Metro Las Vegas Overview - Southwest Multifamily Team
Transcription
Metro Las Vegas Overview - Southwest Multifamily Team
Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 CUNNINGHAM │STEELE Table of C o n t e n t s Co n ta c t I nforma tion I. Multifamily Market������������������������������������������������������������������������������1 John P. Cunningham Executive Vice President +1 602 282 6314 john.cunningham@am.jll.com Charles Steele Vice President +1 602 282 6310 charles.steele@am.jll.com Matt Kolano Analyst +1 602 282 6264 matt.kolano@am.jll.com Annie Novotny Marketing Coordinator +1 602 282 6295 annie.novotny@am.jll.com II. Economic Overview���������������������������������������������������������������������������8 III. Hospitality & Tourism Update����������������������������������������������������������16 IV. The JLL Team����������������������������������������������������������������������������������21 Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 I. Multifamily Market Metro Las Vegas Overview Page 1 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 I. M ultifa m i l y Ma r k e t Multifamily Las Vegas Submarket Snapshot LV / Sunrise Manor Grade North Inventory (growth): 23,279 (34) Units Las Vegas Grade Northwest Inventory (growth): 7,428 (111) Units A+ Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: A- $946 (8.2%) 4.6% Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: $766 (5.8%) 5.9% / Central LV Grade Downtown Inventory (growth): 26,565 (0) Units / Spring Valley Grade Summerlin Inventory (growth): 30,313 (1,395) Units A+ Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: $898 (8.1%) 4.1% A- Vegas Strip Grade Las Inventory (growth): A Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: 23,699 (0) Units $731 (5.3%) 4.6% Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: $721 (5.0%) 5.5% Valley East Grade Paradise Inventory (growth): 3,963 (0) Units A Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: $804 (6.5%) 3.1% Grade Henderson Inventory (growth): / South Paradise Grade Enterprise Inventory (growth): 12,321 (28) Units A Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: Source: CoStar Analytics - Q4 2015 Page 2 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 $1,061 (5.4%) 3.2% A- Rents & Yr Growth: Vacancy: 22,214 (373) Units $931 (6.9%) 4.9% I. M ultifa m i l y Ma r k e t The most recent recession is finally fading into the distance, as Las Vegas and its economy forge ahead. Economic uncertainty that plagued the Metro through its recovery is being outshined by new and significant reasons for optimism. Strong employment gains and accelerating population growth are providing a strong foundation for expansion across the Metro and both show no signs of slowing down. New jobs and new bodies have translated into robust demand for apartments in the last several quarters, driving vacancy to record lows. All of this new demand has been funneling into existing projects as developers have remained relatively silent this cycle, allowing current landlords to push pricing rather aggressively. Most recently, however, Las Vegas has begun to attract a handful of developers who cannot seem to resist the Metro’s impressive economic and demographic indicators. In addition to the slow return of developers to Las Vegas, investors are starting to flock back to seize on opportunities you cannot find anywhere else. Investors are being driven out of coastal and primary markets by record low cap rates and are beginning to look elsewhere for value. Las Vegas apartment sales volume and pricing is quickly approaching prerecession peaks. Occupancy Beginning in 2012, demand for apartments returned to Las Vegas with a renewed vigor thanks to a number of factors that helped push households into rental units. Suffering from one of the highest foreclosure rates in the nation, many Las Vegas residents were left with little choice following the recession. Fortunately, steady job growth reemerged in 2011 and has successfully outpaced the national rate every year since. With the wave of new jobs, median household income broke free of its stagnancy and has started to grow consistently. As people recover from the recession, apartments and rental homes remain the most affordable options. Although many residents have entered the renter pool by default, a significant portion of renters are choosing to avoid homeownership. With a growing millennial population that prefers the convenience and flexibility of renting, the homeownership rate in Las Vegas has plummeted. Preceding the recession, 64.8 percent of households owned their homes at peak in Q4 2006. Nine years and a recession later, the homeownership rate fell to 55.2 percent as of Q4 2015. This sharp decline has resulted in over 70,000 households being added to the Las