Conference Brochure - Faculty of Economics
Transcription
Conference Brochure - Faculty of Economics
EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 The 2014 Meeting of the European Public Choice Society Cambridge England 3-6 April 2014 1 The 2014 Meeting of the EUROPEAN PUBLIC CHOICE SOCIETY 3-6 April 2014, Cambridge © University of Cambridge University of Cambridge Faculty of Economics Programme Overview Thursday, April 3 14:00-14:55 14:55-15:00 Registration Welcome Marquee Auditorium 15:00-16:00 Plenary Session: Martin Paldam Auditorium 16:15-18:15 Parallel Sessions A1-A7 18:45-20:00 Drinks Reception Pitt Building Friday, April 4 8:35-10:05 Parallel Sessions B1-B7 10:05-10:30 Coffee Break 10:30-11:30 Plenary Session: Paul Collier 11:45-13:15 Parallel Sessions C1-C8 13:15-14:30 Lunch Break 14:30-16:00 Parallel Sessions D1-D8 16.00-16.30 Coffee Break 16.30-18.00 Parallel Sessions E1-E8 18:10-19:40 Parallel Sessions F1-F8 20.00- Dinner at Robinson College 8:35-10:05 Parallel Sessions G1-G8 10:05-10:30 Coffee Break 10:30-11:30 Plenary Session: James Robinson Auditorium 11:30-11.40 Wicksell Prize Announcement Auditorium 11:50-13:20 Parallel Sessions H1-H8 13:20-14:30 Lunch Break Dining Hall 14:30-17.00 Punting and walking tour. Front court 18.45- Galla Dinner 9:00-10:30 Parallel Sessions I1-I7 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-12:30 Parallel Sessions J1-J5 12.35-13.15 Members’ Meeting 13:30- Optional trip to Duxford Marquee Auditorium Dinning Hall Marquee Dinning Hall Saturday, April 5 Marquee Jesus College Sunday, April 6 Marquee Auditorium Marquee EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Table of Contents Welcome ..................................................................................................................................... 3 Committees ................................................................................................................................ 4 Information about the Conference Venue ................................................................................. 5 Registration Desk.................................................................................................................. 5 Sessions .................................................................................................................................. 5 Helpline ................................................................................................................................. 5 Internet Access at Robinson College ................................................................................... 6 Lunch Breaks and Dinners ................................................................................................... 6 Coffee Breaks ........................................................................................................................ 6 Cloakroom............................................................................................................................. 6 College Bar at Robinson ........................................................................................................ 6 ATMs .................................................................................................................................... 6 Smoking ................................................................................................................................. 6 Plenary Speakers ........................................................................................................................ 7 Information about the Parallel Sessions ........................................................................................ 9 The Wicksell Prize .................................................................................................................... 9 The Candidates for the Wicksell Prize................................................................................. 10 Scientific Programme at a Glance............................................................................................ 12 Scientific Programme in Detail................................................................................................ 15 Thursday, April 3, 2014 ....................................................................................................... 15 Friday, April 4, 2014............................................................................................................ 19 Saturday, April 5, 2014 ........................................................................................................ 37 Sunday, April 6, 2014 .......................................................................................................... 45 Information about the Social Programme............................................................................... 51 Welcome Reception ............................................................................................................. 51 Guided City Tour and Punting Trip ..................................................................................... 51 Dinners ................................................................................................................................. 51 Imperial War Museum Duxford........................................................................................... 52 Sponsors ................................................................................................................................... 52 Exhibitions by Publishers ........................................................................................................ 52 Past Presidents of the EPCS ................................................................................................ 53 Information about Cambridge ............................................................................................... 54 Getting Around .................................................................................................................... 54 Taxi ...................................................................................................................................... 54 Restaurants and Pubs ........................................................................................................... 55 List of Participants ................................................................................................................... 56 2 Welcome EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 On behalf of the Board of the European Public Choice Society and the Faculty of Economics, it is my great pleasure to welcome you to the Society’s annual meeting at Robinson College, University of Cambridge. The Society received a larger number of high-quality submissions, reporting on research at the frontier of Public Choice and Political Economy, and which went through a rigorous reviewing process by the Scientific Committee consisting of the Board of the Society. I hope that you will find the resulting scientific programme as stimulating as I do. I am particular proud to introduce the three keynote speakers: Paul Collier (University of Oxford) Martin Paldam (Aarhus University) James Robinson (Harvard University) Beside the appeal of the scientific programme, I hope that you will find time to enjoy the historical city of Cambridge. Cambridge can best be appreciated by strolling through its city center, drift into the colleges, or walk along the river Cam. As always, an exciting social programme is on offer. It will give you the opportunity to enhance your academic network by interacting with colleagues outside the seminar room and to get an idea of what Cambridge can offer its guests. Hopefully this programme booklet provides you with the general as well as the specific information required for a smooth conference experience. However, you are welcome to drop by Registration Desk in the Marquee at Robinson College throughout the conference in case you have any unanswered questions. Regards, Dr. Toke Aidt President of the EPCS 2013-15. 3 Committees EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Programme chair and local organizer Toke Aidt, University of Cambridge Scientific Committee Toke Aidt, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Chris (Hristos) Doucouliagos, Deakin University, Australia Martial Foucault, Sciences Po Paris, France Pierre Guillaume Méon, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Colin Jennings, King’s College, London, United Kingdom Henrik Jordahl, Research Institute for Industrial Economics-IFN, Sweden Benoît Le Maux, University of Rennes 1, France Katja Rost, University of Zürich, Switzerland Christoph Schaltegger, University of Lucerne, Switzerland Gilberto Turati, University of Turin, Italy Conference Managers at Robinson College Nick Milne Amy Brown Conference Assistants Girish Bahal, Faculty of Economics Anand Shrivastava, Faculty of Economics Edward Smith, Jesus College Sogo Akintaro, Jesus College Jenni Scurr, Newnham College Min Ji Kim, Jesus College Theo Morris Clarke, Jesus College Simon Pittaway, Jesus College Web design Howard Cobb, Faculty of Economics Wicksell Prize Committee Heinrick Ursprung, University of Konstanz, Germany Roger Congleton, West Virginia University, USA Martin Gassebner, University of Reading, United Kingdom 4 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Information about the Conference Venue All academic activities of the conference – plenary and parallel sessions – take place at Robinson College, Grange Road, Cambridge, CB3 9AN, UK. (http://www.robinson.cam.ac.uk). Registration Desk The Registration Desk, located in the Marquee in Front Court, Level G, R (College Map printed inside the back cover), is open throughout the conference during the following hours: Thursday: Friday: Saturday: Sunday: 14.00-18.30 08.30-19.45 08.30-13.30 09.00-13.30 When you pick up the conference pack, you will receive tickets for the social events that you signed up to when you registered for the conference. Sessions The plenary sessions and the members’ meeting take place in the Auditorium located at level G of the College with entrance from Front Court. Parallel sessions take place in seminar rooms spread across the College as indicated on College map and in the detailed Programme. The rooms are: Name of Room Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Code on College Map Level G, 1 Level 0, 19 Level G, 4 Level G, 9 Level G, 14 Level G 2 Level 2, 27 Level 1, 2 Helpline In case you need support and cannot reach us via the Registration Desk in the Marquee, please call +44 0797 1729 603. 5 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Internet Access at Robinson College Wireless internet access is available in all conference rooms and anywhere else in the main buildings of the College. To use the WLAN, a login is required. Please follow these instructions: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Log on to Wireless Network: Rob-Conf Type in password: december1122 Open a public page i.e. Google, yahoo etc. You will then have to click ‘I Agree’ to the terms and conditions Access Internet! For those coming from participating institutions, internet can also be accessed via the eduroam account (www.eduroam.org). Lunch Breaks and Dinners Lunch on Friday and Saturday is served in the Dining Hall at Robinson College (Level 0, 5) and is self-service. This is also where the Dinner on Friday night is served. The gala dinner on Saturday night is served at Jesus College. Coffee Breaks Coffee breaks between the parallel sessions take place in the Marquee in Front Court. The College café, called the Red Brick Café (Level G, 7), is open Thursday, Friday and Saturday (in the morning). Cloakroom Suitcases can be stored at the Registration Desk located in the Marquee in Front Court. You may also hang your jacket etc. there. This facility is accessible during the opening hours of the Registration Desk but it is not locked. College Bar at Robinson The College bar at Robinson College (G 8) will be open after dinner on Friday evening till midnight. ATMs HSBC Bank plc 63-64 St Andrews Street Cambridge CB2 3BZ Smoking Smoking is prohibited everywhere in all university buildings, including Robinson and Jesus College. Smoking is only allowed at designated (outdoor) smoking areas. There is one such area located outside the Dining Hall at Robinson College. 6 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Plenary Speakers Martin Paldam (Aarhus University) Thursday April 3, 3-4 pm Location: Auditorium, Robinson College Title: The Political Economy of Economic Research. Martin Paldam is Professor of Economics at Aarhus University in Denmark. He is one of the most prominent figures in European public choice and served as the President of the society in 1982-83. Martin is widely known for his work on vote and popularity functions, political business cycles, corruption, development aid, social capital, and democracy. He has published numerous articles, including papers in the European Economic Review, British Journal of Political Science, Public Choice and the European Journal of Political Economy, and several books. He has served as advisor to the United Nations and to the World Bank. Public Choice recently published a special issue in his honor. Paul Collier (University of Oxford). Friday April 4, 10.30-11.30 am Location: Auditorium, Robinson College Title: What's Wrong with Democracy? Sir Paul Collier, CBE, is Professor of Economics and Public Policy at the Blavatnik School of Government, and Director for the Centre for the Study of African Economies at The University of Oxford and Fellow of St Antony's College. Paul is widely recognized as a leading expert on governance in low-income countries. His research has focused especially on the political economy of democracy, economic growth (or lack thereof) in Africa, the economics of civil war, aid, globalisation and poverty. He has authored a number of very influential and important prize winning books, including “The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries are Failing and What Can Be Done About It”, “Wars, Guns, and Votes: Democracy in Dangerous Places” and most recently “Exodus: How Migration is Changing Our World”, all published by Oxford University Press. He is the co-author of one of the most quoted academic papers on the causes of civil war and he has served as the advisor to the World Bank, the IMF and many other international organizations. 7 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 James Robinson (Harvard University) Saturday April 5, 10.30-11.30 am Location: Auditorium, Robinson College Title: State Formation and Pro-Social Preferences. James Robinson is David Florence Professor of Government at Harvard University and a faculty associate at the Institute for Quantitative Social Science and the Weatherhead Center for International Affairs. A world-renowned expert on Latin America and Africa, James has made countless major contributions to political economy, development economics and economic history. His work on political institutions and long-run political and economic development has been pivotal in defining this research agenda during the past decade. He published with the Cambridge University Press in 2006, the prize winning book “The Economic Origins of Democracy and Dictatorship” jointly with Daron Acemoglu which is considered a milestone in the literature. He is currently working on a new book called the “History of the Chiefdoms of Sierra Leone”. 