frankfurt
Transcription
frankfurt
FRANKFURT A COVETED HIGH STREET AND LUXURY RETAIL LOCATION JUNE 2016 IN FIGURES Federal state: Located on the River Main, Frankfurt is an international financial and service hub that is central to the dynamic Frankfurt-Rhine-Main economic area’s status as one of Europe's top business regions. Frankfurt is one the leading cities in Europe as a result of its central location, its excellent infrastructure with one of the continent’s biggest airports, its concentration of forward-looking enterprises and its international orientation. As the seat of the European Central Bank, Frankfurt also has international significance from a monetary policy perspective. Hessen Inhabitants: 717,624 Population development: + 2.3 % Employees: 541,709 Unemployment rate: 6.7 % Purchasing power: 113.3 Centrality parameters: 104.6 Relevant shopping centres: Skyline Plaza (C), MyZeil / Palais Quartier (C), Zeilgalerie (C), NordWestZentrum (S), Hessen-Center (S), Main-Taunus-Zentrum (Sulzbach) (P) C=City S=District P=Outskirts Source: state statistical offices, GfK GeoMarketing GmbH, Federal Employment Agency Prime retail rents The high diversity of companies located in the city provide it with dynamism, stability and crisis resistance. Although famous for its financial sector, Frankfurt is also home to many other key industries such as the creative sector, IT and telecommunications, biotechnology and life sciences, logistics and the industrial sector. Fast and simple market access is guaranteed by the city’s institutions and educational establishments. from 2005 - 2015 in EUR/m² 80-120m² As a result of its excellent infrastructure, Frankfurt isn’t just easily accessible, it is also excellently networked. It is actually one of the world’s most important data traffic hubs and a city known and loved for its urban planning concept that minimises the distances people have to travel. 300-500m² 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 City centre area Frankfurt Ø 500T - 1 Mio. Inhabitants Proportion of sales in % Proportion of retail space in % 0 10 20 30 40 Frankfurt’s strong international orientation makes it an attractive place to work for high quality employees, and the city also has an international and business-oriented education sector. Frankfurt is the German city with the highest level of commuters - 265,700 on a daily basis and, according to forecasts published by the Regional Statistical Office, Frankfurt’s historic strong population growth trend is likely to continue (16.5% growth by 2030). Around 30 percent of the lecturers at the Goethe University are foreign and the city has numerous international nurseries and schools. This international character obviously has an impact on Frankfurt’s cultural life. The city’s diverse cultural scene includes something for everyone, and it also offers excellent living quality, with numerous recreational parks and a continuous increase in high-quality residential space. Eight million overnight stays every year reflect this. Source: COMFORT Research & Consulting COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 2 von 10 THE CITY'S SIGNIFICANCE AS A RETAIL LOCATION PURCHASING POWER AND CENTRALITY PARAMETERS Purchasing power Centrality parameters It isn’t surprising, then, that demand from a German and an international clientele for retail space is high, and that this demand exceeds supply both in Frankfurt and at other prime locations in the Rhine-Main region. There is also a high level of interest in retail properties from investors according to COMFORT’s Managing Director Jürgen Kreutz. Berlin Düsseldorf Frankfurt am Main Hamburg Cologne Munich Stuttgart 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Source: GfK GeoMarketing GmbH FASHION CENTRALITY Berlin Düsseldorf Frankfurt City currently has turnover of around EUR 1.4 billion. That accounts for 32.7 percent of Frankfurt’s total turnover, which is an impressive contribution. COMFORT emphasises that the city centre’s retail space productivity is among the highest in Germany at EUR 5,100/m², which is only topped by Munich and Hamburg. Frankfurt’s retail purchasing power is significantly higher than the national average. Its centrality ranking in the Rhine-Main conurbation is, however, slightly less impressive as a result of strong competition from other cities, especially Wiesbaden, Mainz and Darmstadt. Frankfurt am Main Hamburg Cologne Munich Stuttgart 0 50 100 150 200 250 Source: COMFORT – Research & Consulting CATCHMENT AREA Source: COMFORT – Research & Consulting, base map RegioGraph COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 3 von 10 In terms of its fashion centrality, Frankfurt is ranked fifth in a direct comparison with other German cities. The inner city population is just under 718,000 and the inner city catchment area has around 2.3 million people living there. It essentially comprises the conurbation and the Frankfurt-Rhine-Main region, which extends from Frankfurt via Bad Nauheim, Hanau, Darmstadt, Mainz and Wiesbaden to Bad Camberg. Zeil: a high street where some of the highest footfall figures in Germany are recorded PRIME LOCATIONS ZEIL Traditional consumer-oriented location with one of the highest footfalls in Germany