Daily Market Report
Transcription
Daily Market Report
Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange November 10 2014 ` TASI Index Turnover (SAR mn) 9,688.7 8,555.9 Global commentary TASI Intra Day Movement 15:30 15:15 15:00 14:45 14:30 14:15 14:00 13:45 13:30 13:15 Previous Close 13:00 12:45 12:15 12:00 11:45 11:30 11:15 11:00 12:30 Intraday 9,700 9,680 9,660 9,640 9,620 9,600 9,580 9,560 9,540 Research Department research@alrajhi-capital.com Tel:+966 11 211 9332/Fax: +966 11 2119422 0.41% 17% In the US, major retailers will begin posting financial results for the period which is likely to impact the market direction as consumer sentiment and consumer confidence are at the highest levels. On the economic front, the week will start with the data on wholesale inventories on Wednesday. Data pertaining to jobless claims will be released on Thursday. On Friday, data on Retail sales and Consumer Sentiment Index will be released. In Europe, the week starts with the quarterly inflation report by the Bank of England (BOE) which will be released on Wednesday. Inflation data of Germany will be released on Thursday followed by a monthly report of the ECB on the prevailing economic situation. GDP data of Germany and the Eurozone will be released on Friday. GCC markets advanced on Sunday. Abu Dhabi and Qatar markets gained after index compiler MSCI raised the two countries’ weights in its emerging markets index in a move facilitating inflow of fresh foreign funds. Abu Dhabi added 1.6% on the back of First Gulf Bank (FGB). Dubai gained 1.1% on Emaar Properties and Dubai Islamic Bank. Qatar rose 0.8% on Qatar National Bank and Industries Qatar. The indices of Kuwait and Bahrain added 0.7% and 0.1% respectively while Oman slipped 0.2%. Asian markets are trading positive this morning as regulators announce that the link between the Hong Kong and Shanghai exchanges will commence in a week. The Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite indices are trading 1.7% and 1.2% higher. The KOSPI is trading up 1.0% while the Nikkei is trading down 0.5%. TASI – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Thousands Turnover (LHS, SAR bn) TASI Index (RHS) 10 10,400 10,200 10,000 9,800 9,600 9,400 9,200 8 6 4 2 9-Nov 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct - Regional Indices WTD% 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.6 1.1 -0.2 0.1 0.5 YTD% 13.5 31.9 -4.9 13.4 32.1 1.0 15.5 12.4 Major Com m odities / Currencies Close 1D % WTD % Gold Spot $/Oz 1,173 -0.4 -0.4 Silver Spot $/Oz 15.82 0.2 0.2 Crude Oil (Brent) 83.78 0.5 0.5 OPEC Basket 78.27 0.2 -4.5 Euro 1.25 0.2 0.2 USD Index 87.38 -0.3 -0.3 JPY 114.200 0.4 0.4 YTD % -2.7 -18.7 -21.2 -27.5 -9.5 9.2 -7.8 Major Global Indices Close DJ Industrial 17,574 S&P 500 2,032 Nikkei 225 16,759 Hang seng 23,936 FTSE 100 6,567 CAC 40 4,190 MSCI World 1,707 MSCI EM 988 YTD % 6.0 9.9 2.9 2.7 -2.7 -2.5 2.8 -1.5 KSA (TASI) Qatar (DSM) Kuw ait (KSE) Abu Dhabi (ADSM) Dubai (DFM) Oman (MSM30) Bahrain (BSE) MSCI GCC Close 9,689 13,692 7,183 4,867 4,453 6,905 1,443 626 1D% 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.6 1.1 -0.2 0.1 0.5 TASI gained 40 points yesterday TASI rose 0.4% on Sunday, continuing its recovery after last week’s sharp correction, to close at 9,688. Thirteen of the fifteen sector indices moved higher. Advance decline ratio was positive with a total of 88 stocks advancing and 56 stocks declining. Trading turnover rose to SAR8.6bn. Among the larger sectors Telecom (+1.7%) bounced back after Mobily broke its three-day losing streak. Index heavyweight Petrochemical declined (-0.1%), while Banking rose 0.3%. Among other sectors, Retail gained 1.7%, Cement 0.4%, and Real estate 0.1%. Major News 1D % WTD % 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.7 -0.7 1.