Vegas renter pool. Preferences towards renting will continue to fuel apartment demand and translate to tighter occupancy across the Metro. Vacancy 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 5.9% 5.5% 6.5% 10.0% 10.4% 11.5% 9.2% 8.7% 8.1% 7.5% 5.9% 4.8% 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% Source: CoStar Analytics – Q4 2015 14% Forecast 12% Vacancy 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Page 3 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 I . M ultifa m i l y Ma r k e t Supply & Demand A potential source of concern for landlords is sharing apartment demand with single-family rentals. At the beginning of the recovery, institutional investors entered the Las Vegas single-family home market to purchase entire communities and convert them into rentals. The demographic between a typical home renter and that of a market-rate apartment renter usually differs, but the large inventory of single-family rental stock provides increased competition for apartment demand. The Las Vegas apartment inventory remained relatively unchanged in the years following the recession with approximately 151,089 total units. Developers returned to the Metro beginning in 2014 and have become increasingly more active. High performing submarkets supported by strong demographics, such as Henderson and Summerlin/Spring Valley, accounted for the majority of new projects. These new projects come fully equipped with large floorplans, premium amenities, and modern features attractive to a higher-income demographic. The demand for new or renovated product has been insatiable as these projects exceed occupancy and rent growth expectations by large margins. Incremental increases in vacancy could follow in the short term amid the more active development pipeline and favorable rent growth, but should not be a cause for concern as they will remain below prerecession levels. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Completions 3,112 1,287 1,143 5,236 3,971 3,915 1,552 404 546 460 1,359 1,864 1,579 1,438 2,833 2,946 2,535 % of Growth 2.5% 1.0% 0.9% 4.0% 2.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% Source: CoStar Analytics – Q4 2015 6,000 Completions Forecast % Growth 5.0% 4.0% 4,000 3.0% 3,000 2.0% 2,000 1.0% 1,000 0 2004 2005 Page 4 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0.0% % Growth Completions 5,000 I. M ultifa m i l y Ma r k e t Rents In 2015, Las Vegas recorded its largest increase in rents in almost a decade. The Metro was plagued with negative rent growth through 2012 before finally bouncing back. Robust demand has outpaced any limited new supply to the market resulting in aggressive pricing. Landlords have been able to successfully push rents without any significant increases to the value of concessions offered to renters. Positive movement in asking rents was recorded in all eight of the Metro’s submarkets. Rent growth is expected to sustain its positive growth through 2020, despite slowing in the latter of years of the forecast. As new supply and competition enter the market, landlords will be less inclined to raise rents as aggressively as they did in recent quarters, although increasing demand will continue to support positive growth. 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Asking Rents $747 $800 $839 $858 $850 $772 $760 $755 $761 $780 $803 $857 $896 $926 $953 $970 $980 YOY Rent Growth 5.8% 7.1% 4.9% 2.2% -0.9% -9.2% -1.6% -0.7% 0.9% 2.5% 2.9% 6.6% 4.6% 3.4% 2.9% 1.8% 1.0% Source: CoStar Analytics – Q4 2015 $1,100 Asking Rents $1,050 Forecast % Growth 10.0% 7.5% $1,000 5.0% $900 2.5% $850 0.0% $800 -2.5% $750 -5.0% $700 -7.5% $650 $600 % Growth Asking Rents $950 2004 2005 Page 5 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 -10.0% I. M ultifa m i l y Ma r k e t Sales Las Vegas is seeing increased interest from national investors as aggressive pricing pushes buyers out of coastal markets. Investors chasing value are looking to Las Vegas, a lagging market that has yet to reach its peak with plenty of growth ahead. Although sales volume and pricing has not yet reached the levels seen before the recession, investors have been active in Las Vegas exceeding $1 billion in each of the last three years. Class A properties are benefiting the most from institutional interest because these properties offer modern amenities with higher than average rents and room for additional growth. Pricing for these assets has risen substantially since the recession as new buyers continue to enter the market. Many of the recent trades, including even the highest volume trades, still often involved value-add plans. New owners are upgrading unit interiors and expanding amenities to continue to push rents and attract renters. Class A Volume (millions) Class A Median Price / Unit Overall Cap Rates 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 $614 $1,143 $501 $375 $128 $28 $89 $182 $236 $781 $613 $451 $61,251 $108,092 $105,826 $107,864 $103,057 $59,149 $104,318 $78,503 $62,086 $86,658 $105,593 $84,459 6.