Biodiesel Production in the County of Newell #4
Transcription
Biodiesel Production in the County of Newell #4
Biodiesel Production in the County of Newell #4 A Prefeasibility Study PRODUCED BY : The Economic Development and Tourism Department County of Newell #4 707 – 2nd Avenue East Brooks, Alberta T1R 1B2 April, 2006 INDEX SECTION PAGE 1. THE BIODIESEL PRODUCT: 3 2. OVERVIEW OF THE INDUSTRY: 5 3. COMMERCIAL BIODIESEL PRODUCTION: 6 4. THE POTENTIAL MARKET FOR COUNTY BIODIESEL: 12 5. PROFITABILITY: 13 6. SUMMARY: 18 7. REFERENCES: 19 DISCLAIMER: This study was produced with information that was considered accurate and reliable at the time of development. However the biodiesel industry is evolving at a rapid pace. Therefore, those considering investing financially in the biodiesel industry should consider this information as a general guide to further in depth research into the commercial viability of potential biodiesel enterprises. The County of Newell #4 specifically denies any liability pertaining to the use of the information contained in this study. 2 1. THE BIODIESEL PRODUCT: 1.1 WHAT IS IT? Biodiesel is an ester of alcohol manufactured from animal or vegetable oils usually through a chemical process termed transesterification. There are several variations of the process depending on the quality and type of oil used. The oils comprise triglycerides which are glycerine molecules with three long chain fatty acids attached to glycerine backbones. Transesterification takes place when triglicerides are mixed with an alcohol and a catalyst. The chemical reaction takes place reasonably quickly without any danger of explosion and results in the production of methyl or ethyl ester and free glycerol. The glycerol settles to the bottom of the reactor vessel for further processing and the alcohol ester after filtering and de-watering is then known as Biodiesel. 1.2. CHARACTERISTICS OF BIODIESEL: 1.2.1. Use and Blending: Biodiesel can be burned as pure ester (B100) or any mixture of biodiesel and petrodiesel It mixes easily with petrodiesel and maintains mixture stability for several months. The most common mixtures at present appear to be B20 in above freezing temperatures and B5 or B10 in cold weather. 1.2.2. Combustion and Energy Characteristics: The cetane rating of B100 is approximately C55 compared to C40 for Canadian petrodiesel. This allows for easier engine starting and warm – up as well as theoretically greater engine efficiency due to better combustibility of the fuel. One U.S. gallon of B100 biodiesel will produce 130,000 BTUs of heat energy compared to 140,000 BTUs produced by a gallon of petrodiesel. However, biodiesel is denser than petrodiesel so on a volume basis actual work performed can be expected to decrease only 3%-4%. 1.2.3. Lubricity: Biodiesel is a good lubricant (about 66% better than petrodiesel). This is important in reducing injector and pump wear inherent in the use of low and ultra low sulphur petrodiesel fuel. Even blends as low as B5 show a 50% increase in lubricity. 3 1.2.4. Viscosity and Cloud Point: The viscosity of B100 is slightly higher than petrodiesel. There is some discussion still taking place as to whether injectors should be modified for B100 operation. However blends up to B50 are considered acceptable for most engines. The cloud point for B100 made from canola is about one degree centigrade compared with that from tallow which is 16 degrees centigrade. The cloud point for summer petrodiesel is –12 centigrade. 1.2.5. Combustion Pollutants: The following table indicates the decrease in emissions that can be expected from consuming biodiesel blends compared to petrodiesel. Product of Combustion B100 B20 B2 Unburned hydrocarbons -67% -20% -2% CO -48% -12% -1% Particulates -47% -12% -1% Nox +10% +2% +.2% Source: Independent Biodiesel Group Carbon dioxide is not significantly reduced compared to burning petrodiesel However, because biodiesel is derived from the production of plants and animals approximately 78% of the CO2 is used in subsequent production cycles of feedstocks on a one to two year basis. 1.2.6. Solvency: Biodiesel even at low levels of concentration is an excellent solvent. It is recommended that storage tanks be flushed before using to store biodiesel. Biodiesel will dissolve deposits in vehicle and machinery fuel tanks and may result in several fuel filter changes before the fuel system is completely flushed. 1.2.7. Safety B100 is non-toxic (5% of the toxicity of table salt) and has a flash point much higher than petrodiesel. Spilled biodiesel degrades into harmless constituents within several weeks. 