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TOPICS schadenspiegel The magazine for claims managers Issue 2/2014 Danger from the internet Cyber risks are increasing and threaten many companies with losses that are both diverse and difficult to assess. Page 6 Third-party liability Brain injuries in the NFL Hail losses Is there a risk of change? Power plant construction High quality standards prevent losses Editorial Dear Reader, The latest issue of Schadenspiegel focuses on the world of cyber risks, such as data loss, data abuse and the liability questions these issues involve. This emerging loss trend will soon be as much a part of everyday claims handling as geo risks, car accidents and fire damage. For the insurance industry this means new challenges, which can only be mastered with the latest expert knowledge and tailored solutions. Of course, traditional risks will also remain as important as ever: for example, the 2013 hailstorms in Germany left insurers with a huge claims burden. But even a classic loss complex such as this may involve new challenges, as damage to solar panels and today’s less robust building insulation drives up losses. High-quality building standards are therefore essential. Ultimately, even a change in claims mentality is enough to bring about new loss complexes. One example of this is the recent lawsuits by professional athletes concerning the long-term effects of the repeated concussions they suffered during their sporting careers. I hope you enjoy reading this latest issue of Schadenspiegel. Tobias Büttner Head of Corporate Claims, Munich Re NOT IF, BUT HOW Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 1 Sniffing out the hackers At international hacker festivals like the “Campus Party” in São Paulo in 2012, so-called white-hat hackers discuss the latest trends. In spite of a growing awareness on the part of companies, the rising incidence of cases demonstrates the resourcefulness and criminal energy that data thieves possess. 2 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 6 Contents German insurers had to pay out billions for hail losses in 2013. Recent studies indicate that the trend towards more severe hailstorms in Europe and North America is likely to continue. 34 CYBER RISKS “Thanks to the internet, anyone seeking to harm a company today stands a good chance of succeeding” 6 The targets and methods of hackers are constantly changing. A multi-tiered approach to security can help to protect essential assets. Cyber claims – The crime of our times? If you want to withstand cyber attacks, you need to look beyond technological safeguards and consider the human factor as well. 12 Defending the cyber borders How governments want to protect companies from cyber attacks. 16 Costly cyber attacks on US retailers The department store chains Target and Neiman Marcus were the victims of massive client data thefts – albeit with two very different outcomes. 18 The right protection against cyber losses Hartford Steam Boiler’s products give insureds peace of mind. 24 It is not unknown for young American Football players to suffer Alzheimer’s disease or dementia following frequent concussions. Ice hockey players and footballers also underestimate the risks involved. 26 THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY Delayed knock-out A recent court settlement between the US National Football League and former players has attracted the attention of sporting leagues and insurers. NATURAL HAZARDS Severe hailstorms – A risk of change? Large hailstones caused serious damage in Germany in 2013. Engineering Critical interfaces High quality standards in power plant construction projects help to prevent losses. 26 34 42 Editorial1 News4 Literature15 Column46 Imprint Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 3 NEWS Knowledge in dialogue Client seminar programme 2015 social media INDUSTRIAL LIABILITY CLIENT SEMINARS Follow us on social media Are industrial companies underinsured? Knowledge in dialogue 2015 For some time now, readers have been able to comment on Topics Online articles on our website. But you can also contact Munich Re on various social media platforms: we are on Twitter, Facebook, Google+, YouTube, LinkedIn and Xing. The international division of labour influences liability practice throughout the world. Industrial accidents and environmental scandals are given much greater prominence these days and can affect different legal systems. It is not easy to obtain an overview of local and global responsibilities. In its new publication “Employers’ liability for occupational illness and injury – A familiar risk in a changing world”, Munich Re outlines different types of employers’ liability. A further brochure containing case studies on environmental liability will be published shortly. The new client seminar programme “Knowledge in dialogue 2015” is now ready. We will again be offering our international clients an extensive programme of seminars and workshops in the coming year. The avail able courses will cover not only all the important classes of business but also specialist topic areas such as financial lines insurance or enterprise risk management. >>You can download our publication “Employers’ liability for occupational illness and injury – A familiar risk in a changing world” from connect.munichre.com or request it from your Client Manager. >>Contact your Client Manager for further information. Why not follow us – and keep up with the topics that impact the insurance industry? Read interesting articles, watch fascinating videos or stay fully up to date with live tweets from company and industry events. >> twitter.com/munichre >> facebook.com/munichre >> youtube.com/user/munichrevideo >> linkedin.com/company/munich-re >> xing.com/companies/munichre >> plus.google.com/ 115897201513788995727 News in brief On 24 September 2014, Dieter Berg, Senior Executive of Business Development for the Global Marine Partnership, was elected as the new President of the International Union of Marine Insurance (IUMI) during the union’s annual conference. Berg is the first president in IUMI’s history to come from the reinsurance industry. IUMI was founded in 1874 for the purpose of representing, safeguarding and developing insurers’ interests in marine and all types of transport insurance. 4 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Munich Re Engineering Newsletter: Our engineers support major projects all over the world, using their technical expertise to assist clients in successfully completing projects and beyond. Read up on exciting engineering projects around the world in our new Engineering Newsletter. Subscribe to the free Engineering Newsletter at http://www.munichre.com/en/service/engineeringnewsletter/index.html. NEWS Welcome to a brand new way of working: connect.munichre – a safe place to develop yourself and your business, optimise your processes, and make rewarding connections. Come and have a look around ! New marketing brochure for the client portal connect.munichre.com The new marketing brochure for connect.munichre will show clients how to use project rooms for their day-to-day dealings and for the secure exchange of data. It also explains how they can speed up their underwriting processes with our risk assessment and rating tools such as MIRA and NATHAN. the comfort of their own workstation. Recordings of previous webinars are available in an archive. The processes for registering and for contacting experts at Munich Re are very simple. All the necessary details are provided in the brochure. connect.munichre offers easy access to current research articles, publications and policies, and enhanced readability with the Flip Viewer. As a result, clients can read up on the latest insurance news, browse through our extensive range of training options at various locations or participate in live webinars, all from >>For more information, please ask your Client Manager or contact us online at connect.munichre Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 5 CYBER RISKS “Thanks to the internet, anyone seeking to harm a company today stands a good chance of succeeding” Cyber attacks are a growing threat to companies. Florian Seitner from the Bavarian Office for the Protection of the Constitution and Michael Hochen rieder from HvS–Consulting, a provider of IT security services, talked with Munich Re about costly losses and complex risks. Michael Lardschneider (Munich Re): Cyber attacks causing costly losses are becoming more frequent in many branches of industry. Companies are investing more and more in technical infrastructure. Does this deter hackers? Florian Seitner: Hackers are becoming more and more professional – something that is also reflected in the growing division of labour. As in the world of business, more complex programming tasks are outsourced, with some groups of hackers even working for both intelligence agencies and criminal clients. Lardschneider: Mr. Hochenrieder, as a provider of IT security services, you endeavour to find out how effective your clients’ security measures are. As part of your vulnerability analysis and penetration tests, your job is to try and steal the digital “crown jewels”. How do you go about this? Michael Hochenrieder: We specifically launch our attack at a carefully selected point in the network and look to see how IT security staff and systems respond: Do they raise the alarm? Or can we move around freely in the network for two or three weeks, continuously skimming off company data? Companies tend to see attacks on their own systems as an all-out declaration of war. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 7 CYBER RISKS Lardschneider: Companies are becoming more aware that they are all in the same boat. However, a great deal of mutual trust is needed in order to understand which attacks have been launched and which measures have been implemented. Trust-based intercorporate bodies are slow to emerge. This is also true of collaborations with providers of IT security services and product manufacturers. An extremely close and trusting business relationship is imperative if it is possible that the service provider might also be working for the competition, for example. Close cooperation with domestic intelligence authorities is also important. Seitner: Firms can work with us on a confidential basis and receive support from the authorities in the event of electronic attacks, without this necessarily leading to criminal prosecution. Many firms, however, are reluctant to call in the police. The police are obliged to report such cases to the public prosecutor on account of the legality principle. As a domestic intelligence authority, we are not governed by this principle. We guarantee the firms complete confidentiality. Lardschneider: Last year, US security authorities informed 3,000 firms that they may have been the target of cyber attacks. Will such close cooperation also become more common in Europe and other regions in the future? Michael Lardschneider is Munich Re’s Chief Security Officer. Lardschneider: What has been your experience to date? Are the attacks detected more quickly than in the past? Hochenrieder: No, on the contrary. It takes longer now because the tools used for genuine attacks have become exceedingly sophisticated. And that makes it very difficult to detect an attacker who has the relevant technical knowledge. 8 Seitner: Our adversaries have the advantage that they can learn from their mistakes, as there is a chance they may notice why their attack failed. Next time around, they’ll have better software and target a different network. Hochenrieder: In the end, we must admit that, in this game of cat and mouse, we usually come off second best. We can only learn from an attack after the event. Analysing the attack is a lengthy process, during which other companies may find themselves under attack from a similar technology. