4.th quarter presentation
Transcription
4.th quarter presentation
Summary 2014 Norway Post 4th quarter and preliminary result 2014 Part 1: § Highlights and developments CEO Dag Mejdell Part 2: § Results and segment review CFO Tone Wille 2 4th quarter and preliminary result 2014 Part 1: § Highlights and developments CEO Dag Mejdell 3 Highlights – Important events in 2014 ! The growth in e-commerce continues. In 2014, the Group's total ecommerce volume increased by 8%. ! The proposed new Postal Services Act has been out for public consultation. The proposal entails the introduction of the EU's Third Postal Directive. ! The need for effective operations in the Logistics segment drives establishing combined terminals throughout the Group. 2 new combined terminals in Norway and Finland completed in 2014. ! Established one common IT-plattform for the entire Group – cost reductions already realized in addition to expected future substantial cost reductions. ! Digipost, which is Norway Post’s digital mailbox, was chosen as one of two suppliers of digital mail from the public sector. ! Absence due to sickness was 6.3% in 2014, a decrease of 0.3% percentage points from 2013. ! Awarded the Working Environment Prize 2014 and the Logistics Industry Environment Prize 2014. ! Delivery quality for A-mail in 2014: 85,5 % (0,5%-percentage points above the licence requirement). ! Lyngen Bidco AS offer to purchase the shares in Evry ASA (40% of outstanding shares) has been accepted. 4 Financial highlights 2014 ! Operating revenues: MNOK 24 404, up 3,6 % from 2013 ! Earnings before interest and taxes* : MNOK 933, down 17,1 % from 2013 ! Return on invested capital (last 12 months)*: 13,9 %, down 3,6 percentage points from 2013 ! Return on equity after tax (last 12 months): 8,2 %, down 0,5 percentage points from 2013 * Before non-recurring items and write downs 5 Operating revenue (MNOK) 3,6 % 25 000 20 000 15 000 22 613 22 451 22 981 2009 2010 2011 22 925 23.557 2012 2013 24 404 10 000 5 000 0 2014 6 Earnings (EBIT) before non-recurring items and write downs (MNOK) -17,1 % 1 000 1 125 500 0 772 952 1 051 1 116 2009 2010 2011 2012 933 2013 2014 7 Operating revenues from foreign companies Operating revenues in MNOK 13,0 % 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 8 122 4 000 7 190 3 000 5 871 5 855 5 959 2008 2009 2010 6 443 6 434 2011 2012 4 886 2 000 Operating income from foreign companies accounted for 33,3% of the Group’s operating income, up 13,0 percent from last year. 1 000 0 3 967 1 658 2005 2006 2007 2013 2014 8 Results Q4 Q4 2014 2013 Change MNOK Year 2014 Year 2013 Change 24 404 23 557 847 1 723 1 875 -152 933 1 125 -192 Write-downs 282 245 37 Non-recurring expenses/(income) -66 218 284 717 663 54 6 553 6 436 117 Operating revenues 614 814 -200 EBITDA 413 627 -214 EBIT before non-recurring items and write-downs 139 121 18 -60 95 155 334 411 -77 EBIT before share of profit from associates 86 -126 212 Share of profit from associates 126 -22 148 420 286 134 EBIT 844 641 202 -67 28 -95 Net financial items -124 -21 -103 352 313 39 Earnings before tax 720 619 101 61 162 102 Taxes 214 108 -106 292 151 141 Profit after tax 506 512 -6 9 The 30% reduction in sickness absence from 2006 to 2014 has led to major benefits The benefits of a 30% lower sickness absence rate are: 10,0 % Sykefravær 9,0 % § 500 more people at work each day 8,0 % § Savings of NOK 290 million for society 7,0 % § Norway Post saves just over NOK 200 million, of which: 6,0 % 2006 2008 2010 2012 - 2014 NOK 77 million in extra pay/overtime costs - The sickness absence rate has fallen from 9.3% to 6.3% during the period NOK 130 million in pension and insurance costs § Positive attention, including the award of the Working Environment Prize 2014 10 Norway Post needs a new Postal Services Act to meet future developments and new user needs ! A new Postal Services Act is urgently needed. Changes are taking place rapidly and Norway Post can no longer sufficiently compensate for the decline in physical Bn units letter volumes by increasing prices and 2,0 1,5 C Økonomi (utgått) introducing efficiency measures if the -47% statutory delivery service is not changed. ! B Økonomi Oslo Economics has calculated that the need for government procurements will be NOK 2 billion annually in 2025 if no -40% 1,0 measures are implemented. ! 0,5 Norway Post wants greater freedom to act so that it can adapt to rapid changes in its A Prioritet surroundings and customer requirements. 