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 -0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.4 0.0 Herfy receives SAR50mn credit facility from AlRajhi Bank: Herfy Food announced yesterday that it has signed on November 6 a credit facility agreement with AlRajhi Bank. The agreement period extends from November 6, 2014 until November 6, 2018. The company said that the money will be used to fund the expansion plans. (Tadawul) SASCO announced sales of its TAQA shares: Saudi Automotive Services Co. (SASCO) announces that on November 9, the company has completed the sale of its shares (4,749,999 Stocks) in the Industrialization & Energy Services Company (TAQA) -Saudi Closed Joint Stock Company- with total amount of SAR95mn, and capital gain of SAR47.5mn. (Tadawul) Interest Rates 1M 3M 12M 3M Chg 1Y LIBOR (USD) 0.16 0.23 0.57 -0.01 SAIBOR 0.63 0.90 1.08 -0.06 EIBOR 0.38 0.68 1.02 -0.14 Source: Bloomberg Updated as of 10/Nov/2014 8:42 AM Disclosures: Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 1 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange TASI – Large Cap (>10% Index weight) Sectors’ Performance TASI – Top Gainers / Losers 1D % (LHS) 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 -8.0 -10.0 -12.0 -14.0 -16.0 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 -15.0 TASI Petrochem Banks Telecom TASI – Mid Cap (5 -10% index weight) Sectors’ Performance 1D % (LHS) 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 -2.5 -3.0 -3.5 -4.0 Insurance MTD % (LHS) Real Estate 1D % (LHS) 37.5 37.0 36.5 36.0 35.5 35.0 34.5 34.0 33.5 33.0 32.5 Agri MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 50.0 Media Hotels Multi invt Energy Transport -2 Retail 30.0 Building 0 Industries 40.0 Cement 1 -1 20.0 10.0 -3 0.0 -4 -10.0 -5 -20.0 Chg % 9.6 7.7 7.3 6.1 5.3 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 1.777 174.94 2.080 49.82 0.991 29.61 0.458 30.53 0.558 31.58 Company Saudi Fisheries Al Khaleej Train Saudi Hollandi Axa Cooperative Kingdom Hold Last Price 33.0 64.4 48.3 47.8 18.9 Chg % -1.6 -1.5 -1.5 -1.3 -1.2 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 0.863 28.76 0.078 5.03 0.018 0.85 0.963 46.12 0.652 12.31 TASI – Top Index Movers / Losers (Heavy weight stocks) % Diff 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 4.8% 6.6% Company Mobily Samba Al Rajhi Bk Jabal Omar Saudi Chem Co Last Price 60.63 46.28 64.49 50.99 67.84 Chg % 3.6 2.9 0.4 0.9 6.1 Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) 10.5 73.36 8.7 0.55 3.0 2.44 2.7 0.84 2.6 0.46 Company Sabic Alinma Bk Banq Saudi Fr Dar Al Arkan Sipchem Last Price 104.63 23.10 34.99 11.99 32.25 Chg % -0.3 -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -1.0 Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) -2.3 235.28 -2.2 469.11 -2.2 5.73 -1.3 115.77 -1.3 4.13 TASI – Volume Leaders Company Mobily Alinma Bk Dar Al Arkan Zain Saudi Saudi Kayan Etihad Atheeb ME Spec Cables Amana Coop Ins Malath Insurance Sisco Last Price 60.63 23.10 11.99 9.54 14.09 9.53 21.28 22.90 25.89 19.59 Chg % 3.6 -0.8 -0.9 0.4 -0.6 0.4 0.4 3.6 4.4 2.5 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 73.358 4265.77 20.292 469.11 9.638 115.77 8.328 79.37 5.509 77.56 5.080 48.64 3.781 80.52 3.131 70.61 2.856 73.42 2.599 50.34 TASI - Stocks Closer to 52 Week Low TASI – Stocks Closer to 52 Week High Company Last Price 52Wk High ME Spec Cables 21.28 21.80 Bupa Arabia 167.16 172.00 Saudi Arab Coop Ins 56.22 58.00 Herfy Food 104.72 109.75 Al Mouw asat 128.99 137.50 Last Price 100.40 24.27 30.80 67.84 57.67 YTD % (RHS) TASI – Small Cap (<5% index weight) Sectors’ Performance 2 Company Thimar Arabia Insurance Sasco Saudi Chem Co Aldrees Petroleum Value Trd (SAR mn) 80.519 71.201 37.274 8.958 2.274 Company Weqaya For Takaf Tabuk Cement Etihad Atheeb Tihama Yanzab Last Price 52Wk Low 19.39 19.15 27.85 27.50 9.53 9.25 95.51 92.50 59.96 58.00 % Diff 1.3% 1.