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Seitner: We issue a security warning if we detect an attack or hear of an attack which, judging by its nature, could affect more than one company. Though the details are always anonymised, our warnings describe the attack in such a way that every potential victim can take specific action. Many firms have performed tests on the basis of our warnings, several of them uncovering attacks in the process. Such cases are then included in our assessment of the current situation. CYBER RISKS Michael Lardschneider talking with Michael Hochenrieder and Florian Seitner. On average, it takes 260 days before an attack is actually discovered by the company targeted. Hochenrieder: In the case of specific attacks, several different methods are employed simultaneously. On average, it takes 260 days before an attack is actually discovered by the company targeted. In some cases, the hackers can lurk undetected in the corporate network for several years. Lardschneider: This can only be revented if technology and human p intelligence operate in synch. A great deal can be stopped through tech nical measures, although this can occasionally interfere with the employees’ work flow. But they tend to accept this if they understand why certain functions have been deactivated. We also invest a great deal in improving our employees’ know-how and heightening their awareness of the entire subject. Hochenrieder: At the moment, we are experiencing numerous spear phishing attacks, targeted at specific individuals. However, instead of drawing blood, such attacks seek to extract confidential data. Spear phishing occurs, for example, through e-mails referring to specific job offers. Although the job offer appears professional, the attachment containing the CV or the linked website is actually infected. Hackers can waltz in as soon as the attachment is opened by a member of the personnel department. Lardschneider: Can you describe any other loss scenarios? Hochenrieder: If someone really wanted to harm a competitor, he could simply shut down all the competitor’s systems. That, however, is usually detected and remedied fairly quickly. Attacks are much more difficult to detect when, for example, they involve the manipulation of financial data or the marginal alteration of a car maker’s dimensions for a milling machine. Moving the decimal point in a few figures or changing the date in a few places is all that needs to be done. The changes initially remain undetected, with fatal consequences for the end product. Once the intrusion has been detected, however, the targeted company must attempt Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 9 CYBER RISKS to ascertain which data are still intact. After all, it is impossible to know how long the intruder has already been inside the network, which areas have been manipulated and when. Checking the integrity of all data can be a very complex and costly process in the case of large companies. Seitner: I would even go one step further. What happens when processes in a production facility are modified by hackers so that something is changed in a product – a drug for example – unbeknownst to the manufacturer? The automotive industry is another vulnerable sector: major product recalls entailing complex liability issues would cause considerable losses. Michael Hochenrieder is Managing Director of IT and information security specialist HvS–Consulting. Effective protection against hackers and appropriate insurance cover will be an invaluable competitive advantage for companies in the future. Bavarian Cyber Alliance Centre The Cyber Alliance Centre (CAZ) within the Bavarian Office for the Protection of the Constitution advises companies and research institutions, as well as the operators of critical infrastructure, with regard to the prevention and analysis of specifically targeted cyber attacks. It acts as a confidential liaison office and central steering and coordination office in the fields of cyber espionage and cyber sabotage. Attacks are analysed by the CAZ in close collaboration with the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV), the Federal Office for Information Security (BSI) and other federal and state security authorities. The results are evaluated and internally processed by the CAZ. Information is also made available in anonymised form to other potential victims of similar attacks, as well as to the company directly affected. 10 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Lardschneider: There is also an increasing number of attacks which are best described as cyber terrorism. Seitner: Attacks of this nature are primarily directed at critical infrastructure. For instance, if a single CHP plant for a new development area were hacked into, this could possibly still be offset by the utility company. However, if several CHP plants with the same control system were hacked into and then failed, this could impact the entire system. Lardschneider: Companies tend to see attacks on their own systems as an all-out declaration of war. For them, there is more than just their reputation at stake. Particularly in the finance industry, customers are paying more and more attention to how companies handle their data and whether they have already become the target of an attack. For companies dealing with confidential data, however, this is also an excellent opportunity to gain an edge over other firms in the market by introducing specific measures and suitable insurance cover. CYBER RISKS Hochenrieder: Companies must realise that they cannot protect everything, particularly as targets and methods are changing all the time. What they need is a multi-tiered approach to security, aimed at effectively protecting essential assets. Costs, benefits and risks must be carefully weighed up. This also includes made-tomeasure insurance cover for cyber risks. Lardschneider: How will cyber risks develop in the coming years? Seitner: Military conflicts will increasingly extend into cyber space and this is a process which must be monitored very closely. Firms and public authorities must also prepare themselves and establish a strong, broad alliance based on trust and confidence. That is the only way to detect electronic attacks more quickly, and successfully avert them. Hochenrieder: Companies need to be flexible in dealing with the new situation. They can still protect themselves, but a new way of thinking is needed. The strategy so far has been to seek protection behind high walls. But as we now know that’s no longer enough, our new strategy is based on the “onion peeling” principle, i.e. a multi-layered approach. Raising awareness among staff and administrators involved in information security and cyber risks, and putting early-warning systems in place, can be achieved relatively quickly. On the other hand, measures such as a precise segmentation of the networks, safeguarding privileged accounts and identifying, classifying and protecting the “crown jewels” take longer, sometimes several years. It is therefore important that companies start today and at the same time invest in appropriate cyber covers if they want to be ready for the challenges of the future. Florian Seitner from the Cyber Alliance Centre at the Bavarian Office for the Protection of the Constitution. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 11 CYBER RISKS Cyber claims – The crime of our times? Today’s digital connectivity has radically changed our lives. But it has also given rise to a new type of crime. Cyber crime – criminal acts committed via the internet for financial gain, political or espionage purposes – represent a risk we cannot afford to ignore. For the insurance industry, this creates an important opportunity to generate business and support society. Helga Munger Due to the fast evolution of digital technologies and the fact that it is often easier to attack a system than defend it, breaches and attacks are to some degree inevitable. Yet as new as some aspects of these risks are, one significant contributing factor has been with us throughout: people themselves. The insurance environment Global premiums in 2014 for cyber risk insurance are estimated at around US$ 2bn, a figure dwarfed by the estimated cost of cyber crime – US$ 445bn. Accordingly, this is an area of great interest to many insurers. As a broader range of companies become aware of the risks and seek ways to handle and minimise the cost of an attack, the market promises huge growth potential. Of course, this is not an entirely new coverage, and a number of risk carriers have accrued a great deal of experience and expertise with it over the past decade. Some have emerged as responsive providers, refining their covers and offering specific policies to meet customers’ needs. Others are new to the market, with their sights set on niche markets and the cyber risks to the industries they are familiar with from other lines of business. From a claims perspective, both approaches share the need for excellent communication between claims and underwriting. Insurers and reinsurers benefit greatly from the ability to respond to emerging issues quickly, and alter approaches and wordings accordingly. Cyber claims Claims experience in recent years indicates that the most publicised and higher-profile and -value losses still emanate from the US, but not exclusively. Recent losses such as Target and eBay hacking have been so widely reported that awareness is unavoidable. A broader range of businesses are considering how well they would be able to respond if they were to fall victim to an attack. 12 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Data can be lost in many different ways. Hacker attacks, the insertion of malware and manipulated websites or e-mails are among the most common forms of data breaches. The range and complexity of incidents are huge, from a single lost laptop to the level of breach experienced by Sony, TJX, Target and eBay. They are frequently not initially detected by the victims themselves, with companies often first hearing of a cyber attack when notified by authorities or when unusual activity is seen in the accounts of their customers. Many of the high-profile breaches appear to have been publicised in blogs in advance of formal notices by the company. Malware attacks are not just issues for large retailers, although they are most certainly a lucrative target for cyber criminals. Small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are also at risk, as a breach at Staysure Insurance UK has made clear. CYBER RISKS Staysure, a specialist broker of insurance travel products for the over 50s, had to contact 93,389 customers after the attack. The insurer believed that hackers may have stolen sensitive code numbers from policyholders’ cards. Fortunately, the company was able to state publicly that it had appropriate insurance cover, which enabled the company to manage the breach effectively and communicate with all the necessary authorities promptly. On a global scale, most victims discovered the eBay breach by way of media coverage, with information on the company’s website following. eBay asked 233 million customers to change their passwords. The online retailer is keen to say that no financial data were taken, but there may have been risks to customers who use the same passwords on multiple sites. The stolen information was of great value, as it included postal addresses, e-mail addresses, phone numbers and dates of birth. The risks are not limited to the internet, as a number of banks use address and date of birth in the verification process for their telephone banking services. At the other end of the technological spectrum was a further data breach reported to the UK’s Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO): a filing cabinet containing sensitive government documents was brought to a second-hand furniture auction. More recently, a police authority was fined for leaving sensitive interview tapes and confidential information behind in a building it had vacated. Such data breaches are small-scale, but nevertheless relevant from a claims experience perspective. The issues relating to denial of service attacks can be difficult for a smaller company to address. Getting a website and potential online sales back up and running after such incidents can be costly and time-consuming, but professional data mitigation companies have provided excellent solutions in claims from this type of attack. These services have included scrubbing data and sending them back to the right site, with some delay for the customer, but maintaining the overall level of service and mitigating loss of sales and business interruption costs. Legislative environment The overall legislative environment is currently complex and unclear. This is an evolving area with European developments moving at a glacial pace through the attempts to pass binding regulation for all member states (see the article by Patrick Hill on page 16). In the US, though seen at the forefront of the highestprofile cyber attacks, there is also a lack of uniformity between various states. Many specify their definition of personally identifiable information (PII) differently, and outcomes have varied. On balance, good arguments remain that the loss of data in itself does not constitute an injury unless specific warranties have been provided. This is expected to continue to be challenged by the plaintiffs’ bar. Most (but not all) states have mandatory breach notification requirements, but there are fewer similarities in the definition of what constitutes a breach. As an example, 29 of the country’s 50 states exempt encrypted personal data from mandatory breach notification. Every breach is different Professional attacks – Hacking or malware – Phishing and pharming – Intentional breach of information (employees, contractors) – Payment card fraud Inadequate security and access controls – Unencrypted card details (CVC Code) – Simultaneous use of same login – Failure to update systems Lost in transit – Back-up tapes being sent to storage – Transfer of equipment – Improper disposal (paper, e-waste) Misadventure – Unintentional disclosure – Portable device lost or stolen – Stationary device stolen – Data is transferred to employee’s device Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 13 CYBER RISKS Disclosure of healthcare information is seen as a greater risk, and specific penalties apply to the incorrect release and publication of this, with significant costs to providers. This again underscores the need for companies to partner with sophisticated and knowledgeable service providers who can help them to navigate through these complexities. Cyber awareness starts with top management Awareness is a good start, but is it enough? A recent UK government study indicated that the majority of participating FTSE 350 companies’ boards and audit committees felt that they took cyber matters very seriously (64%). That may sound encouraging but for the fact that less than 50% of the board chairs said they felt that their boards had a clear understanding of the impact of data losses. Many cyber risk factors are directly influenced by topmanagement decisions, including a company’s own governance as well as its choices of partnerships and suppliers. The risks are further magnified for those that outsource and contract out sensitive tasks. A challenge and an opportunity Naturally, insurers and reinsurers receive cyber claims from those stakeholders that have recognised the risks and taken steps to protect themselves. Clearly, these are likely to represent a more risk-conscious group. Nevertheless, a broader awareness of cyber risks can be expected to emerge. As an understanding of the risks deepens, the insurance community can make a contribution by offering targeted covers and professional support both by way of preparation and vigilance prior to a breach and top-quality breach-response teams in the wake of an attack. If there were