Reading - Age Boom Academy â Columbia University
Transcription
Reading - Age Boom Academy â Columbia University
13TL1642_Beard Viewpoint LW THELANCET-D-13-01642 S0140-6736(14)61461-6 Embargo: [add date when known] Towards a comprehensive public health response to population ageing John R Beard, David E Bloom Worldwide, populations are rapidly ageing. This demographic shift presents both opportunities and challenges. Most people aspire to live a long and healthy life, and older people (defined as older than 60 years in some studies and older than 65 years in others; appendix) can be valuable economic, social, cultural, and familial resources. However, ageing populations are also associated with a shrinking workforce and higher demand for health care, social care, and social pensions. Evidence suggests that many of the challenges associated with population ageing can be addressed by changes in behaviour and policy,1 especially those that promote good health in older age. However, so far, the debate on how best to achieve these changes has been narrow in scope.2,3 A comprehensive public health approach to population ageing that responds to the needs, capacities, and aspirations of older people and the changing contexts in which they function is needed. Several factors make development of a policy on ageing difficult. First, the changes that constitute and affect ageing are complex.4 These alterations only loosly correspond to chronological age, which changes at a steady rate, whereas the variations in functioning linked with ageing are neither smooth nor well defined.5 As a consequence, great inter-individual functional variability is a hallmark of older populations; thus, policies to meet the needs of older people should consider many different subpopulations. For example, although some older people might wish to continue to participate in social and occupational activities to a similar extent to younger people, less healthy individuals in the same age group might need substantial health and social care and have little capacity for social engagement. Encompassing such diversity in a simple policy framework is difficult. Second, this diversity is not random. Roughly 25% of the heterogeneity in health and function in older age is genetically determined,6 with the remainder dominated by the cumulative effect of health behaviours and inequities across the life course.7 Thus, someone born into a poor family with limited access to education, or in a marginalised cultural group, is likely to have poor health in older age and earlier mortality. Recent findings suggest that there might even be an association between the ability to build financial security in older age and decision making that maintains healthy behaviours.8 Policymakers need to ensure that their interventions do not reinforce these inequities. For example, a common policy response to increasing life expectancy has been to raise the age at which pensions can be accessed. This response is consistent with findings from a US survey9 suggesting that a substantial proportion of www.thelancet.com Vol 384 people want some form of work beyond traditional retirement ages, with a preference for workplace flexibility. However, there are widespread barriers to employment at older ages, including negative attitudes of some employers and restricted access to training in new technologies. If these barriers are not addressed, increasing the pension eligibility age might remove a crucial financial safety net. Delayed access to a pension might be particularly challenging for older individuals of low socioeconomic status who, in addition to being more likely to have substantial health problems, often work in the most physically demanding jobs and have the fewest alternative job opportunities. Ensuring both economic sustainability and health equity will be a formidable challenge in the development of a public health response to population ageing. Major knowledge gaps make overcoming these complex challenges difficult. For example, although life expectancy in older age is increasing in almost all countries, this Series emphasises that the quality of these additional years remains unclear.10 Incredibly, we cannot yet tell decision makers whether people are living longer and healthier lives or are simply experiencing extended periods of morbidity. Several major longitudinal studies now underway will help to fill these knowledge gaps. However, the methods of obtaining and interpreting information about ageing and health also need to be reconsidered if we are to make meaningful progress. For example, this Series reinforces that, regardless of a country’s income level, the major causes of death and disability in older age are non-communicable diseases. Much of this burden can be prevented or delayed, and increasing emphasis is being given to early life strategies of enabling healthy behaviours and controlling metabolic risk factors. However, the risks associated with these characteristics continue into older ages, although this relation might attenuate, and strategies to reduce their effect continue to be effective. Yet, despite clear evidence of the importance of continued risk factor modification into older age, surveillance of health behaviours in older people is