Daily Market Report
Transcription
Daily Market Report
Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange November 9 2014 ` TASI Index Turnover (SAR mn) 9,649.3 7,282.8 Global commentary TASI Intra Day Movement Intraday 9,660 Research Department research@alrajhi-capital.com Tel:+966 11 211 9332/Fax: +966 11 2119422 0.21% -1% Previous Close US markets advanced marginally last week amid economic growth optimism. A positive report on jobs data and the end of the Federal Reserve’s stimulus program gave hopeful signal on the economy. The Dow and the S&P 500 indices gained 1.0% and 0.7% respectively. The Nasdaq was flat over the week. European markets edged down last week. The decision by the ECB to adopt new easing measures if needed with interest rates unchanged weighed on the markets. The CAC 40 slipped 1.0% while the DAX 30 slid 0.4% for the week. The FTSE 100 bucked the negative trend and advanced 0.3% for the week. GCC markets ended lower last week on falling prices of crude oil. The indices of Dubai and Kuwait slipped 3.1% each while Abu Dhabi and Oman slid 1.5% and 0.8% respectively. Bahrain edged down 0.2% while Qatar edged up 0.7%. Most Asian stocks ended lower last week. The Hang Seng and the Kospi indices ended the week 1.9% and 1.3% lower respectively. The Shanghai Composite edged down 0.1% for the week while the Nikkei ended the week up 2.8%. 9,640 9,620 9,600 9,580 9,560 15:30 15:15 15:00 14:45 14:30 14:15 14:00 13:45 13:30 13:15 13:00 12:45 12:30 12:15 12:00 11:45 11:30 11:15 11:00 9,540 TASI – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Thousands Turnover (LHS, SAR bn) TASI Index (RHS) 10 10,400 10,200 10,000 9,800 9,600 9,400 9,200 8 6 4 2 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 26-Oct - Regional Indices Close KSA (TASI) 9,649 Qatar (DSM) 13,590 Kuw ait (KSE) 7,135 Abu Dhabi (ADSM) 4,790 Dubai (DFM) 4,406 Oman (MSM30) 6,921 Bahrain (BSE) 1,441 MSCI GCC 623 1D% 0.2 0.5 -0.8 -0.8 0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.0 WTD% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 YTD% 13.0 30.9 -5.5 11.7 30.8 1.3 15.4 11.8 Major Com m odities / Currencies Close 1D % WTD % Gold Spot $/Oz 1,178 3.2 0.4 Silver Spot $/Oz 15.79 2.4 -2.3 Crude Oil (Brent) 83.39 0.6 0.0 OPEC Basket 78.27 0.2 -4.5 Euro 1.25 0.5 -0.6 USD Index 87.64 -0.4 0.0 JPY 114.600 0.3 -2.0 YTD % -2.3 -18.9 -21.6 -27.5 -9.7 9.5 -8.2 Major Global Indices Close DJ Industrial 17,574 S&P 500 2,032 Nikkei 225 16,880 Hang seng 23,550 FTSE 100 6,567 CAC 40 4,190 MSCI World 1,707 MSCI EM 988 YTD % 6.0 9.9 3.6 1.0 -2.7 -2.5 2.8 -1.5 1D % WTD % 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.4 0.0 TASI gains 0.2% TASI advanced 0.2% to close at 9,649.2 on Thursday. Out of 15 sectors, 10 sectors gained while the remaining 5 sectors declined. Advance-decline ratio was 80/63 while trading turnover was at SAR7.2bn. Among major sectors, Petrochemical and Banks & Financial services gained 0.9% and 0.7% respectively. Transport and Hotel & Tourism sectors also gained 2.3% and 1.5% respectively. Among the sectors that declined, Telecommunication and IT was down 4.8% and real estate was down 0.09%. Major News Savola and Takween extend talks over potential plastics unit sale: Savola Group has agreed on a seven-week extension of talks with Takween Advanced Industries over the sale of its plastics business. Savola said in July it had entered a non-binding agreement with Takween to sell its entire share capital in Savola Packaging Co as it looked to