to be just one claims message to deliver based upon our experiences at this time, it would be that the speed and quality of the teams appointed following a breach is the single greatest factor in managing cost and reputational damage following an attack. As experts in managing risks, insurers can play a major role in handling cyber risks to support clients and also profit from this growing market. Claims have already been instigated against directors and officers in connection with conduct that may have led to or exacerbated a breach. There are no outcomes as yet in these publicised cases, but they deserve close attention. Our Expert Helga Munger is a senior legal counsel for casualty claims in Global Clients/North America. hmunger@munichre.com 14 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 literature Employers’ Liability and Workers’ Compensation Ina Ebert In the study “Employers’ Liability and Workers’ Compensation”, commissioned by the European Centre of Tort and Insurance Law (Ectil) in Vienna, experts from the respective markets discuss the compensation paid to employees for occupational illness and injury in twelve countries: Germany, France, England, Italy, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Poland, Romania, Australia, Japan and the US. The various national models – exclusive employers’ liability, combinations of employers’ liability and workers’ compensation, the (almost) total transfer of compensation from liability law to alternative compensation systems – are described in detail, highlighting the respective advantages and disadvantages. The shift in the functions which each of these forms of compensation for employees must fulfil emerges clearly from the study. Originally, the focus was on compensating workers injured as a result of accidents. Taking care of employees with occupational diseases subsequently gained in importance. This raised a multitude of new problems, from causality and the question of limitation periods for long-tail claims (consequential claims due to asbestos being the best example of this), through the consequences of an employer’s insolvency, to distinguishing between occupational psychological disorders and those attributable to other causes. More recently – particularly in the US, but to a growing extent in Europe, too – employers’ liability has also played a role in cases of discrimination, and moral and sexual harassment. This is a useful and interesting book for anyone involved in insuring risks in the field of tension between labour law, social insurance and liability law, whether at a national or international level. Ken Oliphant, Gerhard Wagner (Eds.): “Employers’ Liability and Workers’ Compensation” De Gruyter Berlin/Boston 2012 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 15 CYBER RISKS Defending the cyber borders Concerns about cyber attacks are forcing governments and companies to take action. Patrick Hill Data protection and privacy is one important element of cyber risk, and there have been a number of recent government initiatives and legislative developments across the world which highlight the desire of legisla tors to raise standards of data security and privacy across the board. Government initiatives In the UK, Prime Minister David Cameron has pledged £1.1bn to tackle the “unseen enemies” of cyber crime and cyber terrorism. He acknowledged that it is no longer possible to “defend the realm from the White Cliffs of Dover”, and this investment is the latest aspect of the UK government’s drive to improve cyber security and protect critical national infrastructure from cyber attacks. His announcement comes shortly after the launch of the UK government’s Cyber Essen tials scheme, which is designed to encourage all busi nesses, big and small, to properly consider and mitigate their exposure to cyber risks. This was followed by a summit in November 2014 hosted by Francis Maude, Minister for the Cabinet Office with responsibility for the UK Cyber Security Strategy, for CEOs from the UK’s insurance sector. This marks closer collaboration between the UK gov ernment and industry to help promote the growth of the cyber insurance market as a means of improving cyber security risk management, The insurance sec tor is in a strong position to drive improvements in cyber security risk management by asking the right questions of customers in relation to their cyber breach 16 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 and operational risk policies, and also by helping their policyholders in the wake of a data breach incident through the provision of expert advice and assistance. In the US private sector, major Wall Street banks are proposing a cyber war council to defend against future cyber attacks following concerns that their sys tems may not repel or recover from a significant attack. Their concerns include the possibility that a cyber attack on the electrical grids on which financial markets rely could cause widespread panic and trigger runs on banks. The “cyber war” rhetoric is an acknow ledgement that the impact of cyber threats can be just as catastrophic as physical threats. Whilst it remains to be seen whether these initiatives will be successful in bolstering cyber security, they will at least publicise the risks and the importance of taking appropriate mitigation strategies. EU legislation The European Union (EU) is also taking cyber security very seriously. The European Commission plans to unify data protection within the EU with a single law, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). The current EU Data Protection Directive does not consider important aspects like globalisation or technological developments such as social networks and cloud computing sufficiently, so the EU decided that new guidelines for data protection and privacy were required. Therefore, a proposal for a regulation was released on 25 January 2012. CYBER RISKS Subsequently, numerous amendments have been pro posed in the European Parliament and the Council of Ministers. The European Parliament has formally adopted the compromise text that the LIBE Committee adopted in October 2013. The regulation must now be adopted by the European Council comprised of all 28 EU member states. As the Council has not yet agreed upon a common position on the reform of data protection law, the regulation is now unlikely to be adopted before early 2015. The regulation is planned to take effect after a transition period of two years. With 28 individual states, there is always a risk of dif ferent interpretations of the regulations, which could lead to different levels of privacy across the EU. In addition, the variety of security and privacy standards throughout the EU member states is likely to mean that, for some, dramatic changes will be required. Whilst undoubtedly well intentioned, there is still some way to go before the GDPR is brought into force throughout the EU, and it remains to be seen in pre cisely what form. The proposed new EU data protection regime extends the scope of the EU data protection law to all foreign companies processing data of EU residents. It provides for a harmonisation of the data protection regulations throughout the EU, thereby making it easier for nonEuropean companies to comply with these regulations. However, this comes at the cost of a strict data pro tection compliance regime, with severe penalties of up to 2% of worldwide turnover or €1m. The European Parliament has suggested fines up to €10m or 5% of global turnover. There are a number of practical and logistical difficul ties with the proposed regulations, not least that the European Commission and local Data Protection Authorities (DPAs) will require sufficient resources and power to enforce and police the regulations. There is already a lack of privacy experts and knowledge, and new requirements might worsen the situation. It is expected that the DPAs will suffer language and staffing difficulties. Therefore, education in data protection and privacy will be a critical factor for the success of the GDPR. Our Expert Patrick Hill is a partner in the London office of international law firm DAC Beachcroft LLP. phill@dacbeachcroft.com Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 17 CYBER RISKS Cyber attacks on US retailers In the middle of the 2013 Christmas shopping season, hackers infiltrated the retail chain Target and luxury retailer Neiman Marcus. In total, credit card and bank card data belonging to 110 million customers were stolen. Nils Diekmann and Andreas Schlayer The last week before Christmas is the most lucrative of the year for retailers. Customers swarm into the stores, paying for their purchases with bank cards and credit cards. On 18 December, rumours spread on the internet that the retail chain Target had been hacked. Not just one store, but all its 1,797 US and 124 Canadian stores were believed to have been attacked. One day later, Target confirmed the rumours. It seems that, between 27 November and 15 December 2013, hackers stole the data records of around 40 million credit cards and bank cards through the credit card payment terminals. The stolen data included such customer details as name, address, card number, card expiry date and even the encrypted card validation code, the CVC. Nobody knew who was responsible for the attack and how they had done it. Discovery of the loss Target immediately launched an investigation into the incident. The next day, it was able to confirm that at least the customers’ social security numbers and dates of birth had not been stolen. Two days after this, the banks began to take action: on 21 December, JP Morgan Chase announced that daily limits had been placed on the affected customers’ cards and that new cards were being issued. About three weeks later, Target published an interim report on its investigation. In addition to the 40 million credit card and bank card data records, such data as the names and addresses of a further 70 million customers had also been stolen. All in all, hackers had stolen data belonging to 110 million customers. While this news was hitting the headlines, a report by another retailer went all but unnoticed: luxury retail chain Neiman Marcus had also fallen victim to a criminal attack shortly before Christmas. At first, everything seemed to indicate that this was a targeted attack, launched by the same group of hackers. Here A Target store in Westbury, New York, on 23 November 2012. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 19 CYBER RISKS too, the Neiman Marcus credit card payment terminals were hacked in 77 of its 85 stores and credit card data as well as customer data stolen. According to Neiman Marcus, over a million customers were affected. Reconstruction of the events The hackers who infiltrated Neiman Marcus evidently had both specialist know-how and patience on their side. To avoid detection, the hackers proceeded in almost imperceptible steps. They moved around in the internal Neiman Marcus network for about eight months, during which time they triggered roughly 60,000 security warnings in the system, according to a company spokesperson. Despite this, Neiman Marcus did not suspect a concrete attack, as the warnings had been triggered by the internal cash register system and no problems had been identified. The hackers had simply named the malware the same as the cash register system program and were thus able to move about unnoticed. A store of the luxury retail chain Neiman Marcus in Golden, Colorado, on 23 January 2014. Credit card and customer data were stolen from 77 of the chain’s 85 stores. Losses frequently far exceed clients’ insurance cover 200 160 170 Overall losses Insurance payment 170 150 120 TJX Companies (2007): Data of 45.6 million credit cards and bank cards stolen 80 40 0 30 30 5 TJX Heartland Payment Systems Sony Corp. Figures in US$ m Heartland Payment Systems (2007): Data of 130 million credit cards and bank cards stolen Sony Corporation (2011): Theft of data belonging to 77 million Playstation Network (PSN) users Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission 20 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 CYBER RISKS The investigations at Target revealed that hackers had accessed the technical system using identities stolen from a service provider for heating and ventilation systems. Even though the service provider merely had access to the accounting and order management system via Target’s extranet, a misconfiguration in the system enabled the hackers to penetrate deeper and deeper into the internal network and ultimately install their malware in the credit card payment terminals. The repercussions: Class actions and loss of profits Since early January 2014, Target has been confronted with a number of class actions. Towards the end of March, Target’s IT service provider Trustwave also came under scrutiny from the banks. The two banks Trustmark National and Green Bank are demanding compensation amounting to US$ 5m from Trustwave. Replacing customers’ credit cards and bank cards is a costly matter for the companies. By mid-August 2014, banks had issued some 22 million new bank cards and credit cards as a result of the Target affair. At an average cost of around US$ 10 per replacement, costs are likely to be in the region of US$ 220m. Some US banks are therefore seeking to recover additional costs from Target for the extra expense incurred for customer service. The cyber attack also impacted Target’s management and its balance sheet. In March, CEO Gregg Steinhafel announced that the CIO (Chief Information Officer) and CISO (Chief Information Security Officer) were to be replaced. Steinhafel himself then resigned in mid-May. He had led Target for 35 years. He received a US$ 21.1m pay-off. The impact of this cyber attack on the balance sheet cannot be viewed in isolation. For the fourth quarter 2013, however, Target reported a 46% drop in sales as compared to the previous year’s