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.8% 6.2% 5.7% 5.5% 5.2% Source: CoStar Analytics – Q4 2015 $125,000 Class A Median Price / Unit $115,000 10.0% Overall Cap Rates 7.5% $95,000 $85,000 5.0% $75,000 $65,000 $55,000 2.5% $45,000 $35,000 $25,000 2004 2005 Page 6 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 0.0% Cap Rates Median Price / Unit $105,000 I. M ultifa m i l y Ma r k e t Outlook Las Vegas is back as the Leisure & Hospitality and Construction sectors pave the way forward. Both industries have been adding significant jobs stemming from ongoing development of hotel and gaming resort projects. Population growth is following shortly behind with growth returning to 3.0 percent through 2019. Positive economic indicators leave little room for doubt, and developers, investors, and owners will benefit from the positive trends. Almost 1,600 new units are expected to deliver in 2016, growing the Las Vegas multifamily inventory by approximately 1.0 percent. New household formations across the Metro over the same year are expected to average 3.1 percent, as positive population and job trends stimulate the growth. Apartment demand is expected to keep pace with new construction in the short term resulting in minimal, if not incremental changes to vacancy. Rental rates will continue to climb as demand for new and modern apartments remains strong. 1,917 Rent Growth $890 Cap Rates 1,579 Rents 4.5% Absorption Completions Vacancy Metro Las Vegas 2016 Projections 4.6% 5.0% Arrows represent change from prior year *CoStar Analytics includes competitive, traditional, rental apartment properties in complexes with 20 or more units in Nevada. Specialty property types such as condominium, student, senior, subsidized, and affordable properties are excluded from CoStar rental apartment statistics. Economic and demographics statistics are sources from Moody’s Economy.com and used to support estimated CoStar projections. Page 7 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 II. Economic Overview Metro Las Vegas Overview Page 8 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 II. Econo m i c Ov e r v i e w Lower cost of living, a friendly business environment, and its strategic location between some of the Nation’s largest metros sets the stage for continued growth in Las Vegas The Las Vegas economy continues to outpace the west region and the country as a whole. The Metro’s unparalleled gaming and entertainment infrastructure is one of its primary economic drivers, which feeds additional sectors such as construction, retail, and restaurants. Tourism is gaining traction from rising incomes and low fuel costs and will result in faster industry growth in 2016. Based on statistics from the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority (LVCVA), the Metro is seeing record growth. Metro Las Vegas attracted 42.3 million visitors in 2015, the highest total visitation ever. Additionally, Las Vegas remains the third leading destination in the U.S. for conventions and meetings, drawing nearly 5.89 million convention delegates in 2015, spread over 21,306 conventions, the largest number hosted since 2008. People are gaining discretionary income and are beginning to travel and take vacations as they did before, driving the Las Vegas economy forward. Las Vegas is witnessing demographic and behavioral shifts in the age, nationalities and spending habits of visitors. While gaming activity has declined over the past decade, visitors are spending more on non-gaming activities. As a result, investors are making significant investments in retail and entertainment, both on and off the Strip. There will be a total of 7,671 new and converted hotel and timeshare rooms totaling nearly $5.9 billion added to the inventory through 2018. Las Vegas will develop $2.9 billion in entertainment and retail projects through 2018. The new developments are expected to help boost hotel values where many of these new facilities will be anchored. Page 9 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 II. Econo m i c Ov e r v i e w Las Vegas Market Drivers #5 Best Tax Structure Nationally 2015 National Golden Shovel Award Among the Nation’s Leaders in Startup Activity The low-tax climate in Southern Nevada is one of the most-cited reasons to do business in Nevada. Their tax structure clearly distinguishes Nevada as providing a business environment very few states can match. Area Development’s annual Gold Shovel Award recognizes states for their overall economic development effectiveness. Nevada has proven that it understands what makes for a winning