Northwich and Winsford - Cheshire West and Chester Council

Transcription

Northwich and Winsford - Cheshire West and Chester Council
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
Population
The mid-year estimates refer to the population on 30 June of the reference year (2013) and are published annually.
They are the official set of population estimates for the UK and its constituent countries, the regions of England,
Wales and local authorities. Mid-year population estimates relate to the usual resident population. They account for
long-term international migrants (people who change their country of usual residence for a period of 12 months or
more) but do not account for short-term migrants (people who come to or leave the country for a period of less than
12 months).
Northwich and Winsford
Estimated resident population in Northwich and Winsford
locality, Cheshire West and Chester and England, 2013 mid year
locality has a standard
estimates
population pyramid, with a
85+
population distribution
80-84
75-79
similar to Cheshire West
70-74
and Chester overall.
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-10
0-4
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Percentage of population
Male Northwich and Winsford
Male Cheshire West and Chester
Male England %
Female Northwich and Winsford
Female Cheshire West and Chester
Female England %
Source: ONS 2013 Mid year population estimates. © ONS Crown Copyright 2014. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Demographic Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
Ward population
Locality population estimates are calculated using 2013 mid-year population estimates for electoral wards in
England and Wales. These estimates are consistent with the results of the 2011 Census and are available for 2012
electoral ward boundaries – the boundaries in place at 30th June 2013.
Detailed gender and age breakdowns at ward level are available in the demographic data tables section of this
document.
2013 Mid year locality population estimates
In 2013 Cheshire West and
Chester has a population of
331,000 residents, with
169,800 females accounting
for 51% of all residents and
161,200 males accounting for
49% of residents.
120,000
Population
100,000
80,000
51,287
60,000
45,823
41,582
Northwich and Winsford has a
population of 100,700. This is
the largest locality and
accounts for 30% of Cheshire
West and Chester's total
population. Northwich and
Winsford has a similar gender
breakdown to the borough
with 51% females and 49%
males.
31,111
40,000
20,000
39,208
49,389
43,288
Northwich and
Winsford
Rural
29,338
0
Chester
Ellesmere Port
Males
Females
Davenham and Moulton ward
and Winsford Over and
Verdin ward have the largest
number of residents in
Northwich and Winsford
locality with 13,400 and
13,500 residents respectively.
The ward with the lowest
population is Shakerley ward
with 4,200 residents.
Witton
and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over
and Verdin
65+
Winnington
and Castle
25-64
Weaver
and Cuddington
Marbury
00-24
Shakerley
Hartford
and Greenbank
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Davenham
and Moulton
Population
2013 Mid year population estimates - Northwich and Winsford
16,000
locality
Electoral wards
Source: ONS 2013 Mid Year population estimates
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Demographic Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
Population forecasts (2012 based)
Population
The base for these population forecasts is the 2012 mid-year estimate of population produced by the Office for National
Statistics. The forecasts are, in our professional opinion, based on fair assumptions and take into account levels of recent
demographic change and likely levels of future housing development (based on the Cheshire West and Chester Local Plan).
The forecasts are rounded to the nearest 100. This does not imply they are as accurate as this. All forecasts become
increasingly inaccurate the further into the future they go.
Cheshire West and Chester's
Population forecasts - 20 year projections based on 2012
resident population is forecast
estimates - by locality
to grow by 11% over the next
400,000
20 years. By 2032 it is
estimated that the borough
350,000
will have a population of
365,700
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
Chester
Ellesmere Port
Northwich and Winsford
2032
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2012
0
Rural
Northwich and Winsford
locality's resident population
is estimated to grow by 13%
in the next 20 years. Along
with Ellesmere Port, this is the
largest estimated growth of
the localities, and greater than
the boroughs estimated
increase. By 2032 Northwich
and Winsford locality will have
an estimated population of
114,200.
Source: Local forecasts produced by Strategic Intelligence from a forecast produced on 12/03/2014 using POPGROUP software developed
by Bradford Council, the University of Manchester and Andelin Associates. Data rounded to nearest 100.
Fertility rate
Witton
and Rudheath
In 2013 there were 1145
babies born to women in the
Northwich and Winsford
locality.
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over
and Verdin
Winnington
and Castle
Weaver
and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford
and Greenbank
Davenham
and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
England
Rate per 1,000 women aged 15-44
Fertility is measured through the rate of live births to women aged 15-44.
Live birth rate per 1,000 women aged 15-44 (2013)
The birth rate was higher than
the overall Cheshire West and
Chester rate (not significantly
different).
Witton and Rudheath had the
highest birth rate in the
locality. The lowest rate was
in Hartford and Greenbank.
Electoral wards
Source: Office for National Statistics (ONS) Annual Birth Extracts (2013) © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics
licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a
95% chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Demographic Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
Index of multiple deprivation 2010
The index of multiple deprivation 2010 (IMD2010) describes the most deprived small areas (lower super output
areas) in Cheshire West and Chester in the context of the most deprived areas in England. Lower super output
areas (LSOAs) generally have around 1,500 people living in them. National quintile 1 and 2 (Q1 and Q2) describes
those areas of Cheshire West and Chester that are amongst the 40% most deprived in England. At locality level,
LSOA population estimates are used to describe the proportion of the people living in areas of relative deprivation.
The Index of multiple deprivation is an area based measure of deprivation, it should be noted that the percentage of
residents in each quintile does not represent the percentage of deprived residents, but the percentage of residents
living in a deprived area. A person may live in an area identified as deprived and not experience any of the indicators
of deprivation measured by the Indices of Deprivation.
There are 38 separate indicators grouped into seven domains that are used to produce the overall index of multiple
deprivation (IMD) score for each lower super output area in England (lower super output areas are similar areas of
relatively even size, around 1,500 people). These seven domains each reflect a different aspect of deprivation.
Cheshire West and Chester has a less deprived population profile compared to England but there are some areas
of the borough experiencing relatively high deprivation.
35% of Cheshire West and Chester's population live in Q5 (quintile 5), areas considered to be amongst the 20%
least deprived in England. This is higher than the 20% of England's population resident in Q5 areas.
16% of Cheshire West and Chester's population live in Q1 (quintile 1), areas considered to be amongst the 20%
most deprived in England. This is lower than the 20% of England's population resident in Q1 areas.
Using the combined indicator
for multiple deprivation (IMD),
Northwich and Winsford
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
locality has 14% of residents
England
living in Q1, the most
deprived areas. Domains that
Cheshire West and Chester
indicate higher levels of
Northwich and Winsford
deprivation in Northwich and
Winsford include employment
Income
and barriers to education and
Employment
training.
Northwich and Winsford
IMD 2010
Q1 (Most Deprived 20%)
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5 (Least Deprived 20%)
Health
Education
Barriers to Housing & Services
Crime
Living Environment
Income Deprivation Affecting Children
Income Deprivation Affecting Older People
Source: Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG) using ONS 2013 Mid year population estimates
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Demographic Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
2011 Census Output Area Classification (OAC)
Area classifications group together geographic areas according to key characteristics common to the population in
that grouping. These groupings are called clusters and are derived using census data. The top hierarchy
(Supergroups) are displayed below, of which there are eight nationally. Not every local authority will have areas from
each Supergroup.
The names and descriptions for the 8 supergroups within the 2011 OAC are meant to provide greater insight than
just examining the statistical outputs of cluster analysis alone. While they may not necessarily reflect the
characteristics of the entire population, they are likely to represent the general characteristics for the majority of
areas assigned to specific clusters. A description, or "pen portrait", for each of the supergroup classifications is
available in the glossary.
Census Output Area Classification Supergroups
England
Cheshire West and Chester
Northwich and Winsford
Davenham and Moulton
Hartford and Greenbank
Marbury
Shakerley
Weaver and Cuddington
Winnington and Castle
Winsford Over and Verdin
Winsford Swanlow and Dene
Winsford Wharton
Witton and Rudheath
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Percentage of Population
80%
90%
100%
Rural Residents
Cosmopolitans
Ethnicity Central
Multicultural Metropolitans
Urbanites
Suburbanites
Constrained City Dwellers
Hard-Pressed Living
The distribution of Northwich and Winsford is similar to the authority average, although with a slightly higher
proportion of "Hard-Pressed Living" and no "Cosmopolitans".
At ward level the differences between the town and country areas of this locality are visible. The Winsford wards are
predominantly "Hard-Pressed Living", "Constrained City Dwellers" or "Suburbanites", whereas the Rural and
Northwich Wards are made up of "Urbanites", "Suburbanites" and "Rural Residents".
Source: 2011 Census Output Area Classifications, © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics
licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Demographic Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
Life expectancy at birth
Life expectancy at birth indicates the average number of years a person would expect to live based on contemporary
mortality rates. For a particular area and time period, it is an estimate of the average number of years a newborn
baby would survive if he or she experienced the age-specific mortality rates for that area and time period throughout
his or her life. Life expectancy in Cheshire West and Chester is generally higher than the England average but there
is variation within the borough and life expectancy is significantly lower in our more deprived areas.
Male life expectancy at birth - 2008-2012
90
85
80
75
Witton
and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over
and Verdin
Winnington
and Castle
Weaver
and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford
and Greenbank
Davenham
and Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
65
Cheshire West and
Chester
70
England
Life Expectancy at birth
(Years)
95
Electoral wards
Male life expectancy in Cheshire West and Chester varies across localities with men in the Rural locality expected to
live 3 years longer than men living in Ellesmere Port locality.
Life Expectancy at birth (Years)
Northwich and Winsford locality has slightly lower life expectancy for men than England. For the ten wards in the
locality however there is variation - three wards are significantly lower and one significantly higher than England. Life
expectancy for men ranges from 75.3 years in Winnington and Castle ward to 82.4 years in Hartford and Greenbank
ward.
Male life expectancy at birth - 5 year pooled trend
80
79
78
77
76
75
74
2001-05
2002-06
2003-07
2004-08
Cheshire West and Chester
2005-09
2006-10
2007-11
2008-12
Northwich and Winsford
Male life expectancy in Cheshire West and Chester increased by 2.2 years between 2001-05 and 2008-12.
In Northwich and Winsford locality, male life expectancy remained lower than Cheshire West and Chester average
but increased by 2.2 years over the same time period. The estimate for 2001-05 was 76.2 years, increasing to 78.4
years for 2008-12, reducing a gap of 0.7 years less than the borough average to 0.6 years less.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
Witton
and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over
and Verdin
Winnington
and Castle
Weaver
and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford
and Greenbank
Davenham
and Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
England
Life Expectancy at birth
(Years)
Female life expectancy at birth - 2008-2012
95
90
85
80
75
70
65
Electoral wards
Female life expectancy in Cheshire West and Chester varies across localities with females in Rural locality expected
to live 2.7 years longer than females living in Ellesmere Port locality.
Northwich and Winsford locality has a significantly lower female life expectancy than England. Of the ten wards in
the locality four ward estimates are significantly lower and two significantly higher than England ranging from 78.2
years in Shakerley ward to 87.7 years in Hartford and Greenbank ward.
Life Expectancy at birth (Years)
Female life expectancy at birth - 5 year pooled trend
83
83
82
82
81
81
80
80
2001-05
2002-06
2003-07
2004-08
Cheshire West and Chester
2005-09
2006-10
2007-11
2008-12
Northwich and Winsford
Female life expectancy in Cheshire West and Chester increased by 1.4 years between 2001-05 and 2008-12.