8 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Information about the Parallel Sessions We have assigned a chairperson to each Parallel Session. His or her job is to start and conclude the session on time and supervise that: • each presenter has at most 20 minutes to present the paper; • the discussant has at most 5 minutes to discuss the paper; • there are at least 5 minutes for general discussion; • and the total time for one paper does not exceed 30 minutes. Each paper has been assigned a discussant. As a discussant you are allocated five minutes. Since the author has just presented his or her paper, there is normally not any great need for the discussant to summarize it. You might, however, want to put the paper into perspective and it is a good idea to focus your comments on the BIG issues (small issues can best be communicated in private afterwards). Keep in mind that the objective is to improve the paper, so constructive critique is most helpful. Since you have spent (costly) time studying the paper in advance, you are encouraged to maximize the benefit of your efforts by taking the opportunity to talk to the author(s) about it in private before or after the session. Each seminar room has a data projector and a laptop. We encourage presenters and discussants to upload their slides on the laptop before the session starts. One of the student helpers will make sure that the audiovisual equipment is functional at the start of each session. In case of problems, contact the Registration Desk in the Marquee. The Wicksell Prize Each year the EPCS awards the Wicksell Prize, named in honour of the Swedish economist Johan Gustaf Knut Wicksell, to the best paper presented at its annual meeting by a “young” researcher. To qualify for the prize, the presenter of the paper as well as all co-authors must be under 30 years of age as of December 31, 2013. The Wicksell Prize is generously sponsored by the European Journal of Political Economy published by Elsevier. 9 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 This year the Wicksell Prize selection committee consists of the following scholars Heinrick Ursprung, University of Konstanz, Germany Roger Congleton, West Virginia University, USA Martin Gassebner, University of Reading, United Kingdom The winner of the Prize will be announced after the Plenary Session on Saturday in the Auditorium. Abstracts of papers considered for the Wicksell prize can be found in the “Abstract of the papers presented” booklet. The candidate papers are indicated in the Scientific Programme section (below) with “[Wicksell Prize candidate]” after the title. The Candidates for the Wicksell Prize Zareh Asatryan, The Indirect Effects of Direct Democracy: Local Government Size and Non-Budgetary Voter Initiatives, G4 Girish Bahal, Estimating Transfer Multiplier using Spending on Rural Development Programmes in India, G6 Elena Costas-Pérez, Political Corruption and Voter Turnout: Mobilization or Disaffection?, F5 Jakob Eberl, The Political Economy of Public Debt and Social Security: Repayment in Times of Fiscal Distress, E4 Christoph Esslinger et al, State Capacity and Public Debt: A political Economy Analysis, C3 Wolf Heinrich Reuter, National Numerical Fiscal Rules: Not Complied with, but Still Effective?, F4 Monika Köppl-Turyna, Two-party Competition with Investment in Political Capital: A Differential Game Approach, E3 10 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Omiros Kouvavas, Political Budget Cycles Revisited. The Case of Social Capital, G1 Cristian Krekel and Marie Poprawe, Murder, Smoke, and Shadows? The Effect of Local Crime on Well-Being Christian Marti, Educative Effects of Direct Democracy on Turnout in Initiative and Referendum Votes: Evidence for Switzerland, 1970-2012, G4 Eoin McGuirk, Public Goods and the Salience of Local Ethnic Diversity: The Case of Teacher Absenteeism in Africa, F8 Stephan Michel, Endogenous Parliamentarism, D4 Geoffrey Minne, An International Watchtower: IMF Surveillance and the Fear of Declaring one's Exchange Rate Regime, A3 Marie Poprawe, A Panel Data Analysis of the Effect of Corruption on Tourism, A1 Anand Shrivastava, Civil Conflict with Rising Wages and Increasing State Capacity: The Maoist Insurgency in India, B6 Alessia De Stefani, Social Conflict an Fiscal Policy Under IMF-Supported Programs, A6 Nadia Yerly, Institutional Measurement of Fiscal Rules and Impact on Fiscal Performance: Swiss Empirical Evidence, D6 Ibrahim Yilmaz, Politically Connected Banks and Employment: Evidence from Turkey, D5. Shu Yu, Political Stability and Leader Selection, A6 11 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Scientific Programme at a Glance Thursday April 3 14:00–14:55 14:55–15:00 15:00–16:00 16:15–18:15 18:45–20:00 Registration Welcome Address Plenary Session: Martin Paldam Sessions A1-A7 A1: Corruption A2: Fiscal Policy I A3: International Organisations A4: Economic Reform A5: Central Banks A6: Institutions: Stability and Limits A7: Trust Welcome Reception Marquee Auditorium Auditorium Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Pitt Building Friday April 4 08:35–10:05 10:05–10:30 10:30–11:30 11:45–13:15 13:15–14:30 14:30–16:00 16.00–16:30 Sessions B1-B7 B1: Taxation B2: Social Preferences and Capital B3: Voting and Ideology B4: Lobbying B5: Political Parties and Pay of Politicians B6: Insurgency, Crime and Terrorism B7: Bureaucracies Coffee break Plenary Session: Paul Collier Sessions C1-C8 C1: Violent Conflict C2: Political Transitions C3: State Capacity and Institutions C4: Term Limits and Benchmarking C5: Election Participation and Turnout C6: Monetary Policy C7: Shadow Economy C8: Well-being and Civic Engagement Lunch Break Sessions D1-D8 D1: Redistribution D2: Violence and Conflict D3: Public Service Provision D4: Electoral Systems D5: Politicians and the Private Sector D6: Fiscal Rules in Switzerland D7: Autocracies D8: Homo Oeconomicus Coffee Break Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 Marquee Auditorium Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Dining Hall Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Marquee 12 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Friday April 4 cont. 16:30–18:00 18:10–19:40 20:00–22:00 Sessions E1-E8 E1: Local Political Budget Cycles E2: Health E3: Consequences of Political Competition E4: Public Debt E5: Accountability and Incentives E6: Federalism and Nations E7: Public Choice Experiments E8: Social Choice Sessions F1-F8 F1: Development Aid F2: Institutions and the Structure of the Economy F3: Politics and Local Public Finance F4: Fiscal Rules F5: Electoral Manipulation F6: Natural Resources and Agricultural Liberalisation F7: Religion F8: Public Goods, Coalitions and Ethnic Divisions Dinner at Robinson College Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Dining Hall Saturday April 5 08:35–10:05 10:05–10:30 10:30–11:30 11:30–11:40 11:50–13:20 13:20–14:30 14:30–17:00 18:45–22:00 Sessions G1-G8 G1: Political Business Cycles and Development G2: Corruption (empirical) G3: Yardstick Competition G4: The Voter Initiative G5: Consequences of Democracy G6: Fiscal Policy II G7: Strategic Behaviour in Elections G8: Politicians Coffee Break Plenary Session: James Robinson Wicksell Prize Announcement Sessions H1-H8 H1: The Rise and Fall of Democracy H2: Environmental and Energy Policy H3: Theories of Electoral Manipulation H4: Contest Theory H5: Economic Growth H6: Common Pool and Municipal Mergers H7: Trust and Financial Markets H8: Distribution and Taxation Lunch Break Punting and walking tour Gala Dinner Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Marquee Auditorium Auditorium Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 J8 Dining Hall Front Court Jesus College 13 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Sunday April 6 09:00–10:30 10:30–11:00 11:00–12:30 12:35–13:15 13.30 Sessions I1-I7 I1: Rent Seeking I2: Voting Rules and Their Consequences I3: Committees and The Renter's Illusion I4: Transfer Programmes I5: Interest Groups and Collective Action I6: The Political Economy of the Military I7: Courts and Legal Systems Coffee Break Sessions F1-F8 J1: Mayors J2: Intergenerational Conflict J3: Allocation of Aid J4: Politics, Elections and the Economy J5: Endogenous Institutions Members' Meeting Optional trip to Duxford Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Linnett Room Auditorium Lounge Teaching Room 7 Marquee Auditorium Garden Room Games Room JCR Auditorium Lounge Auditorium Marquee 14 EPCS 2014 • Thursday • 3 April 2014 Scientific Programme in Detail Thursday, April 3, 2014 2.00 PM - 2.55 PM Registration (Marquee) 2.55 PM - 3.00 PM Welcome Address (Auditorium) Chair: Toke Aidt, University of Cambridge 3.00 PM - 4.00 PM Plenary Session 1 (Auditorium) Chair: Gebhard Kirchgässner, Institute for Advanced Study, Berlin The Political Economy of Economic Research Martin Paldam, Aarhus University, Denmark Parallel Sessions A1-A7: 4.15 PM - 6.15 PM Session A1: Corruption (Auditorium) Chair: Fabio Padovano, University of Rennes 1 Is Trade in Services More Sensitive to Corruption than Trade in Goods? Presenter: Eelke de Jong, Radboud University Nijmegen, Netherlands Melnikova Yulia, Radboud University Nijmegen, Netherlands Discussant: Günther Schulze, University of Freiburg Who Determine Chinese Firms' Engagement in Corruption: Themselves or Others? Presenter: Jing You, Renmin University of China, China Huihua Nie, Renmin University of China, China Discussant: Eelke de Jong , Radboud University Nijmegen A Panel Data Analysis of the Effect of Corruption on Tourism [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Marie Poprawe, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Discussant: Krisztina Kis-Katos, University of Freiburg Perception vs. Experience: How to Explain Differences in Corruption Measures Using Microdata? Presenter: Fabio Padovano, University of Rennes 1, France Jerg Gutmann, University of Hamburg, Germany Stefan Voigt, University of Hamburg, Germany Discussant: Rajeev Goel, Illinois State University 15 EPCS 2014 • Thursday • 3 April 2014 Session A2: Fiscal Policy I (Garden Room) Chair: Jan-Egbert Sturm, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zürich Public Attitudes toward Fiscal Consolidation: Evidence from a Representative German Population Survey Presenter: Florian Neumeier, Philipps-University Marburg, Germany Bernd Hayo, Philipps-University Marburg, Germany Discussant: Klaas Staal, IAAK, University of Bonn Was the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act an Economic Stimulus? Presenter: Klaas Staal, IAAK, University of Bonn, Germany Barbara Klein, IAAK, Germany Discussant: Florian Neumeier, Philipps-University Marburg Do Coalitions Lead to Higher Fiscal Deficits? A Regression Discontinuity Approach Presenter: Joaquín Artés, Complutense University of Madrid, Spain Ignacio Jurado, University of Manchester, United Kingdom Discussant: Ciğdem Börke Tunali, Istanbul University-Brunel University Can Fiscal Decentralization Alleviate Government Consumption Volatility? Presenter: Simone Salotti, Oxford Brookes University, United Kingdom Davide Furceri, IMF, United States Agnese Sacchi, Mercatorum University, Italy Discussant: Jan-Egbert Sturm, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zürich Session A3: International Organisations (Games Room) Chair: Axel Dreher, Heidelberg University An International Watchtower: IMF Surveillance and the Fear of Declaring one's Exchange Rate Regime [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Geoffrey Minne, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Discussant: Matthew Rablen, Brunel University Equitable Representation in the Councils of the United Nations: Theory and Application Presenter: Matthew Rablen, Brunel University, United Kingdom Matthew Gould, Brunel University, United Kingdom Discussant: Vera Eichenauer, Heidelberg University Voting for Basel or How to Improve the Efficiency of the Basel club Presenter: Florian Buck, University of Munich, Germany Eva Schliephake, University of Bonn, Germany Discussant: Geoffrey Minne, Université libre de Bruxelles The Politics of Special Purpose Trust Fund Presenter: Vera Eichenauer, Heidelberg University, Germany Simon Hug, Geneva University, Switzerland Discussant: Frank Bohn, Radboud University Nijmegen 16 EPCS 2014 • Thursday • 3 April 2014 Session A4: Economic Reform (JCR) Chair: Jan Fidrmuc, Brunel University Political Ideology and Economic Reform: An Experiment Presenter: Rasmus Wiese, University of Groningen, Netherlands Richard Jong-A-Pin, University of Groningen, Netherlands Jakob de Haan, University of Groningen, Netherlands Discussant: Klarita Gërxhani, University of Amsterdam Lending a Hand to the Invisible Hand? - Assessing the Effects of Newly Enacted Competition Laws Presenter: Jerg Gutmann, University of Hamburg, Germany Stefan Voigt, University of Hamburg, Germany Discussant: Rasmus Wiese, University of Groningen Mistaken Beliefs and the Politics of the Slippery Slope Presenter: Giri Parameswaran, Haverford College, United States Discussant: Jan Fidrmuc, Brunel University Crises, Reforms and Ideology Presenter: Jan Fidrmuc, Brunel University, United Kingdom David Mayes, University of Auckland, New Zealand Discussant: Giri Parameswaran, Haverford College Session A5: Central Banks (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Michael Lamla, University of Essex Speaking in Tongues? Theory and Empirics of Central Banks' Communication Policies Presenter: Hamza Bennani, Universités de Lille, France Etienne Farvaque, Université du Havre, France Discussant: Michael Lamla, University of Essex Do Federal Reserve Bank Presidents Vote with a Regional Bias? Presenter: Alexander Jung, European Central Bank, Germany Sophia Latsos, DIW Berlin, Germany Discussant: Etienne Farvaque, Université Le Havre How Global Are Credit Ratings? The Role of Institutional Embeddedness Presenter: Dimitrios Soudis, University of Groningen, Netherlands Andre van Hoorn, University of Groningen, Netherlands Discussant: Etienne Farvaque, Université Le Havre Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication Presenter: Michael Lamla, University of Essex, United Kingdom Lena Dräger, University of Hamburg, Germany Damjan Pfajfar, University of Tilburg, Netherlands Discussant: Alexander Jung, European Central Bank 17 EPCS 2014 • Thursday • 3 April 2014 Session A6: Institutions: Stability and Limits (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Richard Jong-A-Pin, University of Groningen Accountability in Autocracies: The Role of Revolution Threat Presenter: Mario Gilli, University of Milan-Bicocca, Italy Yuan Li, Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden Discussant: Shu Yu, University of Groningen Political Stability and Leader Selection [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Shu Yu, University of Groningen, Netherlands Discussant: Mario Gilli, University of Milan-Bicocca