0,0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 ! The winding up of Norway Post’s prevailing monopoly through the implementation of From 1.6 billion to 500 million letters the EU’s Third Postal Directive is a political decision. 11 Major investments. 18 new common terminals by 2018 Alta Tromsø Narvik ! Norway Post is investing NOK 4 billion in new common terminals for mail, Fauske parcels, goods and Mo i Rana refrigerated transport goods by 2018. ! Trondheim productivity and lead to Molde Ålesund less strain on the environment. Sogn og Fjordane Hamar Bergen Haugesund Intended to improve Drammen Stavanger Kristiansand Stokke Oslo Fredrikstad Co-located terminals Co-locating in 2015 to 2018 Ongoing assesement 12 Ecommerce is growing. Food boxes were a major new trend in 2014. ! The big trend during the year was having food delivered to the door. ! Posten and Bring deliver for several food-box suppliers in Norway and Sweden. ! In Sweden, the home delivery of food boxes has been popular for several years. In 2014, Bring delivered around 550,000 food boxes, a 40% increase on the previous year. ! In Norway, food boxes really took off in 2014 and the volume is approaching that in Sweden. Posten and Bring now deliver 11,000 food boxes a week, three times as much as at the start of 2014. 13 4th quarter and preliminary result 2014 Part 2: § Results and Segments CFO Tone Wille 14 Norway Post’s Segment Structure group mail logistics 15 Segment distribution of external revenues 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 58 % 59 % 62 % 42 % 41 % 38 % 2012 2013 2014 10 000 5 000 0 Mail Logistics 16 Segment Mail mail logistics Letter Products Banking services Dialogue services 17 Key figures mail logistics Operating revenues ! 11 000 10 750 10 631 10 500 10 485 10 607 10 409 10 250 2010 Growth (%) 2011 -0,2 2012 -1,9 2013 2014 0,7 -3,3 EBITDA 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 EBITDAmargin (%) ! Volume decrease addressed mail 6,5% ! Volume increase unaddressed advertising 1,4% ! Volume in Bring CityMail Sweden up by 4.0% ! First digital post distribution from public sector to the citizen’s digital mailboxes in 2014. ! Earnings before depreciation and non-recurring items in 2014 is positive, the volume decline was partially offset by efficiency improvements implemented. 10 144 10 000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Operating revenues in 2014 decreased from last year 1 576 1 393 1 342 ! New distribution structure and reorganization of the post office network ! In 2014, 138 post offices were converted to Post in Shops 1 252 1 246 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 11,7 13,1 12,9 15,0 12,3 18 Segment Logistics mail logistics Parcels Express Cargo Frigo Warehousing Supply Services 19 Key figures mail Operating revenues ! 16 500 15 943 logistics Operating revenues in 2014 were 6,7 % higher than in 2013 ! Growth in e-commerce by 8 % 15 500 ! Positive growth in freight volumes 15 000 ! Acquired West Cargo Vårgårda AB, Smartpak Sweden AB and Kirkestuen Transport AS i 2014. 16 000 14 000 14 941 14 248 14 500 13 721 14 317 13 500 2010 Growth (%) 2011 2012 3,8 0,5 2013 2014 4,4 6,7 ! EBITDA 850 795 800 Result before depreciation and non-recurring items in 2014 was positive compared to 2013. ! Cost reductions in Norway compensated for lower prices and a shift towards lower margin services. ! The logistics market in Sweden and Denmark is still challenging, especially in the freight and thermo sectors. 750 700 638 627 650 600 550 500 554 535 450 EBITDAmargin % 2010 2011 4,6 3,8 2012 4,4 2013 3,7 2014 5,0 ! Norway Post builds the largest logistics center in Norway located at Alnabru, Oslo. To be completed in 2017. 20 Outlook ! The new Postal Services Act is expected to be presented for the Parliament. ! The Group continues targeted investment in logistics to meet the large growth in e-commerce by building out parcels network in Sweden and Denmark. ! Combined locations of terminal operations for mail, parcels, freight and thermo are continuing. ! Digipost, the competition for additional users is expected to increase in 2015. The Government has expressed a goal to distribute all mail from the public sector to the residents electronically by the first quarter in 2016. ! Low growth in the Norwegian economy in 2015 due to reduced demand from the petroleum industry and low growth in households. Lower demand in the euro countries for goods and services from Sweden. 21