In Northwich and Winsford locality, female life expectancy remained lower than Cheshire West and Chester average
but increased by 1.5 years over the same time period. The estimate for 2001-05 was 80.6 years, increasing to 82.1
years for 2008-12, an estimated 0.5 years less than the Cheshire West and Chester average.
Source: Office for National Statistics (ONS) mid-year Population Estimates and Primary Care Mortality Database. Calculated by
Cheshire West and Chester Council, comparators by localhealth.org.uk (Public Health England).
Based on Chiang (II) methodology. © Crown Copyright. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence
v1.0
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator
has a 95% chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Demographics: Northwich and Winsford
Language and ethnicity
Main language and proficiency in English (people aged 3 and over)
Percentage of people
(aged 3 and over)
Two questions on main language and proficiency in spoken English were included for the first time in the 2011
Census. The questions provided information on the main language of UK residents, and their proficiency
in English if English was not their main language.
In Cheshire West and
Percentage of people for whom English is not their main
language, by how well they can speak it
Chester, 6,805 people
(2.1%) do not have English
9%
as their main language. Of
8%
those people, 82.7%
(5,630) can speak English
7%
'Very Well' or 'Well'. This is
6%
higher than the England
5%
average.
4%
3%
1,508 people in Northwich
2%
and Winsford locality do
not have English as their
1%
main language. Of those
0%
people, 77.9% (1,174) can
England
Cheshire
Chester Ellesmere Northwich
Rural
speak English 'Very Well'
West and
Port
and
or 'Well'. This is the lowest
Chester
Winsford
Locality
locality rate, and is lower
than England.
Can speak English very well
Can speak English well
Cannot speak English well
Cannot speak English at all
Source: 2011 census table QS205EW: Proficiency in English. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National
Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Ethnic group
Percentage of people
Ethnic group classifies people according to their own perceived ethnic group and cultural background. Minority
ethnic groups are all ethnic groups other than white British.
5.3% of people in Cheshire
Percentage of people who are from an ethnic minority
West and Chester are from
(by ethnic group)
10%
ethnic minority groups. The
largest group is White
8%
Other, followed by Asian.
The overall England figure
6%
is 20.2%.
4%
4.2% of people in
2%
Northwich and Winsford
locality are from ethnic
0%
minority groups.
White Irish
White White Other Mixed
Asian
Black
Other
England
Gypsy/
Traveller
Cheshire West & Chester
Northwich and Winsford
Source: 2011 census table KS201EW: Ethnic group. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics
licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Population forecasts - 0-15 years (2012 based)
The base for these population forecasts is the 2012 mid-year estimate of population produced by the Office for National Statistics.
The forecasts are, in our professional opinion, based on fair assumptions and take into account levels of recent demographic
change and likely levels of future housing development (based on the Cheshire West and Chester Local Plan). The forecasts are
rounded to the nearest 100. This does not imply they are as accurate as this. All forecasts become increasingly inaccurate the
further into the future they go.
Northwich and Winsford locality is
Population forecasts - 20 year projections based on
forecast to see a 10% increase in
2012 estimates - Northwich and Winsford locality
the resident population aged 0-15
in the next 20 years. The 0-4 year
25,000
age group is forecast remain at
6,200, however the 5-9 age group
20,000
is expected to increase by 12%
and the 10-15 year age group to
15,000
increase by 17%. By 2032
Northwich and Winsford locality is
10,000
expected to have a population
aged 0-15 of 21,100.
5,000
0-4
5-9
2032
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2012
0
10-15
Source: Local forecasts produced by Strategic Intelligence from a forecast produced on 12/03/2014 using POPGROUP software developed by Bradford Council, the University of
Manchester and Andelin Associates. Data rounded to nearest 100.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Starting Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Income deprivation affecting children (0-16) index
The Income Deprivation Affecting Children Index (IDACI) is a supplementary index of the Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010
(IMD2010). It looks at the proportion of children in an area living in low income households (in receipt of Income Support, Incomebased Jobseeker’s Allowance, Pension Credit (Guarantee) or Child Tax Credit below a given threshold). Quintiles 1 and 2 (Q1 and
Q2) describe those areas of Cheshire West and Chester that are amongst the 40% most deprived in England using the IDACI. The
chart shows the proportion of the local 0-16 population that live in each quintile.
17% of children aged 0-16 in
Income deprivation affecting children aged 0-16
Quintile 1 - Most Deprived 20% Nationally
Q2
Q3
Q4
Quintile 5 - Least Deprived 20% Nationally
80%
60%
40%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Northwich and
Winsford
Hartford and
Greenbank
England
0%
Davenham and
Moulton
20%
Cheshire West
and Chester
% of 0-16 year olds
100%
Cheshire West and Chester live in
areas ranked amongst the 20%
most deprived in England using
IDACI (Q1).
In Northwich and Winsford locality
the proportion is lower at 12% with
variation between wards. Winsford
Over and Verdin ward has 41% of
children aged 0-16 living in Q1
(most deprived). 24% of children in
Northwich and Winsford locality
reside in Q5 (least deprived), this
compares to 29% of Cheshire West
and Chester's population.
Electoral wards
Source: Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG), ONS 2013 Mid year population estimates, ward and locality numbers
apportioned based on the family health service (FHS) register postcode level population.
Lone parent households / Workless households
Witton and Rudheath
Electoral wards
With dependent children
No dependent children
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West &
Chester
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
England
Percentage of all households
A lone-parent household is a household that comprises a lone-parent family and no other person. A dependent child is any person
aged 0 to 15 in a household (whether or not in a family) or a person aged 16 to 18 in full-time education and living in a family with
his or her parent(s) or grandparent(s). Non-dependent children are those living with parentsaged 19 or over or aged 16 to 18 not in
full-time education who have a spouse, partner or child living in the household. A workless household is one where none of the
adults are in employment.
9.8% of households in Cheshire
Lone parent households by child status
16%
West and Chester are lone parent
14%
households, lower than the
12%
national figure of 10.6%.
10%
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West &
Chester
England
Percentage of all households with
dependent children
Workless households with dependent children
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
10.5% of households in Northwich
and Winsford locality are lone
parent households, higher than the
borough but lower than the
national average. Winsford Over
and Verdin ward has the highest
percentage (13.8%) of lone parent
households and Winsford Wharton
ward has the second highest
(13.8%). Both wards are higher
than the borough and England
percentages. Hartford and
Greenbank and Marbury wards
have the lowest percentage of
lone parent households (7.9%).
In Northwich and Winsford locality
11.9% of households with
dependent children are workless.
This is higher than the borough but
lower than the national average.
The highest ward percentage is
Winsford Over and Verdin (17.6%)
and the lowest is Davenham and
Moulton (6.4%).
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
For lone parent households with
dependent children the workless
percentage rises to 36.2%, this is
joint highest in the borough but
lower than the national average.
Winsford Wharton ward has the
highest percentage (45.6%) and
Shakerley the lowest (23.9%).
Workless lone parent households with dependent children
40%
30%
20%
Witton and
Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Electoral wards
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
0%
Cheshire West &
Chester
10%
England
Percentage of all lone parent
households with dependent
children
50%
Source: 2011 census tables KS105EW Household composition, KS106EW Adults not in employment and dependent children and persons with long-term health
problems or disability for all households and KS107EW Lone parent households with dependent children. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National
Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Child safeguarding
Child protection plans
Rate per 10,000
children
Children are made the subject of a child protection plan when they are thought to be at risk of harm. This might be from
physical abuse, sexual abuse, emotional abuse or neglect. It helps to keep a check on the work being done with these
children.
Northwich and Winsford have a
Open child protection plans (as of March 2013) by type of
higher rate of children on child
referral
40
20
0
Emotional Abuse
Physical Abuse
Neglect or Sexual Abuse
Cheshire West & Chester Northwich and Winsford
Open child protection plans (as of March 2013) by age of child
Rate per 10,000
children
60
protection plans than the Cheshire
West and Chester rate across all
types of risk. Northwich and
Winsford has the highest volume
as well as rate of children on child
protection plans from all Cheshire
West and Chester localities. 40%
of child protection plans in
Cheshire West and Chester are
for children from the Northwich
and Winsford locality.
40
20
0
0-4
5-17
Cheshire West & Chester Northwich and Winsford
Source: Cheshire West and Chester Council Note: Age groups have been aggregated to protect the disclosure of small numbers of
cases.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Low birthweight births
Low birth weight is measured as the percentage of liveborn babies weighing less than 2500g (5lbs 8oz) at birth. It is an
indicator of poor population health and has individual risk of infant mortality and poor health into adulthood.
Cheshire West and Chester has a significantly lower proportion of low birthweight births than England.
Northwich and Winsford locality
has a slightly lower proportion of
low birthweight births at 7.0%
compared to Cheshire West and
Chester (6.8%) and England
(7.4%) but the differences are not
statistically significant. Shakerley
ward has a significantly lower
proportion of low birth weight
births compared to Cheshire West
and Chester and England.
Low birthweight births (<2500g) 2009-2013
10%
8%
6%
4%
Percentage of live
births
2009-2013
Witton
and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over
and Verdin
Winnington
and Castle
Weaver
and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford
and Greenbank
Davenham
and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
Cheshire West
and Chester
2%
England
Percentage of all live births
12%
Electoral wards
2008-2012
Low birthweight births (<2500g) - 3yr pooled trend
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
20012003
20022004
20032005
England
20042006
20052007
20062008
Cheshire West & Chester
20072009
20082010
20092011
20102012
20112013
Northwich and Winsford
Source: ONS Annual Birth Extracts (2001-2011) © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the
Open Government Licence v.1.0. Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within
which the true value of the indicator has a 95% chance of falling.
Infant mortality
Rate per 1,000 live births
Infant mortality is measured as the number of infant deaths under 1 year of age per 1,000 live births. Infant mortality is an indicator
of the general health of an entire population. It reflects the relationship between causes of infant mortality and upstream
determinants of population health such as economic, social and environmental conditions. Deaths occurring during the first 28 days
of life (the neonatal period) in particular, are considered to reflect the health and care of both mother and newborn (Public Health
England, 2013).
During the five year period 2008Infant mortality 2008-2012
10
2012, there were on average 15
infant deaths a year in Cheshire
8
West and Chester, similar to the
6
England rate. Numbers of deaths
are relatively small and so care
4
needs to be taken with
2
interpretation. At locality level
0
numbers become even smaller
England
Cheshire
Chester
Ellesmere Northwich
Rural
and less meaningful, there is no
West and
Port
and
significant difference in any of the
Chester
Winsford
locality rates compared to
2007-2011
2008-2012
Localities
England.
Source: Office for National Statistics (ONS) Annual Birth and Death Extracts (2001-2012) © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for
National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0. Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals
(CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95% chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Hospital admissions
Rate (DSR) per 100,000 under
19s
Across England, asthma, diabetes and epilepsy account for 94% of emergency admissions for children (under 19) with
long-term conditions (Public Health England, 2013).
In 2013/14 there were 241 admissions to
hospital for children in Cheshire West and
Chester due to asthma, diabetes or epilepsy.
The rate of 342 admissions per 100,000
under 19s is higher than England, but not
significantly so.
