M. Kevin McEvoy
Transcription
M. Kevin McEvoy
COWEN December 3, 2013 New York, NY M. Kevin McEvoy President & CEO Oceaneering International, Inc. Safe Harbor Statement Statements we make in this presentation that express a belief, expectation, or intention are forward looking. Forward-looking statements are generally accompanied by words such as “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “forecast,” “budget,” “goal,” or other words that convey the uncertainly of future events or outcomes. These forward-looking statements are based on our current information and expectations that involve a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Among the factors that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements are: industry conditions, prices of crude oil and natural gas, our ability to obtain and the timing of new projects, projects and changes in competitive factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual outcomes could vary materially from those indicated. g g these and other factors,, For additional information regarding see our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most recent Reports on Forms 10-K and 10-Q. WHY OII? • Leveraged to Deepwater and Subsea Completions – Secular Growth • Leading Market Positions – ROVs and Specialty Subsea Products • Good Project Execution • Excellent Earnings, Liquidity and Cash Flow Leveraged to Deepwater • Projects Take Years to Develop • Largely Oil Reservoirs – With High Production Flow Rates • Well Capitalized Customer Base • Investment Based on Long-Term Commodity Price Leading Market Position Remotely Operated Vehicles Ownership OII – 289 36% Worldwide Fleet 803 Vehicles* Source: OII Estimates - * December 2012, ** September 2013 Drill Support Market Share OII – 163 59% 278 Floating Rigs Contracted** Leading Market Position Specialty Subsea Products Umbilicals Tooling & Subsea Work Systems Installation and Workover Control Systems Subsea Hardware Earnings Per Share Guidance 2013 Estimate $3 $3.35 35 - $3.40; $3 40; 2014 Estimate $3 $3.90 90 - $4.10 $4 10 Actual Low Estimate High Estimate $4.50 Earnings per Share $4.00 $3.50 $ $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0 50 $0.50 $0.00 2008 2009 2010 OII 2013 Guidance Range as of October 28, 2013 2011 2012 2013E 2014E Combined EPS – OSX Companies Excluding OII Actual Consensus Estimate Earnings per Share $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Based on First Call Actuals and Mean Estimates as of October 31, 2013 2012 2013E 2014E Relative EPS Performance To Recent 2008 OSX Peak OII OSX w/o OII 150% 100% 50% 0% -50% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Based on First Call Actuals and Mean Estimates as of October 31, 2013 2012 2013E 2014E EPS Guidance Oilfield Business Segment Outlook SEGMENT OPERATING INCOME 2013 2014 ROV >2012 >2013 Subsea Products >2012 >2013 Subsea Projects >2012 >2013 Asset Integrity >2012 >2013 Excellent Cash Flow & Liquidity • EBITDA of $735 MM to $745 MM Expected in 2013 – $601 MM in 2012 • EBITDA off $845 $ MM to $ $880 MM Expected in 2014 • Ample Resources to Invest in Growth At September 30, 2013: – $102 MM Cash – $40 MM Debt – $2.0 B Equity EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income is in Supplemental Financial Information Slides Long-Term Deepwater Outlook • Largest Source of Future Oil Supply Growth • Exploration Success Bodes Well for the Future • Drilling Intensity is Rising Source: ExxonMobil, Deutsche Bank, and Morgan Stanley and Rystad Energy Worldwide Deepwater Capex Forecast to Double $ in billions DW Capex in Billions $250 $223 $200 $150 $100 $112 $50 $0 2008-2012 Source: Douglas-Westwood, February 2013 2013-2017 5-Year OII Outlook Global Demand Growth • Deepwater Drilling • Field Development • Inspection, I ti Maintenance, M i t and dR Repair i (IMR) Ye ear-End Co ontracted Flloating Rigs s Floating Rig Demand 300 271 ≈ 85% Increase In Demand Since 2003 250 200 150 147 100 @ End of 2012: 301 Rigs in Fleet, 90% Fleet Utilization. Source: IHS-Petrodata at December 31, 2012 Floating Rig Demand Ye ear-End Co ontracted Flloating Rigss With 5-Year 5 Year Projection, Projection Assuming 90% Rig Fleet Utilization Up p ~90 33% Growth 400 350 360 300 250 200 150 100 Source: IHS-Petrodata and OII Estimates at September 30, 2013 271 Floating Rig Demand Ye ear-End Co ontracted Flloating Rigss 5-Year 5 Year Averages Up 95 40% Growth 400 330 350 300 235 250 175 200 150 100 Source: IHS-Petrodata and OII Estimates at September 30, 2013 Outlook for ROV Demand on Vessels Global RO OVs per Floa ating Rig 3.5 3.0 30 3.0 2.5 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Year End Source: Oceaneering Estimates and IHS-Petrodata Outlook for Global ROV Demand To Meet Visible Requirements • Total Demand ≈ 270 Additional Vehicles – More than 35% Growth • OII Expects ≈ 95 – 100 Vehicles of Total Demand – 55 to 60 to Support Drilling by the End of 2017 Source: Oceaneering Estimates at October 28, 2013 Subsea Hardware Capex Forecast SS Hardware Capex $ in billions $150 $125 $124 $ $100 $75 $62 $50 $25 $0 2008-2012 Source: Douglas-Westwood April 2013 2013-2017 Deepwater Fields Backlog Undeveloped Discoveries Fields ≥600m fsw 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Source: IHS Petrodata Offshore Construction Backlog Saipem Technip, Saipem, Technip and Subsea 7 in billions €30 €25 €20 €15 €10 €5 €0 Source: Morgan Stanley and Company Filings, June 2013 Subsea Tree Orders Forecast at Historically High Levels 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Source: Quest Offshore Resources – Mean Case Forecast, November 2013 Subsea Tree Orders 5-Year 5 Year Averages Up 235 ≈ 65% Growth 800 700 600 500 605 390 370 400 300 200 100 Source: Quest Offshore Resources – Mean Case Forecast, November 2013 Subsea Tree Installations 5-Year 5 Year Averages 700 Up 150 ≈ 50% Growth 600 450 500 400 300 300 300 200 100 Source: Quest Offshore Resources – Mean Case Forecast, November 2013 Subsea Completions In Service vs Subsea Products Operating Income (SSP Op Inc) vs. Annual SSP Op Inc $ in millions 5000 $200 4000 $150 3000 $100 2000 $50 1000 0 $0 SS Completions Source: Quest Offshore Resources & OII SEC Filings SSP Op Inc Subsea Completions In Service Forecast at Historically High Levels Up 1400 ≈ 35% Growth 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Source: Quest Offshore Resources – Mean Case Forecast, November 2013 5-Year Deepwater Outlook What To Expect Along The Way • Some Project Approvals May Continue Moving to the Right • Approved Projects – Cost Overruns – Production Start-Up Delays – Technical Challenges • Sheer Volume of Projects Will Still Drive Growth OII Summary • Diversified OFS Company • Leading g Market Positions in Technical Niches • Leveraged to Deepwater and Subsea Completions • Excellent Earnings, Liquidity and Cash Flow ® Supplemental Financial Information EBITDA Actual in millions Low Estimate High Estimate $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 2008 2009 2010 *2013 - $735MM - $745MM; *2014 - $845MM - $880MM Based on OII 2013 EPS Guidance as of October 28, 2013 See Next Slide For Non-GAAP Reconciliation to Net Income 2011 2012 2013E* 2014E* EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) is a non-GAAP financial measurement. Oceaneering’s management uses EBITDA because we believe that this measurement is a widely accepted financial indicator used by investors and analysts to analyze and compare companies on the