Social Conflict and Fiscal Policy Under IMF-Supported Programs [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Alessia De Stefani, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom Discussant: Alessandro Melcarne, University of Turin The Limits of Judicial Efficiency: Democracy vs. Civil Rights Presenter: Alessandro Melcarne, University of Turin, Italy Roberto Ippoliti, Italian National School of Public Administration, Italy Giovanni Battista Ramello, University of Eastern Piedmont, Italy Discussant: Richard Jong-A-Pin, University of Groningen Session A7: Trust (J8) Chair: Chris (Hristos) Doucouliagos, Deakin University Confidence in Public Bodies, and Electoral Participation in India Presenter: Catherine Bros, University of Paris-Est Marne la Vallée - ERUDITE, France Vani K. Borooah, University of Ulster, United Kingdom Discussant: Anirban Mitra, University of Oslo Does Social Distrust Always Lead to a Stronger Support for Government Intervention? Presenter: Hans Pitlik, Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO), Austria Ludek Kouba, Mendel University in Brno, Czech Republic Discussant: Pietro Tommasino, Bank of Italy Does Trust Influence Social Expenditures? Evidence from Local Governments Presenter: Pietro Tommasino, Bank of Italy, Italy Silvia Camussi, Andrea Linarello, Anna Laura Mancini Bank of Italy, Italy Discussant: Niclas Berggren, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN) Globalization and the Transmission of Social Values: The Case of Tolerance Presenter: Niclas Berggren, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Sweden Therese Nilsson, Lund University, Sweden Discussant: Hans Pitlik, Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO) 6.45 PM - 8.00 PM Welcome Reception (Pitt Building) 18 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Friday, April 4, 2014 Parallel Sessions B1-B7: 8.35 AM - 10.05 AM Session B1: Taxation (Auditorium) Chair: Christian Frey, University of Lucerne Influence of Climate Conditions on Tax Revenues Presenter: Mihai Mutascu, West University of Timisoara, Romania Discussant: Christian Frey, University of Lucerne The Legacy of a Political Regime on Tax Morale Presenter: Sarah Necker, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Lars P. Feld, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Silke Humbert, University of Lucerne, Switzerland Discussant: Mihai Mutascu, West University of Timisoara The Long Run Effects of Taxes on the Distribution of Top Income Shares Presenter: Christian Frey, University of Lucerne, Switzerland Christoph A. Schaltegger, University of Lucerne, Switzerland Christoph Gorgas, University of Lucerne, Switzerland Discussant: Sarah Necker, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg Session B2: Social Preferences and Capital (Garden Room) Chair: Massimiliano Piacenza, University of Turin Long Lasting Differences in Social Capital: Evidence from a Unique Immigration Event in Italy Presenter: Emanuele Bracco, Lancaster University, United Kingdom Colin Green, Lancaster University, United Kingdom Maria De Paola, University of Calabria, Italy Discussant: Massimiliano Piacenza, University of Turin Policies for Happiness in the Global Village Presenter: Bogdan Dima, West University of Timisoara, Romania Stefana Maria Dima, Vasile Goldis Western University of Arad, Romania Discussant: Emanuele Bracco, Lancaster University Individual Responsibility and Social Preferences for Redistribution: An Experimental Study Presenter: Massimiliano Piacenza, University of Torino, Italy Sergio Beraldo, University of Napoli "Federico II", Italy Gilberto Turati, University of Torino, Italy Discussant: Arthur Schram, Amsterdam School of Economics/CREED 19 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session B3: Voting and Ideology (Games Room) Chair: Benoît Le Maux, University of Rennes 1 Female Vote and the Rise of AKP in Turkey Presenter: Ciğdem Börke Tunali, Istanbul University-Brunel University, Turkey Jan Fidrmuc, Brunel University, United Kingdom Discussant: Benoît Le Maux, University of Rennes 1 Paradox of Voting and the Diffusion of Democratic Ideology: The Case of France Presenter: Louis Jaeck, United Arab Emirates University, United Arab Emirates Francois Facchini, University Paris 11, France Discussant: Friedrich Schneider, University of Linz Inequality, Electoral Outcome and Size of Government: Does Ideology Affect Public Good Provision? Presenter: Benoît Le Maux, University of Rennes 1, France Discussant: Louis Jaeck, United Arab Emirates University Session B4: Lobbying (JCR) Chair: James H. Cassing, University of Pittsburgh Informational Lobbying and Agenda Distortion Presenter: Arnaud Dellis, Laval University and CIRPEE, Canada Christopher Cotton, University of Miami, United States Discussant: Zara Sharif, Erasmus University Rotterdam Optimality and Distortionary Lobbying: Controlling Tobacco Consumption Presenter: Luca V.A. Colombo, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Italy Umberto Galmarini, University of Insubria, Italy Discussant: Arnaud Dellis, Laval University and CIRPEE The Optimal Lobbyist Presenter: Zara Sharif, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands Otto Swank, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands Discussant: Luca V.A. Colombo, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart Session B5: Political Parties and Pay of Politicians (Linnett Room) Chair: James Rockey, University of Leicester Does Remuneration Affect the Discipline and the Selection of Politicians? Evidence from Pay Harmonization in the European Parliament Presenter: Thomas Braendle, Federal Department of Finance, Switzerland Discussant: James Rockey, University of Leicester International Cooperation, Parties and Ideology Presenter: Jan Klingelhofer, RWTH Aachen University, Germany Discussant: Thomas Braendle, Federal Department of Finance 20 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Party Formation and Competition Presenter: James Rockey, University of Leicester, United Kingdom Daniel Ladley, University of Leicester, United Kingdom Discussant: Jan Klingelhofer, RWTH Aachen University Session B6: Insurgency, Crime and Terrorism (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Vani Borooah, University of Ulster Research on Political Terrorism: Promises and Pitfalls Presenter: Ekkart Zimmermann, Dresden University of Technology, Germany Discussant: Christian Krekel, DIW Berlin Murder, Smoke, and Shadows? The Effect of Local Crime on Well-Being [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Christian Krekel, DIW Berlin, Germany Marie L. Poprawe, KOF, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Discussant: Ekkart Zimmermann, Dresden University of Technology Civil Conflict with Rising Wages and Increasing State Capacity: The Maoist Insurgency in India [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Anand Shrivastava, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Discussant: Arzu Kibris, Sabanci University Session B7: Bureaucracies (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Axel Michaelowa, University of Zürich The Efficiency of Public Administration and Firm Efficiency Presenter: Mustafa Yeter, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Florian Misch, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Discussant: Katharina Michaelowa, University of Zürich Fear of Failure: Individual and institutional explanations Presenter: Michael Wyrwich, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Germany Michael Stuetzer, Technical University Ilmenau, Germany Rolf Sternberg, University of Hanover, Germany Discussant: Mustafa Yeter, ZEW Mannheim Bureaucratic Influence when Secretariats Grow: The Example of the UNFCCC Presenter: Katharina Michaelowa, University of Zürich, Switzerland Axel Michaelowa, University of Zürich, Switzerland Discussant: Michael Wyrwich, Friedrich Schiller University Jena 21 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 10.05 AM - 10.30 AM Coffee break (Marquee) 10.30 AM - 11.30 AM Plenary Session 2 (Auditorium) Chair: Colin Jennings, King's College London What's Wrong with Democracy? Poul Collier, University of Oxford, United Kingdom Parallel Sessions C1-C8: 11.45 AM - 1.15 PM Session C1: Violent Conflict (Auditorium) Chair: Nicholas Baigent, London School of Economics Motivating Operatives for Suicide Missions and Conventional Terrorist Attacks Presenter: Daniel Arce, University of Texas at Dallas, United States Kevin Siqueira, University of Texas at Dallas, United States Discussant: Nicholas Baigent, London School of Economics Multiple Identities in Games of Violent Conflict Presenter: Nicholas Baigent, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Dzenana Pupic, Graz University, Austria Discussant: Daniel Arce, University of Texas at Dallas Session C2: Political Transitions (Garden Room) Chair: Francesco Giovannoni, University of Bristol Destined for Democracy? Labour Markets and Political Change in Colonial British America Presenter: Elena Nikolova, European Bank for Reconstruction & Development, UK Discussant: Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Université libre de Bruxelles A Time to Throw Stones, a Time to Reap: How Long Does it Take for Democratic Reforms to Improve Institutional Outcomes? Presenter:Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Khalid Sekkat, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Discussant: Elena Nikolova, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development War and the Transition Away for Absolutism Presenter: Francesco Giovannoni, University of Bristol, United Kingdom Leandro De Magalhães, University of Bristol, United Kingdom Discussant: Roger Congleton, West Virginia University 22 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session C3: State Capacity and Institutions (Games Room) Chair: Sanjay Jain, University of Cambridge Rebellions, Technical Change, and the Early Development of Political Institutions in Latin America Presenter: Alvaro Aguirre, Central Bank of Chile, Chile Discussant: Sanjay Jain, University of Cambridge State Capacity and Public Debt: A political Economy Analysis [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Christoph Esslinger, University of Mannheim, Germany Cornelius Müller, University of Mannheim, Germany Discussant: Alvaro Aguirre, Central Bank of Chile Walk the Line: Conflict, State Capacity and the Political Dynamics of Reform Presenter: Sanjay Jain, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Sumon Majumdar, Queen's University, Canada Sharun Mukand, University of Warwick, United Kingdom Discussant: Christoph Esslinger, University of Mannheim Session C4: Term Limits and Benchmarking (JCR) Chair: Chiara Dalle Nogare, University of Brescia Benchmarking Politicians Presenter: Renaud Foucart, University of Oxford, United Kingdom Antonio Estache, Université libre de Bruxelles and CEPR, Belgium Discussant: Umberto Galmarini, University of Insubria Party's Discipline and Political Dynasties. Revisiting the Role of Term Limits in Electoral Systems Presenter: Umberto Galmarini, University of Insubria, Italy Lorenzo Boetti, HERMES - Torino, Italy Massimiliano Piacenza, University of Turin, Italy Gilberto Turati, University of Turin, Italy Discussant: Renaud Foucart, University of Oxford Term Limits for Mayors and Fiscal Policy: Evidence from Italian Municipalities Presenter: Chiara Dalle Nogare, University of Brescia, Italy Zohal Hessami, University of Konstanz, Germany Discussant: Gilberto Turati, University of Torino 23 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session C5: Election Participation and Turnout (Linnett Room) Chair: Arthur Schram, Amsterdam School of Economics/CREED Does Voter Turnout Affect the Votes for the Incumbent Government? Presenter: Rodrigo Martins, University of Coimbra, Portugal Francisco Veiga, University of Minho, Portugal Discussant: Jeroen Klomp, Wageningen University Participation in Fraudulent Elections Presenter: Dmitriy Vorobyev, CERGE-EI, Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic Discussant: Frank Bohn, Radboud University Nijmegen A Simultaneous Analysis of Turnout and Voting under Proportional Representation: Theory and Experiments Presenter: Arthur Schram, Amsterdam School of Economics/CREED, Netherlands Aaron Kamm, Amsterdam School of Economics/CREED, Netherlands Discussant: Elena Costas-Pérez, University of Barcelona & IEB Session C6: Monetary Policy (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Marcus Drometer, University of Munich, Ifo Institute, Germany Superstar Central Bankers Presenter: Matthias Neuenkirch, University of Trier, Germany Peter Tillmann, University of Giessen, Germany Discussant: Hamza Bennani, Universités de Lille Euro Area Monetary Policy: Caring for the Weakest Link? Presenter: Marcus Drometer, University of Munich, Ifo Institute, Germany Thomas Siemsen, University of Munich, Germany Sebastian Watzka, University of Munich, Germany Discussant: Dimitrios Soudis, University of Groningen Party Affiliation Rather than Former Occupation: The Background of Central Bank Governors and its Effect on Monetary Policy Presenter: Matthias Neuenkirch, University of Trier, Germany Florian Neumeier, Philipps-University Marburg, Germany Discussant: Marcus Drometer, University of Munich, Ifo Institute 24 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session C7: Shadow Economy (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Friedrich Schneider, University of Linz The Hard Shadow of the Greek Economy: New Estimates of the Size of the Underground Economy and Its Fiscal Impact Presenter: Athanassios Pitsoulis, University of Hildesheim, Germany Wolfram Berger, Brandenburg University of Technology, Germany Michael Pickhardt, Brandenburg University of Technology Cottbus, Aloys Prinz, University of Münster, Germany Jordi Sardá, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Spain Discussant: Andreas Freytag, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena Shadow Economy and Political Stability: A Blessing or a Curse? Presenter: Ahmed Mohamed Badreldin, Philipps-University of Marburg, Germany Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, Philipps-University of Marburg, CNMS, Germany Discussant: Sebastian Spiegel, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena Estimating the Size of the Shadow Economy: Methods, Problems and Open Questions Presenter: Friedrich Schneider, University of Linz, Austria Andreas Buehn, IASS, Germany Discussant: Athanassios Pitsoulis, University of Hildesheim Session C8: Well-being and Civic Engagement (J8) Chair: Frederik Toscani, University of Cambridge Natural Disaster, Policy Action, and Mental Well-Being: The Case of Fukushima Presenter: Christian Krekel, DIW Berlin, Germany Jan Goebel, DIW Berlin, Germany Tim Tiefenbach, German Institute for Japanese Studies (DIJ Tokyo), Japan Nicolas Ziebarth, Cornell University, United States Discussant: Frederik Toscani, University of Cambridge Information Technologies and Subjective Well-being: Does the Internet Raise Material Aspirations? Presenter: Steffen Lohmann, University of Göttingen, Germany Discussant: Christian Krekel, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) 