economic development strategy. They have determinedly held the line on taxes and have relentlessly pursued other paths to businessfriendliness, including providing reasonable incentives, improving infrastructure, training workforces, and establishing an overall environment of cooperation with business that helps create vibrant new economic presence in communities and sustainable employment today and for the future. The Kauffman Index is an annual look at startup activity across US cities and states by the entrepreneurship-focused Kauffman Foundation. Las Vegas jumped up 3 ranks 2015, to the be among the top 11 markets in the nation for startup activity. Due to such a competitive operating environment, companies doing business in Nevada can save millions of dollars by having a long-term presence in Nevada. Source: Tax Foundation Page 10 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 Source: Area Development Rate of new entrepreneurs: 380 Opportunity share of entrepreneurs: 72.7% Startup density: 158.3 Source: Tech.co; 2015 Kauffman Index II. Econo m i c Ov e r v i e w Las Vegas Population Population growth in the region is driven by trends, such as the shifting of the nation’s population center further to the west, and opportunities for jobs in industries like healthcare, logistics, and technology, as well as a booming tourism industry. Projections show the region is expected to grow three percent annually over the next four years, reaching 2.3 million people. The projected population growth rate of 10.2% through 2019 ranks Las Vegas as the 3rd fastest growing market among all metros in the U.S. according to Moody’s Analytics. One of the market’s strong suits is that Las Vegas has a strong concentration of residents in the 20 to 34 year old demographic, the group most likely to rent apartments. This group is set to increase by nearly 16% over the next five years, which is substantially higher than any other western U.S. market. PROJECTED POPULATION GROWTH BY METRO FOR 2015 - 2019 Projected to be the 4.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.2% 5.7% 5.8% 4% 6.1% 6.9% 7.3% 7.3% 6% 7.5% 8.4% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 8.6% Job Growth 8% 10.3% 10% 11.4% 12% Source: Moody’s Analytics Projected Population Growth by Metro for 2015 - 2019 Source: Page Moody’s 11Analytics | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 Indianapolis, IN San Diego, CA Riverside, CA Tampa, FL Denver, CO Miami, FL Jacksonville, FL Houston, TX Fort Lauderdale, FL San Antonio, TX Atlanta, GA Dallas, TX Fort Worth, TX Phoenix, AZ Charlotte, NC Las Vegas, NV Austin, TX 0% Orlando, FL 2% 3 rd fastest growing major MSA from 2015 through 2019 I I. Econo m i c Ov e r v i e w Las Vegas Employment PROJECTED EMPLOYMENT GROWTH BY METRO FOR 2015 -2019 2.2% South Carolina 2.1% 2.2% Idaho 2.4% Oregon 2.3% 2.4% 2% Georgia 2.5% 2.9% 2.7% Job Growth 3% 3.1% 4% Source: Moody’s Analytics Annual Projected Employment Growth by State through 2019 Source: Forbes Business; Moody’s Analytics Page 12 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 California Washington Utah Florida Nevada 0% Arizona 1% Projected to be the 2nd fastest growing state for employment from 2015 through 2019 I I. Econo m i c Ov e r v i e w Las Vegas Employment In addition to hospitality and leisure, secondary drivers, which have comprised a bigger share of recent job additions, will also gain potency. Construction employment is quickly rising thanks to an escalation of infrastructure and industrial development. Though it accounts for only 6 percent of employment, the industry is responsible for one-quarter of jobs created over the last year. The majority of other new positions are in business/professional services, which are expanding faster than in the rest of the state and the nation. Southern Nevada’s healthcare footprint is also growing rapidly. New hospital developments and expansions are taking place to meet growing demand. Robust population growth, especially among those age 65 and older, will preserve above-average job gains. Las Vegas’s economy will soon kick into a higher gear, and job growth in 2016 is forecast to again exceed that of the West and the nation. An influx of new residents and visitors will support housing and consumer industries, and investment and hiring outside of the travel industry will help improve industrial diversity. Longer term, unmatched tourism assets and appeal as a place to live will help Las Vegas keeps its lead over the U.S. INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT STRATIFICATION Other Services Construction 3% 6% Manufacturing 2% Financial Activities 5% Information 1% Mining/Logging <0% JOB GROWTH/LOSS BY SECTOR Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 18% Total 18,086 Education and Health Services 