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Milking China's Cash Cow Coen Poon Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands Department of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality 4, Liangmahe Nanlu Road Beijing 100600, P.R. China www.nlpekagr.com Foreword This report on the Chinese dairy industry has been written as part of my assignment for the newly established NABSO office in Harbin and the Agriculture, Nature & Food Quality (ANFQ)-department of the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Beijing. While conducting research, I learned a lot about the world of dairy, and the position that China takes in this industry. During this time, I had the privilege to get a lot of support from colleagues but also experts in the field. Hereby, I would like to thank all the persons that contributed to this report, for their continuous support and constructive feedback. I will take this "dairy"-experience and put it to good use in future research assignments. TABLE OF CONTENT Chapter 1 Introduction 7 Chapter 2 China's dairy landscape 8 1.1 1.2 1.3 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 Scope of Research Structure of Report Data Research China's milk production regions China's dairy belt Dairy producing provinces Milk production Number of dairy cows Productivity per cow Chapter 3 Dairy herd improvement 3.1 3.2 3.3 Subsidies to improve herd quality Foreign suppliers for quality-breed subsidy project World Bank project Chapter 4 Dairy cattle feed 4.1 4.2 Concentrated feed Major feed companies 7 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 13 14 15 15 Chapter 5 Dairy farming & collection 17 5.1 5.2 5.3 Major dairy farms Collection stations Farmers & processors Chapter 6 Dairy processing 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 Major dairy processors Ownership structure International dairy companies Dairy products Power balance within the dairy chain 17 18 19 20 20 21 22 22 22 Chapter 7 Trade relations 23 Chapter 8 Summary & Conclusions 25 References 27 7.1 7.2 7.3 8.1 8.2 Imports Exports Trade Barriers with the Netherlands Summary Conclusions 23 23 23 25 25 5 Chapter 1 Introduction In 2006, Asia surpassed Europe as world's largest milk production region, accounting for 34% of total global output. Within this region, China has shown the most impressive growth figures over the past five years, with domestic milk output more than doubling in size (FAO, 2006). While China's milk production continues to grow rapidly in response to domestic demand, it still fails to keep up with its population's enormous thirst for dairy products. Milk deficit is thus compensated for by imports. The Chinese government intends to raise milk productivity by increasing average yield per cow, rather than relying on dairy herd expansion like previous years. International dairy companies could benefit from the Chinese emphasis on increasing milk productivity, for they could bring in their expertise in milk production, processing and management. This report aims to get a better understanding of the Chinese dairy industry and will focus mainly on the "upstream" activities of the dairy chain i.e. production, collection, and processing. A clear overview of the business environment should provide useful information for stakeholders of NABSO Harbin, in conducting business on China's domestic dairy market. This research also serves as an outline for further continuous field research by NABSO Harbin. 1.1 Scope of Research The Chinese dairy industry encompasses many companies, and as it would be unfeasible to provide detailed information on all entities of the dairy chain within the set timeline, only the major production provinces, dairy farms and processing companies in the industry will be highlighted. Research will focus on dairy in general, with a specific emphasis on cow milk since it represents a major share of the industry. The dotted lines of figure 1 illustrate the scope of this research on the dairy supply chain. chapter goes into domestic dairy farming as well as the various types of collection stations that supply raw milk to processing companies. Chapter six highlights the domestic processing industry with its major players and key products. It also shows the power balance within China's dairy chain. Chapter seven depicts the country's trade relations. Summary and recommendations are set forth in the final chapter. 1.3 Data Research Research is conducted through the study of secondary sources taken from EU agencies, articles and newspapers, case studies about the industry, company websites and official statistics from China's National Bureau of Statistics and Ministry of Agriculture (MOA). Additional information is obtained from available dairy consultants and other experts in the field of dairy business. Note: Upon researching the various sources of data, some disparities were found. These discrepancies can be explained from the fact that different methods of data gathering were employed, which therefore lead to other results. Nevertheless, despite these disparities, the statistics do provide for a general 'picture' of the current situation, and the way certain trends are evolving in the industry. Nevertheless, it should be clear that the provided numbers and percentages found in this report are estimates and should therefore not be used as a sole source of information for decision making. 1.2 Structure of Report This paper begins with a short glance at China's dairy landscape which is followed by an overview of the country's main production regions and provinces. The definition of milk production and its components will be further explored. Next chapter looks into China's dairy herd improvement, in particular the subsidies that have been made available by the central government, but also the World Bank. Dairy cattle feed will be highlighted in chapter 4. The following Figure 1: Dairy supply chain 7 Chapter 2 China's dairy landscape China's dairy industry has witnessed an enormous growth over past two decennia, with domestic demand and supply for dairy products expanding each year. Domestic raw milk production has grown rapidly over the past few years, reaching 28.7 million metric tons (mt) in 2005 (China Statistical Yearbook, 2006). Cow milk represents over 95% of gross raw milk production. However, supply fails to keep up with the country's demand for dairy products. Milk deficit is therefore compensated with imports. Total domestic dairy sales were valued at RMB 61.4 billion in 2005, and demand for dairy products is expected to keep growing strong (Euromonitor International, 2006). Besides costs reduction and product promotion to enlarge market share, dairy processors have also been busy securing raw milk resources, and extending distribution lines. In the distant past, major dairy processors located near big cities had an enormous advantage due to their proximity to large urban consumer markets. Also, these companies had their own distribution network as back in those days, milk was home delivered. However, the emergence of supermarkets over the past decade, in combination with the adoption of 'ultra high temperature'-treated (UHT) milk, has allowed for the advance of dairy processors in regions further away from consumer markets. On April 2006, Chinese premier Wen Jiabao expressed his wish that all Chinese people, in particular little children, could drink 500g milk per day. To fulfill this ambitious dream, China's central government has set quantitative targets for its 11th Five-Year Plan, which specifies among others that milk production should reach 38 millions mt annually by 2010. Milk productivity will be raised by increasing average yield per cow, rather than relying on dairy herd expansion like previous years. 