1.15 PM - 2.30 PM Lunch Break (Dining Hall) 25 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Parallel Sessions D1-D8: 2.30 PM - 4.00 PM Session D1: Redistribution (Auditorium) Chair: Marie-Estelle Binet, University of Rennes 1 Income Redistribution in Democracies: Does the Median Voter Get What She Wants? Presenter: Frank Neher, Free University of Berlin, Germany Giacomo Corneo, Free University of Berlin, Germany Discussant: Christian Pfarr, University of Bayreuth You can't Always get What you Want: East and West Germans' Attitudes and Preferences Regarding the Welfare State Presenter: Christian Pfarr, University of Bayreuth, Germany Andreas Schmid, University of Bayreuth, Germany Volker Ulrich, University of Bayreuth, Germany Discussant: Frank Neher, Free University of Berlin Individual Talents, Labour Qualification, and the Meltzer-Richard Redistribution Paradox Presenter: Marie-Estelle Binet, University of Rennes 1, France Denis Delgay-Troise, University of Rennes 1, France Jean-Sebastien Pentecote, University of Caen, France Discussant: Thomas Apolte, University of Münster Session D2: Violence and Conflict (Garden Room) Chair: Daniel Arce, University of Texas at Dallas Aggregate Violence: Concept and Measurement Presenter: Nicholas Baigent, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Discussant: Özgür Kibris, Sabanci University Discussant: Constanze Binder, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands The Evolution of Civil Conflict and State Power Presenter: Atin Basuchoudhary, Virginia Military Institute, United States Ghislain Dutheil de la Rochére, Ecoles de Saint Cyr Coetquidan CREC, France Discussant: Nicholas Baigent, LSE and Daniel Arce, University of Texas at Dallas. The Democratic Window of Opportunity: Evidence from Riots in sub-Saharan Africa Presenter: Gabriel Leon, University of Cambridge, UK Discussant: Anand Shrivastava, University of Cambridge 26 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session D3: Public Service Provision (Games Room) Chair: Sriya Iyer, University of Cambridge Women's Political Role and Poverty in the Educational Dimension: A District-level Analysis in India Presenter: Francesco Burchi, German Development Institute, Germany Discussant: Vani Borooah, University of Ulster The Political Economy of Social Welfare: Exit, Voice, and Loyalty in India's Integrated Child Development Services (Anganwadi) Program Presenter: Vani Borooah, University of Ulster, United Kingdom Dilip Diwakar, Indian Institute of Dalit Studies, India Nidhi Sabharwal, Indian Institute of Dalit Studies, India Discussant: Francesco Burchi, German Development Institute Divine Competition: Religious Organisations and Service Provision in India Presenter: Sriya Iyer, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Chander Velu, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Melvyn Weeks, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Discussant: Catherine Bros, University of Paris-Est Marne la Vallée - ERUDITE Session D4: Electoral Systems (JCR) Chair: Christian Pfeil, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg The Optimal Ballot Structure for Double-member Districts Presenter: Martin Gregor, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic Discussant: Stephan Michel, University of Hamburg Endogenous Parliamentarism [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Stephan Michel, University of Hamburg, Germany Discussant: Martin Gregor, Charles University in Prague Electoral System Change and Spending: Three Quantitative Case Studies Presenter: Christian Pfeil, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Discussant: Michael Dorsch, Central European University Session D5: Politicians and the Private Sector (Linnett Room) Chair: Felix Arnold, Free University of Berlin Politically Connected Banks and Employment: Evidence from Turkey [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Ibrahim Yilmaz, King's College London, United Kingdom Evagelos Pafilis, King's College London, United Kingdom Augustin de Coulon, King's College London, United Kingdom Discussant: Björn Kauder, Ifo Institute, University of Munich 27 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Just Hire your Spouse: Empirical Evidence from a New Type of Political Favoritism Presenter: Björn Kauder, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Niklas Potrafke, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Discussant: Felix Arnold, Free University of Berlin Outside Earnings, Absence and Activity: Evidence from German Parliamentarians Presenter: Felix Arnold, Free University of Berlin, Germany Björn Kauder, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Niklas Potrafke, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Discussant: Ibrahim Yilmaz, King's College London Session D6: Fiscal Rules in Switzerland (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Nadia Yerly, University of Fribourg Incentive Effects of Fiscal Rules on the Finance Minister's Behaviour: Evidence from Revenue Projections in Swiss Cantons Presenter: Florian Chatagny, KOF, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Discussant: Nadia Yerly, University of Fribourg Inter-jurisdictional Effects of Fiscal Rules - The Swiss Experience Presenter: Heiko T. Burret, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Lars P. Feld, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Discussant: David Christoph Ehmke, University of Oxford & Humboldt-University Berlin Institutional Measurement of Fiscal Rules and Impact on Fiscal Performance: Swiss Empirical Evidence [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Nadia Yerly, University of Fribourg, Switzerland Discussant: Florian Chatagny, KOF, ETH Zürich Session D7: Autocracies (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Jana Friedrichsen, WZB and Humboldt University Berlin Dictators under Stress: The Dilemma of Authoritarian Responses to Mass Crises Presenter: Viola Lucas, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies, Germany Ferdinand Eibl, University of Oxford, United Kingdom Thomas Richter, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies, Germany Discussant: Yongjing Zhang, University of Ottawa The Successor's Dilemma in Authoritarian Regimes: Theory and Evidence Presenter: Yongjing Zhang, University of Ottawa, Canada Yuan Li, Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden Discussant: Viola Lucas, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies The Economics of Totalitarian Kitsch Presenter: Jana Friedrichsen, WZB and Humboldt University Berlin, Germany Renaud Foucart, Oxford University, United Kingdom Discussant: Shu Yu, University of Groningen 28 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session D8: Homo Oeconomicus: Constitutions, Publications and Productivity (J8) Chair: Heinrich Ursprung Buchanan and Homo Oeconomicus Presenter: Gebhard Kirchgässner, Institute for Advanced Study, Berlin, Germany Discussant: Stefan Voigt, University of Hamburg Simulating Publication Bias Presenter: Martin Paldam, Aarhus University, Denmark Discussant: Jörg Schläpfer, KOF, ETH Zürich Job Mobility, Peer Effects, and Research Productivity in Economics Presenter: Jörg Schläpfer, KOF, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Thomas Bolli, KOF, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Discussant: Martin Paldam, Aarhus University 4.00 PM - 4.30 PM Coffee Break (Marquee) Parallel Sessions E1-E8: 4.30 PM - 6.00 PM. Session E1: Local Political Budget Cycles (Auditorium) Chair: Krisztina Kis-Katos, University of Freiburg Determinants of local governments' Deficits and debt Presenter: Linda Veiga, University of Minho, Portugal Francisco Jose Veiga, University of Minho, Portugal Discussant: Krisztina Kis-Katos, University of Freiburg Political Cycles and Government Expenditures: Evidence from Portugal Presenter: Vítor Castro, University of Coimbra and NIPE, Portugal Rodrigo Martins, University of Coimbra and GEMF, Portugal Discussant: Georgios Efthyvoulou, University of Sheffield Local Political Budget Cycles in a Federation: Evidence from West German Cities Presenter: Krisztina Kis-Katos, University of Freiburg, Germany Katerina Homolkova, University of Kiel, Germany Discussant: Vítor Castro, University of Coimbra and NIPE 29 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session E2: Health (Garden Room) Chair: Gilberto Turati, University of Torino The Returns to Health care Decentralization: Impact on Quality and Use of Private Health Care? Presenter: Joan Costa Font, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Ada Ferrer-i-Carnonell , IAE, Spain Discussant: Lars P. Feld, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg Health Care Decentralization Design and Regional Equality: Does Equal Spending Lead to Equal Output and (Procedural) Outcomes? Presenter: Gilberto Turati, University of Torino, Italy Joan Costa Font, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Discussant: Alberto Batinti, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics The Political Economy of Subsidized Medical Technology Presenter: Roger Congleton, West Virginia University, United States Alberto Batinti, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, China Discussant: Joan Costa Font, London School of Economics Session E3: Consequences of Political Competition (Games Room) Chair: Roberto Ricciuti, University of Verona Economic Effects of Postsocialist Constitutions (Nearly) 25 Years from the Outset of Transition Presenter: Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska, University of Warsaw, Poland Discussant: Roberto Ricciuti, University of Verona Two-party Competition with Investment in Political Capital: A Differential Game Approach [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Monika Köppl-Turyna, University Institute of Lisbon, Portugal Discussant: Sanjay Jain, University of Cambridge Political Competition and Economic Performance in the OECD Countries Presenter: Roberto Ricciuti, University of Verona, Italy Fabio Padovano, University of Rennes 1, France Ilaria Petrarca, University of Verona, Italy Discussant: Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska, University of Warsaw Session E4: Public Debt (JCR) Chair: Philipp Harms, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz The Political Economy of Public Debt and Social Security: Repayment in Times of Fiscal Distress [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Jakob Eberl, CES, University of Munich, Germany Discussant: Philipp Harms, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz 30 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Public Debt in a Political Economy Presenter: Sigrid Röhrs, Goethe-University Frankfurt, Germany Discussant: Jakob Eberl, CES and University of Munich Foreign vs. Domestic Public Debt and the Composition of Government Expenditure: A Political-economy Approach Presenter: Philipp Harms, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Germany Joachim Lutz, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Germany Discussant: Sigrid Röhrs, Goethe-University Frankfurt Session E5: Accountability and Incentives (Linnett Room) Chair: Henrik Jordahl, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN) Who do you Blame in Local Finance? An Analysis of Municipal Financing in Italy Presenter: Massimo Bordignon, Catholic University of Milan, Italy Veronica Grembi, Copenhagen Business School, Denmark Santino Piazza, IRES Piemonte, Italy Discussant: Chiara Dalle Nogare, University of Brescia Political Accountability with Voter Heterogeneity and Expressive Voting Motives Presenter: Jenni Jaakkola, University of Turku, Finland Discussant: Francesco Giovannoni, University of Bristol Management Practices in Elderly Care Homes Presenter: Henrik Jordahl, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Sweden Jannis Angelis, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Sweden Discussant: Henrik Christoffersen, Center for Political Studies Session E6: Federalism and Nations (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Andreas Kyriacou, Universitat de Girona If You Want me to Stay, Pay: A model of asymmetric federalism in centralised countries Presenter: Peter Claeys, Free University of Brussels, Belgium Federico Martire, University of Turin, Italy Discussant: Cemal Eren Arbatli, Higher School of Economics Decentralization and Progressive Taxation Presenter: Simon Berset, University of Fribourg, Switzerland Mark Schelker, University of Fribourg, Switzerland Discussant: Andreas Kyriacou, Universitat de Girona Secessionism and the Quality of Government: Evidence from a Sample of OECD Countries Presenter: Andreas Kyriacou, Universitat de Girona, Spain Noemí Morral Palacin, Universitat de Girona, Spain Discussant: Mark Schelker, University of Fribourg 31 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session E7: Public Choice Experiments (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Klarita Gërxhani, University of Amsterdam Choosing Voting Systems for Two-Tier Voting Behind the Veil of Ignorance: An Experiment Presenter: Matthias Weber, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands Discussant: Heinrich Ursprung, University of Konstanz On Lab-testing Mixed-strategy Play in a Corruption Game with Endogenous Detection Presenter: Dominic Spengler, University of York, United Kingdom John Bone, University of York, United Kingdom Discussant: Matthias Weber, University of Amsterdam Time Lag and Communication in Norm Change Presenter: Klarita Gërxhani, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands Jeroen Bruggeman, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands Discussant: Dominic Spengler, University of York Session E8: Social Choice (J8) Chair: Jan Zápal, IAE-CSIC, Barcelona GSE, CERGE-EI Prague Preference and Similarity between Alternatives Presenter: Constanze Binder, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands Discussant: Serguei Kaniovski, Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO) The Minimum Sum Representation as an Index of Voting Power Presenter: Serguei Kaniovski, Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO), Austria Josep Freixas, Universitat Politécnica de Catalunya, Spain Discussant: Jean Mercier Ythier, University of Paris, Panthéon-Assas The Possibility of a Paretian Liberal in the Liberal Social Contract Presenter: Jean Mercier Ythier, University of Paris, Panthéon-Assas, France Discussant: Constanze Binder, Erasmus University Rotterdam 32 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Parallel Sessions F1-F8: 6.10 PM - 7.40 PM. Session F1: Development Aid (Auditorium) Chair: Anna Minasyan, University of Göttingen and Heidelberg University Gesture Politics or Real Commitment? Gender Inequality and the Allocation of Aid Presenter: Kai Gehring, Heidelberg University, Germany Axel Dreher, Heidelberg University, Germany Stephan Klasen, University of Göttingen, Germany Discussant: Anna Minasyan, University of Göttingen and Heidelberg University Government Ideology in Donor and Recipient Countries: Does Political Proximity Matter for the Effectiveness of Aid? Presenter: Anna Minasyan, University of Göttingen and Heidelberg University, Germany