5,679 Construction 5,409 Leisure and Hospitality 3,650 Government 3,147 Professional and Business Services Professional and Business Services 13% Leisure and Hospitality 31% 2,843 Other Services 803 Information 504 Manufacturing 193 Mining and Logging Education and Health Services 10% Government 11% Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics December 2015; Data released February 1, 2016 USBLS Dec 2015 –released Feb 2016 Page 13 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 0 Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Financial Activities -850 -3,292 -5000 -3000 -1000 1000 3000 Number of Jobs 5000 7000 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics December 2015; Data released February 1, 2016 II. Econo m i c Ov e r v i e w Las Vegas Employment 6.2% 2.0% Las Vegas Unemployment Rate LV 12-month Job Growth 6.4% 4.8% Nevada Unemployment Rate U.S. Unemployment Rate Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics December 2015; Data released February 1, 2016 MAJOR EMPLOYERS Las Vegas MSA Major Employers Employees MGM Resorts International Clark County School District Caesars Entertainment Corp. Nellis Air Force Base Wynn Resorts Station Casions, LLC Las Vegas Sands Corp. Clark County Government Boyd Gaming Corp. Walmart Stores University of Nevada, Las Vegas The Valley Health System Blackstone Group Supervalu University Medical Center Dignity Health Southwest Airlines City of Las Vegas Sears Holdings Corp. Target Corp. UnitedHealthcare 56,000 37,000 26,600 14,000 11,000 10,000 8,800 8,500 7,300 6,400 5,000 4,500 4,100 4,000 3,500 3,000 3,000 3,000 2,800 2,600 2,000 Source: LV Global Economic Alliance & JLL Research Page 14 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 II. Econo m i c Ov e r v i e w Las Vegas Homeownership Rate Paradigm Shift in U.S. Homeownership Homeownership Rate Peak (Q4 2004) - 69.2% Homeownership Rate Today (Q4 2015) - 63.8% Paradigm Shift in Metro Las Vegas Homeownership Homeownership Rate Peak (Q4 2006) - 64.8% Homeownership Rate Today (Q4 2015) - 55.2% Source: U.S. Census, Moody’s Business Analytics With approximately 754,730 households in the Las Vegas MSA, that accounts for a decrease of over 70,000 homeowners, most of who have migrated to the rental market. Page 15 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 III. Hospitality & Tourism Update Metro Las Vegas Overview Page 16 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 III. Hospitality & Tourism Update Las Vegas Visitor Profile VISITOR VOLUME VISITORS & GAMING 41,126,512 39,668,221 39,727,022 38,928,708 37,335,436 36,351,469 39,196,761 38,914,889 37,481,552 35,540,126 35,071,504 35,017,317 71% 2.9 hrs $530 of visitors gambled avg spent/day gambling avg gambling budget/trip 85% in 2000 4.0 hrs in 2000 $665 in 2000 - vs - - vs - - vs - Source: LV Convention and Visitor Authority 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 VISITORS’ BUDGETS 2001 30,000,000 2000 32,000,000 35,849,691 36,000,000 37,388,781 38,000,000 38,566,717 40,000,000 42,312,216 visitors in 2015 - 42,000,000 34,000,000 visitors gambled less in 2014 42.3 MILLION the highest visitation ever 44,000,000 Average trip budget is increasingly focused on non-gaming activities 2014 trip budget: $1,369 VISITOR DEMOGRAPHICS Compared to 2000 Shopping Average age 45.2 Under age 40 26% Under age 40 44% International 13% International 19% Source: LV Convention and Visitor Authority Page 17 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 Gaming 39% Nongaming 61% Gaming +60% 50.4 2014 +51% Average age shift -20% 2000 Food & Drinks III. Hospitality & Tourism Update Las Vegas Lodging Performance Market fundamentals Both ADR & occupancy are driving RevPar growth Las Vegas lodging performance 5% RevPAR CAGR in Las Vegas since 2009 Both aDR & occupancy increases are driving RevpaR growth YTD Mar 2014 RevPAR is up $140$140 8% 90% 90% $120$120 80% 80% $100$100 70% 70% 60% 60% $80 $80 40% 40% 30% 30% $40 $40 20% 20% Occ 2014 2013 2012 2013 2011 2012 2010 2011 2009 RevPAR 2010 2008 2009 2007 ADR 2008 2006 2007 2005 2006 2004 2005 2003 2004 2002 2003 2001 2002 2001 $0 $0 10% 10% 0% 0% YTD Mar 2013 2015 YTD Mar 2014 RevPar CAGR in Las Vegas since 2009 as 2015 RevPAR was still 12% below previous peak in 2007 50% 50% $60 $60 $20 $20 4.3% 100%100% Las Vegas ranks among UPSIDE top 3 highest POTENTIAL occupancy markets in the U.S. in the market upside potential in the market Las Vegas as 2013 RevPAR among wasranks still 22% below TOP 3 HIGHEST previous peak in 2007 occupancy markets in the U.S. Source: Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority (LVCVA) Visitor profile Las Vegas visitor volume Source: LV Convention and Visitor Authority in 2013 surpassed previous peak volume in 2007 39.7 MiLLioN visitors Page 18 