2.1 China's milk production regions A closer look at China's dairy production reveals how this sector used to be dominated by several large state-owned farms, whereas today's industry is characterized by many small, backyard farmers with an inventory of around 1-4 cows. These households constitute over 80% of country's total raw milk production. Dairy production in China is thus highly diverse, ranging from small backyard farmers in remote villages with one or two cows, to large-scale private farms with hundreds of cows. At processing level, major dairy manufacturers fight out a fierce price war, which is especially fierce in the fluid milk segment (Bean et al, 2006). Major dairy firms have drastically cut their prices, squeezing profit margins to a minimum. In an effort to remove the bottleneck in the supply of milk, the Chinese government has decided to appoint five national dairy production bases. Due to the country's huge size, domestic milk production differs per region, depending on the specific characteristics of that particular area like climate conditions. The domestic dairy industry distinguishes five milk sourcing zones: * Suburban production areas that are found near major cities like Beijing, Shanghai and Tianjin. Production in these areas is characterized by a relatively large inventory of high-yield animals, intensive feeding, a high level of market-orientation and a high degree of vertical integration. Quality of raw milk is also relatively higher than other areas. Nowadays, farmers in this area face increasing pressure due to lack of farming space and a shortage of feed and forage grass. Dairy processor Sanyuan recently announced that it will relocate its dairy farms out of the 6th ring road of Beijing, to far suburban districts, other counties and provinces (BODC newsletter, 2007). Inner Mongolia. Land is pastoral, semi-agricultural and semi-pastoral. These provinces possess rich forage grass and feed resources, climate is ideal for breeding livestock, and feeding costs are low. Milk production in this region thus has a clear price advantage. Nevertheless, whilst herd size is large, average yield is still comparatively low due to the large proportion of small backyard farmers. Leading dairy processors Yili and Mengniu are based in Inner Mongolia. * The central plain production region refers to Hebei, Shanxi, Henan and Shandong. Feed costs in these cropping areas are low. However, dairy yield is relatively low. Farmers in this region feed their animals with all sorts of edible materials produced on their farms plus some purchased feed products. Manure is used to fertilize land. The scale of operation is often confined to the availability of feed resources on their farms or local markets. * The Western production region includes Xinjiang, Shaanxi, Ningxia, Gansu, Qinghai, and Tibet. This region is characterized by its vast areas of pastoral land. Milk is primarily used for self-consumption and the nursing of young animals. Grassland resources in pastoral areas suffered from degradation as a result of over-grazing and "inappropriate management due to a lack of clearly defined property rights" (Zhou et al, 2002). For this reason, the central government has decided that by 2010, more than 40% of usable pastoral land will be prohibited for grazing, fallow, or shift-grazing; and overgrazing on natural pastoral land will be reduced from the current 36% to below 25%. * Southern base covers Fujian, Guangdong, Guangxi, Zhejiang, Yunnan, Sichuan, and Jiangsu. This region is characterized by a sub-tropical climate, which is less appropriate for dairy cattle and more suitable for buffalos. Buffalo inventory in this region accounts for over half of the national total. Dairy processors in this region focus on liquid milk, in particular buffalo milk. Goat milk processing is expected to become more prominent. 2.2 China's dairy belt Most domestic raw milk sources are found in China's northern parts which have a favorable climate and abundant land and labor resources. The top 5 producing provinces and autonomous regions account for over two-third of China's total cow milk production. For this reason, the most northern provinces combined are also referred to as the 'dairy belt'. Figure 3 shows these provinces and their share in domestic milk production as well as their increase in milk production from 2004. Outside the dairy belt region, worth mentioning are the provinces Henan and Liaoning which have shown relatively much growth in dairy production, an increase of 50% and 34% respectively compared to 2004. Figure 3: China's dairy belt * The Northeast - Inner Mongolia production area includes the following provinces: Heilongjiang, Liaoning, Jilin, and Figure 2: Comparison of Cow Milk Production 1995 - 2005 (million metric tons) Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Source: Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Beijing, based on data from Rabobank (2005) and China Statistical Yearbook (2006) 8 9 2.3 Dairy producing provinces Total domestic milk production reached over 28 million mt in 2005, whilst total cow milk output was figured at 27.5 million mt. That year, the total number of dairy cattle was estimated at little over 12 million heads (China Dairy Yearbook, 2006). The major dairy producing provinces, including cattle inventory are shown in table A. It has been forecasted that the witnessed production growth from previous years, will slow down due to rising raw material costs for farmers with milk prices remaining unchanged (FAO, 2006). Inner Mongolia clearly ranks as the number one raw milk producing province in China, both in terms of total milk output and total cow milk production. This position is partly due to the presence of major dairy processors Yili and Mengniu, whom are major buyers of raw milk produced in the province. Also, the provincial government provides financial support through 'loans on key dairy projects, tax reductions for major diary companies, and investment in improving farming, breeding technology and irrigation infrastructure' (Lou, 2006). 2.4 Milk production Milk production is the result of an exchange between two components: number of dairy cows and productivity per cow. China's past growth in dairy production was mostly based on the expansion of cow herd size rather than an increase in average yield. Whilst the number of dairy cows has grown rapidly over the past few years, from 2.7 million heads in 1990 to 12.8 million heads in 2005, average yield per cow has not improved much and still lags behind Western standards. As future dairy herd will likely be restrained by limited land, water, feed and energy resources, the Chinese government aims to increase dairy production by raising the average yield per cow rather than further expanding the number of dairy cows (Fuller et al, 2005; Bean et al, 2006). 2.5 Number of dairy cows milk production was very low, and the number of dairy cows was estimated at less than 0.5 million heads. Rural collectivization meant that private animal rearing was prohibited, and state- or collective-owned dairy farms were the major milk suppliers. During that time, the domestic dairy processing industry remained underdeveloped due to the limited supply of raw milk. After reforms, private households were allowed to raise cows, and from that moment the country's dairy herd witnessed an enormous growth. By 2005, the number of dairy cows reached roughly 12 million heads, and the Chinese government expects dairy cattle inventory to expand even further in the next coming years, reaching 15 million heads and 18 million heads respectively in 2010 and 2020 (China Dairy Yearbook, 2006). Demand for imported dairy cattle has decreased, leading to more intensive competition among importers. Declining dairy prices of imported dairy cattle resulted in smaller profit margin, and it has been forecasted that only a few large importers will remain. 