Axel Dreher, Heidelberg University, Germany Peter Nunnenkamp, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Germany Discussant: Henrik Christoffersen, Cepos - Center for Political Studies, Denmark Session F2: Institutions and the Structure of the Economy (Garden Room) Chair: Andreas Freytag, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena Institutional Incongruence and the Informal Economy: An Empirical Analysis Presenter: Thanh Thuy Vu, University of Paris X, France Discussant: Ana Fernandes, Bern University of Applied Sciences Institutions and the Sectoral Allocation of Production Presenter: Ana Fernandes, Bern University of Applied Sciences, Switzerland Discussant: Thanh Thuy Vu, University of Paris X The Influence of Economic Freedom on the Shadow Economy in OECD and European Countries: Some Preliminary Empirical Results Presenter: Andreas Freytag, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Germany Friedrich Schneider, University of Linz, Austria Sebastian Spiegel, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Germany Discussant: Nadia Fiorino, University of L'Aquila 33 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session F3: Politics and Local Public Finance (Games Room) Chair: Günther Schulze, University of Freiburg Political Alignment and Government Transfers: New Evidence for Brazilian Municipalities Presenter: Sergio Naruhiko Sakurai, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil Discussant: Leandro De Magalhães, University of Bristol Local Taxes and Political Influence: Evidence from Locally Dominant Firms in German Municipalities Presenter: Ivo Bischoff, University of Kassel, Germany Stefan Krabel, University of Kassel, Germany Discussant: Linda Veiga, University of Minho Administrative Overspending in Indonesian Districts: The Role of Local Politics Presenter: Günther Schulze, University of Freiburg, Germany Bambang Suharnoko Sjahrir, University of Freiburg, Germany Krisztina Kis-Katos, University of Freiburg, Germany Discussant: Ivo Bischoff, University of Kassel Session F4: Fiscal Rules (JCR) Chair: Martial Foucault, Sciences Po Paris Analysis of Creative Accounting and its Impacts on Governments' Financial Performance: The Case of the Swiss Cantons. Presenter: Maxime Clémenceau, University of Lausanne (IDHEAP), Switzerland Nils Soguel, University of Lausanne (IDHEAP), Switzerland Discussant: Wolf Heinrich Reuter, Vienna University of Economics and Business National Numerical Fiscal Rules: Not Complied with, but Still Effective? [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Wolf Heinrich Reuter, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Austria Discussant: Etienne Farvaque, Université Le Havre The Maywood Effect. On the Mechanics of Fiscal Rules Efficiency. Presenter: Martial Foucault, Sciences Po Paris, France Etienne Farvaque, Université Le Havre, France Marcelin Joanis, University of Sherbrooke, Canada Discussant: Maxime Clémenceau, University of Lausanne (IDHEAP) Session F5: Electoral Manipulation (Linnett Room) Chair: Giacomo De Luca, University of York Political Corruption and Voter Turnout: Mobilization or Disaffection? [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Elena Costas-Pérez, University of Barcelona & IEB, Spain Discussant: Emma Galli, University of Rome La Sapienza 34 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Manipulated Voters in Competitive Election Campaigns Presenter: Cemal Eren Arbatli, Higher School of Economics, Russian Federation Kemal Kivanc Aköz, New York University, United States Discussant: Jenni Jaakkola, University of Turku Mafia in the Ballot Box Presenter: Giacomo De Luca, University of York, United Kingdom Giuseppe De Feo, Strathclyde, United Kingdom Discussant: Santino Piazza, IRES Piemonte Session F6: Natural Resources and Agricultural Liberalisation (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Urs Steiner Brandt, University of Southern Denmark Competition for Natural Resources and the Hold-Up Problem Presenter: Carsten Hefeker, University of Siegen, Germany Sebastian Kessing, University of Siegen, Germany Discussant: Urs Steiner Brandt, University of Southern Denmark Oil, Political Power, and Stability Presenter: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, Philipps-University of Marburg, Germany Kjetil Bjorvatn, NHH Norwegian School of Economics, Norway Discussant: Richard Jong-A-Pin, University of Groningen The Political Economy of Agricultural Liberalization in Central and Eastern Europe: An Empirical Analysis Presenter: Jeroen Klomp, Wageningen University, Netherlands Discussant: Georgios Chortareas, King's College London Session F7: Religion (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Université libre de Bruxelles Religious Confessions: Universal Messages, Country-Specific Effects on Education? Presenter: Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Ilan Tojerow, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Discussant: Francois Facchini, University Paris 11 Rational Zen: Part 2 of Adam Smith and the Buddha Presenter: Ronald Wintrobe, Western University, Canada Discussant: Bengt-Arne Wickström, Humboldt University Berlin Jesus and the Ratchet Presenter: Mario Ferrero, University of Eastern Piedmont, Italy Discussant: Ronald Wintrobe, Western University 35 EPCS 2014 • Friday • 4 April 2014 Session F8: Public Goods, Coalitions and Ethnic Divisions (J8) Chair: Giorgio d'Agostino, University of Rome III Public Goods and the Salience of Local Ethnic Diversity: The Case of Teacher Absenteeism in Africa [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Eoin McGuirk, University of Gothenburg, Sweden Discussant: Oskar Nupia, University of the Andes Targeting of Government Transfers: A Matter of Ethnic Divisions and Corruption After All? Presenter: Pantelis Kammas, University of Ioannina, Greece Discussant: Eoin McGuirk, University of Gothenburg Coalition Formation and Political Bias: Evidence from French Municipalities Presenter: Sonia Paty, GATE-LSE, CNRS and University of Lyon, France Zineb Abidi, CREM, France Edoardo Di Porto, University of Roma "Tor Vergata", Italy Angela Parenti, University of Pisa, Italy Discussant: Joaquín Artés, Complutense University of Madrid 8.00 PM - 10.00 PM Dinner at Robinson College (Dining Hall) 36 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 Saturday, April 5, 2014 Parallel Sessions G1-G8: 8.35 AM - 10.05 AM Session G1: Political Business Cycles and Development (Auditorium) Chair: Thushyanthan Baskaran, University of Göttingen Elections, Fiscal Redistribution and Income Inequality Presenter: Pantelis Kammas, University of Ioannina, Greece Vassilis Sarantides, University of Sheffield, United Kingdom Discussant: Thushyanthan Baskaran, University of Göttingen Political Budget Cycles Revisited. The Case of Social Capital [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Omiros Kouvavas, University of Warwick, United Kingdom Discussant: Vassilis Sarantides, University of Sheffield Elections and Economic Development Presenter: Thushyanthan Baskaran, University of Göttingen, Germany Yogesh Uppal, Youngstown State University, United States Brian Min, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Discussant: Omiros Kouvavas, University of Warwick Session G2: Corruption (empirical) (Garden Room) Chair: Arye L Hillman, Bar-Ilan University Corruption in Turbulent Times: A Hedge Against Economic Fluctuations? Presenter: Joël Cariolle, Fondation pour les etudes et recherches sur le developpement international, France Discussant: Jing You, Renmin University of China Press and Corruption in the Italian Regions: An Empirical Contribution Presenter: Nadia Fiorino, University of L'Aquila, Italy Emma Galli, University of Rome La Sapienza, Italy Ilaria Petrarca, University of Verona, Italy Discussant: Rajeev Goel, Illinois State University Effectiveness of Whistleblower Laws in Combating Corruption Presenter: Rajeev Goel, Illinois State University, United States Michael Nelson, University of Akron, United States Discussant: Marie Poprawe, ETH Zürich 37 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 Session G3: Yardstick Competition (Games Room) Chair: Pierre Salmon, Université de Bourgogne Does Yardstick Competition Evolve In Time? Evidence from Italian Municipalities Presenter: Ilaria Petrarca, University of Verona, Italy Fabio Padovano, University of Rennes 1, France Discussant: Marcel Gérard, Université catholique de Louvain Testing Yardstick Competition Through a Vote-function: Evidence from the Walloon Municipalities Presenter: Marcel Gérard, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium Laurent van Malderen, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium Discussant: Ilaria Petrarca, University of Verona Political Yardstick Competition with Smoothness Presenter: Pierre Salmon, Université de Bourgogne, France Discussant: Fabio Padovano, University of Rennes 1 Session G4: The Voter Initiative (JCR) Chair: Ronny Freier, DIW Berlin Educative Effects of Direct Democracy on Turnout in Initiative and Referendum Votes: Evidence for Switzerland, 1970-2012 [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Christian Marti, University of St. Gallen, Switzerland Discussant: Ronny Freier, DIW Berlin The Indirect Effects of Direct Democracy: Local Government Size and Non-Budgetary Voter Initiatives [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Zareh Asatryan, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Discussant: Christian Marti, University of St. Gallen Signature Requirements and Citizen Initiatives: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Germany Presenter: Ronny Freier, DIW Berlin, Germany Felix Arnold, BDPEMS, Germany Discussant: Zareh Asatryan, ZEW Mannheim Session G5: Consequences of Democracy (Linnett Room) Chair: Christian Bjørnskov, Aarhus University Democratic Transitions and Institutional Change Presenter: Martin Rode, University of Navarra, Spain Christian Bjørnskov, Aarhus University, Denmark Discussant: Bethany Kirkpatrick, Sciences Po, Paris 38 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 On the Role of Democracy in the Ethnicity-Growth Relationship: Theory and Evidence Presenter: Sugata Ghosh, Brunel University, United Kingdom Andros Gregoriou, University of Hull, United Kingdom Anirban Mitra, University of Oslo, Norway Discussant: Michael Dorsch, Central European University Inequality and Democratization: Reconsidering the Economic View Presenter: Michael Dorsch, Central European University, Hungary Paul Maarek, University of Cergy-Pontoise, France Discussant: Martin Rode, University of Navarra Session G6: Fiscal Policy II (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Domenico da Empoli, University of Rome La Sapienza Government Size, Composition of Public Expenditure, and Economic Development Presenter: Francisco Veiga, University of Minho, Portugal Susana Martins, University of Minho, Portugal Discussant: Girish Bahal, University of Cambridge Estimating Transfer Multiplier using Spending on Rural Development Programmes in India [Wicksell Prize candidate] Presenter: Girish Bahal, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Discussant: Francisco Veiga, University of Minho Are Euro and Transfer Union the Price of German Reunification? Presenter: Charles B. Blankart, Humboldt University Berlin - University of Lucerne, Germany David Christoph Ehmke, University of Oxford - Humboldt-University Berlin Discussant: Christoph A. Schaltegger, University of Lucerne Session G7: Strategic Behaviour in Elections (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Horst Feldmann, University of Bath Manipulating Discretionary Grants: Evidence from a German State Presenter: Markus Reischmann, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Björn Kauder, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Niklas Potrafke, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Discussant: Marta Curto Grau, Heidelberg University Holding on to the Flank: An Analysis of the Electoral use of Policy on Law and Order by New Labour in the UK Presenter: Colin Jennings, King's College London, United Kingdom Stephen Drinkwater, University of Swansea, United Kingdom Discussant: James Rockey, University of Leicester Voters' Responsiveness to Employment Policies Presenter: Marta Curto Grau, Heidelberg University, Germany Discussant: Horst Feldmann, University of Bath 39 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 Session G8: Politicians (J8) Chair: Bernd Hayo, Philipps-University Marburg Do Politicians Procure their way to Congress? An Empirical Analysis of Public Procurement and Elections Presenter: John Moore, Sorbonne Business School, France Eshien Chong, Sorbonne Business School, France Michael Klien, Sorbonne Business School, France Discussant: Raphaël Franck, Bar-Ilan University Political Leaders' Socioeconomic Background and Public Budget Deficits: Evidence from OECD Countries Presenter: Bernd Hayo, University of Marburg, Germany Florian Neumeier, University of Marburg, Germany Discussant: Martial Foucault, Sciences Po Paris The Lawyers' Comparative Advantage in Parliamentary Elections Presenter: Raphaël Franck, Bar-Ilan University, Israel Discussant: John Moore, Sorbonne Business School 10.05 AM - 10.30 AM Coffee Break (Marquee) 10.30 AM - 11.30 AM Plenary Session 3 (Auditorium) Chair: Toke Aidt, University of Cambridge State Formation and Pro-Social Preferences James Robinson, Harvard University, United States 11.30 AM - 11.40 AM Wicksell Prize Announcement (Auditorium) Chair: Heinrich Ursprung, University of Konstanz 40 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 Parallel Sessions H1-H8: 11.50 AM - 1.20 PM Session H1: The Rise and Fall of Democracy (Auditorium) Chair: George Tridimas, University of Ulster The Ripple Effect of Democracy in Africa: A Spatial Panel Perspective Presenter: Hermann Pythagore Pierre Donfouet, University of Rennes I, France Jacques Bilong, University of Yaoundé II, Cameroon Eric Malin, University of Rennes I, France Discussant: Rahel Schomaker, German Research Institute for Public Administration Determinants of the Emergence (and Success) of Regime Changes: Theory and Empirical Findings (not only) for the Arab Spring Presenter: Rahel Schomaker, German Research Institute for Public Administration, Germany Dirk Wentzel, Pforzheim University of Applied Sciences, Germany Discussant: Arye L Hillman, Bar-Ilan University An Explanation of the Fall of the Ancient Athenian Democracy Presenter: George Tridimas, University of Ulster, United Kingdom Discussant: Athanassios Pitsoulis, University of Hildesheim Session H2: Environmental and Energy Policy (Garden Room) Chair: Carsten Hefeker, University of Siegen Controlling Policy-Motivated Environmental Regulation Agents under Impact Uncertainty Presenter: Jörg Lingens, University of Münster, Germany Achim Voss, University of Münster, Germany Discussant: Carsten Hefeker, University of Siegen How Trust in Governments Influences the Acceptance of Environmental Taxes Presenter: Andrea Kollmann, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria Johannes Reichl, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria Friedrich Schneider, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria Discussant: Isabelle Cadoret, University of Rennes 1 The Political Economy of Renewable Energies Presenter: Isabelle Cadoret, University of Rennes 1, France Fabio Padovano, University of Rennes 1, France Discussant: Gert Tinggaard Svendsen, Aarhus University 41 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 Session H3: Theories of Electoral Manipulation (Games Room) Chair: Frank Bohn, Radboud University Nijmegen Budgets Under Delegation Presenter: Kimiko Terai, Keio University, Japan Amihai Glazer, University of California, Irvine, United States Discussant: Tuvana Pastine, National University of Ireland Maynooth Incumbency Advantage in an Electoral Contest Presenter: Ivan Pastine, University College Dublin, Ireland Matthew Cole, Florida International University, United States Tuvana Pastine, National University of Ireland Maynooth, Ireland Discussant: Kimiko Terai, Keio University Unconstrained by a Balanced Budget Constraint - Retrospective and Rational Voting in a Political Forecast Cycle Model Presenter: Frank Bohn, Radboud University Nijmegen, Netherlands Discussant: Xue Wen, Lucca Institute for Advanced Studies, Italy Session H4: Contest Theory (JCR) Chair: Matthias Dahm, University of Nottingham The MAX-MIN Group Contest Presenter: Subhasish Chowdhury, University of East Anglia, United Kingdom Iryna Topolyan, Mississippi State University, United States Dongryul Lee, Sungshin University, Republic of Korea Discussant: Carmen Beviá, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona Dynamic Contests with Bankruptcy Presenter: Carmen Beviá, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain Luis C. Corchón, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain Discussant: Matthias Dahm, University of Nottingham Affirmative Action Through Extra Prizes Presenter: Matthias Dahm, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom Patricia Esteve, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Spain Discussant: Subhasish Chowdhury, University of East Anglia Session H5: Economic Growth (Linnett Room) Chair: Sugata Ghosh, Brunel University Economic Growth, Inequality, and Environmental Degradation Presenter: Bethany Kirkpatrick, Sciences Po Paris, France Michael Dorsch, Central European University, Hungary Discussant: Erich Gundlach, University of Hamburg 42 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 The Political Economy of Inclusive Rural Growth Presenter: John Morrow, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Michael Carter, University of California-Davis, United States Discussant: Sugata Ghosh, Brunel University Mincer meets Lerner, Rybczynski, and Solow: Human Capital Externalities, Factor Substitution, and Technology Differences Presenter: Erich Gundlach, University of Hamburg, Germany Rasmus Thönnessen, University of Hamburg, Germany Discussant: John Morrow, London School of Economics Session H6: Common Pool and Municipal Mergers (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Henrik Christoffersen, Cepos - Center for Political Studies, Denmark Fiscal Effects of Municipal Amalgamation - Evidence from a German State Presenter: Benedikt Fritz, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Discussant: Tuukka Saarimaa, Government Institute for Economic Research VATT Common Pool Problems in Voluntary Municipal Mergers Presenter: Tuukka Saarimaa, Government Institute for Economic Research VATT, Finland Janne Tukiainen, Government Institute for Economic Research VATT, Finland Discussant: Zohal Hessami, University of Konstanz Care in Time? The Ability in the Danish Municipalities to Overcome the Bubble in Local Government Economics After 2007 Presenter: Henrik Christoffersen, Cepos - Center for Political Studies, Denmark Karsten Bo Larsen, Cepos - Center for Political Studies, Denmark Frederik Peter Birkvad, Cepos - Center for Political Studies, Denmark Discussant: Friedrich Heinemann, ZEW Mannheim Session H7: Trust and Financial Markets (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Martin Gassebner, University of Reading Trust Us to Repay: Social Trust, Long-Term Interest Rates and Sovereign Credit Ratings Presenter: Christian Bjørnskov, Aarhus University, Denmark Andreas Bergh, Lund University, Sweden Discussant: Edith Neuenkirch, Philipps-University Marburg The German Public and its Trust in the ECB: The Role of Knowledge and Information Search Presenter: Edith Neuenkirch, Philipps-University Marburg, Germany Bernd Hayo, Philipps-University Marburg, Germany Discussant: Andreas Fuchs, Heidelberg University Is There a Home Bias in Sovereign Ratings? Presenter: Andreas Fuchs, Heidelberg University, Germany Kai Gehring, University of Göttingen & Heidelberg University, Germany Discussant: Christian Bjørnskov, Aarhus University 43 EPCS 2014 • Saturday • 5 April 2014 Session H8: Distribution and Taxation (J8) Chair: Peter Claeys, Free University of Brussels Preferences for Redistribution in Europe Presenter: Javier Olivera, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg Discussant: Joshua Holm, Free University of Brussels Social Identification and Redistribution in Heterogeneous Federations Presenter: Joshua Holm, Free University of Brussels, Belgium Benny Geys, Norwegian Business School BI and Free University of Brussels, Norway Discussant: Javier Olivera, University of Luxembourg 1.20 PM - 2.30 PM Lunch Break (Dining Hall) 2.30 PM - 5.00 PM Social Programme (Front Court) 6.45 PM - 10.00 PM Gala Dinner (Jesus College) 44 EPCS 2014 • Sunday • 6 April 2014 Sunday, April 6, 2014 Parallel Sessions I1-I7: 9.00 AM - 10.30 AM Session I1: Rent Seeking (Auditorium) Chair: James H. Cassing, University of Pittsburgh Strategic Choice of Sharing Rules in Collective Rent-Seeking and the Group Size Paradox Presenter: Orestis Troumpounis, Lancaster University, United Kingdom Pau Balart, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain Sabine Flamand, Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal Discussant: James H. Cassing, University of Pittsburgh Self-Serving Legislators? MPs' Powers to Set Their Own Salaries in 27 EU Parliaments Presenter: Karsten Mause, University of Münster, Germany Discussant: Raphaël Franck, Bar-Ilan University Lobbying as a Transport Industry Presenter: James H. Cassing, University of Pittsburgh, United States Steven Husted, University of Pittsburgh, United States Discussant: Arye L Hillman, Bar-Ilan University Session I2: Voting Rules and Their Consequences (Garden Room) Chair: Friedrich Heinemann, ZEW Mannheim Electoral Thresholds and Political Outcomes: Quasi-experimental Evidence from a Reform in Germany Presenter: Mariana Lopes da Fonseca, University of Göttingen, Germany Thushyanthan Baskaran, University of Göttingen, Germany Discussant: Benedikt Fritz, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg Pork Barrel, Legislators' Effort and Electoral Rules: A Micro Test Based on the Italian 2005 Reform Presenter: Marika Cioffi, Bank of Italy/LUISS, Italy Giuseppe Albanese, Bank of Italy, Italy Pietro Tommasino, Bank of Italy, Italy Discussant: Mariana Lopes da Fonseca, University of Göttingen The Effect of Direct Democracy on the Level and Structure of Local Taxes Presenter: Friedrich Heinemann, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Zareh Asatryan, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Thushyanthan Baskaran, University of Göttingen, Germany Discussant: Marika Cioffi, Bank of Italy/LUISS 45 EPCS 2014 • Sunday • 6 April 2014 Session I3: Committees and the Renter's Illusion (Games Room) Chair: Heinrich Ursprung, University of Konstanz A Behavioral Local Public Finance Perspective on the Renter's Illusion Hypothesis Presenter: Roberto Dell'anno, University of Salerno, Italy Jorge Martinez-Vazquez, Georgia State University, United States Discussant: Jan Zápal, IAE-CSIC, Barcelona GSE, CERGE-EI Prague Crafting Consensus Presenter: Jan Zápal, IAE-CSIC, Barcelona GSE, CERGE-EI Prague, Spain Discussant: Matthias Dahm, University of Nottingham Session I4: Transfer Programmes (JCR) Chair: Oskar Nupia, University of the Andes The Allocation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: Political Motives and Voting Effects Presenter: Oskar Nupia, University of the Andes, Colombia Discussant: Giorgio d'Agostino , University of Rome III Social Protection and Food Security: An Evaluation of Cash Transfer Programmes in SubSaharan Africa Presenter: Giorgio d'Agostino, University of Rome III, Italy Margherita Scarlato, University of Rome III, Italy Luca Pieroni, University of Perugia, Italy Discussant: Pantelis Kammas, University of Ioannina Does Mandated Political Representation Help the Poor? Theory and Evidence from India Presenter: Anirban Mitra, University of Oslo, Norway Discussant: Sriya Iyer, University of Cambridge Session I5: Interest Groups and Collective Action (Linnett Room) Chair: Gert Tinggaard Svendsen, Aarhus University Conflicting Interest Groups, Contentious Public Goods, and Cooperation Presenter: Toshihiro Ihori, University of Tokyo, Japan Discussant: Anthony Heyes, University of Ottawa NGO's as 'Shiners of Light' Presenter: Anthony Heyes, University of Ottawa, Canada Sandeep Kapur, Birkbeck College, University of London, United Kingdom Discussant: Toshihiro Ihori, University of Tokyo The Renewable Energy Island of Samsø: How can an Entrepreneur Facilitate Sustainable Group Action? Presenter: Gert Tinggaard Svendsen, Aarhus University, Denmark Urs Steiner Brandt, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark Discussant: Andrea Kollmann, Johannes Kepler University Linz 46 EPCS 2014 • Sunday • 6 April 2014 Session I6: The Political Economy of the Military (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Atin Basuchoudhary, Virginia Military Institute Coups d'etat and Defense Spending: A Counterfactual Analysis Presenter: Roberto Nistico, University of Essex, United Kingdom Vincenzo Bove, University of Essex, United Kingdom Discussant: Ghislain Dutheil de la Rochére, Ecoles de Saint Cyr Coetquidan CREC Is there a Diffusion of Military Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa? Empirical Evidence in the Period 1972-2007 Presenter: Raul Caruso, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Italy Ilaria Petrarca, University of Verona, Italy Roberto Ricciuti, Universit of Verona, Italy Discussant: Martin Gassebner, University of Reading The Composition of the Military and Civil Wars Presenter: Martin Gassebner, University of Reading, United Kingdom Nauro Campos, Brunel University, United Kingdom Discussant: Hermann Pythagore Pierre Donfouet, University of Rennes I Session I7: Courts and Legal Systems (Teaching Room 7) Chair: Lars P. Feld, University of Freiburg Policy Deviations, Uncertainty, and the European Court of Justice Presenter: Michael Neugart, Technical University of Darmstadt, Germany Carsten Hefeker, University of Siegen, Germany Discussant: Peter Claeys, Free University of Brussels Politico-Economic Determinants of Tort Reforms in Medical Malpractice Presenter: Ulrich Matter, University of Basel, Switzerland Alois Stutzer, University of Basel, Switzerland Discussant: Jerg Gutmann, University of Hamburg The Effects of Judicial Independence 10 Years on: Cross-Country Evidence Using an Updated Set of Indicators Presenter: Lars P. Feld, University of Freiburg, Germany Stefan Voigt, University of Hamburg, Germany Jerg Gutmann, University of Hamburg, Germany Discussant: Roger Congleton, West Virginia University 10.30 AM - 11.00 AM Coffee Break (Marquee) 47 EPCS 2014 • Sunday • 6 April 2014 Parallel Sessions J1-J5: 11.00 AM - 12.30 PM Session J1: Mayors (Auditorium) Chair: Zohal Hessami, University of Konstanz Do Mayors Matter? Presenter: Jean-Michel Josselin, University of Rennes 1, France Nicolas Gavoille, University of Rennes 1, France Fabio Padovano, University of Rennes 1, France Discussant: Zohal Hessami, University of Konstanz Incumbency Effects in a Comparative Perspective: Evidence from Brazilian Mayoral Elections Presenter: Leandro De Magalhães, University of Bristol, United Kingdom Discussant: Sergio Naruhiko Sakurai, University of Sao Paulo Electoral Rules for Mayors and Incentives to Pork-Barrel: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from German Municipalities Presenter: Zohal Hessami, University of Konstanz, Germany Discussant: Leandro De Magalhães, University of Bristol Session J2: Intergenerational Conflict (Garden Room) Chair: Kozo Ueda, Waseda University A Probabilistic Voting Model of Social Security: The Role of Myopic Agents Presenter: Xue Wen, IMT Lucca Institute for Advanced Studies, Italy Discussant: Hideki Konishi, Waseda University Aging and Deflation: a Fiscal Perspective Presenter: Hideki Konishi, Waseda University, Japan Kozo Ueda, Waseda University, Japan Discussant: Philipp Harms, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz Does Electoral Turnout Affect the Intergenerational Conflict over the Provision of Public Education? Presenter: Michael Klien, Sorbonne Business School/Chaire EPPP, France Mickael Melki, University Cergy-Pontoise, THEMA, France Discussant: Kozo Ueda, Waseda University 48 EPCS 2014 • Sunday • 6 April 2014 Session J3: Allocation of Aid (Games Room) Chair: Chris (Hristos) Doucouliagos, Deakin University Information Transmission and Ownership Consolidation in Aid Programs Presenter: Silvia Marchesi, University of Milano Bicocca, Italy Axel Dreher, University of Heidelberg, Germany Discussant: Bernhard Reinsberg, University of Zürich When International Organizations delegate: The Politics of Earmarking European Union Aid in Multilateral Aid Institutions Presenter: Bernhard Reinsberg, University of Zürich, Switzerland Katja Michaelowa, University of Zürich, Switzerland Christina Schneider, University of California, San Diego, United States Discussant: Chris (Hristos) Doucouliagos, Deakin University The Effect of Aid on Growth: Spatial Spillovers in Transition Economies Presenter: Chris (Hristos) Doucouliagos, Deakin University, Australia Zohid Askarov, Deakin University, Australia Discussant: Silvia Marchesi, University of Milano Bicocca Session J4: Politics, Elections and the Economy (JCR) Chair: Linda Veiga, University of Minho It's Politics, Stupid! Political Constraints Determine Governments' Reaction to the Great Recession Presenter: Jan-Egbert Sturm, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Fabian Gunzinger, Swiss National Bank, Switzerland Discussant: Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Université libre de Bruxelles Political Cycles in Public Expenditure: Butter vs Guns Presenter: Georgios Efthyvoulou, University of Sheffield, United Kingdom Vincenzo Bove, University of Essex, United Kingdom Discussant: Linda Veiga, University of Minho Electoral Business Cycles in Privatization Presenter: Georgios Chortareas, King's College London, United Kingdom Vasillis Logothetis, University of Athens, Greece Evagelos Pafilis, King's College London, United Kingdom Discussant: Georgios Efthyvoulou, University of Sheffield 49 EPCS 2014 • Sunday • 6 April 2014 Session J5: Endogenous Institutions (Auditorium Lounge) Chair: Stefan Voigt, University of Hamburg The Supply of Democracy. Explaining Voluntary Democratic Transition Presenter: Thomas Apolte, University