result. Although Target shares had been slipping since mid-November 2013, their value tumbled by more than 13% in the period from 18 December 2013 to 4 February 2014. Since then, the share value has steadily risen again. In its quarterly report for QII/2014, Target reports a loss of US$ 148m due to the cyber attack. Similar attacks – Different consequences These two cases show that similar attacks can have very different consequences. This is due not only to the companies’ different technical security precautions, but also in many cases to a particularly unfortunate sequence of circumstances, such as the time at which the attack is reported. Attacks are becoming technically more sophisticated Frequency of attacks State organisations vs. industrial corporations Hacktivism Know-how attackers need Capital crimes States vs. states Pranks 419s Frameworks Crimes Availability of highly developed attack tools and know-how of the attackers Professionalism and motivation of hackers in recent decades: instead of breaking into systems to draw attention to weak points as in the past, cyber attacks today aim to damage entire industries and national economies. Sources: Munich Re, Symantec, MIT Computer clubs Telephone Hacking “Phreaking” Hacking 1970 1980 1990 20002010 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 21 CYBER RISKS The management, CEO and balance sheet of Neiman Marcus came away from their cyber attack with a much smaller loss than Target. In the second quarter of 2014, Neiman Marcus reported that the attack had cost US$ 4.1m for legal advice, forensic investigations, customer communications and credit monitoring. One explanation for this relatively modest figure may be that the Neiman Marcus case was conveniently eclipsed by the media interest aroused by Target and the much smaller loss of data involved. Public attention was more focused on the Target attack and the much larger number of customers affected. Both attacks sought to manipulate the credit card payment terminals, although the way they went about this was very different. They first obtained access to the network before systematically seeking out and exploiting individual weaknesses to reach their goal. Though security systems are being upgraded on a grand scale, these days companies must always remain alert to the possibility of a successful attack and take precautions to prevent potential losses. A study has shown that cyber crime causes firms annual losses amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars. Demand for cyber covers will rise The case of Target – which had to shoulder threequarters of its high loss amount itself – highlights the urgent need for separate covers. Instead of including cyber risks in regular property and liability policies, they should be covered under special cyber policies precisely tailored to the individual risks involved. Many cyber covers include components from property and casualty. This is often necessary, as in most cases the individual components not only affect the company directly (for instance in the form of a business interruption) but can also give rise to further costs through claims for damages. The challenge when designing products to cover complex cyber risks is therefore to identify the risks of relevance to the client and their impact, and to find appropriate individual insurance solutions. A further cyber attack on the US retail trade was reported in mid-September. The victim this time was the DIY chain Home Depot. Here too, the payment system was hacked and data from 56 million cards were stolen. According to initial estimates by the management, losses from the attack are expected to be in the region of US$ 60m, US$ 27m of which will be borne by insurance. OUR EXPERTS Nils Diekmann is an underwriter for cyber risks at Munich Re. ndiekmann@munichre.com Andreas Schlayer is head of the Information Technology Topic Network and an underwriter in Special and Financial Risks. aschlayer@munichre.com 22 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Risk, Liability & Insurance Our “Risk, Liability & Insurance” series explores fundamental issues of liability law and its significance for the insurance industry. Analysing the effect social influences have on insurance and tort law practice is an important part of this process. The publications in this series are now available in a brand new format: −−Non-objectifiable diseases −−Compensation for pain and suffering −−Tort law and liability insurance −−Asbestos – Anatomy of a mass tort To obtain a copy of any of these publications, visit our client portal connect.munichre.com or contact your Client Manager. not if, but how Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 23 CYBER RISKS The right protection against cyber losses There were more than 2,000 major cyber incidents in 2013 in the US alone, resulting in the exposure of nearly 823 million records. Insurance cover from Hartford Steam Boiler can help to reduce the financial risks involved. Kenneth Williams, Hartford Steam Boiler Identity Theft Recovery Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection and Insurance Company (HSB), a Munich Re company, has developed several insurance products designed to address the risk of cyber attack and create peace of mind for our personal and commercial lines policyholders. HSB’s cyber risk products include Identity Theft Recovery and Data Compromise and the CyberOne insurance product. Identity Theft Recovery (IDR) coverage provides case management services and expense reimbursement to individuals who are victims of identity theft. Among the services provided are professional identity restor ation services, legal fee reimbursement and the reim bursement of out-of-pocket costs. Our IDR coverage recently responded to an elderly couple who noticed that their monthly social security cheques were not being deposited on time in their bank account. They called the social security admin istration and learned that their cheques were being forwarded to another account, allegedly per the insureds’ direction. The insureds had not authorised the transfer or opened the fraudulent account. They reported the loss to HSB under their IDR coverage. HSB retained legal counsel on the insureds’ behalf, employed the service of an identity restoration vendor and instructed the insureds to notify the local law enforcement authorities. In time, legal counsel per suaded the receiving bank that the transactions were fraudulent and the bank refunded the insureds’ money. 24 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 The restoration vendor placed credit alerts on the insureds’ credit reports and worked with credit report ing agencies to remove the fraudulent account from the insureds’ credit reports. Protecting commercial clients The loss, theft or inadvertent publication of personally identifiable data by a commercial insured can result in a coverable loss under HSB’s Data Compromise coverage. The data subject to this coverage can exist either electronically or in a tangible form such as paper. Coverages can include a forensics information technology vendor to discover the nature and extent of the data breach, counsel to provide legal guidance, notification to affected individuals’ credit monitoring and public relations services. A recent HSB claim involved both documents and an employer-supplied desktop computer stolen from a medical transcriptionist’s home. The computer and paper files contained personally identifiable patient data. The transcriptionist would pick up paper files weekly from the insured’s medical office and take them home, where she would transcribe them into elec tronic form. As the transcriptionist was an employee of the doctor, the data never left the possession or control of the insured. Burglars broke into the transcriptionist’s home and stole the computer and 120 paper files of patients. The information contained in the stolen items included names, addresses, dates of birth, social security num bers, account numbers and HIPAA-protected informa tion on the medical conditions of the patients. HSB worked with the insured to identify the 120 patients CYBER RISKS concerned and to obtain full names and addresses. The insured retrieved the data from the desktop from a back-up device. This saved the cost of a forensic information technology review. HSB worked with a data recovery and identify restoration vendor to notify and provide services to the affected individuals. Our adjuster monitored the vendor and apprised the insured regularly of the claim’s progress and promptly reimbursed the insured’s covered expenses. HSB closed the case six months later, having satisfied all the requirements of state law, secured the identities of the patients and restored confidence in the insured’s business practices. Malware threats HSB’s CyberOne first-party coverage can be triggered by a computer attack in the form of hacking, malware or a denial of service attack, among other things. Third-party coverage is triggered by a network secu rity liability suit alleging breach of third-party busi ness data, unintended propagation of malware or unintentional participation in a denial of service attack. HSB designed this coverage to restore or recreate data, systems and software. In addition, it may cover business income loss, public relations expenses and legal defence costs, judgements and settlements. As an example, HSB’s CyberOne coverage would respond to a commercial insured who experienced a malware event in which large amounts of data were stolen. The stolen data include both personally-identi fying employee information and proprietary design information belonging to the insured’s customers. A customer of the insured whose data was breached files a lawsuit against the insured. HSB’s CyberOne coverage would assist with the costs of responding to the breach of personal information and provide defence and liability coverage in connec tion with suits brought by individuals whose person ally-identifying information was breached. It would also provide defence and liability coverage in connec tion with suits brought by businesses whose proprie tary information was breached. The modern fluidity of personally identifiable data means that opportunities abound for data to be lost, stolen, hacked or even held hostage. Most of our insureds take all reasonable and necessary action to protect data in their possession and control from such hazards. But when all reasonable and necessary actions do not work, HSB’s cyber risk products are there to help. Our Expert Kenneth Williams is Vice Presi dent of the Specialty Claims Unit at Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection and Insurance Com pany (HSB). kenneth_williams@hsb.com Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 25 THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY Delayed knock-out Serious blows or even minor jolts to the head may cause severe long-term neurological consequences. The recent concussion settlement in the US between the National Football League (NFL) and former players has attracted the attention of sporting leagues, athletes and insurers. Travis D. Coleman In the US, no other sport enjoys the same widespread popularity as football, a game which owes much of its attraction to the extreme physical demands placed on its athletes. Injuries are inevitable, and players have been known to continue playing even when severely injured. A class action lawsuit was filed against the NFL in 2012 by more than 4,500 former football players seeking compensation for the consequences of concussion-related injuries. As a result, the NFL had to confront the players’ allegations under intense media scrutiny. The NFL class action litigation has brought public awareness to the dangers of concussions and spurred similar litigation against other sporting leagues and associations. Litigation continues despite settlement In August 2013, the NFL and its former players agreed to a US$ 765m settlement. Initially, the 2013 settlement was not approved by the trial court and the parties were instructed to revisit their reported settlement and the capped compensatory injury benefits specified in the settlement. A revised settlement proposal, which could encompass as many as 20,000 retired football players valued at over US$ 900m, was submitted to the court in July 2014. The new settlement agreement provides uncapped compensatory damages for players with specified neurological symptoms estimated to be US$ 675m. This portion of the fund is designed to make payments based on various factors such as the player’s age and illness. Furthermore, the settlement included US$ 75m for a medical testing programme, US$ 10m for an educational fund and US$ 112m to plaintiffs’ counsel. Despite this settlement proposal before the court, some players have chosen to opt out of the settlement class and pursue their own lawsuits. Apart from former professional football players, a similar class action lawsuit was filed in November 2013 by former National Hockey League (NHL) players. The NFL and NHL lawsuits have likely had a strong influence on how the other main sporting leagues in the US address concussion policy. A professional football player will receive an estimated 900 to 1,500 blows to the head during a season. The impact speed of a moving player colliding with a stationary player can be up to 40 km/h. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 27 THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY Lawsuits have also started to emerge, seeking accountability from the organisers of college and high school sports, municipalities, manufacturers of safety equipment, coaches and medical staff. Although only so-called “contact sports”, e.g. football and hockey, originally received attention concerning concussions, the seriousness of the issue has quickly drawn the attention of organisers and parents of athletes participating in other sporting disciplines, such as baseball, basketball and soccer. Off the playing field, concussions have drawn the attention of the United States Department of Defense, as many of its soldiers have sustained concussions. The nerve cell of a brain Cell body Impact on the nerve cells Multiple concussions can cause the nerve cells to fall apart. Tau proteins, the substances that stabilise healthy nerve cells, accumulate in the brain, forming clumps. Rotational impact Axon Even light blows are dangerous Current research increasingly indicates that frequent blows or jolts, particularly to the head, can cause irreparable brain damage and have a serious impact on health. However, single violent blows to the head are not the only danger. The cumulative effect from repeated blows to the head of a football player over his career can be serious. Concussions are often referred to as mild traumatic brain injuries, that typically occur following a fall or blow to the body when the head is simultaneously exposed to high acceleration forces. Symptoms of concussion – Impaired consciousness –Headache – Dizziness, balance dysfunction –Squinting – Unequal pupil size – Cramps or other neurological deficits – Nausea and vomiting – Loss of consciousness – Impaired word recall (amnesic aphasia) – Memory lapses (amnesia) – Visual hallucinations In such cases, the cerebral fluid cannot adequately absorb the trauma and the brain collides with the skull. The United States Center for Disease Control (CDC) has published the following figures relating to injuries and symptoms: −−According to official estimates, between 1.6 and 3.8 million concussions occur in the United States each year. −−5–10% of athletes will experience a concussion in any given sport season. −−Fewer than 10% of sport-related concussions involve an impairment of consciousness, such as blackouts or seeing stars. 150g impact When two players collide in American Football, the impact to the head can be as much as 150g (one g equals the force exerted by gravity). By way of comparison, the impact from a professional boxer’s punch is between 10 and 20g. −−Football is the sport with the highest concussion risk for males (75% risk). −−Soccer is the sport with the highest concussion risk for females (50% risk). −−78% of concussions occur during games, as opposed to training sessions. −−Some studies suggest that females are twice as likely to sustain a concussion as males. −−Headache (85%) and dizziness (70–80%) are the symptoms most commonly reported by athletes immediately after sustaining a blow to the head. 28 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Impact THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY Concussion The brain is well protected. The hard cranium provides protection from mechanical injuries. The cerebral fluid and the three meninges absorb the effects of jolts. However, a sufficiently strong blow can cause craniocerebral injury (CCI), more commonly known as concussion. Common causes of concussion include road accidents, sporting accidents and accidents in the home. It is characterised by an injury to the skull, including the brain. Cranium Damaged blood vessel Brain Liquor Injury Shock wave Brain damage The brain floats within a kind of fluidfilled chamber. Due to the inertia of the brain, a jolt or a blow to the head initially causes it to hit one side of the skull, following which it frequently rebounds and slams into the other side. Millions of nerve cells are damaged by the jolt and the impact, causing small injuries in the nerve tracts. If the trauma is severe, blood vessels in the brain may even rupture, resulting in a cerebral haemorrhage. In a nerve cell which has been subjected to such a trauma, the electrical impulses may be interrupted, killing the cell. Neighbouring nerve cells then begin to shut down as a protective response. The more cells are destroyed, the greater the likelihood of such symptoms as impaired consciousness, dizziness and memory lapses. Multiple concussions can cause the nerve cells to die off. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 29 THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY Recently, new imaging techniques have been used to find evidence of CTE in living persons. Most promising is the Positron Emission Tomography (PET) using a newly developed radiopharmaceutical marker ([18F]FDDNP). The scan lit up for a pathologic protein in the brain, the so-called Tau protein. The protein was concentrated in areas that control memory, emotions and other functions – a pattern consistent with the distribution of Tau in CTE brains that have been studied following autopsy. −−Around 47% of the athletes do not experience any symptoms. −−A professional football player will receive an estimated 900 to 1,500 blows to the head during a season. The impact speed of a moving player colliding with a stationary player can be up to 40 km/h. By way of comparison: a professional boxer punches with an impact speed of over 30 km/h, while a firmly struck soccer ball strikes the player’s head with an impact speed of over 100 km/h. Although the symptoms of concussion are numerous, they can be roughly subdivided into four categories: impairment of the ability to think and remember (e.g. difficulty in thinking clearly or concentrating), physical consequences (e.g. headaches or vomiting), fluctuating emotions or moods (e.g. sadness or irritability) and abnormal sleep patterns (e.g. sleeping too much or not enough). Some symptoms may be immediately apparent, while others only emerge days or months 30 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 later. Diagnosing a concussion can often be difficult since an injured person may appear to be physically sound when they are in fact experiencing adverse mental trauma. Research findings show that multiple concussions can have serious long-term repercussions. These include the development of mild cognitive impairments (MCIs), chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) or post-concussion syndrome (PCS). In the litigation against the NFL, several players also cited such diseases as Alzheimer’s, Parkinson’s or amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (also known as ALS or Lou Gehrig’s disease), claiming to have developed these conditions as a result of multiple concussions. Although many claimants did not display any symptoms of these diseases, the NFL players contended that they were at an increased risk of developing them and should likewise receive compensation for medical monitoring expenses. THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY Degeneration of the brain Since the 1920s, CTE has been known to affect boxers. CTE is a trauma triggering a progressive degeneration of the brain tissue. These changes in the brain can begin months, years, or even decades after the last brain trauma and hence when all active athletic involvement has ceased. Degeneration of the brain is associated with memory loss, confusion, impaired judgement, impulse control problems, aggression, depression, and, eventually, progressive dementia. CTE is also suspected of having been a factor in a number of suicides by former NFL players. Although the link between concussion and suicide is contro versial, a study published by the journal “Brain” in December 2012 claimed that evidence of CTE had been found in the brain tissue of 33 out of 34 professional football players after they died. Claimants in the litigation against the NFL contended that NFL officials knew for decades of the harmful effects of concussions, but concealed these facts from coaches, players and the public. Furthermore, the players alleged that the NFL had neither adopted rules to reduce head injuries nor implemented safety guidelines to properly protect players following concussions. The settlement agreement reached between the NFL and its retired players has been structured to last 65 years. According to court documents, the NFL has agreed to fund medical examinations of all former professional players, as well as medical research, litigation expenses and administrative expenses to establish a settlement claims programme. The following indemnity payments were additionally defined: −−Persons who have or develop ALS (Lou Gehrig’s disease), Parkinson’s disease, Alzheimer’s disease or any other severe cognitive impairment will receive up to US$ 5m. −−Up to US$ 4m will be paid if a chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) is diagnosed after death. −−Up to US$ 3m for players with dementia. Although many may argue that the high salaries earned by professional athletes may compensate them for the physical risks they take, this is not the case in American college or amateur sports. College athletics has also become a multi-billion-dollar industry. The problem is that college athletes are considered amateurs and therefore do not receive a salary. Instead, the revenues generated by college sports are used to finance college operations, boost a college’s image or applied towards scholarships. College athletes also seeking litigation College athletics in the United States is organised by the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA). As with the lawsuits filed against the professional sporting leagues (e.g. NFL, NHL), many active and former college athletes have taken legal action against the NCAA in order to obtain compensation. Athletes are also pushing for changes in the rules, such as ensuring that if a player has a violent collision or sustains a concussion, certain rules are followed and time is allowed before a player may resume playing. The NCAA reached a preliminary settlement with the plaintiffs in the summer of 2014, allocating over US$ 70m to screening and another US$ 5m to research. It proposed the establishment of a 50-year medical monitoring programme for all active and former NCAA athletes in any sport and would oblige the NCAA to order its member schools to make changes to their concussion management policies and institute return-to-play guidelines. Several million current and former athletes may stand to benefit from this settlement proposal. In December 2014, a federal judge denied preliminary approval of the proposed settlement but encouraged the parties to continue their settlement discussions. Sports-related concussions at high schools are also attracting increasing attention. Estimates indicate that some 35 million US children and adolescents participate in sports, including more than 7 million at high schools. Every year, children and young adults make roughly 250,000 emergency room visits as a result of brain injuries sustained during sports and recreational activities. The real figure is no doubt higher, as some injured athletes do not seek any medical help, or consult their family doctor instead of a hospital. One need not search far to find stories of young athletes who have either sustained permanent Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 31 THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY damage following concussions or have died as a result of a head trauma. The CDC along with numerous sporting leagues, insurers and parent-led initiatives have launched awareness campaigns, created websites and published booklets to inform student athletes, parents and coaches about the symptoms associated with concussions. Criticism of FIFA rules The consequences of high school sports are also a matter for the judiciary. In late August 2014, a class action lawsuit was filed in the United States District Court of California against US soccer organisations and FIFA (Fédération Internationale de Football Association), soccer’s international governing body. According to the complaint, nearly 50,000 high school soccer players in the United States sustained concussions in 2013. It alleged that the defendants had acted negligently in monitoring and treating head injuries. Other lawsuits have also been filed against school districts and coaches who have allegedly ignored the risks associated with concussions. The 2014 World Cup in Brazil clearly showed that, sooner or later, the issue of concussions must also be addressed by professional soccer leagues. A number of high-profile cases occurred at the World Cup: during the group stage, the knee of England’s Raheem Sterling struck the head of Uruguay’s Alvaro Pereira at full speed, leaving him motionless. Despite having to be carried off the field looking punch-drunk, he refused to be substituted and returned to the game. During the semi-final match between Argentina and the Netherlands, Javier Mascherano of Argentina collided in the air with a Dutch player. He too was evidently temporarily befuddled, but remained in the game. In the final, Germany’s Christoph Kramer’s head collided violently with an opponent’s shoulder. He continued playing for 15 minutes in a dazed state before being taken off the field. In Pereira’s case, the World Players’ Union accused FIFA of having failed to adequately protect him. The organisation demanded that FIFA review its guidelines on concussions during soccer matches and develop possible changes in the rules. 