- International Fertilizer Industry Association

Transcription

29/10/2014
Micronutrient markets
evolution (or revolution?)
in Asia-Pacific
Kevin Moran
Kingenta International, China
IFA Crossroads Asia-Pacific 2014
In the beginning…….
IFA Asia Pacific Crossroads 2014, Singapore
1
29/10/2014
Topics
1
Importance of balanced fertilization including micronutrients
2
Micronutrient fertilization for nutrient and water use efficiency
3
Evolution (revolution?) of Asia-Pacific micronutrient markets
Topics
1
2
3
2
29/10/2014
Essential growth factors for all crops
Essential Fertilizer Nutrients for Crops
PRIMARY
NUTRIENTS
SECONDARY
NUTRIENTS
Nitrogen (N)
Phosphorus (P)
Potassium (K)
Calcium (Ca)
Magnesium (Mg)
Sulphur (S)
100’s kg/ha
10’s kg/ha
MICRONUTRIENTS
Boron (B)
Copper (Cu)
Iron (Fe)
Manganese (Mn)
Molybdenum (Mo)
Zinc (Zn)
1’s kg/ha
3
29/10/2014
Adequate supplies of ALL nutrients are essential to achieve
maximum yield and top crop quality
CROP QUALITY
Justus von Liebig’s
“Law of the Minimum”
published in 1843
‘If one plant nutrient
is deficient, plant
growth is limited,
even if all other
vital nutrients are
adequate…plant
growth is improved
by increasing the
amounts of
deficient nutrients’
CROP
YIELD
Although the‘Law
of the Minimum’ was
already defined in
1843, shortfalls of
specific nutrients are
still the major reason,
with limited WATER
supply, for low crop
yields and poor
quality throughout
World Agriculture
The Classic Nutrient Response Curve
“Hidden Hunger” is where micronutrient deficiencies will most
commonly reduce crop yield, quality…and human health!
4
29/10/2014
Soil and crop tissue analysis enable accurate diagnosis of nutrient deficiencies…
(Courtesy of Yara Analytical Services)
…including identification of micronutrient ‘Hidden Hunger’
Soil & tissue analysis have revolutionised
identification of micronutrient markets
(Rijpma & Fokruhl Islam, 2003;
Srinivasarao et al, 2007)
Progressive micronutrient depletion and deficiency in India & Bangladesh
5
29/10/2014
Evolution of micronutrient deficiencies in China
Percentage of soils with micronutrient
deficiency in 1980s and recent in China (%)
Nutrient
1980s
Recent
Zn
51.1
60.7
B
34.5
25.3
Mn
21.3
20.1
Cu
6.9
10.6
Fe
5.0
20.5
Source:
2nd
*
national soil survey and PPI/PPIC cooperative network
* Decrease resulting from promotion of boron applications in China
Topics
1
2
3
6
29/10/2014
Improvement in N uptake and use efficiency using Mo applications
(Pulschen, 2004)
Boron application increases NPK uptake and use efficiency
(Phillips, 2004)
7
29/10/2014
Micronutrients increase Water Use Efficiency
Rainwater Use Efficiency (RUE)
In kg yield/mm rainfall
4
3.5
3
kg/mm
2.5
Plus Micronutrients
2
Normal Farmer Inputs
1.5
1
0.5
0
Soybean
Groundnut
Mungbean
Sorghum
(Dar, 2004)
Topics
1
2
3
8
29/10/2014
Distribution of micronutrient deficiencies in Asia-Pacific
(Bell and Dell, 2008)
More ‘traditional’ micronutrient applications incorporated
into ‘blended’ or ‘compound’ N, NP and NPK fertilizers
Broadcasting
Drilling
9
29/10/2014
Growth demand for micronutrients in Asia-Pacific exemplified
by production of zinc-enriched N/NP/NPK’s in China
(Ming and Green, 2014)
Revolutionary NPK’s + micronutrients
•
•
•
•
Nutrients released as growing crop needs increase – reduced volatilisation
Environmentally friendly – reduced leaching
Improved nutrient use and application efficiencies
Rapidly evolving relevance to Asia-Pacific agricultural challenges
10
29/10/2014
Increasingly innovative ‘alternative’
