energy, water and phenology controls on the annual carbon and
Transcription
energy, water and phenology controls on the annual carbon and
ENERGY, WATER AND PHENOLOGY CONTROLS ON THE ANNUAL CARBON AND WATER CYCLES USING REMOTE SENSING TO UNDERSTAND CLIMATE VARIABILITY NATURE GEOSCIENCE Julia Green– Columbia University, Pierre Gentine– Columbia University, Joe Berry– Carnegie Institute, Jung-Eun Lee– Brown University, Jana Kolassa– Columbia University Introduction and Motivation 2 L.G.G. de Gonçalves et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 182–18 Discrepancies exist between GCM results and observations ¨ Certain processes in the carbon cycle are not well understood ¨ Fig. 1. Local-scale (A) evapotranspiration (ET) and (B) GPP as originally modeled by IBIS (brown line, Botta et al L., et al. "Overview ofshaded the Large-Scale Lee et al., 2005), and as observed (±SDGonçalves, across years 2002-2004, areas)Biosphere–Atmosphere from eddy tower in Tapajos Nation Experiment in Amazonia Data Model Intercomparison Project (LBAshow dry-season declines, in contrast to observations from both satell squares) is plotted with GPP in (B). Models DMIP)" (2013). NASA Publications. Paper 133. http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/ nasapub/133from nearby (12 km distant) forest site in (B). (For interpretation area (km 77 site) that has opposite seasonality referred to the web version of the article.) The experiments consisted of uncoupled land surface model simulations forced by standardized atmospheric variables measured at eight sites across the Amazon region as shown in Fig. 2, sites are in Brazilia São Paulo was also The evergreen Introduction Cont. 3 ¨ Potential options for improvement: REMOTE SENSING!!! ! In-situ point leaf level measurements ! Flux tower measurements (canopy/ecosystem scale) M. Jung, M. Reichstein, A. Bondeau, Towards global empirical upscaling of FLUXNET eddy covariance observations: Validation of a model tree ensemble approach using a biosphere model. Biogeosciences 6,2001 (2009). Research Goals 4 ¨ To improve our understanding of the variability of land and atmospheric variables related to the carbon and water cycles ! Temporally (interannual, seasonal) ! Spatially (climatic conditions, ecosystems) ¨ To define spatially the control on the annual carbon and water cycles ! Energy ! Water ! Phenology Importance 5 Advance our understanding of how vegetation responds to increases in atmospheric CO2 ¨ Show us the effect of water stress on the CO2 cycle ¨ Improve the performance of General Circulation, and Land Surface, and Vegetation Models ¨ Allow us to more accurately make climate change predictions and weather forecasts ¨ Remote Sensing Datasets 6 Parameter Source Net Radiation Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment– 2 (GOME-2) Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)/ Multiangle GHCN_CAMS Gridded 2m Temperature Precipitation Solar Induced Fluorescence (SIF) EVI Temperature Solar Induced Fluorescence (SIF) 7 ¨ During photosynthesis a plant absorbs energy through its chlorophyll ! % used for ecosystem gross primary production (GPP) ! % lost as heat ! % re-emitted (SIF) ¨ Relationship between GPP and SIF is linear Guanter, L., et al. " Global monitoring of terrestrial sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence from space." (2013). International Conference: Towards a Global Carbon Observing System:Progresses and Challenges. Climate Regimes 8 Mediterranean Climate Monsoonal Climate Tropical Climate Mid-Latitude Climate Mediterranean Climate 9 ¨ In Mediterranean climates radiation and precipitation are out of phase. Limited by light in winter and water in summer. Interannual variability in GPP is due to the variability in precip. Monsoonal Climate 10 ¨ ¨ Monsoonal climates have peak in radiation that drives the precip., which then drives the GPP. Variability in GPP due to interannual variability in precip. Tropical Climate 11 ¨ Tropical climates average annual cycles vary greatly between regions Mid-Latitude Climate 12 ¨ Mid-latitude climates have radiation, GPP and EVI in phase(GPP peaks slightly before radiation and decreases at conclusion of phenological cycle). Largest interannual variability in precip. 13 Correlation between Radiation and SIF ¨ Less strong in tropical and desert regions than in midlatitudes where radiation is driving GPP. 14 Correlation between Temperature and SIF ¨ Similar to radiation but less highly correlated– opposite in monsoonal regions (temperature drops during monsoon season) and transitional zones. Correlation between EVI and SIF 15 ¨ Greenness typically has high correlations with SIF– but not in the very wet tropical regions (EVI is constant year round) and some desert regions (SIF is very minimal) 16 Correlation between Precipitation and SIF ¨ Precipitation highly correlated with SIF in transition zones. Regions with the most rain have lower correlation due to the cloud coverage and constant EVI Combining Correlations to RGB Plot Corr(SIF, Net Radiation) R Corr(SIF, Precipitation) G B Corr(SIF, EVI) 18 Controls on Carbon and Water Cycles Corr(SIF, Net Radiation) Corr(SIF, EVI) Corr(SIF, Precipitation) Conclusions 19 ¨ ¨ Globally defined each climatic regime in terms of GPP as light, water or phenology controlled. Learned wet tropical forests behave differently (eg. Amazon vs. Congo Rainforest) in the following ways: ! The Amazon is more light limited than the Congo Rainforest ! In the Amazon less precipitation (to a point) is beneficial to photosynthesis ¨ Changes in the water cycle will therefore affect distinct regions differently