32 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 A matter for politicians Even the White House has turned its attention to the subject, in view of the large number of lawsuits and growing awareness of the problem. President Barack Obama hosted “The Healthy Kids and Safe Sports Concussion Summit” at the White House on 29 May 2014. During the summit, the following commitments were made: −−The NCAA and the US Department of Defense jointly committed US$ 30m for concussion education and the most comprehensive concussion study to date, involving up to 37,000 college athletes. −−The NFL committed US$ 25m in new funding over the next three years. These funds will be used to create health and safety forums for parents and to hire more trainers (medically trained staff) for high school games. −−The National Institute of Standards and Technology will invest US$ 5m over the next five years to develop more advanced materials that can provide better protection against concussions. Manufacturers of helmets have also come under attack because the protection supposedly afforded by their equipment may be inadequate or unable to provide the level of protection previously thought by plaintiffs. Although the wearing of a helmet is recommended to prevent skull fractures and brain contusions, recent studies have revealed a number of limitations. The Florida Center for Headache and Sports Neurology has concluded that helmets provide limited protection for blows to the side of the head, which can cause concussions. Lawsuits against manufacturers of helmets have accused them of acting negligently, designing defective helmets, failing to draw attention to the dangers and engaging in misleading marketing. THIRD-PARTY LIABILITY Will concussions impact insurance carriers? Chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) The implications of concussion litigation concern not only athletes, sporting organisations and manufacturers of safety equipment, but also their respective insurance covers. Numerous insurance carriers are currently involved in coverage litigation with their insureds (NFL and/or NHL and/or helmet manufacturer Riddell). These actions seek to determine what coverage, if any, is available to the insureds for concussion-related claims. The NFL, for instance, seeks a determination of coverage for the defence of the class action litigation and settlement against its primary and excess liability carriers during the period 1968–2012. −−Chronic traumatic encephalopathy is a neurodegenerative disease that is a long-term consequence of single or repetitive head injuries. The exact mechanism for CTE is unknown. To date, the number or type of hits to the head needed to trigger degenerative changes of the brain is unknown. Determining whether or not a player’s injury is actually related to a specific concussion injury presents many challenges since the alleged injury may not be diagnosed until many years after participation in a sport has ended. The coverage litigation between the NFL and its carriers has been inactive (stayed) while the proposed class action settlement is approved. Once the class action settlement is approved, many insurers and the NFL will likely commence the litigation of various coverage issues related to the underlying concussion claims. Finally, now that the lawsuits brought by professional athletes have focused media attention on the seriousness of concussions, there are likely to be repercussions felt off the playing field as well. As more becomes known about head injuries and their consequences, additional claims may be filed by accident victims, injured employees or even, potentially, members of the armed forces alleging injuries from a prior head trauma. Claimants who have sustained a concussion or other head injuries may base their lawsuits and amount of damages claimed on the latest scientific research and court rulings. Risk managers and insurance carriers should therefore pay close attention to what is being done by their organisations to protect athletes, employees, customers and others from potential concussions. >> Further information at www.cdc.gov/concussion/ http://dvbic.dcoe.mil/dod-worldwide-numbers-tbi www.army.mil/tbi −−There is no treatment, and definitive diagnosis is made by studying the brain tissue after death. −−Clinical presentation of CTE includes cognitive impairment and neuropsychological symptoms (memory loss, confusion, impaired judgement, impulse control problems, aggression, depression, anxiety, suicidality). In addition, Parkinsonism, and, eventually, progressive dementia are described. These symptoms often begin years or even decades after the last brain trauma or end of active athletic involvement. −−CTE is closely linked to athletes who participate in contact sports like boxing, American Football, soccer, professional wrestling and hockey. Aside from repeated head trauma, risk factors include the presence of certain genotype (ApoE3 or ApoE4 allele), military service and old age. Dr. Alban Senn, Centre of Competence Medical, UW & Claims Consulting OUR EXPERT Travis D. Coleman is a US licensed attorney. He works as a North American liability underwriter for Corporate Insurance Partner in Munich, Germany. tcoleman@munichre.com Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 33 NATURAL HAZARDS Severe hailstorms – A risk of change ? In 2013, large hailstones caused heavy damage in Germany. Recent studies assume that continued climate change will be associated with a trend towards intensive thunderstorms including hail in many regions. Eberhard Faust and Peter Miesen Germany can experience particularly severe hailstorms when the upper air flow over western Europe forms a trough-like loop extending far to the south, bringing warm, moist air from the western Mediterranean and subtropical Atlantic northeast to central Europe. Under the influence of bad weather fronts within the range of this trough, intense thunderstorms can develop and move over Germany with the air flow from the southwest to the northeast. Such weather conditions prevailed on 27 and 28 July as well as on 6 August 2013. Losses and loss drivers of the severe weather in summer 2013 The first hailstorm on 27 July moved along a corridor from the Ruhr area to Hanover and Wolfsburg, with hailstones up to roughly 8 cm in diameter. A storm on 28 July produced hailstones of similar size along a path from Villingen-Schwenningen to Schwäbisch Hall. Hailstones with a diameter of up to 14 cm – larger than any previously encountered in Germany – were recorded near Undingen (Swabian Alps) during the hailstorms affecting Saxony, Baden-Württemberg and Bavaria on 6 August. Heavy rain on the following day was a major loss driver in the hailstorm corridor of southwestern Germany on 28 July, as shattered roof tiles exposed the interior of buildings to the rain. Photovoltaic systems and solar thermal energy systems were likewise unable to withstand hailstones measuring up to 8 cm in diameter. The horizontal element in the hailstones’ trajectory led to severe losses as the plaster on many houses with external wall insulation was knocked off right down to the reinforcing fabric inside. Following a trajectory which also included a horizontal component due to strong storm gusts, these large hailstones caused enormous damage to roofs, façades and vehicles in densely populated areas. The storms on 27 and 28 July alone caused an insured loss of €2.8bn (€3.6bn overall loss), while the events on 4 to 6 August contributed a further loss of €0.4bn (€0.6bn overall loss). Large hailstones can cause serious damage. The hailstones in Undingen, Germany, on 6 August were up to 14 cm in diameter. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 35 NATURAL HAZARDS 1 5 2 3 1 Newer, well-insulated façades with thin finishing coats were more susceptible to hail. 2Rain easily found its way into buildings through the shattered roofs. 3In numerous storage yards, moisture seeped in through shattered car windows, causing serious damage to the interior and electrical systems. 4 4Standby agreements with warehouse owners permitted rapid and efficient inspection of the damaged motor vehicles by insurance companies. 5Hoarding elements, roller shutters and façades, such as here in Reutlingen, Germany, were seriously damaged or destroyed by hail. 36 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 NATURAL HAZARDS What mainly stands out when looking back at the loss profiles in 2013 is the size of the hailstones and their potentially high kinetic energy on impact. The finishing coat on such compound heat insulating systems is much thinner than that on older façades and therefore less resistant to hail. Typical damage to vertical surfaces also included façade elements, such as fibre cement slate tiles, glass on hoardings, roller shutters and external sunscreens. Marine and motor insurance was also affected, as numerous vehicles were damaged in the parking lots of car showrooms and particularly in the car makers’ large storage yards. More than 10,000 vehicles built by a car manufacturer in Wolfsburg were damaged on 27 July, and storage yards with several thousand vehicles were also affected in the Zwickau area. A storage yard in France sustained a particularly large loss in late July: water penetrating through windows shattered by hailstones damaged the electrical systems and interior of the vehicles, thus resulting in high repair costs; around 80% of the vehicles were a total write-off. What mainly stands out when looking back at the general loss profiles in 2013 is the size of the hailstones and their potentially high kinetic energy on impact, causing major damage in densely populated areas. In several cases, the damage was augmented by moisture entering buildings following the initial damage caused by hail. New roofs displayed considerably greater resistance than old roofs. The trends observed regarding the susceptibility to damage of exterior walls and superstructures are also important. The following elements in particular are loss drivers when large hailstones are involved: solar thermal energy and PV systems, exterior insulation with thin finishing coats and other easily penetrated façade elements, as well as less robust external sunscreens and roller shutters. Studies in Switzerland have also indicated greater vulnerability in recent decades, especially in the case of office buildings, due to the use of roller shutter systems and new metal or plastic façade materials. The insurers’ claims management and particularly their contingency planning for mass losses proved effective in summer 2013: claims were settled and paid out without delay. By and large, coordination and deployment of the repair services (roofing contractors, scaffold contractors) proceeded smoothly, considering the large number of claims within a relatively small area. Is the hazard changing? With a view to risk management, the enormous losses raise the question of whether Europe’s exposure to severe hailstorms is changing. This has been investigated in a number of studies focusing on northern Italy (Trentino), France and southwest Germany in recent years. In France, a 21-year time series of measurements from hail pads was used for this purpose. Each hail pad comprises a polystyrene panel measuring 42 x 30 cm and 2 cm thick which is dented by hail. The size and kinetic energy of the hailstones can be calculated from the size of the dents. With regard to the annual number of hail events per hail pad, no trend was observed for a field of 457 units in the Atlantic/Pyrenean region. However, a significant upward trend was established as regards the total kinetic energy per hail event, and with regard to the aggregate total kinetic energy per station and year. These increases occur primarily in spring (April/May). The significant trend in hail intensity during the period 1989 to 2009 was in the region of 70%. The validity of these findings is limited due to the very short time series of just two decades (Berthet et al., Atmospheric Research, 2011). Similar findings were reported by a study using hail pads in northern Italy. For the period 1975 to 2009, i.e. 35 years, a significant increase in the total kinetic energy of extreme events (not more than 10% of all cases) was observed in the region of approximately 1.7% per year; over a period of 35 years, this consequently meant an increase of 59% (Eccel et al., International Journal of Climatology, 2012). Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 37 NATURAL HAZARDS Greater risk awareness would not go amiss Dr. Jochen Tenbieg, head of Global Claims at Allianz SE, explains the insurer’s handling of major natural hazard events and how cover for losses due to natural hazards could change. Severe hailstorms cost German insurers billions last year. Claims management was sorely tested by the immense number of claims reported within a very short space of time. What is your primary focus after such an event? The most important thing is that we were once again able to show our clients that we are a reliable partner providing speedy assistance, even in such exceptional circumstances. Although hail normally only causes damage in geographically small areas, the number of claims reported is usually too large to be handled by a single claims department alone. We must therefore take steps to spread the burden over many shoulders and increase our claims handling capacity accordingly. Despite the massive workload, everyday business continues as usual and should suffer as little as possible. For this reason, we must find out quickly just how many claims are to be expected in the days following an event. That is the only way to ensure our high service standards even in exceptional circumstances. This estimate is undertaken by a team of actuaries and members of the individual departments. 