2.6 Productivity per cow The second component of milk production is output per cow. Low productivity per cow has often been named as one of the more notable issues in the Chinese dairy industry that need to be improved. Average yield per cow has been estimated at little above 2,000kg a year. Milk yield per cow differs per farm as well as area/province depending on various factors ranging from animal feed and breeding techniques, to farm management, weather conditions, etc. Data on average productivity per cow at small, backyard household level is not available, for China sees too many of these fragmented households. It is estimated that average milk yield of small backyard households lies around 1,500kg per cow. Large-scale private dairy farms produced 5,342kg per cow on average, whereas state-/collective farms realized an average milk yield of 6,091kg per cow in 2003 (Fuller et al, 2005). Figure 4: Development of China's milk sector, 1999-2005 Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Figure 5: Average milk yield 1992 - 2003 ˙§˛»… ¶””¯ Prior to the country's economic reforms in 1979, domestic Source: National Agricultural Production Cost and Return Survey (from Fuller et al, 2005) Table A: Major Provinces in dairy production, 2005 No Province/Municipal 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Inner Mongolia Heilongjiang Hebei Shandong Xinjiang Shaanxi Henan Liaoning Shanxi Beijing Cow milk production (million mt) 6.91 4.40 3.40 1.87 1.52 1.13 1.04 0.74 0.71 0.64 Dairy cattle inventory (million heads) 2.68 1.10 1.97 0.70 2.15 0.46 0.31 0.24 0.30 0.16 Source: China Statistical Yearbook (2006); China Dairy Yearbook (2006) 10 11 Chapter 3 Dairy herd improvement To increase productivity per cow, the Chinese government decided to put more emphasis on improving the quality of its dairy cattle population. Holstein cattle breeds account for about half of country's total dairy cattle inventory, and can mainly be found in the northern part of China. Besides Holstein and their crossbreeds with local cows, other dairy breeds include: Simmental, Red Steppe and Xinjiang Brown. Official documents show that the central government wants to promote animal husbandry and raise the quality breed ratio. For this purpose, a dairy cattle breeding system will be set up, with measures ranging from government subsidies for quality frozen semen, quality breed registration to support for dairy cattle breed selection and registration (China Dairy Yearbook, 2006). 3.1 Subsidies to improve herd quality In 2005, the Ministry of Agriculture (MOA) allocated USD 1.88 million to subsidize quality-breed dairy cattle in 15 counties in four provinces. A special program was set up to subsidize frozen semen for 675,000 heads of Holstein dairy cattle. For 2006, the central government raised subsidies to around USD 12.5 million, which benefits 178 counties in 22 provinces. The government aims to have 3.47 million dairy cattle enhanced. The main subsidized Table D: Major animal embryo importers in 2005 breed is Holstein cattle, and some quality breeds in dairy buffaloes, brown cattle and yaks. Subsidies to farmers range from USD 1.9 for each straw of Holstein frozen semen, and USD 1.3 for each straw of frozen semen of brown cattle/yak. Each head of dairy cattle receives subsidy on two straws of frozen semen (BODC, 16/08/06, Bean et al, 2006). The NABSO office in Harbin will look further into the subsidy program, and provide feedback to her stakeholders. 3.2 Foreign suppliers for quality-breed subsidy project Within the USD 12.5 million subsidy program, USD 2.5 million has been allocated to subsidize the import of dairy cattle frozen semen or embryos. Some local provincial governments have launched similar programs. MOA has appointed 8 foreign companies to supply frozen semen or embryos. These firms include: 1) ABS Global Inc., 2) Word-Wide Sires, LTD. and 3) Holstein Association, 4) Semex Alliance, 5) Alta Genetics Inc., 6) GGI-German Genetics International GmbH, 7) Nordrind GMBH and 8) CRV Holding B.V. (BODC, 04/09/06, Bean et al). Table B: Major companies in dairy embryo production No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Company Beijing Dairy Cattle Center (National Dairy Embryo Engineering Center) Institute of Animal Science, CAAS Beijing Glorious Land Agricultural Co., Ltd Xinjiang Gold Cattle Bio. Inc. Hutubi Embryo Engineering Center Xinjiang Tiankang Animal Science Biotechnology Co., Ltd Hebei Cattle and Goat Embryo Engineering Center (Hebei Agriculture University) Inner Mongolia Livestock Improvement Center Institute of Animal Science, Heilongjiang Land Reclamation Academy of Agriculture Science Institute of Animal Science, Shandong Academy of Agriculture Science Shandong OX Biotechnology Co., Ltd Shandong Zhongda Animal Embryo Engineering Center Yunnan Zhongke Embryo Biotechnology Co., Ltd Shanghai Dairy Breeding Center Co., Ltd Province Beijing Beijing Beijing Xinjiang Xinjiang Xinjiang Hebei Inner Mongolia Heilongjiang Shandong Shandong Shandong Yunnan Shanghai Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) # 1 2 3 4 5 Company Beijing AnBo Embryo Biotech Center Shanghai Shenlong International Trading Corp. Inner Mongolia Gold Bio-Tech R&D Co. Ltd. Xinmao Import & Export Co., Ltd. Canelite Agriculture & Livestock Co., Ltd. HQ Beijing Shanghai Hohhot Beijing Tianjin Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Table E: Major frozen bovine semen importers in 2005 # 1 2 3 4 5 Company IND Lifetech (Qingdao) Inc. Shanghai Shenlong International Trading Corp. Beijing Yin Xu Import & Export Co., Ltd. China National Animal Breeding Stock Import & Export Col, Ltd. Xinmao Import & Export Co., Ltd. HQ Qingdao Shanghai Beijing Beijing Beijing Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) 3.3 World Bank project In 2006, the World Bank launched a large project in Heilongjiang province to improve working and living standards of dairy farmers, and demonstrate new technologies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase carbon sequestration. For this purpose, the World Bank approved a USD 100 million loan, and the provincial government will provide another USD 100 million. The project consists of four major components. The first component refers to "Dairy Cow Production" which includes the construction of 7 dairy farms each raising 1,000 cows, and building 125 demonstration cow farm "gardens". In total 40,000 heads will be bought, and 40% will be imported from abroad. The second part refers to a "Dairy Cattle Breed Improvement", which includes the construction of 1 lab and 1 data processing center for the purpose of dairy herd improvement. At least 800,000 straws of frozen bovine semen will be imported from abroad within 5 years. The third part focuses on "Environmental Protection" which aims to improve crop stem production and cow waste treatment. This will mainly be financed by a grant of the Italian government which consists of USD 5.5 million. The fourth component refers to "Project Management Support" which aims to improve management, monitoring and evaluation of project activities. The World Bank project runs until 2011, and is open to all companies (Bean et al). Our NABSO office in Harbin will follow further development of this project, and keep her stakeholders updated on relevant news. Table C: Major dairy cattle importers # 1 2 3 4 5 Company China National Animal Breeding Stock Import & Export Co., Ltd. Shijiazhuang Qianxiang Trade Co., Ltd. Shandong Mengniu International Trading Co., Ltd. Sinofarm Genetics & Seeds (Group) Co., Ltd. Xinjiang Aksu Agricultural Reclamation Import & Export Corp. HQ Beijing Shijiazhuang Taian, Shandong Beijing Aksu, Xinjiang Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) 12 13 Chapter 4 Dairy cattle feed While the main emphasis has been set on high-quality genetics, central government has also been actively promoting use of quality animal feeds. China is world's second-largest producer of animal feed products, next