−1 . CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 178 width of 14 cm corresponded to flow rates of 130−190 m3 h−1 . The flow rate arising from wind-induced cross-ventilation through a 220 cm2 inlet and 750 cm2 outlet in a residence was measured to be between 110 and 140 m3 h−1 when the wind speed was approximately 3 m s−1 . Using simulation, the authors show how diagonal cross-ventilation rates can vary widely depending on wind speed and wind direction, predicting flows ranging from 100 to 400 m3 h−1 at wind speeds of 1 m s−1 depending on the wind direction. Using tracer gas injection, Roulet and Scartezzini [1987] measured air-exchange rates in different rooms of an occupied 530 m3 , 10-room, three-level residence over a period of 12 d for different door and window configurations, which were recorded by the house inhabitants in diaries. Each of the rooms were connected to a staircase through open doorways or loose-fitting doors. In the absence of wind, a clear stack effect was evident in the house with fresh air entering through the kitchen and living rooms on the first floor and exiting through bedrooms on the upper level. When all windows were closed, the total mean air-exchange rate for the house was 0.37 h−1 , increasing to 0.55 h−1 when one or two bedroom windows were opened, corresponding to an average increase in house air flow of 95 m3 h−1 . However, in some instances opening one or more windows could increase the house air-exchange rate by as much as 0.8 or 1 h−1 , corresponding to an increase in house air flow over the closed-house mean by as much as 200−300 m3 h− 1 . 5.4 HVAC Systems: Recirculation, Outdoor Air Delivery, and Duct Leakage The purpose of a residential heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system is to circulate heated or cooled air throughout the rooms of a house, drawing air from one or more centrally-located return vents into a duct-work system, processing it, and pushing it out of individual room supply vents. For some systems, a controlled quantity of fresh outdoor air may also be drawn into the system, which is typically expressed as a percentage of the total supplied air flow rate. However, CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 179 to date, this practice has not been common for single family dwellings in the US. Residential air handling systems that do not provide forced-air ventilation should appropriately be called HAC systems, since they provide only heating and (often) air conditioning. Filters may exist in HAC/HVAC return ducts and HVAC outdoor air supply ducts. Figure 5.4 contains a schematic of HAC flows for the case of a four-room house. According to Bearg [1993], total air supply rates from HVAC systems, calculated as the total volume of air supplied per unit time divided by the building volume, range from 5 to 7 h−1 . Sparks et al. [1991] measured HVAC air flows using an anamometer in a 293 m3 three-bedroom test house, which was used as the site of validation experiments for a multizone indoor air quality model. The air flow through the single return, located in the central hallway, was 1760 m3 h−1 , which is equal to approximately six times the total house volume per hour and was equal to the sum of air flows supplied to the bedrooms, bathrooms, and den. About half of the total supplied air flow (830 m3 h−1 ) was supplied to the den, which also comprised about half of the house volume. For commercial buildings, the minimum amount of fresh outdoor air entering the HVAC system through a make-up vent, and therefore the rooms containing supply registers, is reported by Bearg [1993, p.43] to typically be 15% of the total supply air flow rate. Wadden and Scheff [1983, p.144] cite 1980 ASHRAE guidelines for total delivery of fresh air into a 1-bedroom residence of about 300 m3 h−1 , mostly directed towards the kitchen. The current ASHRAE standard guidelines for residential ventilation [ASHRAE, 2003] recommends similar ventilation rates. Formulae are given, which can be used to calculate the appropriate quantity of fresh outdoor air to be delivered, either continuously or intermittently, by a whole-house forced-fan residential HVAC system. For a house with a volume of approximately 400 m3 and 3 bedrooms, the recommended overall ventilation rate for an intermittent system with a 30% duty cycle is about 800 m3 h−1 . If the HVAC forces 2000 m3 h−1 through supply registers, then a fresh air supply rate of 800 m3 h−1 is equal to 40% of the total air delivery rate. Because the existing US housing stock does 180 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 558 m3 h-1 100 m3 50 m3 Filter 50 m3 279 m3 h-1 7m3 40 m3 h-1 50 m3 1435 m3 h-1 30 m3 HAC System 279 m3 h-1 279 m3 h-1 Figure 5.4: Schematic of HAC-related flow rates for a hypothetical four-room house, which contains a central hallway, where the HAC return is located, and a master bathroom. The total HAC supply flow rate is set to the return rate of 1,435 m3 h−1 or five house volumes per hour. A particle filter is present on the return register. Ideally, the same volume of supplied air flows through open doorways back to the HAC return register, although in practice duct leaks or closed interior doors may result in increased outdoor air infiltration or exfiltration through the building shell caused by particular zones of the house becoming pressurized or depressurized. Infiltration and natural ventilation flows are not shown. CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 181 not conform to current ASHRAE guidelines regarding ventilation, I do not include HVAC-supplied outdoor air as part of the residential SHS exposure simulation experiments presented in Chapters 7−9. When an HVAC system is activated during times when interior doors are open and exterior doors and windows are closed, the total amount of positive air flow delivered at each supply register is intended to be balanced by negative air flow at the return register. However, in practice leaks in the ductwork can create net positive or negative pressurization of house zones with return leaks contributing to positive pressurization and supply leaks contributing to negative pressurization. These leaks are manifested as a larger total air-exchange rate for the house [Robison and Lambert, 1989; Cummings and Tooley, 1989; Lambert and Robison, 1989; Modera, 1989]. Infiltration rates are typically measured with perfluorocarbon tracer gas (PFT) or estimated from leakage area data obtained from blower door experiments. According to Modera [1989], who reviews a number of past studies, “...air infiltration rates will typically double when distribution fans are turned on and...the average annual air infiltration rate is increased by 30% to 70% due to the existence of the distribution system.” The magnitude of the effect varies with the amount of leakage in a particular home’s ductwork. For example, while Parker [1989] observed a 70% greater air-exchange rate (an absolute increase of 0.17 h−1 ) in houses with forced air heating systems over houses with other types of heating and Cummings and Tooley [1989] reported an average infiltration rate of 0.14 h−1 with air handlers off and 1.42 h−1 when they were running, Robison and Lambert [1989] report only a 10% increase in infiltration due to duct leakage. Lambert and Robison [1989], using test data gathered from over 800 homes that had either forced-air heating systems with ducts or were room-heater equipped, found that ducted “current practice” homes were 26% leakier than unducted ones. The position of interior doors may also have a large effect on residential infiltration rates, since, as Cummings and Tooley [1989] observe, when interior doors are closed, the flow from forced-air supplies to the return is disrupted. This dis- CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 182 ruption causes an imbalance in the system and further increases in infiltration rate beyond the effects introduced by duct leakage alone. They report that when interior doors of five different homes were closed while the air handler was running, the infiltration rate increased from an average of 0.31 h−1 to 0.91 h−1 . 5.5 Estimates of Interzonal Air Flow Rates Using tracer gas measurements in a test, Sparks et al. [1991] estimated inter-room air flow rates for cases when the air handler was inactive as part of the validation of their multi-zone indoor air quality model. Although their method for determining air flows is unclear, the authors assumed values of 100−120 m3 h−1 for air flow to and from three bedrooms of a 293 m3 house and a central hallway, presumably through open doorways, which resulted in satisfactory agreement between predicted and measured particle concentrations during several kerosene heater experiments. Miller and Nazaroff [2001] conducted SHS particle and tracer gas measurement and modeling studies for different ventilation scenarios in two-room test house, where the air flows rate between rooms and to the outdoors were determined using a dual-tracer technique described by Miller et al. [1997] (see Table 5.2). The differences in 1-h average PM2.5 concentrations between the two rooms (a designated smoking room and a designated nonsmoking room) were as much as 93 µ g m−3 when the adjoining door was closed, whereas 1-h average concentrations were within 10 µ g m−3 when the door was left open. Closed-door air flow rates between zones were very low at around 1 m3 h−1 . Open-door flows for the baseline case, in which there was no active ventilation or filtration, were near 60 m3 h−1 in both directions. Ott et al. [2003] report three-room measurements in a one-story cottage where one fully and one partially closed door exhibited substantial impact on inter-room differences in measured carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations after a cigar was smoked in one of the rooms. The layout of the house is shown in Figure 5.5 with the CO concentration time series presented in the left panel of Figure 5.6. The 183 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS Table 5.2: Air Flow Rates Measured During Six Two-Compartment SHS Particle Experimentsa b Air Scenario F NS FSN Baseline 60 59 Segregationc Exhaust Vent. 0.6 1.1 Flows [m3 h−1 ] FSO F NO Air Exch. FOS FON Filt [h−1 ] 2.4 0.001 1.6 0.8 - 0.04 2.5 4.2 3.1 3.7 - 0.1 92 17 107 Enhanced Vent. 154 163 10 N Filtration 128 128 S Filtration 46 47 0.0 11 32 75 - 1.7 19 2 - 0.3 0.004 2.7 0.3 2.4 91 0.03 0.0 2.4 0.7 1.6 91 0.03 a The data in this table were reported by Miller and Nazaroff [2001] and estimated through a technique described by Miller et al. [1997]. b "N" represents the nonsmoking room, "S" is the smoking room, "O" is the outdoors, and "Filt" is for the recirculating fan. The designation FXY indicates flow from zone X to zone Y. c The “Segregation” scenario was the only one for which the door between the smoking and nonsmoker room was closed. right panel of Figure 5.6 shows the results of fitting a two-compartment model to concentrations in the source room (kitchen) and an adjacent room (living room), accomplished with the computer program described in Appendix C. The results of the fitting procedure gave estimated interzonal air flow rates for the two rooms of 103−130 m3 h−1 in either direction. In the same split-level detached 510 m3 California townhouse where windowopening experiments were conducted [Howard-Reed et al., 2002], a series of 14 two-room SF6 tracer experiments were performed for different connecting door positions [Ferro and Christiansen, 2001]. The door positions used were fully closed, fully closed and sealed, fully open, and partially open at widths ranging from 2.5 to 15 cm. Figure 5.7 shows a schematic, including room volumes and monitoring positions, for the residence’s first floor where the experiments were carried out. The SF6 concentration time series for these experiments, which consisted of measurements every 75 s, are shown in Figure 5.8. Once again applying the interactive computer program described in Appendix C to the measured time series, I estimated the air flows for each room, including interzonal flows and flows be- 184 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS Front Door Front Bedroom Living Room CO Monitor Bathroom CO Monitor Connecting Closet Cigar Source CO Monitor Rear Bedroom Kitchen Porch Back Door Figure 5.5: Schematic of a small house where multi-room measurements of carbon monoxide concentrations resulting from the smoking of a cigar in the kitchen were made by Ott et al. [2003]. Figure 5.6 contains concentration data and the results of a two-compartment model fit. 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 150 200 Living Room Rooms Elapsed Minutes 100 Bedroom 50 Kitchen 250 300 CO Concentration [mg/m³] 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 0 50 150 200 Elapsed Minutes 100 250 Living Room (Observed) Kitchen (Observed) Living Room (Model) Kitchen (Model) 300 Figure 5.6: Plots of the time series of carbon monoxide (CO) levels measured in three rooms of a small residence after a cigar was smoked in the kitchen for 15 minutes (left) and a two-compartment model fit to concentrations in the kitchen and living room (right) as reported by Ott et al. [2003]. Only every 25th observation is shown in the plot on the right. During this experiment, the door between the kitchen and living room was open three inches during the experiment. See Figure 5.5 for the layout of the rooms in the house. The fitted air-exchange rate for the overall two-compartment system was about 1 h−1 , corresponding to a volumetric flow rate of 70 m3 h−1 . The estimated interzonal flows were 103 m3 h−1 from the kitchen to the living room and 129 m3 h−1 from the living room to the kitchen. CO Concentration [pphm] 120 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 185 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 186 tween each room and the outdoors. The estimated air flows, which are presented in Table 5.3, show a clear effect of closing the door. Fully open door positions correspond to estimated source-room to receptor-room flows of 150−250 m3 h−1 and fully closed door positions correspond to flows of 0.1−0.4 m3 h−1 . For intermediate door positions, the interzonal air flow rates ranged from 6 to 70 m3 h−1 . 5.6 Illustrative Simulation of Tracer Gas Concentrations in a House In this section, I present the results of simulating tracer gas concentrations in a typical house with 4 main rooms (plus a bathroom and hallway) to illustrate generally how contaminant levels in different rooms in a residence might respond when doors are left open or closed and when either short or prolonged releases occur in different locations. This type of simulation for multizone indoor air pollutants is central to the prediction of residential SHS exposures, as performed in Chapters 7−9. However, whereas particulate or semi-volatile constitents of SHS require consideration of surface interactions, in the treatment of an inert tracer gas presented here, removal processes are limited to those involving air flow, i.e., air-exchange with the outdoors. The simulation is achieved through numerical solution of a system of coupled linear differential equations, one equation corresponding to each of the six different compartments in the house. Appendix B presents the general form of these differential equations, which are solved using a Runge-Kutta-type algorithm to obtain a time-varying concentration profile for each compartment. To make the simulated tracer gas concentrations somewhat representative of those that might occur in a typical home in the United States, I use environmental and emissionsrelated parameter values discussed earlier in this chapter and in Chapter 3 to correspond to common household and smoking conditions. I use a total simulation period of 12 h. The total volume of the simulated house is 287 m3 , close to the most common volumes determined from nationwide surveys, with the largest share of the vol- 187 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS Dining Area Nook Kitchen Source Living Room Op Family Room en 460 m³ Bo un da ry Open Boundary Laundry Entrance Source Monitor Stairs Bath Door Garage Receptor Monitor Bedroom 43 m³ Figure 5.7: Schematic of the first floor of a townhouse where two-room interzonal air flow experiments were performed. The main living area, where the source was active and the source monitor was placed, had a vaulted ceiling and was approximately 460 m3 in volume. The bedroom, where the receptor monitor was placed, also had a vaulted ceiling and an approximate volume of 43 m3 . Each monitor was 1 meter from the floor and the source monitor was located 5.7 meters from the emitting source (approximately 200 cc min−1 of 99.8% pure SF6 ). 188 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 2 : FULLY OPEN 0 5 10 0 5 10 15 20 10 0 20 0 5 10 0 5 10 5 10 15 20 0 0 10 20 30 12 : FULLY OPEN 11 : OPEN 15 cm 0 5 10 15 20 10 : OPEN 15 cm 15 : CLOSED/SEALED 0 10 20 30 40 0 10 20 30 40 9 : OPEN 10 cm 20 8a : OPEN 5 cm 14 : CLOSED 7 : OPEN 2.5 cm 0 5 5 0 8 : OPEN 5 cm 0 5 10 15 20 5 : OPEN 10 cm 5 10 15 20 20 0 5 10 10 4 : OPEN 5 cm S F 6 Concentration [ppm] 3 : OPEN 2.5 cm 15 1 : CLOSED/SEALED 0 200 600 1000 0 200 600 1000 Elapsed Minutes Source Room (A) Monitor Receptor Room (B) Figure 5.8: Time series plots of data from fourteen tracer-gas experiments conducted by Ferro and Christiansen [2001] in two rooms of a townhouse for a variety of door positions. See Figure 5.7 for a schematic of the experimental setup and Table 5.3 for the estimated interzonal air flow rates. 189 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS Table 5.3: Summary of Fourteen Two-Room SF6 Tracer-Gasa Experiments on the Effect of Door Position on Air Movement with Estimated Flow Rates Between the Source Room (A) and Test Room (B) and the Estimated Overall Two-Room AirExchange Rate Opening Opening Air Flows Air Door Width Area A to B B to A Exchange Exp Position [cm] [m2 ] [m3 h−1 ] [m3 h−1 ] [h−1 ] 1 closed/sealed − 0.05 0.4 1.4 0.34 15 closed/sealed − 0.05 0.1 2 0.39 14 closed − 0.06 0.2 6 0.40 3 open 2.5 cm 0.22 6 12 0.26 7 open 2.5 cm 0.22 17 9 0.39 4 open 5 cm 0.37 56 29 0.27 8 open 5 cm 0.37 24 3 0.31 8a open 5 cm 0.37 33 44 0.32 5 open 10 cm 0.67 58 41 0.32 9 open 10 cm 0.67 46 58 0.38 10 open 15 cm 0.99 57 69 0.44 11 open 15 cm 0.99 53 7 0.38 2 fully open − 4.00 245 154 0.42 12 fully open − 4.00 102 67 0.34 a The sampling interval for both monitoring instruments was approximately 75 s (1.25 min) and the SF6 emission rate was approximately 200 cm3 min−1 or 1.3 g min−1 . The duration of the source was 30 min for each experiment. CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 190 ume assigned to the kitchen-dining area (KIT-DIN; 100 m3 ) and equal volumes of 50 m3 assigned to the living (LIV), bedroom (BED), and auxiliary room (AUX) (extra bedroom or office space). The remaining volume was apportioned to a 30 m3 hallway and a 7 m3 bathroom, which is attached to the main bedroom (BED). The source emission rate is equal to that which might be expected for carbon monoxide emissions from a single burning cigarette, 50 mg cig−1 , which when divided by a 10 min smoking period gives a rate of 5 mg min−1 . The source is active in either KIT-DIN or BED. In the simulation, I consider both a short duration of 10 min, which is approximately equal to the time need to smoke one cigarette, and a continuous source lasting 12 h. I chose a value of 0.5 h−1 for the leakage air-exchange rate, which is the value of the GM from the Murray and Burmaster [1995] nation-wide study described above, and values of 100 m3 h−1 and 1 m3 h−1 for open-door and closed-door interior air flows, respectively, which are fairly representative of values determined from experiments in real and test houses [Ott et al., 2003; Miller and Nazaroff, 2001; Ferro and Christiansen, 2001]. The total infiltration rate due to leakage is divided amongst the rooms of the house in proportion to their volume. When a window is opened in a particular room, the flow between that room and the outdoors is increased by 150 m3 h−1 above the existing flow due to building leakage, which is in the range of commonly observed increases in the intensive studies of HowardReed et al. [2002] and Alevantis and Girman [1989]. I simulate four different air flow scenarios corresponding to different configurations of door and window positions. The first scenario is a base case in which all interior doors are open and all windows are closed. For the second scenario, the base case is perturbed by closing all of the interior doors. The third and fourth scenarios are perturbations of the base case in which KIT-DIN and BED windows are opened, respectively, corresponding to cases when the source is present in those rooms. House schematics, including interzonal air flows for each of the four different scenarios, are given in Figure 5.9. Results of the tracer gas simulations for 10-min cigarette sources are shown in 191 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS Doors Open, Windows Closed Doors Closed, Windows Closed 25 m3 h-1 AUX, 50 m3 KIT-DIN, 100 m3 -1 100 m h LIV, 50 m3 BED, 50 m3 Doors Open, KIT-DIN Window Open 100 m3 h-1 25 m3 h-1 AUX, 50 m3 100 m3 h-1 100 m3 h-1 HALL, 30 m3 100 m3 h-1 3 -1 100 m h BED, 50 m3 25 m3 h-1 15 m3 h-1 BATH, 7m3 LIV, 50 m3 25 m3 h-1 KIT-DIN, 100 m3 HALL, 30 m3 100 m3 h-1 25 m3 h-1 50 m3 h-1 AUX, 50 m3 100 m3 h-1 BED, 50 m3 Doors Open, BED Window Open 25 m3 h-1 KIT-DIN, 100 m3 -1 1m h 25 m3 h-1 25 m3 h-1 200 m3 h-1 1 m3 h-1 3 100 m3 h-1 LIV, 50 m3 25 m3 h-1 100 m3 h-1 100 m3 h-1 15 m3 h-1 25 m3 h-1 1 m3 h-1 15 m3 h-1 100 m3 h-1 3 BATH, 7m3 HALL, 30 m3 15 m3 h-1 BATH, 7m3 LIV, 50 m3 1 m3 h-1 1 m3 h-1 HALL, 30 m3 100 m3 h-1 AUX, 50 m3 KIT-DIN, 100 m3 100 m3 h-1 100 m3 h-1 25 m3 h-1 50 m3 h-1 BATH, 7m 3 50 m3 h-1 BED, 50 m3 175 m3 h-1 Figure 5.9: House schematics with room volumes and interzonal air flow rates corresponding to four different door and window configurations. These four flow scenarios are used in simulations of tracer gas concentrations after either a 10-min or 12-h release in either the kitchen-dining area (KIT-DIN) of the house or in the bedroom (BED). Source positions are designated by filled circles. CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 192 Figures 5.10 and 5.11. The largest peak concentrations occur in the source rooms, KIT-DIN or BED, when doors are closed. The BED concentration is higher than that in KIT-DIN due to its smaller volume. The closing of doors also results in practically zero concentrations in the other, non-source, rooms. When doors are opened, peak concentrations occur in non-source rooms and the hallway, but at a level much lower than for the source room, except for the bathroom, which is connected directly to the bedroom. Opening a window in a source-room reduces source-room peak levels somewhat below the case when interior doors are open but all windows are closed, and only slightly decreases concentrations in nonsource rooms below the door-open-only case. It typically takes at least 5 h for tracer emissions to be completely removed. The steady-state tracer gas concentrations for simulations of continuous sources in either BED or KIT-DIN, lasting the entire 12-h (720-min) period, are given in Table 5.4. When windows are closed, it takes more than 3 h of constant emissions before steady-state conditions are reached. When a BED or KIT-DIN window is open, steady-state concentrations are reached more rapidly, within about 1−2 h, and the concentration is substantially lower than when windows are closed. Over the course of a day in a household with a smoker, it is unlikely that steady-state conditions could occur unless ventilation rates are high and cigarettes are chain smoked for a large part of the day. It is clear from these simulation results that the timing of a household member’s presence in different rooms of a house can play a key role in determining their exposure to air pollutants emitted in one or more rooms over a 24-h period. The time spent in source and non-source rooms and the positions of doors and windows are important. By avoiding rooms where smoking occurs, entering rooms after smoke has dissipated, or using doors as pollutant barriers and windows as sources of increased ventilation, a person might reduce or even (in theory) nearly eliminate their exposure. The effects of the multizonal character of a house on variation in exposure, including the movement of pollutants and human beings amongst different rooms, is treated in Chapters 7 and 8. The effectiveness and practicality of 193 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS Table 5.4: Steady-State Concentrations for Tracer Gas Simulations of a Continuous Source Emitting at 5 mg min−1 Source Door/Window Room Config. KIT−DIN LIV AUX BED HALL BATH 3,200 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,800 1,400 Doors Closed 5,900 12 12 11 310 2.4 Doors Open KIT−DIN Window Open 1,550 700 700 680 880 660 Doors Open 1,400 1,700 1,700 4,000 2,100 3,800 Doors Closed 11 22 22 11,000 590 2,500 Doors Open BED Window Open 2,100 1,600 1,600 2,900 2,000 2,800 KIT-DIN Doors Open BED Steady-State Concentrations [µ g m−3 ] this type of behavior for use in exposure mitigation is the subject of Chapter 9. 5.7 Summary and Conclusions A typical detached house in the US has four or five main rooms on a single story with a total inhabited volume near 300 m3 , which implies rooms with a mean size of 60−75 m3 . Rooms in a house with volumes of 40−100 m3 are expected to have a base surface-to-volume ratio of at least 2 m−1 , with greater ratios arising from the presence of furnishings. The mixing of short pollutant releases within single zones in a residence occurs fairly rapidly, so that typically concentrations at different points in a room agree within a time period of 15 min or less, which is short enough to support the common modeling assumption of instantaneous, or ideal, mixing. Air-exchange rates for residences in the US due to leakage through small building cracks have an expected value near 0.5 h−1 . The operation of HVAC systems can substantially increase the infiltration rates for a house due to duct leakage 0 100 200 300 400 0 200 400 BED 600 400 HALL LIV 600 Elapsed Minutes 200 0 Doors Open Doors Closed Doors Open & KIT−DIN Window Open 0 200 400 BATH AUX 600 0 100 200 300 400 Figure 5.10: KIT-DIN Cigarette Source. Plots of simulated tracer gas concentrations in a 6-compartment house for three different flow scenarios when a single 10-min cigarette source was active in the kitchen-dining area. The 287 m3 house has 4 mains rooms (100 m3 kitchen-dining area (KIT-DIN) and a living room (LIV), bedroom (BED), and auxiliary room (AUX) each 50 m3 in size) plus a 30 m3 hallway (HALL) and 7 m3 master bathroom (BED). The three different flow scenarios correspond to cases when all interior doors are open (red curves), all doors are closed (blue curves), and doors are open and the KIT-DIN window is open (green curves). See Figure 5.9 for air flow schematics corresponding to each of the flow scenarios. The overall outdoor air-exchange rate of the house from leakage flow is 0.5 h−1 with open-door inter-room air flow rates of 100 m3 h−1 , closed-door flow rates of 1 m3 h−1 , and open windows contributing 150 m3 h−1 to per-room outdoor air-exchange rates above those for leakage. The emission rate for the non-reactive tracer gas is 5 mg min−1 . Tracer Concentration [µg m−3] KIT−DIN CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 194 0 200 400 600 800 0 200 400 BED 600 400 HALL LIV 600 Elapsed Minutes 200 Doors Open Doors Closed Doors Open & BED Window Open 0 0 200 400 BATH AUX 600 0 200 400 600 800 Figure 5.11: BED Cigarette Source. Plots of simulated tracer gas concentrations in a 6-compartment house for three different flow scenarios when a 10-min cigarette source was active in the bedroom (BED). The three different flow scenarios correspond to cases when all interior doors are open (red curves), all doors are closed (blue curves), and doors are open and the BED window is open (cyan curves). See the text and the Figure 5.10 caption for more information on the simulations, and Figure 5.9 for air flow schematics corresponding to each of the scenarios. Tracer Concentration [µg m−3] KIT−DIN CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 195 CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 196 and the closing of interior doors, which can cause uneven pressure distributions within the house. When exterior windows are opened, the extra ventilation flow is expected to be in the range of 100−200 m3 h−1 . Flow across fully open interior doorways under normal outdoor leakage conditions (no open windows) appears to be typically greater than 50 m3 h−1 in a single direction and maybe as much as 100 or 200 m3 h−1 . There is clear evidence that closed interior doors dramatically impede the flow of air resulting in air flow rates as low as 1 m3 h−1 in either direction. However, when an HAC/HVAC system is operating, the flow rates across closed doorways are likely to be much higher due to supplied air making its way back to one or more return registers. 5.8 References Alevantis, L. E. and Girman, J. R. (1989). Occupant-Controlled Residential Ventilation. In The Human Equation: Health and Comfort, Proceedings of the ASHRAE/SOEH Conference IAQ ’89, pages 184–191, San Diego. American Society for Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning Engineers. ASHRAE (1985). ASHRAE Handbook: 1985 Fundamentals. American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and Air-Conditioning Engineers, Inc., Atlanta. ASHRAE (2003). ASHRAE Standard 62.2-2003. Ventilation and Acceptable Indoor Air Quality in Low-Rise Residential Buildings. American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and Air-Conditioning Engineers, Inc., Atlanta. Awbi, H. B. (1991). Ventilation of Buildings. E & FN SPON, London. Baughman, A. V., Gadgil, A. J., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1994). Mixing of a point source pollutant by natural convection flow within a room. Indoor Air, 4(2): 114–122. Bearg, D. W. (1993). Indoor Air Quality and HVAC Systems. Lewis Publishers, Boca Raton. Boutet, T. S. (1987). Controlling Air Movement: A Manual for Architects and Builders. McGraw-Hill, New York. Cummings, J. B. and Tooley, J. J. (1989). Infiltration and pressure differences induced by forced air systems in Florida residences. ASHRAE Transactions, 95(4): 551–560. CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 197 Drescher, A. C., Lobascio, C., Gadgil, A. J., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1995). Mixing of a point-source indoor pollutant by forced-convection. Indoor Air, 5(3): 204–214. Ferro, A. and Christiansen, C. (2001). Unpublished two-room tracer data from door-opening experiments conducted in a townhouse. Personal communication. Furtaw, E. J., Pandian, M. D., Nelson, D. R., and Behar, J. V. (1996). Modeling indoor air concentrations near emission sources in imperfectly mixed rooms. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 46(9): 861–868. Godish, T. (1989). Indoor Air Pollution Control. Lewis Publishers, Chelsea, MI. Heiselberg, P., Dam, H., Sorensen, L. C., Nielsen, P. V., and Svidt, K. (1999). Characteristics of flow through windows. In HybVent: Hybrid Ventilation in New and Retrofitted Office Buildings, First International One Day Forum on Natural and Hybrid Ventilation, Sydney, Australia. Heiselberg, P., Svidt, K., and Nielsen, P. V. (2000). Windows: Measurements of air flow capacity. In Awbi, H. B., editor, Air Distribution in Rooms: Ventilation for Health and Sustainable Environment, Volume II of Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Air Distribution in Rooms, pages 749–754, Reading, UK. Elsevier. Howard-Reed, C., Wallace, L. A., and Ott, W. R. (2002). The effect of opening windows on air change rates in two homes. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Assocation, 52(2): 147–159. Klepeis, N. E. (1999). Validity of the uniform mixing assumption: Determining human exposure to environmental tobacco smoke. Environmental Health Perspectives, 107(SUPP2): 357–363. Kvisgaard, B. and Coller, P. F. (1990). The user’s influence on air change. In Sherman, M. H., editor, Air Change Rate and Airtightness in Buildings, pages 67–76, Philadelphia, PA. American Society for Testing and Materials. Lambert, L. A. and Robison, D. H. (1989). Effects of ducted forced-air heating systems on residential air leakage and heating energy use. ASHRAE Transactions, 95(2): 534–541. Mage, D. T. and Ott, W. R. (1996). The correction for nonuniform mixing in indoor environments. In Tichenor, B. A., editor, Characterizing Indoor Air Pollution and Related Sink Effects, pages 263–278, West Conshohocken, PA. American Society for Testing and Materials. McBride, S. J., Ferro, A. R., Ott, W. R., Switzer, P., and Hildemann, L. M. (1999). Investigations of the proximity effect for pollutants in the indoor environment. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 9(6): 602–621. CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 198 Miller, S. L., Leiserson, K., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1997). Nonlinear least-squares minimization applied to tracer gas decay for determining airflow rates in a twozone building. Indoor Air, 7(1): 64–75. Miller, S. L. and Nazaroff, W. W. (2001). Environmental tobacco smoke particles in multizone indoor environments. Atmospheric Environment, 35(12): 2053–2067. Modera, M. P. (1989). Residential duct system leakage: Magnitude, impacts, and potential for reduction. ASHRAE Transactions, 95(5): 561–569. Murray, D. M. (1997). Residential house and zone volumes in the United States: Empirical and estimated parametric distributions. Risk Analysis, 17(4): 439–446. Murray, D. M. and Burmaster, D. E. (1995). Residential air exchange rates in the United States - Empirical and estimated parametric distributions by season and climatic region. Risk Analysis, 15(4): 459–465. Ott, W. R., Klepeis, N. E., and Switzer, P. (2003). Analytical solutions to compartmental indoor air quality models with application to environmental tobacco smoke concentrations measured in a house. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 53: 918–936. Panzhauser, E., Mahdavi, A., and Fail, A. (1993). Simulation and evaluation of natural ventilation in residential buildings. In Nagda, N. L., editor, Modeling of Indoor Air Quality and Exposure, ASTM STP 1205, pages 182–196, Philadelphia, PA. American Society for Testing and Materials. Parker, D. S. (1989). Evidence of increased levels of space heat consumption and air leakage associated with forced air heating systems in houses in the Pacific Northwest. ASHRAE Transactions, 95(1): 527–533. Robison, D. H. and Lambert, L. A. (1989). Field investigation of residential infiltration and heating duct leakage. ASHRAE Transactions, 95(3): 542–550. Roulet, C. and Scartezzini, J. L. (1987). Measurement of air change rate in an inhabited building with a constant tracer gas concentration technique. ASHRAE Transactions, 14(3): 1371–1380. Sparks, L. E., Tichenor, A. B., White, J. B., and Jackson, M. D. (1991). Comparison of data from an IAQ test home with predictions of an IAQ computer model. Indoor Air, 4: 577–592. Svidt, K., Heiselberg, P., and Nielsen, P. V. (2000). Characterization of the airflow from a bottom hung window under natural ventilation. In Awbi, H. B., editor, Air Distribution in Rooms: Ventilation for Health and Sustainable Environment, CHAPTER 5. HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS 199 Volume II of Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Air Distribution in Rooms, pages 749–754, Reading, UK. Elsevier. Van Dongen, J. E. F. and Phaff, J. C. (1990). Ventilation behavior in Dutch apartment dwellings during summer. In Lunau, F. and Reynolds, G. L., editors, Indoor Air Quality and Ventilation, Indoor Air and Ventilation Conference, Lisbon, Portugal. Selper Ltd., London. Wadden, R. A. and Scheff, P. A. (1983). Indoor Air Pollution: Characterization, Prediction, and Control. John Wiley & Sons, New York. Wilson, A., Colome, S., Tian, Y., Becker, E., Baker, P., Behrens, D., Billick, I., and Garrison, C. (1996). California residential air exchange rates and residence volumes. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 6: 311–326. 200 Chapter 6 Model Structure This chapter contains a description of a simulation modeling framework I have devised to explore multizonal indoor exposure to airborne pollutants, specifically for residential secondhand smoke (SHS). The form of the model follows that of previous workers as discussed in Chapter 2. The model framework is flexible, allowing for specification of either single-valued or randomly-sampled input parameters. Stochastic inputs may take the form of empirical distributions or probability models, such as lognormal or normal, and sampling of these inputs can follow a stratified design. While the framework has been specifically designed to study residential SHS exposure, it can easily be expanded, through specification of a new set of inputs, to study a variety of indoor pollutant sources and indoor settings. In Chapters 3−5, I presented a critical review of empirical data on cigar and cigarette emissions, characteristics of the US housing stock, and human timelocation profiles, illustrating the considerable data resources that are available to support a modeling study of SHS exposure in US homes. In these chapters, I identify central tendencies or best estimates for each physical quantity, although the data support the modeling of exposures across a wide range of housing types, emissions patterns, and household occupant activity patterns. But rather than predicting the frequency distribution of exposure for a large population, such as the US, the goal in this dissertation is to use a fairly small domain of possible inputs to explore and quantify the effects of a few key variates on residential SHS exposures. In Chapters 7−9, I design and execute simulation trials to study the multi- CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 201 compartment character of a typical house, and particularly how door and window positions might accentuate multi-compartment effects and facilitate the mitigation of SHS exposure. Even though I limit my analysis to one or two sets of emissions and house characteristics, including a narrow or fixed set of air flows, emission rates, and other physical and environmental parameters, wide variation in human behavior patterns is expected to result in similarly large variation in exposures. In this chapter, I first present the overall structure and flow of the simulation model for residential SHS exposures, which allows for arbitrary variation in model input. I then describe the specific features of the model, outlining how: (1) simulated residences are constructed, (2) house-related air flows are assigned, (3) the movements of people are mapped to a simulated house, (4) smoking behavior is simulated, (5) simulated events are synchronized, and (6) pollutant concentrations and exposures are calculated. In the final section, I summarize the main response (output) and explicit or implicit key (input) variables that are used in simulating SHS exposures. 6.1 Model Design Any exposure model must take into account the processes by which pollutant emissions come into contact with the biological boundaries of a human being. As discussed in Section 2.1.1, exposure models formalize the exposure process by matching pollutant concentrations and people across time and space. In a discrete formulation, integrated exposure is calculated as the sum of time-averaged concentrations corresponding to exposure episodes in different locations weighted by the duration of each episode. When the timing of concentrations, personal movement or activity, and household conditions is arbitrary, and dynamics are fairly rapid, i.e., on the order of minutes, such as for the residential system treated here, then exposures are best characterized as a highly-resolved time series where different segments are aligned with particular rooms. The model I use to explore residential SHS exposures tracks the individual minute-by-minute movement of a smoker-nonsmoker pair as they travel among CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 202 rooms of a house over the course of a single day, which starts and ends at midnight, and, in the case of the smoker, smoking individual cigarettes in designated areas. It also tracks key aspects of the house configuration over time, including the opening and closing of windows and doors in particular rooms, the operation of a central air system, i.e., an HAC or HVAC system, and per-room recirculating filtration or local ventilation. By precisely tracing these events across time and space, the model is capable of resolving the impact of individual events on simulated SHS exposure. For example, the exact timing of a smoked cigarette, the smokingroom door position, and the location of the nonsmoker, can lead to very different exposures both during the smoking episode and when integrated over the course of the entire day. Using highly resolved characterizations of household events, the model can generate per-event and per-room exposure statistics (e.g., mean, maximum, minimum) in addition to 24-h integrated exposure, inhalation intake, and intake fraction, which has been formally defined by Bennett et al. [2002]. The model can be executed for one or more households. To support a range of possible model inputs for a simulated population, the model accepts lists of values for each simulated household corresponding to most human or building input parameters. These lists may contain a single value, which would be used for all simulated households, or many thousands of values, which may either be selected sequentially or at random. In some cases, if a list of input values is not provided, the model will simulate the required value(s) automatically. Human activity input parameter lists, passed in the form of composite timeactivity objects, are expected to be accompanied by a parallel list of associated characteristics, such as age, gender, day of week, geographic region, season, or housing type. These lists of characteristics are used to match individuals to a particular house, to match activities by day of week, or to produce matched pairs of an adult smoker and a nonsmoker, e.g., a child, spouse, parent, or grandparent. In addition, for population calculations, these characteristics may be used to simulate a stratified sample. Figure 6.1 depicts the logical flow of the model starting with selection of the CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 203 house and its occupants, proceeding through scenario selection and interzonal air flow assignment, and ending with the calculation of room concentrations and smoker and non-smoker exposure and intake. Each step in the simulation progression makes use of information produced in previous steps. Below, I present more detail on each step of the simulation procedure. A description of the software used to implement the model, including details on the central exposure simulation function, is given in Appendix D. 6.2 Treatment of Chemical Species The simulation model can produce SHS concentrations and exposures for any chemical species for which cigarette emissions rates and surface-interaction coefficients are available. The three major component species of SHS I treat in the current work are carbon monoxide gas (CO), respirable suspended particles (RSP), and nicotine (see Chapters 2 and 3). While CO is non-reactive and non-depositing, and therefore its treatment only requires an emission rate, SHS particles will deposit on room surfaces, such as furniture, carpets, or drapes, and nicotine will sorb to and desorb from the same surfaces. Currently, only a single type of surface in each room of the house is differentiated in the simulations. The indoor air quality (IAQ) component of the simulation model, which describes pollutant dynamics and generates time series of pollutant concentrations in different rooms of house, is described below. The explicit model equations are given in Appendix B. The dynamics of airborne particles vary according to particle size. The size distribution of SHS-particle mass is fairly well-characterized and lies primarily between 0.02 and 2 µ m with a mass median diameter of about 0.2 µ m (Section 3.4). Although particle size is an issue in terms of deposition in the human lung, the current work is limited to consideration of total mass exposure concentrations or particle intake, which does not incorporate particle uptake in the lung but only the total mass that is inhaled (and possibly exhaled). In the interest of simplicity, I have chosen not to take into account differences in particle behavior according to their size. 204 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE House Occupants No. Floors and Stories Base Room Connections Zone Volumes Smoker Movement Nonsmoker Movement Scenario Inter-Zonal Flows Room Concentrations Smoking Rooms & Times Door Positions Window Positions Central Air Operation Filtered Recirculation Local Ventilation Exposure & Intake Figure 6.1: The logical flow of the simulation model used to predict SHS-particle, CO, or nicotine exposure occurring in the US population of single-unit houses. First, a house of a particular size and layout is chosen and populated with smoker and nonsmoker individuals who are closely tracked in time as they move about the house. A particular scenario is assigned to each household reflecting a variety of possible exposure control strategies or lack thereof. Based on the chosen scenario, a timeline of air flows between zones of the house is established, which is used to calculate SHS concentrations for each room and SHS exposure time series for each occupant. CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 205 Based on reported deposition rates and the mass size distribution of SHS particles, a reasonable size-integrated value for SHS particle deposition appears to be 0.1 h−1 (see Section 3.6). Although particle deposition is an appreciable removal mechanism, the value used in the simulation of SHS exposures is not expected to be critical, since removal is likely to be dominated by ventilation, which can give removal rates on the order of 0.5−1 h−1 or more for exchange with the outdoors and as much as 5 h−1 for exchange between rooms. In addition, deposition, as it relates to occupant exposure, is not under direct study. 