focus on its core sectors of food and retailing. (Zawya) Mobily will not distribute dividends in 3Q 2014: Mobily Announced the Board of Directors decision on 06/11/2014 regarding the recommendation that was submitted on 05/11/2014 for not distributing cash dividend for the third quarter of fiscal year 2014. It is worth mentioning that the earlier decision is related to the third quarter only, whereas the company will evaluate the feasibility of distribution of dividends for the coming quarters, in line with the company goals and aspirations of the investors. (Tadawul) Interest Rates 1M 3M 12M 3M Chg 1Y LIBOR (USD) 0.16 0.23 0.57 -0.01 SAIBOR 0.63 0.90 1.08 -0.06 EIBOR 0.38 0.68 1.02 -0.14 Source: Bloomberg Updated as of 09/Nov/2014 8:12 AM Disclosures: Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 1 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange TASI – Large Cap (>10% Index weight) Sectors’ Performance TASI – Top Gainers / Losers 1D % (LHS) 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 -8.0 -10.0 -12.0 -14.0 -16.0 -18.0 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 -15.0 TASI Petrochem Banks Telecom TASI – Mid Cap (5 -10% index weight) Sectors’ Performance 1D % (LHS) MTD % (LHS) 38.0 0.0 37.0 Real Estate Agri -1.0 36.0 -2.0 35.0 -3.0 34.0 -4.0 33.0 -5.0 32.0 TASI – Small Cap (<5% index weight) Sectors’ Performance 1D % (LHS) 3 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 2 30.0 Media Hotels Multi invt Transport Energy Retail Building Industries Cement 0 -2 50.0 40.0 1 -1 20.0 10.0 0.0 -3 -4 -10.0 -5 -20.0 Chg % 5.3 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.4 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 0.865 28.18 8.809 185.72 1.952 64.03 0.124 16.04 0.363 22.97 Company Last Price Mobily 58.5 Amana Coop Ins 22.1 Basic Chemical Ind 38.9 Abd A.M. Al Khodari 68.9 ANB Ins 66.3 Chg % -10.0 -10.0 -3.3 -3.0 -1.8 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 36.075 2111.27 0.245 5.41 2.089 82.31 2.473 178.51 0.229 15.25 TASI – Top Index Movers / Losers (Heavy weight stocks) % Diff 2.2% 2.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% Company Sabic Alinma Bk Savola Sabb Takaful Samba Last Price 104.96 23.29 82.11 57.00 44.98 Chg % 2.3 2.4 1.5 2.6 1.4 Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) 16.4 3.83 6.2 30.29 5.2 0.42 5.1 0.20 4.2 1.14 Company Mobily Jabal Omar Almarai Jarir Mktg Safco Last Price 58.50 50.54 74.84 185.75 155.99 Chg % -10.0 -1.0 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) -32.0 2111.27 -3.2 51.19 -1.7 56.73 -1.4 23.98 -1.0 16.70 TASI – Volume Leaders Company Mobily Alinma Bk Dar Al Arkan ME Spec Cables Saudi Kayan Zain Saudi Maaden Sabic Axa Cooperative Sahara Petro Last Price 58.50 23.29 12.10 21.20 14.17 9.50 36.15 104.96 48.40 19.04 Chg % -10.0 2.4 -0.3 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.2 -0.8 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 36.075 2111.27 30.291 701.49 8.912 108.17 8.809 185.72 7.177 101.10 6.512 61.79 3.955 142.74 3.833 400.75 2.914 141.40 2.865 54.73 TASI - Stocks Closer to 52 Week Low TASI – Stocks Closer to 52 Week High Company Last Price 52Wk High Saudi Arab Coop Ins 56.74 58.00 ME Spec Cables 21.20 21.70 Bupa Arabia 161.43 169.75 Al Mouw asat 130.20 137.50 Med & Gulf Ins 73.97 79.00 Last Price 33.53 21.20 33.06 130.20 63.95 YTD % (RHS) 1.0 Insurance Company Saudi Fisheries ME Spec Cables National Shipp Al Mouw asat Saudi Chem Co Value Trd (SAR mn) 41.776 185.725 21.959 16.044 36.860 