38 To what extent can an insurer prepare for such a mass event? Allianz Germany has drawn up contingency planning for mass losses. This planning becomes effective as soon as the number of claims and magnitude of the event exceed certain threshold values. Depending on the severity of the event, a carefully defined crisis management is then set in motion. Even before a potential major event occurs, we receive severe weather alerts connected with the risks in our portfolio. Model simulations help us to estimate the prob able loss burdens to be expected as a result of the event. This allows us to prepare our staff or expert partners accordingly and to establish where additional staff are likely to be needed. In motor business, we have concluded standby agreements with the owners of large warehouses, which they then place at our disposal following a loss event so that we can inspect the damaged vehicles. To what extent can claims be handled individually in such exceptional circumstances? Every client rightly expects to be treated individually in keeping with his needs. From a loss minimisation vantage too, there is little point in settling claims on a flat-rate basis. This is because providers of repair services often adjust their prices at short notice to meet the high demand following mass losses. If we, as insurers, do not proceed with great care and responsibility, this will have a Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Dr. Jochen Tenbieg is head of Global Claims at Allianz SE Holding. The quality of claims management and identifying trends are principal aspects of his work. direct impact on loss expenditure, as happened following the severe hailstorm over Munich in 1984: at that time, the average claim settlement was high because the insurers were ill-prepared and followed a very generalised procedure when assessing claims. Insurers are now better equipped to deal with such events too, and can handle each claim as a single loss despite the large numbers involved. Were you surprised by the magnitude of the damage to building façades? Not at all. This is a side effect of homeowners’ efforts to upgrade their buildings in conformity with energy standards. As a rule, retrofitted insulation systems have only a thin plaster finish which is easily penetrated even by medium-sized hailstones, provided that the wind is strong enough. This phenomenon will be encountered much more frequently NATURAL HAZARDS in future as the intensity of these events increases due to climate change and the number of insulated buildings mounts. This makes buildings more susceptible to hail damage. The same also applies to solar power systems, which effectively cannot be protected without reducing their efficiency or driving the costs for the solar panels sky-high. Will this affect pricing? Building façades and solar power systems may well become factors of relevance for pricing in future; this possibility cannot be ruled out. The associated higher claims expenditure would consequently have to be reflected in the calculated price. In addition, climate change will also lead to changes in storm and hail exposures in natural hazard zoning. Car makers’ outdoor storage yards sustained extensive hail damage in 2013. Can the vehicles in such storage yards not be protected more effectively? We are constantly considering how to advise clients to take more effective precautions. Despite just-in-time production, however, it should be remembered that the vehicles awaiting transport in outdoor storage yards often comprise the output of several days. These yards are equal to several football fields in size. We could demand that a roof be erected. But every client will weigh up exactly whether the associated costs are also reasonable. Other forms of protection, such as covering the vehicles with sheeting, are of little or no use against severe hailstorms. All that remains is to locate the outdoor storage yards in areas with the least possible exposure to natural hazards. Nowadays, however, the weather has become so unpredictable that severe loss events occur even in previously safe regions. This is where we are needed as insurers. Although losses due to storms, floods and hail are increasing, most Germans consider the risk associated with these natural hazards to be slight where they themselves are concerned. How can we heighten public awareness of the risks? It is impossible to forecast hailstorms reliably. Is the so-called inoculation of clouds with silver iodide from aircraft a suitable means of preventing the formation of extremely large hailstones? To the best of my knowledge, there is no empirical scientific proof showing the efficacy of this method. The main problem is surely that certain hail conditions cannot be controlled with just one aircraft and that additional aircraft cannot be flown in from other locations at short notice. However, every inoculated thunder cloud that rains without forming hail is certainly a bonus. It would be good if people were more aware of such events and of the value of natural hazard covers. The basic problem is that most people subjectively perceive a flood or hailstorm as a unique event. Objectively, however, we are now finding that two once-ina-hundred-years events can occur within the space of a decade. Ultimately, it is probably a question of how the event is actually experienced. As people’s awareness of the risks increases, so does their readiness to demand insurance cover and to pay a reasonable price for such cover. A joint study by insurers and climate researchers has found that losses due to storm and hail could increase considerably in the next few decades. What does this mean with regard to the insurability of these risks? Losses due to natural hazards will remain an insurable risk. In the medium term, however, it may be advisable to set up more precisely defined zones to ensure riskadequate pricing in the future. Certain changes will be inevitable, however, in view of the evident increase in local severe weather events in regions formerly considered “safe”. I doubt that the prices charged for such cover can remain constant, as the proportion of losses due to natural hazards resulting from climate change will presumably increase. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 39 NATURAL HAZARDS Projection of losses due to summer storms/hail 1984 to 2008 Average claims rate Germany: 0.034 per mille 2011 to 2040 Mean change: +0.005 (approx. +15%) 2041 to 2070 Mean change: +0.016 (approx. +47%) Claims rate Difference in claims rates Difference in claims rates Projected change in the mean annual loss ratio storm/hail in summer, based on the reference period 1984 to 2008 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 Projected change in summer claims rates for storm/hail (homeowners’ comprehensive insurance) for the periods 2011 to 2040 and 2041 to 2070 as compared to the reference period 1984 to 2008. The geographical subunits are defined through similar loss characteristics and do not correspond to any administrative regions or common insurance regions. –0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 Source: Final report on the GDV project “Impact of climate change on the loss situation in the German insurance industry”, December 2011) In southwest Germany, increases were also observed with regard to the number of hail days, convective thunderstorm energy for severe events and other thunderstorm-related variables (Kunz et al., International Journal of Climatology, 2009). Although, from a meteorological standpoint, the various studies considered different atmospheric parameters, it has recently been postulated that higher moisture levels in the surface atmosphere could prove to be a significant factor driving these changes in Europe (Mohr and Kunz, Atmospheric Research, 2013). As the atmosphere becomes warmer, it can absorb more water vapour, at a rate of approximately +7% per 1°C rise in temperature in a vapour-saturated environment. Vapour-laden air rises in convective processes leading to the formation of thunderstorms, as it has a lower specific weight than the drier ambient air. 40 –0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Such increases in storm intensity, which were observed in isolated regions to the north, south and west of the Alps, are matched by comparable findings in other parts of the world. In the United States, an increase in the year-to-year variability of substantial normalised losses due to severe thunderstorms was observed in the period 1970 to 2009, coinciding with a corresponding increase in the variability of meteorologically quantifiable situations with a tendency to produce severe thunderstorms. In keeping with the holistic approach, the losses were aggregated for the perils hail, tornado, storm gusts and flash floods (Sander et al., Weather, Climate, and Society, 2013). Initial studies have already been undertaken for central Europe with projections of future insured losses due to summer (hail) storms as climate change progresses. For agricultural insurance in the Netherlands, claims due to hail covered under outdoor farming insurance are projected to increase by 25% to 29%, while claims covered under greenhouse horticulture insurance are projected to rise by 116% to 134% given a temperature increase of +1°C. For a rise of +2°C, claims are projected to increase by 49% to 58% or 219% to 269% if portfolios remain unchanged (Botzen et al., Resource and Energy Economics, 2010). NATURAL HAZARDS According to a joint project undertaken by the German Insurance Association (GDV) and climate research institutions, a 15% increase in the annual claims rate of homeowners’ comprehensive insurance due to hail-dominated summer storms has been projected for the period 2011 to 2040 as compared to the reference period 1984 to 2008, and an increase of 47% for the period 2041 to 2070 (Gerstengarbe et al., 2013). A conclusion which is consistent with these results was reached by Sander in a 2010 study based on climate models, according to which severe thunderstorms will become slightly less frequent as climate change progresses, but will be more severe when they are triggered. All the information available today from the various studies indicates that the trend towards more severe hailstorms, which is already being observed in some parts of Europe, will most probably continue as the climate continues to change. For North America, studies based on climate models have already shown that the number of situations leading to severe thunderstorms will increase considerably as climate change continues. One conceivable reason for this accumulation, which has already been demonstrated in a number of projections, is the widespread increase in surface moisture in the northern hemisphere. This is due to the increasing evaporation of warmer sea surface water and the growing capacity of air masses to retain more moisture as a result of the rise in temperature. With regard to future changes in thunderstorm activity due to climate change, the recently published Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change states: “Overall, for all parts of the world studied, the results are suggestive of a trend toward environments favouring more severe thunderstorms, but the small number of analyses precludes any likelihood estimate of this change “(IPCC, Fifth Assessment Report, 2013). Building materials must become stronger In addition to potentially inauspicious changes in exposure, certain structural parts, such as solar power systems or façade elements, are becoming more susceptible to damage; for this reason, the insurance industry supports efforts to improve the strength and resistance of construction materials and building shells. One such initiative in Europe is the “Elementary Safety Register Hailstorm” run by the Swiss Cantons, which establishes the hail resistance of various materials used in building shells. The research centre of the Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety (IBHS) in South Carolina, USA (www.disastersafety.org) is another initiative which carries out experiments studying the resistance of different building shells and materials to wind and hail. Recent claims experience, including that of summer 2013 in Germany, and the findings of climate research indicate that it is vitally important to focus more strongly on a hazard which, driven by adverse changes in exposure, vulnerability and natural hazards, will continue to increase throughout Europe and North America in future. OUR EXPERTS Dr. Eberhard Faust is Executive Expert on natural hazards, climate variability and change in Munich Re’s Geo Risks Research/ Corporate Climate Centre. efaust@munichre.com Peter Miesen is a senior consultant for meteorological risks in the Corporate Underwriting Unit. He is responsible for developing and validating storm models and loss estimation following major storm events. pmiesen@munichre.com Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 41 engineering Critical interfaces Building power plants is a complex business requiring adherence to the highest-possible quality standards. Recent losses have highlighted the potential risks involved when a number of different contractors with varying levels of experience are involved in the planning, implementation and successful testing of a power plant’s myriad of different components. Marc-Tell Feißt and Michael Gibbons Quality assurance is a matter of fundamental importance in major projects, such as the construction of power plants. It is the only way to ensure that absolutely all the components supplied by different subcontractors operate and fit together faultlessly. This applies not only to the main components, but also to auxiliary and back-up systems, including the emergency power supply. Difficult coordination The owners of a power plant can essentially choose between the following options when building a new plant. They can either contract a single OEM (original equipment manufacturer) or a consortium to build a turnkey plant as part of a complete package. In this case, the contracted OEM or leader of the consortium will be responsible for quality assurance. Alternatively, the owner can assume responsibility for procuring the individual power plant components or contract various third-party OEMs to build them. In this case, however, the advantage of purchasing components at lower cost is offset by the major effort involved in coordinating the individual works at the respective interfaces. A high level of experience and a fundamental understanding of how a power plant works is required here. Normally, the construction of major plants is governed by international quality standards. The standards stipulate construction and final acceptance tests for the individual elements making up the project. These tests certify that the components have been designed and installed as specified in the planning documents. Final acceptance testing is performed as soon as the construction work for an individual system has been completed, such as the condensate or feed water supply, drainage system or electrical connection of mechanical components. Provided that the tests do not reveal any defects, the next step in the process is initiated when the system is commissioned. In other words, commissioning is an essential element of quality assurance. It proves that the system complies with the requirements of process engineering. 