Power of the Pyramids - Population Education
Transcription
Power of the Pyramids - Population Education
Power of the Pyramids Student Activity Method: Students construct and interpret population pyramids and discuss differences in population growth rates among several different countries. Introduction: Concept: To help them make population projections for different countries, demographers (who study population) look at the profile of the countries’ residents. What are the ages of the people? How many are men? How many are women? Taking this information, they construct population pyramids like the ones students will create in this activity. These graphs depict the configuration of a country’s population as impacted by 70 to 80 years of economic, political, and natural events. These graphs can also help predict future population trends. Objectives: The age and gender distribution of a regional or national population affects its growth rate and provides information on its past, present, and future growth patterns. Students will be able to: • Calculate percentages using raw numbers for each age/gender group in a given population. • Construct a population age/ gender distribution graph for one of six different countries. • Make correlations between the shapes of the graphs and the growth patterns of different countries. Procedure: 1. Display the world population pyramid and explain that this is a kind of graph used by demographers to study the distribution of people across age and gender categories. 2. Explain to the students that the graph represents the entire world population sorted by age and gender, with the youngest at the bottom and the oldest at the top. Each age level grouping is called a cohort. Subjects: Mathematics, biology, social studies, environmental science 3. Assign each student or group of students one of the six countries, and distribute graph paper and a copy of the student worksheet for that country. Skills: Calculating, graphing, analyzing and interpreting data 4. The figures on the worksheet represent the population (in thousands) of each age group within each gender for each particular country. In order to construct the country’s pyramid, students must first calculate the percentage of the population of each gender in each age group. Example: According to the worksheet, the United States’ total population in 2015 was 321,369,000. The population of males ages 0-4 was 10,211,000. 10,211,000 - .032 or 3.2% 321,320,000 Students should complete these calculations for each cohort. 5. Using graph paper, students can construct a population pyramid as in the example. A line drawn down the middle of the graph separates the male and female populations. The percentages of the population will be plotted along the X-axis with females to the right of the center line, males to the left. The age groups will be running up the Y-axis with the youngest at the bottom, oldest at the top. (See “World Population Pyramid” for an example.) Materials: Copies of student worksheet Power of the Pyramids graph paper Colored pencils Rulers Calculators Key Terms: cohort, demographers, population pyramid 6. Have students graph the percentage data for their assigned country. 7. Have students hold up their finished graphs for all to see while going through the follow-up questions in class. population connection ©2016 Population Dynamics • Student Activity • Power of the Pyramids • page 1 of 4 Discussion Questions: 1. Where are you represented on the tables and on the graphs? If you live in the United States and were between 10 and 14 years old in 2015, you are represented on the third bar from the bottom on the U.S. graph with males on the left, and females on the right. 2. Can you tell from the data if there are more male or female babies in each country? Yes, there are more male babies. There is a slightly greater probability of giving birth to male children. For every 100 girls born, there are about 105 boys born. 3. Are there more elderly women or men? Why might that be the case? There are more elderly women. Throughout the world, life expectancy for women is higher than for men. This is due to a number of genetic and social factors. In general, men are more predisposed to cer-tain health risks than women. Also, men make up the vast majority of the military and are more likely to die during wars. 4. Can you tell from the graphs which country has the most people? No. The graphs represent 100 percent of the population of each country broken down by age groups. Demographers use the percentage data instead of the raw data so that each graph fits on the same size paper and can be compared to the graphs of other countries. 