to the United States. In 2005, the country's total amount of ruminant animal feed output was 3.87 million tons, which consisted of 2.36 million tons of concentrate supplement feed, 1.31 million tons of concentrate output, and 0.2 million tons of additive premix output. It has been estimated that dairy feed accounts for about 30% of ruminant animal feed. While the dairy feed segment is relatively small, it shows considerable more growth as compared to other feed segments in China (China Dairy Yearbook, 2006). The domestic feed industry is dominated by backyard production. However, as domestic milk production is gradually shifting from grazing based towards more feedbased, animal feed practices are changing along. A consolidated, more efficient feed industry is emerging in China, with scaled-up plants and improved infrastructure. Small backyard households rely more on self-prepared Figure 6: Major compound feed segments in China Figure 8: Different kind of roughage used for the dairy cows animal feed, while modern large-scale private farms and state-owned farms use industrial feed. Concentrate supplement is comparable to compound feed which includes all nutritional components except for the addition of fodder like straw, hay, corn, silage, or a mixture of these raw materials. Concentrate feed makes up around 30-50% of total feed, and can be described as concentrate supplement minus the energy component. As with concentrate supplement, fodder still has to be added. Lastly, additive premix feed includes minerals and a mixture of vitamins. Daily requirements of this type of feed lies around 100 gram per day, and is often put on top of the feed. Major feedstuffs for dairy cows include crop straw, silage and manufactured feed with soybean and feed grain. Silage is most often used as roughage, followed by straw, hay, and green chop (Främling, 2005; Lou, 2006). It has been reported that China has a serious shortage of quality coarse feed. Many places use crop straw as coarse feed, which greatly affects production level of dairy cattle (BODC, 19/10/06). Source: Främling (2005) 4.1 Concentrated feed The concentrated feed segment experiences much growth in China as many farmers buy this type of feed and blend it to create their own mixture of cheap animal feed. Research by Främling (2005) indicates that 75% of 67 farmers fed their cows "ready-mix" as concentrate. Besides ready-mix, other concentrates were also used, for most farmers did not believe the ready mix to be complete. Farmers whom did not purchase the pre-prepared product compiled their own mixture of concentrates, often including grain corn. Her study further shows that most farmers were feeding their cows 3 times a day, with free access to forage. Over half of the respondents allowed their cattle to access water freely, while the remaining watered their herd three times a day, either before or after feeding. Table F: Different kind of concentrates Type of Concentrate Ready mix Grain corn Peanut meal Cereal Minerals Soybean Cotton seed # of farms 50 48 26 20 20 19 7 % of farms 74.6 71.6 38.8 29.9 29.9 28.4 10.4 Source: Främling (2005) 4.2 Major feed companies Several international feed companies have stepped into China's animal feed market. Nutreco International has merged with Beijing Dejia Animal Husbandry. Provimi set up manufacturing plants in the provinces Jiangsu, Guangxi and Chongqing. Land O'Lakes has established feed mills in Beijing and Tianjin (Lou, 2006; BODC newsflash, 2007). Table G: Major dairy cattle feed suppliers in 2005 No. 1 2 3 4 5 Company Tianjin Carn Feed Co., Ltd Hebei Kaite Group Inner Mongolia Muquan Yuanxing Feed Co. Beijing Sanyuan Wellhope Co., Ltd Shanghai Bright Holstein Co., Ltd Headquarters Tianjin Shijiazhuang Huhehaote Beijing Shanghai Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Table H: Major international suppliers of dairy cattle feed in 2005 Source: Bean and Zhang (2005) Figure 7: Dairy cattle feed output in China No. 1 2 3 Company Agribrands Purina Feedmill Co., Ltd Chia Tai Group (Charoen Pokphand) Land O'Lakes/Great Wall Enterprise Nutrition Technologies (Beijing) Co., Ltd Headquarters Langfang, Hebei Beijing Beijing Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) 14 15 Table I: Major dairy cattle feed additive suppliers in 2005 No. 1 2 3 Company Beijing Eastern Bell Science & Technology Group Beijing Oriental Kingherd Biotechnology Co., Ltd Shanghai Silver Eagle Biotechnical Col., Ltd Headquarters Beijing Beijing Shanghai Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Table J: Major international suppliers of dairy feed additives in 2005 No. 1 2 3 4 5 Company Tianjin Carn Feed Co., Ltd Hebei Kaite Group Inner Mongolia Muquan Yuanxing Feed Co. Beijing Sanyuan Wellhope Co., Ltd Shanghai Bright Holstein Co., Ltd Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Headquarters Tianjin Shijiazhuang Huhehaote Beijing Shanghai Chapter 5 Dairy farming & collection In 1985, state-monopoly on circulation of livestock products was abolished and replaced by a system in which state, collective and private channels co-exist and compete with each other. Nowadays, China's cattle raising systems can be divided into three basic categories: small-scale backyard farms, specialized households, and commercial farms. It is estimated that around 80% of China's present milk output comes from individual backyard farms, roughly 15% of dairy output comes from large-scale private farms, and merely 5% from state-owned farms (USDA FAS, 2006; Zhou, 2006). At present, it has been estimated that around 65% of raw milk production is based on manual milking (Bean et al, 2006; China Dairy Yearbook, 2006). However, the Chinese government intends to increase the rate of mechanized milking facilities to 70% and 95%, by respectively 2010 and 2020, as put forward in its 11th Five-Year Plan. The large number of fragmented small-scale farmers is seen by many as a huge constraint for the development of China's dairy industry, for it presents a major obstacle in organizing, monitoring, and standardizing the quality of dairy products. Most of these farmers have little knowledge on dairy farming, scientific feeding, and are often unable to prevent and control epidemic diseases among dairy cattle. It is expected that in future, the share of scaled dairy farms will increase as farmers are being encouraged to enlarge their scale of farming. As mentioned, small backyard households constitute a major part of the country's total farmers, most of them holding 1-4 cows. Large-scale private farms are often owned by a dairy processor or a group of dairy farms, with inventory ranging between 100 and 1,000 cows. State-owned farms have the smallest proportion in total domestic raw milk production. Most of these farms are located in the proximity of large urban consumer markets, and have between 1,000 and 2,000 cows in stock (Lou, 2006). 