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 41 40 Las Vegas visitors gambled less in 2013 71% of visitors 2.9 hrs avg spent/day $530 avg gambling III. Hospitality & Tourism Update Las Vegas Convention Market 5.89 million delegates attended 21,306 meetings held in 2015 Meeting, exhibit and trade show space totaling 10.9 million square feet #3 convention destination in U.S. Convention attendance increased 13% in 2015 Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority has planned the $2.3 billion, 600,000-square-foot Las Vegas Global Business District addition to the Las Vegas Convention Center. The project will create 6,000 construction jobs throughout the multi-phased development and 6,000 new permanent jobs once completed. Source: LV Convention and Visitor Authority Page 19 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 III. Hospitality & Tourism Update Las Vegas Hotel Pipeline Recent Hotels Marriott Grand Chateau (III)* Wyndham Desert Blue* The LINQ Hotel & Casino (II) Estimated Totals Future Hotels Residence Inn South #2 Silverton Hotel and Casino Lodge* Lucky Dragon Hotel & Casino All Net Resort & Arena SpringHill Suites Marriott Lorenzo Doumani Parcel Resorts Worlds Las Vegas (I) Alon Las Vegas Crown Resort Mardi Gras Hotel & Casino Estimated Totals New Supply Pipeline* Location Rooms Cost($M) Completion Date 1,805 Rooms $172 Cost($M) Completion Date Strip West Strip 120 281 1,404 Location South South Strip Strip South Strip Strip Strip Strip NA $172 NA 124 390 206 500 160 NA 3,000 1,100 386 NA NA $373 $1,400 NA NA $4,000 NA NA 5,866 $5,773 Q1 2015 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 7,671 new and converted hotel and timeshare rooms totaling nearly $5.9 billion through 2018 *Timeshare Source: units LV Convention and Visitor Authority Las Vegas Retail & Entertainment Development Outlook $2.9 Billion IN ENTERTAINMENT AND RETAIL DEVELOPMENTS THROUGH 2016 Page 20 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 = $1.5 Billion ON THE STRIP $15 $20 $20 $30 $38 $50 $50 $55 $100 $375 $733 Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million 26 hotels + TI Hotel & Casino Retail & Entertainment Venue Rock in Rio - MGM Festival Grounds Shops at Tropicana Las Vegas SpeedVegas Caesars Palace Omnia Nightclub The Grand Bazaar Shops at Bally's Topgolf Las Vegas The Park - Toshiba Plaza and Beer Garden Monte Carlo Resort & Casino Theater Hall MGM Resorts International Arena (AEG) Additional destination amenities $1.4 Billion OFF THE STRIP N/A N/A $1,000 Million $26 Million $63 Million $47 Million N/A $23 Million $229 Million Trivoli Village (Phase 2) Las Vegas Premium Outlets- North World Market Center Galleria at Sunset (Phase II) Henderson Space & Science Center Thomas & Mack Center Renovation IKEA Store Boulevard Mall Renovation Additional destination amenities IV. The JLL Team Metro Las Vegas Overview Page 21 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 IV. The JLL Team MULTIFAMILY INVESTMENT SALES Arizona JOINT VENTURE EQUITY PROCUREMENT Nevada New Mexico Our Team Our Experience Our Results Established group, profoundly different than any other team in the market Over 35 years of experience as principals and brokers Over 16,000 units totaling +$1.7 billion Page 22 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 95 157 SILVERSTONE SPRING MOUNTAIN RANCH KYLE CANYON GATEWAY IRON MOUNTAIN RANCH Southwest Multifamily Team Metro Las Vegas Transaction Experience IV. The JLL Team GRAND TETON DR HAULAPAI WAY PARK HIGHLANDS FARM RD ALIANTE 574 W LAKE MEAD BLVD D RIA UST ES “TH IND TRI LR RR PA CI FIC P” KE LA S LA AS PKWY VEG VD BL Y HW O RD PABC VAN WA BURK HOLD GEN EN FOOTHILLS DR SEVEN HILLS MISSION DR **Part of portfolio transaction COLLEGE DR PK GREENWAY RD PARADISE HILLS DR 1. Oasis Sierra 208 Units / $14.2 M EQUESTRIAN DR CCSN HENDERSON CAMPUS APPALOOSA RD 515 MACDONALD HIGHLANDS VD BLACK MOUNTAIN MACDONALD RANCH WEST CANYON 2. Desert Shores 424 Units / $28 M ER BL ST MAGIC WAY P Y DOMINICAN HOSPITAL PACIFIC AVE 12 ST. ROSE 3. Green Valley 360 Units / $46.3 M T RS TE WA DEL WEBB SUN CITY SUNRIDGE 4. Desert Lakes** 184 Units / $26 M RACETRACK RD 95 DRAGON RIDGE DOMINICAN HOSPITAL SIENA CAMPUS Y W D PK LAKE MEA CENTER ST 582 GIBSON RD PASEO VERDE PKWY HENDERSON SOUTHFORK TUSCANY EASTGATE RD 515 AMERICAN PACIFIC DR 215 WY HENDERSON EXECUTIVE AIRPORT STEPHANIE ST SE RO HOLLYWOOD BLVD R DE UL ST VD MARYLAND PKWY BERMUDA RD JONES BLVD DECATUR BLVD R IC R BUFFALO DR FORT APACHE RD SILVERADO RANCH 146 R 5. Flamingo West** 324 Units / $45.9 M THE FALLS 564 LEGACY ST. ROSE 604 T 93 BL UPR E VERDE DR VALL GREEN VALLEY PKWY GREEN VALLEY 607 SILVERADO RANCH BLVD CACTUS AVE EN SUNSET RD ARROYO GRANDE PECOS RD WINDMILL LN PEBBLE RD SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS DB 6. Talavera** 350 Units / $52.8 