Hospital admissions for asthma, diabetes and epilepsy in
under 19s
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
England
2013/14
Cheshire
West and
Chester
2012/13
Chester Ellesmere Northwich
Port
and
Winsford
Rural
The admission rate of 436 per 100,000
under 19s in Northwich and Winsford locality
was the highest in the borough for 2013/14,
and was significantly higher than England
rate. There were 101 children in Northwich
and Winsford locality admitted for these
conditions in 2013/14, and increase from 72
in the previous year.
Hospital admissions for asthma, diabetes and epilepsy in under 19s annual trend
Rate (DSR) per
100,000 under 19s
500
400
300
200
100
0
2011/12
2012/13
Cheshire West and Chester
2013/14
Northwich and Winsford
Hospital admissions for lower respiratory tract infections in
under 19s
600
500
400
In 2013/14 there were 281 emergency
hospital admissions for children aged under
19 with lower respiratory tract infections in
Cheshire West and Chester. The rate of 377
admissions per 100,000 under 19s was
significantly higher than England.
300
The admission rate of 394 per 100,000
under 19s in Northwich and Winsford locality
is higher than the borough and significantly
100
higher than the England rate. In recent years
0
there have been close to 100 admissions a
England Cheshire
Chester Ellesmere Northwich
Rural
year to hospital for children from Northwich
West and
Port
and
and Winsford locality with lower respiratory
Chester
Winsford
2013/14
2012/13
tract infection.
Hospital admissions for lower respiratory tract infections in under 19s annual trend
Rate (DSR) per
100,000 under 19s
Rate (DSR) per 100,000 under 19s
Lower respiratory tract infections in children should not generally require hospital care. Therefore this indicator acts as a
proxy for how well the condition is being managed.
200
500
400
300
200
100
0
2011/12
Cheshire West and
Chester
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
2012/13
2013/14
Northwich and Winsford
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Unintentional and deliberate injuries
There were just under 1,200 admissions for
children and young people aged under 25 in
Cheshire West and Chester during 2013/14,
per head of population. The rate is higher
than England but not significantly.
Hospital admissions due to unintentional and deliberate
injuries in children and young people aged under 25
300
250
200
150
100
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
2012/13
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
2013/14
Cheshire West &
Chester
0
Northwich and
Winsford
50
England
Crude Rate per 10,000 people
Injuries are a leading cause of hospitalisation and represent a major cause of premature mortality for children and young people.
They are also a source of long-term health issues, including mental health problems related to experience(s) of injury.
Northwich and Winsford locality had 370
admissions, creating a similar rate than
Cheshire West and Chester, but higher than
England. These differences are not
statistically significant. The rate of admission
is significantly higher than England and
Cheshire West and Chester in Winsford
Swanlow and Dene ward.
Nationally, self-harm is one of the top 5 causes of acute medical admission and those who self-harm have a 1 in 6 chance of
repeat attendance at Accident and Emergency within the year. The risk of death by suicide is considerably higher among people
who have self-harmed and they often have a higher chance of mental health problems, alcohol or substance misuse (Public Health
England, 2013).
In Cheshire West and Chester there are
around 190 admissions to hospital each year
for children and young people aged 10-24 as
a result of self-harm. The directly
standardised rate of self-harm in Cheshire
West and Chester is lower than the England
average, but not significantly so.
Hospital admissions due to deliberate self harm in children
and young people aged 10-24
Rate per 100,000 aged 10-24
600
500
400
300
Northwich and Winsford locality has a lower
rate of self-harm admissions compared to
the borough and England rate, but the
difference is not significant.
200
100
0
England
Cheshire
West and
Chester
2012/13
Rate per 100,000 aged
10-24
2013/14
500
Chester
Ellesmere Northwich
Port
and
Winsford
Rural
Hospital admissions due to deliberate self harm in children and young people aged 10-24 annual
trend
400
300
200
100
0
2011/12
England
2012/13
Cheshire West and
Chester
2013/14
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Hospital Episode Statistics, NHS Information Centre. Office for National Statistics mid-year population estimates 2012. © ONS Crown
Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95%
chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Starting Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Teenage conception
Teenage conception trend
Rural
Northwich
and
Winsford
Ellesmere
Port
Chester
Cheshire
West and
Chester
36
Teenage conception rate (2010-2012)
England
Rate per 1,000 females
aged 15-17
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Rate per 1,000 females
aged 15-17
Most teenage pregnancies are unplanned and around half end in an abortion. For many teenagers bringing up a child is extremely
difficult. It often results in poor outcomes for both the teenage parent and the child, in terms of the baby’s health, the mother’s
emotional health and well-being and the likelihood of both the parent and child living in long-term poverty. Teenage mothers are
less likely to finish their education, are more likely to bring up their child alone and in poverty and have a higher risk of poor mental
health than older mothers. Infant mortality rates for babies born to teenage mothers are around 60% higher than for babies born to
older mothers. The children of teenage mothers have an increased risk of living in poverty and poor quality housing and are more
likely to have accidents and behavioural problems. (Public Health England, 2013)
The three year pooled under 18
conception data for 2010-2012
estimates a rate of 30.3 per 1,000
females aged 15-17 in Cheshire
West and Chester. This is similar
to the England rate of 30.9.
There is variation across the
borough. The estimated rate for
Ellesmere Port locality is
significantly higher than England
and is double the rate for Rural
locality which is significantly lower
than England.
34
32
30
28
2009-11
England
Cheshire West & Chester
2010-12
The rate of 34.5 per 1,000 in
Northwich and Winsford locality is
higher than the borough and
England rate, but not significantly
so. The rate increased slightly
between 2009-11 and 2010-12.
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Calculated from Ward Conceptions, 2010-2012. © ONS Crown Copyright 2014. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Page 7 of 12
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Modelled smoking estimates in young people (2009-2012)
These small area estimates of smoking represent what we would expect the prevalence of youth smoking to be, given the sociodemographic profile of a particular geographical area. They may not reflect ACTUAL smoking prevalence.
Modelled data suggests that 5.3%
of children aged 11-15 in Cheshire
West and Chester are occasional
or regular smokers. This is higher
than the England average of 4.6%.
Modelled smoking estimates for children aged 11-15 (2009-2012)
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Electoral wards
Occasional Smokers
Witton and Rudheath
Regular Smokers
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
0%
Cheshire West &
Chester
1%
England
Percentage of children
7%
Modelled data suggests that
23.2% of children aged 16-17 in
Cheshire West and Chester are
occasional or regular smokers.
This is higher than the England
average of 20.7%.
Modelled smoking estimates for children aged 16-17 (2009-2012)
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
Winsford Wharton
Witton and Rudheath
Electoral wards
Regular Smokers
Occasional Smokers
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
Cheshire West &
Chester
5%
England
Percentage of children
At locality level, it is estimated that
5.1% of 11-15 year olds in
Northwich and Winsford smoke
(1.7% occasionally, 3.4%
regularly). Winsford Wharton ward
has the highest estimated
prevalence (6.5%) whilst Witton
and Rudheath ward has the lowest
(4.3%).
At locality level, it is estimated that
23.0% of 16-17 year olds in
Northwich and Winsford smoke
(6.9% occasionally, 16.2%
regularly). Winsford Over and
Verdin ward has the highest
estimated prevalence (26.9%)
whilst Marbury ward has the
lowest (19.4%).
Note: Numbers may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
Source: Modelled estimates of smoking in young people (2009-2012). Public Health England published on localhealth.org.uk © ONS Crown
Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Starting Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Healthy weight in childhood
NICE guidelines define children as overweight if their body mass index (BMI) is more than or equal to 85th percentile but less than
the 95th percentile. Children with a BMI over the 95th percentile are defined as obese. More detail is available within the children’s
centre dashboard which can be found in the ‘Starting Well’ section of the ISNA.
Prevalence of excess weight children aged 4-5
Excess weight (overweight and obesity) in children often leads to excess weight in adults, and this is recognised as a major
determinant of premature mortality and avoidable ill health. Figures are based on the percentage of primary school age children in
their Reception Year (aged 4-5 years) recorded as having excess weight in the school years 2011/2012 to 2013/14.
Based on national
quartiles from 2010/11
- 2012/13 middle super
output area data.
Where
quartile 1 is the worst
25% of middle super
output areas nationally.
2013/14 data not yet
available for MSOA's
nationally.
Percentage of children
Percentage of children with excess weight
Reception Year (aged 4-5) trend
30%
South Winsford
West Winsford
Winsford Central
North Winsford
One quarter of reception year
children in Cheshire West and
Chester are an unhealthy weight,
a significantly higher proportion
than the England average.
East Winsford
Davenham and
Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Middle super output area
Hartford and
Kingsmead
Leftwich,
Rudheath and Witton
Castle
Weaverham
Winnington and
North Witton
Vale Royal East
Barnton
Vale Royal North
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West &
Chester
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Percentage of children with excess weight
Reception year (aged 4-5) 2011/12 to 2013/14
England
Percentage of children
Source: PHE, National Child Measurement programme, HSCIC, calculated from middle super output area (MSOA) data (2010/11 to 2012/13 combined).
In Northwich and Winsford locality,
for the three year period 2011/12
to 2013/14, 24% of reception year
children were either overweight or
obese, significantly higher than the
England average of 22.4%. In
some areas of Winsford rates are
over 30%.
Northwich and Winsford locality
rates peaked in 2011/12 and have
reduced by one percentage point
each year since.
20%
10%
0%
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
England
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Northwich and Winsford
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Cheshire West and Chester
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Prevalence of excess weight children aged 10-11
Figures are based on the percentage of primary school age children in Year 6 (aged 10-11 years) recorded as having excess
weight in the school years 2011/2012 to 2013/14.
Based on national
quartiles from 2010/11 2012/13 middle super
output area data. Where
quartile 1 is the worst
25% of middle super
output areas nationally.
2013/14 data not yet
available for MSOA's
nationally.
South Winsford
West Winsford
Winsford Central
North Winsford
East Winsford
Davenham and
Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Hartford and
Kingsmead
Leftwich,
Rudheath and Witton
Castle
Weaverham
Winnington and
North Witton
Vale Royal East
Barnton
Vale Royal North
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West &
Chester
Middle super output area
Percentage of children
One third of year 6 children in
Cheshire West and Chester are an
unhealthy weight, a similar
proportion to the England average.
Percentage of children with excess weight
Year 6 (aged 10-11) 2011/12 to 2013/14
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
England
Percentage of children
Source: PHE, National Child Measurement programme, HSCIC, calculated from middle super output area (MSOA) data (2010/11 to 2012/13 combined).
Percentage of children with excess weight
Year 6 trend
In Northwich and Winsford locality,
for the three year period 2011/12
to 2013/14, 31.9% of year 6
children were either overweight or
obese, slightly less than the
England average of 33.6%. Some
areas are significantly lower:
Weaverham MSOA and Hartford
and Kingsmead MSOA.
36%
Excess weight in year 6 children in
Northwich and Winsford locality
has returned to levels last seen in
2008/09.
34%
32%
30%
28%
26%
2007-08
England
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Cheshire West and Chester
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Locally calculated from the National Child Measurement Programme tool, HSCIC - Health and Social Care Information Centre Copyright
© 2014, Re-used with the permission of the Health and Social Care Information Centre. All rights reserved.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95%
chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Education
Child development at age 5
The highest priority in the Marmot Review was the aim to give every child the best start in life, as this is crucial to reducing health
inequalities across the life course. As the foundations of human development are laid in early childhood, the review proposed an
indicator of readiness for school to capture early years development. While there is currently no ideal indicator for this, the
percentage of children achieving a good level of development at age 5 provides a readily available measure of early development
across England.