5. Which country has the most people? How can you tell? From the TOTAL line on the data sheet you can tell that China has more people than any other country. 6. Of the six graphs, which look most like pyramids? What does that indicate about their population growth rates? What factors would change the shape of the pyramids in the future? The graph for Nigeria looks most like a pyramid. This indicates a high growth rate. Population growth occurs when the segment of the population currently in its childbearing years (ages 15-44; bars 4-9 on the graphs) has produced a generation larger than itself (bars 1-3). If the birth rate goes down, this would change the shape of the graph over time from population connection ©2016 a pyramid to more of a rectangle, indicating a more stable population. 7. Looking at the pyramids, which country appears to have the slowest rate of population growth? How can you tell? France. The graph is closer to a rectangle than a pyramid, showing more uniform population size across the age groups. France has a birth rate and death rate that are roughly equal, which demographers call zero population growth. 8. In which country do children make up the largest percentage of the population? You can see on the graph that the bottom of the Nigerian and the Indian pyramids go out the farthest, representing the largest percentage. The percentages that you calculated show that Nigerian babies (males and females combined) make up over 16 percent (8.4 + 8) of the population, and the older children also make up a big percentage. 9. Some cultures have traditionally favored boy children over girl children (as can be seen in the pyramids for India and China). Why might couples prefer to have boys rather than girls in these countries? What are some consequences that may arise if a generation has a gender imbalance? Parents may favor boys over girls in order to carry on an ancestral line, to avoid the high costs of a daughter’s dowry, or from the traditional belief that boys are more valuable. In developing countries, boys are expected to take care of their parents in old age, as girls will marry and live with their husbands’ families. As a generation matures, a shortage of girls leads to a shortage of women for men to marry. This condition can cause instability and result in kidnappings and violence towards women, massive migration of men seeking mates, the sale of women for marriage, etc. 10. If you had a business and wanted to capitalize on your information about the population age distribution for the U.S., what would you sell? Answers might include any products for people of the Baby Boom generation or their children. 11. If you had a business in Nigeria and wanted to capitalize on your information about the Nigerian population, what would you sell? Answers might include any products for children and infants. Population Dynamics • Student Activity • Power of the Pyramids • page 2 of 4 12. How would you expect the Mexican pyramid to look if you graphed it 40 years from now? The graph shows that the Mexican population was growing rapidly about 30 years ago, when the rate of growth slowed. If this trend continues unchanged, the Mexican “pyramid” will gradually become more rectangular. Assessment Idea: Provide students with a population pyramid for a fictitious (or unlabeled) country. Population pyramids can be accessed and printed from the “Pyramids” section of the International Data Base at the U.S. Census website, www.census.gov. Have them explain what the pyramid shows, what sort of growth patterns they expect in the future, and what sort of concerns the government might have based on the population information. population connection ©2016 Population Dynamics • Student Activity • Power of the Pyramids • page 3 of 4 Power of the Pyramids Student Activity population connection ©2016 Population Dynamics • Student Activity • Power of the Pyramids • page 4 of 4 population connection ©2016 10,211 10,448 10,513 10,796 11,678 11,447 10,906 10,181 10,025 10,324 10,955 M 9,755 10,015 10,076 10,297 11,062 11,026 10,753 10,166 10,153 10,493 11,356 11,210 9,962 8,482 6,193 12,024 163,024 F 321,369 % % 5,753 5,719 5,706 5,619 5,407 5,091 4,514 4,115 3,913 3,329 2,842 2,319 1,699 1,309 1,005 1,396 59,719 M 5,491 5,462 5,460 5,435 5,324 5,112 4,725 4,481 4,239 3,744 3,277 2,722 2,012 1,544 1,194 1,799 62,018 F 121,737 % Mexico % % F 37,759 25,784 17,670 27,862 664,046 37,343 35,699 34,368 40,069 48,546 62,373 48,879 45,709 56,665 59,318 48,473 37,527 1,367,485 43,426 42,127 40,593 46,455 53,925 64,786 51,374 47,631 58,992 61,721 49,737 39,162 37,936 25,883 17,078 20,475 703,439 M China Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Database, www.census.gov 55-59 10,601 60-64 9,131 65-69 7,612 70-74 5,306 75+ 8,213 Total 158,345 