6.3 Treatment of Residences The critical features of a home, in terms of the disposition of pollutant emissions and the subsequent exposure of its occupants, are the size, outdoor connectivity, and inter-connectivity of its rooms, which determine how emitted pollutants are dispersed within the house or removed from the house. The model is capable of incorporating realistic home layouts, including numbers of rooms, numbers of floors, and room volumes, and, ultimately, in simulating time-varying air flow patterns for a range of potential connection configurations, e.g., door and window positions and the intermittent operation of an HAC/HVAC system. The dimensions and layout of the house are typically simulated during model execution or constructed separately and then provided as an input list. In the course of an exposure simulation, connections between rooms, the outdoors, and the house HAC/HVAC system are translated into actual air flow rates, which may vary in time as the door, window, or HAC/HVAC configuration changes. 6.3.1 Specification of Volume, Rooms, and Layout Unless a list of pre-defined house specifications are provided as a model input, the model automatically simulates a house based on empirical values for house volume and the number of rooms and stories in the house (see Chapter 5). As the number of rooms in each simulated house increases, the types of rooms are built CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 206 up from a small number of multi-use rooms to separate kitchen, dining, living, sleeping, and auxiliary areas (the “main” living areas). Table 6.1 shows this progression starting with a “one room” house containing a combined kitchen, dining, living, sleeping, and auxiliary area, and continuing up to a room with six completely separate main rooms. For multiple floors, the main rooms are placed on upper levels in the order shown (i.e., the KIT-DIN dual-use room will always be on the first level). The house simulation does not distinguish among different types of auxiliary rooms such as offices, second living rooms, or extra bedrooms. All houses have a separate bathroom and a hallway connecting multiple rooms on each floor, although these spaces are not considered to be main living areas. The total volume of the house is evenly divided among each floor with a predefined portion allocated to hallways. Separate rooms that serve the functions of kitchen, dining room, living room, or master bedroom are weighted equally with auxiliary rooms weighted 1 3 less. Supplemental rooms, including bathrooms, laundries, basements, and garages, contribute an extra pre-defined volume to the house. Basements are assumed to contribute one floor’s worth of extra volume. The model applies a set of “connection rules” to determine how air can travel among the rooms of the simulated house. Besides single-use dining rooms, all main rooms are linked via a centralized hallway. There are no direct connections between main rooms, except for single-use kitchens, dining rooms, and/or living rooms, which are connected by a permanently open doorway. Adjacent floors are linked through doorways between hallways on each floor, or directly to a single multi-use room (or basement) on a given floor, if there is no hallway. A bathroom on the same floor as the master (or only) bedroom is considered to be a master bathroom inside of the bedroom, otherwise bathrooms are connected to the floor hallway. Laundry rooms are connected to a single-use kitchen on the first floor, if one exists. Otherwise, they are connected to the floor hallway. All rooms are allowed to have a direct connection to the outdoors, through which air may flow either via building cracks or an open door or window. Although it goes against CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 207 Table 6.1: Simulated Separate and Multi-Use Room Types as a Function of the Number of Main Rooms in a House No. of Main Rooms Separate & Multi-Use Rooms 1 KIT-DIN-LIV-BED-AUX, BATH, HALL 2 KIT-DIN, LIV-BED-AUX, BATH, HALL 3 KIT-DIN, LIV-AUX, BED, BATH, HALL 4 KIT, DIN, LIV-AUX, BED, BATH, HALL 5 KIT, DIN, LIV, AUX, BED, BATH, HALL 6 KIT, DIN, LIV, AUX, AUX, BED, BATH, BATH, HALL Abbreviations: KIT, kitchen; DIN, dining room; LIV, living room; BED, master (or only) bedroom; AUX, auxiliary room such as office, second living area, or extra bedroom; BATH, bathroom; HALL, hallway. The KIT, DIN, LIV, BED, and AUX are considered main living areas and included in the room count. HALL and BATH are supplementary rooms. In addition to the rooms shown, a garage, basement, or laundry room may be included in a given simulated house. current ASHRAE recommendations, most forced-air systems for residences in the US do not introduce fresh outdoor air, i.e., they comprise an HAC system with no ventilation component. However, leaks in supply ducts may lead to the enhanced exchange of air between the residence and the outdoors when an HAC system is operating (see Section 5.4). The above connection rules can be visualized with directed graphs containing nodes for each type of room and connecting arrows (“edges”) representing pathways of non-zero air flow. For example, Figure 6.2 shows a simple house configuration with three main rooms, including a combined kitchen and dining room, a combined living and auxiliary room, and a bedroom. A hallway connects the main rooms and there is a bathroom located in the bedroom. Figure 6.3 shows the more complicated case of a two-level house containing six main living rooms with inter-connecting hallways and two bathrooms, one of which is contained within the master bedroom on the second floor. For both configurations shown, each room is connected to the outdoors and an HAC system, which supplies air to each main room and upper-level hallway and receives return air from the lower-level 208 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE BED LIV−AUX HALL KIT−DIN BATH Outdoors HAC Figure 6.2: A directed graph depicting interzonal flows for a simulated singlestory house with a single bedroom and attached bathroom, a combined living and auxiliary room, a combined kitchen and dining room, and a central hallway. Each room has a connection to the outdoors and either a supply or return register to the HAC system. For the case shown, supply duct leakage causes loss of HAC air to the outdoors. hallway. Simulated supply leaks create a loss of HAC air to the outdoors. 6.3.2 Specification of Air Flow Conditions In this section, I describe a general procedure for simulating residential air flow patterns. Examples of simulated air flows for four scenarios are presented in Figure 6.4. I also present specific results of the procedure in Chapters 7 and 9 in association with the simulation of residential SHS exposures. Broadly, I model the flow of air into and out of the rooms in each simulated house by establishing a base state where all interior doors are open, all exterior windows are closed, and the central air handling equipment is turned off. This base state is perturbed during particular time intervals as conditions change, such as when one or more windows 209 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE BATH HALL BED AUX LIV AUX DIN HALL KIT BATH Outdoors HAC Figure 6.3: A directed graph showing interzonal flows for a simulated two-level, six-room residential system. Each level has a bathroom and a centralized hallway. Flows between rooms on each level are mediated through the hallway, except for the kitchen, dining room, and living room, which are connected directly. Each room has a connection to the outdoors and either a supply or return register to the HAC system. For the case shown, supply duct leakage causes loss of HAC air to the outdoors. is opened or the HAC system is activated. The characteristics of the base flow state depend on whether flows across building boundaries can be considered to be symmetric, i.e., balanced in either direction, or asymmetric, i.e., unbalanced. Symmetric flows across the building shell might occur when there are no strong directional driving forces, such as wind or temperature differences, or when there are temperature differences between the indoors and outdoors that draw air in and push it out of rooms in equal measure, such as for a vertical stack effect in a single-story structure. Asymmetric flows are likely to occur when wind drives flow from one side of the house to another. Under 210 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE BED−3 LIV−AUX−2 HALL−4 BATH−5 KIT−DIN−1 HAC−7 Outdoors−6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Base State 1 2 3 4 5 0 0 100 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 100 100 100 100 100 0 0 0 100 0 30 30 30 10 3.5 0 0 0 0 0 6 30 30 30 10 3.5 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Windows Open, Symmetric 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 0 100 0 180 0 0 100 0 180 0 0 100 100 30 100 100 100 0 10 0 0 100 0 3.5 180 180 30 10 3.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 HAC Active 1 2 3 4 5 0 0 432 0 0 0 432 0 0 0 471 100 100 100 100 0 0 0 139 0 63 63 63 10 7 299 299 299 0 35 6 7 30 0 30 0 30 0 10 1035 3.5 0 0 104 2 Windows Open, Asymmetric 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 0 452 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 335 0 0 0 100 135 35 0 100 435 169 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 35 0 352 0 0 52 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Figure 6.4: Simulated air flow rates [m3 h−1 ] between zones of the simple house (Figure 6.2) for four illustrative scenarios. The direction of flow is from zones listed in rows to zones listed in columns. For asymmetric flow, inlet rooms are KIT-DIN and HALL with all other rooms as outlets. For open-window scenarios, windows are opened in KIT-DIN and LIV-AUX. The procedure for simulating residential air flow patterns for each scenario is described in the text. CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 211 symmetric conditions, base state indoor-outdoor ventilation rates are assigned to each room of a house in proportion to their volume. For asymmetric conditions, the same total whole-house ventilation rate flows from the outdoors into a set of “inlet” rooms, and to the outdoors via a separate set of “outlet” rooms. For symmetric base cases, the inter-room flows are balanced in either direction, but for asymmetric cases, there is an air flow directionality through the house, i.e., a current, flowing between “inlet” and “outlet” rooms. Representative values for base flows, which are used as default input parameters in the simulation model, are presented in Chapter 5. A representative value for whole-house house leakage air-exchange rate is 0.5 h−1 , which is distributed to rooms in proportion to their volume. The default symmetric flow across open doorways is 100 m3 h−1 in both directions. Under asymmetric conditions, the path of leakage flows through interior doorways for the base state is determined using a heuristic for balancing flows, which is described below. To allow for backflow across door boundaries, symmetric flows are superimposed over the asymmetric flow path. In this way, asymmetric cases have comparable flows as for symmetric cases, but with a relatively smaller flow directionality added to a base bidirectional flow. This approach prevents bias from entering comparisons of SHS exposures for asymmetric versus symmetric cases. When the base state is perturbed by the closing of interior doors, default symmetric flows across doorways and symmeric contributions to asymmeric flows are reduced from 100 to 1 m3 h−1 . For open-window perturbations, the overall house outdoor air-exchange rate increases by a default amount equal to 150 m3 h−1 times the number of open windows. For symmetric flow, 150 m3 h−1 is added to each room’s leakage flow in either direction, thereby maintaining a room’s flow balance. When flows are asymmetric and both inlet and outlet windows are open, the same flow increase occurs simultaneously in each group of windows, divided equally among windows in each group. If only inlet, or only outlet windows are open, the flow increases for that group and the flow is balanced by adding infiltration or exfiltration to all rooms in the house. As with the asymmetric base state, closed-door CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 212 and/or window perturbations of the asymmetric base state are followed by application of the flow balancing heuristic described below to establish the direction of excess air flow through the interior of the house. For HAC perturbations of base states, a total of five house volumes per hour of air flow, by default, are distributed to rooms with supply registers, in proportion to room volume. By default, 10% of the flow leaks from supply ducts to the outdoors and is added back as infiltration into each room from the outdoors (in response to depressurization). By default, no outdoor air is allowed to enter the HAC system from the outdoors via designed fans. The activation of the HAC system induces recirculation of air so that it travels from supply vents in multiple rooms to, usually, a single centrally-located return vent. When all interiors doors are open, the supplied and returned flows are balanced. However, when some interior doors are closed, some of the supplied air may be diverted to the outdoors. As with all asymmetric cases, the case of HAC perturbations, whether for the case of open doors or closed doors, requires application of a flow balancing heuristic to establish the directionality of flow through interior house boundaries. A Heuristic for Balancing Flows Because of the continuity requirement, flow into and out of the house, and into and out of each room, must essentially be balanced. Unbalanced interior flows arise for the base state under asymmetric flow conditions after per-room ventilation rates have been assigned to “outlet” and “inlet” rooms. They also arise whenever a base state, whether under asymmetric or symmetric conditions, is perturbed by the HAC system potentially in combination with closed interior doors, or when a base state under asymmetric conditions is perturbed with closed doors or open windows. For these cases of imbalanced flow, I have devised a heuristic to bring them into balance. Generally, the procedure is as follows. Excess interior flow is fixed for rooms with a single open or closed interior door with all excess flow going through an open door (either incoming or outgoing), and excess flow divided be- CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 213 tween closed doors and the outdoors when there are no open doors. When doors are closed, 10% of excess flow in a room (e.g., from HAC, infiltration, or an open window) is assigned, by default, as exfiltration/infiltration for that room and the rest (90%, by default) passes through the closed door, to the HAC return or to/from an open outlet/inlet room. For rooms with multiple open doors, the excess flow is evenly divided among them. As a last resort, excess flow can always be vented to the outdoors. The directionality of asymmetric or HAC-driven flows that are assigned at the outset before the balancing procedure result in a definite flow pattern from inlets to outlets or supplies to returns when the flows are balanced. When both are active, the larger flows will dominate. The balancing procedure given here has only been tested for house floorplans where air from most rooms is mediated by a central hallway, but there may be a bathroom contained wholly within a bedroom, or a dining room that is connected only to the kitchen and living room. 6.4 Treatment of Residential Activity Patterns A key driving force in determining exposures is the interaction of time-activity patterns for source and receptor individuals. However, precise data on smoking activity in different rooms of a house are unavailable as are precise data on the operation of central air systems or the positions of doors and windows. Therefore, the simulation model generates hypothetical scenarios for activities by integrating data from various sources, e.g., reported smoking rates and ventilation duty cycles, and considering specific exposure control strategies such as avoidance of a smoker, isolation of a smoker, closing doors of smoking rooms, or opening a window whenever smoking occurs. The location of the receptor and source individuals, and especially the relationship between their time-locations, plays a key role in determining exposure outcomes and, fortunately, a substantial amount of data on the in-home locations people visit is available as part of the USEPA’s National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) (see Chapter 4). Individual NHAPS respondents gave minute- CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 214 Table 6.2: Room Categories for NHAPS 24-h Diaries Main Rooms Bedroom; Kitchen; Dining Room; Living Room Auxiliary Rooms Office/Study Optional Rooms Utility Room/Laundry Room, Basement, Garage Other Bathroom, Moving from Room-to-Room (Hallway) by-minute diaries for a single “diary day”, including the time they visited the indoor residential locations in their own home as listed in Table 6.2. These data provide a source of information about the duration and sequence of time spent in various rooms of their home. Figure 6.5 illustrates the character of the NHAPS time-activity data using plots of stacked location timelines, where each individual is represented by a thin horizontal strip with colors designating the different rooms they were reported to visit. I use the time-location NHAPS data for nonsmokers to provide simulation inputs for both smokers (over age 18) and nonsmokers. Smoking activity is superimposed on top of the in-home movement for the designated smoker. Smoker movement is likely to be biased if there are existing household smoking restrictions, so it appears more accurate to use nonsmokers to represent unrestricted smokers. By default, the NHAPS data are used to provide data on the “natural” locations of persons in their homes, as reported in the unmodified respondent diaries. However, the model can also modify their location patterns as part of scenarios that involve avoidance of the active smoker by the nonsmoker, or the isolation of the active smoker in designated rooms. These and other options related to exposure mitigation strategies are described below. 6.4.1 Mapping Sampled Occupant Locations to Simulated Rooms While the time-activities of NHAPS respondents are fairly specific in terms of what rooms are visited, there is a lack of specific information on the precise layout of respondent’s homes including the exact number of bedrooms, bathrooms, living 215 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE Residential Time−Location Data 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Fraction of Individuals 0.8 1.0 (NHAPS; n=139) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Time of Day, min after midnight Kitchen Livrm, Familyrm, Den Dining Room Basement Laundry room Bathroom Bedroom Study, Office Garage Other Location Figure 6.5: Plot showing the location time series for a sample of 139 NHAPS respondents. The event time series for the sample are represented by 139 vertically stacked time strips where different colors correspond to times when an individual was reported to occupy a particular house location. White space corresponds to time when an individual was reported to be in a location other than their own home. The horizontal axis stretches across a single 24-h period, starting and ending at midnight. CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 216 areas, or utility areas and what one or ones the respondent, in fact, visited on their “diary day.” Therefore, in keeping with a desire to simulate realistic house sizes, I have devised a standardized approach to mapping NHAPS time-activities to the complement of rooms that are part of a given house layout. Lacking specific information from NHAPS, I superpose information based on the age of the respondent, assigning adults to a master bedroom and bathroom and children to an auxiliary space for sleeping and to a hallway bathroom located on the same floor as their sleeping area. For houses with a limited number or rooms, occupants may be required to use the same bathroom, and an adult smoker and child nonsmoker may be required to sleep in the same room (i.e., in LIV-BED-AUX or KIT-DIN-LIV-BEDAUX). Adult smoker and nonsmoker pairs with ages within 10 y of each other always sleep in the same room, presumably as spouses or cohabitant couples. 6.4.2 Specification of Mitigation Scenarios The model has a total of 23 binary input options for specific kinds of exposure mitigation strategies or related environmental and behavioral conditions. There are options that allow or disallow smoking in each type of room and direct either the nonsmoker or smoker to close doors or open windows during smoking episodes. The smoker may be forced to not smoke inside the house while the nonsmoker is at home. Other important options include the operation of portable filtration devices or the use of local ventilation in either designated smoking or nonsmoking rooms, and the operation of an HAC system. Two important options result in modification of either the smoker’s or the nonsmoker’s time-location patterns. The first option forces the smoker to move to one or more designated smoking rooms during smoking episodes. The number of cigarettes the smoker consumes in the house remains unchanged. The second option moves the nonsmoker to a room not occupied by the smoker during smoking episodes. These two options, in combination with scenario input variables described below, can be used to set up a single, designated smoking room, in which the smoker must always smoke and which the nonsmoker never visits dur- CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 217 ing smoking episodes. The rooms to which smokers and nonsmokers are moved are randomly selected from available rooms. If no designated smoking or refuge rooms are available, then the occupants are moved to an outdoor location. When the nonsmoker and the smoker are present in the same room in the absence of any conscious strategies to reduce SHS exposure for the nonsmoker, the door and window behavior of either occupant can take precedence. Without mitigation strategies for doors and windows, occupants only close their doors when sleeping or in the bathroom, and they always leave windows closed. However, when occupants close doors for the purpose of reducing the transport of SHS or open windows to increase ventilation, the precedence of one or the other occupant may actually result in increased SHS exposure for the nonsmoker. Therefore, when any door-closing mitigation strategies are in effect and the smoker and nonsmoker occupy the same room, the door is always left open during the smoking episode to avoid build-up of SHS. Similarly, when any window-opening mitigation strategies are in effect and the occupants are in the same room during smoking episodes, the window is always left open to increase removal of SHS. 6.4.3 Simulation of Smoking Patterns Smoking behavior is simulated by first picking the total number of cigarettes that are smoked in a single day. This number is 1.5 packs, by default, where there are 20 cigarettes in a pack. I assume that these cigarettes are smoked in even intervals throughout the smoker’s waking hours. By default, those cigarettes that are not smoked in designated smoker areas during the unmodified smoker location profile are dropped. The dropped cigarettes constitute a reduced number of cigarette smoked if they were slated to occur in locations that are inside the house. In other words, the smoker does not move to a designated smoking area in the house, or to the outdoors, when their "time to smoke" happens to fall during a time when they are in a nonsmoking house location. However, if the option for moving the smoker to a designated smoking room is specified, then, as described above, the smoker will consume all of their cigarettes that would normally occur in the house CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 218 as long as a designated smoking room is available. A scenario option also exists to prevent the smoker from smoking in the house when the nonsmoker occupant is at home. In this case, the smoker’s location profile in the house does not change, but none of the cigarettes they would have smoked are allowed to be active. 6.5 Combining House and Occupant Information A central and critical function of the exposure simulation model is to synthesize time profiles of house and occupant-related information, generating room-specific concentrations and 24-h exposure profiles. First, the time profiles for air flows and pollutant emissions in each room are determined based on integrated and synchronized timelines for household events, including smoking activity, occupant locations, door and window positions, HAC operation, and portable filtration activity. Next, the air flows and emissions are used in concert with other physical data about the house, such as volumes, surface-to-volume ratios, and surfaceinteraction coefficients, to calculate room concentrations. Finally, the room concentrations and receptor time-location profile are merged, allowing for the calculation of exposure. Since the activity patterns for smoking and nonsmoking occupants contain minute-by-minute information, it is possible to maintain this level of precision throughout the simulation process. Figure 6.6 contains an integrated plot of time-profiles for selected household events, room concentrations, and smoker/nonsmoker exposures calculated for an illustrative simulation. 6.5.1 Synchronization of Simulated Events The time series for the different types of household events that are considered by the model are combined into an integrated timeline to establish the time breaks over which air flows, room concentrations, and exposures are to be determined. To accomplish this task, I have devised a unified time-activity "master event object," which consists of a single vector of time breaks and a number of parallel vectors containing codes for the different events that occur between each of the breaks. The 219 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE KIT−DIN 0 250 0 250 Concentration and Behavior Profiles BED 0 250 0 250 LIV−AUX 0 250 HALL BATH Smkr Location Cigarettes Smkr Awake 0 250 Smkr Drs Open Smkr Exp Conc Nonsmkr Location Nonsmkr Awake 0 250 Nonsmkr Drs Open Nonsmkr Exp Conc 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Elapsed Minutes Figure 6.6: Example simulated 24-h time-profiles for room particle concentrations [µ g m−3 ] (top panels) and selected occupant-specific behavior patterns and exposure concentrations [µ g m−3 ] (middle and bottom panels), occurring for the base flow state of the simple house layout shown in Figure 6.3. Each profile starts and ends at midnight. Occupant-specific activity profiles are included for the cigarette, location, awake, and door behavior of a single smoker and nonsmoker pair. The simulated exposure profile for each person is positioned below each group of behavior profiles. Colors used to draw each room concentration are matched with the color coding of the location profiles. White space in the activity profiles corresponds to an “absent from house”, “inactive”, “asleep”, and “closed” condition for location, cigarette, awake, and door profiles, respectively. Color and gray segments correspond to the opposite condition. CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 220 unified object contains the minimum number of time breaks required to retain the information in each original event series. By merging each of the event time series, I create a common time reference for subsequent calculations. Given a particular time interval, the unified event object allows for immediate determination of the occurrence or non-occurrence of specific events, such as whether or not a smoker is active, what location the smoker is in, what location the receptor is in, whether the door is closed in the smoking room, or whether the window is open in the smoking room. 6.5.2 Calculation of Room Concentrations and Exposure To calculate dynamic pollutant concentrations in each room of the house, I use a generic multizone IAQ model that incorporates time-dependent information on air flows and pollutant emissions. Appendix B describes the model formulation and its solution. According to the flow simulating procedure described above, the master household event object is used to generate the interzonal flows for each distinct household configuration that occurs during the 24-h simulation period. The flows and room-specific pollutant emissions profiles are recoded into regular time intervals with minute resolution before they are input into the IAQ model. Such a high resolution captures the highly dynamic nature of smoking behavior and human location patterns, and it also has the advantage that instantaneous concentrations are approximately equal to time-averaged concentrations across each interval, with a relatively small price to pay in terms of computational time.1 In addition, minutelong regular intervals allow for precise peak, per-event, and per-room exposure statistics to be calculated. The minute-by-minute SHS exposure concentration time series for the smoking and nonsmoking occupants are determined by matching the minutes they spend in each room of the house with the calculated concentrations in each room. In this way, a measure of the confluence of a person and a series of concentrations is 1 The computer time required to simulate a 24-h period for a single household, including occupants, household events, concentrations, and exposures, is typically 5−10 s. CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 221 determined, conforming to the accepted definition of exposure (see Section 2.1.1). Based on each exposure concentration time series, integrated, 24-h mean, peak, and per-room mean exposures are calculated. The exposure time series are also used, in combination with at-rest inhalation rates tabulated by age and gender [Layton, 1993] and the total mass of pollutant emissions, to calculate a pollutant intake fraction for each person, based on time spent at home and in-home SHS emissions. 6.6 Summary of Input and Output Simulation Variables This section summarizes all of the input and output simulation variables that are used to design and manage residential SHS exposure simulation trials. Each variable performs a role as a “key” or “response” variable. Table 6.3 contains the response, or output, variables, which depend directly on the set of inputs and constitute the primary variables of interest. Broad mitigation scenario specifications, together with fine-tuned control over a IAQ model input parameters and personal data, allow one to design a great variety of predictive and exploratory simulation experiments. Table 6.4 lists all of the model input parameters, or key variables, which explicitly condition the model response. Page references are included for locations in this dissertation where appropriate input parameter values have been discussed. For simplicity, the 23 explicit key variables for mitigation scenarios take the form of binary switches, with values corresponding to either an "on" or an "off" condition. The "on" condition corresponds to the states listed in Table 6.5. The "off" condition corresponds to the opposite state, e.g., having windows open instead of leaving them closed, or allowing smoking only when others are not at home. Each of the "on" states, when taken by themselves, would be expected to lead to more potential SHS exposure for the nonsmoker with respect to the corresponding "off" state. The final set of simulation variables are those that arise implicitly in the course 222 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE Table 6.3: Model Response Variates No. Variate Description Units 1 24-h exposure concentrations µ g m− 3 2 Per-room mean exposure concentrations µ g m− 3 3 Peak exposure concentrations µ g m− 3 4 Intake fraction − 5 Equivalent SHS cigarette intake − 6 Ratio of paired smoker and nonsmoker (indirect) exposure concentrations and intake fractions − 7 Exceedance of state and federal air quality standards, binary digit (1=exceeded; 0=not exceeded) − of the simulation (Table 6.6). Like the model outputs, they are dependent on the chosen model inputs, but are used as indicators or summaries of simulated conditions, rather than simulation endpoints. In this way they are also a type of key variable, because they may be used to disaggregate the model outputs. They arise in the course of the simulation when aspects of the simulated house or occupant activity are calculated for a particular scenario. These implicit key variables are not specified as model inputs, because they depend on the interaction between house occupants and their environment. For example, the correlation of smoker and nonsmoker behavior, i.e., the percentage of time they spend in the same room, is likely to be an important indicator of nonsmoker exposure, but must be determined from the randomly sampled activities of each occupant. Another example is the computation of total pollutant mass emissions, which is necessary for the calculation of intake fraction and depends on the number of cigarettes smoked in the home. Time-activity for occupants who smoke: time breaks, location codes, and awake codes Time-activity for occupants who don’t smoke: time breaks, location codes, and awake codes Number of cigarettes smoked in a day Cigarette mass emission rate Particle deposition loss-rate coefficient Sorption and desorption coefficients 3 4 5 6 7 8 Housing data for each occupant, including number of floors, rooms, and types of rooms Continued. Age, gender, geographic region, and education level for each house occupant 2 9 A mitigation scenario specification given as a 23-digit binary number Variate Description 1 No. Chapter 3, page 120 Chapter 3, page 126 h− 1 m h− 1 , h− 1 Chapter 5, page 168 Chapter 3, pages 116, 126 mg cig−1 − Chapter 3, page 98 Chapter 4, page 140 Chapter 4, page 140 Chapter 4, page 140 Table 6.5, page 225 a Reference − − − − − Units Table 6.4: Model Input Parameters – Explicit Key Variates CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 223 Surface-to-volume ratio for each room of the house House volume as a function of rooms and floors Closed whole-house air exchange rate Interzonal flow rates for open doors Interzonal flows amplification increments for closing doors and opening windows Central HAC system duty cycle and percentage time active during waking periods Inhalation rates by activity level, age, and gender 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Chapter 5, page 182 Chapter 5, pages 174 and 182 m3 h− 1 m3 h− 1 Chapter 6, page 220 Chapter 5, page 172 h− 1 m3 h− 1 Chapter 5, page 168 m3 − Chapter 5, page 168 m− 1 − a Reference Units to a location in the current chapter or another chapter where appropriate input parameter values have been established or relevant data bases have been discussed. a Reference Variate Description No. Table 6.4. Continued. CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 224 Smoking is allowed in the kitchen. Smoking is allowed in the dining room. Smoking is allowed in the main bedroom of the house. Smoking is allowed in auxiliary rooms, such as an office or extra bedrooms where children may be sleeping. Smoking is allowed in the bathrooms of the house. Smoking is allowed in the basement or garage of the house. Smoking is allowed when others are at home. The smoker does not move to a random designated smoking room when he/she smokes. The nonsmoker does not move to a random room away from the active smoker. The smoker leaves the door open in rooms where he/she smokes. The smoker leaves the window closed in rooms where he/she smokes. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 The nonsmoker leaves their room door open while smoking is happening in other rooms of the house. Continued. Smoking is allowed in the living room of the house. "On" Condition 1 No. Table 6.5: List of "On" Conditions for the 23 Environmental Scenario Binary Variables CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 225 "On" Condition The nonsmoker leaves their room window closed while smoking is happening in other rooms of the house. There is no local ventilation in smoking rooms during smoking. There is no local ventilation in nonsmoking rooms during smoking. Changes in smoker/nonsmoker location, door and window position or location ventilation in response to smoking activity occur only when a cigarette is active (versus for the entire time that a smoker spends in a designated smoking room). A recirculating filtration unit in smoking rooms is left off throughout the day. A recirculating filtration unit in nonsmoking rooms is left off throughout the day. The central air handling system is in operation throughout the day according to a particular duty cycle (i.e., a repeating pattern of on- and off- time periods). All of the main rooms in the house are combined into a single large zone. Indoor doorway positions for the “base case” are randomly assigned instead of being all open. Doors will still be closed as per the scenario variables above. During non-smoking periods, smoker has precedence over nonsmoker with respect to door and window positions in rooms that they occupy simultaneously, rather than vice versa. No. 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Table 6.5. Continued. CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE 226 227 CHAPTER 6. MODEL STRUCTURE Table 6.6: Derived Quantities – Implicit Key Variates No. Variate Description Units 1 Number of cigarettes smoked in the house 2 Total mass of SHS-related pollutant emitted into the house mg 3 Mean whole-house air exchange rate h− 1 4 Pollutant dispersion coefficient, mean absolute concentration difference between rooms divided by mean room concentration across all rooms − 5 Correlation coefficient for smoker and nonsmoker time-activities, percentage of time smoker and nonsmoker spend in the same room over the 24-h period − 6 Time nonsmoker spends in same room as smoker h 7 Percentage of time occupants spend at home − − 6.7 References Bennett, D. H., McKone, T. E., Evans, J. S., Nazaroff, W. W., Margni, M. D., Jolliet, O., and Smith, K. R. (2002). Defining intake fraction. Environmental Science and Technology, 36(9): 206A – 211A. Layton, D. W. (1993). Metabolically consistent breathing rates for use in dose assessments. Health Physics, 64(1): 23–36. 228 Part III Model Application 229 The following three chapters contain the results of applying a simulation model for residential secondhand smoke (SHS) exposure in three separate tiers of analysis. Chapter 7 (page 230) contains the Tier I analysis, which is a preliminary investigation of SHS exposure making use of a limited number of scripted occupant location patterns. Chapter 8 (page 268) contains the Tier II analysis, which examines frequency distributions of residential SHS exposure arising from realistic variation in unrestricted smoker and nonsmoker behavior. Chapter 9 (page 301) contains the Tier III analysis, which builds on the Tier II analysis of residential SHS exposure by modifying the locations and door and window-related behavior of smokers and nonsmokers according to specific exposure mitigation strategies, or by introducing portable filtration. 230 Chapter 7 Tier I. Analysis of Multi-Compartment Effects Using Scripted Occupant Movement For this chapter, I execute initial simulation experiments using the simulation model for multizonal residential SHS exposure described in Part II. In a multiple compartment residential system containing active smokers, the proximity between receptors and smokers, the magnitude of whole-house removal mechanisms (pollutant persistence), and the magnitude and direction of interzonal air flows (pollutant permeation) are all expected to control SHS concentrations and exposures. But the ways in which these factors can intermingle is unclear. Therefore, in this chapter I explore the magnitude of the effect on SHS exposure of a house’s multiple compartment character, including the relative locations of its occupants and flow patterns induced by either design, occupants, or meteorology. To represent both the particulate and volatile gaseous components of SHS, which differ in their interaction with surfaces, I consider emissions of particles and nicotine. Surface levels of nicotine are either initially zero or moderately loaded to reflect chronic indoor smoking. Initial flows across house boundaries may be either balanced in each direction, i.e., symmetric, or they may be asymmetric, in which case flows have a prevailing direction from one side of the house to another. Asymmetric interior flows may also occur for cases of either continuous or intermittent central air handling operation. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 231 Other physical model parameters whose general effects on indoor air quality and exposure are understood, such as house volume, number of cigarettes smoked, cigarette emission factors, deposition rates, sorption and desorption rates, flow rates through doors, windows, and air handling systems, and receptor inhalation rate, are held fixed for the analyses presented in this chapter. Fixing their values clarifies and simplifies my analysis of other factors. I select single values of these parameters that are reasonable or typical for US residences. The primary focus of this chapter is the initial exploration of how much occupant-related behaviors and the multiple compartment character of houses can influence exposure. I consider two houses of identical size, one with a typical 4room layout and one dominated by a single large (and well-mixed) space. These houses are intended for use in exploring the effect of a house’s multi-compartment character on exposure and the commonly assumed condition in IAQ modeling of instantaneous complete mixing throughout a house, rather than for studying particular house layouts. I present results from a full dynamic treatment of exposure as well as 24-h average exposures from a simplified model, which is derived in Appendix B. Occupant location and the positions of windows and doors are expected to be critical determinants of residential SHS exposure. Therefore, I consider three different patterns of receptor location, in which the nonsmoker spends progressively less time in proximity to the smoker, and three scenarios exploring the effects of nonsmoking behavior with respect to interior door and exterior window positions. This initial investigation is a prelude to simulations of exposure using more realistic variation in occupant location patterns, which are introduced in Chapters 8 and 9. 