China and Geopolitical Tensions Have Global Markets In a Tizzy!
Transcription
China and Geopolitical Tensions Have Global Markets In a Tizzy!
From: "Horizon Financial Services, LLC" <todd.day@horizonfs.com> Subject: China and Geopolitical Tensions Have Global Markets In a Tizzy! Date: March 17, 2014 12:59:26 PM EDT To: alice@infographcreative.com Reply-To: todd.day@horizonfs.com Having trouble viewing this email? Click here China and Geopolitical Tensions Have Global Markets In a Tizzy! Markets In a Tizzy! Welcome to the video edition of my weekly market update. To view the video, just click on the arrow below. Todd Day Portfolio Manager Horizon Financial Services, LLC In This Issue Quote Of The Week Recipe Of The Week Tax Tips Golf Tip Healthy Lifestyle Green Living China and Geopolitical Tensions Have Global Markets In a Tizzy! Well, in a week where we did see the S&P 500 testing the intra-day all-time high the markets were rifle focused on China and the Crimea. In China, weakening economic data had traders and investors concerned about the global growth story. This news sent the Copper market in a freefall as weakening growth means lower shipments of Copper. The tensions in the Ukraine, and mainly in Crimea, took center stage as Russia continues to increase their military presence in the region. And the sabre rattling eventually took its toll on stocks, with the Dow now down more than 2.50% for the year, the S&P 500 virtually flat and the NASDAQ holding onto only a slight gain. EARNINGS It was a slow week for quarterly earnings, but it's still all about the weather. Sporting goods retailer, Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) reported earnings that exceeded expectations thanks to all the winter weather gear they sold, yet offered weak guidance for the remaining 2014. The stock was up as JP Morgan (JPM) was out there beating the drum for the stock. Dollar General (DG) reported a rise in profit on higher sales but results were below expectations (thanks to the weather) and they provided poor guidance. The world's largest chemical supplier, DuPont (DD) warned that earnings would be hurt because of the weather and the Ukrainian situation where they have a facility that produces a variety of seeds. In other stock news, Men's Warehouse (MW) agreed to buy Joseph A. Banks (JOSB) for $65/share plus two suits and four shirts and as many neckties as you could carry. As we approach April and a new earnings season, remember, they are reporting first quarter earnings, which had some weather issues, so be ready to hear more of the blame game. ECONOMY Last week offered very little in the way of domestic economic data for traders and investors to digest. That was a good thing as there were bigger fish to fry. We did hear from NFIB Small Business sentiment and Small Business owners were not so optimistic in February after all, and the biggest disappointment within the number was the drop in hiring expectations since January. Go ahead, blame winter. You know you want to. Retail Sales surprised to the upside beating expectations but January's numbers were revised down. We did see the Weekly Jobless Claims drop to 315,000 which was less than the 330,000 expected. We wrapped up the week with a view of consumer confidence and it unexpectedly fell. The weakness is in the expectations component. It would be speculative to wonder, what's behind this dip? Slow growth in the jobs market is a likely factor, perhaps the building conflict in Ukraine is also a factor, but we know it's not the weather as Spring is on the way. INTERNATIONAL Across the pond, European stock markets moved lower tracking a negative trading mood in Asia where lingering concerns about a slowdown in China hit sentiment. Weak industrial-production data from the euro zone also hampered the investing mood. But there was some good news. Portugal reported a recorded year-on-year quarterly growth since the fourth quarter of 2010. The turnaround surprised economists, who expected the euro-zone country to continue to be hard hit by the austerity measures the government imposed. Signs of improvement, however, started showing late last year as the euro- zone crisis began to ease. In Asia there was significant weakness as Chinese growth concerns continue to weigh on markets. They also released a weaker than expected Industrial Output number - now to be clear - it did rise by 8.6% but the expectation was for 9.5%. And as mentioned earlier, the copper market got crushed on the slowdown fears and potential bond defaults out of China. Meanwhile Japan's economy expanded less than estimated in the fourth quarter and the current-account deficit widened to a record in January and the yen continues to rise hurting the Nikkei index. THE WEEK AHEAD So, with little in the way of earnings to speak of for this week (which is good we got other things to worry about) the economy, the FED, China and Ukraine will give us plenty to chew on. We will hear more on the state of the manufacturing and housing sectors and you can expect the "W" word to be used a few times. This week's FED meeting will mark Janet Yellon's first as Chair so this will be widely and I do mean widely watched. We expect for the FED to continue to reduce their bond purchases and any deviation from this has the potential to be market moving. And we will be monitoring the developments between Russia and the Ukraine and will keep you posted. Coconut Rice Custard A delicious and gluten free dessert that's easy to make. Ingredients: 1 13.5-ounce can unsweetened coconut milk 1/4 cup water 1/4 cup plus 2/3 cup sugar 1 cup long-grain white rice 3 cups half-and-half 5 eggs 1 teaspoon vanilla extract Directions: 1. Preheat your oven to 325°F. Heat a kettle of water to near boiling. 