5.1 Major dairy farms Clearly, large-scale private farms and state-owned farms are the most interesting farms to dairy companies, as these farmers are more willing and have the financial means to invest in dairy production. The table below shows major dairy farms in China and their contact details. Figure 9: China's milk production structure • ”¯•¯ ˜ˇ´ˆ Source: Främling (2005) Table K: Milk production structure in China Type of farm Small private households Large-scale private farms State-owned farms Cow stock size (heads) 1 - 100 101 - 1,000 > 1,001 Average yield (kg/head) n.a. 5342 6091 Total milk output (%) 80 15 5 Source: Lou (2006); Fuller et al (2005) Table L: Major dairy farms in China # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Company Beijing Sanyuan Lvhe Farming Center Daqing Yinluo Dairy Industry Group Inner Mongolia Ruquan Dairy Co., Ltd Bright Dairy & Food Co., Ltd Nanjing Dairy (Group) Co., Ltd Jinan Jiabao Dairy Co., Ltd Xinjiang Gold Cattle Group Kunming Xuelan Dairy Co., Ltd Lanzhou Dairy Cattle Breed Farm Changji Hutubi Breeder Cattle Farm HQ Beijing Daqing, Heilongjiang Tuyouqi, Inner Mongolia Shanghai Nanjing Jinan Urumqi Kunming Lanzhou Changji, Xinjiang Source: China Dairy Yearbook (2006) 16 17 1) Beijing Sanyuan Lvhe Farming Center : Mr. ZHOU Weidong Director : Jiugong township, Daxing, Beijing Address : 100076 Postcode Telephone : +86-10-67992012/67968550 : +86-10-67992022 Fax : N.A. Website 8) Lanzhou Dairy Cattle Breed Farm : Mr. LI Minggao Director : #697 Duanjiatan Address : 730030 Postcode Telephone : +86-931-4677345 : +86-931-7691235 Fax : N.A. Website 2) Inner Mongolia Ruquan Dairy Co., Ltd : Mr. GUO Yufeng Director : Tuyouqi, Baotou, Inner Mongolia Address : 014100 Postcode Telephone : +86-472-8922552 : +86-472-8922552 Fax : N.A. Website 5.2 Collection stations 3) Bright Dairy (Group) Co., Ltd : Mr. WANG Jiafen Director : #578 Wuzhong Road, Minhang District, Address Shanghai : 201103 Postcode Telephone : +86-21-54584520 : +86-21-64655033 Fax : www. brightdairy.com Website China sees a large number of small backyard farmers whom are fragmented all over the country, and since dairy firms cannot address each and every farmer individually for raw milk, these processing companies turn to collection stations, which connect the individual farmer with the processing company. Nowadays, small-backyard farmers are practically obliged to send their milk to collection stations, as dairy processors do not accept small individual amounts of raw milk (Webber and Wang, 2003). Raw milk from collection stations is often supplemented by the output of directowned farms and random purchases. A distinction can be made between the various centers as shown in the figure below. Figure 10: Classification of raw milk collection stations 4) Nanjing Dairy (Group) Co., Ltd : Mr. CAI Jingdong Director : #5 Tongwei Road, Nanjing, Jiangsu Address : 210014 Postcode Telephone : +86-25-84433114/84431822 : +86-25-84433867/84875156 Fax : www.wgdairy.com.cn Website 5) Jinan Jiabao Dairy Co., Ltd : Mr. SUN Zuogang Director : #6 Jiabao Road, Jinan, Shandong Address : 250100 Postcode Telephone : +86-531-87999999 : +86-531-86666666 Fax : www.jiabaoruyue.com.cn Website 6) Xinjiang Gold Cattle Group : Mr. ZHANG Danfeng Director : #58 Zhongya Avenue, Urumqi Economic & Address Technological Development Zone, Xinjiang : 830026 Postcode Telephone : +86-991-3751328 : +86-991-3711224 Fax : www.gcbio.cn Website 7) Kunming Xuelan Dairy Co., Ltd : N.A. Director : #100 North Road, Huancheng Address : 650051 Postcode Telephone : +86-871-5151988 : +86-871-800889 Fax : www.xuelan.com Website 18 Source: Zhang (2007) Milk collection stations can be divided into two types. Those stations that are set up by an independent third party and deliver milk to any dairy processor they prefer, and collection stations that are established with money invested by a processing company. The latter stations are obliged to supply their milk to one specific dairy company. Dependent stations are often better equipped than their independent counterparts. * The independent collection station has dairy farmers milk their cows at their own farms, after which the raw milk is brought to a collection center. At this station, raw milk is then poured together with the output of other dairy farmers, and delivered to a processing firm. Some of these collections stations are known to have nearly 5,000 individual farmers that travel up to 40 km to deliver the minimally refrigerated raw milk (IFC, 2004). Lack of effective quality & hygiene regulation and supervision, leaves much room for bad practices. For instance, milk from the individual farmer can be infected, and thus contaminate the whole milk collection. It would be difficult to trace down the culprit. In addition, as payment was paid based on delivered volume, some farmers would pour together water and milk, to get some extra earnings. Today, raw milk brought in by the individual farmer is often double- or triple checked by the collection center so to guarantee the quality of the milk. The purchasing price of raw milk in Wulanchabu (Inner Mongolia province), has been set at RMB 1.81/kg by Yili Group and Mengniu Group since February 2007; raw milk price paid to farmers at dairy parks has been set at RMB 1.85/kg (BODC newsflash, 2007). * Dependent collection centers can be divided into two types. A dairy village refers to a milking station that has its milking equipment, cooling facilities, and buildings provided by a processing company or local government authorities. Local farmers can bring their cows to the center two to three times a day for milking. Raw milk testing, hygiene maintenance, transport to the processing company and payment to farmers, are handled by the collection station. These stations get paid based on the quality grade of raw milk they provide. Fixed contracts with milk processors mean that raw milk is delivered to one specific dairy company. * The second type of dependent collection station refers to a dairy park, which is also referred to as farm garden. It is an enclosed terrain which is divided into several pieces of land, and leashed out to individual farmers for milk production. Within the dairy park, housing and other facilities are already in place, and some parks have everything ranging from supply of semen for highquality breeding, good animal feed, to stringent disease prevention and control measures, centrally organized. This approach allows management to carefully regulate the quality grade of raw milk production. Milking is closely supervised, and the amount of milk produced by each cow is registered. Research shows that milk productivity and quality are higher at these dairy parks, since farmers often receive training in farm management, animal husbandry, and best feed practices. Mechanized milking and refrigerated storage reduce risk of contamination and waste. Due to its higher milk quality, raw milk is often sold at a higher price than outside the park (IFC, 2004). According to BODC (2007), most of these so-called dairy parks are found in Hebei and Shandong province. Case-example: Mengniu's value chain To secure a steady supply of high-quality raw milk, Mengniu has contracted a large number of dairy farmers to supply their milk through third-party collection centers to the processing company. The collection station usually consists of a central milking barn which is surrounded by several small cow barns and feeding yard complexes with attached residential units for the farmer and family. The cow barn and residential units in the complex are owned by the individual farmers, who must purchase them. The farmers must also supply their own cows and forage. Mengniu assists farmers in obtaining loans from local banks. The typical collection center/farm complex has 40 farmers and their families, and the average farmer has two to ten cows. All manure is collected and sold to the farmers for fertilizer. Dairy farmers get paid in cash after each milking, based on the quantity of milk produced. Mengniu has supervisors in place to check the quality of raw milk. Afterwards raw milk is transported in sterilized tank trucks to one of Mengniu's processing plants. While milk truck transfer operators own their own trucks; they are also contracted to Mengniu. After each load, the trucks are sterilized at the plant's sterilization center. Today, Mengniu has around 3,000 collection centers under contract in China; over half of them are located in Inner Mongolia. The supply chain consists of circa 500,000 dairy cows owned by 300,000 small, independent farmers in Inner Mongolia and neighboring provinces, with an average of 1.67 cows per farmer (International Finance Corporation, 2006). This case-example shows how Mengniu secures (a part of) her raw milk supply through backward integration. It should be mentioned that while Mengniu contracts independent operators to build and operate collection stations, its rival Yili owns and operates these stations itself. It has further been reported that within the Hohhot region, Yili has around 300 collection stations in place (Webber and Wang, 2003). 