All major goods and clothing stores are represented here, as are numerous famous chainstore operator flagship stores A vertical shopping centre, MyZeil, with around 47,000 m² of retail space Very wide pedestrian zone lined with plane trees and food pavilions New tenants: Tezenis, Samsung Current rent EUR 300/m² STEINWEG Relatively short street in a prime location with average footfall High quality/fashionable location Links Hauptwache to Goetheplatz New tenants: Thomas Sabo, & Other Stories Current rent EUR 145/m² BIEBERGASSE / AN DER HAUPTWACHE Links Zeil to Fressgass Footfall has increased as a result of the traffic-calmed link to Zeil Current rent EUR 190/m² GOETHESTRASSE Clearly defined luxury location with genre typical footfall Road runs parallel to Fressgass A high concentration of high end luxury retailers, such as Chanel, Tiffany & Co. and Hermès New tenants: Chopard, Etro, Hublot, MCM, Mulberry, Berluti, Hackett Current rent EUR 245/m² COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 PRIME RETAIL RENTS in EUR/m² 80-120 m² 300 300-500 m² 170 80-120 m² 145 300-500 m² 76 80-120 m² 190 300-500 m² 65 80-120 m² 245 300-500 m² 125 4 von 10 FRESSGASS (GROSSE BOCKENHEIMER STRASSE) Predominantly cafes and restaurants (with outdoor seating) and small units as a result of the “Food Alley Charter” Change as a result of the increasing numbers of fashion retailers, some with newly developed large-scale stores Connects the banking/opera districts to Zeil Higher tenant demand and therefore above-average increases in rents during recent years New tenants: Coffee Fellows, Seiko, Cadenzza, Patrizia Pepe (summer 2016), Tesla Current rent 205 EUR/m² 80-120 m² 205 300-500 m² 105 AN IN-DEMAND LUXURY LOCATION Developments in the Frankfurt retail scene are still very dynamic. The final tenant at ONE Goethe Plaza, Bottega Veneta, moved into the premises in 2014, and new projects are already underway and in the pipeline. Groß & Partner and Peakside Capital Advisors are hoping to follow up on their success with ONE Goethe Plaza and are planning to enlarge the luxury district at the end of Goethestrasse with the Ma’ro complex. It remains to be seen whether this building and its impressive tenants will attract the necessary footfall to ensure that the luxury district actually will grow. Munich-based bar and pizzeria chain H’ugo’s and leather goods retailer Picard, which is currently on Goethestrasse, were announced as tenants at the beginning of the year. Ma‘ro - Extending the luxury mile into the Opera District, source: Groß & Partner / Peakside Capital Advisors COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 5 von 10 A shopping circuit extending from Goethestrasse, via Neue Mainzer Strasse into Neue Rothofstrasse and then back to Goethestrasse via Luginsland, is planned. Both Ma’ro and another building complex which is being constructed by FGI on Luginsland, the side street connecting Rothofstrasse and Goethestrasse, with Brunello Cucinelli and Etro as tenants, complete this circuit. The foundations are now in place for the exclusive extension of the luxury district, impressively demonstrating the surplus demand from luxury retailers for retail locations in Frankfurt. The conversion and extension of the “Goethe 34” building between Goethestrasse and Grossen Bockenheimer Strasse was also completed in 2015. Both Twin Set and luxury leather goods retailer MCM have opened stores there. Jil Sander relocating there from another address on Goethestrasse - and exquisite shoe manufacturer Berluti complete the tenant list. Since november in Luginsland 1: Etro (400 m²) Massimo Dutti is still waiting for building permission at Goethestrasse 3. At the end of 2015 the Spanish fashion label leased the former Airfield store so that it could enlarge its own store. The unit has now been sublet until planning permission is granted and the conversion can commence. In March 2016, British luxury leather fashion brand Belstaff opened its second store in Germany after Munich and, at the beginning of April, True Religion opened a popup store for three months. Other developments on Goethestrasse are the enlargement of the Chanel and Ferragamo stores, and the opening of a Lagerfeld pop-up store in the former Jil Sander unit. It will be retailing bags, sunglasses, watches, fragrances, books and fashions in the designer’s typical black and white designs until the end of the year. There have also been some changes on Zeil. The final tenant to move into the new building at Zeil 123 „Goethe 34“ in summer 2015 was Swiss watch retailer Swatch. The big Swatch store is located in the building’s prominent corner unit, which offers approximately 150 m² of retail space. Fossil had originally intended to lease this unit, but it then decided to open a smaller store than planned. Although the first floor was originally designed to be retail space, it is not currently being used for that purpose. COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 6 von 10 Now that dm-Drogeriemarkt, Fossil, Swatch and the Turkish Isbank have moved into Zeil 123, all retail units are leased and open for business. The next big construction project at this prime Frankfurt location is already in the planning phase. It involves the