7.1 Model Input for Scripted Scenarios I use the same model input parameter values for both the full, dynamic treatment of residential SHS exposures and the simplified treatment. In the simplified approach, I assume the home is represented by a single well-mixed zone, so that exposure concentrations vary in time but not in space. Dependence on the com- CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 232 mon time that occupants spend at home is removed by assigning exposure based on time-averaged pollutant concentrations. A correction factor, f , is used to compensate for pollutant dispersion amongst rooms and reduced time spent at home during the averaging period. The simplified model of SHS exposure for airborne particles can be formulated as follows (Appendix B): y= f ÑE V ( A + D) (7.1) where y is the average airborne particle exposure concentration [µ g m−3 ] in the house over the given averaging time T, which for convenience is set equal to 1 d, Ñ is the number of cigarettes smoked in the residence over the one-day averaging time [d−1 ], E is the particle mass emission factor [µ g cig−1 ], A is the air-exchange rate [d−1 ], D is the deposition loss-rate coefficient [d−1 ], V is the total volume of the residence [m3 ], and f is the correction, or adjustment, factor. The mass of pollutant intake for the receptor can be estimated through multiplication of y by an individual’s breathing rate. The factor f will be larger the more time the receptor spends at home and the more time spent in zones of average or higher-than-average concentration relative to zones of lower-than-average concentration. A value of 1 corresponds to the receptor spending time at home during and for substantial time after cigarettes were smoked at home in zones with average air concentrations. The factor increases with an increase in time spent in the same room as the smoker, and decreases if the receptor leaves the home during or shortly after smoking or moves to a distant, relatively smoke-free location of the home. However, even with an appropriate correction factor, this simple single compartment model of time-average exposure lacks the flexibility to accurately describe residential exposures in which pollutant concentrations are significantly different in rooms of a house and occupants travel among multiple rooms. The dynamic, multizone model incorporates the same parameters as in Equation 7.1, but it also incorporates additional physical and environmental input parameters. These include interzonal flow rates associated with doors, windows, and an HAC or HVAC system, as well as particle deposition or surface sorption CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 233 and desorption (Table 7.1). I use fixed input parameter values, which represent best estimates falling in the middle range of reported values (Chapters 3−6), for all exposure calculations presented in this chapter. Note that while each parameter value is fixed, pollutant emissions and house air flow characteristics change over time due to the behavior of household occupants or the automatic operation of the HAC system. For simplicity, the behavior of the smoker is also held fixed for calculations presented in this chapter. Figure 7.1 depicts the sequence of locations the smoker visits in the household, as well as the timing of their smoking activity. The smoker lights up 30 cigarettes during the day, approximately 19 of which are smoked in the house.1 As discussed in Chapter 6, cigarettes are evenly spaced throughout awake periods of the day with a portion of these cigarettes naturally falling within periods spent at home. Smoking episodes, shown as solid blocks of time, are defined as continuous time periods for which a smoker is present in a room where smoking is allowed and he or she smokes at least a portion of one cigarette. A new smoking episode occurs whenever the smoker moves to a different room where they may initiate smoking activity. Smoking is allowed in every room the smoker visits except the bathroom. Since, as discussed in Chapter 5, most house mechanical air handling systems in the US do not provide ventilation, that is the case I explore here. Figure 7.1 shows the HAC system duty cycle for the case of intermittent operation where the total on-time is fixed at 10% of the day with individual on-time episodes fixed at 10 min. The HAC only operates during times when at least one household member is awake. To address the primary focus of my investigation, which is the impact of household occupant behavior and multiple compartments on SHS exposure, I have iden1 The procedure for simulating smoking activity, which is described in Chapter 6, involves superimposing a smoking pattern onto the smoker’s residential location pattern. In this process, fractions of a cigarette may fall outside the limits of a time period spent at home, resulting in a non-integer number of cigarettes being smoked in the house. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 234 Table 7.1: Fixed Model Input Parameter Values: Physical and Environmental Quantities Smoker Activity In main bedroom, living room, kitchen and bathroom during the day; Smokes in every room they visit except the bathroom; At home 75% of day; see text and Figure 7.1 Low-activity Inhalation Rate 0.0054 m3 min−1 , Chapter 6 Cigarettes Smoked Over Whole Day 30 d−1 , Chapter 3 Cigarettes Smoked at Home 19 d−1 between 6am and 10pm a Cigarette Mass Emissions 10 mg cig−1 , Chapter 3 Cigarette Nicotine Emissions 5 mg cig−1 , Chapter 3 Cigarette Duration 7 min with 25−30 min breaks, Chapter 3 Particle Deposition Rate 0.1 h−1 , Chapter 3 Nicotine Sorption Rated 1.4 m h−1 , Chapter 3 Nicotine Desorption Rated 0.00042 h−1 , Chapter 3 Nicotine Initial Surface Conc. 50 mg m−2 , Chapter 8 b Door Flow, Open Doorway 100 m3 h−1 , Chapter 5 Door Flow, Closed Doorway 1 m3 h−1 , Chapter 5 Window Flow Addition, Open Window 150 m3 h−1 , Chapter 5 Base House Air-Exchange Rate 0.5 h−1 , Chapter 5 HAC, House Volumes of Flow 5 h−1 , Chapter 5 HAC, Intermittent Duty 10% c HAC, Intermittent On-Time 10 min c House Volume 287 m3 , Chapter 5 a Derived quantity resulting from total cigarettes smoked and smoker location pattern. b This approximate value for initital surface nicotine concentrations is determined from a simulation experiment described in Chapter 8. c HAC is active for 10% of the total time any occupant is awake for “on” periods of 10-min at a time. For occupants that sleep 13 of the day, this corresponds to 1.6-h total duty, which is considered low. d The surface-to-volume ratio for each room of the simulated houses, which are needed to simulate nicotine sorption and desorption, are given in Table 7.3. 235 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Midnight 6:00 am Bedroom Bathroom Noon Kitchen Living Room 6:00 pm Cigarettes Smoking Episodes Midnight HAC Figure 7.1: Concurrent 24-h time-activity patterns for smoker location, individual cigarettes smoked, and smoking episodes in individual rooms of House #2. For House #1 bedroom, kitchen, and living room functions are served by a single main room. Also pictured here is the HAC operation cycle. Smoking occurs in every room the smoker visits during awake periods, except the bathroom. Over the course of the day, a total of approximately 19 cigarettes are smoked inside the house. tified five study factors with 2−6 levels each. These factors, listed in Table 7.2, correspond to model input scenarios for: (1) number of rooms and layout (House Type); (2) nonsmoker location relative to the smoker (Nonsmoker Activity); (3) door, window, and HAC configuration (Flow-Related Conditions); (4) flow patterns across zone boundaries (Flow Symmetry); and (5) the amount of sorbing pollutant on household surfaces, which is reflective of the history of smoking behavior in the household (Initial Nicotine Surface Concentration). The general effect of multiple compartments on exposures is explored by treating two homes having identical total volumes but different numbers of distinct rooms. Home #1 consists of a single 280 m3 room, which satisfies most household uses, plus a small (7 m3 ) bathroom (Table 7.3). House #2 consists of four main 50 or 100 m3 rooms satisfying distinct cooking/dining, living, working, and sleeping uses, a 30 m3 hallway, and a 7 m3 bathroom. As evident from the schematics and flow graphs shown in Figure 7.2, all of the rooms in each house have air connections to the outdoors through either leakage or a window, and to the HAC system through either an air supply or return register. The air return is located in the main CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 236 Table 7.2: Levels Considered for Five Model Input Scenario Variables: House Type, Nonsmoker Activity, Flow-Related Conditions, Flow Symmetry, and Initial Nicotine Surface Concentrations House Type 1. “1” A single main room on a single floor 2. “2” Four main rooms on a single floor Nonsmoker Activity 1. “Follower” Nonsmoker moves between rooms exactly with smoker 2. “Napper” Nonsmoker with smoker in living room during mid-day, spending part of the day and the night in a separate bedroom 3. “Avoider” Nonsmoker always in different room from smoker, but may move into rooms where smoking has occurred previously in the day Flow-Related Conditions 1. “Base” Internal doors all open during awake times, all windows closed, and HAC off 2. “Doors Closed” Internal doors closed in rooms during smoking episodes where smoker is present 3. “SmkDrs-Closed/ SmkWins-Open” Internal doors closed and windows open in rooms during smoking episodes where smoker is present 4. “HAC-10%” Central air handling system is intermittently active for 10% of waking hours; windows closed and internal doors open 5. “HAC-100%” Central air handling system is active for 100% of waking hours; windows closed and internal doors open 6. “Smk-NonSmk/ Wins-Open” Windows open during smoking episodes in rooms where smoker is present or nonsmoker is present; internal doors open Flow Symmetry 1. “Sym” Symmetric flow across window/door/wall boundaries, such as might occur for local stack (temperature) effects or non-directional turbulent flow. See text. 2. “Asym” Asymetric flow across door/window/wall boundaries, such as might occur with wind-driven flow. See text. Initial Nicotine Surface Concentration 1. “0” No nicotine is on room walls at the start of the simulation 2. “50” 50 mg m−2 of nicotine are on the walls of each room at the start of the simulation Note: See Figure 7.3 for nonsmoker activity patterns. See Table 7.3 and Figure 7.2 for the layout of each house type. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 237 room of House #1 and the hallway of House #2 with air supplies going to all other rooms. The two rooms in House #1 are connected by a doorway. The air connection between rooms for House #2 is mediated by a hallway for all rooms except the master bedroom and bathroom, which are directly connected by a doorway. Except for time spent in the bathroom, House #1 occupants occupy the single main room for the entire time they spend at home. In contrast, for House #2, which contains four different main rooms, it is possible for the smoker and nonsmoker to occupy separate rooms for much or all of the time they spend at home together. I have established three different nonsmoker time-location patterns that provide perspective on the influence of proximity to the smoker on exposure in House #2 (see Figure 7.3). The first nonsmoker profile, termed the “follower”, corresponds to an infant, a small child, or perhaps a spouse, who spends all their time in the house in the same room as the smoker. The second profile, the “napper”, corresponds to a child or adult who spends some time in the same room as the smoker, but takes a 2-h nap in the middle of the day in a separate bedroom and sleeps in a separate bedroom at night. The third profile, the “avoider”, never spends any time in the same room as the smoker. It is expected that larger amounts of time spent in the same room as the smoker will result in higher exposures, although time spent in rooms where smoking has just occurred may also contribute significantly to cumulative exposure. Occupants may open exterior windows and/or close interior doors in response to smoking activity. Such activities result in a perturbation from the base conditions, where all exterior windows are closed and all interior doors are open, except during time spent in the bathroom or in bedrooms during sleeping hours. Either the nonsmoker, the smoker, or both may close a door or open a window in the room in which they are residing during a particular smoking episode. This behavior occurs with respect to complete smoking episodes, so that door and window positions are altered from the base condition for an entire smoking episode, rather than being limited to the duration of individual cigarettes. The treatment of interaction between smokers and nonsmokers in rooms they LIV BED AUX HALL BATH Living Room Bedroom Auxiliary Room Hallway* Bathroom KIT-DIN BATH Bathroom Kitchen-Dining* MAIN Abbrev. Main* a Rooms 7 30 50 50 50 100 7 3.5 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.6 3.5 1.2 [m−1 ] [m3 ] 280 Ratio Volume 287 287 [m3 ] Volume Total +36 −1435 +251 +251 +251 +502 +32 +1260/−1435 [m3 h−1 ] Flow c HAC 3.5 15 25 25 25 50 3.5 140 [m3 h−1 ] Flow Leakage d Base These house characteristics are used for dynamic, multizone simulations of residential SHS exposure. See Figure 7.2 for house layouts and a graphical depiction of direct connections between rooms (i.e., a closed or open doorway) for each house type. See Chapter 6 for a detailed description of how flows are assigned. a Rooms with an asterisk (*) are inlets rooms, i.e., rooms that experience a net inflow of air from the outdoors when asymmetric flow patterns are specified, and all other rooms act as outlet rooms for which there is a net outflow to the outdoors. b Minimum surface-area-to-volume ratios corresponding to rooms with listed volumes as calculated in Chapter 5. c Air flow for supply (+) or return (−) to/from the house HAC system for each room of the house occurring when the HAC is active. The supply rates shown have been reduced by 10% from the designed flow rate of 5 h−1 to account for supply duct leakage. See Chapters 5 and 6. d Air flow between each room and the outdoors due to base leakage through building cracks and crevices when the HAC is inactive. During HAC operation, supply duct leakage leads to additional infiltration. 2 1 No. to-Volume Room b Surface- Table 7.3: Room Characteristics for Each Type of Simulated House CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 238 239 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT HAC Front Door Back Door Kitchen-DiningLiving-BedroomAuxiliary, 280 m3 Back Door HAC HAC Kitchen-Dining, 100 m3 Front Door Auxiliary, 50 m3 Hallway, 30 m3 HAC HAC Living Room, 50 m3 Bath, 7 m3 HAC HAC House #1 Bedroom, 50 m3 Bath, 7m3 HAC HAC House #2 KIT−DIN−LIV−BED−AUX BATH AUX BED HALL LIV KIT−DIN BATH Outdoor HAC Outdoor HAC Figure 7.2: Floorplans (top), showing room volumes and HAC supply and return flow rates, and interzonal connection schematics (bottom) for the two house types considered in dynamic multizone analyses in this chapter (also see Table 7.3). House #1 has a single main room satisfying kitchen, dining, living, bedroom, and auxiliary uses. House #2 has 4 main rooms with a multi-use room for cooking and dining purposes. Both houses have a single floor. Bathrooms and hallways are considered to be supplementary, and not main rooms. Note that each room of the houses has a bidirectional connection to the outdoors, e.g., via a window or wall. The main rooms in House #2 are connected by a doorway to a hallway and not directly to other rooms, except for the master bathroom and the master bedroom. When operating, the HAC system supplies a total of 5 house volumes of air per hour divided among individual rooms on a volume basis, minus 10% due to supply duct leakage, with zero supplied outdoor air. See Chapter 6 for a discussion of how house air flows are assigned. The HAC return is located in the hallway for House #2 and in the single main room for House #1. The HAC acts to recirculate all the supplied air between the return and supply registers. 240 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Smoker "Follower" Non−Smoker "Napper" Non−Smoker "Avoider" Non−Smoker Midnight 6:00 am Bedroom Kitchen Noon Living Room Bathroom 6:00 pm Midnight Auxiliary Room Awake Time Figure 7.3: Scripted smoker and nonsmoker 24-h time-activity patterns used for the occupants of House #2. The time-activities start and end at midnight. For House #1, occupants spend all their time in a single, large main room or the bathroom. The locations House #2 occupants visit are designated by different colors with a gray strip showing the time that each person was awake. Blank spaces for locations designate periods when the person was outside of the residence. A “follower” nonsmoker is one who consistently occupies the same locations as the smoker. A “napper” nonsmoker sleeps in their own bedroom for much of the day, and shares space with the smoker in the living room. The “avoider” nonsmoker never occupies the same room as the smoker, using a separate bedroom, and opting to occupy the kitchen when the smoker is in the living room and vice-versa. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 241 occupy simultaneously is a particularly important aspect of the simulation. In keeping with the implicit goal of exposure mitigation associated with door closing and window opening behavior, when the nonsmoker and smoker are in the same room during smoking, flow scenarios are applied to result in the least expected exposure for the nonsmoker. Thus, if either the smoker or nonsmoker is directed to close doors during smoking episodes spent by themselves, the door of any room they jointly occupy is left open instead to allow more rapid removal of SHS from that room. If either the smoker or nonsmoker is directed to open a window during smoking episodes, then the window of the room they share is always left open to increase room ventilation. 7.2 Intermediate Output: Occupant Interaction, Air Flows, and Room Concentrations Dynamic, multizone simulation experiments were executed according to the fixed model inputs and all combinations of the scenario levels defined in the preceding section. Important characteristics of the simulated scenarios include time spent in proximity to a smoker (Table 7.4), whole-house air-exchange rate (Table 7.5), and air flow rates between rooms (Tables 7.6 and 7.7). Below, I review these generated values for general validity and their consistency with expected occupant behavior (Chapter 4) or housing characteristics (Chapter 5). All occupants spend 75% of their day at home and 43% of the day at home while smoking episodes are occurring (Table 7.4). The smoker and the “follower” nonsmoker spend all of their time at home in the same room of the house. For House #1, the “napper” and “avoider” nonsmokers also spend most of their time in the same room as the smoker, since movement is restricted to a single multipurpose room and a small bathroom. In House #2, the “napper” spends considerably less time in the same room as the smoker (17% of the day), and the “avoider” spends zero time in the same room as the smoker. While the “follower” is always exposed to direct SHS emissions in a particular room of House #2, the “napper” is only exposed indirectly through interzonal transport or when entering a room 242 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.4: Percentage of the Daya Nonsmoker Spends in Rooms with the Smoker, At Home During Smoking Episodes, and in Rooms During Smoking Episodes by Activity and House Type Nonsmoker Activity House Type In Room with Smoker Follower 1 2 Napper Avoider a All 75% 75% At Home During Smoking Episodes 43% 43% In Room During Smoking Episodes 43% 43% 1 2 72% 17% 43% 43% 42% 17% 1 2 71% 0% 43% 43% 41% 0% household occupants spend 75% of their day at home. where a smoking episode has previously occurred. The “napper” receives both direct and indirect exposures. The whole-house air-exchange rate (Table 7.5) indicates the degree of pollutant removal through direct infiltation and exfiltration via the building shell. Under symmetric flow, where flows are balanced across door and window boundaries, the base house air infiltration rate of 0.5 h−1 is unchanged between base flow scenario conditions and for smoker closed-door conditions. Asymmetric flows resulted in air-exchange rates that were approximately equal to those for symmetric flows. HAC system operation increased the mean air-exchange rate slightly in House #2 because of increased infiltration induced by supply duct leakage. Opening a window in smoker rooms and/or nonsmoker rooms during smoking episodes resulted in an increase of the air-exchange rate to 0.73−0.95 h−1 . This variation is due mostly to different nonsmoker activity patterns in House #2 with the largest increase occurring when windows are opened by both occupants for “avoider” nonsmoker behavior. For this case, cross-flow conditions occur most often when the “avoider” spends 100% of their time in a room separated from the smoker. While whole-house air-exchange indicates the overall removal of pollutants, 243 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.5: Simulated 24-h Mean Whole-House Air-Exchange Rate by Flow Symmetry, Flow Scenario, and House Type a Flow House Flow Sym Type Sym/ 1 Asym Scenario 2 0.50 SmkDrs−Closed 0.50 0.84−0.85 HAC−10% 0.50 HAC−100% 0.50 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 0.85 Base 0.50 SmkDrs−Closed 0.50 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 0.73−0.85 HAC−10% 0.51 HAC−100% 0.58 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open a Air-exchange rates Rate [h−1 ] Base SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open Sym b Air-Exchange 0.84−0.95 for House #1 are the same for asymmetric and symmetric cases. For House #2, air-exchange rates for asymmetric flow conditions are approximately the same or slightly larger as those for symmetric conditions, and are therefore not shown. b Air-exchange rates were either the same across all types of nonsmoker activity or they had the listed range across “follower”, “napper”, or “avoider” activity patterns. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 244 room-specific outdoor air exfiltration and inter-room flows, which are modulated by open windows, doors, and HAC operation, influence the pollutant concentrations in each room. The procedure for assigning residential flow rates is presented in Section 6.3.2. Figures 7.4, 7.5, and 7.6 contain 24-h mean interzonal flow rates corresponding to each flow scenario for symmetric House #1 flows, symmetric House #2 flows, and asymmetric House #2 flows, respectively. All the flows presented in these figures correspond to “avoider” nonsmoker behavior, although different nonsmoker activity patterns do not change the flow patterns significantly. Flow in and out of each room, the HAC, and the house as a whole are always balanced within a tolerance of 1 m3 h−1 . When flows are initially asymmetric or the HAC is active, flows have a prevailing direction through the house from inlet rooms (KIT-DIN, HALL) to outlet rooms (LIV, BED, AUX, BATH) or from supply to return registers, respectively. For symmetric flows or when the HAC is inactive, flows are always balanced across room and building shell boundaries. The average air flow out of rooms with a smoker or into rooms with a nonsmoker during smoking periods are two derived quanitites of particular interest. Since House #1 is dominated by a single, well-mixed room, these parameters are not as meaningful as for House #2, so I present results here for House #2 only (Tables 7.6 and 7.7). The mean air flow rate out of smoking rooms into other rooms, during smoking episodes under symmetrical flow, no HAC activity, and “follower” nonsmoker behavior, are equal to the base state value of 100 m3 h−1 . As discussed above, for scenarios involving the closing of the smoker’s door, the door remains open for time that the smoker and nonsmoker spend in the same room. Therefore, the closed-door smoking room outflows for “napper” and “avoider” are progressively smaller as a function of the amount of time spent with the smoker. When the HAC is active, outflows increase substantially in response to the HAC supply rate of about 500 m3 h−1 into the KIT-DIN room, which is the location where much of the smoking activity occurs. The KIT-DIN room is also an outlet room, from which flows move towards the LIV, BED, AUX, and BATH rooms. Therefore, asymmetric CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 245 outflows are generally higher than the corresponding symmetric outflows. Asymmetric open-window flows are largest for “avoider” behavior, because two windows are opened in separate rooms during all smoking episodes. The mean air flow rate into nonsmoker rooms from other rooms during smoking episodes does not include time spent in smoking rooms during smoking periods, so no flows are given for “follower” nonsmoker behavior, where the nonsmoker is continually in the same room as the smoker. The “avoider” and “napper” inflows do not change from one scenario to another under symmetric flow conditions. Their magnitudes relative to the base flow of 100 m3 h−1 are reflective of time spent in the bathroom with a closed door or napping in an auxiliary room with a closed door. Under asymmetric flow conditions, the nonsmoker room inflow is typically larger than for symmetric conditions, because air travels from the KIT-DIN room to the LIV and AUX rooms where “avoider” and “napper” nonsmokers spend time during smoking episodes. To elucidate how airborne pollutant exposure concentrations are simulated, I provide detailed room concentration profiles for seven different simulation scenarios. The first set of profiles are for particle concentrations in House #1, which is dominated by one large compartment (Figure 7.7). The remaining six sets, which are for airborne particle and nicotine concentrations in the six-zone House #2, illustrate the effect of closing doors and nonsmoker avoidance behavior (Figure 7.8), the effect of cross-flow between two windows (Figure 7.9), the effect of intermittent and continuous HAC operation (Figure 7.10), and the effect of initial surface nicotine concentrations (Figure 7.11). For base conditions in House #1 (Figure 7.7), peak airborne particle concentrations reach a maximum of approximately 95 µ g m−3 in the main room. The 24-h average concentrations are in the range of 41−43 µ g m−3 and the 24-h average personal exposure concentration for both occupants is 33 µ g m−3 . The limited capacity for movement of the occupants and the uniformity of pollutant concentrations in each zone removes any dependence of exposure on occupant location. For base conditions in House #2 (left side of Figure 7.8), when interior doors 246 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT KIT−DIN−LIV−BED−AUX−1 1 2 3 4 Smkr Dr Closed, Win Open 1 2 3 4 96 237 0 129 4 0 205 36 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 HAC 100% 2 3 96 140 4 6 22 102 4 1021 0 0 HAC 10% 2 3 96 140 4 4 3 14 4 144 0 0 BATH−2 1 Outdoors−3 1 HAC−4 Base State 2 3 96 140 4 4 0 0 1 2 3 4 96 140 0 1 2 3 4 Smkr Door Closed 1 2 3 96 140 96 4 140 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 121 240 897 1 1 2 3 4 99 154 126 1 2 3 4 Smk/Nsmkr Wins Open 1 2 3 96 237 129 7 205 39 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 Figure 7.4: House #1 Symmetric Flows. The simulated 24-h average air flow rates [m3 h−1 ] between zones of House #1 for six possible scenarios and initially symmetric boundary flow patterns. These flows correspond to cases with “avoider” nonsmoker behavior. The direction of flow is from zones listed in rows to zones listed in columns. 247 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT AUX−3 BED−4 LIV−2 HALL−5 KIT−DIN−1 BATH−6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Smk Dr Closed and Win Open 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 0 0 77 0 84 0 0 0 84 0 50 0 0 0 71 0 25 0 0 0 67 96 30 77 84 71 67 0 15 0 0 0 96 0 4 84 50 25 30 15 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 HAC 100% 3 4 5 0 0 497 0 0 0 299 0 0 0 270 0 0 0 274 100 100 71 70 0 0 0 124 0 90 45 45 45 38 358 179 179 179 0 8 0 0 0 0 1021 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 HAC 10% 4 5 0 156 0 0 128 0 0 0 99 0 0 0 99 100 100 71 70 0 0 0 100 0 56 28 28 28 18 50 25 25 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Smk/Nonsmk Wins Open 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 0 0 100 0 109 0 0 0 100 0 83 0 0 0 71 0 29 0 0 0 70 96 30 100 100 71 70 0 15 0 0 0 96 0 7 109 83 29 30 15 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Outdoors−7 Base State 3 4 5 0 0 100 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 71 0 0 0 70 100 100 71 70 0 0 0 96 0 50 25 25 25 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 HAC−8 0 0 0 77 0 50 0 2 0 6 0 0 0 96 0 4 0 Smkr Door Closed 3 4 5 6 0 0 77 0 0 0 84 0 0 0 71 0 0 0 67 96 84 71 67 0 0 0 96 0 25 25 25 15 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 50 25 25 25 15 4 0 7 50 25 25 25 15 4 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 3 0 0 6 0 0 0 96 0 6 25 6 0 0 0 96 0 4 4 7 50 25 25 48 15 4 102 7 50 25 25 28 15 4 14 8 0 0 0 0 144 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Figure 7.5: House #2 Symmetric Flows. The simulated 24-h average air flow rates [m3 h−1 ] between zones of House #2 for six possible scenarios and initially symmetric boundary flow patterns. These flows correspond to cases with “avoider” nonsmoker behavior. The direction of flow is from zones listed in rows to zones listed in columns. 248 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Smkr Dr Closed Win Open 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 0 0 178 0 10 0 0 0 84 0 67 0 0 0 71 0 42 0 0 0 67 132 49 77 142 107 137 0 13 0 0 0 96 0 42 111 8 6 16 77 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 HAC 100% 3 4 5 0 0 569 0 0 0 273 0 0 0 245 0 0 0 228 100 110 81 90 0 0 0 98 0 111 20 21 21 89 358 179 179 179 0 8 0 0 0 0 1021 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 HAC 10% 4 5 0 228 0 0 124 0 0 0 96 0 0 0 93 100 132 103 129 0 0 0 96 0 77 3 4 8 74 50 25 25 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Smk/Nonsmk Wins Open 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 0 0 292 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 152 0 0 0 72 0 40 0 0 0 70 135 41 100 250 108 142 0 8 0 0 0 96 0 41 192 2 3 9 73 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 AUX−3 BED−4 LIV−2 HALL−5 KIT−DIN−1 BATH−6 1 Outdoors−7 Base State 3 4 5 0 0 172 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 71 0 0 0 70 100 136 106 136 0 0 0 96 0 72 0 1 6 72 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 HAC−8 0 0 0 77 0 72 0 2 0 6 0 0 0 132 0 0 0 Smk Door Closed 3 4 5 6 0 0 147 0 0 0 84 0 0 0 71 0 0 0 67 132 119 106 132 0 0 0 96 0 1 1 7 72 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 36 36 36 7 36 0 7 2 36 36 36 7 36 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 3 0 0 6 0 0 0 106 0 3 25 6 0 0 0 128 0 0 4 7 0 36 36 53 2 36 102 7 0 36 36 38 7 36 14 8 0 0 0 0 144 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Figure 7.6: House #2 Asymmetric Flows. The simulated 24-h average air flow rates [m3 h−1 ] between zones of House #2 for six possible scenarios and initially asymmetric boundary flow patterns. These flows correspond to cases with “avoider” nonsmoker behavior. The direction of flow is from zones listed in rows to zones listed in columns. 249 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.6: Simulated 24-h Mean Flow Out of Smoking Rooms Into Other Rooms During Smoking Episodes [m3 h−1 ] by Flow Symmetry, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity for House #2 Flow Flow Sym Scenario Sym Asym Nonsmoker Activity Follower Napper Avoider Base 100 99 99 SmkDrs−Closed 100 42 4 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 100 42 4 HAC−10% 153 152 155 HAC−100% 517 516 516 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 100 99 99 Base 140 138 138 SmkDrs−Closed 140 78 40 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 163 137 98 HAC−10% 190 189 192 HAC−100% 539 538 537 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 163 252 298 250 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.7: Simulated 24-h Mean Flow Into Nonsmoker Rooms from Other Rooms During Smoking Episodes [m3 h−1 ] by Flow Symmetry, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity for House #2 Flow a Flow Sym Scenario Sym Asym b Nonsmoker Activity Napper Avoider Base 44 95 SmkDrs−Closed 44 95 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 44 95 HAC−10% 44 95 HAC−100% 44 95 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 44 95 Base 78 117 SmkDrs−Closed 78 117 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 96 128 HAC−10% 73 114 HAC−100% 44 95 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 220 285 simulated HAC flow rate into main rooms of the house was approximately 250 m3 h−1 for every room but KIT-DIN, for which it was 500 m3 h−1 . b The “follower” nonsmoker is always present with the smoker so there are no corresponding flows into nonsmoker rooms. a The 251 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 40 80 BATH−2 − 41 µg m−3 Receptor − 33 µg m−3 0 40 80 0 0 KIT−DIN−LIV−BED−AUX−1 − 43 µg m−3 Source − 33 µg m−3 0 40 80 SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 40 80 Room and Exposure Concentrations 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Elapsed Minutes Figure 7.7: Simulated airborne SHS particle concentration and exposure time series (µ g m−3 versus min) for rooms and occupants, respectively, in House #1 under base conditions with “avoider” nonsmoker behavior. The nonsmoker (receptor) and smoker (source) have near-identical movement patterns and exposure profiles, reflecting their restriction to a single main room and bathroom and the uniformity of pollutant concentration both within and between these rooms. The 24-h average room and exposure concentrations are given in appropriate panels. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 252 are open, except for occupied bathroom doors and bedroom doors during sleeping periods, and exterior windows (and doors) are closed, peak airborne particle concentrations reach maximum levels in excess of 250 µ g m−3 during a 6-cigarette (3-h) smoking episode in the living room. Single-cigarette episodes in the bedroom during morning and evening hours generate peaks of about 150 µ g m−3 . In relatively large rooms where no smoking takes place, i.e, the hallway and auxiliary bedroom, levels can still reach 50−100 µ g m−3 during smoking episodes. The 24-h exposure concentration of the “follower” nonsmoker is 61 µ g m−3 , which is greater than the 24-h average concentration in any of the rooms. When doors are closed by the smoker in House #2 during smoking episodes, concentrations are generally higher, relative to the base case, behind closed doors in smoking rooms, and generally lower in others rooms (right side of Figure 7.8). For this scenario, the 24-h mean concentration in the living room is 23 µ g m−3 higher than for the base case, and the smoking episode in the living room results in peak particle concentration of approximately 500 µ g m−3 , which is twice the peaks observed in the base case. The “follower” exposure increases to 81 µ g m−3 , which is 20 µ g m−3 higher than for the base scenario. Avoidance behavior reduces the “avoider” nonsmoker’s exposure dramatically with respect to the “follower” from a 24-h average SHS particle level of 61 to 21 µ g m−3 . The “avoider” nonsmoker still encounters fairly high peaks in their exposure concentration profile (100−300 µ g m−3 ) when they visit rooms soon after a smoking episode has occurred. Opening one or more windows in House #2 increases its ventilation rate. Increased ventilation might have a local effect on a single room if air moves in and out of a particular room’s window at equal rates, i.e., it is symmetric. However, when the same amount of air moves in one window and out through a separate room, perhaps through another open window, other rooms in the house will be affected. The effect of window cross-flow versus localized window ventilation in both the smoker’s and nonsmoker’s rooms is to remove pollutants more quickly from rooms where smoking is occurring (Figure 7.9). Cross-flow involves the induction of a prevailing current through the house, whereas for the symmetric 200 Source − 61 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 61 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 34 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 40 µg m−3 BED−4 − 35 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 31 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 55 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 49 µg m −3 600 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 1200 1400 SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 200 Source − 88 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 21 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 25 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 26 µg m−3 BED−4 − 27 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 19 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 78 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 53 µg m−3 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 600 1200 1400 Room and Exposure Concentrations Figure 7.8: The Effect of Closed Doors and Avoidance Behavior. Simulated airborne SHS particle concentration and exposure time series (µ g m−3 versus min) for rooms and occupants, respectively, in House #2 under two symmetric flow scenarios and two nonsmoker (receptor) time-activity patterns. The left panel corresponds to base flow conditions where interior doors are open (except when occupants are in the bathroom) and all windows are closed, and to “follower” nonsmoker behavior. The right panel corresponds to flow conditions where doors are closed for smoking rooms when a smoker (source) is present and to “avoider” nonsmoker behavior. The 24-h average room and exposure concentrations are given in appropriate panels. SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 300 0 300 0 300 0 300 0 300 0 300 0 300 0 300 Room and Exposure Concentrations CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 253 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 254 case flows are equal in either direction (to and from the smoking rooms). Therefore, symmetric flow can result in the slower overall removal of pollutants from the house. While peak particle concentrations are similar between the two cases, freshly generated tobacco smoke is carried more quickly to adjacent rooms for the cross-flow case, increasing exposure for those with “avoider” behavior. When the HAC system in House #2 is in operation, the rate of pollutant removal increases due to supply duct leakage, and the rates of interzonal mixing are increased. Intermittent HAC activity during waking hours (left of Figure 7.10) causes a reduction in 24-h mean concentrations of 2−6 µ g m−3 relative to the base case, whereas continuous HAC activity (right of Figure 7.10) causes reductions of 14−28 µ g m−3 . Peak living room airborne particle concentrations are about 250 µ g m−3 for both base (no HAC) and 10% intermittent HAC conditions, but peak concentrations during continuous HAC operation drop to about 140 µ g m−3 . Whereas all of the previous example concentration profiles are for airborne particles in House #2, those shown in Figure 7.11 are for airborne vapor-phase nicotine. As evident from a comparision of the left sides of Figures 7.11 and 7.8, gaseous nicotine is drawn into surface materials at a much more rapid rate than particles are deposited onto room surfaces. When the walls of a home are initially free of nicotine, there is little reemission of nicotine into air, so that airborne concentrations are fairly low in main rooms (0−5 µ g m−3 ) during times when cigarettes are not being smoked. However, when 50 mg m−2 of reversibly sorbed nicotine is initially present on the walls of each room of the home, not only are the peak concentrations in the living room greater than 80 µ g m−3 , but every room in the house has a background level of nearly 20 µ g m−3 due to the reemission (desorption) of nicotine vapor. The 24-h personal exposure of the “avoider” nonsmoker increases from 1 to 11 µ g m−3 due to nicotine-loaded surfaces. In Chapter 10 of this dissertation, I compare simulated nicotine concentrations to various empirically observed levels. 200 Source − 28 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 5 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 13 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 16 µg m−3 BED−4 − 14 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 12 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 21 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 21 µg m −3 600 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 1200 1400 SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 80 200 Source − 21 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 9 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 14 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 13 µg m−3 BED−4 − 14 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 13 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 21 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 13 µg m−3 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 600 1200 1400 Room and Exposure Concentrations Figure 7.9: The Effect of Window Cross-Flow. Simulated airborne SHS particle concentration and exposure time series (µ g m−3 versus min) for rooms and occupants, respectively, in House #2 under symmetric and asymmetric flow scenarios when two windows are open during smoking periods, one each by the smoker and “avoider” nonsmoker occupants. The left panel corresponds to symmetric flow conditions where flow is balanced across each window, and the right panel corresponds to asymmetric conditions where a cross breeze occurs between the windows. The cross breeze flows from the kitchen and dining room areas of the house towards the living room, bedroom, and bathroom areas. The 24-h average room and exposure concentrations are given in appropriate panels. SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 0 60 0 60 0 60 0 60 0 60 0 60 0 60 0 60 Room and Exposure Concentrations CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 255 200 Source − 53 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 23 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 31 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 37 µg m−3 BED−4 − 33 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 29 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 49 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 42 µg m −3 600 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 1200 1400 SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 200 Source − 29 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 16 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 20 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 22 µg m−3 BED−4 − 21 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 19 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 27 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 24 µg m−3 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 600 1200 1400 Room and Exposure Concentrations Figure 7.10: The Effect of HAC Duty Cycle. Simulated airborne SHS particle concentration and exposure time series (µ g m−3 versus min) for rooms and occupants, respectively, in House #2 where there are different HAC duty cycles, but otherwise under base conditions and “avoider” nonsmoker behavior. The left panel corresponds to intermittent HAC activity, lasting 10 min at a time, and equal to 10% of the total occupant awake times (when either nonsmoker or smoker are awake), and the right panel corresponds to 100% HAC activity during awake times. The 24-h average room and exposure concentrations are given in appropriate panels. SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 0 150 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 80 0 Room and Exposure Concentrations CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 256 200 Source − 12 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 1 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 1 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 3 µg m−3 BED−4 − 2 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 1 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 8 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 6 µg m −3 600 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 1200 1400 SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 40 200 Source − 22 µg m−3 400 Receptor − 11 µg m−3 BATH−6 − 14 µg m−3 HALL−5 − 16 µg m−3 BED−4 − 15 µg m−3 AUX−3 − 14 µg m−3 LIV−2 − 20 µg m−3 KIT−DIN−1 − 18 µg m−3 800 1000 Elapsed Minutes 600 1200 1400 Room and Exposure Concentrations Figure 7.11: The Effect of Initial Nicotine Surface Concentrations. Simulated SHS nicotine air concentration and exposure time series (µ g m−3 versus min) for rooms and house occupants, respectively, in House #2 where there are different initial nicotine surface concentrations, but otherwise under base conditions with symmetrical flow patterns. The nonsmoker occupant follows “avoider” behavior. The left panel corresponds to zero initial nicotine surface concentrations (i.e., fresh smoking) and the right panel corresponds to initial surface concentrations of 50 mg m−2 of reversibly sorbed nicotine in each room. The 24-h average room and exposure concentrations are given in appropriate panels. SHS Particle Concentration [µg m−3] 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 0 40 Room and Exposure Concentrations CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 257 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 258 7.3 Simulated Exposures by House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity The symmetry of flows across internal and external building boundaries and nonsmoker activity patterns for House #1 have little effect on 24-h average nonsmoker particle exposure concentrations. The base exposure concentrations for House #1 are 33 µ g m−3 across all nonsmoker behavior patterns (Table 7.8) for both symmetric and asymmetric flows. Opening or closing the House #1 bathroom door has little or no effect on exposure, so door-related cases are omitted. Nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry also has little effect on exposure, because the occupants spend nearly all of their time in a single main room. Turning on the HAC system in House #1 intermittently for 10% of daily waking times reduces 24-h mean exposure concentrations from the base condition by only 2−3 µ g m−3 , while continuous HAC operation during waking periods reduces mean exposure concentations by 12−13 µ g m−3 . Opening two windows decreases exposures by 13−16 µ g m−3 . In general, the nonsmoker “follower” 24-h average SHS particle exposures are substantially higher in House #2 than the corresponding nonsmoker exposures in House #1 with a maximum value of 61 µ g m−3 for the base condition under symmetric flow conditions. In contrast to House #1, nonsmoker activity has a dramatic effect on exposure in House #2. The House #2 “avoider” exposures are generally much lower than House #1 exposures with the lowest exposures of 5 and 8 µ g m−3 occurring when the smoker closed doors and opened windows or both occupants opened windows, respectively. The “avoider” exposures in House #2 are approximately 25−50% of “follower” exposures across all scenarios, with “avoider” exposures occupying an approximate mid-point between the other two. The difference between exposures for different nonsmoker activities is smaller when the HAC is active due to enhanced mixing of pollutants among rooms. However, the effects of HAC operation on “avoider” exposure is not as large when the operation duty cycle is 10%. As with House #1, flow symmetry in House #2 has a small effect on average exposures. Table 7.9 contains values of the correction factor f for the simplified single-zone CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 259 exposure model given in Equation 7.1. These values are obtained by dividing 24-h average particle exposure concentrations predicted by the full dynamic model by the simplified model prediction when using a value of f =1. The simplified model with f =1 predicts a 24-h average exposure concentration of 46 µ g m−3 for all scenarios treated in this chapter. The calculated values of f provide a measure of the error in the simplified model relative to the presumably more accurate predictions of the multizone model. They can be used in Equation 7.1 to give 24-h average concentrations that match those of the more complicated multizone model. Values of f range from 0.1 to 1.3, reflecting errors in the range of -90 to +30%. For House #2 the unadjusted single-box model tends to underestimate “follower” nonsmoker exposure concentrations for base conditions, overestimate them when the HAC is on continuously or windows are open, and strongly overestimate “avoider” exposure. The simplified model best matches the multizone model for “napper” behavior under base conditions or when the HAC is active intermittently for either “follower” or “napper” behavior. Since inhalation intake rate and cigarette emissions are held constant for each simulation trial, the relative changes in intake fraction and equivalent ETS cigarette particle intake across input scenario levels map exactly to the changes in 24-h average particle exposure (Tables 7.10 and 7.11). The individual particle intake fraction, calculated as the ratio of 24-h nonsmoker inhaled intake of particle mass to the total mass of particles emitted by cigarettes in the home over the same 24-h period, ranged from a low of 230 ppm, corresponding to “avoider” nonsmoker activity in House #2 when both occupants opened windows during smoking episodes, to over 2,600 ppm for “follower” behavior in House #2 under base conditions. Intake fraction provides a measure of particle intake relative to the total mass of emitted particles. I find here that SHS particle intake can be as much as about 0.3% of total SHS particle emissions. This value is fairly small compared to the intake of the smoker themselves; however, this individual intake fraction is much larger than estimates of population intake fraction for pollutant releases to outdoor air from motor vehicles [Marshall et al., 2003] or power plants [Levy et al., 2003], which are 260 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.8: 24-h Simulated Mean Personal SHS Particle Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ] by Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity Flow House Sym Type Sym / 1 Asym Sym Asym a Exposure 2 2 Flow Scenario a Nonsmoker Follower Base Activity Napper Avoider . . . 