FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 YTD 2013 YTD 2014
Transcription
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 YTD 2013 YTD 2014
Noble Roman’s Inc. OTC BB: NROM December 2014 4/23/2015 1 Safe Harbor The statements contained in this presentation concerning the Company's future revenues, profitability, financial resources, market demand and product development are forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) relating to the Company that are based on the beliefs of the management of the Company, as well as assumptions and estimates made by and information currently available to the Company's management. The Company's actual results in the future may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties that exist in the Company’s operations and business environment, including, but not limited to, competitive factors and pricing pressures, non-renewal of franchise agreements, shifts in market demand, general economic conditions, changes in purchases of, or demand for, the Company's products, licenses or franchises, the success or failure of individual franchisees and licensees, changes in prices or supplies of food ingredients and labor, and the success or failure of its recently developed stand-alone take-n-bake operation. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions or estimates prove incorrect, actual results may differ materially from those described herein as “anticipated,” “believed,” “estimated,” “expected” or “intended.” The Company undertakes no obligation to update the information in this presentation for subsequent events. 4/23/2015 2 Investor Highlights Sustainable Profitability, Accelerating Growth FY 2013 FY 2012 FY 2011 Total Revenue $7.53M $6.90M $6.36M $6.11M $5.81M Operating Income $2.85M $2.42M $1.90M $2.49M $2.30M Operating Margin 37.9% 35.0% 29.9% 40.7% 39.6% $2.65M $2.00M $1.51M $2.35M $2.15M 12/31/2013 12/31/2012 12/31/2011 9/30/2014 12/31/2013 $3.85M $5.07M $5.63M $2.94M $3.85M Net income from continuing operations before income taxes Outstanding debt plus preferred stock 9Mo 2014 9Mo 2013 (1) Shown as net income before income taxes because the company will not pay any income tax on the next $23 million in net income as a result of available deferred tax credits *Throughout this presentation, all results are shown excluding all adjustments for the reserve for collectability of receivables from the Heyser case Plaintiffs in 2011, 2012 and 2013 relating to locations that have not been in operation since 2008. 4/23/2015 3 Investor Highlights Sustainable Profitability, Accelerating Growth Powerful Business Model Licensing-franchising business model Superior financial performance while alleviating the risk of owning and operating restaurants Positioned in Fastest-Growing Industry Segment Take-N-Bake (TNB) is a growth segment of the pizza industry Projecting Accelerating Growth Projecting total revenue growth of ~16-17%: • 5-7% growth in royalties/fees from non-traditional • 10-15% growth in royalties/fees from grocery TNB • 300-350% growth in royalties/fees from standalone TNB 4/23/2015 Diversified Platform For Growth Three Platforms for Growth Non-Traditional Franchise Locations • Non-traditional locations (expect revenue growth of 5% to 7% in 2014 vs. 2013) Grocery Store Take-n-Bake • Grocery store TNB (expect revenue growth of 7% to 15% in 2014 vs. 2013) Stand-Alone Take-n-Bake • Ramped from zero in 2012 to 25 franchised units open as of 12/3/14 4 Who We Are Well-Known Brand; Positioned in Industry Growth Area 4/23/2015 5 Revenue Sources Take-N-Bake: Grocery Non-Traditional Franchise $ in millions / % of total revenue 63.3% $4.0 63.4% 56.8% $4.4 $4.3 56.3% $3.3 Take-N-Bake: Stand Alone $ in millions / % of total revenue 57.1% $3.5 18.4% $ in thousands / % of total revenue 19.7% 18.0% $1.4 $1.4 18.1% $1.2 $1.0 18.5% 10.1% $614 $1.1 4.1% $310 $164 0.0% FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 YTD 2013 YTD 2014 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 YTD 2013 YTD 2014 FY$10 2012 2.8% FY 2013 YTD 2013 YTD 2014 Continual focus on profitable revenue expansion through three primary vehicles… • Non-traditional franchising and licenses • Licensing the Company’s Take-n-Bake Program in grocery stores • Take-n-Bake Program for stand-alone locations 4/23/2015 6 Industry • 2013 U.S. pizza sales: $37.4 billion Top 5 U.S. Pizzeria’s by 2013 Sales – 1.6% increase from 2012 • 53.2% of pizza outlets independently owned and control 40.3% of total pizza industry sales • Store unit count – 71,387 as of September 2013, up 469 units from September 2012 • Take-N-Bake is one of the fastest growing segments of the industry • TNB can accept food stamps/EBT Pizza Hut $5.70 Domino's $3.50 Papa John's $2.40 Little Caesars Papa Murphy's Take-'N'-Bake $1.70 $0.700 $ in billions – 1 of every 7 people in the U.S. using food stamps/EBT All data: October 2013 PMQ Magazine 4/23/2015 7 Market Share Americans Enjoy Home-cooked Pizza By Type By Company 25% 36% 40% 45% 30% Carry out 4/23/2015 24% Delivery Dine-in "Big 4" Independents Other Chains 8 Take-n-Bake Category Take-n-Bake concept consists primarily of two channels Stand-Alone Grocery Take-n-Bake is the growth portion of the industry Competition • Papa Murphy’s Take ‘n Bake is market leader with >$785 M in FY 2013 sales ― Operated 1,414 corporate-owned and franchised locations as of 12/31/13 ― Average per store sales: $554,019 ― 1,202 traditional locations operated for a full 12 months for year ending 1/1/2012 • 4/23/2015 “Big 4” unlikely to enter TNB…formulations not conducive to