transformation of the Zeilgalerie into “UpperZeil”. The gutting of the interior of the building and its conversion will commence in the second quarter of 2016. The project is scheduled to close out in 2018. A new building in the space between the Galeria Kaufhof department store and the “MyZeil” shopping centre will have retail areas extending from the basement to the seventh storey, divided into four retail units. This new building will have a total leasable area of around 14,800 m² and the four retail units on the ground floor will be accessed directly from Zeil. “UpperZeil“, source: RFR Management/KSP Jürgen Engel Architects Galeria Kaufhof will be extending its adjacent retail areas to a size of around 10,700 m² up to the seventh storey. Reserved will also be leasing around 2,600 m² and Vodafone and Benetton are opening flagship stores in UpperZeil. This project puts and end to the Zeilgalerie’s problematic history, which was plagued by design flaws and the credit fraud affair involving property mogul Jürgen Schneider. The current 24,000 m² Kaufhof store, which serves around 10 million customers a year, is one of the Kaufhof Group's most profitable stores. It attracts a vast number of international shopping tourists, most of them from China, a fact which is reflected by the store information signs at the escalators having both English and Chinese translations. A Samsung pop-up store recently opened at Zeil 119. The operators had been forced to move from the Zeilgalerie as a result of the conversion plans. This property with the most prominent position on Zeil stood empty for a long time after HAKO, a Leiser shoe brand, ran into difficulties and closed its store at the end of 2014. COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 7 von 10 The commercial building at Zeil 111, location of the Hirsch-Apotheke pharmacy - the parent establishment of healthcare group Fresenius will be replaced by a new building at a cost of around EUR 14 million. The original building dating back to the 1950s will be demolished with the exception of the Hirsch-Apotheke pharmacy. Four to five smaller retail units will be incorporated in the new building, and the passage will be retained. This provides central Zeil with an upmarket link to Holzgraben and Kleinmarkthalle. Zeil 119 with new tenant The new building is scheduled to open in autumn 2017. All these developments plus the new retailers that have moved to the city have enhanced its attractiveness, and the trend continues. The buildings that are still under construction and the planned optimisations and extensions to the retail landscape will continue to enhance the location’s value. Zeil gives Frankfurt one of the pedestrian zones with the highest footfall in the country, and Goethestrasse gives it one of the most prominent luxury retail districts in Germany. These are clearly the reasons why investor demand is high and property prices have risen sharply again recently. INVESTMENT Several deals have been celebrated in the Frankfurt investment PURCHASE PRICE FACTOR market over the past twelve months. Warburg HIH Invest purchased the “TurmCarrée“ at the Eschenheim Tower for its 26,5 - 28,5 open-ended special property fund “Top 7 Deutsche Metropolen Immobilien Invest”. The former Woolworth building on Schweizer Strasse in Sachsenhausen, whose current tenants are Müller Drogerie and REWE, was sold by its private Dutch owner to a 10 20 30 40 fund. Invesco purchased the “maro” office and commercial 0 complex parallel to Goethestrasse from the developers Peakside Capital and Groß & Partner. Over the next few years Groß & Partner will be creating quite a stir with their new mega project at the Deutsche Bank‘s Rossmarkt site. The Gertler Estates Family Office purchased the classic office and commercial building at Zeil 127 for its Aberdeen Asset Management portfolio. Extremely high surplus demand for high street properties in Frankfurt - as in other cities - is reflected by initial returns of 3.5 to 3.75 percent. Collector’s prices on Goethestrasse offer a return of up to 3.0 percent, which is a further indication of the city’s profitability, its unique locations, and confidence in the luxury retail segment's strength. COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 8 von 10 COMORT CITY-RANKING 2016 Demography / (socio-)economy Retail trade Location and real estate The COMFORT City Ranking assesses the economic basis, power of attraction, and performance of the retail trade and retail properties in city centres. The index serves as a factually substantiated basis for negotiating rental and purchase prices of city-centre retail properties in Germany. Technically, it is a weighted index of relevant key data and parameters relating to demography and (socio-)economics, the retail trade, location and retail properties. For the most important 60 cities, which are represented in this HIGH STREETS report with individual city reports, a total of 35 parameters determined topically and in the same manner for each individual city are entered. Using a scoring model, the parameters cover three major areas, within which individual sub-indicators are also analysed. In detail these are as follows: • Demography/(socio-)economic index (Parameters for