33 . . . HAC−10% . . . 30−31 . . . HAC−100% . . . 20−21 . . . Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open . . . 17−20 . . . Base 61 41 24 SmkDrs−Closed 61 37 21 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 24 13 8 HAC−10% 53 36 23 HAC−100% 30 23 16 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 24 13 5 Base 59 45 25 SmkDrs−Closed 59 43 23 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 26 19 11 HAC−10% 52 40 24 HAC−100% 31 25 17 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 26 19 9 concentrations are shown for each nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry in House #2. Ranges are given for House #1 across all types of nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry. 261 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.9: Correction Factorsa f for Simulated 24-h Mean Personal SHS Particle Exposure Concentration Predicted by a Simple Single-Zone Model Across Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity Flow House Flow Sym Type Sym/ 1 Asym Scenario b Nonsmoker Follower Asym a 2 2 Napper Avoider Base . . . 0.7 . . . HAC−10% . . . 0.7 . . . HAC−100% . . . 0.4−0.5 . . . Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open Sym Activity . . . 0.4 . . . Base 1.3 0.9 0.5 SmkDrs−Closed 1.3 0.8 0.5 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 0.5 0.3 0.2 HAC−10% 1.2 0.8 0.5 HAC−100% 0.6 0.5 0.3 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 0.5 0.3 0.1 Base 1.3 1.0 0.5 SmkDrs−Closed 1.3 0.9 0.5 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 0.6 0.4 0.2 HAC−10% 1.1 0.9 0.5 HAC−100% 0.7 0.5 0.4 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 0.6 0.4 0.2 The simple time-averaged single-zone exposure model discussed in Section 7.1 incorporates a correction factor f , which accounts for time spent out of the house and unequal pollutant levels in different rooms of the house. Ranges of this factor are calculated here for airborne particle exposure across each combination of flow symmetry, house type, flow scenario, and nonsmoker activity pattern, by dividing the multi-zone results by the unadjusted single-zone result for base conditions. The 24-h average exposure concentration predicted by the single-zone model using the model inputs listed in Table 7.1 and Equation 7.1, using a value for f of 1, is 46 µ g m−3 . b Corrections factors are shown for each nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry for House #2. Single values or ranges are given for House #1 across all types of nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 262 under approximately 50 ppm and 1 ppm, respectively. The equivalent ETS cigarette particle intake provides a measure of nonsmoker particle intake relative to the emissions from a single cigarette. This quantity ranged from 0.004 cig d−1 to about 0.05 cig d−1 for the scenarios mentioned. This measure gives an indication of how many cigarettes worth of SHS yield a nonsmoker might inhale over 24 h. Comparisons to mainstream cigarette yields is misleading, because the SHS yields of different species are not in the same proportion as for mainstream yields. However, keeping this in mind, and noting that the ratio of SHS to mainstream smoke (MS) yields for particles can be close to 1 [Jenkins et al., 2000], the maximum intake of 5% of a single cigarette over a 24 h period puts the nonsmoker’s exposure into perspective. Over months or years of exposure, a person living with a smoker might inhale the equivalent of 100’s of cigarettes worth of SHS particles. Nonsmoker inhalation intake of other SHS species can be even higher if the ratio of SHS to MS yields exceeds 1. The outstanding feature of 24-h mean nonsmoker nicotine exposure occurring in House #2 is the sharp decrease in exposure across nonsmoker activity from “follower” to “napper” to “avoider” in the case of initially nicotine-free surfaces (Table 7.12). For all flow scenarios and symmetric or asymmetric flow, the “avoider” nonsmoker receives 0.4−2 µ g m−3 while the “follower” receives 7−12 µ g m−3 . However, when the walls are loaded with 50 mg m−2 of reversibly sorbed nicotine the “avoider” exposure under the same conditions rises to 8−11 µ g m−3 and the “follower” to 15−21 µ g m−3 , a higher and narrower range of exposure outcomes. 7.4 Summary and Conclusions In this chapter, I conduct initial simulation experiments exploring the effects of nonsmoker activity, flow symmetry, central air handling, and door and window positions on residential exposure to the nicotine and airborne particles present in SHS. I use scripted location patterns for house occupants in which the nonsmoker follows the smoker’s movements exactly (“follower”), avoids the smoker completely (“avoider”), or spends a portion of the day with the smoker (“napper”). To 263 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.10: Simulated 24-h Individual Particle Intake Fraction [ppm] by Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity Flow House Flow Sym Type Sym/ 1 Asym Sym Asym a Corrections 2 2 Scenario a Nonsmoker Follower Activity Napper Avoider Base . . . 1400 . . . HAC−10% . . . 1300 . . . HAC−100% . . . 850−870 . . . Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open . . . 720−840 . . . Base 2600 1700 1000 SmkDrs−Closed 2600 1600 880 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 980 550 320 HAC−10% 2200 1500 970 HAC−100% 1200 970 660 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 980 550 230 Base 2500 1900 1000 SmkDrs−Closed 2500 1800 950 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 1100 810 480 HAC−10% 2200 1700 1000 HAC−100% 1300 1000 700 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 1100 790 380 factors are shown for each nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry for House #2. Single values or ranges are given for House #1 across all types of nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry. 264 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.11: Simulated 24-h Equivalent ETS Cigarette Particle Intake [cig d−1 ] by Flow Symmetry, House Type, Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity Flow House Flow Sym Type Sym/ 1 Asym Scenario Asym a Equivalent 2 2 Follower Activity Napper Base . . . 0.026 . . . HAC−10% . . . 0.024 . . . HAC−100% . . . 0.016 . . . Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open Sym a Nonsmoker Avoider . . . 0.014−0.016 . . . Base 0.048 0.032 0.019 SmkDrs−Closed 0.048 0.029 0.016 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 0.018 0.010 0.006 HAC−10% 0.042 0.028 0.018 HAC−100% 0.023 0.018 0.012 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 0.018 0.010 0.004 Base 0.046 0.035 0.020 SmkDrs−Closed 0.046 0.034 0.018 SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open 0.021 0.015 0.009 HAC−10% 0.041 0.031 0.019 HAC−100% 0.024 0.020 0.013 Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 0.021 0.015 0.007 cigarette intakes are shown for each nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry for House #2. Single values or ranges are given for House #1 across all types of nonsmoker activity and flow symmetry. 265 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT Table 7.12: Simulated 24-h Mean SHS Nicotine Personal Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ] by Flow Symmetry, Initial Surface Concentrations [mg m−2 ], Flow Scenario, and Nonsmoker Activity for House #2 Flow Sym Sym Asym Initial Flow Surf. Scenario 0 Base SmkDrs−Closed SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open HAC−10% HAC−100% Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open Nonsmoker Activity Follower Napper Avoider 12 12 7 11 7 7 7 6 3 6 5 4 1 1 0.4 2 2 1 50 Base SmkDrs−Closed SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open HAC−10% HAC−100% Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 21 21 15 20 16 15 16 16 12 15 13 11 11 10 10 11 10 8 0 Base SmkDrs−Closed SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open HAC−10% HAC−100% Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 12 12 8 11 8 8 7 7 4 6 5 5 2 1 1 2 2 2 50 Base SmkDrs−Closed SmkDrs−Closed/SmkWins−Open HAC−10% HAC−100% Smk−Nsmk−Wins−Open 21 21 16 20 16 16 17 17 13 16 14 13 11 11 10 11 11 9 CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 266 examine the effects of a house’s multi-compartment character on exposure, exposures are simulated for two houses of identical volume, one dominated by a single, large zone (House #1), and one with six distinct zones (House #2). Base conditions in the house occurred for symmetric flows when door were open during waking and non-bathroom times, windows were always closed, and the HAC system was inactive. As expected, nonsmoker exposures occurring among the multiple rooms of House #2 exhibited much wider variation than exposures occurring in House #1. Exposure concentrations in House #1 tended to be lower than those in House #2 for the “follower” and “napper” nonsmoker who spent some or all of their time with the smoker. This result arises because pollutants are diluted into a single large space. A simplified, single-zone exposure model with an adjustment factor equal to 1 under- or overestimated the House #2 exposures predicted by the full multizone simulation model by 10−90%. The unadjusted model performed best when the receptor only spent a portion of their time with the active smoker and under base conditions. Generally, each of the examined factors had a discernible impact on exposure, although ignoring pollutant-specific effects, the effect of nonsmoker activity was greatest. For nicotine, the effect of preloaded versus clear surfaces resulted in comparable variations in exposure as did “avoider” versus “follower” nonsmoker activity. The base 24-h particle exposure concentration in House #2 decreased from 61 to 24 µ g m−3 when the nonsmoker displayed “follower” versus “avoider” behavior. The corresponding nicotine exposure concentrations decreased from 21 to 11 µ g m−3 with surfaces loaded or from 12 to 1 µ g m−3 with fresh surfaces. The opening of windows during smoking episodes resulted in the largest decrease in exposures given the same nonsmoker activity. Doors generally had the smallest effect. The effect of asymmetric flow was also relatively small, although exposures could increase because of time spent “downwind” from the smoker, especially for the “napper” and “avoider” nonsmokers. HAC operation reduces exposures because of increased outdoor air infiltration owing to supply duct leakage. CHAPTER 7. TIER I. SCRIPTED OCCUPANT MOVEMENT 267 7.5 References Jenkins, R. A., Guerin, M. R., and Tomkins, B. A. (2000). The Chemistry of Environmental Tobacco Smoke: Composition and Measurement. Lewis Publishers, Boca Raton, second edition. Levy, J. I., Wilson, A. M., Evans, J. S., and Spengler, J. D. (2003). Estimation of primary and secondary particulate matter intake fractions for power plants in Georgia. Environmental Science and Technology, 37(24): 5528–5536. Marshall, J. D., Riley, W. J., McKone, T. E., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2003). Intake fraction of primary pollutants: Motor vehicle emissions in the South Coast air basin. Atmospheric Environment, 37: 3455–3468. 268 Chapter 8 Tier II. Frequency Distributions of Unrestricted Exposure Based on Realistic Variation in Occupant Location Patterns In this chapter, I conduct further residential SHS exposure simulation experiments, incorporating realistic variation in household occupant location patterns. Here, I am interested in frequency distribution of exposure for “natural”, or unrestricted, situations that might be expected to occur for a typical US house under a range of typical environmental conditions. By using a simulation cohort of 5,000 smoker/nonsmoker pairs, I am able to generate stable frequency distributions of exposure for breakdowns of two key variates, the number of cigarettes smoked indoors and the time spent at home by the nonsmoker. As in the previous chapter, most environmental parameters, including the house size and layout, are held fixed, so that for a given physical configuration, variation in exposure is driven by interacting patterns of smoker and nonsmoker location. I also carry out controlled trials on the cohort to explore the broad effects of HAC operation, air flow symmetry, and surface concentrations of SHS pollutants. In addition to exploring unrestricted distributions of residential SHS exposure, I calculate the distribution of adjustment factors, f , for a simple single-zone exposure model, which can be used to judge the appropriateness of such a model to represent population expo- CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 269 sures. The approach in this chapter is in contrast to that in Chapter 7, where I use a small number of scripted human location patterns, and Chapter 8, where I systematically explore regulated human behavior related to specific exposure mitigation strategies. 8.1 Seven Simulation Trials of Unrestricted Exposure While the initial analyses in Chapter 7 were limited to a single inter-room location pattern for the smoker, a fixed number of cigarettes smoked in the house, a small number of different nonsmoker location patterns, and fixed times spent at home by the smoker and nonsmoker, these constraints are relaxed in the current chapter. All of the simulations performed here are done for exposures occurring in a 4-room single-story house with an HAC system as illustrated by the floor plan in Figure 8.1, which is identical to House #2 used for simulations in Chapter 7. However, the complex interplay of smoking activity in various rooms at various times, nonsmoker presence in the home, and the proximity of the nonsmoker to the active smoker is expected to result in broad variability in nonsmoker exposure. I generate frequency distributions of particle, nicotine, and carbon monoxide (CO) exposure for seven different scenarios (Table 8.1) by introducing inter-room location data measured as part of a national human activity pattern survey (see Chapter 4). For different scenarios, I consider changes in flow that might occur when the HAC is in operation, or when there is either symmetric or asymmetric flow across house boundaries. I consider only those behaviors that might naturally occur in an unrestricted house where the smoker is free to smoke in any location and at any time of his or her choosing. No regulations are imposed on smoker behavior and no strategies are consciously applied to mitigate exposure. I define base exposure distributions as those arising for the simulated cohort of matched smokers and nonsmokers when windows are kept closed, interior doors are kept open, except for bathroom or sleeping periods, and flows are symmetric. The SHS species were chosen to represent the particulate, gaseous, and semivolatile components of SHS (see Chapters 2 and 3). Particle and nicotine emis- CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION Back Door HAC Kitchen-Dining, 100 m3 Front Door 270 HAC Auxiliary, 50 m3 Hallway, 30 m3 HAC Living Room, 50 m3 HAC Bath, 7m3 HAC Bedroom, 50 m3 HAC Figure 8.1: Floorplan of the 287 m3 single-story 4-room house (plus hallway and bathroom) used in this chapter for simulations of SHS exposure frequency distributions. This house is identical to House #2 defined in Chapter 7. Each room of the house has a bidirectional connection to the outdoors, e.g., via a window or wall, and the main rooms are connected by a doorway to a hallway, except for the master bathroom, which is only connected to the master bedroom. When operating, the HAC system supplies a total of 1,292 m3 h−1 of air to different rooms in amounts ranging from 502 m3 h−1 for the kitchen-dining area to 36 m3 h−1 for the bathroom. Air returns to the HAC through a hallway register. The HAC flows reflect leakage from supply ducts equal to 10% of the designed flow rate of 5 h−1 . The HAC enhances mixing of pollutants in the house by recirculating air between the supply and return registers. The process of assigning house air flows, including HAC flows and flows across indoor-outdoor and interior boundaries, is described in Chapter 6. CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 271 sions, deposition, or sorption/desorption parameters are fixed at the same values used for simulations in Chapter 7. Carbon monoxide emissions are set at 50 mg cig−1 (Section 3.7), and loss to surfaces is set to zero, because CO is a nonreactive gas whose sole significant removal mechanism is by ventilation. Surfaces may be initially free or loaded with reversibly sorbed nicotine resulting from chronic smoking activity. As described in Chapter 6, the variation in the timing and location of active cigarettes follows naturally from the variation in selected smoker location time series. Likewise, the absolute time spent at home and the common time spent by nonsmoker and smoker in the same room result from the characteristics of the selected location patterns. House occupants close doors for time they spend in the bathroom or when they are sleeping. For time when the nonsmoker and smoker occupy the same room, the door behavior of the nonsmoker takes precedence. To represent adult smokers, I randomly selected a sample of 5,000 individuals over the age of 18 from the NHAPS activity pattern study (Chapter 4). Each smoker consumes 30 cig d−1 , although, depending on their location patterns, not all of these are smoked in the house. Another 5,000 corresponding individuals were chosen of any age to represent nonsmokers. The two individuals were matched based only on the day of the week and not on any housing-related variables, since the reported activity pattern characteristics appear fairly uniform for different sized homes. If the ages of the sampled smoker and nonsmoker were within 10 years, and the nonsmoker was also an adult over age 18, then they were assumed to be spouses that slept in the same bedroom. Otherwise, the nonsmoker was assigned to sleep in the auxiliary room. The distributions of three key characteristics for the sampled cohort of matched occupants are pictured in Figure 8.2. These characteristics are the number of cigarettes smoked in the house, the fraction of the 24-h day the nonsmoker spends in the house, and the fraction of the 24-h day that the smoker and nonsmoker spend in the same room. Most commonly, between 4 and 12 cigarettes are smoked in the home over the course of the day. Most of the nonsmokers spend between CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 272 Table 8.1: Descriptions of Seven Unrestricted Residential SHS Inhalation Exposure Scenariosa No. Abbreviation Scenario Description 1 Particles−Base Exposure to airborne particles under base conditions 2 Particles−Asym Exposure to airborne particles when leakage flow is asymmetric, rather than being symmetric, across indoor-outdoor building and room boundaries 3 Particles−HAC 100% Exposure to airborne particles with HAC operating continuously during times when at least one occupant is awake 4 Particles−HAC 10% Exposure to airborne particles with HAC operating intermittently for 10% of the day for 10-min at a time during times when at least one occupant is awake 5 CO−Base Exposure to carbon monoxide under base conditions 6 Nicotine Fresh Exposure to airborne nicotine under base conditions with initially clean room surfaces 7 Nicotine Loadedb Exposure to airborne nicotine under base conditions with nicotine-loaded room surfaces a Except where noted, base conditions apply, where the HAC system is inactive, all windows are assumed to be closed, and all interior doors are open during non-bathroom waking hours for each occupant. b The initial nicotine surface concentrations in each room for this scenario are determined from a residential simulation experiment of chronic smoking activity lasting 5,000 days (see Section 8.2.3). The nicotine surface concentrations were 48, 75, 41, 48, 51, and 46 mg m−2 for the kitchen-dining room, living room, auxiliary room, bedroom, hallway, and bath, respectively. 273 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 1000 300 200 300 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Number of Cigs. [d−1] 0 0 0 100 100 500 200 Frequency 400 400 500 1500 500 600 Histograms for Key Exposure Variables 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Time Fraction at Home 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Smk/NSmk Correl. Figure 8.2: Frequency distributions in the form of histograms for three key variables associated with the simulation cohort of 5,000 randomly selected smokernonsmoker pairs, which are expected to have a large effect on nonsmoker SHS exposure: the number of cigarettes smoked in the house, the fraction of the day the nonsmoking receptor person spends at home, and the fraction of the day that the smoker and nonsmoker spend together in the same room. 50 and 80% of their day at home. However, more than two thirds of the smokers and nonsmoker matched pairs spend less than 10% of their time in the same room of the house. Hence, the exposure frequency distributions generated in this chapter for this cohort shed additional light on the variation in exposures among nonsmokers that spend relatively little time in close proximity to the smoker. Statistics for exposure metrics were calculated only for simulated households with a non-zero number of cigarettes smoked indoors and non-zero time spent at home by the nonsmoker. The original overall sample of 5,000 was reduced by about 200 due to dropped smoker and nonsmoker pairs not meeting these crite- CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 274 ria. Zero exposures, which occurred when both the smoker and nonsmoker spent some time at home, were retained in log-probability plots and in the calculation of descriptive statistics. For simulated sample sizes in excess of 500, the mean and median exposure concentrations were found to be stable, having a 90% confidence band half-length equal to less than 10% of the mean or median. For the analyses presented below, a sample of at least 500 was used for factor breakdowns by number of cigarettes smoked indoors and the fraction of time spent at home by the nonsmoker. 8.2 Base Exposure Distributions 8.2.1 Particles Figure 8.3 and Table 8.2 present the results of simulating the SHS particle exposure distribution for the sampled cohort. Ten percent of the cohort had 24-h particle exposure concentrations under 1 µ g m−3 with 10% over 39 µ g m−3 . Ninety-eight percent of simulated 24-h mean particle nonsmoker exposure concentrations (n = 4,798) span five orders of magnitude from about 0.001 to nearly 100 µ g m−3 with a median of 12 µ g m−3 . Similarly, 98% of simulated individual intake fraction and equivalent ETS cigarettes, also shown in Figure 8.3, span 4−5 orders of magnitude, from 10−6 to 6 x 10−2 and 10−6 to 4 x 10−3 cig d−1 , respectively. The most-highly exposed upper half of the population have exposures that appear fairly well represented by a lognormal distribution. The overall arithmetic means for 24-h exposure concentations, individual intake fraction, and equivalent ETS cigarettes are 17 µ g m−3 , 1,100 ppm, and 1.2% d−1 , respectively. Extremely low or zero exposure results when either a very small number of cigarettes are smoked at home or a small fraction of time is spent by the nonsmoker at home, whereas the highest exposures result when more cigarettes are smoked and more time is spent at home. A nonsmoker who spends under 2 3 of his or her time at home experiences about half of the 24-h mean particle exposure concentration encountered by the average nonsmoker who spends more than 2 3 of CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 275 his or her time at home. For a given amount of time spent at home, smoking more than 10 cigarettes in the house results in an average tripling of mean SHS particle exposure relative to smoking fewer than 10 cigarettes. Simulated nonsmokers who live in a house where more than 10 cigarettes are smoked per day and who spend more than 2 3 of their time at home have an average exposure concentration of 35 µ g m−3 , and they are clearly the subgroup with the highest potential exposure. Statistics for the daily equivalent ETS cigarette particle intake follow the same general pattern as the absolute particle exposure concentrations. The mean value is about 0.5% d−1 when fewer than 10 cigarettes are smoked and the nonsmoker spends less than 23 at home, and 2.5% d−1 when more than 10 cigarettes are smoked and more than 2 3 of the day is spent at home. However, statistics for the individual particle intake fraction have a different pattern. The average individual intake fraction is 810−840 ppm when under at home and 1400 ppm when over 2 3 2 3 of the time was spent by the nonsmoker of the time was spent at home, regardless of the number of cigarettes smoked in the house. This result is expected since, for this metric, the total nonsmoker particle intake is normalized by total cigarette emissions. 8.2.2 Carbon Monoxide Although CO does not undergo surface deposition as particles do, the pattern of CO exposure metrics is similar to that for particles (see Figure 8.4 and Table 8.3). In homes where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked and more than 2 3 of the day was spent by the nonsmoker at home the 24-h CO average SHS exposure concentration is 200 µ g m−3 versus 35 µ g m−3 for particles. Ninety-eight percent of simulated 24-h CO exposure concentrations for the same subset of homes range from approximately 25 to 500 µ g m−3 . The magnitude of intake fraction and equivalent ETS cigarettes is slightly larger for CO than for particles because particles have deposition as an additional loss mechanism, whereas loss of CO is limited to loss by ventilation. While the total cigarette mass emissions for CO are greater than for particles, it might be used as a marker for SHS exposure, with exposures that are 276 Particles 102 101 100 10−1 10−2 10−3 10−4 10−5 99 90 95 75 50 25 5 10 10−6 1 SHS Particle Exp. Conc. [µg m−3], iF, and ETS Cigarettes [d−1] CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION Cumulative Probability (%) Exposure Conc. Intake Fraction ETS Cigs. Figure 8.3: Particles. Log-probability plots of 24-h average SHS particle exposure concentration, individual intake fraction, and equivalent ETS cigarette intake distributions for 4,798 nonsmoking individuals across the full range of number of cigarettes smoked in the house and fraction of time spent at home. Forty-eight of the simulated nonsmokers had zero particle exposure, reflected in the lowest cumulative probability shown (1%). See Table 8.2 for descriptive statistics calculated from these distributions. 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs No. Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs Fract. at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home n nzero 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 Sample Mean 17 6.5 11 18 35 1100 840 1400 810 1400 0.012 0.0050 0.0082 0.013 0.025 Std. Dev. 17 7.5 9.4 14 21 880 920 980 670 750 0.013 0.0058 0.0071 0.011 0.016 Median 12 3.8 8.7 14 32 860 560 1100 650 1400 0.0083 0.0029 0.0063 0.011 0.023 Percentiles 10th 90th 1.0 39 0.11 17 1.2 25 3.0 36 12 63 140 2200 30 2100 270 2700 150 1700 550 2400 0.00074 0.029 0.00009 0.013 0.00075 0.019 0.0023 0.027 0.0078 0.046 are presented for households where more than zero time was spent at home by the nonsmoker and more than zero cigarettes were smoked. Abbreviations: 24-h Avg = 24-h average exposure concentration (absolute exposure metric); iF = individual intake fraction (relative exposure metric); ETS Cigs = equivalent ETS cigarettes (relative exposure metric); No. Cigs = number of cigarettes smoked in the home by the smoker during the simulated 24-h period; Fract. at Home = fraction of the simulated 24-h period that the nonsmoking receptor spent at home; n = total simulated sample size; nzero = sample size with zero exposure (included in statistics); Sample Mean = arithmetic mean of exposure metric; Std. Dev. = standard deviation of exposure metric; 10th and 90th = 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. a Statistics ETS Cigs iF Exposure Metric 24-h Avg Table 8.2: Particles. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Homea CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 277 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 278 proportional to those for any nonreactive gaseous SHS constituent. 8.2.3 Nicotine In a house with chronic cigarette smoking, nicotine and other sorbing chemical species in the smoke will accumulate on household surfaces, such as walls, ceilings, floors, and furniture. This accumulation occurs because the rate at which nicotine sorbs to surfaces (1.4 m h−1 times the air concentration and a typical surface-to-volume ratio of 2−3; see Chapter 5) is much larger than the rate at which it desorbs, i.e., is reemitted (0.00042 h−1 times the surface concentration). When enough material has accumulated, the reemission rate can be sufficient to contribute significantly to nicotine air concentrations, creating an elevated baseline exposure for any person occupying the house regardless of the daily timing of smoking activity, number of cigarettes, or time spent by the receptor at home. To explore the nicotine surface loading that might occur in a household with daily smoking, I randomly selected 5,000 24-h individual daily smoker household movement patterns. A different smoker entered the house on subsequent days so that nicotine continually accumulated over a 5,000-day simulation period. I used the same house as for the other simulations described in this chapter. The surfaceto-volume ratios of each room, which had a range of 1.6−3.5 m−1 were assigned values based on calculations presented in Section 5.2. Figure 8.5 shows plots of the simulated 24-h mean air nicotine concentrations in each of the six rooms of the house (4 main rooms plus a hallway and a master bathroom). After 1,000−2,000 d, or about 3-5+ years, the air concentrations displayed a stable minimum level in each room, between 10 and 20 µ g m−3 . The concentrations caused by smoking on particular days are added on top of the background level, appearing as random scatter above the constant background. In the living room, where most smoking takes place, daily mean concentrations could exceed 40 µ g m−3 . The emerging constant background concentrations are a result of accumulated surface nicotine concentrations, which are plotted in Figure 8.6. The surface nico- 279 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 10 102 101 10−2 Intake Fraction SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] Carbon Monoxide 3 10−3 10−4 10 10−2 99 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 10−3 1 Equiv. ETS Cigs. [d−1] −1 Cumulative Probability (%) Figure 8.4: CO. Log-probability plots of 24-h average SHS carbon monoxide exposure concentration, individual intake fraction, and equivalent ETS cigarette intake distributions for 1,036 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked and the receptor spent more than 23 of their time at home. See Table 8.3 for descriptive statistics calculated from the complete distributions. 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs No. Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs Fract. at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home n nzero 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 Sample Mean 97 37 64 100 200 1200 960 1600 940 1700 0.014 0.0057 0.0094 0.015 0.029 Std. Dev. 97 42 52 80 120 1000 1000 1100 750 830 0.015 0.0064 0.0079 0.012 0.018 Median 68 23 51 85 180 1000 650 1400 760 1600 0.010 0.0035 0.0074 0.013 0.026 Percentiles 10th 90th 6.7 220 0.91 93 7.8 140 20 200 73 360 190 2500 45 2300 350 3000 200 1900 660 2700 0.00097 0.033 0.00013 0.014 0.0010 0.021 0.0030 0.031 0.0096 0.053 are presented for households where more than zero time was spent at home by the nonsmoker and more than zero cigarettes were smoked. Abbreviations: 24-h Avg = 24-h average exposure (absolute exposure metric); iF = individual intake fraction (relative exposure metric); ETS Cigs = equivalent ETS cigarettes (relative exposure metric); No. Cigs = number of cigarettes smoked in the home by the smoker during the simulated 24-h period; Fract. at Home = fraction of the simulated 24-h period that the nonsmoking receptor spent at home; n = simulated sample size; nzero = sample size with zero exposure (included in statistics); Sample Mean = arithmetic mean of exposure metric; Std. Dev. = standard deviation of exposure metric; 10th and 90th = 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. Note: At 25 ◦ C and 1 atm, 1 ppm of CO is equal to 1145 µ g m−3 . a Statistics ETS Cigs iF Exposure Metric 24-h Avg Table 8.3: CO. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Carbon Monoxide Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] Statistics by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Homea CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 280 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 281 tine concentrations reach a plateau after approximately 2,000 days (5+ years) of habitual smoking. The surface concentration reached almost 80 mg m−2 for the living room, and 40−50 mg m−2 for the other rooms. These levels represent surface concentrations that might be expected to occur in a home where unabated and unrestricted smoking occurred for an extended period of several years or more. However, the exposure model assumes that all nicotine sorption is fully reversible, which, as suggested by the results of Piadé et al. [1999], may not be the case. Nevertheless, some reversibility in nicotine sorption is likely to occur in homes, so my nicotine analyses likely bound true nicotine exposures for the given simulated conditions. I compare simulated and empirically observed air nicotine concentrations in Chapter 10. To examine the range of effects of nicotine-loaded walls on the distribution of nicotine inhalation exposures, I conducted simulations using both intially fresh, uncontaminated walls and initial surface concentrations approximately equal to the simulated surface nicotine concentration at the end of the 5,000-day simulation period, i.e., 48, 75, 41, 48, 51, and 46 mg m−2 for the kitchen-dining room, living room, auxiliary room, bedroom, hallway, and bath, respectively. Figure 8.7 contains plots of these distributions for households where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked indoors over the day and where the nonsmoker spent more than 2 3 of their time at home, i.e., households with high potential exposure. For this group, the 24-h mean exposure concentration for loaded surfaces was 15 µ g m−3 , but it was only 4.5 µ g m−3 for fresh surfaces (see Tables 8.4 and 8.5). The distributions of exposure metrics for the cohort with high potential exposure and initially loaded surfaces are more nearly lognormal than for fresh surfaces and span a smaller range – within a single order of magnitude – with 24-h mean exposure concentrations ranging from about 8 to 30 µ g m−3 , whereas the fresh-surface distributions span closer to three orders of magnitude. The reduction in the variance of exposures for the loaded-surface cases are caused by the minimum background level of air nicotine in each room, resulting from reemission of nicotine from surfaces. Ten percent of fresh-surface nicotine exposures are under 282 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 0 KIT−DIN−1 1 2 3 4 LIV−2 5 AUX−3 Mean SHS Nicotine Air Concentration [µg m−3] 40 30 20 10 0 BED−4 HALL−5 BATH−6 40 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 Day / 1000 Figure 8.5: 24-h mean air nicotine concentrations [µ g m−3 ] simulated based on random smoker activity in a 287 m3 house with 4 main rooms over 5,000 sequential days. The nicotine sorption coefficient was set at 1.4 m h−1 and the desorption coefficient was 0.00042 h−1 . The overall surface-to-volume ratio of the house was 1.9 m−1 and the air-exchange rate was 0.5 h−1 . 283 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 0 KIT−DIN−1 1 2 3 4 LIV−2 5 AUX−3 Mean SHS Nicotine Surface Concentration [mg m−2] 80 60 40 20 0 BED−4 HALL−5 BATH−6 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 Day / 1000 Figure 8.6: Surface SHS nicotine concentrations in mg m−2 simulated based on random smoker activity in a 287 m3 house with 4 main rooms over 5,000 sequential days. See the text and the caption to Figure 8.5 for simulation conditions. CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 284 0.73 µ g m−3 , whereas 90% of the loaded-surface nicotine exposures are above 9.8 µ g m− 3 . 8.3 The Effect of Air Flow Patterns 8.3.1 HAC Operation When a home’s HAC system is activated, air is recirculated in the house so that air pollutants in rooms where smoking occurs may be delivered somewhat more rapidly to other rooms in the house. Leaks in the HAC system also lead to greater dilution of air pollutants due to increased infiltration of outdoor air. From the distributions of exposure metrics presented in Figure 8.8 for households with high potential exposure, i.e., where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked indoors and the receptor spent more than 2 3 of the day at home, it is evi- dent that the recirculation of pollutants by the intermittent operation of the HAC system for 10% of waking hours caused the lower 25% of particle exposures to increase slightly. However, the increase in the home’s air leakage rate also resulted in a slight decrease in particle exposures for the upper 75% of the distribution. Continuous operation of the HAC system during waking hours resulted in the upper 95% of the distribution having significantly lower exposures. The 24-h mean particle exposure concentrations for the group with high potential exposures dropped from 35 to 32 µ g m−3 with 10% HAC operation and to 19 µ g m−3 with continuous operation (see Tables 8.2, 8.6, and 8.7). 8.3.2 Asymmetric Leakage Flow For the base symmetric air flow condition, which is in effect for six of the seven scenarios treated in this chapter, the leakage flow going into the house from outdoors through any given room is balanced with flow exiting the same room to the outdoors, and flow across each door boundary within the home is balanced in either direction. This situation might apply to the case where only turbulent flow is driving air movement, perhaps corresponding to the winter season when a 285 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 102 101 100 10−1 10−2 10−2 10−3 10−4 10−5 10−6 10−1 10−2 10−3 10−4 99 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 10−5 1 Equiv. ETS Cigs. [d−1] Intake Fraction SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] Nicotine Cumulative Probability (%) Fresh Surfaces Loaded Surfaces Figure 8.7: Nicotine. Log-probability plots of 24-h average SHS nicotine exposure concentration, individual intake fraction, and equivalent ETS cigarette intake distributions under fresh and loaded wall conditions for 1,036 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked and the receptor spent more than 32 of their time at home. See Tables 8.4 and 8.5 for descriptive statistics calculated from the complete distributions, including overall and breakdowns by cigarettes smoked and nonsmoker time spent at home. 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs No. Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs Fract. at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home n nzero 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 Sample Mean 2.1 0.82 1.5 2.1 4.5 270 210 350 200 370 0.0031 0.0012 0.0021 0.0032 0.0066 Std. Dev. 2.6 1.2 1.6 2.2 3.4 300 300 350 220 270 0.0039 0.0019 0.0024 0.0034 0.0051 Median 1.1 0.22 0.83 1.3 3.8 160 64 210 120 330 0.0017 0.00034 0.0012 0.0020 0.0054 Percentiles 10th 90th 0.020 5.7 0.0016 2.6 0.027 4.0 0.086 5.4 0.73 9.0 5.3 690 0.76 640 11 870 8.1 510 65 740 0.00003 0.0084 0.0 0.0040 0.00004 0.0060 0.00013 0.0082 0.00099 0.014 are presented for households where more than zero time was spent at home by the nonsmoker and more than zero cigarettes were smoked. Abbreviations: 24-h Avg = 24-h average exposure (absolute exposure metric); iF = individual intake fraction (relative exposure metric); ETS Cigs = equivalent ETS cigarettes (relative exposure metric); No. Cigs = number of cigarettes smoked in the home by the smoker during the simulated 24-h period; Fract. at Home = fraction of the simulated 24-h period that the nonsmoking receptor spent at home; n = simulated sample size; nzero = sample size with zero exposure (included in statistics); Sample Mean = arithmetic mean of exposure metric; Std. Dev. = standard deviation of exposure metric; 10th and 90th = 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. a Statistics ETS Cigs iF Exposure Metric 24-h Avg Table 8.4: Nicotine Fresh. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Nicotine Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] Statistics for Fresh Surfaces by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Homea CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 286 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs No. Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs Fract. at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home n nzero 4798 0 1430 0 984 0 1348 0 1036 0 4798 0 1430 0 984 0 1348 0 1036 0 4798 0 1430 0 984 0 1348 0 1036 0 Sample Mean 10 6.9 12 8.2 15 2600 3400 5100 790 1300 0.015 0.010 0.017 0.012 0.022 Std. Dev. 4.5 2.2 2.6 3.2 4.4 12000 18000 13000 390 520 0.0068 0.0036 0.0047 0.0051 0.0074 Median 9.2 6.8 12 7.7 14 1400 1800 3000 730 1300 0.014 0.010 0.017 0.012 0.021 Percentiles 10th 90th 5.1 16 4.2 9.6 8.8 16 4.5 13 9.8 21 550 4300 880 5100 1700 8100 360 1300 720 2000 0.0073 0.024 0.0061 0.015 0.012 0.024 0.0066 0.020 0.013 0.031 are presented for households where more than zero time was spent at home by the nonsmoker and more than zero cigarettes were smoked. Abbreviations: 24-h Avg = 24-h average exposure (absolute exposure metric); iF = individual intake fraction (relative exposure metric); ETS Cigs = equivalent ETS cigarettes (relative exposure metric); No. Cigs = number of cigarettes smoked in the home by the smoker during the simulated 24-h period; Fract. at Home = fraction of the simulated 24-h period that the nonsmoking receptor spent at home; n = simulated sample size; nzero = sample size with zero exposure (included in statistics); Sample Mean = arithmetic mean of exposure metric; Std. Dev. = standard deviation of exposure metric; 10th and 90th = 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. a Statistics ETS Cigs iF Exposure Metric 24-h Avg Table 8.5: Nicotine Loaded. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Nicotine Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] Statistics for Surfaces Preloaded with 50 mg m−2 of Nicotine by No. of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Homea CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 287 288 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 10 101 100 10−2 10−3 10−4 10−1 10−2 99 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 10−3 1 Equiv. ETS Cigs. [d−1] Intake Fraction SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] Particles: HAC 2 Cumulative Probability (%) Base State HAC 10% HAC 100% Figure 8.8: HAC. Log-probability plots of 24-h SHS particle exposure concentration, individual intake fraction, and equivalent ETS cigarette intake distributions for the base HAC-inactive scenario and two HAC-active scenarios and 1,036 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked and the receptor spent more than 32 of their time at home. See Tables 8.2, 8.6, and 8.7 for descriptive statistics calculated from the complete distributions. 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs No. Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs Fract. at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home n nzero 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 Sample Mean 15 6.2 10 16 32 990 790 1300 750 1300 0.011 0.0047 0.0076 0.012 0.023 Std. Dev. 15 6.3 7.9 11 17 710 740 760 540 590 0.011 0.0049 0.0059 0.0089 0.013 Median 11 4.2 8.7 14 30 850 590 1100 620 1250 0.0082 0.0031 0.0062 0.010 0.021 Percentiles 10th 90th 1.4 35 0.26 15 1.5 22 4.1 31 13 54 210 1900 61 1800 420 2400 190 1500 610 2100 0.0010 0.026 0.00020 0.011 0.0014 0.017 0.0031 0.024 0.0089 0.040 are presented for households where more than zero time was spent at home by the nonsmoker and more than zero cigarettes were smoked. Abbreviations: 24-h Avg = 24-h average exposure (absolute exposure metric); iF = individual intake fraction (relative exposure metric); ETS Cigs = equivalent ETS cigarettes (relative exposure metric); No. Cigs = number of cigarettes smoked in the home by the smoker during the simulated 24-h period; Fract. at Home = fraction of the simulated 24-h period that the nonsmoking receptor spent at home; n = simulated sample size; nzero = sample size with zero exposure (included in statistics); Sample Mean = arithmetic mean of exposure metric; Std. Dev. = standard deviation of exposure metric; 10th and 90th = 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. a Statistics ETS Cigs iF Exposure Metric 24-h Avg Table 8.6: HAC 10%. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] Statistics for 10% Intermittent Awake-Time HAC Operation by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Homea CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 289 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs No. Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs Fract. at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home n nzero 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 Sample Mean 9.2 3.9 6.5 9.6 19 600 510 780 440 770 0.0068 0.0030 0.0047 0.0073 0.013 Std. Dev. 7.6 3.4 4.0 5.6 7.8 340 360 320 260 260 0.0057 0.0026 0.0030 0.0043 0.0061 Median 7.5 3.1 5.9 9.2 18 590 480 760 410 760 0.0055 0.0024 0.0041 0.0068 0.013 Percentiles 10th 90th 1.1 20 0.17 8.5 1.4 12 2.7 17 9.8 29 150 1000 37 1000 380 1200 130 800 430 1100 0.00080 0.015 0.00013 0.0066 0.00095 0.0090 0.0020 0.013 0.0063 0.022 are presented for households where more than zero time was spent at home by the nonsmoker and more than zero cigarettes were smoked. Abbreviations: 24-h Avg = 24-h average exposure (absolute exposure metric); iF = individual intake fraction (relative exposure metric); ETS Cigs = equivalent ETS cigarettes (relative exposure metric); No. Cigs = number of cigarettes smoked in the home by the smoker during the simulated 24-h period; Fract. at Home = fraction of the simulated 24-h period that the nonsmoking receptor spent at home; n = simulated sample size; nzero = sample size with zero exposure (included in statistics); Sample Mean = arithmetic mean of exposure metric; Std. Dev. = standard deviation of exposure metric; 10th and 90th = 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. a Statistics ETS Cigs iF Exposure Metric 24-h Avg Table 8.7: HAC 100%. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] Statistics for Continuous Awake-Time HAC Operation by Number of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Homea CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 290 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 291 home is heated and a local stack effect occurs in each room due to indoor-outdoor temperature differences. Here, the flow between rooms with open doorways is 100 m3 h−1 and the balanced flows in and out of each room due to leakage are assigned a portion of the 0.5 h−1 base outdoor exchange rate in proportion to room volume. Leakage air flow rates for main rooms thus are in the range 25−50 m3 h−1 . Under asymmetric flow conditions, air from the outdoors flows into a subset of the home’s rooms (inlets) and exits back to the outdoors through the remaining rooms (outlets), as if wind impinging on the house sets up areas of negative and positive pressure on either side of the home, forcing air across the building shell. In this case, air travels in a prevailing direction through the house from inlet rooms towards outlet rooms, although bidirectional flow equal to the case of symmetric flow is also present across each open doorway. See Section 6.3.2 for a discussion of the simulation algorithm used to assign flows. Figure 8.9 shows the differences between the distribution of exposure metrics under symmetric and asymmetric flow conditions for individuals with the largest potential exposure in homes. Although the medians for the two distributions are 32 µ g m−3 , the distributions diverge below the 25th percentile with the asymmetric case yielding slightly lower exposures than the symmetric case. The arithmetic mean and standard deviation for the two distributions are similar across all subgroups (see Tables 8.2 and 8.8). The increased exposures for some individuals can be explained by receptors who spend time in a downwind room during smoking episodes in upwind rooms, where pollutants are removed more rapidly for some occupants spending time in upwind rooms. However, both of these effects are slight, because the directionality of flows is small compared to the base bidirectional flow across doorways. In Chapter 9, where I consider cross flow between open windows, rather than just leakage flow, the effect of asymmetric flows is larger. 292 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 10 101 100 10−2 10−3 10−4 10−2 10−3 99 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 10−4 1 Equiv. ETS Cigs. [d−1] Intake Fraction SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] Particles: Flow Symmetry 2 Cumulative Probability (%) Symmetric Asymmetric Figure 8.9: Asymmetric Flow. Log-probability plots of 24-h SHS particle exposure concentration, individual intake fraction, and equivalent ETS cigarette intake distributions for the base symmetric and asymmetric/directional flow conditions and 1,036 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked and the receptor spent more than 23 of their time at home. See Tables 8.2 and 8.8 for descriptive statistics calculated from the complete distributions. 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs 10−30 Cigs No. Cigs Overall 0−10 Cigs Fract. at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home Overall < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home < 2/3 at Home > 2/3 at Home n nzero 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 4798 48 1430 38 984 1 1348 9 1036 0 Sample Mean 17 7.0 11 18 35 1100 890 1400 830 1400 0.013 0.0053 0.0084 0.014 0.025 Std. Dev. 16 6.9 8.5 12 18 741 760 780 570 620 0.012 0.0053 0.0064 0.0093 0.013 Median 13 4.9 9.8 15 32 960 720 1300 710 1400 0.0092 0.0037 0.0070 0.012 0.023 Percentiles 10th 90th 1.7 38 0.36 16 2.0 24 4.4 34 15 58 240 2100 75 1900 510 2500 210 1600 680 2300 0.0012 0.029 0.00026 0.013 0.0013 0.018 0.0034 0.027 0.010 0.044 are presented for households where more than zero time was spent at home by the nonsmoker and more than zero cigarettes were smoked. Abbreviations: 24-h Avg = 24-h average exposure (absolute exposure metric); iF = individual intake fraction (relative exposure metric); ETS Cigs = equivalent ETS cigarettes (relative exposure metric); No. Cigs = number of cigarettes smoked in the home by the smoker during the simulated 24-h period; Fract. at Home = fraction of the simulated 24-h period that the nonsmoking receptor spent at home; n = simulated sample size; nzero = sample size with zero exposure (included in statistics); Sample Mean = arithmetic mean of exposure metric; Std. Dev. = standard deviation of exposure metric; 10th and 90th = 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. a Statistics ETS Cigs iF Exposure Metric 24-h Avg Table 8.8: Asymmetric Flow. 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarettes (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] Statistics for Asymmetric Flow Conditions by No. of Cigarettes Smoked Indoors and Fraction of Time Spent by the Nonsmoker at Homea CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 293 294 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 8.4 Comparison of All Unrestricted Scenarios The most highly exposed individuals are of the most interest due to their likely higher risk for adverse health effects from SHS exposure. As demonstrated in previous sections of this chapter, those nonsmokers who spend more than 2 3 of their time at home and for whom more than 10 cigarettes were smoked at home during the day tend to have higher absolute exposures to particles, CO, and nicotine for all scenarios. Mean SHS exposure concentrations for these individuals were typically at least double those for individuals for whom fewer than 10 cigarettes were smoked at home and/or who spent less than 2 3 of the day at home. In addition, the exposure metrics for this subgroup of nonsmokers are approximately lognormally distributed so that they can be conveniently compared in terms of their geometric means (GM) and geometric standard deviations (GSD) as presented in Table 8.9. One feature of the comparison among all the scenarios is that the GM of exposures does not change when leakage flows changes from symmetric to asymmetric, although the GSD decreases slightly due to increasing exposures at the lower end of the distribution. Also, continuous HAC operation can reduce the GM of absolute exposure by 40%, slightly reducing the GSD. Long-term loading of reversibly sorbed nicotine on household surfaces can result in more than a quadrupling in the GM of absolute nicotine exposure and an approximate halving of the GSD. Reemission of surface nicotine raises exposures for all individuals in the population cohort, narrowing the distribution of possible exposures for those who reside in households with chronic exposure. Another enlightening comparison is that between the exposure metrics simulated for multiple household zones with variation in occupant locations and flow conditions versus that predicted by a simplified single-zone exposure model. For the simplified model, occupants are assumed to stay at home all day and fluctations in air-exchange rate from HAC operation or window configurations are neglected (see Equations B.5 and B.6). Reemission of chemical species by desorption from household surfaces is also ignored. The unadjusted single-zone model, with a value of 1 for the correction factor f , generally overestimates multizone exposures CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 295 for particles and CO exposure (Table 8.9). The GM of the single-zone correction factor for all exposure metrics, i.e., the ratio of multi-zone to single-zone exposure estimates, is 60−80% for base and asymmetric flow conditions. When the HAC is running the GM is 40−70% across all metrics. However, for airborne nicotine the correction factor GM is esimated to be 5−6 when walls are pre-loaded with nicotine. If an effective emission factor of 1 mg cig−1 was used instead of the total estimated SHS yield of 5 mg cig−1 , the estimated GM would be closer to 1. For clean walls, the factor GM is only slightly above 1.0 for all exposure metrics, but the estimated factor GSD is 2.8, indicating that the unadjusted simplified model is expected to strongly underestimate the variation in nicotine exposure. 8.5 Sensitivity to Environmental and Physical Parameters The results presented in this chapter focus on elucidating the baseline frequency distribution of residential SHS exposures for a cohort of individuals with typical household movement patterns, which are considered fairly representative of behaviors for the US, as well as a variety of possible flow conditions. To simplify the analysis and maintain focus on these primary variables, this cohort was examined in terms of a fixed set of physical and environmental parameters, specifically a particular house size and layout, base outdoor air-exchange rate, surface deposition rate, receptor inhalation rate, and doorway flow rate. However, while these input parameter values were selected to be applicable to typical residential conditions, it is desirable to understand how results may change if somewhat different values are chosen. To this end, I introduced small positive and negative perturbations in eight parameter values equal to 25% of a reference (fixed) value, which was used to simulate exposures in previous sections of this chapter. This reference case corresponds to the base simulation condition. A normalized sensitivity coefficient, δ GM δP , was independently calculated for each base value and the two perturbations, where δ GM is the absolute change in the geometric mean of the exposure distribution divided by the base exposure value, and 296 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION Table 8.9: Calculated Geometric Means (GM) and Geometric Standard Deviations (GSD) for Distributions of 24-h Mean Nonsmoker Particle, CO, or Nicotine Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ], Individual Intake Fraction (iF) [ppm], and Equivalent ETS Cigarette Intake (ETS Cigs) [d−1 ] Across Each Scenario and Limited to Households in Which More Than 10 Cigarettes Were Smoked and Nonsmokers Spent More than 32 of Their Time at Home (with GM and GSD of the Correction Factor f for the Simplified Single-Zone Modela ) Metric Scenariob 24-h Avg iF ETS Cigs a The GM GSD GM f GSD f Particles−Base 28 2.0 0.72 1.8 Particles−Asym 31 1.7 0.77 1.5 Particles−HAC 100% 17 1.5 0.42 1.4 Particles−HAC 10% 28 1.7 0.69 1.5 CO−Base 170 1.9 0.69 1.7 Nicotine Fresh 3.0 2.9 1.2 2.7 Nicotine Loaded 14 1.3 5.6 1.4 Particles−Base 1200 1.8 0.65 1.8 Particles−Asym 1300 1.6 0.70 1.6 Particles−HAC 100% 720 1.5 0.38 1.5 Particles−HAC 10% 1200 1.6 0.63 1.6 CO−Base 1400 1.8 0.63 1.8 Nicotine Fresh 260 2.8 1.1 2.8 Nicotine Loaded 1200 1.5 5.1 1.5 Particles−Base 0.020 2.0 0.65 1.8 Particles−Asym 0.022 1.8 0.70 1.6 Particles−HAC 100% 0.012 1.6 0.38 1.5 Particles−HAC 10% 0.020 1.8 0.63 1.6 CO−Base 0.024 2.0 0.63 1.8 Nicotine Fresh 0.0043 3.0 1.1 2.8 Nicotine Loaded 0.020 1.4 5.1 1.5 simplified time-averaged single-zone exposure model discussed in Section 7.1 incorporates a correction factor f , which accounts for time spent out of the house and uneven pollutant concentrations (see Equations B.5 and B.6). The geometric mean of this factor is calculated here for the 24-h airborne particle exposure for each scenario by dividing the exposure metric calculated for each simulated individual by the unadjusted single-zone model result for base conditions. Parameter values include a randomly assigned number of cigarettes smoked in each household and the fixed cigarette emissions, inhalation rate, air exchange, and surface loss coefficients given in Table 7.1. b See Table 8.1 for a description of each scenario. CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 297 δ P is the absolute change in the parameter value divided by the base parameter value. These coefficients only provide a localized measure of the slope of the response surface in directions of particular parameters, and so they cannot be used to predict changes in exposure across combined changes in a number of parameters or for large distances along any axis, but only for changes in exposure when a single parameter is perturbed and the others are held fixed at their base value. A value of unity for the normalized sensitivity coefficient signifies that the geometric mean for the exposure distributions changes in equal proportion to the change in parameter, either in the positive or negative direction indicated by the sign of the coefficient. For small fractional changes, multiplying a given proportionate change in a parameter by the coefficient gives the resulting proportionate change in mean exposure. So that exposures distributions were approximately lognormal, and the geometric mean accurately represents the median value, individuals were limited to those having more than 10 cigarettes smoked at home and where the receptor spent more than 2 3 of the day at home. Except for sensitivity coefficients for changes in number of cigarettes smoked over the entire day, a sample size of 412 was used to calculate the geometric mean for each perturbed parameter value. The sample size was slightly lower or higher for fluctuations in the number of cigarettes smoked per day. Sensitivity coefficients for perturbations in each of the eight physical and environmental parameter values, as well as absolute perturbation increments and corresponding parameter values, are given in Table 8.10 for each SHS particle exposure metric. The coefficients for individual intake fraction and equivalent ETS cigarette intake are the same as for absolute exposure, except they vary in equal proportion to perturbations in inhalation rate. Absolute exposure does not depend on inhalation rate at all. Unlike absolute exposure, intake fraction does not depend on the magnitude of per-cigarette mass emissions and depends only slightly on the total number of cigarettes a smoker smokes over the day. For either a positive or negative perturbations in cigarette emissions, absolute exposure increases or decreases, CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 298 respectively, in equal proportion. For the given base parameter values, exposure is most sensitive to negative perturbations in house volume with a sensitivity coefficient, δ GM δP , of -1.22, i.e., there is a 22% larger increase in exposure than the corresponding decrease in volume. Exposure was also sensitive to a positive perturbation in house volume, which resulted in a 25% lower decrease in exposure ( δδGM P = -0.75). Air-exchange rate has a fairly large impact on exposure. A decrease in this parameter results in a 90% proportionate increase in exposure and an increase results in a 61% proportionate decrease. In contrast, exposure is fairly insensitive to changes in particle deposition rate, only increasing by about 15% and decreasing by about 14% for negative and positive parameter perturbations, respectively. Exposure is insensitive to local perturbations in inter-room air flow through open doorways and to the duration of cigarettes. These sensitivity coefficients are less than 0.1 in absolute value for both positive and negative perturbations. 8.6 Summary and Conclusions This chapter explores the effect of variation in household occupant location on the frequency distribution of nonsmoker exposure to SHS particle, carbon monoxide, and nicotine air concentrations for unrestricted activites where no effort is made to mitigate exposures. The typical operation of an HAC system is considered, as well as the effect of asymmetric flows through the house and the effect of longterm nicotine loading on household surfaces. A fixed set of environmental and physical simulation model input parameters corresponding to a typical 4-room residence are used to simplify analysis, keeping it focused primarily on the effect of occupant behavior. However, the sensitivity of exposures to small changes in eight different physical parameters is explored to provide insight into how exposures might change under different physical and environment conditions. The simulated effects of the HAC, asymmetric flows, and nicotine surface concentrations are for relatively narrow model inputs and may not represent conditions in all, or even most houses. 0 0.25 0.00625 −0.25 0.005 0.00375 0.25 min−1 37.5 m3 0 30 −0.25 0.25 no. day−1 12.5 22.5 0 −0.25 10 min 0.25 12500 7.5 0 −0.25 10000 µ g cig−1 125 7500 0 0.25 100 −0.25 0.25 m3 h−1 0.625 75 0 −0.25 0.5 0.375 0.25 0.125 h−1 0 −0.25 0.1 0.075 0 0 0 29 0 29 0.12 33 29 0 −0.09 29 27 −0.01 0 29 29 0.02 30 0 0.25 36 −0.25 29 22 −0.02 29 29 0.02 −0.15 25 30 0 0.22 29 36 −0.03 0 28 0.04 29 −0.19 24 30 0 0.31 δG M 29 38 GM 0.00 −0.00 0.46 0.36 −0.05 −0.09 1.00 1.00 −0.07 −0.09 −0.61 −0.87 −0.14 −0.15 −0.75 −1.22 δGM δP 24-h Mean Exposure, µ g m−3 0.00156 0.00125 0.00093 0.00126 0.00125 0.00128 0.00123 0.00125 0.00127 0.00125 0.00125 0.00125 0.00122 0.00125 0.00127 0.00106 0.00125 0.00152 0.00120 0.00125 0.00129 0.00101 0.00125 0.00163 GM 0.25 0 −0.25 0.01 0 0.03 −0.01 0 0.02 0 0 0 −0.02 0 0.02 −0.15 0 0.22 −0.03 0 0.04 −0.19 0 0.31 δG M Intake Fraction 1.00 1.00 0.06 −0.12 −0.05 −0.08 0.00 −0.00 −0.07 −0.09 −0.61 −0.87 −0.14 −0.15 −0.75 −1.22 δGM δP 0.0263 0.0210 0.0158 0.0234 0.0210 0.0191 0.0207 0.0210 0.0215 0.0210 0.0210 0.0210 0.0206 0.0210 0.0215 0.0178 0.0210 0.0256 0.0203 0.0210 0.0218 0.0171 0.0210 0.0274 GM 0.25 0 −0.25 0.12 0 −0.09 −0.01 0 0.02 −0 0 −0 −0.02 0 0.02 −0.15 0 0.22 −0.03 0 0.04 −0.19 0 0.31 δG M Equiv ETS Cigs, d−1 1.00 1.00 0.46 0.36 −0.05 −0.09 −0.00 0.00 −0.07 −0.09 −0.61 −0.87 −0.14 −0.15 −0.75 −1.22 δGM δP P For the sensitivity analysis, each parameter was varied around a central value in turn, keeping all other parameter values constant at their corresponding central values. Vol=house volume (each room in equal proportion); Dep=particle deposition rate (same for each room); Aer=overall house air-exchange rate; Flow=flow rate across open doorways; Mag=cigarette particle emissions magnitude; Dur=duration of a single cigarette; Cigs= number of cigarettes smoked in a single day (not all of which are in the house); Inh=nonsmoker inhalation rate; GM = geometric mean of distribution for each exposure metric; δ P = normalized difference of parameter value from central value; δ δG M = normalized difference of exposure metric from central value; δGM = normalized sensitivity coefficient. Inh Cigs Dur Mag Flow Aer Dep 0.25 h−1 358.75 −0.25 m3 0 215.25 Vol δP Units 287 Values Name Parameters Table 8.10: Sensitivity of the Geometric Mean (GM) of Nonsmoker Inhalation Particle Exposure Metrics to Eight Physical and Environmental Parameters CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 299 CHAPTER 8. TIER II. REALISTIC VARIATION IN OCCUPANT LOCATION 300 Higher geometric means (GM) of exposure occurred in homes where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked over the day and the nonsmoking receptor spent more than 2 3 of the day at home, so comparative analysis was focused on this subset of the simulated population. The operation of the HAC lowers the GM of exposure for this subgroup and increases exposure at the lower end of the distribution. The introduction of asymmetric flows did not change the GM very much, but slightly decreased GSD, because the exposure of “downwind” receptors is increased. Loading of nicotine on surfaces significantly raises the GM of exposures, and simultaneously lowers the GSD. For a given change in house volume and per-cigarette mass emissions, there is either an equal or approximately equal proportion of change in the GM of particle exposure. There is close to an equal change in exposure for changes in air-exchange rate. The sensitivity of absolute particle exposure to changes in other parameters is appreciably lower. 8.7 References Piadé, J. J., D’Andrés, S., and Sanders, E. B. (1999). Sorption phenomena of nicotine and ethenylpyridine vapors on different materials in a test chamber. Environmental Science and Technology, 33: 2046–2052. 301 Chapter 9 Tier III. The Effect of Mitigation Strategies on Exposure Frequency Distributions in Households with High Potential Exposure In the previous chapter (Chapter 8), I simulated baseline frequency distributions of residential SHS exposure for a random selection of household occupant location patterns, which are representative of persons living in the US. In the current chapter, I expand this analysis to consider conscious efforts to shield nonsmokers from SHS exposure. To mitigate SHS exposure for nonsmokers, household occupants close doors or open windows in the rooms they visit in response to smoking activity, either in the room they currently occupy or in a different room. They may also change their location patterns to segregate the nonsmoker and the active smoker. In addition, they may operate portable filtration devices in smoking rooms. For 25 simulation trials, I step a cohort of 1,037 matched smoker and nonsmoker pairs through different mitigation scenarios, calculating the distribution of 24-h average SHS airborne particle exposure concentrations for nonsmokers. The cohort is selected to represent cases where more than 10 cigarettes are smoked indoors at home each day and the nonsmoker is at home for more than 2 3 of the day, and, therefore, for which high exposures are more likely (Chapter 8). I evaluate the effectiveness of each scenario in reducing population exposure by examining its CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 302 impact on the simulated frequency distribution. 9.1 Fixed Simulation Inputs: Cohort and PhysicalEnvironmental Characteristics The potential for high SHS exposure in the sampled cohort is illustrated by histograms for the distribution of cigarettes smoked at home, the fraction of the day the nonsmoker spends at home, and the fraction of the day the nonsmoker/smoker pair spend in the same room, which are presented in Figure 9.1. Besides the age of the smoker, the matching of occupants by day of week, the number of cigarettes smoked, and the time spent at home by the nonsmoker, selected pairs in the cohort have no other prescribed characteristics. A benefit of using a population with high potential exposure to study the effects of mitigation strategies is that exposures are approximately lognormally distributed so that their geometric means or medians can be used to compare the central tendency across different simulation trials. For each of the mitigation scenarios analyzed in this chapter, I limit my treatment of SHS species to airborne particles. As in the previous two chapters (Chapters 7 and 8), I also focus and simplify the analysis by assigning fixed values of physical and environmental parameters corresponding to house size and layout, base leakage-induced air-exchange rate, particle deposition rate, inter-room flow rates, daily number of cigarettes smoked by the smoker, and cigarette duration and emission characteristics, which are typical for US homes. The input parameter values are given in Table 7.1 and include the characteristics for House #2, which is described in Table 7.3 and pictured in Figure 8.1. I found in Chapter 8 that the operation of a central heating and air conditioning system (HAC), if run with a heavy duty cycle, could significantly decrease SHS exposures due to increased infiltration from supply duct leakage. However, a duty cycle of 10% during waking hours did not result in much reduction in exposure. In addition, both low and high duty cycles resulted in a mixing of SHS pollutants in the house, which increased exposures for the lower portion of the distribution. In this chapter, which is focused on strategies for mitigating exposures, I only con- 303 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 10 15 20 25 30 −1 Number of Cigs. [d ] 150 0 0 0 50 50 50 100 100 100 Frequency 200 150 150 250 200 Histograms for Key Exposure Variables 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Time Fraction at Home 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Smk/NSmk Correl. Figure 9.1: Frequency distributions in the form of histograms for three key simulation variables for 1,037 simulated households where more than 10 cigarettes are smoked over a 24-h period and the nonsmoker (receptor) occupant spend more than 23 of their day. The variables are the number of cigarettes smoked in the house, the fraction of the day the nonsmoking receptor person spends at home, and the fraction of the day the smoker and nonsmoker spend in the same room. CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 304 sider cases in which the HAC is always inactive. 9.2 Programmed Mitigation: Twenty-Five Scenarios Twenty-five exposure mitigation scenarios, which involve dynamic or continuous changes in the house’s flow patterns, are listed in Table 9.1 under eight groupings. The first scenario corresponds to base conditions where no mitigation strategies are implemented. For this case, all interior doors are left open, except when occupants are sleeping or using the bathroom. All windows are left closed during all times of the day and no filtration devices are active. The second scenario corresponds to a temporal ban on smoking, where smoking activity is prohibited during times when the nonsmoker is at home, but otherwise base conditions apply. These two scenarios are intended to provide initial reference cases that bound expected exposures occurring in a house without a complete ban on smoking. Exposures for each of the other scenarios are expected to fall approximately between these two bounding cases. For the 25th scenario, portable particle filtration equipment is continuously active in rooms where smoking occurs. The remaining scenarios fall into six groups and they all involve dynamic changes in smoker or nonsmoker location or door and window positions. These six groups are characterized as follows: Door or Window. A smoker or nonsmoker closes a door or opens a window during smoking episodes (4 possible scenarios). Door and Window. A smoker and/or nonsmoker closes a door and opens a window with only a single door ever closed during smoking episodes and a single window ever open (4 possible scenarios). Doors. Both smoker and nonsmoker closed a door and one or the other optionally opens a window during smoking episodes (3 possible scenarios). Windows-Symmetric. Both smoker and nonsmoker open a window in their room and one or both close a door during smoking episodes under symmetric flow conditions (4 possible scenarios). CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 305 Windows-Asymmetric. Both smoker and nonsmoker open a window in their room and one or both close a door during smoking episodes under asymmetric flow conditions (4 possible scenarios). Avoid-Isolate. The nonsmoker avoids being in the same room as the smoker during smoking episodes or the smoker is isolated in the living room where they may open the window and/or close the door (3 possible scenarios). As discussed in Chapters 6 and 7, a smoking episode is defined as a continuous time period during which a smoker occupies a particular room where smoking activity is occurring, will occur, or has previously occurred. For time that the nonsmoker and smoker spend together in the same room under base conditions, the door behavior of the nonsmoker takes precedence. However, when a door or window-related mitigation strategy is in effect, door and window positions reflect an attempt to maximize reduction of the nonsmoker’s SHS exposure. Hence, when door-closing strategies are active, the door to smoking rooms is always left open during smoking episodes when the nonsmoker and smoker are in the same room. Similarly, when window-opening strategies are active, the window to smoking rooms is always left open when the nonsoker and smoker are in the same room. Chapter 6 contains a general discussion of how simulation scenarios are specified. The conditions for symmetric and asymmetric flow scenarios are the same as those used in Chapter 8 and described in Chapter 6. All scenarios involve symmetric flow, except for those in the Windows-Asymmetric group. Figure 9.2 presents median 24-h interzonal flows calculated across the 24-h average flow rates of all 1,037 simulated households corresponding to the first 21 mitigation strategies listed in Table 9.1. For symmetric flow conditions, the living room and kitchen-dining room doorway flows were 90−100 m3 h−1 , which is close to their base, open-door values. Flows to and from the bedroom and auxiliary room are smaller, because their doors are closed when occupants are asleep. For asymmetric flow conditions and open-window scenarios, larger flows occur out of the kitchendining room, which acts as an inlet, and into the other main rooms, which act as CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 306 outlets. As part of the discussion of simulation results for different mitigation scenarios given below, separate log-probability plots are used to present the full distribution of 24-h mean particle exposure concentration for the base case and each group of scenarios given in Table 9.1. Along with the distributions of absolute exposure, I also present frequency distributions of absolute differences, ∆, between individual 24-h average exposure concentrations for the base case and each mitigation scenario. The distribution of exposures corresponding to each matched pair of house occupants are fairly stable with the 90th percentile confidence band half-length approaching 10% of the distribution mean.1 Descriptive statistics for each distribution, including means, standard deviations (Std. Dev.), medians, geometric means (GM), geometric standard deviations (GSD), and 10th and 90th percentiles, are given in Table 9.2. Broadly, these results show that mitigation strategies can cause decreases in the GM of 24-h average SHS particle exposure concentration of 3 to 27 µ g m−3 , with the limits of this range corresponding to scenarios when only the nonsmoker closes doors and when the smoker is isolated in the living room with the door closed and window open, respectively. Changes in the distribution of exposure were sometimes marked by either an increase or decrease in the GSD of as much as 20−50%. For the base case, exposures of every member of the cohort ranged from 1 to 165 µ g m−3 . Individual exposures for all of the other scenarios were also positive, except for the time ban scenario for which simulated exposures for 265 members of the 1,037-member cohort (26%) are zero. Absolute changes in exposure for the "Nsmk Door" (#4), "Nsmk Win" (#6), "Nsmk Door Nsmk Win" (#10), and "Avoid" (#22) mitigation scenarios were zero for 70 (7%), 4 (0.4%), 4 (0.4%), and 148 (14%) individuals, respectively. To represent the complete distribution in plots of distributions with zero values, I calculate probabilities using all data values. The plotted distribution, minus the zero-valued exposures, is truncated at the percentile corresponding to the lowest non-zero value. Every value below this lowest percentile 1 The ratio of confidence band half-length to the mean is a measure of the error between the “true” population mean and the sample mean. Smk Win NSmk Win 5 6 [Continued]. NSmk Door NSmk Win A combination of scenarios 4 and 6 10 A combination of scenarios 4 and 5 NSmk Door Smk Win 9 A combination of scenarios 3 and 6 Smk Door NSmk Win A combination of scenarios 3 and 5 The window is open in rooms where the nonsmoker is present during smoking episodes. The window is open in smoking rooms during smoking episodes. The door is closed in rooms where a nonsmoker is present and the smoker is not present during smoking episodes. The door is closed in smoking rooms during smoking episodes when the nonsmoker is not present. Same as #1, except smoker cannot smoke while nonsmoker is at home. Base state where all interior doors are open during waking periods not spent in the bathroom and all windows are closed. Scenario Descriptionb 8 Smk Door/Win NSmk Door 4 Door and Win 7 Smk Door 3 Time Ban 2 Door or Win Base 1 Bounding Abbreviation No. Groupa Table 9.1: Descriptions of Each Residential SHS Inhalation Exposure Mitigation Strategy Arranged by Group CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 307 A combination of scenarios 4, 5, and 6 A combination of scenarios 3, 4, 5, 6 16 NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win 17 Smk/NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win [Continued]. The same as scenario 16, except with asymmetric flow conditions 20 NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win Wind 21 Smk/NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win Wind The same as scenario 17, except with asymmetric flow conditions The same as scenario 15, except with asymmetric flow conditions 19 Smk Door Smk/NSmk Win Wind The same as scenario 14, except with asymmetric flow conditions A combination of scenarios 3, 5, and 6 15 Smk Door Smk/NSmk Win A combination of scenarios 3, 4, and 6 13 Smk/NSmk Door NSmk Win A combination of scenarios 5 and 6 A combination of scenarios 3, 4, and 5 12 Smk/NSmk Door Smk Win 14 Smk/NSmk Win A combination of scenarios 3 and 4 11 Smk/NSmk Door Wins-Asym 18 Smk/NSmk Win Wind Wins-Sym Doors Table 9.1. Continued. CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 308 The same as scenario 23, except the smoker also opens the living room window during smoking episodes in addition to closing the living room door. 24 Isolate Smk Door/Win A portable filtration device is operated continuously during waking periods in each room where smoking occurs at a flow rate of 80 m3 h−1 and 100% removal efficiency. The smoker is restricted to being by themselves in the living room during smoking episodes with the door closed. 23 Isolate Smk Door 25 Smk Filtration Nonsmoker avoids rooms containing the smoker during smoking episodes. 22 Avoid Except where noted, flow patterns are symmetric. For each scenario, no HAC or HVAC system is ever active. a Groups are generally defined as follows: Base: all windows are closed and interior doors are open during waking non-bathroom periods; Door or Win: A single door is closed or a single window is opened during smoking periods; Door and Win: A single door is closed and a single window is opened during smoking periods; Doors: Two doors are closed and possibly a single window is opened during smoking periods; Wins-Symm: Two windows are opened and possibly one or two doors are closed during smoking periods where symmetric flow conditions are assumed; Wins-Asym: Two windows are opened and possibly one or two doors are closed during smoking periods where asymmetric flow conditions are assumed; Avoid-Isolate: Nonsmoker avoids rooms with smoking during smoking episodes or smoker is isolated in a single room during smoking. Filt: Portable filtration devices operate continuously during waking periods in rooms where smoking occurs. b A smoking episode is defined as a continuous time period during which a smoker occupies a particular room where smoking activity is occurring, will occur, or has previously occurred. Filt Avoid-Isolate Table 9.1. Continued. CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 309 h− 1 ] Mitigation Strategy 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 1→5 100 100 94 99 100 100 94 94 99 99 90 90 90 100 94 99 90 202 191 197 188 Flow to HALL 2→5 3→5 4→5 100 65 64 100 65 64 86 65 61 98 63 64 100 65 71 100 65 71 86 65 67 86 65 67 98 63 70 98 63 70 82 63 61 82 63 67 82 63 67 100 65 71 86 65 67 98 63 70 82 63 67 100 65 69 86 65 65 98 63 68 82 63 65 5→1 100 100 94 99 100 100 94 94 99 99 90 91 91 100 94 99 91 100 94 99 90 Flow from HALL 5→2 5→3 100 65 100 65 86 65 98 63 104 65 104 65 92 65 92 65 101 63 101 63 82 63 87 63 87 63 104 65 92 65 101 63 87 63 183 99 167 99 178 97 162 97 5→4 64 64 61 64 64 64 61 61 64 64 61 61 61 64 61 64 61 128 125 128 125 1→7 50 50 50 50 63 55 63 55 63 55 50 63 55 68 68 68 68 2 4 3 6 2→7 25 25 25 25 63 46 63 46 63 46 25 63 46 67 67 67 67 90 90 90 90 AUX−3 LIV−2 6→7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 38 38 38 38 7→1 50 50 50 50 62 54 62 54 62 54 50 62 54 67 67 67 67 104 104 104 104 BATH−6 HALL−5 HAC−8 BED−4 Flow from Outdoors 7→2 7→3 7→4 7→5 25 25 25 15 25 25 25 15 25 25 25 15 25 25 25 15 56 25 36 15 41 25 32 16 56 25 36 16 41 25 32 16 56 25 36 15 41 25 32 16 25 25 25 15 56 25 36 16 41 25 32 16 62 25 37 16 62 25 37 16 62 25 37 16 62 25 37 16 6 7 18 81 9 7 20 81 7 7 19 81 10 7 19 81 Outdoors−7 KIT−DIN−1 Flow to Outdoors 3→7 4→7 5→7 25 25 15 25 25 15 25 25 15 25 25 15 25 27 15 25 25 15 25 27 15 25 25 15 25 27 15 25 25 15 25 25 15 25 27 15 25 25 15 25 28 15 25 28 15 25 28 15 25 28 15 38 42 8 38 45 8 38 43 8 38 44 8 Figure 9.2: Tabulation of simulated median 24-h interzonal flow rates for the first 21 mitigation strategies described in Table 9.1. Flows occur between rooms of a 4-room house (see Figure 8.1) represented by lines between nodes of the directed graph to the right. The medians are taken across 24-h average flow rates for 1,037 simulated households where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked during the day and the nonsmoker occupant spent more than 32 of their time at home. Flows from main rooms to and from the central hallway and flows to and from all rooms and the outdoors (node #7) are shown. All flows to and from the HAC system (node #8) were zero for all scenarios. For asymmetric flow, inlet rooms are KIT-DIN (node #1) and HALL (node #5). All other rooms are outlets. The procedure for simulating residential air flow patterns is described in Chapter 6. [m3 7→6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 310 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 311 corresponds to zero exposure or zero exposure difference. In the calculation of the GM and GSD in Table 9.2, only positive-valued exposures are used. The other statistics in the table were calculated using both positive and zero-valued exposures. 9.3 Temporal Smoking Bans A straightforward exposure mitigation strategy is to ban smoking activity in the house during times when the nonsmoker is at home (a temporal ban). This strategy eliminates direct exposure during smoking episodes, either in proximity to a smoker or in a separate room. Exposure only occurs for times when residual SHS is present in the house. Figure 9.3 presents the distribution of 24-h average particle exposure concentrations for the base case and the case of a temporal ban on smoking. These two scenarios represent reference cases for residential SHS exposure. The base case corresponds to the nominal maximum exposure for each cohort member. When the temporal ban is enforced, all individuals in the cohort experienced a reduction in their SHS exposure and the exposure of 26% of the individuals is eliminated entirely. The median of the distribution of differences from the base case for a temporal ban is close to 30 µ g m−3 . In the absence of a complete ban on smoking, the temporal ban scenario is expected to result in the minimum or close to the minimum exposure for each cohort member, although a temporal ban in combination with other strategies would likely result in even lower exposures. 9.4 Single-Door or Single-Window Strategies Some inhabitants of a particular residence may attempt to reduce nonsmokers SHS exposure through the simple closing of a door or opening of a window. It is clear from the preliminary simulations performed in Chapter 7 that closing doors in a multi-room house can reduce exposure for nonsmokers who spend substantial time in rooms separated from the smoker during smoking episodes and opening windows can remove pollutant concentrations more quickly, thereby reducing ex- Scenarioa Base Time Banb Smk Door NSmk Door Smk Win Nsmk Win Smk Door/Win Smk Door NSmk Win NSmk Door Smk Win NSmk Door NSmk Win Smk/NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Door Smk Win Smk/NSmk Door NSmk Win Smk/Nsmk Win Smk Door Smk/NSmk Win NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win Smk/NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win Smk/NSmk Win Smk Door Smk/NSmk Win NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win Smk/NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Win Avoid Isolate Smk Door Isolate Smk Door/Win Smk Filtration Mean 35 3.7 31 32 13 15 9.9 13 12 14 31 9.9 13 11 9.0 10.1 8.9 12 11 12 11 24 12 2.7 14 Std. Dev. 21 3.5 21 20 5.9 6.2 6.0 6.7 6.0 6.3 21 6.2 6.8 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.9 5.9 6.2 5.9 6.2 14 10 2.9 9.3 Median 32 3.1 28 29 12 15 9.3 13 11 13 28 9.4 13 9.9 8.1 9.3 8.0 11 10 11 10 21 9.3 1.9 12 GM 29 3.6 23 26 11 14 7.7 11 10 12 23 7.5 11 9.2 6.7 8.3 6.5 11 8.7 10 8.6 20 7.5 1.7 11 GSD 2.0 2.7 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.6 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.7 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.8 2.5 2.0 2.6 1.7 2.2 1.7 2.2 1.8 2.9 3.0 2.4 Percentiles 10th 90th 12 63 0.0 8.5 7.1 58 9.3 58 5.7 21 7.6 24 2.6 18 4.7 22 4.6 20 6.4 22 6.1 59 2.4 18 4.3 22 4.1 18 1.9 17 3.5 17 1.8 16 5.1 20 3.3 19 4.8 20 3.2 19 9.8 39 1.6 25 0.4 5.8 3.4 26 Table 9.1 for a description of each scenario and Figure 9.2 for the simulated median 24-h interzonal flows corresponding to each scenario. The sample size is 1,037 24-h average particle exposure concentration values for each scenario. All values are positive, except for the "Time Ban" scenario, for which 265 values are zero. Values of zero are included in the calculation of all "Time Ban" statistics, except for the GM and GSD. a See Filt Avoid-Isolate Wins-Asym Wins-Sym Doors Door and Win Door or Win Group Bounding Table 9.2: Statistics from the Simulated Distribution of 24-h Average Nonsmoker SHS Particle Inhalation Exposure Concentration [µ g m−3 ] for each Exposure Mitigation Strategy CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 312 313 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 10−1 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] Base Case and Time Ban 101 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 100 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Time Ban Figure 9.3: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and time ban mitigation strategies for 1,037 (base case) or 772 (time ban) nonsmoking individuals with non-zero exposures who occupied households where more than 10 cigarettes per day were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 23 of their time at home. Only positive exposures are included in the plotted data. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for the time ban mitigation strategy (bottom panel). CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 314 posure. However, here we examine how exposures change for a population with a wide range of nonsmoker location patterns. Figure 9.4 presents the distribution plots for the base case and for cases when either the smoker or nonsmoker close their room door or either the smoker or nonsmoker open their room window during smoking episodes. For exposure mitigation that depends on the smoker closing their door during smoking episodes, the overall variation in 24-h particle exposure concentrations increases with a drop in the lowest 50% of exposures. A similar but smaller effect occurs when the nonsmoker closes their door. For both scenarios the room door was left open whenever the smoker and nonsmoker occupied the same room during smoking. The median of the distribution of differences from base exposure for each door scenario is 1−3 µ g m−3 . When the smoker or nonsmoker opens their window during smoking episodes, the reduction in 24-h mean particle exposure concentrations is much greater than for door-closing scenarios. The median of differences in exposure from the base condition was close to 20 µ g m−3 for both window-opening scenarios. The smoker behavior is only a little more effective, because, for either scenario, a window is opened whenever the nonsmoker and smoker are in the same room during smoking. All individuals experienced a reduction in exposure, although there was a greater reduction in the upper portion of the distribution, which resulted in a decrease in the overall standard deviation and GSD of exposure. Those spending more time in close proximity to the smoker, and therefore receiving the largest base exposure, appear to receive the most benefit. 9.5 Door and Single-Window Combined Strategies Instead of relying exclusively on a single closed door or a single closed window to mitigate SHS exposure, occupants of a household may elect to have smokers and nonsmokers close a single door and open a single window simultaneously. In these scenarios a smoker or nonsmoker may act by themselves, affecting both the door and window configuration in a single room, or they may close a door while 315 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] 1 Door Closed OR 1 Window Open 101 100 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 10−1 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Smk Door NSmk Door Smk Win NSmk Win Figure 9.4: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h average SHS particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and single-door or single-window exposure mitigation strategies for 1,037 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes per day were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 32 of their time at home. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for each mitigation strategy (bottom panel). CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 316 the other occupant opens a window. For time spent by both occupants in the same room, both doors and windows are left open to maximize reductions in exposure. As illustrated in Figure 9.5, the single door + single-window scenario having the largest impact on the base frequency distribution of 24-h particle exposure concentrations is the one in which the smoker both closes the door and opens the window during smoking episodes. However, all scenarios resulted in a lowering of exposure for all simulated individuals, with the median of differences in exposure from the base case all clustered around 20 µ g m−3 . The scenarios diverged in the lower halves of their difference distributions with scenarios involving a smoker’s door or window causing the largest differences and the combined nonsmoker door and window strategy having the smallest effect. Another mitigation option, involving doors and a single window, is to insure that both the smoker and nonsmoker close their respective doors during smoking episodes, and one or the other also opens their window. The frequency distributions corresponding to these scenarios, are shown in Figure 9.6. The scenario corresponding to when both the smoker and nonsmoker close doors has little effect on the upper half of the exposure concentrations distribution, because these exposures are for occupants who spend more time in the same room during smoking periods. When they are together, doors remain open, which is the base condition. The other scenarios result in substantial exposure reductions, which are similar to those for the single-window scenarios described above. The median of differences in exposure from the base case are again clustered around 20 µ g m−3 . While effective, none of the door and single-window combined strategies reduce exposures as much as the temporal smoking ban, which resulted in a median for differences from the base case that was near 30 µ g m−3 . 9.6 Multi-Window Strategies The fifth and sixth scenario groups involve cases when two windows are opened simultaneously, one by the smoker and one by the nonsmoker, and doors may be closed by zero, one, or both occupants during smoking episodes. Under sym- 317 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] 1 Door Closed AND 1 Window Open 101 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 100 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Smk Door/Win Smk Door/NSmk Win NSmk Door/Smk Win NSmk Door/Win Figure 9.5: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h average SHS particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and combined single-door and single-window mitigation strategies for 1,037 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes per day were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 23 of their time at home. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for each mitigation strategy (bottom panel). 318 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] 2 Doors Closed AND 0−1 Window Open 101 100 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 10−1 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Smk/NSmk Door Smk/NSmk Door & Smk Win Smk/NSmk Door & NSmk Win Figure 9.6: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h average SHS particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and combined two-door and zero or one open window mitigation strategies for 1,037 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes per day were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 23 of their time at home. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for each mitigation strategy (bottom panel). CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 319 metric flow conditions, no directionality or cross-flow current of air exists in the house. The two windows act independently to increase pollutant removal rates for each separate room with no effect on other rooms. In contrast, under asymmetric flow conditions, cross-flow occurs through the house from inlet to outlet rooms, modulated by doors closed by either occupant. Cross-flow was demonstrated in Chapters 7 and 8 to result in somewhat increased exposures for those spending more time “downwind” from smoking rooms. Figure 9.7 contains frequency distributions of SHS particle exposure under symmetric flow conditions and Figure 9.8 presents distributions under asymmetric cross-flow conditions. For each scenario, nearly all individuals experienced a reduction in exposure. The opening of multiple windows increases removal rates in the house so much that “downwind” effects, which acted to increase some exposures for cross-flow from leakage flow (see Chapter 8), appear to be overwhelmed. However, the lower tail of exposures is higher for asymmetric flows than for corresponding scenarios under symmetric flow conditions. As with single-window scenarios, the largest exposure reduction for all individuals occurs whenever the smoker closes their door and opens a window during smoking episodes. When the smoker’s door was closed, there was a larger reduction in the lower half of exposures relative to the case of no closed doors or when the nonsmoker closed doors. The position of the nonsmoker’s door had little impact on exposure, although it resulted in slightly lower exposures in the lower half of the distribution for the case of symmetric flows. The median for differences in exposure from the base concentration are just above 20 µ g m−3 , marginally better than the results for scenarios when a single window was opened by either the smoker or nonsmoker. Overall, the multi-window mitigation strategies are the most effective of any scenarios considered so far, except for the temporal ban on smoking. 320 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] 2 Windows Open (Symmetric Flows) 101 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 100 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Smk/NSmk Win Smk Door & Smk/NSmk Win NSmk Door & Smk/NSmk Win Smk/NSmk Door & Smk/NSmk Win Figure 9.7: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h average SHS particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and multi-window mitigation strategies under symmetric flow conditions for 1,037 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes per day were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 23 of their time at home. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for each mitigation strategy (bottom panel). 321 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] 2 Windows Open (Asymmetric Flows) 101 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 100 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Smk/NSmk Win Smk Door & Smk/NSmk Win NSmk Door & Smk/NSmk Win Smk/NSmk Door & Smk/NSmk Win Figure 9.8: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and multi-window mitigation strategies unde asymmetric flow conditions for 1,037 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 32 of their time at home. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for each mitigation strategy (bottom panel). CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 322 9.7 Smoker Avoidance and Isolation From the mitigation strategies explored above, the opening of one or more windows during smoking episodes appears to present the most effective means of reducing SHS exposure. Door position, by itself, has not presented an effective means to reduce exposure, because the smoker and nonsmoker may spend significant amount of time in the same room or because the nonsmoker may enter a room immediately after a smoking episode has occurred. Mitigation stategies that involve modifying either the smoker or nonsmoker locations in response to smoking activity are expected to be as or more effective, both by themselves and in combination with the closing of doors and the opening of windows. These “location modifying” scenarios are in contrast to all the other mitigation strategies in this chapter, which use the “natural” location patterns of the smoker and nonsmoker, overlaying them with door or window-related behavior. In locationmodifying mitigation strategies, the smoker smokes the same number of cigarettes in the house as before. Only the location of smoking is changed. The first level of location-modifying mitigation I consider is to have the nonsmoker avoid rooms where the smoker is active during smoking episodes. In the next level, the smoker is forced into isolation in the living room with the door closed during smoking episodes, and, similar to the avoidance-only level, the nonsmoker avoids the living room during smoking episodes. For the final mitigation level, the smoker both closes the door and opens the window during their solitary smoking episodes in the living room. The distribution of 24-h average SHS particle exposure concentrations for each location-modifying mitigation strategy and the base case are presented in Figure 9.9. The effectiveness of the avoidance scenario is generally better than that for the door-only scenarios presented above. The median of the distribution of differences between the base case and the avoidance scenario is about 10 µ g m−3 . However, scenarios where the smoker is also isolated in the living room with the window open and the door closed, or just the door closed, are much more effective. The median of the distribution of differences between these cases and the CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 323 base case are approximately 30 and 20 µ g m−3 , respectively. The door-only isolation case is of similar effectiveness as single and multiple window scenarios with “natural” location patterns. Isolation combined with a closed door and open window results in a median exposure reduction that is even better than the benchmark case of a temporal ban on smoking. While the median of exposure concentrations for the temporal ban is 3.1 µ g m−3 , the median for the last isolation case is only 1.9 µ g m−3 . However, unlike for the temporal ban, no exposures involving smoker isolation are eliminated completely. 9.8 Portable Filtration Devices An alternate approach to mitigating SHS exposure in a residence is to set one or more portable particle filtration devices into operation throughout the day. This strategy has the advantage of unattended operation, but the disadvantage of only removing a portion of SHS pollutants, whereas door and window, i.e., air-flowbased, strategies act to reduce exposure to the full range of smoke constituents. Figure 9.10 shows comparative plots of the frequency distribution of 24-h average SHS particle exposure concentrations for base conditions and when a portable particle filtration device, which removes particle flowing through it with 100% efficiency and has an air flow rate of 80 m3 h−1 , is operating continuously in all rooms where smoking is allowed to occur, i.e., the kitchen-dining area, living room, bedroom, and auxiliary room. The median for differences in exposure from the base condition is about 20 µ g m−3 . This reduction in particle exposure with respect to the base case is comparable to the best reduction in exposure, across the entire distribution, for mitigation strategies that increased ventilation by the opening of one or more windows or when the smoker was isolated in the living room with the door and window closed. 324 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 10−1 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] Smoker Avoidance and Isolation 101 100 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 10−1 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Avoid Isolate Smk Door Isolate Smk Door/Win Figure 9.9: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h average SHS particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and smoker avoidance or isolation mitigation strategies for 1,037 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes per day were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 23 of their time at home. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for each mitigation strategy (bottom panel). 325 CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 102 101 100 102 ∆ [µg m−3] SHS Exp. Conc. [µg m−3] Portable Filtration 101 95 90 75 50 25 10 5 100 Cumulative Probability (%) Base Smoking Room Filtration Figure 9.10: Log-probability plot of the frequency distribution for the 24-h average SHS particle inhalation exposure concentration (top panel) for base case and continuous 100% efficient particle filtration and an 80 m3 h−1 flow rate in each smoking room for 1,037 nonsmoking individuals in households where more than 10 cigarettes per day were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 32 of their time at home. The distribution of absolute change in individual exposure concentrations from the base case, ∆, is also presented for the filtration mitigation strategy (bottom panel). CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 326 9.9 Summary and Conclusions In this chapter, I build upon the SHS exposure simulations presented in the previous two chapters to explore the effectiveness of specific SHS exposure mitigation strategies involving the closing of doors and opening of windows during smoking episodes, as well as the banning of smoking during times when the nonsmoker is at home, avoidance and isolation of the smoker, and the continuous use of portable filtration devices in rooms where smoking is allowed. Observed room-to-room movement patterns are used to generate frequency distributions of SHS particle exposure for a fixed cohort of 1,037 matched smoker/nonsmoker pairs across 25 separate mitigation scenarios. I found the most effective mitigation strategy to be isolating the smoker in a room by themselves during smoking episodes where they close the door and open the window. Imposing a temporal ban on smoking resulted in an exposure reduction that was nearly as large. Closing the door during solitary smoking episodes, but not opening the window, reduced exposure by a smaller amount, comparable to the reduction achieved when one or more windows were opened during smoking episodes that occurred anywhere in the house. Simply avoiding the smoker when they were allowed to smoke in any room of the house was not as effective in mitigating exposures, although it was more effective than door-only strategies for which there was no modification of smoker location. In the absence of a temporal smoking ban or strict smoker isolation, the opening of windows by either the nonsmoker, the smoker, or both occupants, or the continous operation of an extremely efficient particle filtration device in smoking rooms at a flow rate of 80 m3 h−1 or more, appear to be the most effective and practical strategies. However, particle filtration devices are not designed to remove all non-particulate components of SHS, and therefore won’t protect house occupants from their deleterious health effects. The mitigation strategies explored in this chapter have different implications with respect to energy utilization and occupant comfort. Doors are likely to have the smallest energy requirement and smallest impact on comfort, whereas, de- CHAPTER 9. TIER III. MITIGATION STRATEGIES 327 pending on climate and weather conditions, the opening of windows could have a large impact on both energy use and occupant comfort. The use of air filtration devices would consume substantial amounts of electricity, and the noise associated with their operation may cause occupant discomfort. A major finding of this chapter is that, while doors are quite effective in blocking the passage of air pollution between two compartments, they are not necessarily effective in reducing exposure in a multizonal residential context. The simulated results in this chapter show that persons following typical, unmodified location patterns in their homes can experience some reduction in exposure by closing the door to rooms where smokers are active and isolated from other persons. However, because smoking and nonsmoking household occupants tend to spend time in the same room, the effectiveness of these door-related strategies is diminished. Also the doors-closed case does not speed removal of SHS pollutants from indoor air and so delayed permeation into other rooms can still lead to inhalation exposures. Those persons who already spend time removed from the smoker experience small reductions. For doors to be used as an effective means of exposure reduction, smokers and nonsmoker must be in separate rooms for all or most of the time during which smokers are active. Löfroth [1993] concluded that it is impractical to use doors as impediments to SHS emissions in the course of attempting to reduce occupant exposures. If sequestering a smoker in a single room behind a closed door is considered impractical, then he appears to be correct in his original assessment. My simulations show that the opening of windows can, by itself, also result in a substantial reduction of exposure and may present a more practical solution for particular seasons and/or geographic areas. 9.10 References Löfroth, G. (1993). Environmental tobacco smoke: Multicomponent analysis and room-to-room distribution in homes. Tobacco Control, 2: 222–225. 328 Part IV Conclusions 329 The following two chapters provide an evaluation of the simulation model and model results, and an overall summary and conclusions. Chapter 10 (page 330) contains a comparison of the simulation model results in this dissertation with the results of indoor air and personal exposure surveys. Chapter 11 (page 339) contains a summary of the main findings in this dissertation, a discussion of implications for public health studies and education efforts, and suggestions for future work on SHS exposure occurring in residences and exposure science efforts, in general. 330 Chapter 10 Model Evaluation In this chapter, I conduct a partial evaluation of the simulation model, which has been used in this dissertation to explore residential exposure to SHS. I look separately at the model predictions of indoor SHS air pollutant concentrations and frequency distributions of personal SHS exposure, comparing both to observed values. One of the largest concerns with regard to uncertainty in the model lies with issues surrounding source proximity. Prior to becoming uniformly mixed in a room, pollutants follow complex convective dynamics, which are not easily characterized for arbitrary residential conditions. Another source of uncertainty involves the surface sorption and desorption of semi-volatile species in SHS, including nicotine. To test the overall performance of the exposure simulation model, its predictions can be compared to empirical distributions of exposure for real populations of people. While predictions of room concentrations have been modeled accurately in the past, the direct verification of a multizone individual exposure model has not received much attention. The movement and activity of persons between and within zones, and the accompanying dynamics of air flow through windows, doors, and HAC or HVAC systems, may strain the model assumptions and simplifications. Therefore, while not provided here, in the future a careful evaluation of the uncertainties in the model, and a comparison of predicted exposures to observed ones, should be performed. This effort is critical to the verification of theoretical conclusions. CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 331 10.1 SHS Concentrations in Rooms As discussed in Chapter 2, a number of investigators have studied the performance of multiple compartment indoor air quality (IAQ) models. Generally, these studies found that models were in satisfactory agreement with observed concentrations. However, few of these studies are optimal in terms of all of the following: (1) specificity to tobacco smoke; (2) real-time measurements or those with moderately high time resolution; (3) known occupant activity patterns; (4) a realistic residential environment; (5) a substantial variety of house configurations; or (6) a variety of SHS constituents. Therefore, it remains unclear precisely how well IAQ models can predict residential SHS concentrations for different SHS species, and varying occupant activities and environmental conditions. These concerns aside, the SHS concentrations I simulate in the current work are in generally good agreement with reported measurements of time-averaged SHS particle and nicotine concentrations. A number of empirical studies in residencies or a furnished chamber have resulted in measurements of nicotine and particulate matter concentrations associated with moderate or heavy smoking activity. In these studies, average concentrations were reported over at least a 24 h period. The simulated 24-h average PM2.5 concentrations in the current work are comparable to these empirical results (Table 10.1). For example, the USEPA’s PTEAM study determined an average PM2.5 concentration in smokers homes of 67 µ g m−3 . The indoor concentrations used for this result cannot unambiguously be linked with tobacco smoking, since particulate matter in this size range is sensitive to all combustion processes, including both tobacco smoking and cooking. Through the use of step-wise regression, smoking was determined to contribute approximately 30 µ g m−3 of PM2.5 mass to indoor concentrations. This value is approximately in the middle of the range of simulated concentrations I report in the current work. Simulated 24-h average room concentrations of nicotine, which is a tobaccospecific marker, for both clean and loaded surfaces are also comparable to empirically determined values (Table 10.1). The range in simulated concentrations for preloaded surfaces are closest to the ranges reported by Singer et al. [2002] and CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 332 Glasgow et al. [1998]. Concentrations measured in the work of Singer et al. [2002], and most likely the other experimental studies, were influenced by reemission of sorbed nicotine. Because the composition of surfaces in rooms and house ventilation rates affect nicotine sorption and desorption processes, the true accuracy of the simulation is unclear. In addition, my simulation experiments assume that nicotine reversibly sorbs to surfaces so that sorbed nicotine is made available to reenter the air through desorption at some later time. To the extent that some nicotine undergoes irreversible sorption, the model predictions will overestimate the true air nicotine concentrations contributed by desorption from surfaces. Evidence from Piadé et al. [1999] suggests that irreversible sorption can occur, but more research undertaken in real residential settings is needed to quantify the effect. Few data exist on the concentrations of SHS-related pollutants in real homes along with well-characterized occupant activity patterns or environmental conditions. One step in the right direction is an unpublished data set consisting of airborne particle concentrations measured in the living room of a 365 m3 residence [Ott, 2004] over a period of about 2.25 days. Two adult smokers lived in the residence during the study period. The observed time series of continuous 1-min average particle concentrations is presented in Figure 10.1. The plotted concentrations are derived from laser particle counts of particles with diameters of 0.3−0.4 µ m, assuming a particle mass size distribution equal to that determined in Chapter 3. The existence of several very high transient peaks suggests that the smokers were in close proximity to the monitor for periods in the morning and in the early evening. The exact time-location profile of each house occupant is unknown, but since the monitor was located in the living room, an assumption that much of the smoking occurred in the same room as the monitor seems reasonable. Most of the peaks in particle concentration were under 500 µ g m−3 with many in the range of 100 µ g m−3 . These levels are in the range of those simulated in Chapter 7 for a variety of nonsmoker and smoker activity patterns and ventilation scenarios. In any given household containing a child and his or her smoking caregiver, a 24-h 24-h 54-h 24-h 7-d 12-h 7-d 24-h Simulated - Clean Surfacesb Simulated - Loaded Surfacesb Ott [2004]c Singer et al. [2002]d Glasgow et al. [1998]e Özkaynak et al. [1993] f Leaderer and Hammond [1991]g Coultas et al. [1990]h − >70 >5 0−748 (148) 10−20 >25 19 19 [No.] Range (Mean) 0.6−6.9 0.5−10 0.1−6.2 (1.2) 0.02−29.2 (5.4) 4.9−64 − 14−20 32−77 25−160 (67) − − 51 12−78 12−78 [µ g m−3 ] [µ g m−3 ] 1−8 Range (Mean) SHS RSP Conc. Range (Mean) SHS Nicotine Conc. the simulation results from the current work, the listed studies are empirical studies of SHS-associated concentrations in real or simulated residences. The studies have comparable averaging periods and involve monitors that were placed in residences where smoking occurred at an approximate rate of 10 cigarettes or more per day. b “Simulated” represents the range in room concentrations from simulation experiments presented in Chapter 7. Results are shown for cases when surfaces were initially free of nicotine and when they were loaded due to chronic smoking in the house. The range in particle concentrations reflects a variety of nonsmoker and smoker activities and ventilation rates. c The Ott [2004] data are the unpublished results of a study performed in a home with two smokers over a period of more than 2 days. See Figure 10.1 for a plot of the measured data. d This study was conducted in a 50 m3 furnished chamber in contrast to the other empirical studies, which were performed in actual residences. For most of the 24 experiments, 10 or 20 cigarettes were smoked over a typical time period of 3 h. The ventilation rate ranged from 0.31 to 2.0 h−1 . The concentrations reported here are taken over a 24-h period across all furnishing and ventilation conditions. e For this study, passive nicotine was measured in frequently-used rooms of 39 homes with smoking occupants. Ninety-five percent of homes had one or two smokers. An average of 19−20 cigarettes per day were smoked in the homes. f This study was the USEPA PTEAM survey of personal exposures and room concentrations in 178 homes where two 12-h samples were taken. The particle results presented here are for combined 12-h samples from 31 nighttime and 27 daytime room samples. The nicotine results are for combined 12-h samples from 29 nighttime and 26 daytime room samples. g For this study week-long samples of nicotine and RSP were made in the main living area of 96 homes. The results shown represent nicotine and RSP levels for those 18 homes for which more than 70 cigarettes were reported to have been smoked over the 7-day period. In addition to cigarettes, homes may have contained other particles sources, such as as stoves, heaters, and/or fireplaces. h For this study 24-h samples were made in 10 homes with smokers. a Besides Time Averaging Reference Study/ Cig. Smoked Table 10.1: Comparison of Simulated and Observed SHS Respirable Suspended Particle (RSP) and Nicotine Concentrations Measured in Rooms of Residences or in a Furnished Chambera CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 333 CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 334 similar exposure pattern to that pictured in Figure 10.1 may occur, because source and receptor are in close proximity for much of the day. The simulated results presented in the current work are, therefore, likely to be most accurate for situations where receptor and source persons can be assumed to not spend much or any time in extremely close proximity during periods of smoking activity. 10.2 SHS Personal Exposure Some of the large-scale particle exposure surveys listed in Table 2.5 on page 38 report fixed-site indoor concentrations and/or average personal exposure concentrations for persons who spent some or most of their day in a residential location where smoking was allowed, as well as for persons who spent time in other smoking and nonsmoking locations. The PTEAM study, which was an especially in-depth survey of representative particle exposures for nonsmokers living in a city in California, found that 12-h average daytime personal exposures for PM10 were 35 µ g m−3 (28%) larger than concurrent 12-h indoor average concentrations for those living in homes with smokers [Özkaynak et al., 1993]. This result is attributed to a “personal cloud effect”. Personal exposures for those living in homes with smokers were about 23 µ g m−3 larger, on average, than those without smokers. In the current research, I find that simulated 24-h average personal exposure concentrations for SHS particles range from 24 to 61 µ g m−3 for receptors in the same room as a smoker in a 4-room house (Chapter 7). For those that avoid being in the same room as a smoker, the exposure concentrations range from 5 to 25 µ g m−3 . These exposures are 1−3.5 times average concentrations in main living areas with increases ranging from 0 to 69 µ g m−3 . For receptors that avoid being in the same room with the smoker, personal exposures were generally lower than room concentrations with differences as large as 57 µ g m−3 . In light of the above, it appears as though my simulated personal SHS particle exposure concentrations are roughly consistent with the results of PTEAM. It seems likely that at least a portion of the personal cloud, or the lack thereof, 1500 1000 500 0 Particle Mass Concentration [µg m−3] 6PM Cigarette(s) Midnight 6AM 6PM Day: 7 AM − 11 PM Time of Day Noon 6AM Night: 11 PM − 7 AM Midnight Noon 6PM Figure 10.1: Plot of the total SHS respirable suspended particle (RSP) mass concentration time series measured as consecutive 1-min averages over 2.25 days in the living room of a 365 m3 single-level, detached residence [Ott, 2004]. Cigarettes were typically smoked in the evening between 5 PM and 11 PM and in the morning between 7 AM and noon. The mean particle concentration over the 2+ day period was 51 µ g m−3 . Peaks during or just after smoking activity were consistently close to 250 µ g m−3 and some transient peaks reached 2,000 µ g m−3 . Background levels, which occured when no cigarettes were active, and after particles were cleared from the house, were relatively close to 0 µ g m−3 , indicating the likely absence of any non-tobacco sources of particles in the measured size range. Noon Multi−Day Particle Monitoring in a Smoking Household CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 335 CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 336 for persons living in smoking homes, can be explained by multi-compartment effects. However, a more precise evaluation of model predictions against the PTEAM results would involve simulating the population of PTEAM participants with matched house characteristics and personal activity patterns. Fortunately, many auxiliary quantities were gathered as part of the PTEAM personal exposure study, including house air-exchange rates and time-activity profiles for monitored occupants. Figure 10.2 contains a plot of the time-location profiles for all 178 PTEAM respondents sorted from bottom to top by the total amount of time each subject spent at home. The most striking feature of these profiles is the overwhelming amount of time spent at home over a time period of approximately 24-h. Even the 50% of the sample that spent the least amount of time at home still spent the bulk of the 12-h period between 8 PM and 8 AM at home. These time-profiles can be used to subdivide the 12-h average personal exposure concentrations measured as part of PTEAM into groups that spent different amount of time at home. An improvement over the PTEAM time-activities would be to include time resolution of the locations and activities of subjects in their homes, including the rooms that were visited, the positions of doors and windows, as well as the use of combustible tobacco products and other sources of air pollution. In the future, a systematic comparison between the results of the simulation model and a study like PTEAM, which is representative of a large population, would be desirable. In general, a careful comparison of the distribution of simulated and observed exposures, taking into account specific housing characteristics and occupant behavior patterns, potentially allows for three levels of analysis: (1) an evaluation of the the general performance of the model; (2) calibration of the model; and (3) use of the model to interpret features in the empirical exposure distribution. While PTEAM has collected some of the necessary variables to facilitate these kinds of analysis, more studies are needed. A large study with a complete set of variables, similar to or exceeding the level of the PTEAM effort, would be diffi- CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 337 cult and expensive. A more manageable approach might involve using carefully scripted location and activity profiles for a small number of houses, where the level of information detail could be expanded, including the use of real-time or near real-time monitoring of room concentrations, personal exposures, personal activities, house configuration, and environmental characteristics. By systematically varying each study factor, the simulation model could be thoroughly tested across a variety of important scenarios. 10.3 References Coultas, D. B., Samet, J. M., McCarthy, J. F., and Spengler, J. D. (1990). Variability of measures of exposure to environmental tobacco smoke in the home. American Review of Respiratory Disease, 142(3): 602–606. Glasgow, R. E., Foster, L. S., Lee, M. E., Hammond, S. K., Lichtenstein, E., and Andrews, J. A. (1998). Developing a brief measure of smoking in the home: Description and preliminary evaluation. Addictive Behaviors, 23(4): 567–571. Leaderer, B. P. and Hammond, S. K. (1991). Evaluation of vapor phase nicotine and respirable suspended particle mass as markers for environmental tobacco smoke. Environmental Science and Technology, 25: 770–777. Ott, W. R. (2004). Unpublished particle concentration data measured in the living room of a two-smoker household. Personal communication. Özkaynak, H., Xue, J., Spengler, J., Wallace, L., Pellizzarri, E., and Jenkins, P. (1996). Personal exposure to airborne particle and metals – Results from the particle TEAM study in Riverside, California. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 6(1): 57–78. Özkaynak, H., Xue, J., Weker, R., Butler, D., and Spengler, J. (1993). The Particle Team (PTEAM) Study: Analysis of the Data; Volume III. Contract Number 68-024544, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. Piadé, J. J., D’Andrés, S., and Sanders, E. B. (1999). Sorption phenomena of nicotine and ethenylpyridine vapors on different materials in a test chamber. Environmental Science and Technology, 33: 2046–2052. Singer, B. C., Hodgson, A. T., Guevarra, K. S., Hawley, E. L., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2002). Gas-phase organics in environmental tobacco smoke. 1. Effects of smoking rate, ventilation, and furnishing level on emission factors. Environmental Science and Technology, 36(5): 846–853. 338 CHAPTER 10. MODEL EVALUATION 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Fraction of Individuals 0.8 1.0 PTEAM Time−Location Profiles; n = 178 8PM MIDNT 4AM 8AM NOON 4PM 8PM Time of Day INSIDE HOME INSIDE OTHER OUTSIDE HOME OUTSIDE OTHER TRAVEL ON ROADWAY Figure 10.2: Vertically-stacked time-location profiles based on written diaries collected from the 178 participants of the USEPA’s PTEAM study [Özkaynak et al., 1993, 1996]. The diaries for each person generally began when a crew arrived at their home in the mid-evening to begin monitoring of airborne particle and nicotine exposures for the first ∼12-h (evening) monitoring period, and they ended when monitoring was completed in the early evening of the following day after the second ∼12-h (daytime) monitoring period. The five recorded location categories, identified by color, are an exhaustive set, consisting of time spent inside the home, time spent outside the home, time spent traveling, and time spent in some other indoor or outdoor location. The stacked profiles, each lasting a total of approximately 24 h, are sorted from bottom to top according to the total amount of time each person spent inside their home (shown in red). The results of the PTEAM exposure monitoring survey, and others like it, can be compared to the results of a simulation model to broadly evaluate the accuracy of the model. 339 Chapter 11 Overall Summary and Conclusions Secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS) is a ubiquitous indoor air pollutant that has been positively associated with a range of adverse health effects at typical residential levels. With the advent of restrictions on smoking in workplaces in US and the burgeoning US trend in banning smoking in public venues for eating and drinking, the remaining locations for substantial SHS exposure are likely to be limited to homes, automobiles, and outdoor public or private settings. Since people spend the majority of their time in their homes, homes will likely remain the primary location for continuing SHS exposure. Families occupying single-unit residences will be a major target of public health interventions. Children, the demographic group who have been shown to be especially sensitive to a number of SHS-related illness and who spend as much or more time at home than any other group, are of particular concern. The current study on determinants of residential SHS exposure is important and timely. By looking quantitatively at the causes of variation in exposure, from the general multizonal nature of homes to the specific effects of occupant location, door and window poisitions, and HAC/HVAC operation, this study informs the field of exposure science by posing testable theoretical predictions. It also informs the field of public health by advancing our understanding of how exposure might be effectively controlled. Previous studies of SHS exposure, whether model-based or experimental, have not carefully examined the movement of pollutants and human beings amongst CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 340 different rooms of a house. In this dissertation, I have compiled a wide array of data on cigarette emissions, housing characteristics, and human activity patterns and devised an original simulation model, which consolidates and makes innovative use of these input data, especially room-to-room human location patterns, to track individuals, pollutant concentations, and exposures on a minute-by-minute basis. This model represents a formalization and extension of existing exposure frameworks and is ideally suited for the structured design of simulation trials intended to elucidate mechanisms of residential SHS exposure. The results of an ensemble of simulation trials comprise the main subject of the dissertation. In this final chapter of the dissertation, I first summarize the characteristics and significance of the SHS exposure simulation model, the development and application of which constitutes the centerpiece of my work. Next, I summarize the results of applying the model, making suggestions for enhancements to the model and for new analyses that might be performed with the updated version. The final two sections of this chapter are devoted to putting my results and experience in developing and applying an exposure simulation model in the context of improved public health initiatives and making recommendations for future modeling and measurement-based exposure assessment studies. 