M REFLECTION BAY WHITNEY RANCH WILDHORSE S EASTERN AVE UN ION PAC IF S RAINBOW BLVD BLUE DIAMOND RD OA BO 3 SUNSET PARK SOUTH LAS VEGAS BLVD CORONADO RANCH HOLLYWOOD BLVD BR MC CARRAN INT’L AIRPORT TOWN SQUARE WINDMILL LN WIGWAM AVE MOUNTAIN’S EDGE 11 E TROPICANA AVE 7. Reserve at Arrow Canyon 426 Units / $37 M 147 LAKE LAS VEGAS EAST LAS VEGAS 582 WARM SPRINGS RD NEVADA TRAILS CACTUS AVE 8 SUNSET RD ST. ROSE SAN MARTIN HOSPITAL MOUNTAINS EDGE PKWY STALLION MOUNTAIN 95 SANDHILL RD BUFFALO DR DURANGO DR SOUTHERN HILLS HOSPITAL 595 ROYAL LINKS RUSSELL RD BALI HAI SUNSET RD GOMER RD MARYLAND PKWY RUSSELL RD 15 215 160 LAMB BLVD T DISE RD FORT APACHE RD HACIENDA AVE SPRING VALLEY HOSPITAL DESERT SPRINGS HOSPITAL UNLV RAILROAD PASS RIO SECCO ANTHEM REVERE DEL WEBB’S (note sale) 8. Solis at Flamingo 524 Units / $35.3 M VEGAS VALLEY DR 612 DESERT INN RD E FLAMINGO RD PARA 593 SPANISH TRAIL RHODES RANCH E SAHARA AVE BOULEVARD MALL WYNN DECATUR BLVD W TROPICANA AVE WARM SPRINGS RD LAS VEGAS CC 604 502 SPRING VALLEY SUNRISE COLONY TS VALLEY VIEW RD JONES BLVD SPRING MTN RD 10 DESERT ROSE ON ST LOUIS AVE 589 S RAINBOW BLVD HUALAPAI WAY SIENA 595 BUFFALO DR 4 5 RD W FLAMINGO DESERT INN RD PECOS RD DRIVE THE LAKES BEAR’S BEST 607 W SAHARA AVE 9. Sedona Lone Mountain 321 Units / $11.1 M E CHARLESTON BLVD M 6 TER 215 10. Sunset Cove 392 Units / $21.7 M STEWART AVE UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER 159 AVE BONANZA RD DESERT PINES EE TOWN CEN RED ROCK 1 CCSN CHARLESTON CAMPUS CAMPUS CANYON GATE 11. Solis at Flamingo 524 Units / $50.5 M 147 D BLV E LAKE MEAD WASHINGTON FR FOOTHILLS DR W CHARLESTON BLVD PECCOLE RANCH BRUCE ST ERT DES BADLANDS SUNRISE VISTA OWENS AVE 515 93 ALTA DR W LAKE MEAD BLVD N EASTERN AVE R 95 WESTCLIFF DRIVE ANGEL PARK LAS VEGAS LAS VEGAS MUNICIPAL WASHINGTON DR SUMMERLIN PKWY 12. Vantage Lofts & Flats 110 Units / $39M NORTH LAS VEGAS 147 HD NC RA TPC AT CANYONS A NL NELLIS AFB D LV SB GA E SV E CHEYENNE AVENUE 15 CAREY AVE VEGAS DR SUMMERLIN CHEYENNE CAMPUS CAMPUS BELMONT ST 95 147 TPC AT SUMMERLIN CCSN NORTH LAS VEGAS AIRPORT SMOKE RANCH RD EAGLE CREST CRAIG RD 93 NELLIS BLVD DESERT SHORES PALM VALLEY 9 NELLIS AFB 15 573 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR BLVD N RAINBOW BLVD BUFFALO DR CHEYENE AVE 2 SUN CITY LAS VEGAS HIGHLAND FALLS 599 7 D CRAIG RD SHADOW CREEK SE ER RANCHO ALTA MIRA N 5TH ST RANCHO DEL NORTE LONE MOUNTAIN RD ALEXANDER RD ANN RD WASHBURN RD 12 transactions totaling 4,146 units $407.8 Million IO N LOS PRADOS LAMB BLVD DURANGO DR PAINTED DESERT EL DORADO 15 LAS VEGAS MOTOR SPEEDWAY 604 CENTENNIAL PKWY PECOS RD SIMMONS ST DECATUR BLVD ANN RD 93 LOSSEE RD CAMINO AL NORTE JONES BLVD TENAYA WAY 215 DURANGO HILLS 215 UN ELKHORN RD ELKHORN SPRINGS 95 DEER SPRINGS WAY LO PROVIDENCE 93 IV. The JLL Team John Cunningham Executive Vice President +1 602 282 6314 john.cunningham@am.jll.com RESPONSIBILITIES Mr. Cunningham is an Executive Vice President in JLL’s Capital Markets Group. Based in Phoenix, Arizona, Mr. Cunningham focuses on multifamily investment sales throughout the Southwest and oversees a broad range of investment sales and equity procurement for multifamily developers. EXPERIENCE Mr. Cunningham has over 25 years of real estate experience with an emphasis in multifamily acquisitions, and development. Prior to joining JLL, Mr. Cunningham was the Managing Partner of Acquisitions with Alliance Residential Company. During his tenure with Alliance, Mr. Cunningham structured an institutional investment platform and acquired over $1 billion in multifamily assets throughout the United States through single asset and portfolio acquisitions. The business model included core asset acquisitions as well as asset reposition opportunities with variable hold periods. The reposition program varied from $2,000 to $10,000 per unit in capital improvements, totaling over $100 million under management. Prior to Alliance, Mr. Cunningham held the position of Investment Officer for Camden Property Trust, where he was responsible for real estate transactions of multifamily assets in the western United States. In addition, he was responsible for strategic management of Camden’s western United States office and retail holdings. Prior to his work at Camden, he was also in charge of acquisitions for the southwestern United States for United Dominion Realty Trust, where he was responsible for over $100 million in acquisitions and development of multifamily properties. EDUCATION AND AFFILIATIONS Mr. Cunningham is a licensed Real Estate Broker in Arizona and a licensed salesperson in Nevada. He received his bachelor’s degree from the University of Arizona. Page 24 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 IV. The JLL Team Charles Steele Vice President +1 602 282 6310 charles.steele@am.jll.com