Company Mobily Amana Coop Ins Weqaya For Takaf Tabuk Cement Etihad Atheeb Last Price 52Wk Low 58.50 58.50 22.10 22.10 19.39 19.15 28.00 27.50 9.49 9.25 % Diff 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% Value Trd (SAR mn) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 26.186 Source: Al Rajhi Capital, Bloomberg Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 2 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Performance of Regional markets Country Saudi Arabia Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Kuw ait Oman Bahrain Last Close 9,649 13,590 4,406 4,790 7,135 6,921 1,441 Index 1D 0.2 0.5 0.1 -0.8 -0.8 0.1 -0.2 Change (%) 1M YTD -3.8 13.0 0.7 30.9 -3.1 30.8 -1.5 11.7 -3.1 -5.5 -0.8 1.3 -0.2 15.4 MCap US$ bn 520 168 81 119 108 19 22 Volume mn shr 183 8.0 230 133 229 16 1.1 Turnover US$ mn 1,941 108 206 75 97 130 0.6 P/E (x) 2013 15.5 15.7 15.8 12.7 NA 11.4 NA P/E (x) Current 18.5 17.5 17.1 13.2 18.6 9.7 11.0 P/E (x) 2014E 13.7 13.8 13.3 11.9 NA 10.4 NA P/B (x) Current 2.3 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.0 Div Yld 12M (%) 3.0 3.4 2.2 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.7 Source: Al Rajhi Capital, Bloomberg 6-Nov 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 13,200 Services Telcom Transport Investment Consumer Insurance Services YTD % (RHS) 80.0 2.0 70.0 1.0 60.0 0.0 50.0 -1.0 -3.0 29-Oct -20.0 3.0 -2.0 0.3 MTD % (LHS) 40.0 30.0 20.0 -4.0 10.0 -5.0 0.0 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. Company Dubai Islamic Ins Takaful Emarat Ins Shuaa Capital Emaar Prop Air Arabia Last Price Change % 0.90 -3.1 0.80 -3.0 0.87 -2.6 9.85 -1.4 1.31 -0.8 Vol (mn) 0.21 0.12 0.68 24.95 12.90 Company Green Crescent Ins Arkan Building Mat Gulf Pharma Ind Methaq Takaful Eshraq Propertie Last Price Change % 0.94 13.3 1.53 9.3 3.24 4.5 0.99 4.2 1.06 3.9 Vol (mn) 0.031 0.081 0.069 0.217 47.166 Company Fujairah Cement Intl Fish Farming Abu Dhabi Ship FGB RAK Ceramics Last Price Change % 1.35 -10.0 6.10 -6.9 2.29 -6.2 17.80 -3.3 3.25 -3.0 Vol (mn) 0.004 0.011 0.002 2.130 0.017 Qatar – Top Gainers / Losers Insurance 13,600 0.0 -10.0 -40.0 1D % (LHS) Vol (mn) 14.46 7.85 0.39 0.74 0.10 0.0 -30.0 Real Estate 0.9 28-Oct Insurance Reality Bank 10.0 Transport 14,000 0.6 20.0 Consumer 1.2 YTD % (RHS) Qatar – Sector Performances DSM Index (RHS) Last Price Change % 2.50 4.2 7.48 1.6 0.66 1.5 0.69 1.5 9.45 0.9 Abu Dhabi – Top Gainers / Losers 30.0 Telecom Qatar – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) MTD % (LHS) Company Ajman Bank DIB Takaful House Islamic Arab Ins ENBD -30.0 40.0 Bank 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 4,650 27-Oct 0.0 1D % (LHS) 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 -4.0 -5.0 -6.0 Industrial 4,800 27-Oct 0.0 Abu Dhabi – Sector Performances Fin.Services 4,950 26-Oct 60.0 -60.0 Banks 5,100 26-Oct -10.0 Telecome ADSMI Index (RHS) 0.5 Turnover (LHS, QAR bn) -5.0 Energy Abu Dhabi – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Turnover (LHS, AED bn) YTD % (RHS) 30.0 ADSM 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 26-Oct 0.0 MTD % (LHS) 0.0 Real Estate 0.4 1D % (LHS) DSM 0.8 5.0 Dubai – Top Gainers / Losers 6-Nov 1.2 5-Nov 1.6 4-Nov DFMGI Index (RHS) 4,800 4,700 4,600 4,500 4,400 4,300 4,200 3-Nov Turnover (LHS, AED bn) Dubai – Sector Performances DFM Dubai – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Company Barw a Real Est Ind Qatar Qatar Intl Is Bk Mazaya Qatar Qatar Navigation Last Price