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.4% Value Trd (SAR mn) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 7.405 Source: Al Rajhi Capital, Bloomberg Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 2 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Performance of Regional markets Country Saudi Arabia Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Kuw ait Oman Bahrain Last Close 9,689 13,692 4,453 4,867 7,183 6,905 1,443 Index 1D 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 0.7 -0.2 0.1 Change (%) 1M YTD -3.5 13.5 1.4 31.9 -2.0 32.1 0.1 13.4 -2.4 -4.9 -1.0 1.0 -0.1 15.5 MCap US$ bn 521 170 82 120 109 19 22 Volume mn shr 203 13.8 117 72 133 8 0.5 Turnover US$ mn 2,280 187 120 53 56 19 0.3 P/E (x) 2013 15.6 15.8 15.9 13.0 NA 11.3 NA P/E (x) Current 18.5 17.6 17.2 13.4 18.8 9.7 11.0 P/E (x) 2014E 13.7 13.9 13.4 12.1 NA 10.4 NA P/B (x) Current 2.3 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.5 1.0 Div Yld 12M (%) 2.9 3.4 2.1 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.7 Source: Al Rajhi Capital, Bloomberg Services Telcom Transport Investment Reality Bank Insurance -60.0 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) Consumer 1D % (LHS) 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 -20.0 -30.0 -40.0 9-Nov 13,600 80.0 2.0 70.0 1.0 60.0 0.0 50.0 -1.0 -2.0 0.3 -3.0 9-Nov 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 13,200 27-Oct 0.0 Insurance 0.6 YTD % (RHS) Real Estate 0.9 MTD % (LHS) Transport 14,000 1D % (LHS) Consumer 1.2 Last Price Change % 5.26 5.2 0.86 3.6 1.48 2.8 10.05 2.0 1.05 1.9 Vol (mn) 0.81 4.10 0.36 19.35 11.02 Company Takaful Emarat Ins Dubai Islamic Ins DFM NA NA Last Price Change % 0.76 -4.5 0.89 -1.1 2.72 -0.4 NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) 2.73 0.00 2.03 NA NA 40.0 30.0 20.0 -4.0 10.0 -5.0 0.0 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. Company Waha Capital Arkan Building Mat FGB Sharjah Islamic Bk Rak Properties Last Price Change % 2.92 7.0 1.62 5.9 18.75 5.3 1.88 2.7 0.80 2.6 Vol (mn) 11.819 0.010 1.985 0.198 1.589 Company Sharjah Cement Gulf Pharma Ind UNB Agthia Group Comm Bk Intl Last Price Change % 1.14 -8.1 3.05 -5.9 6.45 -5.2 6.66 -2.6 1.71 -2.3 Vol (mn) 0.160 0.134 1.139 0.027 0.025 Qatar – Top Gainers / Losers 3.0 Telecom DSM Index (RHS) Bank Turnover (LHS, QAR bn) Qatar – Sector Performances DSM 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct Qatar – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Company Du Gulf General Inv Tabreed Emaar Prop Deyaar Devt Abu Dhabi – Top Gainers / Losers 4,650 27-Oct 0.0 -30.0 Abu Dhabi – Sector Performances Insurance 4,800 -5.0 Services 4,950 0.0 Industrial 5,100 60.0 0.0 Fin.Services ADSMI Index (RHS) YTD % (RHS) 30.0 Banks Turnover (LHS, AED bn) 0.5 Dubai – Top Gainers / Losers 5.0 Telecome Abu Dhabi – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) MTD % (LHS) Energy 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 0.0 1D % (LHS) DFM 0.4 10.0 ADSM 0.8 9-Nov 1.2 6-Nov 1.6 5-Nov DFMGI Index (RHS) 4,650 4,600 4,550 