RESPONSIBILITIES Charles Steele is a Vice President for JLL’s Capital Markets Group based in Phoenix focusing on multifamily investment sales and equity procurement for multifamily developers throughout the Southwestern United States. He is currently engaged in transactions in Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico. EXPERIENCE Over a career spanning ten years, Charles has conducted multifamily acquisitions and dispositions totaling $1.2 billion. Prior to joining JLL in March 2012, Charles was an acquisitions and investments associate with Alliance Residential Company, with a focus on distressed investing and note purchases. During his tenure with Alliance, he acquired in excess of $850 million in multifamily properties and real estate backed loans. Prior to his time with Alliance, Charles was a senior accountant with KPMG LLP, where he had several real estate investment and operating clients. He also was the lead accountant on the audit of a $2 billion consumer product manufacturer based in Phoenix. EDUCATION AND AFFILIATIONS Charles earned his bachelor of arts in business administration and master of science in accounting from Eastern Michigan University. He holds both an Arizona and a Nevada real estate license. Page 25 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 IV. The JLL Team Matt Kolano Annie Novotny +1 602 282 6264 matt.kolano@am.jll.com +1 602 282 6295 annie.novotny@am.jll.com Analyst Marketing Coordinator RESPONSIBILITIES RESPONSIBILITIES Matt Kolano is the primary market analyst with the JLL Southwest Multifamily Capital Markets Team, responsible for tracking and analyzing all local and regional real estate market fundamentals. He closely monitors economic and demographic trends to identify opportunities for value creation. Mr. Kolano provides financial modeling, investment analysis, underwriting and a comprehensive understanding of the transaction and development landscape to offer clients a competitive and strategic perspective. Annie Novotny is a Marketing and Project Coordinator for the JLL Southwest Multifamily Capital Markets Group in Phoenix. She oversees the synchronization of the group’s marketing efforts and acts as the project coordinator throughout the listing and sale transaction. Ms. Novotny’s responsibilities include coordinating marketing materials, creating pitches and presentations, and developing marketing campaigns. Additionally, she offers client support and facilitates the due diligence process. EXPERIENCE EXPERIENCE Prior to joining the team, Mr. Kolano led the JLL Phoenix research team, where he advised corporations and investors on all branches of the local market. He holds two Bachelor of Science degrees in economics and finance from the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University. Ms. Novotny joined JLL from Cushman & Wakefield where she was the Senior Brokerage Coordinator of the Retail Capital Markets Group. She brings over ten years of commercial real estate experience to JLL. Ms. Novotny earned a Bachelor of Science degree in business marketing from Arizona State University and she holds an Arizona real estate license. Page 26 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 IV. The JLL Team JLL Southwest Multifamily Recent Team Experience - Select List McClintock Station Cobalt on 32nd Street Avion on Legacy Vantage Lofts San Miguel Del Bosque Phoenix, AZ Multifamily Investment Sale 90 Units Completed 2014 Closed November-2015 $16.2 Million Scottsdale, AZ Multifamily Investment Sale 322 Units Completed 2015 Closed October-2015 $74.06 Million Henderson, NV Multifamily Investment Sale 110 Units Completed 2014 Closed September-2015 $39.0 Million Albuquerque, NM Multifamily Investment Sale 356 Units Completed 1994/2008 Closed September-2015 Pricing Confidential Solis at Flamingo Indigo Regents on University Tempe Metro Sunset Cove Las Vegas, NV Multifamily Investment Sale 524 Units Completed 1988/1992 Closed June-2015 $50.5 Million Phoenix, AZ Multifamily Investment Sale 101 Units Completed 2014 Closed January-2015 $18.1 Million Tempe, AZ Multifamily Investment Sale 408 Units Completed 2010 Closed August-2014 $47.05 Million Las Vegas, NV Multifamily Investment Sale 392 Units Completed 1989 Closed September-2013 $21.7 Million Tempe, AZ Equity Procurement 423 Units To be completed 2018 Under LOI Terms Confidential Page 27 | Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 Tempe, AZ Student Housing Sale 225 Units Completed 2010 Closed July-2014 $38.7 Million Optima Kierland Center Scottsdale, AZ Equity Procurement 226 Units in Phase I To be completed 2017 Closed August-2015 Terms Confidential Sedona at Lone Mountain Las Vegas, NV Multifamily Note Sale 321 Units Completed 1999 Closed April-2012 $11.1 Million Metro Las Vegas Overview Q3 - Q4 2015 CUNNINGHAM │STEELE