micronutrient applications are being adopted
 Foliar application……..
 Seed treatment / coating………………….
 Fertilizer impregnation…………
 Fertigation…………………………………….
Fertigation requires chelated micronutrients
EDTA/DTPA
EDDHA
11
Tom Kimmell,
Kimmell, Executive Director
29/10/2014
The Future: Linking Nutrient and Water Use Efficiency
Top 5 Countries: I rrigated Land, NPK Use
Top 5
Hectares
Irrigated Irrigated
Top 5 NPK 2002 Million
Users
metric tons
India
54,800,000
China
39.5
China
54,402,000
USA
19.6
USA
22,400,000
India
16.0
Pakistan
18,090,000
Brazil
7.5
7,500,000
France
4.0
Iran
Source-UN Food & Agriculture Organization, I FA
Micronutrients are key to the fertigation revolution sweeping Asia-Pacific
2
1
Other main market drivers in Asia-Pacific
(Adapted from Argus FMB Micronutrients Report 2014))
 Normal food supply issues always apply
 Crop response to NPK’s is stagnating – improving NUE
and WUE
 In last 20 years K (and S) have underpinned some yield
growth
 Limitations are now due to soil depletion of
micronutrients (and other secondarys)
 Growing awareness of impact of micronutrient
deficiencies on human (and animal) health
12
29/10/2014
Revolution in crop bio-fortification with micronutrients
Fertilizer
nutrients
applied
Urea (N)
Urea plus
1% Zn
%
increase
Rice
Wheat
4.0
Grain
Zn
content
(ppm)
30
4.7
17%
Yield
(t/ha)
3.7
Grain
Zn
content
(ppm)
40
39
4.3
49
30%
14%
23%
Yield
(t/ha)
(Shivay et al, 2008)
Global estimates of main micronutrient sectors
Micronutrient share of global market
4%
6%
35%
15%
Zn
B
Fe
Mn
Cu
15%
Mo
25%
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29/10/2014
Global estimate of micronutrient application sectors
% of global market share
6%
Micro's in N, NP, NPK
blends and
compounds
28%
Micro's in foliars,
seed and fertilizer
coatings
66%
Chelated micro's
Soil-applied in blends and compound fertilizers still largest market
Asia-Pacific largest, fastest-growing market
(Adapted from Argus FMB Micronutrients Report 2014)
Asia-Pacific share of global market
45%
55%
Asia-Pacific
Rest of World
14
29/10/2014
Asia-Pacific estimates of main micronutrient sectors
Micronutrient share in Asia-Pacific
5%
5%
10%
40%
10%
Zn
B
Fe
Mn
Cu
30%
Mo
Asia-Pacific dominated by soil applied micro’s…
Asia-Pacific product sector share
2%
Micro's in N, NP and
NPK blends and
compounds
15%
83%
Micro's in foliars,
seed and fertilizer
coatings
Chelated micro's
…but other sectors gaining ground and growing fast!
15
29/10/2014
A revolution in priorities!
 The rising demand for micronutrients has reversed the gradual process
of simplification in the industry
 The defining challenge is the need to include / apply micronutrients in
ways to ensure even spreading
 The second challenge is the greater number of combinations and dosages
to deliver micronutrients
 The third challenge is to ensure accurate and cost-effectve delivery of
micronutrients
 The final challenge is increasing product ranges to meet flexible demand
and fluctuating markets
 All represent immense opportunities for micronutrient market growth
Where to in next seven years?
?
October, 2021
Higher rate than 2007-2014
Global market = 1,100 Kt
Global market = 730 Kt
16
29/10/2014
For up-to-date in depth analysis of micronutrient markets,
future trends and growth opportunities…
Thank you
Kevin Moran
kevin.moran@kingenta.com
www.kingenta.com
kevin.moran@kemnovation.com
17

- International Fertilizer Industry Association

Transcription

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