More children at age 5 in Cheshire
West and Chester are likely to
achieve a good level of attainment
compared to England, but the
difference is not significant.
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow and
Dene
Winsford Over and Verdin
Electoral wards
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Davenham and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
England
Percentage of pupils
Children achieving a good level of development at age 5 Academic year 2011-12
Northwich and Winsford locality
records fewer children likely to
achieve a good level of attainment
at age 5 compared to Cheshire
West and Chester and also
compared to England, however
the difference is not significant.
Source: Neighbourhood statistics: small area pupil attainment and absence by pupil characteristics in England - academic year 2011 to 2012.
Note: The source data for this indicator was produced at MSOA (2001) level. In order to present the dataset at MSOA (2011) level, a conversion
was applied using lookups published by ONS. For cases where the original MSOA (2001) was split into 2 or more MSOAs (2011), population
weighting was used, using the mid-2011 population aged 5. Ward estimates were produced using the MSOA level data and the mid-2011
populations for those aged 5.
Attainment at GCSE (Key Stage 4)
Data on attainment and progress provide information on achievements of pupils as measured against National Curriculum
standards. Key Stage 4 data are based on exam results for GCSE and equivalent exams. National level data for attainment,
expected progress and narrowing the gap measures include maintained state primary, middle and secondary schools (including
academies), along with city technology colleges and special schools. Attainment data in this profile is based on pupils resident in
Cheshire West and Chester local authority only, therefore will not correlate with National pupil based statistics. Due to missing
postcode data a very small number of pupils were unable to be included in counts and rates.
62.5% of pupils resident in
5 A*-G
Cheshire West and Chester
5 A*-C
5 A*-C including English and Maths achieved 5+ A*-C GCSE’s
100%
including English and Maths in
2012/13, this compares with a
North West rate of 59.9% and an
England rate of 60.6%.
80%
60%
40%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
0%
Northwich and Winsford
20%
Cheshire West &
Chester
Percentage of Pupils achieving
GCSE (Key Stage 4) attainment - 2012/2013
61.4% of pupils resident in
Northwich and Winsford locality
achieved 5+ A*-C GCSE’s
including maths and English. Ward
rates ranged from 80.4% in
Davenham and Moulton to 44.4%
in Witton and Rudheath.
Electoral wards
Source: Department for Education, adapted for wards and localities by Cheshire West and Chester Council’s Strategic Intelligence Team 2014
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Starting Well: Northwich and Winsford
Special educational needs (SEN)
Rates based on maintained Primary, Secondary and Special schools only. Rates are based on data calculated from pupils resident
in Cheshire West and Chester only. Due to missing postcode data a very small number of pupils were unable to be included in
counts and rates.
The percentage of pupils with
special educational needs in
Cheshire West and Chester was
16% in 2012/13
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Electoral wards
2011-2012
Winsford Over and
Verdin
2012-2013
Davenham and
Moulton
0%
Northwich and
Winsford
5%
Cheshire West &
Chester
Percentage of pupils
Percentage of pupils with special educational needs (2012/13)
18% of pupils resident in
Northwich and Winsford ward
have special educational needs.
The highest percentages are 24%
of pupils in Winsford Over and
Verdin ward, and 23% in Winsford
Wharton and Witton and
Rudheath wards.
Source: 2012/13 Pupil Level Annual School Census (PLASC), adapted for wards by Cheshire West and Chester Council’s Strategic Intelligence
Team 2014.
Free school meal provision
Rates based on maintained Primary, Secondary and Special schools only. Rates based on data calculated from pupils resident in
Cheshire West and Chester only. Due to missing postcode data a very small number of pupils were unable to be included in counts
and rates.
12% of pupils resident in Cheshire
West and Chester were eligible for
free school meals in 2012/13.
Percentage of pupils eligible for free school meals (2012/13)
20%
15%
10%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Electoral wards
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
2011/2012
Winsford Over and
Verdin
2012/2013
Davenham and
Moulton
0%
Northwich and
Winsford
5%
Cheshire West &
Chester
Percentage of pupils
25%
14% of pupils resident in
Northwich and Winsford were
eligible for free school meals. The
highest percentage is 22% of
pupils in Winsford Over and
Verdin ward, 20% in Winsford
Wharton and 20% in Winsford
Swanlow and Dene.
Source: 2012/13 Pupil Level Annual School Census (PLASC), adapted for wards by Cheshire West and Chester Council’s Strategic Intelligence
Team 2014
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Starting Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Population forecasts - 16-64 years (2012 based)
The base for these population forecasts is the 2012 mid-year estimate of population produced by the Office for National Statistics.
The forecasts are, in our professional opinion, based on fair assumptions and take into account levels of recent demographic
change and likely levels of future housing development (based on the Cheshire West and Chester Local Plan). The forecasts are
rounded to the nearest 100. This does not imply they are as accurate as this. All forecasts become increasingly inaccurate the
further into the future they go.
Northwich and Winsford locality is
forecast to see a decrease of 1% in
its resident population aged 16-64
in the next 20 years. The 16-44 year
old age group is expected to
decrease by 2%, whereas the 45-64
year old age group is forecast to
decrease by 1% in the next 20
years. By 2032 the resident
population of Northwich and
Winsford is forecast to be 62,900.
Population forecasts - 20 year projections based on 2012 estimates Northwich and Winsford locality
70000
60000
Population
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
2032
2030
2028
45-64
2026
2022
16-44
2024
2020
2018
2016
2014
2012
0
Source: Local forecasts produced by Strategic Intelligence from a forecast produced on 12/03/2014 using POPGROUP software
developed by Bradford Council, the University of Manchester and Andelin Associates. Data rounded to nearest 100.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 1 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Self reported health
The 2011 Census asked how a person perceives their health and asked them to rate if it is very bad, bad, fair, good or very good.
78% of adults in Cheshire West and
Chester reported that their health was
good or very good. This is higher than
the national percentage.
100%
80%
60%
40%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
0%
Cheshire West and
Chester
20%
England
Percentage of adults (16 and over)
Percentage of adults (aged 16 and over) who consider their health to
be very good or good
In Northwich and Winsford locality
77% of adults report good or very
good health. This is lower than the
borough and England average. Ward
rates range from 72% in Winsford
Swanlow and Dene to 82% in
Hartford and Greenbank. The majority
of wards in Ellesmere Port locality
report lower levels of good or very
good health than the borough
average.
Electoral wards
Source: 2011 Census Table LC3203EW General health by religion by sex by age. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics
licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
This question asked if a person perceives that they have a limiting long-term illness, health problem or disability which limits their
daily activities or the work they can do, including problems that are due to old age.
22% of adults in Cheshire West and
Chester reported that they had a longterm health problem or disability. This
is higher than the national
percentage.
100%
80%
60%
40%
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
Cheshire West and
Chester
20%
England
Percentage of adults (16 and over)
Percentage of adults (aged 16 and over) who have a long-term health
problem or disability that limits day to day activities
In Northwich and Winsford locality
22% of adults report having a long
term health problem or disability. This
is the same as the borough average,
and higher than England. Ward rates
range from 26% in Winsford Swanlow
and Dene to 18% in Davenham and
Moulton. Seven of the ten wards have
higher rates of limiting long-term
health problems than England
average.
Source: 2011 Census Table LC3207EW Long-term health problem or disability by religion by sex by age © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for
National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 2 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Mortality
Directly standardised rate per
100,000 population
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the major causes of death in under 75s in England. There have been huge gains over the
past decades in terms of better treatment for CVD and improvements in lifestyle. To ensure that there continues to be a reduction in
the rate of premature mortality from CVD, there needs to be concerted action in both prevention and treatment.
Cheshire West and Chester has significantly
lower death rates from cardiovascular diseases
than the England average - around 216 people
under the age of 75 die each year. There is
variation across the borough however, with
significantly higher mortality rates in our more
deprived areas.
Under 75 mortality rate from all cardiovascular diseases
(2011-13)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
England
2011-13
Cheshire
West and
Chester
Chester
2010-12
Directly standardised
rate per 100,000
population
200
Ellesmere Northwich
Port
and
Winsford
Rural
Localities
Northwich and Winsford locality has a higher
rate than Cheshire West and Chester and is
higher than England but the difference is not
statistically significant. Premature death rates
from cardiovascular diseases have reduced in
Northwich and Winsford locality following a
similar trend to Cheshire West and Chester and
England.
Under 75 mortality rate from all cardiovascular diseases three year pooled trend
150
100
50
0
2001-2003
2002-2004
England
2003-2005
2004-2006
2005-2007
2006-2008
Cheshire West and Chester
2007-2009
2008-2010
2009-2011
2010-2012
Northwich and Winsford
2011-2013
Directly standardised rate per
100,000 population
Cancer is the highest cause of death in England in under 75s. To ensure that there continues to be a reduction in the rate of
premature mortality from cancer, there needs to be concerted action in both prevention and treatment.
Cancer accounts for 43% of deaths in the under
Under 75 mortality rate from all cancer (2011-13)
75s in Cheshire West and Chester, around 440
200
people every year. The rate for the population of
180
Cheshire West and Chester is higher than
160
England but the difference is not statistically
140
significant. Rates are significantly higher in the
120
more deprived areas of the borough.
100
80
60
40
20
0
England
Directly standardised rate
per 100,000 population
2011-13
2010-12
Cheshire
West and
Chester
Chester
Ellesmere Northwich
Port
and
Winsford
Localities
Rural
Northwich and Winsford locality has a higher
rate of early deaths from cancer compared to
England but the difference is not statistically
significant. Premature death rates from cancer
have reduced more slowly in Northwich and
Winsford than any other locality in Cheshire
West and Chester over the last decade.
Under 75 mortality rate from all cancer 3 year pooled trend
200
150
100
50
0
2001-2003
2002-2004
England
2003-2005
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
2004-2006
2005-2007
2006-2008
Cheshire West and Chester
2007-2009
2008-2010
2009-2011
2010-2012
Northwich and Winsford
2011-2013
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Liver disease is one of the top causes of death in England and people are dying from it at younger ages. Most liver disease is
preventable and much is influenced by alcohol consumption and obesity prevalence. These are both amenable to public health
interventions.
Around 58 people under the age of 75 die
each year in Cheshire West and Chester from
liver disease. Whilst the rate is slightly higher
than the England average, the difference is
not statistically significant. Rates are
significantly higher in the more deprived areas
of the borough. Premature death rates from
liver disease have increased over the last
decade in all localities except Rural locality.
Under 75 mortality rate from all liver disease (2011-13)
Directly standardised rate per
100,000 population
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
England
Directly standardised rate
per 100,000 population
2011-13
2010-12
Cheshire
West and
Chester
Chester
Ellesmere Northwich
Port
and
Winsford
Localities
Rural
Northwich and Winsford locality has a higher
rate of deaths in under 75s from liver disease
compared to Cheshire West and Chester and
to England but the difference is not significant.
Under 75 mortality rate from all liver disease three year pooled trend
25
20
15
10
5
0
2001-2003
2002-2004
England
2003-2005
2004-2006
2005-2007
2006-2008
Cheshire West and Chester
2007-2009
2008-2010
2009-2011
2010-2012
Northwich and Winsford
2011-2013
Respiratory disease is one of the top causes of death in England in the under 75s and smoking is the major cause of chronic
obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), one of the major respiratory diseases.