basis of operating performance, and that this measurement may be used by some investors and others to make informed investment decisions. You should not consider EBITDA in isolation from or as a substitute for net income or cash flow measures prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles or as a measure of profitability or liquidity. EBITDA calculations by one company may not be comparable to EBITDA calculations made by another company. The following table provides a reconciliation between net income (a GAAP financial measure) and EBITDA (a non-GAAP financial measure) for Oceaneering’s historical and projected results on a consolidated basis for the periods indicated: Period Ended December 31, (in millions of $) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2013E LOW HIGH Net Income 199.4 188.4 200.5 235.7 289.0 365 370 425 445 Depreciation & Amortization 115.0 122.9 153.7 151.2 176.5 200 205 225 230 Subtotal 314.4 311.3 354.2 386.9 465.5 565 575 650 675 Interest Expense/Income, Net 12.6 7.1 5.4 .2 2014E 2014E LOW HIGH 2.3 Income Tax Expense 107.8 101.4 104.7 102.2 132.9 170 170 195 205 EBITDA 434.8 419.8 464.3 489.3 600.7 735 745 845 880 OII Balance Sheet ((in millions)) Equity Dec 31 D 31, 2008 Dec 31 D 31, Dec D 31 31, Dec D 31 31, Dec D 31 31, Sep S 30, 30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $ $968 $ $1,224 $ $1,390 $ $1,558 $ $1,815 $ $1,978 Debt 229 120 0 120 94 40 Cash 11 162 245 106 121 102 19% 9% 0% 7% 5% 2% Debt/Cap Business Segments Revenue Operating Income 5% 9% 9% 41% 30% 15% 13% 15% 31% ROV Subsea Products Subsea Projects A Asset t Integrity I t it Adtech YTD September 2013 32% Supplemental Market Information Oilfield ROV Fleet Ownership p Profile - December 2012 36% OII 289 OII Subsea 7 Sonsub Fugro Canyon Technip C-Innovations DOF Subsea Other 803 Vehicles Source: OII Estimates OII ROV Fleet Geographic g p Profile - September p 2013 40 76 33 GOM Africa Norway Brazil 35 64 54 302 Vehicles Asia/Pac Other Oilfield ROV Drill Support Market September p 2013 OII Subsea 7 59% Fugro Sonsub Other 278 Contracted Floating Rigs Source: IHS-Petrodata and OII Estimates OII ROVs on Vessels Locations 19 GOM 22 Africa Norway 17 15 73 Vehicles September 2013 Other OII ROVs on Vessels Customers Operators 36 37 73 Vehicles September 2013 Contractors OII ROV Fleet Size 302 Vehicle Co ount at Period End 325 260 195 130 125 65 0 September 30, 2013 ROV Pricing and Fleet Utilization Revenue / Day on Hire Fleet Utilization $11,000 100% $9,000 90% $7,000 80% $5 000 $5,000 70% $3,000 60% $1,000 50% YTD September 2013 High-Spec, Non-PBR Brazil Rig Fleet • 103 Existing Rigs Under Contract – OII ROV Contracts on 80% • 72 Rigs On Order – Visibility of Significant Rig Fleet Growth – OII Expects to Continue as Dominant ROV Provider • OII ROV Contracts on 23 of 26 Awards • 46 Remaining ROV Contract Opportunities Source: IHS-Petrodata Data & OII Estimates, September 30, 2013 Subsea Products Backlog At Period End in millions $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 2008 September 2013 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Umbilical Products Thermoplastic Hose Umbilicals Steel Tube Umbilicals OIE Products Production Control Valves Tooling g & Work Packages Installation Workover & Control Systems Connectors & Repair Systems Field Development Hardware Annual Price Performance OII vs. vs OSX (Oilfield Service Index) 125% OII OSX 75% 25% -25% -75% *Through October 31, 2013: Based on Previous Year-End Purchases 2013 OII up 60% OSX up 29% Cumulative Price Performance OII vs. vs OSX (Oilfield Service Index) 1300% OII OSX 1150% 1000% 850% 700% 550% 400% 250% 100% -50% *Through October 31, 2013: Based on Previous Year-end Purchases 2013 OII up 60% OSX up 29%