4 2. OVERVIEW OF THE INDUSTRY: 2.1 Canadian Industry External Drivers The Canadian industry at this time appears to be mainly driven by the high cost of imported oil and the expectation that oil prices will rise in the medium term future. This is substantiated by research indicating that the discovery of oil reserves on the planet peaked in the early 2000’s. As production from reserves typically peaks within 25 years of discovery there is now an intense interest in developing an alternate fuel industry that will complement the soon to be declining petrofuel industry. The possibility of declining oil imports from the middle East resulting from political and cultural issues is driving the U. S. development of a national fuel self – sufficiency policy. This will have positive ramifications for Canadian producers of both petro and biofuels. Canada appears to be committed to the Kyoto Accord and is taking the first steps to ensure that the use biofuels will be part of the strategy developed to meet that commitment. The first policy announcements were an exemption of biodiesel from the $.04 per liter excise tax and a target of 500 million liters of biodiesel consumption by 2010. In addition Ontario, British Columbia, Quebec and Manitoba have exempted biodiesel from the provincial fuel tax. Manitoba has taken the further step of providing capital grants to biodiesel production plants. Lastly, the introduction of a system of carbon credit trading may have a positive effect on the Canadian industry. Initial indications are that the Canadian carbon credits may trade in the range of $5 - $15 per tonne of CO2. 5 2.2. Canadian Biodiesel Production Capacity The following outlines present Canadian capacity (operating and under construction) Name Province Feedstock Ocean Nutrition Nova Scotia Fish oil 7,000,000 Rothsay Quebec A. Fats/used oil 35,000,000 Topia Ontario Used oil 15,000,000 Biox (const.) Ontario not known 60,000,000 Milligan Bio-tech Saskatchewan Canola oil 4,500,000 Agrigreen Biodiesel B.C. Canola/used oil 2,000,000 + Kyoto Fuels (const.) Alberta A. fat/used oil/can. oil 33,000,000 Cal. Biodiesel (const.) Alberta Used oil/tallow Total Capacity (L) 20,000,000 176,500,000 By contrast, the USA has operating or under construction approximately 750 million liters of capacity with an additional 2.7 billion liters of capacity in the proposal stage. 2.3. Distribution Virtually all of the biodiesel in Canada is delivered as B100 to distributors “above the rack.” Canada Clean Fuels and Canadian Bioenergy are prominent industry players at this time. 3. COMMERCIAL BIODIESEL PRODUCTION: 3.1. Methods: 3.1.1. The Base Transesterification Reaction The basic reaction can be stated for purposes of clarity as follows: 100 units of mass of vegetable or animal fats are combined with 10 units of mass of alcohol and and one unit of mass of base catalyst to produce 100 units of mass of biodiesel and 10 units of mass of glycerol. 6 The alcohol is usually methyl alcohol and the base catalyst is sodium hydroxide (lye). The reaction strips the fatty acid chains from the triglyceride oil molecule and adds hydrogen atoms to produce a methyl ester (biodiesel) and glycerol. This reaction is preferred for pure vegetable oils and animal fats containing few fatty acids that are not connected to triglyceride molecules (free fatty acids). The description of the reaction is given below Source: National Biodiesel Board This reaction has a number of characteristics that are useful in the commercial production of biodiesel: - Low temperatures and low pressures are used in the reaction. The conversion rate from feedstock to biodiesel is nearly 100%. Excess methanol and wash water can be easily recycled. No highly specialized steels, welding techniques or other materials are needed in the construction of a biodiesel plant. Reaction times are rapid – one to two hours at 140 degrees F. Transesterification can be used in either batch or continuous flow plants. The main disadvantage of this process is that it can only be used to efficiently process oils and fats that contain less than .5% free fatty acids. Feed stock exceeding this level of FFA results in the production of soaps which can clog the production system. In addition the loss in biodiesel bound to the soap is about double the amount of soap produced. 