11.1 A New Exploratory Modeling Tool Two kinds of exploratory approaches might be used to study exposure mechanisms, one purely empirical and the other theoretical. Although the field of exposure science includes many mechanistic studies of pollutant dynamics and transport, the design and implementation of a series of experiments to explore the mechanisms of exposure, incorporating measurements with high space-time resolution for both pollutants and people, is both technically difficult and expensive and no such experiments for SHS exposure have been conducted. Also, there are currently few active efforts that use a suite of well-designed simulated experiments to explore exposure relationsips in detail, and none that attack the question of SHS exposure. Therefore, because of the large burdens involved and a relatively low CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 341 return on effort for a purely experiment approach versus a model based one, and because I would make a new contribution with either one, I chose to make use of a custom computer simulation model. In contrast to efforts that may involve the pure execution of theory to predict cross-sectional results for a fixed population, the methodology I have used in this dissertation is in keeping with the scientific tradition of conducting carefully controlled laboratory-based experiments to isolate the effects of a small number of key variates on the outcome variate of interest. My outcome variate of interest is exposure to SHS in detached homes and the key variables studied here are the location timelines for human beings in rooms of a house, the time-varying configuration of doors and windows, and the operation of HAC/HVAC systems or portable filtration devices. To pinpoint the effect of key variables on the response variable, I held a host of physical environmental variables fixed at values that might typically be found for residences in the US. These conditioning variables include the house layout and dimensions, the base outdoor air-exchange rate of homes, inter-room air flow rates, surface reactivity coefficients, and cigarette emissions characteristics. In contrast to studies that consider purely statistical, or non-mechanistic, relationships between variates, this approach explicitly considers the physical mechanism by which exposure occurs. The rationale for this deterministic approach is that small-scale changes in individual behavior on time scales of minutes or hours are expected by themselves to have large impacts on exposure, owing to changes in proximity of the nonsmoker to the smoker, including time spent in separate rooms, outdoors, or away from the house. The complex interplay among spatially and temporally varying factors – including cigarette smoking, interzonal flow, nonsmoker location, and flowinfluencing configuration choices – necessitates the use of a sophisticated, mechanistic simulation tool. The simulation model incorporates a multi-compartment, mass-balance indoor air quality model that accounts for pollutant emissions in any compartment at any moment in time, transport of pollutant between compartments, pollutant removal CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 342 by means of outdoor air exchange, room-specific particle filtration, pollutant loss onto surfaces by deposition or sorption, the possible reemission of pollutant from contaminated surfaces, and HAC/HVAC operation, which may involve outdoor air introduction (HVAC only), interior air recirculation, or particle filtration. For all the simulations I perform in this dissertation, I assume an HAC system, which does not incorporate forced-air ventilation. Duct leakage and pressurization from closed interior doors, which may be associated with the home’s HAC system and result in an increase in air infiltration and exfiltration rates, are also taken into account. The indoor air quality model is currently equipped to treat a variety of chemical species including airborne particulate matter, sorbing/desorbing semivolatile compounds such as nicotine, and nonreactive tracer gases such as carbon monoxide or sulphur hexafluoride. The central assumption of the indoor air model is one of instantaneous mixing of pollutants within each zone. The indoor air model component is defined by a set of n coupled differential equations, one corresponding to each air compartment (i.e., room), with an additional set of n linked equations corresponding to a surface compartment in each room. The model differential equations are solved numerically to obtain the dynamic or time-averaged air and surface concentrations of pollutants in each room for time resolutions as low as a minute. Theoretically, any number of room and surface compartments can be treated. The model is also readily expanded to consider multiple pollutants. Using my new simulation model, I executed a set of trials that were designed to reveal the sensitivity of exposure to each key variable or combination of variables (see Chapters 7−9). Since the simulation model is based on well-established exposure and indoor air theory, I have confidence that the results are an accurate representation of nature given the set of controlled conditions. In particular, the broad changes in distributions of exposure are those that one would expect to occur with real observations. The model results may also be considered as testable scientific predictions. After comparison between real and predicted exposures, the model structure can be improved and parameter values fine-tuned. CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 343 11.2 Findings: Sensitivity of Exposure to Key Variables Broadly, my findings include a confirmation that the multi-compartment character of homes can lead to substantial variation in SHS exposure. Throughout my analyses of both scripted exposures and frequency distributions of exposure in Chapters 7−9, it is apparent that different amounts of time spent in rooms either away from a smoker or in the same room as a smoker can lead to large differences in exposure for three major constituents of SHS: particles, nicotine, and carbon monoxide (CO). The multi-compartment nature of a house can be enhanced and exploited for the purpose of mitigating exposure through the use of open windows to supply local ventilation, closed doors to impede air flow between rooms, or some combination of the two. With regard to exposure assessment, in general, my findings confirm the importance of characterizing SHS concentrations in the rooms that people visit, the time spent in each room, and the activities peformed in each room. A careful spatial and temporal tracking of pollutants and people in the residential environment permits a refined classification of exposure. The geometric mean (GM) of simulated 24-h average SHS particle exposures for a fixed population of households where more than 10 cig d−1 were smoked and the nonsmoker spent more than 2 3 of the day at home ranged from 17 to 28 µ g m−3 across different flow scenarios. These results are similar to the observed increase in average particle exposure for persons living with smokers versus those who don’t. The GM of the individual particle intake fraction for the base exposure scenario and the same population was about 1200 ppm, which is much larger than the estimated population intake fraction for motor vehicle and power-plant emissions. The dynamic behavior of specific SHS pollutants can strongly affect exposures. Because nicotine sorbs very rapidly onto surfaces, the simulated relative differences in room-to-room concentrations during smoking is greater for nicotine than for particles or CO. This effect has been observed in empirical house monitoring CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 344 studies. The result is that simulated avoidance behavior has a larger proportional effect on exposure to nicotine than either particles or CO. When I simulated nicotine exposure for the case of substantial loading of nicotine on walls, the background exposure of all household occupants increased. Clean walls resulted in as large a decrease in scripted exposures as did avoidance behavior by the nonsmoker. The 10th percentile of the 24-h average nicotine exposure concentrations for clean and loaded surfaces was 0.73 and 9.8 µ g m−3 , respectively, and the 90th percentile was 9 and 21 µ g m−3 , respectively. While the range of simulated 24-h average nicotine rooms concentrations is similar to that observed in field studies, the true behavior of nicotine in homes remains unclear. In particular, the sorption of nicotine onto surfaces may not be fully reversible, as assumed by the simulation model. Human activity drives the largest variation in exposures for a given house and pollutant type. For scripted location patterns, avoiding a smoker could result in a 3−5 times decrease in exposure from 24−61 µ g m−3 down to 5−25 µ g m−3 across a variety of flow scenarios. The interquartile range in the simulated base frequency distribution of 24-h particle exposure concentration, which was simulated for fixed housing and pollutant characteristics, was over 30 µ g m−3 and the difference between the 90th and 10th percentile was over 38 µ g m−3 . This variation in exposure is entirely due to variation in household occupant location patterns. Additional variation in exposure resulted when mitigation strategies were enforced for a cohort of 1,037 simulated households for which more than 10 cig d−1 were smoked and the nonsmoker was at home for most of the day. The most effective SHS exposure mitigation strategy involved the isolation of a smoker in a single room of the house during smoking episodes where the door was kept closed and the window was opened during smoking. The next best strategy was the banning of smoking in the house for time periods when the nonsmoker was at home. Avoidance of the smoker as they smoked throughout the house normally was less effective, but it was more effective than closing doors during smoking episodes for normal location patterns. Without the modification of smoker and nonsmoker CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 345 location patterns, the opening of windows and continuously active particle filtration devices in each smoking room were the most effective mitigation strategies. In climates where it is feasible, the opening of windows during the normal routine of household occupants may be a more practical approach to mitigating SHS exposure than avoiding the smoker or isolating them in their own room. Apart from occupant activity, the operation of a house’s HAC system could decrease simulated exposures a small amount, due to an increase in the house’s infiltration rate caused by supply duct leaks. The directionality of leakage or openwindow flows across house boundaries did not change exposures much, but crossflows could slightly increase exposures for those who spent a significant amount of time in “downwind” locations from the smoker. 11.3 Potential Enhancements to the Simulation Model The simulation model I use in this dissertation could be revised to facilitate a more in-depth exploration of several current key variates. These changes may involve structural modification of the model or simply the expansion or refinement of input parameter values for the purpose of exploring a broader array of residential exposure scenarios, environmental conditions, or pollutant properties. For example, the model could be applied to a broader array of housing types or a more detailed set of flow patterns. A second type of model enhancement would involve refining the mechanism by which human behavior is characterized or modified for the purpose of mitigating exposure and considering more complex interactions between multiple individuals. Most of the mitigation strategies I consider are those where occupant activity that changes the position of a door or window is superimposed over a natural pattern of room-to-room movement for smokers and nonsmokers. For a few simulation experiments, I examined the effect of a scripted “avoider” location pattern on exposure or considered mitigation strategies involving modification of location patterns, moving the nonsmoker to another room whenever smoking commences, and/or restricting smoking to a single room. However, further CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 346 exploration of the complex interaction between individuals in a household is warranted. Most households contain more than two individuals with diverse roles, personalities, occupations, and smoker status. Therefore, an enhanced model might describe SHS exposure occurring with families of three or more persons having a range of different family roles, smoking behaviors, and characteristic activity patterns. Their location patterns could be matched according to typical household relationships or demographic group. For example, a child and their smoking caregiver might be apt to spend all or most of their time in the same room. Using logical family groupings, a systematic analysis of the effect of variation in the correlation between particular classes of occupant activity patterns could be conducted. A major structural enhancement to the model would involve adding another layer of possible proximity between smokers and nonsmokers. Currently, the highest degree of proximity that makes any difference is when the nonsmoker occupies the same room as the smoker. However, the distance between smoking and nonsmoking persons in a given room will likely result in different gradations of exposure. Unfortunately, there are limited data that could be used to support the inclusion of a finely resolved proximity effect in an exposure simulation model. I discuss the need for more experimental investigation of this effect below. 11.4 Improving Public Health Research and Education The knowledge, understanding, and experience gained in formulating and applying a theoretical characterization of residential SHS exposure can be used to inform health researchers, who require exposure assessment in the course of their studies, and help them to design better self-report exposure questionnaires, time-diaries, or physical exposure measures. While these researchers will likely not make use of the mathematical and computer-based models I have used in this dissertation, my broad findings on the need for careful tracking of exposures, concentrations, and/or human behavior in time and space, and specific findings on the magnitude of effects associated with doors, windows, and other factors, may help to CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 347 guide and educate epidemiologists, risk assessors, public health clinicians, environmental regulators, and ordinary citizens. 11.4.1 Epidemiology Environmental epidemiology studies that provide the link between SHS exposure and acute or chronic adverse health effects can benefit from better measures of SHS exposure. Many of the studies identifying a link between SHS and lung cancer depend on fairly crude characterizations of exposure, such as the number of cigarettes a spouse smokes in the house per day. Despite fairly imprecise exposure measures, an effect was established and in some cases a clear exposure-response relationship was observed with the probability of an adverse outcome rising with a larger number of cigarettes smoked. However, if questionnaires or diaries are revised and expanded in light of sophisticated information on how exposure occurs in homes, such as that presented in this dissertation, or if they were used in combination with better measurements of personal exposure, then a more well defined exposure-response relationship might be established for lung cancer, as well as other SHS-related ailments, such as asthma, SIDS, or heart disease. Collection of more and better data on exposure concentrations and/or the behavior of household occupants would contribute to a more complete characterization of exposure for each family unit. 11.4.2 Public Health Interventions Public health interventions aimed at reducing SHS exposure through partial bans on smoking in the house or mitigation efforts, such as segregation of smoking and nonsmoking household occupants, filtration, or enhanced ventilation can, like epidemiologic investigations, be informed by the work presented in this dissertation. The model results for effects of doors, windows, and removal devices can be used to help design logical and sound approaches for reducing the SHS concentrations to which people may be exposed. Some health researchers have suggested that the use of real-time, personal ex- CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 348 posure monitors coupled with time diaries with information on specific scenarios in particular homes would help provide clearer evidence of the efficacy of different physical and social strategies for reducing residential SHS exposure (see Chapter 2). Time varying micro-level behaviors of smoking parents, such as the distance of smokers from childrens’ rooms, the duration and timing of window-opening, and the positions of doors, may have large impacts on the magnitude of exposure for infants, children, and other house occupants. However, a complete experimental characterization of such a system is likely to be burdensome and would reduce the number of households that could be sampled. One possible approach may be to measure the real-time behavior of people and their impact on their environment (doors, windows, and HAC/HVAC), and fuse this information with model predictions, or a set of guidelines, to estimate exposures. The model could be used to better characterize variations in exposure than would be possible using traditional self-report methods, such as questionnaires, or with biomarker approaches. Putting the effectiveness of specific physical measures aside, the actual feat of getting smokers to change their smoking patterns is the true crux of interventions. The intensive counselling of smokers, and their and their family’s close involvement with finding ways to reduce smoke exposure, has been shown to be effective in getting intervention targets to modify their behavior. Barriers to behavior change may stem from smokers being unaware or skeptical of the health risks of smoking, or they may consider it overly impractical or inconvenient to restrict their smoking. By leading smokers and nonsmokers into active discussions and problem-solving sessions, they are more apt to assimilate and believe in the importance and possibility of change. The knowledge imparted by the detailed exploration of exposure presented in this dissertation will not only lend itself to identifying physically effective exposure reduction techniques, but can be used as material to drive dynamic and critical discussions between family members that evaluate specific approaches, which may be especially practical or attractive to particular households. Although they are of importance in reducing health risks from SHS, partial CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 349 smoking restrictions and mitigation efforts may be considered an intermediate step towards total relief from SHS exposure. Ultimately, the goal of health interventions, in terms of the highest protection from risks of adverse health, is to eliminate smoking entirely in homes where children or other nonsmoking residents can be exposed, and even to reduce or stop smoking behavior itself. If partial restrictions can be instituted in a given household, inconvenience and constant or increasing social pressure from other household members, coupled with outside pressure from co-workers, friends, or the media, may convince smokers to either never smoke at home, severely curtail the amount of their smoking, or to give up their habit entirely. 11.4.3 Educational Materials The exposure modeling results from Chapters 7−9 can be used to inform persons requiring information on exposure to SHS, and for whom it is not possible to obtain detailed exposure or concentration measurements. In the future it will be possible to create statistical tables of exposure metrics (e.g., means and standard deviations) as a function of smoking activity, door and window positions, room-specific filtration, HAC/HVAC use, and the relative time-profiles of smoking and nonsmoking household occupants. These tabulated exposures will provide an accessible resource in the education of those interested in the protection of exposed persons, especially children, in the development of effective and practical exposure reduction measures, and for tobacco-related researchers involved in epidemiological studies, public health interventions, or risk assessments. 11.4.4 Guidelines for Residential Air Quality Governmental agencies, such as the USEPA and CARB, work to establish standards for levels of ambient air pollution, which are designed to protect the health of persons in the US, particularly those who live in cities suffering from motorvehicle induced smog. Carbon monoxide (CO) and particulate matter are two of the USEPA’s criteria pollutants considered harmful to public health and the envi- CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 350 ronment, for which National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) have been established in accordance with the 1990 Clean Air Act. The 24-h NAAQS for PM2.5 , which is the size range encompassing most of the particulate matter in SHS, is currently 65 µ g m−3 and the annual NAAQS for PM2.5 is 15 µ g m−3 . The 1-h NAAQS for CO is 10,000 µ g m−3 and the 8-h standard is 40,000 µ g m−3 . While the CO standard would likely never be exceeded due to smoking activity in homes (Chapter 8), some persons living with a smoker might have 24-h average exposures that exceed the PM2.5 standard, and if they have chronic exposures for most days of the year, the annual standard would be exceeded as well. However, ambient air quality standards were not designed to be applicable to the range and intensity of the toxic constituents in SHS, which have been shown to cause adverse health outcomes for typical residential concentrations. While ASHRAE standards for indoor ventilation exist, it would be beneficial for regulatory agencies, such as the USEPA, to establish indoor air concentration guidelines, preferably for specific sources like SHS, using estimates of risk based on established health and exposure data. Such a guideline could be used by regulators, builders, and residents to take a variety of steps towards improving health. 11.4.5 Health Risk Assessment The time seems ripe for a national or state health or environment agency to enact indoor air quality concentration standards or formal guidelines for SHS exposure. To provide the exposure component for an SHS health risk assessment, data from a modeling effort, such as the one presented in this dissertation, could be used to estimate realistic frequency distributions of exposure for different SHS compounds. There has been some initial work in this area, which predicted the risk of SHS-related cancer and non-cancer endpoints using reference concentrations and risk factors for selected gaseous components of SHS along with estimates of average residential SHS exposure concentrations (based on exposure-relevant emission factors and narrow characterizations of US housing stock and smoking behavior). This work could be extended by using simulated frequency distributions of resi- CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 351 dential exposure to SHS particle and toxic gas species to more carefully examine the probability of adverse health associated with specific behaviors and exposure scenarios. One could then predict the fraction of the US population that would be expected to suffer from ill health when no exposure reduction measures are in place and compare it to the expected fraction when, for example, smokers are segregated behind a closed door during smoking episodes. The cutoff point where the risk of adverse outcome is less than a prescribed probability could be established as an indoor air concentration guideline. 11.5 Future Exposure Research The study of SHS is warranted, in general, because of the magnitude of its associated risk, but also because plentiful data resources exist to support a comprehensive model-based investigation, from emissions to housing characteristics to human activity patterns. My investigation has touched on most of the issues that arise in any complete exposure assessment, e.g., appropriate space-time resolution, interaction of source and receptor activity, pollutant dynamics, selection of parameter domain, and the design of real or simulated experimental trials. It provides a reference, or perhaps a template or starting point, for future studies of smoking, SHS, or other pollutants and pollutant sources. Future exposure studies should seek to further verify and parameterize exposure models, including the physico-chemical models of pollutant dynamics upon which they are likely to be based. As discussed earlier, these models provide the means to extrapolate and generalize findings to arbitrary locations, situations, and exposure scenarios. Aspects of simulation models for indoor air exposures that need exploration and/or development include pollutant mixing and sourcereceptor proximity, general pollutant dynamics, flow rates, activity patterns, spatial and temporal resolution and extent, and the eco-social context of exposure. Modern information technology, including microsensors and remote digital loggers, holds the promise of the more efficient collection of real-time exposure and exposure-related data. CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 352 11.5.1 Proximity Effects Close proximity to smoking individuals, and the elevated SHS exposure that may result, have not been considered in this dissertation. In my modeling framework, the maximum possible proximity to a smoker that can occur is when a receptor occupies the same room as the smoker. All of the smoker’s emissions are assumed to be immediately mixed throughout the room volume. This assumption is likely to be fairly accurate, except for cases where the exposed person is very close to the smoker. If one occupies the same room as a smoker and also is within approximately 1 m, then one’s localized exposure in time cannot be reliably estimated by assuming a protective effect of rapid dilution in the room. Using a portable filtration device or opening a window in the room may reduce proximate exposure to a degree, but the effect is likely to be different than for exposures at a farther distance. On the other hand, it is possible that one’s average exposure over a sufficiently long period is not much different than the theoretical well-mixed case. A careful investigation into the proximity effect for SHS exposure in the specific case and emissions from an assortment of household products in the general case, especially one that characterizes the distribution of exposure concentrations as a function of distance and averaging time, is warranted. 11.5.2 Residential Pollutant Monitoring More intensive air monitoring experiments in residential settings are necessary to confirm and extend our understanding of how pollutants travel between rooms, to and from household surfaces, and through HAC/HVAC systems. The rate of air flow between zones of a house is an understudied area, especially as influenced by interior door position, window positions, HAC/HVAC operation, and ambient atmospheric conditions, e.g., indoor-outdoor temperature differences, and wind intensity and direction. The interaction of semi-volatile compounds with surfaces, which can lead to substantial indirect exposures, is another understudied area. Controlled experiments should be designed to examine how recognized physical and chemical process affect exposure, and executed in a number of test houses CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 353 in which real-time measurements of particulate matter, tracer gases, and selected reactive gases are made for different types of furnishings, house sizes, house layout and design, and weather. The houses should be representative of the range of conditions that are expected to occur in the housing stock of a given population. The degree of effort needed for each house restricts the number of homes that can be studied. However, it is expected that experiments in only a relatively small number of houses will be necessary to fully test and parameterize a mechanistic indoor air model. 11.5.3 Residential Activity Patterns Currently, there is a paucity of information available on human activity patterns in a residential context. Two large-scale activity pattern studies conducted across the US and in California have produced timelines of movement between specific rooms of a house. The results of the nationwide survey have been used to develop the exposure simulation model in this dissertation (see Chapters 4 and 6). However, no studies have appeared for a sizeable population that have collected human activity pattern data simultaneously for all the members of a household or across multiple days. In this dissertation, I have not explicitly incorporated interaction amongst household members into the simulation of SHS exposures. Random selection of smoker-nonsmoker pairs resulted in considerable variation in the amount of time the smoker and nonsmoker spent in the same room of the house. To fully understand how exposure to residential air pollutants, such as SHS, occurs, it is important to consider dependencies among members of a household, and possible changes in activity patterns from day to day, perhaps in response to particular exposure-relevant initiatives or changing source behaviors. The amount of time that occupants spend together and in which rooms, and what activities are performed together or apart, coupled with the time-dependent nature of particular pollutant generating patterns, e.g., smoking, and door, window, and HAC/HVAC configurations, will all affect exposures. Careful consideration of relative move- CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 354 ments for occupants of different ages and relationships, e.g., child and caregiver, would allow for a better understanding of how different demographic groups are exposed. Much of the activity pattern data collected to date consists of fairly crude location and activity categories. Future exposure studies should be focused on specific types of exposure and measure as detailed information on exposure-related human activities events as possible. The use of detailed micronvironment and behavior categories results in a record of the micro-level behavior of human beings, which can play a critical role in how exposure occurs and help to identify new and better strategies for reducing or eliminating exposure. The collection of detailed information may be prohibitive for large studies, although the advent of sophisticated electronic monitoring equipment may facilitate data gathering and management. In the future, new human activity surveys should be performed for households on multiple days, perhaps in conjunction with residential pollutant monitoring studies, in which movement between rooms is precisely tracked for each occupant, along with detailed information on the activities they perform in each room. Particularly interesting would be an effort to study exactly how occupant patterns change in response to public health interventions. Since human activities are highly variable and involve complex interaction between persons, the number of households worth of data will likely need to be considerably larger to fully encapsulate human activity dynamics for a given population than it would need to be to understand and model arbitrary patterns of pollutant concentration. 11.5.4 Modeling Social Ecologies Broadly, exposure science works to understand the mechanisms of exposure with the hope of identifying effective means to reduce or eliminate it. As demonstrated in this dissertation, the mechanism of exposure is intimately associated with human behavior dynamics. Doing small, simple, and inexpensive or zero-cost things may go a long way in reducing exposure to SHS and other pollutants and safeguarding health. However, while strategies for reducing exposure may at times CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 355 appear to be straightforward from a technological or logistical perspective, there may be sizeable hurdles to overcome in terms of house roles, personalities, habits, and scheduling. The ecology of a household, consisting of multiple adults and children of varying occupations, genders, ages, and personalities, is complex. For public health intervention projects focused on households, as with urban planning or peace and nation-building efforts that have significantly larger scope, a roadmap for improvement or recovery handed down from above is not enough, and is likely to fail. The people who live in the households (or cities) must desire the change. They must understand the process, and be fully informed and involved, as it progresses. The successful adoption of beneficial changes is three pronged: (1) researchers must amass technical knowledge of potentially effective solution paths; (2) researchers must gain an understanding of the interpersonal relationships and dynamics of the population; and (3) researchers and members of the target community must participate in the effective, and ongoing, discussion and evaluation of technical knowledge and human factors. For the case of residential SHS exposure, it is likely not enough that SHS has known adverse health effects and that strategies such as isolating smokers, opening windows, or using filtration devices have been identified as effective means of removing SHS-related indoor air pollutants. When this knowledge is fed into the ecology of a smoking household by health care workers, the media, or other elements of society, it may or may not have any lasting and beneficial effect. Nonlinear, feedback effects related to social pressure on smokers, interpersonal roles, personal empowerment, and feelings of involvement in evaluating, identifying, or implementing effective means of decreasing SHS exposure are likely to play important roles in the eventual reduction or elimination of exposure. In the next logical phase in exposure science, physical models of pollutant dynamics should be fused with informed social models of human dynamics. New developments in quantitative social science, including techniques of agent-based modeling [Epstein and Axtell, 1996], show much promise as a means of understanding the complex, changing relationships in human ecologies. Some exposure CHAPTER 11. OVERALL SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 356 modelers are beginning to recognize that life-stage and life-role variables must be included in studies of human activity to sufficiently explain and understand the variation in human behavior that impacts exposure [Graham and McCurdy, 2004]. Exposure science would benefit by drawing liberally from fields such as cognitive psychology, sociology, and geography, which are focused on human behavior and the interactions amongst individuals and between individuals and the environment. Psychological, sociological, and economic forces act to provide context and incentives for behavior inertia and modification. Incorporation of these factors into theoretical descriptions of exposure will allow exposure assessors to study how factors such as roles, empowerment, knowledge, perception, and beliefs contribute to a particular exposure landscape, and will facilitate the identification of both physically and socially practical means for reducing or eliminating dangerous exposures for a particular population. 11.6 References Epstein, J. M. and Axtell, R. (1996). Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science From The Bottom Up. Brookings Institution Press and MIT Press, Washington, D.C. and Cambridge, MA. Graham, S. E. and McCurdy, T. (2004). Developing meaningful cohorts for human exposure models. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 14(1): 23–43. 357 Part V Appendices 358 The following four appendices contain supplementary information on activity pattern data (Appendix A, page 359), the derivation of forms for single and two-zone systems (Appendix B, page 372), an interactive program for estimating two-compartment model parameters (Appendix C, page 382), and a software package for simulating human exposure and accomplishing various tasks in exposure-related data analysis and research (Appendix D, page 387). 359 Appendix A Raw Activity Pattern Data This appendix provides a more detailed look at the 24-h diary component of the 1992-94 National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) database [Klepeis et al., 1996, 2001; Tsang and Klepeis, 1996]. These diaries provide a minute-byminute account of the locations visited and activities engaged in by a representative sample of residents across the contiguous US. While Chapter 4 presents a broad analysis of the resident-specific location data, which are used in this dissertation as the primary source of location information in simulated exposure to residential secondhand tobacco smoke, here I describe the NHAPS data format for the diaries and provide raw plots of time-location profiles. A.1 Interview and Data Format Each of the 9,386 persons interviewed as part of NHAPS reported the starting and ending times of distinct microenvironments they visited on the day before they were interviewed, starting and ending at midnight. They also reported whether or not a smoker was present in each of these microenvironments. A microenvironment is defined as a unique combination of their location and the activity occurring in that location. Table A.1 contains an illustrative set of diary records for a single individual with each record corresponding to a different microenvironment. This table contains codes for both the original activities and locations for each microenvironment, as well as codes for reduced location and activity groups. APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 360 Original codes for NHAPS locations and activities are given in Tables A.2 and A.3, respectively. The reduced location codes are defined as follows: 10. indoors at a residence; 20. outdoors at a residence; 30. in a vehicle; 40. near a vehicle; 50. at some other outdoor location; 60. in an office or factory; 70. in a mall or other store; 80. at school or in a public building; 90. at a bar or restaurant; and 100. at some other indoor location. The reduced activities are: 00. an activity deemed to be unrelated to exposure; 10. cooking or preparing food; 20. doing laundry, dishes or cleaning the kitchen; 30. housekeeping; 40. bathing, showering, or using the bathroom; 50. doing yardwork, gardening, or car or house maintenance; 60. doing sports or exercise; and 70. eating or drinking. A.2 Plots of 24-h Time-Location Profiles To further explore the richness of available human activity pattern information beyond the 24-h and hourly aggregate descriptions presented in Chapter 4, this appendix presents raw data from the NHAPS study in the form of time-location plots (see Figures A.1−A.5). These plots consist of vertically stacked strips, each one corresponding to a single individual’s 24-h time-location profile. The strips are divided into colored time segments where each color corresponds to a different location at one’s own residence and white space indicates time spent outside or away from home (see the legend in Figure A.1). In addition, the strips are stacked bottom to top in order from the most time spent at home to the least time spent at home, i.e., roughly 100% to 0% time spent in or around one’s home. Because thousands or many hundreds of profiles are not discernible at the resolution of most graphics devices, I reduced the number of profiles for each plot to a sample of 250 representative individuals. To create the sample, I chose every nth person from the sorted list of individuals, where n was assigned so that the sampled individuals spanned the entire range of total time spent at home. For example, for an original population of 5,000 people, I would sample every 20th person. The original sample sizes are given in the captions of each plot. Figure A.2 shows a plot of time-location profiles that is representative of all Time 0:00 1:45 2:00 11:00 11:05 11:15 11:25 11:30 11:37 13:37 13:44 13:54 13:57 15:30 15:33 16:30 17:00 19:00 19:10 19:25 19:35 21:00 No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 24:00 19:35 21:00 19:10 19:25 17:00 19:00 15:33 16:30 13:57 15:30 13:54 13:37 13:44 11:30 11:37 11:15 11:25 11:00 11:05 1:45 2:00 Time End Studying Travel related to shopping for food Watching TV Traveling to shopping Shopping for food Bathing or Showering Watching TV Traveling from bar Watching TV Traveling to bar At bar Preparing Meals or Snacks Playing flag football Traveling to home Dressing or Personal Grooming Traveling to play football Preparing Meals or Snacks Eating Meals or Snacks Sleeping or Napping Brushed teeth At night club Traveled home after night club Summary 54 39 91 39 30 40 91 79 91 79 77 10 80 79 47 89 10 43 45 44 77 79 Activity Detailed 00 00 00 00 00 40 00 00 00 00 00 10 60 00 00 00 10 70 00 40 00 00 Activity Reduced 102 301 102 301 414 104 102 301 102 301 405 201 507 306 102 306 101 102 105 104 405 301 Location Detailed 10 30 10 30 90 10 10 30 10 30 90 10 50 40 10 40 10 10 10 10 90 30 Location Reduced NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES NO Present? Smoker 180 10 85 10 15 30 120 3 57 3 93 10 120 7 5 7 10 10 540 5 105 15 [min] Time Spent a The respondent whose diary is shown in this table was an Hispanic male from Connecticut between the ages of 18 and 24 who was interviewed on a weekend in the fall. Start Micro Table A.1: Example 24-Hour Recall Diary Containing Beginning & Ending Times, Activity, Location, Presence of a Smoker, and Time Spent for 22 Microenvironments Visited on the Diary Daya APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 361 APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 362 Table A.2: The Original NHAPS 24-h Recall Diary Locations Loc. Code Description OWN HOUSE 100 OTHER, HOME 101 HOME KITCHEN 102 HOME LIVING RM/FAMILY RM/DEN 103 HOME DINING ROOM 104 HOME BATHROOM 105 HOME BEDROOM 106 HOME STUDY/OFFICE 107 HOME GARAGE 108 HOME BASEMENT 110 HOME UTILITY RM/LAUNDRY RM 111 HOME POOL, SPA(OUTDOORS) 112 HOME YARD, OTHER OUTSIDE HOUSE 113 HOME MOVING FROM ROOM TO ROOM 114 HOME MOVING IN/OUT OF THE HOUSE 120 OTHER VERIFIED 199 REFUSED TO ANSWER FRIEND’S/OTHERS’ HOUSE 200 OTHER, OTHER’S HOUSE 201 OTHER’S KITCHEN 202 OTHER’S LIVING RM/FAMILY RM/DEN 203 OTHER’S DINING ROOM 204 OTHER’S BATHROOM 205 OTHER’S BEDROOM 206 OTHER’S STUDY/OFFICE 207 OTHER’S GARAGE 208 OTHER’S BASEMENT 210 OTHER’S UTILITY RM/LAUNDRY RM 211 OTHER’S POOL, SPA(OUTDOORS) 212 OTHER’S YARD, OTHER OUTSIDE HOUSE 213 OTHER’S - MOVING FROM ROOM TO ROOM 214 OTHER’S - MOVING IN/OUT OF THE HOUSE 220 OTHER VERIFIED 299 REFUSED TRAVELING 300 OTHER, TRAVEL 301 CAR 302 TRUCK (PICK-UP/VAN) 303 TRUCK (OTHER) 304 MOTORCYCLE/MOPED/SCOOTER 305 BUS 306 WALKING 307 BICYCLE/SKATEBOARD/ROLLER-SKATES 308 IN A STROLLER/CARRIED BY AN ADULT 310 TRAIN/SUBWAY/RAPID TRANSIT Loc. Code Description 311 AIRPLANE 312 BOAT 313 WAITING FOR BUS, TRAIN, RIDE (AT STOP) 314 WAITING FOR TRAVEL, INDOORS 320 OTHER VERIFIED 399 REFUSED OTHER INDOOR 400 OTHER, INDOOR 401 OFFICE BLDG/BANK/POST OFFICE 402 PLANT/FACTORY/WAREHOUSE 403 GROCERY STORE/CONVENIENCE STORE 404 SHOPPING MALL/NON-GROCERY STORE 405 BAR/NIGHT CLUB/BOWLING ALLEY 406 AUTO REPAIR SHOP/GAS STATION 407 INDOOR GYM/SPORTS OR HEALTH CLUB 408 PUBLIC BLDG./LIB./MUSEUM/ THEATER 409 LAUNDROMAT 410 HOSPITAL/HEALTH CARE/DOCTOR 411 BEAUTY PARLOR/BARBER/HAIR 412 AT WORK/NO SPECIFIC MAIN LOCATION 413 SCHOOL 414 RESTAURANT 415 CHURCH 416 HOTEL/MOTEL 417 DRY CLEANER 418 OTHER REPAIR SHOP 419 INDOOR PARKING GARAGE 420 OTHER VERIFIED 499 REFUSED OTHER OUTDOOR 500 OTHER OUTDOOR 501 SIDEWALK/STREET/NEIGHBORHOOD 502 PARKING LOT 503 SERVICE STATION/GAS STATION 504 CONSTRUCTION SITE 505 SCHOOL GROUNDS/PLAYGROUND 506 SPORTS STADIUM 507 PARK/GOLF COURSE 508 POOL, RIVER, LAKE 510 RESTAURANT/PICNIC (OUTDOORS) 511 FARM 520 OTHER VERIFIED 599 REFUSED APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA Table A.3: The Original NHAPS 24-h Recall Diary Activities Act. Code Description NON-FREE TIME Paid Work 01 MAIN JOB 02 UNEMPLOYMENT 03 TRAVEL DURING WORK 05 SECOND JOB 08 BREAKS 09 TRAVEL TO/FROM WORK Household Work 10 FOOD PREPARATION 11 FOOD CLEANUP 12 CLEANING HOUSE 13 OUTDOOR CLEANING 14 CLOTHES CARE 15 CAR REPAIR/MAINTENANCE 16 OTHER REPAIRS 17 PLANT CARE 18 ANIMAL CARE 19 OTHER HOUSEHOLD WORK Child Care 20 BABY CARE 21 CHILD CARE 22 HELPING/TEACHING 23 TALKING/READING 24 INDOOR PLAYING 25 OUTDOOR PLAYING 26 MEDICAL CARE-CHILD 27 CHILD CARE 28 DRY CLEANING 29 TRAVEL, CHILDCARE Obtaining Goods, Services 30 SHOPPING FOR FOOD 31 SHOPPING FOR CLOTHES HH ITEMS 32 PERSONAL CARE SERVICES 33 MEDICAL APPOINTMENTS 34 GOVT/FINANCIAL SERVICES 35 CAR REPAIR SERVICES 36 OTHER REPAIR SERVICES 37 OTHER SERVICES 38 ERRANDS 39 TRAVEL, GOODS AND SERVICES Personal Needs and Care 40 WASHING, ETC 41 MEDICAL CARE 42 HELP AND CARE 43 EATING 44 PERSONAL HYGIENE 45 SLEEPING/NAPPING 47 DRESSING, ETC 48 NA ACTIVITIES 49 TRAVEL, PERSONAL CARE Act. Code Description FREE TIME Educational 50 ATTENDING FULL TIME SCHOOL 51 OTHER CLASSES 54 HOMEWORK 55 USING LIBRARY 56 OTHER EDUCATION 59 OTHER TRAVEL, EDUCATION Organizational 60 PROFESSIONAL UNION 61 SPECIAL INTEREST 62 POLITICAL/CIVIC 63 VOLUNTEER HELPING 64 RELIGIOUS GROUPS 65 RELIGIOUS PRICES 66 FRATERNAL 67 CHILD/YOUTH/FAMILY 68 OTHER ORGANIZATION 69 TRAVEL ORGANIZATIONAL Entertainment/Social 70 SPORTS EVENT 71 ENTERTAINMENT 72 MOVIES/VIDEOS 73 THEATER 74 MUSEUMS 75 VISITING 76 PARTIES 77 BARS/LOUNGES 78 OTHER SOCIAL 79 TRAVEL, SOCIAL Recreation 80 ACTIVE SPORTS 81 OUTDOOR RECREATION 82 EXERCISE 83 HOBBIES 84 DOMESTIC CRAFTS 85 ART 86 MUSIC/DRAMA/DANCE 87 GAMES 88 COMPUTER USE 89 TRAVEL, RECREATION Communications 90 RADIO 91 TV 92 RECORDS/TAPES 93 READING BOOKS 94 MAGAZINES, ETC 95 READING NEWSPAPER 96 CONVERSATIONS 97 LETTERS, WRITING PAPERWORK 98 THINKING/RELAXING 99 TRAVEL RELATED PASSIVE LEISURE 363 APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 364 NHAPS respondents who live in detached homes across the contiguous US (original sample size of 5,895). The first immediately obvious characteristic is that time spent in the bedroom is dominant (shown in blue) with 7 AM as the approximate central tendency for wake-up times regardless of total time spent at home. Scatter around this central value appears to be fairly small – in the neighborhood of 1 h or less for most respondents. The central tendency for bedtime is approximately 11 PM with a similarly small variation. This time is largely invariant with respect to total time spent at home. The second most dominantly occupied room in the house is the living room (shown in yellow). The time where the most people in the US are in their living rooms is approximately 8:30 PM regardless of the total time individuals spent at home. The variance for this time is somewhat larger than for wake-up and bedtimes with an apparent range of plus or minus 2 h. The sorting of the location profiles allows us to see immediately that only about 3% of the respondents did not spend any of the morning or the day at home with 1−2% not spending any time inside their home at all. Also, about half of respondents spent a great deal of time during midday outside of their home. The 50% of the population spending the most time at home during the day had no discernible pattern in their location, when arranged only by total time spent at home, with different amounts of time spent moving about the house (magenta), in the kitchen (green), or in other rooms. Figure A.5 shows time-location profile plots for different age groups, revealing overall patterns in the behavior of young children (under age 5), who are likely to take a nap in the bedroom at midday, and older respondents (over age 65) who spend more time in living areas of the home during the day than working-age adults (ages 35−65). The first panel in Figure A.5 shows that many children under 5 are in their bedrooms between approximately 12 noon and 3 PM. Children between the ages of 5 and 18, shown in the next two panels, tend to spend less time at home between the hours of 9 AM and 3 PM than do younger children. Children under age 12 are typically in their bedroom by about 9 PM, whereas older children retire slightly later and get up earlier. The 30% of children aged 12−18 who spent APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 365 Residential Locations Visited Kitchen Living Room, Family Room, Den Dining Room Bathroom Bedroom Study, Office Garage Basement Utility Room, Laundry Room Pool/Spa (Outdoors) Yard/Other Outside House Moving From Room to Room Moving In and Out of House Other Verified Refused to Answer Figure A.1: Legend for plots of the raw time-location profiles for NHAPS respondents presented in Figures A.2−A.4. 