Around 92 people under the age of 75 die
each year in Cheshire West and Chester from
respiratory disease. Whilst the rate is slightly
lower than the England average, the
difference is not statistically significant. Rates
are significantly higher in the more deprived
areas of the borough. Premature death rates
from respiratory diseases have reduced over
the last decade in all localities of Cheshire
West and Chester.
Directly standardised rate per
100,000 population
Under 75 mortality rate from all respiratory disease
(2011-13)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
England
Directly standardised rate
per 100,000 population
2011-13
Cheshire
West and
2010-12 Chester
Chester
Ellesmere Northwich
Port
and
Winsford
Localities
Rural
Northwich and Winsford locality has a lower
rate of deaths in the under 75s from
respiratory disease compared to England but
the difference is not significant.
Under 75 mortality rate from all respiratory disease three year pooled trend
50
40
30
20
10
0
2001-2003
2002-2004
England
2003-2005
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
2004-2006
2005-2007
2006-2008
Cheshire West and Chester
2007-2009
2008-2010
2009-2011
2010-2012
Northwich and Winsford
2011-2013
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Suicide is a significant cause of death in young adults and is seen as an indicator of underlying mental ill-health. In Cheshire West
and Chester around 29 people die each year as a result of suicide or injury of undetermined intent. Numbers of deaths are relatively
small and so care needs to be taken with interpretation. Whilst suicide rates in Cheshire West and Chester are slightly higher than
the England average, the difference is not statistically significant.
At locality level numbers become
even smaller and there is no
significant difference in any of the
locality rates compared to England.
Directly standardised rate per
100,000 population
Suicide rate (2011-13)
20
15
When suicides are grouped for
areas with similar levels of
deprivation, the more deprived
areas of the borough have a
significantly higher suicide rate than
England.
10
5
0
England
2011-13
Cheshire
West and
Chester
2010-12
Chester
Ellesmere
Port
Northwich
and
Winsford
Rural
Localities
Directly Standardised rate per
100,000 population
All age mortality rate from suicide and injury undetermined three year pooled trend
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2001-2003
2002-2004
2003-2005
England
2004-2006
2005-2007
2006-2008
Cheshire West and Chester
2007-2009
2008-2010
2009-2011
2010-2012
2011-2013
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Office for National Statistics Annual Death Extracts, Office for National Statistics mid-year population estimates 2013. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013.
Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95% chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Healthy lifestyle behaviours
The latest available small area lifestyle data for Cheshire West and Chester are modelled estimates for 2006-2008. These were
based on the Health Survey for England and other socio-demographic data and are not comparable with more recent estimates at
Local Authority level available in the Public Health Outcomes Framework for example. Note that modelled estimates cannot be used
to measure performance or change over time in individual areas. They are included here to enhance the story of locality.
The estimated percentage of the
population aged 16+ who are obese
in Cheshire West and Chester is
22.7%, lower than the England rate
of 24.2%, but not significantly.
Individuals are regarded as obese if
they have a body mass index of 30
or more.
Winsford Central
West Winsford
Winnington and North
Witton
Weaverham
Vale Royal North
Vale Royal East
South Winsford
North Winsford
Leftwich, Rudheath and
Witton
Hartford and Kingsmead
East Winsford
Davenham and Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Castle
Barnton
Northwich and Winsford
England
Cheshire West and
Chester
Estimated prevalence (%)
Obesity prevalence in adults (2006-08)
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
The estimated adult obesity rate for
Northwich and Winsford locality of
24.4% is worse than the England
rate of 24.1%, but not significantly
so.
Middle super output area
The estimated percentage of the
population aged 16+ that eat
healthily in Cheshire West and
Chester is 28.4%, similar to that of
England. Healthy eating is defined
as those who consume five or more
portions of fruit and vegetables per
day. A portion of fruit or vegetables
is defined as an 80g serving.
Healthy eating (five-a-day) prevalence in adults (2006-08)
50%
40%
30%
20%
Winsford Central
West Winsford
Winnington and North
Witton
Weaverham
Vale Royal North
Vale Royal East
South Winsford
North Winsford
Leftwich, Rudheath and
Witton
Hartford and Kingsmead
East Winsford
Davenham and Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Castle
Barnton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
England
10%
Cheshire West and
Chester
Estimated prevalence (%)
60%
The estimated rate for Northwich
and Winsford locality of 26.3% is
worse than that of the England rate
of 28.7%, but not significantly so.
Middle super output area
Smoking prevalence in adults (2006-08)
50%
40%
30%
20%
Winsford Central
Winnington and North
Witton
West Winsford
Weaverham
Vale Royal North
Vale Royal East
South Winsford
North Winsford
Leftwich, Rudheath and
Witton
Hartford and Kingsmead
East Winsford
Davenham and Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Castle
Barnton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
England
10%
Cheshire West and
Chester
Estimated Prevalence (%)
60%
The estimated percentage of the
population aged 16+ who are
current smokers in Cheshire West
and Chester is 19.7%, significantly
lower than the England rate.
Individuals are regarded as
smokers if they described
themselves as "current cigarette
smokers" in the Health Survey for
England.
The estimated smoking rate for
Northwich and Winsford locality of
21.8% is better than the England
rate of 22.2%, but not significantly
so.
Middle super output area
Source: Healthy Lifestyle Behaviours: Model Based Estimates for MSOAs. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95% chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Alcohol consumption
The estimated percentage of the population aged 16+ that binge drink is 20.1%. Binge drinking in adults is defined separately for
men and women. Men are defined as having indulged in binge drinking if they had consumed eight or more units of alcohol on the
heaviest drinking day in the previous seven days; for women the cut-off is six or more units of alcohol.
The estimated percentage of the
population aged 16+ who are binge
drinkers in Cheshire West and
Chester is 23.5%, significantly
higher than the England rate.
Winsford Central
West Winsford
Winnington and North
Witton
Weaverham
Vale Royal North
Vale Royal East
South Winsford
North Winsford
Leftwich, Rudheath and
Witton
Hartford and Kingsmead
East Winsford
Davenham and Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Castle
Barnton
Northwich and Winsford
England
Cheshire West and
Chester
Estimated Prevalence (%)
Binge drinking prevalence in adults (2006-08)
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
In 2006-08 the estimated binge
drinking rate for Northwich and
Winsford locality of 22.6% was
significantly worse than the England
rate of 20.0%.
Middle super output area
Source: Healthy Lifestyle Behaviours: Model Based Estimates for MSOAs. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95% chance of falling.
Drinkers aged twenty five and over who are drinking at increasing or higher risk levels for a sustained period of time are most likely
to suffer long-term alcohol-related illness or death.
Increasing risk drinkers (who are at an increasing risk of alcohol-related illness) are defined as men who regularly drink more than
three to four units a day or women who regularly drink more than two to three units a day but less than the higher risk levels. Higher
risk drinkers (who have a high risk of alcohol-related illness) are defined as men who regularly drink more than eight units a day or
more than fifty units of alcohol per week or women who regularly drink more than 6 units a day or more than thirty five units of
alcohol per week.
The alcohol learning centre has developed a social marketing tool which classifies each postcode in the country as one where the
majority of adults are classed as lower, increasing or higher risk drinkers.
Increasing risk %
Higher risk%
60%
40%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
Cheshire West and
Chester
20%
England
Percentage of population aged 16+
Percentage of population by alcohol harm segment
In Cheshire West and Chester 33%
of adults are classed as increasing
or higher risk drinkers, this is
compared to 39% in England.
38% of adults in Northwich and
Winsford locality are increasing or
higher risk drinkers, lower than
England. This ranges from 54% in
Witton and Rudheath ward to 18%
in Hartford and Greenbank ward.
The highest proportion of increasing
risk drinkers are in Witton and
Rudheath ward (51%) whilst the
highest proportion of higher risk
drinkers are in Winsford Over and
Verdin ward (28%).
Electoral wards
Source: Alcohol Harm Segmentation Tool, Alcohol Learning Centre © Crown Copyright 2013. Based on HEALTHAcorn 2006/07 alcohol attributable hospital
admissions from NWPHO and TGI drinking consumption levels.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Hospital admissions
Alcohol
Alcohol related hospital admissions (2012/13)
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
0
Cheshire West and
Chester
500
England
Directly standardised rate per
100,000 people
Alcohol Attributable Fractions (AAFs) are used to express the extent to which alcohol contributes to a health outcome, such as
alcohol poisoning, non-alcohol poisoning, road traffic injuries, falls, drowning, violence, and other unintentional or intentional injuries.
The sum of AAFs for relevant admissions gives a proxy for the number of whole admissions which can be attributed to alcohol.
The Cheshire West and Chester rate of hospital admissions due to alcohol harm is significantly lower than the national rate.
Based on the pre 2014 definition of
alcohol attributable fractions, the
rate in Northwich and Winsford
locality is significantly lower than
England. Winnington and Castle
ward has the highest rate, and is
the only ward that is statistically
higher than England. Four wards
are significantly lower and the
lowest being Hartford and
Greenbank ward.
Directly standardised rate
per 100,000 people
Alcohol related hospital admissions - 2012/13 monthly trend
2,000
1,900
1,800
1,700
1,600
1,500
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Cheshire West and Chester
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Northwich and Winsford
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Due to data definition changes, indicators relating to alcohol attributable fractions will be updated at a later date.
Source: Hospital Episode Statistics, NHS Information Centre. Office for National Statistics mid-year population estimates 2011. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013.
Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95% chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Economic activity and unemployment
A person aged 16 to 74 is described as economically inactive if they are not in employment but do not meet the criteria to be
classified as 'unemployed'. This includes those looking for work but not available to start work, as well as anyone not looking for
work, or unable to work - for example retired, looking after home/family, permanently sick or disabled.
In Cheshire West and Chester
29.8% of people aged 16-74 were
economically inactive on census
day. This is lower than the England
average of 30.1%
Percentage of adults (16 to 74)
Percentage of adults (aged 16 to 74) who are economically inactive
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
England
In Northwich and Winsford locality
28.8% of people were economically
inactive, this is the joint lowest
locality percentage, and lower than
England. Within Northwich and
Winsford, Winnington and Castle
ward had the lowest levels of
economic inactivity (24.6%) and
Weaver and Cuddington the highest
Electoral wards
(32.7%).
A person is classified as unemployed if they are not in employment, are available to start work in the next two weeks and have either
looked for work in the last four weeks or are waiting to start a new job.
In Cheshire West and Chester 3.3%
of people aged 16-74 were
unemployed on census day. This is
lower than in England where 4%
were unemployed.
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
Electoral Wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Cheshire West and
Chester
0.0%
Northwich and
Winsford
1.0%
England
Percentage of adults (16 to 74)
Percentage of adults (aged 16 to 74) who are unemployed
In Northwich and Winsford locality
3.9% of people were unemployed at
the time of the 2011 Census. Within
Northwich and Winsford, Shakerley
ward had the lowest levels of
unemployment (2.4%) and
Winnington and Castle the highest
(5.5%).
Source: 2011 Census Table LC6302EW Economic activity by hours worked by long-term health problem or disability. © ONS Crown Copyright
2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
In Cheshire West and Chester 7.1%
of people aged 16-24 were
unemployed on census day. This is
lower than in England where 7.5%
were unemployed.