of Münster, Germany Discussant: Timothy Yu-Cheong Yeung, Toulouse School of Economics Legal Systems and Electoral Rules Presenter: Timothy Yu-Cheong Yeung, Toulouse School of Economics, France Discussant: Rahel Schomaker, German Research Institute for Public Administration The Rule of Law, Constitutionalism and Islam Presenter: Stefan Voigt, University of Hamburg, Germany Jerg Gutmann, University of Hamburg, Germany Discussant: Raul Caruso, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart 12.35 PM - 1.15 PM Members' Meeting (Auditorium) Chair: Toke Aidt, University of Cambridge 50 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Information about the Social Programme We have planned a range of social events. You should receive tickets for the events you are signed up for when you register at the Registration Desk in the Marquee. If for some reason you are not going to use a ticket, you are welcome to “recycle” it via the Registration Desk or if you regret not having signed up for an event, please talk to the Reception Desk about it. Welcome Reception On Thursday April 3 (18.45-20.00), a welcome (drinks) reception will be hosted in The Pitt Building, which for more than 100 years housed the printing and publishing offices of Cambridge University Press. The Pitt Building is located in Trumpington Street (see the Cambridge Map on the back cover), ten minutes walking from Robinson College. There are many restaurants and pubs in the vicinity of the Pitt Building, some of which we have listed below and indicated on the Cambridge Map. The guide to Cambridge included in the conference pack contains further suggestions. Guided City Tour and Punting Trip On Saturday afternoon, you can participate in a guided city (walking) tour and a punting trip down the river Cam along the Backs of the Colleges (just in case, a punt is a small boat). We will meet in Front Court at Robinson College after lunch on Saturday and divide into suitable groups. The punting company will provide blankets and umbrellas (and a person to guide AND navigate the punt!), but it is a very good idea to take bring warm clothing and your own umbrella. To make it all run smoothly, you will receive a green, red or blue ticket indicating whether you will start with the walking tour and end the punting trip down the river or vice versa. You are welcome to swap tickets. The event starts at 14.30 and ends around 17.00. Dinners On Friday evening, Dinner is served in the Dining Hall at Robinson College at eight o’clock. The Gala Dinner on Saturday evening is served at Jesus College at 19:15, with pre-dinner drinks from 18.45. You can find the location of Jesus College on the Cambridge Map on the back cover. The dining hall at Jesus is too small for us all to fit in, so the ticket for the Gala Dinner at Jesus will indicate which room you are dining in. You are welcome to swap tickets if you wish. 51 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Imperial War Museum Duxford On Sunday afternoon after the conclusion of the conference, we have organised a trip to the Imperial War Museum Duxford (http://www.iwm.org.uk/visits/iwm-duxford). The cost of this event is not covered by your registration fee. Those participating should meet in the Marquee at the Registration Desk at 13.30pm. The trip will last about four hours. Sponsors We are grateful for support from the following sponsors which have generously supported the conference: The European Journal of Political Economy, published by Elsevier. The EJPE sponsors the Wicksell Prize. The Cambridge Institute for New Economic Thinking. The CambridgeINET sponsors the invited keynote speakers. The Cambridge University Press. The CUP sponsors the Welcome Reception. Exhibitions by Publishers We are pleased that representatives from Cambridge University Press, Springer, Edward Elgar and Elsevier will be present at the conference. The book/journal exhibitions can be found in the Marquee. Publisher Springer Edward Elgar Cambridge University Press Elsevier Representative Dr. Martina Bihn Matthew Pitman Phil Good Donna Wilson 52 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Past Presidents of the EPCS 2011-2013: Jan-Egbert Sturm 1992-1993: Giorgio Brosio 2009-2011: Fabio Padovano 1991-1992: Pierre Salmon 2007-2009: Lars P. Feld 1990-1991: Heinrich Ursprung 2005-2007: Jakob de Haan 1989-1990: Friedrich Schneider 2003-2005: Gebhard Kirchgässner 1988-1989: Bengt-Arne Wickström 2001-2003: Jean Dominique Lafay 1987-1988: Francesco Forte 1999-2001: Dennis C. Mueller 1986-1987: Frans van Winden 1998-1999: Douglas Hibbs 1984-1986: Charles Beat Blankart 1997-1998: Kristian Palda and Arthur Schram 1983-1984: Jean-Dominique Lafay 1996-1997: Arye Hillman 1982-1983: Martin Paldam 1995-1996: Friedrich Schneider 1981-1982: Charles Rowley 1994-1995: José Casas Pardo 1974-1981: Peter Bernholz 1993-1994: Vani Borooah 1972-1974: Elisabeth Liefmann-Keil 53 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Information about Cambridge Your conference pack includes a detailed guide to Cambridge with lots of information about the city. The highlights include King’s College Chapel, The Fitzwilliam Museum, Great Court at Trinity College and the Bridge of Sighs at St. John’s College. Getting Around If you arrive in Cambridge by bus or by train, you can take a taxi to the conference venue (Robinson College) or to Jesus College if that is where you are accomodated. There are tax ranks outside the train station and at the bus station. It costs about £8 to get from the train station to either of the two colleges. Jesus College is very close to the bus station at Parker’s Piece and Drummer Street (see the Cambridge map on back cover), while it will take about 15 minutes to walk to Robinson College from the bus station. The airport buses (The National Express) arrive and depart from Parker’s Piece (http://www.nationalexpress.com). There is a direct train from Stansted Airport to Cambridge which takes about 30 minutes (http://www.nationalrail.co.uk/). Cambridge is a small town and it is easy to walk around, but occasionally you might want/need a taxi. Taxi There are a number of competing taxi companies in Cambridge (so they all charge the same!). You can, for example, book with Panther Taxi at +44 1223 715 715 or get the porters at Robinson or Jesus College to call one for you. If you consider taking a taxi to (or from) the airport (which is cost efficient if you share it with two or three others), you need to pre-book and pre-pay with a credit card. While for local transport within Cambridge you can go by the meter, do NOT take a taxi by the meter to any of the airports: always pre-book. The approximate cost to Stansted is £50 while a trip to Heathrow will set you about £100 back. 54 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Restaurants and Pubs For a detailed list of restaurants please check the guide to Cambridge which you can find in your conference pack. Below are some suggestions: The Rice Boat. Very good South Indian restaurant (Newnham Road). Sala Thong. Very good Thai cuisine (Newnham Road). Don Pasquale. Italian restaurant with a good pizzeria in the basement (Market Street). Hotel du Vin & Bistro. A fine French restaurant (Trumpington Street). Browns. Another good restaurant close to Hotel du Vin (Trumpington Street). Côte. A very good French restaurant (Bridge Street). Lock Fyne. Offers a large range of seafood delicacies (Trumpington Street). Nando’s. Famous for its grilled chicken dishes (St. Andrews Street). Wagamama. Offers fantastic Japanese food (St. Andrews Street). Seven Days. One of the best Chinese restaurants in Cambridge (Regent Street). Midsummers House. The best restaurant in town (Midsummer Common). There are many pubs in Cambridge. The College Bar at Robinson will be open on Friday night, but you might also want to venture out. Here are some interesting pubs: The Eagle in Bene't Street The Granta. For when the weather is good, it has a fantastic terrace overlooking the river (Newnham Rd). St Radegund at the end of King’s Street. This is smallest pub in Cambridge. Fort St George (Midsummer Common). Located at river. The Anchor (Silver St). 55 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 List of Participants Delegates Aguirre, Alvaro, aaguirre@bcentral.cl, Central Bank of Chile, Chile Aidt, Toke, tsa23@econ.cam.ac.uk, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Apolte, Thomas, Apolte@uni-muenster.de, University of Münster, Germany Arbatli, Cemal Eren, earbatli@gmail.com, Higher School of Economics, Russian Federation Arce, Daniel, darce@utdallas.edu, University of Texas at Dallas, United States Arnold, Felix, farnold@diw.de, Free University of Berlin, Germany Artés, Joaquín, jartes@ucm.es, Complutense University of Madrid, Spain Asatryan, Zareh, asatryan@zew.de, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Badreldin, Ahmed Mohamed, ahmed.badreldin@wiwi.uni-marburg.de, PhilippsUniversity of Marburg, Germany Bahal, Girish, girish.bahal@gmail.com, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Baigent, Nicholas, n.baigent@lse.ac.uk, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Baskaran, Thushyanthan, tbaskar@uni-goettingen.de, University of Göttingen, Germany Basuchoudhary, Atin, basuchoudharya@vmi.edu, Virginia Military Institute, United States Batinti, Alberto, a.batinti@mail.shufe.ed, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, China Bennani, Hamza, hamza.benna@gmail.com, Universités de Lille, France Berggren, Niclas, niclas.berggren@ifn.se, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Sweden 56 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Berset, Simon, simon.berset@unifr.ch, University of Fribourg, Switzerland Beviá, Carmen, carmen.bevia@gmail.com, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain Binder, Constanze, binder@fwb.eur.nl, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands Binet, Marie-Estelle, marie-estelle.binet@univ-rennes1.fr, University of Rennes 1, France Bischoff, Ivo, bischoff@wirtschaft.uni-kassel.de, University of Kassel, Germany Bjørnskov, Christian, chbj@asb.dk, Aarhus University, Denmark Blankart, Charles B., charles@blankart.net, Humboldt University Berlin - University of Lucerne, Germany Bohn, Frank, f.bohn@fm.ru.nl, Radboud University Nijmegen, Netherlands Bordignon, Massimo, massimo.bordignon@unicatt.it, Catholic University of Milan, Italy Borooah, Vani, vk.borooah@ulster.ac.uk, University of Ulster, United Kingdom Bracco, Emanuele, e.bracco@lancaster.ac.uk, Lancaster University, United Kingdom Braendle, Thomas, thomas.braendle@efv.admin.ch, Federal Department of Finance, Switzerland Brandt, Urs Steiner, usb@sam.sdu.dk, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark Bros, Catherine, catherine.bros-bobin@univ-mlv.fr, University of Paris-Est Marne la Vallée - ERUDITE, France Buck, Florian, florian.buck@lmu.de, University of Munich, Germany Burchi, Francesco, francesco.burchi@die-gdi.de, German Development Institute, Germany Burret, Heiko T., burret@eucken.de, "Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg", Germany Cadoret, Isabelle, isabelle.cadoret@univ-rennes1.fr, University of Rennes 1, France Cariolle, Joël, cariolle.joel@gmail.com, Fondation pour les etudes et recherches sur le developpement international, France 57 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Caruso, Raul, raul.caruso@unicatt.it, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Italy Cassing, James H., JCASSING@pitt.edu, University of Pittsburgh, United States Castro, Vítor, vcastro@fe.uc.pt, University of Coimbra and NIPE, Portugal Chatagny, Florian, chatagny@kof.ethz.ch, KOF, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Chortareas, Georgios, georgios.chortareas@kcl.ac.uk, King's College London, United Kingdom Chowdhury, Subhasish, s.modak-chowdhury@uea.ac.uk, University of East Anglia, United Kingdom Christoffersen, Henrik, henrikc@cepos.dk, Cepos - Center for Political Studies, Denmark Cioffi, Marika, marikacioffi@gmail.com, Bank of Italy/LUISS, Italy Claeys, Peter, peter.claeys@vub.ac.be, Free University of Brussels, Belgium Clémenceau, Maxime, maxime.clemenceau@unil.ch, University of Lausanne (IDHEAP), Switzerland Collier, Poul, paul.collier@bsg.ox.ac.uk, University of Oxford, United Kingdom Colombo, Luca V.A., lucava.colombo@unicatt.it, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Italy Congleton, Roger, roger.congleton@mail.wvu.edu, West Virginia University, United States Costa Font, Joan, j.costa-font@lse.ac.uk, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Costas-Pérez, Elena, elenacostas@hotmail.com, University of Barcelona & IEB, Spain Curto Grau, Marta, marta.curto@awi.uni-heidelberg.de, Heidelberg University, Germany d'Agostino, Giorgio, gdagostino@uniroma3.it, University of Rome III, Italy Dahm, Matthias, matthias.dahm@nottingham.ac.uk, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom 58 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Dalle Nogare, Chiara, dallenog@eco.unibs.it, University of Brescia, Italy Dell'anno, Roberto, rdellanno@unisa.it, University of Salerno, Italy Dellis, Arnaud, arnaud.dellis@ecn.ulaval.ca, Laval University and CIRPEE, Canada Dima, Bogdan, bogdandima2001@gmail.com, West University of Timisoara, Romania Donfouet, Hermann Pythagore Pierre, donfouetz@yahoo.fr, University of Rennes I, France Dorsch, Michael, dorschm@ceu.hu, Central European University, Hungary Doucouliagos, Chris (Hristos), douc@deakin.edu.au, Deakin University, Australia Dreher, Axel, mail@axel-dreher.de, Heidelberg University, Germany Drometer, Marcus, drometer@ifo.de, University of Munich, Ifo Institute, Germany Dutheil de La Rochére, Ghislain, ghislain.dutheil@st-cyr.terre-net.defense.gouv.fr, Ecoles de Saint Cyr Coetquidan CREC, France Eberl, Jakob, jakob.eberl@lmu.de, Center for Economic Studies (CES) and University of Munich, Germany Efthyvoulou, Georgios, g.efthyvoulou@sheffield.ac.uk, University of Sheffield, United Kingdom Eichenauer, Vera, vera.eichenauer@awi.uni-heidelberg.de, Heidelberg University, Germany Empoli, Da Domenico, domenico.daempoli@uniroma1.it, University of Rome La Sapienza, Italy Esslinger, Christoph, christoph.esslinger@gess.uni-mannheim.de, University of Mannheim, Germany Facchini, Francois, facchini@univ-paris1.fr, University of Paris 11, France Farvaque, Etienne, etienne.farvaque@univ-lehavre.fr, Université du Havre, France Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza, farzanegan@uni-marburg.de, Philipps-University of Marburg, CNMS, Germany 59 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Feld, Lars P., feld@eucken.de, University of Freiburg, Germany Feldmann, Horst, h.feldmann@bath.ac.uk, University of Bath, United Kingdom Fernandes, Ana, ana.fernandes@bfh.ch, Bern University of Applied Sciences, Switzerland Ferrero, Mario, mario.ferrero@sp.unipmn.it, University of Eastern Piedmont, Italy Fidrmuc, Jan, jan.fidrmuc@brunel.ac.uk, Brunel University, United Kingdom Fiorino, Nadia, nadia.fiorino@univaq.it, University of L'Aquila, Italy Fischer, Justina A.V., mail@justinaavfischer.de, University of Mannheim, Germany Foucart, Renaud, renaud.foucart@economics.ox.ac.uk, University of Oxford, United Kingdom