John Poppelaars - Platform Wiskunde Nederland
Transcription
John Poppelaars - Platform Wiskunde Nederland
De praktijk van de wiskundige optimalisatie Google leergang vernieuwing wiskundeonderwijs John Poppelaars januari 2014 Weer een millennium probleem opgelost! Wiskunde is super actueel! Van wandelingen door de stad.. 3 ..naar de kortste weg willen vinden om… 4 ..niets te willen missen. TSP China: 71,009 steden Miljoenenjacht 6 Wiskunde verslaat de wet van Moore! 7 9 10 ORTEC Company facts Solutions, facts, and results ORTEC Netherlands ORTEC France ORTEC Belgium ORTEC Germany ORTEC USA (1981) (1993) (1997) (1998) (2000) ORTEC Switzerland (2007) ORTEC Romania (2008) ORTEC United Kingdom (2008) ORTEC Singapore (2009) ORTEC Australia (2010) Customers: 1550+ Countries: 40+ Turnover: €60M+ Years active: 30+ Industry focus Production 11 Transport Retail Oil, Gas and Chemicals Professional services Health Manufacturing and Construction Sports De perfecte schaatswereld een matrix? 12 Analytisch project = gestructureerde denkactiviteit 13 Communicatie & Implementatie Communicatie en implementatie Scenario’s & Gevoeligheidsanalyse Modelbouw & Model validatie Oplossen van het probleem Data verzamelen & Data analyse Framing Vaststellen probleem Uit vele vaatjes tappen Statistiek Exacte Methoden Simuleren & Voorspellen Heuristieken 14 Modelleren Is Een Kunst 15 De praktijk: Optimalisatie bij TNT Express Express Complex Network reconfigurations Regulations Highly volatile demand 17 Tight service requirements TNT ambitie Betere service Unit cost reduction 18 Beter & sneller op feiten gebaseerd beslissen What is the best network? Once a week: = Low cost, low service 19 Each day: = High cost, high service The hub and spoke alternative Each day: low cost, high service 20 Visualizing the network performance proved a goldmine of opportunities Volume information 21 Italian network MCL, savez-vous réellement ce que vous décidez? Jouer? http://tnt-ortec-game.nl 22 Hoge nood 23 Stap voor stap 0 Infrastructure and service scenario 1 ROAD optimisation model 2 AIR optimisation model (between all depots) (airports to hubs + hub to hub) 3 PUD optimisation model 4 Warehouse calculation model (pickup and delivery) Optimalisatie in de boardroom 25 Scenario examples (on randomized data) Service impact 1. Low Cost 95% 26 2. Medium Cost 79% 3. High Cost 72% 4. Extreme Cost 62% Overleven OSL X TKU HEL X SVG X ORB TLL VST ARN EDI BFS X GOT X SNN X DUB MME BLL LPL X MMX ORK X EMA GDN X CWL STN TXL HAJ WAW ERF RNS NUE CDG KTW PRG BRQ BSL MUC X VGO BOD OPO LYS VIE BUD X GVA LIN TSF LJU VIT TLS OTP BLQ MAD LIS MRS ZAZ X BCN PSR VLC SOF CIA IST SVQ X Airport closure CTA New airport Unchanged airport 27 ATH GO-Program Optimization solutions Communities of Practice GOAcademy Cumulative savings from 2008-2011: € 207 mln 28 Edelman award 2012 Tom’s ladder… 30 Shift from information to intelligence economy 31 John.poppelaars@ortec.com @ORatWork www.john-poppelaars.blogspot.nl 32 Reading material 33 Curriculum Vitae John Poppelaars Background Selected Experience Specialization John Poppelaars is Director of Consulting for the ORTEC Consulting Group, a business division of ORTEC. John is a specialist in the field of logistics, supply chain optimization, and workforce planning and scheduling, and a passionate proponent of Operations Research as a key business enabler. Throughout his 23 year career, he has applied the business maxim of 'improving decision-making quality' to numerous projects across a myriad of industries in order to support clients to optimize their businesses with the very latest optimization techniques. Logistics Supply Chain Optimisation Risk Management Years of Experience: 23 Education Erasmus University (NL) Econometrics (MSc) Expertise Functional Expertise John was part of the team of TNT Express, ORTEC and Tilburg University that was elected winner of the INFORMS Franz Edelman Award Supply Chain Design and Optimization Transport and Distribution optimization Workforce Planning & Scheduling Industry Expertise 34 Postal & Express Logistics Oil & Gas John.poppelaars@ortec.com Healthcare @ORatWork