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
England
Percentage of young people
(16 to 24)
Percentage of young people (aged 16 to 24) who are unemployed
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Northwich and Winsford locality had
the highest percentage of
unemployed young people in the
Borough (9.2%). Within Northwich
and Winsford, Hartford and
Greenbank ward had the lowest
levels of youth unemployment
(5.8%) and Winsford Over and
Verdin the highest (11.8%).
Electoral wards
Source: 2011 Census Table DC6201EW Economic activity by ethnic group by sex by age. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed
under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Business counts
Enterprise count (overall businesses) and unit count (workplaces)
Percentage of workplaces by
legal status
Units are individual sites that belong to an enterprise (e.g. a factory or shop), a unit can be referred to as a workplace. An enterprise
can be thought of as the overall business, made up of all the individual sites or workplaces. It is defined as the smallest combination
of legal units (generally based on VAT and/or PAYE records) that has a certain degree of autonomy within an enterprise group.
There were 12,195 enterprises
(overall businesses) registered for
VAT and/or PAYE in October 2014
in Cheshire West and Chester,
12,115 of these were private sector
enterprises and 80 were public
sector enterprises. There were
14,910 local units (workplaces that
belong to an enterprise) registered
for VAT and/or PAYE in October
2013 in Cheshire West and
Chester.
Businesses - count of units (workplaces) 2014
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
England
Cheshire West
and
Chester
Chester
Ellesmere Port
Private Sector
2,246,215
14,360
3,300
1,300
4,105
5,440
Public Sector
76,155
550
145
55
170
155
Northwich and
Winsford
Rural
Locality
Percentage of
businesses by legal
status
Total 2014
South Winsford
West Winsford
Winsford Central
North Winsford
East Winsford
Davenham and
Moulton
Cuddington,
Oakmere
and Whitegate
Hartford and
Kingsmead
Leftwich,
Rudheath and Witton
Castle
Weaverham
Winnington and
North Witton
Vale Royal East
Vale Royal North
Barnton
Businesses - count of units (workplaces) 2014
800
600
400
200
0
Total 2013
Businesses - count of enterprises (overall businesses) 2014
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
England
Cheshire West
and
Chester
Chester
Ellesmere Port
Private Sector
1,940,020
12,115
2,425
1,025
3,585
4,875
Public Sector
10,010
80
5
-
10
15
Northwich and
Winsford
Rural
Locality
Businesses - enterprises (overall businesses) 2014
600
400
Total 2014
South Winsford
West Winsford
Winsford Central
North Winsford
East Winsford
Davenham and
Moulton
Cuddington,
Oakmere
and Whitegate
Hartford and
Kingsmead
Leftwich,
Rudheath and Witton
Castle
Weaverham
Winnington and
North Witton
Vale Royal East
Barnton
0
Vale Royal North
200
There were 3,615 enterprises
registered for VAT and/or PAYE in
October 2014 in Northwich and
Winsford locality, 3,585 of these
were private sector enterprises and
10 were public sector enterprises.
Of these enterprises (overall
businesses) there were 4,275 local
units or workplaces that belong to
an enterprise registered for VAT
and/or PAYE in October 2014. Vale
Royal East middle super output
area recorded 530 enterprises
registered in October 2014, of these
overall businesses there were 585
local units or workplaces registered.
Vale Royal North Middle super
output area recorded 510
enterprises registered in October
2014, of these overall businesses
there were 525 local units or
workplaces registered.
Total 2013
Notes: Locality Counts have been derived by assigning Middle super output area's to Localities based on the proportion of the Middle super output
area located within each locality. Due to rounding ward totals may not sum to locality totals or Cheshire West and Chester Council total.
Source: Nomis © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 10 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Skills and qualifications
In England 22.5% of people aged 16+
do not have any qualifications,
compared to 21.0% in Cheshire West
and Chester.
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
England
Percentage of adults
(16 and over)
Percentage of adults (aged 16 and over) who have no qualifications
Within Northwich and Winsford
locality, 22.7% of adults do not have
any qualifications. The ward with the
highest percentage of unqualified
people is Winsford Swanlow and
Dene (28.8%). The lowest percentage
is Hartford and Greenbank (14.6%).
Source: 2011 Census Table QS501EW Highest Level of Qualification. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Level 3 qualifications or above include A Levels, BTEC Diplomas, HND or a foundation degree, or a bachelors degree or higher.
In Cheshire West and Chester 36.4%
of adults have a level 3 or higher
qualification, compared to 32.7% in
England.
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Witton and Rudheath
Electoral wards
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
England
Percentage of adults
(16 and over)
Percentage of adults (aged 16 and over) who have a level 3 or above
qualification
Within Northwich and Winsford
locality, 33.8% of adults have Level
3+ qualifications. The ward with the
highest percentage is Hartford and
Greenbank (45.5%). The lowest
percentage is Witton and Rudheath
(25.4%).
Source: 2011 Census Table QS501EW Highest Level of Qualification. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 11 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Claimant count (April 2015)
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow and Dene
Electoral wards
Winsford Over and Verdin
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Davenham and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
England
Percentage of people aged 16-64
Job seekers allowance claimant count records the number of people claiming job seekers allowance and national insurance credits
at Job Centre Plus local offices. This is not an official measure of unemployment, but is the only indicative statistic available for
areas smaller than Local Authority.
There were 2,076 claimants of job
Job seekers allowance (inc national insurance credits)
seekers allowance in Cheshire West
claimants - April 2015
and Chester in April 2015, giving a
2.0%
claimant rate of 1.0%, significantly
1.8%
lower than the England rate of 1.8%
1.6%
for the same time period.
1.4%
1.2%
There were 559 claimants of job
1.0%
seekers allowance in Northwich and
0.8%
Winsford locality in April 2015, giving
0.6%
a claimant rate of 0.9%, significantly
0.4%
lower than the England rate and in
line with the Cheshire West and
0.2%
Chester rate. At a ward level, rates
0.0%
vary from 0.5% in Hartford and
Greenbank ward to 1.5% in
Winnington and Castle ward, which is
significantly higher than the borough
rate.
Source: Claimant counts ONS Crown copyright reserved.
People aged 16-64 who claim job seekers allowance
Percentage of people
aged 16-64
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
September 2014
October 2014
England
November 2014
December 2014
Cheshire West and Chester
January 2015
February 2015
March 2015
April 2015
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Department for work and pensions Tabulation Tool, Working Age Client Group Data. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95%
chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 12 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Crime
Rate per 1,000
population
60
40
20
0
England
Cheshire
West and
Chester
All crime (excl. ASB) 2013-2014
Chester
Ellesmere
Northwich
Port
and Winsford
Rural
Neighbourhood localities
All crime (excl. ASB) 2012-2013
Outcome of crimes 2013/14
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
England
Cheshire Northwich
Chester Ellesmere Northwich
Rural
West and
and
Port
and
Chester
Winsford
Winsford
Offender dealt with at court
Offender dealt with by police
Offender sent to court
All recorded crime incidents 2013/14
150
100
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford
Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Electoral wards
2012-2013
The "all recorded crime" rate in
Northwich and Winsford locality was
38.9 per 1,000 resident population.
This is statistically lower than the
borough and England rate. The
highest ward rate in Northwich and
Winsford locality is Winnington and
Castle ward with a rate of 105.8, this
is significantly higher than the
borough and England rate. The
lowest rate was 19.9 in Weaver and
Cuddington ward, significantly lower
than England and Cheshire West and
Chester. Northwich and Winsford has
a higher level of anti-social behaviour
and other crime compared to the
national rate.
All recorded crime incidents by type 2013/14
15
10
England
Cheshire West and Chester
Other
crime
Other
theft
Violent
crime
Vehicle
Crime
Shoplifting
Public
disorder
and
weapons
Drugs
0
Criminal
damage
and
arson
5
Burglary
Rate per 1,000
population
2013-2014
Northwich and
Winsford
0
Cheshire West and
Chester
50
England
Rate per 1,000
population
Percentage of crimes
The data used are provided by the
police.uk crime mapper system, and
are generated by the Cheshire Police
Crime Management and Command
and Control systems. The data are
provided to the Home Office and
cleaned before being made available
for analysis. The "all recorded crime"
rate for Cheshire West and Chester
was 45.5 recorded crimes per 1,000
resident population in 2013/14. This is
statistically lower than the England
rate of 57.1 per 1,000.
All recorded crime incidents 2013/14
80
Northwich and Winsford
Rate per 1,000 people
All recorded crime incidents rate per 1,000 people
80
60
40
20
0
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Jan-Mar
2011/12
England
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
2012/13
Cheshire West & Chester
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Jan-Mar
2013/14
Northwich and Winsford
Source: police.uk Crime and Anti-social behaviour incidents, published by Home Office. © Crown Copyright 2014. Licensed under the Open Government Licence
v.1.0.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95% chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 13 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Killed or seriously injured road traffic collisions (2011-2013)
There were 58 people killed or
seriously injured per 100,000
residents in Cheshire West and
Chester between 2011-2013, this is
a significantly higher rate compared
to the England rate of 40.
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow and
Dene
Winsford Over and Verdin
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Davenham and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Killed and seriously injured by road traffic collisions (2011-2013)
Cheshire West and
Chester
400.0
350.0
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
England
Rate per 100,000 population
Motor vehicle traffic accidents are a major cause of preventable deaths and morbidity, particularly in younger age groups. For
children and men aged 20-64 years, mortality rates for motor vehicle accidents are higher in areas of increased deprivation.The
statistics refer to personal injury collisions on public roads which become known to the police within 30 days. Confirmed suicides are
excluded. Seriously injured refers to an injury for which a person is detained in hospital as an 'in-patient', or the following injuries
irrespective of whether they were detained in hospital: fractures, concussion, internal injuries, crushings, burns, severe cuts, severe
general shock requiring medical treatment and injuries causing death 30 or more days after the collision. Numbers are located at
place of collision and not the residence of the casualty.
There were 57.2 road traffic
collisions per 100,000 where
someone was killed or seriously
injured in Northwich and Winsford
between 2011-2013. Significantly
higher than England.
Rate per 100,000 population
Killed and seriously injured by road traffic collisions three year pooled trend
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
2005-2007
2006-2008
England
2007-2009
2008-2010
Cheshire West and
Chester
2009-2011
2010-2012
2011-2013
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Department for Transport, Killed and seriously injured 2014, may not correlate with locally published data as this includes motorways.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 14 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Deliberate fire incidents
In 2013/14 there were 490 deliberate fires in Cheshire West and Chester, deliberate fires include those fires where deliberate
ignition is merely suspected. 72 (15%) were classified as primary fires. Primary fires are classed as all fires in buildings and vehicles
that are not derelict or in outdoor structures, any fires involving casualties or rescues and any fire attended by five or more
appliances. Secondary fires are the majority of outdoor fires including grassland and refuse fires, unless these involve casualties or
rescues, property loss or unless five or more appliances attend. Secondary fires include fires in derelict buildings. The overall
deliberate fire rate was 14.8 per 10,000 people. There has been an overall fall in the number of deliberate fires of 45% between
2009/10 and 2013/14. Primary fires have fallen faster than secondary fires, though both have shown a decrease.