imperfect, and data that are available suggest that behaviours that put older people at risk remain widespread.11 A greater emphasis on the neglected areas of health promotion and disease prevention in older age may yield substantial benefits. Furthermore, regardless of how effectively noncommunicable diseases can be prevented or delayed, many older people will inevitably be affected. Improved systems are needed to provide chronic management for, and adequately address the consequences of, these Department of Ageing and Life Course, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland (Hon Prof J R Beard PhD); and Harvard School of Public Health, Harvard University, Cambridge, [A: city correct?] MA, USA (Prof D E Bloom PhD) Correspondence to: Hon Prof John R Beard, Department of Ageing and Life Course, World Health Organization, Geneva 1211, Switzerland beardj@who.int See Online for appendix 1 Viewpoint disorders. One barrier to building these systems is the 1 probably not directly applicable to them. Innovative lingering perception that this chronic disease burden is approaches are needed to bridge this gap, identify the made up of individual diseases that are best managed optimum treatments for individuals with several independently. In reality, older people are more likely to disorders, and minimise adverse drug interactions. Until have multiple, coexistent, and inter-related problems, 5 these methods are developed and adopted, improvement and this multimorbidity is commonly manifested in post-marketing research could provide some guidance. Finally, population ageing is not taking place in isolation. through a loss of function and the broad geriatric syndromes of frailty and impaired cognition, Other broad social changes are transforming society and continence, gait, and balance.12 Functional assessments these are interacting with ageing to affect social and of these syndromes are better predictors of survival 10 intergenerational dynamics. Understanding the interplay than the presence or number of specific diseases,13 so between these trends is crucial if policy makers are to the fact that comprehensive assessment and make the best decisions to promote the health and coordinated care provide the best outcomes in older wellbeing of older people. Foremost among these factors is the changing situation adults should not be surprising.14 Yet, informed geriatric assessment and coordinated care remain the exception 15 of older people in society. However, in many parts of the rather than the norm, and much research fails to world, policy often seems to assume a division of the life course into a series of stages that is based on chronological consider these more holistic perspectives. Additionally, the importance of non-communicable age and social roles—typically student, working age, and diseases in older age should not obscure other health retirement—that have little physiological basis. This rigid issues. Although our understanding of the burden of 20 framework prevents the flexible types of participation communicable disease in older age is poor, these older people are increasingly seeking9 and is exacerbated disorders clearly remain an important cause of morbidity by ageist stereotypes of frailty and mental diminution. and mortality in older populations, particularly in Effective health, social, and economic policy needs to low-income and middle-income countries. However, acknowledge the changing aspirations of older people outdated perceptions of behaviour in older age could 25 rather than reinforce outdated stereotypes. limit both surveillance and response. For example, older Additionally, typical household composition is changing, people, particularly those who are unmarried, might not along with attitudes about the obligations and respon be regarded as sexually active, and are often excluded sibilities that might be expected of different generations. from HIV screening programmes or advice on safe sex Increased spatial mobility and changes in family structure practices. At the same time, individuals with HIV are 30 mean that, in many countries, older people are living longer, increasing the likelihood that a sexually increasingly living alone or as part of a couple, rather than active older person will face exposure to HIV via a in the larger, multigenerational households of the past. potential sexual partner. Older individuals with HIV For example, in some European countries nearly 50% of infection also need specific clinical management.15 For women aged 65 years or older live alone.18 These trends services addressing the prevention and treatment of HIV 35 present challenges, since older people living alone have and other infectious diseases to have maximum effect, less opportunity to share the resources typically available they will need to adapt to changing demography. in a larger household and might also be at increased risk Although vaccination can reduce the burden of infectious of isolation, depression, and suicide. disease across the life course, immune function, Provision of care and support by families to older particularly T-cell activity, declines with age. These changes 40 people with substantial functional decline is becoming mean that the capacity to respond to new infections and more