population/development, GDP, employment, unemployment, tourism, retail purchasing power) • Retail trade index (Parameters for the catchment area: population size and level of demand, retail centrality, fashion centrality, as well as city centre sales, sales areas and sales-area productivity) • Location and real-estate index (Parameters for the rents of small/medium-sized spaces, location / retail space structure of the city centre, industry/operator mix in the city centre, rental demand, intensity of demand[Overall rental space demand in m2 in relation to the available retail spaces in the city centre]) Frankfurt occupies an excellent fourth place in the current COMFORT City Ranking. Top population forecasts and commuter rates have also contributed to the city’s productivity per unit area. SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK Frankfurt is still a focus of attention for German and international retailers, and a popular place for testing out new concepts. As in other German cities, there are several anchor tenant stores available or “on the market”. Although potential tenants aren't saying yes to every rent proposal right now, there won’t ultimately be any vacancies. There is still high demand for high street retail space from new concepts. High street rents are only increasing in a few cases at present. Most of them are stagnating, and in some buildings historical rents are being overturned. On Goethestrasse and Fressgass some rents are rising slightly, and demand still exceeds supply. The investment market has not been linked to the rental market for some time now, which is why sellers are securing top prices. Retail and property expert COMFORT summarises that Frankfurt is therefore one of the most attractive locations in Germany, both for investors and for retailers. COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 9 von 10 CONTACT: LEASING JÜRGEN KREUTZ COMFORT Düsseldorf Phone: +49 211 9550-140 Mobile: +49 175 7217701 E-Mail: kreutz@comfort.de INVESTMENT FRANK KAISER COMFORT Düsseldorf Phone: +49 211 9550-134 Mobile: +49 175 7217710 E-Mail: kaiser@comfort.de RESEARCH & CONSULTING OLAF PETERSEN COMFORT Research & Consulting Phone: +49 40 300858-22 Mobile: +49 175 7217720 E-Mail: petersen@comfort.de Editor: COMFORT Holding GmbH Kaistraße 8A 40221 Düsseldorf About the COMFORT Group The COMFORT Group has specialised in the sale and letting of commercial properties and retail units in prime city centre locations since it was established in 1979. As a proven retail property expert, COMFORT makes its know-how available via a consultancy services portfolio which includes expertises, second opinion appraisals and third party due diligence reports. The portfolio also includes shopping centre consultancy and management services. The COMFORT Group is headquartered in Düsseldorf and has offices in Berlin, Düsseldorf, Hamburg, Leipzig, Munich, Vienna and Zurich. www.comfort.de COMFORT Group media contact Frank Hinz, Corporate Communications Kaistraße 8A, 40221 Düsseldorf / Phone: +49 211 9550-144 / E-Mail: hinz@comfort.de DEFINITIONEN Rents in prime locations All statements pertaining to rents are to be read with the following in mind: New rent contracts drawn up in absolutely prime business locations for fictive, purely ground floor sales areas; ideal shop space has ground-level, step-free access, is fitted out to a high standard and, as far as possible, its layout is at a right angle to a shop window with a minimum length of 6 m (for a size of 80–120 m²) or 10 m (for 300–500 m²); peak rents in EUR per m², per month, plus statutory VAT and service charges Purchasing power, Centrality parameters The purchasing power index complements the information on population size for a given location with qualitative criteria. The average value has been standardised nationwide at 100. A value above 100 signals that a location has above average purchasing power potential. However, the purchasing power index does not provide any information as to whether the available capital is in fact spent in the location in question or not. The centrality indicator shows whether, on balance, purchasing power is flowing into or away from a particular location. A value over 100 indicates that the inflow of purchasing power from the surrounding area is higher than the outflow from the city. The centrality indicator thereby sheds a special light on the attractiveness of a location for the retail trade. Fashion centrality Analogous to the industry-wide centrality parameters (= retail centrality), the fashion centrality indicator sheds light on the situation in an important sub-sector – the key city-centre segment fashion, which in turn comprises the two product segments clothing/textiles and shoes/leather products. Catchment Area Cartographic representation of geographic areas in terms of the city’s importance to their resident population as a shopping destination. Blue represents the core city area (zone 1) and red represents the immediate and extended catchment area (zone II). COMFORT City Report Frankfurt 2016 10 von 10
Similar documents
Overview
*based on analysis of 55 European cities GDP & Consumer Spending source: Oxford Economics 2011. Study Area source: MBI 2010.
More information