366 APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 Fraction of Individuals 0.9 1.0 All Respondents in Detached Homes Mid 3AM 6AM 9AM Noon 3PM 6PM 9PM Mid Time of Day Figure A.2: A time-location plot showing the location time series for a sample of 250 NHAPS respondents living in detached homes (original sample size: 5,895). The event time series for the sample are represented by vertically stacked time strips that have been sorted by the total time each person spent at home, where different colors correspond to times when an individual was reported to occupy a particular house location. White space corresponds to time when an individual was reported to be inside a location other than their own home or outside their home. The horizontal axis stretches across a single 24-h period, starting and ending at midnight. APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 367 the most time at home get up about an hour or more later than other children of the same age, though they appear to generally go to bed at the same time. Adults aged 18−65 are distinguished from younger age groups in that many of these respondents are at home in the kitchen at about 6 PM, spend most of their time in the living room between 7 and 10 PM, and go to bed at 10 or 11 PM. Older adults over the age of 65 have a similar pattern to the 18−65 age group, except a larger proportion spend time in the living room during evening hours as well as during midday between 9 and 5 PM. The patterns of time-location profiles for working-age (18−64) male and female respondents do not display as much overall difference as is evident between respondents of different ages. However, as shown in Figure A.3, there is a distinctly larger number of female respondents than male respondents in the kitchen between 5 PM and 7 PM. More female respondents are also recorded moving about the house between the hours of 7 AM and noon. In contrast, more male respondents are out of the house between the hours of 9 AM and 5 PM. There seems to be a trend in male respondents, who spend more total time at home, spending more time in the bedroom, whereas this trend is not apparent for females. Working-age respondents (18−64) who reported their time-location profiles on weekends spent more time at home between the hours of 9 AM and 5 PM than respondents giving weekday accounts (see Figure A.4). There is a somewhat larger proportion of people spending almost no time at home at all on weekends. The profiles also show that respondents tended to sleep 1−2 h later on weekends than on weekdays, although the time they went to bed appears to be approximately unchanged. 368 APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA Females, Ages 18−64 Males, Ages 18−64 6AM Noon 6PM Mid 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 Fraction of Individuals 0.8 0.9 1.0 Mid Mid 6AM Noon 6PM Mid Time of Day Figure A.3: A time-location plot showing the location time series for samples of 250 male and 250 female NHAPS respondents aged 18−64 living in detached homes (original sample sizes: 1,960 females and 1,759 males). See the Figure A.2 caption and the text for more information on plot construction. 369 APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA Weekdays, Ages 18−64 Weekends, Ages 18−64 6AM Noon 6PM Mid 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 Fraction of Individuals 0.8 0.9 1.0 Mid Mid 6AM Noon 6PM Mid Time of Day Figure A.4: A time-location plot showing the location time series for two samples of 250 NHAPS respondents, interviewed either on weekends or weekdays, aged 18−64 and living in detached homes (original sample sizes: 2,513 weekday interviews and 1,206 weekend interviews). See the Figure A.2 caption and the text for more information on plot construction. 370 APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA Ages Under 5 Ages 5−12 6AM Noon 6PM Ages 12−18 Mid 0.4 0.2 0.0 Mid 6AM Noon 6PM Mid Ages 18−65 6AM Noon 6PM Mid Ages 65+ Mid 6AM Noon 6PM Mid 0.8 1.0 Mid 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Fraction of Individuals 0.6 0.8 1.0 Mid Mid 6AM Noon 6PM Mid Time of Day Figure A.5: Time-location plots showing the location time series for samples of 250 NHAPS respondents of different ages living in detached homes (original sample sizes: 321 respondents aged 0−5 years; 499 respondents aged 5−12 years; 447 respondents aged 12−18 years; 3,719 respondents aged 18−65 years; and 909 respondents aged over 65 years). See the Figure A.2 caption and the text for more information on plot construction. APPENDIX A. RAW ACTIVITY PATTERN DATA 371 A.3 References Klepeis, N. E., Nelson, W. C., Ott, W. R., Robinson, J. P., Tsang, A. M., Switzer, P., Behar, J. V., Hern, S. C., and Engelmann, W. H. (2001). The National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS): A resource for assessing exposure to environmental pollutants. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 11(3): 231–252. Klepeis, N. E., Tsang, A. M., and Behar, J. V. (1996). Analysis of the National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) Responses from a Standpoint of Exposure Assessment. EPA/600/R-96/074, US EPA, Washington D. C. Tsang, A. M. and Klepeis, N. E. (1996). Descriptive Statistics Tables from a Detailed Analysis of the National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) Data. EPA/600/R-96/148, US EPA, Washington D. C. 372 Appendix B Model Equations for Single- and Multi-Compartment Systems The central tool for the research presented in this dissertation is a simulation model used to predict inhalation exposures for pollutants in residential secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS). The simplest approach to simulate exposure would be to assume that a single well-mixed zone accurately describes SHS exposure concentrations in a home. However, as demonstrated in this dissertation, it is likely that a careful accounting of the movement of people and pollutants amongst different, distinct zones is important to understanding SHS exposure in residences. Such a treatment allows for dynamic interzonal air flow rates and room-specific emission rates. Therefore, my simulation model uses a sophisticated multi-compartment indoor air quality model, which provides quantitative real-time estimates of air and surface pollutant concentrations for different rooms, and incorporates timevarying values for all observable parameter inputs. Below, I present dynamic and time-averaged solutions for the simple singlezone model, which is typically used as a first-order approximation for residential pollutants. I then introduce the governing equations for a general multiple compartment system with specific application to residential indoor air quality, and I describe a technique for numerically solving the system, obtaining both dynamic and time-averaged solutions. APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS 373 B.1 Single-Zone Model The governing mass balance equation for pollutants entering and leaving a single enclosed zone due to cigarette emissions, ventilation, and other first-order loss, such as by particle surface deposition, is as follows: dy(t)V = −VAy(t) − VDy(t) + n(t)e dt (B.1) where y(t) is the airborne concentration of the pollutant at time t [µ g m−3 ], V is the volume of the zone [m3 ], A is the exchange rate with air from outside of the zone [h−1 ], D is the rate of loss due to other first-order processes [h−1 ], typically particle deposition, n(t) is the number of active cigarettes at time t, and e is the emission rate for a single cigarette [µ g cig−1 h−1 ]. This equation assumes that air from outside of the zone is pollutant free. The time-averaged concentration in the zone is obtained by first integrating Equation B.1 between times t1 and t2 , and dividing by the total time period T = t2 − t1 : δy e + ( A + D) y = n (B.2) T V where y is the zonal time-averaged concentration for the period T, n is the mean number of cigarettes being smoked at any time during this interval, and δ y is the change in concentration between t1 and t2 . The volume, removal constants, and cigarette emission rate are considered to be constant over the averaging time interval T. The first term in Equation B.2 can be neglected for long averaging times and/or episodes where the concentration returns to the initial concentration. Also, n can be expressed as Nτ T , where N is the number of cigarettes smoked over time interval T, and τ is the duration of a single cigarette. Thus, Equation B.2 can be solved for y as follows: y = Ne τ 1 T V ( A + D) (B.3) By setting E = eτ , where E is the mass emissions per cigarette [µ g cig−1 ], switching units from hours to days, and considering a time period T of a single day, we obtain APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS 374 a simplified result: y= where Ñ = N T ÑE V ( A + D) (B.4) is the number of cigarettes smoked in a day [cig d−1 ] and D and A are in units of d−1 . When applying this equation to daily exposures occurring in a house, a correction factor f may be used, which accounts for nonideal dispersion within the zone, so that a modeled occupant can experience lower- or higher-thanaverage concentrations, and for time spent by the occupant outside of the home, which may correlate in time with higher or lower SHS species concentrations. So, the final equation for estimating the time-averaged exposure concentration to airborne cigarette emissions in a single-zone structure is: y= f ÑE V ( A + D) (B.5) Both Nazaroff and Singer [2004] and Nazaroff and Klepeis [2004] have derived closely related forms. The total pollutant mass intake rate is the product of the average pollutant exposure concentration, y, multiplied by the inhalation rate Q [m3 d−1 ], which is assumed to be constant over the course of the day. The daily pollutant mass intake rate, I, can be written as: I = fQ ÑE V ( A + D) (B.6) where I has units of µ g d−1 . B.2 Generic First-Order Compartmental Systems A generic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solver can solve a system of n firstorder ordinary differential equations of the form: dyi (t) = f i t, y1 (t), y2 (t), · · · , yn (t) dt (B.7) where i = 1, 2, 3, . . . , n, and yi (t) are response, or dependent, variables that take on specific values for each value of the independent variable t, which is usually APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS 375 considered to be time. The solution consists of n time series, one for each response variable yi (t). A typical problem contains of coupled response variables where response variables influence each other in terms of simple linear combinations. For this case, the system is one of n coupled linear equations with constant coefficients. Each equation is conceived as corresponding to a particular location, compartment, or some other kind of distinct region or conceptual domain: dy1 (t) = k10 + k11 y1 (t) + k12 y2 (t) + · · · + k1n yn (t) dt dy2 (t) = k20 + k21 y1 (t) + k22 y2 (t) + · · · + k2n yn (t) dt ··· (B.8) dyn (t) = kn0 + kn1 y1 (t) + kn2 y2 (t) + · · · + knn yn (t) dt where yi , i = 1, 2, 3, . . . , n, are the response variables for each compartment, such as mass or mass concentration, and ki j , i = 1, 2, 3, . . .,n; j = 0, 1, 2, 3, . . .,n, are constant coefficients corresponding to rates of gain (positive) or loss (negative) to/from the other compartments, which can be written in terms of observable parameters (see below). The ki j are strictly constant within any given time step, but by solving the system individually for short consecutive time steps, and using the final responses in one time step as the initial responses in the following time step, an approximate solution can be obtained for parameters that vary in time. One can solve the n-dimensional system in each time step for an arbitrary number of equations and for arbitrary coefficients ki j , across any parameter configuration, by making use of standardized Runge-Kutta-type routines, such as those available in the GNU Scientific Library (GSL) [Galassi et al., 2003]. If, for example, the observable parameters, and therefore the coefficients ki j , are supplied every minute, then the GSL routine adaptively selects the best time increment to use within each minute time step to evaluate the solution at the end of that step. If the system responses for each compartment do not change rapidly over a minute, then they can be used to accurately represent the state of the system during each minute time interval. If this is not the case, then the calculation of time-averaged response values may be more appropriate. 376 APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS To obtain time-averaged concentrations for a particular time step, a system of n linear algebraic equations is obtained by taking the integral of the above set of differential equations with constant coefficients and dividing by the duration of the time step: A11 C1 + A12 C2 + · · · + A1n Cn = B1 A21 C1 + A22 C2 + · · · + A2n Cn = B2 ··· (B.9) An1 C1 + A2n C2 + · · · + Ann Cn = Bn where Ci , i = 1, 2, 3, . . . , n, are the average concentrations in each compartment i for the current time step. The coefficients A and constants B are obtained from the constant ODE coefficients and instantaneous concentrations for the dynamic solution to Equation B.8. The average concentrations Ci can then be determined by solving the linear system using, for example, LU decomposition1 [Galassi et al., 2003]. B.3 Multi-Compartment Indoor Air Quality Model For a multi-compartment indoor air quality problem, the coefficients in Equation B.8 depend on the physical quantities listed in Table B.1, which include zone volumes, zone surface-to-volume ratios, air flow rates, particle deposition rates, chemical sorption and desorption rates, mass emission rates, particle filtration efficiencies, and building particle penetration efficiences. Nazaroff and Cass [1989] introduce mathematical forms relating changes in aerosol concentrations to physical parameters. Neglecting different particle sizes and components, each compartment equation i, corresponding to a particular row in Equation B.8, has the 1 LU decomposition is a procedure for factoring an NxN matrix into a lower triangular matrix (L) and an upper triangular matrix (U). APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS 377 following form: m,h6=i dyi (t) Ei f hi yh m,h6=i f ih yi pi f mi = + y m − βi yi + ∑ − ∑ dt Vi Vi Vi Vi h= 1 h= 1 m f f xi ∑h=1 (1 − ηhx ) f hx yh η f − ix yi − ii ii yi (B.10) + m Vi Vi Vi ∑h=1 f hx where n is the total number of compartments, index m = n + 1 corresponds to the outdoors, and index x corresponds to the HAC/HVAC system. The terms correspond in order to particle mass emissions into compartment i, infiltration of outdoor particles into compartment i, removal of particles in compartment i by surface deposition, cross flow from other compartments into compartment i, cross flow from compartment i into other compartments, flow from the HAC/HVAC system into compartment i, including loss to duct-based filtration, flow from compartment i into the HAC/HVAC system, and removal of particles through local filtration. Grouping terms by particle concentrations in compartment i, concentrations in other compartments h = j where j 6= i, the outdoor concentration h = m = n + 1, and stand-alone terms, Equation B.10 can be rewritten as follows: ( ) m,h6=i f ih dyi (t) f ix ηii f ii f xi (1 − ηix ) f ix = yi (t) −βi − ∑ − − + dt Vi Vi Vi Vi ∑m h= 1 f hx h= 1 # " m, j6=i f ji f xi (1 − η jx ) f jx + ∑ y j (t) + V Vi ∑m i h= 1 f hx j=1 ( ) pi f mi f xi (1 − ηmx ) f mx + ym + Vi Vi ∑m h= 1 f hx + (B.11) Ei Vi Hence, the ki j coefficients in Equation B.8 can be written in terms of the physical APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS 378 Table B.1: Response Variables and Observable Physical Input Parameters of a Multi-Compartment Indoor Air Quality Model for Airborne Particulate Matter Symbol a Units yi ( t ) µ g m− 3 Airborne particle concentration in room i at time t ym µ g m− 3 Outdoor airborne particle concentration pi − f ii m3 h− 1 Recirculating flow through a filtration device in room i fi j m3 h− 1 Air flow from room i to room j f ji m3 h− 1 Air flow from room j to room i f mi m3 h− 1 Air flow from the outdoors to room i via infiltration and natural ventilation f im m3 h− 1 Air flow from room i to the outdoors via exfiltration and natural ventilation f xi m3 h− 1 Air flow from HAC/HVAC to room i f ix m3 h− 1 Air flow from room i to HAC/HVAC f mx m3 h− 1 Air flow from outdoors to HAC/HVAC f xm m3 h− 1 Air flow from HAC/HVAC to the outdoors βi h− 1 Particle deposition loss-rate coefficient Ei µ g h− 1 Particle mass emission rate for room i Vi m3 Volume of room i ηii − Removal efficiency for filtration device in room i ηix − Removal efficiency for HAC/HVAC return filtration for room i ηmx − Removal efficiency for outdoor to HAC/HVAC filtration a The Name Particle penetration efficiency from outdoors to indoors in room i considering infiltration and natural ventilation units given here form a consistent set. Efficiencies are dimensionless quantities between 0 and 1. 379 APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS parameters for a multi-compartment indoor air quality system: m,h6=i f ih f ix ηii f ii f xi (1 − ηix ) f ix kii = − βi − ∑ − − + Vi Vi Vi Vi ∑m h= 1 f hx h= 1 f ji (1 − η jx ) f jx f ki j = + xi Vi Vi ∑m h= 1 f hx ( ) f (1 − ηmx ) f mx pi f mi E + xi ki0 = ym + i m Vi Vi Vi ∑h=1 f hx (B.12) where i = 1 . . . n and j = 1 . . . n, j 6= i. Using these assignments, and by varying each physical parameter value between minute-long time steps, a system can be solved where air flow rates, emissions, and other parameter values vary across time for each compartment. I use this approach in the current research to study the exposure of household residents to secondhand tobacco smoke when they visit various rooms in a house as pollutant emissions, and door, window, and HVAC configurations change arbitrarily over time. To treat other chemical species besides particles, which sorb onto room surfaces and potentially desorb back into the air, a minimum of 2n coupled compartment equations are required, n equations for air compartments and n additional surface compartments for each room. Because air concentrations are expressed in mass per volume and surface concentrations are expressed in mass per area, it is convenient to write the response variables in terms of the mass present in each compartment. In this approach, the air compartment concentrations in Equations B.11 and B.12 are replaced by ỹi (t) = yi (t)Vi , where ỹi (t) is in mass units of µ g. The simplest model for sorption/desorption processes is one that assumes linear rates in either direction. Such a model has been used to accurately predict air concentrations of semi-volatile compounds [Van Loy et al., 1997, 2001]. In this model, mass is added to the surface compartment and simultaneously subtracted from air compartments through a linear sorption term, νi VSi ỹi (t). Thus, the k(i +n)i coefficient is νi VSii i and the portion of the kii for irreversible loss to surfaces, −βi , is replaced with −νi VSi . Here, the parameter ν is the sorption coefficient in units of m h− 1 , i Si is the surface area in room i, and Si Vi is the corresponding surface-to-volume APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS 380 ratio for room i in units of m−1 . The model predicts that pollutant mass sorbed into surface compartments is reemitted into the air compartments at a rate of ξi zi (t), where ξi is the desorption coefficient for room i in units of h−1 , and zi (t) is the mass in the surface compartment for room i at time t in units of µ g. The mass leaves the surface compartment at the same rate that it enters the corresponding air compartment, so the ki (i +n) coefficient is ξi and the k(i +n)(i +n) coefficient is −ξi . Besides k(i +n)(i +n) and k(i +n)i , all coefficients for the surface compartment equations are equal to zero. Thus, the second set of n equations for surface compartments in the 2n-compartment system have the following form: dzi (t) S = νi i ỹi (t) − ξi zi (t) dt Vi (B.13) where i = 1, 2, 3, . . . , n. B.4 References Galassi, M., Davies, J., Theiler, J., Gough, B., Jungman, G., Booth, M., and Rossi, F. (2003). GNU Scientific Library Reference Manual - Second Edition, Software Version 1.3. Network Theory, Ltd., Bristol, UK, http://www.network-theory.co.uk/. Nazaroff, W. W. and Cass, G. R. (1989). Mathematical modeling of indoor aerosol dynamics. Environmental Science & Technology, 23(2): 157–166. Nazaroff, W. W. and Klepeis, N. E. (2004). Environmental tobacco smoke particles. In Morawska, L. and Salthammer, T., editors, Indoor Environment: Airborne Particles and Settled Dust, pages 245–274, Weinheim, Germany. Wiley-VCH. Nazaroff, W. W. and Singer, B. C. (2004). Inhalation of hazardous air pollutants from environmental tobacco smoke in US residences. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 14: S71–S77. Van Loy, M. D., Lee, V. C., Gundel, L. A., Daisey, J. M., Sextro, R. G., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1997). Dynamic behavior of semivolatile organic compounds in indoor air. 1. Nicotine in a stainless steel chamber. Environmental Science and Technology, 31(9): 2554–2561. APPENDIX B. COMPARTMENT MODEL EQUATIONS 381 Van Loy, M. D., Riley, W. J., Daisey, J. M., and Nazaroff, W. W. (2001). Dynamic behavior of semivolatile organic compounds in indoor air. 2. Nicotine and phenanthrene with carpet and wallboard. Environmental Science & Technology, 35(3): 560–567. 382 Appendix C An Interactive Computer Program for Estimating the Parameters of a Two-Compartment Model I have written a graphical computer program that interactively plots air pollutant concentrations in two zones based on the configuration of a set of 15 slider controls. Each slider corresponds to a single model input parameter. This program is intended to be used in the visualization of two-compartment air pollutant concentration profiles, exploration of the sensitivity of concentrations to physical parameters, and the estimation of air flow rates between building rooms. I have used the program, along with tracer gas concentrations measured in a house, to determine the inter-room air flow rates by varying input parameter values until an optimum fit is achieved between theoretical and observed concentrations based on subjective visual evaluation or by least squares or least absolute difference. Figure C.1 is a screen shot of an active session from such an analysis, consisting of the main control panel, a plot of modeled and observed concentration time series, and a file of observed data inside the window of a text editor. The results of the fitting procedure are given in Chapter 5 of this dissertation. The computational engine of the program is a subroutine written in Fortran, which calculates concentration profiles using an analytical solution to a twocompartment dynamic system. The solution is obtained using a software package APPENDIX C. INTERACTIVE TWO-COMPARTMENT COMPUTER PROGRAM 383 Figure C.1: A screen shot showing three of the computer program’s windows, including the main window with slider controls for each model input parameter, columns of observed data inside of a text editor, and a plot of the observed data superimposed with model predictions, which are based on the current parameter configuration. for symbolic mathematics.1 The basic model equations, their solution, and the estimation of model parameters have been described by Miller et al. [1997] and Ott et al. [2003]. C.1 User Interface The program’s graphical front-end is written in the Perl programming language and makes use of the Perl/Tk user-interface library.2 The user moves 15 individual sliders up and down to adjust the values of the corresponding model parameters. After a slider movement, a plot of the modeled concentrations and specified empirical concentrations are immediately updated to provide instant feedback on the 1 MathematicaTM , 2 See version 3.0 by Wolfram Research; see http://www.wolfram.com. http://www.perl.org or http://www.perl.com. APPENDIX C. INTERACTIVE TWO-COMPARTMENT COMPUTER PROGRAM 384 influence of the corresponding parameter on levels in each compartment. As evident from the detailed view of the program’s main window, shown in Figure C.2, the parameters include room volumes [m3 ], room air-exchange rates [h−1 ], the percentage of total inflow that each room receives from the adjacent room, the source emission rate for each room [µ g min−1 ], the duration of the source in each room [min], the initial concentration in each room [µ g m−3 ], the outdoor concentration [µ g m−3 ], the time resolution (interval between concentration values) [min], and the total time period of the simulation [min]. The modeled time series is assumed to begin at time t = 0. In addition to purely interactive adjustment of parameter values and manual, or “eyeballed”, estimation of parameters giving the best fit to observed data, the software also has the facility to perform a simple grid search of the parameter space using mean-squared or absolute deviations of predicted and observed values as the response metric. A data file containing observed concentrations in each room is specified by entering the filename into the textbox at the bottom of the window. If no filename is specified, then only modeled (theoretical) concentrations will be plotted. The automatic optimation method allows the user to specify as many parameters as desired for optimization. As initial and outdoor concentrations, volumes, time parameters, and emission rates are usually predetermined for a given experiment, the user typically can achieve a first guess for the parameters by manually adjusting the four flow parameters and then fine tuning them with the automatic grid search. The dialog box shown in Figure C.3 contains options that can be set for each parameter. In addition to graphical labels, the user can set a conversion factor, the minimum and maximum parameter values that are allowed, and the small and large increments to be used in the automatic fitting procedure. Options for the observed concentrations in the two different rooms are set using the lefthand dialog box shown in Figure C.4. Here, indices for the time and concentration column in the specified data file are given, as well as the starting place APPENDIX C. INTERACTIVE TWO-COMPARTMENT COMPUTER PROGRAM 385 Figure C.2: The main window where parameter values for the two compartment model can be changed interactively using sliders. in the file, the number of records that are skipped for use in plotting a sample of all measurements, and offset and multiplicative factors for the time and concentration columns. In addition, the user can specify the range of time values that will be used in the automatic fitting procedure described above. On the righthand side of Figure C.4 is shown a dialog box with options for plotting concentrations and a three-dimensional (3D) plot of the response versus two arbitrary parameters. The X and Y ranges can be specified along with the size of plotted points (observations), the width of lines (model), and the 3D viewpoint, which is determined by X and Y rotations and elevation above the XY plane. C.2 References Miller, S. L., Leiserson, K., and Nazaroff, W. W. (1997). Nonlinear least-squares minimization applied to tracer gas decay for determining airflow rates in a twozone building. Indoor Air, 7(1): 64–75. Ott, W. R., Klepeis, N. E., and Switzer, P. (2003). Analytical solutions to compartmental indoor air quality models with application to environmental tobacco smoke concentrations measured in a house. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 53: 918–936. APPENDIX C. INTERACTIVE TWO-COMPARTMENT COMPUTER PROGRAM 386 Figure C.3: The parameter window where labels and ranges for each model parameter can be specified. Figure C.4: The data window where the observed data can be selected and manipulated (left) and the plot window where characteristics of plots can be specified (right). 387 Appendix D A Software Package for Conducting Human Exposure Research The simulation and analysis described in this dissertation was accomplished using an original software package for human exposure research1 that I implemented in a freely available statistical programming environment called “R” [The R Development Core Team, 2003; Venables et al., 2002; Ihaka and Gentleman, 1996].2 Some external source code was written in C for computationally intensive tasks, such as obtaining the numeric solution of a generic system of multiple coupled compartments (see Appendix B), and dynamically loaded when needed. An existing C numerical library called the GNU Scientific Library (GSL) was used [Galassi et al., 2003]. All package components, together with a short description of their contents, are listed in Table D.1. The software package consists of five subpackages for tasks related to generic exposure simulation, indoor air quality, human activity pattern analysis, human inhalation, and miscellaneous utility routines. An additional three subpackages contain raw activity pattern data, air quality monitoring data, and exposure monitoring survey data. Finally, a custom subpackage call “ResSmoke” was written, which makes use of the other subpackages, to conduct simulation experiments for secondhand smoke exposure occurring in multi-zone 1 See http://exposurescience.org/her.html. binaries can be downloaded from http://cran.r-project.org for WindowsTM , MacintoshTM , and LinuxTM platforms. General information on R is available from http://www.r-project.org. 2R APPENDIX D. SOFTWARE PACKAGE FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE RESEARCH 388 residences. This final package implements the model design described in Chapter 6 and was used for all simulations performed in Chapters 7, 8, and 9. D.1 The ESM Function The central routine in the simulation subpackage is the exposure simulation model (ESM) function, which controls the passing of data and function specifications between the elements of a particular simulation problem. This function takes three component functions for input, one that prepares input for each simulated individual, one that calculates individual exposure, and one that prepares the final simulation output format for each individual from the raw simulation output data. Each of these functions can call, in turn, any number of “helper” functions, which use simulation data generated by previously called functions. Other inputs into the ESM function determine whether or not individual characteristics will be stratified according to a prescribed probability scheme, the time period of the simulation, and the number of times the simulation will be repeated for the population, i.e., cycled. Particular aspects of the simulation, such as the nature of data inputs (e.g., single value, probability model, or empirical distribution) and the grouping of different types of simulation input, are specified with customized option lists. In this way, a standardized, but flexible framework for constructing any type of exposure calculation is provided. Figure D.1 illustrates this framework in terms of the relationships amongst exposure simulation functions and simulation input types for the specific case of residential exposure to secondhand smoke. The following paragraphs summarize the approach to using this simulation environment for the research application carried out in this dissertation. For simulating secondhand smoke exposure in multi-room dwellings there are four types of data input corresponding to source-person characteristics (smoker), cigarette emissions characteristics, receptor-person characteristics (nonsmoker), and the residential environment. The “helper” or sub-component functions that operate on these inputs pass data along so that later functions can use the results of earlier ones. APPENDIX D. SOFTWARE PACKAGE FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE RESEARCH 389 Table D.1: Component Subpackages for a Generic Human Exposure Research Software Packagea Name Description heR.Misc Miscellanous plotting and analysis functions; log-probability plots; distribution fitting; descriptive statistics; sample weighting; plot annotation; table generation and manipulation heR.Simulation Generic framework for exposure simulation modeling; illustrative example for multi-room-dwelling exposures heR.Activities Analysis and manipulation of activity pattern data; time-activity plots heR.IndoorAir Indoor air quality modeling; multi-zone; trellis concentration plots; model fitting; front-end for MIAQ aerosol dynamics calculations heR.Inhalation Inhalation modeling and model parameters; lung deposition efficiency; inhalation rate heR.ActivityData Activity pattern data and documentation from several large US surveys; 1992-94 USEPA NHAPS; 1989-1992 California ARB surveys of children, adults, and youth heR.MonitoringData Air pollutant monitoring data from experiments in homes and chambers; model fitting; indoor-outdoor PAH; multi-room SF6 tracer experiements heR.SurveyData Exposure monitoring survey data from USEPA PTEAM particle exposure assessment study in Riverside, CA ResSmoke Functions and datasets for simulating residential exposure to tobacco smoke a The individual packages listed in this table constitute an integrated software package intended to conduct scientific research, and for use in educating students, in the field of human exposure to environmental contaminants, primarily for exposure occurring via the inhalation route. The software package is implemented in the R statistical computing environment. See http://www.rproject.org. Calculate Exposure Time Series in Each Room Select Deposition and Desorption Characteristics Assign Room−Specific Emissions Time Series Simulate Airflows Assign HAC/HVAC Duty Cycle Assign Receptor Bedroom and Bathroom Based on Age Assign Receptor−Related Door/Window Activity Assign Source−Related Door/Window Activity Select House Characteristics Select Airflow Scenario Select Receptor Person Activity − Matched Day of Week Select Inhalation Rate Select Source Person Activity − Over age 18 Select Smoking Characteristics Assign Source Smoking Activity Pattern Select Smoker Inhalation Rate Step 1. Input Processing Function Processed Inputs Raw Outputs Processed Outputs Raw Exposures 24−h Mean Receptor Exposures 24−h Mean Source Exposures Intake Fraction Equivalent ETS Cigs. Final Population Outputs Calculate Exposure Metrics Generate Descriptive Statistics Results Tables Generate Diagnostic Plots Step 3. Output Processing Function Assign Smoker Exposure Concentration Time Series Assign Nonsmoker Exposure Concentration Time Series Step 2. Exposure Function Final Inputs Outputs Figure D.1: Schematic showing the flow of data between elements of an exposure simulation model for inhalation of secondhand smoke in multi-room dwellings. There are three generic components of the model: a master control function with associated inputs and outputs (shown in red) calls an input data processing function (in blue), followed by an exposure calculation function (in gold) and an output data processing function (in magenta). Results generated by each component function are returned to the master function before the final processed output for the simulated population is returned. The master function controls the base time period and time resolution for the simulation, as well as the total number of individuals and number of adjoining time periods (i.e., simulation cycles). House Deposition Air Exchange Desorption Flow Rates Environment Time−Activity Inhalation Rate Receptor Number Cigs. Mass Emissions Cig. Duration Emissions Time−Activity Inhalation Rate Source Raw Inputs Define Time Period = 24 h Define Time Interval − 1 min Define Input Groups − Environment, Emissions, Source, Receptor Specify Component Functions − Input, Exposure, Output Cycle for Each Person and Repeated Time Period Master Simulation Function Relationship Amongst Data Inputs and Component Functions for a Multi−Room Dwelling Inhalation Simulation Exposure Model APPENDIX D. SOFTWARE PACKAGE FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE RESEARCH 390 APPENDIX D. SOFTWARE PACKAGE FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE RESEARCH 391 The source and emissions data inputs provide raw lists or empirical distributions for activity patterns, inhalation rates for different ages and genders, the number of cigarettes smoked in a single day, cigarette total mass emissions, and cigarette duration, which are sampled by the source subcomponent of the input processing function for each subsequent individual in the simulation. The sampled source is required to be 18 years of age or older. The sampled number of cigarettes they smoke during the day are evenly spread out during they times they spend awake. The receptor data input is identical to that for the source, although the input processing function selects a particular receptor activity datum to match that for the source. Once the source and receptor individual characteristics are assigned, the household environment they occupy is defined based on raw data inputs for house size and layout, air exchange rates, deposition and desorption rates, and interzonal air flow rates. The environment is also characterized by a particular scenario where receptors and sources may change the door and window configuration of the house, heating, ventilation, and/or air conditioning (HAC/HVAC) duty cycle, room-specific filtration, rooms where smoking is allowed, and several other parameters. The source and receptor activity patterns are augmented to include information on their door and window activities and the cigarette emissions profile for each room of the house. A complete air flow profile amongst rooms, the outdoors, and the HAC/HVAC system is also generated. The final task of the input processing function is to calculate air pollutant concentration profiles in each room using emissions profiles, air flow profiles, as well as deposition and desorption rates (as appropriate) selected from the raw environment data inputs. These profiles contain instantaneous concentrations for every minute of the specified time period, typically equal to a single day. The minute-byminute concentrations are equal to minute average concentrations within a very close approximation. Once concentration profiles are available for each room, the exposure function is called to create an exposure profile for receptor and source persons by matching APPENDIX D. SOFTWARE PACKAGE FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE RESEARCH 392 the time series of locations they visit with the corresponding concentrations. As with the air pollutant concentration profiles, these minute-by-minute exposures can be considered as minute exposure averages and used to calculate integrated and 24-h average exposure concentrations. The output processing function takes the full output list, which consists of the raw output generated by each component function and their respective helper functions, and calculates summary quantities of interest. These summary quantities include the 24-h average exposure concentration, individual intake fraction, and equivalent ETS cigarette intake for each simulated household, and summary statistics for the time spent by each individual at home, asleep, and in the company of their matched occupant. D.2 References Galassi, M., Davies, J., Theiler, J., Gough, B., Jungman, G., Booth, M., and Rossi, F. (2003). GNU Scientific Library Reference Manual - Second Edition, Software Version 1.3. Network Theory, Ltd., Bristol, UK, http://www.network-theory.co.uk/. Ihaka, R. and Gentleman, R. (1996). R: A language for data analysis and graphics. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 5: 299–314. The R Development Core Team (2003). The R Reference Manual – Base Package Volume 1 & 2. Network Theory, Ltd., Bristol, UK. Venables, W. N., Smith, D. M., and The R Development Core Team (2002). An Introduction to R. Network Theory, Ltd., Bristol, UK. 393 Index activity patterns CAPS, 53 CHAPS, 53 for multiple days, 354 from PTEAM, 336 future studies, 353 more specific categories, 354 NHAPS, 51, 140 prevalence of SHS exposure, 51 time spent by age, 153 time spent by day of week, 158 time spent by gender, 153 time spent by house size, 158 time spent in broad locations, 143 time spent in different rooms, 147 air flows across doorways, 182 for mitigation scenarios, 306 for scripted simulations, 242 house leakage, 172 HVAC flow rates, 178 simulation of, 208 though windows, 174 air standards carbon monoxide, 12, 96, 350 for SHS, 350 particulate matter, 12, 96, 350 carbon monoxide ambient air standards for, 12, 96, 350 emissions, 129 frequency distributions of exposure for, 275 chamber experiments cigars and cigarettes, 100 for particle deposition, 120 for SHS particle deposition, 123 for SHS volatile organics, 128 children prevalence of household SHS exposure, 50 proximity to a smoker, 332 residential exposure, 50 time spent at home, 153 environmental tobacco smoke, see secondhand smoke ETS, see secondhand smoke exposure and social ecologies, 76, 354 definition of, 24 effect of asymmetric flow, 284 effect of avoidance and smoker isolation, 322 effect of doors and windows, 311, 314, 316 effect of filtration devices, 323 effect of HAC, 284 effect of temporal smoking ban, 311 exploratory modeling, 340 field surveys, 36 frequency distributions of, 274 future research, 351 mathematical formulation of, 28 measures of, 29 mitigation strategies, 311 INDEX 394 models, 72 proximity effect, 70, 168, 332 scripted concentrations, 259 scripted ETS cigarette intake, 262 scripted intake fraction, 262 sensitivity to physical parameters, 295 single-zone correction factors, 232, 258, 259, 295 source proximity, 352 to carbon monoxide, 275 to nicotine, 262, 278 to particles, 274, 311 unrestricted scenarios, 294 indoor air better residential monitoring, 352 effect of multiple compartments, 37 field surveys, 36 guidelines for quality, 349 mixing of pollutants, 9, 68, 166 models, 67 monitoring of, 71 proximity effect, 352 room-to-room SHS monitoring, 43 stove and heater emissions, 47 tracer gas monitoring, 42, 175 validity of models, 71 field studies monitoring of a smoking household, 332 PTEAM, 37, 331, 334 residential SHS concentrations, 332 models assumptions, 11 evaluation, 336 exposure, 72 general approach, 7 of IAQ, 67 parameter estimation, 104 single-zone correction factors, 259 tracer gas dynamics, 186 validity for IAQ, 68 health education, 349 epidemiology, 347 future interventions, 347 improved studies of, 346 need for better exposure assessment, 66 NHANES, 51 risk assessment, 350 SHS health effects, 30 SHS interventions, 61 housing air exchange rate, 172 base ventilation rate, 174 duct leakage, 178 HVAC systems, 178 interzonal air flow, 182 rate of pollutant mixing, 166 surface-to-volume ratio, 168 volume, 168 window air flow, 174 nicotine emissions, 128 extended simulation experiment for, 278 room concentration profiles, 254 scripted exposure, 262 surface dynamics, 128 surface loading, 278 particles ambient air standards for, 12, 96, 350 deposition rates, 120 dynamic model, 104 equivalent ETS cigarette intake, 262 frequency distributions of exposure for, 274, 311 INDEX intake fraction, 262 room concentration profiles, 252 scripted exposure, 259 size-specific SHS emissions, 111 total mass SHS emissions, 116 passive smoke, see secondhand smoke scientific method, 7 secondhand smoke composition, 23 gas phase, 24 particle phase, 24 dose-response for, 33 health effects of, 30 measures of exposure to, 29 SHS, see secondhand smoke simulation air flow balancing, 212 air flow conditions, 208 analysis factors, 17 current efforts, 73 design of experiments, 13 enhancements to the framework, 345 evaluation of, 330 example concentration profiles, 245 input and output variables, 221 intermediate output, 241 mitigation cohort, 302 mitigation scenarios, 216, 304 model structure, 200 selected input parameters, 231 smoking patterns, 217 species treated, 203 summary of findings, 343 synchronization of events, 218 tiers of analysis, 13 treatment of activity patterns, 213 treatment of residences, 205 smoking effect of restrictions on exposure reduction, 57 395 effect of restrictions on quitting, 56 interaction of eco-social factors, 76 patterns of, 98 prevalence of restrictions, 50