5.3 Farmers & processors Within China's dairy industry, individual farmers are linked to dairy processors through contracts. These contracts often have a time-span of 5 years, and stipulate amongst others that farmers supply milk to a specific processing company. Thus, milk cannot be sold to other dairy processors, which prevents competitors from expanding into company's supply areas. In turn, the processor agrees to purchase milk produced by farmers at a minimum price. Farmers receive a higher price for higher quality milk. In addition to some price security, farmers get access to capital for herd expansion, technical advice, and milk markets (Webber and Wang, 2003; Fuller et al, 2005). 19 Chapter 6 Dairy processing The domestic dairy processing sector is also heavily characterized by many small-scale, fragmented dairy manufacturers. From the late 1990s, the country went from around 700 dairy processors, to more than 1,600 companies in 2004 (Schultz, 2006). That same year, the top three major dairy companies were responsible for over 42% of total national sales, which is up 34% from 2003. Consolidation of the market was the result of increased price wars, extension of nation-wide distribution networks, and further consolidation of raw milk resources of leading dairy manufacturers aim to secure a steady supply of raw milk (Euromonitor International, 2006). Consultancy firm McKinsey (2006) expects that by 2010 more than half of China's 1,600 domestic dairy manufacturers will have disappeared (Cheung and Grant, 2006). 6.1 Major dairy processors Major domestic players can be divided into two groups, namely resource-based firms and market-oriented companies. Resource-based firms are represented by Yili and Mengniu from Inner Mongolia, Wandashan from Heilongjiang, and Sanlu from Hebei. Examples of the marketoriented group include Bright Dairy from Shanghai and Sanyuan from Beijing. The resource-based firms are mostly found in the Northeast region, whereas the market-oriented companies are located in suburban areas, close to major consumer markets. However, the difference between both groups is becoming less distinctive with resource-based companies moving into major consuming regions, and market-oriented enterprises establishing production bases in raw milk production regions (Bean et al, 2006; Lou, 2006). The top four companies clearly stand out of the crowd, with Yili and Mengniu, both companies from Inner Mongolia vying for the country's number one position. Mengniu, established in 1999, is a relatively newcomer which has shown impressive growth. Some sources even argue that Mengniu has overtaken Yili's position as the number one milk selling company. In 2005, Yili signed an agreement which made the company an official sponsor for the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. Mengniu has sponsored a popular singing competition program on television which goes by the name of "Mengniu Yoghurt Super Girl Contest". Sanlu from Shijiazhuang ranks third. Mid 2006, Auckland-based dairy enterprise Fonterra bought a large stake of dairy giant Sanlu. This former Chinese state-owned company has a broad set of business activities ranging from raising dairy cows, to processing, packaging, and researching milk. Bright Dairy has tumbled down from its number one spot, losing market share as a result of disappointing sales and a quality incident that damaged its reputation (Patton, 2006). In comparison, Dutch dairy giants Friesland Foods and Campina showed revenues of respectively RMB 36.8 and RMB 36.5 billion in 2005 (www.fcdf.nl/ and www.campina.com; 2007). Table M: Major dairy processors in China, 2005 No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Company Inner Mongolia Yili Inner Mongolia Mengniu Shijiazhuang Sanlu Shanghai Bright Dairy Shuangcheng Nestle Jinan Jiabao Xian Yinqiao Shanxi Gucheng Heilongjiang Wandason Mead Johnson Guangzhou Revenue (mln RMB) 11,765 10,825 7,454 5,454 2,700 1,908 1,563 1,534 1,500 1,500 Processing capacity (MT/day) 8,000 8,000 3,850 5,450 1,500 1,500 1,300 1,000 2,000 N.A. Source: Lou (2006); China Dairy Yearbook (2006) Contact details of major dairy processors 1) Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd : Share enterprise Ownership : #8 Jin Si Dao, Jin Chuan Development Area, Address Huhehaote City, China Postcode : 010080 Telephone : +86-471-3388888 : +86-471-3385666 Fax Website : http://www.yili.com Main products : Liquid milk, ice cream, milk powder, and raw milk 20 7) Xi'an Yinqiao : Private enterprise Ownership : #99 Yinqiao Street, Economic Development Address Zone, Lintong, Xi'an : 710600 Postcode Telephone : +86-29-83886918 : +86-29-83886998 Fax Website : http://www.yinqiaogroup.com/php/index.php Main products : Milk powder, liquid milk and yoghurt drinks 2) Inner Mongolia Mengniu : Joint-stock Ownership : Shengle Economy Zone, Helinge'er, Hohhot, Address Inner Mongolia : 011500 Postcode : +86-471-7392222 Telephone : +86-471-7392222 Fax : http://www.mengniu.com.cn Website Main products : UHT milk, ice cream and flavoured milk beverages 6) Jinan Jiabao : Shared enterprise Ownership : #1999 Mingda Road, Jinan City, Changqing Address region : 250316 Postcode : +86-531-87999999 Telephone : +86-531-87809999 Fax : http://www.jiabaoruye.com.cn/ Website Main products : Liquid milk, yoghurt, flavoured milk beverages and milk powder 3) Shijiazhuang Sanlu Ownership : State-owned Address : #539 East Heping Road, Shijiazhuang Postcode : 050071 Telephone : +86-311-7055423 Fax : +86-311-7055423 Website : http://www.sanlu.com Main products : Milk powder and yoghurt 8) Shanxi Gucheng : Shared enterprise Ownership Address : Shanyin town, Shanyin County Postcode : 036900 : +86-349-708-2088 / 2003 Telephone Fax : +86-349-708-2001 Website : http://www.china-gucheng.com/ Main products : Liquid milk, yoghurt, milk powder 4) Shanghai Bright Dairy Ownership : Chinese - foreign joint venture : #578 Wuzhong Road, Shanghai Address Postcode : 201103 Telephone : +86-21-54584520 Fax : +86-21-64655033 : http://www.brightdairy.com Website Main products : Fresh milk, UHT milk, fruit juice, cheese, milk powder, and yoghurt 9) Heilongjiang Wandason (Wondersun) Ownership : Shared enterprise Address : #368 Changjiang Road Nangang region, Heilongjiang province Postcode : 150090 Telephone : +86-451-82341887 Fax : +86-451-82343776 Website : http://wondersun.com.cn Main products : Liquid milk and milk powder 5) Shuangcheng Nestle : Foreign invested Ownership : 3 Building, Universal Plaza, #10 Jiu Xian Address Qiao Rd, Chaoyang District, Beijing : 100016 Postcode : +86-10-84347888 Telephone : +86-10-64389330 Fax : http://www.nestle.com.cn/ Website Main products : Broad range of products which includes: Liquid milk, milk powder, chocolate, ice cream, water, etc. 10) Mead Johnson - Guangzhou Ownership : Foreign-funded Address : Dongjixiayuan Road, Economic and Technological Development Zone, Guangzhou Postcode : 510010 Telephone : +86-20-82219180 Fax : +86-20-82211277 Website : http://www.meadjohnson.com.cn Main products : Milk powder 6.2 Ownership structure extent companies are exactly privatized or state-controlled. Dairy processors that want to secure raw milk sources often need to cooperate closely with government authorities at all levels, ranging from provincial to village level as regional protectionism still exists. In addition, in some situations local governments are involved with collective farms and collection stations, as they set floor prices for raw milk to protect dairy farmers (Lou, 2006). Ownership structure and legal status of Chinese companies have evolved rapidly in the past few years. Nowadays, there are many forms