Foucault, Martial, martial.foucault@sciencespo.fr, Sciences Po Paris, France Franck, Raphaël, raphael.franck@biu.ac.il, Bar-Ilan University, Israel Freier, Ronny, rfreier@diw.de, DIW Berlin, Germany Frey, Christian, christian.frey@unilu.ch, University of Lucerne, Switzerland Freytag, Andreas, andreas.freytag@uni-jena.de, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Germany Friedrichsen, Jana, jana.friedrichsen@wzb.eu, WZB and Humboldt University Berlin, Germany Fritz, Benedikt, fritz@eucken.de, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Fuchs, Andreas, mail@andreas-fuchs.net, Heidelberg University, Germany Galli, Emma, emma.galli@uniroma1.it, University of Rome Sapienza, Italy Galmarini, Umberto, umberto.galmarini@uninsubria.it, University of Insubria, Italy Gassebner, Martin, m.gassebner@reading.ac.uk, University of Reading, United Kingdom Gehring, Kai, kai.gehring@awi.uni-heidelberg.de, Heidelberg University, Germany 60 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Gérard, Marcel, marcel.gerard@uclouvain.be, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium Gërxhani, Klarita, k.gerxhani@uva.nl, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands Ghosh, Sugata, Sugata.Ghosh@brunel.ac.uk, Brunel University, United Kingdom Gilli, Mario, mario.gilli@unimib.it, University of Milan-Bicocca, Italy Ginzburg, Boris, borgin@gmail.com, University College London, United Kingdom Giovannoni, Francesco, francesco.giovannoni@bristol.ac.uk, University of Bristol, United Kingdom Goel, Rajeev, rkgoel@ilstu.edu, Illinois State University, United States Gregor, Martin, gregor@fsv.cuni.cz, Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic Gundlach, Erich, erich.gundlach@wiso.uni-hamburg.de, University of Hamburg, Germany Gutmann, Jerg, jerg.gutmann@uni-hamburg.de, University of Hamburg, Germany Harms, Philipp, philipp.harms@uni-mainz.de, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Germany Hayo, Bernd, hayo@wiwi.uni-marburg.de, University of Marburg, Germany Hefeker, Carsten, carsten.hefeker@uni-siegen.de, University of Siegen, Germany Heinemann, Friedrich, heinemann@zew.de, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Hessami, Zohal, zohal.hessami@uni-konstanz.de, University of Konstanz, Germany Heyes, Anthony, aheyes@uottawa.ca, University of Ottawa, Canada Hillman, Arye, Arye.Hillman@biu.ac.il, Bar-Ilan University, Israel Holm, Joshua, Joshua.Holm@vub.ac.be, Free University of Brussels, Belgium Ihori, Toshihiro, ihori@e.u-tokyo.ac.jp, University of Tokyo, Japan Iyer, Sriya, si105@cam.ac.uk, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Jaakkola, Jenni, jenni.jaakkola@utu.fi, University of Turku, Finland 61 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Jain, Sanjay, sj353@cam.ac.uk, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Jennings, Colin, colin.jennings@kcl.ac.uk, King's College London, United Kingdom Jong, de Eelke, e.dejong@fm.ru.nl, Radboud University Nijmegen, Netherlands Jong-A-Pin, Richard, richardjongapin@gmail.com, University of Groningen, Netherlands Jordahl, Henrik, henrik.jordahl@ifn.se, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Sweden Josselin, Jean-Michel, jean-michel.josselin@univ-rennes1.fr, University of Rennes 1, France Jung, Alexander, alexander.jung@ecb.europa.eu, European Central Bank, Germany Kammas, Pantelis, kammas@cc.uoi.gr, University of Ioannina, Greece Kaniovski, Serguei, Serguei.Kaniovski@wifo.ac.at, Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO), Austria Kauder, Björn, kauder@ifo.de, Ifo Institute, University of Munich, Germany Kibris, Arzu, akibris@sabanciuniv.edu, Sabanci University, Turkey Kibris, Özgür, ozgur@sabanciuniv.edu, Sabanci University, Turkey Kirchgässner, Gebhard, Gebhard.Kirchgaessner@wiko-berlin.de, Institute for Advanced Study, Berlin, Germany Kirkpatrick, Bethany, bethany.kirkpatrick@sciencespo.fr, Sciences Po, Paris, France Kis-Katos, Krisztina, krisztina.kis-katos@vwl.uni-freiburg.de, University of Freiburg, Germany Klien, Michael, mcl.klien@gmail.com, Sorbonne Business School / Chaire EPPP, France Klingelhofer, Jan, jan_klingelhofer@hotmail.com, RWTH Aachen University, Germany Klomp, Jeroen, jeroen.klomp@wur.nl, Wageningen University, Netherlands 62 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Kollmann, Andrea, kollmann@energieinstitut-linz.at, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria Konishi, Hideki, h.konishi@waseda.jp, Waseda University, Japan Köppl-Turyna, Monika, monika.turyna@iscte.pt, University Institute of Lisbon, Portugal Kouvavas, Omiros, O.Kouvavas@warwick.ac.uk, University of Warwick, United Kingdom Krekel, Christian, ckrekel@diw.de, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Germany Kyriacou, Andreas, andreas.kyriacou@udg.edu, Universitat de Girona, Spain Lamla, Michael, mlamla@essex.ac.uk, University of Essex, United Kingdom Larsen, Karsten Bo, karsten@cepos.dk, CEPOS - Center for Political Studies, Denmark Le Maux, Benoît, benoit.le-maux@univ-rennes1.fr, University of Rennes 1, France Lingens, Jörg, 15joli@wiwi.uni-muenster.de, University of Münster, Germany Lohmann, Steffen, steffen.lohmann@wiwi.uni-goettingen.de, University of Göttingen, Germany Lopes da Fonseca, Mariana, mariana.da-fonseca@wiwi.uni-goettingen.de, University of Göttingen, Germany Louis, Jaeck, louis_jaeck@uaeu.ac.ae, United Arab Emirates University, United Arab Emirates Luca, De Giacomo, giacomo.deluca@york.ac.uk, University of York, United Kingdom Lucas, Viola, Viola.Lucas@giga-hamburg.de, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies, Germany Magalhães, De Leandro, leandro.demagalhaes@bristol.ac.uk, University of Bristol, United Kingdom Marchesi, Silvia, silvia.marchesi@unimib.it, University of Milano Bicocca, Italy 63 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Marti, Christian, christian.marti@unisg.ch, University of St.Gallen, Switzerland Martins, Rodrigo, rodrigom@fe.uc.pt, University of Coimbra, Portugal Matter, Ulrich, ulrich.matter@unibas.ch, University of Basel, Switzerland Mause, Karsten, k.mause@web.de, University of Münster, Germany McGuirk, Eoin, mcguirke@tcd.ie, University of Gothenburg, Sweden Melcarne, Alessandro, alessandro.melcarne@unito.it, University of Turin, Italy Méon, Pierre-Guillaume, pgmeon@ulb.ac.be, Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Belgium Metelska-Szaniawska, Katarzyna, kmetelska@wne.uw.edu.pl, University of Warsaw, Poland Michaelowa, Axel, axel.michaelowa@pw.uzh.ch, University of Zürich, Switzerland Michaelowa, Katharina, katja.michaelowa@pw.uzh.ch, University of Zürich, Switzerland Michel, Stephan, stephan.michel@edle-phd.eu, University of Hamburg, Germany Minasyan, Anna, anna.minasyan@wiwi.uni-goettingen.de, University of Göttingen and Heidelberg University, Germany Minne, Geoffrey, gminne@ulb.ac.be, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Mitra, Anirban, anirban.mitra@econ.uio.no, University of Oslo, Norway Moore, John, jrj.moore@gmail.com, Sorbonne Business School, France Morrow, John, j.morrow1@lse.ac.uk, London School of Economics, United Kingdom Mutascu, Mihai, mihai.mutascu@gmail.com, West University of Timisoara, Romania Necker, Sarah, sarah.necker@vwl.uni-freiburg.de, Walter Eucken Institute, University of Freiburg, Germany Neher, Frank, frank.neher@fu-berlin.de, Free University of Berlin, Germany Neuenkirch, Edith, edith.neuenkirch@wiwi.uni-marburg.de, Philipps-University Marburg, Germany 64 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Neuenkirch, Matthias, neuenkirch@uni-trier.de, University of Trier, Germany Neugart, Michael, neugart@vwl.tu-darmstadt.de, Technical University of Darmstadt, Germany Neumeier, Florian, florian.neumeier@wiwi.uni-marburg.de, Philipps-University Marburg, Germany Nikolova, Elena, nikolove@ebrd.com, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, United Kingdom Nistico, Roberto, rnisti@essex.ac.uk, University of Essex, United Kingdom Nupia, Oskar, onupia@uniandes.edu.co, University of the Andes, Colombia Olivera, Javier, javier.olivera@uni.lu, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg Padovano, Fabio, fabio.padovano@univ-rennes1.fr, University of Rennes 1, France Paldam, Martin, mpaldam@econ.au.dk, Aarhus University, Denmark Parameswaran, Giri, gparames@haverford.edu, Haverford College, United States Pastine, Tuvana, tuvana.pastine@nuim.ie, National University of Ireland Maynooth, Ireland Paty, Sonia, paty@gate.cnrs.fr, GATE-LSE, CNRS and University of Lyon, France Petrarca, Ilaria, ilaria.petrarca@univr.it, University of Verona, Italy Pfarr, Christian, christian.pfarr@uni-bayreuth.de, University of Bayreuth, Germany Pfeil, Christian, pfeil@eucken.de, Walter Eucken Institute & University of Freiburg, Germany Piacenza, Massimiliano, massimiliano.piacenza@unito.it, University of Torino, Italy Piazza, Santino, piazza@ires.piemonte.it, IRES Piemonte, Italy Piguillem, Facundo, EIEF, Italy Pitlik, Hans, hans.pitlik@wifo.ac.at, Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO), Austria 65 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Pitsoulis, Athanassios, athanassios.pitsoulis@uni-hildesheim.de, University of Hildesheim, Germany Poprawe, Marie, poprawe@kof.ethz.ch, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Pupic, Dzenana, dzenana.pupic@googlemail.com, Graz University, Austria Rablen, Matthew, matthew.rablen@brunel.ac.uk, Brunel University, United Kingdom Reinsberg, Bernhard, bernhard.reinsberg@uzh.ch, University of Zürich, Switzerland Reischmann, Markus, reischmann@ifo.de, Ifo Institute, Germany Reuter, Wolf Heinrich, wolf.reuter@wu.ac.at, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Austria Ricciuti, Roberto, roberto.ricciuti@univr.it, University of Verona, Italy Robinson, James, jrobinson@gov.harvard.edu, Harvard University, United States Rockey, James, james.rockey@le.ac.uk, University of Leicester, United Kingdom Rode, Martin, martinrode@unav.es, University of Navarra, Spain Röhrs, Sigrid, Sigrid.Roehrs@hof.uni-frankfurt.de, Goethe-University Frankfurt, Germany Saarimaa, Tuukka, tuukka.saarimaa@vatt.fi, Government Institute for Economic Research VATT, Finland Sakurai, Sergio Naruhiko, sakurai@usp.br, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil Salmon, Pierre, pierre.salmon@u-bourgogne.fr, Université de Bourgogne, France Salotti, Simone, ssalotti@brookes.ac.uk, Oxford Brookes University, United Kingdom Sarantides, Vassilis, v.sarantides@sheffield.ac.uk, University of Sheffield, United Kingdom Schaltegger, Christoph A., christoph.schaltegger@unilu.ch, University of Lucerne, Switzerland Schelker, Mark, mark.schelker@unifr.ch, University of Fribourg, Germany Schläpfer, Jörg, schlaepfer@kof.ethz.ch, KOF, ETH Zürich, Switzerland 66 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Schneider, Friedrich, friedrich.schneider@jku.at, University of Linz, Austria Schomaker, Rahel, rahel.schomaker@online.de, German Research Institute for Public Administration, Germany Schram, Arthur, schram@uva.nl, Amsterdam School of Economics/CREED, Netherlands Schulze, Günther, guenther.schulze@vwl.uni-freiburg.de, University of Freiburg, Germany Sharif, Zara, sharif@ese.eur.nl, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands Shrivastava, Anand, as2073@cam.ac.uk, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Soudis, Dimitrios, d.soudis@rug.nl, University of Groningen, Netherlands Spengler, Dominic, des500@york.ac.uk, University of York, United Kingdom Spiegel, Sebastian, sebastian.spiegel@uni-jena.de, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Germany Staal, Klaas, kstaal@uni-bonn.de, IAAK, University of Bonn, Germany Stefani, de Alessia, a.de-stefani@sms.ed.ac.uk, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom Sturm, Jan-Egbert, sturm@kof.ethz.ch, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zürich, Switzerland Svendsen, Gert Tinggaard, gts@ps.au.dk, Aarhus University, Denmark Terai, Kimiko, kterai@econ.keio.ac.jp, Keio University, Japan Tillmann, Peter, peter.tillmann@wirtschaft.uni-giessen.de, University of Giessen, Germany Tojerow, Ilan, itojerow@ulb.ac.be, Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Tommasino, Pietro, pietro.tommasino@bancaditalia.it, Bank of Italy, Italy Tridimas, George, G.Tridimas@ulster.ac.uk, University of Ulster, United Kingdom Troumpounis, Orestis, o.troumpounis@lancaster.ac.uk, Lancaster University, United Kingdom 67 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Tunali, Ciğdem Börke, borke.tunali@brunel.ac.uk, Istanbul University-Brunel University, Turkey Turati, Gilberto, gilberto.turati@unicatt.it, University of Torino, Italy Ueda, Kozo, kozo.ueda@waseda.jp, Waseda University, Japan Ursprung, Heinrich, Heinrich.Ursprung@uni-konstanz.de, University of Konstanz, Germany Veiga, Francisco, fjveiga@eeg.uminho.pt, University of Minho, Portugal Veiga, Linda, linda@eeg.uminho.pt, University of Minho, Portugal Voigt, Stefan, stefan.voigt@uni-hamburg.de, University of Hamburg, Germany Vorobyev, Dmitriy, dvorobye@cerge-ei.cz, CERGE-EI, Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic Vu, Thanh Thuy, thuy.vu_thanh@yahoo.com, University of Paris X, France Weber, Matthias, m.g.weber@uva.nl, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands Wen, Xue, wenxue1982@gmail.com, IMT Lucca Institute for Advanced Studies, Italy Wickström, Bengt-Arne, wick@wiwi.hu-berlin.de, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany Wiese, Rasmus, r.h.t.wiese@rug.nl, University of Groningen, Netherlands Wintrobe, Ronald, rwintrob@uwo.ca, Western University, Canada Wyrwich, Michael, michael.wyrwich@uni-jena.de, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Germany Yerly, Nadia, nadia.yerly@unifr.ch, University of Fribourg, Switzerland Yeter, Mustafa, yeter@zew.de, ZEW Mannheim, Germany Yeung, Timothy Yu-Cheong, timothy2799@gmail.com, Toulouse School of Economics, France Yilmaz, Ibrahim, ibrahim.yilmaz@kcl.ac.uk, King's College London, United Kingdom You, Jing, jing.you@ruc.edu.cn, Renmin University of China, China 68 EPCS 2014 • Cambridge • 3-6 April 2014 Ythier, Jean Mercier, jean.mercier-ythier@u-paris2.fr, University of Paris, PantheonAssas, France Yu, Shu, s.yu@rug.nl, University of Groningen, Netherlands Zápal, Jan, jan.zapal@iae.csic.es, IAE-CSIC, Barcelona GSE, CERGE-EI Prague, Spain Zhang, Yongjing, yongjing.zhang@uottawa.ca, University of Ottawa, Canada Zimmermann, Ekkart, EkkartZimmermann@t-online.de, Dresden University of Technology, Germany Publishers Good, Phil, pgood@cambridge.org, Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom Pitman, Matthew, matthew.pitman@e-elgar.co.uk, Edward Elgar, United Kingdom Wilson, Donna, D.Weerd@elsevier.com, Elsevier, Netherlands Bihn, Martina, Martina.Bihn@springer.com, Springer, Germany 69 KEY Level G 1 Auditorium 2 Auditorium Lounge & Foyer Toilets 3 Auditorium Conference Office Portersʼ Lodge 4 Games Room 5 Dining Hall /Reception 7 Red Brick Cafe 8 Bar Telephone 9 JCR 14 Linnett Room Lift R Marquee Disabled toilets Stairs Level 0 19 Garden Room 5 Dining Hall Level 1 26 J8 Level 2 27 Teaching Rooms 7 R Robinson College, Grange Road, Cambridge CB3 9AN UK Tel: +44 (0)1223 339100 Fax: +44 (0)1223 315094 e-mail: conference@robinson.cam.ac.uk www.robinson.cam.ac.uk/conferences The2014Meet i ngoft heEur opeanPubl i cChoi c eSoc i et y