7 However, this problem can be overcome by using an acid catalyst variation of transesterification on the high FFA feedstock to produce biodiesel that contains .5% FFA. The pre-treated biodiesel can then be used as feed stock for a base transesterification plant. The following diagrams illustrate a commonly used esterification process and a high FFA pre-treatment system. Source: Independent Biodiesel Feasibility Group 8 Source: Iowa U. 3.1.2. Acid Transesterification Reactions: Biodiesel can be made with a direct acid process. However this calls for specialized plant manufacturing techniques and adds capital cost. Another version converts all feedstocks to fatty acids and then employs acid transesterificaction to produce biodiesel. Again, added capital and operating costs are inherent in this alternative. 3.1.3. The Biox Process: The Biox process was developed in Canada and claims to produce biodiesel from either low or high FFA feed stock. It uses a co-solvent that speeds the reaction. Advantages stated by the developers are lowered plant operating costs and as well as higher biodiesel yields. 3.2. Processing Outputs: Three outputs (with the exception of soaps) are possible from a biodiesel plant. The most important is biodiesl itself. In order to be saleable in North America it must attain the ASTM D-6751 standard of quality. This is not difficult but to ensure adherence to the standard, stringent quality control systems must be part of any production facility. The Alberta Research Council also maintains testing facilities that can be used by private biodiesel producers. 9 Glycerine is an important co-product that can be sold in a crude form or further refined into a pharmaceutical grade product. If potassium hydroxide is used as a catalyst rather than sodium hydroxide, potassium phosphate is produced in small amounts. This has the potential of being marketed as a fertilizer. However the plant scale would have to large enough to ensure that the fertilizer profit center is viable. Finally, if the plant features an integrated oil seed crushing facility there is an opportunity to create a substantial canola meal profit center. 3.3. Feedstocks: The County of Newell is ideally positioned to provide biodiesel feedstock . The 285,000 acres of irrigated cropland can assure a consistent supply of canola and the Lakeside Packers facility produces a considerable amount of beef tallow. 3.3.1. Canola: Canola appears to be the best cultivar feedstock available at present. One bushel of canola seed will produce ten liters of biodiesel as well as approximately 30 pounds of canola meal. Within the County of Newell it is estimated that approximately 27,000 acres of canola could be grown on a yearly basis with only minor dislocation of other primary agricultural production. At yield of 55 bushels per acre this would equate to an annual production of 1,485,000 bushels of feedstock. This would produce approximately 14,850,000 liters of biodiesel and 20,000 tonnes of canola meal. It is interesting to note that off grade canola will produce basically the same amount of biodiesel as that which attains a number one grade. Based on Western Canada canola statistics approximately 30% of the crop is considered off grade. If this ratio is applied to County of Newell production it appears that on average there could be a potential of 500,000 bushels of feedstock available on an annual basis. This feedstock contains minimal free fatty acids and will not require the acid pretreatment outlined in a previous section. 3.3.2. Tallow: Based on current slaughter rates and a non-edible tallow rendering rate of approximately 38 liters per animal, it is estimated that the Lakeside facility in the County generates approximately 57 million liters of biodiesel feedstock annually. 10 The conversion rate to biodiesel varies somewhat based on the quality of tallow. However, at a conversion factor of .9 it is reasonable to assume a potential biodiesel production rate of 51 million liters of biodiesel from tallow feedstock. It can be expected that this feedstock will comprise FFA in the range of 2% – 35% which will require an acid transesterification pre-treatment. 