that lie between private companies and state-owned companies. The fact that many private enterprises have links with the government, and former-state controlled being partly privatized, has made it rather complicated to understand as to which 21 6.3 International dairy companies Lured by its large business potential, many international companies have rushed into the Chinese dairy market without access to raw milk resources and distribution channels. Intense competition has left many companies disillusioned. Major foreign companies active in the Chinese dairy industry include Nestle and Danone in the liquid milk and yogurt business, but also Nutricia, International Nutrition, Abbott Laboratories, Mead Johnson, and Wyeth, in the (infant) milk powder segment. Major cheese processors with overseas investment include Bongrain Foods and Finland Valio (China Dairy Yearbook, 2006). Many international dairy producers have changed their strategy for penetrating the Chinese market. It is difficult for international producers to get a steady supply of high quality raw milk as these sources are controlled by Chinese enterprises. Therefore, instead of setting up self-owned production facilities from scratch, these companies choose to enter the Chinese market through mergers and joint ventures. Recently, international dairy processors like Fonterra, Arla Foods, and Danone SA have been investing in joint ventures with some of China's largest domestic dairy processors (Lou, 2006; BODC newsletter 2006). 6.4 Dairy products Liquid milk and milk powder have the largest product share in China's dairy industry as shown in the figure below. Profit margins on these dairy products have been under large pressure due to a rise in raw material and labor costs. Leading dairy processors have been investing more in R&D to capitalize on the future growth of value-added products like high-quality milk and yoghurt. 6.5 Power balance within the dairy chain Within China's dairy value chain, views differ on the power balance between the various members of the chain. One can roughly distinguish the following chain-members from "cow to consumer": (1) farmer, (2) milk collections center, (3) dairy processor, (4) retailer and (5) consumers. Different from Europe with strong impact of retail on the supply side a general idea is that mainly processors determine the product variety on the shelves of the retailer. In other words, the Chinese dairy market seems at present (2006/2007) a seller's market instead of a buyer's market. Chinese processors are in the stage of securing their input of raw materials, i.e. raw milk. For that reason tight relations between dairy processors and milk collection centers (in whatever way) and/or large-scale farmers exist. From the perspective of NABSO stakeholders, medium- and largesale farmers and milk collection centers can be seen as major prospects. Therefore, it is essential to build up good relationships with dairy processing firms and address the right contacts within the company to gain access to major dairy farms and collection centers. In this respect some remarks about dimensions. We have seen in paragraph 6.1 that the national Chinese dairy market is dominated by relative "big" dairy processors. Nevertheless, there are also mid-sized financially sound dairy processors, operating within a province or even focusing on one city. For example, the Harbin-based companies "Wonderful", not corporate related to "Wandashan" (!), and "Today" are producing liquid milk and yoghurt for mainly Harbin with a population of approximately 10 million inhabitants. Figure 11: Main dairy products in 2005 (based on retail sales) Chapter 7 Trade relations 7.1 Imports In 2005, China imported all of its dairy cattle from Australia and New Zealand, with Australia supplying the largest share. That year, total import volume of dairy cattle was figured at 49.590 heads, and valued at USD 74.30 million which showed a sharp decline compared to the import of 132,400 heads in 2004. Mid-2006, the average price of 16-month pure Holstein cattle was USD 1,875 a head in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, and USD 1,750 a head in Mengniu Maanshan Modern Farm (BODC newsletter, 2006). Total import volume of imported animal embryos was figured at 159kg, with a value of USD 1.41 million. Australia and Canada were the main suppliers. Imported frozen bovine semen came from Canada, which had a volume and value of respectively 323kg and USD 957.960 (China Dairy Yearbook, 2006). In 2006, total imports from the Netherlands in the field of agriculture were figured at roughly EUR 257 million which included animal feed valued at EUR 6 million (LEI, 2006). Dutch whey imports to China declined from 14,909 mt to 13,861 mt in 2005 (Bean et al, 2006). 7.2 Exports China mainly exports two kinds of dairy products namely, fluid milk and whole fat dry milk (WFDM). USDA FAS forecasts that China's fluid milk exports will increase 8% to 40,000 mt and WFDM exports to increase 6% to 36,000 mt due to increased demand in markets in East and Southeast Asia. Figure 12: Chinese imports from the Netherlands China's fluid milk exports to Hong Kong and Macau account for 96% of China's total fluid milk exports, and WFDM exports to Taiwan, Hong Kong and Myanmar account for 75% of China's total WFDM exports (Bean et al, 2006). In 2006, total exports in the field of agriculture from China to the Netherlands have been figured at roughly EUR 515 million. Total value of exported dairy products and animal feed -not including grains- was valued at respectively EUR 1.3 million and EUR 7.5 million (LEI, 2007). 7.3 Trade Barriers with the Netherlands The Chinese government has currently imposed restrictions on the import of Dutch agricultural products of animal origin. The country has banned all animal-related products from the Netherlands. The Chinese government stated that these measures were a necessary means to protect public's health. At present, Dutch officials are still negotiating with Chinese authorities on the resumption of the importation of animal related products. All necessary formalities will take time, as Chinese officials insist on implementing their own risk assessments. For more information about the present situation, we advise our stakeholders to double check actual news on our web site www.hollandinchina.org and/or contact the Agricultural Bureau in Beijing or NABSO in Harbin in the People's Republic of China. (EUR 1,000) Source: Euromonitor International (2006) Source: LEI (2007) 22 23 Figure 13: Chinese agriculture exports to the Netherlands (EUR 1,000) Chapter 8 Summary & Conclusions This chapter gives an overview of the major findings in 8.1 followed by concluding recommendations in 8.2. In some occasions specific recommendations will be addressed directly to particular stakeholders. 8.1 Summary Source: LEI (2007) 24 1. China has the ambition to increase her annual milk production from 29 billion kg in 2005 to 38 billion kg raw milk in 2010. 2. The number of milk cows is expected to increase from 12 million in 2005 to 18 million in 2010. 3. Main production areas in China can be found in the Northeast, i.e. Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang and Hebei. Next to these three provinces Shandong (mid East) and Xinjiang (West) are important milk producing areas. All five provinces together are producing 60% of total Chinese raw milk. 4. Dairy processors, at present leading in the value chain "from cow to consumer", are price fighting their market shares. 5. The central government in Beijing subsidizes herd improvement. Alta Genetics inc. and CRC Holding are two out of the eight appointed foreign companies to supply semen and embryos. 6. In 2006 the World Bank approved a USD 200 million for (a) improving living standards of farmers, (b) demonstrating new technologies and (c) environmental protection. The Heilongjiang project of the World Bank, running to 2011, covers (1) dairy cow production, (2) dairy cattle improvement, (3) environmental protection and (4) project management support. 