4,500 4,450 4,400 4,350 4,300 4,250 4-Nov Turnover (LHS, AED bn) Dubai – Sector Performances Real Estate Dubai – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Company Barw a Real Est Gulf Intl Servcs Qatar Navigation QNB Medicare Group Last Price Change % 48.40 7.6 127.10 1.9 101.80 1.8 221.90 1.7 126.90 1.5 Vol (mn) 4.956 0.692 0.125 0.243 0.023 Company Vodafone Qatar Ezdan Hold Qatary investors Mazaya Qatar Qatar Insurance Last Price Change % 19.20 -3.2 19.28 -2.1 48.30 -1.1 23.50 -1.1 97.00 -1.0 Vol (mn) 1.966 2.156 0.085 0.496 0.038 3 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Kuwait – Sector Performances 1D % (LHS) MTD % (LHS) Kuwait – Top Gainers / Losers Oil&Gas Healthcare Insurance Basic material Telecom Consumer Parallel Services Bank -3.0 Fin. Services Industrial Real estate Investment -2.0 KSE -1.0 7,000 0.0 MSM 30 Bank Industry Services 6,850 -4.0 6,800 -1.5 -6.0 -2.0 -8.0 -2.5 -10.0 Bahrain – Sector Performances 1.2 1D % (LHS) 1.0 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 0.8 0.6 0.2 5.0 Services -0.6 Industries 0.0 -0.4 20.0 10.0 0.4 -0.2 Company Almadina Invt Al Maha Petroleum NA NA NA Last Price Change % 0.077 2.7 2.410 0.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) 0.025 0.008 NA NA NA Company Last Price Change % Gulf Invest Svcs 0.190 -4.0 Al Anw ar Holding 0.282 -2.8 Bank Nizw a 0.086 -2.3 Oman Natl Invest 0.380 -1.6 Oman & Emir (O) 50 0.174 -1.1 Vol (mn) 0.222 0.904 0.460 0.037 0.427 Bahrain – Top Gainers / Losers 15.0 Insurance Thousands 4.0 2.0 0.0 Hotel & Tourism 9-Nov 6-Nov 5-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 23-Oct 22-Oct - 0.5 Banks 5.0 YTD % (RHS) -2.0 1,448 1,446 1,444 1,442 1,440 1,438 1,436 1,434 1,432 1,430 1,428 10.0 MTD % (LHS) -1.0 BHSEASI Index (RHS) 15.0 1D % (LHS) 1.0 6,900 Bahrain – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) 20.0 Vol (mn) 0.144 0.122 0.002 0.159 0.566 -5.0 Oman – Top Gainers / Losers -0.5 9-Nov 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 6,950 Turnover (LHS, BHD mn) Last Price Change % 218 -12.1 130 -7.1 68 -5.6 385 -3.8 2780 -3.5 0.0 Oman – Sector Performances MSM30 Index (RHS) 7,050 25.0 Company -10.0 Yiaco Medical Co Alrai Media Grp -15.0 Jeeran Holdings Al-Tamdeen Invest -20.0 Kuw ait Foods 5.0 0.0 BSE Turnover (LHS, OMR mn) Vol (mn) 3.416 12.228 0.004 #VALUE! 0.015 1.0 -5.0 56 52 48 44 40 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0 Last Price Change % 22.5 12.5 16 10.3 375 8.7 53 8.2 70 7.7 10.0 -4.0 Oman – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Company Housing Finance Al-Deera Holding Human Soft #N/A Strategia Invest Co YTD % (RHS) 2.0 Technology 7,400 7,350 7,300 7,250 7,200 7,150 7,100 7,050 7,000 9-Nov 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 2-Nov Turnover (LHS, KWD mn) KWSEIDX Index (RHS) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 27-Oct Thousands Kuwait – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Company Aluminium Bahrain Albaraka Banking NA NA NA Company 0.0 -5.0 NA NA NA NA NA Last Price Change % 0.510 1.0 0.840 0.6 NA NA NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) 0.015 0.006 NA NA NA Last Price Change % NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) NA NA NA NA NA Source: Bloomberg, Al Rajhi Capital Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 4 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Disclaimer This research document has been prepared by Al Rajhi Capital Company (“Al Rajhi Capital”) of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. 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