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 Age Group United States Population in Thousands (2015) Power of the Pyramids Student Worksheet 1 Population Dynamics • Student Worksheet 1 • Power of the Pyramids • page 1 population connection ©2016 62,084 62,404 61,658 58,276 54,028 50,627 46,884 42,957 37,195 31,010 62,248 M 55,202 54,709 54,925 54,359 51,794 49,325 46,887 44,006 40,999 35,862 30,159 24,837 19,783 15,245 11,116 12,811 602,019 F 1,251,695 % % 15,175 13,106 11,679 9,715 8,263 7,123 6,167 5,187 4,149 3,278 2,567 1,969 1,523 1,168 793 727 92,588 M 14,464 12,508 11,151 9,288 7,922 6,827 5,867 4,885 3,822 3,080 2,538 2,036 1,634 1,259 858 837 88,974 F 181,562 % Nigeria % 2,127 2,134 2,089 2,028 1,998 2,047 2,075 2,022 2,277 2,235 2,168 2,053 1,956 1,826 1,173 2,361 32,568 M 66,554 % F 2,032 2,040 1,995 1,930 1,913 1,975 2,008 1,963 2,227 2,249 2,250 2,181 2,113 1,994 1,333 3,785 33,986 France Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Database, www.census.gov 55-59 25,238 60-64 19,756 65-69 14,732 70-74 10,226 75+ 10,356 Total 649,676 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 Age Group India Population in Thousands (2015) % Power of the Pyramids Student Worksheet 2 Population Dynamics • Student Worksheet 2 • Power of the Pyramids • page 1 population connection ©2016 3 11,210 9,962 8,482 6,193 12,024 163,024 7,612 5,306 8,213 158,345 321,369 11,356 10,601 9,131 11,678 11,447 10,906 10,181 10,025 10,324 10,955 9,755 10,015 10,076 10,297 11,062 11,026 10,753 10,166 10,153 10,493 F % 10,211 10,448 10,513 10,796 M % 5,753 5,719 5,706 5,619 5,407 5,091 4,514 4,115 3,913 3,329 2,842 2,319 1,699 1,309 1,005 1,396 59,719 M 5,491 5,462 5,460 5,435 5,324 5,115 4,725 4,481 4,239 3,744 3,277 2,722 2,012 1,544 1,194 1,799 62,018 F 121,737 % Mexico 58,992 61,721 49,737 39,162 43,426 42,127 40,593 46,455 53,925 64,786 51,374 47,631 M % F 37,343 35,699 34,368 40,069 48,546 62,373 48,879 45,709 56,665 59,318 48,473 37,527 37,759 25,784 17,670 27,862 664,046 1,367,485 37,936 25,883 1.0 17,078 5 20,475 703,439 % China Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Database, www.census.gov Total 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ Age Group United States Population in Thousands (2015) 1.9 3 0 4.1 4.3 3.5 2.7 % Power of the Pyramids Answers to Student Worksheet 1 Population Dynamics • Answers to Student Worksheet 1 • Power of the Pyramids • page 1 M population connection ©2016 649,676 602,019 46,887 44,006 40,999 35,862 30,159 24,837 19,783 15,245 11,116 12,811 55,202 54,709 54,925 54,359 51,794 49,325 F 1,251,695 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.5 2.0 % 1.0 727 92,588 M 15,175 13,106 11,679 4.3 9,715 4.1 8,263 3.9 7,123 3.7 6,167 3.5 5,187 3.3 4,149 2.9 3,278 2.4 2,567 1,969 2.0 1,523 1.6 1.2 1,168 793 0.9 % F 181,562 88,974 8.4 14,464 7.2 12,508 6.4 11,151 5.4 9,288 4.6 7,922 3.9 6,827 3.4 5,867 2.9 4,885 2.3 3,822 1.8 3,080 1.4 2,538 1.1 2,036 0.8 1,634 0.6 1,259 858 0.4 0.4 837 % Nigeria 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 8.0 6.9 6.1 5.1 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.1 % 32,568 1,956 1,826 1,173 2,361 2,127 2,134 2,089 2,028 1,998 2,047 2,075 2,022 2,277 2,235 2,168 2,053 M 2,032 2,040 1,995 1,930 1,913 1,975 2,008 1,963 2,227 2,249 2,250 2,181 2,113 1,994 1,333 F 3,785 33,986 66,554 2.9 2.7 1.8 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.3 % France Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Database, www.census.gov Total 25,238 19,756 14,732 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ 10,226 10,356 62,084 62,404 61,658 58,276 54,028 50,627 46,884 42,957 37,195 31,010 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 0-4 62,248 Age Group India Population in Thousands (2015) 3.2 3.0 2.0 5.7 1 1 0 2.9 2.9 0 0 2.9 3 4 % Power of the Pyramids Answers to Student Worksheet 2 Population Dynamics • Answers to Student Worksheet 2 • Power of the Pyramids • page 1 Name: ____________________________ Date: _________________________ Power of the Pyramids Graph Paper Country: ___________________ Male + + + + + + Female + + + + + + + + + + + + + 75+ 75+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + 70-74 70-74 65-69 65-69 60-64 60-64 55-59 55-59 + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + 50-54 50-54 45-49 45-49 40-44 40-44 35-39 35-39 + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + 30-34 30-34 + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + 25-29 25-29 20-24 20-24 15-19 15-19 + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + 10-14 10-14 + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 5-9 5-9 0-4 0-4 Percentage of Population population connection ©2016 Population Dynamics • Student Worksheet • Power of the Pyramids