7. China is the second largest producer of animal feed in the world with an output of 3.9 million metric tons. Despite the relative small part of 1.3 million, dairy feed is expected to show a high growth in both relative and absolute terms and a more industrial based- rather than backyard production. 8. The supply side of raw milk is highly fragmented. It is estimated that 80% of the total output comes from small private households. The other 20% is generated by largescale private- & state-owned farms. 9. Collection stations, sometimes called MCCs, i.e. milk collections centers, bridge the milk-output of farmers to processors. They can be independent or dependant. Dependant refers to their relation with either a dairy village or a dairy park (or dairy garden). 10. Dairy processors are securing the supply of raw milk among others through long-term contracts with farmers. 11. The number of domestic dairy processors is expected to decrease dramatically due to further consolidation. 12. The top five dairy processors in China, based on revenues and estimated capacity, are Yili, Mengniu, Sanlu, Shanghai Bright and Swiss Nestle. 13. Due to the current uncertain supply of high-quality raw milk, international dairy processors are entering China through mergers and/or joint ventures. 14. Besides the main dairy products liquid milk and milk powder, there is a tendency to investigate (higher) valueadding products like high-quality milk and yoghurt. Despite the infant stage of the cheese market some processors are having a cheese-line. 15. Dairy processors are currently seen as main influencers within the China Dairy Chain. The terms small, mediumsized and big for dairy processors should be seen from a Chinese perspective 16. China imported in 2006 from the Netherlands agricultural products for about EUR 257 million, whereas it exported to the Netherlands for about EUR 515 million. 17. China imposed import restrictions on agricultural products from the Netherlands. Dutch officials are negotiating with Chinese authorities to solve the underlying issues 8.2 Conclusions 1. High ambition of China to increase milk production creates opportunities for all stakeholders. Based on company profiles, NABSO Harbin is promoting the Dutch offerings in both individual contacts as well as during trade fairs and/or seminars. 2. Increased number of dairy cows focuses initially on semen, embryos, followed by other suppliers. 3. Stakeholders are recommended to focus their activities on the Northeast Provinces. 4. Price fighting will reinforce a shake-out of dairy processors. Increased demand for dairy products might counter-force this process by new entrants. Increased discretionary income of Chinese consumers creates demand for higher adding valued products stimulating demand by farmer, milk collection center and processor for e.g. quality-enhancing technology and training. 5. Together with the Agricultural Bureau in Beijing, NABSO Harbin keeps a close watch on developments of Chinese subsidies and informs her stakeholders accordingly. 6. NABSO Harbin monitors the World Bank project and informs her stakeholders in case new developments occur. 7. Feed-related stakeholders are recommended to formulate their strategies in order to be stand-by for increased feed market. Next to feed (additives) the need for feeding equipment and nutritional information will increase. 8. Stakeholders are recommended to focus on large-scale private-owned farms rather than large-scale state-owned farms because of the relative faster decision-making processes within Chinese private companies. 9. Both independent and dependant milk collection centers are interesting target groups for Dutch stakeholders. Field study by both NABSO Harbin as well as the relevant stakeholders should determine which specific ones in the Northeast pat of China are interesting to approach. 10. Relation between processor and farm confirms the importance for Dutch stakeholders to stay in touch with the processors. In case assistance needed by either the Agricultural Bureau in Beijing or NABSO Harbin, stakeholders 25 are invited to contact us. 11. Shake-out of processors emphasizes the necessity of selecting carefully the processor. 12. Relevant stakeholders are recommended to scan the web sites of (a) the major dairy farms mentioned in paragraph 5.1 and (b) major dairy processors in paragraph 6.1. Based on own product-offering, manpower and resources available, a plan-of-approach can be formulated. 13. What counts for international dairy processors entering the Chinese marker, counts for all our Dutch stakeholders as well. A well-involved agent, distributor or wholesaler can ease the process of entering the Chinese market. This is always true, but sometimes forgotten. 14. Dutch cheese-related stakeholders will be informed by NABSO Harbin in case developments will occur. Specific individual questions are welcome. 15. Stakeholders are recommended to consider so-called mid-sized dairy companies as well. Rationale is that the whole world is looking at the top-10 in China and neglecting the more accessible mid-sized dairy companies. 16. FYI. 17. Relevant stakeholders are recommended to doublecheck the web sites of the Dutch Ministry of Agriculture and mentioned www.hollandinchina.org for actualities regarding import-restrictions for Dutch agricultural products. 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(2006), "The changing dynamic in China: the development of meat industry and consumers", presentation at World Meat Congress in Brisbane, Australia, April 28. 27 I would like to thank the following persons: - Baudoin, Erik - Chief Representative, Netherlands Agribusiness Support Office; - Choo, Mei Leng - Administrative Assistant, ANFQ office Beijing. - Cortenbach, Jan - Export manager, Koudijs Feed, and Chief Technical Officer, De Heus; - Dou, Ming - Managing Director, Beijing Orient Dairy Consultants Ltd; - Duijn, Henk van - Counsellor for ANFQ office Beijing; - Hsueh, Fan - Senior Administrative assistant, ANFQ office Beijing; - Hu, Dinghuan - Professor, Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, and Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences; - Nuytens, Gabrielle - Attaché for ANFQ office Beijing; - Pan, Chenjun - Senior Industry Analyst, Rabobank office Beijing; - Wang, Yongfeng - Senior Agricultural Officer, ANFQ office Beijing; - Zhang, Xiao-Yong - Marketing Researcher, LEI (Agricultural Economics Research Institute). Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Beijing Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality Department Address : 4, Liangmahe Nanlu Road Beijing 100600, P.R. China Telephone : +86.10. 8532 0260 Fax : +86.10. 8532 0303 Website : www.nlpekagr.com Email : pek-lnv@minbuza.nl Netherlands Agribusiness Support Office in Harbin Address : Room E, 14F, Dikang-Caifu Building Zhongshan Road 162-1, Xiangfang District Harbin 150040 Heilongjiang, P.R. China Telephone : +86 (0) 451 55500240 Fax : +86 (0) 451 55500290 Website : www.hollandinchina.org Email : windowseat@yahoo.com Consulate General of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Hong Kong Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality Department Address : Suite 5702, 57th Floor, Cheung Kong Center 2 Queen's Road Central, Hong Kong Telephone : +852.252448187/88 : +852.252449419 Fax Website : www.nlpekagr.com : hon-lnv@minbuza.nl Email Consulate General of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Shanghai Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality Department Address : 4/F East Tower, Sun Plaza 88 Xianxia Road, Changning District Telephone : +86.21.62099076 : +86.21.62789722 Fax Website : www.nlpekagr.com : sha-lnv@minbuza.nl Emai 28 29