42 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 Tests reveal weaknesses Once all the individual systems have been tested for proper functioning, the plant as a whole must also pass various tests for its final acceptance. Among other things, this includes emergency shutdown of the main components by simulating error messages, load shedding by switching over to station service (automatic changeover to station service load), simulation of a blackout (failure of the supply system) or restarting the plant following a total outage/blackout. The purpose of such tests is to ensure that all systems are working as intended in the planning and fulfil the safety requirements. In this way, potential weaknesses due to planning errors or defective workmanship can be detected in good time. Recent losses highlight the risks involved However, some recent losses have highlighted the potential risks involved when a number of different contractors with varying levels of experience are involved in a complex power plant project. A combined-cycle power plant experienced two double-digit million dollar losses due to the faulty design of the electrical emergency power supply. The first loss occurred during commissioning when an employee inadvertently loaded an electrical switch. This caused a short-circuit in the AC circuit and subsequently also in the DC circuit which hosted the turbine control system, back-up batteries and emergency oil lubrication pump. Unfortunately, the emergency pump was not hardwired to the battery banks, as per the OEM recommendations, and was also left without power. This resulted in a major loss as the turbine tripped and ran down from 100% load without lubrication, causing the bearings to overheat. This necessitated expensive overhaul-type repairs to the rotor and an extensive period of business interruption. engineering Technologies and infrastructures that must work together properly are distributed across a large area. This makes these types of power plants prone to design and workmanship errors where the experience of contractors or the coordination of the construction process are not up to the required standards. CSP power plant 6 a.m. 9 a.m. 12 noon 3 p.m. 6 p.m. 9 p.m. 12 mid. 3 a.m. 6 a.m. Steam turbine Generator “Hot“ salt tank Cooling tower “Cold” salt tank Solar field Storage system Power block Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 43 engineering Plant disabled by a further power outage As fate would have it, a second loss occurred nearly two years later involving the same turbine and electrical system when a lightning strike to the external main line caused transients to enter the AC circuit. This resulted in conflicting signals in the digital control system (DCS) and the turbine’s control system, leading to another complete loss of AC and DC power. At the time of the second loss, the emergency oil lubrication pump was still dependent on the DC power circuit, resulting in almost identical damage to the turbine’s rotor and a similar period of business interruption. Experts identified several design faults in the control circuits. These included non-compliance with the turbine manufacturer’s requirements, interdependence of the AC and DC circuitry, and dependence of emergency systems on the DCS. The fatal flaw, however, was that the emergency oil lubrication pump was not hardwired directly to the battery banks. Defective design and implementation of fundamental elements of the back-up systems was the major contributing factor in both losses, and highlights the importance of contractor experience and the diligent implementation of applicable quality standards. Questions to ask when assessing the risk for power plant projects What level of experience does the consortium, owner or OEM have (e.g. list of reference projects)? Is there any significant cost pressure due to changes in economic conditions or financial stability of a member of the consortium/main contractor? How are the interfaces between the different subcontractors being managed? What quality standards are being used for execution of the project, including testing and commissioning of the main components? Are significant deviations from the OEM plans and recommendations envisaged? How experienced are the subcontractors responsible for auxiliary and emergency systems? When building power plants, many different and widely dispersed components must function properly as a whole. The know-how and experience of the individual subcontractors is therefore particularly important. Even a minor disturbance in one area can lead to disruptions and major losses in other parts of the power plant. 44 Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 engineering Water hammer damages turbine An operational loss involving a steam turbine, this time in a concentrated solar power plant (CSP), occurred during the overlap period between the construction policy’s extended maintenance coverage and the operational policy. During routine maintenance, technicians discovered that several blades in the low-pressure turbine were bent or twisted with a random distribution. The most likely cause was identified as water hammer following the inadequate drainage of condensate from the turbine. Careful management of condensate drainage is particularly important in CSP plants, as turbines start and shut down relatively frequently. This occurs whenever there is no direct sunlight and the stored heat energy has been exhausted (e.g. during the night). The result is that steam conditions change frequently and the amount of condensate increases in the turbine. In the loss adjustment process, experts agreed that construction and operational factors probably contributed equally to the loss. Operational errors included the lack of processes for manually emptying the drainage pots and the lack of monitoring of steam conditions. Design and erection problems included the lack of nonreturn valves, inadequate slope on drainage lines and the inadvertent switching of drainage lines of various thickness during the erection period. Conclusion The risk of loss largely depends on the contractors’ and subcontractors’ level of experience with power plant technology, and the project’s management ability to coordinate the project in accordance with the applicable quality standards. Even minor faults in back-up or auxiliary systems can lead to major losses in key machinery. When assessing a power plant risk, underwriters should therefore establish whether the contractors have sufficient expertise and know-how to undertake the planning and construction of the project. Effective management of the interfaces with the various subcontractors is another critical point to ensure that the various systems function properly in combination so that the plant as a whole can ultimately operate smoothly and without major losses. It is strongly recommended that the leading insurer/ reinsurer closely monitors the risk throughout the entire project, including permanent review of construction and commissioning programmes, as well as the overall project timetable. A number of factors ultimately caused the loss, with faulty design and problems with the implementation of major auxiliary systems playing key roles. The project also experienced a variety of other small and medium-sized losses due to various factors. These losses were spread across an immense variety of machinery and plant infrastructure due to a combination of design and erection errors, pressure on costs and lack of experience with the relatively new CSP technology. Our Experts As a senior claims lawyer in the Property Claims Management Section for Global Clients/North America, Michael Gibbons is responsible for the management of major engineering, power plant and general industrial claims. mgibbons@munichre.com Marc-Tell Feißt has a degree in engineering from a university of applied sciences and specialises in power plant risks (construction and operation). He is an underwriter in our Global Clients/North America Division at Munich Re in Munich. mfeisst@munichre.com Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 45 COLUMN The consequences of increasingly international loss scenarios Tobias Büttner, Head of Corporate Claims at Munich Re tbuettner@munichre.com Cyber risks are not the only area where today’s technology makes it easier to cause losses with global implications. Modern technology in connection with the greater mobility of ever increasing numbers of people – be it for business or personal reasons – means that familiar losses previously restricted to individuals and specific regions can now assume completely new dimensions. We have frequently drawn attention to the consequences resulting from the growing internationalisation of numerous loss scenarios, particularly with regard to liability insurance. Worldwide trade and tourism, international consumer protection, forum shopping and a globally operating plaintiffs’ bar are just a few of the phenomena driving this development. In 2014, public and media attention was captured by two spectacular international loss events: the disappearance of flight MH370 on its way from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing in March and the downing of flight MH17 over the Ukraine en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur in July. The circumstances surrounding the two cases are quite different. Both, however, underline the tremendous importance of international agreements and global cooperation 46 between nations, insurers and insureds. At the same time, the two loss events also raise a number of important legal issues. In the case of the Malaysia Airlines aircraft which disappeared (MH370), these primarily concern the immense costs incurred for what has so far been the costliest – and as yet unsuccessful – search in aviation history. To what extent are search and rescue operations appropriate in such a case? How should the associated costs be allocated to the nations concerned, the airlines and their various insurers, particularly if the circumstances triggering the loss are never clarified? What’s more, uncertainty as to the cause and location of the accident will also make it more difficult to establish jurisdiction and the applicable law. The downing of the Malaysia Airlines aircraft (MH17) over the Ukraine, on the other hand, clearly shows just how easily regional political conflicts and acts of war can now also harm civilians from far distant regions. In terms of liability law, the main area of uncertainty is the applicability of liability limits and of rules governing the burden of proof in Art. 21 of the 1999 Montreal Convention on airlines’ liability: limits to the airline’s liability depend on the lack of negligence on the airline’s side, which could for instance be based on the choice of route, as well as whether the crash was solely caused by a wrongful act of a third party. Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 When it comes to compensating the victims’ relatives, these two incidents have once again highlighted the farreaching implications that the type of passengers involved can have on the amount of compensation. The age and nationality of the victims are not the only aspects that make a difference. The purpose of the flight is also key, as entire families may be killed if the trip was being undertaken for private reasons, while flights which are primarily used by business travellers mainly involve unaccompanied highincome professionals who not uncommonly leave one or more dependants. © 2014 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Königinstrasse 107 80802 München Germany Tel.: +49 89 38 91-0 Fax: +49 89 39 90 56 www.munichre.com Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft (Munich Reinsurance Company) is a reinsurance company organised under the laws of Germany. In some countries, including in the United States, Munich Reinsurance Company holds the status of an unauthorised reinsurer. Policies are underwritten by Munich Reinsurance Company or its affiliated insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries. Certain coverages are not available in all jurisdictions. Any description in this document is for general information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any product. Responsible for content Claims Management & Consulting: Dr. Tobias Büttner, Prof. Dr. Ina Ebert Natural hazards: Prof. Dr. Peter Höppe Marine: Olaf Köberl Aerospace: Dr. Achim Enzian Claims: Dr. Paolo Bussolera, Dr. Stefan Klein, Arno Studener, Dr. Eberhard Witthoff Picture credits Cover: Thomas Peter/Reuters/Corbis p. 1: Gerhard Blank p. 2: Stringer/Brazil/Reuters/Corbis p. 3 left: picture alliance/blickwinkel/A. 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Editor Corinna Moormann Group Communications (address as above) Tel.: +49 89 38 91-47 29 Fax: +49 89 38 91-7 47 29 schadenspiegel@munichre.com ISSN 0940-8878 >>Read Topics Schadenspiegel where and whenever you want: Register for our free newsletter on our homepage to access the latest issue of Topics Schadenspiegel (English or German). www.munichre.com/en/schadenspiegel You will also find us at: twitter.com/munichre facebook.com/munichre plus.google.com/115897201513788995727 youtube.com/user/munichrevideo linkedin.com/company/munich-re xing.com/companies/munichre Munich Re Topics Schadenspiegel 2/2014 47 © 2014 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Königinstrasse 107, 80802 München, Germany Order number 302-08482 Not if, but how