Change % 45.00 2.6 194.00 1.2 85.40 1.1 23.75 1.0 100.00 1.0 Vol (mn) 1.590 0.243 0.095 0.696 0.067 Company Ooredoo Gulf Intl Servcs QIsB Vodafone Qatar Doha Bank Last Price Change % 119.10 -1.4 124.70 -1.3 109.20 -0.7 19.83 -0.6 58.70 -0.3 Vol (mn) 0.082 0.264 0.127 0.756 0.162 3 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Kuwait – Sector Performances 1D % (LHS) MTD % (LHS) Kuwait – Top Gainers / Losers YTD % (RHS) Oil&Gas Healthcare Insurance Basic material Telecom Consumer Parallel Services Bank Fin. Services Industrial Real estate -2.0 Investment -1.0 10.0 KSE 0.0 Technology 7,450 7,400 7,350 7,300 7,250 7,200 7,150 7,100 7,050 7,000 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 29-Oct Turnover (LHS, KWD mn) KWSEIDX Index (RHS) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 26-Oct Thousands Kuwait – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) -5.0 -10.0 Company Strategia Invest Co Real Estate Trad -20.0 Kipco Asset Mgmt Coast Investment -25.0 Gulf Franchising -4.0 -15.0 -6.0 Turnover (LHS, OMR mn) Oman – Sector Performances MSM30 Index (RHS) 7,050 56 52 48 44 40 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0 1D % (LHS) 1.5 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 6,900 -0.5 -4.0 6,850 -1.0 -6.0 -1.5 -8.0 -2.0 -10.0 Bahrain – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) BHSEASI Index (RHS) -2.0 MSM 30 Bank Industry Services Bahrain – Sector Performances 0.6 1D % (LHS) MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 20.0 5.0 6-Nov 5-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 23-Oct 22-Oct - -0.6 -0.8 Services Industries -0.4 Insurance -0.2 Hotel & Tourism 10.0 0.0 Banks 15.0 15.0 0.2 BSE 20.0 21-Oct Thousands 1,448 1,446 1,444 1,442 1,440 1,438 1,436 1,434 1,432 1,430 1,428 10.0 5.0 0.0 -1.0 -1.2 Vol (mn) 0.001 0.063 0.090 17.641 0.026 Company Last Price Change % Gulf Invest Svcs 0.198 4.2 Oman & Emir (O) 50 0.176 3.5 Al Anw ar Holding 0.290 2.8 Almadina Invt 0.075 2.7 Bank Nizw a 0.088 2.3 Vol (mn) 0.321 1.605 3.675 0.135 0.267 Company Global Fin Inves HSBC Bank Oman Oman Cables Ind Al Maha Petroleum Renaissance Serv Vol (mn) 0.035 3.584 0.027 0.009 0.881 Last Price Change % 0.120 -2.4 0.157 -1.9 2.400 -0.6 2.400 -0.4 0.570 -0.4 Bahrain – Top Gainers / Losers 0.4 25.0 Last Price Change % 65 -18.8 42 -15.2 104 -8.8 65 -7.1 70 -6.7 Oman – Top Gainers / Losers 6,950 6-Nov 5-Nov 4-Nov 3-Nov 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 23-Oct 7,000 Turnover (LHS, BHD mn) 0.0 Vol (mn) 0.005 0.007 0.000 #VALUE! 0.008 -3.0 -5.0 Oman – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) 5.0 Company Last Price Change % Pearl Of Kuw ait 14 16.7 Hilal Cement Co 134 8.1 Credit Rating & Coll 78 5.4 #N/A 49 5.4 Kw t Real Estate Hldg 38 4.1 -5.0 Company Albaraka Banking Bahrain Telecom Nass Corp NA NA Last Price Change % 0.835 0.6 0.346 0.6 0.178 0.6 NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) 0.012 0.006 0.204 NA NA Company Ithmaar Bank Bahrain Islamic Bk Khaleeji Com Bk NA NA Last Price Change % 0.165 -8.3 0.154 -2.5 0.045 -2.2 NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) 0.072 0.015 0.250 NA NA Source: Bloomberg, Al Rajhi Capital Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 4 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Disclaimer This research document has been prepared by Al Rajhi Capital Company (“Al Rajhi Capital”) of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. 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