3.4. County of Newell #4 Biodiesel Plant 3.4.1. General Considerations: Based on the above, it is possible to make some inferences regarding a production construct that maximizes the advantages inherent in the County of Newell. The plant should employ hybrid transesterifaction technology. This would allow for first stage acid transesterification of high FFA tallow from Lakeside Packers as well as second stage base transesterification of pre-treated tallow and untreated canola oil. An integrated oilseed crusher unit incorporating oilseed, meal and oil storage should be an integral part of the of the production complex. The unit should be sized such that custom crushing for other biodiesel plants or canola farmers could be developed as a profit center. The plant should be located on a main rail line to facilitate tanker shipments with consideration given to ease of trucking tallow from Lakeside Packers. The site should be large enough to permit expansion into on site blending and production of downstream products as motor and hydraulic oils as well as industrial lubricants and performance additives. Based on site research relating to U. S. plants the site should be in the three to seven acre range. 3.4.2. Biodiesel Engineering Companies: There are many engineering companies entering the biofuels sector in North America. Biodiesel plants presently being marketed in Canada and the USA range from 50 million gallon per year enterprises down to skid mounted production units with capacities of one million gallons per year. In addition, production alternatives being sold range from continuous flow to batch flow and hybrids that combine features from both systems. 11 This emphasizes the need to deal with an engineering company with in depth expertise in the design and construction of all manner of plant alternatives to ensure that the County of Newell facility exploits the advantages of the area. Two engineering companies seem to exhibit the expertise necessary to design and construct a facility in this area. They are Crown Iron Works Company based in Minnesota and Lurgi PSI Inc. with offices in Tennessee and Texas. The following illustration depicts a biodiesel production facility of applicable scale relating to the County of Newell #4. Source: Fumpa Fuels 4. THE POTENTIAL MARKET FOR COUNTY OF NEWELL #4 BIODIESEL: At this time two target markets segmented on a geographic basis appear to have potential for biodiesel produced in the County of Newell #4. 12 4.1. Alberta: Petrodiesel consumption in Alberta for the year 2001 was in excess of four billon liters. This equated to about 30% of the diesel fuel burned in Canada. Of this about five percent was consumed in the oilsands sector. Potential large commercial and institutional customers include: Company -Suncor and Syncrude - Enmax and Epcor - Alberta railway operations - Municipal governments Petrodiesel consumption/year (liters) 300,000,000 300,000 plus 250,000,000 not known It is interesting to note that United Farmers of Alberta apparently is showing interest in supplying biodiesel blends as part of it’s farm fuel service. However, potential sales volumes are not known. 4.2. Western U.S.A. : Washington State recently passed legislation mandating the use of B5 commencing January first, 2008. It is expected that Oregon and California will also pass similar legislation. It is unlikely that these jurisdictions will be able to meet these targets from domestic production. Since biodiesel can be shipped to the USA on a duty free basis there may be an opportunity for the Newell plant to develop an export market. 4.3 General Observations: It is clear that there is a significant known potential market in Alberta. In order to capture a portion of that market, biodiesel will have to be sold as a differentiated product. Differentiating characteristics as superior lubricity, low toxicity, environmentally safe decomposition in the case of spillage and greenhouse gas mitigation will be part of the marketing strategy. A provincial policy of supporting the use of biodiesel would also be of advantage. The provincial Minster of Agriculture has stated that he intends to urge the Government of Alberta caucus to eliminate the road tax on biodiesel. He has also indicated that the production of biofuels will be part of the provincial agricultural profitability strategy. 5. PROFITABILITY: The following section outlines the the projected source and application of start-up funds, and year one profitability of a forty million liter per year biodiesel plant located in the county of Newell #4. 13 5.1. Source and Application of Start-up Funds: Biodiesel Pre-feasibility Study April, 2006 Source and Application of Start-up Funds Intergrated Canola Seed Crusher Dual Feedstock Biodiesel Plant - 40 MM Liter Per Year APPLICATION: Design and Engineering 720,000 Site Preparation 200,000 Water and Sewer 160,000 Utilities 100,000 Machinery and equipment Tanks Buildings and land Access Contingency TOTAL 14,400,000 782,000 1,480,000 120,000 1,796,200 $ 19,758,200 SOURCE: Shareholder Equity Term Debt and Mortgage TOTAL 8,891,190 10,867,010 $ 19,758,200 14 CAPITAL COST DETAILS: Main plant equipment. 