Deliberate fire incident rate 2013/14
Rate per 10,000 population
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Cheshire West
and Chester
Chester
Deliberate Primary Fires
Ellesmere Port Northwich and
Winsford
Neighbourhood localities
Deliberate Secondary (Small) Fires
Rural
In Northwich and Winsford locality
there were 138 deliberate fires,
giving a deliberate fire rate of 13.7
per 10,000 people. Lower than the
borough rate. 13% of these
deliberate fires were classed as
primary fires. There has been a fall
of 56% in the overall number of
deliberate fires in the Northwich and
Winsford locality, the largest
compared to other localities in the
borough.
Rate per 10,000
population
Trend of deliberate fire incidents
40
30
20
10
0
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
Cheshire West and Chester
2012/13
2013/14
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Cheshire Fire & Rescue Service, Fire Incident Data (2013/14)
Number of Fire Incidents (2011/12 to 2013/14)
Source: Cheshire Fire & Rescue Service, Fire Incident Data (2009-2014).
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 15 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Housing tenure
Housing tenure information helps the council assess changes in housing demand and allocate resources to revise and develop
housing plans and policies. It also allows better understanding of the make-up of social and privately rented accommodation. 71% of
households in Cheshire West and Chester own their own houses, higher than the England rate of 63%.
71% of households in Cheshire
West and Chester own their own
home.
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow and
Dene
Winnington and Castle
Winsford Over and Verdin
Electoral wards
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Davenham and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and Chester
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
England
Percentage of households
Housing tenure - owned
15% of households in the borough
rent from social landlords, a further
13% rent from private landlords,
both rates are lower than the
England rates.
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Over and Verdin
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Electoral wards
Winsford Swanlow and Dene
Private rented
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Davenham and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and Chester
0%
England
Percetnage of households
Housing tenure - rented
Social Rented
73% of households in Northwich
and Winsford own their own homes,
higher than the borough rate. Rates
of home ownership are highest in
Marbury (82%) and Hartford and
Greenbank (80%) wards. Lowest
rates of home ownership in
Northwich and Winsford are located
in Winsford Over and Verdin (63%)
and Winnington and Castle (62%).
Northwich and Winsford has lower
levels of social rented and private
rented households compared to
England. Winsford Over and Verdin
has the highest rate of social rented
homes in the locality (26%), and
Winnington and Castle has the
highest rate of private rented (22%).
Source: 2011 census table KS402EW: Tenure. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 16 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
House prices
The median price for a house in
Cheshire West and Chester was
£164,000 in 2013/14. This is
£21,000 lower than the England
median.
Median house price by ward 2013/14
£300,000
£200,000
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and
Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
£0
England
£100,000
The median price for a property in
Northwich and Winsford locality is
£148,000. This is 10% lower than
the borough median and 20% lower
than the England.
The median price for a semi
detached house in Northwich and
Winsford is £130,000 which is 22%
lower than the national median.
Properties are cheapest in Winsford
Wharton ward, where a terraced
house costs £77,500. The highest
median price for a semi detached
house was £165,000 in Hartford and
Greenbank ward.
Median house price by type - 2013/14
£300,000
£250,000
£200,000
£150,000
£100,000
£50,000
£0
All
Detached
England
Semi Detached
Cheshire West & Chester
Terraced
Northwich and Winsford
Median house price trend
£200,000
£150,000
£100,000
£50,000
2009/10
2010/11
England
2011/12
Cheshire West and Chester
2012/13
Jan-Mar
Oct-Dec
Jul-Sep
Apr-Jun
Jan-Mar
Oct-Dec
Jul-Sep
Apr-Jun
Jan-Mar
Oct-Dec
Jul-Sep
Apr-Jun
Jan-Mar
Oct-Dec
Jul-Sep
Apr-Jun
Jan-Mar
Oct-Dec
Jul-Sep
Apr-Jun
£0
2013/14
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Price Paid Data, Land Registry. © Crown Copyright 2013. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 17 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Warm homes
Fuel poverty
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
Witton & Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
& Dene
Winsford Over &
Verdin
Winnington &
Castle
Weaver &
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford &
Greenbank
Davenham &
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and Chester
0%
England
Percentage of households in fuel poverty
Under the low income high costs definition, a household is considered to be fuel poor if: they have required fuel costs that are above
average (the national median level) and were they to spend that amount, they would be left with a residual income below the official
poverty line.
Cheshire West and Chester has
Fuel poverty (Low income high cost) 2012
9.4% of households living in fuel
14%
poverty, significantly lower than the
12%
10.4% of England.
Northwich and Winsford has 8.9%
of households living in fuel poverty,
significantly lower than both
England and Cheshire West and
Chester. At ward level, Witton and
Rudheath has 11.5% of households
experiencing fuel poverty,
significantly higher than both
England and Cheshire West and
Chester.
Electoral wards
Percentage of households
in fuel poverty
Fuel poverty trend
15%
10%
5%
0%
England
2011
Cheshire West and Chester
2012
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Fuel Poverty Index 2012, Department for Energy and Climate Change (DECC)
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95%
chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 18 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Energy consumption
Winnington and North
Witton
Winnington and North
Witton
Weaverham
Weaverham
West Winsford
Vale Royal North
Vale Royal North
West Winsford
Vale Royal East
Vale Royal East
South Winsford
North Winsford
Leftwich, Rudheath
and Witton
Hartford
and Kingsmead
East Winsford
Davenham
and Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Castle
Barnton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
England
Gas consumption in kilowatt
hours per year
Annual energy consumption in Great Britain, covers all gas distributed through the national transmission system. The department for
energy and climate change uses the gas industry standard "Annual Quantity" (AQ) cut-off point of 73,200 kw/h and classifies all
consumers using under the annual amount as domestic consumers. Gas consumption statistics cover the gas year (1st october to
30th December). Domestic electricty consumption is is based on domestic meter readings and approximately 20% estimated
readings. The sub-national gas and electricity consumption statistics use varying methodology and cover slightly different time
periods. Despite these differences, the combined electricity and gas provide a good indication of overall annual household energy
consumption.
Average household gas consumption (KWh/year) 2005-2011
Middle super output area
South Winsford
North Winsford
Leftwich, Rudheath
and Witton
Hartford
and Kingsmead
East Winsford
Davenham
and Moulton
Cuddington, Oakmere
and Whitegate
Castle
Barnton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
England
Electricity consumption in kilowatt
hours per year
Average household electricity consumption (KWh/year) 2005-2011
Middle super output area
Source: Domestic Energy Consumption (2005-2011), Neighbourhood Statistics. © Crown Copyright 2013. Licensed under the Open Government
Licence v.1.0.
Central heating
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
England
Percentage of households with no
central heating
Houses with no central heating
4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
Electoral wards
Source: 2011 Census Table QS415EW Central heating. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
Page 19 of 22
Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Fixed broadband performance
Broadband performance is based on a snapshot of data provided by the largest fixed broadband providers in the UK for the period of June
to July 2013. Due to variations in broadband performance over time the data should not be regarded as a definitive and fixed view of the
UK's fixed broadband infrastructure. The average speeds at ward level represent the average speed that ward consumers actually receive
(based on average speed per postcode), which drives the speed at which files can be uploaded or downloaded.
Cheshire West and Chester has an
overall average fixed broadband
speed of 13.4 mbits/second, slower
than the United Kingdom average of
22.7 mbits/second.
20
15
10
Electoral Wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow and Dene
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Average speed 2012
Winsford Over and Verdin
Average speed 2013
Davenham and Moulton
Cheshire West and
Chester
0
Northwich and Winsford
5
United Kingdom
Average speed mbits/second
Fixed broadband performance snapshot June-July 2013
25
Northwich and Winsford locality has
similar average broadband speeds to
Cheshire West and Chester, but
slower than the United Kingdom.
Speeds vary across the locality, with
fastest speeds experienced in
Winnington and Castle, Hartford and
Greenbank and Davenham and
Moulton wards. Slowest speeds can
be found in Shakerley ward.
Source: Ofcom fixed line broadband postcode level May 2013. Locality and ward level average speeds have been calculated using postcode level
average speeds. All postcodes with status's marked 'No premises', 'No data', 'Insufficient premises', 'Insufficient data' have been omitted from
calculations.
Benefits
Council tax benefit
Those persons liable for paying council tax and are on a low income (whether they are working or not), may be able to get help to
pay their council tax. Council tax benefit is based on the income, capital and the circumstances of the person, their partner and their
household. Council tax benefit is available to both those who are in rental accommodation and those with a mortgage. If a person is
not entitled to council tax benefit because their income or capital is too high, they may still be able to claim second adult rebate. A
person could receive up to 25% off their council tax bill if the other adults living in their home are on a low income.
Cheshire West and Chester has a
council tax benefit claimant rate of
16.3% based on Census 2011
dwelling counts.
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
Electoral wards
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Council Tax 2013
Witton and Rudheath
Council Tax 2014
Davenham and
Moulton
0%
Northwich and
Winsford
5%
Cheshire West &
Chester
Percentage of households claiming
council tax benefit
Percentage of households who claim council tax benefit 2014
35%
Northwich and Winsford locality has
a council tax benefit claimant rate of
17.0%, which is higher than the
borough rate of 16.3%. The highest
ward rate is Winsford Over and
Verdin (25.9%) and the lowest is
Hartford and Greenbank (9.5%)
Source: Council Tax Benefit Counts, Revenues and Benefits Team, Cheshire West and Chester Council Aug 2014. Claimant rates are calculated
as a percentage of Census 2011.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Housing benefit
Those persons on a low income (whether they are working or not), may be able to get housing benefit to help them pay their rent.
Housing benefit is based on the income, capital and the circumstances of the person, their partner and their household. Housing
benefit is not paid to help pay a mortgage. From 1st January 2012 if you're single and under 35 you can only get housing benefit for
bed-sit accommodation or one room in shared accommodation.
Cheshire West and Chester has a
housing benefit claimant rate of
14.6% based on Census 2011
dwelling counts.
20%
15%
10%
Housing Benefit 2014
Housing Benefit 2013
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
and Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
0%
Northwich and Winsford
5%
Cheshire West and
Chester
Percentage of Households claiming
housing benefit
Percentage of households who claim housing benefit 2014
25%
Northwich and Winsford locality has
a housing benefit claimant rate of
15.2%, which is higher than the
borough rate of 14.6%. The highest
ward rate is Winsford Over and
Verdin (24.6%) and the lowest is
Hartford and Greenbank (8.8%)
Electoral wards
Source: Housing Benefit Counts, Revenues and Benefits Team, Cheshire West and Chester Council 2014. Claimant rates are calculated as a
percentage of Census 2011.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Living and Working Well: Northwich and Winsford
Recycling and waste services
% of all collections
Cheshire West and Chester Council has a legal duty to collect household waste. Recyclable waste is collected weekly along with
kitchen waste, household waste is collected fortnightly. The council carries out over 16 million kerbside collections of household
waste each year and has a successful collection rate of 99.9%1.
99.92% of collections in Cheshire
Waste collections made successfully - 2013/14
West and Chester were made
100%
successfully in 2013/14.
98%
There is little difference between
locality collection rates. Northwich
and Winsford locality recorded a
collection rate of 99.94%
96%
94%
92%
90%
Cheshire West
and Chester
Chester
Ellesmere Port Northwich and
Winsford
Rural
% of households
The annual recycling rate for the borough is 57.5% which is significantly higher than the national performance level recorded for
England at 44.2% for the 2013 calendar year.