difficult because of changing household structures. vaccinations decreases in later life—a tendency known as This challenge is exacerbated by the increasing proportion immunosenescence. Furthermore, an age-related increase of older people compared with younger family members in serum concentrations of inflammatory cytokines— and by internal and external migration of younger known as inflammaging—has been linked to a broad 45 generations. This change in balance is even evident in range of outcomes including frailty, atherosclerosis, and sub-Saharan Africa, where the HIV epidemic has sarcopenia. Fresh consideration of these trends might removed potential support for nearly 1 million older provide innovative interventions for older age groups in people that would have been normally forthcoming from the future.16 younger generations.19 A more comprehensive understanding of population 50 These changes are stimulating increasing debate on ageing starts with research. However, many established the roles of government and family in providing the mechanisms for development and assessment of clinical social care many older people need. Changing gender interventions have not been adapted to population ageing. norms add a further layer of complexity to this debate. Despite being the most frequent users of many drugs, In most cultures, traditional carer roles are assigned to older people are generally excluded from clinical trials.17 55 women. This role limts their capacity to engage in the Yet, their altered physiological status means that the formal workforce, which [A: sentence changes ok?] evidence we extrapolate from younger populations is places them at greater risk of poverty, abuse, and poor 2 www.thelancet.com Vol 384 Viewpoint health in older age, while reducing their access to 1 To optimise trajectories of functioning, health quality health care, social care services, and pensions. systems could be redesigned to better provide The increasing participation of women in the workforce coordinated and informed geriatric services that enable will help overcome this inequitable burden and will older people, as much as possible, to age in place (eg, at have great benefits for socioeconomic development, but 5 home or in the community). Ideally, these services it will also challenge traditional familial roles and would be seamlessly linked with social and long-term restrict families’ capacity to provide informal care at the care to provide a continuum of care that extends from same time that demand for it is growing. New, the community to, where indicated, institutionalised sustainable models of care that balance the role of care. Core services would include prevention and early family and government, and that overcome gender 10 detection of disease, acute and chronic rehabilitation, provision of assistive devices, and palliative care. The inequities, are urgently needed. Advances in information and communications importance of each of these services would differ technology, assistive devices, medical diagnostics, and between settings, dependent on demographics and interventions offer much promise. For example, the level of socioeconomic development. advent of wearable devices that can continuously monitor 15 Although few low-income and middle-income physical activity may rapidly transform our understanding countries have established such a continuum of care, of functional trajectories and their determinants. However, there is an opportunity for existing health services to be if the benefits of technological advances are to be fully adapted to better meet the unique needs of older realised, designers must also better understand the people.20 These adaptations might include basic geriatric changing needs, capacities, and aspirations of older 20 training for all health staff, or practical steps such as people. A greater focus on how these innovations might reducing queuing time for frail older people. Diagonal meet the specific needs of older people in low-income and approaches—an integration of vertical models that focus middle-income countries is also needed. on a disease and horizontal models that focus on Thus, an effective public health response to population health-care delivery systems—might also be considered ageing must take into account the diversity in the 25 to meet emerging needs (eg, control of hypertension) by health, social, and economic circumstances of older building on existing services (eg, chronic HIV care). people, the disparities in the resources that are available In all settings, greater attention will need to be given to to them, concurrent social trends, changing aspirations, building and supporting an appropriately trained and knowledge gaps. How can such a response be workforce, including both formal and informal carers. achieved? First, health needs to be viewed in a way that 30 Relying on international health worker migration is is relevant to all older people. In view of the likelihood problematic since it can simply shift shortages from of comorbidity and the centrality of geriatric syndromes more to less developed countries. Strategies to retain in older age, a conceptual framework that focuses on older health workers, and perhaps to recruit and train functioning rather than disease