5,500,000 Canola crusher and storage 4,500,000 Tallow first stage pretreater 2,000,000 Subtotal 12,000,000 Add 20% over run - unforeseen 2,400,000 Grand Total Equipment less Tanks Buildings 14,400,000 Sq. ft. Main plant Tallow Crusher Office 3500 2750 3750 2000 1,200,000 Tanks 8@80,000 gals 782,000 Land 7 acresx40,000 280,000 Engineering 5% of equip less tanks 720,000 Site prep 200,000 Gas- power 160,000 Water, sewer 100,000 Road upgrade 120,000 SUB-Total Contingency - 10% Total Capital 17,962,000 1,796,200 $ 19,758,200 15 5.2. Year One income Statement / Cash Flow: 16 5.3. Notes Relating To Profitability: 5.3.1. Capital Cost: - Source and application data is subject to variation regarding steel and concrete prices. However, significant contingency allowances have been included that will mitigate these uncertainties. 5.3.2. Revenue: - The plant selling price of biodiesel was based on the current price of petrodiesel less taxes and retail margin. No price premium was charged for the differentiated characteristics of biodiesel outlined in a previous section. - Selling prices for canola meal and glycerine reflect current spot market prices. It should be noted that glycerine prices are at historic lows and could be expected to recover by several multiples as supplies work through the system. - No allowance was made for custom crushing of oil feedstocks. This has the potential of evolving into a profit center for the plant. 5.3.3. Expense: - The sourcing of off grade canola feed stock could be problematic in some years. However, it should be noted that Alberta produces an average of 2.2 MM tonnes of canola seed per year. Based on approximately 30% of the crop being off grade (Western Canadian average) this calculates to about 32MM bushels. Of this amount the plant would have to source 1MM bushels of bin heated or field heat stress canola. This seems eminently possible. The price of heated canola in the fall of 2005 ranged from $25 - $190 per tonne. The price used for feedstock in this analysis was taken as $196.60 per tonne including shipping. - The price of tallow was taken as $.19 per pound and would be sourced from Lakeside Packers. - The biodiesel plant would employ twenty people. Eight of these would require technical or professional certification. 17 5.3.3. Return On investment / Sensitivity: - The simple rate of return on equity before taxes calculated to 43%. This, of course, is subject to market variations in the critical prices of feedstocks and biodiesel. However, it is interesting to note that a west coast U.S.A. biodiesel plant has a currently posted price of $1.04 Ca per liter. - The break – even sales revenue of the plant is approximately $13,000,000. Contribution to overhead and profit is $.22 per dollar of sales. - Plant design and construction is estimated as 18 months. No provision for construction bridge financing has been included in this analysis. 6. SUMMARY: This pre-feasibility study outlines a strategic wealth generating opportunity that is focused on the comparative advantages of producing biodiesel in the County of Newell #4. The critical advantages are: - Central location with access to rail transportation and highway #1 and proximity to the U.S. border. - Local access to an immense amount of tallow feedstock. - Access to a local secondary oilfield service industry with expertise in fabrication and instrumentation. - Availability of technical personnel relating to the management and operation of a biodiesel production facility. For addition information relating to this opportunity, please contact: D. Erdman, Economic Development/Tourism Coordinator County of Newell #4, 707-2nd Ave. E. Brooks, AB T1R 1B2 Ph. 403-632-3266 Email: erdmand@countyofnewell.ab.ca 18 7. References: National Biodiesel Board Climate Change Central Biodiesel Supply and Demand Factors in Alberta Jacobsen Biodiesel Bulletin Independent Biodiesel Feasibility Group Iowa State U. Economic, Financial and Social Analysis for Biodiesel Phase One BBI International National Renewable Energy Laboratory Wisconsin Biorefining Development Institute Fumpa Biofuels Agrifood Canada Alberta Agriculture Manitoba Energy Development Initiative University of Missouri Lurgi PSI Washington State U. Sigma Capital Group Inc. Eastern Connecticut State U. Alberta Canola Commission Crown Iron Works 19