The Cheshire West and Chester
Kerbside recycling rate - quarterly trend
kerbside recycling rate for 2013/14
70%
stood at 57.4%. This differs slightly
60%
from the borough wide recycling
rate of 57.5% as it only incorporates
50%
waste collected via the collections
40%
made to households as opposed to
other household waste the authority
30%
manages.
20%
10%
0%
2013/14 Q1
2013/14 Q2
2013/14 Q3
Cheshire West and Chester
2013/14 Q4
2014/15 Q1
Northwich and Winsford
Note 1: The successful collection percentage is derived from system generated data on non collection reports for all waste containers versus the
estimated annual number of collections made to Cheshire West and Chester households. When apportioned by locality, it is possible some non
addressable records will be excluded from the locality specific sub-categories.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Living & Working Well Profile
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Ageing Well: Northwich and Winsford
Population aged 65+
Locality population estimates are calculated using 2013 mid-year population estimates for electoral wards in England and Wales.
These estimates are consistent with the results of the 2011 Census and are available for 2012 electoral ward boundaries – the
boundaries in place at 30th June 2013 when the estimates were taken.
2013 Mid year population estimates
England
36,200
Cheshire West and Chester
21,300
8,400
Northwich and Winsford
10,600
5,700
2,200
Davenham and Moulton
1,270
730
220
Hartford and Greenbank
950
510
1,530
Marbury
760
580
Shakerley
0%
20%
200
410
760
Witton and Rudheath
180
510
880
Winsford Wharton
210
690
980
Winsford Swanlow and Dene
460
370
1,300
Winsford Over and Verdin
170
940
620
Winnington and Castle
260
310
1,750
Weaver and Cuddington
210
170
430
40%
65-74
60%
75-84
Cheshire West and Chester has
an estimated 65,900 residents
aged 65 or over. They account for
20% of all residents, slightly
higher than the England
proportion of 17%. One third
(33%) of people in Cheshire West
and Chester aged 65 or over live
in Rural locality. As well as having
the highest number of older
residents, Rural locality has the
highest proportion with 25% of
residents aged 65+.
160
80%
There are around 18,500
residents in Northwich and
Winsford locality aged 65 or over.
Residents aged 65 or over
account for 18% of the locality
total population, lower than the
borough proportion but higher
than England.
100%
85+
Source: ONS 2013 Mid Year population estimates (rounded)
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Ageing Well
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Ageing Well: Northwich and Winsford
Population forecasts - 65+ (2012 based)
The base for these population forecasts is the 2012 mid-year estimate of population produced by the Office for National Statistics.
The forecasts are, in our professional opinion, based on fair assumptions and take into account levels of recent demographic
change and likely levels of future housing development (based on the Cheshire West and Chester Local Plan). The forecasts are
rounded to the nearest 100. This does not imply they are as accurate as this. All forecasts become increasingly inaccurate the
further into the future they go.
Northwich and Winsford locality is
expected to see a 70% increase
in its resident population aged 65
and over in the next 20 years, this
is the largest percentage increase
in residents aged 65 and over
amongst all localities. The oldest
age group 85 and over is
expected to increase by 163%. By
2032 the resident population aged
65 and over in Northwich and
Winsford is forecast to be 30,300.
Population forecasts - 20 year projections based on 2012 estimates Northwich and Winsford locality
35000
Population
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
65-74
75-84
2032
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2012
0
85+
Source: Local forecasts produced by Strategic Intelligence from a forecast produced on 12/03/2014 using POPGROUP software
developed by Bradford Council, the University of Manchester and Andelin Associates. Data rounded to nearest 100.
Income Deprivation Affecting Older People (65+) Index
The Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Index (IDAOPI) is a supplementary index of the Index of Multiple Deprivation 2010
(IMD2010). It looks at the proportion of an area's population aged 60 and over who are on income support, income-based
Jobseeker’s Allowance or Pension Credit (Guarantee). This includes claimants aged 60 and over and their partners (if also aged 60
or over). National quintiles 1 and 2 (Q1 and Q2) describe those areas of Cheshire West and Chester that are amongst the 40%
most deprived in England using the IDAOPI. The chart shows the proportion of the local population aged 65 and over that live in
each national quintile of lower super output areas.
Income Deprivation Affecting Older People aged 65+
Quintile 1 - Most Deprived 20% Nationally
Q2
Q3
Q4
Quintile 5 - Least Deprived 20% Nationally
80%
60%
40%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow and Dene
Winsford Over and Verdin
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Davenham and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
Cheshire West and Chester
20%
England
Percentage of population
100%
Most older people in Cheshire
West and Chester live in relatively
less deprived areas. There are
however around 8% of residents
aged 65 and over who live in the
20% most deprived areas in
England in terms of the IDAOPI.
There is variation across the
borough.
In Northwich and Winsford
locality, 7% of people aged 65
and over live within Q1 (most
deprived) areas. This increases to
30% of Winsford Over and Verdin
ward residents. In contrast, 89%
of Hartford and Greenbank
residents live in Q5, the 20% least
derived areas of England.
Electoral wards
Source: Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG), ONS 2013 Mid year population estimates
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Ageing Well
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Ageing Well: Northwich and Winsford
Mortality (Provisional Data)
Excess winter deaths
More deaths occur in the winter months compared with the summer. The excess winter deaths index (EWD Index) is the excess
winter deaths expressed as a ratio of the expected deaths based on the non-winter deaths.
On average, for the five year period 2009/10 to 2013/14, Cheshire West and Chester had 181 excess winter deaths a year.
Represented as an index this is 18, meaning that there were 18% more deaths in the winter period (Dec-Mar) compared to the nonwinter period. This is slightly higher than the England average of 16%.
With 12% more deaths in the
winter periods, Northwich and
Winsford locality is lower than
Cheshire West and Chester but
there is no significant difference.
There appears to be a slight
downward trend but care needs to
be taken interpreting small
numbers, particularly at ward
level. There are no significant
differences at ward level.
Excess Winter Death Index
5 Periods Pooled (2009/10 to 2013/14)
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
& Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and Chester
-40%
England
Excess winter death index
100%
Electoral Wards
EWD Index (%) 09-10 to 13-14
EWD Index (%) 08-09 to 12-13
Excess winter death index
Excess Winter Death Trend
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2001-02 to
2005-06
2002-03 to
2006-07
2003-04 to
2007-08
England and Wales
2004-05 to
2008-09
2005-06 to
2009-10
2006-07 to
2010-11
Cheshire West and Chester
2007-08 to
2011-12
2008-09 to
2012-13
2009-10 to
2013-14
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Office for National Statistics Annual Death Extracts. © ONS Crown Copyright 2014. Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open
Government Licence v.1.0.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95%
chance of falling.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Ageing Well
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Ageing Well: Northwich and Winsford
Hospital admissions
Falls (residents aged 65 and over)
Directly
standardised rate
per 100,000 people
aged 65+
Electoral wards
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow and
Dene
Winsford Over and Verdin
Winnington and Castle
Weaver and Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and Greenbank
Davenham and Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and
Chester
England
Directly standardised rate per 100,000
people aged 65+
Provisional data for 2014/15 indicates there were nearly 1,600 admissions for people aged 65 and over with an injury diagnosis
caused by a fall. The rate of admissions for residents in this age group is significantly higher compared to the England rate.
(Provisional 2014/15 rate uses 2013 population estimate and will change when 2014 population is applied)
Northwich and Winsford locality
Emergency hospital admissions due to falls resulting in injury (2014/15)
has a significantly higher
5,000
admission rate than England with
4,500
Shakerley ward, Winnington and
4,000
Castle ward, Winsford Over and
3,500
3,000
Verdin ward, Winsford Swanlow
2,500
and Dene ward and Winsford
2,000
Wharton also being significantly
1,500
higher. Weaver and Cuddington
1,000
500
ward had the highest number with
0
80 admissions in the year,
however the highest rate was in
Shakerley ward.
Emergency hospital admissions due to falls resulting in injury trend
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2012/13
2013/14
Cheshire West and Chester
England
2014/15
Northwich and Winsford
Source: Hospital Episode Statistics, NHS Information Centre.
Note: "Whisker" lines represent 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), these indicate the range within which the true value of the indicator has a 95%
chance of occurring.
Self reported health (residents aged 65 and over)
In the 2011 Census, this question asked how a person perceives their health, and asked them to rate if it is very bad, bad, fair, good
or very good.
52% of Cheshire West and
Chester residents aged 65 and
over reported that their health was
very good or good. This is higher
than the England rate of 49%.
100%
80%
60%
40%
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
& Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
0%
Cheshire West and
Chester
20%
England
Percentage of adults (65 and over)
Percentage of adults (aged 65 and over) who consider their health to be
very good or good
48% of residents aged 65 and
over in Northwich and Winsford
locality record their general health
as very good or good. This is
slightly lower than the England
rate.
Electoral Wards
Source: 2011 Census Table LC3203EW General health by religion by sex by age. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for National Statistics
licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Ageing Well
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Integrated Strategic Needs Assessment
Cheshire West and Chester Locality Profile
Ageing Well: Northwich and Winsford
Older people living alone
Lone pensioner households include sheltered accommodation units in establishments where 50% or more have their own kitchens.
In Cheshire West and Chester 13.2% of
households are single pensioner households,
this compares to 12.4% in England and
Wales.
Electoral wards
Aged 65+
Witton and Rudheath
Winsford Wharton
Winsford Swanlow
& Dene
Winsford Over and
Verdin
Winnington and
Castle
Weaver and
Cuddington
Shakerley
Marbury
Hartford and
Greenbank
Davenham and
Moulton
Northwich and Winsford
Cheshire West and Chester
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
England
Percentage of all households
Percentage of households that consist of a pensioner (65+)
living alone
Northwich and Winsford locality has the
lowest percentage of older people living alone
in the borough, 11.7% of those aged 65+ and
7% aged 75+ live alone in the locality.
Weaver and Cuddington ward has the highest
percentage of both 65+ (15.1%) and 75+
(9.6%) usual residents living alone. Winsford
Wharton ward has the lowest percentage of
lone pensioner households in Northwich and
Winsford locality.
Aged 75+
Source: 2011 Census Tables KS105EW Household Composition and QS110EW Adult Lifestage. © ONS Crown Copyright 2013. Office for
National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Assisted household waste collections
Cheshire West and Chester Council operates an assisted collection service for residents who may experience difficulties in placing
their bin out for collection and do not have anyone to assist them. (Note that the need for assistance is not necessarily age related)
Cheshire West and Chester made
assisted collections to 10,618
households in 2013/14, giving an
assisted collection rate of 6.9%.
Chester locality has the lowest
rate of assisted collections in the
borough with 6.2% of households
receiving assistance, compared to
Ellesmere Port where 8.0% of
households receive assistance.
Household waste collections - assisted collections - all ages
2013/14
9%
% of all households
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
There were 2,888 assisted
collections in Northwich and
Winsford locality in 2013/14.
2%
1%
0%
Cheshire West
and Chester
Chester
Ellesmere Port Northwich and
Winsford
Rural
Source: Cheshire West and Chester Waste management team.
Contact: Strategic Intelligence Team, June 2015
Email: research@cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk
LocalityDashboard_FINAL_V2- RS 2015-06-01: Ageing Well
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