would probably be most older people as new health workers, will therefore be relevant. Public health policy for ageing could then be 35 important. For those entering the workforce, a greater designed to maximise levels and trajectories of emphasis on geriatrics in core medical training functioning in older age and the ability of older people curriculums, along with a rethinking of the culture of to do the things that are important to them regardless of many clinical services that treat older people as generic their functional capacity. vessels of single-organ disease, is essential.20,21 This approach has several strengths. Fostering 40 Finally, since functioning is inextricably linked to functional capacity can take place at all stages of older context, a comprehensive public health strategy would age, and before, and is a worthwhile goal even for the need to take into consideration the physical and social frailest or most cognitively impaired people. This environment. In recent years, several interventions have process would also lead to a thorough consideration of been developed to create environments that foster active the contextual factors—including issues of equity—that 45 and healthy ageing. These include the WHO Global are so fundamental to wellbeing in older age, and will Network of Age-Friendly Cities and Communities, probably encourage the development of the more which now has over 200 members responsible for almost coordinated systems of health and social care that best 100 million people.22 Not all the resulting strategies will address the needs of older people. need complex policy measures. For example, older Such coherence is absent from most policy 50 people repeatedly identify simple aspects of the urban approaches, which insufficiently address key aspects environment, such as access to public toilets and seating of heterogeneity among older populations.3 Instead, in public spaces, as crucial to their social engagement. For development of this comprehensive public health policies often emphasise either the need to minimise the economic costs of population ageing—more recently response a rigorous evidence base that can serve to by maximising the labour participation and net 55 counter entrenched stereotypes and identify the most contribution of older people—or the goal of meeting the cost-effective strategies for the future is needed, followed by mechanisms to ensure this evidence is translated into needs of the most vulnerable. www.thelancet.com Vol 384 3 Viewpoint policy and practice. Some obvious knowledge gaps that 1 5 urgently need to be filled include our understanding of the actual and potential contributions and costs of older 6 populations; changing patterns of morbidity in older populations; optimum clinical interventions 5 7 in older age, especially pharmacological interventions; optimum ways to manage comorbidities and complex issues such as frailty; quality of the additional years 8 engendered by increased life expectancy; and effect of strategies to create more age-friendly environments. A 10 9 good start would be to extend the collection and analysis of routine data to older ages and both institutional and 10 home settings. Identification of the best way to obtain relevant data on functioning will also help. 11 This Series is a useful step towards filling many of 15 these gaps. Recent work started by WHO will also help; the World Health Assembly has agreed to prioritise work 12 on ageing and to develop a World Report on Ageing and Health, followed by a Global Strategy and Action Plan. 13 Such progress will build on existing initiatives, such as 20 projects on knowledge translation in Ghana and China, to help establish evidence-based policy on ageing and 14 health. World demographics are changing: our thinking and research, and their manifestations in policy, have to change with it. 25 15 Contributors JRB and DEB contributed to the design, content, and writing of this Viewpoint. 16 Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests. 30 17 Acknowledgments We thank many colleagues who reviewed the paper in part or in whole for their advice, particularly Jeffrey Adams, Des O’Neill, Jean-Pierre Michel, Larry Rosenberg, Aki Kuroda, and Laura Wallace. The views expressed in 18 this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views or policies of WHO or any other organisation with which the 35 authors are affiliated or from which they derive financial support. DEB’s work on this Series was supported by grant P30AG024409 from the National Institute on Aging to the Harvard School of Public Health. References 19 1 Bloom DE, Canning D, Finlay J. Population aging and economic growth in Asia. In: Ito T, Rose A, eds. The economic consequences 40 of demographic change in east Asia. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2010: 61–89. 20 2 Lloyd-Sherlock P, McKee M, Ebrahim S, et al. Population ageing and health. Lancet 2007; 379: 1295–96. 21 3 Stephens C, Breheny M, Mansvelt J. Healthy ageing from the perspective of older people: a capability approach to resilience. 22 Psychol Health 2014; published online April 29. DOI:10.1080/088704 45 46.2014.904862. 4 Kirkwood TB. A systematic look at an old problem. 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