TNB and would compete with delivery franchises 9 Take-N-Bake: Grocery Continual focus on revenue expansion • Interest has increased significantly after displaying the new packaging and new products $ in millions / % of total revenue 18.4% 19.7% 17.3% $1.4 $1.4 18.0% $1.2 $1.0 FY 2011 4/23/2015 FY 2012 FY 2013 YTD 2013 18.5% $1.1 YTD 2014 • In discussions with grocery store chains representing ~7,000 locations… • …And with two large grocery store distributors, if signed would add several thousand more locations 10 Take-N-Bake: Stand-Alone • EBT: Advantage vs. other pizza chains – Able to accept EBT (food stamp) payments in all locations – 1 in 6.5 Americans on food stamps • Low-cost: – Only $90-160k estimated total investment after landlord allotments (approximately ½ of the investment for Papa Murphy’s) Food cost: 31%-34% of sales (record high commodity prices now) Very low labor requirements Minimal equipment requirement Only ~ 1,000 sq. ft of space required 4/23/2015 11 Take-N-Bake: Stand-Alone Quarterly Growth Locations 35 31 29 13 8 3 8 Mar-13 Aug-13 16 Nov-13 Locations Open 4/23/2015 22 25 Aug-14 Dec-14 • Development is still relatively new. Continuing to look at further enhancements to improve sales and make operation even more appealing • Focusing our efforts on adding new locations in markets where existing franchises have already been sold to aid in market penetration • Further enhancements to this venue are ongoing Locations To Open 12 Take-N-Bake: Stand-Alone Business Model UpfrontFee Ongoing Fees Annual Total Per Unit 4/23/2015 $18K upfront fees Approximately 11% royalty and fees in the aggregate Expected gross revenues of $400-600K per unit per year. Results in $44-66K in royalties to Noble Roman’s per location per year 13 Royalties and Fees Ongoing Royalties & Fees Up-Front Fees From Franchise/License $6.0 $5.2 All Concepts $6.2 $5.5 $883 $5.5 $736 $ in millions $ in thousands $4.7 $377 $374 $255 FY 2010 4/23/2015 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 9Mo 2013 9Mo 2014 $318 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 9Mo 20139Mo 2014 14 Marketing Revenue Expansion Focus on revenue expansion through franchising 4/23/2015 R&D Outreach Leverage the results of extensive research and development , i.e., our unique, proprietary dough, our tasty menu items, etc. Aggressively communicate the Company's competitive advantages to its target market of potential franchisees. Expand franchising by promoting our concepts, by attending trade shows, direct mail and by advertising on various webbased lead generation 15 Expenses Expenses remain relatively flat as top-line is accelerating $4.845 $4.898 $4.879 Interest Expense $3.659 $3.760 G&A $ in millions Depr. & Amort. Restaurant Expenses Other Op Expenses Sales Commissions Travel Trade Shows Salaries & Wages 2011 4/23/2015 2012 2013 - YTD 2013 YTD 2014 16 Historical EBITDA $2.96 $ in millions $2.53 $2.02 2011 4/23/2015 $2.39 $2.57 2012 2013 YTD 2013 YTD 2014 17 Historical Income from Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes Due to deferred tax credits, the Company will not pay any income taxes on approximately the next $23 million in net income before taxes $ in millions $2.65 $1.51 2011 4/23/2015 $2.15 $2.00 $2.35 2012 2013 YTD 2013 YTD 2014 18 Balance Sheet Summary 9/30/14 12/31/13 12/31/12 12/31/11 Assets Cash Accounts & Notes Receivable - Net Inventories Other Total Current Assets 207 2,105 337 1,845 4,495 158 1,269 338 1,722 3,487 144 1,080 461 2,040 3,725 233 885 339 1,931 3,388 443 487 273 308 8,425 3,918 17,281 9,332 3,068 16,374 9,239 3,924 17,161 9,613 3,915 17,224 Accounts Payable & Accrued Expenses Notes Payable Total Stockholders' Equity 937 2,939 13,405 819 3,851 11,703 511 4,271 12,379 665 4,831 11,728 Total Liabilities & Stockholder's Equity 17,281 16,374 17,161 17,224 Net Property & Equipment Deferred Tax Asset (net of current portion) Other Assets Total Assets Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity 4/23/2015 19 Capital Structure 9/30/2014 4/23/2015 Weighted Average Common Stock 19,813,618 Dilution as a result of options 1,312,634 Diluted weighted average common shares 21,126,252 20 Management Paul W. Mobley – Executive Chairman and Chief Financial Officer 1991 – 2014: Chairman of the Board, CEO, CFO 1974 – present: Director 1981 – 1997: President, CEO and CFO of the Company A. Scott Mobley - Chief Executive Officer and President 1997 – 2014: President and Chief Operating Officer 1992 – present: Director 1986-1997 Vice President Marketing Troy Branson - Executive Vice President of Franchising 1997 – present: EVP of Franchising 1992 – 1997: Director of Business Development 1987 – 1992: Owner of Branson-Yoder Marketing Group Mitchell Grunat - Vice President of Franchise Services 2002– present: VP of Franchise Services 2001– 2002: Chief Operating Officer of Lanter Eye Care 2000-2001: Business Development Officer for Midwest Bankers James D. Bales - Vice President of Operations 2008– present: VP of Operations 2004– 2008: Various positions at Noble Roman’s with increasing responsibility 1989 – 2004: Management roles in marketing and operations with TCBY Yogurt Michael Lauren – National Director, Franchise Sales 2012- present: National Director, Franchise Sales 4/23/2015 21 Investor Summary Business model that delivers solid financial performance while mitigating risk 4/23/2015 Sustainable profitability; accelerating growth Positioned in the fastest growing segment of the pizza industry – Take ’N Bake Experienced management team 22
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