2. Bring coconut milk, water, and ¼ cup sugar to a boil in a small saucepan. 3. Stir in the rice once the liquid is boiling. Reduce heat to medium-low, cover pot, and simmer gently for approximately 20 minutes until the rice is tender and the liquid has been absorbed. 4. While the rice is cooking, warm the half-and-half in a small saucepan over medium heat - do not allow it to boil. Whisk the eggs, vanilla, and remaining sugar together in a bowl. Slowly pour the warm half-and-half into the egg mixture, whisking constantly. Stir in the cooked rice. 5. Pour mixture into an 8x8-inch baking dish. Set the baking dish inside a larger roasting pan or baking dish and transfer to middle oven rack. Carefully pour enough hot water into the larger dish to reach halfway up the sides of the smaller dish. 6. Bake approximately one hour, until the custard is set. 7. Serve warm or chilled. Recipe courtesy of Sara Quessenberry | RealSimple.com Deducting Medical and Dental Expenses If you're planning to deduct any healthcare expenses on your federal taxes, there are some new rules that you should know about. * Beginning in 2013, the amount of allowable medical expenses you must exceed before you can claim a deduction is 10% of your adjusted gross income, unless you or your spouse are age 65 or older. In this case, the AGI threshold is still 7.5%. This exception will be valid through December 31, 2016. * You should also keep in mind that only expenses paid in 2013 are eligible for deductions on 2013 taxes. If you paid by check, the day you mailed or delivered the check can be considered the date of payment. * You can only claim medical or dental expenses if you itemize deductions on your federal tax return. Tip courtesy of IRS.gov [12] Reach For the Driver Drivers have exploded in size in recent years, making them bigger, longer, and much more forgiving. The next time you're faced with a choice between your driver and a fairway wood on a tight hole, consider reaching for the driver. You could choke down on the grip, tee the ball lower, or even make a ¾ swing to mimic a fairway wood while still taking advantage of the driver's forgiving nature. Tip courtesy of A.J. Bonar & Ryan Noll | Golf Tips Mag [13] Home Remedies That Work Honey for a cough. A Pennsylvania study found that honey can help reduce coughing in children and adults. Liquid dish soap for poison ivy. If you run into poison ivy, washing the affected area with dish soap within two hours may help prevent the itchy rash. Ginger for upset stomach and motion sickness. Some studies have shown that small doses of fresh or powdered ginger can help relieve symptoms of nausea. Tip courtesy of Candy Sagon | AARP Bulletin [14] Mulch to Save Water There are many reasons to use mulch in your yard or garden. Mulching keeps weeds down, conditions your soil, and can make your yard look more attractive. Mulch also plays an important role in preventing water loss. Once the soil is moist, a layer of mulch helps keep it from drying out, reducing the amount of watering your garden will need in warm weather. Mulch doesn't have to be expensive. Many municipalities offer residents mulch from public works projects. Check with your city or county to see if free mulch is available for delivery. Tip courtesy of Oregon State University [15] Share the Wealth of Knowledge! Please share this market update with family, friends, or colleagues. If you would like us to add them to our list, simply click on the "Forward email" link below. We love being introduced! Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets. 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Bonds are equally weighted by maturity cell, industry sector, and the overall index. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are the leading measures of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate. The index is made up of measures of real estate prices in 20 cities and weighted to produce the index. The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the longterm bond market. Google Finance is the source for any reference to the performance of an index between two specific periods. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You cannot invest directly in an index. Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. These are the views of Horizon Financial Services, LLC, and should not be construed as investment advice. Neither Horizon Financial Services, LLC nor its Investment Advisor Representatives or Associates gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Please consult your financial advisor for further information. John Brais, Owner Investment Advisor Representative Horizon Financial Services, LLC 3880 Vest Mill Road, Suite 100 Winston Salem, NC 27103 (336) 659-7060 john.brais@horizonfs.com http://www.horizonfs.com Copyright © 2014. All Rights Reserved. Investment advisory services are offered through Horizon Financial Services, LLC, a North Carolina State Registered Investment Advisor. Insurance products are offered through New Horizon Financial Services, Inc. dba Horizon Financial Services. Forward this email This email was sent to alice@infographcreative.com by todd.day@horizonfs.com | Update Profile/Email Address | Instant removal with SafeUnsubscribeâ„¢ | Privacy Policy. Horizon Financial Services, LLC | 3880 Vest Mill Road | Suite 100 | Winston Salem | NC | 27103